2020 Presidential Election: Pennsylvania Oct 29 - Oct 30 2020
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
2020 Presidential Election: Pennsylvania
Oct 29 – Oct 30 2020
© 2020 AtlasIntel
All Rights Reserved
Methodology & Sample Profile
This study was conducted by AtlasIntel, an independent research & data intelligence firm.
Random interviews of Pennsylvania adults were conducted online between October 29 and October 30 2020. The sample was post-stratified
with propensity scores to match the profile of registered voters on the following variables: gender, region, age group, education, family
income, and race. Results are reported for 672 likely voters. The margin of error for likely voters is +/-4% at the 95% confidence level. Some
percentages do not add up to 100% due to rounding.
More information about AtlasIntel can be obtained by visiting www.atlasintel.org.
Gender Vote
Partisanship
in 2016 Presidential
(self-reported)
Elections
Female 54.2% Democrats
Hillary Clinton 36.2%
44.7%
Male 45.8% Republicans
Donald Trump 36.0%
43.4%
Independents
Other; doesn’t remember; didn’t vote 27.8%
11.9%
Age Group
18 – 29 10.1% Household
Household income
income
30 – 44 22.1% Below
Below 50k
50k 40.6%
38.0%
38.1%
45 – 64 41.7% 50k – 100k
50k – 100k 30.9%
32.0%
32.5%
65+ 26.2% Above
Above 100k
100k 28.5%
30.0%
29.5%
Race Education
Education
White 85.4% College
College degree
degree or
or higher
higher 34.6%
45.0%
34.6%
Black 7.2% All other
All other 55.0%
65.4%
Hispanic 4.1%
Asian 1.2%
Vote
Votein
in 2016
2016 Presidential
PresidentialElections
Election
Other Donald
Hillary Clinton
Trump 44.7%
2.1%
Hillary
Donald Clinton
Trump 44.1%
43.4%
Other,
Other; don’t
doesn’t
remember,
remember;
didn’t
didn’t
vote
vote 11.2%
11.9%
2
I. Presidential Election
1 Whom will you vote for in the US presidential election?
Oct-20
Joe Biden 49
Donald Trump 50
Other 2
Donald Trump 49.6
Joe Biden 48.5
Other 1.9
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
1 Whom will you vote for in the US presidential election?
[Crosstabs]
II. Presidential Approval
2 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president?
Oct-20
Approve 48
Disapprove 51
Don't know 2
Approve 47.7
Disapprove 50.6
Don't know 1.7
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
2 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president?
[Crosstabs]
In 2020, AtlasIntel polls for the US democratic primaries had the smallest mean error across all pollsters. AtlasIntel conducted the most accurate polls in New Hampshire, California, and Florida. Performance up to February 12 2020 Performance up to March 15 2020 Source: G. Elliott Morris, The Economist Source: Jack Kersting, JHK Forecasts https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1227454160813088769 https://projects.jhkforecasts.com/democratic_primary/analysis/
AtlasIntel had the best performance in anticipating the results of the 2019 Presidential Elections in Argentina. We conducted the only poll that predicted the results of all candidates within the margin of error.
Atlas Tracking PRO
Nationally-representative daily poll with more than 30 questions on the political and economic
scenario. The polling is conducted online based on a proprietary methodology for random
selection and sample post-stratification and validation.
✓ Currently available for:
North America US Swing States South America Europe
▪ United States ▪ Arizona ▪ Argentina ▪ France
▪ Mexico ▪ Florida ▪ Brazil ▪ Germany
▪ Georgia ▪ Chile ▪ Netherlands
▪ Ohio ▪ Colombia ▪ Italy
▪ Michigan ▪ Peru ▪ Spain
▪ North Carolina ▪ UK
▪ Pennsylvania
▪ TexasAtlas Tracking PRO is accessible in real time through a secure URL
Atlas Monitor Atlas Monitor tracks political engagement in social media in real time. We deploy big data tools to transform huge quantities of information into intuitive and useful indicators that reveal the impact of network sentiment on political developments and electoral dynamics. All of our work carefully adheres to the privacy rights of social media users, to platform policies, and to local and international legislation.
Atlas Monitor is accessible in real time through a secure URL
Media & Client Inquiries: info@atlasintel.org
You can also read
