Towards mutually beneficial EU-West African migration cooperation?
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
CRU Policy Brief NOVEMBER 2020 Towards mutually beneficial EU-West African migration cooperation? Leonie Jegen, Johannes Claes & Omar N. Cham Assessing EU policy trends and their implications for migration cooperation This policy brief assesses the extent to which policy trends in the EU external migration governance framework, as put forward in the New Pact on Migration and Asylum and the new EU Multiannual Financial Framework for 2021-2027, match the Union’s commitment to building a mutually beneficial partnership with third countries. This question will be assessed by drawing on EU migration cooperation with West African states. It finds that the rhetoric of a mutually beneficial relationship and a paradigm shift is not demonstrated in the New Pact. The analysis of the budget further highlights that migration funding has a prominent place within the new proposed long-term EU budget and seems to consolidate the approach adopted in recent years rather than signaling a paradigm shift. Introduction This policy brief assesses the extent to The commitment towards building a which policy trends in the EU external mutually beneficial partnership was migration governance framework, as put expressed in the EU Africa Strategy forward in the New Pact on Migration adopted earlier this year. The strategy and Asylum and the new EU Multiannual stated that cooperation on migration would Financial Framework for 2021-2027, match be shaped by a ‘balanced, coherent and the Union’s commitment to building a comprehensive approach to migration, mutually beneficial partnership with third guided by the principles of solidarity, countries.1 This question will be assessed partnership and shared responsibility and by drawing on EU migration cooperation based on the respect of human rights and with West African states. international law’2. In a similar vein, the 1 We would like to thank Dr. Franzisca Zanker 2 European Commission. 2020. Joint Communication and Prof. Dr. Sergio Carrera for their comments to the European Parliament and the Council on earlier versions of this brief. All errors remain Towards a Comprehensive Strategy with Africa. our own. p. 15.
CRU Policy Brief communication on the New Pact stressed led to a paradox that marks West African that it signals a ‘change of paradigm’ in migration policy making. On the one hand, regard to cooperation with third states, EU and West African states’ interests with the aim of ‘deepening, broadening diverge strongly on many issues related to and consolidating the trust already built’. migration, most importantly on questions of According to the New Pact, partnerships return and readmission. On the other hand, with third countries could deliver ‘mutual most national migration and institution benefits’3. building in the region is driven by European financial and technical support. West African states are central to EU external migration cooperation. Following Against this backdrop, this policy brief the launch of the 2016 New Partnership will first assess the domestic and regional Framework (NPF),4 four out of five priority stakes for West African countries in the countries for EU migration cooperation were emerging policy trends inherent in EU in West Africa. The importance granted to external migration policy. It will show West African countries stems from European that the rhetoric of a mutually beneficial interest in enhancing cooperation on return relationship and a paradigm shift is not and readmission5 as well as the high number demonstrated in the actual policy content. of irregular arrivals from West African While the stakes of migration cooperation countries.6 remain high for West African states, non-cooperation is more costly, due to The EU’s external dimension has centred enhanced conditionality. Further, continuing around restrictive and preventive measures. with an approach tackling root causes Restrictive measures entail, for example, risks curtailing ownership of development projects focused on fighting smuggling, processes. A limited commitment to legal building border capacity and cooperating pathways reflects the fact that a key on return. Preventive measures include demand from West African actors continues development projects aimed at tackling to be granted only marginal importance. the root causes of migration as well as Lastly, analysis of the new budget shows building migration governance in third that migration funding has a prominent states. At a more fundamental level this has place within the new proposed long-term EU budget and seems to consolidate the approach adopted in recent years rather than signalling a paradigm shift. 3 European Commission. 2020. Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament, the Council, the European Economic and Social Policy trends and consequences Committee and the Committee of the Regiona on a New Pact on Migration and Asylum. p. 17. for West African states 4 West African countries’ importance in the field of migration had already been reflected in the EU’s first comprehensive framework to govern The political stakes of migration migration cooperation with third countries, cooperation at domestic, regional and the 2005 Global Approach to Mobility (GAM). international levels are crucial when See Vives, L. 2017. ‘The European Union–West assessing the potential of West African African Sea Border: Anti-Immigration Strategies states to establish mutually beneficial and Territoriality’, European Urban and Regional relations with the EU. This section discusses Studies, 24:2, p. 209–24; Casas-Cortes, M., the political and social stakes of four key Cobarrubias, S., Pickles, J. 2013. ‘Re-Bordering the policy trends derived from the New Pact Neighbourhood: Europe’s Emerging Geographies on Asylum and Migration and the budget of Non-Accession Integration’, European Urban and proposals currently under discussion. Regional Studies, 20:1. p. 37–58. 5 Zanker, F. 2019. ‘Challenges in EU-African Migration The trends include: Cooperation: West African Perspectives on Forced Return’, Kiel: MEDAM. – further consolidation of the ‘root 6 Nationality of arrival to Greece, Italy and Spain causes approach’ and the question of – monthly – Jan to Dec 2016, UNHCR. ownership over development priorities 2
