UN GENERAL ASSEMBLY SPECIAL EMERGENCY SESSION CONFLICT IN SYRIA - ON
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UN GENERAL ASSEMBLY SPECIAL EMERGENCY SESSION ON THE CONFLICT IN SYRIA Chair – Amy O'Halloran Vice Chairs – Sanad Hisham Mouzughi, Lauren Shiplett, and Keith Bermudez wamunc.com | march 20 – 23, 2014
A Word from your Chair – Amy O’Halloran Dear Delegates, Welcome to WAMUNC XVI! My name is Amy O’Halloran, and I will be serving as your Chair for the United Nations General Assembly Special Emergency Session on the Civil War in Syria. I am very excited to be chairing a committee that is covering such an important global issue that continues to change every day. But, before we get started, let me introduce myself! I am a junior at the George Washington University, double majoring in International Affairs and French Language and Literature, with a minor in Arabic. I am Irish, but grew up in Atlanta, GA, and I call both my home! I have been a very active member of the International Affairs Society since my freshman year, where I compete on the GWU MUN team all over the world, and previously served as Director of Communications. Additionally, I am a member of the GW Women’s Club Soccer team, am an avid sports fan, and am quite the hash-tagger! Throughout the fall semester, I have just returned from studying abroad at Sciences Po in Paris, France after a summer studying abroad in Morocco. This year will mark my second WAMUNC. As a freshman, I served as Co-Chair of the Northern Ireland Peace Settlement Negotiations Committee. I was due to chair the Special, Political, and Decolonization Committee at WAMUNC XV (2013), but I was very fortunately selected to the GWUMUN team that competed at the World Model United Nations Conference (WorldMUN) in Melbourne, Australia, which coincided with WAMUNC 2013! Additionally, I have participated in GWU’s Middle School MUN conference (GWCIA) as a Vice-Chair and then as Business Director. Please do not hesitate to email me if you have any questions regarding the committee, GWU, or college in general! I am here to help make this the best MUN experience possible for all of you, so I am at your disposal. Best of luck with your preparations and I am looking forward to meeting all of you in March! Now, I am proud to introduce the Vice-Chairs of the UNGA Special Emergency Session on the Civil War in Syria. 1
A Word from your Vice Chair, Lauren Shiplett Hi delegates! My name is Lauren Shiplett and I will be serving as a vice chair for the General Assembly Special Session. Originally hailing from Chapel Hill, NC, I’m a freshman in the Elliot School who plans to major in International Affairs with a concentration in Security Policy. I'm active within GW MUN and participated as a Vice Chair for the Security Council in this past year’s middle school MUN conference, GWCIA. In my free time, I enjoy photography, tennis, and exploring the city. I’m very excited to live in DC and for an amazing four years at GW! A Word from your Vice Chair, Keith Bermudez Welcome to WAMUNC XVI! My name is Keith Bermudez and I will be one of your Vice Chairs for the General Assembly Emergency Special Session. I am a freshman at the George Washington University majoring in International Affairs with a concentration in International Politics, and minoring in Chinese. I was born and raised in New York City, and love following UEFA football. I am a Marine option member of the school’s NROTC unit, and I could not be any prouder than I already am able to serve my country. This is my first time ever serving on a dais for Model UN. I was a very active member of my high school’s Model UN team though, and will greatly look forward to being board for more conferences in the future. I am thrilled that I will be one of your Vice Chairs and can’t wait to see you all in person at WAMUNC XVI! A Word from your Vice-Chair, Sanad Mouzughi Dear Delegates, My name is Sanad Mouzughi and I will be serving as one of your Vice Chairs for your council. I am currently a sophomore at the George Washington University double majoring in Political Science and International Affairs. I am a British-Libyan and have been brought up between the United Kingdom and the Middle East. I am quite a football enthusiast (soccer as I 2
believe its called on this side of the pond) and a huge fan of the greatest club in England, Arsenal. I was very involved in MUN at high school. However, during freshman year in college I decided to take a break from it. I quickly realized it was missing and now I’m back in the MUN circuit and very excited to be involved in WAMUNC. I look forward to meeting you all and making it a brilliant conference! 3
Topic 1 Intervention: Military, Humanitarian, or both? Should the UN pick a side, or intervene as a third party? History of UN Intervention The first example of United Nations intervention was in 1948 during the Arab-Israeli War where UN peacekeeping forces were sent in to maintain an agreed upon ceasefire. Since then, the UN has intervened in 63 different conflicts in the form of either military intervention or humanitarian intervention. An example of military intervention was the deployment of peacekeeping forces in the Democratic Republic of Congo in 1999. Their main goal was to act as a neutral party and prevent further conflicts from occurring.1 The UN peacekeeping forces are often deployed to prevent any spillover conflict in the region or bordering countries, to stabilize a conflict following ceasefire agreements, to assist in carrying out peace negotiations, to aid in the transition from war to stable government as well as disarming and to reintegrate former fighters.2 An example of the latter can be seen in the UN sanctioned, US led mission to Somalia in 1992 where the forces were tasked to create a protected environment to allow for the conduct of humanitarian operations in southern Somalia.3 Alternatively, the UN may decide to intervene on a military