Valentine LINCOLN Prime Retail Investment Opportunity - Banks Long & Co
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Valentine LINCOLN Prime Retail Investment Opportunity Investment Summary • City - Lincoln is an attractive and historic cathedral • Strong trading profile - consistently robust trading city, and is the administrative centre of the county performance. of Lincolnshire. • Institutional income stream - secured from strong • Place making - Valentine is one of the leading retail covenants including Next, TK Maxx, Asda, DFS, destinations in the city, with a strong furniture, Costa and Hobbycraft, with a low average rent of convenience and comparison retail offer. £22.11 per sq ft and a WAULT of 8.3 years to expiry and 6.4 years to break. • Captive catchment - there is a captive catchment, with the nearest main shopping competition • Further potential - potential for further value being over an hour’s drive away. Total catchment enhancement with flexible store layout and scope population of 582,966 people. for further units to be created. • Large footfall - annual footfall estimated at • Price - a price is sought of £46,300,000, reflecting 2.4 million. an attractive net initial yield of 5.96%, after allowing for purchaser’s costs of 6.78%. • Modern floor space - a resilient and continually evolving retail offer utilising the scheme’s flexible layout with a further improvement to the scheme currently on site.
Location Lincoln is a cathedral city and the commercial and administrative centre for the county of Lincolnshire. Lincoln is located approximately 142 miles north The city is now home to the University of Lincoln and of London and benefits from a captive and distinct Bishop Grosseteste University. The University of Lincoln catchment population lying 41 miles northeast has over 13,000 students, and has developed strongly over of Nottingham, 45 miles east of Sheffield and 40 recent years, having had a £200 million investment in the miles north of Peterborough. campus, with a further £130 million spend planned over the next few years. Lincoln developed from the Roman town of Lindum Colonia. By 1150, Lincoln was reputed to The university is estimated to be worth more than £300 be among the wealthiest towns in England. The million to the local economy, doubling local economic city became a major trading hub, exporting to the growth rates, and creating more than 3,000 new jobs. continent and thereafter drawing from the wealthy The university’s award-winning business incubation agricultural hinterland, the city became renowned centre, Sparkhouse, has supported more than 300 new for delivering engineering solutions, which were and growing businesses to establish themselves in the adopted worldwide. region and created over 450 new jobs. Lincoln opened the UK’s first purpose-built engineering school in 25 years in Lincoln’s major landmarks are Lincoln Cathedral, collaboration with Siemens plc. a famous example of English Gothic architecture, and the 11th-century Norman period Lincoln The service sector as a whole accounts for 53% of total Castle. The aptly named ‘Steep Hill’ forms a employment in the city; the professional & business northern extension of the high street and forms services and finance sectors together account for 8.6% and the historical quarter of the city, leading to the the retailing and leisure sectors 27.0% of total employment. cathedral standing at the top of hill, overlooking the rest of the city. The cathedral is one of the Lincoln has a strong advanced engineering sector. Siemens most frequently visited in the UK and the city Industrial Turbomachinery have a large facility in the city generates 4 million visitors per year, producing employing some 1,300 people. The city is expanding within £190 million of spend in the local economy and the high tech industries sector, with firms such as Dynex supporting 2,500 jobs. and E2V benefiting from the strong and historic links to the MOD/RAF. Lincoln’s second largest private employer is James Dawson UK; a belting and hose manufacturer.
