US Ecommerce by Category 2022 - Automotive and Grocery Poised for Significant Growth - eMarketer

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US Ecommerce by Category 2022 - Automotive and Grocery Poised for Significant Growth - eMarketer
MAR 2022
                                                                            Blake Droesch

US Ecommerce by
Category 2022
Automotive and Grocery Poised for Significant Growth

After two tumultuous years, we expect US ecommerce sales to grow 14.1% this year.
What’s driving ecommerce growth and the way certain products are bought online?
This eMarketer report reveals our outlook for US retail and ecommerce sales, which
ecommerce companies will come out on top, and the ecommerce categories expected
to grow the fastest in 2022.

                                                                        presented by
US Ecommerce by Category 2022 - Automotive and Grocery Poised for Significant Growth - eMarketer
Dear eMarketer Reader,

eMarketer is pleased to make this report, US Ecommerce by Category 2022:
Automotive and Grocery Poised for Significant Growth, available to our readers.

This report covers eMarketer’s outlook for US retail and ecommerce sales growth
through 2026, what share ecommerce will command of total US retail sales, the rate
at which certain ecommerce categories will grow, and more actionable insights for
marketers looking to improve their strategies.

We invite you to learn more about eMarketer’s approach to research and why
we are considered the industry standard by the world’s leading brands, media
companies, and agencies.

We thank you for your interest in our report, and we thank Goodway Group for
making it possible to offer this report to you today.

Best Regards,

 Nancy Taffera-Santos
Nancy Taffera-Santos
SVP, Media Solutions and Strategy, eMarketer

                                            eMarketer, Inc.             www.emarketer.com
                                            11 Times Square, Floor 14   nancyts@emarketer.com
                                            New York, NY 10036
US Ecommerce by Category 2022 - Automotive and Grocery Poised for Significant Growth - eMarketer
US Ecommerce by Category 2022: Automotive and Grocery Poised for
 Significant Growth
US retail and ecommerce sales growth will return to pre-pandemic levels in 2022. But shifts in consumer behavior
during the pandemic have changed the way certain products are bought online, particularly in the automotive and
grocery categories.

3 KEY QUESTIONS THIS REPORT WILL ANSWER
                                                               US Retail Ecommerce Sales Growth, by Category,
                                                               2022-2026
 1 What is the outlook for US retail and ecommerce sales
                                                               % change
   growth in 2022?
                                                                                                            2022       2023      2024       2025        2026
                                                               Auto and parts                               30.1%     22.7%     21.4%       19.6%      18.8%
 2 What share will ecommerce (and its categories)
                                                               Food and beverage                            20.7%     19.6%     17.2%       16.5%      16.3%
   command of total US retail sales?
                                                               Apparel and accessories                      15.4%     14.6%     14.5%       14.1%      13.4%
 3 Which ecommerce categories will grow the fastest            —Jewelry                                      6.8%     21.3%     18.2%       14.2%      11.6%
   in 2022?                                                    Health and personal care and beauty          15.1%     14.7%     14.4%       14.1%      13.9%
                                                               —Cosmetics and beauty                        19.6%     14.5%     14.3%       12.5%      12.2%
WHAT’S IN THIS REPORT? The US retail ecommerce                     —Fragrance                               19.4%     13.8%     13.2%       12.3%      11.9%
forecast for 2022, including our numbers on sales              —Pet products                                17.7%     13.4%     12.4%       12.0%      10.8%
growth and ecommerce’s share of overall sales for              Computer and consumer electronics            15.0%     14.1%     13.9%       13.2%      10.5%
product categories.                                            Office equipment and supplies                14.0%     13.6%     12.6%       10.2%        9.1%
                                                               Toys and hobby                               12.0%     11.4%     11.2%       11.0%      10.8%
                                                               Furniture and home furnishings               10.3%       9.3%      8.9%        8.6%       8.5%
                                                               Books/music/video                             8.4%       9.9%      8.3%        7.4%       7.3%
                                                               Other                                        -4.5%       4.1%      3.9%        3.7%       3.4%
                                                               Total                                        14.1% 13.8% 13.4% 12.9% 12.1%
                                                               Note: includes products or services ordered using the internet, regardless of the method of
                                                               payment or fulfillment; excludes travel and event tickets, payments such as bill pay, taxes or
                                                               money transfers, food services and drinking place sales, gambling and other vice goods sales
                                                               Source: eMarketer, Feb 2022
                                                               273109                                                        eMarketer | InsiderIntelligence.com

                                                               KEY STAT: Auto and parts, and food and beverage—two
                                                               categories with historically low levels of online purchases—
                                                               will be the fastest-growing product categories in ecommerce
                                                               this year.

                                                                Contents
                                                               3    US Ecommerce by Category 2022: Automotive and
                                                                    Grocery Poised for Significant Growth
                                                               4    Key Points
                                                               6    US Retail Overview
                                                               10 Categories Driving Ecommerce Growth
                                                               12 Spotlight on Key Categories
                                                               17 Editorial and Production Contributors

                                              PRESENTED BY:                     Copyright © 2022, Insider Intelligence Inc. All rights reserved.     Page 3
Key Points
■   US retail sales will return to pre-pandemic growth
    trends in 2022. After two unusual years, the annual
    rate of US ecommerce sales growth will return to the
    mid-teens, while non-ecommerce growth will remain in
    the low single digits.

