Unequal Impact of COVID-19: Emergency Neoliberalism, and Welfare Policy in Canada
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Critical Studies 15 (2020) 22-39 Unequal Impact of COVID-19 Unequal Impact of COVID-19: Emergency Neoliberalism, and Welfare Policy in Canada Toba Bryant, Faculty of Health Sciences, Ontario Tech University Scott Aquanno, Faculty of Social Sciences and Humanities, Ontario Tech University Dennis Raphael, School of Health Policy and Management, York University KEY WORDS: COVID-19, NEOLIBERALISM, WELFARE STATES, HEALTH This paper examines Canada’s liberal welfare state in relation to the COVID-19 pandemic. It argues that contrary to claims that the pandemic is affecting both rich and poor equally, its impact is both gendered, racialized and class-related. It thereby exacerbates existing social and health inequalities. Responsible for much of this is Canada’s welfare state that reproduces established patterns of power that create systemic social and health inequalities. In addition, the responses of the Canadian liberal welfare state to the COVID-19 pandemic make explicit its underdeveloped nature and its difficulties in responding to social and health inequalities. This paper shows how the political foundation and organizational logic of the liberal welfare state promotes and reinforces existing inequalities. Similarly, its responses to the pandemic reflect crisis management that meets immediate urgencies but does little to provide long-term economic and social security to citizens. INTRODUCTION June 9, 2020 represents the beginning of Week 11 of Canadian efforts to prevent the spread of COVID-19 virus. Although it has become fashionable to declare that the virus ‘does not discriminate,’ it has exacerbated systemic inequalities, making the already vulnerable even more so. This has occurred despite historic expansion of governmental support aimed at replacing incomes from the private market. The differential effects of the pandemic on those of different classes, races, and genders reflects the undeveloped nature of Canadian welfare state policies. This paper examines Canada’s liberal welfare state in relation to the COVID-19 pandemic. It places the pandemic within established patterns of power among various Canadian sectors, and shows how the political basis and organizational logic of Canada’s economic and political systems work to promote and reinforce unequal health outcomes. Welfare States as Forms of Institutionalized Power The welfare state in wealthy nations was initially developed to provide income and other supports to the population during periods of unemployment, inability to work, and retirement (Briggs, 1961). This served to stabilize and legitimate capitalist economics as it both supported mass consumption and blunted some of the worst effects of capitalist economic competition and technological change. It did so through measures regulating business activity and providing social 22
Critical Studies 15 (2020) 22-39 Unequal Impact of COVID-19 citizenship 1 rights. In this way, national welfare states should be considered emergent state institutional formations that reflect in part the agency and relative power of progressive social forces and working-class political organizations (Coates, 2005; Maher & Aquanno, 2018). These developments in some instances have been motivated by the capitalist class’ goals of self- preservation in that severely adverse living and working conditions can lead to rebellion. These formations are nonetheless bounded by the deeper generative forces of capitalist social control, including historically evolved patterns of class domination. As a result, they respond to changing objective conditions, organizations of class power and competitive economic conditions, but move forward through path dependent institutional compromises that, while always themselves crisis prone, help regulate choices by mediating political possibility. For example, Canadian governments have long resisted implementing a national childcare program, preferring to consider the raising of children as a family matter, usually foisted upon women. They do so although the objective reality of most families is that the stay-at-home mother caring for children era is long past (Friendly, 2016). These compromises have taken different forms such that structural, institutional and agential configurations have produced at least three different forms of the welfare state in wealthy nations: Social Democratic, Liberal, and Conservative (Esping-Andersen, 1990). These welfare state types differ in how they manage stratification 2 and decommodification 3, and offer different roles to the state, market, and family in providing economic and social security. The Social Democratic form provides a strong state role in providing economic and social security to its members while the Liberal welfare state leaves these issues to the vagaries of the capitalist market economy. The Conservative form occupies the middle ground. Social democratic welfare states (e.g., Denmark, Finland, Norway, and Sweden) provide comprehensive