Top 5 Brisbane Hotspots 2019 - January to May 2019 - Property Advisers Australia

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Top 5 Brisbane Hotspots 2019 - January to May 2019 - Property Advisers Australia
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Top 5
Brisbane Hotspots
2019
January to May 2019

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Top 5 Brisbane Hotspots 2019 - January to May 2019 - Property Advisers Australia
In a nutshell ….

Executive Summary	                                                                                          3
IPSWICH CITY	                                                                                               9
Ipswich suburbs are beginning to deliver good price growth, attracting buyers seeking
affordable housing close to major jobs nodes and good infrastructure.

REDCLIFFE PENINSULA	                                                                                      21
Redcliffe Peninsula suburbs are starting to rise, as the impact of the new Moreton Bay
Rail Link is felt increasingly, alongside the area’s “affordable bayside lifestyle” appeal.

BRISBANE NORTHSIDE	                                                                                       29
Middle-ring suburbs in Brisbane’s north are beginning to grow, with the previous
oversupply of units absorbed and vacancies lower in most suburbs.

MORETON BAY REGION	                                                                                       40
The Caboolture precinct of the Moreton Bay Region LGA is the most active market in
the Brisbane metropolitan area, boosted by affordability, infrastructure and jobs nodes.

REDLAND CITY	                                                                                             49
The bayside suburbs of Redland City are the forgotten market of the Brisbane metro
area, but are quietly emerging with rising sales activity.

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TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019                                                                         2
Top 5 Brisbane Hotspots 2019 - January to May 2019 - Property Advisers Australia
Executive Summary

IPSWICH CITY                                              REDCLIFFE PENINSULA
Ipswich appeals as a market offering housing              The Redcliffe Peninsula finally has the transport link
affordability and ongoing strong demand fueled by         that it’s been promised for decades.
population growth and the emergence of major new
jobs nodes.                                               The opening of the $1.2 billion Moreton Bay Rail
                                                          Link – providing a rail connection from Kippa-Ring to
Strong population growth boosted by the availability
                                                          Petrie and onward to the Brisbane CBD - is a game-
of land for new housing developments has led to
                                                          changer for real estate on the Peninsula.
Ipswich being named one of the fastest-growing
real estate markets in Australia. This development        The market is responding, with some suburbs
activity is being accompanied by major spending on        delivering solid price growth in the past couple of
infrastructure and property investment.                   years.
Ipswich has shown strong price growth in the past -
prices rose strongly in the five years to 2009, giving    The Redcliffe Peninsula may be geographically
Ipswich City the strongest capital growth averages in     close to Brisbane, but it has suffered for years from
the Greater Brisbane region.                              transport links that did not keep pace with demand.
We believe its evolution as a headline hotspot will
                                                          Redcliffe was first connected to the ‘mainland’ in
continue in the future. Many suburbs are attractively
                                                          1935 by the 2.7km Hornibrook Bridge, which helped
affordable for first-home buyers and investors on a
                                                          the establishment of Redcliffe as a seaside suburb.
budget.
                                                          It was replaced in 1979 by the concrete Houghton
Big infrastructure projects, including the recent         Bridge and then in 2010 the $315 million Ted Smout
announcement of the $5 billion Defence contract to        Memorial Bridge was opened.
build armoured vehicles, the $2.8 billion upgrade of
the Ipswich Motorway, the $1.5 billion rail link to the   Now direct rail links – promised at state elections
Springfield master-planned community and major            for decades without being delivered – have finally
expansions at the Amberley RAAF Base, have added          been constructed.
to the area’s appeal because this kind of investment
creates employment and demand for real estate.

TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019                                                                 3
Top 5 Brisbane Hotspots 2019 - January to May 2019 - Property Advisers Australia
Executive Summary

BRISBANE NORTHSIDE                                       Construction has begun on some sections of the
                                                         $2 billion North East Business Park and with a
Brisbane is enjoying a renewed confidence following      new university and a new town plan in prospect –
commencement of the Queens Wharf development             including the new suburb of Caboolture West – the
and the announcement of the Cross River Rail –           Caboolture-Morayfield area is destined to continue
both mega-projects destined to generate economic         absorbing urban growth.
activity and jobs.
                                                         This region has been identified by the State
Brisbane Northside can expect to benefit not
                                                         Government as a Principal Regional Activity Centre
only from these projects, but also several large
                                                         for major growth in the Brisbane area.
commercial, medical and residential developments
that are now under way – for example, the $1.1           This market has several suburbs with rising demand,
billion Herston Quarter venture and the $1.2 billion     based on Hotspotting’s quarterly surveys of sales
Racecourse Village project.                              activity.
Transport infrastructure in Brisbane Northside has
been enhanced by major upgrades in recent years,         REDLAND CITY
improving connectivity to the CBD, western suburbs
and the airport, thus reducing commuting time for        The municipality of Redland City, a former market
workers.                                                 garden region on Brisbane’s bayside, has caught the
Part of the appeal of Brisbane Northside is that its     attention of the State Government and is destined
economy is solid, boosted by large employers such        for some diverse development.
as hospitals, government departments and the             Two precincts within Redland City have been
Queensland University of Technology.                     marked as Priority Development Areas. These bring
With attractive unit prices in suburbs such as           promise of a new marina, revitalised retail, dining
Enoggera, Kelvin Grove and Herston - where there is      and entertainment areas, upgraded transport
a high percentage of renters - there are opportunities   infrastructure (both marine and road), retirement
for investors to buy affordably and achieve good         villages and higher-density residential construction.
rental returns. Investors, however, need to check
vacancy rates, which are high in some unit markets.      Population growth and developer incentives are
                                                         touted as being just two of the key drivers of future
MORETON BAY REGION                                       activity in Redland City.
The Moreton Bay property market is beginning to gain
                                                         Only half an hour from central Brisbane, Redland
momentum, fueled by new infrastructure projects,
                                                         City has easy access to the Port of Brisbane, and
affordability and proximity to major Brisbane jobs
                                                         to the Brisbane and Gold Coast airports, providing
nodes.
                                                         opportunities for trade and export. This precinct is
The Moreton Bay Region, which covers the Brisbane        one of Brisbane’s largest jobs nodes.
metropolitan area’s urban sprawl in the northern
growth corridor heading to the Sunshine Coast,           The region’s property market appeals for its relative
has tracts of vacant land suitable for residential       affordability and recent rises in sales activity are
development as well as good rail and road links to       translating into house price growth, which to date
Brisbane to the south and the Sunshine Coast (and        has been moderate. Vacancies well below the
beyond) to the north.                                    Brisbane average are a standout feature.

TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019                                                               4
Top 5 Brisbane Hotspots 2019 - January to May 2019 - Property Advisers Australia
Top 5 Brisbane Hotspots 2019 - January to May 2019 - Property Advisers Australia
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TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019                                                                              6
Top 5 Brisbane Hotspots 2019 - January to May 2019 - Property Advisers Australia
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TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019                                                            7
Top 5 Brisbane Hotspots 2019 - January to May 2019 - Property Advisers Australia
Introduction

Brisbane Poised To Deliver On The Promise Seen By Analysts
Brisbane looks poised to deliver on its potential          Hotspotting analysis of sales activity shows that the
for growth, with many of the factors needed for an         Brisbane metropolitan area is quite active, especially
upswing now falling into place.                            in the more affordable areas such as the Moreton
                                                           Bay LGA in the far north - where affordability,
Many have predicted strong growth in the Brisbane
                                                           infrastructure and jobs nodes are key factors.
market in recent years by assuming it would follow
trends in Sydney and Melbourne.                            The Redcliffe Peninsula, which is part of the Moreton
                                                           Bay Region LGA, has received particular impetus
But the fundamental difference has been the relative
                                                           from the completion of the Moreton Bay Rail Link, a
condition of the underlying economy. The big cities
                                                           long-awaited piece of transport infrastructure.
have been boosted by strong economies, population
growth and major infrastructure spending.                  It continues to evolve as an affordable bayside
                                                           precinct with growing elements of gentrification.
Brisbane has been lacking in all those areas - until
now.                                                       The middle-ring areas on the northside of Brisbane,
                                                           previously hampered by high vacancies caused
There are growing signs of improvement in the key
                                                           by extensive unit/townhouse development, have
indicators that drive real estate markets forward.
                                                           absorbed most of the over-supply and are becoming
The Queensland economy is showing increasing
                                                           increasingly active.
signs of improvement, having led the nation on jobs
creation in the past few years.                            Logan City, the mirror image of Moreton Bay in the
                                                           south of the Greater Brisbane Area, has been a
The resources sector, a big element in the state
                                                           market leader in the recent past.
economy, is showing increasing signs of revival.
                                                           It has faded a little, although we believe it will
The state is now the national leader on net gains in
                                                           continue to attract home-buyers and investors
population from interstate migration, a feature that
                                                           because of its cheap housing, excellent transport
has traditionally made Queensland strong but which
                                                           links, generally strong infrastructure and strategic
has been lacking in recent years.
                                                           location between Brisbane and the Gold Coast.
But potentially the biggest factor is the $50 billion
                                                           Ipswich City, the south-western precinct with similar
in spending on Queensland infrastructure over the
                                                           qualities to Logan City, is also rising and many
next four years, announced in the State Budget in
                                                           suburbs are now delivering good price growth. The
June 2018.
                                                           big kicker for Ipswich is the emergence of significant
Infrastructure activity is a major catalyst for            jobs nodes, with many big industrial and commercial
economic activity, jobs creation and demand for            businesses establishing themselves there because
residential real estate, as we have witnessed in           of affordable land and good transport links.
Sydney in recent years.
                                                           Redland Bay, which encompasses the bayside
Against this background, the Brisbane market is            suburbs in Brisbane’s far east, is also now producing
attracting interest from investors disenchanted by         rising sales activity. It attracts buyers because of its
the prices and yields in Sydney and Melbourne.             affordable bayside lifestyle.

While the best time to buy in the two biggest cities       It is increasingly emerging as an area of economic
has well and truly passed, Brisbane appeals as a           development and has good proximity to the Australia
city that offers good value. Its prices are roughly half   Trade Coast employment node based around the
those in Sydney and its rental yields are much higher.     Port of Brisbane and Brisbane Airport.
Surveys have found Brisbane is the No.1 choice for         We wait with interest to see if Brisbane can now
property investors who plan to buy in the near future.     deliver on its considerable market potential.

TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019                                                                    8
Top 5 Brisbane Hotspots 2019 - January to May 2019 - Property Advisers Australia
IPSWICH CITY
South-West suburbs of Brisbane

Highlights
 •   $5 billion Defence contract                  •   $1 billion Citiswich project
 •   $12 billion Springfield community            •   $2.8 billion motorway upgrade
 •   $1.5 billion Springfield rail link           •   Strong economy
 •   $154 million Orion shopping centre           •   Multiple jobs nodes
 •   RAAF Base expansions                         •   Affordable real estate

           Suburb - houses       Typical prices       Suburb- units   Typical prices
         Bundamba                  $311,000       Brassall              $278,000
         Collingwood Park          $339,000       Goodna                $216,000
         Redbank Plains            $335,000       Redbank Plains        $319,000

Ipswich appeals as a market offering housing affordability and ongoing strong demand
fueled by population growth and the emergence of major new jobs nodes.

Strong population growth boosted by the availability of land for new housing
developments has led to Ipswich being named one of the fastest-growing real estate
markets in Australia. This development activity is being accompanied by major
spending on infrastructure and property investment.

Ipswich has shown strong price growth in the past - prices rose strongly in the five
years to 2009, giving Ipswich City the strongest capital growth averages in the Greater
Brisbane region.

We believe its evolution as a headline hotspot will continue in the future. Many suburbs
are attractively affordable for first-home buyers and investors on a budget.