humanitarian intervention such as the one seen in the more recent Libyan Revolution, where the UN authorized NATO forces to form a coalition to protect the Libyan public and help topple the autocratic regime.4 Thus, in this situation, the UN intervention was to help the rebels and not as a neutral third party such as in the Congo conflict. Although massacres have continued in places where the UN has intervened, it is widely accepted that the UN interventions reduced the amounts of massacres that 1 http://www.un.org/en/peacekeeping/missions/monusco/mandate.shtml 2 http://www.un.org/en/peacekeeping/info/mission.shtml 3 2 http://www.un.org/Depts/DPKO/Missions/unosomi.htm http://www.un.org/en/peacekeeping/info/mission.shtml 4 3 http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs/2011/sc10200.doc.htm http://www.un.org/Depts/DPKO/Missions/unosomi.htm 4 http://www.un.org/News/Press/docs/2011/sc10200.doc.htm 4
have occurred. As in Libya, their decisive action on March 20, 2013 prevented the complete destruction of Benghazi by annihilating the government military convoy headed for the city.5 Military Intervention vs. Humanitarian Intervention Perhaps the most important question to be considered is to what extent is UN intervention would be most effective? Should the UN be intervening using military force, or should they intervene using humanitarian methods? If they are intervening militarily will they be picking a side, or will they remain a neutral third party force? These important questions must be studied and answered specifically in regards to Syria in order to ensure the correct measure is taken. What is known at the current moment is that an uprising took place in Syria on March 15, 2011 as part of the widespread Arab Spring. Following the violent response of the Assad Regime, the uprising turned bloody as the protestors took up arms to fight the regime’s forces. They have formed an army named the Free Syrian Army and have, for the most part, succeeded in their efforts to garner worldwide attention for their struggles. Yet, the violent war rages on. According to a UN July 2013 estimate, there have been over 100,000 casualties since the start of the uprising.6 Meanwhile, throughout the violence, the Assad Regime continues to be supported by the Iranian government7 and Hezbollah in Lebanon8 through the supply of arms and weapons. Furthermore, both the Russian and Chinese governments have repeatedly blocked any legislation or discussion on the conflict in Syria, thus bringing the UN Security Council to a total standstill and impasse. This includes the veto of the proposed Arab League Peace Plan for Syria. In the United Kingdom, Prime Minister David Cameron proposed a military intervention in Syria that was hastily struck down by British Members of Parliament9. Following that, President Barak Obama also began discussing a possible US-led military intervention in Syria10, although the US 5 http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-503543_162-20044969-503543.html 6 http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/07/25/death-toll-syria-100000_n_3652448.html 7 http://www.theguardian.com/world/2012/may/28/syria-army-iran-forces 8 http://www.nytimes.com/2013/05/26/world/middleeast/syrian-army-and-hezbollah-step-up-raids-on- rebels.html?pagewanted=all&_r=2& 9 http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-23892783 10 http://articles.washingtonpost.com/2013-08-30/world/41596342_1_chemical-weapons-syrian- government-regime 5
decided against intervention after the Syrian regime agreed to the Russian plan of destroying their chemical weapons.11 Most recently though, Moscow began talks with Damascus over the destruction of their chemical weapons, and further negotiations between the rebels and the Syrian Government have been attempted in Geneva as late as January 2014. Crimes Committed by Both Sides Both sides involved in the Syrian Conflict have accused the other of committing crimes against humanity, and there is credible evidence to support both claims. Given the lack of access to these areas though and natural bias that exists from certain NGOs, it is very difficult to trust any sort of report entirely. According to a report submitted by Amnesty International, the government is to blame for the majority of crimes.12 According to UN investigations, the Syrian military is responsible for the unlawful killing of children, medical staff, arbitrary arrests, deployment of tanks, serious and indiscriminate shelling of civilian areas, collective punishment, systematic destruction of property,13 as well as many other serious and grave crimes including sexual violence to both men and women. On August 21, 2013, the Syrian regime launched rockets filled with nerve gas on civilian neighborhoods that led to the death of over 1,400 innocent civilians14. However, the UN report also found the opposition forces to be guilty of unlawful killing, torture and ill treatment, kidnapping and hostage taking as well as the use of minors in dangerous non-combat roles15. Although rebel forces have not used chemical weapons, the rebels have similarly committed war crimes committed by the regime. This includes attacks on unarmed civilians in more than a dozen villages on the August 4, 201316, whereby they reportedly went house-by-house indiscriminately killing entire families. 11 http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2013/10/24/syria-chemicals-russia-united-states/3179693/ 12 Deadly Reprisals: deliberate killings and other abuses by Syria's armed forces. Amnesty International. June 2012. 13 Report of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights on the situation of human rights in the Syrian Arab Republic. UN Human Rights Council. 15 September 2011. 14 http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-23927399 15 Periodic Update of the Independent International Commission of Inquiry on the Syrian Arab Republic. UN Human Rights Council. 24 May 2012 16 http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2013/10/11/syria-rebels-war-crimes/2965449/ 6
