UK Hotel Capital Markets - Investment Review 2022 Emerging strong - £4 billion of hotel transaction in 2021, demonstrates resilience and long-term ...
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Emerging strong – £4 billion of hotel transaction in 2021, demonstrates resilience and long-term well- being of the UK Hotel sector UK Hotel knightfrank.com/research Capital Markets Investment Review 2022
2 3 U K H O T E L C A P I TA L M A R K E T S 2 0 2 2 U K H O T E L C A P I TA L M A R K E T S 2 0 2 2 TRANSACTION OVERVIEW The UK Hotel Market recorded an impressive £4 billion of transactions in 2021, with growing investor sentiment and optimism over the long-term prospects for the sector. Backed by improving trading performance and a faster sector recovery than initially expected, we anticipate a robust and active year ahead for investment in hotel real estate. Luton Hoo Hotel & Spa. Acquired by the Arora Group. Confidential marketing campaign which resulted in multiple offers. Note: excludes the acquisition by Blackstone of Bourne Leisure for a reported £3 billion KNIGHT FRANK 2021 PREDICTIONS UK HOTELS – INVESTMENT SUMMARY FOR 2021 T 110% his past year has illustrated the started to return, with year-on-year At the start of the year, opportunistic PRE DICTIONS OUTC OM E strong resilience in the UK hotel hotel transaction volume more than investors scoured the market keen to sector, from both an operational and doubling and investment volumes capture assets at a discount to pre- UPLIFT ON 2020 TOTAL UK HOTEL property perspective, but has also increasing by over £2 billion in 2021. pandemic values, but with extended INVESTMENT VOLUME magnified the importance of investing Whilst the weight of capital invested government financial aid and banks in well-located assets, benefitting from into alternative property during 4.9bn supportive to their existing clients, very multiple demand generators, combined 2021 remained relatively static, at little distress emerged amongst assets with strong management and leadership. approximately £14 billion, as an that traded strongly pre-pandemic. COVID-INDUCED HOTEL SALES EXPECTED TO INCREASE Transactional activity improved following lifting of restrictions, Q4 strongest with £ FROM Q2-2021 investor sentiment improving. 5-YEARLY AVERAGE ANNUAL VOLUME Given the uncertain trajectory of asset class Hotels increased its share, UP 20% COMPARED TO 2012-2016 Covid-19 throughout 2020, the reduced representing 28% of investment in the Instead, reputable hotel owners and investment activity was to be expected UK Specialist Property Sector, compared operators focused on pro-active cost (£1.9 billion). Yet investor confidence to only a 13% share the previous year. control measures, protecting cashflow through strong operational management, collaborating and communicating Overseas investment focused towards £ 1.5bn INVESTED BY OVERSEAS BUYERS OVERSEAS INVESTORS TARGET London, Edinburgh and Manchester. 1 | UK total hotel investment volumes 2012-2021 effectively with stakeholders and making QUALITY ASSETS IN LONDON AND AN UPLIFT OF 31% OTHER GATEWAY CITIES ■ Single asset ■ Portfolio ■ Investment ■ Development 5-Year average investment volume full use of government support. Asset 9,000 8,000 sales of higher-value, full-service city- centre hotels have been relatively few, whilst hotel companies of all sizes sought 74% OF OVERSEAS INVESTMENT TARGETED Transaction Volume Million (£) 7,000 TOWARDS LONDON valuable time to refinance their existing 6,000 debt facilities or extend the maturity of Strong investor sentiment towards quality 58% 5,000 assets and best in class assets with value- existing loans and formalise additional INVESTOR PREFERENCE FOR LEANER BUSINESS MODELS add opportunities. 4,000 flexibility to their facility agreements. 3,000 OF OVERSEAS CAPITAL INTO UK HOTELS 2,000 Where quality assets have appeared for FROM NORTH AMERICAN INVESTORS 1,000 sale, the shortage of available stock, (US INVESTMENT £850 MILLION) 0 improving trading conditions in strong 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 staycation-led markets and a healthy pool Hotels sold for alternative use such as residential, student housing and last mile logistics. Demand Private Equity Investors Source: Knight Frank Research of buyers sought only to maintain or, in RANKED AS TOP UK BUYER IN 2021 REPURPOSING OF ASSETS AND LAND for local authority housing and accommodation for certain circumstances, increase values. SOLD FOR ALTERNATIVE USE asylum seekers has provided short-term cash-flow. (£1.5 BILLION OF INVESTMENT)
4 5 U K H O T E L C A P I TA L M A R K E T S 2 0 2 2 U K H O T E L C A P I TA L M A R K E T S 2 0 2 2 KNIGHT FRANK 2022 PREDICTIONS UK HOTEL INVESTMENT SIGNIFICANT VOLUMES OF GLOBAL HEIGHTENED DEMAND ANTICIPATED TO RISE TO CAPITAL, BACK TO PRE-PANDEMIC FOR HOTELS FROM £5bn LEVELS. TOP INFLOWS OF CAPITAL PRIVATE EQUITY FROM THE USA AND ASIA INVESTORS AND DEBT FUNDS environmental INCREASED VOLUMES considerations OF PORTFOLIO SET TO DRIVE CHANGE TRANSACTIONS / IN HOTEL INVESTMENT HIGHER PRICED ASSETS COMING Values AND LENDING TO MARKET to remain stable I N FUND ING E in 2022 LED H AS INCRE TEL ASSET E, O F S L OR SA ILY ET E D R AS MORE NORMALISED MARK T NECESSA MARKET CONDITIONS O BUT N RETURN ESS DISTR
6 7 U K H O T E L C A P I TA L M A R K E T S 2 0 2 2 U K H O T E L C A P I TA L M A R K E T S 2 0 2 2 HOTEL INVESTMENT of distress mirroring the aftermath of the holiday destinations and increase its of the extended lockdowns, or where global financial crisis. weight of support to UK Staycation? the cost to achieve carbon neutrality for TRENDS – 2022 under-invested assets, may also lead to a Looking ahead investors will need to For those owners and operators who rise in investment for alternative use. remain increasingly alert to the various through the course of the pandemic headwinds affecting the hotel sector, have learnt to drive the business Changes brought about by the pandemic, Current market dynamics will ensure a positive year for the UK hotel market, specifically the upward pressure on wages forward by simplifying and streamlining such as the need to unlock liquidity, with transaction volumes anticipated to rise to £5 billion in 2022. brought about by the ongoing shortage operations to reduce costs, invest in evolving requirements of occupiers and of labour and the forthcoming rise in the technology and their people, and had the drive to operate sustainable assets, National Living Wage; the increase in the the belief and conviction in the has brought repurposing of mainstream cost of sales and rising energy costs, all management strategies employed, these assets to the fore. The availability of have the potential to adversely impact businesses are likely to emerge more non-core assets suitable for conversion profits and the ability to drive high level strongly and embrace the challenges or repurposing into desirable hotel assets of returns. ahead on a much securer footing. is a trend likely to strengthen later in the year and into 2023 as the recovery With the pressure to ramp up occupancy Repurposing of assets in the hotel market progresses. With during the recovery in 2022, it is difficult drives investment the ongoing drive by hotel operators to HENRY JACKSON, to predict just how successful operators PARTNER, HEAD OF HOTEL AGENCY The repositioning of well-located, expand their market presence, demand will be in passing on rising operational underutilised business hotels can lend for development will be strong. As costs and the planned 7.5% increase in themselves for repurposing - an example a result, development funding will W ith the setback of the Omicron variant having now peaked and secured loans, taken out during the height of the pandemic, will need to be Increased asset rotation VAT. How much will the tightening of household budgets impact on leisure being the recent sale of the Croydon Park be stepped up as the sector recovers The average hold period of an asset for Hotel with plans for a new build-to-rent post pandemic, supported further by managing to ride out the pandemic with repaid or refinanced on revised terms. spend? Will the return of overseas visitors institutional capital and private equity development to comprise 600 