Weekly News Select - Huttons Asia Pte Ltd
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Weekly News Select Jun 18, 2021 / Issue 24 Top News for the Week • New launches, looser Covid-19 restrictions may boost new home sales ahead: analysts • URA releases two land parcels at one-north's Slim Barracks Rise for sale • Million-dollar HDB flats: Half of S'pore's 24 towns have them, including Hougang, Geylang and Ang Mo Kio • Are $1m HDB resale flats going to be ‘normal’ from now on? • Singapore evaluating timing, scope of next stage of reopening • Singapore GDP tipped to grow 6.5%, led by manufacturing and exports: MAS survey • Slower population growth, ageing need not be alarming: economists • Strong external outlook likely to benefit Singapore's exports • S'pore's labour market continues recovery into 1st quarter; total employment grows by 12,200 • Singapore loses top spot in global competitiveness ranking on unfavourable geography Residential New launches, looser Covid-19 restrictions may boost new home sales ahead: analysts Developers in Singapore sold nearly 30 per cent fewer private homes in May compared with April, with sales dampened by stricter safe-distancing measures meant to curb rising Covid-19 cases here, as well as fewer launches. But analysts expect new home sales to pick up as restrictions are easing. Mark Yip, CEO of Huttons Asia, said there is room for sales in June to match May’s numbers. "The relaxed Covid-19 measures of up to five in a group may see pent-up demand translate into actual sales,” he said. In May, the number of new private homes sold stood at 891, down from April's 1,268, URA data showed. Phase 2 (Heightened Alert), which took place from May 16 to June 13, saw a reduced occupancy capacity for galleries to one person per 16 square metres, and restricted social gatherings to groups of two including the property agent. Huttons' Mr Yip noted that the difference in sales before and after the added restrictions were not significant, as the industry was more prepared to cope with disruption. Analysing caveats before and after the tighter measures were introduced, he noted that 55.3 per cent of sales were in the period from the first half of May, while 44.7 per cent of sales took place from in the second half of the month. After adjusting for the launches of One Bernam and Park Nova, the sales split is 51.2 per cent in the first half of May and 48.8 per cent in the second half of May. Links to the story: https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/real-estate/new-launches-looser-covid-19-restrictions-may-boost-new-home- sales-ahead-analysts Huttons Asia Pte Ltd | L3008899K | ROC No. 200210087C | GST Reg No. 20-0210087-C 3 Bishan Place #05-01, CPF Building, S (579838) | Tel. (65) 6253 0030 | Fax (65) 6253 0090 www.huttonsgroup.com
Weekly News Select Jun 18, 2021 / Issue 24 https://www.straitstimes.com/business/property/singapore-new-private-home-sales-drop-30-in-may-on-heightened- alert-restrictions URA releases two land parcels at one-north's Slim Barracks Rise for sale Two residential with commercial at first storey land sites at Slim Barracks Rise were released for sale, under the confirmed list of the first half 2021 government land sales (GLS) programme, announced the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA). Lee Sze Teck, director of research at Huttons Asia, said that the sites' "palatable size" will attract around 10 developers to bid for the land parcels, but at an estimated price range of between S$1,200 and S$1,300 psf ppr. He added that Slim Barracks Rise (Parcel A), with a regular plot size and closer location to Buona Vista MRT station, would be the more attractive of the two land plots, though both are appealing for their ideal location in the one-north precinct, very close to the future One Holland Village. "The bunching of two sites in the same area for sale is probably to temper land bids by developers," Mr Lee said. Together, the two land parcels can potentially yield a total of about 405 residential units. Slim Barracks Rise (Parcel A) spans 7,957.3 sq m with a maximum gross floor area of 23,872 sq m; Slim Barracks Rise (Parcel B) possesses a site area of 5,936.6 sq m and a maximum gross floor area of 12,467 sq m. Mr Lee believes that as both plots of land are not next to each other, it will prevent the situation of one developer securing both plots and achieving economies of scale and monopoly in the area. The tender for an earlier residential site at Slim Barracks Rise closed in September 2019 after it drew nine bids. The site was developed into one-north Eden, whose units command a median transacted price of about S$2,000 per sq ft. According to Mr Lee, the development sold more than 80 per cent of its units on launch day and, as at end-May 2021, is almost 90 per cent sold. "There is demand for homes in one-north precinct which is unsatisfied," he said. Links to the