Top 5 Brisbane Hotspots 2019 - January to May 2019 - Property Advisers Australia
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In a nutshell …. Executive Summary 3 IPSWICH CITY 9 Ipswich suburbs are beginning to deliver good price growth, attracting buyers seeking affordable housing close to major jobs nodes and good infrastructure. REDCLIFFE PENINSULA 21 Redcliffe Peninsula suburbs are starting to rise, as the impact of the new Moreton Bay Rail Link is felt increasingly, alongside the area’s “affordable bayside lifestyle” appeal. BRISBANE NORTHSIDE 29 Middle-ring suburbs in Brisbane’s north are beginning to grow, with the previous oversupply of units absorbed and vacancies lower in most suburbs. MORETON BAY REGION 40 The Caboolture precinct of the Moreton Bay Region LGA is the most active market in the Brisbane metropolitan area, boosted by affordability, infrastructure and jobs nodes. REDLAND CITY 49 The bayside suburbs of Redland City are the forgotten market of the Brisbane metro area, but are quietly emerging with rising sales activity. Hotspotting.com.au Copyright Statement Hotspotting.com.au and/or its related bodies corporate, including Ryder Research Resources Pty Ltd ACN 055 730 339 (“our” or “Hotspotting”) retains the copyright in relation to all of the information contained on the hotspotting.com.au website. All information and material on this website are protected by copyright under the Copyright Act 1968 (Cth). The information and material on this website and within these reports must not be republished, reproduced or redistributed online or offline for any purpose without our express written permission. You are authorised to download and view content for your own personal, non-commercial use but you must not, without the prior written permission of Hotspotting, exploit any of our site materials or report contents for commercial purposes. You acknowledge and agree that you acquire no rights in or title to the information and material contained on this website or within the reports available on the website. TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 2
Executive Summary IPSWICH CITY REDCLIFFE PENINSULA Ipswich appeals as a market offering housing The Redcliffe Peninsula finally has the transport link affordability and ongoing strong demand fueled by that it’s been promised for decades. population growth and the emergence of major new jobs nodes. The opening of the $1.2 billion Moreton Bay Rail Link – providing a rail connection from Kippa-Ring to Strong population growth boosted by the availability Petrie and onward to the Brisbane CBD - is a game- of land for new housing developments has led to changer for real estate on the Peninsula. Ipswich being named one of the fastest-growing real estate markets in Australia. This development The market is responding, with some suburbs activity is being accompanied by major spending on delivering solid price growth in the past couple of infrastructure and property investment. years. Ipswich has shown strong price growth in the past - prices rose strongly in the five years to 2009, giving The Redcliffe Peninsula may be geographically Ipswich City the strongest capital growth averages in close to Brisbane, but it has suffered for years from the Greater Brisbane region. transport links that did not keep pace with demand. We believe its evolution as a headline hotspot will Redcliffe was first connected to the ‘mainland’ in continue in the future. Many suburbs are attractively 1935 by the 2.7km Hornibrook Bridge, which helped affordable for first-home buyers and investors on a the establishment of Redcliffe as a seaside suburb. budget. It was replaced in 1979 by the concrete Houghton Big infrastructure projects, including the recent Bridge and then in 2010 the $315 million Ted Smout announcement of the $5 billion Defence contract to Memorial Bridge was opened. build armoured vehicles, the $2.8 billion upgrade of the Ipswich Motorway, the $1.5 billion rail link to the Now direct rail links – promised at state elections Springfield master-planned community and major for decades without being delivered – have finally expansions at the Amberley RAAF Base, have added been constructed. to the area’s appeal because this kind of investment creates employment and demand for real estate. TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 3
Executive Summary BRISBANE NORTHSIDE Construction has begun on some sections of the $2 billion North East Business Park and with a Brisbane is enjoying a renewed confidence following new university and a new town plan in prospect – commencement of the Queens Wharf development including the new suburb of Caboolture West – the and the announcement of the Cross River Rail – Caboolture-Morayfield area is destined to continue both mega-projects destined to generate economic absorbing urban growth. activity and jobs. This region has been identified by the State Brisbane Northside can expect to benefit not Government as a Principal Regional Activity Centre only from these projects, but also several large for major growth in the Brisbane area. commercial, medical and residential developments that are now under way – for example, the $1.1 This market has several suburbs with rising demand, billion Herston Quarter venture and the $1.2 billion based on Hotspotting’s quarterly surveys of sales Racecourse Village project. activity. Transport infrastructure in Brisbane Northside has been enhanced by major upgrades in recent years, REDLAND CITY improving connectivity to the CBD, western suburbs and the airport, thus reducing commuting time for The municipality of Redland City, a former market workers. garden region on Brisbane’s bayside, has caught the Part of the appeal of Brisbane Northside is that its attention of the State Government and is destined economy is solid, boosted by large employers such for some