US divestitures quarterly update - Q2 2020 - Deloitte

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US divestitures quarterly update - Q2 2020 - Deloitte
US divestitures
quarterly update
Q2 2020
Divestiture trends

         Overall trends

The impact of COVID-19 on divestiture activity has been apparent through Q2 2020,
following relatively stable levels in Q1 2020. Uncertainty surrounding the epidemic
has slowed M&A activity as a whole, with the number of transactions falling from
over 2,200 in Q1 2020 to about 1,500 this past quarter. As expected, divestiture
activity has followed suit, reaching 10-year lows in volume and value. As
                                                                                                   In this update
a percentage of total M&A, Q2 2020 divestitures have seen a slight uptick as a                     •   Divestiture trends
percentage of total volume, rising to 21 percent compared to 18 percent at the same                •   Economic outlook
time last year. Divestiture size distribution has made a shift to smaller deal activity as         •   Divestiture transactions
corporations focus on non-core asset carve-outs. This quarter has witnessed a jump                 •   Industry analysis
in the ratio of technology and consumer products transactions, reflecting the overall
                                                                                                   •   Select M&A transactions
sector trends that have picked up during COVID-19. Overall, divestiture activity has
followed macroeconomic trends and is anticipated to increase as companies shore                    •   Appendix
up their business portfolios and strategic direction becomes a bit clearer.
                                                                                                   This update will focus on news
                                                                                                   and trends in the following
         Global activity                                                                           areas:
                                                                                                   • US divestiture volume, value and
While acquirors of divested US businesses continue to be predominantly based in the                  reported multiples
US, COVID-19 has significantly impacted the number of completed deals, as                          • US divestitures by buyer type
evidenced by the 21 percent drop in total year-over-year transactions from Q2 2019                 • US divestitures by industry
to Q2 2020. Canada and the UK remained the most active acquiror countries by
                                                                                                   • Cross-border activity
volume, however, both experienced a meaningful decrease in deals
on a year-over-year basis.
Europe, as a whole, saw a 46 percent decrease in activity over the same time frame                 Who we are
in 2019. The rest of Europe also saw a significant decline in year-over-year deal                  Deloitte Corporate Finance LLC is a
volume. China’s activity continues to slow, closing no deals in Q2 2020 off a quarterly            leading global middle market M&A
high of five deals in Q3 2018. Japan and South Korea, on the other hand, experienced               adviser. Our professionals have
a slight increase in completed deals from Q1 2020, with both closing two in Q2 2020.               extensive knowledge across sectors
                                                                                                   and use their experience to help
                                                                                                   clients create and act upon
                                     In the news                                                   opportunities for liquidity, growth,
                                                                                                   and long-term advantages.
 April 2020 – Shares of Victoria’s Secret parent company L Brands cratered after
 Bloomberg reported that private equity firm Sycamore Partners was looking to
 abandon its planned acquisition of a majority stake in Victoria’s Secret. In                      Contacts
 February, the two firms announced that Sycamore would spend $525 million to
 acquire a 55 percent stake in the company, valuing the lingerie maker at $1.1                     Will Frame
 billion. L Brands planned to refocus the company on its Bath and Body Works                       Managing Director
 brand after the failed divestiture.2                                                              Deloitte Corporate Finance LLC
                                                                                                   wframe@deloitte.com
 May 2020 – Melody Investment Advisors (Melody), an alternative asset manager                      +1 (312) 486-4458
 focused on communications infrastructure, announced the acquisition of 90
 percent of Uniti Towers, the wireless tower business of real estate investment                    Tony Blanchard
 trust Uniti Group Inc. (Uniti). Uniti’s divestiture is expected to enhance Melody’s               Managing Director
 position as a leading owner and operator of wireless infrastructure assets.3                      Deloitte Corporate Finance LLC
                                                                                                   anblanchard@deloitte.com
 June 2020 – After the mega-merger of Harris Corporation and L3 Technologies in                    +1 (312) 486-1640
 2019, the combined $17 billion company, L3Harris had set out to ambitiously
 divest 8-10 percent of it’s total business. Having completed $500 million in
 revenue divestment in 2019 and the sales of L3Harris Technologies’ security
 detection and automation business, the company announced it was halting any
 further immediate activity.4

