Visitors' willingness to pay for snow leopard Panthera uncia conservation in the Annapurna Conservation Area, Nepal

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Visitors’ willingness to pay for snow leopard
           Panthera uncia conservation in the Annapurna
           Conservation Area, Nepal
                 M A U R I C E G . S C H U T G E N S , J O N A T H A N H . H A N S O N , N A B I N B A R A L and S O M B . A L E

           Abstract The Vulnerable snow leopard Panthera uncia ex-                                Introduction
           periences persecution across its habitat in Central Asia, par-
           ticularly from herders because of livestock losses. Given the
           popularity of snow leopards worldwide, transferring some                               T     he conservation of large carnivores is difficult and costly
                                                                                                        (Linnell et al., ; Nelson, ; Dickman et al., ),
                                                                                                  and many have experienced significant global declines in
           of the value attributed by the international community to
           these predators may secure funds and support for their con-                            range and population size (Ripple et al., ). With an
           servation. We administered contingent valuation surveys to                             estimated global population of ,–, individuals
            international visitors to the Annapurna Conservation                               (McCarthy & Chapron, ; Snow Leopard Working
           Area, Nepal, between May and June , to determine                                   Secretariat, ) spread across a range of over . million km
           their willingness to pay a fee to support the implementation                           in  countries of south and central Asia (Jackson et al.,
           of a Snow Leopard Conservation Action Plan. Of the % of                              ), snow leopards Panthera uncia have recently been re-
           visitors who stated they would pay a snow leopard conser-                              categorized as Vulnerable on the IUCN Red List (McCarthy
           vation fee in addition to the existing entry fee, the mean                             et al., ), suggesting that they are facing a high risk of ex-
           amount that they were willing to pay was USD  per trip.                              tinction in the wild in the medium-term future. Nepal is
           The logit regression model showed that the bid amount, the                             home to c. – snow leopards, most of which inhabit
           level of support for implementing the Action Plan, and the                             the country’s western regions, including the Annapurna
           number of days spent in the Conservation Area were signifi-                            Conservation Area (Jackson & Ahlborn, ; Ale et al.,
           cant predictors of visitors’ willingness to pay. The main rea-                         ; DNPWC, ).
           sons stated by visitors for their willingness to pay were a                                Threats to snow leopards in Nepal include prey reduction
           desire to protect the environment and an affordable fee. A                             because of illegal hunting, retribution for livestock depreda-
           major reason for visitors’ unwillingness to pay was that                               tion, climate change, habitat degradation, wildlife crime
           the proposed conservation fee was too expensive for them.                              and, more recently, Cordyceps fungus collection in alpine ha-
           This study represents the first application of economic valu-                          bitats. The fungi are believed to have aphrodisiac properties
           ation to snow leopards, and is relevant to the conservation of                         and can present a considerable source of income, but their in-
           threatened species in the Annapurna Conservation Area                                  tensive and unregulated harvesting contributes to the degrad-
           and elsewhere.                                                                         ation of the fragile ecosystem (Jackson et al., ; DNPWC,
                                                                                                  ). All of these potential threats are present to varying de-
           Keywords Carnivore conservation, contingent valuation,                                 grees in Nepal’s high altitude protected areas. Conflicts with
           economic valuation, existence value, Panthera uncia, snow                              local communities over livestock losses to snow leopards may
           leopard, threatened species, wildlife policy                                           be the most serious threat in the Annapurna Conservation
           Supplementary material for this article is available at                                Area (Wegge et al., ; Ale et al., ), a situation often ag-
           https://doi.org/./S                                              gravated by relative poverty (Jackson et al., ). A major
                                                                                                  component of Nepal’s strategy to conserve the snow leopard
                                                                                                  and other mega-fauna has been the establishment and man-
                                                                                                  agement of protected areas, an approach implemented global-
                                                                                                  ly to conserve biodiversity and maintain ecosystem integrity
                                                                                                  (Chape et al., ; Gaston et al., ). Although often con-
           MAURICE G. SCHUTGENS (Corresponding author) Space for Giants, Nanyuki PO               sidered effective for biodiversity conservation and poverty al-
           Box 174, 10400, Kenya. E-mail mauriceschutgens@gmail.com
                                                                                                  leviation at the broad scale (Bruner et al., ; Balmford et al.,
           JONATHAN H. HANSON* Department of Geography, University of Cambridge,
           Cambridge, UK
                                                                                                  ; Geldmann et al., ), the current protected areas ap-
                                                                                                  proach may not adequately protect many threatened species
           NABIN BARAL University of Washington, School of Environmental and Forest
           Sciences, Seattle, WA, USA                                                             at the small scale (Brooks et al., ; Mora & Sale, ), es-
           SOM B. ALE University of Illinois at Chicago, Biological Sciences, Chicago, IL,
                                                                                                  pecially where funding is inadequate (Bruner et al., ) and
           USA                                                                                    species have large range sizes (Jackson et al, ).
           *Also at: Jubilee Farm CBS, Larne, UK                                                      Jackson et al. () identified increased funding as one
           Received  May . Revision requested  July .                                 potential solution for effective snow leopard conservation
           Accepted  October . First published online  March .                        and conflict management in Nepal, and tourism has been

           Oryx, 2019, 53(4), 633–642 © 2018 Fauna & Flora International doi:10.1017/S0030605317001636
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https://doi.org/10.1017/S0030605317001636
634         M. G. Schutgens et al.

