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April 2021 Connected Places The Path to Net Zero in Latin American Cities The UK’s Capabilities and Contributions Supported by FCDO and UKRI
2 The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities 3 Santiago, Chile Context The last five years have seen cities around the world become decisive drivers and venues of innovation in pursuit of net zero and clean growth. Cities are now recognised as the dense concentrations of people, assets and systems where it is possible to enact transformations at scale and achieve essential economic and social outcomes at the same time as targeting climate change. The quest for a green recovery from Covid-19, coinciding with COP26, is adding stimulus to more cities to translate net zero pledges, plans and ambitions into real world action. To know what kinds of interventions are possible and desirable in cities, and the roles the UK can play in trading and enabling them, depends on a deeper grasp of where cities are at and how they can innovate. This report, which combines the findings from the FCDO-supported project “Leveraging UK Expertise on Net Zero in Pacific Alliance Cities” and the Innovate UK-supported webinar “Latin America Net Zero Urban Innovation Challenges and Opportunities”, explores the potential for the UK to support the different paths that cities may go on towards net zero based on their individual starting points, their span of control, and the priorities they now have to address.
4 The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities 5 The analysis is focused on Latin America strategies tend to be less developed than in • Incumbent businesses, including start- and informed by urban performance data, other systems of cities. There are a growing ups and SMEs, are starting to recognise insights from SMEs and UK export missions, number of capable innovation partners Villavicencio, Colombia their role in leading a net zero transition, and practitioner recommendations in but fewer areas of mature local domestic especially in cities dominated by particular the UK and in the region. It is designed specialisation in sectors that can immediately companies or sectors. The demonstration to complement the rich body of work accelerate to net zero. This presents a lot of capacity and convening power of industrial undertaken by multilateral organisations, opportunity – and urgency - for long-term companies and private infrastructure and city networks and others on Latin American partnership and capacity development. energy providers is especially significant cities, by focusing on what specifically the The interviews and research carried out for in contexts where city governments have UK’s companies, conveners and cities can this work reveal that in a global context, limited influence contribute. Its results help to provide a Latin America’s cities’ net zero journey stands In the next cycle there is a shared recognition broad understanding of the current net zero out in a number of ways: that to achieve scalable net zero impacts, the challenges faced by Latin American cities and • The profound role of natural assets region’s cities need support to better convene, how UK expertise may help to address them. in their wider region, which shapes the collaborate and co-ordinate, especially Latin America is a critical region for possibilities and resources for net zero with business, citizens, academia and civic the world’s net zero ambitions. It is 80% action and climate resilience. Protection, leadership. Services and innovations that build urban, and a continent where unplanned utilisation and smart management of the collaborative capacity within cities, and and underpowered cities have resulted deserts, coasts, wind, forests, wetlands, more people with the skills and influence to in many urgent mitigation imperatives in food basins, and biodiversity – including act as an effective interface, are at the heart of transport, energy and waste. The gateway through improved technologies, services what many cities seek. cities such as São Paulo, Mexico City and and management - are high priorities in More partnership-led institutions and Bogotá continue to lead the charge in terms these nature-rich cities, especially given financial tools are in demand – from municipal of demonstrating what is possible and the high risks of natural and man-made companies to business improvement promoting potential opportunities. At the disasters which result in significant human districts to value capture. Gaps in financing, same time, diversification away from the and economic costs each year benchmarking, real-time management and region’s megacities continues and there is • The urgency to shift to more compact performance monitoring related to net zero more recognition that medium sized cities development. Latin American cities all need to be closed rapidly. The pivot to hold the key to clean growth. are entering a critical cycle where they innovative procurement practices, such as These ‘middleweight’ cities, from Antofagasta need to demonstrate the effects of the challenge-led procurement approach, can to Arequipa and from Santa Marta to São transport-oriented development, begin underpin efforts to engage start-ups and SMEs, Jose dos Campos, are much less locked in modal shift away from the car, and shift create a more level playing field, and generate to inefficient path dependencies, and have towards effective metropolitan planning. more opportunities for local actors in the the agility to change and eagerness to Electric vehicles play a role in a more agile race to net zero while also providing a specific partner up. A lot of groundwork and piloting urban model, alongside public transport mechanism to match specific local needs to has been done in the last decade to create expansion, multi-modal stations, mobility potential expertise in a transparent way. an environment where long term plans, as a service, and much improved facilities climate plans, and effective financial and incentives for pedestrians and cyclists instruments, are all more customary in supporting active mobility Latin America’s mid-sized cities, although • A communication task with big institutional weaknesses and basic communities is essential in high-division, infrastructure gaps persist. low-trust cities where information flow from As a group, Latin American cities are striking authorities to citizens is often ineffective, in that governance deficits mean that despite and carbon literacy is low. Policies which high levels of awareness, the scope and generate a more participative approach operationalisable ambition of their net zero with citizens should be encouraged
6 The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities 7 The UK’s potential contribution Contents plan, establish effective localised cost-benefit analysis, unlock green public spaces, as well The UK was the first nation to industrialise as build research partnerships on agendas and urbanise, and among the first to such as circular economy and hydrogen. experience de-industrialisation. As a source Appetite is very high for UK companies’ of solutions and innovations, the UK is integrative expertise and technology, 1. Leveraging UK Expertise to Address Net Zero 6 on a path to becoming a distinctive net zero the capacity building of its experts and Challenges in Latin American Cities market because of its: 1.1 Project summary 8 institutions, and UK cities’ ambitious • World-leading sector-specific capability in leadership in terms of how to decarbonise 1.2 Medium-sized Latin American cities in regional perspective 13 areas essential for financing and building systems and raise the profile of low carbon 1.3 The opportunity to leverage UK expertise in the journey to net zero 25 net zero cities in a more integrated way agendas. • Competitive ‘first mover’ advantage in The UK will itself need to innovate in order 2. Moving Forward and COP26 40 niche technologies and place-based to make the most