Technology Roadmap Concentrating Solar Power 2050
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INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY The International Energy Agency (IEA), an autonomous agency, was established in November 1974. Its mandate is two-fold: to promote energy security amongst its member countries through collective response to physical disruptions in oil supply and to advise member countries on sound energy policy. The IEA carries out a comprehensive programme of energy co-operation among 28 advanced economies, each of which is obliged to hold oil stocks equivalent to 90 days of its net imports. The Agency aims to: n Secure member countries’ access to reliable and ample supplies of all forms of energy; in particular, through maintaining effective emergency response capabilities in case of oil supply disruptions. n Promote sustainable energy policies that spur economic growth and environmental protection in a global context – particularly in terms of reducing greenhouse-gas emissions that contribute to climate change. n Improve transparency of international markets through collection and analysis of energy data. n Support global collaboration on energy technology to secure future energy supplies and mitigate their environmental impact, including through improved energy efficiency and development and deployment of low-carbon technologies. n Find solutions to global energy challenges through engagement and dialogue with non-member countries, industry, international organisations and other stakeholders. IEA member countries: Australia Austria Belgium Canada Czech Republic Denmark Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Japan Korea (Republic of) Luxembourg Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Slovak Republic Spain © OECD/IEA, 2010 Sweden International Energy Agency Switzerland 9 rue de la Fédération 75739 Paris Cedex 15, France Turkey United Kingdom Please note that this publication United States is subject to specific restrictions that limit its use and distribution. The European Commission The terms and conditions are available also participates in online at www.iea.org/about/copyright.asp the work of the IEA.
Foreword Current trends in energy supply and use The emerging technology known as concentrating are patently unsustainable – economically, solar power, or CSP, holds much promise for environmentally and socially. Without decisive countries with plenty of sunshine and clear skies. action, energy-related emissions of CO2 will more Its electrical output matches well the shifting than double by 2050 and increased oil demand will daily demand for electricity in places where air- heighten concerns over the security of supplies. conditioning systems are spreading. When backed up by thermal storage facilities and combustible We must – and can – change our current path; we fuel, it offers utilities electricity that can be must initiate an energy revolution in which low- dispatched when required, enabling it to be used carbon energy technologies play a lead role. If we for base, shoulder and peak loads. Within about one are to reach our greenhouse-gas emission goals, to two decades, it will be able to compete with coal we must promote broad deployment of energy plants that emit high levels of CO2. The sunniest efficiency, many types of renewable energy, regions, such as North Africa, may be able to export carbon capture and storage, nuclear power and surplus solar electricity to neighbouring regions, new transport technologies. Every major country such as Europe, where demand for electricity from and sector of the economy must be involved. renewable sources is strong. In the medium-to- Moreover, we must ensure that investment longer term, concentrating solar facilities can also decisions taken now do not saddle us with sub- produce hydrogen, which can be blended with optimal technologies in the long term. natural gas, and provide low-carbon liquid fuels for transport and other end-use sectors. There is a growing awareness of the urgent need to turn political statements and analytical work For CSP to claim its share of the coming energy into concrete action. To spark this movement, at revolution, concerted action is required over the the request of the G8, the International Energy next ten years by scientists, industry, governments, Agency (IEA) is developing a series of roadmaps financing institutions and the public. This roadmap for key energy technologies. These roadmaps is intended to help drive these indispensable provide solid analytical footing that enables developments. the international community to move forward, following a well-defined growth path – from today to 2050 – that identifies the technology, financing, policy and public engagement milestones needed to realise the technology’s full potential. The IEA roadmaps include special focus on technology development and deployment to emerging economies, and highlight the importance of Nobuo Tanaka international collaboration. Executive Director, IEA Foreword 1
Table of contents Foreword 1 Table of contents 3 Acknowledgements 4 Key findings 5 Key actions by government in the next ten years 5 Introduction 7 Rationale for CSP 7 The purpose of the roadmap 8 Roadmap process, content and structure 8 CSP status today 9 The importance of the solar resource 9 Current technologies for power production 11 Enhancing the value of CSP capacities 13 Grid integration of CSP plants 16 Plant cooling and water requirements 17 CSP for niche markets 17 Vision of future deployment 19 Existing scenarios and proposals 19 CSP deployment 19 The vital role of transmission 20 Deployment till 2020: intermediate and peak loads 21 Deployment till 2030: base loads and CO2 reductions 22 Deployment beyond 2030: power and fuels 23 Economic perspectives 27 Operation and maintenance costs 28 Costs of providing finance for CSP plants 28 Generating costs 28 Towards competitiveness 28 Milestones for technology improvements 31 Troughs and LFR 31 Towers and dishes 32 Improvements in storage technologies 33 Emerging solar fuel technologies 33 Policy framework: roadmap actions and milestones 35 Overcoming economic barriers 35 Financing innovation 35 Incentives for deployment 36 Addressing non-economic barriers 36 Research, development and demonstration support 36 Collaboration in R&D and deployment 37 Deployment in developing economies 38 Conclusion and role of stakeholders 41 Units, acronyms, abbreviations and references 43 Table of contents 3