■   Annual ecommerce sales will surpass $1 trillion for
    the first time in 2022. This year, it will make up 15.2%
    of total retail sales.

■   The pandemic will have a lasting impact on online
    shopping behavior in different product categories.
    Changes to consumer behaviors during the pandemic—
    including online car buying and digital grocery—will
    make auto and parts and food and beverage the
    fastest-growing ecommerce categories in 2022.

■   By 2025, more than half of sales will come from
    online in three new categories: apparel and
    accessories; office equipment and supplies;
    and toys and hobbies. They will join books, music,
    and video and computer and consumer electronics
    as the five categories where most sales come
    from ecommerce.

                                                  PRESENTED BY:   Copyright © 2022, Insider Intelligence Inc. All rights reserved.   Page 4
US Retail Snapshot 2022
US Retail Ecommerce vs. Non-Ecommerce Sales, 2020-2026
trillions and % change
                                                                                      $5.9                    $6.0                       $6.0                       $6.0
                                      $5.7                    $5.8

             $4.8
    32.4%

                                      18.5%
                           14.5%
                                                    14.1%                  13.8%                    13.4%                    12.9%                        $1.7

                                                                             $1.2                     $1.3
                                                                                                                               $1.5                      12.1%
     $0.8                    $0.9
                                                               1.3%                    1.3%                    1.2%
                                                     $1.0                                                                                 1.0%                       0.8%
0
          2020 -0.2%              2021                   2022                     2023                   2024                       2025                       2026
    Non-ecommerce sales                       Non-ecommerce % change                           Ecommerce sales                        Ecommerce % change

Notes: includes products or services ordered using the internet, regardless of the method of payment or fulfillment; excludes travel and event tickets, payments (such
as bill pay, taxes, or money transfers), food services and drinking place sales, gambling and other vice goods sales
Methodology: Estimates are based on the analysis of data from other research firms and government agencies, historical trends, reported and estimated revenues
from company reports, consumer online buying trends, and macro-level economic conditions.

Retail Ecommerce Sales Share in the US,                                                Top 10 Companies, ranked by Retail
by Product Category, 2020-2026                                                         Ecommerce Sales, 2022
% of total retail sales in each category                                               % of total retail ecommerce sales
 16.8%                               Total                                 83.2%                     Amazon                                                          39.5%

                       Ecommerce Dominant
                                                                                                    Walmart                  7.0%
 68.4%                   Books, music & video                              31.6%
 56.3%          Computer & consumer electronics                            43.7%                        Apple            4.2%

                       Ecommerce Advanced                                                                eBay            3.9%
 42.4%                         Toys & hobby                                57.6%
 39.9%              Office equipment & supplies                            60.2%                       Target          2.3%

 37.0%                  Apparel & accessories                              63.0%         The Home Depot               2.1%
 32.6%             Furniture & home furnishings                            67.4%
                                                                                                   Caravana          1.8%
                          Ecommerce Rising
 17.2%                  Health & personal care                             82.8%                    Best Buy         1.8%
      6.4%                  Food & beverage                                93.6%
                                                                                       Costco Wholesale              1.7%
     5.2%                      Auto & parts                                94.8%
    3.6%                            Other                                  96.4%                      Kroger         1.4%

    Ecommerce                 Brick-and-Mortar
i273256

                                                               PRESENTED BY:                             Copyright © 2022, Insider Intelligence Inc. All rights reserved.   Page 5
US Retail Overview                                                                                 US Retail Sales Growth, by Segment, 2020-2026
                                                                                                    % change
After two tumultuous years, retail growth will return to                                                32.4%

somewhat normal levels in 2022.

This year, total US retail sales will increase 3.0% year over
year (YoY), the same growth rate as before the pandemic in                                                             18.5%
2019. Ecommerce sales growth skyrocketed in 2020 due to                                                                    17.9%

the pandemic, while brick-and-mortar sales contracted for
                                                                                                                       14.5%       14.1%
the first time since the Great Recession. In 2021, ecommerce                                                                                     13.8%        13.4%         12.9%          12.1%
remained strong, but rebounding in-store sales outpaced
online growth. This resulted in total retail sales growing a                                            3.4%                               1.3% 3.2% 1.2% 3.2% 1.0% 3.2% 0.8% 3.1%
                                                                                                                               3.0%
strong 17.9% last year.                                                                                        -0.2%            1.3%
                                                                                                    0
                                                                                                         2020          2021        2022          2023         2024          2025           2026

US Total Retail Sales, 2020-2026                                                                        Retail ecommerce sales             Retail sales       Non-ecommerce sales

trillions and % change                                                                              Note: retail ecommerce sales includes products or services ordered using the internet,
                                                                                                    regardless of the method of payment or fulfillment; non-ecommerce sales excludes products
                                                                                    $7.702          or services ordered using the internet; all segments exclude travel and event tickets,
                                                                     $7.470
                                                        $7.239                                      payments such as bill pay, taxes or money transfers, food services and drinking place sales,
                                           $7.013                                                   gambling and other vice goods sales
                $6.597       $6.796
                                                                                                    Source: eMarketer, Feb 2022
                                                                                                    273090                                                        eMarketer | InsiderIntelligence.com
   $5.594