             proposed as a way to raise funds (DNPWC, ). Global                                 largest protected area in the country, ranges over ,–
             tourism, valued at over USD . trillion in , is one of                            , m and includes the world’s tenth highest peak,
             the fastest growing industries in the world (World                                     Annapurna I. It is also renowned for containing the world’s
             Tourism Organization, ) and nature-based tourism is                                deepest valley and a large diversity of flora and fauna, sup-
             an important component (Gössling, ; Tisdell &                                      porting  different types of forest, , plant species, and
             Wilson, ). Although the tourism industry is subject to                             over  species of mammals and  species of birds
             external pressures such as political instability, infectious dis-                      (ACAP, ). The Conservation Area is managed by an au-
             eases, natural disasters and the uncertainties of the global                           tonomous non-governmental organization, the National
             economy, nature-based tourism is increasingly in demand                                Trust for Nature Conservation, in partnership with local
             (Emerton et al., ). Over a -year period, nature-based                            communities, through their Conservation Area Manage-
             tourism, measured in the number of visitors to protected                               ment Committees. As per the  census, the human popu-
             areas, increased at a rate of % per annum in developing                               lation of , relies heavily on agro-pastoralism and
             countries (Balmford et al., ). This demand presents                                tourism. Tourist entry fees constitute the main source of
             an opportunity for protected areas to charge fees that reflect                         revenue for management. In  over , international
             the true value associated with their services as well as the                           tourists visited the Conservation Area (Baral & Dhungana,
             threatened species within them (Laarman & Gregersen,                                   ), attracted primarily by the Himalayan landscape, as
             ; Walpole et al., ). To do so effectively for the                              well as its ecological and cultural diversity (ACAP, ).
             Annapurna Conservation Area, a study eliciting the value                               The world-famous Annapurna Circuit trekking route
             of snow leopards to visitors is warranted.                                             that circumnavigates the Annapurna massif within the
                Snow leopards, like other threatened species, can elicit                            Conservation Area is one of the most popular trekking
             both use and non-use values within the total economic                                  routes in the country.
             value framework. Use values are derived from consumptive                                   The Annapurna Conservation Area has a population of
             use of a resource, such as wildlife viewing or trophy hunting                          at least  snow leopards (Ale et al., ). The most recent
             (Loomis & White, ). For instance, in Hemis National                                estimates have suggested the presence of at least three adult
             Park in India, photographic safaris based on snow leopards                             snow leopards in an area covering c.  km within the
             have been developed to generate necessary funds for their                              Conservation Area’s Mustang District (Ale et al., ).
             conservation (Namgail et al., ). Non-use values, on                                A similar density was reported from Manang District’s
             the other hand, are derived from appreciating that snow leo-                           Phu Valley (Wegge et al., ). These estimates represent
             pards exist even if they will never be utilized, the existence                         a relatively high snow leopard density compared to other
             value, and the value placed on knowing that snow leopards                              range countries (Jackson et al., ; Ale et al., ).
             will be available for future generations, the so-called bequest                        Significant numbers of blue sheep Pseudois nayaur in and
             value (Loomis & White, ). Both use and non-use values                              around the Annapurna massif are likely to constitute the
             can be elicited through empirical research and used for the                            main source of food for this population of snow leopards
             preservation of snow leopards (Loomis & White, ;                                   (Ale et al., ).
             Richardson & Loomis, ). Although it might be difficult
             to value wildlife species accurately, an assessment of the
             total economic value of the snow leopard has the potential                             Methods
             to influence conservation policies.
                In this paper, we assess international visitors’ willingness                        Sampling and data collection
             to pay a fee for snow leopard conservation in the Annapurna
             Conservation Area. We examine an array of visitors’ charac-                            During March and May  we administered a written
             teristics affecting their willingness to pay in Annapurna,                             questionnaire in Basic English to  foreign tourists. The
             which is visited by over , international trekkers an-                            Annapurna Circuit trekking route was followed in a clock-
             nually (Baral & Dhungana, ). We outline the overall im-                            wise direction from Lower Mustang in the west to Manang
             portance of this approach for the conservation of threatened                           in the east. Traveling the circuit in this direction meant we
             species, particularly in the context of developing countries,                          encountered new tourists on a daily basis, as the majority of
             and discuss policy implementations to ease financial pres-                             trekkers follow the circuit in an anti-clockwise direction. We
             sure on the Conservation Area.                                                         used cluster sampling of  hotels within villages along the
                                                                                                    route to identify a random sample of visitors. We selected –
                                                                                                     hotels randomly by lottery each day and approached tour-
             Study Area                                                                             ists staying in these hotels after obtaining permission from
                                                                                                    the owners. Surveys were carried out in the evenings, when
             The rugged Himalayan landscape of the , km                                        tourists spent time relaxing or waiting for meals. We used 
             Annapurna Conservation Area in north-central Nepal, the                                questionnaires printed on a four-page booklet of laminated

                                                                                        Oryx, 2019, 53(4), 633–642 © 2018 Fauna & Flora International doi:10.1017/S0030605317001636
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https://doi.org/10.1017/S0030605317001636
Funding snow leopard conservation                     635