1 47 43 A1 38 HULL 27 Batley 41 30 Castleford M62 37 Dewsbury M62 31 32 36 Goole 33 34 40 Wakefield A15 M18 d 39 Hemsworth Immingham 38 6 Thorne 5 1 M181 Scunthorpe 5 Grimsby M1 38 M1802 Cleethorpes 37 3 M180 4 37 4 A46 36 36 A16 3 A159 A15 35 A1(M) Rotherham 34 1 34 A631 33 32 34 Gainsborough Louth SHEFFIELD 31 Retford M1 A156 ‘The University of A46 A61 30 A1 A158 A16 Chesterfield LINCOLN 29 Lincoln is estimated A6 Mansfield A15 to be worth more than £300 million to 28 Newark- on-Trent A52 27 A38 26 A46 A1 A17 Boston the local economy, A52 A52 A52 A16 doubling local NOTTINGHAM Grantham economic growth 25 DERBY A17 A50 rates and creating A607 A38 24 EAST A15 A151 MIDLANDS Spalding King's A17 more than 3,000 A17 Lynn 23 A1 A42 A607 A47 M1 new jobs’ A606 22 A10 11 Stamford A16 Wisbech M42 LEICESTER A47 A47 21 Peterborough March M69 A43 A6 2 1 A10 A605
‘The city benefits from a captive catchment, with the nearest main shopping competition being over an hour’s drive away’ HUDDERSFIELD SCUNTHORPE GRIMSBY BARNSLEY DONCASTER Catchments Primary Secondary Tertiary Quaternary CHESTERFIELD LINCOLN MANSFIELD NOTTINGHAM DERBY BEESTON BURTON UPON TRENT LOUGHBOROUGH
Valentine LINCOLN Strong Prime Retail Investment Opportunity Demographics Valentine provides a convenient and accessible Scheme specific indicators are: shopping environment, aligned to the daily needs of the local community. The retailer mix complements the strong demographics and Average drive time this is reflected in the frequency of use by the to the scheme of catchment population. 19 minutes. The city benefits from a 30.3% of customers visit relatively captive catchment, Valentine at least once with the nearest main shopping a week and 80% visit competition being over an hour’s Valentine at least once a drive away. There is a total month. catchment population of 582,966 people. Estimated annual footfall of 2.4 million people, with an CACI state that ‘Affluent average dwell time of 50 26% Achievers’ comprise 26.0% of the catchment, in comparison to the 21.5% UK average. minutes. Catering spend potential of £29.3 million. £8 average catering ‘Comfortable Communities’ spend. 42% make up 41.5% of the catchment, as compared to the 26.6% UK average. Over £51 average retail spend per shopper. Within the CACI 20 minute drive time, there are just over 74.419 households, of which 46,249 are Comparison goods owner-occupied. spend potential of £106.2 million. 16.9% of core catchment market share of comparison goods. 79.2% of the drive time catchment have access to a car, as compared to the UK national average of 75.5%. 33 visits per year on average per person. £1,336.7 million of total 45% of customers live catchment comparison goods expenditure. 45% within a 10 minute drive from Valentine.
Ideal Situation SA for a Retail Scheme XI West Common LB YR OA The scheme forms the premier location for large format retailing in the city and is anchored by a 30,000 sq ft Next, a 20,000 sq ft TK Maxx, Asda Living, Hobbycraft D and DFS. Lying adjacent are Wren Kitchens and The Range, and to the north is a B&Q Warehouse totalling 100,000 sq ft. On the opposite side of the road, just to the north, is the 124,000 sq ft Tritton Retail Park, with occupiers including Currys PC World, HomeSense, Carpetright, Home Bargains, ScS and Pets at Home. Between Valentine and the city centre is St Marks, which is anchored by Debenhams, Argos Extra, Sports Direct, Mothercare, Homebase, and Gap Outlet. Lidl (17,000 sq ft) and BHS (30,000 sq ft) were previously represented here until the former found a larger standalone site and the receivership of the latter. This scheme has paid parking and has struggled, with the owners, Aberdeen Standard, having gained planning permission to demolish the existing retail park to the west of the canal and replace it C with a mall style arrangement and multi storey parking with 1,100 spaces. Also planned are 150 new residential units, up to 1,100 new student residences, and a hotel with 130 rooms. According to the scheme’s website, construction is likely to begin in 2020, with the development taking 3 years to complete and Aberdeen Standard investing over £150 million. Tritton Road is a dual carriageway and forms one of the main routes to the south, linking up with the A46 Newark Road. There is all ways access and egress to the development to and from Tritton Road via a traffic light controlled junction. This gives access to Valentine Road, which forms a slip road off the dual carriageway, and onto the scheme. Limited Retailing