2020 BOLD MOVES African Emergence - Sanne Group

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2020 BOLD MOVES African Emergence - Sanne Group
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Issue 20 | March 2020

                        2020 BOLD MOVES
                        African Emergence
                        > South Africa’s growth outlook for 2020
                        > Mezzanine debt – the overlooked asset class
                        > Securitisation in Africa
                        > New classification standard for hedge funds
                        > Private equity firms continue targeting South Africa, new
                          opportunities and trends for 2020 and beyond

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     Welcome to our 20th issue of Connect,                          bold moves bringing with it significant opportunities in the
     SANNE’s regular, technical bulletin for fund                   coming decade is, renewable energy projects.
     managers, their intermediaries and
                                                                    Given the opportunities present in Africa, this edition of
     investors.
                                                                    SANNE Connect invited industry leaders to share their
     Leading the way                                                thoughts on Africa and the way forward.
     Africa is showing great potential with the expectation for
                                                                    Africa edition – our experts:
     growth across the continent to be 3.9% in 2020 and 4.1% in
     2021 with economic progress continuing to outperform that      > Erik Nel, Chief Investment Officer at Terebinth Capital
     of other regions. Bringing home the Webb Ellis Cup last year
                                                                    > Adam Bulkin, Head: Manager Research at Sanlam
     indeed brought us good fortune as Africa is destined to be
                                                                      Investments: Multi-Manager
     home to seven of the world’s ten fastest-growing economies
     over the next five years.                                      > Ryan van Breda, Portfolio Manager at Ngwedi Investment
                                                                      Managers
     Markets upbeat in 2020, but are storm clouds gathering?
                                                                    > Karlien de Bruin, Head of SANNE ManCo
     Having just come out of Cape Town’s ‘Day Zero’ situation, I
     for one am always optimistic when the storm clouds gather.     > Michael Denenga, Partner and Private Equity Specialist at
     Fundamentals are improving with a gradual shift from private     Webber Wentzel
     consumption toward investment and exports. Achieving           Enjoy the read!
     sustainable development goals remain key and will shape
     policy priorities for African Governments. Tangible
     achievements in health and education have been noted,
     however, service delivery and infrastructure have lagged,      Graeme Rate
     primarily due to funding gaps which is presenting new          Country Head – South Africa and Malta
     opportunities for long-term investors. One sector making       graeme.rate@sannegroup.com

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                                                                                             KEY TOPICS

                                                                                             > Could we face another recession?
                                                                                             > What do rating agencies predict for
                                                                                               South Africa?
                                                                                             > Are emerging markets at risk of
                                                                                               running large bills?

    South Africa’s growth outlook
    Global expectations for 2019 were that trade tensions will          It’s not all doom and gloom
    ease, the global economy will pick up and that the US dollar
                                                                        In South Africa, 2019 looked a little different. Adverse
    will weaken. In reality, 2019 was characterised by a tug of war
                                                                        macro news headlines hardly impacted markets. Negative
    between substantial geopolitical drags and global monetary
                                                                        rating outlook changes, a very disappointing mid-term
    policy easing.
                                                                        budget policy statement (MTBPS), load shedding,
    After eight uninterrupted interest rate hikes by the Fed and        crumbling SOEs and infrastructure, service delivery
    markets pricing a further four hikes for 2019, a sharp selloff in   protests, policy uncertainty, political infighting, and
    December 2018 led to major Fed and market capitulation in           bailouts and stagnation could not prevent the All Share
    January 2019. Despite this reversal, a third slowdown of the        Index of returning 12%, Implats almost tripling in value,
    growth momentum took hold mid-year, once again creating             Sibanye Gold more than doubling in value and Amplats
    concerns about the timing and cause of the next recession.          growing in excess of 150%. Not to be outdone, the All-Bond
    Ironically, despite all these concerns, almost every asset class    Index returned an impressive 10.3%.
    delivered good returns in 2019.

    US-China trade war vs Brexit
    We expect that the two major political headaches that
                                                                                 Erik Nel
    dominated most of 2019 – the US-China trade war and Brexit –
                                                                                 Chief Investment Officer
    will have less impact in 2020. Now the question is whether
                                                                                 at Terebinth Capital
    proactive global stimulus will result in growth stabilising at
                                                                                 erik.nel@terebinthcapital.com
    current levels and potentially rebound, or whether ongoing
    political concerns and the more recent arrival of the Covid-19
    virus can bring an end to one of the longest economic
    expansions in history.