CRU Policy Brief – stronger mandates for EU involvement African migration is intra-regional11 and in migration control operations “in third most border zones are marked by frequent states” and West African concerns over intercommunal cross-border mobility.12 sovereignty and the decreasing scope to The mismatch of European migration which policies can be adapted to realities programming with realities on the ground on the ground has often resulted in projects having – the enhanced use of return conditionality adverse and unintended effects. In Niger, for and the high social and political costs of instance, the EU supported implementation return cooperation for West African states of the 2015 anti-smuggling law, which led – the insufficient commitment to safe and to an upset in the political economy in the legal pathways, a key concern of West north of the country. This resulted in not African governments. only short-term economic losses for those involved in the transport of migrants but Overall, migration in the West African context also negative economic effects on the wider is, as opposed to the European context, economy of the north, creating concerns not generally considered a politicised issue over regional stability.13 In addition, such nor a political priority.7 Instead, mobility policies have led to more dangerous routes and migration constitute a normal part of for migrants and more extortion at border life in many West African societies8 and crossings, in effect creating an environment are governed by both formal and informal in which protection of migrants and respect rules.9 Some West African states, such as for their human rights is hard to uphold.14 Senegal and Nigeria, have enshrined the Lastly, the negative effects of some EU right to migrate in their constitutions.10 migration programming have put a strain on At regional level, the Economic Community regional integration, a key driver of economic of West African States (ECOWAS) and the development in the region.15 West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) establish and partially implement European–West African migration the rights to movement, residence and cooperation is unlikely to be mutually establishment. A large proportion of West beneficial without consideration of such 11 Adepoju, A. 2009. ‘Migration Management in West Africa within the Context of ECOWAS Protocol 7 Lücke, M., Diez, O., Jegen, L., Zanker, F. 2020. on Free Movement of Persons and the Common European and African Perspectives on Asylum and Approach on Migration: Challenges and Prospects’, Migration Policy: Seeking Common Ground, Kiel: Regional challenges of West African migration: MEDAM.; Jegen, L., Zanker, F., Arhin-Sam, K., African and European Perspectives, Paris: OECD. Bisong, A. 2020. Free Movement in West Africa: p. 17-47. Juxtapositions and Divergent Interests, Kiel: 12 Jegen, L., Zanker, F., Arhin-Sam, K., Bisong, A. MEDAM.; Adam, I., Trauner, K., Jegen, L., Roos, C. 2020. Free Movement in West Africa: Juxtapositions 2019. West African Interests in (EU) Migration Policy, and Divergent Interests, Kiel: MEDAM. Brugge: UNU-CRIS. 13 Molenaar, F., Ursu, A., Ayouba Tinni, B., 8 Lücke, M., Diez, O., Jegen, L., Zanker, F. 2020. Hoffmann, A., Meester, J. 2017. A line in the Sand: European and African Perspectives on Asylum Roadmap for sustainable migration management in and Migration Policy: Seeking Common Ground, Agadez, The Hague: Clingendael Institute. Kiel: MEDAM. 14 OHCHR. 2018. End of mission statement of the 9 Jegen, L., Zanker, F., Arhin-Sam, K., Bisong, A. UN Special Rapporteur on the human rights of 2020. Free Movement in West Africa: Juxtapositions migrants, Felipe González Morales, on his visit to and Divergent Interests, Kiel: MEDAM. Niger (1-8 October). 10 Arhin-Sam, K. 2019. The Political Economy of 15 Jegen, L. 2020. The Political Economy of Migration Migration Governance in Nigeria, Freiburg: MEDAM, Governance in Senegal, Freiburg: MEDAM, Arnold Arnold Bergstraesser Institute and Mercator Bergstraesser Institute and Mercator Foundation.; Foundation.; Jegen, L. 2020. The Political Economy Cleas, J., Schmauder, A. 2020. When the Dust of Migration Governance in Senegal, Freiburg: Settles, Economic and governance repercussions MEDAM, Arnold Bergstraesser Institute and of migration policies in Niger’s north, The Hague: Mercator Foundation. Clingendael Institute. 3
CRU Policy Brief local realities, and political and social stakes. according to which the primary objective of When examining recent policy proposals, EU development cooperation must be the several trends become apparent that put reduction of poverty (Article 208 TFEU).18 into question the extent to which proposals Applied in a context of aid dependency, root on the table effectively constitute the causes projects have in the past borne the announced paradigm shift leading to the potential to employ aid conditionality. In Niger ‘deepening, broadening and consolidating’ for example, external donors constituted a of trust. major source of the total state budget in 2016, when EU member states contributed 25% of the state budget and 20% was covered by Trend 1: Further institutionalisa- other external support.19 On the one hand, tion of the root causes approach the European Union Trust Fund (EUTF) is an additional funding opportunity often perceived as a potential income source; Addressing the root causes of migration will on the other hand, the political nature of remain a key component of the EU’s external EUTF funding has been decried by West migration programming, as reflected in the African government officials.20 In Senegal, New Pact, which states that development for example, concerns over an implicit return assistance will ‘help people feel that their agenda and sovereignty temporarily stalled a future lies at home’.16 The root causes project to modernise biometric databases.21 approach is equally present in the external In a