units. Non- the availability of green finance, to continued vaccine efficacy, the strong Owners, often guided by their lenders, recover quick enough to counterbalance has extended over recent years, but with performing hotel assets pre-pandemic, encourage and support efforts to build flurry of transactional activity that will need to take a strategic look at the the rebound in outbound travel? And, assets likely to have been held back from which were unable to sustain the impact and operate sustainably. occurred during the final quarter of 2021 level of indebtedness in the medium to will the grey pound seek more localised sale due to the pandemic, for certain is expected to continue in the months long term. Funding-led sales may be an investors, executing the planned exit ahead. Facilitated by an extended inevitable outcome, as owners are forced strategy as the market recovers, will period of uninterrupted trading in 2022, to prioritise their investment plans and become a priority. improving debt markets and attractive to preserve long-term relationships with sector diversification, these are all their financial backers. Asset rotation is likely, particularly when factors that will help lure investment, there is increasing demand for global with best in class assets offering strong uu branded, regional UK hotel stock, with liquidity and competition in the market. competitive bidding processes driving With assets likely to have prices upwards. As the pandemic struck, Increased portfolio activity is expected, been held back from sale due to the pandemic, for several transactions were not advanced, with several opportunities currently certain investors, executing due to offers falling short of a seller’s progressing, as investors reignite stalled the planned exit strategy price expectations. As we emerge from exit plans or implement new strategies, as the market recovers, will the pandemic, several of these assets in order to take advantage of an upturn become a priority. may once again resume marketing in the investment cycle. campaigns for a potential sale. The uu Market forces come in to play – weight of new capital looking to invest in increased funding-led sales operational real estate, should help bridge The ongoing unwinding of cost the gap in price expectations between The level of transactional activity in pressures coming out of the pandemic buyers and sellers. 2021 was held back by a lack of suitable is continuing to drive up inflation in hotel stock, which is likely to continue Trading outlook obscured the short-to-medium term, which is at the start of 2022. Yet market forces are by headwinds expected to lead to moderate increases expected to come into play, leading to in interest rates during 2022, back to Unequivocally, it has been a testing time improved availability of assets for sale. pre-pandemic levels. As pressures on for hotel owners and operators as the As government subsidies come to an cashflow tighten and the ability to pathway out of the pandemic has taken end and whilst cash flows are not yet service debt becomes increasing more many unpredictable turns. Had the level fully recovered, lenders will seek to difficult, this is likely to drive asset of government support not materialised, exert greater control and housekeeping disposal programmes, opening the door the dialogue concerning distress could over their loan books. Government for opportunistic cash-rich investors. have been very different, with the level Hilton Bracknell Hotel, 215 Rooms, acquired by KSL Capital Partners and VUR Village Properties, sold off a guide price of £20 million.
8 9 U K H O T E L C A P I TA L M A R K E T S 2 0 2 2 U K H O T E L C A P I TA L M A R K E T S 2 0 2 2 may ultimately attract new investors, financially able to travel internationally What are your key investment CASTLEFORGE further boosting liquidity beyond 2022. continues to rise sharply, not least from the growing middle class in China. criteria and how has this evolved following the crisis? What actions have you undertaken to mitigate With people now more confident to Given that we started investing in hotels Matt Lederer, Hotel Acquisitions Director financial challenges? work remotely, the work trip that post the onset of Covid-19, our investment includes a longer stay and travelling criteria has remain unchanged. We seek to We did not own any hotels before May with others (friends and /or family), will invest in historically strong regional UK 2020, so avoided many of the financial become more popular. The converse cities that benefit from robust/growing challenges brought on by the initial is also true, with leisure trips being leisure demand and established corporate Covid-19 lockdown period. Alongside extended for work purposes. The demand. Underinvested assets and assets our current operating partner, we challenge will be creating a product and where the operating structure can be continually explore ways to improve uu corporate demand will take longer to What key drivers will boost environment that works equally well for changed are of particular interest, due to operating efficiency to mitigate future recover than those that are skewed hotel liquidity in 2022 and work and leisure. the significant value-add opportunity via Our focus is on ensuring financial challenges. Technology plays a towards leisure guests. Indeed, beyond? repositioning, rebranding and strategic our hotels are well placed to significant part in this, as does proactive From a property perspective, ESG within each market the asset by asset management. recover quickly. In fact, in our Interestingly, liquidity has not necessarily asset management. has continued its rise to the top of asset recovery will vary depending hotels, ADRs and weekend been the issue over the last 12 months, the agenda, and we are no exception. We are confident that our current hotel on the key fundamentals – location, What long-term opportunities occupancy have recovered to as there are large numbers of investors Guests are making booking decisions investment strategy will allow us to secure product quality, distribution system do you consider have arisen pre-pandemic levels. looking to deploy capital into the sector. based on how green travel to a strong returns for our investors, at or above and service quality. Our focus is on from this pandemic? The issue has been a lack of investment particular destination may be and for our return targets. We are currently in the ensuring our hotels are well placed to uu opportunities and this has pushed up Prior to Covid-19, the year-on-year many institutional investors ESG has process of finalising our European hotel recover quickly. In fact, in our hotels, pricing. Improved visibility and trading growth in global leisure travel was become the most important criteria in investment strategy and this will include core ADRs and weekend occupancy have predictability will likely boost liquidity substantial. People’s desire to travel evaluating a potential opportunity. pillars of our UK strategy, while also adjusting recovered to pre-pandemic levels. in the short term. The relatively quick has not diminished and the level of For all these reasons, future proofing to the specific market dynamics within the Why invest in the UK hotel What are your biggest concerns recovery of some markets, demonstrated frustrated demand is now more than our assets from an ESG perspective is Eurozone. This is an area we expect to begin market today? for 2022? the robust nature of the sector and this ever. In addition, the number of people a key focus throughout the hold period. investment within the very near term. As a company we have been active in Staff shortages, the increase of VAT for the UK property market for more than hospitality in April, cost inflation and a decade and we have applied our deep potential renewal of Covid-19 related research into global trends and local restrictions all remain a concern for market insight as we moved into the 2022. Working with our hotel operating UK hotel market. We also have strong partner, Axiom Hospitality, we are experience in other operational real already taking steps to anticipate and estate sectors where value is heavily address many of these concerns. We are tied to operational success. in