Walking a Straight Legal and Financial Line in 2018 California Local School Finance - CASBO
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John R. Baracy Managing Director Stifel Adam Bauer President & CEO Fieldman & Rolapp & Associates David G. Casnocha Managing Shareholder Stradling Yocca Carlson & Rauth Walking a Straight Legal and Financial Line in 2018 California Local School Finance The views and opinions expressed in this presentation are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of CASBO.
Table of Contents Section Page Number Section I: Prudent and Effective GO Bond Program Mechanics 3 Section II: 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act Bill Summary and Other 2017 California Legislation 24 Appendix: California K-12 School Finance Resource Materials 34 Disclosure Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated (“Stifel”) has prepared the attached materials. Such material consists of factual or general information (as defined in the SEC’s Municipal Advisor Rule). Stifel is not hereby providing a municipal entity or obligated person with any advice or making any recommendation as to action concerning the structure, timing or terms of any issuance of municipal securities or municipal financial products. To the extent that Stifel provides any alternatives, options, calculations or examples in the attached information, such information is not intended to express any view that the municipal entity or obligated person could achieve particular results in any municipal securities transaction, and those alternatives, options, calculations or examples do not constitute a recommendation that any municipal issuer or obligated person should effect any municipal securities transaction. Stifel is acting in its own interests, is not acting as your municipal advisor and does not owe a fiduciary duty pursuant to Section 15B of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, to the municipal entity or obligated party with respect to the information and materials contained in this communication. Stifel is providing information and is declaring to the proposed municipal issuer and any obligated person that it has done so within the regulatory framework of MSRB Rule G-23 as an underwriter (by definition also including the role of placement agent) and not as a financial advisor, as defined therein, with respect to the referenced proposed issuance of municipal securities. The primary role of Stifel, as an underwriter, is to purchase securities for resale to investors in an arm’s- length commercial transaction. Serving in the role of underwriter, Stifel has financial and other interests that differ from those of the issuer. The issuer should consult with its’ own financial and/or municipal, legal, accounting, tax and other advisors, as applicable, to the extent it deems appropriate. These materials have been prepared by Stifel for the client or potential client to whom such materials are directly addressed and delivered for discussion purposes only. All terms and conditions are subject to further discussion and negotiation. Stifel does not express any view as to whether financing options presented in these materials are achievable or will be available at the time of any contemplated transaction. These materials do not constitute an offer or solicitation to sell or purchase any securities and are not a commitment by Stifel to provide or arrange any financing for any transaction or to purchase any security in connection therewith and may not relied upon as an indication that such an offer will be provided in the future. Where indicated, this presentation may contain information derived from sources other than Stifel. While we believe such information to be accurate and complete, Stifel does not guarantee the accuracy of this information. This material is based on information currently available to Stifel or its sources and is subject to change without notice. Stifel does not provide accounting, tax or legal advice; however, you should be aware that any proposed indicative transaction could have accounting, tax, legal or other implications that should be discussed with your advisors and /or counsel as you deem appropriate. 2 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 2
SECTION I: PRUDENT AND EFFECTIVE GO BOND PROGRAM MECHANICS 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo
Factors Affecting California K-12 GO Bond Programs GO bond programs are structured based on projections of: Facility needs of District The timing and amount of bond sales is influenced by the expenditure cash flow for the project Other funds available to the district for facility purposes District assessed value (“AV”) Projected AV growth has a significant effect on the bond issuance schedule and amounts Along with the amount of outstanding bonds, AV determines the statutory bonding capacity in any future fiscal year Tax rates Tax rate is calculated by dividing the aggregate annual bond payments by the District’s assessed value Future tax rates are based on AV, timing of bond issuances, issuance amounts, and debt service payments Municipal bond interest rates Function of: − National and international financial market factors − District credit ratings − Bond structure, including bond type, financing term and redemption features − Tax‐exempt or taxable bonds 4 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 4
