Uncertainty in the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Air Quality in Hong Kong, China - MDPI
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atmosphere Communication Uncertainty in the Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Air Quality in Hong Kong, China Yuhan Huang 1, * , John L. Zhou 1 , Yang Yu 1, * , Wai-chuen Mok 1 , Casey F.C. Lee 2 and Yat-shing Yam 2 1 Centre for Green Technology, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Technology Sydney, Sydney, NSW 2007, Australia; junliang.zhou@uts.edu.au (J.L.Z.); wcmok888@hotmail.com (W.-c.M.) 2 Environmental Protection Department, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region Government, Hong Kong, China; caseylee@epd.gov.hk (C.F.C.L.); y_s_yam@epd.gov.hk (Y.-s.Y.) * Correspondence: yuhan.huang@uts.edu.au (Y.H.); yang.yu@uts.edu.au (Y.Y.); Tel.: +61-(0)-415-040-942 (Y.H.); +61-(0)-431-809-539 (Y.Y.) Received: 20 July 2020; Accepted: 24 August 2020; Published: 27 August 2020 Abstract: Strict social distancing rules are being implemented to stop the spread of COVID-19 pandemic in many cities globally, causing a sudden and extreme change in the transport activities. This offers a unique opportunity to assess the effect of anthropogenic activities on air quality and provides a valuable reference to the policymakers in developing air quality control measures and projecting their effectiveness. In this study, we evaluated the effect of the COVID-19 lockdown on the roadside and ambient air quality in Hong Kong, China, by comparing the air quality monitoring data collected in January–April 2020 with those in 2017–2019. The results showed that the roadside and ambient NO2 , PM10 , PM2.5 , CO and SO2 were generally reduced in 2020 when comparing with the historical data in 2017–2019, while O3 was increased. However, the reductions during COVID-19 period (i.e., February–April) were not always higher than that during pre-COVID-19 period (i.e., January). In addition, there were large seasonal variations in the monthly mean pollutant concentrations in every year. This study implies that one air pollution control measure may not generate obvious immediate improvements in the air quality monitoring data and its effectiveness should be evaluated carefully to eliminate the effect of seasonal variations. Keywords: COVID-19; traffic disruption; roadside and ambient air quality; criteria pollutants 1. Introduction The COVID-19 pandemic is spreading rapidly worldwide since its first outbreak in Wuhan, China in December 2019 [1,2]. By 12 August 2020, it has spread to 216 countries, areas or territories, causing 20 million infections and 737,000 deaths [3]. The pandemic has greatly affected nearly every aspect of human society, such as public health, economy, social activities, politics and the environment. Since the disease spreads primarily from person to person through small droplets from the nose or mouth with close contact (e.g., within 1 m) [4], strict social distancing rules have been implemented to stop the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, such as working from home, reduced capacity of restaurants and shops, closure of borders, and limits on large public gatherings. As a result, many countries or cities have entered into various levels of lockdown shortly after when local transmissions were found. These lockdowns have greatly reduced the human activities such as road transport, civil aviation and navigation. Among them, road transport is the most affected sector. Road transport is a major source of air pollution in urban areas [5–7] and has a severe adverse effect on the public health due to its close proximity to the people [8,9]. Thus, it is widely perceived that the pandemic lockdowns would help mitigate the air pollution problem. Although such environmental benefits are not expected to Atmosphere 2020, 11, 914; doi:10.3390/atmos11090914 www.mdpi.com/journal/atmosphere