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     National Treasury recently acknowledged investors’            Keeping the rating agencies at bay
     nervousness when it commented:
                                                                   An environment of slowing growth and falling inflation
                                                                   should usually provide for easy decisions around
                                                                   monetary stimulus. Yet, to date, the South African
     “National Treasury is alive to the great
                                                                   Reserve Bank (SARB) has been reluctant to cut interest
     anticipation for the 2020 Budget Speech
                                                                   rates. A much lower policy rate seems dependent on
     where we are expected to outline details
                                                                   confirmation of tougher fiscal measures and policy
     around fiscal consolidation measures
                                                                   implementation. Fixed income managers will need to
     particularly relating to Eskom and the Wage
                                                                   appreciate both the nuance of monetary policy and the
     Bill. Relevant Government departments will
                                                                   implications of better or worse fiscal conditions in
     be working very hard in the coming weeks to
                                                                   2020.
     meet these expectations where possible.
     Again, Government would welcome all                           If the Government and key stakeholders adopt the
     support available to move us forward.”                        resolutions and savings proposed in the MTBPS and
                                                                   National Treasury’s economic transformation plan, then
                                                                   a Moody’s rating downgrade can be averted. The
     The IMF highlighted potential challenges the Treasury could   President’s 2020 State of the Nation address and the
     face:                                                         National Budget release were key inputs in Moody’s
                                                                   pending rating decision, as it reflects the extent of the
                                                                   Government’s commitment to fiscal consolidation and
     “A more decisive approach to reform is                        implementation of reforms outlined in National
     urgently needed. Impediments to growth                        Treasury’s growth paper.
     must be removed, vulnerabilities addressed,
     and policy buffers rebuilt. Expediting                        At present, consensus expectations are firmly biased
     structural reform implementation is the only                  towards a Moody’s downgrade in 2020. Markets also
     way to sustainably boost private investment                   seem to be more aware of further downgrades (deeper
     and inclusion.”                                               into sub-investment grade) by S&P and Fitch and the
                                                                   impact this could have on funding costs and growth
                                                                   risks to the economy.

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     The risks are very real                                           The role of hedge funds in building a volatility-
                                                                       proof portfolio
     While investors are aware of Eskom, budgets, rating
     agencies, global index rebalancing, elections,                    We have suggested for some time that investors start
     impeachments, populist tendencies, unrest and geopolitics         building volatility-proof portfolios. Volatility has been
     in general, we need to understand that a spread of more           constrained by the proliferation of some investment
     than 800bp over US Treasuries, 600bp over South African           strategies, but as market expectations adjust,
     inflation-linked bonds and a very attractive spread over          unexpected volatility spikes are set to become more
     cash, nominal Government bonds are hard to pass over. The         frequent. To volatility-proof portfolios, investors should
     caveat is that Government turns the fiscal ship around. A         consider liquid alternative strategies that offer low
     further increase in bond issuance or a sovereign rating           correlations to traditional asset classes. Hedge fund
     downgrade will lead to even more attractive yields on offer.      managers with a proven ability to manage volatile
                                                                       markets, protect the downside and generate
     While proactive global stimulus in 2019 appeared to lower
                                                                       incremental alpha are well placed to provide solutions
     recession risks coming into 2020, global impact of the Covid-
                                                                       in this regard.
     19 virus, the upcoming US election, the rise of
     deglobalisation and a mature credit cycle with rising liquidity
     concerns once again pose risks.                                   “As the Warren Buffet saying goes, predicting
                                                                       rain doesn’t count, building arks does.”
     A major theme to track in 2020 is the anti-establishment/
     populist wave that continues to sweep the world, aided and
     fanned by social media. Governments are increasingly              Risk managers understand that markets face multiple
     coming under extreme pressure from populations frustrated         outcomes. Tactical, as well as fundamental awareness
     with economic inequality, disenfranchisement, corruption          will be more important in 2020. Alongside alpha
     and fiscal austerity.                                             generation, a reputable manager’s arsenal in 2020 will
                                                                       have to include strategies that can benefit from positive
     A dominant question on the election front is how the US
                                                                       carry conditions and matching beta when required,
     voting will impact the dollar and broader markets.
                                                                       while being able to manage downside risks as they
     Another concern is the explosion in debt during the post-         prevail.
     crisis period, resulting from falling inflation and record low,
     sometimes negative, interest rates. A material weakening in
     currencies, and a subsequent rise in inflation, could trigger a
     major sell-off in developed market interest rates and
     attendant crises in countries that run large current account
     and/or budget deficits. Many of the countries that fall into
     these categories are emerging markets and are at risk of
     running up large bills to address the global climate crisis.

