Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA - Company presentation "Defining logistics for a world in motion" - Wallenius Wilhelmsen ...
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DISCLAIMER This presentation (the “Presentation”) has been prepared by Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA (“Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA” or the “Company” and together with its subsidiaries the "Group"). The Presentation has been prepared and is delivered for information purposes only. It has not been reviewed or registered with, or approved by, any public authority, stock exchange or regulated market place. The contents of the Presentation are not to be construed as financial, legal, business, investment, tax or other professional advice. Each recipient should consult with its own professional advisors for any such matter and advice. The Company makes no representation or warranty (whether express or implied) as to the correctness or completeness of the information contained herein, and neither the Company nor any of its subsidiaries, directors, employees or advisors assume any liability connected to the Presentation and/or the statements set out herein. This Presentation is not and does not purport to be complete in any way. By receiving this Presentation you acknowledge that you will be solely responsible for your own assessment of the Company, its financial position and prospects and that you will conduct your own analysis and be solely responsible for forming your own view of any refinancing and the potential future performance of the Company’s business. The information included in this Presentation may contain certain forward-looking statements relating to the business, financial performance and results of the WWL Group and/or the industry in which it operates. Forward-looking statements concern future circumstances and results and other statements that are not historical facts, sometimes identified by the words “believes”, “expects”, “predicts”, “intends”, “projects”, “plans”, “estimates”, “aims”, “foresees”, “anticipates”, “targets”, and similar expressions. The forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation, including assumptions, opinions and views of the Company or cited from third party sources are solely views and forecasts which are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual events to differ materially from any anticipated development. None of the Company or any other company in the WWL Group, or any of its advisors or any of their parent or subsidiary undertakings or any such person’s affiliates, officers or employees provides any assurance that the assumptions underlying such forward-looking statements are free from errors nor does any of them accept any responsibility for the future accuracy of the opinions expressed in this Presentation or the actual occurrence of the forecasted developments. The Company assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements or to conform these forward-looking statements to the WWL Group's actual results. Investors are advised, however, to inform themselves about any further public disclosures made by the Company, such as filings made with Oslo Børs or press releases. This Presentation does not constitute any solicitation for any offer to purchase or subscribe any securities and is not an offer or invitation to sell or issue securities for sale in any jurisdiction, including the United States. Distribution of the Presentation in or into any jurisdiction where such distribution may be unlawful, is prohibited. The Company and its advisors require persons in possession of this Presentation to inform themselves about, and to observe, any such restrictions. This Presentation speaks as of the date set out on the front page, and there may have been changes in matters which affect the WWL Group subsequent to the date of this Presentation. Neither the issue nor delivery of this Presentation shall under any circumstance create any implication that the information contained herein is correct as of any time subsequent to the date hereof or that the affairs of the WWL Group have not since changed, and the Company does not intend, and does not assume any obligation, to update or correct any information included in this Presentation. This Presentation is subject to Norwegian law, and any dispute arising in respect of this Presentation is subject to the exclusive jurisdiction of Norwegian courts with Asker and Bærum District Court as exclusive venue. By receiving this Presentation, you accept to be bound by the terms above. 2