Atmosphere 2020, 11, 914 2 of 9 be long lasting [10], it offers a unique opportunity to assess how a sudden and extreme change in human activities could affect the air pollution problem, which provides very useful information to the policymakers on developing air pollution control measures and projecting their effectiveness [11]. As a global megacity, Hong Kong has been facing serious air pollution problem for many years and great efforts have been devoted to the control of mobile emissions. However, it is often found difficult to confirm the air quality improvements due to different emission control programs [12]. Brimblecombe and Ning [12] and Brimblecombe [13] investigated the effect of road blockages during the 2014 and 2019 street protests on air quality in Hong Kong by using roadside air quality monitoring stations located near the protest sites. It was found that the improvement on air quality was not always obvious due to seasonal variations in meteorological conditions and synoptic transport of pollutants. Since the protests were mostly taken place at designated places, the analysis was only performed in the nearby roadside air quality stations but not in a wider area. It is worth mentioning that the ground level air pollution in Hong Kong is largely a local problem and regional air pollutants transportation may only play an insignificant role. A previous study reported that Hong Kong’s air pollution still exceeded the World Health Organization (WHO) limit twice even when there was no wind from Mainland China, although its air pollution was, on average, 15% worse when winds blew from Mainland China [14]. Hong Kong reported its first two COVID-19 cases on 23 January 2020 [15] and first death on 4 February 2020 [16]. Following that, the city acted swiftly to implement a series of social distancing rules to stop the spread. This enables us to evaluate how a city-wide traffic disruption would benefit the air quality. Therefore, this study is conducted to investigate how the COVID-19 social distancing rules have affected the roadside and ambient air quality in Hong Kong. 2. Methods As part of the city’s air quality management, the Hong Kong Environmental Protection Department (HKEPD) is currently deploying 3 roadside and 13 ambient air quality monitoring stations to measure the criteria air pollutants, including carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen dioxide (NO2 ), ozone (O3 ), sulfur dioxide (SO2 ), respirable suspended particulates (PM10 ) and fine suspended particulates (PM2.5 ). The pollutant concentrations are being continuously measured every hour by automatic analyzers. The 3 roadside stations are placed at 3.0–4.5 m above ground at the commercial and tourist areas (i.e., Central, Causeway Bay and Mong Kok). The 13 ambient stations are placed 11.0–28.0 m above ground which are distributed more evenly across the city. The heights of the roadside and ambient stations are chosen to gather air quality information representative of the exposure of the roadside pedestrians and the people in a building, respectively. The roadside stations are placed close to roads and the ambient stations are usually at the rooftop of buildings. More details about their locations, sensor models, measurement principles and accuracy specifications can be found in [17,18]. Air quality data during 1 January to 30 April 2020 are analyzed in this study. Table 1 lists the timelines of the key COVID-19 events and social distancing rules in Hong Kong. Since the report of the first two positive cases in late January and the first death in early February, the city has introduced a series of control measures to stop the spread of the pandemic. Therefore, the air quality data are categorized into two groups: the pre-COVID-19 period in January 2020 and the COVID-19 period in February–April 2020. Historical data collected during the same months in 2017–2019 are also analyzed to show the yearly variations. Table 1. Timelines of key COVID-19 events and social distancing rules in Hong Kong. Date Key COVID-19 Events or Travel Restrictions 23 January 2020 First two cases were confirmed 25 January 2020 An “emergency” warning was declared 28 January 2020 Partial closure of border with mainland China 4 February 2020 First death was reported
Atmosphere 2020, 11, 914 3 of 9 Table 1. Cont. Date Key COVID-19 Events or Travel Restrictions 5 February 2020 Mandatory 14-day quarantine for those from mainland China Atmosphere 2020, 11, x FOR PEER REVIEW 3 of 9 25 March 2020 Closure of border to all non-residents from overseas 27 March 2020 Indoor and outdoor public gatherings >4 people were banned 273 March 2020 April 2020 Indoor and outdoor public gatherings >4 people were banned All bars and pubs were closed 35April 2020 May 2020 All bars and limit Public gathering pubs eased were closed from 4 to 8 5 May 19 June2020 2020 Public gathering limit eased from84toto50 Public gathering limit eased from 8 19 11 June 2020 July 2020 Publicrules Social distancing gathering limitdue tightened eased to afrom 8 to rise in 50 COVID-19 cases 11 July 2020 Social distancing rules tightened due to a rise in COVID-19 