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World Office Yield Spectrum - 2H/2017 - savills.com Savills World Research
World Office Yield
Spectrum
2H/2017

savills.com          Savills World Research
World Office Yield Spectrum - 2H/2017 - savills.com Savills World Research
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World Office Yield Spectrum - 2H/2017 - savills.com Savills World Research
World Office Yield Spectrum 2H/2017 | 3

Introduction                                                        Effective Yields
                                                                    This yield is derived by capitalising current market rents
                                                                    (Net Effective) against current capital values for office
                                                                    buildings. The Net Effective rent is the rent payable by the
                                                                    tenant excluding both statutory and operating outgoings
With investment capital becoming more global in its search          (recoverables) and excludes the value of any incentive
for returns and diversification, the need for a standardised set    paid to the tenant by way of fitout, cash, rental rebate or
of indicators to make sense of opportunities, risk and return       rent free. The capital value is calculated to be for the office
expectations has become critical.                                   component only and excludes retail, excess car parking,
                                                                    signage, storage and other ‘non-office’ sources of income.
The Savills/Deakin University World Office Yield Spectrum
is designed to fill a void in market knowledge.
                                                                    Weighted Average Cost of Capital
For too long the global property investment community has
been denied a credible, factual yields series which can be          (WACC)
reliably used to compare ‘apples with apples.’ This unique          The WACC is derived by having reference to the rents
global publication is the culmination of substantial work by        described above, the rental growth outlook and the
dozens of researchers in the international Savills team.            management fee recoverable from owning the building
Savills Research trusts you find this body of work useful,          (in sum a proxy for equity) and the current cost of debt.
illuminating and of value to you in your endeavours.                Using a 30 percent/70 percent equity/debt split, a WACC
As always your thoughts, feedback and ideas are most                is calculated.
welcome. Please feel free to contact your Savills
representative with regard to this publication.                     Accretive Premiums
                                                                    By subtracting the effective and market yields derived above
                                                                    from the WACC we can calculate the ‘accretion’ inherent in

Methodology                                                         each market using the metrics as described.

                                                                    Market Risk Premiums
                                                                    Having reference to the market yield calculated above
                                                                    we subtract the risk free rate (10 year bond) then add
Market Yields                                                       the expected annual income growth rate to establish
                                                                    the ‘expected return for risk.’
This yield is derived by capitalising current market rents
(Net Face) against current capital values for office buildings.
The Net Face rent is the rent payable by the tenant excluding       Effective Risk Premiums
both statutory and operating outgoings (recoverables) and           Having reference to the effective yield calculated above
includes the value of any incentive paid to the tenant by way       we take that yield, subtract the risk free rate (10 year bond)
of fitout, cash, rental rebate or rent free. The capital value is   then add the expected annual income growth rate to
calculated to be for the office component only and excludes         establish the ‘expected return for risk.’
retail, excess car parking, signage, storage and other
“non-office” sources of income.
World Office Yield Spectrum - 2H/2017 - savills.com Savills World Research
4 | World Office Yield Spectrum 2H/2017

World Cities

                                           Expectations of higher
                                           interest rates have
                                           remained just that,
                                           expectations. Uneven
                                           economic data as well as
                                           rising geo-political tensions
                                           have combined to create an
                                           unstable environment for
                                           rate increases.
                                          Looking at the market over the next six months, a healthy deal
                                          pipeline and plenty of momentum suggest that real estate has
                                          not fallen out of favour as an asset class.
                                          While prices remain generally high or continue to rise, however,
                                          volumes have softened as willing sellers are currently thin on
                                          the ground and potential purchasers balk at high valuations.
                                          We continue to believe that there is no shortage of capital out
                                          there and sovereign funds and institutions continue to raise
                                          their allocations to real estate, in some cases from single to
                                          double digits. Chinese capital meanwhile is becoming more
                                          selective.
                                          With treasuries set to continue to underperform, real estate
                                          will remain a popular investment class and today’s low yielding
                                          environment should therefore persist. Should interest rates
                                          rise without being underpinned by strong growth (higher rental
                                          income), however, current yield levels would quickly look
                                          unsustainable.
                                          Investment strategies are being influenced by opportunities
                                          being presented by digital disruption as well as demographic
                                          trends such as aging populations, urbanization and the rise of
                                          the millennial generation. Technology meanwhile continues to
                                          defy traditional definitions of real estate use as, for example,
                                          the difference between living and working environments and
                                          traditional bricks and mortar retail and logistics become less
                                          clear cut.
World Office Yield Spectrum 2H/2017 | 5

