What Works? evidence for decision makers - 25th November 2014
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To find out ‘What Works’… ...visit the What Works Centre websites and find The National Institute for Health and Care Excellence The Education Endowment Foundation out more about how you www.nice.org.uk http://educationendowmentfoundation.org.uk can use our services to help you get better value for money. The Early Intervention Foundation The College of Policing http://www.eif.org.uk http://www.college.police.uk The What Works Centre for Wellbeing http://whatworkswellbeing.org The What Works Centre for Local Economic Growth The Centre for Ageing Better http://whatworksgrowth.org http://www.centreforageingbetter.com What Works Scotland The Public Policy Institute for Wales http://whatworksscotland.ac.uk http://ppiw.org.uk
What Works? |3 Contents 5 A Message of Support 6 Introduction: Why ‘What Works’ Matters 8 What Works: Some of our findings… 9 What Works: Health and Social Care 13 What Works: Education 18 What Works: Early Intervention 22 What Works: Crime Reduction 25 What Works: Local Economic Growth 30 What Works: A Growing Network 32 What Works: What Next 34 Annex A: The What Works Centres
4| What Works?
What Works? |5 A Message of Support In March 2013 we launched As we continue to improve and reform education, early intervention, crime and public services at a time when finances local growth. We believe that in the coming the What Works Network, are tight, it is more important than ever years, as the Centres mature, the Network a world leading initiative that taxpayers’ money is spent in the most will deliver a step-change in the way that designed to embed robust effective way. Together, the What Works local government, national government, Centres cover policy areas with public and front line practitioners make decisions evidence at the heart of local spending of over £200 billion, and are about how to deliver public services. and national policy-making. helping to ensure that policy decisions and professional practice are based We want that process to begin now, and so upon robust evidence of what works we welcome this first report of collected to deliver value for money and better findings. We urge commissioners and outcomes for all. practitioners to draw on the growing body of outputs from the Centres; and we urge Five of the six initial Centres have now policy-makers to help the Centres find been in action for a year or more, and last out what works by robustly evaluating month saw the launch of the new What the impact of their policies. We are Works Centre for Wellbeing. What Works convinced that in a decade we will Scotland and the Public Policy Institute wonder how we ever did without the for Wales have also joined the Network What Works Centres; let’s not wait as associate members. until then to start putting their findings to work. This report brings together a selection of early findings from the Centres: on health, Rt Hon Oliver Letwin MP Rt Hon Danny Alexander MP Minister for Government Policy Chief Secretary to the Treasury
6| What Works? Introduction: Why ‘What Works’ Matters By Dr David Halpern, When your doctor prescribes a medicine, Generate What Works National Adviser you have good grounds to trust that it will At the heart of the What Works mission is be effective: drugs are tested for safety the generation and collation of evidence. The ultimate goal of the and effectiveness before they come to The What Works Centres systematically market, and the National Institute for assess and synthesise the evidence on What Works Network is Health and Care Excellence (NICE) makes what works within their field of expertise. to support better public evidence-based recommendations for Their independent status underpins practitioners about which treatments their work, ensuring that commissioners, services. The Network, should be available. But when you drop practitioners and the public can trust their and Centres that compose your child off at school, or turn to the conclusions. Where gaps in the evidence police to keep you safe, the evidence base are identified, some of the Centres also it, are designed to do standing behind the education and crime have the resources to generate new this by ensuring that the interventions being used has until recently evidence through trials and evaluations, been much weaker. such as the 93 evaluations that have been best evidence of ‘what commissioned since 2011 by the Education works’ is available to the Loosely based on the model of NICE, Endowment Foundation. founded in 1999, a series of people who actually make independent ‘What Works’ institutions Transmit the decisions; not only have been created since 2010. Generating and collating the evidence is of government ministers and These Centres are dedicated to the no use if it never reaches the commissioners generation, transmission and adoption of and professionals who need it. All the council leaders, but also evidence. This report highlights their work What Works Centres are led or staffed by doctors, headteachers, police by bringing together for the first time a leading experts, but rather than scholarly selection of findings from the Centres’ articles, their outputs are designed to chiefs, children’s services work to date. be widely accessible, fully public and professionals and many more.