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                                                                                        KEY TOPICS

                                                                                        > Is there appetite for mezzanine
                                                                                          debt in Africa?
                                                                                        > What are the cash distribution
                                                                                          expectations?

    Mezzanine debt
    The overlooked asset class
     An asset class within the alternatives category which      Interest payments are usually linked to the Johannesburg
     does not seem to attract the same attention as others,     Interbank Average Rate (JIBAR), and split between cash
     particularly in Africa, is mezzanine debt. There are       payments and payment in kind debt, which is payable in
     relatively few mezzanine debt managers, and this           cash if there is sufficient surplus to do so, or rolled up and
     could be ascribed to a lack of knowledge and demand        payable at the end of the loan term.
     from the institutions which would be the natural
     investors in this asset class.                             The equity participation is by way of a preference share,
                                                                warrant or similar type of contractual obligation. The value
     The nature of mezzanine debt                               of the equity is usually determined by using a pre-agreed
                                                                valuation methodology. Thus, unlike private equity,
     Mezzanine debt is a hybrid asset class with both fixed     mezzanine debt investments have a definitive exit date,
     income and equity-like characteristics. It targets         valuation approach and more definitive cash distribution
     equity-like returns, with debt-like risk.                  expectation.
     When the mezzanine debt fund extends a loan to a
     borrower, the borrower is obliged to repay the
     principal amount of the loan plus interest, but in
     addition, the fund becomes entitled to participate, to a       Adam Bulkin
     certain extent, in the equity of the borrower. The debt-
                                                                    Head: Manager Research
     like returns are achieved through the interest payable         Sanlam Investments: Multi-Manager
     on subordinated debt owed by the borrowing
                                                                    adambu@sanlaminvestments.com
     company, to which contractual obligations on the part
     of the borrowing company are attached.

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     Mezzanine debt’s capital
     structures and its return may
     be illustrated as follows:

     Corporate                 All-in                Exposure              Comprehensive                                    Alignment       Valuation         Board
                                                                                                       Covenants
     Structure                Return                 to Upside                Security                                      of Interest    Uncertainty     Involvement

         Equity
                               >25%                    100%                          No                   No                      Yes      Yes, at Exit         Yes
          20%

                                                                                                                                              No, exit
                            15% - 25%
     Mezzanine                                       Up to 25%                                                                               valuation
                             (>Jibar +                                     Always (at least                                                                   Yes
       Debt                                          of equity                                       Comprehensive                Yes       multiple is
                              6.00%                                          2nd ranking)                                                                  (observer)
       30%                                            upside                                                                              predetermined
                           plus equity)
                                                                                                                                              upfront

                           9.5% - 13%
     Senior Debt                                                                 Always
                           (Jibar + 250                  0%                                          Comprehensive                No      Not Applicable        No
        50%                                                                   (1st ranking)
                            – 550bps)

     An example of the return components of mezzanine debt is as follows:

                                                                                                        Observations:
           Original
         Investment          Yr1             Yr2             Yr3             Yr4               Yr5      > Contractual interest, enforceable downside protection,
                                                                                                          and equity related upside
          16.4%IRR
                                                                  Equity Kicker = R11,75m               > The equity kicker is typically structured as a self
                                                           PIK interest at exit = R6, 41m                 liquidating instrument
                                                     Final cash interest income = R2,75m
                                                                                                        > Unlike private equity, mezzanine investments have
                           Interest                         Principal repayment = R32m
              Fee          Income                                                                         a definitive exit date
            R0,32m         R2,37m           R2,47m         R2,56m           R2,66m

                                                                                                         Aggregate: Cash Flows                  R’000      Pot of Flows
                     Principle Investment R32m
                                                                                                         Value of Equity Kicker                11,756           38%

                                                                                                         PIK Interest at exit                   6,407           21%

              Original Investment     Fee     Cash Pay Interest      PIK Interest Paid      Equity       Cash Interest                         12,814           41%

                                                                                                         Total Non-Principal Cash Flows        30,977         100%
                              60% - 70% of investment returns are contractual