                                      World Office
World Office CBD Grade
                   CBD A Market
                       Grade    Yields
                             A Market   (percent)
                                      Yields (%) byby Region
                                                   Region and and
                                                              City City
June 2017                              Jun-17
10%
                                                                             Australia/NZ
 9%
                                                                             Asia
 8%
                                                                             Europe
 7%
                                                                             United States
 6%

 5%

 4%

 3%

 2%

 1%

 0%

Source: Savills Research

                                       World Office
World Office CBD Grade A Effective Yields (percent) by Region and City
                   CBD Grade A Effective Yields (%) by Region and City
June 2017                                Jun-17
 9%
                                                                              Australia/NZ
 8%
                                                                              Asia
 7%
                                                                              Europe
 6%
                                                                              United States
 5%

 4%

 3%

 2%

 1%

 0%

Source: Savills Research

                                                                          Simon Smith
                                                                          Senior Director – Research Asia Pacific
                                                                              +852 2842 4573
                                                                              ssmith@savills.com.hk
6 | World Office Yield Spectrum 2H/2017
World Office Yield Spectrum 2H/2017 | 7

 World Cities/CBD/Grade A Office

 Market Yields June 2017                         Effective Yields June 2017
 10%                                             10%

  8%                                              8%

  6%                                              6%

  4%                                              4%

  2%                                              2%

  0%                                              0%

 Source: Savills Research                        Source: Savills Research

 Market Risk Premium June 2017                   Effective Risk Premium June 2017
  6%                                              6%

  5%                                              5%

  4%                                              4%

  3%                                              3%

  2%                                              2%

  1%                                              1%

  0%                                              0%

                                                 -1%

 Source: Savills Research                        Source: Savills Research

 Market Yield Change January 2017 – June 2017    Effective Yield Change January 2017 – June 2017
1.0%                                            1.0%

0.5%                                            0.5%

0.0%                                            0.0%

-0.5%                                           -0.5%

-1.0%                                           -1.0%

 Source: Savills Research                        Source: Savills Research
8 | World Office Yield Spectrum 2H/2017

Asia
                                                                        Asian office markets reflect qualitative easing rather than
 For three years running,                                               economic fundamentals, looking ahead, we would pay
                                                                        attention to the impact of volatile swings in global capital flows

 optimism has dominated                                                 and currency movements once the interest rate environment
                                                                        begins to normalize.

 the Asian office sector
                                                                       Asian Office Property Sales (US$ million)
 as cheap money has                                                    June 2007 – June 2017      Asian Office
                                                                                         Office Property Sales (US$m)
                                                                                                             Sep-07 to Jun-17

 continued to flood local
                                                                       $30,000

                                                                       $25,000

 markets and rents and                                                 $20,000

                                                                       $15,000

 capital values have                                                   $10,000

                                                                        $5,000

 continued to rise across the                                               $0

 region.                                                               Source: RCA/Savills Research
                                                                        Source: RCA/Savills Research

The increasing capital inflows have resulted in cap rate
compression to decade lows but buoyant demand has
                                                                       Asian Office Property Buyer Profile
inevitably lead to more new prime office completions and                                          Asian Office
vacancy rates are finally beginning to creep up.
                                                                       6 months to June 2017
                                                                                        Office Property Buyer Profile (%)
                                                                                                            6 months to Jun-17