of its potential to drive innovations that can be scaled globally significant trade and reputational advantage Appendices 42 to city governments and users from its net zero activities abroad and at A – Examples of UK expertise and leadership in the journey to net zero 42 home. Practitioners observe that the UK’s net B – Data sources underpinning the national ‘systems of cities’ 46 • Know-how around systems integration, zero export and scalable expertise potential performance snapshots breaking down siloes, and the regulatory may in future benefit from: C – Webinar Summary and Statistics 48 and policy adjustments that spur change References and endnotes 50 1. A co-ordinated system to alert SMEs to • L eadership in UK cities to promote low non-UK language advertised opportunities, carbon innovation and internationalisation and to support them to respond efficiently despite significant institutional deficits and place fragmentation 2. Ongoing support to UK cities to build capacity and resources to mobilise around UK SMEs have particular expertise in net zero net zero and showcase progress in an niches such as smart streetlighting, lithium- internationally relevant way to overseas ion battery storage, electric vehicle charging decision makers and investors infrastructure and subscription models, and mobile ticketing and payments-as-a-service. 3. M ore structured support to share Many capabilities that have comparative UK global expertise and to combine advantage in emerging economies are in the different sectors that contribute to the ‘softer’ domains of regulation, behaviour a low-carbon system into a smart incentives, systems engineering and integrated offer integration. UK companies and joint ventures 4. Efforts to design the UK ‘package’ of net can play a leading role in helping cities to zero expertise specifically to complement Authors design and deliver less siloed systems and existing capabilities in cities, and to link overcome pervading fragmentation. Dr. Tim Moonen – Co-Founder and Managing Director, The Business of Cities to supply and delivery on the ground In general, the biggest priority areas Jake Nunley – Head of Research, The Business of Cities 5. More partnerships between UK companies Harriet Seymour – Associate, The Business of Cities for mitigation in Latin American cities – and organisations active locally such as the Guilherme Johnston – Head of Global Partnerships, Connected Places Catapult particularly smaller and medium sized Inter-American Development Bank (IDB), Precilia Godart – Global Partnerships Officer, Connected Places Catapult cities – are around decarbonising transport, the Latin America Development Bank energy and waste. There is consistent (CAF), UN-Habitat, UNDP, ICLEI and C40, demand for assistance to develop bankable Acknowledgements which can help to facilitate interactions projects, redesign electricity markets, The authors would like to warmly thank colleagues within the UK, Latin America and elsewhere between the UK and local service introduce baseline monitoring systems, for their insight and input to this report. providers and strengthen UK involvement integrate metropolitan transport, centralise in city-led challenges mobility data, execute a regional climate
8 The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities 9 1 Leveraging UK It is especially pertinent in Latin America, where There is no one system or catalyst that will decarbonise megacities are home to 10% more of the urban population cities. It will require millions of small and large than in other global regions, and where fast-changing interventions, not only into buildings, transport, energy, Expertise to Address medium-sized cities are home to nearly 45% of the total waste and materials, but also more broadly into city urban population (see Figure 1). This means that while systems, assets, services, planning and business models. Latin America’s gateway cities such as São Paulo and Digitisation, integration, efficient retrofits, co-ordinated Net Zero Challenges in Buenos Aires will play important demonstrator and governance, aligned incentives and applied technologies convenor roles, the path to net zero will also fundamentally will all be required (see Figure 2). The abatement depend on what happens in ‘middleweight’ cities such contribution of medium-sized cities in particular is Latin American Cities as Bucaramanga and Concepción. striking in the pursuit of targets for 2030 and beyond. 18 1.1 Project summary Figure 2: Contribution of Reference Scenario 17.3 different sectors with a continuation of Energy Efficiency In January 2021, Connected Places Catapult and The Business of Cities were commissioned by the to the reduction of 16 business-as-usual trends Reduced Sprawl 2.3 urban greenhouse Liveable Density FCDO in Chile and Colombia to deliver a project focusing on identifying the net zero challenges in six gas emissions by medium-sized cities in Chile and Colombia – Antofagasta, Bucaramanga, Concepción, Iquique, Santa 2050 14 Governance Residential Mixed Use Regulation Renewable Energy Supply Buildings Marta and Villavicencio – and to identify how UK expertise could contribute to addressing these. Partnerships Carbon Capture 3.4 Finance Incentives Battery Storage 12 Market-making Context Procurement Education Retrofits IoT Responsive Environments 1.5 Communication The global journey to ‘net zero’ depends to a very large extent on 1 10 Leadership System Monitoring Life Cycle Management Commercial 1.8 Buildings what happens in cities. 8 Public Transport Active Mobility Net zero - where total greenhouse gas decarbonisation of cities – which we take Optimised Logistics 2.5 emissions are equal or lower than emissions here to mean all ways of reducing cities’ 6 EVs Urban Ports & Airports Transport removed from the environment – is shaped in CO2 emissions – will be essential to the journey Mitigation Scenario 0.7 with ambitious action Circular Economy large part by CO2, which is responsible for to net zero.3 This imperative applies to cities 4 1.3 Source: Adapted to cut emissions Material Recovery Urban 75% of greenhouse gas emissions globally. large and small, and cities in established and from Coalition for Materials Urban Transitions 1.2 Cities account for over 70% of these CO2 emerging economies. All cities will play their (2019), including 2 authors’ own Zero-emission Waste 0.8 Urban Waste emissions.2 An increased pace in the part. (see Figure 1). annotations Waste Prevention on example interventions.5 1.8 0 Figure 1: Size of 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Latin American metropolitan areas and distribution of urban population compared to metropolitan areas in other These efforts synchronise with other core benefits cities With its ambitious net zero targets and world-leading parts of the world are seeking – cleaner air, better mobility, cost savings expertise in several sectors relating to decarbonisation, for citizens and companies, higher liveability, and talent the UK has the potential not only to transform itself retention. Latest forecasts suggest that the economic internally, but also to work together with partners benefits of decarbonising cities may amount to £17.5 globally – such as the Pacific Alliance cities – to achieve trillion in Net Present Value by 2050.6 global climate commitments. COP26, together with the recently released Ten Point Plan for Net zero Transition, In the context of Brexit and the recovery from Covid-19, represents a unique opportunity to accelerate global and as the host country of COP26, the UK government emissions reduction and the shift to renewable energy. and the agencies within it have begun shifting attention Source: UN World Urbanisation Prospects (2018 update).4 *Only includes metropolitan areas with populations above 300,000. Urban population refers to total population residing in cities with metropolitan populations larger than 300,000. more decisively to questions around how to promote decarbonisation and a green economic recovery.