diverse development. as hospitals, government departments and the Two precincts within Redland City have been Queensland University of Technology. marked as Priority Development Areas. These bring With attractive unit prices in suburbs such as promise of a new marina, revitalised retail, dining Enoggera, Kelvin Grove and Herston - where there is and entertainment areas, upgraded transport a high percentage of renters - there are opportunities infrastructure (both marine and road), retirement for investors to buy affordably and achieve good villages and higher-density residential construction. rental returns. Investors, however, need to check vacancy rates, which are high in some unit markets. Population growth and developer incentives are touted as being just two of the key drivers of future MORETON BAY REGION activity in Redland City. The Moreton Bay property market is beginning to gain Only half an hour from central Brisbane, Redland momentum, fueled by new infrastructure projects, City has easy access to the Port of Brisbane, and affordability and proximity to major Brisbane jobs to the Brisbane and Gold Coast airports, providing nodes. opportunities for trade and export. This precinct is The Moreton Bay Region, which covers the Brisbane one of Brisbane’s largest jobs nodes. metropolitan area’s urban sprawl in the northern growth corridor heading to the Sunshine Coast, The region’s property market appeals for its relative has tracts of vacant land suitable for residential affordability and recent rises in sales activity are development as well as good rail and road links to translating into house price growth, which to date Brisbane to the south and the Sunshine Coast (and has been moderate. Vacancies well below the beyond) to the north. Brisbane average are a standout feature. TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 4
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Introduction Brisbane Poised To Deliver On The Promise Seen By Analysts Brisbane looks poised to deliver on its potential Hotspotting analysis of sales activity shows that the for growth, with many of the factors needed for an Brisbane metropolitan area is quite active, especially upswing now falling into place. in the more affordable areas such as the Moreton Bay LGA in the far north - where affordability, Many have predicted strong growth in the Brisbane infrastructure and jobs nodes are key factors. market in recent years by assuming it would follow trends in Sydney and Melbourne. The Redcliffe Peninsula, which is part of the Moreton Bay Region LGA, has received particular impetus But the fundamental difference has been the relative from the completion of the Moreton Bay Rail Link, a condition of the underlying economy. The big cities long-awaited piece of transport infrastructure. have been boosted by strong economies, population growth and major infrastructure spending. It continues to evolve as an affordable bayside precinct with growing elements of gentrification. Brisbane has been lacking in all those areas - until now. The middle-ring areas on the northside of Brisbane, previously hampered by high vacancies caused There are growing signs of improvement in the key by extensive unit/townhouse development, have indicators that drive real estate markets forward. absorbed most of the over-supply and are becoming The Queensland economy is showing increasing increasingly active. signs of improvement, having led the nation on jobs creation in the past few years. Logan City, the mirror image of Moreton Bay in the south of the Greater Brisbane Area, has been a The resources sector, a big element in the state market leader in the recent past. economy, is showing increasing signs of revival. It has faded a little, although we believe it will The state is now the national leader on net gains in continue to attract home-buyers and investors population from interstate migration, a feature that because of its cheap housing, excellent transport has traditionally made Queensland strong but which links, generally strong infrastructure and strategic has been lacking in recent years. location between Brisbane and the Gold Coast. But potentially the biggest factor is the $50 billion Ipswich City, the south-western precinct with similar in spending on Queensland infrastructure over the qualities to Logan City, is also rising and many next four years, announced in the State Budget in suburbs are now delivering good price growth. The June 2018. big kicker for Ipswich is the emergence of significant Infrastructure activity is a major catalyst for jobs nodes, with many big industrial and commercial economic activity, jobs creation and demand for businesses establishing themselves there because residential real estate, as we have witnessed in of affordable land and good transport links. Sydney in recent years. Redland Bay, which encompasses the bayside Against this background, the Brisbane market is suburbs in Brisbane’s far east, is also now producing attracting interest from investors disenchanted by rising sales activity. It attracts buyers because of its the prices and yields in Sydney and Melbourne. affordable bayside lifestyle. While the best time to buy in the two biggest cities It is increasingly emerging as an area of economic has well and truly passed, Brisbane appeals as a development and has good proximity to the Australia city that offers good value. Its prices are roughly half Trade Coast employment node based around the those in Sydney and its rental yields are much higher. Port of Brisbane and Brisbane Airport. Surveys have found Brisbane is the No.1 choice for We wait with interest to see if Brisbane can now property investors who plan to buy in the near future. deliver on its considerable market potential. TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 8