story: https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/real-estate/ura-releases-two-land-parcels-at-one-norths-slim-barracks-rise-for- sale-0 https://www.straitstimes.com/business/property/two-sites-for-private-housing-at-one-norths-slim-barracks-rise- released-for-sale IOI Properties said to have triggered Marina View plot An entity linked to IOI Properties Group has been tipped as the party that triggered the white site in Marina View from the reserve list of the first-half 2021 Government Land Sales Programme. The 0.78-hectare (about 84,000 sq ft) site, with 99-year leasehold tenure, can be developed up to 1.09 million sq ft of gross floor area (GFA). The plot can generate some 905 private homes, 540 hotel rooms and 21,528 sq ft GFA of commercial space. IOI Properties, listed on Bursa Malaysia, declined to comment on the Marina View site when approached by The Business Times. Link to the story: https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/real-estate/ioi-properties-said-to-have-triggered-marina-view-plot-0 Huttons Asia Pte Ltd | L3008899K | ROC No. 200210087C | GST Reg No. 20-0210087-C 3 Bishan Place #05-01, CPF Building, S (579838) | Tel. (65) 6253 0030 | Fax (65) 6253 0090 www.huttonsgroup.com
Weekly News Select Jun 18, 2021 / Issue 24 Plum site near Botanic Gardens stirs buyer interest as GCB market continues to sizzle Amid the current sizzling Good Class Bungalow (GCB) market, a plum property just a stone's throw from the Singapore Botanic Gardens has been generating much interest. Sitting on nearly 90,000 sq ft of freehold land at 2 Lermit Road, within the Cluny Park GCB Area, the property could be worth S$300 million (S$3,340 psf) or more, according to market watchers. A transaction at this level would be a record in absolute price terms for a GCB Area, surpassing the S$230 million that a Nassim Road bungalow was sold for by Wing Tai Holdings chairman Cheng Wai Keung two years ago. The Lermit Road property is held by a privately-owned vehicle of Stamford Land executive chairman Ow Chio Kiat and his family. Currently on site is Botanic Lodge, an old low-rise apartment development, but market watchers say the highest and best use for the site would be to redevelop it into bungalows, or possibly a grand mansion fit for a billionaire. The site, with triple road frontage, including along Cluny Road, is big enough to be carved into as many as five bungalow plots based on the 1,400 sq m (or about 15,070 sq ft) minimum plot size stipulated by the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) as the planning norm for newly-created bungalows in GCB Areas. Link to the story: https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/real-estate/plum-site-near-botanic-gardens-stirs-buyer-interest-as-gcb-market- continues-to-sizzle Singapore property agents expect to benefit from relaxed Covid measures Singapore property agents are optimistic about the effects of relaxed Covid-19 measures. The Multi-Ministry Taskforce (MTF) announced on Thursday that social gathering group sizes will increase from two to five persons, effective June 14. Occupancy limits of shopping malls and show galleries will also increase to one person per 10 square metres (sq m) of gross floor area, up from the current one person per 16 sq m. This brings the occupancy rule back to pre-Phase 2 (Heightened Alert) levels. However it is still stricter than the one person per 8 sq m limit implemented when Singapore first entered Phase 3 on Dec 28, 2020. Link to the story: https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/real-estate/singapore-property-agents-expect-to-benefit-from-relaxed-covid- measures Property market sees rise in spoof messages from purported agents The stronger property market in Singapore may have unleashed a new trend - that of text spoofing. There has been a rise in spoofing cases, in which scammers pose as property agents asking homeowners if they want to rent out their spaces, said analysts. While the messages sent initially do not come with clear call-to-action or attached links, that confirmation and access to a "live" number opens up an opportunity for scammers to eventually access a victim's personal data, credit card information, log-in data and other details, said analysts. Huttons Asia Pte Ltd | L3008899K | ROC No. 200210087C | GST Reg No. 20-0210087-C 3 Bishan Place #05-01, CPF Building, S (579838) | Tel. (65) 6253 0030 | Fax (65) 6253 0090 www.huttonsgroup.com