What Works? |7 easily understood. Each of the Centres clinical practice1. The Centres are therefore The role of the What Works Centres is to has developed, or is developing, easy committed not only to publishing expert offer the best expert assessment available. to understand tools and guidance that guidance, but to supporting commissioners It is for the professional or commissioner summarise the evidence and provide clear and practitioners to utilise it. They are to make the final judgment on what to and practical advice for professionals and consulting with and meeting users, do. Commissioners and practitioners will commissioners. they are training professionals and always need to consider additional factors, they are working directly with Local such as public sentiment and local context; These incorporate clear assessments Authorities and other decision making now they will also be able to weigh the about which specific interventions are bodies to help them put evidence impartial, expert view on ‘what works’ into effective, and which are not, and measures into action. This report provides these judgments. of how confident the Centres are about some examples of these collaborations these judgments, based on a systematic to date. approach to assessing the strength of the Dr David Halpern, What Works National Adviser evidence. Crucially, all the Centres also Danielle Mason, What Works Team aspire to incorporate cost-effectiveness 1 Balas EA, Boren SA. Managing clinical knowledge for Laura Baynton, What Works Team health care improvement. In: Bemmel J, McCray AT, editors. into their advice and guidance. Yearbook of Medical Informatics 2000: Patient-Centered Louise Moore, What Works Team Systems. Stuttgart, Germany: Schattauer Verlagsgesellschaft Adopt mbH; 2000:65-70. Even in medicine, where robust empirical studies have shown one treatment to be more effective than another, it can take many years for best practice to be adopted across the profession: Balas and Boren estimated that it took an average 17 years for empirical results in medicine to feed into
8| What Works? Title Works: Some of our findings… What Crime Education Local Growth Health Early Intervention ‘Hot spot’ policing Peer tutoring Whilst they have More lives would be The Family Nurse - patrolling in small approaches, where intrinsic social value, saved or improved if Partnership programme areas where crime has learners work in small the local economic people with acute heart has been shown to be been concentrated groups to provide each impacts of major failure were routinely effective in the US for - reduces crime and other with explicit sporting and cultural treated by specialist improving children’s does not simply move teaching support, have, projects tend not to heart failure teams. health and development, it round the corner. on average, a high be large and are more with the benefits impact on attainment often zero. outweighing the costs at a low cost. by around four to one. These are just a small selection of the Centres’ findings to date. Visit the websites listed on the second page for further findings.
What Works? |9 What Works: Health and Social Care The National Institute for NICE guidance Originally set up to consider clinical and prevention with anticoagulant Health and Care Excellence interventions, NICE’s remit has expanded; treatment. http://www.nice.org.uk/ (NICE) was founded in 1999. in 2006 to include public health, and in guidance/CG180 It has gained a worldwide 2012 social care. Over 1,000 pieces of NICE guidance have been published in total, all • Providing people who inject drugs with reputation for its pioneering available on the NICE website (www.nice. needles, syringes and other injecting use of clinical and cost- org.uk). Some recent examples of NICE equipment reduces injection risks such findings are provided below: as blood-borne viruses and bacterial effectiveness methodologies infections. to produce authoritative www.nice.org.uk/guidance/PH52 advice and guidelines. • More lives would be saved or improved Indeed, the What Works if people with acute heart failure were routinely treated by specialist NICE also maintain a record of practices Network was first envisaged heart failure teams. www.nice.org.uk/ that they have categorised as not cost- as a “NICE for social policy” guidance/CG187 effective at: http://www.nice.org.uk/ savingsAndProductivity/collection?page= and the cost-effectiveness • Novel oral anticoagulants (NOACs) 1&pageSize=2000&type=Do%20not%20 aspect of the What Works should be offered, where appropriate, do&published=&impact=&filter. Some instead of aspirin and as an alternative examples are: remit was largely modelled to warfarin, to prevent stroke risk in on the NICE technology patients with atrial fibrillation. NICE appraisal. estimates 7,000 strokes and 2,000 • Do not routinely offer social skills premature deaths could be avoided training (as a specific intervention) each year with effective detection to people with psychosis or schizophrenia.
10| What Works? As part of the systematic review of the cost-effectiveness is a central aspect of • Do not offer acupuncture for the relevant evidence which underpins each TA, the appraisal. Figure 1 shows estimates of management of osteoarthritis. the comparable cost-effectiveness of each the cost per QALY gained for technologies technology is assessed by estimating the appraised by NICE between 2007 and Dec • Do not use a pharmacological cost of the technology per ‘quality-adjusted 2013 (TA114 to TA301). intervention to aid sleep in children and life year’ (QALY) gained as a result of its young people unless sleep problems use2. In general, interventions costing less The graph illustrates the crucial role are having a negative impact on them than £20,000 per QALY are considered that cost-effectiveness plays in the and their family or carers. by NICE to be cost-effective. Interventions recommendations: all those technologies costing between £20,000 and £30,000 per with a cost per QALY gained of £20,000 NICE technology appraisals QALY may be considered cost-effective if or below were recommended, whilst the The purpose of NICE technology appraisals certain conditions are satisfied. NICE does majority of those with a cost per QALY (TAs) is to appraise the health benefits and not usually recommend an intervention if it gained of £30,000 or more were not. the costs of medical technologies such costs more than £30,000 per QALY (other as medicines and surgical procedures. than for certain end-of-life treatments) Cost-effectiveness and public The TAs inform NICE’s guidelines on which unless a strong case can be made that it is health interventions technologies should be made available an effective use of NHS resources. It is also possible to assess cost- on the National Health Service (NHS). effectiveness for public health interventions Because the NHS has finite resources, NICE Cost-effectiveness is not the sole measure such as smoking cessation and exercise guidelines need to consider not only the used to decide whether a technology will programmes, and NICE does this wherever effectiveness of different treatments, but be recommended; also of relevance are possible in its Public Health Guidelines. their cost-effectiveness: using more cost- factors such as the benefits of innovation, A 2011 study by Owen et al3 analysed effective treatments means the NHS can the impact on other NHS objectives, and cost-effectiveness estimates for 200 achieve more with the same resources. other social value judgements. However, interventions. The authors conclude that 2 A quality-adjusted life year (QALY) is a measure of the state of health of a person or group in which the benefits, in terms of length of life, are adjusted to reflect the quality of life. One QALY is equal to 1 year of life in perfect health. QALYs are calculated by estimating the years of life remaining for a patient following a particular treatment or intervention and weighting each year with a quality of life score (on a zero to 1 scale).