Role of Assessed Value & Property Taxes Assessed valuation drives access to bond dollars Voter Approved Authorization ≠ Cash Available Now Faster AV growth allows earlier issuance Slower AV growth or declines slow or reduce issuance Ad Valorem Property Taxes Ad valorem property taxes are typically represented as a rate per $100,000 of a property’s assessed value Example: You own a house with a market value of $600,000 and an assessed value of $400,000, and the ad valorem tax is $30 per $100,000 of assessed value. Your property tax will be $120. The ad valorem tax rate is applied to your assessed value ($400,000 ÷ $100,000) x $30=$120. Relationship between assessed valuation growth and tax rates Annual Assessed Valuation Growth at 2.00% Annual Declining Assessed Valuation at 2.00% Debt Assessed Tax Rate Debt Assessed Tax Rate Year Year Service Valuation per $100,000 Service Valuation per $100,000 2017 $900,000 $3,000,000,000 $30.00 2017 $900,000 $3,000,000,000 $30.00 2018 900,000 3,060,000,000 29.41 2018 900,000 2,940,000,000 30.61 2019 900,000 3,121,200,000 28.84 2019 900,000 2,881,200,000 31.24 2020 900,000 3,183,624,000 28.27 2020 900,000 2,823,576,000 31.87 5 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 5
Timing of Bond Sales and Effect Identify facility needs Expected timeframe for spending bond proceeds (3-year spend-down rule of IRS) Useful life of projects funded with bond proceeds Inflation risks Inflation deteriorates the purchasing power of bond proceeds The average annual increase in California’s Consumer Price Index for all urban consumers from 1955 to 2017 was 3.86% Sample Impact of Construction Cost Inflation on Bond Proceeds Purchasing Power in 2016 Dollars of Principal Name of Year of Estimated Total Bond Amount of Bonds with Purchasing Power Bond Series Issuance Principal Amount 3.86% Annual Inflation(1) Difference Series A 2016 $100,000,000 $100,000,000 -- Series B 2018 100,000,000 92,428,996 ($7,571,004) Series C 2020 100,000,000 85,431,193 (14,568,807) All Bonds Total $300,000,000 $277,860,189 ($22,139,811) (1) Average annual increase in California Consumer Price Index for all urban consumers from 1955 to 2017 was 3.86%. Average annual increase in Marshall & Swift Eight California Cities Index for Class B Construction from 1999 to 2018 was 4.27%. 6 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 6
Election Dates Proposition 46 Generally any Tuesday Proposition 39 Statewide primary, general or special elections Election Date Filing Date June 5, 2018 March 8 , 2018 November 6, 2018 August 9, 2018 Other dates only if it coincides with regularly scheduled districtwide election 7 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 7
Statutory Debt Capacity A school district’s bonding capacity is a statutory limit on the amount of additional general obligation bonds that can be issued at a given point in time State Education Code limits the amount of general obligation bonds that can be sold by a unified school district and school district in a single fiscal year to a certain percentage of its assessed valuation minus the amount of any outstanding general obligation bonds 2.50% of its assessed valuation for a unified school district 1.25% of its assessed valuation for elementary and high school districts Statutory Bonding Capacity(1) Fiscal Year 2017-18 Total Assessed Valuation $14,000,000,000 times 2.50% equals Gross Bond Issuance Capacity for 2017-18 $350,000,000 minus Outstanding Principal of Previously $258,375,000 Issued General Obligation Bonds Equals Net Bond Issuance Capacity for 2017-18 $91,625,000 (1) Does not reflect a specific school district and is only for illustrative purposes 8 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 8
Sample GO Bond Program Sample Proposition 39 Election in November 2018 for a Unified School District Financing Assumptions $30 Tax Rate $48 Tax Rate $60 Tax Rate Amount of Bonds $169,000,000 $274,000,000 $345,000,000 Future AV Growth Rate 3.75% 3.75% 3.75% Number of Bond Issues 4 4 4 Bond Amount and Issuance Date Series A – February 2019 $42,500,000 $70,000,000 $85,000,000 Series B – August 2021 $42,500,000 $70,000,000 $85,000,000 Series C – August 2023 $42,000,000 $70,000,000 $85,000,000 Series D – August 2025 $42,000,000 $64,000,000 $90,000,000 Repayment Period per Series 30 Years 30 Years 30 Years Aggregate Repayment Ratio 2.08-to-1 2.09-to-1 2.09-to-1 Compliant with AB 182 Yes Yes Yes Estimated Ad Valorem Tax Rates Median AV for Typical Home ($285,000) Highest Annual Tax Rate $85.50 $136.80 $171.00 9 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 9
Timing of Bond Sales and Effect $274 Million Authorization, $48 Tax Rate Tax Rate Per $100,000 of Assessed Valuation $60.00 $48.00 $36.00 $24.00 $12.00 $0.00 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 2050 2051 2052 2053 2054 2055 2056 2019 Series A Debt Service 2021 Series B Debt Service 2023 Series C Debt Service 2025 Series D Debt Service $48.00 Tax Rate 10 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 10
Technology Financing Tools and Options Proposition 39 General Obligation Bonds – Short Term Amortization (3-10 Years) Provides a debt service repayment planned around the useful life of devices purchased Allows for the District to take advantage of low interest rates Available issuance amount will be determined by tax base, credit rating, outstanding parity debt, authorization, funding needs, and interest rate environment Technology Endowment Fund 3-10 year issuances that deposit money into an investment fund The investment fund disperses money annually or periodically over the life of the bond Since bond proceeds are invested, rather than spent, interest earning are constrained per Federal tax regulations Funding amount and disbursements are heavily dependent on market rates Other Methods of Issuance District’s that do not have remaining authorization under Proposition 39 or do not have immediate plans to proceed with a Proposition 39 election can issue Tech Bonds with other available revenue streams Certificates of Participation (General Fund Obligation) Mello-Roos Special Tax Bonds (Special Tax Obligation) These methods are limited as many districts may not have available funds to pay debt service out of the General Fund and/or may not have community facilities districts within district boundaries 11 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 11