Acknowledgements This publication was prepared by the International Goldman (BrightSource); Bill Gould (SolarReserve); Energy Agency’s Renewable Energy Division, with Bill Gross (eSolar); Marianne Haug (Hohenheim Cédric Philibert serving as lead author, under the University); Gregory Kolb (Sandia Lab); Natalia supervision and with contributions of Paolo Frankl, Kulinchenko (World Bank); Keith Lovegrove Head of the Renewable Energy Division. Zuzana (ANU); Thomas Mancini (Sandia Lab/SolarPACES); Dobrotkova helped considerably in researching Mark Mehos (NREL); Pietro Menna (European the potential growth of concentrating solar Commission); Anton Meier (PSI); Richard Meyer power (CSP). Several IEA staff members provided (Suntrace); David Mills (Ausra); Jean-Charles thoughtful comments and support including Brian Mulet (Bertin); Jim Pacheco (eSolar); Jay Paidipati Ricketts, Tom Kerr, Steven Lee, Joana Chiavari, (Navigant); Charlie Reid (TesseraSolar); Christoph Driss Berraho and Hugh Ho. Madeleine Barry, Richter (SolarPACES); Gus Schellekens (PwC); Andrew Johnston, Marilyn Smith and Delphine Frédéric Siros (EDF R&D); Wes Stein (CSIRO); Grandrieux edited the publication. Bertrand Sadin Yutaka Tamaura (Tokyo Technology Institute); and Corinne Hayworth designed the graphs and Rainer Tamme (DLR); Andy Taylor (BrightSource); made the layout. Craig Tyner (eSolar); Jonathan Walters (World Bank); Zhifeng Wang (Chinese Academy of This work was guided by the IEA Committee on Sciences); Tex Wilkins (US Department of Energy); Energy Research and Technology. Its members Albert Young (Alsthom Power); and Eduardo Zarza provided important review and comments that (CIEMAT/PSA). helped to improve the document. Richard Jones – IEA Deputy Executive Director, Didier Houssin Other individuals who participated in the IEA CSP – Director of Energy Markets and Security, expert workshop (Berlin, 14 September 2009) also Bo Diczfalusy – Director of Sustainable Energy provided useful insights: Nikolaus Benz (Schott); Policy and Technology, and Peter Taylor – Head Ralph Christman (German Environment Ministry); of Energy Technology Policy Division provided Karina Haüslmeier (German Foreign Office); additional guidance and input. Klaus Hennecke (DLR); Katerina Hoefer (German Cooperation Ministry); Rainer Kistner (MAN Numerous experts provided the author with Ferrostaal); Avi Kribus (Tel Aviv University); Dermot information and/or comments on working drafts: Liddy (Tessera Solar/SES); Wolf Muth (KfW); Jose Rainer Aringhoff (Solar Millennium); Pierre Audinet Nebrera (ACS Cobra); Rolf Ostrom (European (World Bank); Denis Bonnelle (ENS); Hélène Bru Commission); Mariàngels Perez Latorre (ESTELA); (Total); Terry Carrington (UK DECC); Joe Cashion Robert Pitz-Paal (DLR); Nathan Siegel (Sandia Lab); (Tessera Solar); Jenny Chase (NEF); Euro Cogliani and Gerd-Uwe Weller (EIB). (ENEA); Gilbert Cohen (Eliasol/Acciona Solar); Luis Crespo (Protermosolar); Goncalo Dumiense (A.T. This publication was made possible thanks to the Kearney); Michael Epstein (Weizmann Institute); support of the Government of France, through the Alain Ferrière (CNRS); Antonio García-Conde Agency for the Environment and Energy Efficiency (INTA); Henner Gladen (Solar Millennium); Arnold (ADEME), and the Government of Japan. 4 Technology Roadmaps Concentrating Solar Power
Key findings Concentrating solar power (CSP) can provide low- CSP facilities could begin providing competitive carbon, renewable energy resources in countries or solar-only or solar-enhanced gaseous or liquid regions with strong direct normal irradiance (DNI), fuels by 2030. By 2050, CSP could produce i.e. strong sunshine and clear skies. This roadmap enough solar hydrogen to displace 3% of global envisages development and deployment of CSP natural gas consumption, and nearly 3% of the along the following paths: global consumption of liquid fuels. By 2050, with appropriate support, CSP could provide 11.3% of global electricity, with 9.6% from solar power and 1.7% from backup fuels Key actions by government (fossil fuels or biomass). in the next ten years In the sunniest countries, CSP can be expected Concerted action by all stakeholders is critical to to become a competitive source of bulk power realising the vision laid out in this roadmap. In in peak and intermediate loads by 2020, and of order to stimulate investment on the scale required base-load power by 2025 to 2030. to support research, development, demonstration and deployment (RDD&D), governments must take The possibility of integrated thermal storage the lead role in creating a favourable climate for is an important feature of CSP plants, and industry and utilities. Specifically, governments virtually all of them have fuel-power backup should undertake the following: capacity. Thus, CSP offers firm, flexible electrical production capacity to utilities and Ensure long-term funding for additional RD&D grid operators while also enabling effective in: all main CSP technologies; all component management of a greater share of variable parts (mirrors/heliostats, receivers, heat energy from other renewable sources (e.g. transfer and/or working fluids, storage, power photovoltaic and wind power). blocks, cooling, control and integration); all applications (power, heat and fuels); and This roadmap envisions North America as the at all scales (bulk power and decentralised largest producing and consuming region for applications). CSP electricity, followed by Africa, India and the Middle East. Northern Africa has the potential Facilitate the development of ground and to be a large exporter (mainly to Europe) as its satellite measurement/modelling of global solar high solar resource largely compensates for the resources. additional cost of long transmission lines. Support CSP development through long-term CSP can also produce significant amounts oriented, predictable solar-specific incentives. of high-temperature heat for industrial These could include any combination of feed-in processes, and in particular can help meet tariffs or premiums, binding renewable energy growing demand for water desalination in arid portfolio standards with solar targets, capacity countries. payments and fiscal incentives. Given the arid/semi-arid nature of Where appropriate, require state-controlled environments that are well-suited for CSP, a utilities to bid for CSP capacities. key challenge is accessing the cooling water needed for CSP plants. Dry or hybrid dry/wet Avoid establishing arbitrary limitations on cooling can be used in areas with limited water plant size and hybridisation ratios (but develop resources. procedures to reward only the electricity deriving from the solar energy captured by the The main limitation to expansion of CSP plants plant, not the portion produced by burning is not the availability of areas suitable for power backup fuels). production, but the distance between these areas and many large consumption centres. Streamline procedures for obtaining permits for This roadmap examines technologies that CSP plants and access lines. address this challenge through efficient, long- Other action items for governments, and actions distance electricity transportation. recommended to other stakeholders, are outlined in the Conclusion. Key findings 5