context of economic asymmetries, migration dimensions of the new Multiannual using development aid to further European Financial Framework (MFF). As the last migration priorities carries the risk of reducing section of this brief will outline in more detail, ownership over development priorities and 10% of the EU’s external action is expected inserting policy priorities that do not resonate to be dedicated to migration programming, with key challenges on the ground. one priority of which will be tackling the root causes of irregular migration and forced displacement. Trend 2: Stronger mandates for EU involvement in migration The consolidation of the root causes approach raises the question of local control operations in West Africa ownership of development priorities, as enshrined in the Sustainable Developments The New Pact consolidates the trend of Goals (SDGs). Numerous studies have reinforcing the operational mandates pointed to lack of ownership at local of European actors in third countries. level in areas where EU-funded migration This includes an emphasis on strengthening programming has been in place over the direct on-the-ground involvement by last few years.17 This contributes to the European police officers in anti-smuggling risk of undermining a development agenda investigations through both Joint Investigative 16 European Commission. 2020. Communication 18 Bisong, A. 2020. The impact of EU external migration from the Commission to the European Parliament, policies on sustainable development: A review of the the Council, the European Economic and Social evidence from West, North and the Horn of Africa, Committee and the Committee Of the Regions on Brussels, Friedrich Ebert Stiftung and Caritas a new Pact on Migration and Asylum, September. Europe, p. 3. p. 20. 19 EEAS. 2016. Niger and the EU, May. 17 Jegen, L., Zanker, F. 2019. European dominance of 20 Adam, I., Trauner, F., Jegen, L., Roos, C. 2020. migration policy in Niger “On a fait les filles avant ‘West African interests in (EU) migration policy. la mère”, Kiel: MEDAM.;Raty, T., Shilhav, R. 2020. Balancing domestic priorities with external The EU Trust Fund for Africa: Trapped between incentives’. Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, Aid Policy and Migration Politics, Nairobi: Oxfam.; p. 1-18. Guerry, O., Stocchier, A. 2020. Partnership or 21 Jegen, L. 2019. The Political Economy of Migration Conditionality: Monitoring the Migration Compacts Governance in Niger, Freiburg: Arnold Bergstraesser and EU Trust Fund for Africa, Brussels: CONCORD. Institute. 4
CRU Policy Brief Teams as well as Common Operational Similar concerns by other West African Partnerships. Joint Investigative Teams states are likely to arise if these legal reforms (JITs) have been working in Niger since become a central element of cooperation. 2017 and allow for direct involvement of Additionally, the planned Frontex involvement European police officers in human smuggling in reintegration may contribute to the image investigations.22 Meanwhile, the role of of external actors taking over tasks of West European police officers under Common African ministries – and being self-serving.27 Operational Partnerships, as set up in Senegal in 2018, is more indirect, as they officially hold only a supporting role.23 In Trend 3: Institutionalising this regard it is noteworthy that a Frontex conditionality to increase Status Agreement that would extend the operational mandate of the European Border return leverage and Coast Guard Agency (EBCG) under the ongoing Frontex mission Hera, has been Return has long been a problematic issue the subject of negotiation between the EU between West African states and the EU.28 and Senegal since 2018.24 Additionally, the Negative and positive incentives and aid EBCG is expected to play a bigger role in conditionality have been used as leverage reintegration, as will be further refined in by the EU in migration cooperation with the forthcoming strategy for voluntary return West Africa. While the general emphasis on and reintegration. conditionality is not new – first attempts to introduce conditionality date back to the late Expanding the operational mandates of 1990s29 – the New Pact proposes for the first European actors on the ground could time to institutionalise the approach. diminish the scope for policies to be adapted to local contexts by West African actors. The New Pact reiterates a form of direct Research has shown that in a context where conditionality via annual visa assessments formal and informal rules govern mobility, carried out by the European Commission legal reforms such as Niger’s 2015 law on in line with the EU Visa Code. By means migrant smuggling will be reinterpreted by of this assessment, the Commission can actors on the ground.25 Further, in Senegal, ‘propose to apply restrictive visa measures setting up Common Operational Partnerships and, in case of good cooperation, propose led to significant concerns over sovereignty.26 favourable visa measures’.30 In addition, 27 Trauner, F., Jegen, L., Adam, I. and Roos, C. 2019. 22 Euro EUTF. 2017. Création d’une Equipe Conjointe The International Organization for Migration in West d’Investigation (ECI) Pour La Lutte Contre Les Africa: Why its role is getting more contested, Brugge: Réseaux Criminels Liés à l’immigration Irrégulière, UNU-CRIS. La Traite Des Êtres Humains et Le Trafic Des 28 Adam, I., Trauner, K., Jegen, L., Roos, C. 2019. Migrants, June. West African Interests in (EU) Migration Policy, 23 European Commission. 2018. Partenariat Brugge: UNU-CRIS.; Mouthaan, M. 2019. ‘Unpacking Opérationnel Conjoint (POC) de lutte contre Domestic Preferences in the Policy-“Receiving” l’immigration irrégulière, la traite et le trafic de State: The EU’s Migration Cooperation with Senegal migrants au Sénégal. and Ghana’, Comparative Migration Studies, 7:1. p. 35. 24 Frontex. 2020. Annual Report on the Practical 29 Cortinovis, R., Conte, C. 2018. Migration-Related Application of Regulation (EU) No 656/2014 Conditionality in EU External Funding, Brussels: Establishing Rules for the Surveillance of the RESOMA. External Sea Borders in the Context of Operational 30 Note: For countries which already hold visa free Cooperation Coordinated by Frontex, February. entry to the Schengen zone, the new Pact foresees 25 Raineri, L. 2018. ‘Human Smuggling across the introduction of a visa suspension mechanism Niger: State-Sponsored Protection Rackets and in case of high rates of ‘visa abuse’. European Contradictory Security Imperatives’, The Journal of Commission. 2020. Communication from the Modern African Studies, 56:1. p. 63–86. Commission to the European Parliament, the Council, 26 Jegen, L. 2020. The Political Economy of Migration the European Economic and Social Committee and Governance in Senegal, Freiburg: MEDAM, Arnold the Committee of the Regiona on a New Pact on Bergstraesser Institute and Mercator Foundation. Migration and Asylum. p. 21. 5