Investment highlights 1 Global market leader in the vehicle logistics segment 2 Diversified business model with both Ocean and Landbased logistics 3 Diversified and solid customer base with long term contracts 4 Profitable and positive cash flow despite challenging market 5 Solid platform for future growth and improved earnings 6 New USD 100 million performance improvement program 7 Highly experienced management team with strong track record 3
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A Wallenius Wilhelmsen – our history Merger to create Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA as a listed Wallenius Wilhelmsen company incl. EUKOR, changes its name from WWL, American Roll-on Lines to Logistics, Roll-off Carrier (ARC), EUKOR formed as signaling the shift as well as Wilhelmsen Wilhelmsen Group and towards fully and Wallenius vessels Wallenius Shipping integrated logistics acquires the car carrier services from factory to Merger between dealer 2017 Wilhelmsen group and unit Hyundai Merchant Wallenius Shipping to Marine American Roll-on Roll- off Carrier founded by form Wallenius 2006 Wilhelmsen Group and Wilhelmsen Lines Wallenius Shipping 2002 Wallenius Lines jointly founded in Stockholm, 1999 Wilhelmsen Group Sweden by Olof founded in Tønsberg, Wallenius Norway by Morten W. 1990 Wilhelmsen 1934 1861 5
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A Wallenius Wilhelmsen is the undisputed market leader for vehicle logistics KEY FACTS & FIGURES OUR PRODUCTS & SERVICES ~125 2 MARINE TERMINAL 1 OCEAN1 vessels servicing >15 trade SERVICES routes to six continents Revenues 2018 3 ~3.2bn USD PLANT -BASED PORT-BASED TECHNICAL TECHNICAL 4 EBITDA 2018 >18M SERVICES SERVICES DISTRIBUTION TO DEALER ~530 MUSD ~4.5M units for Ocean 3 DISTRIBUTION ~13.5M units in Landbased TO PORT 2 LANDBASED 4 OCEAN TRANSPORTATION 3 Revenues 2018 1 4 ~900 MUSD 9,500 MARINE TERMINAL SERVICES EBITDA 2018 ~2,200 Office workers ~7,300 Production workers 2 ~90 MUSD 1) Not including Holding segment of negative about USD 15 million 6
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A Wallenius Wilhemsens consists of two main segments 1 2 OCEAN TRANSPORTATION LANDBASED SERVICES “Market Leader” “Full Life Cycle Logistics” Note: ARC retains a separate and independent management structure 7
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A 1 The group is the clear market leader and the #1 operator globally Fleet by operator group Fleet characteristics Capacity Average max (1000 CEU) Order ramp capacity, Current tons 1 100 Current 300 1 000 900 250 WW Ocean 800 GRIMALDI 700 200 600 150 500 HAL K LINE EUKOR 400 100 MOL 300 200 50 NYK GLOVIS 100 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 WALWIL NYK MOL K-LINE HYUNDAI HOEGH GRIMALDI OTHER GLOVIS Average # of hoistable decks 1) Car equivalent units, a standardized capacity measurement unit 8
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A 1 Wallenius Wilhelmsen has a core fleet of 126 vessels and leverages the charter market to balance capacity short term Fleet development Comments # of vessels Owned Chartered Short Term T/C In/Out • Wallenius Wilhelmsen has a core fleet of 126 vessels with 78 owned vessels and 48 vessels on long term 137 charters 131 131 131 132 131 127 10 124 123 126 127 5 6 6 9 0 5 1 • The owned fleet is relatively young with an average of 12 years and only 1 vessel above the age of 25 years 51 49 50 49 46 49 49 48 48 48 48 • The group strives to have fleet flexibility through combination of owned and chartered tonnage • The group actively leverages the charter market to balance capacity both short and medium term (e.g. swaps and spot charterers) 76 77 75 76 77 78 78 78 78 78 78 • Delivery of vessel number two of four in the Post- Panamax newbuilding program on 11 April 2019 • No further CAPEX planned past two newbuildings with expected delivery in late 2019 and 2020 (installments -3 -3 Q1’17 Q2’17 Q3’17 Q4’17 Q1’18 Q2’18 Q3’18 Q4’18 January February March of USD ~80 million remaining) 9