Introduction This concentrating solar power roadmap is part of accelerate the overall RDD&D process in order a series being developed by the IEA in response to to enable earlier commercial adoption of the the pressing need to accelerate the development technology in question. of advanced energy technologies to address the global challenges of clean energy, climate change and sustainable development. Ministers Rationale for CSP from the G8 countries, China, India and South Korea, acknowledged this need in their June 2008 CSP uses renewable solar resource to generate meeting (Aomori, Japan) and expressed their desire electricity while producing very low levels of to have the IEA prepare roadmaps to chart clear greenhouse-gas emissions. Thus, it has strong paths for the development and deployment of potential to be a key technology for mitigating innovative energy technologies. climate change. In addition, the flexibility of CSP plants enhances energy security. Unlike We will establish an international initiative solar photovoltaic (PV) technologies, CSP has an with the support of the IEA to develop inherent capacity to store heat energy for short roadmaps for innovative technologies and periods of time for later conversion to electricity. cooperate upon existing and new partnerships, When combined with thermal storage capacity, including carbon capture and storage (CCS) and CSP plants can continue to produce electricity advanced energy technologies. Reaffirming our even when clouds block the sun or after sundown. Heiligendamm commitment to urgently develop, CSP plants can also be equipped with backup deploy and foster clean energy technologies, we power from combustible fuels. recognize and encourage a wide range of policy instruments such as transparent regulatory These factors give CSP the ability to provide frameworks, economic and fiscal incentives, reliable electricity that can be dispatched to and public/private partnerships to foster private the grid when needed, including after sunset sector investments in new technologies… to match late evening peak demand or even around the clock to meet base-load demand. To achieve this ambitious goal, the IEA has Collectively, these characteristics make CSP a undertaken, under international guidance and in promising technology for all regions with a need close consultation with industry, to develop a series for clean, flexible, reliable power. Further, due to of global roadmaps covering 19 technologies. these characteristics, CSP can also be seen as an These are evenly divided among demand-side enabling technology to help integrate on grids and supply-side technologies. larger amounts of variable renewable resources such as solar PV or wind power. The overall aim of these roadmaps is to demonstrate the critical role of energy While the bulk of CSP electricity will come from technologies in achieving the stated goal of large, on-grid power plants, these technologies halving energy-related carbon dioxide (CO2) also show significant potential for supplying emissions by 2050. The roadmaps will enable specialised demands such as process heat for governments, industry and financial partners industry, co-generation of heating, cooling and to identify the practical steps they can take to power, and water desalination. CSP also holds participate fully in the collective effort required. potential for applications such as household cooking and small-scale manufacturing that are This process began with establishing a clear important for the developing world. definition and the elements needed for each roadmap. Accordingly, the IEA has defined its The possibility of using CSP technologies to global technology roadmaps as: produce concentrating solar fuels (CSF, such as hydrogen and other energy carriers), is … a dynamic set of technical, policy, legal, an important area for further research and financial, market and organizational requirements development. Solar-generated hydrogen can identified by the stakeholders involved in its help decarbonise the transport and other end- development. The effort shall lead to improved use sectors by mixing hydrogen with natural and enhanced sharing and collaboration of all gas in pipelines and distribution grids, and by related technology-specific research, development, producing cleaner liquid fuels. demonstration and deployment (RDD&D) information among participants. The goal is to Introduction 7
The purpose of the roadmap Roadmap process, Concentrating solar power can contribute content and structure significantly to the world’s energy supply. As shown in this roadmap, this decade is a critical The IEA convened a CSP Roadmap Expert Meeting window of opportunity during which CSP could to coincide with the SolarPACES 2009 Conference become a competitive source of electrical power to (Berlin, 14 September 2009). The workshop meet peak and intermediate loads in the sunniest was attended by 35 experts from ten countries, parts of the world. representing academic, industry, financial and policy-making circles. Sessions focused on five This roadmap identifies technology, economy topics: CSP technologies; systems integration; and policy goals and milestones needed to solar fuels; economics and financing; and aspects support the development and deployment of of policy. The roadmap also takes account of other CSP, as well as ongoing advanced research in regional and national efforts to investigate the CSF. It also sets out the need for governments to potential of CSP, including: implement strong, balanced policies that favour The European Union’s Strategic Energy rapid technological progress, cost reductions and expanded industrial manufacturing of Technology (SET) Plan and the Solar Thermal CSP equipment to enable mass deployment. Electricity European Industrial Initiative (STEII) Importantly, this roadmap also establishes a The Solar America Initiative (SAI) foundation for greater international collaboration. China’s solar energy development plans The overall aim of this roadmap is to identify actions required – on the part of all stakeholders India’s Solar Mission – to accelerate CSP deployment globally. Many countries, particularly in emerging regions, are Australia’s Solar Flagship Initiative only just beginning to develop CSP. Accordingly, TheSolar Technology Action Plan of the Major milestone dates should be considered as indicative Economies Forum on Energy and Climate of urgency, rather than as absolutes. Change. This roadmap is a work in progress. As global This roadmap is organised into five major sections. CSP efforts advance and an increasing number It starts with the status of CSP today, including of CSP applications are developed, new data will considerations relative to the solar resource, provide the basis for updated analysis. The IEA will current technologies and equipping CSP for grid continue to track the evolution of CSP technology integration. The roadmap then sketches a vision of and its impacts on markets, the power sector future large-scale use of CSP, includes an overview and regulatory environments, and will update its of the economic perspectives for CSP. Milestones analysis and set additional tasks and milestones as for technology improvements are then described. new learning comes to light. The roadmap concludes with the policy framework required to support the necessary RDD&D. 8 Technology Roadmaps Concentrating Solar Power