                                                                                             Quarterly Update | Q2 2020 | US Divestitures   2
Macroeconomic outlook

     US gross domestic product ($ in trillions) 1                                                                              US treasury yield curve (nominal vs. real) 2

                 $25.0                                                      15.0%                                                            2.5%
                                                                                                                                             2.0%
                 $20.0                                                      10.0%
                                                                                                                                             1.5%

                                                                                          YoY Percent Change
                                                                                                                                             1.0%

                                                                                                                      Interest Rate
                 $15.0                                                      5.0%
$ in Trillions

                                                                                                                                             0.5%
                 $10.0                                                      0.0%
                                                                                                                                             0.0%

                  $5.0                                                      (5.0%)                                                          (0.5%)
                                                                                                                                            (1.0%)
                  $0.0                                                      (10.0%)                                                         (1.5%)

                         GDP ($ in Trillions)       YoY % Growth (Adj. for Inflation)                                                                   Real Yield (%)         Nominal Yield (%)

     US unemployment rate (percent unemployed) 3                                                                               ISM non-manufacturing index and consumer confidence index 4

                 10.0%                                                      2,200                                                            145.0                                                 70.0
                                                                            2,000
                  9.0%                                                                                                                       135.0                                                 65.0
                                                                                        Jobless Claims (Thousands)

                                                                            1,800

                                                                                                                                                                                                          ISM Non-Manufacturing
                                                                                                                      Consumer Confidence

                  8.0%                                                      1,600                                                            125.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                   60.0
% Unemployed

                  7.0%                                                      1,400
                                                                                                                                             115.0
                                                                            1,200                                                                                                                  55.0
                  6.0%                                                      1,000                                                            105.0
                  5.0%                                                      800                                                                                                                    50.0
                                                                                                                                              95.0
                                                                            600
                  4.0%                                                                                                                        85.0                                                 45.0
                                                                            400
                  3.0%                                                      200
                                                                                                                                              75.0                                                 40.0

                         Initial Jobless Claims         Unemployment Rate (%)                                                                        Consumer Confidence          ISM Non-Manufacturing

     US corporate cash stockpiles of nonfinancial companies 5                                                                  S&P 500 debt/EBITDA level 6

                  $2.5                                                                                                                      5.5x

                  $2.0                                                                                                                      5.0x
                                                                                                                     Total Debt/EBITDA
$ in Trillions

                  $1.5                                                                                                                      4.5x

                  $1.0                                                                                                                      4.0x

                  $0.5                                                                                                                      3.5x

                  $0.0                                                                                                                      3.0x

                                           Cash and liquid investments

                                                                                                                                                        Quarterly Update | Q2 2020 | US Divestitures                   3
US historical divestiture transaction volumes1
                          600     556                                                                                                                     30%
                                                                                                         511
                                            481
                          500                                                            441                            454                               25%
                                                                        417

                                                                                                                                                                Percent of total US M&A
                                                         401
Number of transactions

                          400                                                                                                                             20%
                                                                                                                                             328

                          300                                                                                                                             15%

                          200                                                                                                                             10%

                          100                                                                                                                             5%

                            0                                                                                                                             0%
                                Q3 2018   Q4 2018      Q1 2019         Q2 2019         Q3 2019        Q4 2019          Q1 2020              Q2 2020
                                                     Number of Transactions             Divestitures Percent of Total M&A

US historical disclosed divestiture transactions value2
                                 $113
                         $120

                         $100
                                                                                          $73
                         $80               $67
$ in billions

                                                                                                         $58
                         $60

                         $40                                             $27
                                                         $13                                                                $11
                         $20
                                                                                                                                               $2
                          $0
                                Q3 2018   Q4 2018      Q1 2019         Q2 2019         Q3 2019         Q4 2019         Q1 2020               Q2 2020
                                                                       Value of Transactions

US historical disclosed divestiture transactions by size3
                         100%                              3%
                                  9%         5%                                                                7%                 10%
                                                                          11%                  12%
                         90%
                                            14%            21%                                                                    10%
                                                                                                               17%                                  33%
                         80%      23%                                     17%                  19%
                         70%                19%            7%
                                                                                               4%              17%                24%
Percent in size range

                                  3%
                                                           14%            17%                  4%
                         60%      14%
                                            14%                                                                10%
                         50%                                              11%