Weekly News Select Jun 18, 2021 / Issue 24 Industry observers said that not all such messages are scams or phishing attacks; some cases could be instances of "rogue marketing practice", done cheaply. Link to the story: https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/real-estate/property-market-sees-rise-in-spoof-messages-from-purported-agents Million-dollar HDB flats: Half of S'pore's 24 towns have them, including Hougang, Geylang and Ang Mo Kio While The Pinnacle @ Duxton is arguably the "poster boy" for million-dollar Housing Board flats in Singapore, such flats are not exclusively located in the central area. Half of Singapore's 24 Housing Board towns are home to million-dollar HDB flats, official HDB data shows. Among them is a 177 sq m executive maisonette in Block 851 Hougang Central in the non-mature estate of Hougang that sold for $1 million in January 2018. To date, it remains the only unit in a non-mature estate out of the 389 flats to hit the $1 million mark. The remaining 388 units were spread across 11 mature estates: Ang Mo Kio, Bishan, Bukit Merah, Bukit Timah, Central area, Clementi, Geylang, Kallang/Whampoa, Queenstown, Serangoon and Toa Payoh. A total of 389 HDB resale flats have changed hands for more than $1 million as at May 31 this year. At present, the central area takes the top spot with 118 million-dollar flats - with all transactions coming from The Pinnacle @ Duxton on Cantonment Road. In second place is Bishan with 74 units, with the majority of the units coming from Natura Loft, a Design, Build and Sell Scheme (DBSS) project in Bishan Street 24. Queenstown takes third place with 55 units, and is followed by Toa Payoh with 40 units. Link to the story: https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/housing/million-dollar-hdb-flats-half-of-spores-24-towns-have-them- including-hougang Are $1m HDB resale flats going to be ‘normal’ from now on? A record number of Housing Board resale flats changed hands for at least $1 million so far this year - and we are only half way through 2021. This performance would have been remarkable in any year, let alone a pandemic-stricken one that saw an upswing in property prices, which has set off concerns about home affordability. A total of 87 million-dollar HDB deals were inked from January to May this year, surpassing the 82 units sold for at least that amount in 2020. As at May 31, 389 HDB resale flats have sold for more than $1 million since the first such transaction occurred in 2012. All 11 priciest transactions took place in 2020 and 2021, official HDB data shows. If the current trend continues, twice as many million-dollar HDB flats could change hands this year, compared with 2020. Huttons Asia Pte Ltd | L3008899K | ROC No. 200210087C | GST Reg No. 20-0210087-C 3 Bishan Place #05-01, CPF Building, S (579838) | Tel. (65) 6253 0030 | Fax (65) 6253 0090 www.huttonsgroup.com
Weekly News Select Jun 18, 2021 / Issue 24 A recent report by real estate firm Huttons Asia showed that the price gap between HDB resale flats in mature estates and non-mature estates has narrowed in recent years. A further reduction of the price gap could very well see another million-dollar HDB flat deal - now a rarity - inked in non-mature estates soon, said Huttons Asia director of research Lee Sze Teck. In March, a two-storey, 147 sq m five-room nine-year-old HDB loft in Treelodge@Punggol was sold for $910,000. Analysts called it a significant transaction that could pave the way for future $1 million deals in the north-east new town. Is this kind of price tag for HDB resale flats going to be "normal" from now on? Yes and no. Yes, because it is statistically likely that more flats will fetch more than $1 million in the coming months. In fact, 2021 will be a record year, unless the Government intervenes with cooling measures. But also no, because these transactions make up a small proportion of total resale deals. This means overall resale flat prices are unlikely to increase by too much. So while million-dollar deals may make headlines from time to time, there will still be many affordable resale flats in the market to pick from. Link to the story: https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/housing/are-1m-hdb-resale-flats-going-to-be-normal-from-now-on Commercial Low Keng Huat to sell Westgate Tower stake, buy remaining 45% of Paya Lebar Square in shift to retail Property player Low Keng Huat has entered agreements to sell its interests in Westgate Tower for S$97.1 million, while buying the remaining 45 per cent of Paya Lebar Square that it does not already own for S$90.5 million. Low Keng Huat hopes to focus on retail instead of commercial office developments, as it has more experience in managing the former, the mainboard-listed company said. Low Keng Huat's interests in Westgate Tower to be sold comprise a 40 per cent stake in each of Westgate Tower Pte Ltd (WTPL) and Westgate Commercial Pte Ltd (WCPL). Both entities collectively own 295 office units in Westgate Tower, a commercial office development at 1 Gateway Drive. In the other transaction, Low Keng Huat will acquire shares of Paya Lebar Square Pte Ltd (PLSPL), which owns the Paya Lebar Square commercial office and retail development at 60 Paya Lebar Road, with 159 retail units and one office unit. Low Keng Huat already owns 55 per cent of PLSPL. Link to the story: https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/low-keng-huat-to-sell-westgate-tower-stake-buy-remaining- 45-of-paya-lebar-square Huttons Asia Pte Ltd | L3008899K | ROC No. 200210087C | GST Reg No. 20-0210087-C 3 Bishan Place #05-01, CPF Building, S (579838) | Tel. (65) 6253 0030 | Fax (65) 6253 0090 www.huttonsgroup.com