Questions to Consider 1. How can the UN obtain reliable information from within Syria that provides a clear, unbiased account of what is going on? 2. How can the UN improve upon previous humanitarian or military interventions it has authorized in the past? 3. Should the UN pick a side to defend in this Syrian conflict given reports with accusations that both sides are committing what can be classified as “war crimes”? 4. Should the UN authorize an intervention to attempt to end the conflict in Syria? If so, what type of intervention should it authorize? 5. If the UN should not authorize an intervention, what can it do instead in order to end the conflict and violence in Syria? 7
Topic Two Role of the UN in resolving the growing issues stemming from the huge increase in refugees from neighboring countries The United Nations and Refugees – A History Established by the United Nations Convention Relating to the Status of Refugees in December of 1950, the UN General Assembly created the Office of the UN High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) to create a specialized body to lead and coordinate international action in order to “protect refugees and resolve refugee problems worldwide”.17 The creation of this office originated from the refugee crisis during World War II in which 1.2 million European refugees were left homeless.18 The primary purpose of the UNHCR is to protect refugees’ humanitarian rights and well being, but it also works to establish safe asylum, to resettle refugees, and to aid individuals in attaining political statehood.19 The UNHCR focuses its response planning toward five key areas of aid: protection, assistance, safety, durability, and effectiveness.20 In affirming its mission of social progress, international justice, and greater human rights worldwide, the United Nations has worked closely with national governments and non- governmental organizations (NGOs) to craft effective responses for refugee crises and conflicts with internally displaced persons. The UNHCR aims to collaborate with smaller and more local organizations in order for these smaller bodies to enact physical, specific response programs while the UNHCR deals with international framework and policy issues.21 While notable international organizations such as Refugees United and The Red Cross assist the office with general global crises, region-specific systems such as the Italian-based aid organization Intersos and Tadamon, an intercultural organization focused on Egyptian refugees, provide direct aid in 17 “About Us”, Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refuges, accessed August 15, 2013, http://www.unhcr.org/pages/49c3646c2.html. 18 “Refugees”, United Nations Cyber Schoolbus, accessed August 16, 2013, http://www.un.org/cyberschoolbus/briefing/refugees/. 19 “What We Do”, Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, accessed August 15, 2013, http://www.unhcr.org/pages/49c3646cbf.html 20 “What We Do.” 21 “NGO Partners”, Refugees United, accessed August 17, 2013, http://info.refunite.org/content/ngo- partners. 8
local geographic regions22 Additionally, the national governments in countries that house refugees hold tremendous influence in international cooperation and program implementation. Historically, surrounding countries of those in turmoil welcome refugees and worked collaboratively with UN-based programs and NGOs in order to streamline relief efforts. Examples are the government of Egypt that both houses refugees and acts as a safe place of transit for those seeking asylum.23 Case Studies – The Persian Gulf War and Libya With the recent developments in the Syrian conflict, it is essential that the General Assembly understand previous UN interventions in similar refugee situations in order to craft an efficient solution. “Similar” refugee situations to that in Syria include but are not limited to conflicts involving chemical weapons as well as military strikes from other government bodies. The Persian Gulf War during the early 1990s is one such situation that shares many similar traits to the refugee conflict in Syria. Like the recent accusations of Syria’s use of chemical weaponry, there is overwhelming evidence that chemical warfare was used by the Iraqi government during its invasion of Kuwait24 which prompted an exodus of almost 1.3 million refugees into countries such as Iran, Turkey, and Jordan.25 The UNHCR publicly responded by establishing a regional warehouse in Iran as well as smaller satellite warehouses that provided basic humanitarian aid in the forms of blankets, nonfood items, and personal care kits.26 22 “NGO Partners.” 23 “Middle East Refugees and IDPS by Country”, IRIN Middle East, last modified October 04, 2010, accessed August 17, 2013, http://www.irinnews.org/report/90663/middle-east-refugees-and-idps-by- country. 24 “Evidence Iraq Used Chemical Weapons during the 1991 Persian Gulf War”, Jonathan B. Tucker, Accessed October 2, 2013, http://cns.miis.edu/npr/pdfs/tucker43.pdf 25 “Iraq: UNHCR in Iran Prepares for Possible Refugee Influx”, IRIN Middle East, last modified March 13, 2003, accessed October 2, 2013, http://www.irinnews.org/report/21603/iraq-unhcr-in-iran-prepares- for-possible-refugee-influx. 26 “Iraq: UNHCR in Iran” 9