cradle-to-grave support to citizens through state provision of universal benefits and greater emphasis on state provision of goods and services, and reducing commodification of services such as childcare, pensions, and employment training. They derive resources to support their welfare programs from their more progressive tax systems. Their marginal tax rates come on- stream much sooner than in most welfare regimes. In addition, their generally stronger labour sector and high collective agreement coverage among workers minimizes job stratification such that income inequality rates are the lowest among the welfare state types (Bryant, 2020). All of these processes evolved under governance by Social Democratic parties of the left. Spurred by the ideological inspiration of equality, the result is considerably less stratification, greater decommodification of supports and services, and a stronger state role in the provision of economic and social security, than seen elsewhere (Bryant, 2020). Some social democratic regimes have reduced social and health spending in response to neoliberalism and globalization pressures, but 1 Social citizenship consists of social, political and civil rights (Patrick, 2016). The emphasis is on social security together with participation rights, including access to resources that help individuals feel able to participate in the community and society in which they reside. 2 Stratification refers to institutionalized differences amongst society members and is usually defined in terms of wealth, income, education and power and influence (Scott, 2014). Stratification is both a cause and result of the ability of specific classes and other groups to shape public policy to meet their needs. 3 Decommodification refers to a situation in which citizens are less dependent on their incomes to obtain particular goods which are provided by the State, such as public health care, pensions, and childcare amongst others (Esping- Andersen, 1990). 23
Critical Studies 15 (2020) 22-39 Unequal Impact of COVID-19 these reductions have tended to be not as deep as those seen in liberal regimes such as Canada and USA. Conservative welfare states (e.g. Belgium, France, Germany and Netherlands) provide generous benefits, but usually provide these through social insurance plans associated with employment rank, with primary emphasis on male wage earners (Esping-Andersen, 2015). 4 Christian Democratic parties have dominated their political and social history in which traditional Catholic Church concerns with supporting citizens blended with traditional approaches towards maintaining status differences and adherence to authority. These tendencies are sometimes reflected in corporatist approaches (e.g. Germany) where business interests are an important influence, or in statist approaches (e.g. France) in which the state has a primary role in providing economic and social security to the population. Though union strength is lower than in social democratic regimes, collective agreement coverage is very high, reflecting the Conservative ideological inspiration of solidarity (Saint-Arnaud, 2003; Gautié, 2010). Liberal welfare states (e.g. Canadian, US, Ireland, Australia, and UK) are underdeveloped, providing modest, targeted benefits when the economic market fails to meet citizens’ most basic needs (Saint-Arnaud, 2003; Bryant, 2020). Their political and social history is one of dominance by pro-business Liberal political parties (the term here refers to an ideological orientation, not an actual party name) that favour programs that increase the vulnerability of social locations with less power and influence (Raphael, 2015). Consequently, these systems tend to have a smaller state role, relying on market mechanisms to deliver goods and services, income and other support programs. These programs target those who are considered most destitute and most deserving of support, and aim to meet only immediate needs. There is no commitment to reducing long-term insecurity or inequality. At the same time, labour in these countries is weak, and the scarcity of collective employment agreements leads to a greater proportion of the workforce being low paid than seen in other welfare states. Not surprisingly, work is also more likely to be precarious, income and wealth inequalities are greater, and poverty rates higher than seen in social democratic and conservative welfare states (Bryant, 2020). In addition, all liberal welfare states, with the exception of United Kingdom, are federal states. As a political institution that divides authority between two or more levels of government, federalism introduces barriers that make some policy choices easier to achieve than others (Banting, 2002). Institutions of federalism foster distrust of government and increase the number of veto points that can delay, undermine, or defeat action. Indeed such diffusion of policy-making authority seems to be inversely related to social spending as a proportion of GDP, a key indicator of welfare state development (Banting, 2002). This feature alone does not explain low social expenditures. In particular, it does not consider how class and political struggle interact with the dynamics of the economic and political system. Yet by shaping how political power is configured and making it more difficult to organize multi-racial class coalitions, federalism allows corporations to consolidate power, and results in social and economic advantage for some and disadvantage for many others (Raphael, 2015). 