a market where operational attention to detail and quick decision making are In what timeframe do you paramount. For example, realising the consider that both London and full trading potential of our hotels was Regional UK will return to pre- only possible through our responsive pandemic trading levels? action to secure agency housekeeping We expect London to continue to lag staff, despite the cost implications, the UK’s broader recovery, but that allowing us to operate at 100% capacity said, when it does recover, London during busy periods, while competitor could see a quicker recovery than many hotels had to cap occupancy. currently predict. No pandemic can take On a positive note, the staff shortages away London’s status as a prominent should see owners and operators destination of interest for leisure and invest more heavily in staff retention corporate travellers alike. and development, benefitting both In the Regional UK market, recovery employees and the wider hospitality will not be uniform, but based on industry longer term. Supply chain the performance of our hotels in H2 challenges have led many hotels to 2021, we are cautiously optimistic source produce more locally, benefitting about the potential for 2022 trading. the local economy, while also adding to Markets predominantly reliant on the guest experience. The Crowne Plaza Edinburgh - Royal Terrace, acquired by Castleforge in September 2021. The hotel is under franchise with IHG, and managed by Axiom Hospitality
10 11 U K H O T E L C A P I TA L M A R K E T S 2 0 2 2 U K H O T E L C A P I TA L M A R K E T S 2 0 2 2 HOTEL INVESTMENT improved sentiment towards lending to breaking year for hotel investment positioned in the branded Upscale and the sector. in 2015. This demonstrates that the Upper-Upscale segments. REVIEW – 2021 pandemic has acted as a catalyst for hotel With the UK in full lockdown at the investment at the lower end of the market Strong domestic-leisure demand start of 2021, it is no surprise9,000 that only with a diverse range of investors, both drives hotel transactions 13% of the total annual transaction 8,000 Transaction Volume Million (£) domestic and from overseas, with capital volume took place during Q1-2021. 7,000 The combination of lockdowns, stay- to invest for the right asset. Once the government announced 6,000 a at-home orders and tight restrictions Favourable investment opportunities fuelled by the pandemic clearer roadmap out of lockdown, 5,000 hotel Portfolio activity accounted for just 23% on travel have heightened consumers’ investment gradually rebounded, 4,000 with of the total UK hotel transaction volume, interest and desire to travel in the UK approximately £1.3 billion of3,000 hotels sold with two-thirds of the investment taking market and their propensity to spend W uu during the first six months, equivalent 2,000 place in the final quarter of the year and more on quality experiences. As the sector hilst it is undisputed that the Similarly, difficult decisions have been to 32% of the total transaction volume. 1,000 positioned largely in the upper midscale continued its early recovery, hotel trading UK hospitality industry has The combination of made by businesses that own and operate With the recovery in trading performance 0 sector. Portfolio transactions totalled was driven by strong domestic leisure been one of the hardest hit sectors lockdowns, stay-at- collections of hotels either independently 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 faster and stronger during the summer approximately £900 million, less than demand, with many hotels in coastal and throughout the pandemic, the trade- home orders and tight or under franchise. As a result, various and autumn months, this led to half the level of portfolio investment country locations witnessing exceptional off is the potential for more promising restrictions on travel have hotels changed ownership in 2021 considerably higher levels of investor achieved pre-pandemic in 2019. With levels of revenue generation, reaching investment opportunities, that would heightened consumers’ following decisive action taken to reduce sentiment, resulting in 52% of the annual few Upscale and Upper-Upscale hotels heights beyond that achieved during have remained dormant had this health interest and desire to travel debt, support cashflow, or raise capital transaction volume completing during transacting as part of a portfolio sale, summer 2019. crisis not prevailed. in the UK market and their for investment in their wider portfolio. the final quarter of the year, equating to the average transaction price per room propensity to spend more Furthermore, with the pandemic fuelling Whilst a strong rebound in outbound Throughout the successive phases of the over £2 billion of hotels sold.■ Single asset ■ Portfoliodeclined ■ Investment ■ Development by 44% Market Share per Qtr in London to £346,000 on quality experiences. changing investment strategies, various leisure travel is anticipated, the desire pandemic, each with their own level of per room and by 16% in Regional UK to quality assets previously marketed for Our research, however, reveals that 3,000 for a UK90% staycation is expected to remain uncertainty, the liquidity position and uu £123,000 per room, compared to 2019. sale pre-pandemic have now successfully the makeup of transaction activity was robust, fuelled by shorter but more access to capital has been a determining 80% transacted during 2021. vastly altered compared to historical 2,500 Across the UK, for all hotels sold as frequent domestic leisure breaks and Investment Volume (£ million) factor for many owners and operators. 70% resultant effect of this extended crisis has trends. In total, some 150 single asset going concerns in 2021 (single asset if disposable incomes are squeezed, For many of the smaller, independently Strong uplift in hotel investment forced many hotel owner-operators to hotel transactions took place2,000 in the UK and portfolio hotel sales, but excluding holidays60% abroad may be put on hold. % Share per Qtr owner-operator hotels, of which there as recovery in trading close. The investment required to rebuild with a guide price of around £2 million, investment sales and developments), Transactional activity during 2021 are over 10,000 hotels trading in the performance strengthens 50% and maintain the business, combined equating to approximately £1.9 billion. 1,500 the average transaction price per room illustrates the intense demand for quality UK, equivalent to 40% of the total hotel 40% with severe operational challenges such The underlying drivers of increased hotel This represented a 60% increase in the equalled £163,000, a decline of 26% hotels in strategic, strong leisure- supply, the loss of income endured as staffing and rising costs, has forced demand, the continued improvement number of deals and 46% increase 1,000 in when compared to 2019 transaction based locations, 30% with investors seeking throughout the crisis has been significant. many experienced owner operators to in profitability and visibility for future transaction volume, compared to 2019 prices. This is due largely to the opportunities 20% to reposition a business Pre-pandemic, many under-invested make a lifestyle choice, choosing to retire trading, have contributed to growing and is the highest level of single 500asset scarcity of certain assets transacting, and take advantage of its trading position 10% hotels continued to trade, but the and/or exit from the sector. optimism amongst investors and banks activity to take place since the record- in particular trophy assets and hotels in the longer-term. 0 0% 2 | UK hotel investment volume per quarter 2018-2021 ■ Single asset ■ Portfolio ■ Investment ■ Development Market Share per Qtr 3,000 90% 80% Investment Volume (£ million) 2,500 70% 2,000 60% % Share per Qtr 50% 1,500 40% 1,000 30% 20% 500 10% 0 0% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2018 2019 2020 2021 Source: Knight Frank Research Best Western Hotel Bristol, Newquay, purchased by Salboy Ltd, a UK developer. Acquired for its current trading business, combined with its future development potential. Sold off a guide price of £5 million, receiving strong interest and second round bids.