           A paper and added the relevant bid amounts in permanent                               individuals, q and q are the alternative levels of conserva-
           marker before distribution to minimize the amount of paper                             tion practice (q being improved quality), X is a vector of
           used. We shuffled the surveys before distribution to ensure a                          other characteristics, and ψ is a preference parameter. To
           random distribution of bids. Prospective respondents were                              maximize utility, the individuals would make a trade-off be-
           given a short briefing on the research project and then ver-                           tween income and conservation practice given their other
           bal consent was taken if they showed interest in participat-                           characteristics. Individuals respond to the stated bid such
           ing. We provided participants with markers to complete                                 that:
           their responses, which took . minutes on average
           (SD = .; range = – minutes; n = ), and remained
                                                                                                                            
           nearby so that respondents were able to clarify any questions                                                        "Yes" if WTP . Bid
                                                                                                                      R=
           with us. After entering the data, and before wiping out the                                                          "No" if WTP ≤ Bid
           writing on the questionnaire sheet, we photographed all
           questionnaires and catalogued them for future reference.
           The questionnaires were cleaned and then re-used the fol-                              where R denotes the response, WTP is willingness to pay
           lowing evening with the next set of random bids. Out of a                              and Bid is the stated conservation fee posed in the question
           total of  questionnaire completion requests,  were re-                           asking about the visitors’ willingness to pay.
           turned, giving a response rate of .%. Of the  who gave                                Following the contingent valuation scenario (Supple-
           their reason for not participating in the exercise .% stated                        mentary Material ), visitors were presented with a single
           they were not interested in taking part, .% mentioned                               bound referendum-type question asking if they would be
           language difficulties, .% were too tired, .% did not                              willing to pay a specific amount (USD A) as a conservation
           have time, .% felt they did not know much about snow                                 fee in addition to entry fees. One bid amount per question-
           leopards, .% stated that there was no point in this type                             naire was randomly allocated from  proposed conserva-
           of research and .% were not allowed to write at that time                            tion fees: USD , , , , , , , , , ,  and
           because of their religious practices.                                                  . These bid amounts were selected based on a literature
                                                                                                  review of the contingent valuation of threatened species and
                                                                                                  protected areas (Walpole et al., ; Bandara & Tisdell,
                                                                                                  ; Baral et al., ), supplemented by prior experience
           Contingent valuation
                                                                                                  of conducting similar studies elsewhere. Two debriefing
           The contingent valuation method relies on surveys to esti-                             questions were also included. An open-ended follow-up
           mate the value of environmental goods and services that                                question solicited the most important reason for visitors’ re-
           are not traded in the conventional market (Arrow et al.,                               sponse regarding their willingness to pay the specified
           ; Carson, ). By creating a hypothetical marketplace,                           amount. These qualitative responses were later coded and
           people are asked to report their willingness to pay to obtain                          tallied.
           or forgo a specified product or service, rather than inferring                             There is some criticism of the contingent valuation
           it from observed behaviours in the regular market                                      method concerning the reliability of results, potential biases
           (Venkatachalam, ). The contingent valuation method                                 and uncertainty of hypothetical markets (Venkatachalam,
           has been used frequently to assess the willingness to pay                              ; Bartczak & Meyerhoff, ). Respondents may
           of various types of stakeholders and for the protection of                             choose to state a lower willingness to pay if they are con-
           threatened and charismatic species (Walpole et al., ;                              cerned that their responses may affect pricing policy, espe-
           Bandara & Tisdell, ; Baral et al., a, b; Wilson &                              cially if they are likely to revisit the Conservation Area: the
           Tisdell, ; Richardson & Loomis, ). The method                                  ‘unrevealed motivation’ bias (Walpole et al., ). The re-
           has, however, been used less frequently for large carnivores                           verse may also be true, with individuals wanting to demon-
           (Lindsey et al., ; Richardson et al., ).                                       strate their dedication to conservation. The strength of the
              As the goal was to estimate the amount that visitors                                contingent valuation approach, however, is its ability to
           would be willing to pay using a single bound dichotomous                               capture non-use values, describe the socio-demographic
           question, we measured the compensating variation for the                               characteristics of the target stakeholders and present hypo-
           improvement in conservation practice. Therefore, willing-                              thetical markets to estimate the value of the species in ques-
           ness to pay was operationalized as the amount that must                                tion (Ressurreicao et al., ). Careful survey design is
           be subtracted from people’s income to keep their utility con-                          crucial to minimize hypothetical biases and our design re-
           stant:                                                                                 flected a real market scenario as closely as possible by choos-
                                                                                                  ing the entry fee as a payment vehicle. Similar to Baral et al.
                       V1 (y − A, p, q1 ; X; c) = V0 (y, p, q0 ; X; c)                  (1)       (), we also reported to respondents that the Annapurna
           where V denotes the indirect utility function, y is income, A                          Conservation Area might re-assess pricing policy based on
           is the bid amount, p is a vector of prices faced by the                                the survey’s results.

           Oryx, 2019, 53(4), 633–642 © 2018 Fauna & Flora International doi:10.1017/S0030605317001636
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https://doi.org/10.1017/S0030605317001636
636         M. G. Schutgens et al.