CRU Policy Brief building on previous proposals31 the Pact The strengthened return conditionality, and its proposed Asylum and Migration if applied, is likely to result in more pressure Management Regulation (RAMM) on West African governments to meet proposes a mechanism that will foster European return interests and carries the leverage applied through the integration of risk of growing informalisation of return diverse policy areas in European migration cooperation, diminished trust in governments diplomacy. This proposed mechanism and adverse effects on household incomes. will include a Commission analysis which could suggest measures towards a specific The growing pressure paired with the third country in case of insufficient return high political and social stakes of return cooperation. The measures allow for an may lead to a growing informalisation of overall consideration of the Union’s relations return agreements. This means that they with the country concerned, and they will are concluded beyond the scrutiny of be implemented upon agreement between parliaments – both in Europe and West the Commission and the Council.32 This is Africa – and often remain opaque to the very much congruent with the proposed wider public.34 Indeed, West African actors regulation for a new Neighbourhood, stressed that informal agreements constitute Development and International Cooperation a means to navigate conflicting domestic and Instrument (NDICI) which explicitly points international agendas.35 The trend towards to the need to maximise synergies and informalisation of such agreements could apply the necessary leverage through the result in less accountability and legitimacy external funding instrument. Additionally, of West African governments. For example, the regulation to establish the Asylum and return cooperation in The Gambia has been Migration Fund (AMIF) further cements a topic with serious political implications. the importance granted to applying Following the democratic transition in 2017, conditionality. Its potential as a political development assistance became crucial tool is clearly elaborated: ‘It is clear that support for the government and more than the adoption of measures and the pooling doubled in 2017. Shortly afterwards, the EU of resources at EU level will increase and The Gambia concluded a non-binding significantly the leverage that the EU needs ‘good practice’ agreement on forced returns. to persuade third countries to engage with The way returns have been carried out under it on those migration related issues that are the agreement has since been politically primarily in the interest of the EU and the contested and has negatively affected the Member States.’33 legitimacy of the government.36 31 European Commission. 2015. European Agenda on Migration, May; European Commission. 2016. relations towards third states vary significantly and Commission Announces New Migration Partnership are in many cases crucial to achieving readmission Framework: Reinforced Cooperation with Third interest. On the other hand, it is questionable Countries to Better Manage Migration. whether those European states with good relations 32 European Commission. 2020. Proposal for a with West African countries would be willing to regulation of the European Parliament and of the execute ‘return sponsorship schemes’. Council on Asylum and Migration Management and 34 Cassarino, J. 2007. ‘Informalising Readmission amending Council Directive (EC) 2003/109 and the Agreements in the EU Neighbourhood’, proposed Regulation (EU) XXX/XXX [Asylum and The International Spectator, 42:2. p. 179–96. Migration Fund], September. Art. 7, Para. 3-4. 35 Adam, I., Trauner, F., Jegen, L., Roos, C. 2020. 33 More implicitly, conditionality will be strengthened ‘West African interests in (EU) migration policy. through the proposed ‘return sponsorship’. Balancing domestic priorities with external This mechanism will allow EU member states to incentives’. Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, execute deportations on behalf of each other. p. 1-18. This, according to the proposed RAMM, entails 36 Altrogge, J., Zanker, F. 2019. The Political Economy leading return negotiations with third states, of Migration Governance in the Gambia, Freiburg: obtaining valid identification documents as well MEDAM.; Jegen, L., Zanker, F., Arhin-Sam, K., as organising practical arrangement on return. Bisong, A. 2020. Free Movement in West Africa: Such an approach has the potential to significantly Juxtapositions and Divergent Interests, Kiel: enhance leverage of European actors, as bilateral MEDAM. 6