cases 3. Results 3. Results Figure 1 showed the average pollutant concentrations measured at the 3 roadside air quality Figure 1 showed the average pollutant concentrations measured at the 3 roadside air quality monitoring stations during January–April in 2017–2020. The month-to-month variations were relatively monitoring stations during January–April in 2017–2020. The month-to-month variations were largerelatively and there wasand large no there clear was variation no clear tendency variation from January tendency fromto January April fortoeach Aprilyear fromyear for each 2017from to 2020, due 2017 to the tochanges 2020, dueintometeorological conditions. This the changes in meteorological indicates conditions. that This a simple indicates comparison that of COVID-19 a simple comparison period (i.e., January 2020) vs. pre-COVID-19 period (i.e., February–April of COVID-19 period (i.e., January 2020) vs. pre-COVID-19 period (i.e., February–April 2019) 2019) would lead to would a random conclusion lead to a random conclusion on the effect of COVID-19 on air quality. Therefore, comparing 2020 datadata on the effect of COVID-19 on air quality. Therefore, comparing 2020 data with 2017–2019 in the same with month (Table 2017–2019 data in2)theis more same reliable month (Table due to2)the smaller is more difference reliable due tointhemeteorological smaller difference conditions. in meteorological Generally, the 2020conditions. CO, SO2 , NO Generally, 2 , PM 10 the and 2020 PM CO, 2.5 SO 2, NO2, PM10showed concentrations and PM 2.5 concentrations reductions when showed comparing withreductions the 2017–2019 whendata, comparing except withfor a the few2017–2019 comparisons data,suchexcept for a2 few as NO comparisons in April 2019 andsuch April as2018 NO2 which in April 2019 and April 2018 which were actually slightly lower than were actually slightly lower than the corresponding 2020 data. Specially, the emissions in April 2020 the corresponding 2020 data. wereSpecially, generallythe emissions higher than thein April 2020 year, previous were although generally the higher humanthanemission the previous year, were activities although the in reduced human emission activities were reduced in April 2020 due to the COVID-19 social distancing. This April 2020 due to the COVID-19 social distancing. This increase may be because the meteorological increase may be because the meteorological conditions were not favorable for air movements and conditions were not favorable for air movements and pollutants dispersion, thus resulting in the higher pollutants dispersion, thus resulting in the higher pollutant concentrations observed. As shown in pollutant concentrations observed. As shown in Table 2, during the pre-COVID-19 period (i.e., January), Table 2, during the pre-COVID-19 period (i.e., January), 2020 data showed reductions of −2% to 7% 2020for dataCO, showed 17% to reductions 32% for SO2of −2% , 13% to to 18% 7%forforNOCO, 17% to 32% for SO , 13% to 18% for NO2 , 2.5 2, 14% to 31% for PM10,2 and 19% to 33% for PM 14%whento 31% for PM , comparing 10 and 19% to 33% for with 2017–2019 in thePM when comparing with 2017–2019 in the same 2.5 same month. While during the COVID-19 period (i.e., February– month. While during the COVID-19 April), 2020period (i.e., February–April), data showed reductions of −40% 2020todata 21%showed for CO, reductions −42% to 52% −40% offor SO2to 21% to , −10% for28% CO,for −42% to 52% NOfor2, −8%SO2to , −10% 37% forto 28% PM10for , andNO 1%2 , −8% to 44%to 37% for PM for2.5PM 10 , andO1% . Finally, 3 wasto 44% for PM the only 2.5 . Finally, pollutant O3 was that was constantly the only pollutant higher thatinwas 2020constantly than that in 2017–2019, higher in 2020withthan24% thattoin39% higher inwith 2017–2019, pre-COVID-19 24% to 39%period higher in and 1% to 72% higher in COVID-19 period. pre-COVID-19 period and 1% to 72% higher in COVID-19 period. 1400 10 120 CO SO2 NO2 700 5 60 0 0 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr Jan Feb Mar Apr Jan Feb Mar Apr 2017 2018 2019 2020 2017 2018 2019 2020 2017 2018 2019 2020 80 40 80 O3 PM2.5 PM10 40 20 40 0 0 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr Jan Feb Mar Apr Jan Feb Mar Apr 2017 2018 2019 2020 2017 2018 2019 2020 2017 2018 2019 2020 Figure 1. Average roadside pollutant concentrations measured at the three roadside air quality Figure 1. Average roadside pollutant concentrations measured at the three roadside air quality monitoring stations. All pollutants units are in µg/m3 . monitoring stations. All pollutants units are in μg/m3.