12 13 U K H O T E L C A P I TA L M A R K E T S 2 0 2 2 U K H O T E L C A P I TA L M A R K E T S 2 0 2 2 Whilst most traditional high street banks Institutional investors were most active in UK transaction volume increased to transaction volume was attributed have taken a cautious approach to new the London market, notable transactions 51% (excluding developments), more in to the sale of independent hotels. lending, emerging challenger banks and where Knight Frank advised the line with historical trends. The market This variation resulted in the average have shown a much greater appetite, vendors, included the sale of Yotel London share typically ranges between 55% to transaction value per room for all growing their loan books considerably Clerkenwell to LGIM Real assets at a guide 58%, depending upon the volume of hotels sold as a going concern falling during the pandemic. Several existing price of £70 million and The East London portfolio transactions. by 24% compared to 2019, to owner operators have capitalised on this Hotel, sold to Avelios Property Group & approximately £118,000 per room. opportunity, allowing them to pursue Crestline Investors, the latter, a Texan- uu Portfolio transactions accounted for their vision for organic growth. based US fund. Meanwhile, the sale of With the pandemic a further 32% of regional UK hotel Dorsett City London Hotel for £115 million, A select number of specialist inns and stimulating significant transactions, with 64% of the total acquired by Cerberus Capital Management pub operators have emerged, seeking investment activity, the portfolio transactional activity taking & Highgate Hotels for £431,000 per room, to capitalise on the growing lifestyle volume of transactions in place in regional UK. represented the largest deal acquired by a trend, by offering quality, local, leisure regional UK totalled over private equity investor. Whilst hotel investment into fixed lease experiences, food-driven pubs with £1.8 billion assets by institutional investors has a comfortable overnight stay. UK Despite, over 5,000 new hotel rooms uu grown in recent years, these institutions domestic owner-operators such as under construction and due to open in are typically well-capitalised, allowing The Inn Collection Group, Chestnut London in 2022, the pandemic-induced In contrast to transactional activity them to face contingent situations Group, RedCat Pub Company, Cameron development pause, has resulted in a pre-pandemic, in 2021 regional UK has and ride through such periods of Ventures and Butcombe Brewery, have slowdown in the city’s future pipeline of witnessed a substantial decline in both challenge. In 2021, the budget hotel all expanded in size, by sourcing unique new supply. Nevertheless, the London development and investment activity. sector, which historically has made venues in popular locations, steeped in market attracted 88% of the hotel The number of single asset hotels up the bulk of fixed lease investment character and history and which benefit development finance in 2021, with five transacting in Regional UK represented activity, accounted for just 10% of from sympathetic restoration development deals completed during the over 80% of the total deals but accounted the regional UK transaction volume, and remodelling. year. This equated to £450 million The Winchester Hotel, acquired by UK domestic buyer, Jastar Capital. Competitive bidding process, resulting in a sale at for only 53% of the total Regional UK recording approximately £180 million in 10% above the guide price. of funding raised to service 1,200 new Because of the strong domestic leisure transaction volume. Approximately one transaction volume, a decline of almost hotel rooms, with investors focused demand there has been an exceptional quarter of single asset transactions were 76% compared to investment in 2019. This represented an astounding 385% transactions, accounting for a 54% share almost exclusively on developing level of distinctive assets being sold, in attributed to independent hotels at a price increase compared to transaction volumes of total UK transactions (declining to 49% budget hotels or serviced apartments. In 2022, the liquidity of the UK hotel terms of their unique location, heritage, point of less than £10 million. in 2019. when excluding hotel development), the Competition for prime central London market is expected to be much building fabric, history and positioning sales activity increased by 50% compared stock suitable for conversion to serviced By comparison, in 2019 single asset hotels stronger, with regional UK seeing a relative to their local environment. Our The sale of Barnsley House Hotel, a to 2020. Still, it represented a 20% decline apartments, is compelling. represented just over 30% of deals and higher proportion of portfolio activity, research indicates some £625 million Cotswold country house hotel, where when compared to 2019 – which at the 25% of the total Regional UK transaction together with a rebound in the fixed of hotels, independently operated, Knight Frank acted on behalf of the In conclusion, there remains a high time was considered a year of subdued volume. In 2019, 15% of the single asset lease investment market. transacted in regional UK during 2021. Calcot Collection, demonstrates the number of well-funded investors keen to activity due to a scarcity of assets for sale. demand for quality hotel assets located acquire prime hotel assets and London in strong leisure-based destinations. The London witnessed some 38 hotels deals is set to be a major beneficiary of this 4 | UK Hotel transactional volumes (million) 3 | UK hotel investment 2021 24-bedroom property was sold to a Hong completing (excluding developments), capital as the global city recovers. With London v Regional UK 2012-2021 by grade volume v rooms Kong-based HNWI, with the achieved greater than the number of deals which the best assets enjoying high levels of price per key at a record price for regional completed in both 2019 and 2020. But liquidity, Knight Frank is aware of several ■ Regional UK ■ London 5-Year average Regional UK 5-Year average London Rooms Volume UK hotels. with the absence of any trophy assets of high-end London hotels currently being 9,000 3-star 4-star Budget 5-star Apartment 2-star transactions, the average transaction prepared for sale in 2022. Strong levels London investment levels hold 8,000 1% price per room decreased by 27% of demand are expected, and it will be up with a sharp rise in activity 7,000 compared to 2019, to £302,000 per room interesting to see how these sales progress. 