Water Resources and Rice Paddy Cultivation in the Asian Monsoon Region - Dr. Shigetaka Taniyama

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CONTINUE READING
INTERNATIONAL WATER CONFERENCE
                   Hanoi, Vietnam,
                 October 14-16, 2002

Water Resources and Rice Paddy Cultivation in the
            Asian Monsoon Region

                         By:
               Dr. Shigetaka Taniyama
Water Resources and Rice Paddy Cultivation in the Asian Monsoon Region

                                             Dr. Shigetaka Taniyama1

OUTLINE

1. Overview
2. A Survey of the Asian Monsoon Region
   • Rainfall
   • Rice Paddy Cultivation and Water Resources
3. The Rice Paddy in the Asian Monsoon Region
   • Irrigation and Crop Production
   • Characteristics of Rice Paddies in the Asian Monsoon Region
   • Efficiency of Water Use in Rice Paddies
4. Irrigation in the 21st Century
   • Projected Water Demand in the 21st Century
   • Considerations Relating to Rice Paddies in the Asian Monsoon Region
5. A Case Study of Water Redistribution in Japan
6. Conclusions
7. References
8. Acknowledgements

ABSTRACT

         The farmers of the Asian monsoon region have traditionally practiced forms of rice
cultivation uniquely adapted to the climate of the region that is characterized by annual precipitation
far in excess of the global average of 800 mm and clearly delineated wet and dry seasons. In the
Asian monsoon region, water is used dynamically as part of a larger cycle embracing the whole
catchment basin from its upper to lower reaches. This is markedly different from the pattern of
water utilization observed in dryland irrigation farming which uses water to the last drop or in static
water- delivery paddy farming in arid and semiarid regions. Rice is a staple food crop in much of
Asia and other continents. Yet, rice paddy cultivation has been criticized as a wasteful consumer of
water. This paper counters this criticism of rice paddy cultivation as a wasteful consumer of water
by pointing out how that agriculture skillfully harnesses the Asian monsoon region's dynamic
hydrologic features. It goes on to identify factors that will need to be taken into consideration, such
as appropriate water transfer to other sectors of society during water shortages, in order to facilitate
sustainable development of paddy irrigation in the coming era of water shortages.

1
    Advisor, Japanese Association of Rural Sewerage and Vice President, International Commission on Irrigation and
Drainage (ICID)

                                                             1
1. Overview

         The farmers of the Asian monsoon region have traditionally practiced forms of rice
cultivation uniquely adapted to the climate of the region. The Asian monsoon region is
characterized by more than 1,000 mm of precipitation per year, far in excess of the global average
of 800 mm – even precipitation of 1,500 to 2,000 mm is not rare — and clearly delineated wet and
dry seasons. One common type of farming in the Asian monsoon region is rice paddy irrigation in
which water is used as part of a larger cycle embracing the whole catchment basin from its upper to
lower reaches in a dynamic fashion that varies depending on day-by-day fluctuations in
precipitation. This is markedly different from the pattern of water utilization observed in dryland
irrigation farming which uses water to the last drop or the static fashion of water delivery that is
characteristic of paddy farming in arid and semiarid regions.
         The 21st century, it is predicted, could witness water shortages on a regional or even global
scale as the population explosion fuels additional demands for food and fiber production while rural
people flock increasingly to the cities. Efficient water use and appropriate redistribution of water
resources between various sectors of society will thus be essential in the 21st century. Rice is a staple
food crop in much of Asia and other continents. Yet, rice paddy cultivation in the Asian monsoon
region has been criticized in some quarters as a wasteful consumer of water.
          This paper addresses the above criticism by describing the temporal and spatial distribution
of available water resources in the Asian monsoon region and outlining how paddy cultivation has
skillfully harnessed those dynamic hydrologic features. It is argued that paddy irrigation in the
Asian monsoon region is based on a completely different approach to water use from that found in
arid and semiarid regions and in dryland agriculture. Moreover, this form of paddy irrigation in the
Asian monsoon region makes a significant contribution to the catchment basin's hydrologic cycle
and local biodiversity. Factors are then identified that will need to be taken into account in order to
facilitate sustainable development of paddy irrigation in an era of water shortages. Finally, a case
study is presented of voluntary temporary transfer of water supply from irrigation use to domestic
use at the Aichi waterworks in Japan during periods of water shortfalls.

2. A Survey of the Asian Monsoon Region
     •   Rainfall
        Asia with 23.5% of the Earth's land area is the world's largest continent and is home to
60.7% of humankind. Asia can be divided broadly into the Asian monsoon region which gets some
of the heaviest rainfall on the planet and an Asian arid region occupying the remainder of the
continent. These two regions differ greatly in lifestyles and modes of agricultural production
because they differ so much in climate, particularly the intimate association between the availability
of water resources and human activity. The term monsoon, which is derived from the Arabic word
mausim (season), refers to a seasonal prevailing wind that switches direction in a semiannual cycle.