Investors have generally adopted a positive outlook for local                                                           REIT/Listed
                                                                                                                           13%
office markets, their confidence bolstered by strong economic                             Institutional
                                                                                                                                      Private
growth expectations. The most active markets have been                                        20%
                                                                                                                                       2%

China, followed by Japan and Hong Kong. However, limited                                                                                    Government
stock available for sale in prime areas has meant that investors                                                                               3%
                                                                                                                  User/Other
have increasingly turned their attention to development                                                              4%
projects in secondary locations. Consequently, transaction
volumes of income producing assets have dropped                                                                                                 Owner Occupier
                                                                                                                                                    20%
significantly and are unlikely to revert in the short term.                       Cross-Border
                                                                                      40%
Overseas investors’ transaction volumes increased by between
1% and 39% in 1H/2017 compared with 1H/2016, remaining
in positive territory. The global search for yield has traditionally
                                                                        Source: RCA/Savills Research
been one of the main reasons behind investment in the Asia
Pacific office sector and China has remained a top pick for
overseas investors given the market’s size and importance for
any truly global asset manager.
Regarding Asia Pacific outbound investment in the office
market, three major capital sources have proved dominant;
Hong Kong; China; and South Korea. The UK was the most                                         Simon Smith
attractive destination for Asian investors (despite the risks of                               Senior Director – Research Asia Pacific
Brexit) due to a weak pound, followed by the US.                                                          +852 2842 4573
While there is a long term argument that asset values in the                                              ssmith@savills.com.hk
World Office Yield Spectrum 2H/2017 | 9

  Asia/CBD/Grade A Office

  Market Yields June 2017                                        Effective Yields June 2017
  12%                                                            12%

  10%                                                            10%

   8%                                                             8%

   6%                                                             6%

   4%                                                             4%

   2%                                                             2%

   0%                                                             0%

  Source: Savills Research                                       Source: Savills Research

  Market Risk Premium June 2017                                  Effective Risk Premium June 2017
   6%                                                             6%

   5%                                                             5%

   4%                                                             4%

   3%                                                             3%

   2%                                                             2%

   1%                                                             1%

   0%                                                             0%

                                                                 -1%

  Source: Savills Research                                       Source: Savills Research

                               World Office                                                   World Office
  Market YieldAsian
               Change      January
                    CBD Grade          2017
                              A Market Yield   – June
                                             Change (%) 2017     Effective Yield
                                                                             AsianChange
                                                                                  CBD Grade AJanuary      2017
                                                                                              Effective Yield     – June
                                                                                                              Change (%) 2017
                             Jun-16 to Dec-16                                               Jun-16 to Dec-16
 1.0%                                                           1.0%

 0.5%                                                           0.5%

 0.0%                                                           0.0%

 -0.5%                                                          -0.5%

 -1.0%                                                          -1.0%

 -1.5%                                                          -1.5%

Source: Savills Research                                       Source: Savills Research
  Source: Savills Research                                       Source: Savills Research
10 | World Office Yield Spectrum 2H/2017

UK/Europe
                                                                    Europe and UK Office Property Sales (€ million)
 Our projection for the total                                       December 2007 – June  2017
                                                                                         Europe and UK Office
                                                                                       Office Property Sales (€m)
                                                                                                         Dec-07 to Jun-17

 investment volume is that
                                                                    300,000 €

                                                                    250,000 €

 it will remain broadly in                                          200,000 €

                                                                    150,000 €

 line with last year’s levels,                                      100,000 €

 potentially 5-10% lower, in
                                                                     50,000 €

                                                                          0€

 the region of €200bn.                                              Source:
                                                                     Source: RCA/Savills  Research
                                                                             RCA/Savills Research

With the threat of anti-EU parties alienated, the downside
risks to the European economy are considered marginal. Total
commercial investment activity in Q1 2017 was in the region of      Europe and UK OfficeEuropeProperty      Buyer Profile
                                                                                                   and UK Office

