Where are we heading? Paths to mobility of tomorrow The 2018 Continental Mobility Study - Continental Corporation
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Bitte decken Sie die schraffierte Fläche mit einem Bild ab. Please cover the shaded area with a picture. (24,4 x 7,6 cm) Where are we heading? Paths to mobility of tomorrow The 2018 Continental Mobility Study December 2018 Continental Corporate Media Relations
Continental Mobility Study 2018: Focal topics Project Scope Statements about Car Driving Attitude Towards Driver Assistance Systems and Automated Driving Assessment of Connectivity Applications Suitable Mobility Solutions Attitude Towards the Different Drivetrain Options Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 2
Project Scope Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 3
International Perspective: population interviews in June 2018 Germany USA Japan China Representative telephone interviews (1,015) Representative online interviews (1,050 per country) Interviews with experts Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 4
Target Groups: Population, driver and non-driver Representative for population from 16 years on Subgroup of the population that drives regularly a car (at least once a month) Subgroup of the population that does not drive Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 5
Statements about Car Driving Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 6
Agreement to Statements about Car Driving: Something to enjoy, but stressful in Germany and Japan? Germany USA China Japan I believe that I am a 66 83 69 25 Question: Please tell me for very good driver. each statement to what extent you agree or disagree. More younger drivers do agree. Co drivers with lower Driving a car is fun level. 64 62 69 43 something I enjoy. Japan: 9 per cent Driving a car is becoming more stressful when the roads are 67 53 40 64 becoming more congested. figures in percent, top box displayed (4 + 5), scale “0: completely disagree” to “5: completely agree” Stress level of non drivers on the same level, in China even higher. Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 7
Agreement to Statements about Car Driving: Many feel free to drive anytime and anywhere Germany USA China Japan 87 percent of men In my everyday life I drive use a car 41 on a daily 46 50 33 Question: Please tell me for my car as often as I can. basis. each statement to what extent you agree or disagree. I can drive anytime and 73 80 71 62 anywhere with my car. I think that there will soon be (more) proper driving 44 20 55 8 bans in inner cities. figures in percent, top box displayed (4 + 5), scale “0: completely disagree” to “5: completely agree” Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 8
Statements about Car Driving – Germany and USA: Not much difference in the results within last 5 years Germany USA 2013 2018 2013 2018 I believe that I am a 63 66 85 83 very good driver. Question: Please tell me for each statement to what extent you agree or disagree. Driving a car is 67 64 63 62 something I enjoy. Driving a car is becoming more stressful when the roads are 67 67 49 53 becoming more congested. figures in percent, top box displayed (4 + 5), scale “0: completely disagree” to “5: completely agree” Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 9
Statements about Car Driving – China and Japan: Driving becomes more joyful in China within the past 5 years China Japan 2013 2018 2013 2018 I believe that I am a 60 69 53 25 very good driver. Question: Please tell me for each statement to what extent you agree or disagree. Driving a car is something I enjoy. 48 69 57 43 Driving a car is becoming more stressful when the roads are 40 40 50 64 becoming more congested. figures in percent, top box displayed (4 + 5), scale “0: completely disagree” to “5: completely agree” Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 10
Agreement to Statements about Car Driving: Driver and non-driver with different answers, incl. bans Germany USA China Japan Driving a car is 64 61 70 44 something I enjoy. 43 33 30 9 Question: Please tell me for each statement to what extent you agree or disagree. Driving a car is becoming more 66 53 39 65 stressful when the roads are Driver 60 48 47 57 becoming more congested. Non-driver I think that there will soon 44 21 55 9 be (more) proper driving bans in inner cities. 42 20 35 6 figures in percent, top box displayed (4 + 5), scale “0: completely disagree” to “5: completely agree” Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 11
Attitude Towards Driver Assistance Systems and Automated Driving Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 12
Attitudes towards Automated Driving: From drivers' perspective there are a few Pros and Cons Germany USA China Japan Automated driving is a Younger 53 50 drivers 89 68 sensible advancement. agree most. Question: Within the next five to Younger Automated driving will be drivers ten years there will be cars a part of everyday life 40 52 75 58 which can drive themselves so disagree that the driver can spend some in 5 to 10 years. most. of the journey time doing other things. People can have Automated driving scares different opinions about 62 77 28 56 automated driving. me somewhat. For each statement, please tell me to what extent you agree or More men More disagree. I have waited a long time (24%) than younger 17 27 72 47 for something like this. women drivers do (9%) agree. agree again. I don't believe that 57 77 40 52 it will function reliably. figures in percent, share of “yes, I tend to agree” displayed Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 13