                                                    2
For the purposes of this paper, the Asian monsoon region is defined as that region of Asia receiving
 more than 1,000 mm of rain a year: East Asia including southeast China, Japan, South Korea and
 Taiwan, Southeast Asia including the Philippines, Indochina, Indonesia and Myanmar, and that part
 of South Asia consisting of India east of the Deccan Plateau, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh.
         The Asian monsoon region is characterized by abundant precipitation carried by seasonal
 winds. Annual precipitation exceeds 2,000 mm in some areas, and the rains can be extremely heavy.
 This monsoon region has distinct wet and dry seasons. As Table 1 shows, even national capitals,
 which are typically located in low-lying areas where less precipitation falls than in the mountains,
 record over 70% of their annual precipitation in the six months of the wet season or at least receive
 over 1,000 mm of rain during that period.

              Table 1. Precipitation in National Capitols in the Asian Monsoon Region.
Country            City                     Annual           Rainfall     Percentage   Duration of
                                            Rainfall       during Wet     Wet Season Wet Season
                                             (mm)            Season        Rainfall
                                              (A)             (mm)          (B/A)
                                                               (B)
Japan              Tokyo                     1,466             981           66.9      May-Oct.

South Korea        Seoul                      1,343             1,126              83.8          Apr.-Sep.

Taiwan            Taipei                      2,452             1,665              67.9          Apr.-Sep.

Philippines        Manila                     1,714             1,487              86.8          May-Oct.

Indonesia          Jakarta                    1,903             1,382              72.6          May-Dec.

Vietnam           Hanoi                       1,704             1,429              83.9          May-Oct.

Thailand          Bangkok                     1,529             1,336              87.4          May-Oct.

Malaysia          Kuala Lumpur                2,390             1,113              46.6          Mar.-Oct.

Myanmar           Yangon                      2,261             2,102              93.0          May-Oct.

Bangladesh         Dacca                      2,143             1,844              86.0          Apr.-Sep.

Sri Lanka         Colombo                     3,305             1,676              50.7          Mar.-Sep.

China              Shanghai                   1,937             1,414              73.0          May-Oct.

 Calculated values based on 1971-2000 average precipitation
 Source: Rika Nenpyo (Chronological Scientific Tables) 20021

     •    Rice Paddy Cultivation and Water Resources
          There are those who believe that farmers in the Asian monsoon region opted for water-
 greedy rice paddy cultivation precisely because the region gets so much rain, most of it concentrated
 in the wet season. That perception is a mistaken notion rooted in a superficial knowledge of the
 region's hydrological and topographical features and indeed of soil science and crop physiology.
        To begin with, this region, encompassing as it does the Circum-Pacific and Himalayan
 mobile belts, is steep in the lay of its land and the gradient of its rivers. Such topography leads to the

                                                      3
problem of how to avoid damage from flooding and soil erosion caused by excessive rainfall while
effectively diverting river water on its sometimes brief journey to the ocean. Rice paddies enclosed
by levees within which water can collect function as dams in their own right where large quantities
of water can be temporarily stored. As such they are beneficial in both preventing flooding and
ensuring adequate water supply. The ponded water is also an effective barrier against the rank
growth of weeds that flourish in the steamy climate. Moreover, leaching of soil moisture washes
away saline
and toxic components (e.g., hydrogen sulfide and organic acids), thereby preventing them from
accumulating in the root zone and causing damage to rice plants. Finally, for a portion of the year
the soil is covered with water (i.e., in a reduced condition) and for a portion of the year the soil is dry
(i.e., in an oxidized condition), resulting in a fluctuation of microorganisms within the soil such that
a beneficial microbial balance and soil fertility are preserved. Damage from continuous rice
cropping is in this way averted, which is why rice has been successfully grown for centuries as the
sole crop on the same land in many areas in the Asian monsoon region.
         Thus, paddy rice cultivation is the inevitable choice in the search for a sustainable form of
agriculture best suited to the Asian monsoon region. Asia grows 91.4% of the world's rice, with the
Asian monsoon region accounting for the lion's share of that figure. With a few exceptions such as
Thailand, most of that rice is consumed locally2. Consequently, as shown in Figure 1, Asians
depend on rice on the average for about 32% of their caloric food intake. In Myanmar, Bangladesh,
and Vietnam rice provides over 70% of their caloric intake. Furthermore, rice is capable of keeping
many
mouths fed since it produces such a high yield per unit area. As shown in Table 2, the countries of
the Asian monsoon region where rice is the staple food have a high population density, ranging
from twice the European average in Malaysia to 27 times in Bangladesh.