CSP status today The basic concept of concentrating solar power is The importance relatively simple: CSP devices concentrate energy from the sun’s rays to heat a receiver to high of the solar resource temperatures.1 This heat is transformed first into mechanical energy (by turbines or other engines) The sunlight hits the Earth’s surface both directly and then into electricity. CSP also holds potential and indirectly, through numerous reflections and for producing other energy carriers (solar fuels). deviations in the atmosphere. On clear days, direct irradiance represents 80% to 90% of the solar CSP is a proven technology. The first commercial energy reaching the Earth’s surface. On a cloudy plants began operating in California in the period or foggy day, the direct component is essentially 1984 to 1991, spurred by federal and state tax zero. The direct component of solar irradiance incentives and mandatory long-term power is of the greatest interest to designers of high- purchase contracts. A drop in fossil fuel prices then temperature solar energy systems because it can led the federal and state governments to dismantle be concentrated on small areas using mirrors or the policy framework that had supported the lenses, whereas the diffuse component cannot. advancement of CSP. In 2006, the market re- Concentrating the sun’s rays thus requires reliably emerged in Spain and the United States, again in clear skies, which are usually found in semi-arid, response to government measures such as feed- hot regions. in tariffs (Spain) and policies obliging utilities to obtain some share of power from renewables The solar energy that CSP plants use is measured as – and from large solar in particular. direct normal irradiance (DNI), which is the energy received on a surface tracked perpendicular to the As of early 2010, the global stock of CSP plants sun's rays. It can be measured with a pyrheliometer. neared 1 GW capacity. Projects now in development or under construction in more than a dozen DNI measures provide only a first approximation countries (including China, India, Morocco, Spain of a CSP plant’s electrical output potential. In and the United States) are expected to total 15 GW. practice, what matters most is the variation in sunlight over the course of a day: below a certain Parabolic troughs account for the largest share threshold of daily direct sunlight, CSP plants have of the current CSP market, but competing no net production (Figure 1), due to constant heat technologies are emerging. Some plants now losses in the solar field. incorporate thermal storage. CSP developers typically set a bottom threshold 1 By contrast, photovoltaics (PV) and concentrating for DNI of 1900 kWh/m2/year to 2100 kWh/m2/ photovoltaics (CPV) produce electricity from the sun's rays year. Below that, other solar electric technologies using direct conversion with semi-conductor materials. Figure 1: O utput of a SEGS plant in kWh/m2/day as a function of the DNI in kWh/m2/day 1.8 Electric production (kWh per m2 per day) January 1.6 February 1.4 March 1.2 April May 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 2 Direct sunlight (kWh per m per day) Source: Pharabod and Philibert, 1991. 2 2 Unless otherwise indicated, data for tables and figures reflect IEA analysis. CSP status today 9
that take advantage of both direct and diffuse measurements can only be achieved through irradiance, such as photovoltaics, are assumed to ground-based monitoring; satellite results must have a competitive advantage. thus be scaled with ground measurements for sufficient accuracy. Distribution of the solar Several studies have assessed in detail the resource for CSP potential of key regions (notably the United States and North Africa), giving special consideration The main differences in the direct sunlight available to land availability: without storage, CSP plants from place to place arise from the composition require around 2 hectares per MWe, depending on of the atmosphere and the weather. Good DNI the DNI and the technology. is usually found in arid and semi-arid areas with reliably clear skies, which typically lay at latitudes Even though the Earth’s “sunbelts” are relatively from 15° to 40° North or South. Closer to the narrow, the technical potential for CSP is huge. If equator the atmosphere is usually too cloudy and fully developed for CSP applications, the potential wet in summer, and at higher latitudes the weather in the southwestern US states would meet the is usually too cloudy. DNI is also significantly better electricity requirements of the entire United States at higher altitudes, where absorption and scattering several times over. Potential in the Middle East of sunlight are much lower. and North Africa would cover about 100 times the current consumption of the Middle East, North Thus, the most favourable areas for CSP resource Africa and the European Union combined. In are in North Africa, southern Africa, the Middle short, CSP would be largely capable of producing East, northwestern India, the southwestern United enough no-carbon or low-carbon electricity and States, Mexico, Peru, Chile, the western part of fuels to satisfy global demand. A key challenge, China and Australia. Other areas that may be however, is that electricity demand is not always suitable include the extreme south of Europe and situated close to the best CSP resources. Turkey, other southern US locations, central Asian countries, places in Brazil and Argentina, and other parts of China. Transporting and exporting electricity from CSP Recent attempts to map the DNI resource worldwide are based on satellite data (Figure 2). As demonstrated over decades by hydropower While existing solar resource maps agree on dams in remote regions, electricity can be the most favourable DNI values, their level transported over long distances to demand of agreement vanishes when it comes to less centres. When distance is greater than a few favourable ones. Important differences exist, hundred kilometres, economics favour high- notably with respect to the suitability of voltage direct-current (HVDC) technology over northeastern China, where the most important alternative-current technology. HVDC lines of consumption centres are found. However, precise gigawatt capacity can exceed 1 000 km and can Figure 2: Solar resource for CSP technologies (DNI in kWh/m2/y) 2 3 000 kWh per m per yr 2 2 500 kWh per m per yr 2 000 kWh per m2 per yr 1 500 kWh per m2 per yr 1 000 kWh per m2 per yr 500 kWh per m2 per yr 0 kWh per m2 per yr Source: Breyer & Knies, 2009 based on DNI data from DLR-ISIS (Lohmann, et al. 2006). 10 Technology Roadmaps Concentrating Solar Power