What Works? |11 Figure 1: Most credible cost per QALY gained for technologies appraised by NICE between 2007 and Dec 2013 (TA114 to TA301) Notes for Figure 1 Graph produced by NICE. The graph indicates the decisions made by the Appraisal Committee, chronologically since 2007, and the respective cost per QALY gained. The graph includes the following simplifications: Cost • Where the Committee stated a range of credible cost per QALY gained, the midpoint estimate is shown. • Where the Committee considered that the most credible cost per QALY gained presented was between £20,000 and £30,000, this is shown as £30,000 per QALY gained. • Where the technology dominated (i.e. was cheaper and more effective than) the comparator, this is shown as £0. • On the occasions where the most credible cost per QALY gained presented was above £150,000, this is shown as £150,000 per QALY gained. • Abbreviations: EoL, end of life; QALY, quality- adjusted life year. Technology appraisals in chronological order
12| What Works? the majority of public health interventions However, evidence on the cost- considered were highly cost-effective effectiveness of public health interventions when assessed against the NICE thresholds is less widely collected than for clinical discussed above. Indeed, the analysis interventions: better evidence on public identified 30 interventions which were health interventions could help to support actually cost saving. This means that more cost-effective allocation of health they were not only more effective than resources in the future. the comparator, but also cheaper. These included: • a number of smoking cessation interventions; • a number of interventions to manage long term sickness and incapacity for work; and • a number of interventions to prevent harmful drinking in people with alcohol use disorders. 3 “The cost-effectiveness of public health interventions” in the Journal of Public Health, 2011. Owen L, Morgan A, Fischer A, Ellis S, Hoy A, Kelly MP.
What Works? |13 What Works: Education The Education Endowment Since its launch, the EEF has commissioned 93 evaluations and committed £52 million are trained to support pupils in Foundation was launched of funding to innovative and scalable evidence-based and well-structured in 2011 by lead charity The projects. In total, EEF projects are interventions. Sutton Trust, in partnership working in 4,500 schools and reaching 630,000 pupils. • Helping pupils struggling with literacy with Impetus Trust, with a at the start of secondary school is founding grant from the These are some of the EEF’s latest findings, extremely challenging, and it is highly covering both their own evaluations and unlikely that a single intervention Department for Education. analysis of other published work: will be sufficient to help them catch Its aim is to raise the up with their peers. However, some approaches are more effective than attainment of children • Peer tutoring approaches, where others. In a recent EEF trial, pupils who facing disadvantage by learners work in small groups to went on school trips were then taught provide each other with explicit a structured approach to improving generating and synthesising teaching support, have, on average, their writing using the trip as a source evidence about educational a high impact on attainment for of inspiration. The pupils who received low cost. this intervention made an average innovations, and encouraging of nine months additional progress schools, government, • Research to date has suggested that compared to the control group. students in a class with a teaching charities, and others to apply assistant do not, on average, perform • Small group tuition can be a cost- evidence and adopt those better than those in a class with only effective alternative to one-to-one innovations found to a teacher. However, EEF trials have tuition as a way to provide intensive shown that teaching assistants can support for struggling pupils. be effective. have a positive impact if they This is true despite the fact that small group tuition is on average, slightly
14| What Works? Figure 2: Selection from the EEF/Sutton Trust Teaching and Learning Toolkit Toolkit i Toolkit info Pupil Premium Calculator Latest Updates Downloads About the Toolkit Arts participation + 2 months Using the Toolkit Pupil Premium Calculator Aspiration interventions 0 months Videos and Case Studies Evidence Briefs Behaviour interventions + 4 months Toolkit Filter Block scheduling 0 months Sort By A-Z Collaborative learning + 5 months 4 Average impact i Digital technology + months Cost i Early years intervention + 6 months Extending schooltime + 2 months Evidence i Feedback + 8 months Categories i Primary Homework (Primary) + 1 month Secondary