€44.5m, in line with the same quarter last year but 37% below       6 months to June 2017
                                                                                      Office Property Buyer Profile (%)
                                                                                              6 months to 2017
Q4 2016. The share of the core markets dropped further from                                                    REIT/Listed
                                                                                                                  19%
66.6% last year to 65.1%, compared to 70% in 2007. This
is the result of the high liquidity, which has spread beyond
the core markets where the supply of quality product has
become limited. Rising cross border investor interest in Nordic
countries and the high volume of cross border investment in                                                                           Private/Unlisted
Germany, France, Italy and the UK have squeezed the share of                                                                                21%

domestic investment. In Q1 2017 the average European prime                      Institutional
CBD office yield dropped for the first time on record just below                    55%

4%. We expect the average CBD office yield to remain slightly                                                                    ​User/Other
below 4.0% during the course of the year. Less prospects for                                                                 Unknown​
                                                                                                                                     3%

capital gains has shifted investor focus on income. In the office                                                              2%

sector good fundamentals shaped by economic resilience,
demand for quality space and restricted development pipeline        Source: RCA/Savills Research
support a positive outlook for prime values in the CBD
locations. Our forecast for the average annual rental growth at
the end of 2017 is 3.6%, driven by Oslo (28.2%), Stockholm
(8.3%), Amsterdam (8.0%) and Paris CBD (7.6%).

                                                                                                Lydia Brissy
                                                                                                Director – Research Europe
                                                                                                    +33 1 44 51 73 88
                                                                                                    lbrissy@savills.com
World Office Yield Spectrum 2H/2017 | 11

  Europe/CBD/Grade A Office

  Market Yields June 2017                                    Effective Yields June 2017
  10%                                                        10%

   8%                                                         8%

   6%                                                         6%

   4%                                                         4%

   2%                                                         2%

   0%                                                         0%

  Source: Savills Research                                   Source: Savills Research

                              World Office                                                    World Office
  Market Risk  Premium
            European        June
                     CBD Grade     2017
                               A Market Risk Premium (%)     Effective Risk  Premium
                                                                       European           June
                                                                                CBD Grade A        2017
                                                                                            Effective Risk Premium (%)
                                 Jun-17                                                         Jun-17
   6%                                                         6%

   5%                                                         5%

   4%                                                         4%

   3%                                                         3%

   2%                                                         2%

   1%                                                         1%

   0%                                                         0%

Source: Savills Research                                   Source: Savills Research
  Source: Savills Research                                   Source: Savills Research

  Market Yield Change January 2017 – June 2017               Effective Yield  ChangeWorld January
                                                                                              Office 2017 – June 2017
                                                                        European CBD Grade A Effective Yield Change (%)
                                                                                            Jun-16 to Dec-16
 1.0%                                                       1.0%

 0.5%                                                       0.5%

 0.0%                                                       0.0%

-0.5%                                                       -0.5%

-1.0%                                                       -1.0%

  Source: Savills Research                                   Source:
                                                           Source:     Savills
                                                                   Savills     Research
                                                                           Research
12 | World Office Yield Spectrum 2H/2017

United States
                                                                     rearview mirror for most markets. Some office and industrial
 The U.S. economy posted                                             markets seem to have more room for growth, though. This
                                                                     includes many of the top tech markets – Silicon Valley, Seattle
 its 81st consecutive month                                          and Boston. These markets have punched through the IPO
                                                                     contraction and devaluation of 2016. Assets in these core
                                                                     tech markets are priced to perfection, though, with cap rates
 of private sector job gains                                         consistently under 6.0% and pricing generally exceeding $400/
                                                                     sf. Sunbelt markets such as Dallas/Fort Worth, Atlanta and
                                                                     Phoenix have a bit more life in terms of rental rate growth, and
 during June – the longest                                           cap rates for most assets are 150 to 250 basis points higher
                                                                     with pricing typically under $300/sf.
 stretch of gains on record.
 Employers in many different                                         United States Office Property Sales (US$ million)
                                                                     June 2007 – June 2017

 industries and cities cite                                          $140,000

                                                                     $120,000

 talent shortfalls as their
                                                                     $100,000