Attitudes towards Automated Driving: Drivers in fear of losing fun Germany USA China Japan Automated driving takes 73 62 48 51 the fun out of driving. Question: Within the next five to ten years there will be cars Younger which can drive themselves so I could do other things if drivers that the driver can spend some 31 agree 48 80 51 of the journey time doing other the car is driving itself. things. People can have most. different opinions about automated driving. For each statement, please tell Automated driving could me to what extent you agree or 55 51 65 51 prevent serious accidents. disagree. Again more the younger Automated driving could take ones agree. over the task of driving for 64 54 86 70 me in monotonous or stressful situations. figures in percent, share of “yes, I tend to agree” displayed Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 14
Attitudes towards Automated Driving: Americans get more scared – due to some accidents? Germany USA 2013 2018 2013 2018 Automated driving is a 53 53 41 50 sensible advancement. Automated driving will be Question: Within the next five to a part of everyday life 50 40 40 52 ten years there will be cars in 5 to 10 years. which can drive themselves so that the driver can spend some of the journey time doing other Automated driving scares 52 62 66 77 things. People can have me somewhat. different opinions about automated driving. For each statement, please tell I have waited a long time me to what extent you agree or 19 17 23 27 disagree. for something like this. I don't believe that 48 57 50 77 figures in percent, it will function reliably. share of “yes, I tend to agree” displayed Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 15
Attitudes towards Automated Driving: Now even more optimism in China than 5 years ago China Japan 2013 2018 2013 2018 Automated driving is a sensible advancement. 79 89 61 68 Automated driving will be Question: Within the next five to a part of everyday life 65 75 37 58 ten years there will be cars in 5 to 10 years. which can drive themselves so that the driver can spend some of the journey time doing other Automated driving scares 52 28 42 56 things. People can have me somewhat. different opinions about automated driving. For each statement, please tell I have waited a long time me to what extent you agree or 44 72 39 47 disagree. for something like this. I don't believe that 74 40 43 52 figures in percent, it will function reliably. share of “yes, I tend to agree” displayed Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 16
Attitudes towards Automated Driving – Germany: More non-drivers awaiting AD Germany driver non-driver Automated driving is a sensible advancement. 53 61 Automated driving will be a part of 40 42 everyday life in 5 to 10 years. Automated driving scares me somewhat. 62 55 Question: Within the next five to ten years there will be cars Young and which can drive themselves so I have waited a long time for something like this. 17 old drivers 32 that the driver can spend some agree of the journey time doing other 57 most. 49 things. People can have I don't believe that it will function reliably. different opinions about automated driving. Automated driving takes the fun out of driving. 73 55 For each statement, please tell me to what extent you agree or disagree. I could do other things if the car is driving itself. 31 34 Automated driving could prevent serious accidents. 55 49 figures in percent, Automated driving could take over the task of share of “yes, I tend to agree” displayed 64 53 driving for me in monotonous or stressful situations. Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 17
Attitudes towards Automated Driving – USA: Especially the drivers think that it will function unreliable USA driver non-driver Automated driving is a sensible advancement. 50 Young 57 drivers Automated driving will be a part of agree most. 52 56 everyday life in 5 to 10 years. Automated driving scares me somewhat. 77 58 Question: Within the next five to ten years there will be cars which can drive themselves so I have waited a long time for something like this. 27 40 that the driver can spend some of the journey time doing other I don't believe that it will function reliably. 77 61 things. People can have different opinions about automated driving. Automated driving takes the fun out of driving. 62 45 For each statement, please tell me to what extent you agree or disagree. I could do other things if the car is driving itself. 48 56 Young Automated driving could prevent serious accidents. drivers 51 49 agree most. figures in percent, Automated driving could take over the task of share of “yes, I tend to agree” displayed 54 55 driving for me in monotonous or stressful situations. Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 18