Weekly News Select Jun 18, 2021 / Issue 24 Some employers plan to make hybrid work arrangement permanent; office spaces still in demand Some employers plan to make hybrid work arrangements permanent even when Covid-19 restrictions are eased in the future, but this has not led to a spike in office space vacancies. Several major office building owners and co-working spaces said they are continuing to see healthy demand, with little to no drop in occupancy rates. The shift towards adopting a hybrid working model is evident even in companies where some staff are unable to work from home. Six companies that The Straits Times spoke to said many of their employees have indicated a preference for a flexible working policy. Other companies interviewed are holding on to office spaces, as many say they see value in having a physical space for staff to meet to foster closer bonds and better collaboration. Link to the story: https://www.straitstimes.com/business/some-employers-plan-to-make-hybrid-work-arrangement-permanent-office- spaces-still-in-demand Suntec Reit sells 30% stake in new 9 Penang Road building Suntec Real Estate Investment Trust (Suntec Reit) has sold its 30 per cent interest in 9 Penang Road, formerly known as Park Mall, to Haiyi Holdings. The buyer will pay about S$89.9 million for the 15 million ordinary shares and 678 redeemable preference shares that Suntec Reit held in the joint venture (JV) company, which indirectly owns the property. Net proceeds are expected to be around S$88.2 million, Suntec Reit's manager said in a filing on June 16. Link to the story: https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/suntec-reit-sells-30-stake-in-new-9-penang-road-building Retail Ion Orchard to close for 4 days from June 12 due to Covid-19 cases; visitors to mall to get free swab tests Ion Orchard will be shut for four days from June 12 for cleaning and disinfecting works after the Ministry of Health (MOH) confirmed a number of Covid-19 cases linked to the shopping mall. It is the first mall in the popular Orchard Road shopping belt to do so amid the pandemic. The mall will be closed from 7am on June 12 till 7am on June 16. However, both Ion Orchard Link and Ion Paterson Link, which are underground pedestrian networks, will remain accessible round the clock. Link to the story: https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/ion-orchard-to-be-closed-for-four-days-for-cleaning-disinfecting-works Huttons Asia Pte Ltd | L3008899K | ROC No. 200210087C | GST Reg No. 20-0210087-C 3 Bishan Place #05-01, CPF Building, S (579838) | Tel. (65) 6253 0030 | Fax (65) 6253 0090 www.huttonsgroup.com
Weekly News Select Jun 18, 2021 / Issue 24 F&B outlets may rethink real estate footprint as online sales grow The surge in online sales of food and beverage (F&B) is likely to slow down but prime mall space may, nonetheless, fall out of favour as cloud kitchens become more popular. F&B retailers will probably have to rethink their operations and real estate footprint, said an analyst. He foresees greater reluctance by tenants to pay high rents for prime spaces in malls, "especially if it becomes a norm for social distancing to be implemented from time to time", as the Phase 2 (Heightened Alert) restrictions have dealt yet another blow to dine-in revenues. Food establishments may want to relocate to cheaper locations and use the rental savings on more aggressive digital marketing to expand their outreach, Dr Lee said. Besides malls, alternatives where rents are lower include HDB shops. The leasing of cloud kitchens could also gain pace, while businesses open fewer full-service eateries. Link to the story: https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/real-estate/fb-outlets-may-rethink-real-estate-footprint-as-online-sales-grow Government Singapore evaluating timing, scope of next stage of reopening The multi-ministry task force tackling Covid-19 is reviewing the timing and scope of the second stage of the economy's reopening, in the light of the emergence of a major Covid-19 cluster in Bukit Merah and other new Covid-19 cases, Finance Minister Lawrence Wong said. In an Instagram and Facebook post, Mr Wong noted that Singapore is now in the first stage of its reopening following the phase two (heightened alert) restrictions, and that further relaxation of the rules was due to take place on June 21, including allowing dine-ins at eateries. "Unfortunately we now have new cases breaking out and a major new cluster in Bukit Merah. Given these developments, we are evaluating the timing and scope of the next stage of