The future of Health Care - Potential, impacts and models of 3D printing in the Health Care sector - Deloitte
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Contents Deloitte’s Health Care Med Tech Community 3 3D printing in Health Care 5 3D printing application models in the Health Care sector 7 3D printing in the world 9 3D printing in Italian Health Care 13 3D printing Industry Foresight 17 Conclusions 27
The future of Health Care | Potential, impacts and models of 3D printing in the Health Care sector Deloitte’s Health Care Med Tech Community In 2017 Deloitte gave life to the Health Care Med In fact, 3D printing has been present in many Tech Community, the first community dedicated economic sectors for some time and it has always to disruptive technologies and open oriented to been one of the main areas of application in health care and life sciences companies, scientific healthcare of great extent: the first example of 3D associations, disruptive technology experts, printing in the health sector goes back to the first in-house companies, purchasing centers, health half of the eighties of the last century. At that time, care agencies, the research community, start-ups, Chuck Hall made an eye wash cup using stereo venture capital companies, business incubators and lithography (a method to produce solid objects from accelerators, third sector. successive hardened layers of liquid polymer). Innovation in Health Care is the topic on which During its first year of activity, the Community the Community is focused. Orienting the health dedicated itself to 3D printing to explore some ecosystem towards innovation means laying the aspects: the employment models, state of the art foundations for a transformation of the entire and worldwide diffusion, the presence in the Italian sector, where the value is generated by the healthcare sector, the possible developments and involvement of all stakeholders with their different barriers to overcome to bring this technology from a points of view, perspectives and roles. Today, niche dimension to the mainstream. more than in the past, disruptive technologies The work of the Community has been developed can represent the pivot of the transformation and with the contribution of an Advisory Board the innovation of operating models in the clinical, representing the main stakeholders of the health welfare, organizational and managerial fields. 3D eco-system: hospitals, life sciences companies, printing, augmented reality, Internet of Things scientific associations and supply chain players. (IoT), Big Data are just some of the technologies currently available on the market and ready to use, which create development and enable new ways of interactions in the ecosystem, making it accessible to new subjects and attractive for new investments. The Med Tech Community format, although aware of the natural interactions and influences among the different disruptive technologies, aims to focus on one technology at a time. As a starting point, in the first year of life, the Advisory Board has decided to start from the oldest of the innovative technologies: 3D printing. 3
Figure 1 - The Advisory Board members of the Health Care Med Tech Community Stefano Marchese Commercial Director Smith&Nephew Gianluca Ruffi Strategic Marketing and Market Access Director Medtronic Guido Beccagutti Value, Access & Policy Director Nicolò Pestelli Programme Director at Area Vasta Sud Est Toscana ESTAR Stefano Vezzosi Director of Informatics and Health Technologies Intercent-ER Alessandra Boni Director Coordinator, Office of International Relations and the Promotion of Meyer Pediatric Hospital Kathleen McGreevy Innovation Fabio Galbusera Head of the Laboratory of Mechanics of Biological Structures Istituto Ortopedico Galeazzi Gloria Casaroli Research Engineer Director, Research Center in Health Economics & Health Care LIUC Università Cattaneo Davide Croce Management Innogest Claudio Giuliano Partner PLS Educational Luigi Cammi Managing Director
The future of Health Care | Potential, impacts and models of 3D printing in the Health Care sector 3D printing in Health Care Some analysts’ forecasts for 2018 suggest a global 3D printing is a production mode, market growth to $12 billion, an increase of about 20% over the previous year1. In 2018, over 50% also called additive manufacturing, of the market will be located in the United States which allows the fabrication of objects and Europe with a turnover of $7.6 billions. Other (component parts, semi-finished estimates predict that the turnover will reach $20 billion by 2021 with a 20.5% compound annual or finished products) through the growth rate, on a five-year basis, from 2017 to aggregation of successive layers of 20212. These data clearly show the dynamic growth of 3D printing, which is emerging as a widespread material that are added to each other. 