             Data analysis                                                                          amount to implement the Action Plan. The probability
                                                                                                    that a respondent would be willing to pay a given bid
             We used logit regression to model the relationship between                             amount was assumed to follow a standard logistic variate
             the dichotomous dependent variable (willingness to pay)                                (Hanemann, ):
             and the independent variables. Ordinary least square regres-
                                                                                                                                                               ′    −1
             sion violates the normality assumption when the response                                            Prob(Yes|A,X) = (1 + e−(a+bA+X F) )                             (3)
             variable is binary, so the logit model is most appropriate                             where α is a constant parameter, β is the coefficient of the
             in such a case. Based on a review of other contingent valu-                            bid variable A, X is the vector of other explanatory variables
             ation studies conducted in relation to protected areas (Baral                          influencing the response, and Φ is the vector of the corre-
             et al., ; Baral & Dhungana, ) and threatened or cha-                           sponding slope parameters. Using estimated parameters of
             rismatic species (Walpole et al., ; Bandara & Tisdell,                             equation (), the median amount that visitors were willing to
             ; Baral et al., a, b; Wilson & Tisdell, ;                                  pay was computed as
             Richardson et al., ), we hypothesized that respondents
             who were offered lower bid amounts, had greater knowledge                                                                     a+X ′F
                                                                                                                                WTP =                                            (4)
             of snow leopards, supported the implementation of                                                                               b
             the Snow Leopard Conservation Action Plan, were inter-
                                                                                                       The mean amount was calculated by numerical integra-
             ested in participating in nature-based activities in the
                                                                                                    tion of the expected values of willingness to pay, from USD
             Conservation Area, travelled in a larger group (Baral et al.,
                                                                                                    . to the maximum bid amount of USD ., using
             ), used a guide (Baral et al., ), spent longer in the
                                                                                                    equation (). We obtained the % confidence intervals
             Conservation Area, were more satisfied with their trip (Baral
                                                                                                    for the mean amount visitors were willing to pay running
             et al., ), were a member of an environmental organiza-
                                                                                                    the Monte Carlo simulation developed by Krinsky & Robb
             tion, were older, had a higher income level, were more edu-
                                                                                                    (). The simulation was implemented in STATA
             cated, and were male would all be more likely to pay a higher
                                                                                                    (StataCorp, College Station, USA) with the wtpcikr com-
             snow leopard conservation fee than others. With respect to
                                                                                                    mand (Estimate Krinsky and Robb Confidence Intervals
             the latter, the influence of being male is suggested by poten-
                                                                                                    for Mean and Median Willingness to Pay; Jeanty, ).
             tial income disparity between men and women, as shown in
             other contingent valuation studies (Horton et al., ).
                 The following equation was estimated:
                                                                                                    Results
              Probability (WTP) =
               a + b1 bid amount + b2 snow leopard knowledge                                        Visitor characteristics
               + b3 support for Snow Leopard Conservation Action Plan                               Of the  respondents, .% had no formal education,
               + b4 expectation to see snow leopards                                                .% had completed high school, .% had an associate
               + b5 group size + b6 use of a guide                                                  degree/diploma, .% had an undergraduate/bachelor’s de-
               + b7 time in Annapurna Conservation Area                                             gree, .% had a postgraduate/master’s degree, and .%
                                                                                                    had a doctoral degree. The mean age of respondents was
               + b8 trip satisfaction + b9 environmental membership
                                                                                                     years (n = ). A total of  respondents completed
               + b10 age + b11 gender + b12 active in labour force                                  the employment question with .% employed full-time,
               + b13 education level + error                                                        .% temporarily employed, .% students, .% other,
                                                                                          (2)       .% employed part-time, .% retired and .% home-
             where a is the constant and bi are the coefficients of the ex-                         makers. Less than a fifth (.%) of the respondents were
             planatory variables. The goodness-of-fit of the model was                              members of environmental organizations (n = ). About
             estimated using the maximum log-likelihood ratio. We                                   % of respondents answered the question about their
             tested the model for misspecification and examined various                             total household income for the year . They fell into
             residual plots.                                                                        the following income brackets: ,USD , (.%),
                                                                                                    USD –, (.%), USD –, (.%), USD
                                                                                                    –, (.%), USD –, (.%), –,
             Econometrics of willingness to pay                                                     (.%), –, (.%) and .USD , (.%).
                                                                                                    Visitors from  countries were recorded in the sample
             We presented the willingness to pay question as a referen-                             (n = ); the most common were the USA (.%), Israel
             dum in which the respondents were asked if they would                                  (.%), Germany (.%), the UK (.%) and Australia
             or would not be willing to pay a given bid amount A. It                                (.%). The average trip satisfaction score for the  respon-
             was assumed that visitors would maximize their utility                                 dents was . on a -point scale. Almost all of those sur-
             while expressing their willingness to pay the specified bid                            veyed (.%) said that they would recommend the

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Funding snow leopard conservation                     637

           Conservation Area to their family and friends (n = ), and                           (Fig. ). The logit regression model correctly classified
           the majority (.%, n = ) stated that there was no substi-                         .% of cases (X = ., P , ., Table ). Regarding
           tute for the Annapurna Conservation Area in the world.                                 the model’s Pearson residual, deviance residual, Pregibon le-
                                                                                                  verage and multicollinearity, no obvious problems were ob-
                                                                                                  served in the diagnostic plots. Of the  explanatory
           Trip characteristics                                                                   variables, three were statistically significant predictors of
           Of the  respondents, .% reported that visiting the                               willingness to pay: number of days spent in the
           Annapurna Conservation Area was the primary purpose                                    Conservation Area, support for the Action Plan and the
           of their trip to Nepal. Most visitors (.%) had never visited                        bid amount. A negative association between the willingness
           the Conservation Area before. Just under half (.%)                                  to pay and the bid amount indicated that the higher the bid
           of the respondents were traveling with friends in a group.                             amounts the lower the probability of their acceptance. For
           The average group size was . (n = ). Approximately                                each dollar increase in the proposed conservation fee, the
           two-thirds (.%) of those who participated in the survey                             probability of visitors’ willingness to pay decreased by
           had hired a trekking guide while in the Conservation Area                              .%. The probability of willingness to pay would increase
           (n = ), and of these, .% rated their guide’s knowledge                           by .% if respondents also supported the implementation
           as ‘excellent’, .% rated it as ‘good’, .% rated it as ‘fair’                    of the Action Plan. Similarly, each additional visitor day in
           and .% described it as ‘poor’ (n = ). Visitors spent                              the Conservation Area increased the probability of a positive
           on average . days in the Conservation Area (n = ;                               response to the willingness to pay question by .%.
           SD = .), and their mean daily expenditure was USD                                       When the proportion of visitors’ willingness to pay was
           . (n = ; SD = .) (Table ). Trekking/hiking was                              plotted against their snow leopard knowledge assessment
           by far the most important activity attracting respondents                              scores, a clear linear trend was observed in bivariate analysis;
           (n = ) to the Conservation Area (.%). This was fol-                              however, this relationship faded away during multivariate
           lowed by nature photography (.%), visiting cultural sites                            analysis. Contrary to our expectation, the knowledge vari-
           (.%), other (.%), research/study (.%), mountaineering                            able did not explain the significant variance in the willing-
           (.%), wildlife viewing or bird watching (.%), visiting                             ness to pay.
           ethnic museums (.%), and more than one reason (.%).
                                                                                                  Reasons for and against willingness to pay for snow
           Support for the Snow Leopard Conservation Action Plan                                  leopard conservation