Illustrative Technology Bond Scenario A new bond measure with an estimated tax of Issue Issue Date Proceeds approximately $23 per $100,00 of AV, $2.0 million in Series A February 2019 $6,300,000 Series B August 2022 6,900,000 inflation-adjusted technology needs could be financed by Series C August 2025 7,500,000 the annually Series D August 2028 8,200,000 Assumptions: Series E August 2031 9,000,000 Series F August 2034 9,800,000 − 100% current interest bonds, 30 year program Series G August 2037 10,700,000 − Interest rates: 3.0% - 4.0%(1) Series H August 2040 11,700,000 − Annual AV growth: 3.0% Series I August 2043 12,800,000 Series J August 2046 14,000,000 − Assumes 9% project cost escalation $96,900,000 Estimated Tax Rates $180 Tax Rate (Per $100,000 of AV) $160 $140 $120 $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $- Series A Series B Series C Series D Series E Series F Series G Series H Series I Series J (1) Assumes higher than market interest rates. Interest rates are subject to market fluctuations until bonds are sold. 12 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 12
A Technology GO Bond Case Study In September 2013, Stifel assisted the Rosemead School District (the “District”) to issue bonds under an existing Proposition 39 authorization (the “2008 Authorization”) In preparing for the second issuance of bonds under the 2008 Authorization, the District determined a portion of the proceeds would be dedicated to fund technology To avoid the scrutiny of funding technology with long term bonds, the District issued two series of bonds, Series B and Series T-1 Series B was issued as a 30 year bond to repay an outstanding bond anticipation note and Series T-1 was issued as a five year bond to fund the cost of technology improvements Series T-1 was able to fund $760,000 in technology improvements Rosemead School District (Los Angeles County, California) Election of 2008, General Obligation Bond Program – Debt Service Schedule / Estimated Tax Rates Estimated Tax Rate per $35.00 $30.00 $100K of AV $25.00 $20.00 $15.00 $10.00 $5.00 $- 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 Election of 2008 Prior Bonds Election of 2008, Series B (Infrastructure) Election of 2008, Series T-1 (Technology) 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 13
What Type of Bond Securities Are Issued? Primary Purpose Provide access to LOWER annual tax revenues in the early years (1 to 25 years) available for repayment for each Bond series Primary Features Investors receive SEMI-ANNUAL interest and ANNUAL principal payments Represents lower bond interest rates available at issuance Represents lower total bond payments to principal amount issued ratio Primary Purpose Provides access to HIGHER annual tax revenues in LATER years (25 to 40-years) available for repayment of each Bond series Primary Features CABs pay both the INTEREST & PRINCIPAL on scheduled dates (Limited to 25 years after January 1, 2014) CCABs defer INTEREST for a period (10 to 20-years) and then convert to CIBs 14 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 14
Difference in Bond Interest Rates by Types of Bonds Current Interest Bonds and Capital Appreciation Bonds Hypothetical Interest Rates as of March 22, 2018 General Obligation Bonds rated A+/A1 Maturity Current Interest Bonds Non-Callable Callable Convertible Capital Year Maturities Maturities Appreciation Bonds* Capital Appreciation Bonds 5 2.45% 2.81% n.a. n.a. 10 2.97% % n.a. n.a. 15 3.23% n.a. 4.17% 3.83% 25 3.46% n.a. 4.45% 4.11% 30 3.51% n.a. n.a. n.a. *Conversion from CABs to CIBs in 10 years from closing date of bonds. All numbers are preliminary and are subject to change. Tax-exempt interest rates were derived from spreads to the 'AAA' rated MMD Index of comparable recently priced financings and secondary market trades as of March 22, 2018. In no way does Stifel represent that the bonds would receive such pricing results. 15 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 15
Recent History of CABs Issued by California School Districts CABs as Percent of All School District General Obligation Bonds CABs have been a component of school general Number of obligation bonds for many years All School Number of Percentage of New Money Issues with All Issues Increased use of CABs corresponds with approval Year 1995 GO Bonds 94 CABs 21 with CABs 22.3% of Proposition 39 in November 2000 1996 92 19 20.7% 1997 139 41 29.5% Use of CABs rose in response to slowdown or 1998 193 51 26.4% decline of assessed valuation during recession 1999 177 49 27.7% 2000 2001 175 164 53 50 30.3% 30.5% Frequency of CAB maturities longer than 30 years 2002 213 82 38.5% increased during the recession and legislative 2003 179 64 35.8% 2004 250 91 36.4% approval of AB 1388 in 2009 2005 194 87 44.8% 2006 196 93 47.4% CAB issuance fell in late 2012 through the present 2007 198 96 48.5% partly due to media attention, political criticism and 2008 168 83 49.4% 2009 211 123 58.3% passage of AB182 in 2013 2010 142 77 54.2% 2011 169 101 59.8% 2012 120 49 40.8% 2013 188 40 21.3% 2014 116 19 16.3% 2015 170 29 17.0% 2016 122 13 10.7% 2017 259 20 7.7% 16 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 16
Comprehensive School Bond Election Results School District General Obligation Election Results: January 1986 – November 2017 Proposition 46 Proposition 39 451 Issues 189 Issues ($19.9B Authorization) ($13.9B Authorization) 14.8% 45.7% 54.3% 536 Issues 85.2% ($23.8B Authorization) 1,087 Issues ($13.9B Authorization) PASS FAIL (1) Proposition 39 elections commenced in Spring 2001. Source: School Services of California 17 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 17