                                                                                                    Ecommerce
                                                                                                    For the first time ever, annual US ecommerce sales will
                 17.9%                                                                              surpass $1 trillion in 2022. This milestone would not have
   3.4%                         3.0%       3.2%
                                                                                                    been reached if it wasn’t for the massive spike in online sales
                                                         3.2%          3.2%          3.1%
                                                                                                    seen in 2020. Prior to the pandemic, we did not forecast US
    2020         2021         2022         2023          2024         2025           2026           ecommerce surpassing $1 trillion until 2024.
   Total retail sales       % change

Note: excludes travel and event tickets, payments such as bill pay, taxes or money transfers,
food services and drinking place sales, gambling and other vice goods sales
                                                                                                    US Retail Ecommerce Sales, 2020-2026
Source: eMarketer, Feb 2022                                                                         billions, % change, and % total retail sales
273088                                                        eMarketer | InsiderIntelligence.com
                                                                                                                                                                                      $1,688.51

                                                                                                                                                                       $1,506.26
US ecommerce sales will grow 14.1% in 2022. That annual
growth rate will remain in the low-to-mid teens over our                                                                                                  $1,334.15
                                                                                                                                             $1,176.50
forecast period, as it did in the years leading up to the
                                                                                                                               $1,033.83
pandemic. Similarly, non-ecommerce retail growth will return                                                       $906.11
to an annual growth rate of low single digits, increasing by                                            $791.70
1.3% in 2022.                                                                                           32.4%

                                                                                                                                                           18.4%         20.2%          21.9%
                                                                                                                    14.5%        15.2%        16.8%

                                                                                                        14.2%       13.7%        14.1%        13.8%        13.4%         12.9%           12.1%
                                                                                                         2020       2021         2022          2023         2024          2025           2026
                                                                                                        Retail ecommerce sales            % change         % total retail sales

                                                                                                    Note: includes products or services ordered using the internet, regardless of the method of
                                                                                                    payment or fulfillment; excludes travel and event tickets, payments such as bill pay, taxes or
                                                                                                    money transfers, food services and drinking place sales, gambling and other vice goods sales
                                                                                                    Source: eMarketer, Feb 2022
                                                                                                    273089                                                        eMarketer | InsiderIntelligence.com

                                                                             PRESENTED BY:                           Copyright © 2022, Insider Intelligence Inc. All rights reserved.     Page 6
Ecommerce will account for 15.2% of total retail in 2022.
The resurgence in brick-and-mortar sales caused ecommerce
to lose some sales share in 2021. But ecommerce’s share of
total retail sales will continue to rise going forward. By 2025,
ecommerce will make up more than 20% of all US retail sales.

When Excluding Automotive and Fuel Sales,
Ecommerce’s Share of Total Sales Is Much Higher
Automotive and fuel, which are sold mostly offline, make up a
very large percentage of overall retail sales. When excluding
the auto and parts category and the “other” category (which
includes auto fuel, as well as home improvement and building
materials), ecommerce would make up more than one-
quarter (25.3%) of total retail sales in 2022.

Mcommerce
This year, mcommerce will grow slightly faster than overall
ecommerce. Its share of ecommerce sales will surpass
40% for the first time in 2022.

Mcommerce sales increased significantly in 2020, but its
share of total ecommerce sales remained flat through 2020
and 2021.

US Mcommerce Sales, 2020-2026
billions, % change, and % of total US retail ecommerce
sales
                                                                                   $768.27

                                                                    $665.76

                                                       $571.02

                                          $489.42

39.4%                        $418.70
    41.4%       $357.01
                                                                    44.2%           45.5%
                              40.5%        41.6%        42.8%
                 39.4%
  $311.93

                 14.5%        17.3%        16.9%        16.7%         16.6%         15.4%

    2020         2021         2022          2023         2024         2025           2026
   Mcommerce sales             % change          % of total US retail ecommerce sales

Note: includes products or services ordered using the internet via mobile devices, regardless
of the method of payment or fulfillment; includes sales on tablets; excludes travel and event
tickets, payments such as bill pay, taxes or money transfers, food services and drinking place
sales, gambling and other vice goods sales
Source: eMarketer, Feb 2022
273409                                                        eMarketer | InsiderIntelligence.com

We expect mcommerce sales to continue outpacing overall
ecommerce and make up more than 45% of ecommerce
sales by 2026. The increased fluidity of conversion through
services like Apple Pay and Google Pay will aid future
mcommerce growth.

                                                                             PRESENTED BY:          Copyright © 2022, Insider Intelligence Inc. All rights reserved.   Page 7
Top Ecommerce Companies
Amazon continues to dominate and will increase its share of retail ecommerce sales to 39.5% in 2022, from 39.3% in 2021.
Walmart Inc. will remain a distant second. Walmart’s share of ecommerce sales will grow but at the expense of smaller players, and
not Amazon.

For a complete category breakdown of Amazon’s US ecommerce sales, look out for our upcoming report, “Amazon US Ecommerce Sales
by Category 2022.”