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A 1 An unrivalled and agile global RoRo network to meet changing demand About 125 vessels with more than 1,300 sailings and 9,000 port calls per year Overview of key trade routes WW Ocean trade routes EUKOR trade routes ARC trade routes ARMACUP trade routes 10
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A 1 Diversified customer portfolio with long term contracts Size of cargo segments Main customers include all major OEMs globally • MainAUTO customers include all main HIGH OEMs globally & HEAVY BREAKBULK • Auto Main customers include all main OEMs globally ~73% of ~27% of CBM* CBM* High & Heavy • Majority of volume from auto Breakbulk • High & heavy and breakbulk maximize cubic utilization • Unique handling capabilities for high & heavy and breakbulk *Average share of total CBM last two years 11
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A 1 For IMO 2020, Wallenius Wilhelmsen has chosen a balanced approach which gives the best chance of managing risks and costs Commercial Technical Financial Changes in Bunker Adjustment Scrubber installations Derivative products Factor (BAF) clauses and to allow for use of and hedging to customer contracts HSFO on selected vessels reduce exposure 12
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A 2 The landbased services network is global In-plant vehicle processing centres In-plant equipment processing centres Terminals Vehicle processing centres Equipment processing centres Inland distribution networks 13
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A 2 Our Landbased services portfolio Landbased services portfolio Main customers • Auto Main customers include Marine Terminals Technical Services Inland Distribution all main OEMs globally EBITDA share EBITDA share EBITDA share High & Heavy Stevedoring Accessory fitting Mix of assets and procured Custom clearance Pre delivery inspections services with forward strategy Breakbulk Receive and delivery Repairs and rectifications focused on non asset Cargo handling Storage management brokerage 14
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A 2 The last 10+ years has been an exiting journey for landbased Early 1990s 2005 2009 2010/11 2016 2017 Southampton DAS acquired Castor Green EPC ‘s in VSA and CAT-WWL Acquisition of Keen and Port from Nissan Terminal – our Panama, 100% takeover Transport, Expansion Huemne North zero emission Galveston and Landbased business of Zeebrugge terminal America vision for Dubai reaches USD 0.7 bn initiated and several (known as terminal and revenues new VPCs in North VSA) processing America and Europe services being established - 2005: Defensive 2005 – 2013: 2013 – 2016 2017 – strategy From lines to Logistics The growth engine Full life cycle logistics “2000” 2006 2009 2014 2018 A strategy shift Pyoengteak MIRRAT Zeebrugge in towards fully terminal in Acqusition of 1999 terminal integrated Korea & Syngin concession Baltimore logistics Investments in Technology won (2001) services from two Chinese Kotka (2003) factory to terminals dealer 15
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A 2 Keen Transport makes us the clear market leader in US H&H processing; Syngin Technology the first step into Full Life Cycle Logistics Keen Transport Inc. Syngin Technologies Inc. • Acquisition of Keen Transport Inc. December 2017 for a total • Acquisition of 70% of Syngin Technologies June 2018 for an acquisition price of USD 64 million on a cash- and debt-free expected total purchase price of about USD 30 million on a basis (EBITDA multiple of about 5-6x) cash- and debt-free basis (EBITDA multiple of about 5-6x) • Keen operates 14 High & Heavy Equipment Processing • Leading provider of automated logistics solutions for Centers (EPC's) and a specialty trucking entity in the US disposition of used vehicles through an electronic marketplace • The acquisition is a strong fit strategically and operationally, • Syngin streamlines the movement of vehicles handled by fleet yielding some synergies leasing companies & remarketers to auction houses through a • Opportunity to capitalize on the improving fundamentals of virtual marketplace that matches these stakeholders with the mining and construction sector, both in the US and abroad transportation providers & repair centers • Combined strength of companies represents a significant opportunity to scale the business, not only within the current scope, but also into adjacent customers and geographies 16