IPSWICH CITY South-West suburbs of Brisbane Highlights • $5 billion Defence contract • $1 billion Citiswich project • $12 billion Springfield community • $2.8 billion motorway upgrade • $1.5 billion Springfield rail link • Strong economy • $154 million Orion shopping centre • Multiple jobs nodes • RAAF Base expansions • Affordable real estate Suburb - houses Typical prices Suburb- units Typical prices Bundamba $311,000 Brassall $278,000 Collingwood Park $339,000 Goodna $216,000 Redbank Plains $335,000 Redbank Plains $319,000 Ipswich appeals as a market offering housing affordability and ongoing strong demand fueled by population growth and the emergence of major new jobs nodes. Strong population growth boosted by the availability of land for new housing developments has led to Ipswich being named one of the fastest-growing real estate markets in Australia. This development activity is being accompanied by major spending on infrastructure and property investment. Ipswich has shown strong price growth in the past - prices rose strongly in the five years to 2009, giving Ipswich City the strongest capital growth averages in the Greater Brisbane region. We believe its evolution as a headline hotspot will continue in the future. Many suburbs are attractively affordable for first-home buyers and investors on a budget. Big infrastructure projects, including the recent announcement of the $5 billion Defence contract to build armoured vehicles, the $2.8 billion upgrade of the Ipswich Motorway, the $1.5 billion rail link to the Springfield master-planned community and major expansions at the Amberley RAAF Base, have added to the area’s appeal because this kind of investment creates employment and demand for real estate. A feature of the growth of Ipswich City is the number of major national companies and government departments which have moved into the area in recent years. TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - IPSWICH CITY 9
Economy and Amenities The emergence of the master-planned communities of Springfield and Ripley has been the catalyst for extensive road and rail upgrades, better connecting Ipswich to central Brisbane. Location Both the Ipswich Motorway and Warrego Highway • Ipswich CBD is 40km south-west of have had major upgrades while the metropolitan Brisbane; Goodna is 24km south-west train line now links to Springfield with two new of Brisbane CBD. stations - Springfield and Springfield Central. • Ipswich City is located alongside the - Major Developments Bremer River. The master-planned community of Springfield, • The Warrego Highway (which joins the under development since 1992, covers 2,860ha and Brisbane Valley Highway), Cunningham is projected to be home to 60,000 people in 15 years. Highway and Ipswich Motorway meet (More detail on this is listed in tables at the end of at the Ipswich suburb of Riverview. this report.) • LGA: Ipswich City Council. Ripley Valley will eventually provide 50,000 dwellings to house around 120,000 people. Large tracts of undeveloped land, mostly around Springfield and Redbank Plains, are attracting many new residential developments. In recent years, numerous multi-nationals and government departments have moved to Ipswich. Some examples are SEQwater, Bendigo and Adelaide Population & Demographics Bank, GE (General Electric) and Bunnings. The Redbank Plains Super Centre, home to • Population 2016: 194,000 Target, Coles and Aldi, has received a $140 million • Median age: 32 redevelopment. • 60% of the population is aged under - Health & Education 40 (he state average is 53%) The University of Southern Queensland has a $145 • Projected population 2031: 435,000 million campus at Springfield with an enrolment of • Countries of birth: New Zealand around 2,500 students. (6%), England (5%), Samoa (3%), Philippines (2%) The Ipswich Public Hospital is a major hospital with teaching facilities. The State Government recently • In the top six Qld municipalities for population growth. Key growth area in spent $122 million on upgrading it. the South East Qld Regional Plan The City has two other new medical facilities: the • Annual population growth of 4.6% $85 million Springfield Mater Private Hospital and a $12 million nursing home at in North Ipswich. - Defence A $750 million expansion of the Amberley RAAF Employment Base was completed in January 2015. The complex • Healthcare/social assistance: 13% at Amberley provides logistical products and services to the navy, army and air force in South- • Retail: 11% East Queensland. • Manufacturing: 10% The 17th Construction Squadron has relocated from • Public admin/safety: 9% Holsworthy Barracks in Sydney to RAAF Amberley • Construction: Source: 2016 Census & Ipswich City Council 8% as part of a $1.1 billion expansion. TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - IPSWICH CITY 10
Around 6,000 personnel work out of the base, a Property Profile number that is expected to increase to 7,000 by 2020. The largest airbase in Australia, the RAAF Base BUILDING APPROVALS Amberley contributes over $500 million to the local economy annually. Year Houses Units Total - Industrial FY2018 3,426 375 3,801 Built on the fortunes of coal mining, Ipswich FY2017 2,752 718 3,470 continues to deal in heavy industry. Transport hubs, FY2016 2,155 744 2,899 abattoirs, bulky goods retailers and manufacturers are strongly represented across the city. Source: ABS One of the larger industrial parks is the $1 billion Citiswich industrial park. The 335ha area, previously known as Bremer Business Park, sits beside the junction of three highways in the Riverview area, HOME OWNERSHIP making it strategic as a transport hub. Major tenants include Caltex, KSB, API, the Reject • 22% own their homes Shop, Capral Aluminium and IOR Petroleum. • 36% have mortgages • 40% rent their homes - Tourism Source: 2016 Census Tourism contributes $136 million to the Ipswich economy each year. One of the main