2 technology in various market sectors. A significant share of worldwide turnover in the 3D printing industry has always been generated in the medical field. In 2012, according to a study by Deloitte University, 16.4% of 3D printing business in the US was In recent years, 3D printing applications have become generated by the healthcare sector. Analysts forecasts increasingly more common. The 3D printing technology that in 2018 the 3D printing worldwide turnover related has already made it possible to print surgical to healthcare will reach $ 1.3 billion1. instruments such as hemostats, forceps, scalpel handles, etc.3 In the next years, a quantitative increase Different applications in the medical field support in the established applications is expected, but also this growth. To date, the most significant applications the development of new applications in even more refer to the production of different types of devices in ambitious areas. the dental, orthopedic and acoustic fields. However, even the most innovative areas such as the 3D Ultimately, 3D printing technology has the potential printing of tissues, organs and bones show important to deeply modify the healthcare’s delivery and growth rates and begin to spread significantly (56.6% organization models in different areas of clinical compound annual growth rate, on a five-year basis, specialization. from 2017 to 20211). 1. 3D printing spending is about $ 12 billion in 2018, 3DPrinting.com 2. ASTM International, Standard terminology for additive manufacturing technologies, designation F2792 − 12a, 2013, p. 2 3. The Major Milestones Of 3D Printing In The Medical Industry, 3DPrintersBay.com 5
The future of Health Care | Potential, impacts and models of 3D printing in the Health Care sector 3D printing application models in the Health Care sector Based on some Deloitte University The integrated reading of these two Path I: stasis research highlights on additive dimensions generates four possible In this model 3D printing is used manufacturing, 3D printing contributes models of 3D printing application in the to generate efficiency rather than to the health sector transformation health sector, as can be seen in Figure innovation. Organizations (predominantly by acting on two different dimensions: 2, and it allows us to develop an organic medical device manufacturers) consider product innovation and process and coherent approach to the analysis 3D as the acceleration technology of innovation, the latter with particular of the opportunities of 3D printing some processes. The most frequent reference to traditional supply chain ("3D Printing Health Care Industry case of using this model is related to activities. Framework"). the use of 3D printing for the rapid prototyping of medical devices that are then produced on a large scale with the Figure 2 – 3D Printing Health Care Industry Framework traditional technologies. High product change Example + In early 2018, the Marchesini Group Path III: Path IV: business product evolution model evolution Company from Bologna, a leading packaging manufacturer in the Companies benefit from Companies create a new business leveraging the 3D printing model through 3D printing pharmaceutical sector, inaugurated a economies of scope to (e.g. bioprinting, custom new structure dedicated to 3D printing achieve greater levels of production of implantable technology, which is, according to the performance or innovate prostheses) company, "one of the main declension High supply chain change their products (e.g. 3D printing No supply chain change for more precise and less of the Industry 4.0 paradigm"4. The new invasive surgical operations) structure will be equipped with several 3D printers, along with new systems that will - + be working operating 24 hours a day to quickly print prototypes for components Path I: stasis Path II: supply chain evolution that will then be produced through traditional manufacturing processes. This Companies do not look for Companies benefit from radical changes either in the leveraging the economies of new 3D printing facility by Marchesini supply chain or in the products. scale offered by 3D printing Group will allow customers to monitor This type of companies use in terms of supply chain error management, machine wear and the 3D technology to streamline (e.g. on-site production of processes (e.g. prototyping) production planning, besides controlling surgical equipment) costs. - No product change 4. Marchesini Group Increases Focus on Industry 4.0 by Acquiring Vision System Company and Opening 3D Printing Facility, 3DPrint.com 7
The future of Health Care | Potential, impacts and models of 3D printing in the Health Care sector Path II: supply chain evolution Path III: product evolution Path IV: business model evolution This model can be summarized with This model is driven by the possibility of the "manufacturing at point of use" using 3D printing to create innovative This model is the most disruptive, paradigm. Organizations benefit by products and improve the quality of because it combines process innovation. producing goods for healthcare use medical performance, which is going It also allows to change the supply chain through 3D printing at the place of use to affect the generated outcome. This structure and innovate products and the or immediately nearby. Medical devices’ is the case, now quite frequent, of the health services offered to patients. This manufacturers, but also hospitals, could reproduction of organs