reopening. The multi-ministry task force is studying the situation carefully with public health experts, and will provide further updates soon," said Mr Wong in his post. Links to the story: https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/government-economy/singapore-evaluating-timing-scope-of-next-stage-of- reopening https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/spore-evaluating-timing-scope-of-next-stage-of-reopening-amid-latest- outbreak-of-covid-19 New cyber-security and information centre to be set up in S'pore for Asean defence exchanges A new Cybersecurity and Information Centre of Excellence will be set up in Singapore, to better allow exchanges among Asean defence establishments against the threats of cyber attacks, disinformation and misinformation. Huttons Asia Pte Ltd | L3008899K | ROC No. 200210087C | GST Reg No. 20-0210087-C 3 Bishan Place #05-01, CPF Building, S (579838) | Tel. (65) 6253 0030 | Fax (65) 6253 0090 www.huttonsgroup.com
Weekly News Select Jun 18, 2021 / Issue 24 The establishment of the centre was approved at the 15th Asean Defence Ministers' Meeting (ADMM) held virtually on June 15, said the Ministry of Defence. In its statement, Mindef said the centre will complement the Asean Cyber Defence Network in promoting regional exchanges, interactions and cooperation on cyber-security matters. The ADMM-Plus involves the 10 Asean states and eight dialogue partners, namely Australia, China, India, Japan, New Zealand, South Korea, Russia and the United States. Link to the story: https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/new-cyber-security-centre-to-be-set-up-in-singapore-for-asean-defence- exchanges Lawrence Wong downbeat about the return of air travel anytime soon While supply chains and trade have shown resilience during the Covid-19 pandemic, the outlook is gloomier for air travel, said Finance Minister Lawrence Wong at CNBC's Evolve Global Summit. The minister, who co-chairs the multi-ministry taskforce on Covid-19, said he was "somewhat less sanguine about the prospects for air travel" compared to trade. The region is still facing waves of infection, and vaccination rates in many countries are not high enough, he said, "so I don't think we will be able to see open and free travel in the region, in particular, anytime soon". There might perhaps be some travel arrangements among countries with low and stable infections, and perhaps shorter quarantine times for vaccinated travellers, he added. "But for the most part, all of that is not going to add up to what we used to have pre-Covid. So air travel, I'm afraid, will take some time to recover." Link to the story: https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/government-economy/lawrence-wong-downbeat-about-the-return-of-air-travel- anytime-soon P1 to 3 pupils to do one-week HBL when school reopens as MOE gradually allows students back to school Primary 1 to 3 pupils will continue with a week of home-based learning (HBL) from June 28 when Term 3 begins, said the Ministry of Education (MOE) on June 14. They will return to school on July 6, as July 5 is a school holiday. Secondary 1 and 2 students will be on HBL for three days till June 30, and return to school on July 1. This is part of a move to progressively allow students back to school after the June holidays to keep students and staff safe from Covid-19. Students in Primary 4 to 6, Secondary 3 to 5, junior colleges and the Millennia Institute will return to school on June 28, when the new term begins. Link to the story: https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/parenting-education/p1-to-p3-pupils-to-continue-with-one-week-hbl-in- term-3-as-moe Huttons Asia Pte Ltd | L3008899K | ROC No. 200210087C | GST Reg No. 20-0210087-C 3 Bishan Place #05-01, CPF Building, S (579838) | Tel. (65) 6253 0030 | Fax (65) 6253 0090 www.huttonsgroup.com
Weekly News Select Jun 18, 2021 / Issue 24 Largest integrated transport hub in Singapore opens in Woodlands Commuters in Woodlands can look forward to a smoother and more comfortable journey with the opening of the Woodlands Integrated Transport Hub (ITH) on June 13. The ITH - a term for fully air-conditioned bus interchanges linked to MRT stations and nearby shopping malls - connects a new bus interchange below Causeway Point shopping mall with Woodlands MRT station, which serves the North-South Line and Thomson-East Coast Line. Operated by SMRT, Woodlands ITH is the 11th such hub in Singapore. At41,500 sq m, it is also the largest so far. The other 10 ITHs are in Ang Mo Kio, Bedok, Boon Lay, Clementi, Joo Koon, Sengkang, Serangoon, Toa Payoh, Bukit Panjang and Yishun. Link to the story: https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/transport/largest-integrated-transport-hub-in-singapore-opens-in-woodlands Economy Singapore GDP tipped to grow 6.5%, led by manufacturing and exports: MAS survey The strong global