                                                                      $80,000

                                                                      $60,000

 biggest challenge.                                                   $40,000

                                                                      $20,000

                                                                          $0
Similarly, investors face difficulty finding enough quality assets
to purchase. Based on sales through May, commercial
property sales in the U.S. totalled $154.9 billion, down by
                                                                     Source: RCA/Savills Research
15.0% year-on-year. Transaction activity has declined 12 of
the last 16 months. So far, this still appears to be primarily a
supply shortfall. Even as volume has declined, pricing has not
dropped.                                                             United States Office Property          Buyer Profile
                                                                                              United States Office
                                                                     Calendar year to May   2017
                                                                                       Office Property Buyer Profile (%)
Demand for assets remains strong, but many investors have                                       Year to May-17

become increasingly discerning. More buyers are steering clear
of sub-4.0% cap rates in gateway markets such as New York
City and San Francisco. Buyers continue to push to secondary                       Private Investor
                                                                                         39%
markets and niche assets, however; there are only so many
institutional-grade assets in Austin, Nashville or similar cities.                                                                 Foreign Investor
                                                                                                                                         22%
Far fewer entity-level and portfolio sales have been completed,
particularly in the industrial and multi-family sectors. Some
buyers are stepping well outside of their comfort zone as they
try to diversify. Blackstone, for example paid $745 million for
                                                                                                                                 Owner Occupier
3,400 senior housing units from Welltower and $1.1 billion for                                                                        7%
64 properties operated by Brookdale Senior Housing.                                             Fund                         Undisclosed
                                                                                                                                 1%
                                                                                                26%                  Trust
                                                                                                                      5%
Chicago is a good example of how the dropoff in volume is
tied to a winnowing of quality assets. Many of its trophy towers     Source: RCA/Savills Research
were sold in 2014 and 2015. Office property sales have shifted
to value-add assets. These buildings could have a strong                                    Keith DeCoster
upside for owners that invest in capital improvements and                                   Director, US Real Estate Analytics
assuming that demand holds up in this market.
                                                                                                      +1 (212) 326 1023
The steepest part of the cycle in terms of NOI growth is in the
                                                                                                      kdecoster@savills-studley.com
World Office Yield Spectrum 2H/2017 | 13

 United States/CBD/Grade A Office

 Market Yields June 2017                         Effective Yields June 2017
 10%                                             10%

  8%                                              8%

  6%                                              6%

  4%                                              4%

  2%                                              2%

  0%                                              0%

 Source: Savills Research                        Source: Savills Research

 Market Risk Premium June 2017                   Effective Risk Premium June 2017

  6%                                              6%

  5%                                              5%

  4%                                              4%

  3%                                              3%

  2%                                              2%

  1%                                              1%

  0%                                              0%

 Source: Savills Research                        Source: Savills Research

 Market Yield Change January 2017 – June 2017    Effective Yield Change January 2017 – June 2017

1.0%                                            1.0%

0.5%                                            0.5%

0.0%                                            0.0%

-0.5%                                           -0.5%

-1.0%                                           -1.0%

 Source: Savills Research                        Source: Savills Research
14 | World Office Yield Spectrum 2H/2017

Australia/New Zealand
                                                              Office Property Sales (AU$ million)
 Whilst appetite for                                          June 2007 – June 2017Australian Office
                                                                                              Office Property Sales (AU$m)
                                                                                                     Jun-07 to Jun-17

 Australian commercial
                                                              $20,000
                                                              $18,000
                                                              $16,000

 property remains strong,
                                                              $14,000
                                                              $12,000
                                                              $10,000

 diminishing supply weighed
                                                               $8,000
                                                               $6,000
                                                               $4,000

 on investment volumes in                                      $2,000
                                                                   $0

 FY-17                                                         Source:
                                                              Source:   Savills
                                                                      Savills   Research
                                                                              Research