be installed across the seabed; they also have emitting very little infra-red radiation. The pipes a smaller environmental footprint. Electricity are insulated in an evacuated glass envelope. The losses are 3% per 1 000 km, plus 0.6% for each reflectors and the absorber tubes move in tandem conversion station (as HVDC lines usually link two with the sun as it crosses the sky. alternative-current areas). Parabolic trough All parabolic trough This creates opportunities for CSP plant operators plants currently to supply a larger range of consumers. However, in commercial the cost of constructing major transmission and operation rely on distribution lines must be taken into account. synthetic oil as the Reflector fluid that transfers Absorber tube heat (the heat Current technologies for Solar field piping transfer fluid) from collector pipes to power production heat exchangers, where water is preheated, evaporated and then At present, there are four main CSP technology superheated. The superheated steam runs a families, which can be categorised by the way they turbine, which drives a generator to produce focus the sun’s rays and the technology used to electricity. After being cooled and condensed, the receive the sun’s energy (Table 1). water returns to the heat exchangers. Parabolic troughs Parabolic troughs are the most mature of the (line focus, mobile receiver) CSP technologies and form the bulk of current commercial plants. Most existing plants, however, Parabolic trough systems consist of parallel rows have little or no thermal storage and rely on of mirrors (reflectors) curved in one dimension combustible fuel as a backup to firm capacity. For to focus the sun’s rays. The mirror arrays can be example, all CSP plants in Spain derive 12% to 15% more than 100 m long with the curved surface of their annual electricity generation from burning 5 m to 6 m across. Stainless steel pipes (absorber natural gas. Some newer plants have significant tubes) with a selective coating serve as the heat thermal storage capacities. collectors. The coating is designed to allow pipes to absorb high levels of solar radiation while Table 1: The four CSP technology families Focus type Line focus Point focus Collectors track the Collectors track the sun along sun along a single axis two axes and focus irradiance and focus irradiance at a single point receiver. This on a linear receiver. allows for higher temperatures. This makes tracking Receiver type the sun simpler. Fixed receivers are stationary devices that remain independent of the Linear Fresnel Fixed plant’s focusing device. This eases Towers (CRS) Reflectors the transport of collected heat to the power block. Mobile receivers move together with Mobile the focusing device. In both line Parabolic Troughs Parabolic Dishes focus and point focus designs, mobile receivers collect more energy. CSP status today 11
Linear Fresnel reflectors (line designers can choose from a wide variety of focus, fixed receiver) heliostats, receivers, transfer fluids and power blocks. Some plants have several towers that feed Linear Fresnel one power block. reflectors (LFRs) approximate the Parabolic dishes (point focus, parabolic shape of mobile receiver) trough systems but by using long rows of Parabolic dishes concentrate flat or slightly curved the sun’s rays at a focal point mirrors to reflect propped above the centre of the sun’s rays onto the dish. The entire apparatus a downward-facing tracks the sun, with the linear, fixed receiver. dish and receiver moving in A more recent design, tandem. Most dishes have an known as compact linear Fresnel reflectors (CLFRs), independent engine/generator uses two parallel receivers for each row of mirrors (such as a Stirling machine or and thus needs less land than parabolic troughs to a micro-turbine) at the focal R produce a given output. point. This design eliminates the need for a heat transfer fluid The main advantage of LFR systems is that their and for cooling water. simple design of flexibly bent mirrors and fixed receivers requires lower investment costs and Dishes offer the highest solar-to-electric conversion facilitates direct steam generation (DSG), thereby performance of any CSP system. Several features eliminating the need for – and cost of – heat – the compact size, absence of cooling water, transfer fluids and heat exchangers. LFR plants are, and low compatibility with thermal storage and however, less efficient than troughs in converting hybridisation – put parabolic dishes in competition solar energy to electricity and it is more difficult to with PV modules, especially concentrating incorporate storage capacity into their design. photovoltaics (CPV), as much as with other CSP technologies. Very large dishes, which have been Solar towers (point focus, proven compatible to thermal storage and fuel fixed receiver) backup, are the exception. Promoters claim that mass production will allow dishes to compete with Central receiver Solar towers, larger solar thermal systems. also known as central receiver Parabolic dishes are limited in size (typically tens Solar Tower systems (CRS), of kW or smaller) and each produces electricity use hundreds independently, which means that hundreds or or thousands of thousands of them would need to be co-located small reflectors to create a large-scale plant. By contrast, other (called heliostats) CSP designs can have capacities covering a very to concentrate wide range, starting as low as 1 MW. The optimal the sun’s rays on size of troughs, LFR and towers, typically from Heliostats a central receiver 100 MW to 250 MW, depends on the efficiency of placed atop a the power block. fixed tower. Some commercial tower plants now in operation use DSG in the receiver; others use Other systems molten salts as both the heat transfer fluid and Some smaller CSP devices combine fixed receivers storage medium. with parabolic troughs or, more often, dishes The concentrating power of the tower concept (called “Scheffler dishes”). They are notably used achieves very high temperatures, thereby in India for steam cooking devices in facilities that increasing the efficiency at which heat is converted serve thousands meals per day. Dishes have also into electricity and reducing the cost of thermal been used for process heat by gathering the heat storage. In addition, the concept is highly flexible; collected by each dish; feeding a single power 12 Technology Roadmaps Concentrating Solar Power
block to produce electricity this way is possible, places. Furthermore, human activity and thermal but this option does not seem to be pursued inertia of buildings often maintain high demand at present. for electricity several hours after sunset. To provide a larger share of clean electricity and maximise Solar thermal electricity without concentration is CO2 emission reductions, CSP plants will need to also possible. Highly efficient non-concentrating provide base load power. Thermal storage and solar collectors could evaporate enough steam to backup or hybridisation with fuels help address run specific power blocks (e.g. based on organic these issues. Rankine cycles). The efficiency would be relatively low in comparison to CSP technologies discussed above, but non-concentrating solar power could Thermal storage capture both direct and diffuse sunlight (like PV All CSP plants have some ability to store heat modules) and thus expand the geographic areas energy for short periods of time and thus have a suitable for solar thermal electricity. Low-cost “buffering” capacity that allows them to smooth thermal storage and fuel backup could give this electricity production considerably and eliminate technology interesting features when and if it becomes commercial. the short-term variations other solar technologies exhibit during cloudy days. Recently, operators have begun to build thermal Enhancing the value storage systems into CSP plants. The concept of of CSP capacities thermal storage is simple: throughout the day, excess heat is diverted to a storage material (e.g. In arid and semi-arid areas suitable for CSP molten salts). When production is required after production, sunlight usually exhibits a good match sunset, the stored heat is released into the steam with electricity demand and its peaks, driven by cycle and the plant continues to produce electricity. air-conditioning loads. However, the available sunlight varies somewhat even in the sunniest Storage system in a trough solar plant This graph shows how storage works in a CSP plant. Excess heat collected in the solar field is sent to the heat exchanger and warms the molten salts going from the cold tank to the hot tank. When needed, the heat from the hot tank can be returned to the heat transfer fluid and sent to the steam generator. Source: SolarMillennium. CSP status today 13