Atmosphere 2020, 11, x FOR PEER REVIEW 4 of 9 Atmosphere Table2020, 11, 914 changes of roadside emissions of 2020 over 2017–2019 in each month. Negative and 4 of 9 2. Relative positive percentages indicate emission reductions and increases, respectively. Table 2. Relative changes of roadside emissions January Februaryof 2020 over 2017–2019 March in each month. Negative Apriland positive percentages indicate emission(COVID-19) (pre-COVID-19) reductions and increases, respectively. (COVID-19) (COVID-19) Pollutants 2020 January 2020 2020 2020 February 2020 2020 2020 March 2020 2020 2020 April 2020 2020 vs.(pre-COVID-19) vs. vs. vs. (COVID-19) vs. vs. vs. (COVID-19) vs. vs. vs.(COVID-19) vs. vs. Pollutants 2019 2020 20182020 2017 2020 2019 2020 2018 2020 2017 2020 2019 2020 2018 2020 2017 2020 2019 2020 2020 2018 2020 2017 CO −7% vs. +2% vs. −3% vs. −7% vs. −21% vs. −9% vs. +1% vs. −13% vs. −12% vs. +40% vs. +4% vs. −2% vs. SO2 2019 2018 2017 2019 2018 2017 −29% −32% −17% 0% −52% −33% +31% −23% −11%2019 2018 2017 2019 2018 +42% −6% −11% 2017 CO2 NO −7% −13% −18% +2% −13% −3% −7% −28% −2% −21% −24% −9% +1% −1% −17%−13% −12% −20% +40% +10% +4% +5% −2%−6% −29% −32% −17% −52% −33% +31% −23% −11% +42% SO2 O3 0% +39% +24% +27% +46% +48% +20% +8% +6% +1% +53% +72% −11% −6% +72% NO2 −18% −13% −13% −2% −28% −24% −1% −17% −20% +10% +5% −6% PMO310 −31% +39% −14% +24% −18% +27% −16% +46% −37% +48% −26% +20% +8% −16% +8% +6% −27% +1% +6% +72% +53% −27% +72% −12% PM PM102.5 −33% −31% −19% −14% −26% −18% −20% −16% −44% −37% −38% −26% +8% −1% −22% −32% −16% −27% +6% −9% −27% −27% −12% −21% PM2.5 −33% −19% −26% −20% −44% −38% −1% −22% −32% −9% −27% −21% Regarding the ambient air quality (Figure 2), CO and NO2 were much lower, PM10 and PM2.5 were slightly lower, SO2 was similar while O3 was higher than their concentrations at roadside (Figure Regarding the ambient air quality (Figure 2), CO and NO2 were much lower, PM10 and PM2.5 were 1). Similar to the tendencies observed at roadside monitoring stations, Figure 2 showed that all slightly lower, SO2 was similar while O3 was higher than their concentrations at roadside (Figure 1). criteria pollutants in 2020 demonstrated reductions when comparing with 2017–2019, except for O3 Similar to the tendencies observed at roadside monitoring stations, Figure 2 showed that all criteria which generally increased. During the pre-COVID-19 period, as shown in Table 3, 2020 data show pollutants in 2020 demonstrated reductions when comparing with 2017–2019, except for O3 which reductions of −7% to 17% foe CO, 30% to 49% for SO2, 16% to 32% for NO2, 23% to 35% for PM10, and generally increased. During the pre-COVID-19 period, as shown in Table 3, 2020 data show reductions 25% to 36% for PM2.5 when comparing with 2017–2019 data. During the COVID-19 period, the of −7% to 17% foe CO, 30% to 49% for SO2 , 16% to 32% for NO2 , 23% to 35% for PM10 , and 25% to 36% corresponding reductions were −21% to 18%, −1% to 48%, −2% to 33%, −16% to 38%, and −4% to 44%, for PM2.5 when comparing with 2017–2019 data. During the COVID-19 period, the corresponding respectively. reductions were −21% to 18%, −1% to 48%, −2% to 33%, −16% to 38%, and −4% to 44%, respectively. 1400 10 120 CO SO2 NO2 700 5 60 0 0 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr Jan Feb Mar Apr Jan Feb Mar Apr 2017 2018 2019 2020 2017 2018 2019 2020 2017 2018 2019 2020 80 40 80 O3 PM2.5 PM10 40 20 40 0 0 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr Jan Feb Mar Apr Jan Feb Mar Apr 2017 2018 2019 2020 2017 2018 2019 2020 2017 2018 2019 2020 Figure 2. Average ambient pollutant concentrations measured at the 13 ambient air quality monitoring Figure 2. Average ambient pollutant concentrations measured at the 13 ambient air quality stations. All pollutant units are in µg/m3 . monitoring stations. All pollutant units are in μg/m3.