                                                 PRESENTED BY:                  Copyright © 2022, Insider Intelligence Inc. All rights reserved.   Page 8
What’s new for 2022:                                               US Retail Ecommerce Sales, by Category, 2022
                                                                   billions and % of total retail ecommerce sales
■   Apple will replace eBay as No. 3 in the ranking of US                                                         Retail ecommerce             % of total retail
    retail ecommerce sales by company. In 2017, eBay’s                                                                   sales                  ecommerce
                                                                                                                                                    sales
    ecommerce sales were nearly twice that of Walmart,
                                                                   Computer and consumer electronics                     $219.33                      21.2%
    placing it firmly in second place. But it has slipped in
                                                                   Apparel and accessories                               $203.75                      19.7%
    recent years, falling to the No. 3 slot in 2020, and will
                                                                   —Jewelry                                                  $9.16                      0.9%
    drop again to fourth in 2022. Apple, on the other hand,
                                                                   Furniture and home furnishings                        $129.45                      12.5%
    has performed very well during the pandemic, since             Health and personal care and beauty                   $111.03                      10.7%
    work-from-home and learn-from-home trends have                 —Pet products                                           $21.38                       2.1%
    fueled online sales in the computer and consumer               —Cosmetics and beauty                                   $18.60                       1.8%
    electronics category.                                              —Fragrance                                            $0.24                      0.0%
                                                                   Auto and parts                                          $86.26                       8.3%
■   Target cracks the top five. Several years of strong
                                                                   Food and beverage                                       $78.28                       7.6%
    ecommerce growth (including a 143.8% sales increase
                                                                   Toys and hobby                                          $74.03                       7.2%
    in 2020) has transformed the big-box retailer into an
                                                                   Books/music/video                                       $54.02                       5.2%
    ecommerce powerhouse. Target has risen quickly in the
                                                                   Office equipment and supplies                           $19.35                       1.9%
    rankings, from being tied for 10th place in 2019 to fifth      Other                                                   $58.32                       5.6%
    place this year.                                               Total                                               $1,033.83                    100.0%
                                                                   Note: includes products or services ordered using the internet, regardless of the method of
■   Carvana pulls into the No. 7 slot. The online used-car         payment or fulfillment; excludes travel and event tickets, payments such as bill pay, taxes or
                                                                   money transfers, food services and drinking place sales, gambling and other vice goods sales
    retailer had a very successful few years because of            Source: eMarketer, Feb 2022
    the pandemic and subsequent supply chain issues                273092                                                        eMarketer | InsiderIntelligence.com

    increasing demand for used cars. (See spotlight on the
    auto and parts category for more on Carvana.)                  Changes on the Horizon
                                                                   Furniture and home furnishings will be the third-largest
■   Qurate Retail Group will fall from the top 15 in
                                                                   category in US ecommerce sales this year, but two emerging
    2022. Last year, it was in a three-way tie with Etsy Inc.
                                                                   categories—auto and parts and health, personal care,
    and Lowe’s.
                                                                   and beauty—will grow much faster in the coming years.
                                                                   By 2026:
Ecommerce by Category
Together, the computer and consumer electronics and                ■        Health, personal care, and beauty will be the third-
apparel and accessories categories will make up more                        largest ecommerce category with 11.2% of total sales.
than 40% of all US ecommerce sales in 2022. They have
led US ecommerce sales since at least 2010, when we began          ■        Furniture and home furnishings will be tied for
tracking category ecommerce sales. They’ll also continue to                 fourth with auto and parts, each with 10.8% of
make up the largest pieces of the ecommerce pie through                     ecommerce sales.
2026, the end of our current forecast period.

                                                   PRESENTED BY:                    Copyright © 2022, Insider Intelligence Inc. All rights reserved.     Page 9
Categories Driving                                               ■        Health, personal care, and beauty (15.1% YoY
                                                                           growth): The pandemic increased online purchases
 Ecommerce Growth                                                          of everyday essentials, including hygiene products
                                                                           and toiletries. The same factors causing apparel
Auto and parts and food and beverage will be the                           ecommerce sales to spike—the resumption of weddings
fastest-growing ecommerce categories; both will see                        and other formal events—will also drive growth in the
double-digit growth but from a relatively small base.                      beauty sector.

Computers and consumer electronics and apparel
                                                                  US Retail Ecommerce Sales Growth, by Category,
and accessories—two categories that already generate              2022-2026
a large portion of sales through ecommerce but are still          % change
growing steadily—will be the largest contributors to overall                                                   2022       2023      2024       2025        2026
ecommerce sales growth, in terms of dollars.                      Auto and parts                               30.1%     22.7%     21.4%       19.6%      18.8%
                                                                  Food and beverage                            20.7%     19.6%     17.2%       16.5%      16.3%
                                                                  Apparel and accessories                      15.4%     14.6%     14.5%       14.1%      13.4%

Fastest-Growing                                                   —Jewelry                                      6.8%     21.3%     18.2%       14.2%      11.6%
                                                                  Health and personal care and beauty          15.1%     14.7%     14.4%       14.1%      13.9%
Ecommerce Categories                                              —Cosmetics and beauty                        19.6%     14.5%     14.3%       12.5%      12.2%
Despite overall retail returning to a more normal pace of             —Fragrance                               19.4%     13.8%     13.2%       12.3%      11.9%

growth this year, the pandemic will still have an impact on       —Pet products                                17.7%     13.4%     12.4%       12.0%      10.8%

certain product categories. Many of the factors driving           Computer and consumer electronics            15.0%     14.1%     13.9%       13.2%      10.5%

growth in 2022 in the four fastest-growing categories will be     Office equipment and supplies                14.0%     13.6%     12.6%       10.2%        9.1%

directly tied to the pandemic and its aftermath.                  Toys and hobby                               12.0%     11.4%     11.2%       11.0%      10.8%
                                                                  Furniture and home furnishings               10.3%       9.3%      8.9%        8.6%       8.5%