However, many critics noted that this aid was insufficient as refugees were said to have faced “squalor” conditions as well as a “lack of food and water” in the camps established by the UNHCR.27 In this instance, the use of chemical warfare caused a drastic increase in the number of refugees and the scope of their needs, which greatly altered the effectiveness of the commission’s original plan. Current figures show that the UN was far below meeting its $50 million funding goal for sufficient aid to the region, and was only capable of assisting 15,000 of the 100,000 total refugees at the implementation of its relief strategy.28 With the increasing numbers of refugees pouring into relief camps and surrounding areas, effective UN aid seemed “too little, too late” to many when unplanned but immediate needs were not met.29 Situations in which there was international military intervention have had a generally positive outcome on refugee crises. Most recently, air strikes launched by the United States, Britain, and France on Libya “averted a refugee crisis” on a larger scale than had already occurred following the unrest in Libya during the Arab Spring.30 Through targeted air strikes on Muammar Qaddafi’s ground troops threatening rebel-held cities, the number of refugees crossing the Egyptian-Libyan border was contained to the thousands, a figure much lower than the hundreds of thousands of refugees projected to cross the border if domestic conflict continued in those urban areas.31 The UNHCR reported that, in the time after these attacks, it was able to cut spending in that region from $31.4 million to $16.6 million while simultaneously maintaining adequate humanitarian response groups, and with the defeat of the Qaddafi regime, shifted its focus towards re-assimilation of displaced Libyans.32 27 “Persian Gulf War Refugees - UN Must Increase Aid to Desert Camps”, The Seattle Times, last modified September 7, 1990, accessed October 2, 2013, http://community.seattletimes.nwsource.com/archive/?date=19900907&slug=1091861 28 “Persian Gulf War Refugees.” 29 “Persian Gulf War Refugees.” 30 “Air Strikes on Libya Avert Refugee Crisis: Hungary”, AFP, accessed October 2, 2013, http://www.eubusiness.com/news-eu/libya-conflict.98g. 31 “Air Strikes on Libya.” 32 “2013 Country Operations Profile - Libya”, UNHCR, accessed October 2, 2013, http://www.unhcr.org/pages/49e485f36.html 10
The Syrian Refugee Crisis Since March of 2011, fierce civil unrest in the Syrian Arab Republic has forced thousands of refugees to flee to neighboring countries and beyond to escape violence and to seek political asylum. A UN press release from October 1, 2013 states that as of then, there are over 2 million refugees from the Syrian Conflict.33 Additionally, an estimated 1.2 to 1.5 million Syrians is internally displaced within their own country due to the national turmoil.34 Women and children currently compose three quarters of the total Syrian refugee population, and the total amount of Syrian refugees was projected to surpass 3 million by the end of 2013, according to the UNHCR’s “Stories from Syrian Refugees.”35 Since the start of the Syrian conflict, surrounding countries of Jordan, Lebanon, Turkey, and Iraq have attempted to adequately accommodate the influx of refugees. Currently, Syrian citizens are not required to present visas to enter into any of the aforementioned nations, and are accepted by the surrounding governments by means of unofficial border crossings.36 These nations have prided themselves on their “open border” policies to Syrian refugees and continue 33 “Participants at UN Forum Agree to Boost Support for Countries Holding Syrian Refugees”, United Nations News Center, last modified October 1, 2013, http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=46160&Cr=syria&Cr1=#.UkyvimTXi5I. 34 “2013 UNHCR Country Operations Profile: Middle East and North Africa (MENA)”, Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, accessed August 15, 2013, http://www.unhcr.org/pages/4a02db416.html. 35 “Stories from Syrian Refugees”, Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, last modified July 22, 2013, accessed August 16, 2013, http://data.unhcr.org/syrianrefugees/syria.php. 36 “Syria Regional Response Plan”, United Nations, last modified June 2013, Accessed August 14, 2013, . http://www.unhcr.org/50d192fd9.html. 11
to cooperate with international efforts to address the crisis.37 Detailed descriptions of the laws and existing programs within these prominent host countries can be found in the UNHCR’s Syrian Regional Response Plan (SRP) (see link in “Helpful Resources”). Neighboring states housing refugees have also acted to provide funding for relief efforts. The governments of Lebanon and Jordan have appealed for $449 million and $380 million in funds, respectively, as of October 2013, and the combined efforts of the UNHCR and vested NGOs recently were rewarded with over $5 billion in funds after an effective appeal, the largest of its kind in the history of the UN.38 However, unceasing violence, economic downturn, and unstable environments present roadblocks for UN efforts in Syria. Because of erratic and ever-expanding areas of violence, security constraints have forced the UNHCR to adjust and abbreviate some activities. For instance, relief facilities in Douma, north of Damascus, were forced to close due to increasing violence in the area.39 Additionally, the UNHCR has also reduced the number of its international staff in the country for safety concerns.40 The refugees themselves face an economic crisis with intense national inflation and material shortages due to the unrest. Moreover, a critical lack of essential medicines and domestic items due to international sanctions and the impact of conflict on industrial output, has severely affected the well being and security of civilians.41 Currently, most refugees are completely dependent upon UNHCR resource assistance. Additionally, Syrian citizens face psychological and communal traumatization that increases the 37 “Syria Regional Response Plan.” 38 “Stories from Syrian Refugees.” 39 “Syrian Arab Republic”, Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, Accessed August 14, 2013. http://www.unhcr.org/pages/49e486a76.html. 40 “Syrian Arab Republic.” 41 “2013 UNHCR Country Operations Profile.” 12
