What Works? evidence for decision makers - 25th November 2014

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What Works? evidence for decision makers - 25th November 2014
What Works?
evidence for decision makers

25th November 2014
What Works? evidence for decision makers - 25th November 2014
To find out ‘What Works’…

...visit the What Works
Centre websites and find    The National Institute for
                            Health and Care Excellence          The Education Endowment Foundation
out more about how you      www.nice.org.uk                     http://educationendowmentfoundation.org.uk
can use our services to
help you get better value
for money.

                            The Early Intervention Foundation   The College of Policing
                            http://www.eif.org.uk               http://www.college.police.uk

                                                                The What Works Centre for Wellbeing
                                                                http://whatworkswellbeing.org
                            The What Works Centre for
                            Local Economic Growth               The Centre for Ageing Better
                            http://whatworksgrowth.org          http://www.centreforageingbetter.com

                            What Works Scotland                  The Public Policy Institute for Wales
                            http://whatworksscotland.ac.uk       http://ppiw.org.uk
What Works? evidence for decision makers - 25th November 2014
What Works? |3

Contents

5    A Message of Support
6    Introduction: Why ‘What Works’ Matters
8    What Works: Some of our findings…
9    What Works: Health and Social Care
13   What Works: Education
18   What Works: Early Intervention
22   What Works: Crime Reduction
25 What Works: Local Economic Growth
30 What Works: A Growing Network
32   What Works: What Next
34 Annex A: The What Works Centres
4| What Works?
What Works? |5

A Message of Support

In March 2013 we launched        As we continue to improve and reform          education, early intervention, crime and
                                 public services at a time when finances       local growth. We believe that in the coming
the What Works Network,          are tight, it is more important than ever     years, as the Centres mature, the Network
a world leading initiative       that taxpayers’ money is spent in the most    will deliver a step-change in the way that
designed to embed robust         effective way. Together, the What Works       local government, national government,
                                 Centres cover policy areas with public        and front line practitioners make decisions
evidence at the heart of local   spending of over £200 billion, and are        about how to deliver public services.
and national policy-making.      helping to ensure that policy decisions
                                 and professional practice are based           We want that process to begin now, and so
                                 upon robust evidence of what works            we welcome this first report of collected
                                 to deliver value for money and better         findings. We urge commissioners and
                                 outcomes for all.                             practitioners to draw on the growing body
                                                                               of outputs from the Centres; and we urge
                                 Five of the six initial Centres have now      policy-makers to help the Centres find
                                 been in action for a year or more, and last   out what works by robustly evaluating
                                 month saw the launch of the new What          the impact of their policies. We are
                                 Works Centre for Wellbeing. What Works        convinced that in a decade we will
                                 Scotland and the Public Policy Institute      wonder how we ever did without the
                                 for Wales have also joined the Network        What Works Centres; let’s not wait
                                 as associate members.                         until then to start putting their findings
                                                                               to work.
                                 This report brings together a selection of
                                 early findings from the Centres: on health,

                                 Rt Hon Oliver Letwin MP                       Rt Hon Danny Alexander MP
                                 Minister for Government Policy                Chief Secretary to the Treasury
6| What Works?

Introduction: Why ‘What Works’ Matters
By Dr David Halpern,            When your doctor prescribes a medicine,       Generate
What Works National Adviser     you have good grounds to trust that it will   At the heart of the What Works mission is
                                be effective: drugs are tested for safety     the generation and collation of evidence.
The ultimate goal of the        and effectiveness before they come to         The What Works Centres systematically
                                market, and the National Institute for        assess and synthesise the evidence on
What Works Network is           Health and Care Excellence (NICE) makes       what works within their field of expertise.
to support better public        evidence-based recommendations for            Their independent status underpins
                                practitioners about which treatments          their work, ensuring that commissioners,
services. The Network,          should be available. But when you drop        practitioners and the public can trust their
and Centres that compose        your child off at school, or turn to the      conclusions. Where gaps in the evidence
                                police to keep you safe, the evidence base    are identified, some of the Centres also
it, are designed to do          standing behind the education and crime       have the resources to generate new
this by ensuring that the       interventions being used has until recently   evidence through trials and evaluations,
                                been much weaker.                             such as the 93 evaluations that have been
best evidence of ‘what                                                        commissioned since 2011 by the Education
works’ is available to the      Loosely based on the model of NICE,           Endowment Foundation.
                                founded in 1999, a series of
people who actually make        independent ‘What Works’ institutions         Transmit
the decisions; not only         have been created since 2010.                 Generating and collating the evidence is of
government ministers and        These Centres are dedicated to the            no use if it never reaches the commissioners
                                generation, transmission and adoption of      and professionals who need it. All the
council leaders, but also       evidence. This report highlights their work   What Works Centres are led or staffed by
doctors, headteachers, police   by bringing together for the first time a     leading experts, but rather than scholarly
                                selection of findings from the Centres’       articles, their outputs are designed to
chiefs, children’s services     work to date.                                 be widely accessible, fully public and
professionals and many more.
What Works? |7

easily understood. Each of the Centres           clinical practice1. The Centres are therefore                 The role of the What Works Centres is to
has developed, or is developing, easy            committed not only to publishing expert                       offer the best expert assessment available.
to understand tools and guidance that            guidance, but to supporting commissioners                     It is for the professional or commissioner
summarise the evidence and provide clear         and practitioners to utilise it. They are                     to make the final judgment on what to
and practical advice for professionals and       consulting with and meeting users,                            do. Commissioners and practitioners will
commissioners.                                   they are training professionals and                           always need to consider additional factors,
                                                 they are working directly with Local                          such as public sentiment and local context;
These incorporate clear assessments              Authorities and other decision making                         now they will also be able to weigh the
about which specific interventions are           bodies to help them put evidence                              impartial, expert view on ‘what works’ into
effective, and which are not, and measures       into action. This report provides                             these judgments.
of how confident the Centres are about           some examples of these collaborations
these judgments, based on a systematic           to date.
approach to assessing the strength of the                                                                      Dr David Halpern, What Works National Adviser
evidence. Crucially, all the Centres also                                                                      Danielle Mason, What Works Team
aspire to incorporate cost-effectiveness         1
                                                  Balas EA, Boren SA. Managing clinical knowledge for          Laura Baynton, What Works Team
                                                 health care improvement. In: Bemmel J, McCray AT, editors.
into their advice and guidance.                  Yearbook of Medical Informatics 2000: Patient-Centered
                                                                                                               Louise Moore, What Works Team
                                                 Systems. Stuttgart, Germany: Schattauer Verlagsgesellschaft
Adopt                                            mbH; 2000:65-70.