4 Some researchers have added a fourth form of the welfare state, the Latin (e.g. Greece, Italy, Spain and Portugal) (Bambra, Reibling, & McNamara, 2019). These are under-developed family-oriented versions of the Conservative welfare state that generally provide more supports to citizens than Liberal welfare states. These nations have experienced financial crises related to the imposition of austerity policies and tax avoidance that threaten their welfare state. 24
Critical Studies 15 (2020) 22-39 Unequal Impact of COVID-19 Given these institutional divisions, and the different forms of market control they engender, it is easy to miss that with the neoliberal phase of capitalism all “national and regional states have become more active – not less – in orienting their administrative capacities and policies toward… facilitating the internationalization of capital” (Albo, 2018: 10). In social democratic and conservative countries, these practices have significantly eroded social solidarity, limiting the reach and effectiveness of important welfare programs and institutions (Lodemel & Moreira 2014; Mau, 2015). Institutional restructuring has arguably been even more pronounced in liberal regimes. Though aggregate public social spending has increased substantially as a percentage of GDP across most liberal countries during the neoliberal period, especially after the financial crisis of 2008, this growth has remained slower than in social democratic and conservative countries, and in fact hides important changes in program design (Evans, 2018). Liberal regimes stand out for having introduced punitive work activation strategies, whereby recipients must accept mandatory work or job search conditions to receive out of work benefits. Such conditions have disproportionally affected vulnerable workers. In addition, they have implemented “a growing mixed economy of welfare finance and provision,” based around the development of “internal markets into the delivery of welfare services,” expanded focus on public-private partnership, as well as policies “privatizing the cost” of welfare benefits (Deeming, 2017: 414). All of these factors have further increased economic and social insecurity, “reinforcing existing forms of social inequality in the English-speaking nations, compared to Nordic and continental European welfare states” (Deeming, 2017: 414; Toth 2014). In Canada, these interactions have widened economic and social vulnerability for women, racialized populations, those with less education and persons unable to work due to having a disability (Banting & Kymlicka, 2006; O’Connor et al., 1999; Bentley, 2018). Subsequently, the gendering and racialization of working conditions have been especially tied to neoliberal restructuring in Canada, making the race and gender social locations of workers increasingly fundamental to stratification and exploitation (Galabuzi, 2018). Market forces, the State, family, and economic sectors intersect and interact with gender and race and other vulnerable social locations (Findlay, 2018). The State regulates the labour market and hence working conditions that lead to exploitation and occupational segregation of women and racialized populations in precarious and low-paid work as seen in the long-term care and meat processing sectors (Findlay, 2018). These activities support capital accumulation and related processes that structure the types of employment and living conditions experienced by women and other economically marginalized populations. Neoliberalism devalues the labour performed by these groups. Welfare in Crisis It is against this system of institutionalized power and economic organization that we must understand the uneven effects of the COIVD-19 pandemic. Vulnerable populations are more likely to be impacted by the virus due to the way they are underserved and excluded from welfare provision (Toronto Public Health, 2020; Schwan, 2020; Rocha, 2020). At the same time, these communities are most likely to have precarious, low paid employment without benefits. They have thus been more willing to take on more work during the public health crisis. Moreover, social distancing measures (that are even more difficult to implement due to housing and other constraints), and other health policies have closed these workers off to important community services and connections, and led to disproportionately high rates of job loss and hours worked. According to one study, workers earning less than $15 an hour experienced a 52% drop 25