Wallenius Wilhelmsen: “Defining logistics for a world in motion” Finished vehicle supply chains will be transformed
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A Wallenius Wilhelmsen ESG strategy consists of 3 pillars Environmental Social Governance Ambition Reaffirm Wallenius Wilhelmsen as a Resilience, appeal and innovation through Effective management and control of Main Lean:Green logistics leader diversity, training, welfare and outreach operations, in combination with transparency, clarity and proper business practices Key Objectives Lobby for Nurture Lean:Green Diversity across Committed to best- Training and Compliance “Top of progressive and innovation to create locations and practice policies and development Mind” pragmatic outcomes revenue & savings business units procedures Reduce GHG thru Prepare for Sulphur Working conditions Cultivate culture of Participate in global multi-faceted Social outreach 2020 and welfare integrity networks approach 18
Financial performance update
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A Highlights first quarter 2019 EBITDA of USD 218 million, a significant improvement y-o-y Ocean results positively impacted by performance improvement initiatives, lower net bunker cost and project cargo in the Atlantic Underlying flat ocean volume development y-o-y The landbased segment delivered stable performance About USD 60 million of the USD 100 million performance improvement target confirmed 20
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A Consolidated results – first quarter 2019 Q1 2019 Q4 2018 Q1 2018 Comments Total income 1 018 1 022 968 • Total income was USD 1 018 million in the first Operating expenses (799) (854) (843) quarter, up 5% y-o-y due to increased revenues for EBITDA* 218 168 125 the ocean segment EBITDA adjusted 218 168 128 • EBITDA of USD 218 million, up USD 93 million y-o-y of which USD 42 million was the impact of IFRS 16 Depreciation (123) (88) (85) new accounting rules Other gain/losses 0 36 (40) • Underlying improved performance driven by the EBIT 95 116 0 ocean segment Net financial items (70) (82) (5) • Net financial items of USD 70 million in the quarter Profit before tax 25 34 (5) • Interest expense was USD 53 million, up 15% as a Tax income/(expense) (3) 11 (25) result of implementation of IFRS 16 (USD 10 million) Profit for the period 22 45 (30) • Net financial expenses negatively impacted by USD 22 million from unrealised interest rate derivates EPS 0.05 0.10 (0.07) • Tax expense of USD 3 million in the first quarter *IFRS 16 effect on EBITDA 42 n/a n/a 21
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A IFRS 16 – Impact for Wallenius Wilhelmsen Impact of Change in Lease Accounting (IFRS 16) – Q1 2019 USD million Effect on balance sheet Effect on income statement 855 855 Ocean Landbased 42 31 5 11 3 2 -2 Assets Liabilities -3 -6 EBITDA EBIT Net result 22
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A Ocean segment – first quarter 2019 Total income and EBITDA ocean segment1 Comments USD million Total income EBITDA • Total income was USD 812, up 8% y-o-y driven by higher net freight/CBM and fuel cost compensation from IFRS 16 effect Extraordinary items customers +8% +1% +71% +25% • EBITDA of USD 190 million, an improvement of USD 81 832 842 190 million y-o-y of which USD 31 million in IFRS 16 effect 822 807 812 798 766 719 750 162 170 160 31 • Performance improvement driven by several factors: 152 • Full realization of synergies and early wins on the performance 136 132 123 improvement program (about USD 25 million in total) 111 • Higher net freight/CBM due to more favourable cargo mix and 145 162 strong project cargo in the Atlantic 157 159 134 132 • Lower net bunker cost (about USD 10 million) 109 • Favourable currency developments (about USD 10 million) • Biosecurity challenges continued and impacted the 17 8 3 2 2 results with about USD 5 million in the quarter Q1’17 Q2’17 Q3’17 Q4’17 Q1’18 Q2’18 Q3’18 Q4’18 Q1’19 Q1’17 Q2’17 Q3’17 Q4’17 Q1’18 Q2’18 Q3’18 Q4’18 Q1’19 • EBITDA increased by USD 38 million q-o-q of which USD 31 million is explained by the IFRS 16 implementation 1) Adjusted for extraordinary items 23