11% 10% in Q4 6,000 (excluding developments). 6% 5% 1% Regional UK – liquidity Million (£) 3% Despite the recovery only properly 5,000 In total, some 29 London hotels transacted boosted by single asset hotel 19% commencing in the autumn, once 4,000 14% as going concerns, representing 33% of the transactions 12% international travel restrictions were total UK transaction volume. Transacting 3,000 eased and working from home guidelines With the pandemic stimulating significant 58% at around £392,000 per room, London’s 2,000 ending, investment levels in the Capital investment activity, the volume of largest hotel deal at £355 million, involved 1,000 have been resilient. Investor confidence transactions in regional UK totalled 60% the sale of the 906-room Holiday Inn grew stronger as the year progressed, with almost £1.8 billion, this follows a dearth 0 Kensington Forum, acquired by The 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 the final quarter of the year witnessing of investment the previous year, due to Fragrance Group, a private Singapore Source: Knight Frank Research 50% of London’s total annual transaction the lack of stock available in the market. Source: Knight Frank Research property company. volume. With over £2.1 billion of hotel Regional UK’s market share of the total
14 15 U K H O T E L C A P I TA L M A R K E T S 2 0 2 2 U K H O T E L C A P I TA L M A R K E T S 2 0 2 2 ZETLAND CAPITAL uu PARTNERS We are more confident in London and gateway cities, such as Manchester and Edinburgh, given their Lily Wecker, Vice President long-term appeal to a wider base of international and domestic guests. uu Why invest in the UK hotel How would you consider refurbished hotels and those that have all, we at Zetland emphasize the “S” market today? the recovery of London and secondary locations. Well-located (social) aspect and prioritize taking care Regional UK to pre-pandemic regional hotels could benefit from a of our team members both in terms of We are optimistic about the macro trading levels? balanced mix of leisure transient demand their physical and mental well-being prospects of UK gateway cities. UK and corporate & MICE demand, whereas as well as their job stability and income cities have strong fundamentals with We are more confident in London and those with a secondary location may security. 70% of employees now demand population growth (7.6% p.a.*) and job gateway cities, such as Manchester and struggle to diversify from groups and purposeful work*** and younger creation (10 largest cities accounted Edinburgh, given their long-term appeal attract transient traffic in the long-term. consumers increasingly pay a premium for 46% of job creation in 2013-19**). to a wider base of international and for sustainable products. It’s a win-win While the pandemic continues to domestic guests. Although Regional UK What key trends do you to invest in ESG. hinder international and corporate performed superbly in the summer of envisage will evolve in 2022? travels, we expect this demand to fully 2021 boosted by domestic tourism, we The inflationary environment has The rise of ESG coupled with accelerated recovery by end of 2024. We see the are cautious whether they could sustain encouraged us to think creatively cost inflation will likely continue. ESG is current environment an opportunistic this demand or not. As the recovery about increasing efficiency across now front and centre to our hotel staff, window for acquiring sound assets and continues, we expect a bifurcation our portfolio. For instance, installing guests as well as shareholders. Above repositioning them in the next 1-2 years. between well-located and recently energy-efficient M&E, up-skilling the workforce and adopting re-usable or bio-degradable materials are just a few initiatives we have rolled out. What key drivers will boost hotel liquidity in 2022 and beyond? We saw a lot of capital deployment from equity investors in 2021. The return of Hospitality hasn’t been known as an needs and provide creative capital credit will be key to further liquidity industry generous to its staff, and here solutions. During the pandemic, we in 2022. While alternative lenders we have an opportunity to improve closed multiple investments where we remained throughout the year of 2021, working conditions, invest in diversity provided rescue financing and growth we expect senior lenders to return to recruitment initiatives, and develop the equity funding to family-owned groups. prime hospitality assets in the second next generation of talents. half of 2022 in a meaningful way. What are your key investment What long-term opportunities criteria and how has this do you consider have arisen evolved following the crisis? from this pandemic? Zetland invests in complex, special This pandemic could serve as an situations where capital is urgently opportunity to re-think guest experiences needed or scarce. Our core thesis is Sources: * www.gov.uk - trend deck 21:Urbanisation and employee well-being. Guests and to invest in quality assets and strong ** www.centreforcities: why cities will be our main job employees are now more acutely aware management teams in prime leisure creators post covid Zetland Capital Partners acquired The Macdonald Manchester Hotel (338-bedrooms) and The Macdonald Holyrood Hotel, Edinburgh (157 bedrooms) from Macdonald Hotels in of safety measures, air ventilation, destinations or city-centre locations. *** www.mckinsey.com - help your employees find purpose or watch them leave November 2021. fair treatments, and mental health. We strive to understand our partners’