Critical Studies 15 (2020) 22-39 Unequal Impact of COVID-19 in weekly hours worked during the first three months of the health emergency, compared to a 6.3% drop for those earning more than $40 (Winsa, 2020). It is clear that most socially and economically marginalized communities experience this public health crisis as a syndemic – “a co-occurring, synergistic pandemic that interacts with and exacerbates their existing NCDs and social conditions” (Bambra et al., 2020:2). The COVID-19 pandemic is a syndemic in which a public health crisis occurs against conditions of social and economic inequalities in non-communicable diseases (NCDs), and inequalities in access to social determinants of health (Bambra, 2020). A syndemic occurs when risk factors or comorbidities interconnect, interact and increase. These interactions reinforce the disease burden and amplify its negative impacts. Research to date shows that visible minority populations, those living in material deprivation, poverty and others who are socially and economically marginalized such as homeless population, prisoners among others, have an increased likelihood of a number of comorbidities. These comorbidities coupled with poor social conditions intensify the severity and mortality of COVID-19 (Rocha, 2020). These interactions of risk and exposure have been especially acute in the case of meat plant workers, many of whom are immigrants, refugees, and temporary foreign workers. Though their working conditions make it “impossible to practice social distancing”, they have been encouraged to show up for work and are not provided personal protective equipment (PPE) (Keung, 2020; Dryden, 2020; Frangou, 2020). Other workers facing heightened health risk associated with their day-to-day contacts with others, and fitting this same racial profile are grocery store stockers and cashiers, cleaners, custodians, and care workers. Ironically, while their work is now considered essential, it has long been undervalued and thus precarious and low-paid. The situation of long-term care homes also makes explicit the fault lines in Canada’s liberal welfare system. Approximately four-fifths of Canadian cases and deaths from COVID-19 have occurred in long-term care facilities across Canada (Brean, 2020; Comas-Herrera, 2020). Indeed, Canada has had the highest mortality rate from COVID-19 in its long-term care sector among OECD member-countries. The spread and effects of COVID-19 in long-term care facilities, especially in Ontario and Quebec where conditions have been particularly egregious, have exposed an appalling lack of concern with the well-being of those who live in the long-term care sector. It has also highlighted the exploitative working arrangements sustaining these businesses and their ability to generate high profit rates (Pederson, Mancini & Commons, 2020). At the governance level, what has been particularly striking is the lack of oversight regarding safety, cleanliness, and provision of adequate care to residents by the provincial governments (Pedersen & Mancini, 2020). As one example, shortly after its election in Ontario in June 2018, the Conservative government discontinued routine inspections of nursing homes, launching investigations only when so-called “critical incidences” occurred. According to one report, only nine of 626 homes in Ontario received resident quality inspections in 2019 (Pedersen, Mancini & Commons, 2020). That the state is now effectively taking these organizations under public ownership, socializing the costs of addressing these problems while leaving past profits untouched, shows that it can be done. But state intervention is driven by public health and other crises. These programs are consistent with the crisis management of neoliberalism that seem unique to liberal welfare state regimes. Governmental Responses: Emergency Neoliberalism and Reinforcing Liberal Policy In stark contrast to the usual Canadian public policy approach to providing economic and social security to Canadians, the federal and provincial governments have recently implemented a rash of generous support programs and expedited the usual onerous reporting and form filling required 26
Critical Studies 15 (2020) 22-39 Unequal Impact of COVID-19 to access funds. Even aspects of the workplace are being shifted with the federal government announcing plans to introduce ten days of paid sick leave for all workers across the country. The most important of these new initiatives are: • Employment Insurance (EI) Sickness Benefits: The government expanded the Employment Insurance sickness benefits by waiving temporarily the one-week waiting period and the need for a medical certificate (Government of Canada, 2020). These changes will enable individuals who contract COVID-19 or are in ordered self-isolation, or caring for someone in self-isolation, to be eligible for these benefits. Eligibility also requires that recipients have worked 600 hours during the previous year in order to receive this benefit. • Canada Emergency Response Benefit (CERB) provides $2,000 for four weeks or $500 weekly payments to employed and self-employed residents directly affected by COVID- 19 (Government of Canada, 2020). This benefit targets those who are not working for reasons related to the