10 The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities 11 . Project aims and methodology • The scope and ambition of their climate Dimension Questions it can help answer change and associated net zero strategies, This project, designed to build on, • How well set up is the city to become net zero? including areas where awareness raising complement and triangulate existing Inherited assets to go net • How difficult will it be for this city to become net zero? may be required (ambition and strategy) work in this space, provided an important zero • How much progress is possible? insight into the challenges Latin American • The size, scale and mix of projects • Which can be the biggest drivers of change? cities face in their journey to net zero, currently being mounted to progress to • Which cities are willing pioneers? and to the opportunities for the UK to net zero, including the potential role for Ambition and strategy to • Where is awareness raising required? provide expertise that can accelerate their the UK, and the extent and maturity of become net zero • Who are the potential IFI partners? decarbonisation efforts. It combined insights platforms to convene action (projects from global datasets, local strategies, and and platforms) • What scale and sector are the projects being mounted? Platforms and projects to • Where are the gaps? direct interaction via expert interviews and • The tools and powers they have to catalyse net zero • What type of expertise can the UK offer? a webinar with key stakeholders in Pacific undertake bold reforms and shift to net Alliance cities to create a framework of zero, and which sectors seem to offer Span of powers and • Where can UK net zero companies or institutions find a capable analysis that can be applied globally (see the most scope for intervention (span of influence to shift to net government partner? Figure 3). This framework enables cities to zero • In which sectors is there most scope to intervene? powers and influence) be evaluated according to a 5-pronged system • T he maturity and dynamism of the net zero • Who are the potential partners for net zero? that analyses: Investment and innovation innovation and investment environment, • How easy is it to access funding? environment for net zero • The assets and systems they inherit, how • How mature is the current clean/greentech ecosystem? including the extent of specialisation in difficult it may be to decarbonise them, and sectors allied to net zero and presence which systems can be the main drivers of of potential partners (innovation and In answering the questions ‘how are Chilean • Open the market for UK expertise to change (inherited assets) investment) and Colombian cities distinctive in terms of medium-sized cities in the Pacific their journey to net zero?’ and ‘what is the Alliance region, such as Bucaramanga role of the UK in supporting that journey?’, and Antofagasta the project aimed not only to expand the Figure 3: • Match capability to needs and assess which Framework Inherited evidence base on medium-sized Latin underpinning assets cities would be a best fit for UK expertise American cities, but also to define potential analysis of the on net zero challenges cities pathways for the UK to foster and support face in the journey +100% sustainable market development activities. • Differentiate the sectors where the UK to net zero and its companies and cities are world In particular, the project was designed to: leading and can provide the leading- • Strengthen understanding of Pacific edge ideas, innovations, capabilities and Alliance cities’ net zero related challenges lessons to support the rest of the world Innovation Ambition and and and opportunities as they relate to urban to decarbonise investment Strategy innovation among key UK stakeholders • Provide a resource for UK representatives Pee -100% • P rovide valuable insights into which sectors and businesses to communicate the UK r in which cities are most suited to UK support, offer in a more focused way Ave and which stakeholders the UK can work rage with to accelerate the journey to net zero What this report is and is not Span of Projects powers and and This report provides a series of summary insights drawn from the main outputs of the FCDO-supported influence platforms project “Leveraging UK Expertise on Net Zero in Pacific Alliance Cities” and the Innovate UK-supported webinar “Latin America Net Zero Urban Innovation Challenges and Opportunities.”