  Figure 1. Rice as a Percentage of Total Caloric Intake: World and Selected Regions (1998)2

                                         35
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                                                                          4
Table 2. Population Density in the Asian Monsoon Countries.
                     Total Area     Farmland        Population   Population             Population
                    (million ha) (million ha)       (millions)    per Total            per Farmland
                        (A)            (B)             (C)           Area                (pop./ha)
                                                                  (pop./ha)                (C/B)
                                                                    (C/A)
 Europe*               2,195          293              703           0.32                  2.40

 Asia*                 2,744            531             3,507             1.28             6.60

 Japan                 37.70            4.90           126.50             3.36             25.82

 South Korea            9.90            1.90            46.50             4.70             24.47

 Taiwan                 3.60            0.99            21.47             5.96             21.69

 Philippines           30.00            9.90            74.50             2.48             7.53

 Indonesia             190.40          30.90           209.30             1.10             6.77

 Vietnam               33.10            7.20            78.70             2.38             10.93

 Thailand              51.30           20.30            60.90             1.19             3.00

 Malaysia              32.90            7.60            21.80             0.66             2.87

 Myanmar               67.60           10.10            45.00             0.67             4.46

 Bangladesh            14.40            8.20           126.90             8.81             15.48

 Sri Lanka              6.50            1.80            18.80             2..89            10.44

 China                 959.60         135.30          1,226.80            1.28             9.07

Source: ICID, Annual Report (2001-2002)3.

*Figures for Europe represent totals for the 28 European countries and for Asia, total of 27 Asian
countries affiliated with the ICID.

     The Asian monsoon region has an abundant stock (supply) of water resources due to the large
quantity of rainfall, but, as illustrated in Table 3, some countries' stocks are not that great when
viewed on a per capita basis. Japan in particular with its dense population has a lower level of water
stock per capita than the European average. On the other hand, in terms of exploiting water
resources, the Asian monsoon region taps a lower percentage of its stock because of natural
conditions — rainfall is concentrated in a short period, plus the gradient of the landscape and its
rivers is steep — and because of inadequately developed water infrastructure. Per capita available
water is thus far lower than the average for Europe and the developed world.

                                                  5
Table 3. Per Capita Water Stocks and Annual Water Withdrawals.
                                     Water Stocks             Annual Water Withdrawals
                                   Total    Per Capita      Total   Percentage Per Capita
                                   (km3)    (1000km3)       (km3)    of Stocks (m3/capita)
                                                                      Utilized

      World                       40,673        7.69        3,296          8            660

      Asia     (excluding   the   10,485        3.37         1531          15           526

      former USSR)
      Japan                         335         2.65          89           26           706

      South Korea                   63          1.45          11           17           298

      Philippines                   323         5.18          29           9            693

      Indonesia                    2,530        14.02         17           1             96

      Vietnam                       376          5.6           5           1             81

      Laos                          270         66.32          1           0            228

      Cambodia                      88          10.68          1           0             69

      Thailand                      110         1.97          32           18           599

      Malaysia                      456         26.3         9.42          2            765

      Myanmar                      1,082        25.96        3.96          0            103

      Bangladesh                   1,357        11.74         22           1            211

      Sri Lanka                     43          2.51           6           15           503

      China                        2,800        2.47         460           16           462

      Europe                       2,321        4.66         359           15           726

      North      and   Central     6,945        16.26        697           10          1,692

      America
Source: Figures for water stocks are from Kazuto Nakazawa, Mizu Shigen no Kagaku (The Science of Water
Resources, 1996)4.

         The values given are generally out of date. Those for South Korea are from 1976, for
Malaysia and the Philippines 1975, and for China 1980. All other figures are from 1987 except
those for Japan, which have been corrected in light of the latest data.

        In highly industrialized Europe, about 54% of the water resources are used for industry and
33% for agriculture. In most of the countries of the Asian monsoon region, by contrast, over 70% of
managed water resources are destined for agricultural use. On the other hand, as can be seen from
Table 4, the Asian countries with the exception of Japan divert less water for domestic use both in

                                                  6
absolute terms and as a percentage of the total because their water infrastructure is less developed.
These countries are struggling with problems of hygiene such as rampant water-borne microbial
diseases, and in many areas people are unable to live in sanitary, comfortable conditions.

          Table 4. Per Capita Water Withdrawals and Domestic Water Consumption.
                        Annual Water Percentage          Annual           Daily
                        Withdrawals       Used for   Domestic Water Consumption
                          per Capita     Domestic     Consumption        (liters)     US$
                             (m3)      Consumption         (m3)
Japan                        706            17             120             329       32,350
Indonesia                     96            13              12              32         640
Vietnam                       81            13              11              30         350
Laos                         228             8              18              49         320
Cambodia                      69             5               4              11         260
Thailand                     599             4              24              66        2,160
Myanmar                      103             7               7              19        ---
Bangladesh                   211             3               6              16         350
Sri Lanka                    503             2              10              27         810
China                        462             6              28              77         750
UK                           507            20             101             277       21,240
France                       606            16              97             266       24,210
Spain                        682            12              82             225       14,100
Sources: Figures for per capita GNP are from Sekai Kokusei Zue (World Nations Databook) 2000-
20015.
Other figures are Kazuto Nakazawa, Mizu Shigen no Kagaku (The Science of Water Resources)
(Asakura Shoten)4. Data for South Korea and Malaysia have been excluded since they are out of
date.