Attitudes towards Automated Driving – China: Drivers and non-drivers are both answering positive China driver non-driver Automated driving is a sensible advancement. 89 84 Automated driving will be a part of 75 73 everyday life in 5 to 10 years. Automated driving scares me somewhat. 28 Young 20 Question: Within the next five to drivers ten years there will be cars agree most. which can drive themselves so I have waited a long time for something like this. 72 70 that the driver can spend some of the journey time doing other I don't believe that it will function reliably. 40 33 things. People can have different opinions about automated driving. Automated driving takes the fun out of driving. 48 37 For each statement, please tell me to what extent you agree or disagree. I could do other things if the car is driving itself. 80 72 Automated driving could prevent serious accidents. 65 57 figures in percent, Automated driving could take over the task of share of “yes, I tend to agree” displayed 86 81 driving for me in monotonous or stressful situations. Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 19
Attitudes towards Automated Driving – Japan: Drivers are more fearful of losing the fun Japan driver non-driver Automated driving is a sensible advancement. 68 68 Automated driving will be a part of 58 51 everyday life in 5 to 10 years. Older 56 drivers 49 Question: Within the next five to Automated driving scares me somewhat. agree most. ten years there will be cars which can drive themselves so I have waited a long time for something like this. 47 47 that the driver can spend some of the journey time doing other I don't believe that it will function reliably. 52 47 things. People can have different opinions about automated driving. Automated driving takes the fun out of driving. 51 32 For each statement, please tell me to what extent you agree or disagree. I could do other things if the car is driving itself. 51 50 Automated driving could prevent serious accidents. 51 48 figures in percent, Automated driving could take over the task of share of “yes, I tend to agree” displayed 70 62 driving for me in monotonous or stressful situations. Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 20
Experiences with Severe Accidents: Many drivers have been involved at least once Germany USA China Japan Rear-end collision 45 45 48 33 Question: Which of the following situations has ever happened to you as a driver? Serious accident, regardless of 13 25 9 7 the question of fault Accident with personal injury, regardless of the question of fault or 15 20 9 16 of the severity of the accident Animal-vehicle crash with notable 20 21 15 8 damages to your vehicle figures in percent, share of “yes” displayed Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 21
Intention to Use Automated Systems in the Future: Chinese drivers are open-minded for this Germany USA China Japan Assistance Systems (ADAS) Side distance control, for instance in narrow construction zone 66 61 68 43 areas or in other narrow lanes Question: Today's cars offer lots of technical equipment intended to support the driver. Again more There will be additional technical Automated Driving Systems of younger assistance systems in the future. drivers To what extent would you like to would use it. use the following systems in the Automated driving in a future? 48 39 67 39 traffic jam on the freeway Automated parking in a 44 45 72 47 covered parking garage Younger drivers Automated freeway driving 25 37 67 37 would use figures in percent, top box displayed (1 + 2), scale it most. “1: definitely use that” to “4: definitely not use that” Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 22
Intention to Use Automated Systems in the Future: Drivers in Germany and USA have become more sceptical Germany USA Assistance Systems (ADAS) 2013 2018 2013 2018 Side distance control, for instance in narrow construction zone 69 66 65 61 areas or in other narrow lanes Question: Today's cars offer lots of technical equipment Automated Driving Systems intended to support the driver. There will be additional technical assistance systems in the future. Automated driving in a To what extent would you like to 54 48 49 39 use the following systems in the traffic jam on the freeway future? Automated parking in a 46 44 45 45 covered parking garage Automated freeway driving 26 25 46 37 figures in percent, top box displayed (1 + 2), scale “1: definitely use that” to “4: definitely not use that” Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 23
Intention to Use Automated Systems in the Future: Different trends in the answers from China and Japan China Japan Assistance Systems (ADAS) 2013 2018 2013 2018 Side distance control, for instance in narrow construction zone 55 68 65 43 areas or in other narrow lanes Question: Today's cars offer lots of technical equipment Automated Driving Systems intended to support the driver. There will be additional technical assistance systems in the future. Automated driving in a To what extent would you like to 56 67 63 39 use the following systems in the traffic jam on the freeway future? Automated parking in a 55 72 60 47 covered parking garage Automated freeway driving 51 67 60 37 figures in percent, top box displayed (1 + 2), scale “1: definitely use that” to “4: definitely not use that” Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 24