Even in medicine, where robust empirical
studies have shown one treatment to be
more effective than another, it can take
many years for best practice to be adopted
across the profession: Balas and Boren
estimated that it took an average 17 years
for empirical results in medicine to feed into
8| What Works?

  Title Works: Some of our findings…
  What

        Crime                      Education                    Local Growth                        Health                   Early Intervention

‘Hot spot’ policing          Peer tutoring                   Whilst they have               More lives would be            The Family Nurse
- patrolling in small        approaches, where               intrinsic social value,        saved or improved if           Partnership programme
areas where crime has        learners work in small          the local economic             people with acute heart        has been shown to be
been concentrated            groups to provide each          impacts of major               failure were routinely         effective in the US for
- reduces crime and          other with explicit             sporting and cultural          treated by specialist          improving children’s
does not simply move         teaching support, have,         projects tend not to           heart failure teams.           health and development,
it round the corner.         on average, a high              be large and are more                                         with the benefits
                             impact on attainment            often zero.                                                   outweighing the costs
                             at a low cost.                                                                                by around four to one.

These are just a small selection of the Centres’ findings to date. Visit the websites listed on the second page for further findings.
What Works? |9

What Works: Health and Social Care

The National Institute for      NICE guidance
                                Originally set up to consider clinical           and prevention with anticoagulant
Health and Care Excellence      interventions, NICE’s remit has expanded;        treatment. http://www.nice.org.uk/
(NICE) was founded in 1999.     in 2006 to include public health, and in         guidance/CG180
It has gained a worldwide       2012 social care. Over 1,000 pieces of NICE
                                guidance have been published in total, all     • Providing people who inject drugs with
reputation for its pioneering   available on the NICE website (www.nice.         needles, syringes and other injecting
use of clinical and cost-       org.uk). Some recent examples of NICE            equipment reduces injection risks such
                                findings are provided below:                     as blood-borne viruses and bacterial
effectiveness methodologies                                                      infections.
to produce authoritative                                                         www.nice.org.uk/guidance/PH52

advice and guidelines.           • More lives would be saved or improved
Indeed, the What Works             if people with acute heart failure
                                   were routinely treated by specialist       NICE also maintain a record of practices
Network was first envisaged        heart failure teams. www.nice.org.uk/      that they have categorised as not cost-
as a “NICE for social policy”      guidance/CG187                             effective at: http://www.nice.org.uk/
                                                                              savingsAndProductivity/collection?page=
and the cost-effectiveness       • Novel oral anticoagulants (NOACs)          1&pageSize=2000&type=Do%20not%20
aspect of the What Works           should be offered, where appropriate,      do&published=&impact=&filter. Some
                                   instead of aspirin and as an alternative   examples are:
remit was largely modelled         to warfarin, to prevent stroke risk in
on the NICE technology             patients with atrial fibrillation. NICE
appraisal.                         estimates 7,000 strokes and 2,000           • Do not routinely offer social skills
                                   premature deaths could be avoided             training (as a specific intervention)
                                   each year with effective detection            to people with psychosis or
                                                                                 schizophrenia.
10| What Works?

                                                                     As part of the systematic review of the                               cost-effectiveness is a central aspect of
 • Do not offer acupuncture for the                                  relevant evidence which underpins each TA,                            the appraisal. Figure 1 shows estimates of
   management of osteoarthritis.                                     the comparable cost-effectiveness of each                             the cost per QALY gained for technologies
                                                                     technology is assessed by estimating the                              appraised by NICE between 2007 and Dec
 • Do not use a pharmacological                                      cost of the technology per ‘quality-adjusted                          2013 (TA114 to TA301).
   intervention to aid sleep in children and                         life year’ (QALY) gained as a result of its
   young people unless sleep problems                                use2. In general, interventions costing less                          The graph illustrates the crucial role
   are having a negative impact on them                              than £20,000 per QALY are considered                                  that cost-effectiveness plays in the
   and their family or carers.                                       by NICE to be cost-effective. Interventions                           recommendations: all those technologies
                                                                     costing between £20,000 and £30,000 per                               with a cost per QALY gained of £20,000
NICE technology appraisals                                           QALY may be considered cost-effective if                              or below were recommended, whilst the
The purpose of NICE technology appraisals                            certain conditions are satisfied. NICE does                           majority of those with a cost per QALY
(TAs) is to appraise the health benefits and                         not usually recommend an intervention if it                           gained of £30,000 or more were not.
the costs of medical technologies such                               costs more than £30,000 per QALY (other
as medicines and surgical procedures.                                than for certain end-of-life treatments)                              Cost-effectiveness and public
The TAs inform NICE’s guidelines on which                            unless a strong case can be made that it is                           health interventions
technologies should be made available                                an effective use of NHS resources.                                    It is also possible to assess cost-
on the National Health Service (NHS).                                                                                                      effectiveness for public health interventions
Because the NHS has finite resources, NICE                           Cost-effectiveness is not the sole measure                            such as smoking cessation and exercise
guidelines need to consider not only the                             used to decide whether a technology will                              programmes, and NICE does this wherever
effectiveness of different treatments, but                           be recommended; also of relevance are                                 possible in its Public Health Guidelines.
their cost-effectiveness: using more cost-                           factors such as the benefits of innovation,                           A 2011 study by Owen et al3 analysed
effective treatments means the NHS can                               the impact on other NHS objectives, and                               cost-effectiveness estimates for 200
achieve more with the same resources.                                other social value judgements. However,                               interventions. The authors conclude that