12 The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities 13 1.2 Medium-sized Latin American cities in Section 1.2 – Medium-sized Latin American cities regional perspective in regional perspective Medium-sized cities will be essential to Latin Latin America’s medium-sized cities hold the key to much of the continent’s urban America’s journey to net zero. emissions abatement and mitigation potential. Understanding at a broad level where these cities have come from in terms of the assets and systems they inherit; where they are at now in terms of how dynamic their urban innovation ecosystems are; and where Not only do medium-sized cities hold the • Inherited city systems, connectivity and they are going in future as a result of the tools and powers they have to undertake bold majority of urban emissions abatement assets reforms, is an important first step in being able to map the net zero challenges faced by potential to 2030 and beyond. In many cases • Existing innovation ecosystem dynamics each region and the potential pathways to support market development activities. they also have the appetite, consciousness and culture of enterprise Section 1.2 is based on Connected Places Catapult’s and The Business of Cities’ City and eagerness to amend their development Typologies tool, which draws upon a combination of comparative global benchmarks, trajectories and engage in the conversations • Governance capacity, budgetary power and longitudinal socioeconomic databases and real-time global ‘big’ datasets in order to and partnerships necessary to spur change. strategic ambition characterise cities’ performance across three main opportunity areas. This snapshot primarily looks at Colombian Yet the ability of medium-sized cities to progress to ‘net zero’ depends on many and Chilean cities, including: factors. This not only includes inherited • Colombia’s two most globalised cities systems and assets relating to spatial form (Bogotá and Medellín), plus a group of and public transport that are built up and three medium-sized cities: Bucaramanga, evolve over multiple cycles, but also elements Villavicencio and Santa Marta7 Section 1.3 – The opportunity to leverage UK that influence the ability of cities to enact • Chile’s two most globalised cities change, including the size and scale of their expertise in the journey to net zero urban innovation ecosystems, the presence (Santiago and Valparaíso), plus a group of three medium-sized cities: Iquique, of platforms and partners to convene Antofagasta and Concepción The UK has world-leading experience and expertise in several sectors relating to multiple stakeholders, and the future decarbonisation. Mapping the ways that the UK has already contributed, and how they ambitions and strategies of the city and could contribute further, to the journey to net zero in other countries is an important the planning, governance and financial tools Santa Marta means of matching needs and capability. they have to realise them. Bucaramanga Medellin Bogotá Section 1.3 explores 4 types of sector where the UK has real-world leading capabilities This section provides a ‘birds eye’ snapshot and expertise and where its businesses and cities have the potential to amplify their of Colombian, Chilean, and other Latin Villavicencio impact. More specifically, it reflects the particular roles of cities and SMEs, and the American cities in global and regional needs for ongoing improvements within the UK to drive and reinforce existing expertise perspective that is designed to answer some and contributions. It provides a short, non-exhaustive outside-in scan of the opportunity of these questions. It is based primarily on for the UK to support the decarbonisation agenda, with a focus on Latin America and The Business of Cities’ and Connected other middle-income countries globally. Places Catapult’s ‘City Typology Index – It does not provide a fully in-depth and comprehensive analysis that captures all UK an in-house performance and progress actions in the net zero space in full, nor is it an audit of particular firms within the net Iquique dashboard which assesses 500 cities with zero space. It is based on insights from: Antofagasta over 175,000 individual data points, across • Studies from UK Catapults such as Connected Places Catapult and Energy Systems three main opportunity areas: Valparaíso Santiago Catapult Concepción • Analysis undertaken by and on behalf of the UK government • National government reviews and policy briefs • Global benchmarks and comparative studies of city performance Figure 4: Map of • Global big data platforms of real-time investment and innovation activity in cities cities analysed in • Interviews with key participants in the ecosystem in the UK and internationally this snapshot
14 The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities 15 Summary insights on the performance of 11 other medium-sized Latin American cities are also provided to help contextualise these two national systems of cities. This group of cities includes Arequipa, Caruaru, Cuenca, Cuiaba, Florianópolis, Hermosillo, Joinville, Juiz de Fora, Londrina, Niteroi and São Jose dos Campos. Colombian and Chilean cities in global context Metropolitan Size/Global Metropolitan Size/Global population/m rank population/m rank Colombia and Chile’s cities are important economic centres among more than 100 major Latin Bogotá 10.7 54th Santiago 6.2 109th American cities. This wider group of cities is diversified and includes global financial centres, gateways for trade and tourism, emerging innovation hubs, underperforming megacities and Medellín 3.7 191st Valparaíso 1.0 454th smaller niche players. All of these cities have differing levels of need, appetite and capacity Cali 2.8 248th Concepción 1.0 456th (see Figure 5). Barranquilla 2.4 294th Antofagasta 0.4 503rd Bogotá is just outside the 50 biggest cities globally, while Santiago sits just outside the top 100 Bucaramanga 1.1 442nd Iquique 0.4 505th (see Table 1). Both of these cities are the dominant cities in their respective national systems, Santa Marta 0.7 480th where many urban innovations are designed, devised or tested. Colombia and Chile’s 2nd tier Villavicencio 0.5 497th cities – Medellín, Barranquilla and Cali – are all among the 300 largest, and have the scale and Table 1: Metropolitan population size of influence to have developed strong appetite for urban innovations. Meanwhile the 3rd tier cities Colombian and Chilean cities – Bucaramanga, Villavicencio, Santa Marta, Concepción, Antofagasta and Iquique – are smaller, more specialised centres playing complementary roles. Colombian, Chilean and Latin American cities in 2020 Relative to other systems of cities in middle- more rapidly, Chilean cities inherit a denser income countries, the Colombian and Chilean spatial form and have been densifying and systems of cities: consolidating more effectively in the most recent cycle. Chilean cities also have a more • Are more asymmetric and dominated by developed and efficient public transport their respective capital cities, in population Figure 5: The backbone than Colombian cities, on average. journey of Latin and governance terms, although less American cities uneven than many other nations in Latin Understanding the differences between the across the three main opportunity America assets and systems that cities inherit provides areas, in 2020 a useful way into assessing the magnitude • Inherit less affordable and resilient of the challenge to re-engineer the built transport systems environment and infrastructure in line with • Demonstrate more of a track record what is required to meet local and global of urban leadership on key agendas, emissions reduction targets. This can be an and of mounting and delivering system important first step in identifying logical innovations and plans concrete areas for intervention as well as • Have not yet successfully scaled as many highlighting the extent of awareness-raising mobility innovations that may be necessary. However, there are also important differences between the two systems of cities. For Source: The Business of Cities and Connected Places Catapult, based on composite performance. Colombian and Chilean cities highlighted in orange. See Appendix for full details of the indicators that comprise each of the three opportunity areas. example, while Colombian cities inherit a less dense built form and are sprawling