Traveling Through the City in a “Robot Taxi”: People in China can imagine this more often than others Top-Box Germany 45 22 24 9 67 33 Question: Can you imagine In Germany and traveling through the city in a USA younger 'robot taxi'? In other words, in a ones and people vehicle that travels through the from large cities streets without a driver? USA 32 16 31 16 53 47 want it the most. Is this something you would want? definitely China 2 17 50 29 21 79 maybe prefer not to have it definitely not Japan 20 25 39 6 55 45 figures in percent, 2 to 10 % per country “don’t know” Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 25
Assessment of Connectivity Applications Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 26
Assessment of Connectivity Applications: More sceptic only to the insurance aspect › Germany › USA Black Box Question: The latest vehicles 9 4 15 45 27 3 88 44 30 (collecting data to reconstruct accidents) are connected to the internet and enable information exchange between the car and environment. How do you rate Service and maintenance, 12 9 22 40 16 3 9 12 46 24 the following examples? according to basic car data Germany USA Improvement of traffic management 10 8 17 35 30 3 10 13 40 25 very desirable desirable undesirable Young not at all desirable drivers Monitoring of the compliance of 18 20 19 25 17 3 21 18 32 19 agree most. superfluous traffic regulations by car insurance figures in percent; “prefer not to answer” not displayed Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 27
Assessment of Connectivity Applications: For Chinese drivers all very desirable › China › Japan Black Box 1 29 45 43 55 15 47 20 Question: The latest vehicles (collecting data to reconstruct accidents) are connected to the internet and enable information exchange between the car and environment. How do you rate Service and maintenance, 1 3 16 48 32 6 5 16 53 14 the following examples? according to basic car data China Japan Improvement of traffic management 1 4 14 43 37 6 6 18 43 20 very desirable desirable undesirable not at all desirable Monitoring of the compliance of 2 5 15 46 31 8 7 20 44 13 superfluous traffic regulations by car insurance figures in percent; “prefer not to answer” not displayed Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 28
Assessment of Connectivity Applications: In Germany nearly the same answers as 4 years ago › Germany 2014 › Germany 2018 Black Box 11 7 12 42 27 9 4 15 45 27 (collecting data to reconstruct accidents) Question: The latest vehicles are connected to the internet and enable information Service and maintenance, 14 6 16 40 23 12 9 22 40 16 exchange between the car and according to basic car data environment. How do you rate the following examples? Germany Improvement of traffic management 9 4 13 42 30 10 8 17 35 30 very desirable desirable undesirable not at all desirable Monitoring of the compliance of 25 19 19 25 12 18 20 19 25 17 superfluous traffic regulations by car insurance figures in percent; “prefer not to answer” not displayed Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 29
Assessment of Connectivity Applications: In the US also nearly the same answers like 2014 › USA 2014 › USA 2018 Black Box 4 10 14 42 25 3 88 44 30 (collecting data to reconstruct accidents) Question: The latest vehicles are connected to the internet and enable information Service and maintenance, 4 9 14 46 23 3 9 12 46 24 exchange between the car and according to basic car data environment. How do you rate the following examples? USA Improvement of traffic management 6 12 16 38 21 3 10 13 40 25 very desirable desirable undesirable not at all desirable Monitoring of the compliance of 7 23 18 31 16 3 21 18 32 19 superfluous traffic regulations by car insurance figures in percent; “prefer not to answer” not displayed Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 30
Willingness to Transfer Personal Data for Connectivity: Low consent in Germany › Germany › USA Black Box 28 30 42 26 10 64 Question: In order for the (collecting data to reconstruct accidents) respective services to function well you must give personal data to the service provider. Are you prepared to do this for the Service and maintenance, 43 19 38 30 8 62 named applications? according to basic car data Germany USA Improvement of traffic management 36 16 48 36 8 56 top box (approval) low box (no approval) no interest at all Monitoring of the compliance of 58 12 30 49 6 45 traffic regulations by car insurance figures in percent, scale “1: certainly approve” to “4: certainly not approve” Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 31
Willingness to Transfer Personal Data for Connectivity: High approval in China › China › Japan Black Box 11 4 85 33 11 56 Question: In order for the (collecting data to reconstruct accidents) respective services to function well you must give personal data to the service provider. Are you prepared to do this for the Service and maintenance, 20 6 74 34 13 53 named applications? according to basic car data China Japan Improvement of traffic management 20 6 74 37 13 50 top box (approval) low box (no approval) no interest at all Monitoring of the compliance of 23 6 71 43 12 45 traffic regulations by car insurance figures in percent, scale “1: certainly approve” to “4: certainly not approve” Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 32