Competition Lincoln faces below average competition from surrounding regional retail centres, due to its distance from them, with the nearest main shopping competition being over an hour’s drive away. Valentine Lincoln A19 on A58 BRADFORD A10 79 Beverley A1 LEEDS 65 14 Garforth Selby A164 M621 A6 1 47 A63 A63 38 43 A1 M62 HULL A10 27 Castleford 37 Hessle A63 41 Batley 41 M62 30 31 32 A645 36 Goole 33 34 Barton- upon- 40 Pontefract Humber Wakefield M18 A160 39 Hemsworth Immingham A15 A6 6 M181 SCUNTHORPE 38 38 Thorne A61 M1 5 1 5 GRIMSBY 38 M1802 M180 Cleethorpes 3 37 4 37 4 Penistone Brigg DONCASTER 6 36 36 A4 3 Caistor Stocksbridge 59 A1 35 Rotherham A1(M) Bawtry A15 A16 A631 Market 34 1 A631 34 Rasen 33 32 34 Gainsborough SHEFFIELD 31 6 Retford A4 M1 A61 A1 LINCOLN A15 30 A5 A1 58 D OA 7 6 Chesterfield R ON Horncastle T Washingborough IT 29 Ollerton TR A6 Mansfield Matlock Coningsby Alfreton 28 NEWARK-ON-TRENT A15 A17 to A46, A1 Wirksworth A38 27 3 6 & M1 A6 Ashbourne A4 Sleaford A17 00 0 A1121 7 26 B1 A52 NOTTINGHAM A1 A52 A16 A52 DERBY
Claytons Sports and B1273 LO Social Club AD NG Whitton Park RO LE YS R OA AM D EH TTL 5 A1 NE YARB OR R OAD Lincoln Castle EASTGATE GREETWELL RD OU BY G GH Lincoln RA RO Cathedral W AD CA R HO LM TE S EP ER VE OA RD H IL M EA D L WE NDU ST LI TH PA RA NE DE B1308 W MON KS ROAD LA BROADGATE D N AY BRAYFORD W Waterside hopping W IG 62 FO R University of B 12 Tri on etail ark Lincoln 124, s WA D Y Tenants include: Home Bargains, Home Sense, Halfords, Currys PC ST M igh treet World, Pets at Home AR KS T Lincoln t arks hopping TEN St Marks TER Central 43 , s hopping CRO ET FT S Units to be redeveloped. AD T TRE Maplin, Sofology, Toys R Us. RO Other retailers include: Gap, JD, N CA Argos, Debenhams, Boots, HS Tri on TO PureGym Retail Park NW IT HIG TR ICK CO UL ROA SO N RD D BOU LTH AM AVE 3 00 B1 DIXON STREET Lincoln H RD City E OUG R Football U B1 BO N B1262 AD Club 18 E IN G AV WAS H K RO RK C A AN P PAR S W ICK AM K R LTH AR OA H P UT D BOU SO B1 18
Contemporary Retailing Valentine provides a modern, high quality has a higher than average proportion of Harveys, Dreams and AHF Furniture, with shopping environment, in-line with current shoppers using click and collect alongside the line-up completed by Hobbycraft retailer requirements and consumer needs. shopping in stores; 4.1% compared with the (to open in spring 2018), American Golf, average of 1.9%. The majority of retailers Carphone Warehouse and Costa. Following completion of a pre-let on the scheme provide an omni-channel redevelopment and additions to the service allowing the customer to take full The existing scheme has been refurbished scheme, Valentine will comprise 133,177 advantage of the benefits this provides. over the last 7 years to provide new sq ft, generally arranged in 2 facing terraces. This results in frequent visits, with 80% of frontages and entrance features, with all the The 531 surface level and free car parking shoppers visiting at least once a month and larger units having sufficient headroom within spaces (1 : 250 sq ft) provided, combined 36% being on a ‘single item pick up mission’ which to install mezzanine floors. with the ease of accessibility via Tritton when shopping. Road, allow frequent visits here from the The new unit for Hobbycraft is being built to catchment population. Leading fashion and general merchandise a high specification, being fully glazed with an retailers Next, TK Maxx and Asda Living attractive and inviting frontage. The modern The tenant mix here, combined with the anchor the scheme and there is a strong and attractive design creates a contemporary, retailing environment, means that Valentine home and furniture range offered by DFS, high quality retailing experience. ‘The existing scheme has been refurbished over the last 7 years to provide new frontages and entrance features with all the larger units having sufficient headroom within which to install mezzanine floors’
Valentine LINCOLN Prime Retail Investment Opportunity Tenure The scheme is held freehold with the demise outlined in red on the plan below. A full title plan is available on request. Planning Consent The units occupied by Next, Asda Living, Carphone Warehouse, Costa, TK Maxx and the new Hobbycraft benefit from an open non-food consent; unusual for the city. The new American Golf unit has a wide bulky goods consent, but allows the sale of golfing clothing and footwear. The remaining units generally have a bulky goods only restriction. Full details can be supplied on request. Ta nk El Su b St a El Su b St a AD TI NE RO VALEN Indicative plan