pandemic, or who are eligible to receive EI regular or sick benefits, or have exhausted their EI regular benefits or EI fishing benefits between December 29, 2019 and October 3, 2020. The federal government recently extended the CERB from 16 weeks to 24 weeks. • Canada Emergency Care Benefit: This is a taxable benefit of $2,000 to be paid out every four weeks for a period of up to 16 weeks to eligible workers who lost their income as a result of COVID-19 (Government of Canada, 2020). The program was created to provide EI sickness benefits to workers who have been laid off, whose incomes have been disrupted, and/or employer sick leave is not available to them as a result of the pandemic. This benefit is also available to workers caring for sick family or children. Recipients receive a weekly payment of $450 for up to 15 weeks. • Temporary wage top-up for low-income essential workers: The federal government offered to provide a maximum of $3 billion in federal support to augment the wages of low-income essential workers (Government of Canada, 2020). The provincial and territorial governments have or are in the process of confirming plans to cost-share wage increases for their essential workers (Government of Canada, 2020). The provinces and territories will also decide which workers will be eligible for this support and how much they will receive. • Canada Child Benefit: The federal government will provide up to an additional $300 per child through the Canada Child Benefit (Government of Canada, 2020). These additional funds will only be available in 2019-2020 fiscal year. There is no indication that this additional sum will continue beyond 2020. • Canada Emergency Student Benefit (CESB): This monthly benefit will be paid to post- secondary students. The program will pay out $1,250 or $2,000 per month per eligible student with dependents or disabilities. This, too, is a time-limited benefit to be paid only from May through August 2020. The federal government also committed to a national paid sick leave program at an estimated cost of $19-billion (Meyer, 2020). Like the other programs developed in response to the pandemic, the federal government will offer a ten paid sick days related to the pandemic for workers. Only workers who do not currently have paid sick leave will be eligible for this program. Few Canadian politicians seem to recognize the value of a permanent paid sick leave program for all workers. As a result, there is considerable variation among the provinces and territories in the number of sick days workers have (Andrew-Amofah, 2020). Few Canadian workers have paid sick days unless they are provided in a collective agreement, or they work in the health and social services, or 27
Critical Studies 15 (2020) 22-39 Unequal Impact of COVID-19 education sectors. Paid sick days and paid sick leave can support safe re-opening of the economy, protect workers, and reduce the likelihood of new outbreaks. In effect, these policies represent an extension of welfare programming and make explicit the deficiencies of the Canadian liberal welfare state. At the same time, they help illuminate the possibilities of a post-pandemic welfare state that meets the needs of all Canadians. Yet, it is unlikely that any of these programs will provoke meaningful institutional change or spur the development of new policies designed to extend program coverage to deal with systemic inequalities. Instead, they should be viewed as part of the crisis dynamics of neoliberalism within liberal economies. As we have seen, neoliberal “modes of administration and policy practices are market expanding” - they aim at supervising economic and social instabilities to deepen market rationalities (Albo, 2018: 6,10). This form of governance has therefore also required temporary bursts of state regulation and spending to manage periods of instability and prevent them from unravelling the system. These aim to provide additional momentary time-limited support to those impacted by unforeseen economic shocks. Viewing the development of Canada’s welfare regime through this understanding of emergency neoliberalism sheds light on the current extension of state responsibility. If these support programs acknowledge the scope of the crisis, they do nothing to address wider patterns of income, housing and food insecurity or build new programs to alleviate structural power imbalances within labour markets. This all makes the present extension of social rights consistent with the general ethos of liberal welfare states to provide only temporary support. It also sets up a return to pre-crisis patterns once the health crisis abates. That this has been the initial trajectory of events should come as no surprise given the wider political dynamics that have in the past been necessary for even marginal extensions in welfare rights. The period after the Second World War, that saw the creation of the main programs of the Canadian welfare state – Unemployment Insurance, the Canada Pension Plan, and Medicare – was shaped above all by the growing political power of industrial unions and other social