           When asked to rate the importance of the implementation                                The majority of respondents (.%) answered the follow-
           of the Action Plan, .% stated this was extremely import-                            up question asking to give a reason for their response to
           ant, .% very important, .% somewhat important, .%                              the willingness to pay question. Respondents who were will-
           a little important and .% not at all important. When asked                           ing to pay gave reasons slightly more frequently (.%)
           about their motivations for supporting the implementation                              than those were not willing to pay (.%). The top three
           of the Action Plan, the most important motivation that re-                             reasons for positive responses were that the visitors liked
           spondents who had rated the implementation as very im-                                 the idea of protecting nature, considered the proposed fees
           portant or extremely important was: ‘I believe that snow                               to be reasonable, and felt that conservation of snow leopards
           leopards have a right to exist’ (.%, n = ); followed by                          is crucial. A major reason for visitors’ unwillingness to pay
           ‘I enjoy knowing snow leopards exist in Annapurna even if                              was that the proposed fee was too expensive (Table ).
           nobody ever sees one’ (.%, n = ); ‘I enjoy knowing
           future generations will get pleasure from snow leopards
           in Annapurna’ (.%, n = ); ‘I enjoy knowing other                                 Projected impact of conservation fee
           people get pleasure from snow leopards in Annapurna’                                   To understand the possible financial impacts of imposing a
           (.%, n = ); ‘I may want to see snow leopards in the                              snow leopard conservation fee on the local economy we first
           future in Annapurna’ (.%, n = ).                                                 calculated the gross economic impact of tourism following
                                                                                                  the methodology of Baral et al. () based on the esti-
           Willingness to pay a snow leopard conservation fee                                     mated visitation rate for the Annapurna Conservation
                                                                                                  Area in  (Table ). We asked survey participants how
           Four hundred of the  respondents answered the willing-                              many days they planned to be in the Conservation Area
           ness to pay question (.%). About half of the respondents                            and how much they expected to spend each day. On average,
           (.%) were willing to pay the bid amount stated in their                             visitors stayed in the Conservation Area for . days and
           surveys. The mean amount visitors were willing to pay                                  spent USD . per day, meaning that during their trip to
           was USD . (confidence interval .–.) per trip                               the Conservation Area visitors spend on average USD

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638         M. G. Schutgens et al.

             TABLE 1 Summary of variables used in the Logit Regression Model.

             Variables                       Description                                                                                                            Mean ± SD
             Bid amount                      Respondents were asked varying & randomly drawn conservation fees between USD 5 and 120 59.05 ± 35.22
                                             (ratio scale)
             Snow leopard                    Respondents were asked a number of questions relating to snow leopards, with 1 for a correct      3.79 ± 1.72
              knowledge                      answer, otherwise 0 (nominal scale)
             Implementing Snow               Respondents were asked how important it was to implement the Action Plan, on a five-point         3.92 ± 0.77
              Leopard Conservation           scale: not at all important = 1, a little important = 2, somewhat important = 3, very important-
              Action Plan                     = 4, extremely important = 5 (ordinal scale)
             Expectation of seeing           Respondents were asked whether the presence of snow leopards affected their decision to visit, 1.41 ± 0.88
              snow leopards                  on a five-point scale: not at all important = 1, a little important = 2, somewhat important = 3,
                                             very important = 4, extremely important = 5 (ordinal scale)
             Group size                      Respondents were asked the number of people, including the respondent, travelling to the          3.27 ± 2.58
                                             Conservation Area on a trip together (ratio scale)
             Use of a guide                  Respondents who hired a guide were coded 1, otherwise 0 (binary scale)                            0.37 ± 0.48
             Visitor days in                 Respondents were asked the number of days they intended to stay in the Conservation Area         15.89 ± 7.67
              Annapurna                      (ratio scale)
             Trip satisfaction               Respondents were asked to rate their overall experience on a scale of 1–10, 10 being the most     8.47 ± 1.07
                                             positive (ordinal scale)
             Environmental                   Respondents who reported to be members of environmental organizations were coded 1,               0.17 ± 0.37
              membership                     otherwise 0 (binary scale)
             Age                             Respondents were asked to state the year they were born, which was subtracted from 2014 to give 32.19 ± 11.08
                                             age (ratio scale)
             Gender                          Respondents who identified themselves as men were coded 1 and women were coded 0 (binary 0.58 ± 0.49
                                             scale)
             Active in labour force          Respondents were considered active in labour force (1) if they were employed full-time or         0.41 ± 0.49
                                             part-time, otherwise not (0) (binary scale)
             Education                       Respondents were asked to record highest level of education attained measured on a 6-point        3.83 ± 1.28
                                             scale: no degree achieved = 1, secondary education = 2, associate degree/diploma = 3, bachelor’s
                                             degree = 4, master’s degree = 5, doctorate degree = 6 (ordinal scale)