economic recovery is fuelling optimism among private-sector economists, who have further raised their full-year Singapore outlook to 6.5 per cent, the central bank's survey of professional forecasters showed. In the previous March edition of the survey published by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS), economists had predicted full-year gross domestic product (GDP) to expand 5.8 per cent. The June survey was sent out on May 25, and drew 24 responses. The survey found that economists appear most bullish about manufacturing and non-oil domestic exports. The former is now expected to expand 8.3 per cent instead of 4.7 per cent in 2021, and the latter, 7.5 per cent instead of 6.9 per cent. Construction is now tipped to grow 19.3 per cent, lower than the 22.5 per cent expansion predicted in the earlier survey. The overall optimism persists despite Singapore's recent setback with the pandemic, as a fresh wave of infections seeded by the Delta variant from India prompted tighter restrictions and border controls. Accordingly, for the second quarter, survey respondents are expecting the economy to grow 15 per cent year on year, coming off the low base during Q2 last year, when Singapore was in the middle of a "circuit breaker" or partial lockdown. Economists are expecting headline inflation to reach 1.4 per cent, up from their earlier prediction of 0.9 per cent. Core inflation, which excludes accommodation and private road transport costs, is set to hit 0.8 per cent, up from 0.7 per cent in the March survey. The labour market is expected to continue its recovery, with respondents expecting unemployment rate to reach 2.7 per cent by year-end, down from 2.9 per cent in the March survey. However, a further deterioration of the Covid-19 pandemic remains respondents' most-cited downside risk, followed by geopolitical tensions and a slower-than-expected labour market. On the flip side, effective containment of Covid-19 was the most frequently-cited upside risk to Singapore's growth outlook. More respondents also flagged the stronger-than expected manufacturing sector performance as a possible upside. As for 2022, GDP is projected to grow 4 per cent, said respondents. Huttons Asia Pte Ltd | L3008899K | ROC No. 200210087C | GST Reg No. 20-0210087-C 3 Bishan Place #05-01, CPF Building, S (579838) | Tel. (65) 6253 0030 | Fax (65) 6253 0090 www.huttonsgroup.com
Weekly News Select Jun 18, 2021 / Issue 24 Links to the story: https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/government-economy/singapore-gdp-tipped-to-grow-65-led-by-manufacturing- and-exports-mas-survey https://www.straitstimes.com/business/economy/economists-raise-singapores-2021-gdp-growth-forecast-to-65- from-58-mas-survey Singapore business sentiment remains positive for Q3: SCCB survey Business sentiment in Singapore has remained expansionary for the second consecutive quarter in Q3 2021. The Singapore Commercial Credit Bureau's (SCCB) latest overall quarterly Business Optimism Index (BOI) was at +4.07 percentage points for Q3 2021, up from +3.94 percentage points in the previous quarter, and -5.16 percentage points in Q3 2020. That said, only three of the six of the studied indicators improved quarter on quarter, compared to all six in Q2 2021. Business expectations for employment saw the most improvement, rising to +3.05 percentage points from its previous quarter's zero. Selling price shifted up to +2.29 percentage points from its previous +1.53 percentage points, while inventory levels inched up to -6.11 percentage points from -7.64 in the quarter ago. Meanwhile, new orders remained unchanged at +9.92 percentage points in Q3 2021, while both volumes of sales and net profit fell to +7.63 from the previous quarter's +9.92 percentage points. Links to the story: https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/sme/singapore-business-sentiment-remains-positive-for-q3-sccb-survey https://www.straitstimes.com/business/economy/singapore-business-sentiment-improves-slightly-but-construction- and-transportation Slower population growth, ageing need not be alarming: economists Singapore’s population growth over the last decade slowed to 1.1 per cent per year, less than half of the 2.5 per cent annual rate in the decade before that, the latest Census of Population showed. While the trend of an ageing population persists, the economic implications are not necessarily that alarming, said economists. But pivoting away from non-resident labour might be harder, notwithstanding a year on year fall in 2020 due to Covid-19 curbs, they said. In 2020, Singapore's total population was 5.69 million, up from 5.08 million a decade before, according to data released by the Department of Statistics. Residents - that is, citizens and permanent residents - accounted for 4.04 million. There were 3.52 million citizens, forming about 62 per cent of the total population, compared to 3.23 million and 64 per cent a decade ago. Permanent residents numbered 521,000, down from 541,000. The non-resident population rose to 1.64 million, from 1.31 million previously. In a media briefing, Minister in the Prime Minister's Office Indranee Rajah noted the need to supplement the resident population with some immigration, so as to support the economy and ensure that Singapore has the required skillsets, but added that "that has to be very carefully calibrated". Huttons Asia Pte Ltd | L3008899K | ROC No. 200210087C | GST Reg No. 20-0210087-C 3 Bishan Place #05-01, CPF Building, S (579838) | Tel. (65) 6253 0030 | Fax (65) 6253 0090 www.huttonsgroup.com