       Figure 2 shows the striking correlation between per capita GNP and domestic water
consumption in the Asian monsoon region and the major countries of the world, daily water
consumption rising with increasing GNP. Domestic water consumption in the countries of the
Asian monsoon region is expected to increase dramatically as economies grow, the population
burgeons, and people flock to the cities.

                                                  7
GNP and Dom estic W ater Consum ption

                                          100000

                       GNP(US$ per pers
                                          10000

                                           1000

                                            100
                                                   0     50        100    150      200      250     300   350
                                                              W ater Consum ption(liters per person)

                                             Figure 2. GNP and Domestic Water Consumption

3. The Rice Paddy in the Asian Monsoon Region

    •     Irrigation and Crop Production
          Rice production around the world can be classified into several categories. In addition to
irrigated paddy rice, there are the "rain-fed lowland rice" grown in the alluvial regions of Thailand
and Bangladesh, which depends on rainwater alone; "flood-prone rice," which is cultivated in
floodwaters in the river deltas and lowland areas of Cambodia and Bangladesh; and the "upland
rice" of Brazil and Africa.2. While both rain-fed lowland rice and flood-prone rice are grown in the
Asian monsoon region, irrigated paddy cultivation has, thanks to its ability to enhance productivity
dramatically, spread the most widely and is constantly being improved in the process. It does not
merely improve productivity on previously cultivated land through irrigation during the wet season,
it also allows crops to be planted in dry season where that was impossible before and opens up new
land to agricultural production. Rice yields soar in areas where irrigation has been adopted, thus
sustaining a larger population.

Rice farming --- -Irrigated paddy cultivation -------Humid regions (e.g., Asian monsoon regions)
                                                -----Arid regions (e.g., US and Australia)
               - -Rain-fed lowland rice
               - -Flood-prone rice
               - -Upland rice

         At the beginning of the 20th century the world had only 50 million ha of irrigated farmland.
By the end of the century that figure had skyrocketed to 270 million ha, with most of the increase
attributable to Asia. Growth in irrigated agriculture has been especially dramatic since 1950.
According to the Annual Report of the International Commission on Irrigation and Drainage
(ICID)3, 69% of the world's irrigated land in 1999 was in Asia, where, as shown in Table 4, irrigated

                                                                     8
farmland accounted for 33.7% of the total stock of agricultural land (this figure is the average for the
27 Asian countries affiliated with the ICID). That percentage, far higher than on any other continent,
attests to the crucial role of irrigation in Asia. Agriculture in the Asian monsoon region consists
primarily of paddy rice cultivation and agricultural water is used almost exclusively for paddy rice.

          Figure 3 plots the relationship between crop yield per unit area and percentage of irrigated
farmland in the countries of the Asian monsoon region. While not all the gains can be ascribed to
irrigation, in addition to its direct benefits irrigation has also prompted the adoption of new, better
strains of rice and led to use of fertilizer, thereby ultimately boosting crop production.

                                         Table 4. Irrigated Farmland by Continents.
                                     Total Area        Farmland    Irrigated Land Irrigation Percentage of
                                    (million ha)      (million ha)   (million ha) Rate (B/A)    Global
                                                          (A)            (B)                   Irrigated
                                                                                                 Land
Asia (27)                              2,744              531           178.9       33.73         69.0
Africa (24)                            1,820              157            10.9        6.94          4.2
Oceania (2)                             803                56             2.8        4.82          1.1
The      Americas                      3,771              370            39.6       10.69         15.3
(16)
Europe (28)                           2,194             293              27             9.2          10.4
ICID-affiliated                       11,333           1,407            259            18.40         100
Countries (97)
World                                13,386            1,511             271            17.93
                                    The figures in brackets indicate number of countries.
                                        Source: ICID, Annual Report (2001-2002).3

                                     8000
                                     7000
               Crop Yield (kg/ha)

                                     6000
                                     5000
                                     4000
                                     3000
                                     2000
                                     1000
                                        0
                                            0           20              40           60         80
                                                               Irrigation Rate (%)

Figure 3. Relations between Irrigation Rate and Crop Yield per Unit Area in Different Countries
     (Irrigation rate is defined as the percentage of irrigated farmlands out of total farmlands).