Atmosphere 2020, 11, 914 5 of 9 Table 3. Relative changes of ambient emissions of 2020 vs. 2017–2019 in each month. Negative and positive percentages indicate emission reductions and increases, respectively. January February March April (pre-COVID-19) (COVID-19) (COVID-19) (COVID-19) Pollutants 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 2020 vs. vs. vs. vs. vs. vs. vs. vs. vs. vs. vs. vs. 2019 2018 2017 2019 2018 2017 2019 2018 2017 2019 2018 2017 CO −17% +7% −8% −7% −18% −16% −8% −1% −18% +21% +16% −15% SO2 −30% −42% −49% −14% −45% −48% +1% −34% −39% −5% −29% −43% NO2 −32% −17% −16% −8% −33% −24% −12% −20% −23% +2% 0% −12% O3 +24% +12% +14% +18% +11% −1% +1% −7% −10% +20% +21% +32% PM10 −35% −23% −29% −5% −38% −32% +2% −19% −35% +16% −30% −18% PM2.5 −36% −25% −34% −7% −44% −40% −6% −24% −39% +4% −24% −24% 4. Discussion and Implications The results in Figures 1 and 2 and Tables 2 and 3 showed that roadside and ambient NO2 , PM10 , PM2.5 , CO and SO2 in January-April 2020 were generally reduced when comparing with the historical data in 2017–2019, while O3 was increased. However, comparing with the pre-COVID-19 period (i.e., January), the reductions were not always higher (emissions were even increased sometimes) during the COVID-19 period (i.e., February–April) when social distancing rules were introduced which greatly reduced the human movements, in particular the road transport and civil aviation sectors. Table 4 shows the monthly road traffic data of total passengers taking the public transport and the total vehicles through the Cross Harbor Tunnels during the studied periods. In particular, the Cross Harbor Tunnels link the Kowloon peninsula with Hong Kong Island, which are the two most important business districts. Therefore, the numbers of vehicles through them largely represent the traffic activities in Hong Kong. It should be noted that, before the pandemic, Hong Kong had been experiencing on-going large social unrests since June 2019 which had significantly reduced the civil aviation sector [19]. The social unrests had also reduced/stopped the traffic in the protest sites, but might only contribute insignificant reductions in the overall traffic of the whole city because the traffic could be diverted to other roads. Therefore, the COVID-19 lockdown since February 2020 mainly reduced the road transport sector in Hong Kong. This is evidenced in the data in Table 4, which show that road transport has been reduced by 15.7% of total passengers and 7.7% of total vehicles in January 2020, and then reduced obviously higher by 39.6–41.4% and 13.5–21.5%, respectively, in February to April 2020 when comparing with the same months last year. The small difference in pollutant reductions between pre-COVID-19 and COVID-19 periods could be explained by the inventories of anthropogenic emissions in Table 5, which show that road transport and civil aviation are not the dominant contributors of air pollutants even when they are combined, except for CO. As a result, the COVID-19 lockdown did not obviously reduce the pollutant concentrations. Finally, both roadside and ambient O3 concentrations in 2020 were higher than those in 2017–2019. This is because O3 is a secondary air pollutant which is formed through photochemical reactions of gaseous precursors (mainly NO2 and volatile organic compounds (VOCs)) in the presence of sunlight. Higher O3 emissions were usually observed with NO2 reductions which could have changed O3 formation from VOCs sensitive regime to mixed sensitive regime, as reported in previous studies [18,20]. Since NOx (i.e., NO + NO2 ) are involved in both the formation and reduction of O3 , the net formation of O3 is actually determined by the ratio of NO2 /NOx [18]. Figure 3 shows the average NO2 /NOx ratios at both the roadside and ambient stations during the studied period. Generally, NO2 /NOx ratios were higher in April 2020, which explained the higher O3 concentrations observed. Overall, this study demonstrates that the effect of COVID-19 lockdown on air quality improvement is not always obvious. There are large seasonal pollutant variations, which suggest that a simple short-term comparison of pre-COVID-19 vs. COVID-19 periods could draw misleading conclusions on the effect of COVID-19 on air quality improvement. Taking roadside CO as an example (Figure 4),
Atmosphere Atmosphere2020, 2020,11, 11,x914 FOR PEER REVIEW 66ofof99 lower in February–April than January in 2017, −15% to 20% lower in 2018, 12% to 46% lower in 2019 which and 12%is to dominated 19% lower byinroadside transportthere 2020. Although (as shown was noinpandemic Table 5), lockdown it was 6%into2017–2019, 20% lowerCO in February–April than January in 2017, −15% to 20% lower in 2018, 12% to 46% lower reductions of February–April vs. January were observed in 2017–2019 and the reduction was even in 2019 and 12% to 19%inlower bigger in 2020. 