What Works? |15 an online tool which allows teachers and The Toolkit has quickly become a popular less effective than one-to-one tuition, school leaders to compare the estimated resource for school leadership teams because it is also much less expensive. impact and cost of different types of looking for guidance on how to spend their educational intervention. Like NICE resources effectively. In a recent survey • Rewarding pupils’ effort with technology appraisals, the Toolkit uses a by the Sutton Trust, 45% of school leaders financial incentives does not lead to common measure of impact - the average said they used the Toolkit to inform their a significant improvement in GCSE additional months progress a pupil would spending decisions, up from 36% in 2013. results, according to a randomised be expected to make in one year if they Among secondary school leaders the controlled trial involving 10,000 pupils experienced the intervention - to enable proportion rises to 54%. across England. comparison between different types of intervention. • Repeating a year is an expensive intervention and has consistently been By summarising this data, along with details found to have a negative impact on on implementation and applicability, the attainment4. Toolkit provides guidance for teachers and schools on how to best use their resources, particularly their Pupil The Teaching and Learning Toolkit Premium allocation. The Teaching and Learning Toolkit – produced in collaboration by the EEF, the Figure 2 shows a section from the Toolkit Sutton Trust and Durham University – is a and Figure 3 uses the data from the Toolkit groundbreaking example of how complex to illustrate the average cost and impact and often inaccessible research findings of interventions. School leaders are also can be presented in a useful way to encouraged to consider the context of practitioners. their schools and their existing provision as part of an evidence-informed decision 4 More detail on all the interventions listed can be found on The Toolkit synthesises over 10,000 pieces making process. the EEF website: http://educationendowmentfoundation.org. of quantitative educational research into uk/toolkit/about-the-toolkit/
16| What Works? Figure 3: Approximate cost and effect size for 34 education interventions As well as helping school leaders decide which approaches to try, the Toolkit aims to support decisions about implementation. 9 Interventions with relatively high For example, research has shown that impact for relatively low cost schools’ current deployment of Teaching 8 Meta-Cognition and Self-Regulation Assistants is not, on average, having an Feedback impact on pupils’ progress. However, Average additional months of progress achieved 7 following promising findings from recent EEF evaluations, the Toolkit now suggests 6 Peer Tutoring specific ways in which Teaching Assistants Early Years Intervention Collaborative Learning Homework (Secondary) can be deployed to have a higher impact. Reading Comprehension Strategies 5 Mastery Learning One to One Tuition The Toolkit also contains more detailed Oral Language Interventions information on the impact of interventions Digital Technology 4 Phonics Social and Behaviour Interventions Small Group Tuition on particular sub-groups, such as children Emotional Learning from low-income backgrounds. Reducing class sizes 3 Outdoor Adventure Learning Parental Involvement Extending School Time Source: The Sutton Trust – EEF Teaching and Learning Learning Styles 2 Summer Schools Toolkit and Technical Appendices. Arts Participation Sports Participation Individualised Instruction Estimated cost per pupil per year is based on a class 1 Homework (Primary) Mentoring Teaching Assistants size of 25. Performance Pay Aspiration Interventions Text highlighted in bold signifies interventions for Physical Environment 0 Block Scheduling 200 which the evidence on effectiveness is extensive or 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 School Uniform very extensive according to the Toolkit definitions. -1 Setting or Streaming Cost estimates in the graph are approximate. If you Out of range Average months progress = -4. Cost = £6000 wish to use the Toolkit cost estimates to support -2 Estimated cost per pupil, per year (£) Repeating a Year decision making you should refer to the full Toolkit on the EEF website for more detailed cost information.
What Works? |17 “I have used [the Toolkit] countless times when talking to staff, parents and governors and it has... created a culture shift within the school so that staff became much more aware of educational research and started to question approaches to education and their impact.” Kate Atkins, Headteacher at Rosendale Primary School
18| What Works? What Works: Early Intervention The Early Intervention The EIF Guidebook Figure 4: The search page of Foundation (EIF) was The EIF Guidebook (http://guidebook. the EIF guidebook eif.org.uk/) is an innovative new resource established in July 2013 as which currently summarises key features an independent charity with of 50 Early Intervention (EI) programmes available in the UK (see Figure 4). a remit to: It provides information on: programme aims, the nature of the intervention and, • Assess the evidence on where available, costs and benefits. which interventions work Robust cost-benefit analysis is available and their relative value for some EI programmes, mainly those for money. implemented in the US; important findings include: • Advise government, local • The HighScope Perry Preschool Program councils and agencies, has a benefit-cost ratio of between charities and investors 7:1 and 12:15, mainly through improved employment and earnings, and reduced on what works for crime and welfare dependence6. whom, when. • Chicago Child-Parent Centers delivered • Advocate for early substantial benefits by the time participants were age 26, mainly through intervention to key increased earnings and reduced decision makers. criminal justice and child welfare costs. For preschool participants, the benefit- cost ratio was almost 11:17.