Big infrastructure projects, including the recent announcement of the $5 billion
Defence contract to build armoured vehicles, the $2.8 billion upgrade of the Ipswich
Motorway, the $1.5 billion rail link to the Springfield master-planned community
and major expansions at the Amberley RAAF Base, have added to the area’s appeal
because this kind of investment creates employment and demand for real estate.

A feature of the growth of Ipswich City is the number of major national companies and
government departments which have moved into the area in recent years.
TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - IPSWICH CITY                             9
Top 5 Brisbane Hotspots 2019 - January to May 2019 - Property Advisers Australia
Economy and Amenities
The emergence of the master-planned communities
of Springfield and Ripley has been the catalyst for
extensive road and rail upgrades, better connecting
Ipswich to central Brisbane.                             Location
Both the Ipswich Motorway and Warrego Highway            • Ipswich CBD is 40km south-west of
have had major upgrades while the metropolitan             Brisbane; Goodna is 24km south-west
train line now links to Springfield with two new           of Brisbane CBD.
stations - Springfield and Springfield Central.          • Ipswich City is located alongside the
- Major Developments                                       Bremer River.
The master-planned community of Springfield,             • The Warrego Highway (which joins the
under development since 1992, covers 2,860ha and           Brisbane Valley Highway), Cunningham
is projected to be home to 60,000 people in 15 years.      Highway and Ipswich Motorway meet
(More detail on this is listed in tables at the end of     at the Ipswich suburb of Riverview.
this report.)                                            • LGA: Ipswich City Council.
Ripley Valley will eventually provide 50,000 dwellings
to house around 120,000 people.
Large tracts of undeveloped land, mostly around
Springfield and Redbank Plains, are attracting many
new residential developments.
In recent years, numerous multi-nationals and
government departments have moved to Ipswich.
Some examples are SEQwater, Bendigo and Adelaide         Population & Demographics
Bank, GE (General Electric) and Bunnings.
The Redbank Plains Super Centre, home to                 • Population 2016:              194,000
Target, Coles and Aldi, has received a $140 million      • Median age:			                     32
redevelopment.                                           • 60% of the population is aged under
-   Health & Education                                       40 (he state average is 53%)

The University of Southern Queensland has a $145
                                                         •   Projected population 2031:      435,000
million campus at Springfield with an enrolment of       •   Countries of birth: New Zealand
around 2,500 students.                                       (6%), England (5%), Samoa (3%),
                                                             Philippines (2%)
The Ipswich Public Hospital is a major hospital with
teaching facilities. The State Government recently
                                                         •   In the top six Qld municipalities for
                                                             population growth. Key growth area in
spent $122 million on upgrading it.                          the South East Qld Regional Plan
The City has two other new medical facilities: the       •   Annual population growth of 4.6%
$85 million Springfield Mater Private Hospital and a
$12 million nursing home at in North Ipswich.

- Defence
A $750 million expansion of the Amberley RAAF            Employment
Base was completed in January 2015. The complex          • Healthcare/social assistance:              13%
at Amberley provides logistical products and
services to the navy, army and air force in South-       • Retail:				                                11%
East Queensland.                                         • Manufacturing:			                          10%
The 17th Construction Squadron has relocated from        • Public admin/safety:		                      9%
Holsworthy Barracks in Sydney to RAAF Amberley           •   Construction:
                                                         Source: 2016 Census & Ipswich City Council    8%
as part of a $1.1 billion expansion.

TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - IPSWICH CITY                                             10
Around 6,000 personnel work out of the base, a               Property Profile
number that is expected to increase to 7,000 by 2020.
The largest airbase in Australia, the RAAF Base                    BUILDING APPROVALS
Amberley contributes over $500 million to the local
economy annually.                                                  Year            Houses          Units      Total
- Industrial                                                       FY2018          3,426           375        3,801
Built on the fortunes of coal mining, Ipswich                      FY2017          2,752           718        3,470
continues to deal in heavy industry. Transport hubs,               FY2016          2,155           744        2,899
abattoirs, bulky goods retailers and manufacturers
are strongly represented across the city.                          Source: ABS
One of the larger industrial parks is the $1 billion
Citiswich industrial park. The 335ha area, previously
known as Bremer Business Park, sits beside the
junction of three highways in the Riverview area,                  HOME OWNERSHIP
making it strategic as a transport hub.
Major tenants include Caltex, KSB, API, the Reject                   • 22% own their homes
Shop, Capral Aluminium and IOR Petroleum.                            • 36% have mortgages
                                                                     • 40% rent their homes
- Tourism
                                                                   Source: 2016 Census
Tourism contributes $136 million to the Ipswich
economy each year.
One of the main attractions is the Workshops Rail
Museum which was named the best heritage and                 Ipswich has been named repeatedly as one of the
cultural tourism experience in the state at the 2014         fastest-growing regions in South East Queensland in
Queensland Tourism Awards.                                   recent years. Strong population growth will continue
The Orion Lagoon, one of the largest outdoor                 due to the expansion of major projects such as
recreation facilities in Australia, is another attraction.   Springfield and the Ripley Valley development.
The lagoon has an expanse of shallow pools, water            Property analyst Michael Matusik says that demand
features, parklands and a covered barbecue pavilion          for property is outstripping supply. His research
with picnic tables.                                          shows that in the past five years developers have
                                                             added 9,000 homes to the Ipswich market, yet
                                                             demand was significantly higher at around 10,000.
                                                             This has coincided with increased prices.
                                                             During the last five years, house prices in Ipswich
                                                             have increased 33%, says Ipswich Zone REIQ Chair,
                                                             Darren Boettcher.
                                                             “It’s great to see,” he says. “Ipswich is a rising market
                                                             but we do need a price correction - it’s too cheap. It
                                                             will start getting out of hand in about three years.
                                                             By then, the median price will be about $400,000 to
                                                             $450,000.”
                                                             At present, house prices across most suburbs are in
                                                             the $310,000 to 390,000 range.
                                                             At the forefront of the population and real estate
                                                             growth are the suburbs of at the eastern end of the
                                                             LGA, such as Redbank Plains and Collingwood Park.

TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - IPSWICH CITY                                                       11
Affordability, new homes and proximity to shops,       Opportunities for units include Redbank Plains,
schools, medical facilities and public transport are   where the median price is $319,000. Investors can
drawing young families to the Redbank Plains–          expect rent of about $280 per week.
Ripley–Springfield region.
                                                       Vacancy rates in many of the older, more established
These suburbs have good access to Brisbane via the     suburbs, such as Ipswich, Leichhardt, Silkstone and
Centenary Highway and the Springfield train line.      Bundamba are below 3.0%.
                                                       Areas impacted by new development, such as
Across Ipswich City, rental returns are strong, with
                                                       Springfield, Redbank Plains, Ripley and Collingwood
most suburbs producing median yields of 4.5–6%.
                                                       Park, have higher vacancy rates.
There are few units across the City; houses make up    Because of the potential for high levels of new home
90% of dwellings in the Ipswich LGA (compared with     building, investors should monitor vacancy rates
75% in the Brisbane LGA).                              and building approvals.

    IPSWICH VACANCY RATES

   Postcode       Suburb 		 						                                             Vacancy rate

   4300           Augustine Hts, Bellbird Park, Goodna, Springfield 		              3.1 %
   4301           Redbank Plains, Collingwood Park				                              3.8 %
   4304           Silkstone, Bundamba              					                            2.4 %
   4305           Ipswich, East Ipswich, Leighhardt, Newtown			                     2.6 %
   4306           Ripley									                                                   3.0 %

   Source: sqmresearch.com.au

TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - IPSWICH CITY                                            12
The suburbs listed below are a sample of the Ipswich house market:

                                       Sales                                     1-year          Growth            Median
            Suburb                                    Median Houses
                                      Houses                                     Growth          Average            Yield

Augustine Heights                        102              $545,000                 3%             -1 %             4.1 %
Bellbird Park                            123              $375,000                 0%               1%             4.9 %
Brassall                                 218              $341,000                 1%               0%             5.3 %
Bundamba                                  98              $311,000                 5%               1%             5.2 %
Camira                                   125              $410,000                 5%               2%             4.6 %
Collingwood Park                         127              $339,000               -2 %               0%             5.2 %
Eastern Heights                           76              $320,000                 6%               2%             4.9 %
Goodna                                   160              $312,000               -4 %               0%             5.3 %
Leichhardt                                72             $243,000                  2%               0%             5.9 %
North Ipswich                            114             $290,000                  5%               0%             5.4 %
Raceview                                 182             $325,000                  3%               1%             5.4 %
Redbank Plains                           284             $335,000                  0%               1%             5.2 %
Ripley                                    45             $396,000                17 %               3%             4.7 %
Silkstone                                88              $319,000                  6%               2%             4.8 %
Springfield                              92              $420,000                -2 %               1%             4.7 %
Springfield Lakes                        370             $431,000                -2 %              1%              4.8 %
Yamanto                                  73              $356,000                -1 %              1%              5.1 %

Source: CoreLogic. “No. of sales” is the number of house sales in the past 12 months. “Growth ave.” is the average annual growth
in median prices over the past 10 years.“ snr” = statistically not reliable.

Future Prospects
The State Government and the Ipswich City Council
expect strong population growth to continue in
                                                                      CORE INFLUENCES
Ipswich over the next 25 years.
In addition to the billion-dollar-plus residential                    Government Policy
projects listed in the tables at the end of this report,
there is another $2 billion worth of residential                      Transport Infrastructure
development across five projects under construction.
The combined projects will deliver over 4,000                         Urban Renewal
dwellings, supported by new schools, roads and
general infrastructure.                                               Cheapies with Prospects
Hospitals, shopping centres and the JBS meatworks
are expanding.

TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - IPSWICH CITY                                                                 13
Heavy vehicle manufacturer Volvo, which builds up to
3,500 trucks each year, has just opened a $30 million           Major retail centres, Redbank precinct
headquarters at Wacol and announced plans for a
$25 million expansion of its manufacturing plant.               • Redbank Plaza
Volvo employs 530 people after adding 160 workers               • Redbank Plains Shopping Village
in the last two years.
                                                                • Redbank Tavern Plaza Shopping Centre
Citiswich, a 350ha industrial estate and logistics hub          • Orion Greater Springfield Shopping
at Bundamba and owned by Walker Corporation,                      Complex, Springfield
is reportedly Queensland’s largest industrial
development.                                                    • Masters hardware store, Springfield
                                                                • Brookwater Retail Village.
Recent road upgrades across the Brisbane region
mean travel times between Citiswich and key
centres such as the CBD, Brisbane Airport, the Port
of Brisbane, north and south Gateway arterials and
the TradeCoast Precinct have been reduced.
                                                         To fulfil the contract, Rheinmetall is first building a
Travel Centre, The Reject Shop, OneSteel, Caltex and     $170 million manufacturing plant at Wacol, engaging
Australian Pharmaceutical Industries have taken up       Watpac to carry out the construction work.
residence at Citiswich while $120 million is currently
                                                         Combined, the two projects would create 1,450 jobs
being spent on three other projects: Costco; TAE
                                                         and deliver $1 billion to the state’s economy over 10
Aerospace’s new headquarters; and Queensland
                                                         years.
Urban Utilities depot.
These are to be joined by a distribution centre,         Recommended Locations
marked for commencement in 2019 by Walker
Corporation.                                             The following precincts within Ipswich City stand
                                                         out for their growth prospects:-
And it’s not all about industry, the Brisbane Lions
AFL club plans to build a $70 million stadium and
headquarters at Springfield.
                                                         - THE REDBANK PRECINCT
These projects are creating thousands of jobs.           • Redbank                     • Goodna
Meanwhile, the Ipswich City Council is spending          • Redbank Plains              • Bellbird Park
$150 million on revitalising the CBD. The project will   • Collingwood Park
see Council’s administrative offices, city library and
civic centre relocated. The Council also has plans to    The Redbank precinct has much potential because
build a $100 million performing arts complex.            of new residential, retail and industrial development
                                                         including new schools. It has major road and rail
Another long-term Council project is a motor-sport       links to central Brisbane, extensive shopping
precinct master plan.                                    facilities and affordable homes.
- Defence Force                                          The precinct borders high-development growth
                                                         areas such as Springfield and Brookwater.
The RAAF Amberley Airbase is a key driver in the
local economy. Between now and 2036, the Federal         The train trip from Springfield to Brisbane on the
Government will contribute $1.5 billion towards          Richlands to Springfield train line takes about 40 minutes.
expanding the base, funding more accommodation           Employment options are being boosted by industrial
for personnel, new maintenance facilities and two        estates, especially the $1 billion Citiswich industrial
new types of aircraft.                                   estate.
All this activity will generate 2,800 extra jobs.        Swanbank Enterprise Park, developed by Investa,
In another financial coup, Rheinmetall Defence will      is turning disused coal mining land into one of
build 211 Boxer armoured vehicles costing $5.2           Australia’s biggest business and industry precincts
billion for the Australian Army.                         with the potential to create up to 15,000 jobs.

TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - IPSWICH CITY                                                     14
The $350 million Redbank Motorway industrial park           The developer of Ripley Valley, Sekisui House,
will eventually employ 2,300 people.                        plans to develop a manufacturing plant in the area.
                                                            The 194ha development will feature retail and
The facility for the $5 billion project to build 211
                                                            commercial premises as well as 4,000 dwellings.
Defence vehicles will be in this precinct.
                                                            Two words of warning
- INNER EASTERN SUBURBS                                     - Subsidence
• Booval                     • Tivoli                       Ipswich attracted national media attention in 2008
                                                            when homes built over disused coal mines in
• East Ipswich               • Silkstone                    Collingwood Park suffered serious damage through
• Bundamba                                                  subsidence.
A cluster of suburbs east of the Ipswich CBD stands         Another incident involving an old mine shaft at Basin
out: there are numerous suburbs with median prices          Pocket occurred in August 2016.
under $320,000, including Booval, East Ipswich,             The Ipswich City Council says only 1% of homes in
Bundamba, Tivoli and Silkstone.                             the city have been built over coal mines. Investors,
East Ipswich, which has many character houses               however, would be wise to check before buying in the
ripe for renovation, is one of the most under-rated         area.
precincts in the Ipswich LGA.                               Ipswich City Council offers an online mapping
                                                            system designed to help property buyers identify
- THE SOUTHERN PRECINCT                                     areas affected by past mining.
                                                            - Floods
• Yamanto                    • Deebing Heights              Ipswich was affected by flooding in 1974, 2011 and
• Ripley                                                    2013. New flooding provisions adopting the 1974
                                                            flood level as the key residential development line
The precinct south of the Ipswich CBD is a growing          for the city have subsequently been implemented.
area because the suburbs are more affordable than
those closer to central Brisbane. In Ipswich, buyers        Flood mitigation has been carried out at Redbank
can find new four-bedroom two-bathroom homes                Plains, Raceview, Yamanto, Brassall and Ipswich
with double garages at affordable rates and in a            Central.
family environment.
More than $12 billion has already been invested in
developing Springfield, with only a fifth of the project
completed. The entire project will cost $85 billion.
The Ripley Valley area, 5km south of the Ipswich
CBD, is projected to have a population of 120,000 in
20 years, compared with 5,000 currently.
Stage one of the Ripley Town Centre opened in 2018.
Eventually, the $1.5 billion development will provide
jobs for up to 30,000 locals.
The Government is investigating three railway stations
in the valley, including one in the town centre, although
no funding has yet been committed. The possible route
of a future rail corridor would run from Springfield
Central and through Ripley in a loop to Ipswich.

TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - IPSWICH CITY                                                  15
Major projects currently impacting the region are:
INFRASTRUCTURE – GENERAL
       Project                     Value                  Status                  Impact
RAAF Base Amberley        $300 million          Under construction         The project includes
expansion                                       Completion expected by     facilities to house
                                                2020                       10 C-27J Spartan
                                                                           battlefield airlifters

RAAF Base Amberley        $583 million          Approved                   Jobs: 120
- upgrade of E-7A                               Project to be completed    The upgrade impacts
Wedgetails (combat                              by 2022                    both Amberley and
aircraft)                                                                  Williamtown bases

INFRASTRUCTURE – HEALTH AND MEDICAL FACILITIES

        Project                    Value               Status                     Impact
Springfield Health City   $200 million         Under construction       Includes hospital
                                               Stage 1 of the Mater     facilities, aged care and
Springfield Land Corp                          Private Hospital         retirement units
                                               Springfield is completed

COMMERCIAL DEVELOPMENTS

        Project                    Value               Status                     Impact
Karalee Shopping          $80 million          Under construction
Village expansion                              Completion expected in
                                               2019

Yamanto Central           TBA                  Approved                   A 3-storey food and
Shopping Centre                                                           retail hub including
                                                                          Coles and Kmart
Kelly Consolidated

Citiswich Business Park $1 billion             Under construction         Caltex, Travel
                                               $120 million is being      Centre, Reject Shop,
Walker Corp                                    spent on 3 new             OneSteel, Australian
                                               premises                   Pharmaceutical are
                                                                          tenants
Brisbane Lions AFL        $70 million          Proposed
Stadium and HQ

TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - IPSWICH CITY                                       16
COMMERCIAL DEVELOPMENTS
         Project                     Value                    Status                      Impact
Metroplex Westgate          $350 million              Under construction         Jobs
project, Wacol                                        Stage 1 completed in       10,000
                                                      February 2017
GPT and Metroplex                                                                Former Army Barracks
                                                                                 (60ha) will be converted
                                                                                 into mixed industry,
                                                                                 retail and commercial
                                                                                 space