attractions is the Workshops Rail Museum which was named the best heritage and Ipswich has been named repeatedly as one of the cultural tourism experience in the state at the 2014 fastest-growing regions in South East Queensland in Queensland Tourism Awards. recent years. Strong population growth will continue The Orion Lagoon, one of the largest outdoor due to the expansion of major projects such as recreation facilities in Australia, is another attraction. Springfield and the Ripley Valley development. The lagoon has an expanse of shallow pools, water Property analyst Michael Matusik says that demand features, parklands and a covered barbecue pavilion for property is outstripping supply. His research with picnic tables. shows that in the past five years developers have added 9,000 homes to the Ipswich market, yet demand was significantly higher at around 10,000. This has coincided with increased prices. During the last five years, house prices in Ipswich have increased 33%, says Ipswich Zone REIQ Chair, Darren Boettcher. “It’s great to see,” he says. “Ipswich is a rising market but we do need a price correction - it’s too cheap. It will start getting out of hand in about three years. By then, the median price will be about $400,000 to $450,000.” At present, house prices across most suburbs are in the $310,000 to 390,000 range. At the forefront of the population and real estate growth are the suburbs of at the eastern end of the LGA, such as Redbank Plains and Collingwood Park. TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - IPSWICH CITY 11
Affordability, new homes and proximity to shops, Opportunities for units include Redbank Plains, schools, medical facilities and public transport are where the median price is $319,000. Investors can drawing young families to the Redbank Plains– expect rent of about $280 per week. Ripley–Springfield region. Vacancy rates in many of the older, more established These suburbs have good access to Brisbane via the suburbs, such as Ipswich, Leichhardt, Silkstone and Centenary Highway and the Springfield train line. Bundamba are below 3.0%. Areas impacted by new development, such as Across Ipswich City, rental returns are strong, with Springfield, Redbank Plains, Ripley and Collingwood most suburbs producing median yields of 4.5–6%. Park, have higher vacancy rates. There are few units across the City; houses make up Because of the potential for high levels of new home 90% of dwellings in the Ipswich LGA (compared with building, investors should monitor vacancy rates 75% in the Brisbane LGA). and building approvals. IPSWICH VACANCY RATES Postcode Suburb Vacancy rate 4300 Augustine Hts, Bellbird Park, Goodna, Springfield 3.1 % 4301 Redbank Plains, Collingwood Park 3.8 % 4304 Silkstone, Bundamba 2.4 % 4305 Ipswich, East Ipswich, Leighhardt, Newtown 2.6 % 4306 Ripley 3.0 % Source: sqmresearch.com.au TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - IPSWICH CITY 12
The suburbs listed below are a sample of the Ipswich house market: Sales 1-year Growth Median Suburb Median Houses Houses Growth Average Yield Augustine Heights 102 $545,000 3% -1 % 4.1 % Bellbird Park 123 $375,000 0% 1% 4.9 % Brassall 218 $341,000 1% 0% 5.3 % Bundamba 98 $311,000 5% 1% 5.2 % Camira 125 $410,000 5% 2% 4.6 % Collingwood Park 127 $339,000 -2 % 0% 5.2 % Eastern Heights 76 $320,000 6% 2% 4.9 % Goodna 160 $312,000 -4 % 0% 5.3 % Leichhardt 72 $243,000 2% 0% 5.9 % North Ipswich 114 $290,000 5% 0% 5.4 % Raceview 182 $325,000 3% 1% 5.4 % Redbank Plains 284 $335,000 0% 1% 5.2 % Ripley 45 $396,000 17 % 3% 4.7 % Silkstone 88 $319,000 6% 2% 4.8 % Springfield 92 $420,000 -2 % 1% 4.7 % Springfield Lakes 370 $431,000 -2 % 1% 4.8 % Yamanto 73 $356,000 -1 % 1% 5.1 % Source: CoreLogic. “No. of sales” is the number of house sales in the past 12 months. “Growth ave.” is the average annual growth in median prices over the past 10 years.“ snr” = statistically not reliable. Future Prospects The State Government and the Ipswich City Council expect strong population growth to continue in CORE INFLUENCES Ipswich over the next 25 years. In addition to the billion-dollar-plus residential Government Policy projects listed in the tables at the end of this report, there is another $2 billion worth of residential Transport Infrastructure development across five projects under construction. The combined projects will deliver over 4,000 Urban Renewal dwellings, supported by new schools, roads and general infrastructure. Cheapies with Prospects Hospitals, shopping centres and the JBS meatworks are expanding. TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - IPSWICH CITY 13
Heavy vehicle manufacturer Volvo, which builds up to 3,500 trucks each year, has just opened a $30 million Major retail centres, Redbank precinct headquarters at Wacol and announced plans for a $25 million expansion of its manufacturing plant. • Redbank Plaza Volvo employs 530 people after adding 160 workers • Redbank Plains Shopping Village in the last two years. • Redbank Tavern Plaza Shopping Centre Citiswich, a 350ha industrial estate and logistics hub • Orion Greater Springfield Shopping at Bundamba and owned by Walker Corporation, Complex, Springfield is reportedly Queensland’s largest industrial development. • Masters hardware store, Springfield • Brookwater Retail Village. Recent road upgrades across the Brisbane region mean travel times between Citiswich and key centres such as the CBD, Brisbane Airport, the Port of Brisbane, north and south Gateway arterials and the TradeCoast Precinct have been reduced. To fulfil the contract, Rheinmetall is first building a Travel Centre, The Reject Shop, OneSteel, Caltex and $170 million manufacturing plant at Wacol, engaging Australian Pharmaceutical Industries have taken up Watpac to carry out the construction work. residence at Citiswich while $120 million is currently Combined, the two projects