WMO SAND AND DUST STORM WARNING ADVISORY AND ASSESSMENT SYSTEM
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WMO SAND AND DUST STORM WARNING ADVISORY AND ASSESSMENT SYSTEM Current and planned activities of the Regional Center SDSWAS for North Africa, Europe and Middle East AEMet - BSC ESA/WMO Expert Consultation Meeting For Development of Satellite Products Relevant to the WMO SDS-WAS Barcelona, Spain, September 8-9 2009
WMO Sand and Dust Storm Warning and Assessment System (SDS WAS) • To enhance the ability of participating countries to establish and improve systems for forecasting and warning to suppress the impact of Sand and Dust Storm by • Establishing a coordinated global network of Sand and Dust Storm forecasting centers delivering products useful to a wide range of users in understanding and reducing the impacts of SDS North Africa, Middle East and Europe Asia BSC-CNS AEMET, Spain China Meteorological Administration (CMA) Xiao Ye Zhang xiaoye@cams.cma.gov.cn WMO REGIONAL CENTRES
SDS-WAS Regional Centre Supports a node in a global network of SDS-WAS research and operational partners implementing SDS-WAS objectives in a region. The members of this node are the host institution of the SDS-WAS RC and regional partners engaged in research and operations of SDS-WAS. The node itself is organized as a federated system. Objectives To provide a web-based portal for user access to regional research and forecast activities and services To provide neutral ground for operations, research and capacity building in the region and to build partnerships To support the identification and organization of activities through a regional steering group (RSG) consisting of representatives of members of the regional node covering research, operations and selected users. SDS-RC supports the activities of the node agreed upon by the Regional Steering Group. The appointment and organization of the RSG activities are assisted by the WMO Secretariat To cooperate with existing operational service delivery mechanisms, recognizing that warnings related to SDS-WAS are generally the responsibility of the National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) and that SDS-WAS products provide input to NMHSs. To report to the SDS-WAS Steering Committee annually
REGIONAL NODE REGIONAL CENTER Partner 1 Value- Value-added products and services Partner 2 Observations long-term data archives Analysis Partner 3 U S E R S Capacity Partner 4 CAL/VAL Building Validation QC/QA Partner 5 Monitoring Partner 6 near real-time Modeling data … Forecasting Partner n
PROPOSED ACTIVITIES DEVELOPMENTS (2009-2013) Web page SDS WAS for North Africa, Middle East and Europe PHASE-1 (2009-2010) 1) Implementation of a “Distributed Federated Information and Delivery System”, through an Internet portal, of comprehensible and standardized products related to the dust phenomena in the region, including observations and forecasts from associated institutions.
Near real-time monitoring PHASE-1 (2009-2010) PHOTONS/AERONET/RIMA - AOD - Size distribution SYNOP and METAR: -Visibility -Meteorology?? Surface Winds!!! EARLINET European lidar network PM10 Network In Southern Europe
Near real-time monitoring PHASE-1 (2009-2010) Seawifs MSG SEVIRI; 15’-frame movies OMAERO AOD OMI AI Calipso Modis
Modeling Standardisation of the forecast visualization Starting from simple url links keeping the current visualization standards of each Partner….. Forecasts BSC-DREAM CHIMERE-dust MOCAGE-dust ....N Model SKIRON NAAPS
Modeling …. Standardization of forecast visualization Forecasts BSC-DREAM CHIMERE-dust ……N Model Needs: - Colours SKIRON NAAPS - Products - Units to be displayed - Domains? - …. Just an example with BSC-DREAM and CHIMERE-dust
We recognize that for success in the long term, it is important to establish a mix of research and operational activities with a strong dialog and link to capacity building Current capacities permit useful information to be provided to users However, strong uncertainties in forecasts and quantitative observations in and near sources Experimental campaigns SAMUM I BODEX
PHASE-1 (2009-2010) Modeling 2) Implementation of a near real-time quantitative and qualitative common verification system for all participating forecast models included in the web-site Seawifs Qualitative All other models MSG SEVIRI RGB Dust product . qualitative verification with high temporal . resolution (15 min.) and spatial (5 km) . .