16 17 U K H O T E L C A P I TA L M A R K E T S 2 0 2 2 U K H O T E L C A P I TA L M A R K E T S 2 0 2 2 OVERSEAS INVESTMENT MOST ACTIVE INVESTORS London a key target for safe-haven investment Private Equity investors ranked as top UK buyer in 2021 I n 2021, overseas buyers invested almost £1.5 billion into the UK hotel America, with a total investment volume of more than £850 million, of which notably corporate, group and international overnight stays. Hotel trading performance C apital flows from private equity investors totalled almost £1.5 Goldman Sachs & Cedar Capital Partners acquired The Belfry Hotel uu market, an uplift of 31% compared to 75% of the investment volume targeted underpins the transaction market, and as billion in 2021, representing a 39% share & Resort for £140 million from US The strong level of the previous year, but off a relatively London. A further 27% of overseas London’s trading performance strengthens, of the UK’s total investment volume. Private Equity firm KSL Capital. investment in the UK hotel low base, this represented a 28% decline investment came from Asia, equating we envisage an increase in hotel assets Regional UK was a strong beneficiary of sector by private equity Brookfield-backed, serviced compared to 2019. Some 74% of overseas to over £400 million. Over 90% of this marketed for sale. this capital, with approximately £950 investors verifies the weight apartment operator, edyn group investment was targeted towards capital originated from the Singaporean million invested, representing 54% of the of capital seeking investment The investment made by the Fragrance signed a £195 million debt facility London, this is a complete reversal of the investor, the Fragrance Group, following total regional UK investment and 62% opportunities. They Group, endorses the group’s commitment with Blackstone’s Global Real investment focus in 2019, where regional the purchase of the Holiday Inn Forum share of total private equity investment. partner with experienced to the UK, having previously acquired Estate Debt fund (BRED) and KSL UK attracted 73% of overseas investment. Kensington Hotel and Aloft Liverpool operators, aiming to create five operational hotels and a further six The two largest portfolio deals to Capital Partners, with the funds With over £1.1 billion of investment Hotel, which together accounted for 25% quality portfolios with development sites, in strategic resort and transact in 2021 – Henderson Park’s used to support its expansion into injected into the London market, of the total overseas investment. Even growth potential. city centre locations, since 2017. Such acquisition of 12 Hilton hotels (Project Europe and to develop its newly overseas capital represented 51% of without this transaction, still some 66% investment is testament to the optimism Conrad) and MCAP Global Finance’s launched brand, Cove. The facility uu the total London hotel investment. In of the overseas capital flow was targeted that committed overseas investors have on acquisition of 17 Holiday Inn and Crowne contributed to the £62.5 million contrast, only 21% of the investment towards London. the future of the UK hotel property market. Plaza branded hotels (Project Horizon) – funding arrangement to secure volume in regional UK originated from Prior to the sudden arrival of the Omicron For HNWIs, with access to patient capital, were both acquired using private equity, the acquisition of Cove Landmark complement or diversify their existing overseas. Despite the unprecedented variant, London continued to deliver its the UK hotel sector offers the opportunity accounting for approximately 44% of the Pinnacle Canary Wharf, where hotel portfolio, possessing the market challenges and uncertainty endured highest level of profitability since the to look beyond traditional asset classes, investment secured by this investor type. 162-units will operate as serviced knowledge and expertise to acquire by the sector, it is apparent that global start of the pandemic, boosted by an providing access to prime real estate and apartments, within the new the asset based on the current trading investors seek post-pandemic safe The strong level of investment in the UK uplift in the UK domestic market and land, with the potential to reposition, 75-storey luxury residential tower. performance. Deals where Knight Frank havens and London’s hotel real estate is hotel sector by private equity investors overseas visitors. Despite the temporary extend or develop the assets. Investments acted on behalf of the owner included: a certain target and beneficiary. verifies the weight of capital seeking Cerbereus Capital Management set-back of Omicron, London’s recovery of this scale have potential to offer these the Arora Group’s acquisition of the investment opportunities. They partner and Highgate Hotels purchasing Almost 58% of overseas capital injected is expected to gather pace, boosted by investors stable, resilient cashflows and 5-star, Luton Hoo Hotel, Golf & Spa; with experienced operators, aiming to the Dorsett City London Hotel for into UK hotels originated from North the return of key sources of demand, high returns over the long-term. Kaleidoscope’s purchase of Bishopstrow create quality portfolios with growth £115 million. House Hotel in Wiltshire; Jastar Capital potential. Other significant Private UK domestic buyers seek completed on The Winchester Hotel & Spa Equity investors active in the sector 5 | Buyer origin out opportunities to drive and the acquisition of the Bentley Hotel 2021 vs 2019 during 2021 included: organic growth & Spa in Lincoln and Stanton House in 2019 2021 Zetland Capital Partners, A growing number of domestic Wiltshire to the same private owner. UK Middle East who acquired the Macdonald operators have succeeded in raising Assets which have been marketed for European East Asis Manchester Hotel and Macdonald debt finance and/or are well funded sale, following action taken as a result North America Other Holyrood Hotel in Edinburgh for and are capitalising on opportunities of the pandemic, have continued to fuel 1% a sum in excess of £100 million, the pandemic has presented. UK this trend for domestic buyers to acquire as well as acquiring the De Vere corporate hoteliers and corporate attractive assets on a selective basis, 22% 4% 1% 63% Staverton Hotel in Daventry. The buyers represented 17% of the total UK with some £400 million of hotels group also acquired The Morrison a transaction volume, but almost 30% 10% transacting in 2021 to a UK Corporate DoubleTree by Hilton in Dublin for share of the total rooms transacted. 11% Hotelier. Other examples of sales include approximately €65m. 10% 9% Knight Frank has been instructed on the acquisition of the Hilton Warwick/ 65% Conker Dawn, a new investment several deals where the successful Stratford-Upon-Avon by Serani Hotels; 3% vehicle, acquired the Hampton by purchaser is a reputable UK domiciled the purchase of Five Lakes Resort in 1% Hilton Waterloo and the Doubletree buyer, already with a strong presence Colchester to Potters Leisure; Lakeside by Hilton York from privately- in the UK Hotel sector. These well- Newby Bridge in the Lake District to Source: Knight Frank Research owned, UK-based Shiva Hotels, for capitalised buyers have acted quickly Classic Lodges; and Bredbury Hall & Barnsley House Hotel, acquired by Halo HP Hong Kong Ltd. The 24-bedroom hotel, sold for a record price per key for Regional UK. approximately £95 million. and purchased assets which directly Country Club to Vine Hotels.