need for further community service support and resettlement training.42 Perhaps the most prominent issue facing refugee relief efforts in Syria are the dangers of working conditions due to acts of indiscriminate violence on civilians that affect relief workers and the distribution of aid materials.43 To combat these obstacles, the UNHCR has collaborated with the UN Country Team and other security officials since 2013 on expanding operational space and confirming working conditions.44 However, with the developments of violence in Syria and the potential for international military intervention, the problem of securing existing relief efforts has yet to be solved. Previous UN Responses to the Syrian Refugee Crisis While $133,002,498 was allotted in the 2012 UNHCR budget specifically for refugee relief programs in the Syrian Arab Republic itself, the UN has placed strong emphasis on the countries surrounding Syria that host the flocks of refugees.45 With these funds, The UNHCR plans to prioritize security and basic humanitarian assistance as well as opportunities to foster self-reliance and 42 Ibid. 43 Ibid. 44 Ibid. 45 “Syrian Arab Republic.” 13
solution durability.46 To accomplish this goal, the UNHCR in collaboration with the Syrian Arab Red Crescent (SARC) has developed a multi-sector emergency program within the UN Humanitarian Response program for Syria framework.47 The strategy of this program is to maintain contact with refugee groups through communication channels while securing the safety of UN personnel and staff. It also aims to further develop existing partnerships between countries, NGOs, and other UN bodies that enhance national government cooperation.48 Programs implemented in this strategy include identifying severely affected areas, registering displaced persons, and distributing relief items such as blankets, hygiene kits, and mattresses. In order to provide effective healthcare to refugees, the UNHCR has established medical clinics through SARC and has supported individual and communal shelter projects through financial assistance and rehabilitation work for employees. Agencies involved in the emergency program stress the importance of coordination within sector groups in order to “ensure coherence and avoid duplication of effort.”49 The UN has actively promoted close collaboration with national governments of Syria and surrounding countries as well as internal agencies to enhance policy-support capabilities and international cooperation. Through UN Resident and Humanitarian Coordinators in Syria, the UN aims to ensure that its plan for response fits within the broader and evolving national framework of vested countries. For instance, in 2012, the UNHCR established a web portal specifically focused on Syrian refugee data and registration to create a tool to share real-time information within UN agencies, NGO partners, donors, media sources, government bodies, and citizens.50 This framework will work alongside the existing open-door policies of surrounding governments to ensure administrative success. Additionally, sovereign UN member states and NGOs have individually produced Syrian refugee response programs to address specific problems of concern to their stakeholders. For instance, the European Migration Policy Center in conjunction with the European Union (EU) and the Union’s member states recently produced a lengthy action plan encouraging continued 46 Ibid. 47 “Syrian Arab Republic,” United Nations, last modified June 2013, accessed August 14, 2013, http://www.unhcr.org/50d192fd9.html. 48 Ibid. 49 Ibid. 50 Ibid. 14
asylum for refugees as well as other programs aimed toward positive rehabilitation and relief.51 Several other countries, including the United States, have also responded favorably to providing humanitarian aid for refugees. NGO activity and creation in response to the refugee crisis has also played a large external role in direct humanitarian aid. Perhaps the largest NGO effort comes from Human Care Syria, an organization stemming from the UK-based NGO Human Care Foundation Worldwide. Established in 2011, Human Care Syria delivers medical and non-food convoys to war-torn areas in Syria as well as coordinates childhood development programs.52 Similar NGOs, such as the Red Cross and members of the Disasters Emergency Committee, have contributed greatly to relief efforts in the forms of monetary and material donations, as well as aiding with and intergovernmental communication.53 The Search for Solutions Throughout the Syrian civil war, several plans to alleviate the growing refugee issues have challenged policymakers and organizations alike with developing efficient, short-term relief response while also establishing a durable long-term framework for the country and its refugees. The new possibility of international military intervention complicates existing plans for relief and ensures a continuously changing framework for the conflict that must be kept in mind while crafting an effective response. The UNHCR’s “Main Objectives and Targets for 2013” cites numerous broad guidelines for UN actions and associated efforts, such as providing security from violence and exploitation, fair and timely processing and documentation, and community empowerment and self-reliance.54 The UN’s Syria Regional Response Plan55 produced in June 2013 calls for the creation of quick-impact projects (QIPs) for immediate relief, such as food provision, healthcare clinics, and delivery of non-food items, while also citing the need for essential long-term activities such as monitoring surrounding countries’ commitment to open 51 “The European Response to the Syrian Refugee Crisis: What’s Next?”, Fargues, Phillipe, and Christine Fandrich, Migration Policy Center/Robert Schuman Center for Advanced Studies, last modified 2012, accessed August 18, 2013, http://www.migrationpolicycentre.eu/docs/MPC 2012 14.pdf. 52 “Who We Are”, Human Care Syria, accessed August 17, 2013, http://humancaresyria.org/about. 53 “Who We Are.” 54 “Syrian Arab Republic.” 55 "Syria Regional Response Plan." 15