2019 (12% Although to 46%) there than that in was 2020no pandemic (12% to 19%).lockdown in 2017–2019, CO reductions of February–April vs. January were observed in 2017–2019 and the reduction was even bigger in 2019 (12%Table to 46%) than that 4. Monthly in 2020 traffic (12% data of totalto 19%). taking the public transport and total vehicles through passengers the Cross Harbor Tunnels during January–April 2017–2020 [21]. Table 4. Monthly traffic data of total passengers taking the public transport and total vehicles through Traffic Year Tunnels the Cross Harbor January February during January–April 2017–2020 [21]. March April 2017 393,374 (+1.7%) 355,731 (+3.7%) 397,004 (+4.2%) 370,591 (−1.2%) Total Traffic Year January February 2018 398,100 (+1.3%) 351,335 (−1.1%) 400,049March (+0.7%) 379,102April (+2.5%) passengers 2019 2017 414,391 393,374(+4.0%) (+1.7%) 357,526 355,731(+1.8%) (+3.7%) 407,630 397,004(+1.7%) (+4.2%) 380,383 370,591(+0.3%) (−1.2%) Total (thousands) 2018 2020 398,100(−15.7%) 349,532 (+1.3%) 351,335(−41.0%) 217,999 (−1.1%) 400,049 246,284 (+0.7%) (−39.6%) 379,102 222,646 (+2.5%) (−41.4%) passengers 2019 414,391 (+4.0%) 357,526 (+1.8%) 407,630 (+1.7%) 380,383 (+0.3%) (thousands) 2017 7,958,585 (+0.5%) 7,147,909 (−0.7%) 8,290,839 (+4.1%) 7,576,014 (−2.5%) 2020 349,532 (−15.7%) 217,999 (−41.0%) 246,284 (−39.6%) 222,646 (−41.4%) Total 2018 8,066,085 (+1.4%) 7,121,978 (−0.4%) 8,323,358 (+0.4%) 7,724,664 (+2.0%) 2017 7,958,585 (+0.5%) 7,147,909 (−0.7%) 8,290,839 (+4.1%) 7,576,014 (−2.5%) vehicles 2019 2018 8,257,283 8,066,085(+2.4%) (+1.4%) 7,027,811 7,121,978(−1.3%) (−0.4%) 8,382,402 8,323,358(+0.7%) (+0.4%) 7,696,259 7,724,664(−0.4%) (+2.0%) Total vehicles 2020 2019 7,624,328 8,257,283(−7.7%) (+2.4%) 6,078,955 7,027,811(−13.5%) (−1.3%) 6,631,756 (−20.9%) 8,382,402 (+0.7%) 6,041,706 (−21.5%) 7,696,259 (−0.4%) 2020 in7,624,328 Notes: Percentages (−7.7%) parentheses are the6,078,955 (−13.5%) changes when 6,631,756 comparing with (−20.9%) 6,041,706 the same month (−21.5%) last year. Notes: Percentages in parentheses are the changes when comparing with the same month last year. Table 5. Inventories of anthropogenic emissions by sectors in 2017 in Hong Kong [22]. Table 5. Inventories of anthropogenic emissions by sectors in 2017 in Hong Kong [22]. Pollutants SO2 NOx PM10 PM2.5 VOC CO Sectors Pollutants Electricity generation 43%SO2 27%NOx PM10 16% PM 2.5 10% VOC 2% CO6% Sectors Navigation Electricity generation 52%43% 37%27% 34% 16% 41% 10% 17% 2% 6%24% Road transport Navigation 0%52% 20%37% 10% 34% 13% 41% 19% 17% 24%53% CivilRoad aviation transport 4% 0% 7% 20% 1% 10% 2% 13% 2% 19% 53%8% Civil aviation Other combustion 1% 4% 9%7% 16%1% 2% 19% 2%3% 8%10% Other combustion Non-combustion N/A1% N/A 9% 16% 22% 19% 15% 3% 57% 10% N/A Non-combustion N/A N/A 22% 15% 57% N/A TotalTotal (tonnes) (tonnes) 16,160 16,160 84,960 84,960 4020 4020 3120 3120 25,520 25,520 57,110 57,110 Notes: N/A, not applicable. Notes: N/A, not applicable. 60% 80% Roadside Ambient 45% 65% 30% 50% Jan Feb Mar Apr Jan Feb Mar Apr 2017 2018 2019 2020 2017 2018 2019 2020 Figure Figure3.3.Average Averageroadside roadsideand andambient ambientNO /NOxxratios. NO22/NO ratios. AAnumber numberof ofstudies studieshave haveusedusedthetheair airquality qualitymonitoring monitoringdata datatotoinvestigate investigatethe theenvironmental environmental benefitsof benefits ofCOVID-19 COVID-19lockdowns lockdownsinindifferent differentcities, cities,which whichusually usuallycompared comparedthe thepre-COVID-19 pre-COVID-19vs. vs. COVID-19in COVID-19 inshort shortterms termsand andreported reportedsignificant significantreductions reductionsof ofsome somepollutants, pollutants,ranging rangingfrom fromabout about 10% to over 10% over 50%. 50%. Sharma Sharmaetetal.al. [23] compared [23] compared thethe concentrations concentrations of criteria pollutants of criteria during pollutants 16 March during 16 to 14 April March to 142017–2020 in 22 Indian April 2017–2020 in cities. Collivignarelli 22 Indian et al. [24] compared cities. Collivignarelli the criteria et al. [24] compared pollutants, black the criteria carbon, benzene pollutants, black and ammonia carbon, benzene dataand of three 14-daydata ammonia periods in 2020 of three in Italy, 14-day including periods the reference in 2020 in Italy, period during 7–20 February, the partial lockdown during 9–22 March, and including the reference period during 7–20 February, the partial lockdown during 9–22 March, the total lockdown during and 23 March the to 5 April. total lockdown Berman during and Ebisu 23 March to 5 [25] compared April. the PM Berman and 2.5 and Ebisu [25] NO 2 data during compared the PM82.5January and NOto 2 data during 8 January to 21 April 2017–2020 in the United States. Chauhan and Singh [26] compared the PM2.5 data during December–March 2017–2020.