     Source: Ashburton Investments

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     Various uses of mezzanine debt                                  > Leverage recapitalisations
                                                                       Private equity investors can improve their returns on existing
     Mezzanine debt fills a gap between senior and equity
                                                                       investments by using mezzanine debt to refinance and re-
     funding. Traditionally, the major banks and life
                                                                       leverage existing debt structures, thereby providing the
     insurance companies played a key role in providing this
                                                                       opportunity for early IRR-enhancing returns on capital.
     type of capital. Since the global financial crisis and the
     implementation of Basel Regulations, such entities              > Leverage or management buy-outs
     have reduced this type of debt financing while demand             Management teams and private equity investors can use
     continues to build in leverage buyout, BEE and                    mezzanine debt to enhance their returns on new
     infrastructure financing transactions. There is                   investments by reducing the amount of equity they need for
     therefore a demand for mezzanine debt, but it is in               a given opportunity.
     limited supply, which presents attractive opportunities
                                                                     > Refinancing of secondary BEE transactions
     for those willing to provide such capital.
                                                                       This is where an existing BEE investment has reached
     In more specific detail, there are demands for                    maturity and the corporate entity is required to enter into a
     mezzanine debt in the following types of                          new BEE transaction. According to Intellidex, as at
     transactions in Africa.                                           1 January 2015, on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE)
                                                                       alone, there were outstanding BEE transactions amounting
     > Entrepreneur-partnering transactions
                                                                       to R209.2 billion. Live deals had an average duration of 6.8
       These are transactions in which capital is provided in
                                                                       years as at 1 January 2015, indicating that a large number of
       support of established entrepreneurs in profitable
                                                                       these transactions are close to maturity. Given that banks
       businesses that are positioned to take advantage of
                                                                       have moved away from funding these transactions due to
       organic growth and acquisition opportunities, including
                                                                       the implementation of Basel III, this refinancing activity
       platforms for build-up strategies. Mezzanine funding is
                                                                       provides a significant opportunity for mezzanine debt.
       more suitable for entrepreneurs that are not yet ready
       to exit or dilute their equity due to growth prospects but    > Energy transactions, both primary and secondary provide
       would like to have a partner with capital and the ability       attractive risk return profile opportunities
       to assist with funding that growth strategy.                    Mezzanine financing can help strengthen a project’s equity
                                                                       profile because of its flexibility compared to senior debt
     > BEE transactions
                                                                       finance. Mezzanine finance is also attractive as it can lower
       This has been one of the growth drivers of mergers &
                                                                       the cost of financing a project compared to pure equity
       acquisitions and private equity investments in South
                                                                       financing. Mezzanine financing into infrastructure is
       Africa and this trend is expected to continue. Working
                                                                       attractive due to the stability of infrastructure assets through
       alongside BEE investors, mezzanine debt provides
                                                                       changing macro and credit conditions.
       funding for BEE transactions.

     > Growth capital
       Mezzanine debt is less dilutive funding compared to
       traditional sources of debt or equity capital (i.e. private
       equity). This strategy can enable shareholders to
       postpone raising further dilutive equity, achieving much
       stronger valuations when they elect to exit later.

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     Rationale for investing in mezzanine debt
     From a global perspective, mezzanine debt presents a highly attractive risk return profile. According to Ashburton
     Investments, in 2017 48% of international investors believed it offered the best risk-return profile in the private debt space
     and this was supported by actual performance, as illustrated below:

     According to research by René Biner and Dr. Michael Studer of Partners Group, in a paper titled ‘Mezzanine Investments:
     Stability through the storm’, mezzanine debt in Europe outperformed nearly all asset classes during the financial market crisis
     from 2007 to 2009. The peak to trough drawdown of the asset class during the crisis was 11%, compared to many other asset
     classes that were in the 50-60% range, highlighting the relative stability of mezzanine loans in the crisis. With 50% recovery
     rates given default, a mezzanine lender can realise default rates on over half its portfolio and still not experience a loss of
     principal. This is due to high historical recovery rates and high contractual coupon payments that generate significant interim
     cash flows. This is illustrated below:

                                                                                                            Source: Partners Group

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     Based on their observations through the 2007 to 2009 period, Biner and Studer concluded that, “on a risk-adjusted basis,
     mezzanine debt is one of the most attractive investments in the market. The primary characteristics which have enabled the
     mezzanine debt asset class to achieve this attractive profile include: high contractual yields, relatively low default rates, high
     recovery rates given default, favourable ownership dynamics, and greater control of protective legal documentation.”

     Further evidence of the attractiveness of mezzanine debt is provided in the October 2018 paper titled Mezzanine Debt by
     Todd Silverman, Mark Watson, John Haggerty and Frank Benham of Meketa Investment Group.

     They provide the following risk and return metrics versus other US debt asset classes (reported in US dollars).