borders, and training on refugee protection principles. 56 While these guidelines are vague, it will be the job of the General Assembly to provide recommendations for specific implementation of these ideas as well as to ensure any solutions will remain durable given international military intervention or escalation of violence. The UNHCR and the UN stress that relief efforts cannot solely stem from the existing programs. In the process of finding innovative responses to the complicated situation of Syrian refugees, independent nations as well as NGOs are called upon for solutions. The aforementioned EU Migration Policy Center report on the issue is one of the academically based answers to this call, suggesting the creation of Regional Protection Programs (RPPs) focused on Syrian refugee resettlement. Some international foreign policy experts, such as James S. Robbins of the American Foreign Policy Council and Morton Abramowitz of The Century Foundation, call for western military intervention in Syria to ensure safe humanitarian response, citing the 2011 intervention in Libya, 2001 intervention in Afghanistan, and 1995 bombing in Bosnia and Herzegovina.57 As evident in the highly publicized recent developments, President Barack Obama of the United States has taken a similar position on military intervention and has called for congressional approval to launch a strike. Additionally, such academic experts also call for the expedited asylum of refugees as well as humanitarian parolees and protection of citizens still residing in safe areas within Syria.58 While the existing and theoretical plans of response to the Syrian refugee crisis address many pressing issues, a complete solution developed by the General Assembly would encompass the positions of the majority of member states while maintaining a sensitivity for nations directly affected by the Syrian refugees. The individual interests and techniques of member states amenable for international intervention must also be noted in order to provide effective communication between all stakeholders. Moreover, the obstacles of increasing violence, failing administrative communication, and severe economic downturn must also be taken into account, 56 In this case, persecutor refers to the state and government of Syria. 57 "Solutions for Syria's Refugees: Western Military Intervention is the Answer", James Robbins, The New York Times, Last modified April 29, 2013. http://www.nytimes.com/roomfordebate/2013/04/29/finding-solutions-for-syrias-growing-refugee- crisis/syria-needs-western-military-intervention. 58 “Solutions for Syria's Refugees: Safe Areas Need Military Protection”, Morton Abramowitz, The New York Times, Last modified May 01, 2013, http://www.nytimes.com/roomfordebate/2013/04/29/finding- solutions-for-syrias-growing-refugee-crisis/safe-areas-for-syrian-refugees-need-foreign-military- protection. 16
as they are current and highly influential hindrances to previously implemented programs and will undoubtedly pose critical problems to any future response. Questions to Consider 1. What are possible response plans or public positions for the Syrian refugee crisis of member states? 2. How can the UN ensure adequate aid while projections of the number of Syrian refugees remain uncertain? What will this aid cost, and how will it be funded? 3. In what ways can the UN provide support to neighbor countries that house Syrian refugees, and how will it do so? What political actions can be taken to ensure solidarity and transparency between governments and UN bodies? 4. How would existing programs have to change in the event of international military intervention? What provisions would have to be made to new programs to ensure durability through such a situation? 5. What can the UN do to combat challenges of administering relief posed by increasing violence and economic downturn? 6. How should these refugees be reintegrated at the end of the civil war? What can be implemented now to establish this framework for the future? Helpful Resources • United Nations Office of the High Commissioner for Refugees, “About Us.” http://www.unhcr.org/pages/49c3646c2.html • United Nations Office of the High Commissioner for Refugees, “2013 Country Operations Profile - Syrian Arab Republic.” http://www.unhcr.org/cgi- bin/texis/vtx/page?page=49e486a76&submit=GO • Press Release from United Nations News Centre, “Participants at UN forum agree to boost support for countries hosting Syrian refugees.” http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=46160&Cr=syria&Cr1=#.UkyvimTXi5I • United Nations, “Syrian Regional Response Plan.” http://www.unhcr.org/50d192fd9.html. • UNHCR, “Syrian Arab Republic.” http://www.unhcr.org/pages/49e486a76.html. 17
Topic Three Use of chemical weapons and the rise of terrorism Chemical Weapons Syria has been accused by the United States and Israel of developing chemical weapons throughout various points in history. Israel, specifically, has accused Syria of developing chemical weapons since 1971, and they believe they obtained more from Egypt during 1973, on the eve of the Yom Kippur War. The United States believes that Syria first started developing chemical weapons during the 1980s. In 1983, the US successfully identified a chemical weapon production facility. Since then, hundreds of more reports claimed to identify Syria continuing to develop chemical weapons.59 The Syrian government has stated that they would never use chemical weapons on their own people and their stock is secure. However, Syria is not a member of, nor has it acceded to, the Chemical Weapons Convention. 60 Furthermore, during March 2013, there was an alleged chemical weapons attack in Aleppo, the home to some of the most violent fighting during the civil war. The United Nations initially launched an investigation led by Åke Sellström, but was at first denied.61 In April, both the United Kingdom and France announced Figure 1: Alleged location of Syrian chemical sites that they had hard evidence of chemical weapon produced by the Monterey Institute of International Studies usage in Syria. By June 13th, Benjamin J. Rhodes, 59 Syria-Chemical Weapons last modified August 2013 http://www.nti.org/country- profiles/syria/chemical/ 60 “UN team heads to Syria to inspect sites of alleged chemical weapon attacks” – Last modified August 1, 2013 http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/aug/01/un-inspectors-syria-chemical-weapons 61 “U.S believes that Syria used chemical weapons” Last modified April 25 2013 http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2013/04/25/syria-chemical-weapons-reversal-hagel/2112377/ 18