Weekly News Select Jun 18, 2021 / Issue 24 Recalling public concern back in 2013 over the speed of Singapore's population growth, she said the government has to ensure that "the growth is at a pace that is not uncomfortable", while also making sure that "we can continue to achieve the economic outcomes that we want". Links to the story: https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/government-economy/slower-population-growth-ageing-need-not-be-alarming- economists-0 https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/government-economy/expat-flows-may-stabilise-later-this-year https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/politics/more-singles-fewer-babies-slowest-population-growth-since-1965- 5-highlights-of https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/politics/fewer-sporeans-marrying-and-having-children-population-census https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/spore-population-better-educated-across-age-ethnicity-women-make- greater-strides https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/more-sporeans-have-no-religious-affiliation-population-census https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/politics/race-based-data-in-population-census-needed-for-spore-to-help- ethnic-groups Strong external outlook likely to benefit Singapore's exports Singapore’s exports stayed resilient in May despite tightened Covid-19 restrictions, and economists believe the Republic is likely to continue riding on the global trade recovery despite some uncertainty ahead. Non-oil domestic exports (NODX) in May rose 8.8 per cent year on year, extending the previous month's 6 per cent rally, according to Enterprise Singapore (ESG). Electronic exports rose 11 per cent, extending April's 10.9 per cent growth, while non-electronic exports expanded 8.1 per cent, following gains of 4.7 per cent the previous month. While NODX to Singapore's top markets as a whole rose in May, exports to the United States, Japan and the European Union declined. Exports to China had the biggest gains at 36.9 per cent, followed by Hong Kong at 30.2 per cent and Malaysia at 27.1 per cent. Links to the story: https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/government-economy/strong-external-outlook-likely-to-benefit-singapores- exports https://www.straitstimes.com/business/economy/singapore-exports-growth-pick-up-pace-in-may-but-came-lower- than-expected S'pore's labour market continues recovery into 1st quarter; total employment grows by 12,200 Singapore's labour market continued its recovery in the first quarter, with total employment growing for the first time since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic. A report by the Ministry of Manpower (MOM) on June 17 showed that the total employment, excluding foreign domestic workers, rose by 12,200 in the first three months of the year, after four consecutive quarters of decline. This far surpassed the preliminary estimate of 4,800 released in April. Resident hires continued to rise, outpacing the decline in non-resident employment, which is partly due to restrictions on the inflow of foreign workers. Huttons Asia Pte Ltd | L3008899K | ROC No. 200210087C | GST Reg No. 20-0210087-C 3 Bishan Place #05-01, CPF Building, S (579838) | Tel. (65) 6253 0030 | Fax (65) 6253 0090 www.huttonsgroup.com
Weekly News Select Jun 18, 2021 / Issue 24 More retrenched residents here have also found jobs within six months, while job vacancies have risen to nearly match the unemployed population, according to the report. But the labour market is still not fully back to its pre-pandemic state, said MOM. Moreover, uncertainties in the economy and the recent tightened measures during phase two (heightened alert) are expected to weigh on the pace of labour market recovery in the second quarter. Unemployment rates continued to ease, after peaking in September last year at 3.5 per cent for the overall workforce, 4.9 per cent for citizens and 4.8 per cent for residents. In March, this dropped to 2.9 per cent overall, 4.2 per cent for citizens and 4 per cent for residents. The rates are still higher than pre-pandemic unemployment levels. Retrenchments, however, fell for the second consecutive quarter to pre-pandemic levels, said