would create 1,450 jobs being spent on three other projects: Costco; TAE and deliver $1 billion to the state’s economy over 10 Aerospace’s new headquarters; and Queensland years. Urban Utilities depot. These are to be joined by a distribution centre, Recommended Locations marked for commencement in 2019 by Walker Corporation. The following precincts within Ipswich City stand out for their growth prospects:- And it’s not all about industry, the Brisbane Lions AFL club plans to build a $70 million stadium and headquarters at Springfield. - THE REDBANK PRECINCT These projects are creating thousands of jobs. • Redbank • Goodna Meanwhile, the Ipswich City Council is spending • Redbank Plains • Bellbird Park $150 million on revitalising the CBD. The project will • Collingwood Park see Council’s administrative offices, city library and civic centre relocated. The Council also has plans to The Redbank precinct has much potential because build a $100 million performing arts complex. of new residential, retail and industrial development including new schools. It has major road and rail Another long-term Council project is a motor-sport links to central Brisbane, extensive shopping precinct master plan. facilities and affordable homes. - Defence Force The precinct borders high-development growth areas such as Springfield and Brookwater. The RAAF Amberley Airbase is a key driver in the local economy. Between now and 2036, the Federal The train trip from Springfield to Brisbane on the Government will contribute $1.5 billion towards Richlands to Springfield train line takes about 40 minutes. expanding the base, funding more accommodation Employment options are being boosted by industrial for personnel, new maintenance facilities and two estates, especially the $1 billion Citiswich industrial new types of aircraft. estate. All this activity will generate 2,800 extra jobs. Swanbank Enterprise Park, developed by Investa, In another financial coup, Rheinmetall Defence will is turning disused coal mining land into one of build 211 Boxer armoured vehicles costing $5.2 Australia’s biggest business and industry precincts billion for the Australian Army. with the potential to create up to 15,000 jobs. TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - IPSWICH CITY 14
The $350 million Redbank Motorway industrial park The developer of Ripley Valley, Sekisui House, will eventually employ 2,300 people. plans to develop a manufacturing plant in the area. The 194ha development will feature retail and The facility for the $5 billion project to build 211 commercial premises as well as 4,000 dwellings. Defence vehicles will be in this precinct. Two words of warning - INNER EASTERN SUBURBS - Subsidence • Booval • Tivoli Ipswich attracted national media attention in 2008 when homes built over disused coal mines in • East Ipswich • Silkstone Collingwood Park suffered serious damage through • Bundamba subsidence. A cluster of suburbs east of the Ipswich CBD stands Another incident involving an old mine shaft at Basin out: there are numerous suburbs with median prices Pocket occurred in August 2016. under $320,000, including Booval, East Ipswich, The Ipswich City Council says only 1% of homes in Bundamba, Tivoli and Silkstone. the city have been built over coal mines. Investors, East Ipswich, which has many character houses however, would be wise to check before buying in the ripe for renovation, is one of the most under-rated area. precincts in the Ipswich LGA. Ipswich City Council offers an online mapping system designed to help property buyers identify - THE SOUTHERN PRECINCT areas affected by past mining. - Floods • Yamanto • Deebing Heights Ipswich was affected by flooding in 1974, 2011 and • Ripley 2013. New flooding provisions adopting the 1974 flood level as the key residential development line The precinct south of the Ipswich CBD is a growing for the city have subsequently been implemented. area because the suburbs are more affordable than those closer to central Brisbane. In Ipswich, buyers Flood mitigation has been carried out at Redbank can find new four-bedroom two-bathroom homes Plains, Raceview, Yamanto, Brassall and Ipswich with double garages at affordable rates and in a Central. family environment. More than $12 billion has already been invested in developing Springfield, with only a fifth of the project completed. The entire project will cost $85 billion. The Ripley Valley area, 5km south of the Ipswich CBD, is projected to have a population of 120,000 in 20 years, compared with 5,000 currently. Stage one of the Ripley Town Centre opened in 2018. Eventually, the $1.5 billion development will provide jobs for up to 30,000 locals. The Government is investigating three railway stations in the valley, including one in the town centre, although no funding has yet been committed. The possible route of a future rail corridor would run from Springfield Central and through Ripley in a loop to Ipswich. TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - IPSWICH CITY 15
Major projects currently impacting the region are: INFRASTRUCTURE – GENERAL Project Value Status Impact RAAF Base Amberley $300 million Under construction The project includes expansion Completion expected by facilities to house 2020 10 C-27J Spartan battlefield airlifters RAAF Base Amberley $583 million Approved Jobs: 120 - upgrade of E-7A Project to be completed The upgrade impacts Wedgetails (combat by 2022 both Amberley and aircraft) Williamtown bases INFRASTRUCTURE – HEALTH AND MEDICAL FACILITIES Project Value Status Impact Springfield Health City $200 million Under construction Includes hospital Stage 1 of the Mater facilities, aged care and Springfield Land Corp Private Hospital retirement units Springfield is completed COMMERCIAL DEVELOPMENTS Project Value Status Impact Karalee Shopping $80 million Under construction Village expansion Completion expected in 2019 Yamanto Central TBA Approved A 3-storey food and Shopping Centre retail hub including Coles and Kmart Kelly Consolidated Citiswich Business Park $1 billion Under construction Caltex, Travel $120 million is being Centre, Reject Shop, Walker Corp spent on 3 new OneSteel, Australian premises Pharmaceutical are tenants Brisbane Lions AFL $70 million Proposed Stadium and HQ TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - IPSWICH CITY 16