movement forces (Hallstrom, 2016; Teeple, 2000). In addition, the Co-operative Commonwealth Federation, a party of the political left, seemed to help shift the governing Liberal Party towards social reform. This climate of political and class struggle was key to fostering a more cooperative brand of federalism, whereby different levels of government shared program costs, and provided the essential conditions for a highly redistributive tax system (Hallstrom, 2016). Postwar politics favoured redistribution, making Canada more equitable (Banting, 2013). Canada’s liberal welfare state, however, has always provided modest benefits. Banting and Corbett attribute this tendency to Liberal state reluctance to emphasize social rights over market rights. Hence, the welfare state targets the immediate needs of those who can demonstrate that they are destitute. Indeed, in the early years of the Canadian welfare state, some characterized it as a hybrid social model (Banting, 2013). The Canadian welfare state developed primarily liberal with some social–democratic features, such as its health care system. Since the mid-1990s, however, Canadian governments have drifted away from redistributive policies (Banting, 2013; Heisz, 2016; Bryant, 2020). Canada and other liberal welfare states seem especially susceptible to the imperatives of economic globalization and neoliberalism, and hence austerity public policies. The commitment to these forces is consistent with the liberal welfare state emphases on the market, capital accumulation and economic growth. These conditions portend poor prospects for transforming the Canadian liberal welfare state towards greater redistribution in a post- COVID-19 world. Shifting the Canadian welfare states to be more redistributive will require 28
Critical Studies 15 (2020) 22-39 Unequal Impact of COVID-19 coalition building among social movements, and educating and mobilizing the Canadian public on the social determinants of health and how a larger state role can ensure a more equitable society for all Canadians. CONCLUSION The pandemic has served to expose the profound weaknesses of the Canadian welfare state. It has become increasingly clear that the very workers who now ensure the operations of grocery stores, and provide medications and care for the elderly, among other important work, deserve job security, a living wage, access to affordable housing, and free public transit. One would hope that the income programs created to support Canadian households and businesses for the duration of the pandemic and efforts towards improved care management at long-term care facilities would become permanent features and serve as the basis for broader restructuring. Yet such outcomes seem far-reaching and not at all attuned to the trajectory of neoliberal restructuring and the arc of current state policy especially in liberal welfare states. This pathway is not set in stone, but any progressive transformation of Canada’s liberal welfare model will require immense social struggle. Relying on the goodwill of neoliberal politicians and the type of action from above characteristic of current interventions will no doubt lead to disappointing results. In this sense the explosive protests against police violence and the carceral state that are now spreading across North America and Europe provide an encouraging sign, especially as these are connected to neoliberal austerity and systemic forms of discrimination and demand a different kind of state. The participants in these demonstrations reject the dominant narrative of restoring the status quo that they see as perpetuating social and economic inequalities, misogyny and racism, subsets of capitalism. The likely alternative, if these forms of political agitation fail to push forward actionable programs of change, is a return to the uneven, discriminatory, and exploitive practices underpinning the many-sided inequalities revealed by the crisis. REFERENCES Albo, G. (2018) Divided Province: Democracy and the Politics of State Restructuring in Ontario. In G. Albo and B. Evans (Eds.), Divided Province: Ontario in the Age of Neoliberalism (pp. 3-39). Montreal: McGill-Queens Univesity Press. Albo, G. & Fast, T. (2003). Varieties of Neoliberalism: Trajectories of Workfare in the Advanced Capitalist Countries. Paper presented at the Annual Meetings of the Canadian Political Science Association Congress of the Humanities and Social Sciences, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia 30 May. Available at: https://www.yorku.ca/albo/docs/2003/workfare_learnedsC.pdf Albo, G. (2018). Divided province: Democracy and the politics of state restructuring in Ontario. In G. Albo & B. M. Evans (Eds.), Divided province: Ontario politics in the age of neoliberalism (pp. 3-39). Montreal & Kingston: McGill-Queen's University Press. Andrew-Amofah, B., & MacEwan, A. (2020). Explainer: Implementing paid sick days and paid sick leave. Retrieved from Ottawa: https://www.broadbentinstitute.ca/explainer_implementing_paid_sick_days_and_paid_si ck_leave 29
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