                                                               9
•   Characteristics of Rice Paddies in the Asian Monsoon Region

         The rice paddies of the Asian monsoon region evolved in humid climatic conditions with
abundance of rainfall. The mechanism of water use is completely different from that in dryland
irrigated farming. In a dry field, crops are supplied with the quantity of water they physiologically
require (the amount of evapotranspiration) and leaching if the root zone is salt-affected. Any other
water use is considered wasted or not beneficial to crop production, and the idea is to reduce water
losses to a minimum. In a rice paddy of the Asian monsoon region, by contrast, rain water is pooled
on the soil surface, and enough water is retained in the paddy to replenish the amount by which the
water level has dropped over the course of the day. Therefore, when calculating how much water is
necessary, one must take into account more than simply the quantity which the crop physiologically
requires (the amount of evapotranspiration). One must also factor in how much water percolates
vertically into the soil to recharge the groundwater and how much trickles back into drainage
channels and paddies downstream through lateral percolation.
         Some experts on dryland agriculture regard such water not consumed by crops as wasted
and cite it as evidence of the low water efficiency of paddy farming. Other experts point out that
irrigation water not consumed by crops in a particular irrigated subunit oftentimes is reused in
another downstream subunit in the irrigated basin and the overall basin irrigation consumptive use
coefficient (irrigation performance) is high compared to that in the upstream irrigation subunit6. The
Asian monsoon region is blessed with an abundance of water during the wet season, and rainfall
can fluctuate wildly over a short span. Thus, it is essential to consider how to make the most
effective use of these water resources within the context of the catchment basin as a whole — as
part of a broad-based hydrologic cycle — not just in terms of the water balance in a single paddy.
Moreover, moisture that penetrates the soil plays an important role in maintaining the paddy's
sustainability.

           Figure 4. Paddy Irrigation and Estimated Water Circulation

                                                 10
(in ten thousands of cubic meters; 1,000 ha over a 120-day period)

          An illustrative example is given in Figure 4, which shows the annual water balance for
1,000 ha of rice paddy in Japan's Tone River basin as monitored over a 120-day irrigation period. In
this illustration, the ineffective rainwater is 14.2% (400 m3) of the total of intake (1,920 m3) and
rainfall (900 m3).

         The following is a summary of the benefits of rice paddy irrigation in the Asian monsoon
region in addition to the direct consumption of irrigation water by the crops:

1. Paddy irrigation alleviates runoff of rainwater, the amount of which fluctuates dramatically in
   the Asian monsoon climate, by temporarily pooling precipitation that has fallen on the paddy
   within the levees.
2. Moisture that penetrates through the soil helps to recharge groundwater, which serves as a
   stable water source for a multitude of purposes.
3. As the ponded water seeps into the underground it leaches out of the root zone saline
   components and other substances harmful to crop growth. That is why rice paddies in the
   Asian monsoon region do not suffer salt and other damages.
4. The paddy is left dry during the off-season, then submerged in water during the irrigation
   season. That constant seasonal repetition puts the soil through a cycle switching between
   oxidative and reductive conditions, a process that promotes proliferation of beneficial soil
   microbes to crops and prevents damage from continuous cropping.
5. The ponded water makes the soil anaerobic, and water quality is improved through
   denitrification.
6. Paddies where water is pooled serve as a kind of shallow wetland, providing a habitat for
   aquatic plants and animals and thus helps maintain a diverse ecosystem.

    •    Efficiency of Water Use in Rice Paddies
          Professor Tony Allan of the University of London terms the water absorbed by crops via
the soil as "virtual water" and estimates that it takes 1,000 tons of water to raise a ton of wheat7. But
according to Professor Mushiake8, 3,200 m3 of water are required per ton of wheat production,
assuming a yield of 2.6 tons per hectare and a daily irrigation depth of 3 mm for duration of 270
days. There is quite a discrepancy between these two estimates. For comparison, dryland winter
wheat grown in the Texas High Plains in the USA for 18 years averaged 1.13 tons/ha (with about
235 mm/yr effective rainfall) and irrigated wheat, 2.68 tons/ha9. While such calculations on applied
water to paddy rice yields in Asian monsoon region are virtually meaningless, let us for the sake of
comparison apply the same formula as for wheat. According to the example in Figure 4, 1,920 m3
of withdrawn water plus 900 m3 of rainwater has, on superficial examination, been applied for a
total of 2,820 m3 to 1,000 ha of rice paddy. Assuming a yield of 6 tons/ha, that gives a figure of
4,700 tons of water per ton of rice. But if we assume that approximately half the water that seeps
back into the river is reused downstream, the number works out to 2,850 tons — not much different

                                                   11
from irrigated wheat. Although no general conclusions are possible on beneficial water reuse
because conditions vary depending on the topographical location of the paddy, the nature of the
waterways, and land use downstream, the argument that water seepage all goes to waste does not
stand up to close scrutiny.

4.   Irrigation in the 21st Century
     •   Projected Water Demand in the 21st Century
          Over the course of the 20th century the world's population increased 3.8 times from 1.6
billion to six billion, while the area of irrigated land rose 6.6 times. Crop production tripled in the
last fifty years of that century alone. By the end of the 20th century 17% of the world's farmland,
much of it in Asia, produced 40% of the world's crops. Population growth is expected to slow down
in the coming 21st century, but the number of people is expected to still reach the 7.5-billion mark
by 2025. Food production will need to be boosted in order to feed all those mouths, and it is
predicted that increased intake of animal protein will drive up crop demand even further. Given the
fact that extensive expansion of farmland is no longer a feasible way to increase yields, the sole
option is to bolster food production per unit area. That can only be accomplished by increasing the
amount of irrigated land, which in turn, requires some additional water resources. Forecasts also call
for dramatic increases in industrial and domestic water use as living standards rise in the developing
world. Domestic water consumption in particular is expected to skyrocket with the ongoing
concentration of population in the cities.
         As shown in Table 5, the World Water Vision unveiled by the WWC in 200010 predicts that
by 2025 water demand will climb 10%, most of that increase being attributable to domestic
consumption, while the amount of water used in irrigation will rise 6%. The latter figure assumes
that, while irrigated land area will increase 20%, gains will be made in irrigation efficiency. The
International Commission on Irrigation and Drainage (ICID) for its part has put together A Vision
for Food and Rural Development in collaboration with such bodies as the World Bank and the
national committees of the ICID11. They predict that, even on an optimistic assumption of crop
yields and irrigation efficiency, 15-20% more irrigation water will be needed over the next 25 years.
At any rate increased water demand is unavoidable, though exact forecasts differ considerably.