and anatomical is an example of a “mass customization have considerable advantages from the parts for the preparation of surgical at point of use”, or mass customization application of this model. The former interventions of particular complexity in which it is possible to produce could reduce production costs, product concerning, for example, the removal customized products (eg: implantable delivery time, streamlining distribution of tumor masses. In other cases, it prostheses) near the place of use. and logistic processes. End users could went so far as to realize scaffolds for The application of this model deeply decide to create their own hubs (or to cell cultivation aimed at reconstructing modifies the business models and allows resort to private hubs) for 3D printing anatomical parts. new ones to emerge, with potentially inside the hospital, or for a group of relevant effects for all the supply chain Example hospitals, and dedicate themselves to stakeholders. producing some devices "on their own". At the National Tissue Engineering Example Research Center of China, a team of Example scientists has released a new study A research team from the University of The London-based company 3D describing the use of 3D printing in Glasgow used 3D printing technology LifePrints has launched a project an ear reconstruction surgery for five to synthesize any compound to to create "innovation hubs" on 3D children (between 6 and 9 years old) with produce pharmaceuticals. This new printing in four National Health Service unilateral microtia. The extraordinary mode of production is a key step (NHS) hospitals and has recently nature of this event consists in having for the digitization of chemical and invested £ 500,000 to expand its 3D reconstructed, thanks to 3D printing, pharmaceutical manufacturing as it printing center network and recruit the anatomical parts directly using the could allow the production of “on- biomedical engineers and specialized 3D children’s cells. Researchers first took demand” and customized drugs, based technicians. The company incorporated detailed CT scans of each patient’s on the needs and the clinical picture of four "innovation hubs" on 3D printing: healthy ear, and used a 3D design individual patients. 7 three in Liverpool and one in Oxford. software to mirror the images and Each innovation hub is a place where convert them into a 3D printable mold. doctors, surgeons, companies and Next, cartilage-producing chondrocyte technicians can collaborate and find cells were derived from each patient’s new solutions for clinical and assistance malformed ear tissue, seeded onto the problems starting to produce medical scaffold molds, and cultured for three devices with a "manufacturing at point- months. When the cultured cartilage of-use" approach. 5 framework had finished growing into the shape of the patient’s ear, plastic surgeons implanted the engineered ear implants and performed ear reconstruction surgery. 6 5. 3D Lifeprints Secures £500,000 Investment To Rapidly Expand, 3DLifePrints.com 6. Five Children Receive Ear Implants Made From Their Own Cells, Thanks to 3D Printed Molds and Scaffolds, 3DPrint.com 7. Chemical MP3 Player Can 3D Print Pharmaceuticals On-Demand from Digital Code, 3DPrint.com 8
The future of Health Care | Potential, impacts and models of 3D printing in the Health Care sector 3D printing in the world The Health Care Med Tech Community analyzed and then we ranked the 218 successful cases within over 1,000 experiences from all over the world the 3D Printing Health Care Industry Framework. regarding innovations in the use of 3D printing The Figure 3 shows a graphical representation about for Health Care, selecting the most significant 218 the origin of the successful experiences, reporting cases. In particular, all the experiences that focused the corresponding numbers for each country. on mere prototyping (Path I: stasis) were excluded, Figure 3 - Map of the most relevant news from the world 1 1 4 1 3 7 9 1 10 4 3 3 28 103 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 2 8 3 1 1 1 2 11 9
The future of Health Care | Potential, impacts and models of 3D printing in the Health Care sector Figure 4 - International trends in 3D printing use From the analysis of these experiences, High product change we have identified some international + trends in the use of 3D printing, Path III: Path IV: business model highlighted in Figure 4. In particular, most product evolution evolution of the experiences are included in Path III and IV of the Industry Framework: 41% 51% product evolution (41%) and business High supply chain change No supply chain change model evolution (51%). - + Analyzing the trends for each country, we highlight a leading role of the United States (Figure 5), which shows 103 8% successful cases, 54 of which refer to the "Path IV: business model evolution". Even Europe and its Member States are Path I: stasis Path II: supply chain moving in the same direction. evolution - No product change Figure 5 - Focus on trends for each country 110 103 100 Legend 90 Business Product model evolution evolution 80 70 Supply Stasis chain 60 evolution 50 40 30 28 23 20 10 10 9 8 7 10 4 4 3 3 3 3 0 Other 10