                                                                                                                             FIG. 1 A demand function derived from the
                                                                                                                             observed positive responses to the
                                                                                                                             willingness to pay question. The predictions
                                                                                                                             based on the econometric model are shown
                                                                                                                             in open circles. A linear trend line is fitted
                                                                                                                             to the observed frequencies shown in filled
                                                                                                                             circles.

             .. We used this figure and corresponding visitation                               on the local economy, one of the primary concerns that
             rates (adjusted for willingness to pay a snow leopard conser-                          must be considered (Table ).
             vation fee) to calculate the gross economic impact on the
             local economy in each scenario. Park revenue was calculated
             by multiplying the number of expected visitors (adjusted for                           Discussion
             willingness to pay) by the entrance fee (USD .). The ex-
             pected snow leopard revenue was calculated by multiplying                              The results of this study indicate that foreign visitors are
             the number of expected visitors (adjusted for willingness to                           willing to pay USD . per trip on average, in addition
             pay) by the snow leopard fee. In doing so, we were able to                             to the USD . entrance fee, to support the implementa-
             clearly gauge the impact of imposing a snow leopard fee                                tion of the Snow Leopard Conservation Action Plan in the

                                                                                        Oryx, 2019, 53(4), 633–642 © 2018 Fauna & Flora International doi:10.1017/S0030605317001636
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Funding snow leopard conservation                     639

           TABLE 2 Logit regression model of variables influencing responses to the willingness to pay question.

           Willingness to pay                                        Coefficient               Std. Error                z                   P.z                 Effect size (%)
           Bid amount                                                −0.0308                   0.0041                    −7.51               0.001               −3.0
           Knowledge about snow leopards                              0.0047                   0.0776                     0.06               0.951                0.5
           Implementing Action Plan                                   0.5386                   0.1899                     2.84               0.005               71.4
           Expectation of seeing snow leopards                        0.0261                   0.1518                     0.17               0.864                2.6
           Group size                                                 0.0741                   0.0532                     1.39               0.164                7.7
           Use of a guide                                             0.4442                   0.2983                     1.49               0.136               55.9
           Visitor days in Conservation Area                          0.0652                   0.0243                     2.68               0.007                6.7
           Satisfaction from the trip                                 0.0372                   0.1200                     0.31               0.757                3.8
           Environmental membership                                   0.4623                   0.3586                     1.29               0.197               58.8
           Age                                                        0.0207                   0.0137                     1.51               0.131                2.1
           Gender                                                    −0.0662                   0.2635                     0.25               0.802               −6.4
           Active in labour force                                     0.1803                   0.2849                     0.63               0.527               19.8
           Education                                                  0.0000                   0.1137                     0.00               1.000                0.0
           Constant                                                  −2.9194                   1.3976                     2.09               0.037
           Likelihood-ratio χ = ., P , ., n = , correctly classified cases = .%.

           TABLE 3 Reasons for response to willingness to pay question.

           Description                                                                                                                                          Frequency (%)
           Reasons why visitors were willing to pay an increased fee (n = 188)
           To protect nature, forests, wildlife, ecosystems, or environment                                                                                     23.9%
           I can afford it; the entry fee is reasonable                                                                                                         21.3%
           Snow leopards must be protected/conserved                                                                                                            15.4%
           Tourists/visitors should pay to mitigate their negative impacts                                                                                       9.6%
           I like to donate to worthy causes, general philanthropy                                                                                               9.0%
           Conditional support, only if funds are judiciously used                                                                                               9.0%
           The area is beautiful, unrivalled & unique                                                                                                            7.4%
           Likelihood of success                                                                                                                                 3.7%
           To support economic development of the area                                                                                                           0.5%
           Reasons why visitors were unwilling to pay an increased fee (n = 186)
           I cannot pay; the fee is too expensive                                                                                                               67.2%
           Concerns about corruption, misuse & leakage of funds                                                                                                  9.1%
           There are other more important concerns e.g. clean drinking water                                                                                     4.3%
           Tourists/visitors should not be the only ones to pay                                                                                                  4.3%
           It is the job of the Nepalese government                                                                                                              3.8%
           Snow leopards are not important                                                                                                                       3.8%
           I already support other causes                                                                                                                        2.2%
           Entry fee is too expensive for shorter visits                                                                                                         1.6%
           The project is unlikely to succeed                                                                                                                    1.6%
           Conservation fees should go to all species                                                                                                            1.6%
           I prefer to visit other places                                                                                                                        0.5%

           TABLE 4 Projected impact of introducing a snow leopard conservation fee in the Annapurna Conservation Area.

           Candidate snow                    % willing             Expected              Expected park                 Expected snow                          Gross economic
           leopard fee (USD)                 to pay                visitors              revenue (USD)                 leopard revenue (USD)                  impact (USD)
           0                                 100                   129,966               3,509,082                             0                              53,935,890
           5                                  91                   118,269               3,193,264                       591,345                              49,162,082
           10                                 88                   114,370               3,087,992                     1,143,700                              47,541,354
           20                                 71                    92,276               2,491,448                     1,845,517                              38,357,229
           60                                 35                    45,488               1,228,179                     2,729,286                              18,908,493
           Adapted from Baral et al. (), based on , visitors in  (visitor numbers rounded to the nearest whole number).