Common Alternatives for Structuring GO Bonds, COPs, LRBs, BANs, and CFDs All of These Financing Tools Can be Designed: With special prepayment provisions that allow early prepayment from one or more sources in exchange for a somewhat higher interest rate; As taxable or tax-exempt bonds or notes; Potentially as federal subsidy or tax credit bonds such as BABs, QZABs, QSCBs, etc; As adjustable or fixed rate bonds or notes; As bond insured or credit enhanced bonds or notes; Various maturity dates according to the repayment plan; As either CIBs or notes or Capital Appreciation Bonds (CABs) or notes; Current interest bonds pay the investor interest every six months; CABS provide a period of Non-Payment where interest accrues and compounds until maturity like a U.S. savings bond; 18 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 18
Using A Bridge Financing to Fund Capital Projects Short-term loan issued by school districts and can be repaid from any legally available revenues State School Facility Program funds, developer fees, District’s General Fund, etc. Customizable repayment structure Deferred payments, interest only payments, long-term loan payable in short-term, etc. Can mitigate construction cost escalation Payment of borrowing costs Minimize costs Delay bridge financing until amount and proceeds are needed The table below provides a comparison of a sample bridge financing issuance versus project inflation costs Sample Bridge Issuance vs. Project Inflation Cost Analysis Estimated Total Principal Year of Financed Financed Amount Amount of Bonds with Estimated Benefit Takeout Amount plus Interest(1) 3.86% Annual Inflation(2) of Bridge Financing 2018 $10,000,000 - $10,000,000 - 2020 - $10,917,123 $10,786,900 ($130,223) 2021 - $11,255,873 $11,203,274 ($52,599) 2022 - $11,516,123 $11,635,720 $119,598 2023 - $11,693,873 $12,084,859 $390,986 2024 - $11,784,873 $12,551,335 $766,462 (1) Interest rate assumptions are based on current market conditions and similar credits for an ‘A+’ rated, insured COP. (2) Average annual increase in California Consumer Price Index for all urban consumers from 1955 to 2017 was 3.86%. 19 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 19
Bond Anticipation Notes (“BANs”) Notes and renewals thereof must be payable not more than five years from the date of the original issuance of the note Total amount of notes or renewals thereof issued and outstanding may not exceed the total amount of unsold (authorized) bonds The proceeds from the sale of the notes must be used only for authorized purposes of the bonds or to repay outstanding notes previously issued Rating agencies have recently changed their criteria rating BANs which may lead to less issuance 20 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 20
How Debt Is Sold Negotiated Sale Competitive Sale Pre-Marketing Allows a week or more to answer Typically none - investor questions “Call me if you buy it” Couponing Underwriter can present different Goal is to win bid with the lower TIC; options to weigh cost/benefit of TIC no ability to address optionality vs. optionality Sale Timing Sale date can be moved ahead or Sale date is determined at least a pushed back depending on the week ahead of time and is hard to market change without losing market interest Risk/Price Underwriter faces less risk and so Underwriter faces more market risk can often charge lower fees 21 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 21
Comparison of Sale Methods Issuer received better pricing on negotiated financing for two comparable sales within two weeks AAA/AA+ rated Newport-Mesa Unified School District general obligation bonds $18mm negotiated refunding and $32mm competitive new money Spreads 5 to 8 bps less on negotiated issue vs. competitive issue Underwriting fees for competitive issue more than $10/bond; less than $5/bond for negotiated sale Negotiated Competitive Issuer Newport-Mesa Unified School District Newport-Mesa Unified School District Spread (Issue) General Obligation Refunding Bonds, Series 2017 General Obligation Bonds, Election of 2005, Series 2017 Difference Par Amt $17,580,000 $28,130,000 (Negotiated Pricing Date July 13, 2017 August 1, 2017 Lower Yields) Year Par Coupon Yield AAA MMD Spread Par Coupon Yield AAA MMD Spread 2018 0.920 -92 700,000 5.000 0.790 0.850 -6 2019 1.060 -106 0.940 -94 2020 1.150 -115 1.030 -103 2021 1.250 -125 1.120 -112 2022 1.350 -135 70,000 2.000 1.120 1.210 -9 2023 1.480 -148 120,000 5.000 1.250 1.340 -9 2024 1.600 -160 170,000 5.000 1.430 1.500 -7 2025 1.740 -174 225,000 5.000 1.610 1.660 -5 2026 3,445,000 5.000 1.840 1.890 -5 1,550,000 5.000 1.800 1.800 +0 -5 2027 6,385,000 5.000 1.980 2.040 -6 1,935,000 5.000 1.950 1.950 +0 -6 2028 7,750,000 5.000 2.110 2.140 -3 2,180,000 5.000 2.100 2.050 +5 -8 2029 2.240 -224 565,000 5.000 2.200 2.150 +5 2030 2.330 -233 650,000 5.000 2.290 2.240 +5 2031 2.400 -240 740,000 3.000 2.720 2.310 +41 2032 2.470 -247 830,000 3.000 2.890 2.380 +51 2033 2.530 -253 910,000 3.000 3.000 2.440 +56 2034 2.590 -259 1,000,000 3.000 3.050 2.490 +56 2035 2.630 -263 1,120,000 3.000 3.080 2.520 +56 2036 2.660 -266 1,230,000 3.000 3.110 2.550 +56 2037 2.680 -268 1,340,000 3.000 3.130 2.570 +56 2038 2.700 -270 1,470,000 3.000 3.150 2.600 +55 2039 2.720 -272 11,325,000 3.000 3.170 2.620 +55 22 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 22
California School Districts Overwhelmingly Use Negotiated Sales for GO Bonds 2015 to Present CA K-12 General Obligation Bond Issuances Underwriter's Discounts ($ per 1,000 Bond) Negotiated Competitive Difference Average: $5.44 $9.07 ($3.63) Weighted Average: $3.61 $5.27 ($1.66) Source: Thomson Reuters 2015 to Present CA K-12 General Obligation Bond Issuance 2015 to Present CA K-12 General Obligation CAB Issuance Negotiated and Competitive Market Share by No. of Issuances Negotiated and Competitive Market Share by No. of Issuances 1 1% Negotiated Negotiated 185 Competitive Competitive 18% 823, 109 82% 99% Source: Thomson Reuters Source: Thomson Reuters 23 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 23
SECTION II: 2017 TAX CUTS AND JOBS ACT BILL SUMMARY AND OTHER 2017 CALIFORNIA LEGISLATION 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo
Tax Reform’s Potential Impact on Municipal Market Both House and Senate passed different versions of the bill in early December, budget conferences made revisions in mid-December, and President Trump signed on December 22, 2017. These changes take effect January 1, 2018: Provision Description Impact on Municipal Issuers and Market Modifies seven brackets Individual Income Tax Rates May reduce attractiveness of tax-exempt bonds (10% - 37%) $10,000 cap for combination of state May induce investors in high-tax states to seek more tax- State and Local Tax Deduction (SALT) property tax, income and sales tax exempt bonds deduction May lower attractiveness of tax-exempt bonds for corporations Corporate Tax Rate Reduce to 21% and insurance companies Eliminates ability to issue QZABs, No changes to subsidy payments for bonds issued before Tax Credit Bonds CREBs, QSCBs, BABs, and other tax December 31, 2017; may reduce incentive to fund energy credit bonds efficiency projects Limits issuers to current refundings; may reduce feasibility of Eliminates tax-exempt advance Advance Refundings refundings and encourage use of taxable bonds or forward refundings delivery structures Deficit of more than $150 billion in any year may trigger Estimated to generate $1.5 trillion additional sequestration of Federal Subsidies for BABs and Fiscal Impact deficit over the next decade similar products; may increase Treasury borrowing needs which may increase bond interest rates 25 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 25
Tax Reform’s Potential Impact on Municipal Market 2018 bond issuance volume is expected to be 20% - 25% lower in the aftermath of significant Q4 2017 issuance coupled with elimination of advance refundings and tax credit bonds The bill does not cap or repeal municipal bond exemption, remaining one of the few tax- advantaged vehicles available for taxpayers The reduction of corporate tax rate to 21% will likely reduce the appetite of bank portfolios and property/casualty insurance companies for tax-exempt municipals Changing Landscape of Municipal Bond Investors Individuals* Mutual Funds (1) Banking Institutions (2) Insurance Companies (3) Other (4) $1.3 Trillion $3.5 Trillion $3.8 Trillion 100% 4% 4% 5% 16% 12% 14% 80% 7% ? 8% 15% 27% 38% 60% 25% 50% 40% 41% 34% 20% 0% 1997 2007 2017 Q3 2018+ Source: SIFMA and the Federal Reserve System (1) Includes mutual funds, money market funds, closed-end funds and exchange traded funds. (2) Includes U.S. chartered depository institutions, foreign banking offices in the U.S., banks in U.S. affiliated areas, credit unions, and broker dealers. (3) Includes property-casualty and life insurance companies. (4) Includes nonfinancial corporate business, nonfinancial non-corporate business, state and local governments and retirement funds, government-sponsored enterprises and foreign holders. * Household holdings is revised up by about $840 billion, on average, from 2004 forward. 26 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 26
Tax Reform’s Potential Impact on CA K-12 School Districts The limitation to $10,000 of the State and Local Government Tax Deduction and/or property tax deduction cap and the mortgage interest deduction cap ($750,000 max mortgage) could put negative pressure on California local taxpayers and impact school districts’ ability to pass local bond measures and parcel taxes The elimination of the tax credit bond programs increase the cost of borrowing for California school district facilities (QZABs and CREBs have been a tool for solar & energy efficiency projects in recent years) The elimination of tax exempt advance refundings reduces the ability to restructure or refinance for savings on securities previously issued May create new call provision structure for selling new bond issues (i.e. going from 10 year call provisions to shorter call protection, 7, or 5 years) Share of California K-12 Bond Issues by Type 100% 7% 18% 22% 20% 32% 80% 46% 18% 43% 18% 60% 38% 27% 18% 40% 63% 62% 49% 20% 41% 37% 40% 0% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 New Money Advance Refundings Current Refundings 27 Source: Thomson Reuters. 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 27
New Legislation Impacting New CA K-12 Bond Elections Assembly Bill 1194 (Dababneh) Tax Rate Statements must now include: The best estimate of the average annual tax rate that would be required to be levied to fund the bond issue over the entire duration of the bond debt service The final fiscal year in which the tax is anticipated to be collected The best estimate of the highest tax rate that would be required to be levied to fund the bond issue, and an estimate of the year in which that rate will apply The best estimate of the total debt service, including the principal and interest, that would be required to be repaid if all the bonds are issued and sold Assembly Bill 195 (Obernolte) 75-Word Ballot Statement: Must include the amount of money to be raised annually and the rate and duration of the tax to be levied for the bonds Must be a true and impartial synopsis of the purpose of the proposed measure Must be in language that is neither argumentative nor likely to create prejudice for or against the measure 28 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 28
New Legislation Impacting New CA K-12 Bond Elections Unintended Consequences of AB 195 Confusion Possible emergency legislation (AB 2848 (Obernolte)) Requirement consumes 16-20 words of the 75 available ballot question words Sample School District Ballot Statement “To ______________________, shall this measure of the ______ School District issuing $______ in bonds at legal rates be adopted, levy on average ______ cents per $100 assessed value, $______ annually for ______ [e.g. modernization of school facilities], while bonds are outstanding, with annual audits, etc.?” 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 29