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A Landbased segment – first quarter 2019 Total income and EBITDA landbased segment1 Comments USD million Total income EBITDA • Total income in the first quarter was USD 232 million with all business segments delivering IFRS effect Extraordinary items 0% -1% revenues in line with first quarter last year +63% +50% 232 225 235 232 • EBITDA for the first quarter ended at USD 33 million, 221 222 33 203 24 up USD 13 million y-o-y of which USD 11 million in 186 192 27 24 25 11 IFRS 16 effect 22 23 22 20 • The improvement was driven by stronger 26 29 performance of Solutions Americas – H&H which 23 25 22 benefitted from full realization of synergies combined with strong volumes and favourable 1 1 -5 0 customer and service mix Q1’17 Q2’17 Q3’17 Q4’17 Q1’18 Q2’18 Q3’18 Q4’18 Q1’19 Q1’17 Q2’17 Q3’17 Q4’17 Q1’18 Q2’18 Q3’18 Q4’18 Q1’19 • Underlying development in other products was flat both y-o-y and q-o-q 1) Adjusted for extraordinary items 24
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A Underlying flat volume development in the quarter Volume and cargo mix development Comments Million CBM and % Auto High & heavy High & heavy share Million CBM 19.5 -2% -5% % • Overall y-o-y Auto volumes pulled down by 20 19.4 32 18.8 18.2 18.0 18.2 18.0 18.5 30 contractual choices in the Atlantic trade (effective 17.0 17.3 17.1 28 16.8 16.2 16.2 16.5 16.2 January 2019) 15.5 26 15.2 15 24 22 • Increased High & Heavy (H&H) partly offset overall 20 14.9 13.7 14.7 13.5 13.3 13.9 13.1 12.2 18 volume drop and improved H&H share to 30%, up 14.5 12.6 12.5 12.5 11.9 11.4 10 11.7 11.3 12.5 12.3 16 from 27% 14 12 10 • Trade mix had a positive impact on net freight 5 8 development in the quarters, supporting underlying 6 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.6 4.7 4.5 4.9 4.6 5.4 5.1 4.6 4.9 4 results 3.7 3.9 4.3 3.9 3.7 3.9 2 0 0 Q4’14 Q1’15 Q2’15 Q3’15 Q4’15 Q1’16 Q2’16 Q3’16 Q4’16 Q1’17 Q2’17 Q3’17 Q4’17 Q1’18 Q2 ’18 Q3’18 Q4’18 Q1’19 1) Prorated volume (WW Ocean, EUKOR, ARC and Armacup) 2) H&H share calculated based on unprorated volumes 25
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A Some contractual wins in early 2019, but majority yet to be renewed Overview of 2019 contract renewals Rate changes and impact for 2019 contract renewals USD and percent (Circle indicate size of contract in millions) Rate change Contract renewals 2019 Percent Contractually agreed rate adjustments 50 40 Renewed 23% 30 20 10 0 To be renewed 77% -10 -20 -30 -40 2019 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 Rate impact (USD millions) 26
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A Performance improvement program off to a good start - remaining improvements carry a longer lead time Confirmed and realized improvements Comments USD million in annualized effect 100 • USD 60 million of the USD 100 million performance improvement program confirmed at end of Q1, up from USD 55 million in previous quarter 61 • The additional USD 5 million come mainly from; 56 • Voyage optimization Asia-Europe & Atlantic 43 • More efficient hull cleaning across the board • Annualized run rate of realized improvements also reached USD 60 million, up from about USD 20 million in the previous quarter Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 • Remaining initiatives require longer lead-time; 2018 2018 2019 2019 2019 2019 2020 2020 2020 • Centralised voyage management • Further voyage optimisation Contractual improvements Centralized vessel and voyage management Realized improvements Voyage Optimization More efficient hull cleaning 1 Not adjusted for USD 10 million in negative rate impact from 2018 contract renewals 27