     Mezzanine Performance vs. Other Private Debt (1997-2017):

                                                  Mezzanine          Broadly Syndicated             High-Yield           Middle Market
                                                    Debt                   Loans                      Bonds                 Loans

          Annualised Return                          9.08%                   4.90%                    6.74%                   6.24%

          Standard Deviation                         6.99%                   8.50%                    10.12%                  6.98%

          Sharp Ratio                                 1.02                    0.35                     0.47                    0.61

          Mezzanine Debt Correlations                  --                     0.46                     0.44                    0.45

     The next growth wave is coming
     Mezzanine debt is a valid and important component of a private market portfolio, with an attractive risk and return profile
     that provides potential returns close to those offered by private equity, but in a more predictable and lower risk manner, with
     a reduced “J-curve”, regular cash pay distributions, strong downside protection and self-liquidating equity-linked bonuses
     which are redeemed at maturity at a predetermined valuation methodology.

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                                                                                                      KEYTOPICS
                                                                                                     KEY  TOPICS

                                                                                                     > > What  sectorsincreasing?
                                                                                                          Is demand    need developing?

   Securitisation in                                                                                       Whatnew
                                                                                                     > > What    areavenues
                                                                                                                     the regulator’s
                                                                                                                              to explore.
                                                                                                           views on securitisation?
                                                                                                     > Ensuring digital platforms

   South Africa                                                                                            What are
                                                                                                       > support newthe  liquidity risks?
                                                                                                                       services.

    Securitisation is an off-balance sheet funding mechanism             The regulations specify certain conditions for the disposal of
    whereby cash-flow producing assets are pooled together and           assets from the originator to the issuer SPV. In other words,
    sold into a special purpose vehicle (SPV), a bankruptcy remove       ensuring that a true sale of assets take place, including
    company. The SPV will fund the purchase of these cash-flow           conditions in relation to credit enhancement facilities and
    producing assets by issuing various tranches of rated notes (AAA     liquidity facilities. In addition, the regulation also provides
    all the way to B), to institutional investors in capital markets.    requirements on the ownership and control of the issuing
    The nominal value of the notes, as well as the coupon rate of        entity, being the SPV.
    the notes, are paid from the underlying cash-flows from the
                                                                         Asset classes
    assets in terms of an agreed cash-flow waterfall.
                                                                         The most dominant asset class remain residential mortgage-
    Regulation of securitisation
                                                                         backed home loans, but the local market also includes
    The legal framework for securitisations is currently governed by     instalment leases, equipment leases, commercial
    regulations issued under the Banks Act of 1990 published in          mortgages, vehicle asset financing and consumable
    Government Notice 2, Government Gazette 30628 of 1 January           receivables. Generally, the securitisations in our market are
    2008. These regulations exempt an issuer SPV from the                true-sale physical transactions and not synthetic
    obligation to register as a bank, provided that the transaction is   transactions.
    implemented in accordance with these regulations.
                                                                         Synthetic transactions gained great traction in the global
                                                                         markets in 2007 (where they included mortgages on sub-
                                                                         prime loans). These securitisation vehicles did not own the
                                                                         underlying physical assets but entered into a series of credit
                                                                         default swaps (CDS) with the originator of the underlying
                                                                         asset and repacked a pool of these CDS to investors. This
                                                                         was generally known as a CDO.

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    It’s good to see that the South African regulator is shying away     We believe that liquidity will over time improve as more
    from approving synthetic securitisations, which does give            investors come to market, but the main reason for the
    confidence to the South African market as a whole. The focus in      current limited liquidity is because the originating banks are
    South Africa is on securitisation as a funding mechanism rather      not allowed to make a market in its self-securitised assets
    than capital relief.                                                 under the current South African regulations. We do find this
                                                                         perplexing given that for liquidity purposes, self-secured
    Pricing and performance
                                                                         assets are posted as collateral to the South African Reserve
    Over the past few years the South African listed credit market       Bank (SARB) for drawing down under the committed
    continued to see credit spreads grinding lower. Five years ago,      liquidity facility (CLF).
    5-year senior floating bank bonds priced at around 3 million
                                                                         The CLF was created to offer the local banking industry the
    Jibar +1.60%, whereas now 9-year senior floating bank bonds
                                                                         ability to borrow money from the SARB to meet the
    price at around the same level. Securitisations are starting to
                                                                         requirements of the Basel III Liquidity Coverage Ratio given
    show significant spread compression, but currently offer a
                                                                         the shortage of high-quality liquid assets.
    relative yield pickup - relative to other good quality credits
    available in the market, where we believe the underlying             The Association of Savings and Investment of South Africa’s
    collateral to be of the same quality due to an illiquidity           Fixed Income Standing Committee is currently in discussions
    premium.                                                             with the Prudential Regulatory Authority regarding
                                                                         amendments to the regulations which will allow originating
    The performance of the underlying pool of assets held in the
                                                                         banks to retain notes for the purposes of making a market
    securitisation vehicles has been good over many credit cycles,
                                                                         without compromising legal true sale. Over time this will
    with no losses to noteholders recorded in the South African
                                                                         increase liquidity which will attract a greater pool of
    market.
                                                                         investors to the market.
    In the current market, liquidity is thin but is improving as more
    investors consider the asset class. We believe that this is one of
    the reasons why investors price the notes higher, not
    necessarily for their inherent risk but for their liquidity.            Ryan van Breda
                                                                            Portfolio Manager
                                                                            Ngwedi Investment Managers
                                                                            ryan@ngwedi.com