                      Table 5. Outlook by the World Water Vision Committee10.
                       User              Water Use (km3)       Percentage
                                        1995        2025        Increase

                        Agriculture     2,500         2,650             6
                        Industry         750           800              7
                        Domestic         350           500             43
                        Reservoirs       200           220             10
                        Total           3,800         4,200            10
                         Note: Agriculture is taken as equivalent to irrigation.

                                                  12
•    Considerations Relating to Rice Paddies in the Asian Monsoon Region
          In the face of increased pressure on water resources, some hydrologists criticize irrigated
agriculture for wasting too much water, and irrigation engineers are doing their best to develop and
disseminate more efficient structural and nonstructural technologies. But such efforts are generally
tailored to irrigated agriculture in the more arid regions where annual precipitation is low or rainfall
is not heavy. Ensuring the sustainable development of paddy rice agriculture in the Asian monsoon
region in the coming age of water shortages will require coming to grips with challenges quite
different from those facing dryland farming.
          First, the Asian monsoon region has an abundance of water resources. One might even go
so far as to contend that paring back on annual water withdrawals during the rainy season would be
largely pointless. The important issue is how to adjust supplies between users when shortages occur
due to large swings in the amount of precipitation. Consider a scenario involving building a dam in
order to develop new water resources. Usually the size of the reservoir is determined based on past
hydrological data assuming a dry year once every decade. Now, one might jump to the conclusion
that water supply cutbacks will be needed only once every ten years, but that assumption does not
hold in monsoon regions that receive large amounts of irregular rainfall. If the level of the water
behind the dam drops to less than half, there is no guarantee that rain will subsequently resume
falling on the pattern of a typical year. Therefore, one will have to invoke Phase 1 of your water
conservation plan. Should the dry spell continue, Phase 2 contingency plans will need to be
implemented. In the real world this type of thing happens a good deal more often than once a
decade. Hence there is not much point in boosting efficiency of water use in wet years when rainfall
is plentiful. A more germane consideration is how to share water among users when reserves are
low.
        Second, since paddies in the Asian monsoon region consume only some of the water
withdrawn, it is important to improve recycling so that seepage from paddies can be reused
downstream. Needless to say, the quality of effluent water will have to be maintained in good
condition for reuse.
          Third, in order to adjust distribution and foster recycling as described above, it is not
enough to leave irrigation and sewage treatment facilities exclusively to public management. A
powerful organization of water users is required to manage things collectively with input from local
residents. In the case of irrigation water, so-called Land Improvement Districts (LID) as in Japan
fulfill that role. However, these organizational bonds have weakened in recent years as aging
farmers consist the majority of members of LID and city people take up residence in farming
communities due to urbanization. In addition, LID remain undeveloped in rainfall-dependent
regions where paddy irrigation has failed to evolve.
       Fourth, there is the question of recycling the 90% of waste water from domestic use that
ends up being discarded. In the developing countries waste water is disposed untreated or
minimally treated, and if it is to be recycled it needs to be treated to a permissible level. Presently the

                                                    13
developing world uses only minuscule amounts of water for domestic purposes, none of which is
recycled, but demand is expected to pick up in the future as urbanization increases. If that waste
water can be treated to a certain usable level, it could become a valuable water resource for
agriculture and other users. Given the fact that stream flow declines during dry season, the quality of
effluent water will need to be maintained in good condition for recycling.
          Let us examine how much domestic waste water can be recycled. Assuming a farm village
with a population density of eighty persons per hectare (non-DID density) that generates 330 liters
of domestic waste water per person per day, 240 m3 of sewage would be produced for every 1,000
ha. If all the waste water were reused in rice paddies, that would be equivalent to 2.4 mm of water
per day. In other words, some 10% of irrigation needs could be met from domestic waste water that
is too large an amount to ignore under water shortfalls. Thus, promoting sewage treatment of
domestic waste water is important not just from the viewpoint of hygiene but from that of making
effective use of water resources as well.