COMMERCIAL DEVELOPMENTS Project Value Status Impact Metroplex Westgate $350 million Under construction Jobs project, Wacol Stage 1 completed in 10,000 February 2017 GPT and Metroplex Former Army Barracks (60ha) will be converted into mixed industry, retail and commercial space Orion Springfield $154 million Under construction Jobs Central expansion Event Cinemas, Stage 2 opened in July 700 retail Target, Coles, 80 extra 2016 440 construction Mirvac retailers, cafes and restaurants New Generation $4.4 billion Under construction Jobs Rollingstock project, Trains have been built 150 Wulkuraka station but require modification for disability access. The project will deliver Qtectic (Qld Govt) NGR trains are now 75 nine-car trains operating on 8 metro and a purpose built rail networks maintenance centre Inner city revitalisation $150 million Under construction Includes a new Council project admin building, new library, commercial, Ipswich City Council retail, entertainment and food precinct New manufacturing $170 million Under construction Jobs plant, Wacol Watpac is building the 1,450 across the two plant Rheinmetall projects Rheinmetall Defence Australia Defence manufacturing $5.2 billion Approved Jobs contract, Wacol 211 new armoured 1,450 across the two vehicles are to be built Rheinmetall projects Rheinmetall Defence for the Australian Army Australia TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - IPSWICH CITY 17
RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENTS Project Value Status Impact Providence, master- $2 billion Under construction A town centre, sporting planned city, Ripley facilities, schools and Valley 7,000 homes Amex Ripley Valley Apartment complex, $6 billion Proposed 10,000 apartments are City Centre North (next To be developed over 15 planned to Springfield train years station) Springfield Land Corp Ecco Ripley $1.4 billion Under construction A long-term project to create 4,000 homes Sekisui House Monterea Ripley $300 million Under construction 900 dwellings Retirement village, $1 billion Under construction 2,400 dwellings are Ripley Valley planned Aveo Group Waterlea, Walloon $350 million Under construction 1,500 lots for 4,500 residents Springfield Rise, Spring TBA Under construction 4,000 dwellings Mountain 675 construction jobs Lendlease per year for 10 years and 500 operational jobs TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - IPSWICH CITY 18
INFRASTRUCTURE – TRANSPORT Project Value Status Impact Norman Street bridge, $320 million Proposed linking North Ipswich Would require funding & East Ipswich over the from all three levels of Bremer River government Ipswich Motorway $400 million Under construction Jobs upgrade, Darra to The motorway will be Completion expected in 470 during Rocklea widened from four to six late 2020 construction lanes from Rocklea to State & Federal Govt Darra Cunningham Highway $276 million Proposed upgrade - Yamanto to Would need funding from Willowbank the State Govt Ipswich City Council Extended rail line, $150 million Proposed Springfield Central to Would need funding from Redbank Plains the State Govt TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - IPSWICH CITY 19
REDCLIFFE PENINSULA South East Queensland Highlights • $1.2 million Moreton Bay Rail Link • Bayside lifestyle • $590 million Newport project • Affordability (houses & units) • New Regional University Precinct • Revitalised image • $140 million Westfield North Lakes • Infrastructure spending redevelopment Suburb - Typical Suburb - Typical Suburb - Typical houses prices houses prices units prices Kippa-Ring $434,000 Redcliffe $439,000 Kippa-Ring $295,000 Margate $449,000 Scarborough $520,000 Margate $405,000 Newport $830,000 Woody Point $491,000 Redcliffe $403,000 The Redcliffe Peninsula finally has the transport link that it’s been promised for decades. The opening of the $1.2 billion Moreton Bay Rail Link – providing a rail connection from Kippa-Ring to Petrie and onward to the Brisbane CBD - is a game- changer for real estate on the Peninsula. The market is responding, with some suburbs delivering solid price growth in the past couple of years. The Redcliffe Peninsula may be geographically close to Brisbane, but it has suffered for years from transport links that did not keep pace with demand. Redcliffe was first connected to the ‘mainland’ in 1935 by the 2.7km Hornibrook Bridge, which helped the establishment of Redcliffe as a seaside suburb. It was replaced in 1979 by the concrete Houghton Bridge and then in 2010 the $315 million Ted Smout Memorial Bridge was opened. Now direct rail links – promised at state elections for decades without being delivered – have finally been constructed. The appeal of the precinct has also been enhanced by ongoing improvements to lifestyle elements on the Peninsula. TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - REDCLIFFE PENINSULA 21