PHASE-1 (2009-2010) Modeling 2) Implementation of a near real-time quantitative and qualitative common verification system for all participating forecast models included in the web-site OMAERO AOD Quantitative OMI AI Semi-Quantitative Other models: … Other near real time satellite products:… - Pixel comparisons - Skill scores
PHASE-1 (2009-2010) Model verification 2) Implementation of a near real-time quantitative and qualitative common verification system for all participating forecast models included in the web-site Other near real time data: AOD Photons AOD Model 1 PHOTONS/AERONET/RIMA . . - AOD AOD Model N - Size distribution SYNOP and METAR: -Visibility -Meteorology?? Surface Winds!!! Only few stations PM10 Network near real time. In Southern Europe No real time in North Africa
SDSWAS: Regional and Global models with dust module Modeling List not exhaustive / complete / needs to be updated
REGIONAL NODE REGIONAL CENTER Partner 1 Value- Value-added products and services Partner 2 long-term Observations data archives, Analysis experiments Partner 3 U S E R S Partner 4 CAL/VAL + Capacity Validation Building QA Partner 5 Monitoring Partner 6 near real-time Modeling data … Forecasting Partner n
Data processing Fast and reliable real time or near real time data and imagery access; Historical data access; Data integration from multi-sensor, multi-satellite and modeling products; Analytical capabilities; Product dissemination that allows fast and reliable information delivery to users; Products targeting users at different levels;
PHASE-1 (2009-2010) Data processing 3) Prepare validation system of historical/archived data, multi-year simulations and tailored multi-model experiments Use AEROCOM system (IPSL) with regional http://nansen.ipsl.jussieu.fr/AEROCOM/aerocomhome.html dust models - Already includes an amazing amount of observations (including MODIS, POLDER, MISR, AVHHR, SEAWIFS, TOMS, AERONET, EARLINET and surface concentrations) - Needs to be adapted to specificities of regional scale dust models - Hourly, daily, monthly, yearly validations - Filter and introduce additional regional observations, including observations from dust experimental campaigns (BODEX, SAMUM,.....), visibility…. - What about meteorology???
PHASE-1 (2009-2010) Data processing 3) Agree and run first multi-year simulations with current modelling systems For those partners lacking of HPC facilities: HPC-Europa is a consortium of six leading High Performance Computing (HPC) infrastructures including the BSC-CNS and five centres of excellence. This consortium aims to provide advanced computational services in an integrated manner to the European research community working at the frontiers of science. Partners can apply for a visit through HPC-Europa and run their long term simulations.
PHASE-1 (2009-2010) Data dissemination 4) Data/information dissemination SDS WAS RC web page within WMO domain: • Near real time data archives and visual information • Long term data base archive (value-added products) www.eumetsat.int/Home/Main/What_We_Do/EUMETCast/ The WMO Information System (WIS) It is an overarching approach and a single coordinated global infrastructure for the collection, distribution, retrieval of, and access to data and information of all WMO and related programmes. www.wmo.ch/pages/prog/www/WIS-Web/home.html WIS relationship to WMO Programmes SDS WAS RC
Data dissemination PHASE-1 (2009-2010) EUMETCAST: • Near real time data archives and visual information Mikael Rattenborg (EUMETSAT Operations Director), proposed to consider a possible contribution of EUMETSAT to the SDS WAS RC data dissemination with the EUMETCAST system. Coordination Group of Meteorological Satellites Plenary meeting, hosted by EUMETSAT in Maspalomas, Gran Canaria, from 3-7 November 2008. EUMETCast Dissemination Atlantic Bird 3 C-band coverage for Europe, Africa, Middle EUMETCast provides access to East and North Atlantic data and services provided by several external data providers.
Capacity building SDS WAS Implementation Plan 5) Capacity building: Effective cooperation between partners in regions will be established to exploit current routine forecast and observation capabilities, to strengthen the SDS-WAS monitoring network and to develop a routine verification system. Technology transfer with self-sustaining capability and long-term partnership in mind. i.e. In-situ PM stations and Cimel sunphotometers in Africa i.e. Eumetcast stations Consultation meetings with national users to develop effective and realistic products and tools for their needs; i.e. National Meteorological Services, ACMAD, WHO, for aviation operations, meningitis epidemics…. Training courses on use of services that are available; i.e. Model and satellite data interpretation and utilisation Research workshops and provision of guidance and outreach material i.e. 3rd International Workshop on Mineral Dust (Leipzig, September 2008)
Capacity building PHASE-1 (2009-2010) Training courses for National Meterological Services of North Africa and Middle East within WMO program (i.e. through Spain’s trust funds): First Course on SDS WAS in Africa: • Remote ground-based and satellite techniques for dust monitoring • Dust modeling forceasting: interpretation and use Increase the observational capacity in North Africa: • Tamanrasset GAW station (Cimel) • Three new Cimel stations (Tunisia, Egypt and Morocco)
Next challenges PHASE-2 (2011-2013) 1) Tailored experiments with dust models 2) Data assimilation (GEMS-ECMWF ?? ) 3) Ensemble forecasting? 4) Produce validated and tested “state-of-the-art” dust model climatologies for users 5) Observations/models data fusion ?? 4) Joint research… …. To be discussed
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