■   Auto and parts (30.1% YoY growth): Several                    Books/music/video                             8.4%       9.9%      8.3%        7.4%       7.3%
                                                                  Other                                        -4.5%       4.1%      3.9%        3.7%       3.4%
    pandemic-driven factors revved up demand for used
                                                                  Total                                        14.1% 13.8% 13.4% 12.9% 12.1%
    cars, which benefited auto ecommerce companies
                                                                  Note: includes products or services ordered using the internet, regardless of the method of
    like Carvana and Vroom. We expect sales from these            payment or fulfillment; excludes travel and event tickets, payments such as bill pay, taxes or
                                                                  money transfers, food services and drinking place sales, gambling and other vice goods sales
    companies to remain strong in 2022, bolstering sales          Source: eMarketer, Feb 2022
    growth in an ecommerce category with a comparatively          273109                                                        eMarketer | InsiderIntelligence.com

    underdeveloped ecommerce presence.
                                                                  The Largest Total Retail Sales Categories
■   Food and beverage (20.7% YoY growth): This                    Will See Big Ecommerce Growth
    category was growing swiftly from a low base prior to
    2020. But the pandemic was a huge accelerator of              Auto and parts, food and beverage, and health, personal
    digital-grocery adoption, which has driven online sales       care, and beauty make up more than half (51.9%) of total US
    of food and beverage. This change in behavior will stick      retail sales in 2022. They are the largest retail categories in
    post-pandemic, further driving ecommerce sales.               the US, excluding “other,” which is comprised largely of auto
                                                                  fuel, home improvement, and building material sales.
■   Apparel and accessories (15.4% YoY growth):
    Consumers slowly emerging from their pandemic-
    lockdown cocoons made apparel and accessories the
    fastest-growing ecommerce category in 2021. It will
    continue to be a high-growth category this year, as new
    coronavirus variants and resurging cases have further
    delayed many weddings and other formal events, as
    well as return-to-office plans.

                                                  PRESENTED BY:                    Copyright © 2022, Insider Intelligence Inc. All rights reserved.   Page 10
US Total Retail Sales, by Category, 2022                                                            US Retail Ecommerce Sales Penetration, by
billions and % of total retail sales                                                                Product Category, 2020-2026
                                                   Total retail sales              % of total       % of category retail sales
                                                                                  retail sales
                                                                                                                                 2020      2021     2022      2023      2024      2025       2026
Auto and parts                                         $1,658.78                      24.4%
                                                                                                    Books/music/video            63.1% 64.5% 68.4% 73.2% 77.2% 80.8% 84.5%
Food and beverage                                      $1,225.08                      18.0%
                                                                                                    Computer and consumer        49.7% 50.0% 56.3% 63.0% 70.4% 78.2% 84.8%
Health and personal care and beauty                      $645.53                        9.5%        electronics
—Cosmetics and beauty                                      $88.44                       1.3%        Toys and hobby               40.8% 39.0% 42.4% 45.9% 49.5% 53.3% 57.4%
    —Fragrance                                              $6.95                       0.1%        Office equipment and         34.9% 35.8% 39.8% 44.0% 48.2% 51.7% 54.9%
                                                                                                    supplies
—Pet products                                              $59.39                       0.9%
                                                                                                    Apparel and accessories      36.3% 32.9% 37.0% 41.0% 45.4% 50.1% 54.9%
Apparel and accessories                                  $550.67                        8.1%
                                                                                                    —Jewelry                      2.7%      3.0%     3.4%      3.8%      4.1%      4.5%       4.9%
—Jewelry                                                   $51.49                       0.8%
                                                                                                    Furniture and home           29.7% 30.1% 32.6% 34.6% 36.7% 38.8% 41.1%
Furniture and home furnishings                           $397.70                        5.9%        furnishings
Computer and consumer electronics                        $389.72                        5.7%        Health and personal care 14.9% 15.7% 17.2% 19.2% 21.3% 23.7% 26.2%
Toys and hobby                                           $174.69                        2.6%        and beauty

Books/music/video                                          $78.98                       1.2%        —Pet products                31.0% 33.1% 36.0% 39.0% 42.2% 45.7% 49.0%

Office equipment and supplies                              $48.59                       0.7%        —Cosmetics and beauty        18.5% 18.6% 21.0% 23.3% 25.9% 28.3% 30.8%

Other                                                  $1,625.76                      23.9%             —Fragrance               12.3% 18.2% 17.8% 21.0% 24.2% 27.0% 29.5%

Total                                                  $6,596.56                    100.0%          Food and beverage             5.3%      5.5%     6.4%      7.4%      8.5%      9.6% 10.8%
Note: excludes travel and event tickets, payments such as bill pay, taxes or money transfers,       Auto and parts                4.3%      4.1%     5.2%      6.2%      7.2%      8.4%       9.6%
food services and drinking place sales, gambling and other vice goods sales
Source: eMarketer, Feb 2022                                                                         Other                         4.8%      3.8%     3.6%      3.6%      3.6%      3.6%       3.6%
273064                                                        eMarketer | InsiderIntelligence.com   Total                        14.2% 13.7% 15.2% 16.8% 18.4% 20.2% 21.9%
                                                                                                    Note: includes products or services ordered using the internet, regardless of the method of
                                                                                                    payment or fulfillment; excludes travel and event tickets, payments such as bill pay, taxes or
The majority of sales in these categories occur offline, and                                        money transfers, food services and drinking place sales, gambling and other vice goods sales
that won’t change anytime soon. But ecommerce sales are                                             Source: eMarketer, Feb 2022
                                                                                                    273110                                                        eMarketer | InsiderIntelligence.com
growing fast. Given the size of these sectors, they have
the potential to become major sales generators in the
ecommerce space, even if a smaller share of their total
                                                                                                    Categories with Strong Online Sales Poised
sales occur online when compared with other categories.                                             for Growth
                                                                                                    Computer and consumer electronics and apparel and
                                                                                                    accessories sit in a sweet spot of ecommerce sales,
Ecommerce Share of Total Sales                                                                      already constituting a high share of overall sales, while
by Category                                                                                         still seeing steady ecommerce growth.