Valentine LINCOLN Prime Retail Investment Opportunity Tenancy Schedule GIA Lease Lease Lease Break Next Unit Tenant Name (sq ft) Start Date Term (years) Expiry Date Date Rent Review Unit 1&2 Next Holdings Limited t/a Next 29,730 27/09/2010 15 26/09/2025 N/A 27/09/2020 Unit 2A The Carphone Warehouse Limited 2,740 07/08/2013 10 06/08/2023 07/08/2018 07/08/2018 Unit 2B Costa Limited 2,025 19/08/2013 10 18/08/2023 N/A 19/08/2018 Unit 3 Dreams Limited 5,597 10/06/2016 10 09/06/2026 N/A 10/06/2021 Steinhoff UK Group Properties Limited Unit 4 11,409 30/05/2017 10 29/05/2027 N/A 30/05/2022 t/a Harveys Unit 5 DFS Trading Limited 20,290 30/09/2011 15 29/09/2026 30/09/2022 30/09/2021 Unit 6 Hobbycraft Trading Limited 7,522 19/02/2018 15 18/02/2023 18/02/2029 19/02/2023 Unit 7 Anglia Home Furnishing Limited 10,050 10/10/2011 15 09/10/2026 10/10/2021 10/10/2021 Unit 8&9 Asda Stores Limited t/a Asda Living 19,977 16/08/2007 15 15/08/2022 N/A 16/08/2017 Unit 10 TJX UK t/a TK Maxx 20,258 09/01/2015 14 23/06/2029 24/09/2024 24/06/2019 Unit 11 American Golf Discount Centre Limited 3,579 14/07/2017 10 13/07/2027 N/A 14/07/2022 TOTAL 133,177
‘Institutional income stream - secured from strong covenants including Next, TK Maxx, Asda, DFS, Costa and Hobbycraft, with a low average rent of £22.11 per sq ft and a WAULT of 8.3 years to expiry and 6.4 years to break’ Current Rent Current Rent Comments (per annum) (per sq ft) £565,500 £19.02 £68,265 £24.91 Tenant only break subject to 6 months’ notice. 3 month penalty on break. Turnover rent - 14% of turnover above base rent of £65,812.50 which is calculated at 1/14% x base rent. Estimated £96,788 £47.80 turnover rent of £30,975 pa based on annual turnover of £691,338. No other coffee pod on the scheme before 6th anniversary or Costa have the right to break. £151,119 £27.00 Area of 5,585 sq ft assumed in lease. £256,703 £22.50 Rent reviews capped at 2.5% per annum compound. 2016 rent review agreed at this level, with previous rent at £304,185 pa, and memorandum out for signature. Tenant £356,000 £17.55 only break clause, subject to 3 months’ notice. Rent reviews capped at 2.5% per annum compound. Break date at year 11 subject to 6 months’ notice. Rent based on £198,750 £26.42 £26.50 per sq ft, not to exceed £198,750 per annum. £211,100 £21.00 Rent increased at 2016 review from £190,000 per annum (£19.00 per sq ft). £542,447 £27.15 £417,339 £20.60 Rent review cap of 115%. Tenant only break, subject to 6 months’ notice. £80,527 £22.37 New relocated unit. £2,944,538 £22.11
Potential for Further Value Enhancement Valentine has benefited from significant investment with the creation of additional units, and refurbishment of the existing units. However, we believe more can be achieved to enhance the retailing offer and tenant mix over the medium term, satisfying retailer requests from customers and further underpinning Valentine’s position at the top of the retail hierarchy. Furthermore, the redevelopment of St Marks should present opportunities, as some of the retailers there will be required to relocate elsewhere in the city. These tenants could include: Furthermore, there should be demand from Smyths Toys, as with Toys R Us’ demise, the city would lack a volume toys retailer, and this was a top category 1 store for Toys R Us. Scheme Opportunity otential to create a n furt er unit or Site for units it in t e student Further asset management opportunities rear car ark housing are as follows: to be developed ortunit to do nsi e S and su di ide t eir unit S ace to create a food Ta nk offer or od unit otential to El Su su di ide t e b Sta unit at lease ex ir El S ub Sta AD INE RO VALENT
Valentine LINCOLN Prime Retail Investment Opportunity ERV New lettings have been undertaken to Dreams, Harveys and Hobbycraft, which help to underpin the rental tone across the scheme, and provide evidence for uplifts for some of the other forthcoming reviews. Dreams took their 5,597 sq ft at a headline rent of £27.00 per sq ft in exchange for 12 months’ rent free. The Harveys letting is at £22.50 per sq ft, also with 12 months’ rent free. Hobbycraft are taking a 7,500 sq ft new build unit at £26.50 per sq ft. On the basis of these lettings, the AHF rent increased at the October 2016 review to a rent reflecting £21.00 per sq ft from £19.00 per sq ft. Following this, the DFS September 2016 review was settled at a rent reflecting £17.55 per sq ft, on increase from £15.00 per sq ft, demonstrating significant rental growth.