The future of Health Care | Potential, impacts and models of 3D printing in the Health Care sector Starting from the database, we have selected 10 particularly significant cases, as reported in Figure 6. Figure 6 - The 10 most successful international cases selected by Deloitte San Draw Medical Introduces New Quebec: New Research Center for 3D Accuracy with 3D Printed Suture Printing Solutions. Simulator. Materialise Expands DePuy Synthes Wrap, the 3D Printer Plaster that Halves Partnership to Design New 3D Printed Healing Times. Surgical Guides. QMUL Researchers Use 3D Printing and EIT 3D Printed Cellular Titanium Spinal Self-Assembly Technologies to Create Implants Receive FDA Clearance. Constructs Using Cells and Molecules. RegenHU and Wako Automation Five Children Receive Ear Implants Made Promoting Drug Discovery and 3D from Their own Cells, thanks to 3D Printed Bioprinting in the US. Molds and Scaffolds. A 3D Printer Can Print Pharmaceuticals T3Ddy Laboratory is Born at the Meyer On-demand from Digital Code in Pediatric Hospital. Glasgow. At the Italian level, the experiences of the M3datek startup and the Meyer Pediatric Hospital deserve a special attention because of their innovativeness degree. Wrap, the 3D Printed Plaster that Halves T3ddy Laboratory is born at the Meyer Pediatric Healing Times8 Hospital9 M3datek, a start-up of the University of 3D printing enters Meyer’s clinical practice with T3Ddy, Parma, in 2015 created WRAP (Wound the joint laboratory established with the University of Repair Active Print), a plaster able to Florence. T3Ddy applies 3D printing in an innovative way halve the healing time thanks to the use of for a series of highly advanced uses: from the creation 3D printing. The plaster, designed for the of three-dimensional models to improve the surgical treatment of diabetes and bed sores, is made approach, to the realization of tailor-made plaster casts of chitosan (a natural polymer that is found, for the limbs, in addition to the wide use in simulation in for example, in the exoskeleton of many pediatrics for the operators training. Some pilot projects invertebrates) and it is produced with the are particularly relevant, such as: the development of new support of a 3D printer. In particular, the 3D medical devices for the treatment of malformations of the structure allows patients to obtain different rib cage; the reconstruction of anatomical parts for the benefits compared to traditional medicines: planning and execution of the most complex interventions WRAP fits to wounds of varying size and (eg. a tumor from the cranial base has recently been depth, it can be applied to sores in different successfully removed without touching the brain of a stages of advancement. Moreover, the healing 16-year-old patient, thanks to a careful pre-operative process is accelerated compared to the planning). This also brings children closer to science and products already on the market: the healing technology. By introducing 3D technologies into the clinical times are halved, going from 15 to 7 weeks. practice, T3Ddy lays the foundation for the standardization of the procedures for the construction of personalized medical devices. 8. Wrap, the 3D Printed Plaster that Halves Healing Times, ParmAteneo.it 9. T3Ddy Laboratory is born at the Meyer Pediatric Hospital, Meyer Pediatric Hospital Institutional Website 11
The future of Health Care | Potential, impacts and models of 3D printing in the Health Care sector 3D printing in Italian Health Care To understand the state of the art on Figure 7 - Survey respondents the diffusion of 3D printing within the Italian healthcare sector, we conducted a survey of the main stakeholders of the 48% Hospitals health ecosystem: hospitals, life sciences companies, supply chain players, scientific associations. The survey, sent to a hundred individuals, saw the collaboration of 50 participants, divided into four targets as shown in Figure 7. The survey dealt with 7 areas of 22% Scientific associations analysis divided into 3 clusters: 16% 1. Awareness of the potential to be exploited. Life sciences companies 2. Actions to be taken to develop sustainable adoption models. 14% Supply chain players 3. Barriers to overcome for large-scale applications. The survey showed that its respondents see significant opportunities in 3D technology that, of course, differ according to the perspectives of different stakeholders. 13