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                                                                                                      KEYTOPICS
                                                                                                     KEY  TOPICS

                                                                                                     > > What
                                                                                                          Whatsectors
                                                                                                                are theneed
                                                                                                                        newdeveloping?
                                                                                                         classifications
                                                                                                     > What   new avenuesandto
                                                                                                                             impact on
                                                                                                                               explore.
                                                                                                         managers?
                                                                                                     > Ensuring digital platforms
                                                                                                      > Is there any additional
                                                                                                       support new services.
                                                                                                         benefit?

                                                                       ASISA Hedge Fund
                                                                       Classifications
                                                                       – positive move for the hedge
                                                                       fund industry in South Africa
    The hedge fund industry has grown substantially since the first      Classification tiers for asset managers
    hedge fund was established in 1949. The array of investment
    strategies have now expanded to include traditional asset            The ASISA Hedge Fund Classification Standard provides
    classes, more esoteric strategies such as currency trading,          four tiers of classification. The first tier splits hedge funds
    derivatives (futures and options) on financial indices,              into the type of portfolio, i.e. either Retail Hedge Funds or
    commodities and even outliers like weather and funds trading in      Qualified Investor Hedge Funds. This is the most
    physical assets such as art and wine.                                fundamental split as it is aligned to the schemes that are
                                                                         currently enacted in the legislation.
    The number of operating hedge funds in the market have grown
    significantly, which makes it hard for investors to compare,         The second tier classifies hedge funds according to their
    analyse and select the appropriate hedge fund or combination         geographic exposure. This geographic exposure classifies
    of hedge funds to execute their investment strategy, hence the       funds as South African, worldwide, global or regional.
    need for a standardised classification methodology.                  The third tier classifies hedge funds according to the
    Importance for investors                                             investment strategy of the portfolio, represented by the
                                                                         asset class from which returns are predominantly
    It is important for investors to know what assets a fund is          generated.
    investing in to generate its returns and the risk profile taken to
    achieve these returns, prior to making their investment              These have been classified into long short equity, fixed
    decisions.                                                           income, multi-strategy, and other, i.e. funds that invest in
                                                                         other assets such as property, commodity or other
    ASISA (Association for Savings and Investments South Africa),        physical assets.
    the industry membership body that represent the interests of
    the South African investment community, recently released a          The fourth tier only applies to the Long Short Equity
    Hedge Fund Classification Standard. The aim of the standard is       Hedge Fund classification as this asset class covers a wide
    to classify all hedge funds into different categories to make it     variety of equity driven funds. The fourth tier expands the
    easier for investors to assess and compare funds and select          Long Short Equity class further into long bias equity hedge
    hedge funds appropriate for their risk profiles and investment       funds, market neutral hedge funds and other equity.
    appetite. The standard came into effect on 1 January 2020.           Hedge fund managers are now obliged to include this
                                                                         fund classification on their fund fact sheets.

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    Benefits for the industry
    With these classifications as a backbone, investors can now
    compare and analyse hedge funds in each category and match
    their own risk appetite and objectives with that of the hedge
    fund universe, much easier.

    In addition, ASISA will for the first time be able collect and
    compare its own data on the hedge fund industry in South
    Africa. This in itself will be a huge benefit for the asset
    management industry in South Africa, as the industry will now
    have access to local statistics and trends to use in their
    investment decision making.