Valentine LINCOLN Prime Retail Investment Opportunity Tenants’ Covenants Valentine provides a secure income, with 75% of the rent attributable to tenants with 5A1 D&B rated covenants. The overall income weighted average unexpired lease term is over 6.4 years to break and 8.3 years to expiry. Lease Expiry Profile by Income D&B Rating by Income 7% 10% 10 Years + >4 Years 15% Other 75% 5A1 9% 4A1 47% 4-7 Years 36% 7-10 Years
British Land is one of Europe’s largest publicly listed real estate companies with £19 billion of retail, office and residential assets under management. Their properties cover 28.8 million sq ft and are home to 1,200 organisations. 64,000 people work across their Office Portfolio and 322 million visit their Retail Sites. Their Offices and Residential Portfolio is focused on London. They provide a range of working and living space across their campuses and distinctive standalone properties, which combine with retail and leisure to create attractive, well-located and well-managed environments. Their Retail & Leisure Portfolio is focused on large, retail-led, multi-let assets. They provide high quality retail alongside a growing leisure offer and best in class services to deliver environments for modern consumer lifestyles. Their strategy is focused on 2 types of retail destinations – Locals and Regionals. They are based on the different shopping missions of their customers and align with their retailers’ strategies. Whilst the assets are shopped differently, the basics of a high quality and engaging environment are consistent, and are essential to both of their success. People interact and visit their assets for many different reasons, reflecting modern consumer lifestyles, which are full of choices. Physical retail is an essential part of shopping for planned trips to experience led destinations, as well as convenient and accessible regular trips to centres at the heart of the local community British Land, through the redevelopment of Valentine, have created a ‘place people prefer’, with customer orientation being the main focus here. Being a local centre, it attracts a high frequency of local shoppers, Click & Collect usage and convenient leisure and grocery trips, due to its convenient and accessible location.
Valentine LINCOLN Environmental Report Prime Retail Investment Opportunity and Building Survey RPS have undertaken a Phase 1 Environmental Report for the property and Martin Bates Consultancy has undertaken a building survey. Both surveys are assignable to the purchaser and are available on request. Service Charge Contact The current service charge is low at £ 1.02 per sq ft. Ellie Kirkby Tim Bradford Further details are available on request. T: 020 7317 3790 T: 01522 518591 M: 07764 241898 M: 07788 587939 E: e.kirkby@wilkinsonwilliams.co.uk E: tim.bradford@bankslong.com EPC Paul Wilkinson T: 020 7317 3799 M: 07770 585313 EPC’s for the individual properties are available on E: p.wilkinson@wilkinsonwilliams.co.uk request. Wilkinson Williams Banks Long & Co Heathcoat House 26 Westgate Proposal 20 Savile Row London W1S 3PR Lincoln LN1 3BD www.wilkinsonwilliams.co.uk www.bankslong.com A price is sought of £46,300,000, reflecting an attractive net initial yield of 5.96%, after allowing for purchaser’s costs of 6.78%. A top up will be sought on settlement of the outstanding rent review. VAT The property is elected for VAT and we would expect the transaction to be treated as a Transfer of a Going Concern. MISREPRESENTATION NOTICE. Wilkinson Williams LLP and Banks Long & Co give notice to anyone who may read these particulars as follows: 1. These particulars are prepared for the guidance only of prospective purchasers. They are intended to give a fair overall description of the property but are not intended to constitute part of an offer or contract. 2. Any information contained herein (whether in the text, plans or photographs) is given in good faith but should not be relied upon as being a statement of representation or fact. 3. Nothing in these particulars shall be deemed to be a statement that the property is in good condition or otherwise nor that any services or facilities are in good working order. 4. The photographs appearing in this brochure show only certain parts of the property at the time when the photographs were taken. Certain aspects may have changed since the photographs were taken and it should not be assumed that the property remains precisely as displayed in the photographs. Furthermore, no assumptions should be made in respect of parts of the property which are not shown in the photographs. 5. Any areas, measurements or distances referred to herein are approximate only. 6. Where there is reference in the particulars to the fact that alterations have been carried out or that a particular use is made of any part of the property, this is not intended to be a statement that any necessary planning, building regulations or other consents have been obtained and these matters must be verified by an intending purchaser. 7. Descriptions of the property are inevitably subjective and the descriptions contained herein are given in good faith as an opinion and not by way of statement of fact. Plans are published for convenience of identification only and although believed to be correct, their accuracy is not guaranteed and they do not form part of any contract. March 2018. Designed and produced by Creativeworld Tel: 01282 858200
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