2
  A quality-adjusted life year (QALY) is a measure of the state of health of a person or group in which the benefits, in terms of length of life, are adjusted to reflect the quality of life. One QALY is
equal to 1 year of life in perfect health. QALYs are calculated by estimating the years of life remaining for a patient following a particular treatment or intervention and weighting each year with
a quality of life score (on a zero to 1 scale).
What Works? |11

                                                      Figure 1: Most credible cost per QALY gained for technologies appraised
                                                      by NICE between 2007 and Dec 2013 (TA114 to TA301)

Notes for Figure 1
Graph produced by NICE. The graph indicates
the decisions made by the Appraisal Committee,
chronologically since 2007, and the respective cost
per QALY gained. The graph includes the following
simplifications:                                       Cost

• Where the Committee stated a range of credible
  cost per QALY gained, the midpoint estimate is
  shown.
• Where the Committee considered that the most
  credible cost per QALY gained presented was
  between £20,000 and £30,000, this is shown as
  £30,000 per QALY gained.
• Where the technology dominated (i.e. was cheaper
  and more effective than) the comparator, this is
  shown as £0.
• On the occasions where the most credible cost per
  QALY gained presented was above £150,000, this
  is shown as £150,000 per QALY gained.
• Abbreviations: EoL, end of life; QALY, quality-
  adjusted life year.                                                         Technology appraisals in chronological order
12| What Works?

the majority of public health interventions                           However, evidence on the cost-
considered were highly cost-effective                                 effectiveness of public health interventions
when assessed against the NICE thresholds                             is less widely collected than for clinical
discussed above. Indeed, the analysis                                 interventions: better evidence on public
identified 30 interventions which were                                health interventions could help to support
actually cost saving. This means that                                 more cost-effective allocation of health
they were not only more effective than                                resources in the future.
the comparator, but also cheaper.
These included:

• a number of smoking cessation
  interventions;

• a number of interventions to manage
  long term sickness and incapacity for
  work; and

• a number of interventions to prevent
  harmful drinking in people with alcohol
  use disorders.

3
    “The cost-effectiveness of public health interventions” in the Journal of Public Health, 2011. Owen L, Morgan A, Fischer A, Ellis S, Hoy A, Kelly MP.
What Works? |13

What Works: Education

The Education Endowment          Since its launch, the EEF has commissioned
                                 93 evaluations and committed £52 million         are trained to support pupils in
Foundation was launched          of funding to innovative and scalable            evidence-based and well-structured
in 2011 by lead charity The      projects. In total, EEF projects are             interventions.
Sutton Trust, in partnership     working in 4,500 schools and reaching
                                 630,000 pupils.                                • Helping pupils struggling with literacy
with Impetus Trust, with a                                                        at the start of secondary school is
founding grant from the          These are some of the EEF’s latest findings,     extremely challenging, and it is highly
                                 covering both their own evaluations and          unlikely that a single intervention
Department for Education.        analysis of other published work:                will be sufficient to help them catch
Its aim is to raise the                                                           up with their peers. However, some
                                                                                  approaches are more effective than
attainment of children            • Peer tutoring approaches, where               others. In a recent EEF trial, pupils who
facing disadvantage by              learners work in small groups to              went on school trips were then taught
                                    provide each other with explicit              a structured approach to improving
generating and synthesising         teaching support, have, on average,           their writing using the trip as a source
evidence about educational          a high impact on attainment for               of inspiration. The pupils who received
                                    low cost.                                     this intervention made an average
innovations, and encouraging                                                      of nine months additional progress
schools, government,              • Research to date has suggested that           compared to the control group.
                                    students in a class with a teaching
charities, and others to apply      assistant do not, on average, perform       • Small group tuition can be a cost-
evidence and adopt those            better than those in a class with only        effective alternative to one-to-one
innovations found to                a teacher. However, EEF trials have           tuition as a way to provide intensive
                                    shown that teaching assistants can            support for struggling pupils.
be effective.                       have a positive impact if they                This is true despite the fact that small
                                                                                  group tuition is on average, slightly
14| What Works?

Figure 2: Selection from the EEF/Sutton Trust Teaching and Learning Toolkit

Toolkit                             i   Toolkit info      Pupil Premium Calculator   Latest Updates   Downloads

About the Toolkit
                               Arts participation                                                                 +   2
                                                                                                                  months
Using the Toolkit

Pupil Premium Calculator       Aspiration interventions                                                               0
                                                                                                                  months

Videos and Case Studies

Evidence Briefs                Behaviour interventions                                                            +   4
                                                                                                                  months

Toolkit Filter                 Block scheduling                                                                       0
                                                                                                                  months

Sort By

 A-Z                           Collaborative learning                                                             +   5
                                                                                                                  months

                                                                                                                      4
Average impact      i

                               Digital technology                                                                 +
                                                                                                                  months

Cost    i                      Early years intervention                                                           +   6
                                                                                                                  months

                               Extending schooltime                                                               +   2
                                                                                                                  months
Evidence    i

                               Feedback                                                                           +   8
                                                                                                                  months

Categories      i

       Primary
                               Homework (Primary)                                                                 +   1
                                                                                                                  month
       Secondary
What Works? |15