    SANNE’s management company is a leading provider of hosted
    ManCo services to the long and hedge fund industries. Our team       Karlien De Bruin
    is working with hedge fund managers to implement the new
                                                                         Head of ManCo, SANNE
    classification standard into their investment reporting
    processes.                                                           karlien.debruin@sannegroup.com

    Congratulations to our clients
     2020 Hedge News Africa Award Winners*
      Long Short Equity Fund of the Year                             Multi Strategy Fund of the Year
      Anchor Accelerator SNN QI Hedge Fund                           Fairtree Wild Fig Multi Strategy SNN QI Hedge Fund

      Market Neutral and Quantitative Fund of the Year               Ten-year Performance – Single Manager
      X-Chequer SNN Diplo QI Hedge Fund                              Polar Star SNN QI Hedge Fund

      Five-year Performance – Single Manager (Joint Award)           Fund of the Year 2019
      Acumen AcuityOne SNN Retail Hedge Fund                         Fairtree Assegai Equity L/S SNN QI Hedge Fund
      Fairtree Assegai Equity L/S SNN QI Hedge Fund

      Pan Africa Fund of the Year
      Gondo Visio Metsi Fund

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                                                                                          KEY TOPICS
                                                                                            KEY TOPICS

                                                                                          > What are the trends and
                                                                                            opportunities in private equity?
                                                                                          > Will Mauritius continue being a
                                                                                            favourite for offshore funds?

     What is in store for private equity
     in Africa?
     With experts predicting that South Africa's economy will       We will see increased opportunities for investors to
     grow by less than 1% in 2020, this year is likely to be        participate in general partner led re-structures and
     challenging. Although economic challenges will have an         secondary deals to orderly transfer "long in the tooth"
     effect on private equity (PE), the industry will most likely   assets to alternative investors or structures.
     show resilience, following the continued upward trend
     seen over the last decade. There is however, speculations      This is further pronounced by the exit challenges that some
     that market conditions may bring about new trends and          managers have experienced in recent years. Secondary
     opportunities.                                                 buyout (sales to other PE firms) remain the most common
                                                                    exit mechanism and we do not anticipate an increase in
     What is on the horizon for 2020                                conversions to listed funds, due to the illiquidity and high
                                                                    transaction costs associated with African exchanges and
     For 2020, the expectation is that PE in Southern Africa will   the fact that the recently listed vehicles have been trading
     once again perform admirably. Internationally, PE has          at a significant discount to NAV. We can expect more exit
     remained buoyant despite all signs that we are at the top      opportunities from trade partners and selling to strategic
     of the economic cycle. Globally, fundraising activity has      partners including other PE managers.
     remained high with almost US $2 trillion in global PE
     capital available for investment, with large amounts of        > Increased flexibility, innovation and transparency
     these funds earmarked for emerging markets, including          To attract capital and larger ticket sizes, we may see PE
     sub-Saharan Africa (SSA).                                      fund managers expanding their product ranges across
     New trends and opportunities                                   different asset classes and strategies in order to grow their
                                                                    fee base, consolidate costs and minimise risks associated
     Mitigating the effects of a strained local economy, we will    with a single asset class or market.
     likely witness new trends and opportunities for PE in 2020.
     These expectations include the following:                      New product lines may well encompass private debt funds
                                                                    which continue to grow in number each year given the lack
     > Increased exit opportunities                                 of available credit for small to mid-sized companies. In
     Following political uncertainty and currency elasticity,       keeping with a theme of flexibility, we also expect to see
     some SSA fund managers have found themselves holding           changes or adjustments in fund structuring or fund
     more assets at the end of the fund life than what they         documentation.
     anticipated.

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     This is partly as a result of the Abraaj collapse which led   In 2019, guidelines were put in place for defining and
     the International Limited Partners Association (ILPA) to      stress testing impact investing with the International
     spearhead several investor friendly boilerplate provisions.   Finance Corporation developing a set of nine operating
                                                                   principles for impact management. The greater clarity
     Transparency will also be key as investors push for more
                                                                   provided by the guidelines should encourage asset
     disclosure, enhanced due diligence, access to financial
                                                                   managers and investors alike.
     information and early step-in rights. This increased focus
     on stewardship will provide opportunities for fund            Fund domicile decisions
     administrators to provide independent, third-party
                                                                   Mauritius will most likely continue to be a favourite
     oversight for fund managers that traditionally preferred to
                                                                   jurisdiction for establishing offshore Africa focused funds.
     do so in-house. More deal-by-deal structures may emerge
                                                                   Although Mauritius received some criticism in 2018 from
     as some managers will consider foregoing management
                                                                   some quarters resulting in DFIs, increasing pressure on
     fees for more frequent carried interest. We may also see a
                                                                   managers to ensure that their operations in Mauritius had
     hybrid of permanent capital and traditional funds as
                                                                   substance; the OECD, the Dutch list and the European
     managers look for ways to secure more time for value
                                                                   Union have since then all confirmed that Mauritius is not a
     creation in African markets while at the same time
                                                                   harmful tax jurisdiction. Enhanced substance requirements
     maintaining alignment in terms of fees and performance.
                                                                   have also given DFIs greater confidence that managers that
     > Impact investing                                            choose Mauritius do so for commercial, rather than tax
                                                                   reasons. We are, however, likely to see an increase in on-
     The past two years have also shown that impact investing
                                                                   shore fund structuring particularly in SA as more and more
     does not negate profitability. Impact investing cuts across
                                                                   DFIs take comfort in investing directly into SA for South
     various asset classes and will provide managers with
                                                                   African and Africa focused funds.
     optionality in their quest to expand their product ranges.
     According to the Africa Impact Report 2019, impact
     investing has concentrated on energy and financial services
     in Africa. The Public Investment Corporation and Impact
     Investing South Africa will be looking to encourage
     investment in other areas such as manufacturing and social
                                                                      Michael Denenga
     infrastructure. The increasing demand for impact investing       Partner and Private Equity Specialist
                                                                      at Webber Wentzel
     will open new commercial avenues for fund managers in
     renewable energy, health, affordable housing and food            michael.denenga@webberwentzel.com
     and security funds, amongst others.