                         40%
                                                                                                                                                    67%
                         30%                                                                   62%                                57%
                                  51%                      55%
                                            49%                                                                50%
                         20%                                              44%

                         10%

                          0%
                                Q3 2018    Q4 2018       Q1 2019         Q2 2019          Q3 2019         Q4 2019            Q1 2020            Q2 2020

                                            $5,000

                                                                                                        Quarterly Update | Q2 2020 | US Divestitures                               4
US historical disclosed divestiture transaction multiples1
Sample size
                                                23            17                 18                11               9                    7               5               3
                              100%
                                                9%            6%                11%                9%
                               90%              4%                                                                 22%                                  20%
                                                                                 6%                                                     29%                            33%
                               80%                                                                 18%
Percent in multiple range

                                                              35%
                               70%           30%                                                                                                        20%
                                                                                33%                                22%
                               60%
                                                                                                   36%                                  29%
                               50%                                                                                                                      20%            33%
                               40%                            35%                                                  33%
                                             43%                                28%
                               30%                                                                                                      29%             20%
                               20%                                                                 27%
                                                                                                                   11%                                                 33%
                               10%                            24%               22%                                                                     20%
                                             13%                                                   9%              11%                  14%
                                0%
                                            LTM              LTM                LTM                LTM              LTM              LTM               LTM             LTM
                                           Q3 2018          Q4 2018            Q1 2019            Q2 2019          Q3 2019         Q4 2019            Q1 2020         Q2 2020
                                                                         25x

US historical divestiture transactions by buyer type2
                              100%
                                            11%              15%                15%               14%             12%                   11%             14%            12%
Percentage of buyer type

                               80%                                                                                                      24%
                                            26%              25%                20%               25%             25%                                   26%            25%
                               60%

                               40%
                                            63%              60%                65%               61%             63%                   65%             60%            63%
                               20%

                                0%
                                           Q3 2018          Q4 2018        Q1 2019              Q2 2019          Q3 2019            Q4 2019           Q1 2020         Q2 2020
                                                                      Domestic Strategic              Private Equity              Foreign Strategic

US historical divestiture transactions by industry3
         Q2 2019                                                                                           Q2 2020
                                             1%                                                                                          3%
                                                     3%                                                                                  4%
                                                4%           14%                                                                                      14%
                                                                                                                                   7%
                                           6%
                                                                                                                            7%
                                     11%                              13%                                                                                       13%
                                                      417                                                                  7%                 328
                                     12%                                                                                    9%
                                                                      12%                                                                                     13%

                                                12%                                                                                  12%
                                                            12%                                                                                   12%

                            Industrials                            Media and Entertainment                   Industrials                              Energy and Power
                            Energy and Power                       Financials                                High Technology                          Healthcare
                            High Technology                        Healthcare                                Consumer Products and Services           Financials
                            Consumer Products and Services         Consumer Staples                          Consumer Staples                         Media and Entertainment
                            Materials                              Retail                                    Retail                                   Materials
                            Telecommunications                                                               Telecommunications

                                                                                                                                Quarterly Update | Q2 2020 | US Divestitures    5
Most active acquiror countries by region1

Top countries            Total                 Percent change over                              Percent change over
                         transactions          Q2 2020                                          Q2 2019

Americas                         280                              (24.9%)                                           (21.1%)
 United States                   262           (27%)                                                          (21%)
 Canada                          14                                                       8%                             (13%)

 Other                            2                                               0%              (33%)

Europe                               18                           (47.1%)                                             (45.5%)
 United Kingdom                       7                (56%)
 France                               3                               (25%)                                    (40%)
 Netherlands                          2                          (33%)                                    (50%)

 Germany                              1         (67%)

 Italy                                1                  (50%)                                            (50%)

 Other                                4                          (33%)                           (71%)

Asia                                 10                           25.0%                                               11.1%
 Singapore                            2                          0%                                                                    100%

 China                                0        (100%)
                                                                                                                          0%

 India                                0        (100%)
                                                                                                   (100%)

 Japan                                2                                100%                                                            100%

 South Korea                          2                                100%                                               0%

 Other                                4                                                300%                 (33%)

Rest of world                         1                           (50.0%)                                             (66.7%)
Undisclosed acquiror                 21

Select large US divestitures2
Announced date    Target/Ultimate parent        Acquiror                      Business description                               Enterprise
                                                                                                                                 value (EV)
May-20           Uniti Group Inc. - Wireless    Melody Investment              Uniti is engaged in the acquisition and           $244.4
                 Tower                          Advisors                       construction of mission critical
                  Uniti Group Inc.                                             communications infrastructure.