                                              an online tool which allows teachers and       The Toolkit has quickly become a popular
   less effective than one-to-one tuition,    school leaders to compare the estimated        resource for school leadership teams
   because it is also much less expensive.    impact and cost of different types of          looking for guidance on how to spend their
                                              educational intervention. Like NICE            resources effectively. In a recent survey
 • Rewarding pupils’ effort with              technology appraisals, the Toolkit uses a      by the Sutton Trust, 45% of school leaders
   financial incentives does not lead to      common measure of impact - the average         said they used the Toolkit to inform their
   a significant improvement in GCSE          additional months progress a pupil would       spending decisions, up from 36% in 2013.
   results, according to a randomised         be expected to make in one year if they        Among secondary school leaders the
   controlled trial involving 10,000 pupils   experienced the intervention - to enable       proportion rises to 54%.
   across England.                            comparison between different types of
                                              intervention.
 • Repeating a year is an expensive
   intervention and has consistently been     By summarising this data, along with details
   found to have a negative impact on         on implementation and applicability, the
   attainment4.                               Toolkit provides guidance for teachers
                                              and schools on how to best use their
                                              resources, particularly their Pupil
The Teaching and Learning Toolkit             Premium allocation.
The Teaching and Learning Toolkit –
produced in collaboration by the EEF, the     Figure 2 shows a section from the Toolkit
Sutton Trust and Durham University – is a     and Figure 3 uses the data from the Toolkit
groundbreaking example of how complex         to illustrate the average cost and impact
and often inaccessible research findings      of interventions. School leaders are also
can be presented in a useful way to           encouraged to consider the context of
practitioners.                                their schools and their existing provision
                                              as part of an evidence-informed decision
                                                                                             4
                                                                                              More detail on all the interventions listed can be found on
The Toolkit synthesises over 10,000 pieces    making process.                                the EEF website: http://educationendowmentfoundation.org.
of quantitative educational research into                                                    uk/toolkit/about-the-toolkit/
16| What Works?

              Figure 3: Approximate cost and effect size for 34 education interventions                                                                                                                       As well as helping school leaders decide
                                                                                                                                                                                                              which approaches to try, the Toolkit aims to
                                                                                                                                                                                                              support decisions about implementation.
                                                 9                             Interventions with relatively high
                                                                                                                                                                                                              For example, research has shown that
                                                                               impact for relatively low cost                                                                                                 schools’ current deployment of Teaching
                                                 8                Meta-Cognition and Self-Regulation                                                                                                          Assistants is not, on average, having an
                                                                Feedback
                                                                                                                                                                                                              impact on pupils’ progress. However,
Average additional months of progress achieved

                                                 7                                                                                                                                                            following promising findings from recent
                                                                                                                                                                                                              EEF evaluations, the Toolkit now suggests
                                                 6                             Peer Tutoring                                                                                                                  specific ways in which Teaching Assistants
                                                                                                                                                                                   Early Years Intervention
                                                        Collaborative Learning
                                                        Homework (Secondary)                                                                                                                                  can be deployed to have a higher impact.
                                                        Reading Comprehension Strategies
                                                 5                         Mastery Learning                                     One to One Tuition                                                            The Toolkit also contains more detailed
                                                                 Oral Language Interventions
                                                                                                                                                                                                              information on the impact of interventions
                                                                                    Digital Technology
                                                 4         Phonics
                                                        Social and
                                                                                                    Behaviour Interventions
                                                                                  Small Group Tuition                                                                                                         on particular sub-groups, such as children
                                                        Emotional Learning
                                                                                                                                                                                                              from low-income backgrounds.
                                                                                                                                                                Reducing class sizes
                                                 3                                                          Outdoor Adventure Learning
                                                                                                   Parental Involvement

                                                                                      Extending School Time
                                                                                                                                                                                                              Source: The Sutton Trust – EEF Teaching and Learning
                                                      Learning Styles
                                                 2                                                  Summer Schools                                                                                            Toolkit and Technical Appendices.
                                                                Arts Participation              Sports Participation
                                                                Individualised Instruction
                                                                                                                                                                                                              Estimated cost per pupil per year is based on a class
                                                 1          Homework (Primary)                       Mentoring                   Teaching Assistants                                                          size of 25.
                                                               Performance Pay                   Aspiration Interventions                                                                                     Text highlighted in bold signifies interventions for
                                                                   Physical Environment
                                                 0
                                                       Block Scheduling 200
                                                                                                                                                                                                              which the evidence on effectiveness is extensive or
                                                                                               400                 600                   800           1000   1200                1400                1600
                                                        School Uniform                                                                                                                                        very extensive according to the Toolkit definitions.
                                                 -1                     Setting or Streaming
                                                                                                                                                                                                              Cost estimates in the graph are approximate. If you
                                                                                                                                                                Out of range
                                                                                                                                                                Average months progress = -4. Cost = £6000    wish to use the Toolkit cost estimates to support
                                                 -2                                                                Estimated cost per pupil, per year (£)            Repeating a Year                         decision making you should refer to the full Toolkit on
                                                                                                                                                                                                              the EEF website for more detailed cost information.
What Works? |17

“I have used [the Toolkit] countless times when
  talking to staff, parents and governors and it
  has... created a culture shift within the school
  so that staff became much more aware of
  educational research and started to question
  approaches to education and their impact.”

 Kate Atkins, Headteacher
 at Rosendale Primary School
18| What Works?

What Works: Early Intervention
The Early Intervention        The EIF Guidebook                             Figure 4: The search page of
Foundation (EIF) was          The EIF Guidebook (http://guidebook.          the EIF guidebook
                              eif.org.uk/) is an innovative new resource
established in July 2013 as   which currently summarises key features
an independent charity with   of 50 Early Intervention (EI) programmes
                              available in the UK (see Figure 4).
a remit to:                   It provides information on: programme
                              aims, the nature of the intervention and,
• Assess the evidence on      where available, costs and benefits.
  which interventions work
                              Robust cost-benefit analysis is available
  and their relative value    for some EI programmes, mainly those
  for money.                  implemented in the US; important
                              findings include:
• Advise government, local
                              • The HighScope Perry Preschool Program
  councils and agencies,        has a benefit-cost ratio of between
  charities and investors       7:1 and 12:15, mainly through improved
                                employment and earnings, and reduced
  on what works for             crime and welfare dependence6.
  whom, when.
                              • Chicago Child-Parent Centers delivered
• Advocate for early            substantial benefits by the time
                                participants were age 26, mainly through
  intervention to key           increased earnings and reduced
  decision makers.              criminal justice and child welfare costs.
                                For preschool participants, the benefit-
                                cost ratio was almost 11:17.
What Works? |19