The future of Health Care | Potential, impacts and models of 3D printing in the Health Care sector Figure 8 - Opportunities for hospitals The hospitals recognize great potential in different fields and, in particular, in the Reconfiguration of the relationship with medical devices suppliers personalization of treatments (i.e. tailor- made prostheses) and in the creation Creation of print centers in the single hospital of public hubs at regional or supra- Creation of public hubs at regional company level. and/or wide area level Creation of private hubs Innovation of diagnostic and surgical techniques Real-time printing of medical devices (implantable and non-implantable) Personalization of treatments Reduction of costs for the purchase/ logistics management of medical devices 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% Figure 9 - Opportunities for supply chain players The personalization of treatments is one of the greatest capabilities of 3D printing also for supply chain players, along with Creation of private hubs the reconfiguration of the relationship Creation on public hubs at regional with medical devices suppliers from a and/or wide area level product-based logic to a service one. Possibility to produce medical devices independently Reconfiguration of the relationship with medical device providers, from a product logic to a service approach or a generated value sharing for the patient Real-time printing Personalization of treatments Innovation of diagnostic and surgical techniques 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Figure 10 - Opportunities for life sciences companies In addition to the personalization of services for the patients, life sciences companies also envision the possibility of Reconfiguration of the relationship with Regions and Hospitals reconfiguring the relationship between Regions and the Health Authorities, Market entry of new adopting a service-oriented approach unconventional competitors rather than a product-oriented one. They also foresee some possible Possibility to offer increasingly personalized and patient-oriented services threats coming from the entry of new non-conventional players into their core 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% market. 14
The future of Health Care | Potential, impacts and models of 3D printing in the Health Care sector All respondents, in addition to the Figure 11 - The barriers to the diffusion of 3D in the healthcare system potential, also report the presence of Degree of agreement per target some barriers that limit a large-scale spread of 3D printing. Life sciences Scientific Supply chain Hospitals companies associations players The main obstacles can be found in the lack of regulation, especially since the 43% Lack of regulation on the 3D printing production process subject is not included in the Medical Devices Regulation (EU) 2017/745, and 24% Lack of knowledge and skills on the use of technology and the related in the technology adoption, both in organizational models terms of knowledge about printers and materials available for printing, as well as Uncertainty about the amount of in terms of internal skills to be developed and amount of investments to be 24% investments in technology required by the company and the related economic return undertaken. The large-scale adoption of 3D printing 9% Maturity of technology (performance of printers and materials available) is characterized by the combination of “high potential/ high barriers”. If, on the High Moderate Low one hand, there is a strong awareness of the potential of this technology, on the other hand the missed mainstream diffusion of 3D technology is attributed to the presence of many regulatory and technical obstacles that have prevented its exponential growth. 15
The future of Health Care | Potential, impacts and models of 3D printing in the Health Care sector 3D printing Industry Foresight Methodology Figure 12 - The Industry Foresight methodology applied to 3D printing The survey identified the two main drivers in the technological and 1. Driver regulatory dynamics on which the The starting point is represented evolution of 3D printing in the health by the main drivers emerging from sector will depend. the eco-system survey: regulation To imagine the possible future scenarios and technology. for 3D printing in healthcare, two possible trends were analyzed for each driver: the optimistic one and the 2. Trend pessimistic one. For each driver, we have identified From the analysis of possible some possible future trends by combinations, four different scenarios imagining two visions: one optimistic about the future of 3D printing have (+) and one pessimistic (-). been articulated, within a 5 and 10 year time-span. 3. Scenarios These scenarios, with their corresponding impacts on the main Based on the identified trends, we stakeholders in the eco-system hypothesized four possible scenarios (healthcare providers, patients, which are the result of the convergence life sciences companies, scientific of the visions of the two drivers. associations, purchasing groups and supply chain players), have been discussed with the Advisory Board 4. Impacts members. These scenarios have been declined on the individual stakeholders of the health ecosystem to understand the possible impacts. 17