Willingness to Transfer Personal Data for Connectivity: Different consent per country › Germany › USA › China › Japan Black Box (collecting data to 42 64 85 56 Question: In order for the respective services to function reconstruct accidents) well you must give personal data to the service provider. Are you prepared to do this for the Service and maintenance, 38 62 74 54 named applications? according to basic car data Improvement of 48 56 74 50 traffic management Monitoring of the compliance of traffic regulations by car 30 45 71 46 insurance figures in percent, top box displayed (1 + 2), scale “1: certainly approve” to “4: certainly not approve” Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 33
Suitable Mobility Solutions Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 34
Suitable Mobility Solutions from Drivers’ Perspective: Most vote for public transport with priority Germany USA China Japan More younger drivers, Car-pooling with other drivers 40 females, 38 65 33 Question: Thinking about the without an routes you take during your day own car. to day life, which of the following options seems like a suitable solution for you personally in the Car sharing which is more Younger future? ones, cost-effective with regular 37 without an 33 76 37 use than your own car own car. Especially in Germany, USA and Japan less agreement to all statements in small Public transport, which always cities and rural areas. no such has priority over individual 65 39 question 48 motorized traffic For 9% in Germany and 25% in figures in percent, top box displayed (1 + 2), scale “1: definitely a suitable solution” to USA are all of the three aspects “4: definitely not a suitable solution” “definitely not a solution”. Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 35
Suitable Mobility Solutions – Drivers and Non-Drivers: Drivers’ point of view is less optimistic, except in China Germany USA China Japan 12 12 18 4 Car-pooling with other drivers 14 24 8 3 Question: Thinking about the routes you take during your day to day life, which of the following Car sharing which is more options seems like a suitable 14 10 22 5 solution for you personally in the cost-effective with regular future? use than your own car 24 36 20 8 Driver Non-driver Public transport, which always 30 14 7 no such has priority over individual question motorized traffic 46 32 14 figures in percent, share of “definitely a suitable solution” displayed Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 36
Purchase of Cars in all four Countries and Diesel Crisis in Germany Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 37
Purchase of a Car in the Future – Germany: Drivers of Diesel cars are less sure of buying such again Germany Question: Would you buy a vehicle with the same type of Gasoline 2 1 11 44 39 17 drive configuration as your (n=377) current one in the future? certainly probably Diesel 17 15 36 30 More men 34 than probably not (n=169) women would certainly not prefer Diesel again. do not plan to buy a car figures in percent, “don’t know” not displayed Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 38
Purchase of a Car in the Future – USA: More than every second driver certainly will buy same drive USA Question: Would you buy a Gasoline 1 7 37 54 9 vehicle with the same type of (n=795) drive configuration as your current one in the future? certainly probably Hybrid 4 4 33 59 8 (n=26) probably not certainly not Hybrid drive: In USA and Japan more drivers in large cities and with a good own economic situation use hybrid. figures in percent, “prefer not to answer” not displayed Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 39
Purchase of a Car in the Future – China: More drivers of hybrid and electric will certainly buy the same China Question: Would you buy a Gasoline 2 13 60 25 15 vehicle with the same type of (n=643) drive configuration as your current one in the future? Hybrid 7 62 31 7 certainly (n=57) probably probably not certainly not Electric 23 30 46 24 (n=13) Electric drive: In China (2%) and USA (1%) the drivers are younger ones, with good economic situation. figures in percent, “prefer not to answer” not displayed Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 40
Purchase of a Car in the Future – Japan: Hybrid with most potential? Japan Question: Would you buy a Gasoline 3 26 57 8 35 vehicle with the same type of (n=388) drive configuration as your current one in the future? Diesel 8 26 40 18 42 certainly (n=13) probably probably not certainly not Hybrid 7 77 10 13 (n=80) figures in percent, “prefer not to answer” not displayed Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 41
Most likely to blame for the Diesel Crisis – Germany: For only half of the people automobile industry did cause it Germany Question: A lot has been reported in the media recently Politics about the diesel crisis. Who do 26 you think is most likely to blame for this diesel crisis? Automobile industry 50 2 Drivers 6 1 Environmental and conservation 11 organizations 4 Somebody else Don’t know Several of them figures in percent Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 42
Most likely to blame for the Diesel Crisis – Germany: Non-drivers and drivers Germany Driver Non-driver 23 Question: A lot has been reported in the media recently 26 about the diesel crisis. Who do 52 43 you think is most likely to blame for this diesel crisis? 8 automobile industry politics 1 drivers 6 6 environmental and conservation organizations 1 somebody else 11 7 13 several of them 3 don’t know figures in percent Corporate Communications Public Continental Mobility Study 2018 43
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