                                                                                            “[We will implement]
• Follow-up studies of Family Nurse           The EIF Pioneering Places
  Partnership (now implemented in the         The EIF is using the data from the            a shift... toward an
  UK) suggest that where it has been          Guidebook and other new tools to              evidence-based
  implemented in the US, the benefit-cost     support its 20 Pioneering Places, which
  ratio achieved is between 3:1 and 5:1.      are undertaking radical system change         portfolio of support…
  This is achieved mainly through reduced
  welfare costs8 .
                                              to improve overall effectiveness. It
                                              has provided the areas with tailored
                                                                                            where cost benefit
                                              assessments of the strength of evidence       analysis can be
For the vast majority of EI programmes        for the interventions they are using.
however, detailed cost and benefit analysis   Based on returns from 13 EIF places           aligned. Using the
has never been captured and there is
only general evidence on effectiveness.
                                              it found that:                                evidence of the
Often the relevant information is available   • Nearly half (47%) of the interventions      Early Intervention
but has not yet been collated, analysed
and assessed. The EIF supports local
                                                being delivered had little or no evidence
                                                in an established clearing house.
                                                                                            Foundation
commissioners in understanding the local                                                    Guidebook we will
costs and benefits of different approaches,   • 3% of the interventions being
and their implementation requirements.          delivered have been proven to               build on our service
In future versions of the Guidebook these
factors will also be included as means of
                                                be ineffective.
                                                                                            portfolio and bring in
rating programmes, and providers will         This work helps places to focus               new programmes”.
have to supply cost information for their     resources on services that are more likely
programme in order for it to be included      to be effective and thus provide better
in the Guidebook.                             value for money.
                                                                                            Croydon Local Authority,
                                                                                            Transformation Challenge
                                                                                            Award submission
20| What Works?

The EIF has also created a fund in              Years and a review on Social and
partnership with the Economic and Social        Emotional Learning in School and            cost. There are emerging and promising
Research Council (ESRC) which encourages        Youth Settings in train. Key findings       approaches being tested and requiring
places to develop a partnership with a          of what works in these areas are            wider rollout, as discussed in EIF’s
university in order to produce robust           presented below:                            recent evidence review. http://www.eif.
evaluation plans. This has led to the funding                                               org.uk/publications/early-intervention-
of high quality programme evaluations                                                       in-domestic-violence-and-abuse-full-
in three Early Intervention Places:              What works for tackling domestic           report/
                                                 violence and abuse:
• ‘Step Up’, an early response model             A narrowly specified ‘Duluth’ model (a     As ever prevention is better than cure.
  to improve child protection outcomes           common programme for perpetrators          There are some promising programmes
  in cases of domestic violence in               of domestic violence and abuse, the        which aim to change attitudes and
  Blackpool.                                     content of which is based solely on        behaviour among young people in
                                                 concepts of gender politics) has been      relation to domestic violence and abuse.
• Functional Family Therapy in                   found by Randomised Controlled             ‘Safe Dates’, a school-based approach,
  Croydon for Troubled Families and those        Trials in the USA to have no effect on     is a relatively inexpensive example (an
  at risk of involvement in youth crime.         reoffending rates. It is also relatively   indicative analysis suggests that it might
                                                 expensive (analysis indicates costs of     typically cost around $17 per student)
• Baby Express, a month-by-month                 around $1,400 per participant)9.           which would benefit from further testing
  magazine for new parents in                                                               of effectiveness.
  Greater Manchester.                            The overall cost to UK society of
                                                 domestic violence and abuse stands at
EIF Reviews                                      over £15.7bn (and of course the human
Along with the Guidebook, EIF has                costs are very great). Reoffending rates
published one new systematic review on           are in the order of 40% and so the
Domestic Violence and Abuse with another         benefits of effective interventions for
shortly to be published on the Early             perpetrators would readily repay their
What Works? |21

What works to enhance                       the majority of behaviour programmes
development of language,                    surveyed are group-based, there are
communication and social and                more group-based programmes with
emotional skills through parent and         evidence of effectiveness overall.
child interaction (for 0-5 year-olds):      Those offered at the targeted or
                                            specialist level tend to have more
• Programmes work best if they              robust evidence than those offered
  are tailored to level of need and         at the universal level.
  specific ages, for example infancy,
  toddlerhood, and pre-school.            • Among the programmes that aim
                                            to improve attachment, the most
• Of the programmes surveyed, those         effective ones tend to feature the
  that aim to improve behaviour tend        following methods:
  to have stronger more established
  evidence of effectiveness compared        • helping mothers understand their
  to those that aim to support the            own attachment histories.            5
                                                                                      That is, an overall return of between 7 and 12 dollars
                                                                                   for every dollar invested, once cost savings are taken
  attachment relationship or children’s                                            into account.
  cognitive development.                    • coaching parents through the         6
                                                                                      Heckman, J., Moon, S., Pinto, R., Savelyev, P., Yavitz, A.
                                                                                   (2010), “The rate of return to the HighScope Perry Preschool
                                              use of videotapes of parent/child    Program”, Journal of Public Economics, Vol. 94, Issues 1–2,
• Among the programmes that aim               interaction.                         pp. 114–128. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/
                                                                                   S0047272709001418
  to improve behaviour, home visiting                                               7
                                                                                      Reynolds, A., Temple, J., White, B., Ou, S.-R., Robertson, D.
  or individual therapy interventions     • Many of these attachment               (2011), “Age 26 cost-benefit analysis of the child-parent center
  have the strongest evidence of            programmes are suitable for            early education program”, Child Development, Vol. 82, Issue
                                                                                   1, pp. 379–404. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1467-
  effectiveness, compared to group-         delivery by health visitors and        8624.2010.01563.x/abstract
  based ones for which the strength of      clinical psychologists.                8
                                                                                      FNP Evidence Summary Leaflet, 2011, London:
                                                                                   Department of Health.
  evidence is more variable. However as                                            9
                                                                                      See http://www.wsipp.wa.gov/BenefitCost/Program/86.
22| What Works?