Economy and Amenities Since the 1880s, Redcliffe has been a popular seaside resort location due to its proximity to Brisbane. But in recent years it has become a collection of dormitory suburbs for people commuting to work elsewhere. Location A high proportion of the 55,000 people who live in the • 28km north-east of Brisbane Redcliffe precinct commute to work in Brisbane and the fast-developing northern suburbs of the Greater • Suburbs on the Redcliffe Peninsula, Brisbane area. Moreton Bay But there are plenty of jobs locally too, with a dozen schools, two hospitals, three marinas and major • Accessible via Gympie Road or the shopping centres. Gateway Motorway, then Anzac Avenue According to Census statistics, 17% of the working • Part of Moreton Regional Council, the population are engaged in retail trade, 13% in manufacturing and 10% in health and community third largest LGA in the nation. services. Redcliffe is marketed as a tourism destination, with 22km of beaches, good fishing, whale-watching and attractions like the Redcliffe Museum, the historical Redcliffe Jetty and Settlement Cove aquatic park. Redcliffe became home to Bee Gees Way in 2013 when the last surviving member of the Bee Gees, Barry Gibb, unveiled a statue of the famous band members who grew up in the seaside town. The Redcliffe Jetty Sunday markets attracted 350,000 visitors in 2017. Population & Demographics Recent infrastructure and property developments include: • Population Redcliffe 2016: 59,500 • $140 million upgrade of Westfield North Lakes • Median age Redcliffe: 45 • the upgrade of the Houghton Highway Bridge • Population Moreton Bay Region 2016: 425,000 • a $27 million upgrade of Redcliffe Hospital • Projected population • the $65 million Woolworths-anchored Bluewater Moreton Bay Region 2041: 656,000 Square shopping centre • an $80 million upgrade of the nearby Kippa-Ring Shopping Village One of the fastest developing places in Australia. • a high-rise hotel with 184 residential and serviced apartments in place of the old Seabrae Hotel • Azure Blue Aged Care, a $50 million facility Source: 2016 Census comprising 122 apartments and 96 hospital beds. TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - REDCLIFFE PENINSULA 22
Property Profile Numerous unit projects are approved and in addition to those listed in the tables under “Future Projects”, The Peninsula offers affordable dwellings, proximity another 310 units across six projects are approved to Brisbane and the laid-back atmosphere of a in the suburbs of Margate, Scarborough and Woody bayside village. Point, according to the database of urban.com.au. Redcliffe has had solid growth since its suburbs were There are also unit projects under construction at identified by people looking for affordable bayside Newport and North Lakes, but for now, the best real estate within striking distance of employment. yields in the unit market are 5.8% in Kippa-Ring. It had a price peak in 2008 and another in 2010. The median unit price in Kippa-Ring is $295,000 based on 41 annual sales. The following years saw subdued growth, with most of the peninsula markets experiencing declines in Vacancies are generally low to moderate throughout median house prices in 2011-12, before the first the precinct, although vacancies in Kippa-Ring signs of a return to growth in 2013 and 2014. have been unsettled since mid-2016, rising to 7% in November 2016 and fluctuating beyond the The extension of the train line to Redcliffe in 2016, benchmark of 3% on several occasions. taking in new stations at Kallangur, Murrumba Downs, Mango Hill, Mango Hill East, Rothwell and At present, vacancy rates in the main Peninsula Kippa-Ring gave the Peninsula a much needed boost postcodes are below 3.0%. and improvements are beginning to materialise. Our Spring 2018 survey for the Price Predictor Index REDCLIFFE VACANCY RATES identified Redcliffe and Kippa-Ring as rising markets. Each has affordability and solid infrastructure as P/code Suburbs Vacancy Rate drivers of growth, Kippa-Ring being near the new Kippa-Ring train station. 4019 Margate, Woody Point, The median house rents in Clontarf, Kippa-Ring and Clontarf 1.8 % Margate range from $365 to $385 and investors can find houses priced in the mid-$400,000s in several 4020 Redcliffe, Scarborough 2.6 % suburbs across the precinct. 4021 Kippa-Ring 2.2 % Most Peninsula suburbs have long-term growth averages around 3% per year and yields ranging Source: sqmresearch.com.au from 4.2% to 4.6%. The suburbs listed below are a sample of the Redcliffe house market: Sales 1-year Growth Median Suburb Median Houses Houses Growth Average Yield Clontarf 154 $450,000 1% 3% 4.4% Kippa-Ring 175 $434,000 5% 2% 4.6% Margate 143 $449,000 -1 % 3% 4.2% Newport 99 $830,000 1% 0% 3.9% Redcliffe 151 $439,000 -3 % 3% 4.4% Scarborough 141 $520,000 -5 % 3% 3.9% Woody Point 65 $491,000 9% 3% 3.9% Source: CoreLogic. “No. of sales” is the number of house sales in the past 12 months; “10yr ave.” is the average annual rise in median house prices in the past 10 years. “Snr”: Statistically not reliable. TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - REDCLIFFE PENINSULA 23
The Redcliffe unit market can be summarised as: Sales 1-year Growth Median Suburb Median Units Units Growth Average Yield Kippa-Ring 41 $295,000 6% 1% 5.8 % Margate 46 $405,000 8% 1% 4.5 % Redcliffe 151 $403,000 -6 % 2% 4.7 % Scarborough 116 $498,000 2% 3% 4.1 % Woody Point 78 $420,000 -13 % 5% 4.3 % Source: CoreLogic. “No. of sales” is the number of house sales in the past 12 months; “10yr ave.” is the average annual rise in median house prices in the past 10 years. “Snr”: Statistically not reliable. Future Prospects CORE INFLUENCES The opening of the train line to Kippa-Ring in 2016 is now luring interstate investors to the Redcliffe Government Policy Peninsula. General manager at LJ Hooker Redcliffe, Kylie Sea Change Loof, says that before the line opened, about 30% of investors were from interstate. Now it’s about 50%. Transport Infrastructure Train services have been needed because Moreton Bay region is the third largest local government area Urban Renewal in Australia and one of the fastest-growing areas in the country with the population set to exceed 500,000 by 2031. Stockland is building 1,673 homes, some of which In the past, transport in the Moreton Bay region will include waterfront access, in a $590 million was heavily