18 19 U K H O T E L C A P I TA L M A R K E T S 2 0 2 2 U K H O T E L C A P I TA L M A R K E T S 2 0 2 2 AVELIOS expect an increase in forced sales acquire a quality asset in a rapidly team and a leading firm as our as lenders are likely to become less developing London submarket, well white label hotel manager to help us ALTERNATIVE ASSETS forgiving for struggling hotels and any positioned to benefit from a post-Covid reposition and stabilise the asset. covenant breaches. market recovery. There is no doubt that Covid-19 has What actions have you uu stimulated an interesting landscape for undertaken to mitigate Overseas investors are Guido Lang, Chief Investment Officer investment. We focus on future-proof financial challenges? attracted to the UK as it is assets in liquid markets across Europe among the most liquid and Our underwriting assumes a transparent commercial real that provide attractive, uncorrelated, conservative and gradual market estate markets globally. risk-adjusted returns. The East London recovery and we have appointed a Hotel presented an opportunity to market leading professional advisor uu Why invest in the UK hotel one of the most visited and culturally market today? vibrant cities in the world thanks to its deep history, arts and culture and We are positive on the UK hotel market position as global economic centre. post Covid-19 and eager to deploy capital into the market at an attractive What key trends do you point in the recovery cycle. We target envisage will evolve and what high quality assets, in good and rapidly are your main concerns in 2022? improving locations, benefitting from Whilst the domestic leisure and corporate strong fundamentals, at an attractive travel markets are likely to recover entry basis with value-add potential from soonest, we expect the international repositioning or stabilisation. market to recover rapidly as travel Our aim is to reposition and stabilise the restrictions ease and people crave a hotel in the short to medium term before return to physical connections. considering a sale. What is your view concerning uu the long-term prospects of the We are positive on the UK hotel UK hotel market? market post Covid-19 and eager to deploy capital into the In the long-term the UK, and particularly market at an attractive point London, will continue to benefit from in the recovery cycle. a combination of strong domestic and uu international leisure and corporate hotel demand. We are particularly positive Cost inflation, including rising energy on efficient and well-located urban city prices and the cost of supplies remain centre hotels, that provide flexible and key concerns in the current trading good value accommodation to a variety environment. Similarly, impacting of guest types, and which have great across the sector, staff shortages will transport links. remain a challenge, and the return of We consider that both London and VAT back to 20%. Regional UK will return to pre-pandemic What key drivers will trading levels between two to three years. boost hotel liquidity in What are the key attractions for 2022 and beyond? overseas investors to invest in There is pent up investment demand the UK hotel market? from hotel investors, following years of Overseas investors are attracted to the market disruption and we expect to see UK as it is among the most liquid and more disposals as owners look to unload transparent commercial real estate assets, they were unable or unwilling markets globally. London will remain to sell during the pandemic. We also The East London Hotel, acquired in a joint venture agreement between Avelios Alternative Assets and Crestline Investors in October 2021.
20 21 U K H O T E L C A P I TA L M A R K E T S 2 0 2 2 U K H O T E L C A P I TA L M A R K E T S 2 0 2 2 INSTITUTIONAL INVESTMENT uu Conversely, we saw very strong investor an investment-grade product, will be Whitbread-let investments demand return for Whitbread / Premier subject to the quality and location of the are experiencing the Inn-backed assets, with institutional stock, as well as institutional investors The Continuing Appeal of the Hotel Sector highest level of demand investors leading the charge. Pricing becoming more accepting of variable and yields are predicted achieved on assets in December was at occupational turnover-based leases. to sharpen further for the levels higher than pre-pandemic. As we enter 2022, fixed lease hotel Diversification in investment- combined with a substantial uplift in investors will be expected as the recovery most sought-after assets. We It is clear, that many now interested in the transaction volumes are expected to grade stock drives growth in pricing in the broader investment market takes place. are experiencing renewed sector are not purely focussed on covenant increase, with the sector offering the average transaction price (comprising fixed lease, ground lease and demand for Travelodge-let The sale of the 212-room Yotel London strength, but they are also considering the portfolio diversification and value per room income strip transactions), investment investments and this will Clerkenwell, which sold off a guide price of stability of the rental income stream and compared to other asset classes, on a sales transacted at an average transaction continue to build as the year In pursuit of available investment-grade £70 million to LGIM Real Assets, was one of predictability of future cash flows far more risk-adjusted basis. But with the price of £172,000 per room, an uplift of 46% progresses. bedroom stock, institutional investors the first central London hotels to transact closely. The property fundamentals are key. development pipeline slowing, the compared to the 2019 transaction price. Charles Fletcher, Partner, Specialist seek to diversify their investment in the following the onset of the pandemic. Property Investment fixed lease market may continue to be Operationally, the two largest operators sector. The £10 million sale-and-leaseback Institutional investments target Knight Frank acted for the administrators uu constrained by a lack of stock. in the fixed-lease market, Whitbread transaction of the Lamington Group’s development sites, focusing on responsible for the sale, achieving the and Travelodge, have both rebounded Room2 Southampton asset, to Aberdeen forward funding deals highest value per room for a trading asset reported £143 million (£388,000 per strongly post lockdown as seen in their Standard Investment, where Knight Frank made by a UK Institutional investor and room). Meanwhile, Federated Hermes Total institutional investment into the recent trading updates and they continue uu advised the purchaser, is considered to represented the Fund’s first operational entered into two forward funding UK hotel market totalled approximately to be recognised as two of the most be a real test of the operator’s covenant hotel acquisition. agreements, a £97.5 million agreement We anticipate a rise in hotels £750 million in 2021, with an 88% to 12% defensive operators, with an ability to drive strength, with the deal having completed in with developer Dominvs, for the 400- funded via a forward funding split between London and Regional UK. Institutional investors provided over occupancy and reduce overheads. The January 2021, at the start of England's third room Premier Inn Hammersmith and a structure as schemes on In total, institutional investors (UK and £300 million of development funding, opportunity to offer a durable long-term lockdown, when visibility for the recovery £35 million agreement with Citygrove hold over the term of the overseas) accounted for 19% of total UK representing 42% of this buyer group’s income stream, hedged against inflation, of the sector was extremely opaque. Securities for the proposed 137-bedroom pandemic are revisited, hotel investment and was ranked as the investment volume. The deals involved will continue to drive investor interest. Premier Inn Lambeth development. as well as the continuing second most active investor group to invest three London sites, totalling some 900 Serviced apartments have remained As evidenced in 2021, an increasing ground rent trend which profitable throughout the pandemic, in the sector. rooms, let to Whitbread and a fourth site What does the future hold for number of operators are competing in allows owner operators let to Dalata, for the 260-bedroom Maldron the Fixed Lease Market? thereby proving their resilience and UK institutional investment totalled £430 the occupational lease space, including the opportunity to access One Park Lane Liverpool development. robustness. The inclusion of serviced million, despite being 80% below the Historically, Travelodge let-investments Dalata, edyn Group, StayCity, Melia and relatively low-cost capital in apartments as investment-grade product level of investment in 2019, this investor The largest transaction involved the UK’s have been the most frequently traded Lamington Group, who are all committed exchange for around 15% of is a trend that will continue well beyond type recorded positive annual net capital largest private pension scheme, Universities fixed-lease hotel assets. The impact of to forging strong relationships with their EBITDA, but still retain 2021 and will serve to elevate the average inflows of around £250 million since the Superannuation Scheme, entering into the Travelodge CVA in 2020 dented institutional investors. AGO Hotels, which full operational control of transaction price per room further. In pandemic began. This demonstrates that a forward funding agreement to acquire investor confidence however, and we offers a hybrid lease, equity stake and profit their business. 2021, with a notable absence of Travelodge most fund managers were well capitalised the 369-bedroom Premier Inn Paddington saw a fall in demand which resulted in participation, evolved out of the turbulence Charles Fletcher, Partner, Specialist Property Investment stock transacting, following the operator’s and positioned to ride out the storm, but an development from Invesco Real Estate and limited activity in 2021, with only seven of the pandemic and will seek to expand its Company Voluntary Arrangement (CVA), increase in portfolio churn by institutional London-based developer YardNine, for a Travelodge assets trading during the year. portfolio further, but its ability to become uu 6 | Total UK hotel investment volume 2021 - by investor profile Buyers v Sellers ■ Buyer ■ Seller Buyer –average price per room transacted 1,600 350,000 Average Price per Room Transacted (£) 1,400 300,000 Transaction Volume (£Million) 1,200 250,000 1,000 200,000 800 150,000 600 100,000 400 200 50,000 0 0 Private Equity Overseas UK Institutional UK Corporate Overseas UK Corporate UK Private Overseas HNW Family Corporate Investor Hotelier Institutional Investor Hotelier Corporate Office Investor Investor Hotelier Source: Knight Frank Research Hilton Maidstone, the 146-bedroom hotel was acquired by Orida Group, on the basis of obtaining vacant possession at the end of the lease. The hotel will complement the group's expanding collection of hotels and prestigious golf clubs, all regionally located in the South East of England.