CRU Policy Brief For West African states, remittances help Besides these stakes related to to reduce poverty, as they significantly return, consolidating the so-called contribute to the livelihoods of many comprehensive approach to migration households. Remittances are thus and its institutionalisation through yearly important elements in discussions on Commission evaluations results in return return conditionality.37 In some West African interests dominating relations to third countries, for example Senegal and Nigeria, countries. Enhancing EU-West African personal remittances outweigh overseas migration cooperation on European terms development assistance as a contribution bears the risk of failing to take West African to GDP.38 In Senegal, remittance flows political and social stakes into account have proven to be less volatile in times of and leaves little room for a truly mutually economic downturn than Foreign Direct beneficial partnership. Investment and export revenues.39 This shows the sensitivity of successful return conditionality both on a societal and political Trend 4: A strengthened level. On a societal level, forced return often commitment to safe and means losing an important income source. On a political level, this question has become legal pathways? a sensitive issue in, for example, The Gambia and during the electoral period in Senegal.40 The New Pact puts forward a commitment As summarised by a Nigerian civil society to the opening of safe and legal pathways, actor quoted by Arhim-Sam,41 ‘bringing many stating that this could go hand in hand with Nigerians back without anything to offer a reduction of irregular migration to Europe. them may lead to a social crisis, a rise in It proposes the launch of a Talent Partnership crime, and a social breakdown and sense of that would provide a framework to combine the government siding with the EU’. EU and member states tools on labour migration. The Talent Partnership aims to, first, contribute to better matching migration from third states with EU labour and skills needs and, second, to more strategically 37 Clemens, M. 2014. ‘Does Development Reduce engage with partner countries on migration. Migration?’, International Handbook on Migration Additionally, the New Pact stresses the and Economic Development, ed. Lucas, R. importance of finalising the EU Blue Card Cheltenham: Edward Elgar Publishing. p. 152-85. Directive in order to facilitate high-skilled 38 Numbers for 2017 as quoted in Zanker, F., migration. Altrogge, J., Arhin-Sam, K. and Jegen, L. 2020. Challenges in EU-African Migration Cooperation: While the opening of legal pathways West African Perspectives on Forced Return. has been a key demand of West African Freiburg: MEDAM. governments,42 the extent to which 39 Cisse, F. 2011. ‘Senegal’, Remittance Markets in Africa, ed. Mohapatra, S., Dilip, R. Washington: current proposals take this demand into The International Bank for Reconstruction and consideration remains insufficient as such Development. pathways imply a strong focus on labour 40 Mouthaan, M. 2019. ‘Unpacking Domestic market needs. Member states’ projects, such Preferences in the Policy-“Receiving” State: as Spanish attempts to open legal pathways The EU’s Migration Cooperation with Senegal in 2016 and 2019 to Senegalese citizens, have and Ghana’, Comparative Migration Studies, 7:1.; often not made it beyond their pilot phase. Jegen, L. 2020. The Political Economy of Migration Further, projects like the Nigerian-German Governance in Senegal, Freiburg: MEDAM, Arnold Centre for Jobs, Migration and Reintegration Bergstraesser Institute and Mercator Foundation.; Altrogge, J. and Zanker, F. 2019. The Political Economy of Migration Governance in the Gambia, Freiburg, Arnold Bergstraesser Institute. 42 Adam, I., Trauner, F., Jegen, L., Roos, C. 2020. 41 Arhin-Sam, K. 2019. The Political Economy of ‘West African interests in (EU) migration policy. Migration Governance in Nigeria, Freiburg: Balancing domestic priorities with external MEDAM, Arnold Bergstraesser Institute and incentives’. Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, Mercator Foundation. p. 1-18. 7
CRU Policy Brief that offers training to access the German A first observation is that the amount set job market – despite the chances of aside for external migration programming accessing the job market being zero to none is very high and funds can be sourced – result in a sense of ‘unfilled promise’.43 from a wide variety of funding instruments. Marginalising West African governments’ Migration is set to become an institutionalised demands for legal migration in future policy priority for EU external action, funded cooperation reflects the dominance of primarily through the new Neighbourhood, European interests in migration cooperation Development and International Cooperation and further puts into question the possibility Instrument (NDICI). The NDICI is a newly of working towards mutually beneficial created funding mechanism that combines migration cooperation. several external funding instruments, with the ambition of streamlining funding on external Drawing on the policies outlined in the affairs.44 The amount agreed upon for NDICI New Pact on Asylum and Migration there during the July Council negotiations is €79.46 are few indications that a paradigm shift billion. While budgetary details about the towards mutually beneficial migration exact breakdown of spending under NDICI cooperation is likely to occur in the coming are not yet known, insights into funding years. The next section will examine the priorities can be drawn based on the prior budgetary proposals currently on the table Commission proposal. The instrument will and how far they leave scope for such have a geographic component, a thematic a shift to take place. component and a rapid response component. The geographic component is by far the largest part of NDICI; it contains over 75% of The EU budget for external the total NDICI budget as per the Commission migration programming proposal. Sub-Saharan Africa will receive the largest part of the geographic funds, with the most recent Commission proposal reserving Having outlined the policy trends, a 47% for the region.45 The Commission has closer consideration of the latest budget indicated that 10% of NDICI, including proposals shows how the pillars of the all three components, is expected to be EU’s external migration cooperation are dedicated to migration programming, covering further consolidated through its proposed root causes and forced displacement, and funding infrastructure, and how concerns strengthening migration governance. Based for a balanced and mutual beneficial on the July agreement this would translate to partnership derive from this. The European nearly €8bn reserved for migration spending Commission put forward a revised proposal under NDICI alone. for its new long-term budget in May 2020. An agreement at Council level in July fixed In addition to NDICI, several EU internal total spending for 2021-2027 at €1,074.3 funding instruments with a specific migration billion. The proposal is currently under focus will be able to implement programmes discussion and is expected to be formally outside the EU borders. The Integrated adopted by the end of 2020. From an Border Management Fund (IBMF) for analysis of the proposed 2021-2027 instance, budgeted at €5.5bn, as well as Multiannual Financial Framework (MFF) the Asylum and Migration Fund (AMIF), several observations can be made on where budgeted at €8.7bn are both open to and how the EU intends to set aside funds for migration programming in its budget. 