geared towards cars. More than half the project which will take 10 years to complete. It also region’s population departed the area every day to has approval to begin work on the Newport Shopping travel to work with the vast majority (83%) using a Centre. private vehicle for their journey. The nearby suburb of North Lakes has evolved with That is now changing, thanks to the new rail link. three schools, six child-care centres, an industrial estate, an 18-hole championship golf course, 80km An express train from Kippa-Ring takes 45 minutes of bikeways and walkways, 53 parks and eight sports to reach the Brisbane CBD, compared with over an fields. hour by car in peak-hour traffic. Each full train on the new line removes 600 cars from surrounding A $140 million expansion of Westfield Northlakes roads, thus reducing congestion. has recently been completed. The centre now offers IKEA, Kmart, JB HiFi, Cotton on Mega, Rebel, Event News of the rail link has prompted around $215 Cinemas and 60 additional stores. million of investment in the region in recent years. The Redcliffe waterfront has been revitalised with As more people come to live in North Lakes, the list cafes, restaurants, bars and weekend markets. of amenities continues to grow. Since January 2016, numerous residential It includes a private hospital, medical facilities, developments have been approved by MBRC in vet services, retirement village, a TAFE Skills Tech the suburbs adjacent to the rail line, including facility and $45 million community hub. townhouse developments and apartment buildings North Lakes has helped to lift the appeal of the in suburbs such as Kallangur, Murrumba Downs and Redcliffe Peninsula suburbs by improving the Mango Hill. lifestyle and amenities of the area. TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - REDCLIFFE PENINSULA 24
The following projects will impact economic activity in the Redcliffe Region: INFRASTRUCTURE – EDUCATION Project Value Status Impact New Moreton Bay TBA Proposed Will create increased Regional University Will cater for 10,000 demand for rentals in Precinct students by 2030 the region. Sunshine Coast Uni INFRASTRUCTURE - GENERAL Project Value Status Impact New Dolphin Stadium $12 million Completed Economic benefits A rugby league stadium $32 million per year Redcliffe Dolphins to seat 10,000 Newport Shopping TBA Aproved Jobs Centre Includes restaurants, 467 construction health services, indoor 150 operational Stockland sports facility, offices Multi-storey car park, TBA Proposed An extra 600 car spaces Redcliffe Hospital are planned State Government RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENTS Project Value Status Impact Newport, Scarborough $590 million Under construction Jobs A 1,600-home master- Completion expected 3,000 Stockland planned community around 2025 Retirement village, $69 Million Under construction Newport Stockland Units, 55 Redcliffe Pde TBA Under construction 90 units above shops Completion expected in Suncity Homes 2019 Units and hotel, 156-158 TBA Proposed 90 mid-rise units and Griffith Rd, Newport 120 hotel rooms Kindred Devts TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - REDCLIFFE PENINSULA 25
Project Value Status Impact Units, 86-90 Prince TBA Approved 47 mid-rise units Edward Parade, Redcliffe Units, 133-151 Redcliffe TBA Approved 89 high-rise units Parade, Redcliffe Units, 99-101 Sutton TBA Approved 76 mid-rise units Street, Redcliffe Units, 81 Sutton Street, TBA Approved 99 mid-rise units Redcliffe VIDA North Lakes TBA Under construction 96 low-rise units Stockland Units, 19-23 Redcliffe TBA Proposed 163 mid-rise units Parade, Redcliffe Units, 1785 Anzac TBA Proposed 715 mid-rise units Avenue, Mango Hill Mango Hill Property Units, 92-96 Hornibrook TBA Proposed 93 mid-rise units Esplanade, Clontarf Hastone Australia TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - REDCLIFFE PENINSULA 26
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BRISBANE NORTHSIDE Metropolitan Brisbane Highlights • Strong middle market sector • $355 million Chermside Shopping • $1.1 billion Herston Quarter Centre upgrade • $80 million Inner City Bypass • $1.2 billion Racecourse Village upgrade project • Good transport links • $270 million Circa Nundah Village. Suburb - Suburb - Suburb - Typical prices Typical prices Typical prices houses houses units Alderley $840,000 Mitchelton $657,000 Gaythorne $375,000 Everton Park $615,000 Stafford $613,000 Kedron $406,000 Kedron $728,000 Stafford Hts $615,000 Kelvin Grove $405,000 Keperra $528,000 Windsor $785,000 Lutwyche $475,000 Brisbane is enjoying a renewed confidence following commencement of the Queens Wharf development and the announcement of the Cross River Rail – both mega- projects destined to generate economic activity and jobs. Brisbane Northside can expect to benefit not only from these projects, but also several large commercial, medical and residential developments that are now under way – for example, the $1.1 billion Herston Quarter venture and the $1.2 billion Racecourse Village project. Transport infrastructure in Brisbane Northside has been enhanced by major upgrades in recent years, improving connectivity to the CBD, western suburbs and the airport, thus reducing commuting time for workers. Part of the appeal of Brisbane Northside is that its economy is solid, boosted by large employers such as hospitals, government departments and the Queensland University of Technology. With attractive unit prices in suburbs such as Enoggera, Kelvin Grove and Herston - where there is a high percentage of renters - there are opportunities for investors to buy affordably and achieve good rental returns. Investors, however, need to check vacancy rates, which are high in some unit markets. TOP 5 BRISBANE HOTSPOTS January to May 2019 - BRISBANE NORTHSIDE 29
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