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A Cash flow and liquidity development – first quarter 2019 Cash flow and liquidity development Comments USD million • CAPEX of about USD 9 million includes 218 • Dry docking and newbuildings (USD 2 million) -9 -11 • Landbased maintenance and equipment (USD 6 million) -54 -2 555 • Net financing of USD -11 million mainly relates to -71 484 • Regular instalments of about USD 80 million • Refinancing of three vessels in EUKOR of about USD 126 million with net proceeds of USD 10 million • Utilisation of credit facilities of about USD 90 million • Payments on lease contracts classified as repayment of debt of about USD 30 million • Other includes increased accounts receivable of about Liquidity EBITDA CAPEX Net financing Interest paid Taxes paid Other Liquidity USD 55 million, reduced accounts payable by about USD Q4 2018 incl. financial Q1 2019 20 million and reduced inventory of about USD 30 derivatives million 28
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A Balance sheet review – first quarter 2019 Balance Sheet 31.03.2019 Comments USD billion Assets Equity & Liabilities • Total assets of USD 8.3 billion with equity ratio of 35.0%, down from 38.8% in the previous quarter 8.3 8.3 due to implementation of IFRS 16 • Net interest bearing debt of USD 3.8 billion, of Equity 2.9 which reclassification of operational leases (IFRS 16 effect) represents USD 855 million Non current assets 6.9 • Continued strong cash and liquidity position with Non current liabilities 4.3 USD 555 million in cash and about USD 280 million in undrawn credit facilities • On 9 April 2019, remaining outstanding amounts Current assets 1.3 Current liabilities 1.1 under the NOK 800 million bond was repaid 29
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA dividend policy DIVIDEND POLICY “Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA’s objective is to provide shareholders with a competitive return over time through a combination of rising value for the share and payment of dividend to the shareholders. The Board targets a dividend which over time shall constitute between 30 and 50% of the company’s profit after tax. When deciding the size of the dividend, the Board will consider future capital requirements to ensure the implementation of its growth strategy as well as the need to ensure that the Group’s financial standing remains warrantable at all times. Dividends will be declared in USD and paid out semi-annually” FINANCIAL TARGETS Key ratios Target Equity ratio >35% Return on capital employed («ROCE») >8% 30
Market outlook 31
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A Volume outlook increasingly uncertain driven by macro picture, but supply-demand balance gradually improving Auto – slowing sales H&H – solid, but softening Market balance – firmer Growth has come down from Sales slowing in all major Current orderbook at double-digit levels seen in markets historical low 2017 – 2018 32
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A Auto sales down 4.3% y-o-y - driven by slow sales in all major markets Global light vehicle (LV) sales per quarter1,2) Regional LV sales per month1,2) Units Growth (y-o-y) USA -3.0% -3% -2% -2% Sales continued down, -4.3% -2.7% however market size still 24.9 23.4 23.9 23.9 23.5 solid in absolute terms 22.9 23.0 22.9 Jan Feb Mar 22.4 Western Europe -2.9% -3% -4% -2% Sales continued down; several OEMs continue WLTP struggles, Jan Feb Mar uncertainty around Brexit -16% China -12.8% -8% -14% China LV sales off to a weak start, softened consumer confidence and Jan Feb Mar awaiting potential Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 governmental stimulus 2018 2019 Source: 1) IHS Markit 2) LMCA Automotive 33
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A Market uncertainty has increased although auto analysts remain positive about medium-term growth prospects Global LV forecasts Units and growth (y-o-y) Global LV sales Several factors fuel uncertainty in short and medium term: +2.2% +4.5% -2.8% -5.8% -4.3% -3.5% +0.9% +5.9% • Trade barriers – continued risk with implications for both sales and sourcing shifts globally • WLTP introduction Europe – distortions on both supply and demand 23.9 23.9 22.4 23.5 22.9 23.1 22.6 24.9 side (incl. imports), effects in Q2 and possibly longer • Brexit – continued uncertainty triggering temporary and permanent Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 production shutdowns Global LV exports • China – continued softening driven by overall economy and high inventories, but expected stimulus packages to influence positively +3.5% +5.2% +0.7% +0.3% -1.1% +1.0% +3.8% +6.9% • US Vehicle prices – rising due increased finance cost, also high inventories 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.9 3.9 4.0 • Emerging markets – continued risk with macro-economic instability in markets like Turkey and Argentina and geopolitical developments in Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 the Middle East Source: IHS Markit. Exports are sales based 34