44 The NDICI instrument will shelter the former EDF, ENI, DCI, EIDHR, IcSP, PI, and Guarantee Fund. Continuing to operate separately from this new mega instrument will be the IPA, CFSP, humanitarian aid, OCTs and EINs. 43 Arhin-Sam, K. 2019. The Political Economy of 45 The exact percentage breakdown of the July Migration Governance in Nigeria, Freiburg: budget agreement is not yet known. Calculations MEDAM, Arnold Bergstraesser Institute and are therefore based on the May 2020 Commission Mercator Foundation. p. 29. proposal. 8
CRU Policy Brief External dimension of EU migration programming NDICI €79.46 bn 10% % unknown % unknown % unknown External programming ISF Internal programming €8.7 bn IBMF €8.7 bn AMIF €8.7 bn external programming in third countries.46 northward mobility and are unlikely to take Worth mentioning as well is the Internal into account the concerns of third countries, Security Fund (ISF), budgeted at €2.5bn, as outlined in the first part of this brief. which is primarily geared towards tackling organised crime and security threats. A second observation is the flexibility built The fund’s proposal includes an external into funding instruments. Funds in the component geared towards tackling migrant EU budget that can be used for external smuggling.47 There are thus a variety of migration programming include large funding instruments available to implement amounts of non-allocated funds that can programming in third countries. be used in a flexible manner. NDICI for instance holds a €3bn ‘global challenges’ The combination of external and internal header that remains largely unspecified funds for external migration programming and can be used for, among other things, carries the risk of blurring foreign and migration programming. This is on top of domestic policy objectives, which raises the fund’s €4bn rapid response pillar, which questions in regard to policy coherence.48 is inherently flexible in nature and could be Domestic considerations driven by migration used for so-called migration emergencies. control prerogatives have the potential to But flexibility is apparent not only in the dominate EU foreign policy and development NDICI; internal funds open to third country priorities that are based, at least on paper, programming showcase a similar tendency on eradicating poverty and fostering stability towards non-allocated, and thus adjustable, and respect for human rights. Such longer- funding. Forty percent of AMIF, IBMF term objectives do not resonate well with and ISF funds are sheltered in so-called a shorter-term ambition of restricting ‘thematic facilities’ which provide flexible funding for emerging priorities as opposed to the remaining 60% channelled to fixed 46 The extent to which these funding instruments national programmes.49 Flexible funding is can be used externally is not clarified in their not inherently problematic. It represents proposed regulations. a willingness to be able to respond to 47 ISF funding has in the past been used to provide emerging issues that are impossible to assistance to the Libyan Coast Guard. foresee in a budget with a 7-year horizon. 48 Bisong, A., 2020. The impact of EU external migration policies on sustainable development: A review of the evidence from West, North and the Horn of Africa, Brussels, Friedrich Ebert Stiftung 49 Knoll, A., Veron, P. 2019. Migration and the next EU and Caritas Europe. long-term budget, Maastricht, ECDPM. 9
CRU Policy Brief This type of funding does, however, come available to IcSP at its inception.52 Once again, with a challenge: funds might be directed to streamlining several instruments into one issues receiving the most political attention, larger instrument is not a problem as such. for example migration, at the expense of It does risk, however, certain policy areas other policy priorities. becoming less visible and ultimately less well funded while they remain rhetorically high on It is in this regard that a third observation can the EU’s external action agenda. be made. In contrast to the many references to migration, other topics receive much less This brings us to the fourth and last attention in EU external action budgets. observation, which relates to the question In the case of NDICI, sheltering a wide of oversight. A welcome change in the variety of funding instruments under one new budget is that the European Parliament streamlined instrument built on pillars of root will have oversight over external funds, the causes and securitised approaches raises lack of which was a source of contention the question of prioritisation.50 Most notably, throughout the last budgetary cycle.53 the Human Rights Instrument (EIDHR) will Under the current plans, however, oversight cease to exist in the next budgetary cycle for internal funding mechanisms will and human rights programming will now be principally lie with internal Committees in integrated into the thematic component of the EP (such as, for instance, the Committee NDICI. While exact numbers are not known on Civil Liberties, Justice and Home at this stage, earlier proposals suggest Affairs), whereas oversight over NDICI is that human rights issues will see a modest likely to lie mainly within the Committee on decline in funding compared to the previous Foreign Affairs (AFET) and the Committee MFF.51 This means that human rights issues on Development (DEVE). Overseeing lose their