Ecommerce accounts for more than 50% of total sales in                                              These two categories will contribute the most growth to
two categories:                                                                                     overall ecommerce sales in terms of dollar figures in 2022.
                                                                                                    Combined, they will be responsible for more than 43% of the
■        Books, music, and video became the first category to                                       new sales dollars coming into ecommerce this year.
         cross this threshold in 2019.

■        Computers and consumer electronics saw                                                     Ecommerce Will Account for at Least Half of
         ecommerce sales hit 50.0% of total sales in 2021. In                                       All Sales in Three Other Categories by 2025
         2022, that share will increase to 56.3%—growing faster                                     ■        Ecommerce sales as a share of total sales for apparel
         than any other category this year.                                                                  and accessories will increase from 37.0% this year to
                                                                                                             50.1% in 2025.

                                                                                                    ■        Two smaller retail categories—toys and hobby and
                                                                                                             office equipment and supplies—will surpass 50.0%
                                                                                                             in 2025.

                                                                             PRESENTED BY:                           Copyright © 2022, Insider Intelligence Inc. All rights reserved.    Page 11
Spotlight on Key Categories                                       US Auto and Parts Retail Ecommerce Sales,
                                                                   2020-2026
Below is a closer look at the fastest-growing                      billions, % change, and % of category retail sales
                                                                                                                                                      $182.48
categories in ecommerce this year, as well as two new
forecast breakouts.                                                                                                                    $153.64

                                                                                                                          $128.47

Auto and Parts                                                                                               $105.81

                                                                                                $86.26
In 2022, auto and parts ecommerce sales will grow                                  $66.31
more than 30%, making it the fifth-largest category in                $56.29                     30.1%
                                                                                                              22.7%        21.4%
US ecommerce sales.                                                    20.0%       17.8%                                                 19.6%         18.8%

                                                                       4.3%          4.1%         5.2%         6.2%         7.2%
The pandemic has had a wide-ranging impact on the                                                                                        8.4%           9.6%
automotive industry, with several factors playing into the rise        2020         2021         2022         2023          2024         2025           2026
of ecommerce sales:                                                   Auto and parts retail ecommerce sales
                                                                      % change     % of category retail sales
■   In 2020, auto dealerships made up for lost foot traffic        Note: includes products or services ordered using the internet, regardless of the method of
                                                                   payment or fulfillment; excludes travel and event tickets, payments such as bill pay, taxes or
    by moving sales operations online. This helped some            money transfers, food services and drinking place sales, gambling and other vice goods sales
                                                                   Source: eMarketer, Feb 2022
    regional dealerships stay afloat during the early stages       273066                                                        eMarketer | InsiderIntelligence.com
    of the pandemic.
                                                                   Despite the rise in ecommerce sales, the overwhelming
■   Many urban dwellers became less reliant on public
                                                                   majority of car-buying will still be conducted offline.
    transportation or left cities all together, increasing
                                                                   But, given the sheer size of the automotive market,
    demand for both new and used cars. At the same
                                                                   companies like Carvana have the potential to become
    time, supply chain disruptions and semiconductor chip
                                                                   even bigger online players, even as the share of auto and
    shortages slowed the production of new cars.
                                                                   parts purchased online remains in the high-single/low-
■   This increased demand for used cars, which was a boon          double digits.
    for digitally native companies like Carvana and Vroom.
                                                                   A Closer Look at Carvana
■   In 2021, the release of pent-up demand led to a surge in
    new vehicle sales and drove up the price of used cars.         Carvana’s US ecommerce sales more than doubled in
                                                                   2021 and will grow another 50.0% this year. It will be the
Most of this category’s ecommerce sales previously came            seventh-largest company in terms of US ecommerce sales.
from car accessories and parts, but the rise of online car         The company’s sales will exceed those of major players in
buying has created an entirely new outlook for growth              categories with mature ecommerce sales levels, like Best
potential moving forward.                                          Buy, Wayfair, and Macy’s.

                                                   PRESENTED BY:                    Copyright © 2022, Insider Intelligence Inc. All rights reserved.   Page 12
US Carvana Retail Ecommerce Sales, 2018-2022                                                       ■        Restaurant delivery services like DoorDash and
millions and % change                                                                                       Uber Eats expanding into grocery, pharmacy, and
                                                                                $19,106.1                   convenience store delivery.
    127.7%                                                  128.0%
                                                                                                   ■        The rise of quick commerce startups like Gopuff and
                      101.5%                                                                                Gorillas that use micro-fulfillment centers to deliver
                                                           $12,737.4                                        food and beverage items in a little as 15 minutes.