CONCLUSION: QUESTIONS AND DISCUSSION 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo
Bio John R. Baracy Managing Director Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated Los Angeles, California tel: 213-443-5025 e-mail: jbaracy@stifel.com John R. Baracy is a Managing Director in the Los Angeles public finance office of Stifel. Mr. Baracy began his public finance career in 1994 and has experience in all facets of the municipal finance business. He specializes in the management, structuring and sale of California K-12 Education new money and refunding general obligation bonds, certificates of participation, tax credit bonds, Mello-Roos bonds and tax and revenue anticipation notes. In addition to managing the introduction of these financings into the market, Mr. Baracy performs debt capacity, general obligation bond tax rate and credit analyses, California K-12 education finance legislation analyses, and evaluates the investment of bond proceeds. Throughout his career, he has completed more than 500 financings totaling over $9.5 billion. Mr. Baracy graduated with a Bachelor of Science degree from Arizona State University with an emphasis in Finance. Mr. Baracy maintains his Series 7, 50 and 63 licenses with FINRA and frequently presents for California K-12 school district advocacy groups such as C.A.S.H., CASBO, and CSBA. Mr. Baracy is currently a board member of the Coalition of Adequate School Housing (CASH). 31 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo
Bio Adam Bauer President &CEO Fieldman, Rolapp & Associates Irvine, California tel: 909-660-7203 e-mail: abauer@fieldman.com Mr. Adam S. Bauer, CIPFA, President and Chief Executive Officer, joined the firm in September 2004. Mr. Bauer has been involved with a variety of public agencies throughout the State of California, assisting them with their debt transactions and policy development. Mr. Bauer has two primary areas of expertise: public financings for school districts and land secured negotiations and financings. Mr. Bauer has specific expertise in public financings for school districts where he has developed capital facilities funding plans that incorporate General Obligation Bonds, Certificates of Participation, Community Facilities District Special Tax Bonds, and State funding. In addition to assisting School Districts with their debt transactions, Mr. Bauer has also negotiated mitigation agreements on behalf of school districts throughout the State of California. Mr. Bauer assists school districts with identifying the true cost of new developments and then negotiates on their behalf to structure mitigation agreements to meet their needs. Mr. Bauer also has specific emphasis in land secured financings. Mr. Bauer has been involved in all aspects of the formation of Community Facilities Districts and the issuance of debt, including those with multiple improvement areas, series of bonds and property owners. Furthermore, prior to joining the firm, Mr. Bauer acted as a Financial Advisor, Special Tax Consultant and Community Facilities District Administrator. While working as a Special Tax Consultant and Community Facilities District Administrator, Mr. Bauer served as project manager for more than 60 Community Facilities Districts for a variety of public agencies. Mr. Bauer is a regular speaker at California's Coalition for Adequate School Housing (CASH) and has been a speaker for California Debt Investment Advisory Commission (CDIAC). Mr. Bauer is co-chair of the Fiscal Management Strand of the Planning Committee for CASH, is a member of California School Board Association (CSBA), California Association of School Business Officials (CASBO) and Committee on Assessments Special Taxes and other Financing Facilities (CASTOFF). In addition, Mr. Bauer is a Registered Investment Advisor Representative (Series 65) and he holds the CIPFA designation as a Certified Independent Public Finance Advisor from the National Association of Independent Public Finance Advisors 32 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo
Bio David Casnocha Managing Shareholder Stradling Yocca Carlson & Rauth San Francisco, California tel: 415-283-2241 e-mail: dcasnocha@sycr.com Mr. Casnocha is the managing shareholder of Stradling’s San Francisco office and a former member of the firm’s board of directors. David has practiced in public finance for more than 40 years and serves as bond and disclosure counsel to public agencies and underwriter’s counsel to both national and regional investment banking firms. He also has served as bond counsel to more than 600 school and community college districts in California. He has experience in primary and secondary school district financings, general obligation bonds, bond anticipation notes, certificates of participation, lease financings and tax and revenue anticipation notes. In addition, David has represented the California Education Facilities Authority on numerous private university financings and represents a range of nonprofit corporations that incur tax-exempt debt to finance their charitable purposes. As bond counsel to the California League of Community Colleges, he has helped design tax-exempt pool financings for tax and revenue anticipation notes, lease revenue bonds solar energy projects, and student housing. David also served as bond counsel on Other Post-Employment Benefit bond issues. He is experienced in a range of revenue bond financings for water, sewer and a variety of other enterprise systems. 33 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo
APPENDIX: CALIFORNIA K-12 SCHOOL FINANCE RESOURCE MATERIALS 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo
Comparison of GO Bonds, COPs and Mello-Roos Bonds CHARACTERISTICS GO BONDS COPS MELLO-ROOS Vote Required? Yes. No. Yes. Minimum Affirmative Votes Two-thirds of votes cast, or 55% of votes cast pursuant N/A Two-thirds of votes cast. to Proposition 39. Qualified Electors Registered voters residing in entire school district (or N/A Registered voters in community facilities only portion of school district if establish school facilities district (CFD), if 12 or more voters reside in improvement district pursuant to Ed. Code § 15300). CFD. If fewer than 12 registered voters reside in CFD, vote is of landowners, one vote per acre. Boundary of Area to be Taxed Entire school district (or only portion of school district if N/A Territory of CFD, as defined by school establish school facilities improvement district pursuant board. CFD could be entire school district to Ed. Code § 15300). or a portion of district, including non- contiguous areas. Basis of Tax Assessed value of property. N/A Any reasonable method, except assessed value. Method of Tax Collection Annual property tax bill. N/A Annual property tax bill. Can Seniors be Exempt from Tax? No. N/A Yes. Typical Use of Technique Finance school facilities. Finance school Finance school facilities. facilities. 35 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 35
Comparison of GO Bonds, COPs and Mello-Roos Bonds CHARACTERISTICS GO BONDS COPS MELLO-ROOS Facilities Eligible for Financing With 2/3 vote, purchase or improvement of real Any lawful purpose. Any facility with useful life of five property (purchase of land or construction of years or more (including school buildings). With 55% vote pursuant to Proposition 39, furnishings and buses). construction, reconstruction, rehabilitation, or replacement of school facilities, including furnishings and equipment, and the acquisition or lease of real property. Can School Furnishings and No with 2/3 vote. Yes with 55% vote pursuant to Yes, without limitation. Yes, provided the equipment has Equipment be Financed? Proposition 39. a useful life of five years or longer. Can Tax Revenues be Used for No. No. Yes. Bond debt service and pay- Purposes Other than Debt Service on as-you-go expenses. Bonds? Are Operating Expenses Eligible for No. No. Yes. Maintenance of school sites Financing with Tax? and structures. Also, annual cost of administering the financing and the CFD. Separate Authority Required to Issue No. School Board and County Office No. Bonds? approval. Maximum Annual Tax Request Not limited with 2/3 vote. With 55% vote pursuant to N/A Voters must approve a maximum Proposition 39, annual tax is limited to $30 per annual tax amount per taxable $100,000 of assessed valuation in elementary or high unit and a method for levying and school district and $60 per $100,000 of assessed apportioning the tax. valuation in unified school district 36 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 36
Comparison of GO Bonds, COPs and Mello-Roos Bonds CHARACTERISTICS GO BONDS COPS MELLO-ROOS Type of Bond Sale Negotiated or competitive sale. Negotiated or competitive sale. Negotiated or competitive sale. Debt Limit Amount of bonds outstanding at any time None. Value of property in the CFD subject to cannot exceed 2.5% of total assessed value special tax must be at least three times in a unified school district or 1.25% of the amount of outstanding bonds. Under assessed value in a non-unified school certain conditions the school board can district. approve an amount of bonds exceeding this limit. Bond Security School district's unrestricted ability to raise All legally available funds, Mello-Roos special tax is a lien on property taxes to meet debt service including the General Fund, property. School district has authority to requirements. Property tax is a lien on usually earmarked to State initiate accelerated foreclosure on property. County has authority to foreclose revenue, redevelopment pass- property for payment of delinquent taxes, on lien for payment of delinquent taxes. through, or other sources. so long as bonds have been issued by the CFD. Maximum Term of Tax Levy As long as necessary to repay bonds N/A As long as necessary to repay bonds or authorized by voters. to pay directly for facilities authorized by voters. Final year of tax must be specified. Maximum Term of Bonds Up to 25 years under Education Code, or up Up to useful life of facility being 40 Years. to 40 years under Government Code. financed. 37 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 37
Proposition 46 vs. Proposition 39 GO Bond Authorization Bond Type Feature Proposition 46 Proposition 39 Voter Approval Requirement 66.7% 55% Election Date Restrictions All election dates, including special Regularly scheduled elections, primarily in elections on any Tuesday even numbered years Use of Bond Proceeds Acquisition and improvement of Acquisition and improvement of real real property property; including furniture, equipment and leases Limits on Amount of Annual Tax Rate None $30 per $100,000 (Elem/High) $60 per $100,000 (Unified) Limits on Amount of Bonds Outstanding 1.25% of AV (Elem/High) 1.25% of AV (Elem/High) 2.50% of AV (Unified) 2.50% of AV (Unified) Citizens Oversight Committee Optional Mandatory Performance and Financial Audits Optional, except for annual report Mandatory regarding expenditures of funds and status of projects 38 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 38
Basic Legal Documents Resolution of Issuance Provides Parameters of Sale (amount, max interest rate, term, cost of issuance) Authorized Officers Bond Purchase Contract or Notice of Sale Competitive vs. Negotiated Method Sets forth terms and conditions of debt sale to Underwriter including interest rates and fees Security Covenants (School District duties and obligations) Denominations & Interest and Principal Payment Dates Project Fund Requisition Process for releasing funds Investment of Funds Remedies to investors defaults and non-performance Prepayment or Redemption terms 39 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 39