16 The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities 17 City ‘types’ and different Meanwhile Colombia’s five cities have City Systems and Assets Ecosystem and Enterprise Strategic Capacity priorities of Colombia and opportunities to: Dynamics and Ambition Chile’s cities 1. Build more mature and specialised Cities with high-performing innovation ecosystems that fulfil global Cities with Chile’s five cities all have room to innovate Cities with universities some capacity roles and enhance local productivity Santiago significant gaps but limited and ‘catch up’ to leaders in Latin American, advantages of metropolitan track record of and potential especially to: 2. Achieve more efficient built form that is coverage and commercialising to make major access, and basic research and well connected by next-generation mobility Mismatcher Non-Converter Progressive strategic steps 1. Build more integrated governance systems priorities talent strengths forward that convene multiple sources of leadership solutions and reliable digital platforms into fully fledged ecosystems and can drive bolder city-wide initiatives in 3. C onvene and organise the partnerships and key agendas such as decarbonisation and platforms that can underpin a new cycle of For cities like Santiago, the imperative is to build more of the confidence and tools to undertake and implement green growth investment and innovation in key agendas bold system-changing reforms, address major metropolitan mobility gaps, and find ways to ensure more routes to commercialisation, experimentation and impact among its high-performing universities and research institutions. 2. Unlock new sources of financing and such as decarbonisation and green growth investment and develop tools to achieve These are summarised in the typology below, greater fiscal agility which uses performance, trend and strategy 3. Grow the skills base necessary to underpin data to observe which of the seven ‘types’ of a more mature and specialised innovation city each city appears to be currently, across each core dimension: city systems and assets, Ecosystem and Enterprise Strategic Capacity ecosystem City Systems and Assets Table 2: The different Dynamics and Ambition ‘types’ of Colombian ecosystem and enterprise dynamics, and and Chilean city across strategic capacity and ambition. Cities with the three opportunity high-performing areas Cities with Cities that universities moderate lack the Concepción but limited systems and fundamental track record of Ecosystem and Enterprise Strategic Capacity assets, with room capacity or City Systems and Assets to expand and commercialising incentives to Dynamics and Ambition research and Prospector improve with the Non-Converter Inhibitor pursue bold talent strengths right catalysts projects alone Cities with Cities with a Cities with into fully fledged Bogotá significant gaps competent some capacity ecosystems of metropolitan track record but advantages and coverage and limited openness potential to make For cities like Concepción, the opportunity is to scale existing innovations, testbeds and pilots to demonstrate the access, and basic or international major strategic path to transformed infrastructure systems, and work on the skills, partnerships and civic innovation foundations Mismatcher Domestic Progressive priorities reach steps forward that can create innovation momentum. For Bogotá, there are clear opportunities to connect up the existing ecosystem, build more international relationships and partnerships, and at the same time establish pathways to address major metropolitan mobility and digital gaps. Ecosystem and Enterprise Strategic Capacity Ecosystem and Enterprise Strategic Capacity City Systems and Assets City Systems and Assets Dynamics and Ambition Dynamics and Ambition Cities with Cities that Cities with Cities with Cities with limited Cities with moderate lack the moderate promising Valparaíso knowledge assets Medellín some capacity systems and fundamental systems and commercial and and limited advantages and assets, with room capacity or assets, with room $ entrepreneurial potential to make to expand and translation and commercialisation incentives to to expand and activity despite Prospector improve with the Embryonic Inhibitor pursue bold major strategic so far Prospector improve with the Enterpriser knowledge and Progressive right catalysts projects alone steps forward right catalysts talent constraints For cities like Valparaíso, while there is an ongoing priority to develop more localised capability and capacity to For Medellín, there is an opportunity to overlay cutting edge innovations on top of existing infrastructure, and to take the net zero initiative, there is also an opportunity to build on existing infrastructure by overlaying existing benefit from public-led strategic partnerships that can help to build confidence, explore potential reforms, and innovations, and to enter into longer-term partnerships necessary to build the confidence and resources for net mobilise the ecosystem in support of net zero transformation. zero transformation at scale.
W 18 The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities 19 Ecosystem and Enterprise Strategic Capacity Strategic Capacity City Systems and Assets City Systems and Assets Ecosystem and Enterprise Dynamics Dynamics and Ambition and Ambition Cities with Cities that Cities with Cities with limited Cities with Cities with limited Santa some capacity lack the significant gaps knowledge assets Iquique significant gaps knowledge assets Marta advantages fundamental of metropolitan and limited of metropolitan and limited and potential capacity or coverage and translation and coverage and translation and to make major incentives to access, and basic commercialisation access, and basic commercialisation Mismatcher Embryonic Progressive strategic steps Mismatcher Embryonic Inhibitor pursue bold priorities so far priorities so far forward projects alone For cities like Santa Marta, with fewer urban assets to leverage but some capacity or leadership advantages to For cities like Iquique, with fewer assets or advantages to leverage, support is needed to foster and connect up the build on, support will be needed to foster and develop enterprise and resilient jobs, and there is an opportunity to ecosystem, consolidate and innovate around one or two key urban and economic agendas, and pursue projects support existing projects to scale and endure. that can establish momentum and visibility. Colombia’s cities in Latin American In particular: context • There are big gaps between the more mature and Colombian cities mainly stand out for their more higher-momentum innovation ecosystems of Bogotá Ecosystem and Enterprise Strategic Capacity integrated governance arrangements, larger budgetary and Medellín and cities with an up to now less well- City Systems and Assets Dynamics and Ambition established culture of enterprise and innovation capacity, and higher fiscal agility. These are important Cities with advantages that can help Colombian cities to undertake (e.g. Santa Marta, Bucaramanga and Villavicencio) the scale and Cities with Cities with limited bold reforms in the next cycle. However, relative to • Especially in these smaller cities, tech partnerships capacity to Antofagasta significant gaps knowledge assets of metropolitan and limited be a capable other Latin American cities that are also making rapid and other urban innovation and co-creation partner and improvements, they do not yet have especially agile, coverage and translation and platforms can help to fuel the ecosystem and unlock customer, but access, and basic commercialisation efficient or innovative urban infrastructure networks, Mismatcher priorities Embryonic so far Promiser face financial investments needed to spur city-level change or strategy or many of the core ingredients necessary to support constraints • T here may be imperatives for reform and partnership a more distributed model of urban innovation in the to ensure that key urban systems are more inclusive, next cycle (e.g. reliable digital platforms and high Cities like Antofagasta will have an opportunity to build on their capacity and calibre advantages, to unlock new affordable and resilient collaborations to mount more compelling strategies, and to address the urgent deficits in their infrastructure and density spatial form). mobility systems. Colombian cities inherit greater potential to integrate governance systems and have higher budgetary capacity Ecosystem and Enterprise Strategic Capacity Figure 6: Colombian City Systems and Assets cities’ performance, Dynamics and Ambition relative to Latin Cities which America have strong Cities with Cities with limited local capacity Bucaramanga significant gaps knowledge assets but have Villavicencio of metropolitan and limited not yet built coverage and translation and a decisive access, and basic commercialisation vision for Mismatcher Embryonic Catalyser priorities so far connectivity, innovation or net zero For cities like Bucaramanga and Villavicencio, while there is an overdue priority to address urgent deficits in Source: The Business of Cities infrastructure and mobility systems, there is also an opportunity to use local capacity and potential for integrated research. *Latin America city growth and to build more decisive visions for decarbonisation, innovation and sustainable development. average refers to the average of 80 cities in Latin and Central America and the Caribbean.