                                                                                                   US Food and Beverage Retail Ecommerce Sales,
                                                                                                   2020-2026
                                   41.8%                                          50.0%            billions, % change, and % of category retail sales
                      $3,939.9          $5,586.6
                                                                                                                                                                                      $148.73
                                                                                                       99.0%
    $1,955.5
                                                                                                                                                                       $127.86

     2018               2019               2020               2021                 2022                                                                   $109.72
    Carvana retail ecommerce sales             % change                                                                                      $93.62
Note: rRepresents the gross value of products or services sold on Carvana.com (browser or                                       $78.28
app), regardless of the method of payment or fulfillment; excludes travel and event tickets
Source: eMarketer, Feb 2022                                                                                        $64.85
                                                                                                       $59.69
273070                                                       eMarketer | InsiderIntelligence.com

                                                                                                                                 20.7%        19.6%        17.2%        16.5%          16.3%
This year, Carvana will account for more than 22% of                                                                  8.7%

US ecommerce sales in the auto and parts category.                                                                                                                                     10.8%
                                                                                                                                 6.4%          7.4%         8.5%         9.6%
We expect online sales in the category will more than                                                   5.3%        5.5%
                                                                                                        2020        2021         2022         2023         2024          2025           2026
double between 2022 and 2026, giving Carvana significant
                                                                                                       Food and beverage retail ecommerce sales
potential to climb the list of the top ecommerce companies.                                            % change    % of category retail sales
                                                                                                   Note: includes products or services ordered using the internet, regardless of the method of
But Carvana could face some headwinds as demand                                                    payment or fulfillment; excludes travel and event tickets, payments such as bill pay, taxes or
                                                                                                   money transfers, food services and drinking place sales, gambling and other vice goods sales
for used cars cools off. Sales growth in Q4 in 2021 was                                            Source: eMarketer, Feb 2022
tapered compared with earlier in the year, although sales                                          273065                                                        eMarketer | InsiderIntelligence.com

were still up 57% versus Q4 2020. Carvana will also face
competition from online competitors like Vroom, as well                                            Food and beverage is the second-largest category when
as traditional used-car dealers like CarMax, which are                                             measured by total retail sales. Like auto and parts, it
generating more sales online.                                                                      won’t require significant ecommerce category penetration
                                                                                                   to become a legitimate ecommerce player. However,
                                                                                                   ecommerce’s share of total sales in the category won’t
                                                                                                   exceed 8.8% through 2026.
Food and Beverage
Food and beverage ecommerce sales nearly doubled YoY in
                                                                                                   For further insights into online food and beverage sales, read
2020 thanks to the pandemic-driven adoption of new digital
                                                                                                   our September 2021 report, “US Digital Grocery Forecast
grocery buying habits. Such large gains caused growth to
                                                                                                   2021: Defining the Key Players and Trends in a Rapidly
taper off in 2021, but double-digit growth will resume in                                          Evolving Market.”
2022 and continue through 2026.

Sales growth is coming from several different sectors of this
rapidly evolving market:
                                                                                                   New Category Breakout: Jewelry
                                                                                                   (Subset of Apparel and Accessories)
■        Continued investments in digital grocery and same-day
                                                                                                   Online jewelry sales contracted during the first year of the
         delivery infrastructure from leading players Walmart,
                                                                                                   pandemic, but nearly doubled in 2021.
         Amazon, and Kroger.

■        Third-party delivery services like Instacart, Target’s
                                                                                                   ■        Lower gold prices, a rise in disposable income, and an
         Shipt, and Walmart’s GoLocal that partner with                                                     ongoing wedding boom drove significant growth in
         traditional grocers to facilitate digital sales.                                                   jewelry sales.

                                                                            PRESENTED BY:                           Copyright © 2022, Insider Intelligence Inc. All rights reserved.    Page 13
■        Growth will be tempered in 2022 but will hit double                                        US Fragrance Retail Ecommerce Sales, 2020-2026
         digits in 2023 through 2026.                                                               billions, % change, and % of category retail sales
                                                                                                                    72.9%                                                                $0.38

US Jewelry Retail Ecommerce Sales, 2020-2026                                                                                                                              $0.34
billions, % change, and % of category retail sales                                                                                                          $0.30
                                                                                    $16.76                                                     $0.27
                  88.6%                                                                                                           $0.24
                                                                      $15.01
                                                                                                                    $0.20
                                                        $13.14

                                            $11.12
                                                                                                        $0.11
                               $9.16                                                                                                           13.8%        13.2%
                  $8.58                                                                                                                                                   12.3%          11.9%
                                                                                                      0.9%                        19.4%
                                                                                                        2.7%         3.0%         3.4%          3.8%         4.1%
                                                                      27.0%         29.5%
     $4.55                                              24.2%                                                                                                              4.5%          4.9%
                                17.8%       21.3%
                  18.2%                                                                                 2020         2021         2022         2023          2024          2025          2026
    12.3%
                                            21.0%       18.2%                                          Fragrance retail ecommerce sales            % change         % of category retail sales
                                                                      14.2%         11.6%
      2020
0                              6.8%                                                                 Note: includes products or services ordered using the internet, regardless of the method of
                  2021         2022         2023         2024          2025          2026           payment or fulfillment; excludes travel and event tickets, payments such as bill pay, taxes or
                                                                                                    money transfers, food services and drinking place sales, gambling and other vice goods sales
     -6.6%                                                                                          Source: eMarketer, Feb 2022
    Jewelry retail ecommerce sales            % change         % of category retail sales           273068                                                        eMarketer | InsiderIntelligence.com