Australian performance drives overseas investor activity in
FY-17                                                         Office Property Buyer    Profile
                                                                                        Australian Office
                                                                                Office Property Buyer Profile (%)
                                                              12 months to June 2017 months to Jun-17
                                                                                      12
Savills recorded $15.1bn of major office sales over FY-17,
which while down on the record set in FY-16, was over
50% higher than the 10 year average of circa $10bn.                                                                          Foreign Investor
                                                                                                                                   50%

The standout statistic was the high proportion of overseas
buyers that represented 50% of acquisition volume for the                     Syndicate
                                                                                 1%
year, although domestic demand remained evident with                     Owner Occupier
                                                                                                     Government
                                                                                                        3%
Dexus concluding the largest acquisition with $722.6m for                     2%
                                                                              Developer
50% of Sydney’s MLC Centre.                                                      5%
                                                                                                                                Private Investor
Clear bias from overseas investors was shown for the                                      Trust                              Other
                                                                                                                                      8%

strongly performing markets of Melbourne and especially                                   13%                                 2%
                                                                                                                  Fund
Sydney, where a tight leasing market, due to material stock                                                       16%

withdrawals, drove effective rental growth upward of 35%
                                                               Source: Savills Research
in Grade A stock. However with tightening yield and IRR
hurdles, as the industry continues to adjust to a 10yr Bond
Rate at sub 3.0%, capital growth was evident across the
country.
FY-17 may also be remembered as the year the two-
speed nature of the Australian economy and property
markets began to normalise. While a number of economic
indicators have heavily favoured NSW and Victoria over
recent years, strong growth in corporate revenues for the
mining sector, and a trend toward tenant re-centralisation,
led to positive net absorption results across both the
Brisbane and Perth; with those two markets also recording
meaningful declines in vacancy.
As such, a number of domestic investors have focused on                               Chris Freeman
counter-cyclical opportunities, although Sydney still looks                           National Head, Capital Strategy
attractive due to low upcoming supply, while Melbourne’s                                          +61 (0) 2 8215 6093
economic outlook and demand drivers now lead the nation.
                                                                                                  cfreeman@savills.com.au
World Office Yield Spectrum 2H/2017 | 15

  Australia/New Zealand/CBD/Grade A Office

                             World Office                                                                 World Office
  Market Yields    JuneZealand
          Australia/New  2017  CBD Grade A Market Yields (%)                EffectiveAustralia/New
                                                                                      Yields June       2017
                                                                                                   Zealand CBD Grade A Effective Yields (%)
                                       Jun-17                                                                    Jun-17
  10%                                                                       10%

   8%                                                                        8%

   6%                                                                        6%

   4%                                                                        4%

   2%                                                                        2%

   0%                                                                        0%

Source: Savills Research                                                  Source: Savills Research
  Source: Savills Research                                                  Source: Savills Research

                                    World Office                                                               World Office
  MarketAustralia/New
         Risk Premium          June
                      Zealand CBD     2017
                                  Grade A Market Risk Premium (%)           Effective  Risk Premium
                                                                                  Australia/New             JuneA 2017
                                                                                                Zealand CBD Grade Effective Risk Premium (%)
                                       Jun-17                                                                    Jun-17
   6%                                                                        6%

   5%                                                                        5%

   4%                                                                        4%

   3%                                                                        3%

   2%                                                                        2%

   1%                                                                        1%

   0%                                                                        0%

Source: Savills Research                                                  Source: Savills Research
  Source: Savills Research                                                  Source: Savills Research

  Market Yield Change June  2016 – December 2016
                      World Office                                          Effective Yield ChangeWorld
                                                                                                   June     2016 – December 2016
                                                                                                        Office
              Australia/New Zealand CBD Grade A Market Yield Change (%)                Australia/New Zealand CBD Grade A Effective Yield Change (%)
                                   Jun-16 to Dec-16                                                          Jun-16 to Dec-16
 1.0%                                                                      1.0%

 0.5%                                                                      0.5%

 0.0%                                                                      0.0%

 -0.5%                                                                     -0.5%

 -1.0%                                                                     -1.0%

Source: Savills Research                                                  Source: Savills Research
  Source: Savills Research                                                  Source: Savills Research
World Office Yield Spectrum 2H/2017 | 17