Studies show that, in locations with good sunlight extending production after sunset. For example, (high DNI), extending electricity production to some trough plants in Spain store enough heat in match this demand requires a storage capacity molten salts to produce power at the rated capacity of two to four hours. In slightly less sunny areas, of the turbine (50 MWe) for more than 7 additional storage could be larger, as it also helps compensate hours (See box). for the somewhat less predictable resource. The solar field is somewhat larger relative to the rated electrical capacity (i.e. the plant has a greater 3 T he solar multiple is the ratio of the actual size of a CSP solar multiple3), to ensure sufficient electricity plant’s solar field compared to the field size needed to production. As a result, at maximum sunlight feed the turbine at design capacity when solar irradiance is at its maximum (about 1 kW/m2). Plants without power, solar fields produce more heat than their storage have an optimal solar multiple of roughly 1.1 to turbines can absorb. In the absence of storage, on about 1.5 (up to 2.0 for LFR), depending primarily on the the sunniest hours, plant operators would need to amount of sunlight the plant receives and its variation “defocus” some unneeded solar collectors. Storage through the day. Plants with large storage capacities avoids losing this energy while also allowing for may have solar multiples of up to 3 to 5. Tailoring storage to serve purpose Varying the storage capacity is a means of tailoring CSP plant to meet different needs. All four hypothetical plants below have the same solar field size and produce the same amount of electricity, but at different times and different power rates. Figure 3: F our different configurations of CSP plants of a given solar field size Intermediate load The intermediate load configuration is designed Solar field to produce electricity when the sunshine available covers peak and shoulder loads. It has a 250 MW turbine Small storage 250 MW turbine and requires only a small amount of storage. It has Production from 08.00h to 19.00h the smallest investment costs and the least- expensive electricity 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 2324h output. The delayed Delayed intermediate load intermediate load Solar field design collects solar energy all day but produces electricity from noon on and after sunset, corresponding 250 MW turbine to peak and shoulder Medium-size storage loads. It has the same size turbine as the Production from 12.00h to 23.00h intermediate load plant but requires a larger amount of storage. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 2324h 14 Technology Roadmaps Concentrating Solar Power
Base load The base load configuration Solar field runs 24 hours per day for most of the year; it needs a larger amount 120 MW turbine of storage and a smaller turbine. If the costs Large storage of storage capacity are lower than those 24/24h Production of larger turbines, electricity from the base load plant is slightly 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 2324h cheaper than that of delayed intermediate load plant. This will likely be the case with higher working temperatures, which will allow for less- expensive storage but require more sophisticated and costly turbines. The peak load plant is Peak load designed to provide electricity only for a few hours to meet the extreme peak load. It requires a large turbine (600 MW) and a large amount of storage. Of all four designs it produces the most expensive, but also the most valuable electricity. Source: Julien Octobre and Frank Guihard, Systèmes Solaires, 2009. CSP plants with large storage capacities may be Backup and hybridisation able to produce base-load solar electricity day and night, making it possible for low-carbon CSP plants Virtually all CSP plants, with or without storage, to compete with coal-fired power plants that emit are equipped with fuel-powered backup systems high levels of CO2. For example, one 17 MW solar that help to regulate production and guarantee tower plant under construction in Spain will use capacity – especially in peak and mid-peak molten salts as both heat transfer fluid and storage periods. The fuel burners (which can use fossil medium and store enough heat energy to run the fuel, biogas or, eventually, solar fuels) can provide plant at full load for 16 hours. energy to the heat transfer fluid or the storage medium, or directly to the power block. Storage has a cost, however, and cannot be expanded indefinitely to prevent rare events of solar In areas where DNI is less than ideal, fuel-powered energy shortages. A current industry focus is to backup makes it possible to almost completely significantly increase the temperature to improve guarantee the plant’s production capacity at a overall efficiency of CSP plants and reduce storage lower cost than if the plant depended only on the costs. Enhanced thermal storage would help to solar field and thermal storage (Figure 4). Providing guarantee capacity and expand production. Storage 100% firm capacity with only thermal storage potentially makes base-load solar-only power would require significantly more investment in plants possible, although fuel-powered backup and reserve solar field and storage capacity, which hybridisation have their own advantages and are would produce little energy over the year. likely to remain, as described below. CSP status today 15