Orion Springfield           $154 million              Under construction         Jobs
Central expansion           Event Cinemas,            Stage 2 opened in July     700 retail
                            Target, Coles, 80 extra   2016                       440 construction
Mirvac                      retailers, cafes and
                            restaurants

New Generation              $4.4 billion              Under construction         Jobs
Rollingstock project,                                 Trains have been built     150
Wulkuraka station                                     but require modification
                                                      for disability access.     The project will deliver
Qtectic (Qld Govt)                                    NGR trains are now         75 nine-car trains
                                                      operating on 8 metro       and a purpose built
                                                      rail networks              maintenance centre

Inner city revitalisation   $150 million              Under construction         Includes a new Council
project                                                                          admin building, new
                                                                                 library, commercial,
Ipswich City Council                                                             retail, entertainment
                                                                                 and food precinct

New manufacturing           $170 million              Under construction         Jobs
plant, Wacol                                          Watpac is building the     1,450 across the two
                                                      plant                      Rheinmetall projects
Rheinmetall Defence
Australia

Defence manufacturing       $5.2 billion              Approved                   Jobs
contract, Wacol                                       211 new armoured           1,450 across the two
                                                      vehicles are to be built   Rheinmetall projects
Rheinmetall Defence                                   for the Australian Army
Australia

TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - IPSWICH CITY                                              17
RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENTS
        Project                     Value               Status                    Impact
Providence, master-        $2 billion           Under construction        A town centre, sporting
planned city, Ripley                                                      facilities, schools and
Valley                                                                    7,000 homes

Amex Ripley Valley

Apartment complex,         $6 billion           Proposed                  10,000 apartments are
City Centre North (next                         To be developed over 15   planned
to Springfield train                            years
station)

Springfield Land Corp

Ecco Ripley                $1.4 billion         Under construction        A long-term project to
                                                                          create 4,000 homes
Sekisui House

Monterea Ripley            $300 million         Under construction        900 dwellings

Retirement village,        $1 billion           Under construction        2,400 dwellings are
Ripley Valley                                                             planned

Aveo Group

Waterlea, Walloon          $350 million         Under construction        1,500 lots for 4,500
                                                                          residents

Springfield Rise, Spring   TBA                  Under construction        4,000 dwellings
Mountain
                                                                          675 construction jobs
Lendlease                                                                 per year for 10 years
                                                                          and 500 operational
                                                                          jobs

TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - IPSWICH CITY                                       18
INFRASTRUCTURE – TRANSPORT
        Project                   Value                    Status                   Impact
Norman Street bridge,     $320 million            Proposed
linking North Ipswich                             Would require funding
& East Ipswich over the                           from all three levels of
Bremer River                                      government

Ipswich Motorway          $400 million             Under construction        Jobs
upgrade, Darra to         The motorway will be     Completion expected in    470 during
Rocklea                   widened from four to six late 2020                 construction
                          lanes from Rocklea to
State & Federal Govt      Darra

Cunningham Highway        $276 million            Proposed
upgrade - Yamanto to                              Would need funding from
Willowbank                                        the State Govt

Ipswich City Council

Extended rail line,       $150 million            Proposed
Springfield Central to                            Would need funding from
Redbank Plains                                    the State Govt

TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - IPSWICH CITY                                   19
REDCLIFFE PENINSULA
South East Queensland

Highlights
•   $1.2 million Moreton Bay Rail Link         •   Bayside lifestyle
•   $590 million Newport project               •   Affordability (houses & units)
•   New Regional University Precinct           •   Revitalised image
•   $140 million Westfield North Lakes 		      •   Infrastructure spending
     redevelopment

    Suburb -       Typical        Suburb -         Typical      Suburb -       Typical
     houses        prices          houses          prices        units         prices
Kippa-Ring        $434,000     Redcliffe           $439,000   Kippa-Ring      $295,000
Margate           $449,000     Scarborough         $520,000   Margate         $405,000
Newport           $830,000     Woody Point         $491,000   Redcliffe       $403,000

The Redcliffe Peninsula finally has the transport link that it’s been promised for
decades. The opening of the $1.2 billion Moreton Bay Rail Link – providing a rail
connection from Kippa-Ring to Petrie and onward to the Brisbane CBD - is a game-
changer for real estate on the Peninsula.
The market is responding, with some suburbs delivering solid price growth in the
past couple of years.
The Redcliffe Peninsula may be geographically close to Brisbane, but it has suffered
for years from transport links that did not keep pace with demand.
Redcliffe was first connected to the ‘mainland’ in 1935 by the 2.7km Hornibrook
Bridge, which helped the establishment of Redcliffe as a seaside suburb. It was
replaced in 1979 by the concrete Houghton Bridge and then in 2010 the $315 million
Ted Smout Memorial Bridge was opened.
Now direct rail links – promised at state elections for decades without being delivered
– have finally been constructed.
The appeal of the precinct has also been enhanced by ongoing improvements to
lifestyle elements on the Peninsula.

TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - REDCLIFFE PENINSULA                        21
Economy and Amenities
Since the 1880s, Redcliffe has been a popular seaside
resort location due to its proximity to Brisbane. But in
recent years it has become a collection of dormitory
suburbs for people commuting to work elsewhere.            Location
A high proportion of the 55,000 people who live in the     • 28km north-east of Brisbane
Redcliffe precinct commute to work in Brisbane and
the fast-developing northern suburbs of the Greater        • Suburbs on the Redcliffe Peninsula,
Brisbane area.                                                Moreton Bay
But there are plenty of jobs locally too, with a dozen
schools, two hospitals, three marinas and major            • Accessible via Gympie Road or the
shopping centres.                                             Gateway Motorway, then Anzac Avenue
According to Census statistics, 17% of the working         • Part of Moreton Regional Council, the
population are engaged in retail trade, 13% in
manufacturing and 10% in health and community                 third largest LGA in the nation.
services.
Redcliffe is marketed as a tourism destination, with
22km of beaches, good fishing, whale-watching and
attractions like the Redcliffe Museum, the historical
Redcliffe Jetty and Settlement Cove aquatic park.
Redcliffe became home to Bee Gees Way in 2013
when the last surviving member of the Bee Gees,
Barry Gibb, unveiled a statue of the famous band
members who grew up in the seaside town.
The Redcliffe Jetty Sunday markets attracted
350,000 visitors in 2017.
                                                           Population & Demographics
Recent infrastructure and property developments
include:                                                    • Population Redcliffe 2016:  59,500
•   $140 million upgrade of Westfield North Lakes           • Median age Redcliffe:		       45
•   the upgrade of the Houghton Highway Bridge              • Population Moreton Bay
                                                              Region 2016:			425,000
•   a $27 million upgrade of Redcliffe Hospital
                                                            • Projected population
•   the $65 million Woolworths-anchored Bluewater             Moreton Bay Region 2041:   656,000
    Square shopping centre
•   an $80 million upgrade of the nearby Kippa-Ring
    Shopping Village                                       One of the fastest developing places in
                                                           Australia.
•   a high-rise hotel with 184 residential and serviced
    apartments in place of the old Seabrae Hotel
•   Azure Blue Aged Care, a $50 million facility           Source: 2016 Census
    comprising 122 apartments and 96 hospital
    beds.

TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - REDCLIFFE PENINSULA                                22
Property Profile                                                 Numerous unit projects are approved and in addition
                                                                 to those listed in the tables under “Future Projects”,
The Peninsula offers affordable dwellings, proximity             another 310 units across six projects are approved
to Brisbane and the laid-back atmosphere of a                    in the suburbs of Margate, Scarborough and Woody
bayside village.                                                 Point, according to the database of urban.com.au.
Redcliffe has had solid growth since its suburbs were            There are also unit projects under construction at
identified by people looking for affordable bayside              Newport and North Lakes, but for now, the best
real estate within striking distance of employment.              yields in the unit market are 5.8% in Kippa-Ring.
It had a price peak in 2008 and another in 2010.                 The median unit price in Kippa-Ring is $295,000
                                                                 based on 41 annual sales.
The following years saw subdued growth, with most
of the peninsula markets experiencing declines in                Vacancies are generally low to moderate throughout
median house prices in 2011-12, before the first                 the precinct, although vacancies in Kippa-Ring
signs of a return to growth in 2013 and 2014.                    have been unsettled since mid-2016, rising to
                                                                 7% in November 2016 and fluctuating beyond the
The extension of the train line to Redcliffe in 2016,
                                                                 benchmark of 3% on several occasions.
taking in new stations at Kallangur, Murrumba
Downs, Mango Hill, Mango Hill East, Rothwell and                 At present, vacancy rates in the main Peninsula
Kippa-Ring gave the Peninsula a much needed boost                postcodes are below 3.0%.
and improvements are beginning to materialise.
Our Spring 2018 survey for the Price Predictor Index                     REDCLIFFE VACANCY RATES
identified Redcliffe and Kippa-Ring as rising markets.
Each has affordability and solid infrastructure as
                                                                         P/code Suburbs		                     Vacancy Rate
drivers of growth, Kippa-Ring being near the new
Kippa-Ring train station.                                                4019 Margate, Woody Point,
The median house rents in Clontarf, Kippa-Ring and                       		       Clontarf		                          1.8 %
Margate range from $365 to $385 and investors can
find houses priced in the mid-$400,000s in several                       4020      Redcliffe, Scarborough             2.6 %
suburbs across the precinct.
                                                                         4021      Kippa-Ring			                      2.2 %
Most Peninsula suburbs have long-term growth
averages around 3% per year and yields ranging                           Source: sqmresearch.com.au
from 4.2% to 4.6%.

The suburbs listed below are a sample of the Redcliffe house market:

                                       Sales                                    1-year          Growth           Median
            Suburb                                   Median Houses
                                      Houses                                    Growth          Average           Yield

Clontarf                                154              $450,000                 1%              3%              4.4%
Kippa-Ring                              175              $434,000                 5%              2%              4.6%
Margate                                 143              $449,000                -1 %             3%              4.2%
Newport                                  99              $830,000                 1%              0%              3.9%
Redcliffe                               151              $439,000                -3 %             3%              4.4%
Scarborough                             141              $520,000                -5 %             3%              3.9%
Woody Point                              65              $491,000                 9%              3%              3.9%
Source: CoreLogic. “No. of sales” is the number of house sales in the past 12 months; “10yr ave.” is the average annual rise in
median house prices in the past 10 years. “Snr”: Statistically not reliable.

TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - REDCLIFFE PENINSULA                                                         23
The Redcliffe unit market can be summarised as:

                                       Sales                                   1-year           Growth           Median
            Suburb                                    Median Units
                                       Units                                   Growth           Average           Yield
 Kippa-Ring                             41              $295,000                 6%               1%              5.8 %
 Margate                                46              $405,000                 8%               1%              4.5 %
 Redcliffe                              151             $403,000                -6 %              2%              4.7 %
 Scarborough                            116             $498,000                 2%               3%              4.1 %
 Woody Point                             78             $420,000               -13 %              5%              4.3 %
Source: CoreLogic. “No. of sales” is the number of house sales in the past 12 months; “10yr ave.” is the average annual rise in
median house prices in the past 10 years. “Snr”: Statistically not reliable.