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640         M. G. Schutgens et al.

             Annapurna Conservation Area. Their willingness to pay                                  once-in-a-lifetime activity, as suggested by the fact that
             was influenced by the time participants spent in the                                   only % of participants had visited the area previously. It
             Conservation Area, their support for the Action Plan and                               is possible that participants may have agreed to higher bid
             the bid amount. The main motivation to support the Snow                                amounts as they were unlikely to return to the Conservation
             Leopard Conservation Action Plan was that the snow leop-                               Area. Similarly, although responses were treated anonym-
             ard had the right to exist. Given these results, the critical                          ously, participants may have agreed to higher bid amounts
             question is thus how to translate this economic value attrib-                          because of perceived peer-pressure to demonstrate their
             uted to snow leopards by international tourists into financial                         willingness to support this cause to fellow travellers or our-
             resources for conservation initiatives in the Conservation                             selves. The mean amount that visitors are willing to pay
             Area. A logical policy implication would be to introduce a                             should thus be seen only as an indication of willingness to
             conservation fee for foreign visitors to the Conservation                              support the conservation of the snow leopard, a species with
             Area that directly raises funds for snow leopard conservation                          currently no use value in the Conservation Area, rather than
             initiatives without significantly reducing visitation rates.                           a figure to be implemented without further consideration.
                 The introduction of a snow leopard conservation fee set                                Respondents’ open-ended responses explaining why
             at the mean amount that visitors were willing to pay in this                           they were willing to pay a snow leopard conservation fee
             study could theoretically generate c. USD  million in funds                           also have potential management implications for the
             per year. This is a significant proportion of the estimated                            Annapurna Conservation Area. The most common reason
             USD . million required to implement the national                                    cited for supporting a conservation fee was to enhance the
             Snow Leopard Conservation Action Plan for Nepal in                                     overall protection of nature. The Conservation Area man-
             – (DNPWC, ). However, there would be sig-                                  agement may consider showcasing their conservation ef-
             nificant financial repercussions to the local economy                                  forts more prominently to visitors, which could enhance
             (Table ) as a result of decreased visitation rates to the                             visitor satisfaction during the trip and increase their willing-
             Conservation Area. It is likely that such an aggressive pri-                           ness to pay (Tisdell et al., ; Baral et al., ). To secure
             cing policy would be met with resistance from local tourism                            long-term support for the initiative, clear disclosure on how
             entrepreneurs whose livelihoods would be threatened                                    funds would be spent will be necessary to build trust and
             (Laarman & Gregersen, ; Walpole et al., ; Baral                                achieve optimal acceptance of the scheme, as frequently
             et al., ), and could result in increasing resentment to-                           mentioned in open-ended responses (Table ).
             wards snow leopards: a counterproductive outcome. Some                                     This study contributes to research conducted on the total
             international visitors may also perceive this proposed fee                             economic value framework, using the contingent valuation
             to be too high.                                                                        method, with specific reference to threatened species. The
                 The implementation of a fee set at this study’s mean                               snow leopard has no apparent use value within the
             amount that visitors are willing to pay, as well as that deter-                        Conservation Area at the time of writing, and although
             mined by similar studies elsewhere, may be problematic be-                             this could change, this study illustrates the importance of
             cause of the uncertainties involved in translating a                                   understanding and quantifying existence value, as has
             hypothetical scenario into reality. Although there are                                 been emphasized elsewhere (e.g. Han & Lee, ). Nearly
             many possible consequences of introducing or increasing                                % of respondents were not influenced to any degree in
             a fee, the economic impacts should be considered carefully.                            their decision to visit the Conservation Area by the possibil-
             For example, both Walpole et al. () and Baral et al.                               ity of encountering a snow leopard, and yet our results indi-
             (), investigating visitor’s willingness to pay entrance                            cate an opportunity to generate revenue for the conservation
             fees to protected areas, avoided recommending the imple-                               of this species.
             mentation of the studies’ mean amount that visitors were
             willing to pay in favour of a more ‘reasonable’ fee (based
             on expected additional revenue, impact on visitation rates                             Conclusions
             and impact on local economies) to be introduced either in-
             crementally or over a trial period. Given these inherent un-                           International visitors are willing to pay for snow leopard
             certainties, we recommend that the Conservation Area                                   conservation in the Annapurna Conservation Area and
             management reviews its current pricing policies and consid-                            their decision is influenced by the number of days they
             ers the implementation of a snow leopard conservation fee,                             spend in the Area and their views on snow leopard conser-
             albeit cautiously and in consultation with local communities                           vation. However, the mean amount they would be willing to
             and stakeholders.                                                                      pay (USD .) would prove difficult to implement given
                 Despite our best efforts to minimize potential biases                              the likely detrimental impacts on the local economy and vis-
             within this contingent valuation study, some biases cannot                             itation rates. Although we do not propose the introduction
             be ruled out completely, so the results must be viewed cau-                            of a specific amount, a snow leopard conservation fee imple-
             tiously. For many visitors the Conservation Area trek is a                             mented in the Conservation Area would help offset the costs