Figure 4: Combination of storage and hybridisation in a solar plant 50 40 Firm capacity line To storage 30 MW 20 Fuel backup Solar direct From storage 10 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 Time of day Source: Geyer, 2007, SolarPACES Annual Report. Fuel burners also boost the conversion efficiency being built adjacent to existing or new fossil fuel of solar heat to electricity by raising the working power plants in Algeria, Australia, Egypt, Iran, Italy temperature level; in some plants, they may be and the United States (in the state of Florida). used continuously in hybrid mode. CSP can also be used in hybrid by adding a small solar field to fossil fuel plants such as coal plants Grid integration or combined-cycle natural gas plants in so-called integrated solar combined-cycle plants (ISCC). As of CSP plants the solar share is limited, such hybridisation really The storage and backup capabilities of CSP plants serves to conserve fuel. A positive aspect of solar offer significant benefits for electricity grids. Losses fuel savers is their relatively low cost: with the in thermal storage cycles are much smaller than steam cycle and turbine already in place, only in other existing electricity storage technologies components specific to CSP require additional (including pumped hydro and batteries), making investment. Such fuel savings, with capacities the thermal storage available in CSP plants more ranging from a few megawatts to 75 MW, are effective and less costly. Two examples of backup and/or hybridisation The SEGS CSP plants, built in California between 1984 and 1991, use natural gas to boost production year-round. In the summer, SEGS operators use backup in the late afternoon and run the turbine alone after sunset, corresponding to the time period (up to 10:00 p.m.) when mid-peak pricing applies. During the winter mid-peak pricing time (12:00 noon to 6:00 p.m.), SEGS uses natural gas to achieve rated capacity by supplementing low solar irradiance. By law, the plant is limited to using gas to produce only 25% of primary energy. The Shams-1 trough plant (100 MW), planned in the United Arab Emirates, will combine hybridisation and backup, using natural gas and two separate burners. The plant will burn natural gas continuously during sunshine hours to raise the steam temperature (from 380°C to 540°C) for optimal turbine operation. Despite its continuous use, natural gas will account for only 18% of overall production of this peak and mid-peak plant. The plant will use a natural gas heater for the heat transfer fluid. This backup measure was required by the electric utility to guarantee capacity, but will be used only when power supply is low due to lack of sunshine. Over one year, this second burner could add 3% to the plant’s overall energy production. 16 Technology Roadmaps Concentrating Solar Power
CSP plants can enhance the capacity of electricity penalty. As water cooling is more effective but grids to accommodate a larger share of variable more costly, operators of hybrid systems tend to energy sources, thereby increasing overall grid use only dry cooling in the winter when cooling flexibility. As demonstrated in Spain, connecting needs are lower, then switch to combined wet and CSP plants to some grid sub-stations facilitates a dry cooling during the summer. For a parabolic greater share of wind energy. CSP plant backup trough CSP plant, this approach could reduce water may also eliminate the need to build fossil-fired consumption by 50% with only a 1% drop in annual “peaking” plants purely to meet the highest loads electrical energy production. during a few hours of the day. Although the optimal size of CSP plant is CSP for niche markets probably 200 MW or more, many existing grids use small power lines at the ends of the grid in CSP technologies can be highly effective in various less-populated areas, which cannot support the niche markets. Mid-sized CSP plant can fuel remote addition of large amounts of electricity from solar facilities such as mines and cement factories. plants. Thus, in some cases, the size of a CSP plant Even small CSP devices (typically using organic could be limited by the available power lines or Rankine cycles or micro-turbines) can be useful on require additional investment in larger transport buildings to provide electricity, heat and cooling. lines. Furthermore, it is often easier to obtain sites, permits, grid connections and financing for CSP plants can produce significant quantities smaller, scalable CSP plant designs, which can also of industrial process heat. For example, a solar enter production more quickly. tower will soon produce steam for enhanced oil recovery in the United States. At a smaller scale, concentrating sunlight can be used for cooking Plant cooling and artisanal production such as pottery. The advantages could be considerable in developing and water requirements countries, ranging from independence from As in other thermal power generation plants, fossil resources, protection of ecosystems from CSP requires water for cooling and condensing deforestation and land degradation, more processes. CSP water requirements are relatively reliable pottery firing and, in the case of cooking, high: about 3 000 L/MWh for parabolic trough and reduction of indoor air pollution and its resulting LFR plants (similar to a nuclear reactor) compared health impacts. The scope of this roadmap to about 2 000 L/MWh for a coal plant and only precludes a full investigation of these possibilities, 800 L/MWh for combined-cycle natural gas plants. barriers to their dissemination, or policies to Tower CSP plants need less water per MWh than overcome such barriers. trough plants, depending on the efficiency of the Large CSP plants may also prove effective for co- technology. Dishes are cooled by the surrounding generation to support water desalination. CSP air, and need no cooling water. plants are often located in arid or semi-arid areas Accessing large quantities of water is an important where water is becoming scarcer while water challenge to the use of CSP in arid regions, as demand is increasing rapidly as populations and available water resources are highly valued by economies grow. CSP plants could be designed many stakeholders. Dry cooling (with air) is one so that low-pressure steam is extracted from the effective alternative used on the ISCC plants under turbine to run multi-effect distillation (MED) construction in North Africa. However, it is more stages. Such plants would produce fresh water costly and reduces efficiencies. Dry cooling installed along with electricity, but at some expense of on trough plants in hot deserts reduces annual efficiency loss in power production. Economic electricity production by 7% and increases the studies suggest that it might be preferable, cost of the produced electricity by about 10%. The however, to separate the two processes, using “performance penalty” of dry cooling is lower for CSP for electricity production and reverse osmosis solar towers than for parabolic troughs. for desalination, when the working temperature is relatively low, as with trough plants. Co- Installation of hybrid wet/dry cooling systems is a generation of electricity and fresh water would more attractive option as such systems reduce water probably work best with higher temperature consumption while minimising the performance levels, such as with towers. CSP status today 17
With respect to concentrating solar fuels, current R&D efforts have shown promise in a number of necessary steps, including water splitting, fossil fuel decarbonisation and conversion of biomass and organic wastes into gaseous fuels. Success in these areas affirms the need for larger-scale experiments to support the further development of CSF as part of the global energy mix. 18 Technology Roadmaps Concentrating Solar Power