What Works: Crime Reduction

The College of Policing was                                              The College’s What Works programme
                               • Simply putting more bobbies on the      was set up in September 2013 to map the
established in 2013 with a       beat has not been found to reduce       crime reduction research evidence beyond
mission to identify, develop     crime, unless they are carefully        policing, and to get this evidence used in
and promote practice based       targeted, or if police flood an area    practice. The College and the ESRC have
                                 because of a short-term risk.           co-funded a consortium led by University
on evidence. The College                                                 College London to identify and label all the
has already produced           • To reduce crime without displacing      existing reviews of crime reduction research
                                 it, officers need to be targeted on     evidence, so the results can be viewed in
a series of ‘what works’         ‘hot spots’, which means they patrol    one place online.
briefings to highlight what      in small areas where crime has been
                                 concentrated, or to work with a local   The Online Crime Reduction Toolkit
is known about effective         community to analyse and solve          The What Works Centre online tool will
policing. The College’s          problems (known as neighbourhood        be launched in January to give easy
                                 or community policing).                 access to the evidence on crime reduction
findings include:                                                        interventions. Over 300 research reviews
                               • Everyday police behaviour is            have been identified and will be added
                                 important: treating people fairly and   to the online tool over time, with CCTV,
                                 with respect in every encounter,        street lighting and prison visits to deter
                                 whether they are a victim or a          young offenders (sometimes referred to as
                                 suspect, means they are more likely     Scared Straight programmes) first on the
                                 to obey the law in the future.          list to be presented. Users will be able to
                                                                         weigh up evidence on the impact, cost and
                               You can see the full briefings at: www.   implementation of interventions and use
                               college.police.uk                         this as part of their decision making.
                                                                         An innovative element of this particular
What Works? |23

toolkit is that it will also summarise          Figure 5: Online Crime Reduction Toolkit
the evidence on how and in which
circumstances each intervention works,
enabling practitioners to ensure that they
                                                                                           Crime Reduction Toolkit
have captured the key elements of what
                                                 About the toolkit                         Intervention                  Impact on    How it     Where it        How to        What it
makes them work in a given operational                                                                                     crime      works       works           do it         costs
                                                 Our effect scale
context. Figure 5 below provides an                                                                                      Effect      Mechanism   Moderator   Implementation   Economic cost
illustration of what the tool will look like.
                                                                                           Closed circuit television
The new tool will be useful in highlighting     Keys
programmes that are unlikely to deliver                         Quality of evidence
                                                                                           Improved street lighting in
value for money. For example, Scared                                                       public places
Straight style programmes, which take at-
risk young people on prison visits with the     Filters
                                                                                           Sample 1
aim of reducing the risk of them offending      Impact on crime
                                                (select a range using the markers below)
in future. The evidence suggests that these
programmes are not effective, and in some                                                  Sample 2
cases participants may be more likely to
offend after the intervention.
                                                                                           Sample 5
                                                Violent Crime                 Off On
The What Works Centre will also carry
out new evidence reviews to fill existing       Property Crime                 Off On
                                                                                           Sample 6
evidence gaps, on topics including knife        Offender based                 Off On
crime prevention, criminal justice responses                                  Off On
                                                Victim Based
to domestic abuse, and the use of alley                                                    Sample 7
                                                Location Based                 Off On
gates to prevent crime.
24| What Works?

“[I am] delighted       Outreach programme                               What Works master classes: In Essex,
                          The What Works Centre also has an                master classes prompted the senior team
   that Essex Police,     ambitious programme of engagement and            to test the use of predictive policing
   under the leadership   outreach which aims to raise awareness           techniques to tackle burglary, and to
                          and skill levels among police staff and other    allocate their body worn video cameras
   of Chief Constable     stakeholders.                                    to a randomly selected group of officers,
   Stephen Kavanagh       Professional standards: Research evidence
                                                                           and compare their results with those of
                                                                           officers without cameras. In this way, the
   and Chief Supt         is being built into the professional training,   force and the College delivered a rigorous,
                          guidance, selection and promotion                low cost test of the impact of body worn
   Carl O’Malley, have    processes in policing. At the same time,         video on criminal justice outcomes in
   implemented an         police skills in reviewing and using evidence
                          are being developed. A pilot programme
                                                                           domestic abuse. Results suggested use of
                                                                           video helped increase the proportion of
   innovative, science-   called ‘Evidence Base Camp’ allowed 60           detections that ended with a charge.

   based, professional    police officers and staff to learn about
                          searching for, sifting and assessing research
   policing operation.”   while carrying out rapid reviews of evidence
                          on ‘hot’ topics, which they used to brief
                          national decision makers.

                          Innovation fund: The College is helping
                          forces and academics to create new
 PCC Nick Alston          research evidence. Its Innovation Fund
                          awarded £600,000 of seed funding to 16
                          joint force/academic bids to stimulate new
                          collaborative research at a regional level.
What Works? |25

What Works: Local Economic Growth

The What Works Centre for         The approach is three-fold:                    The Centre places a premium on making
                                                                                 its products straightforward and accessible.
Local Economic Growth was         1. Evidence reviews: review the existing       Figure 6 taken from the Centre’s website
founded in October 2013.             evidence base relating to economic          describes the process of the evidence
The overall aim of the Centre        development policy areas, drawing out       reviews.
                                     findings that are backed by systematic,
is to significantly improve the      rigorous evaluation.                        Some of the headline results from the
use of evidence in the design                                                    reviews are summarised below.
                                  2. Capacity building: work with policy-
and delivery of policies for         makers and delivery partners to build
local economic growth and            their capacity to incorporate measures of     mployment training http://
                                                                                  E
                                     policy impact into their programmes at       whatworksgrowth.org/policy-area/
employment, leading to               the earliest stage.                          employment-training/
more effective policies and
                                  3. Demonstration projects: design               • For basic skills or interventions aimed
policy-making.                       demonstration projects in partnership          at raising general employability for
                                     with Local Enterprise Partnerships             individuals, shorter programmes
                                     (LEPs) and Local Authorities to address        (below six months, and probably
                                     particular gaps in the evidence base.          below four months) have a larger,
                                                                                    stronger effect on participants’
                                  Evidence reviews                                  employment than longer programmes.
                                  Since October 2013, the Centre has                Shorter programmes are also likely to
                                  published four evidence reviews looking           be cheaper which suggests that they
                                  at the impact on local economic growth            should be more cost-effective than
                                  of employment training, business advice,          longer programmes.
                                  major sporting and cultural events and
                                  access to finance programmes.
26| What Works?