MOM. The re-entry rate of retrenched residents into employment also rose for two consecutive quarters, to 66.2 per cent. Links to the story: https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/jobs/spores-labour-market-continues-recovery-into-first-quarter-but-not- back-to-pre-covid https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/jobs/youth-unemployment-rate-climbed-higher-last-year-amid-covid-19- mom-report https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/government-economy/re-entry-rate-of-retrenched-workers-up-job-vacancies- grew-in-first-quarter Singapore loses top spot in global competitiveness ranking on unfavourable geography Singapore is no longer the world's most competitive economy, a spot it has held for the past two years. In the latest Institute for Management Development (IMD) World Competitiveness Ranking 2021, Singapore now ranks as the fifth most competitive economy globally, while Switzerland took its place at the top. Sweden, Denmark and the Netherlands followed in second, third and fourth place on the ranking respectively. Researchers attributed Singapore's fall in rankings to an unfavourable geography, among other reasons. Though not the first worldwide, Singapore still retains its place as the most competitive country in Asia, even as most Asian economies had declined in ranking. Links to the story: https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/government-economy/singapore-loses-top-spot-in-global-competitiveness- ranking-on-unfavourable https://www.straitstimes.com/business/economy/singapore-loses-its-top-spot-in-global-competitiveness-study-now- ranks-5th Citibank Singapore's SME unit to close in August Citibank Singapore is closing its CitiBusiness arm, which serves small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). Huttons Asia Pte Ltd | L3008899K | ROC No. 200210087C | GST Reg No. 20-0210087-C 3 Bishan Place #05-01, CPF Building, S (579838) | Tel. (65) 6253 0030 | Fax (65) 6253 0090 www.huttonsgroup.com
Weekly News Select Jun 18, 2021 / Issue 24 The move comes after Citigroup said it would exit from its consumer franchises in 13 markets - Australia, Bahrain, China, India, Indonesia, South Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines, Poland, Russia, Taiwan, Thailand and Vietnam - where it does not "have the scale" needed to compete. A Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) spokesman told The Straits Times that it has been notified of retrenchment exercises by financial institutions undergoing business restructuring and transformation. Between 20 and 30 staff will be affected by the CitiBusiness closure, which was disclosed to clients last month. Link to the story: https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/citibank-singapores-sme-unit-to-close-in-august Industrial New $18m lab in S'pore to boost digital manufacturing, aiming to make factories more efficient and productive Digital manufacturing in Singapore got a boost on June 17 with the launch of a $18 million laboratory that would pave the way for higher-quality, more user-friendly goods that get to consumers quicker. The facility set up jointly by the Agency for Science, Technology and Research (A*Star) and local manufacturing software company Arcstone will also look into ways of making the environmental footprint of a product more transparent. Digital manufacturing is essentially about using technology to help factories become more productive and efficient, and reduce human error. Link to the story: https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/environment/new-18m-lab-in-spore-to-boost-digital-manufacturing-look- into-better-tracking Huttons Asia Pte Ltd | L3008899K | ROC No. 200210087C | GST Reg No. 20-0210087-C 3 Bishan Place #05-01, CPF Building, S (579838) | Tel. (65) 6253 0030 | Fax (65) 6253 0090 www.huttonsgroup.com
Weekly News Select Jun 18, 2021 / Issue 24 Contact: Lee Sze Teck Head, Research (65) 6500 6510 szetecklee@huttonsgroup.com This document has been prepared by Huttons Asia for general information only. Huttons Asia does not guarantee warrant or represent that the information contained in this document is correct. Any interested party should undertake their own enquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Huttons Asia excludes unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes all liability for loss and damage arising directly or indirectly there-from. All rights reserved. *The Business Times (BT) Online and *The Straits Times (ST) Interactive are a subscribers-only website. As such, you will not be able to access the URL link to the articles unless you are registered as a subscriber. Huttons Asia Pte Ltd | L3008899K | ROC No. 200210087C | GST Reg No. 20-0210087-C 3 Bishan Place #05-01, CPF Building, S (579838) | Tel. (65) 6253 0030 | Fax (65) 6253 0090 www.huttonsgroup.com
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