Vision of future deployment Existing scenarios of it, mostly from onshore wind and solar power. CSP plants would form the backbone of the export and proposals capacities from North Africa to Europe. The IEA publication Energy Technology Perspectives 2008 (ETP 2008) includes CSP as one of the many cost-effective technologies that will lower CSP deployment CO2 emissions. In the ETP BLUE Map scenario, This roadmap foresees a rapid expansion of CSP global energy-related CO2 emissions by 2050 are capacities in countries or regions with excellent reduced to half their 2005 level, and CSP produces DNI, and computes its electricity production 2 200 TWh annually by 2050 from 630 GW of local as progressively growing percentages of the capacities (no exports taken in account). CSP is overall consumption forecast in IEA climate- expected to contribute 5% of the annual global friendly scenarios in these regions (Table 2). In electricity production in 2050 in this scenario. neighbouring but less sunny regions, a lower contribution of CSP electricity is expected, which In the Advanced scenario of CSP Global Outlook mixes local production and electricity from nearby 2009, the IEA SolarPACES programme, the sunnier areas. European Solar Thermal Electricity Association and Greenpeace estimated global CSP capacity by 2050 Plants built before 2020 mostly respond to at 1 500 GW. The SolarPACES forecast sees large intermediate and peak loads, while a first set of storage and solar fields that would enable capacity HVDC lines is built to connect some of the CSP factors of 59% (5 200 hours per year), with a yearly plants in sunny areas to large demand centres. output of 7 800 TWh. From 2020 to 2030, as costs are reduced and performance enhanced, the deployment of CSP In its study of the renewable energy potential continues with base-load plants, thus maximising in the Middle East/North Africa region, the CO2 emission reductions. After 2030, while CSP German Aerospace Center (DLR) estimates that continues to develop, solar fuels enter the global by 2050, CSP plants could provide about half of energy mix. By 2050, CSP represents about 11% of the region’s electrical production, from a total global electricity production. capacity of 390 GW. The overall estimated growth of CSP electricity According to a recent study by PriceWaterHouse output is represented in Figure 5 in comparison Cooper, Europe and North Africa together with three other scenarios: the BLUE Map scenario could by 2050 produce all their electricity from of ETP 2008, and the Advanced and Moderate renewables if their respective grids are sufficiently scenarios of Global CSP Outlook 2009. interconnected. While North Africa would consume one-quarter of the total it would produce 40% Figure 5: Growth of CSP production under four scenarios (TWh/y) 9 000 8 000 ETP Blue 7 000 This roadmap 6 000 Global outlook adv. Global outlook mod. TWh/y 5 000 4 000 3 000 2 000 1 000 0 2007 2020 2030 2040 2050 Vision of future deployment 19
Table 2: Electricity from CSP plants as shares of total electricity consumption Countries 2020 2030 2040 2050 Australia, Central Asia,4 Chile, India (Gujarat, Rajasthan), Mexico, Middle East, 5% 12% 30% 40% North Africa, Peru, South Africa, United States (Southwest) United States (remainder) 3% 6% 15% 20% Europe (mostly from imports), Turkey 3% 6% 10% 15% Africa (remainder), Argentina, Brazil, 1% 5% 8% 15% India (remainder) Indonesia (from imports) 0.5% 1.5% 3% 7% China, Russia (from imports) 0.5% 1.5% 3% 4% 4 Includes Afghanistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Pakistan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan. Figure 6 shows the growth of CSP electricity feed Indonesia; the Central Asian countries supply production by region according to this roadmap Russia; Northern African countries and Turkey as it is further detailed below. This projection deliver power to the European Union; northern takes into account a significant amount of and southern African countries feed equatorial electricity transportation. Africa; and Mexico provide CSP electricity to the United States. The vital role of transmission The transfer of large amounts of solar energy from desert areas to population centres has This roadmap sees long-range transportation of been promoted, in particular, by the DESERTEC electricity as an important way of increasing the Foundation (Figure 8). This idea has inspired two achievable potential of CSP. Large countries such major initiatives in Europe, the Mediterranean as Brazil, China, India, South Africa and the United Solar Plan and the DESERTEC Industry Initiative. States (Figure 7) will have to arrange for large The first, developed within the framework of the internal transmission of CSP-generated electricity. Barcelona Process: Union for the Mediterranean, In other cases, high-voltage transmission lines aims to bring about 20 GW of renewable will cross borders, opening export markets for electricity to EU countries by 2020 from the CSP producing countries and increasing energy various developing economies that adhered to this security for importing countries. Australia might recently created intergovernmental organisation. Figure 6: Growth of CSP production by region (TWh/y) 5 000 4 500 EU + Turkey 4 000 Pacific China 3 500 Central Asia 3 000 TWh/year South America 2 500 Middle East 2 000 India 1 500 Africa North America 1 000 500 0 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 20 Technology Roadmaps Concentrating Solar Power
Figure 7: V ision of possible HVDC lines linking the Southwest to the rest of the United States Source: Hank Price, US DOE, 2007. Figure 8: The DESERTEC concept applied to EU-MENA Region Source: the DESERTEC Foundation. The second initiative, announced in July 2009, electricity losses. Further, the current feed-in tariffs takes the form of a limited liability company, with in Spain or France for large-scale, ground-based 12 shareholders. 5 The DESERTEC Industry Initiative solar electricity would largely cover the costs of aims to establish a framework for investments to production of electricity in North Africa, assessed supply the Middle East, North Africa and Europe at USD 209 (EUR 150)/MWh on best sites, plus with solar and wind power. The long-term goal is to its transport to the south of Europe, assessed at satisfy a substantial part of the energy needs of the USD 21 (EUR 15)/MWh to USD 63 (EUR 45)/MWh. Middle East and North Africa, and meet as much as 15% of Europe’s electricity demand by 2050. Deployment till 2020: The abundant sunlight in the Middle East and North Africa will lead to lower costs, compensating intermediate and peak loads for the additional expected transmission costs and From 2010 to 2020, the global rollout of CSP initiated before 2010 is expected to accelerate, 5 T hese are ABB, Abengoa Solar, Cevital, DESERTEC Foundation, Deutsche Bank, E.ON, HSH Nordbank, MAN Solar Millennium, Munich Re, M+W thanks to ongoing industry efforts and the adoption Zander, RWE, Schott Solar and Siemens. of suitable incentives for CSP in sunny countries. Vision of future deployment 21
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