5. A Case Study of Water Redistribution in Japan

          Next we examine an example of conversion from agricultural and industrial water use to
domestic water use involving the Aichi waterworks located in Japan's Kiso River basin12.
Completed in 1961, the Aichi waterworks is a multipurpose water development that carries water
for irrigation and domestic and industrial purposes from the Kiso River system to the area stretching
from the plain east of Nagoya to the Chita Peninsula. The Makio Dam was constructed upstream to
serve as the water reservoir. Water is withdrawn at Kaneyama on the middle stretch of the river
system and channeled along a waterway to the tip of the Chita Peninsula, a distance of some 110
km. In 1994 Japan suffered serious water shortages beginning in the early spring due to low rainfall
throughout the country. In the Kiso River basin, which supplies the Aichi waterworks, users began
cutting back on water use on June 9th. However, the dry spell continued with no substantial rains,
and the level of water behind the Makio Dam fell rapidly. This situation led to a progressive beefing
up of restrictions on water withdrawals. Supply of water for irrigation use was cut back a maximum
of 65%, that for domestic use 35%, and that for industrial use 65%. Finally, substantial rains started
to fall on September 16th, putting an end to the immediate crisis, and from October 1st the
restrictions were gradually relaxed until they were lifted completely on November 14th. Throughout
the period in question supply of water for agricultural and industrial use was cut back by about
double the percentage as that for domestic use12.
          We turn next to withdrawals by type of use as shown in Table 6. In terms of breakdown of
water rights, agricultural use accounted for a 70.5% stake before restrictions were imposed but only
65.7% of supply after the restriction was lifted, while industrial use experienced a similar decline
from 21.0% to 19.6%. Domestic use, by contrast, increased from 8.5% to 14.7% after the
restrictions. This clearly represents a shift in utilization of a developed water source away from
agricultural and industrial use to domestic use.

                                                  14
Table 6. Fluctuations in Withdrawals during the Water Shortage in Kiso River Basin12.
                           Water Rights             Withdrawals after Restrictions Imposed
Type of Use
                      Volume Percentage Level of            Volume      Percentage Relative
                         3                                    3
                     (m /sec)      of Total    Cutbacks (m /sec•         of Total      Change
                                   Volume        (%)                     Volume         (B/A)
                                     (A)                                    (B)
Domestic               2.594          8.5          35        1.686          14.7         1.73
Agricultural          21.514         70.5          65        7.530          65.7         0.93
(Irrigation)
Industrial             6.411         21.0          65        2.244          19.6         0.93
Total                 30.519        100.0                   11.460         100.0

         As mentioned in Section 4, such water transfers from agricultural and industrial use to
domestic use are not restricted to years of serious drought. Table 7 lists cases of water supply
cutbacks over the last 29 years at the Makio Dam, which supplies the Aichi waterworks12. Some
type of cutback has been implemented in 19 of the last 29 years, in each case resulting in a water
transfer from agricultural and industrial to domestic users.

                    Table 7. Water Supply Cutbacks over the Past 29 Years12.
            Year          Number of            Level of Cutbacks in Percent
                             Days       Agricultural    Domestic        Industrial
                           Cutbacks
                           Imposed
            1973              109           30             20               30
            1977              189           20             10               20
            1978              55            15             10               20
            1979              10            10              5               10
            1982              34            40             20               40
            1983              52            20             10               20
            1984              246           30             15               30
            1986              148           40             20               40
            1987              191           37             17               37
            1990              32            20             10               20
            1992              51            20             10               20
            1993              25            20             15               20
            1994              166           65             35               65
            1995              210           44             22               44
            1996              29            20             20               20
            1997               7            10              5               10
            1999               9            10              5               10
            2000              78            50             25               50
            2001              144           40             20               40

                                               15
The problem that arises here is how to determine the level of cutbacks. In the case of the
Kiso River basin, a deliberation committee was initially set up to decide by how much to restrict
water supply to various users. This committee consisted of the affected users including the LID in
the case of agricultural use, and municipalities and the prefectural bureau of industry in the case of
domestic and industrial use. Then, if the drought grows more severe and the need arises for
adjustments throughout the catchments basin, an emergency committee is convened to regulate
water users throughout the river system and decide on drought measures. This committee consists
of representatives from the affected prefectures and the local branches of the Ministry of Land,
Infrastructure and Transport which manages the country's rivers, the Ministry of Agriculture,
Forestry and Fisheries which has jurisdiction over agricultural water use, and the Ministry of
Economy, Trade and Industry which has jurisdiction over industrial water use.
         In this case, it is important that water users decide among themselves what water
conservation measures are to be implemented, for they are the ones who will suffer the economic
consequences. One school of thought argues that the process of reallocation should be left to the
market and the relevant rights traded for money. But in monsoon regions the price of water is
speculative, and it is inconceivable that this approach would result in its being pegged at the right
level13. A prolonged dry spell would send the price of water through the roof, yet a single torrential
rainfall might solve everything overnight. After all, unlike arid and semiarid regions, the monsoon
climate is fickle and completely unpredictable even over the short term.
        Figure 5 is an example of transition of cutbacks in 1994 to that of normal year. The graph
shows a change of the ratio of water reserve of 1994 and cutbacks ratio during water saving
operation period.
         Dams in Japan are designed with capacity that can bear a drought that occurs once a decade.
The amount of the storage capacity is calculated on the assumption that the catchments area should
have the designated rainfall. But it cannot be known in advance during water discharging operation
period if the catchments area will suffer a heavier shortage of rainfall than that in designated year.