Note: includes products or services ordered using the internet, regardless of the method of
payment or fulfillment; excludes travel and event tickets, payments such as bill pay, taxes or      Sales are growing, but fragrance doesn’t look ripe for
money transfers, food services and drinking place sales, gambling and other vice goods sales
Source: eMarketer, Feb 2022                                                                         major ecommerce disruption anytime soon. It is only a
273067                                                        eMarketer | InsiderIntelligence.com
                                                                                                    small fraction of online cosmetic and beauty sales (1.3%
                                                                                                    in 2022). That larger category will grow faster than the
The jewelry industry will see a significant shift toward
                                                                                                    fragrance subset between 2022 and 2026. Only 3.4% of
ecommerce in the coming years. By 2025, more than
                                                                                                    fragrance sales dollars will be generated online in 2022, and
one-quarter of jewelry sales will occur online.
                                                                                                    online sales will account for less than 5% of total sales in the
                                                                                                    category through 2025.

New Category Breakout: Fragrance
(Subset of Beauty and Cosmetics)
Similar to jewelry, online fragrance sales spiked in 2021,
after seeing little growth the year prior. Growth in the overall
beauty and cosmetics category was aided by the resumption
of social activities.

                                                                             PRESENTED BY:                           Copyright © 2022, Insider Intelligence Inc. All rights reserved.    Page 14
How ecommerce brands can find success with multichannel marketing

This sponsored article was contributed by Goodway Group.

                 Adam Herman
                 Senior Vice President, Business            While social media remains a viable advertising
                 Development and Strategy                   channel option for ecommerce brands, a YouGov
                 Goodway Group                              study found that 46% of consumers still find print
                                                            and television advertising to be trustworthy, while
                                                            only 19% think social media advertising is reliable.
Let’s face it, the consumer shopping journey is             With differing opinions among consumers,
very fragmented. In a study conducted by GWI,               multichannel marketing allows you to capture the
people research products they’re looking for                attention of more people based on their preferred
across multiple mediums, including search engines           method of media consumption.
(52%), social media (43%), and customer reviews             In multichannel marketing, consistency is key. By
(37%). Since consumers have access to multiple              delivering a similar strategy and branding across
avenues for product discovery, it can be difficult for      each channel, ecommerce companies can curate a
marketers to understand consumer behaviors and              cohesive experience that promotes brand recall and
meet them at the times when they’re most likely to          customer loyalty. As you iterate on your strategy, it’s
make a purchase.                                            important to remember that not every audience is the
Ecommerce brands need a full-funnel view of their           same, and each channel has its purpose within the
customers during this buying journey to enable smarter      purchase funnel. You might use display ads for brand
digital media strategies and better, more personalized      awareness and turn to Instagram’s shopping ads to
experiences. Since consumer shopping data is so             reach consumers who are in the consideration phase of
fragmented, brands need to buy into more channels           making a purchase. Although each of these channels
just to capture the consumer’s attention again.             serves a different purpose or reaches a distinct type
                                                            of consumer, they all come together for a common end
Using a multichannel marketing strategy, you can            goal: to drive more purchases.
create a seamless, continuous experience for your
target consumers, leading to brand recognition,
and ultimately building trust among your audience.
According to SAS, multichannel customers spend              By delivering a similar strategy
three to four times more than single-channel
customers. Ecommerce is a rapidly growing industry,         and branding across each
and as the pandemic continues, consumers are
continuing to go online to purchase items that they
                                                            channel, ecommerce companies
previously bought in-store. This includes categories        can curate a cohesive experience
like food and beverage, and auto and parts, as shown
in this eMarketer report.                                   that promotes brand recall and
When deciding on a multichannel approach, the sky’s
the limit. Although some users are skeptical of social
                                                            customer loyalty.
media advertising, it is still becoming a huge asset to
multichannel strategies as we see an increase in user-      Learn six steps to build a smarter ecommerce strategy,
generated content and growth in social media app            grow your brand presence, and deliver a strong ROI by
usage—especially TikTok. According to GWI research,         downloading our ecommerce advertising playbook or
the number of users who log into TikTok daily has           registering for a consultation.
increased by 54%.

                                            PRESENTED BY:            Copyright © 2022, Insider Intelligence Inc. All rights reserved.   Page 15
Connecting You and Your
    Audience in a Digital World

     Client-Centric     Performance            Bespoke
Digital Media Strategy Measurement and   Data and Technology
    and Execution          Insights         Engagements

                   goodwaygroup.com
Editorial and
Production Contributors
Anam Baig           Director, Report Editing
Rahul Chadha        Director, Report Editing
Jason Clinkscales   Senior Report Editor
Matthew Corkins     Copy Editor
Justin DeVoursney   Graphic Designer
Joanne DiCamillo    Senior Production Artist
Magenta Fox         Senior Chart Editor
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Katie Hamblin       Director, Charts
Dana Hill           Director, Production
Erika Huber         Line Editor
Ann Marie Kerwin    Vice President, Content
Na Li               Senior Data Research Manager
Penelope Lin        Senior Copy Editor
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Stephanie Meyer     Product Specialist
Heather Price       Senior Director, Managing Editor
Amanda Silvestri    Senior Copy Editor
Julia Woolever      Senior Report Editor
Ali Young           Senior Copy Editor

                                           PRESENTED BY:   Copyright © 2022, Insider Intelligence Inc. All rights reserved.   Page 17
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