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A High & heavy trade remained solid while momentum keeps softening Construction Machinery Mining Machinery Agriculture Machinery Exports (YoY) Sales (YoY) Exports (YoY) 40% 60% 40% EXPORT1 & 20% 30% 20% SALES DATA2 0% 0% 0% -30% -20% -60% -20% 12/12 12/13 12/14 12/15 12/16 12/17 12/18 3/14 3/15 3/16 3/17 3/18 3/19 12/12 12/13 12/14 12/15 12/16 12/17 12/18 Sales (YoY) Sales (YoY) Sales (YoY) +28% +23% +20% +16% +10% +10% +12% OEM SALES +4% +4% +2% +3% ESTIMATES3 -3% 2017 2018 2019e 2020e 2017 2018 2019e 2020e 2017 2018 2019e 2020e Fragile growth backed by recovering Weakened momentum, as growth is Mixed picture with last years drought in commodity prices and significant increasingly unsynchronised globally key markets weighing in on sentiment underinvestment during previous downturn Source: 1IHS Markit | World (major exporters) construction/rolling mining equipment and agriculture equipment exports (>20 kUSD ) (Units last 3 months y-o-y) 2Caterpillar | 3 month rolling retail sales (Units last 3 months y-o-y) 3Factset data and Analytics (25.04.19). | OEM Revenue Consensus Estimate (y-o-y). Construction: Volvo, Caterpillar, CNH, Komatsu, Hitachi, Terex. Mining: Sandvik, Caterpillar, Hitachi, Atlas Copco, Epiroc 35 (>2018). Agriculture: AGCO, CNH, Deere. Sales in construction/agriculture/mining equipment divisions only.
Wallenius Wilhelmsen in brief Financial performance Market outlook Summary and Q&A Low order book and minimal net fleet growth expected for several years Car Carrier Fleet Orderbook Fleet and demand growth # vessels equal or above 4000 CEU Percent 15 9 Growth y-o-y 4 3 2 5 1 0 2018 2019 2020 2021 1 Demand growth Net fleet growth Order book 2019 2020 2021 • No new orders were confirmed in the first quarter 2019* • Deep-see shipments forecasted to increase with about 2% per year • One vessel was delivered, three vessels recycled in the quarter • New regulation (IMO 2020) could create extra demand for tonnage • Current markets and earnings do not justify new ordering activity • Marginal net fleet growth (if any) expected for several years Source: Clarksons Platou *for vessels above 4000 CEU 36
Summary and Q&A
Outlook Volume outlook remains uncertain – due to macro picture Market rates remain at a low level – but tonnage balance gradually improving Net freight/CBM and project cargo shipments – not expected to remain at first quarter levels Solutions Americas – Auto (VSA) continued impacts by weaker US auto market, while other landbased business segments are expected to perform well Performance improvement program – good progress will support profitability in 2019 38
Thank you!
Appendix
Strong Management Team with +20 years industry experience Wallenius Wilhelmsen Senior Management team Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA Craig Jasienski CEO Jan Dahm-Simonsen Rebekka Glasser Herlofsen Organizational development & CFO HR Målfrid Lundell Simon White Transformation office Group IT ARC EUKOR Wallenius Wilhelmsen Ocean Wallenius Wilhelmsen Solutions Eric Ebeling Erik Noeklebye Mike Hynekamp Ray Fitzgerald CEO CEO COO COO 41
Experienced Board of Directors with broad industry knowledge and presence – independent Chair and two independent Board Members Wallenius Wilhelmsen Board of Directors Chair of the Board Håkan Larsson • Chair of the SteerCo for the WW ASA and Wallenius JVs 2013-2017 • Past CEO for Rederi AB Transatlantic and of Schenker AG Member of the Board Member of the Board Member of the Board Member of the Board Marianne Lie Thomas Wilhelmsen Jonas Kleberg Margareta Alestig • Board member Noreco ASA, Cecon • Group CEO Wilh. Wilhelmsen • Chairman and CEO Rederi AB Soya • Deputy Managing Director for the ASA, Nordic American Tankers Ltd, Holding ASA Sixth Swedish National Pension Nordic American Offshore Ltd Fund • Past CEO Norwegian Shipowners’ • Past CFO for Broström AB, JCE Association Group AB and Swisslog AB 42
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