What Works? |19 “[We will implement] • Follow-up studies of Family Nurse The EIF Pioneering Places Partnership (now implemented in the The EIF is using the data from the a shift... toward an UK) suggest that where it has been Guidebook and other new tools to evidence-based implemented in the US, the benefit-cost support its 20 Pioneering Places, which ratio achieved is between 3:1 and 5:1. are undertaking radical system change portfolio of support… This is achieved mainly through reduced welfare costs8 . to improve overall effectiveness. It has provided the areas with tailored where cost benefit assessments of the strength of evidence analysis can be For the vast majority of EI programmes for the interventions they are using. however, detailed cost and benefit analysis Based on returns from 13 EIF places aligned. Using the has never been captured and there is only general evidence on effectiveness. it found that: evidence of the Often the relevant information is available • Nearly half (47%) of the interventions Early Intervention but has not yet been collated, analysed and assessed. The EIF supports local being delivered had little or no evidence in an established clearing house. Foundation commissioners in understanding the local Guidebook we will costs and benefits of different approaches, • 3% of the interventions being and their implementation requirements. delivered have been proven to build on our service In future versions of the Guidebook these factors will also be included as means of be ineffective. portfolio and bring in rating programmes, and providers will This work helps places to focus new programmes”. have to supply cost information for their resources on services that are more likely programme in order for it to be included to be effective and thus provide better in the Guidebook. value for money. Croydon Local Authority, Transformation Challenge Award submission
20| What Works? The EIF has also created a fund in Years and a review on Social and partnership with the Economic and Social Emotional Learning in School and cost. There are emerging and promising Research Council (ESRC) which encourages Youth Settings in train. Key findings approaches being tested and requiring places to develop a partnership with a of what works in these areas are wider rollout, as discussed in EIF’s university in order to produce robust presented below: recent evidence review. http://www.eif. evaluation plans. This has led to the funding org.uk/publications/early-intervention- of high quality programme evaluations in-domestic-violence-and-abuse-full- in three Early Intervention Places: What works for tackling domestic report/ violence and abuse: • ‘Step Up’, an early response model A narrowly specified ‘Duluth’ model (a As ever prevention is better than cure. to improve child protection outcomes common programme for perpetrators There are some promising programmes in cases of domestic violence in of domestic violence and abuse, the which aim to change attitudes and Blackpool. content of which is based solely on behaviour among young people in concepts of gender politics) has been relation to domestic violence and abuse. • Functional Family Therapy in found by Randomised Controlled ‘Safe Dates’, a school-based approach, Croydon for Troubled Families and those Trials in the USA to have no effect on is a relatively inexpensive example (an at risk of involvement in youth crime. reoffending rates. It is also relatively indicative analysis suggests that it might expensive (analysis indicates costs of typically cost around $17 per student) • Baby Express, a month-by-month around $1,400 per participant)9. which would benefit from further testing magazine for new parents in of effectiveness. Greater Manchester. The overall cost to UK society of domestic violence and abuse stands at EIF Reviews over £15.7bn (and of course the human Along with the Guidebook, EIF has costs are very great). Reoffending rates published one new systematic review on are in the order of 40% and so the Domestic Violence and Abuse with another benefits of effective interventions for shortly to be published on the Early perpetrators would readily repay their
What Works? |21 What works to enhance the majority of behaviour programmes development of language, surveyed are group-based, there are communication and social and more group-based programmes with emotional skills through parent and evidence of effectiveness overall. child interaction (for 0-5 year-olds): Those offered at the targeted or specialist level tend to have more • Programmes work best if they robust evidence than those offered are tailored to level of need and at the universal level. specific ages, for example infancy, toddlerhood, and pre-school. • Among the programmes that aim to improve attachment, the most • Of the programmes surveyed, those effective ones tend to feature the that aim to improve behaviour tend following methods: to have stronger more established evidence of effectiveness compared • helping mothers understand their to those that aim to support the own attachment histories. 5 That is, an overall return of between 7 and 12 dollars for every dollar invested, once cost savings are taken attachment relationship or children’s into account. cognitive development. • coaching parents through the 6 Heckman, J., Moon, S., Pinto, R., Savelyev, P., Yavitz, A. (2010), “The rate of return to the HighScope Perry Preschool use of videotapes of parent/child Program”, Journal of Public Economics, Vol. 94, Issues 1–2, • Among the programmes that aim interaction. pp. 114–128. http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/ S0047272709001418 to improve behaviour, home visiting 7 Reynolds, A., Temple, J., White, B., Ou, S.-R., Robertson, D. or individual therapy interventions • Many of these attachment (2011), “Age 26 cost-benefit analysis of the child-parent center have the strongest evidence of programmes are suitable for early education program”, Child Development, Vol. 82, Issue 1, pp. 379–404. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1467- effectiveness, compared to group- delivery by health visitors and 8624.2010.01563.x/abstract based ones for which the strength of clinical psychologists. 8 FNP Evidence Summary Leaflet, 2011, London: Department of Health. evidence is more variable. However as 9 See http://www.wsipp.wa.gov/BenefitCost/Program/86.