The future of Health Care | Potential, impacts and models of 3D printing in the Health Care sector Trends: the dynamics of technology and the regulatory system Figure 13 - Possible trends in the future evolution of 3D printing technology + The new R&D research and investments in the 3D printing sector will lead to developments and innovations along two directions: on the one hand, the availability of biocompatible materials with high performance properties will increase (e.g. mechanical properties - rigidity and elasticity); on the other hand, more performing and multi-material printers will be developed in line with the timing of health providers. Therefore, the technology providers will begin to produce printers that will be more technically performable in order to quickly create objects that can be customized with respect to the patient's clinical picture, as well as generic objects (orthopedic tools) or drugs. All these factors will lead to a market structure characterized by the presence of vendors that will make 3D printing competitive, economically and Technology qualitatively, compared to traditional methods of medical device production. This will entail the possible entrance of new players within the life sciences and medical device sector and will impact the entire supply chain (e.g. the creation of local hubs for sorting and supply of materials), also giving access to the self-production of medical devices. The technology will evolve, but not quickly and – anyway - not to the point of allowing significant technological leaps. In particular, we will not invest much in the search for biocompatible materials aimed at the production of implantable prostheses. From a technical point of view, printers will not be upgraded, significantly limiting the possibility of realizing - realistic devices in a short time. In particular, high productivity printers will not establish themselves on biocompatible materials and the multi-materiality will be limited. Figure 14 - Possible trends in the future evolution of regulation on medical devices printed in 3D In the perspective of giving a new impetus in regulatory terms, the Food and Drug Administration + (FDA) will continue to set standards for the production process of the 3D printed devices and will end up defining a regulatory framework where some aspects are clearly defined, such as the design of the devices, the functionality-based product testing system, the duration and the quality system requirements. The European institutions will also start moving in the same direction. The new European Regulation for medical devices will be integrated with specific standards for 3D printed devices. The evolution of regulation will also concern 3D printed drugs and the materials Regulation used for printing. Thanks to this regulation, the production of 3D printed products will increase not only in quantitative terms, but also in terms of diversification of the usage areas, with a strong expansion of the potential market. The institutions at international level will limit themselves to set production standards only for some sectors, introducing limits to the production chain. There will be no major progress, and what today is not regulated because of its limits and regulatory gaps will continue not being - so also in the future, especially in Europe. The absence of a clear and structured regulation of the production of 3D printed devices will continue to limit the mainstream applications of this technology. 18
The future of Health Care | Potential, impacts and models of 3D printing in the Health Care sector The four future scenarios of 3D printing From the conjoint/combined analysis of the future trends, it is possible to identify four possible scenarios about 3D printing in health sector. Scenario 1: Underground - - This scenario will be characterized by a reference to the medical sector, in the regulatory framework that at global European market such technologies level will continue to favor the use could be unavailable, unusable or too of materials and technologies for 3D expensive, with regard to the possible printing. The intensity of this regulatory uses deriving from the configuration of dynamic, especially in the European the regulatory context and the lack of Union and its Member States, however, adoption models, investment capacity will have an incremental nature and a and competent professional figures in limited impact. the hospitals. The European Medical Device The absence of significant uses in a Regulation 2017/745, entered into force market like Europe could influence the on 25 May 2017 and exclusively applied availability of new materials and new 3D from 26 May 2020, will not significantly printing technologies for the medical integrate the 3D printing sector in the sector on a global scale. implementing acts. The EU will deal with 3D printing in a residual manner with regard to specific cases, leaving the primacy in this regulatory framework to FDA (Food and Drug Administration), which in 2017 was the first global regulatory "It seems to me very likely that the use of authority to publish a guideline 3D printing for education and preparation on 3D printing of medical devices ("Technical considerations for additive of complex surgical procedures will manufactured medical devices"). establish itself over the next few years." * The technologies and materials for 3D Fabio Galbusera, printing will grow exponentially in the Head of the Laboratory of Mechanics of Biological Structures at coming years. However, with specific IRCSS Istituto Ortopedico Galeazzi * Statement issued in a personal capacity and not representing the company to which it belongs. 19