Jun-20            The James New York            GFI Capital Resources          The James New York Hotel operates as a            $181.2
                  Hotel                         Group                          hotel in New York.
                  Thor Equities LLC

Jun-20            Webtoon Ent Inc.              Webtoon Ent KoreaCo            WEBTOON Entertainment Inc. provides               $178.6
                                                Ltd.                           web-based comics services.
                  Naver Corp.

Jun-20            Eos Energy Storage LLC        B Riley Principal Merger II Eos Energy Storage LLC develops and                  $290.0
                                                                            manufactures energy storage solutions.
                  Holtec International Corp.

                                                                                        Quarterly Update | Q2 2020 | US Divestitures          6
A demonstrated approach to divestitures

    Key preparation streams                          Enhance impact of financials

                                                  • Standalone financials accurately capture business results and can
                                                    stand up to buyer diligence
                                                  • Focus on areas that may drive value include:
                                                         - Pro forma normalized results examined by Deloitte
                                                            Transaction Services team
                                                         - Potential areas for buyer synergies based on intel from
                                                            Deloitte network
              Build the story                           - Supportable and well thought out growth story
              Pre-empt issues
              Minimize risk
                                                     Positioning the company

                                                  • Develop tailored positioning and highlight specific insights
                                                  • Create optimized presentation of information
                                                  • Identify and assist to resolve potential issues early

                                                     Enhanced value at favorable terms
“When it comes to M&A, no one rivals Deloitte’s
infrastructure, commitment, expertise, or         • Customized deal positioning for each buyer leveraging global Deloitte
representation                                      network to access key decisionmakers
                                                  • Bespoke process to create competition while providing sense
CEO, Emerson Electric
                                                    of opportunity
                                                  • Prepare client to negotiate from a position of strength
                                                  • Gain agreement on key contract terms prior to granting exclusivity

                                                     Certainty of close

                                                  • Proactively address transaction risks before they turn into
                                                    “buyer issues”
                                                  • Leverage Deloitte’s tax and accounting advisors to understand
                                                    potential deal structure options
                                                  • Evaluate trade-offs between value and complexity, including
                                                    transition services agreements
                                                  • Utilize deep buyer knowledge to engage serious bidders with limited
                                                    re-trading risks
                                                  • Commitment of senior resources throughout the entire sale process

                                                                            Quarterly Update | Q2 2020 | US Divestitures    7
Sources cited

Page 2:
1.   Thomson ONE. https://www.thomsonone.com, accessed September 9, 2020. Data as of June 30, 2020.
2.   Business Insider. “Victoria’s Secret parent L Brands plummets 27% after Sycamore tried to back out of acquiring majority stake”.
     https://www.businessinsider.in/stock-market/news/victorias-secret-parent-l-brands-plummets-27-after-sycamore-tries-to-back-
     out-of-acquiring-majority-stake/articleshow/75304392.cms, accessed September 3, 2020.
3.   PR Newswire. “Melody Investment Advisors Acquires Wireless Towers from Uniti”.
     https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/melody-investment-advisors-acquires-wireless-towers-from-uniti-301056993.html,
     accessed September 3, 2020.
4.   Defense News. “Year two post merger, L3Harris look toward $1B more in divestitures.”
     https://www.defensenews.com/industry/2020/06/11/year-two-post-merger-l3harris-looks-toward-1b-more-in-divestitures/,
     accessed September 3, 2020
Page 3:
1.   US Bureau of Economic Analysis. https://www.bea.gov/, accessed April 15, 2020. Data as of June 30, 2020.
2.   US Department of the Treasury. https://home.treasury.gov/, accessed April 15, 2020. Data as of June 30, 2020.
3.   US Bureau of Labor Statistics. https://www.bls.gov/, accessed April 15, 2020. Data as of June 30, 2020.
4.   S&P Capital IQ. https://www.capitaliq.com/, accessed April 15, 2020. Data as of June 30, 2020.
5.   Moody’s Investors Services Inc. https://www.moodys.com/, accessed April 7, 2020. Data as of June 30, 2020.
6.   S&P Capital IQ. https://www.capitaliq.com/, accessed September 3, 2020. Data as of June 30, 2020.
Page 4:

1.   Thomson ONE. https://www.thomsonone.com, accessed September 3, 2020. Data as of June 30, 2020.
     Undisclosed refers to transactions with enterprise values that were not made known or public.
2.   Thomson ONE. https://www.thomsonone.com, accessed September 3, 2020. Data as of June 30, 2020.
3.   Thomson ONE. https://www.thomsonone.com, accessed September 3, 2020. Data as of June 30, 2020.
Page 5:

1.   Thomson ONE. https://www.thomsonone.com, accessed September 3, 2020. Data as of June 30, 2020.
     Multiple of reported earnings.

2.   Thomson ONE. https://www.thomsonone.com, accessed September 3, 2020. Data as of June 30, 2020.

3.   Thomson ONE. https://www.thomsonone.com, accessed September 3, 2020. Data as of June 30, 2020.

Page 6:

1.   Thomson ONE. https://www.thomsonone.com, accessed September 3, 2020. Data as of June 30, 2020.

2.   Thomson ONE. https://www.thomsonone.com, accessed September 3, 2020. Data as of June 30, 2020.

Additional Note: All transaction data excludes government, government agency, and real estate company activity.

                                                                                       Quarterly Update | Q2 2020 | US Divestitures     8
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DCF provides deal execution and lead financial advisory services to large corporate, middle market, private equity and venture capital firms.
DCF and its affiliates maintain a presence in key US financial centers.
For additional information or to find out more about how DCF can assist the deal initiation and execution process, please contact one of
our DCF executives.

              Business & Financial Services                       Life Sciences & Healthcare                         Technology, Media, & Telecom
              Phil Colaco – Global CEO                            Simon Gisby                                        Byron Nelson
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              Office: Charlotte, NC                               Office: Charlotte, NC                              Office: Los Angeles, CA
              +1 704 731 8230                                     +1 704 731 7219                                    +1 213 593 4545
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              Office: Charlotte, NC                               Office: New York, NY                               John Deering
              +1 704 697 5972                                     +1 212 436 6326                                    Office: Charlotte, NC
              cparides@deloitte.com                               ndelany@deloitte.com                               +1 704 333 0574
                                                                                                                     jdeering@deloitte.com

              Consumer & Retail                                   General Industrials                                Max Hughes
              Lorin DeMordaunt                                    Will Frame                                         Office: Dallas, TX
              Office: Charlotte, NC                               Office: Chicago, IL                                +1 214 840 1558
              +1 704 333 0591                                     +1 312 486 4458                                    maxhughes@deloitte.com
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                                                                                                                     ESOP Corporate Finance
              Matt Preece                                         Eric Andreozzi                                     Lou Paone
              Office: Charlotte, NC                               Office: Charlotte, NC                              Office: Charlotte, NC
              +1 704 731 7186                                     +1 704 333 0518                                    +1 704 731 7202
              mpreece@deloitte.com                                eandreozzi@deloitte.com                            lpaone@deloitte.com

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              Office: Charlotte, NC                               Office: Chicago, IL                                Office: Charlotte, NC
              +1 704 333 0495                                     +1 313 396 3738                                    +1 704 887 1648
              rdineen@deloitte.com                                anblanchard@deloitte.com                           stblaser@deloitte.com

              Nick Hansell                                        Bill Kerkam                                        Financial Sponsors
              Office: Charlotte, NC                               Office: Charlotte, NC                              Jamie Lewin
              +1 704 731 8203                                     +1 980 312 3613                                    Office: Dallas, TX
              nhansell@deloitte.com                               wkerkam@deloitte.com                               +1 214 840 7057
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              keadams@deloitte.com                                                                                   evkarev@deloitte.com

              Head of Western Region                                                                                 Head of Southwest Coverage
              Garett Poston                                                                                          Tom Spivey
              Office: Los Angeles, CA                                                                                Office: Dallas, TX
              +1 213 593 4544                                                                                        +1 214 840 7014
              gposton@deloitte.com                                                                                   tspivey@deloitte.com

www.investmentbanking.deloitte.com                                                              Quarterly Update | Q2 2020 | US Divestitures        9
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