22| What Works? What Works: Crime Reduction The College of Policing was The College’s What Works programme • Simply putting more bobbies on the was set up in September 2013 to map the established in 2013 with a beat has not been found to reduce crime reduction research evidence beyond mission to identify, develop crime, unless they are carefully policing, and to get this evidence used in and promote practice based targeted, or if police flood an area practice. The College and the ESRC have because of a short-term risk. co-funded a consortium led by University on evidence. The College College London to identify and label all the has already produced • To reduce crime without displacing existing reviews of crime reduction research it, officers need to be targeted on evidence, so the results can be viewed in a series of ‘what works’ ‘hot spots’, which means they patrol one place online. briefings to highlight what in small areas where crime has been concentrated, or to work with a local The Online Crime Reduction Toolkit is known about effective community to analyse and solve The What Works Centre online tool will policing. The College’s problems (known as neighbourhood be launched in January to give easy or community policing). access to the evidence on crime reduction findings include: interventions. Over 300 research reviews • Everyday police behaviour is have been identified and will be added important: treating people fairly and to the online tool over time, with CCTV, with respect in every encounter, street lighting and prison visits to deter whether they are a victim or a young offenders (sometimes referred to as suspect, means they are more likely Scared Straight programmes) first on the to obey the law in the future. list to be presented. Users will be able to weigh up evidence on the impact, cost and You can see the full briefings at: www. implementation of interventions and use college.police.uk this as part of their decision making. An innovative element of this particular
What Works? |23 toolkit is that it will also summarise Figure 5: Online Crime Reduction Toolkit the evidence on how and in which circumstances each intervention works, enabling practitioners to ensure that they Crime Reduction Toolkit have captured the key elements of what About the toolkit Intervention Impact on How it Where it How to What it makes them work in a given operational crime works works do it costs Our effect scale context. Figure 5 below provides an Effect Mechanism Moderator Implementation Economic cost illustration of what the tool will look like. Closed circuit television The new tool will be useful in highlighting Keys programmes that are unlikely to deliver Quality of evidence Improved street lighting in value for money. For example, Scared public places Straight style programmes, which take at- risk young people on prison visits with the Filters Sample 1 aim of reducing the risk of them offending Impact on crime (select a range using the markers below) in future. The evidence suggests that these programmes are not effective, and in some Sample 2 cases participants may be more likely to offend after the intervention. Sample 5 Violent Crime Off On The What Works Centre will also carry out new evidence reviews to fill existing Property Crime Off On Sample 6 evidence gaps, on topics including knife Offender based Off On crime prevention, criminal justice responses Off On Victim Based to domestic abuse, and the use of alley Sample 7 Location Based Off On gates to prevent crime.
24| What Works? “[I am] delighted Outreach programme What Works master classes: In Essex, The What Works Centre also has an master classes prompted the senior team that Essex Police, ambitious programme of engagement and to test the use of predictive policing under the leadership outreach which aims to raise awareness techniques to tackle burglary, and to and skill levels among police staff and other allocate their body worn video cameras of Chief Constable stakeholders. to a randomly selected group of officers, Stephen Kavanagh Professional standards: Research evidence and compare their results with those of officers without cameras. In this way, the and Chief Supt is being built into the professional training, force and the College delivered a rigorous, guidance, selection and promotion low cost test of the impact of body worn Carl O’Malley, have processes in policing. At the same time, video on criminal justice outcomes in implemented an police skills in reviewing and using evidence are being developed. A pilot programme domestic abuse. Results suggested use of video helped increase the proportion of innovative, science- called ‘Evidence Base Camp’ allowed 60 detections that ended with a charge. based, professional police officers and staff to learn about searching for, sifting and assessing research policing operation.” while carrying out rapid reviews of evidence on ‘hot’ topics, which they used to brief national decision makers. Innovation fund: The College is helping forces and academics to create new PCC Nick Alston research evidence. Its Innovation Fund awarded £600,000 of seed funding to 16 joint force/academic bids to stimulate new collaborative research at a regional level.
What Works? |25 What Works: Local Economic Growth The What Works Centre for The approach is three-fold: The Centre places a premium on making its products straightforward and accessible. Local Economic Growth was 1. Evidence reviews: review the existing Figure 6 taken from the Centre’s website founded in October 2013. evidence base relating to economic describes the process of the evidence The overall aim of the Centre development policy areas, drawing out reviews. findings that are backed by systematic, is to significantly improve the rigorous evaluation. Some of the headline results from the use of evidence in the design reviews are summarised below. 2. Capacity building: work with policy- and delivery of policies for makers and delivery partners to build local economic growth and their capacity to incorporate measures of mployment training http:// E policy impact into their programmes at whatworksgrowth.org/policy-area/ employment, leading to the earliest stage. employment-training/ more effective policies and 3. Demonstration projects: design • For basic skills or interventions aimed policy-making. demonstration projects in partnership at raising general employability for with Local Enterprise Partnerships individuals, shorter programmes (LEPs) and Local Authorities to address (below six months, and probably particular gaps in the evidence base. below four months) have a larger, stronger effect on participants’ Evidence reviews employment than longer programmes. Since October 2013, the Centre has Shorter programmes are also likely to published four evidence reviews looking be cheaper which suggests that they at the impact on local economic growth should be more cost-effective than of employment training, business advice, longer programmes. major sporting and cultural events and access to finance programmes.