The future of Health Care | Potential, impacts and models of 3D printing in the Health Care sector Scenario 2: Regulatory Driven niche + - This scenario will be characterized by due to resistance factors and internal a regulatory framework, which will barriers to health systems. In particular, make possible the maximum level of there may be problems related to the use of materials and technologies for 3D availability of financial resources deriving printing. from the growing pressure that the demographic dynamics are putting At regulatory level, the FDA will make on many western health systems; the 3D printing one of the first areas difficulty of defining and activating of interest, if not the first one, by 3DP-based operational models on a exponentially increasing its interventions large-scale for organizational reasons; in this field. The European Union will an insufficient availability of skills and move in the same direction, adopting specialized professional figures within a regulatory framework where it will the hospitals. Moreover, in the public be possible to print many types of sector, some procurement models that devices (even directly in hospitals or are not effective in acquiring innovative in pharmacies), including those of an solutions could further slow down big implantable type as well as a large projects. In this scenario manufacturers number of drugs. and hospitals will use 3D printing with a In the coming years, the technologies “by default” logic, but they will do so only and materials for 3D printing will grow in specific areas of proven effectiveness exponentially, but the applications and efficiency, depending on their overall in the healthcare sector will not readiness and profitability. In other grow proportionally. Consequently, words, several niches focused on the the diffusion of 3D printing will be use of 3D printing will come up in those lower than that recorded by other clinical contexts that currently prove to sectors in which it will become be the readiest or most promising in mainstream. This will mainly occur adopting this technology. 20
The future of Health Care | Potential, impacts and models of 3D printing in the Health Care sector Scenario 3: Technology Driven niche - + This scenario, which is the opposite of inability of operators to adopt 3D printing the previous one, will be characterized technologies, but rather by the inability by a technological structure in of doing so in a greater number of areas continuous evolution, pushing the and with greater regulatory certainty. In health eco-system stakeholders towards other words, some niches of 3d printing an ever-increasing use of 3D printing, use will consolidate in the clinical areas also through the development of that are already common today. They will adequate organizational models and be based on the consolidation of the “by skills. default” logic through applications and processes already available and, in some The technologies and materials will cases, established. lead to significant developments in all fields of 3D printing application. The availability of biocompatible materials with high performance properties will increase (e.g. mechanical properties: rigidity and elasticity); and faster and multi-material printers will be developed, in line with the timing "Probably the 3D printer will increase in- of healthcare providers. The costs of home usage, but I do not think it will be technology will decrease, and will make 3D printing ever more accessible and used for health purposes. For example, available. the production of first-aid devices would The regulatory framework, however, require materials and sterilization that will not have a similar development since it will have the same dynamics could lead to a substantial increase in already described in the underground costs, thereby disadvantaging the in- scenario. The epilogue of this scenario home production." * is similar to the previous one, because the result will be a niche market that, Gloria Casaroli, however, will not be determined by the Research Engineer at Istituto Ortopedico Galeazzi * Statement issued in a personal capacity and not representing the company to which it belongs. 21
The future of Health Care | Potential, impacts and models of 3D printing in the Health Care sector Scenario 4: Mainstream + + The last scenario is the most disruptive. healthcare sector. A regulatory framework In this possible future, technological and will be available, defining the production regulatory dynamics will push many fields standards, the design of the devices of application of this technology towards and the quality requirements for the models of 3D printing “by default”, where creation of medical devices, drugs and 3D printing for the production of drugs, artificial organs, with all the 3D printing devices and health materials becomes techniques. an ordinary model. As such, it also radically changes the business models of both those providing health care as well as those providing services to such providers. In the coming years, technologies and materials for 3D printing will reach "In the medium term, thanks to the exponential developments that are not lowering of costs, many of the big players fully predictable today. 