20 The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities 21 Colombia’s cities and the promise of future digital and mobility innovation Overall, in the next cycle of Latin American urbanisation, Colombia’s most established cities will be especially well placed to bridge the gap with the region’s leaders. They can work to deploy and implement new tech innovations that provide greater coverage, integration, transparency and reliability for digital systems. These can underpin long-term improvements to urban productivity, trade, wellbeing and sustainability. But Colombia’s smaller and medium-sized cities also have great potential to become competitive ‘middleweight’ cities in the future Latin American system. The extent to which they are able to make progress on the big agendas of the day – including decarbonisation – will depend on if they are able to apply comprehensive solutions to grow a cleaner and more sustainable mobility platform, make the most of business partnerships, and co-create mechanisms to achieve even more consistent investment and policy delivery. In a fast-moving Latin American context, And they also have priorities to innovate in Chile’s cities in Latin American In particular: Colombian cities can build on the order to: advantages of: context • There is still a significant gap between 1. Improve the reliability and coverage of the more mature and higher-momentum Chilean cities stand out for their more efficient 1. More signs of actionable data, innovation, ‘whole city’ digital platforms in order innovation ecosystem of Santiago and the and innovative transport networks, their more transport and net zero strategies that can to support a more distributed model of rest of the nation’s cities developed track record of high-quality science help to chart a path to decarbonisation and innovation and technology research, and their more • There may be a need for efforts to convene sustainable development 2. Grow the pool of local specialised expertise established culture of citizen engagement. the tech ecosystem and unlock mechanisms 2. Their promising financial and fiscal necessary to deliver urban and place-level to translate science and technical expertise However, relative to Latin American cities capability, necessary to procure expertise transformations into commercial advantage that are also making rapid improvements, and spur change 3. Develop more inclusive and affordable they are not yet as widely recognised for • There may be imperatives for reform and 3. More integrated ‘whole city’ governance public transport systems to drive modal demonstrating leadership on the key agendas partnership to ensure that all types of city arrangements that can underpin bold shift and decarbonise the transport sector of the 21st century, partly as a result of their are able to envision and implement bold reforms in the next cycle lower budgetary capacity and fiscal agility. strategies on agendas such as green growth Figure 7: Top areas where Chilean cities have also not yet fully translated and decarbonisation Colombian cities are their science and technology research ahead and behind relative to Latin American cities capability into the type of innovation activity that can underpin a more mature and higher *The 8 sub themes among the 14 momentum ecosystem. sub themes that make up the City Typology Index where Colombian cities, as a group, are furthest ahead and behind the regional average. See Appendix for full list of measures and sources in each sub theme. Regional average = average across 80 cities in Latin and Central America and the Caribbean.