26| What Works? Figure 6: Evidence Review Methodology for the What Works Centre for Local Economic Growth
What Works? |27 • In-firm/on the job training to develop options for properly they might improve wellbeing (the programmes outperform classroom- evaluating relative cost-effectiveness What Works Centre for Wellbeing was based training programmes. Employer of these different approaches as part launched in October). co-design and activities that closely of the development of Growth Hubs. mirror actual jobs appear to be key design elements that could increase Major sporting and cultural events Access to finance cost-effectiveness. http://whatworksgrowth.org/ http://whatworksgrowth.org/ policy-area/sport-and-culture/ policy-area/access-to-finance/ Business advice http://what- worksgrowth.org/policy-area/ • The overall measurable effects of • While most access to finance business-support/ major sport and culture projects on programmes appear to improve a local economy tend not to be large access to finance (e.g. increase • Business advice programmes show and are more often zero. credit availability), there is much consistently better results for firm weaker evidence that this leads productivity and output than they • Any wage and income effects of to improved firm performance. do for firm employment. projects are usually small and limited This makes it much harder to assess to the immediate locality or particular whether access to finance is a cost- • Business advice programmes that use types of workers. effective way of improving the wider a ‘managed brokerage’ approach seem economic outcomes (e.g. productivity, to perform better than those that use • Given the significant cost of most employment) that policy-makers a light touch delivery model. However, major sport and culture projects they care about. such managed brokerage models are are unlikely to be cost-effective in also more expensive, making it difficult terms of increasing local economic to assess relative cost-effectiveness. growth, although sport and culture The Centre is working with a number have intrinsic value to people aside of Local Enterprise Partnerships from economic benefits, for example,
28| What Works? Capacity building innovative economic model which allows The Centre has presented its work to comparison of expected programme over 300 policy-makers, officers and cost-effectiveness. delivery partners in its first year, and is constantly expanding its network through: Demonstration projects the dedicated supporters on its User The Centre is working on a number of Panel; collaboration with partners such as projects intended to provide better the Local Government Association; and evidence on programme cost-effectiveness government-led projects such as the Public and to compare the cost-effectiveness Services Transformation Network. of different programme design elements. These demonstrator projects are being The Centre is rolling out a series of co-created with a local partner (typically workshops aimed at helping LEPs and a Local Authority or LEP) with the Centre Local Authorities improve the use of providing advice on design, implementation evidence in the design and delivery of and evaluation. Projects in development policies. The sessions focus on the use include randomising elements of post Work of cost-benefit analysis to compare Programme support, testing different forms expected programme cost-effectiveness. of start-up and business support across a They also highlight the importance of number of Growth Hubs, and randomising building evaluation into programme design entry into a technology startup accelerator. to allow for the assessment of actual cost- effectiveness. The sessions are delivered by New Economy Manchester (NEM), a LEP that has significant expertise in this area. The Centre is also working with New Economy Manchester to embed findings from the evidence reviews into the NEM’s
What Works? |29 “Being clear about what works in terms of achieving economic growth is... something that all public service leaders should be interested in... the focus on the evidence base, and on rigorous evaluation ...is certainly the right way to develop our thinking and our approach. Particularly in an environment in which every penny counts.” Joanna Killian, Chief Executive of Essex County Council and Member of User Panel
30| What Works? What Works: A Growing Network The What Works Network The What Works Centre for Wellbeing help identify the changes needed to ensure The What Works Centre for Wellbeing we all understand what we need to do to is growing. On October 29th (www.whatworkswellbeing.org) was age better. the What Works Centre for launched on October 29th, with the Wellbeing was launched, support of 17 founding partners including There is clear evidence that inequalities in Public Health England, the ESRC, our society have a huge impact on how we and the Centre for Ageing government departments, the Office for experience ageing. There is also evidence Better is currently under National Statistics, the Local Government that public services provided to people as Association and the BIG Lottery Fund. they age tend to be reactive rather than development. What Works The Centre is being set up by a preventative. The holistic needs of older Scotland and the Public development group of the founding people are often ignored when developing partners, chaired by Lord Gus O’Donnell. products or services. The goal of the Policy Institute for Wales The wellbeing field has many pioneering Centre is to help break this cycle: to identify recently joined the Network leaders and practitioners keen to share initiatives and behavioural changes that their work, learn from others, and build can help people experience the as associate members. the evidence base into a meaningful, opportunities and manage the challenges reliable, easy to navigate source. of ageing. This will help individuals to feel The Centre will develop a strong and that they are ageing well, help to prevent credible evidence base which will support statutory services (which will always be them to be able to focus their efforts needed) from becoming overwhelmed, towards those interventions that will have and benefit the whole of society. This will the biggest impact. be done by: The Centre for Ageing Better • Developing the evidence base about The Big Lottery Fund has previously what works to support ageing better. announced its intention to fund up to £50 million in the Centre for Ageing Better. • Funding projects that show promise to The Centre will invest this in projects that make a difference and helping projects