22 23 U K H O T E L C A P I TA L M A R K E T S 2 0 2 2 U K H O T E L C A P I TA L M A R K E T S 2 0 2 2 BLACKROCK REGIONAL UK HOTEL Sam Farquharson, Vice President, BlackRock Real Assets TRANSACTION VOLUME BY GEOGRAPHY AND BY REGION to long-term investment performance in better than ever. Operators and owners Why invest in the UK hotel the hotels sector. have learnt to manage what may have market today? With many indicators suggesting that transactional activity’s historically been considered fixed costs. There appears to be no quick fix for makeup in 2021 was different from recent pre-pandemic investment Sectors of the UK hotel market offer a Going forward, cashflows are likely to be the ongoing labour shortages that the activity, our detailed, analysis of where investors targeted their strong opportunity to capitalise on a managed more efficiently, which should hospitality sector is grappling. Equally, capital confirms this understanding. period of growth, with the opportunity help improve margins. increasing operational and construction to obtain significant reversion costs, as well as rising inflation, all Whilst the past two years have been through improved occupancy and remain significant concerns for 2022. extremely difficult for the leisure strong room rates as we emerge from the Pandemic. This is not true of the Supply continues to be an issue in certain and hospitality sectors, it has also provided incredible insight into which F rom a location analysis of over 170 hotels transacting in regional UK Edinburgh ranked as the most liquid city in regional UK for of smaller valued deals, with an average transaction price of around £6 million, whole sector and so there needs to be markets, whilst development might sectors of the hotels market, and even in 2021 (excluding hotel developments hotel transactions led to the South East Region securing the a significant amount of caution and a stall in the short to medium term, this which individual assets, are the most and ground lease transactions), our highest number of hotels transacting. detailed underwrite when assessing remains on the radar. This is particularly Regionally, the South East of England defensive and have the strongest pools of research indicates that approximately opportunities but, in my opinion, the pertinent in city centres which have seen was ranked as the most liquid region Scotland’s prime cities were ranked as demand. The pandemic has also shown 46% of hotels which transacted, were right assets will offer a durable long- significant vacancy and redevelopment for hotel investment, with transactions the second-highest region, recording which assets can minimise costs when located in a rural/resort/coastal setting, term income stream for investors. opportunity. With large department stores of approximately £420 million. Knight over £335 million of transactions. required and withhold what has been an whilst city/urban/orbital/business park being repurposed and hotels often at the Frank acted on behalf of the seller for Edinburgh is the most liquid city in Whilst historically hotels have been unprecedented impact on trade. locations accounted for the remaining forefront of this, barriers to entry are lower the asset sales of the 5-star, 228-bedroom regional UK, with some eleven deals considered within the alternatives 56% of completed hotel sales. Hotels and certain hotel markets could potentially This insight has allowed investors to Luton Hoo Hotel, Golf & Spa to the Arora transacting at an estimated volume umbrella, the gap between traditional which transacted in these city/urban/ see large amounts of new supply. really focus in on the right assets and Group and the 215-bedroom Hilton of around £260 million. Edinburgh sectors and alternatives is becoming ever orbital locations accounted for 69% of the get live visibility on how specific assets Bracknell sold to KSL Capital. Together accounted for a 78% share of investment closer. This could continue to become What learning experiences have investment volume, due largely to their trade in times of turbulence. The strong with the luxury 49-bedroom Stoke Park in prime Scotland and a 15% share of the less of an issue, as the more traditional come out of the pandemic? increased size and greater value. A review bounce back in performance during Country Club, these three assets were total Regional UK hotel market, whilst sectors experience ever increasing of top regional UK cities is somewhat One of the overwhelming positives to H2-2021 demonstrates the robust nature significant contributors to the total the city of Glasgow accounted for a amounts of operational leases. meaningless in a year where certain come out of the pandemic is that hotel of the sector, providing investors with transaction volume in the South East of further 21% of the regional investment. cities have seen very low numbers or a Getting comfortable with operational operators have understood their cashflows improved optimism for the year ahead. England. However, the strong number Three of the largest hotels to transact complete famine in transactional activity. real estate is a must across all sectors now and so that is becoming less of a hindrance for potential investors which may lead to increased demand and 7 | Regional UK hotel transactions 2021 by UK region yield compression over the medium ■ Volume ■ Average Price Per Room term. The medium to long term returns UK hotel investments offer can be very 450,000 190,000 favourable when compared against 400,000 other sectors. 170,000 Average value per room transactied (£) Transaction Volume Million (£) 350,000 What are your biggest concerns 150,000 300,000 for 2022? 250,000 130,000 As with most sectors, there will be 200,000 110,000 winners and losers. An increased widening of the gap in terms of 150,000 90,000 performance between certain locations 100,000 and sectors seems inevitable within the 70,000 50,000 hotels market. Emerging from various lockdowns over the last two years has 0 50,000 given investors some clues as to the speed South Scotland North West South East Yorkshire & East of Northern Wales Scotland North East Prime West Midlands West Midlands The Humber England Ireland Secondary East in which certain hotels can bounce back, Source: Knight Frank Research but selecting the right product will be key Hilton Garden Inn, Birmingham Airport, 178-bedrooms, owned by BlackRock, operated by Castlebridge
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