22 The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities 23 Chilean cities have an opportunity to build more integrated, efficient Figure 9: Top areas and reliable infrastructure systems in the next cycle where Chilean cities are ahead and behind relative to Latin American cities Figure 8: Chilean cities’ performance, relative to Latin America *The 8 sub themes among the 14 sub themes that make up the City Typology Index where Chilean cities, as a group, are furthest ahead and behind the regional average. See Appendix for full list of measures and sources in each sub theme. Regional average = average across 80 cities in Latin and Central America and the Caribbean. Source: The Business of Cities research. *Latin America city average refers to the average of 80 cities in Latin and Central America and the Caribbean. In a fast-moving Latin American context, And they also have priorities to innovate in Chile’s cities and the promise of future digital and Chilean cities can build on the advantages of: order to: 1. Stronger capability to deliver 1. Improve the reliability and coverage of mobility innovation transformational research that can help to ‘whole city’ digital platforms in order solve important societal challenges to support a more distributed model of Overall, in the next cycle of Latin American urbanisation, Chile’s most established cities innovation and connect up the different will be especially well placed to bridge the gap with the region’s leaders. They can build 2. Relatively efficient and innovative public parts of the ecosystem on an already capable public transport backbone and can work to scale existing mobility transport systems that can underpin a shift innovations, pilots and testbeds in order to accelerate modal shift and decarbonisation. to more sustainable modes of travel 2. Ensure that the scientific and research community have access to the resources But Chile’s smaller and medium-sized cities also have great potential to become competitive 3. Less rapidly sprawling built forms that ‘middleweight’ cities in the future Latin American system. The extent to which they are able needed to commercialise ideas and create can support more examples of at-scale to make progress on the big agendas of the day – including decarbonisation – will depend innovation spillovers realisation of testbeds, pilot projects and on their ability to build the confidence and resources necessary to underpin more ambitious promising urban innovations 3. Unlock new sources of finance and new strategies, and to leverage their capable universities and track record of citizen engagement tools to mount even more compelling and to deploy new innovations. ambitious strategies
24 The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities 25 Other medium-sized Latin American cities in regional context Outside of Colombia and Chile, many other medium-sized Latin American cities are beginning to Section 1.3 – The opportunity to leverage UK expertise make strides towards re-imagining their infrastructure systems, diversifying their economies, and asserting stronger ambitions for a net zero future. in the journey to net zero Introduction The UK was the first nation to industrialise and urbanise, and one of the first nations to experience de-industrialisation and urban decline. The UK is now leading a cycle of low-carbon re-urbanisation, both at home and in particular through world-class capabilities of companies that have understood Figure 10: The that sustainable net zero cities require integrated approaches. journey of selected medium-sized As a source of solutions and innovations, the UK is on a path to becoming a distinctive net zero Latin America cities market in that it simultaneously possesses: across the three main opportunity • World-leading sector-specific capability in areas essential for financing and building net zero cities areas, in 2020 in an integrated way. • A competitive ‘first mover’ advantage in niche technologies and place-based innovations that can be scaled globally to city governments and users. • Research, insight and applied urban experience in addressing a wider suite of implementation agendas that support the net zero urban transition. • Know-how around systems integration, breaking down siloes, and creating the regulatory and policy environment needed to spur change. • Experience at the UK city level of seeking to innovate around efficient and low-carbon city-building despite significant institutional deficits and place fragmentation. The UK’s own institutional context has spurred UK cities to develop distinctive appetite for net zero-related collaboration, innovation, sharing practices, and internationalising their Source: The Business of Cities and Connected Places Catapult, based on composite performance. Colombian and Chilean cities companies and reputation. highlighted in orange. See Appendix for full details of the indicators that comprise each of the three opportunity areas. These can be mapped in the following visual: The majority of medium-sized Brazilian, strengths and on acquiring the support they Peruvian, Mexican and Ecuadorian cities need to innovate around key agendas (e.g. highlighted above inherit urban forms that housing, citizen engagement), scale existing prioritise private cars and are less well pilots and demonstrators, and develop a connected by public transport and digital more resilient jobs base. infrastructure. This confirms the imperative Where many of these cities have an to establish investments and spatial planning advantage is where their medium size enables tools to address digital and mobility gaps and a more integrated development approach to undertake and implement bold system- and organised ambition. Niteroi stands out changing reforms. as an example of a city being nimble on Most of these cities (although Joinville agendas allied to decarbonisation. Meanwhile and Florianópolis are to a limited extent many cities – from Arequipa and Cuenca to an exception) do not yet have mature or Londrina and Hermosillo – have some of specialised innovation economies, and the ‘Goldilocks’ scale advantages to become have a less visible track record of utilising capable partners and customers in the next knowledge and research assets or translating cycle. The main challenge these cities face and commercialising them into large job- is around unlocking the financial and fiscal producing companies. In many of these tools and collaborations needed to execute cities, the focus for the next cycle may need compelling strategies and to continuously to be on connecting up the existing industry drive improvements. Medellín, Colombia
26 The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities 27 The UK’s core net zero export advantage Sources: Press releases and media The UK’s cities are also leading the charge for net zero internationally and despite limited articles. 8 capacity are growing their reach and influence on net zero agendas (see below). Business Models, New Technologies Behaviour Change, Policy Leadership Capacity Building & Services Planning and & Innovation Systems Integration Model B2B, B2C, B2G B2B, B2G G2C, R&I C2C, G2G Financing the Net • Financing green cities •P ioneering Green • Green finance • Financial regulation Zero Future • Green bonds Investment Bank education and training and standards •Platforms to simplify models • Enhancing bankability • Applying track record investing in green • Digital marketplaces of projects of climate-related $ •D esign of public • Project design and financial disclosures private partnerships communication • Advice broker for local banks and firms • Green bond market intelligence and advisory Glasgow can become the city of our times, on the issue of our times. The launch of Sustainable Glasgow can be Low Carbon Urban • Advanced battery • Creation of flexible • Diverse energy • Energy market a landmark in our race to Net Zero.” Energy storage (silicon, energy networks research base design and regulation Susan Aitken, Glasgow City Council Leader lithium-sulfur) • Systems engineering • Footprinting, target expertise “We have been taking a lead in the • Flexible