What Works? |31 with proven effectiveness to operate at involved in the design and delivery of Public Policy Institute for Wales greater scale. public services to: The Public Policy Institute for Wales (PPIW, www.ppiw.org.uk) works directly with • Working with the people, organisations, • Learn what is and what isn’t working in Welsh Ministers to improve policy-making business and statutory bodies that can their local area. and delivery by providing them with access best bring about an agenda for change. to authoritative independent analysis and • Encourage collaborative learning with a expert advice. The Institute is funded by • Joining up initiatives across the sectors range of local authority, business, public the Welsh Government and ESRC but is to make sustainable and enduring sector and community partners. operationally independent of government. change. The PPIW provides advice across the • Better understand what effective full range of the Welsh Government’s The Centre should be up and running in policy interventions and effective competencies by collaborating with early 2015. services look like. researchers and policy experts from across the UK and beyond to deliver a rolling What Works Scotland • Promote the use of evidence in planning programme of work which is agreed with What Works Scotland (www. and service delivery. the First Minister. In addition to undertaking whatworksscotland.ac.uk) is a new initiative work on specific issues which are relevant to improve the way local areas in Scotland • Help organisations get the skills and to each Minister’s portfolio, the Institute is use evidence to make decisions about knowledge they need to use and developing research on three ‘cross-cutting’ public service development and reform. interpret evidence. themes which are relevant to the Welsh The initiative brings together the Government as a whole and to the work of Universities of Glasgow and Edinburgh, • Create case studies for wider sharing several of the other What Works Centres: and other academics across Scotland, with and sustainability. managing demand for public services; a wide range of local partners. What Works tackling poverty; and promoting effective Scotland will work with specific local governance and service delivery. Community Planning Partnerships
32| What Works? What Works: What Next? The What Works Centres It is inevitable that in some areas the • Wider and deeper coverage: the release findings will cause controversy. The long of a series of reports by the Centres are bringing a rich seam history of trialling and testing in medicine, and the steady expansion of the range of practical empiricism to now taken for granted, has thrown up of interventions covered by their policy and practice. It is hard many surprises, challenging established toolkits and guidebooks, developed practices along the way. But this long road around the needs and questions of their work, often involving trawling has also delivered many benefits – not least respective professional and commissioner through thousands of studies longer, healthier lives – and in the process communities. has transformed medicine from an art into to piece together what is, the science we recognise today. • Training and skills: an expansion of and is not, known about the support to, and skills of, the policy This is a journey that is only just beginning community in government to ensure what works. in many areas of policy and professional that civil servants have the skills to practice. Very often, policy and practice use, and to expand, the evidence base. have been guided more by tradition and This is not something that can be left history – “this is how we’ve always done it” – to the analytical community alone, than by the systematic study and testing of but needs to be in the toolkit of every what works. civil servant. In the coming year, the What Works • The internationalising of the agenda: the Network and the National Adviser, UK’s What Works Centres have already supported by the What Works Team, will begun to attract attention from across aim to increase the profile and reach of the world. Most countries are asking the Centres and the broader What Works similar questions about how best to approach. Their work will include: teach children, boost local growth,
What Works? |33 or reduce crime. The evidence the Centres draw on is international. Better coordination across countries could lead to the outputs being international too, and the costs shared. The UK public sector spent £674bn in 2012/13 alone. If the What Works Centres can help professionals and commissioners spend even a fraction of this money more effectively, the impact will be enormous. It is an ambitious programme, but one that the Centres are determined to deliver.
34| What Works? Annex A: The What Works Centres What Works Centre Est. Policy Area Status Funders The National Institute 1999 Health and social care Operationally Department of Health for Health and Care independent Non- Excellence departmental Public Body of the Department of Health. Education Endowment 2011 Educational attainment Founded by parent Department for Education Foundation charities, the Sutton Trust and Impetus-PEF, and funded by a DfE grant. Early Intervention July 2013 Early intervention Independent charity. ESRC and Government Foundation Departments What Works Centre for Sep 2013 Crime Hosted by the College of College of Policing and Crime Reduction Policing. ESRC What Works Centre for Oct 2013 Local economic growth Collaboration between ESRC and Government Local Economic Growth the London School of Departments Economics, Centre for Cities and Arup. What Works Centre for Oct 2014 Well-being Currently hosted by ESRC, Government Well-being Public Health England. Departments and agencies, potential charitable funders Centre for Ageing Better TBC Ageing In development. BIG Lottery Fund What Works Scotland and The Public Policy Institute for Wales have also joined the What Works Network as associate members.
Twitter: @whatworksuk Email: whatworks@cabinet-office.gsi.gov.uk Website: www.gov.uk/what-works-network
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