Figure 6: Evidence Review Methodology for the What Works Centre for Local Economic Growth
What Works? |27

• In-firm/on the job training                  to develop options for properly             they might improve wellbeing (the
  programmes outperform classroom-             evaluating relative cost-effectiveness      What Works Centre for Wellbeing was
  based training programmes. Employer          of these different approaches as part       launched in October).
  co-design and activities that closely        of the development of Growth Hubs.
  mirror actual jobs appear to be key
  design elements that could increase        Major sporting and cultural events          Access to finance
  cost-effectiveness.                        http://whatworksgrowth.org/                 http://whatworksgrowth.org/
                                             policy-area/sport-and-culture/              policy-area/access-to-finance/
Business advice http://what-
worksgrowth.org/policy-area/                 • The overall measurable effects of         • While most access to finance
business-support/                              major sport and culture projects on         programmes appear to improve
                                               a local economy tend not to be large        access to finance (e.g. increase
• Business advice programmes show              and are more often zero.                    credit availability), there is much
  consistently better results for firm                                                     weaker evidence that this leads
  productivity and output than they          • Any wage and income effects of              to improved firm performance.
  do for firm employment.                      projects are usually small and limited      This makes it much harder to assess
                                               to the immediate locality or particular     whether access to finance is a cost-
• Business advice programmes that use          types of workers.                           effective way of improving the wider
  a ‘managed brokerage’ approach seem                                                      economic outcomes (e.g. productivity,
  to perform better than those that use      • Given the significant cost of most          employment) that policy-makers
  a light touch delivery model. However,       major sport and culture projects they       care about.
  such managed brokerage models are            are unlikely to be cost-effective in
  also more expensive, making it difficult     terms of increasing local economic
  to assess relative cost-effectiveness.       growth, although sport and culture
  The Centre is working with a number          have intrinsic value to people aside
  of Local Enterprise Partnerships             from economic benefits, for example,
28| What Works?

Capacity building                              innovative economic model which allows
The Centre has presented its work to           comparison of expected programme
over 300 policy-makers, officers and           cost-effectiveness.
delivery partners in its first year, and is
constantly expanding its network through:      Demonstration projects
the dedicated supporters on its User           The Centre is working on a number of
Panel; collaboration with partners such as     projects intended to provide better
the Local Government Association; and          evidence on programme cost-effectiveness
government-led projects such as the Public     and to compare the cost-effectiveness
Services Transformation Network.               of different programme design elements.
                                               These demonstrator projects are being
The Centre is rolling out a series of          co-created with a local partner (typically
workshops aimed at helping LEPs and            a Local Authority or LEP) with the Centre
Local Authorities improve the use of           providing advice on design, implementation
evidence in the design and delivery of         and evaluation. Projects in development
policies. The sessions focus on the use        include randomising elements of post Work
of cost-benefit analysis to compare            Programme support, testing different forms
expected programme cost-effectiveness.         of start-up and business support across a
They also highlight the importance of          number of Growth Hubs, and randomising
building evaluation into programme design      entry into a technology startup accelerator.
to allow for the assessment of actual cost-
effectiveness. The sessions are delivered by
New Economy Manchester (NEM), a LEP
that has significant expertise in this area.
The Centre is also working with New
Economy Manchester to embed findings
from the evidence reviews into the NEM’s
What Works? |29

“Being clear about what works in terms of
achieving economic growth is... something
that all public service leaders should be
interested in... the focus on the evidence
base, and on rigorous evaluation ...is certainly
the right way to develop our thinking and our
approach. Particularly in an environment in
which every penny counts.”

Joanna Killian, Chief Executive of Essex County Council and Member of User Panel
30| What Works?

What Works: A Growing Network

The What Works Network        The What Works Centre for Wellbeing            help identify the changes needed to ensure
                              The What Works Centre for Wellbeing            we all understand what we need to do to
is growing. On October 29th   (www.whatworkswellbeing.org) was               age better.
the What Works Centre for     launched on October 29th, with the
Wellbeing was launched,       support of 17 founding partners including      There is clear evidence that inequalities in
                              Public Health England, the ESRC,               our society have a huge impact on how we
and the Centre for Ageing     government departments, the Office for         experience ageing. There is also evidence
Better is currently under     National Statistics, the Local Government      that public services provided to people as
                              Association and the BIG Lottery Fund.          they age tend to be reactive rather than
development. What Works       The Centre is being set up by a                preventative. The holistic needs of older
Scotland and the Public       development group of the founding              people are often ignored when developing
                              partners, chaired by Lord Gus O’Donnell.       products or services. The goal of the
Policy Institute for Wales    The wellbeing field has many pioneering        Centre is to help break this cycle: to identify
recently joined the Network   leaders and practitioners keen to share        initiatives and behavioural changes that
                              their work, learn from others, and build       can help people experience the
as associate members.         the evidence base into a meaningful,           opportunities and manage the challenges
                              reliable, easy to navigate source.             of ageing. This will help individuals to feel
                              The Centre will develop a strong and           that they are ageing well, help to prevent
                              credible evidence base which will support      statutory services (which will always be
                              them to be able to focus their efforts         needed) from becoming overwhelmed,
                              towards those interventions that will have     and benefit the whole of society. This will
                              the biggest impact.                            be done by:

                              The Centre for Ageing Better                   • Developing the evidence base about
                              The Big Lottery Fund has previously              what works to support ageing better.
                              announced its intention to fund up to
                              £50 million in the Centre for Ageing Better.   • Funding projects that show promise to
                              The Centre will invest this in projects that     make a difference and helping projects
What Works? |31

  with proven effectiveness to operate at      involved in the design and delivery of         Public Policy Institute for Wales
  greater scale.                               public services to:                            The Public Policy Institute for Wales (PPIW,
                                                                                              www.ppiw.org.uk) works directly with
• Working with the people, organisations,      • Learn what is and what isn’t working in      Welsh Ministers to improve policy-making
  business and statutory bodies that can         their local area.                            and delivery by providing them with access
  best bring about an agenda for change.                                                      to authoritative independent analysis and
                                               • Encourage collaborative learning with a      expert advice. The Institute is funded by
• Joining up initiatives across the sectors      range of local authority, business, public   the Welsh Government and ESRC but is
  to make sustainable and enduring               sector and community partners.               operationally independent of government.
  change.                                                                                     The PPIW provides advice across the
                                               • Better understand what effective             full range of the Welsh Government’s
The Centre should be up and running in           policy interventions and effective           competencies by collaborating with
early 2015.                                      services look like.                          researchers and policy experts from across
                                                                                              the UK and beyond to deliver a rolling
What Works Scotland                            • Promote the use of evidence in planning      programme of work which is agreed with
What Works Scotland (www.                        and service delivery.                        the First Minister. In addition to undertaking
whatworksscotland.ac.uk) is a new initiative                                                  work on specific issues which are relevant
to improve the way local areas in Scotland     • Help organisations get the skills and        to each Minister’s portfolio, the Institute is
use evidence to make decisions about             knowledge they need to use and               developing research on three ‘cross-cutting’
public service development and reform.           interpret evidence.                          themes which are relevant to the Welsh
The initiative brings together the                                                            Government as a whole and to the work of
Universities of Glasgow and Edinburgh,         • Create case studies for wider sharing        several of the other What Works Centres:
and other academics across Scotland, with        and sustainability.                          managing demand for public services;
a wide range of local partners. What Works                                                    tackling poverty; and promoting effective
Scotland will work with specific                                                              local governance and service delivery.
Community Planning Partnerships
32| What Works?

What Works: What Next?

The What Works Centres            It is inevitable that in some areas the          • Wider and deeper coverage: the release
                                  findings will cause controversy. The long          of a series of reports by the Centres
are bringing a rich seam
                                  history of trialling and testing in medicine,      and the steady expansion of the range
of practical empiricism to        now taken for granted, has thrown up               of interventions covered by their
policy and practice. It is hard   many surprises, challenging established            toolkits and guidebooks, developed
                                  practices along the way. But this long road        around the needs and questions of their
work, often involving trawling    has also delivered many benefits – not least       respective professional and commissioner
through thousands of studies      longer, healthier lives – and in the process       communities.
                                  has transformed medicine from an art into
to piece together what is,        the science we recognise today.                  • Training and skills: an expansion of
and is not, known about                                                              the support to, and skills of, the policy
                                  This is a journey that is only just beginning      community in government to ensure
what works.                       in many areas of policy and professional           that civil servants have the skills to
                                  practice. Very often, policy and practice          use, and to expand, the evidence base.
                                  have been guided more by tradition and             This is not something that can be left
                                  history – “this is how we’ve always done it” –     to the analytical community alone,
                                  than by the systematic study and testing of        but needs to be in the toolkit of every
                                  what works.                                        civil servant.

                                  In the coming year, the What Works               • The internationalising of the agenda: the
                                  Network and the National Adviser,                  UK’s What Works Centres have already
                                  supported by the What Works Team, will             begun to attract attention from across
                                  aim to increase the profile and reach of           the world. Most countries are asking
                                  the Centres and the broader What Works             similar questions about how best to
                                  approach. Their work will include:                 teach children, boost local growth,
What Works? |33

  or reduce crime. The evidence the
  Centres draw on is international. Better
  coordination across countries could lead
  to the outputs being international too,
  and the costs shared.

The UK public sector spent £674bn in
2012/13 alone. If the What Works Centres
can help professionals and commissioners
spend even a fraction of this money more
effectively, the impact will be enormous.
It is an ambitious programme, but one that
the Centres are determined to deliver.
34| What Works?

Annex A: The What Works Centres

What Works Centre          Est.                      Policy Area                Status                        Funders
The National Institute     1999                      Health and social care     Operationally            Department of Health
for Health and Care                                                             independent Non-
Excellence                                                                      departmental Public Body
                                                                                of the Department of
                                                                                Health.
Education Endowment        2011                      Educational attainment     Founded by parent             Department for Education
Foundation                                                                      charities, the Sutton Trust
                                                                                and Impetus-PEF, and
                                                                                funded by a DfE grant.
Early Intervention         July 2013                 Early intervention         Independent charity.          ESRC and Government
Foundation                                                                                                    Departments

What Works Centre for      Sep 2013                  Crime                      Hosted by the College of      College of Policing and
Crime Reduction                                                                 Policing.                     ESRC

What Works Centre for      Oct 2013                  Local economic growth      Collaboration between         ESRC and Government
Local Economic Growth                                                           the London School of          Departments
                                                                                Economics, Centre for
                                                                                Cities and Arup.
What Works Centre for      Oct 2014                  Well-being                 Currently hosted by           ESRC, Government
Well-being                                                                      Public Health England.        Departments and
                                                                                                              agencies, potential
                                                                                                              charitable funders
Centre for Ageing Better   TBC                       Ageing                     In development.               BIG Lottery Fund

What Works Scotland and The Public Policy Institute for Wales have also joined the What Works Network as associate members.
Twitter: @whatworksuk
Email: whatworks@cabinet-office.gsi.gov.uk
Website: www.gov.uk/what-works-network
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