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     Global alternative asset and
                                                                      Graeme Rate
     corporate administration done                                    Country Head – South Africa and Malta
     differently                                                      t. +27 (0) 21 402 1600
                                                                      e. graeme.rate@sannegroup.com

     SANNE has undertaken to engage with all
     of the markets in which it operates to
     share knowledge, collaborate with peers
     and hear from industry leaders as to their
     thoughts on the key issues and topics                            Karlien De Bruin
     affecting the industry and its practitioners.                    Head of Manco
                                                                      t. +27 (0) 21 202 8263
     Established for over 30 years and listed on the Main             e. karlien.debruin@sannegroup.com
     Market of the London Stock Exchange, SANNE has
     more than 1,800 employees worldwide and has in
     excess of £250 billion assets under administration.
     Our network of offices provide global managers with
     highly skilled and director-led teams of asset class
     specialists.
                                                                      Werner Gerber
                                                                      Senior Client Relationship Manager
                                                                      t. +27 (0) 21 402 8289
                                                                      e. werner.gerber@sannegroup.com

     “We take great pride in understanding the
     unique needs of each individual client to
     create tailored business solutions.”
     GRAEME RATE                                                     Should you wish to find out more about our
                                                                     services and operations please speak to us, we
                                                                     would be delighted to hear from you.

     AMERICAS              EMEA                       ASIA-PACIFIC
     BVI*                  Belgrade     London        Hong Kong
     Cayman Islands        Cape Town    Luxembourg    Japan
     New York              Dubai*       Madrid        Mumbai
     San Diego             Dublin       Malta         Shanghai                   More than 1,800        FTSE 250      In excess of
                           Frankfurt*   Mauritius     Singapore                  people worldwide   listed business   £250bn AUA
     *Affiliated partner   Guernsey     Netherlands   Tokyo
                           Jersey       Paris

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     To find out more about SANNE, please email Graeme Rate, our Country Head,
     South Africa and Malta, graeme.rate@sannegroup.com or alternatively visit us
     online, sannegroup.com

     *Disclaimer:
     Collective Investment Schemes are generally medium to long-term investments. The value of participatory interests (units) may
     go down as well as up. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Collective investments are traded at
     ruling prices and can engage in scrip lending and borrowing. The collective investment scheme may borrow up to 10% of the
     market value of the portfolio to bridge insufficient liquidity. A schedule of fees, charges and maximum commissions, as well as
     detailed description of how performance fees are calculated and applied, is available on request from SanneManagement
     Company (RF) (Pty) Ltd (“the Manager”). The Manager does not provide any guarantee in respect to the capital or the return of
     the portfolio. The Manager may close the portfolio to new investors in order to manage it efficiently according to its mandate.
     Additional information, including, Minimum Disclosure Document (“MDD”), as well as other information relating to the basis on
     which the Manager undertakes to repurchase participatory interests offered to it, and the basis on which selling and repurchase
     prices will be calculated, is available, free of charge, on request from the Manager. The Manager is registered and approved by
     the Financial Sector Conduct Authority (“the Authority”) under the Collective Investment Schemes Control Act No. 45 of 2002
     (“CISCA”). The Manager retains full legal responsibility for the portfolio.The full details and basis of the award can be obtained
     from the Manager.

     EDITOR:                Sivani Pillay – Head of Communications
     DESIGN:                Kieran Blake – Marketing & Corporate Communications Administrator

     Information on Sanne and its regulators can be accessed via sannegroup.com

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