effect of meteorological conditions on air pollution is a complicated problem. A number of factors can affect the air quality in a city, such as the wind speed and direction, temperature, humidity, rainfall and solar radiation. These factors influence the air movements and thus the dispersion of air pollutants. Besides the geographical conditions and chemical reactions also have significant effects on the air2020, Atmosphere movements 11, 914 and formation of secondary pollutants (e.g., O3, PM2.5 and PM10). All these 7 of 9 factors are highly dynamic which require further investigations on their effects on seasonal variations in ground level air pollution. This study also implies that one air pollution control measure may not 21 April 2017–2020 necessarily generateinobvious the United States. Chauhan improvements in the and Singh [26] short-term air compared the PM2.5data quality monitoring dataand during the December–March 2017–2020. effectiveness should be evaluated carefully to eliminate the seasonal and meteorological effects. 20% Percentages of concentration changes 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% Feb vs Jan Mar vs Jan -40% Apr vs Jan -50% 2017 2018 2019 2020 Survey year Figure Figure 4.4. Percentages Percentagesofofroadside roadsideCO CO concentration concentration changes changes of COVID-19 of COVID-19 period period (i.e., February– (i.e., February–April) April) relativerelative to pre-COVID-19 to pre-COVID-19 period period (i.e., January) (i.e., January) foryear. for each each year. 5. Conclusions This study suggests that such short-term comparisons should be interpreted with caution as the seasonal Thisvariations are relatively study investigated large which the effect of the could easilysocial COVID-19 mask distancing the real changes rules oncaused by lockdown the roadside and ambient air quality in Hong Kong, China. The concentrations of six criteria pollutants (i.e., the and, thus, could lead to misleading conclusions. Further investigations are needed to explore CO,causes NO2, and O characteristics of the seasonal variations, particularly the meteorological conditions. The effect of 3, SO2, PM10 and PM2.5) collected during January–April 2020 were compared with the same months meteorological in conditionstoonthe 2017–2019. According airdevelopment pollution is aofcomplicated COVID-19 problem. pandemicAinnumber of factors Hong Kong, the can affect collected the air quality in a city, such as the wind speed and direction, temperature, data were categorized into two groups, namely the pre-COVID-19 period (i.e., January 2020) and humidity, rainfall and solar radiation. These factors influence the air movements and thus the dispersion COVID-19 period (i.e., February–April 2020). The results showed that the effect of COVID-19 on air of air pollutants. Besidesimprovement quality the geographicalwas conditions not always and chemical obvious. reactions Comparing with alsothehave significant historical data ineffects on the the 2017–2019, air movements and formation of secondary pollutants (e.g., roadside and ambient NO2, PM10, PM2.5, CO and SO2 were generally O 3 , PM and PM 2.5 reduced10 ). All these factors while O3 was increased are highly dynamic which require further investigations on their effects on in January–April 2020. The implementation of the social distancing rules had obviously seasonal variations in ground reduced the level air pollution. This study also implies that one air pollution control measure may road transport activities in terms of total passengers taking the public transport and the total vehicles not necessarily generatethe through obvious Crossimprovements Harbor Tunnels. in the short-term Despite airreductions this, the quality monitoring data and the during COVID-19 effectiveness period were not should higher always be evaluated carefully than that duringtopre-COVID-19 eliminate the period, seasonalandandsometimes meteorological effects. were even higher the emissions during the COVID-19 period. In addition, there were large seasonal variations in the monthly mean 5. Conclusions pollutant concentrations in every year, suggesting that a simple comparison of pre-COVID-19 vs. This study COVID-19 investigated periods would draw the effect of the conclusions misleading COVID-19 social distancing on the effect of rules on theon COVID-19 roadside and air quality ambient air quality improvement. This in Hong study Kong,that implies China. oneThe air concentrations of six pollution control criteriamay measure pollutants (i.e., CO, not generate NO2 , obvious O , SO immediate 3 2 , PM and PM improvements 10 ) collected during January–April 2020 were compared with the same 2.5 in the air quality monitoring data and its effectiveness should be evaluatedmonths in 2017–2019. carefully According to eliminate to theofdevelopment the effect seasonal andof COVID-19 pandemic meteorological in Hong Kong, the collected variations. data were categorized into two groups, namely the pre-COVID-19 period (i.e., January 2020) and COVID-19 period (i.e., February–April 2020). The results showed that the effect of