School District Disclosure Documents and Duties Official Statement Preliminary: Marketing/ Disclosure to Potential Investors Final: Delivered to Purchasers Marketing/ Sales/ Disclosure document Issuer’s Document Continuing Disclosure Agreement Required by Securities and Exchange Commission’s Rule 15c2-12 Issuer’s Duty to file Annual Reports and to report Material Events SB 1029 Debt Policy Create and manage submission requirements annually for all debt issuances after January 1, 2017 40 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 40
Steps to Debt Issuance Step 1: School District Step 2: Finance Team is decides to finance a project selected and assembled Step 4: Staff and Finance Step 3: Revenue stream team determine debt securing the debt is structure identified/ analyzed Step 5: Election/ formation proceedings docs are prepared Step 6: Voter Approval* and approved* * If Applicable 41 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 41
Steps to Debt Issuance Step 7: Legal and disclosure Step 8: Credit ratings/ bond documents are drafted insurance secured* Step 10: Underwriter begins Step 9: Board approves the legal marketing the debt to investors and disclosure documents and (Negotiated Sale) authorizes debt issuance Step 11: Underwriter commits to buy debt from School District/Debt Step 12: Transaction is closed Awarded to Underwriter and the project is funded (Competitive Sale) * If Applicable 42 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 42
Board Approval Proposition 46 Requires simple majority approval of school board members Proposition 39 Requires 2/3rds approval of school board members 43 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 43
Assessed Value Trends The recession had a significant effect on the assessed value of most California school districts During the recession assessed values grew much slower or declined, but have returned to stronger growth in recent years As shown below, 14 of the 15 largest counties in California experienced an increase in assessed valuation from 2014-15 to 2015-16 County 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 Alameda 4.77% -2.51% -1.58% 0.05% 2.14% 5.02% 5.96% 7.80% Contra Costa 0.31% -6.97% -3.05% -0.37% 0.86% 3.73% 9.03% 7.53% Fresno 1.49% -2.95% -0.76% 0.47% 0.00% 5.62% 3.75% 4.15% Kern 5.89% -6.20% 4.63% 2.43% 7.50% 3.31% 5.98% -8.78% Los Angeles 6.95% -0.53% -1.81% 1.41% 2.24% 4.61% 5.47% 6.08% Orange 3.89% -1.38% -0.54% 0.98% 1.92% 3.43% 6.36% 5.89% Riverside 1.44% -10.49% -4.40% -1.25% -0.02% 4.21% 8.31% 5.85% Sacramento 1.81% -7.15% -1.84% -3.65% -2.66% 4.10% 6.40% 4.64% San Bernardino 5.20% -6.01% -4.32% -0.47% 0.80% 6.20% 5.93% 5.07% San Diego 4.42% -2.40% -1.42% 0.40% -0.14% 6.02% 5.78% 5.60% San Francisco 8.63% 7.08% 4.32% 0.49% 4.20% 4.60% 5.46% 6.50% San Joaquin -0.81% -10.22% -3.81% -3.70% -0.33% 5.79% 8.93% 2.86% San Mateo 7.99% 0.68% -1.44% 0.96% 3.33% 6.01% 5.61% 7.64% Santa Clara 6.98% 0.14% -2.40% 0.90% 3.25% 8.35% 6.80% 8.67% Ventura 3.17% -2.42% -0.26% 0.00% 0.60% 3.20% 5.70% 4.10% (1) Source: County Assessor Websites and Urbics 44 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 44
Credit Quality of Facility Funding Higher Credit Lower Credit Quality Quality Leases & Certificates of Security Type General Obligation Bonds Land-Secured Bonds Participation Annual special tax or assessment Secured by annual appropriations levied on property. Bonds are secured Secured by an unlimited ad valorem Revenue Pledge property tax from general fund or specific by the value of taxable property in revenues. defined area and the ability to foreclose on property for unpaid taxes. Yes. A 2/3 vote of registered voters or No. Governing Board approval is property owners for Community Yes, either with a 2/3 vote or a 55% Vote Required? vote. required without vote of registered Facilities Districts (CFDs) and simple voters or property owners. majority vote for assessment districts (ADs). 45 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 45
The Rating Process Rating Agency An independent service that provides a credit quality evaluation of bonds Recently changed rating scale to correspond with corporate ratings Duties: 1.Reviews four broad factors to determine ratings. The financial strength of the Issuer The economic health of the community Managerial and governance practices Debt position – direct and overlapping debt, overall debt to wealth position 2.Interviews Issuer, others 3.Assigns a letter of rating to bonds 46 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 46
Bond Credit Rating Spectrum Rating Description Moody's Standard & Poor's Fitch Highest credit quality; issuer has a strong ability Aaa AAA AAA to meet its obligations. Aa1 AA+ Very high credit quantity low risk of default. Aa2 AA AA Aa3 AA- Investment A1 A+ Grade High credit quality, but more vulnerable to A2 A A changes in the business economy. A3 A- Baa1 BBB+ Adequate credit quality for now, but more likely Baa2 BBB BBB to be impaired if conditions worsen. Baa3 BBB- Ba1 BB+ Below investment grade, but a good chance the Ba2 BB BBB issuer can meet commitments. Ba3 BB- B1 B+ Significant credit risk, but issuer is presently B2 B BBB Non-investment able to meet obligations. B3 B- Grade Caa1 CCC+ CCC High default risk. Caa2 CCC CC Caa3 CCC- C DDD Issuer failed to meet schedules interest or C D DD principal payments D 47 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 47
School Facilities Improvement District School Facilities Improvement District (SFIDs) General obligation bond authorization for limited area within a school district Bond election required among voters residing in the proposed SFID General obligation bond authorization can be conducted using Proposition 46 or Proposition 39 Why form an SFID? School attendance area Exclusion of existing CFDs Feeder districts Geographical / political jurisdictions Areas of separate community identity 48 2018 CASBO Annual Conference & California School Business Expo 48
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