and affordable • Optimisation and setting and climate • Applying high battle against climate change and [the Belfast Resilience Strategy] will enable solar power solutions integration of smart action planning regulatory ambition us to ensure a collective response.” “In Newcastle we have made • Carbon Capture and grid technologies expertise Frank McCoubrey, Mayor of Belfast no secret of our bold ambitions Storage • Digital technologies • Demand-side to be Net Zero by 2030.” Nick Forbes, • Renewable energy for energy efficiency management and Newcastle City Council Leader optimisation and distribution energy storage optimisation Clean Urban Mobility • EV hardware • Design of subscription • Design of PPPs • Pioneering Low “Cities and city-regions will make the and supporting services for metropolitan Emission Zones difference on climate change and, in infrastructure • Systems integration transport systems and setting rigorous decarbonising by 2038, Greater “Offshore wind in Liverpool Bay has Manchester can create a blueprint for • Smartphone apps and • Diverse research base vehicle emissions every other city in the world. helped make the UK the largest mobile payments for next-generation standards producer of wind power in Europe.” It wouldn’t be the first time.” Steve Rotherham, Andy Burnham, • E-Freight technologies mobility • Proactive adoption Mayor of Greater Manchester Mayor of Liverpool City Region and of net zero urban Acting Mayor of Liverpool mobility solutions and “[We are] pushing ahead with the most modal split initiatives “The new [Zero Carbon Homes] ambitious plans to tackle air pollution • Integrated transport Taskforce will help to think about how of any big city in the world.” authorities housebuilding can tackle the climate Sadiq Khan, Mayor of London emergency we are facing and help the region reach its net zero goal.” Andy Street, Low Carbon Urban • Architectural design • Integrated approaches • Tools and frameworks • Implementing bold Mayor of the West Midlands Built Environment • Digital Twin and masterplanning for planning, delivery net zero city-level technology • Whole life cycle, and integrated plans • Building Information circular economy governance • Encouraging carbon Modelling (BIM) approaches literacy • Digital technologies for urban service delivery • C ivil engineering expertise • Green construction “Bristol City Council and its partners are techniques hugely ambitious for cutting emissions and making our city more resilient, as shown in our One City Climate Strategy.” Marvin Rees, Mayor of Bristol
28 The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities The Path To Net Zero In Latin American Cities 29 UK net zero SMEs Figure 11: Illustrative chart to map a sample of UK startups and SMEs in net zero-related sectors and their potential fit with Latin American cities’ net zero needs. Chart is indicative and has not been verified by the businesses themselves. The UK is home to exceptional growth-oriented SMEs with niche capabilities and experience to support cities to shift more rapidly towards net zero. These include areas such as smart streetlighting, lithium-ion battery storage, electric vehicle charging infrastructure and subscription models, and mobile ticketing and payments-as-a-service, where the UK is Strong initially observed fit with Connected rapidly establishing itself as a global pacesetter. Carbon Trust Latin American Energy Carbon Greyparrot Green Urban cities’ needs Osprey Chain Urban Electric finance Elmtronics Telensa ZPN Energy Networks Eight19 Connected Citymapper HumanForest Kerb Beryl Spark EV Azuri Urban energy Opportunities Pod Point Zenobe Vivacity Arrival Technology Solar PV Technologies Oxis Energy Ember core Labs Addionics SEaB Acceleron Urban mobility Beringar Nexeon ENIAN Tevva Energy As observed in the sections below, UK SMEs have many globally relevant capabilities in sectors Awen Open Energi Emex Boxergy elmo Masabi Electron Motors Urban built LimeJump Future Planet essential to accelerating progress to net zero, especially in the ‘softer’ domains related to Alchera InstaVolt Project Nozama.green environment Etopia ENSO Renovagen Capital regulation, incentives, systems engineering and integration. Their export and scalable expertise Petalite Vortex IoT MacRebur Active Antonym Upside Emitwise Naked Green Small Building Energy potential will in future benefit from: Centre Onto Swytch Energy Consult businesses* Global Pavegen Sero Airex Surple YAYZY Route Scaling SMEs** Konnect • A co-ordinated system to alert SMEs to non-UK language advertised opportunities, and to Tepeo Retrofit Spark Bioregional Pivot Works Change Bulb Carbon support them to respond efficiently Energy Wondrwall Clean Less immediately HELPFUL Clim8 Zeigo Solutions • Ongoing support to UK cities to build capacity and resources to mobilise around net zero visible fit with Invest Bboxx and showcase progress in an internationally relevant way to overseas decision makers and Latin American investors cities’ needs • More structured support to share UK global expertise and to combine the different sectors that Domestic Visible appetite Established Observed contribute to a low-carbon system into a smart integrated offer orientation with for global growth presence in presence in global promise emerging Latin American • Support for UK net zero expertise as a package, how it can complement existing capabilities markets markets in cities, and link to supply and delivery on the ground • Improved institutional machinery to support small UK companies in sustained city-wide Source: The Business of Cities research. Note: The shaded box marks the companies that seem on initial evidence to have the highest potential to help Latin American cities accelerate towards net zero. Other businesses may well have specific contributions to make not partnerships abroad accounted for in this short review. The fit with Latin American cities needs has been assessed through research into a range of cities in Latin America, with a particular focus on their inherited assets, ambitions to become net zero and particular sectors, platforms and • Greater alignment between the geometry of institutions seeking to export services and know- projects being prioritised to catalyse decarbonisation. *Small businesses = up to 50 employees. **Scaling SMEs = 50-250 employees. how and the geometry of solutions required Opportunities in Latin America As cities across the world transition towards a net zero goal in the finance, energy, mobility and built environment sectors, more opportunities are being created for UK SMEs to export their technology and services, business models, and policy and regulation expertise. This briefing note includes examples of partnerships that are already underway, with a particular focus on cities in Latin America. UK Advantage 1: Financing the Net Zero Future An indicative scan based on publicly available company databases, practitioner recommendations and existing UK export missions points to a broad range of opportunities for Examples of scaling SMEs Examples of key knowledge Sector Major players and enablers UK SMEs to serve and support the transition to net zero in Latin American countries, based on and small businesses institutions their current market presence and offering to markets and users in Latin American cities (see Green Finance Institute the illustrative chart below).9 CarbonChain, Clim8 Invest, Green Investment Group UK Centre for Greening In general, the most important areas for mitigation in Latin American cities – particularly smaller Barclays Electron, Green urban Finance and Investment and medium sized cities – are around decarbonising transport, energy and waste.10 For example, Future Planet Capital, finance HSBC HELPFUL, Regal 38I83, University of Oxford recent data suggests that the mobility sector accounts for nearly half of Brazil’s urban abatement Natwest Sustainable Finance Spark Change, ENIAN potential to 2050, and that throughout Brazil around 40% of cumulative abatement potential is Programme held in cities with fewer than 300,000 inhabitants.11
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