                                                                                        Oryx, 2019, 53(4), 633–642 © 2018 Fauna & Flora International doi:10.1017/S0030605317001636
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Funding snow leopard conservation                           641

           of snow leopard conservation in the area and possibly the                                     B A L M F O R D , A., B E R E S F O R D , J., G R E E N , J., N A I D O O , R., W A L P O L E , M.
           entire country. This decision however, should be viewed                                          & M A N I C A , A. () A global perspective on trends in
                                                                                                            nature-based tourism. PLoS Biology (): e.
           in light of the likely economic, social and political impacts.
                                                                                                         B A L M F O R D , A., B R U N E R , A., C O O P E R , P., C O S T A N Z A , R., F A R B E R , S.,
           Although there is significant potential to raise funds for                                       G R E E N , R.E. et al. () Economic reasons for conserving wild
           snow leopard conservation in the Conservation Area, it                                           nature. Science, , –.
           may not be feasible in other places within snow leopard                                       B A N D A R A , R. & T I S D E L L , C. () Changing abundance of elephants
           range where the tourism industry is not well established.                                        and willingness to pay for their conservation. Journal of
                                                                                                            Environmental Management, , –.
           The Annapurna Conservation Area has a reputation as a
                                                                                                         B A R A L , N. & D H U N G A N A , A. () Diversifying finance mechanisms
           world-class trekking destination, but other protected areas                                      for protected areas capitalizing on untapped revenues. Forest Policy
           in Nepal harbouring snow leopards attract fewer visitors.                                        and Economics, , –.
           Therefore, the potential for generating tourism income to                                     B A R A L , N., G A U T A M , R., T I M I L S I N A , N. & B H AT , M.G. (a)
           subsidize snow leopard conservation projects may be lim-                                         Conservation implications of contingent valuation of critically
           ited at other snow leopard sites within or outside Nepal.                                        endangered White-rumped Vulture Gyps bengalensis in South Asia.
                                                                                                            The International Journal of Biodiversity Science and Management,
           We propose further research across other range states to de-                                     , –.
           termine visitors’ willingness to pay for snow leopard conser-                                 B A R A L , N., S T E R N , M.J. & B H A T T A R A I , R. () Contingent valuation
           vation elsewhere and stress the importance of investigating                                      of ecotourism in Annapurna Conservation Area, Nepal:
           the economic value of a species as a tool for its conservation,                                  implications for sustainable park finance and local development.
           especially in developing countries.                                                              Ecological Economics, , –.
                                                                                                         B A R A L , N., S T E R N , M.J. & H E I N E N , J.T. (b) Integrated
                                                                                                            conservation and development project life cycles in the Annapurna
                                                                                                            Conservation Area, Nepal: Is development overpowering
           Acknowledgements                                                                                 conservation? Biodiversity and Conservation, , –.
                                                                                                         B A R T C Z A K , A. & M E Y E R H O F F , J. () Valuing the chances of survival
           We thank the Annapurna Conservation Area staff for pro-                                          of two distinct Eurasian lynx populations in Poland–do people want
           viding support and assistance, the hotel owners who gave us                                      to keep the doors open? Journal of Environmental Management, ,
           permission to conduct research on their premises, partici-                                       –.
           pants for their enthusiasm and patience, and N. Shrestha                                      B R O O K S , T.M., B A K A R R , M.I., B O U C H E R , T., D A F O N S E C A , G.A.B.,
                                                                                                            H I LT O N -T AY LO R , C., H O E K S T R A , J.M. et al. () Coverage
           and J. Schuurmans for collecting the data during fieldwork.                                      provided by the global protected area system: is it enough?
           All necessary permits were obtained prior to fieldwork and                                       BioScience, , –.
           the authors followed the guidelines developed by the British                                  B R U N E R , A.G., G U L L I S O N , R.E. & B A L M F O R D , A. () Financial
           Sociological Association. JHH was supported by Economic                                          costs and shortfalls of managing and expanding protected area
           and Social Research Council Grant ES/J/.                                                  systems in developing countries. BioScience, , –.
                                                                                                         B R U N E R , A.G., G U L L I S O N , R.E., R I C E , R.E. & D A F O N S E C A , G.A.B.
                                                                                                            () Effectiveness of parks in protecting tropical biodiversity.
                                                                                                            Science, , –.
           Author contributions                                                                          C A R S O N , R.T. () Contingent valuation: a user’s guide.
                                                                                                            Environmental Science & Technology, , –.
           MGS, JHH, NB and SBA conceptualized the study and                                             C H A P E , S., H A R R I S O N , J., S P A L D I N G , M. & L Y S E N KO , I. ()
           methodology. NB analysed the data. JHH acquired funding.                                         Measuring the extent and effectiveness of protected areas as an
           MGS and JHH conducted the field work and prepared the                                            indicator for meeting global biodiversity targets. Philosophical
           original draft. NB and SBA reviewed and edited the draft. All                                    Transactions of the Royal Society B, , –.
                                                                                                         D I C K M A N , A.J., M AC D O N A L D , E.A. & M AC D O N A L D , D.W. () A
           authors approved the final version for submission.                                               review of financial instruments to pay for predator conservation and
                                                                                                            encourage human-carnivore coexistence. Proceedings of the
                                                                                                            National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, ,
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                 Ecology Progress Series, , –.                                                           of natural resource management, resilience of social-ecological sys-
             N A M G A I L , T., M A J U M D E R , B., D A D U L , J., A G VA A N T S E R E N , B., A L L E N ,   tems, sustainable tourism and protected area management. He re-
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                                                                                                       Oryx, 2019, 53(4), 633–642 © 2018 Fauna & Flora International doi:10.1017/S0030605317001636
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