    Therefore:
     1. Cutbacks start whenever the ratio of water reserve to that of normal year is 50% or lower,
         and
        2. Cutbacks ratio change according to the S/C.
        Temporary water transfers from agricultural and industrial use to domestic use during
severe water shortage period are operated in a voluntary way under such an unpredictable situation.

                                                 16
W ater Reserves and W ater Supply Cutbacks in Drought
                                              Year (1994)

                    80

                    70

                    60

                    50                                                       W ater reserves
          percent

                                                                             Agricutural
                    40
                                                                             Dom estic
                    30
                                                                             Indutrial
                    20
                                                                 (1)    Water   reserves
                    10
                                                                 (%):
                     0
                                                                 (Storage/Capacity) ×
                      ly uly ~10

                                     3
                              ne ~7

                            ne ~14
                      Ju ne ~16

                               ~J 4

                             ~N 16
                               l 5

                        Au ugu 3
                              st 1

                        t. t. 0
                            ne ~10

                              pt 31

                                   .1
                            25 7~2

                                    1
                           gu st2

                     O c O 1~3
                            Ju uly
                          Ju e 1

                          17 1~
                          ~A 1~

                          Se 22~
                    Ju J y 5
                         Ju 11
                         Ju 14
                         Ju 7

                                ov
                                                                 100
                        ne 1

                        14 1

                                 .
                                n
                            Ju

                              c
                                                                 (2)Agricultural,
                                                                 D      ti
                                         Dates

  Figure 5. Relationship between Water Reserves and Water Supply Cutbacks in a Typical Year
  (1994)12.

         Also note that, since water supply cutbacks in the Tone River basin are decided publicly
without direct input from users, those cutbacks are all set at the same percentage without any
variation. This fact underscores the importance of users making decisions for them.

6. Conclusions

         Rice is the ideal crop for the Asian monsoon region with its dense pattern of habitation.
Sustainable ways must be found of expanding agricultural production for the population that is
expected to grow even larger in the 21st century. Moreover, urbanization and economic
development is expected to result in a massive increase in domestic water consumption. For these
reasons large amounts of water will be required. Paddy irrigation, which occupies an important
place in the Asian monsoon region, is practiced within the context of the overall hydrologic cycle
and uses water in quite different fashion from dryland farming. In the 21st century the rice paddy's
unique features will need to be harnessed in the quest to make effective use of water resources and
achieve sustainable development.

                                                 17
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

        I express my gratitude to Mr. Kazumi Yamaoka of the Japanese Institute of Irrigation, and
Drainage (JIID), Mr. Fukuda of the Second Engineering Division of the Water Resources
Development Public Corporation, Japan and Prof.. Emeritus Kenneth K. Tanji of the University of
California and Japan for their valuable opinions during the writing of this paper.

REFERENCES

1. Rika Nanny (Chronological Scientific Tables) 2002
2. Shigetaka Taniyama, Keynote Addresses. 1st Asian Regional Conference, 2001.
3. ICID, Annual Report, 2001-2002.
4. Kazuto Nakazawa, Mizu Shigen no Kagaku (The Science of Water Resources). Asakura Shoten,
1996.
5. Sekai Kokusei Zue (World Nations Databook) 2001-2002, 2002.
6. K.H. Solomon & B. Davidoff, relating unit and subunit irrigation performance, Transactions,
ASAE 42:115-122, 1999.
7. Tony Allan, "Moving Water to Satisfy Uneven Global Needs: 'Trading' Water as an Alternative to
Engineering It." ICID Journal 1998.
8. Katsumi Mushiake, Nihon o Chushin to Shita Kasosui no Yushutsunyu (Import and Export of
Virtual Water in Japan). The Japan Society of Hydrology and Water Resources, 2002.
9. J.T. Musick & K.B. Porter, Chapter 20, Wheat, IN Irrigation of Agricultural Crops, B.A. Stewart
& D.R. Nielsen, co-editors. Agronomy 30, American Society of Agronomy, 1990.
10. William J. Cosgrove & Frank R. Rijsberman, World Water Vision. 2000.
11. ICID, Water for Food and Rural Development, 2000.
12. Water Resources Development Public Corporation, Heisei 6 Nen Kassui Hokokusho (Report on
the Water Shortage of 1994). 1995.
13. The Japanese Institute of Irrigation and Drainage (JIID), Suido no Chi (Wisdom based on "Land
and Water"). 2002.

Miscellaneous
Per Pinstrup-Andersen, Rajul Pandya-Lorch and Mark W. Rosegrant, World Food Prospects:
Critical Issues for the Early Twenty-first Century. International Food Policy Research Institute,
1999.

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