About

 Savills                                                             Deakin University
With a rich heritage and a reputation for excellence that dates     Through its agenda LIVE the future, Deakin aims to build the
back to 1855, Savills is a leading global real estate provider      jobs of the future, using the opportunities of the digital age
listed on the London Stock Exchange.                                to widen access to education and make a difference to the
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Savills advises corporate, institutional and private clients,
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prime residential and commercial property across the world’s        friendly. It has a longstanding record for its use of cutting-edge
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                                                                    Deakin is now in the top 3 percent of the world’s universities
throughout Australia, New Zealand, China, Hong Kong,
                                                                    in each of the three major international rankings including the
India, Indonesia, Japan, Korea, Macao, Malaysia, Myanmar,
                                                                    prestigious Shanghai Jiao Tong Academic Ranking of World
Philippines, Singapore, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam.
                                                                    Universities (ARWU), Times Higher Education and QS World
Savills offers the full spectrum of services from providing         University Rankings. Established in 1974, Deakin was Victoria’s
strategic advice to managing assets and projects and                fourth university and the first in regional Victoria. In 2014
transacting deals. With a firmly embedded corporate culture         Deakin celebrated its 40th anniversary.
that values initiative, innovation and integrity, clients receive
                                                                    Deakin has been strengthened by a series of successful
outstanding service and can be assured of the utmost
                                                                    mergers with strong partners, each of whom has contributed
professionalism.
                                                                    significantly to our character and approach. Today, Deakin
For advice that gives advantage, contact Savills.                   operates in a global, connected world with the digital economy
                                                                    influencing every aspect of our activities.

                 Chris Freeman                                                      Professor Richard Reed
                 National Head, Capital Strategy                                    Chair in Property & Real Estate
                      +61 (0) 2 8215 6093                                                +61 (0) 3 9251 7605
                      cfreeman@savills.com.au                                            r.reed@deakin.edu.au
Savills Key Contacts

  Cross Border Investment
United Kingdom                                      Europe                                              Australasia
Simon Hope                                          Tristam Larder                                      Paul Craig
Head of Global                                      Director, European Investment                       CEO
Capital Markets                                     +44 (0) 20 7409 8014                                +61 (0) 2 8215 8888
+44 (0) 20 7409 8725                                tjlarder@savills.com                                pcraig@savills.com.au
shope@savills.com
                                                    Chris Gillum
Rasheed Hassan                                      Director, European Investment                       North America
Director, Head of                                   +44 (0) 20 7409 5918                                Michael O’Callaghan
Cross Border Investment                             cgillum@savills.com                                 Senior Managing Director
+44 (0) 20 7409 8836                                                                                    +1 (212) 328 3942
rhassan@savills.com                                                                                     mocallaghan@savills-studley.com
                                                    Asia Pacific
Ned Baring                                          Frank Marriott                                      Richard Stevenson
Director, Residential                               Regional Director,                                  Associate Director
Cross Border Investment                             Investment Advisory                                 +1 (212) 328 3972
+44 (0) 20 7409 9998                                +852 2842 4475                                      rstevenson@savills-studley.com
nbaring@savills.com                                 fmarriott@savills.com.hk

Savills Investment                                  Middle East
Management                                          Hassan Farran
Jon Crossfield                                      Director, Cross Border
Head of Investment Mandates                         Investment
+44 (0) 207 409 8886                                +971 56 607 6263
jon.crossfield@savillsim.com                        hfarran@savills.com

Revisions: None for this edition.