prominence within the overall programming in third countries financed external action of the EU and become less through internal funding instruments thus visible and slightly less funded. In a similar risks fragmenting the scrutiny of external fashion, the Instrument contributing to migration policies as a whole. Stability and Peace (IcSP) will cease to exist as a standalone instrument and will instead While budgetary discussions are still ongoing be absorbed into the thematic component of these observations show a picture in which NDICI, where the funding allocated to it will the amount of funding available to migration is be significantly lower than the funding made very high, and comes from a range of funding instruments that have a high level of flexibility built into them. This budgetary setup again puts the feasibility of a paradigm shift into question. It rather demonstrates an ambition to further consolidate an external migration 50 For further reading on the concerns about governance based more on continuity of its prioritisation and concerns about overbudgeting on migration matters in the new MFF see ECRE. 2019. Outspending on migration? ECRE’s analysis and recommendations on funding for migration 52 Funding for stability and peace under NDICI’s outside the EU to inform the negotiations of the next thematic component is in the current, non-definitive EU multi-annual financial framework 2021-2027, version of the MFF projected at €1 bn whereas May.; CONCORD. 2019. Recommendations on funding for IcSP in 2014 was fixed at €2.3 bn. the NDICI migration spending target, September.; See European Parliament. 2020. Proposal for a Berger, A. 2019. The Nexus between Migration and regulation of the EP and the Council establishing Development in EU External Action: No Quick Fix, the neighbourhood, development and international Ixelles: Institute for European Studies. cooperation instrument, September.; European 51 In the original Commission proposal, 21% of the Commission. 2014. Regulation (EU) no 230/2014 thematic envelope are dedicated to human rights, of the European Parliament and of the Council of which, extrapolated to the numbers that were 11 March 2014 establishing an instrument contributing released following the July 2020 summit – where to stability and peace, March. € 6.3 was allocated to the thematic envelope would 53 The EUTF for instance operated largely without mean € 1.323 billion for the period 2021-2027. oversight. See Kipp, D. 2018. From Exception The period 2014-2020 saw € 1.332 billion dedicated to Rule – the EU Trust Fund for Africa, Berlin: to human rights. Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik. 10
CRU Policy Brief policies of the past few years rather than on internal and external funding mechanisms, and seeking the mutually beneficial relationship it that the EU works towards a more towards a advances rhetorically. sustainable migration policy. Conclusion Recommendations This policy brief shows that in the case of – Safeguard credibility as an international West African states, recent EU policy and cooperation partner: The involvement budgetary proposals fall short on m atching of the internal financing instruments in EU the EU rhetoric of moving towards a external policy and the failure to include mutually beneficial partnership in the field a strong human rights priority in relevant of migration cooperation. Instead, recent funding instruments both risk damaging developments indicate a continuation and the EU's reputation as a credible partner consolidation of policies that have shaped in the long term. First, the involvement EU external migration governance in recent of internal financing instruments, and years. The policy trends outlined in the first therefore domestic policy considerations, part of this brief have shown that current in the EU’s external migration policy risks a thinking is geared more towards consolida- reprioritisation of foreign policy goals. This tion than the publicly announced paradigm might lead to a diminished attractiveness shift. Notably, consolidation of the root of the EU as a partner in the long term. causes approach and a greater role for the A domestic agenda that runs EU foreign EU in migration control operations in third policy objectives such as peace, stability countries both signal that Brussels will con- and good governance should not be able tinue to call the shots in terms of priority to consistently take a dominant position. setting, with little lessons learned from Second, in the context of human rights adverse effects of, or local concerns about, being under strain in many key regions EU policies over the last years. The explicit of EU programming it is noteworthy that leverage enshrined in policy documents, as the corresponding budget sees a modest well as the questionable commitment to safe decline in funding on human rights issues. and legal pathways, signal a similar tendency. Past evaluations of external EU financing Such leverage seems very much enshrined in instruments pointed to the potential trade- budgetary proposals currently on the table, off between human rights considerations which reserve significant funding for migra- and the migration-security nexus, tion programming in third countries that can highlighting the need to prioritise migrant be used flexibly and of which the setup in rights in future programming. In order to terms of oversight is yet to be clarified. mitigate the risk of credibility loss, migration programming, particularly programmes with Overall, there is little indication that a a strong security dimension, should include paradigm shift is likely to occur in the permanent or periodic monitoring of their coming years. A failure to rethink this human rights compliance. approach is likely to lead to further negative impacts of EU migration programming in – Ensure development projects reach third states and may in the longer term their long- and short-term objectives: result in the EU becoming an increasingly The EU’s development policies should unattractive partner. In view of a more be designed to meet its international strained geopolitical context, it is necessary commitments including local ownership that the EU safeguards its credibility as under the Agenda 2030,54 its own ‘Leave an international cooperation partner and its foreign policy as able to meet complex challenges beyond migration. Policy makers 54 Such as SDG 8.8 – migrant workers, women should use the new budgetary cycle as an migrants; SDG 10.7 – facilitate orderly, safe, opportunity to tackle these concerns and regular and responsible migration and mobility should ensure that development projects of people, including through implementation of reach their long- and short-term objectives, planned and well-managed migration policies; that there is adequate oversight of both SDG 10.c – remittances; SDG 17.18 – data monitoring. 11