the National Security Advisor to Obama, announced that the US believed that there was a high certainty that Assad had authorized the use of chemical weapons in the conflict.62 UN weapon inspectors finally confirmed that chemical weapons had been used on August 21st. The attack in August is reported to have killed 300 to over 1300 people. A British based group called the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights has claimed that they can confirm 502 deaths from the chemical attack. A preliminary US government assessment put the death toll from the attack at 1,429. The US and France both firmly believe that the Syrian army is responsible for the attack, and evidence from Human Rights Watch also points towards the Syrian army.63 The US had previously drawn a red line that included the usage of chemical weapons by the Assad regime from which President Obama was prepared to launch strikes that would have attempted to destroy chemical weapon attacks. President Obama respectfully went to Congress to get permission to launch the strike before launching it on his own. Iran and Russia both firmly opposed the attack, and Iran threatened the US with repercussions if they went through with the plan.64 US plans for the attack were put to a complete halt though after the United Nations Security Council unanimously passed resolution 2118 on September 27th. The resolution stated that Syria must give up all of their chemical weapons by mid-2014.65 Russia led the ideas for the creation of the resolution, and Al-Assad himself has promised to comply with the resolution.66 This is far from the first conflict involving chemical weapons that the United Nations is being drawn into. The Iraqis were accused of using chemical weapons in great quantities during the First Persian Gulf War, as investigated in the previous section. There are many different estimates for the number of casualties inflicted specifically from chemical weapons, but they all 62 “Syria chemical attack: What we know” Last modified September 24 2013 http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-23927399 63 “Iranian leader: U.S will definitely suffer if it leads strike on Syria” Last modified September 6, 2013 http://www.cnn.com/2013/09/05/world/meast/syria-civil-war/index.html 64 ”Syria Chemical-Arms Resolution Passes UN Security Council” Last modified September 28th 2013 http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-09-28/un-security-council-approves-syria-chemical-arms- measure.html 65 “Assad says Syria will respect UN chemical weapons accords” Last modified September 29th 2013 http://www.jpost.com/Middle-East/Assad-says-Syria-will-respect-UN-chemical-weapons-accords-327393 66 “Chemical Warfare In the Iran Iraq War 1980-1988” Last modified August 2013 http://www.iranchamber.com/history/articles/chemical_warfare_iran_iraq_war.php 19
range in the tens or even hundreds of thousands. The First Persian Gulf war lasted for over seven years before a Resolution was finally adopted that finally brought it to an end.67 During the First Persian Gulf War, the Red Cross investigated the incidents of Chemical Weapon usage finding extensive evidence. Iran allowed UN investigators into the country to examine victims to prove that they were being attacked with chemical weapons. The United Nations issued a statement condemning the usage of these weapons in the war. Iraq denied using the chemical weapons despite the evidence provided, and the state of condemnation issued by the United Nations. The United States issued special licensing requirements for exports to Iraq and Iran of particular chemicals. Later on other governments followed suite.68 Resolution 2118 on the elimination of chemical weapons in Syria has currently halted Western countries from launching strikes on Syria. Even though Syria has promised to comply with the resolution, there are no consequences listed in the resolution in case they do not comply.69 While Syria has promised to give up the chemical weapons in accordance with the resolution, there is no way to tell if they will change their minds within the time frame. In the meantime, Russia and Iran will likely remain staunch allies of Syria. If Syria does not comply completely, the US may urge the United Nations to create stronger consequences in the resolution to punish Syria. Nations such as Argentina, Venezuela, South Africa, and many more are against any external military action in Syria.70 7172Western European nations on the other hand have backed previous statements by the US that urged strikes before the creation of Resolution 2118. 67 “Argentina condemns military strike on Syria” Last modified August 29th 2013 http://www.buenosairesherald.com/article/139492/argentina-condemns-military-attack-on-syria 68 “Venezuela’s Maduro Writes Letter to Obama, “No War in Syria”” Last modified September 4th 2013 http://venezuelanalysis.com/news/10001 69 “South Africa causes blushes in handling of policy on Syria” Last modified September 16th 2013 http://www.bdlive.co.za/opinion/2013/09/16/south-africa-causes-blushes-in-handling-of-policy-on-syria 70 “The legacy of chemical warfare in Iran” Last modified April 22 2013 http://peaceandhealthblog.com/2013/04/22/chemical-warfare-iran/ 71 “Hezbollah and Rebels of Syria in Border Fight” Last modified June 3 2013 http://www.nytimes.com/2013/06/03/world/middleeast/hezbollah-and-syria-rebels-clash-on-border.html 72 “Syrian jihadists wreak havoc as violence spreads into Iraq” Last modified September 30th 2013 http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/sep/30/syrian-jihadists-wreak-havoc-violence-iraq 20