This information is general information only and is subject to change without notice. No representations or warranties of any nature whatsoever are given, intended or implied.
Savills will not be liable for any omissions or errors. Savills will not be liable, including for negligence, for any direct, indirect, special, incidental or consequential losses or
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on your own enquiries about the accuracy of any information or materials. All images are only for illustrative purposes. This information must not be copied, reproduced or
distributed without the prior written consent of Savills. © Savills 2017
Worldwide Research
Asia Pacific                    Europe                        Italy                            Poland
Simon Smith                     Mat Oakley                    Cristina Taccagni                Wioleta Wojtczak
Senior Director, Research       Head of European Research     Business Executive Assistant     Associate Head of Research
+852 2842 4573                  +44 (0) 20 7409 8781          +39 02 3600 6747                 +48 (0) 600 422 216
ssmith@savills.com.hk           moakley@savills.com           ctaccagni@savills.it             wwojtczak@savills.pl
                                Lydia Brissy
Australia                       European Research Director    Japan                            Singapore
Chris Freeman                   +33 1 44 51 73 88             Tetsuya Kaneko                   Alan Cheong
National Head,                  lbrissy@savills.com           Director, Research               Senior Director,
Capital Strategy                Eri Mitsostergiou             and Consultancy                  Research & Consultancy
+61 (0) 2 8215 6093             European Research Director    +81 (3) 6777 5192                +65 6415 3641
cfreeman@savills.com.au         +40 7 2820 5626               tkaneko@savills.co.jp            alan.cheong@savills.com.sg
                                emitso@savills.com
Belgium                                                       Korea                            Spain
Henry Colle                     France                        JoAnn Jieun Hong
                                                                                               Gema de la Fuente
Senor Investment Analyst        Marie Josée Lopes             Director, Research
                                                                                               Director, Research
+32 2 542 40 54                 Head of France Research       & Consultancy
                                                                                               +34 91 310 10 16
hcolle@savills.be               +33 1 44 51 17 50             +82 (0) 2 2124 4182
                                                                                               gfuente@savills.es
                                mjlopes@savills.fr            jhong@savills.co.kr
China                                                                                          Taiwan
                                Germany                       Luxembourg
James Macdonald                                                                                Erin Ting
Head of Research China          Matthias Pink                 Esther Himbert
                                                              Advisor                          Associate Director
+8621 6391 6688                 Head of Germany Research                                       +886 (2) 8789 5828 137
james.macdonald@                +49 30 726 165 134            +352 20 60 65 24
                                                              ehimbert@savills.lu              eting@savills.com.tw
savills.com.cn                  mpink@savills.de
Jack Xiong                                                    Netherlands                      United States
Head of Project &               Hong Kong
                                                              Jordy Kleemans                   Keith DeCoster
Development Consultancy,        Jack Tong
                                                              Head of Research &               Director,
Beijing                         Director, Research
                                                              Consultancy                      US Real Estate Analytics
+8610 5925 2042                 & Consultancy
                                                              +31 (0) 20 301 2000              +1 (212) 326 1023
jack.xiong@savills.com.cn       +852 2842 4213
                                                              jordy.kleemans@savills.nl        kdecoster@savills-studley.com
                                jtong@savills.com.hk
Dahuang Chen
Associate Director of
                                Indonesia                     New Zealand                      Vietnam
Research
                                                              Steven Dunlop                    Troy Griffiths
+8623 6370 3388                 Anton Sitorus
                                                              Director, Valuation & Advisory   Deputy Managing Director
dahuang.chen@savills.com.cn     Director, Research
                                                              +64 (0) 9 951 5917               +84 (0) 933 276 663
                                & Consultancy
Robert Ritacca                                                sdunlop@savills.co.nz            tgriffiths@savills.com.vn
                                +62 (21) 293 293 80
Senior Manager of Research      anton.sitorus@savills.co.id
+86755 8828 5241                                              Philippines                      World Research
robert.ritacca@savills.com.cn
                                Ireland                       Fredrick Rara                    Yolande Barnes
                                                              Manager, Research &              Director, World Research
                                John McCartney
Denmark                                                       Consultancy                      +44 (0) 20 7409 8899
                                Director of Research
                                                              +632 403 5519                    ybarnes@savills.com
Casper Abild                    +353 1 618 1427
                                john.mccartney@savills.ie     fredrick.rara@kmcmaggroup.
Investment Analyst                                            com
+45 3364 6564
car@nybolig.dk
savills.com   Savills World Research
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