COVID-19 on air quality improvement was not always obvious. Comparing with the historical data in 2017–2019, the roadside and ambient NO2 , PM10 , PM2.5 , CO and SO2 were generally reduced while O3 was increased in January–April 2020. The implementation of the social distancing rules had obviously reduced the road transport activities in terms of total passengers taking the public transport and the total vehicles through the Cross Harbor Tunnels. Despite this, the reductions during COVID-19 period were not always higher than that during pre-COVID-19 period, and sometimes the emissions were even higher during the COVID-19 period. In addition, there were large seasonal variations in the monthly mean pollutant concentrations in every year, suggesting that a simple comparison of pre-COVID-19
Atmosphere 2020, 11, 914 8 of 9 vs. COVID-19 periods would draw misleading conclusions on the effect of COVID-19 on air quality improvement. This study implies that one air pollution control measure may not generate obvious immediate improvements in the air quality monitoring data and its effectiveness should be evaluated carefully to eliminate the effect of seasonal and meteorological variations. Author Contributions: Y.H. completed the analysis and wrote the manuscript with contributions from all the co-authors. Conceptualization, Y.H.; formal analysis, Y.H.; writing—original draft preparation, Y.H. and J.L.Z.; writing—review and editing, Y.H., J.L.Z., Y.Y., W.-c.M., C.F.C.L. and Y.-s.Y.; supervision, J.L.Z. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript. Funding: This research received no external funding. Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflict of interest. The contents of this paper are solely the responsibility of the authors and do not necessarily represent official views of the Hong Kong SAR Government. Data availability: The data that support the findings of this study are available from the HKEPD website at https://cd.epic.epd.gov.hk/EPICDI/air/station/?lang=en. References 1. Carducci, A.; Federigi, I.; Verani, M. Covid-19 Airborne transmission and its prevention: Waiting for evidence or applying the precautionary principle? Atmosphere 2020, 11, 710. [CrossRef] 2. Li, Q.; Guan, X.; Wu, P.; Wang, X.; Zhou, L.; Tong, Y.; Ren, R.; Leung, K.S.M.; Lau, E.H.Y.; Wong, J.Y.; et al. Early transmission dynamics in Wuhan, China, of novel coronavirus–infected pneumonia. N. Engl. J. Med. 2020, 382, 1199–1207. [CrossRef] [PubMed] 3. WHO. Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) Pandemic. Available online: https://www.who.int/emergencies/ diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019 (accessed on 12 August 2020). 4. WHO. Q&A on Coronaviruses (COVID-19)—How Does COVID-19 Spread? Available online: https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/question-and-answers-hub/q- a-detail/q-a-coronaviruses (accessed on 16 June 2020). 5. Anenberg, S.C.; Miller, J.; Minjares, R.; Du, L.; Henze, D.K.; Lacey, F.; Malley, C.S.; Emberson, L.; Franco, V.; Klimont, Z. Impacts and mitigation of excess diesel-related NOx emissions in 11 major vehicle markets. Nature 2017, 545, 467–471. [CrossRef] [PubMed] 6. Huang, Y.; Surawski, N.C.; Yam, Y.S.; Lee, C.K.C.; Zhou, J.L.; Organ, B.; Chan, E.F.C. Re-evaluating effectiveness of vehicle emission control programs targeting high-emitters. Nat. Sustain. 2020. [CrossRef] 7. Zhou, J.; Tie, X.; Yu, Y.; Zhao, S.; Li, G.; Liu, S.; Zhang, T.; Dai, W. Impact of the emission control of diesel vehicles on Black Carbon (BC) concentrations over China. Atmosphere 2020, 11, 696. [CrossRef] 8. Zhang, L.; Liu, W.; Hou, K.; Lin, J.; Zhou, C.; Tong, X.; Wang, Z.; Wang, Y.; Jiang, Y.; Wang, Z. Air pollution-induced missed abortion risk for pregnancies. Nat. Sustain. 2019, 2, 1011–1017. [CrossRef] 9. Kampa, M.; Castanas, E. Human health effects of air pollution. Env. Pollut. 2008, 151, 362–367. [CrossRef] [PubMed] 10. Guerriero, C.; Haines, A.; Pagano, M. Health and sustainability in post-pandemic economic policies. Nat. Sustain. 2020, 3, 494–496. [CrossRef] 11. Zhang, R.; Zhang, Y.; Lin, H.; Feng, X.; Fu, T.-M.; Wang, Y. NOx emission reduction and recovery during COVID-19 in East China. Atmosphere 2020, 11, 433. [CrossRef] 12. Brimblecombe, P.; Ning, Z. Effect of road blockages on local air pollution during the Hong Kong protests and its implications for air quality management. Sci. Total Env. 2015, 536, 443–448. [CrossRef] [PubMed] 13. Brimblecombe, P. Street protests and air pollution in Hong Kong. Env. Monit. Assess. 2020, 192, 295. [CrossRef] [PubMed] 14. Neo, K.W. So You Thought Hong Kong’s Pollution Comes from Mainland China? Smart Air. Available online: https://smartairfilters.com/en/blog/so-you-thought-hong-kongs-pollution-comes-from-mainland- china/ (accessed on 11 August 2020). 15. Centre for Health Protection. Two Confirmed Imported Cases of Novel Coronavirus Infection in Hong Kong and the Revised Reporting Criteria. Available online: https://www.chp.gov.hk/files/pdf/letters_to_private_ hospitals_20200123.pdf (accessed on 22 June 2020).
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