CRU Policy Brief no one behind principle’ as enshrined will be involved in carrying out the in the 2017 European Consensus on external dimension of EU migration Development, and its commitment policies; that will require oversight to poverty eradication as enshrined to be designed in such a way that in Article 208 TFEU. In addition, the it can be carried out in a coherent concerns of West African states, and comprehensive manner. In other should be taken seriously. Additionally, words, the fragmentation of funding regional migration and mobility realities instruments should not lead to offer an entry point for programming, fragmented oversight. In those cases and incorporating feedback from where internal funding instruments past implementers55 needs serious are used in third countries, this consideration. Otherwise projects risk should be done within the overall losing local buy in, which is crucial foreign policy objectives and should to achieve long- and short-term be able to be evaluated as such by objectives. European Parliament Committees with a foreign policy remit, such as DEVE – Build holistic relations with third and AFET. Ideally, one Committee countries to be able to meet complex will have the lead in overseeing all challenges beyond migration: The external migration programming, in political and social stakes of forced return particular evaluating whether such and readmission for West African states programming is compliant with are high. Political stakes include risks of commitments underpinning EU external losing democratic accountability through action, regardless of whether such the informalisation of return agreements programming originates from internal or and an associated loss of a government’s external funding instruments. legitimacy in the eyes of the population. Following an approach in which other – Work towards a sustainable policy domains are subordinated to migration cooperation beyond the EU return interests carries a high risk crisis mode: The commitment to safe of undermining EU foreign affairs and legal pathways as enshrined in policy towards West African states and the New Pact constitutes an important curtailing the legitimacy of the EU as stepping stone towards migration an international actor. A more balanced cooperation that works for European approach that takes the return-related and West African governments as concerns of West African states seriously well as migrants. However, as shown would therefore be beneficial for both the in this policy brief, labour migration EU and its partner countries. channels proposed under the Pact are likely to benefit only small sections of – Ensure appropriate oversight the West African population. Hence of both internal and external their potential to offer alternatives to funding mechanisms when used so-called irregular migration remains in third countries. The integration of limited. The opening of legal pathways is development funds under parliamentary crucial in working towards sustainable scrutiny is a welcome step towards migration management, as without an more oversight and transparency into enhanced political commitment to legal EU spending on external migration labour migration, EU migration policy programming. However, different will continue to prioritise its efforts Directorate-Generals of the European against irregular migration, the very Commission, both internal and external, problem it creates. 55 See for instance Fernandez-Duran, C., Febles Carmona, E. 2020. Human mobility and resilience in the Sahel: challenges and opportunities, Brussels: OXFAM. 12
About the Clingendael Institute Clingendael – the Netherlands Institute of International Relations – is a leading think tank and academy on international affairs. Through our analyses, training and public debate we aim to inspire and equip governments, businesses, and civil society in order to contribute to a secure, sustainable and just world. www.clingendael.org/cru @clingendaelorg cru@clingendael.org The Clingendael Institute +31 70 324 53 84 The Clingendael Institute clingendael_institute Newsletter About the authors Leonie Jegen is a PhD Candidate at the Amsterdam Institute for Social Science Research (AISSR), University of Amsterdam. Her research focuses on the reform of the Senegalese smuggling of migrants policy and more generally externalization of migration control. Previously, she worked on several research projects on European influence on West African migration governance. Johannes Claes is a Research Fellow with Clingendael’s Conflict Research Unit. His research focuses on migration in the Sahel and West Africa and on the impacts of migration policies on local dynamics. He was previously based in Niger and Senegal where he worked for humanitarian organisations. Omar N. Cham, originally from The Gambia, is a Ph.D. Candidate in the Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences and Solvay Business School, VUB. His PhD research focuses on the politics of return migration in The Gambia. Omar’s research seeks to explore how cooperation on forced return migration between The Gambia and the EU changed with transition to democracy in 2016. Omar holds a master’s degree in Social Policy and Social Services from Istanbul University, a master’s degree in Management from the VUB, and a bachelor’s degree (Hons) in Development Studies from the University of The Gambia.
You can also read