Future Prospects                                                         CORE INFLUENCES
The opening of the train line to Kippa-Ring in 2016
is now luring interstate investors to the Redcliffe                      Government Policy
Peninsula.
General manager at LJ Hooker Redcliffe, Kylie                            Sea Change
Loof, says that before the line opened, about 30% of
investors were from interstate. Now it’s about 50%.                      Transport Infrastructure
Train services have been needed because Moreton
Bay region is the third largest local government area                    Urban Renewal
in Australia and one of the fastest-growing areas in
the country with the population set to exceed 500,000
by 2031.                                                         Stockland is building 1,673 homes, some of which
In the past, transport in the Moreton Bay region                 will include waterfront access, in a $590 million
was heavily geared towards cars. More than half the              project which will take 10 years to complete. It also
region’s population departed the area every day to               has approval to begin work on the Newport Shopping
travel to work with the vast majority (83%) using a              Centre.
private vehicle for their journey.                               The nearby suburb of North Lakes has evolved with
That is now changing, thanks to the new rail link.               three schools, six child-care centres, an industrial
                                                                 estate, an 18-hole championship golf course, 80km
An express train from Kippa-Ring takes 45 minutes                of bikeways and walkways, 53 parks and eight sports
to reach the Brisbane CBD, compared with over an                 fields.
hour by car in peak-hour traffic. Each full train on
the new line removes 600 cars from surrounding                   A $140 million expansion of Westfield Northlakes
roads, thus reducing congestion.                                 has recently been completed. The centre now offers
                                                                 IKEA, Kmart, JB HiFi, Cotton on Mega, Rebel, Event
News of the rail link has prompted around $215                   Cinemas and 60 additional stores.
million of investment in the region in recent years.
The Redcliffe waterfront has been revitalised with               As more people come to live in North Lakes, the list
cafes, restaurants, bars and weekend markets.                    of amenities continues to grow.

Since January 2016, numerous residential                         It includes a private hospital, medical facilities,
developments have been approved by MBRC in                       vet services, retirement village, a TAFE Skills Tech
the suburbs adjacent to the rail line, including                 facility and $45 million community hub.
townhouse developments and apartment buildings                   North Lakes has helped to lift the appeal of the
in suburbs such as Kallangur, Murrumba Downs and                 Redcliffe Peninsula suburbs by improving the
Mango Hill.                                                      lifestyle and amenities of the area.

TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - REDCLIFFE PENINSULA                                                         24
The following projects will impact economic activity in the Redcliffe Region:
INFRASTRUCTURE – EDUCATION

        Project                    Value                       Status                 Impact
New Moreton Bay           TBA                        Proposed                 Will create increased
Regional University       Will cater for 10,000                               demand for rentals in
Precinct                  students by 2030                                    the region.

Sunshine Coast Uni

INFRASTRUCTURE - GENERAL
        Project                    Value                       Status                 Impact
New Dolphin Stadium       $12 million                Completed                Economic benefits
                          A rugby league stadium                              $32 million per year
Redcliffe Dolphins        to seat 10,000

Newport Shopping          TBA                        Aproved                  Jobs
Centre                    Includes restaurants,                               467 construction
                          health services, indoor                             150 operational
Stockland                 sports facility, offices

Multi-storey car park,    TBA                        Proposed                 An extra 600 car spaces
Redcliffe Hospital                                                            are planned

State Government

RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENTS
        Project                    Value                       Status                 Impact
Newport, Scarborough      $590 million               Under construction       Jobs
                          A 1,600-home master-       Completion expected      3,000
Stockland                 planned community          around 2025

Retirement village,       $69 Million                Under construction
Newport

Stockland

Units, 55 Redcliffe Pde   TBA                        Under construction       90 units above shops
                                                     Completion expected in
Suncity Homes                                        2019

Units and hotel, 156-158 TBA                         Proposed                 90 mid-rise units and
Griffith Rd, Newport                                                          120 hotel rooms

Kindred Devts

TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - REDCLIFFE PENINSULA                                    25
Project                  Value                Status               Impact
Units, 86-90 Prince        TBA                Approved              47 mid-rise units
Edward Parade,
Redcliffe

Units, 133-151 Redcliffe TBA                  Approved              89 high-rise units
Parade, Redcliffe

Units, 99-101 Sutton       TBA                Approved              76 mid-rise units
Street, Redcliffe

Units, 81 Sutton Street,   TBA                Approved              99 mid-rise units
Redcliffe

VIDA North Lakes           TBA                Under construction    96 low-rise units

Stockland

Units, 19-23 Redcliffe     TBA                Proposed              163 mid-rise units
Parade, Redcliffe

Units, 1785 Anzac          TBA                Proposed              715 mid-rise units
Avenue, Mango Hill

Mango Hill Property
Units, 92-96 Hornibrook TBA                   Proposed              93 mid-rise units
Esplanade, Clontarf

Hastone Australia

TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - REDCLIFFE PENINSULA                        26
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BRISBANE NORTHSIDE
Metropolitan Brisbane

Highlights
 • Strong middle market sector                  • $355 million Chermside Shopping
• $1.1 billion Herston Quarter                    Centre upgrade
• $80 million Inner City Bypass                 • $1.2 billion Racecourse Village
  upgrade                                         project
• Good transport links                          • $270 million Circa Nundah Village.

   Suburb -                        Suburb -                        Suburb -
                Typical prices                  Typical prices                  Typical prices
    houses                          houses                          units
Alderley          $840,000       Mitchelton       $657,000       Gaythorne        $375,000
Everton Park      $615,000       Stafford         $613,000       Kedron           $406,000
Kedron            $728,000       Stafford Hts     $615,000       Kelvin Grove     $405,000
Keperra           $528,000       Windsor          $785,000       Lutwyche         $475,000

Brisbane is enjoying a renewed confidence following commencement of the Queens
Wharf development and the announcement of the Cross River Rail – both mega-
projects destined to generate economic activity and jobs.
Brisbane Northside can expect to benefit not only from these projects, but also
several large commercial, medical and residential developments that are now under
way – for example, the $1.1 billion Herston Quarter venture and the $1.2 billion
Racecourse Village project.
Transport infrastructure in Brisbane Northside has been enhanced by major
upgrades in recent years, improving connectivity to the CBD, western suburbs and
the airport, thus reducing commuting time for workers.
Part of the appeal of Brisbane Northside is that its economy is solid, boosted by
large employers such as hospitals, government departments and the Queensland
University of Technology.
With attractive unit prices in suburbs such as Enoggera, Kelvin Grove and Herston
- where there is a high percentage of renters - there are opportunities for investors
to buy affordably and achieve good rental returns. Investors, however, need to check
vacancy rates, which are high in some unit markets.

TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - BRISBANE NORTHSIDE                             29
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