Terrorism in Syria Assad and his government are claiming to be in a war against terrorist organizations supported by the Western world. Meanwhile, Hezbollah’s military wing, an organization that has been declared a terrorist organization by the US, Israel, and now recently the European Union has sent in armed troops to support Assad’s regime in the civil war.73 It is also well known that Al-Qaeda has been involved in the fight against Al-Assad.74 Thousands of Hezbollah fighters have poured into Syria to support Assad, and they have turned the tide of the battle. Hezbollah has been sent large numbers of troops to fight Syrian rebels along the border of Lebanon, around Damascus, and in other regions as they continue to deepen their involvement in the increasingly far stretched civil war.75 In addition, Al-Qaeda has been gaining ground in regions near the Turkish border, where they have been locked in conflict with the Kurds who have recently taken up arms in the fight. Foreign fighters joining the battle for their side have heavily bolstered Al Qaeda’s numbers.76 Terrorists groups in Syria have been causing instability in the neighboring country of Iraq and increasing political tensions in the rest of the region. Al-Qaeda operatives have been establishing strongholds in the south and west of Iraq along the border of Syria striking fear into the hearts of those who live in the regions.77 Syria has described the rebels as cannibals eating the hearts of their victims. They claim to be fighting terrorists from 83 different countries.78 73 “Syrian FM to UN: 'Terrorists from 83 countries fighting in Syria'” Last modified September 30th 2013 http://rt.com/news/syria-un-foreign-chemical-542/ 74 “Al-Qaeda expands in Syria via Islamic State” Last modified August 12 2013 http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/al-qaeda-expands-in-syria-via-islamic-state/2013/08/12/3ef71a26- 036a-11e3-9259-e2aafe5a5f84_story.html 75 “Hezbollah and Rebels of Syria in Border Fight” Last modified June 3 2013 http://www.nytimes.com/2013/06/03/world/middleeast/hezbollah-and-syria-rebels-clash-on-border.html 76 “Syrian FM to UN: 'Terrorists from 83 countries fighting in Syria'” Last modified September 30th 2013 http://rt.com/news/syria-un-foreign-chemical-542/ 77 “Syrian jihadists wreak havoc as violence spreads into Iraq” Last modified September 30th 2013 http://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/sep/30/syrian-jihadists-wreak-havoc-violence-iraq 78 “Syrian FM to UN: 'Terrorists from 83 countries fighting in Syria'” Last modified September 30th 2013 http://rt.com/news/syria-un-foreign-chemical-542/ 21
Delegates must work towards a resolution that takes action to prevent these organizations from getting their hands on not just chemical weapons, but also on any other weapons that can be used around the world for their causes. Iran, and Russia have been supplying Assad with weapons and money for the war.79 Recently the United States has declared that they will be providing military support to Syrian rebels to help them combat Assad. Allowing these organizations to gain access to these weapons will have dangerous consequences on the already fragile region. Israel has already involved themselves in the war by bombing Syrian conveys and facilities (see figure above).80 If Israel suspects that Hezbollah has gotten a hold of any weapons, they may become more involved. 81 79 “Al-Qaeda expands in Syria via Islamic State” Last modified August 12 2013 http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/al-qaeda-expands-in-syria-via-islamic-state/2013/08/12/3ef71a26- 036a-11e3-9259-e2aafe5a5f84_story.html 80 “Iran adds Military aid to Syria as Russia Gives Money” Last modified July 18 2013 http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-07-18/iran-adds-military-aid-to-syria-as-russia-gives-money.html 81 “Report: Israel Bombs Another Syrian Weapons Convoy” Last modified July 28 2013 http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/170350#.UhUZjmRxsVk 22
The conflict has already spilled over into Lebanon, Iraq, and into Turkey at times, with chemical weapons and terrorism becoming increasingly. With different nations supporting different sides, delegates must be careful in crafting their resolutions. Terrorism is a threat to all nations in the world. Delegates should look for ways in which weapons sent to the region do not go into the hands of terrorist organizations. Assad has stated that he will only allow the Red Cross into the nation once the fighting is over. Delegates should work towards finding new ways for the United Nations to continue the progress it has already made with dealing with chemical weapons, and should seek out ways to contain the spread of terrorism in the region. Questions to Consider 1. How should the UN respond to the spreading of the conflict into neighboring countries? Is a military intervention needed? 2. How can the UN and other related NGOs better monitors and prevent weapons getting into the hands of terrorists? 3. How can the UN continue to ensure that chemical weapons are not being used against innocent civilians, and ensure that Syria continues to comply with the resolution passed by the UNSC on September 27th, 2013? 4. What should the UN and its member nations response be should it be proven definitively that chemical weapons are used against civilians? 5. How can the UN and its member nations attempt to curb the spread of Al-Qaeda’s influence and prevent its expansion in Syria and in the surrounding countries? Should the UN’s approach be based on development or military intervention? 23
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