3D printing will will move from the current "subtractive become mainstream, spreading in every hospital, and there will be specialized technology" to the "additive" 3D printing technicians operating in many facilities. technology. The possibility of relocating The 3D printing will significantly favor production, of course, will drastically the diffusion of a customized medicine, thanks to the possibility of a fast and change the way of conceiving the supply precise printing. chain. The relocated production will Even the most complex applications such become a real commercial offer, where as transplants with artificial 3D-printed organs will be possible and will bring a the company will sell the plant of a significant contribution to the cure of printing center for the hospital, instead many diseases, also putting an end to of the single piece (prosthesis), with unpleasant and ethically unacceptable exploitations. the exploitation of some proprietary All of this will be possible also because patents (design) of plants, and the of the regulatory framework that will associated services including labor for its favor the use of 3D printing in all its functioning." * applications. The European Union and its Member States will also firmly push Gianluca Ruffi, the application of 3D printing in the Strategic Marketing Director at Smith & Nephew * Dichiarazione rilasciata a titolo personale e non in rappresentanza dell’azienda di appartenenza. 22
The future of Health Care | Potential, impacts and models of 3D printing in the Health Care sector Impacts on health stakeholders The identified scenarios were articulated on the individual stakeholders of the health eco-system (healthcare providers, patients, life sciences companies, scientific associations, purchasing centers and supply chain players) to understand their possible impacts. For each of them, the Advisory Board of the Health Care Med Tech Community contributed in identifying the relative probability of occurrence in a period between 5 and 10 years. The impacts in the various scenarios are shown below. Figure 15 - The underground scenario and the Advisory Board’s opinion - - Probability of occurrence Somewhat Stakeholder Impact Unlikely Very likely likely Health care techniques and processes will not evolve significantly, 3D printing will continue to be used in limited areas and will become mainstream especially as a technique of education and preparation of complex 5 ye a r s Healthcare surgical interventions. The promises and potential that characterize 3D providers printing will not be fully understood, such as, for example, the production 10 ye a r s and use by default of organs produced with biocompatible materials or the setting up of 3D printing centers near the operating theaters for printing of customized prostheses. Patients will partially benefit from 3D printing. Indirectly, 3D printing will improve, for example through the reproduction of organs for the preparation 5 ye a r s of interventions, the outcome of a large number of surgical procedures. Patients However, the use of 3D printing on processes that actively involve the patient, for example to produce customized prostheses at a distance or to print drugs and / or devices at home, will be possible, but limited to circumscribed cases. 10 ye a r s 3D technology will continue to be used for prototyping purposes and will only be fully utilized in areas with clear regulation. The large 5 ye a r s Life sciences pharmaceutical and medical device companies will not have the advantage of companies 10 ye a r s significantly modifying their methods of production and distribution of medical devices (both high cost, implantable and high volume treatments). 5 ye a r s Scientific associations and the research world will not consider 3D printing a key topic in defining clinical studies, guidelines and protocols. A Scientific limited number of Health Technology Assessment (HTA) studies will be linked associations to 3D printing in an explicit way in order to grasp links between the technology and the resulting outcome. The scientific community will not significantly push the adoption of these technologies into its protocols and recommendations. 10 ye a r s 5 ye a r s 3D printing will not represent a significant expense item for public aggregators and will continue to be purchased by individual hospitals. The creation of regional press centers (for example for prosthetics) will not be Supply chain feasible on a large scale for regulatory reasons and consequent cost / benefit ratio. 3D printing will not significantly change the acquisition, logistics and distribution models of medical devices in health authorities. 10 ye a r s 23
The future of Health Care | Potential, impacts and models of 3D printing in the Health Care sector Figure 16 - The Regulatory Driven niche and the Advisory Board’s opinion + - Probability of occurrence Somewhat Stakeholder Impact Unlikely Very likely likely Some health care techniques and processes will evolve significantly and 3D printing will establish itself as a reference mode (3DP by default), even within limited areas and will definitively establish itself as a standard for 5 ye a r s Healthcare education activities and preparation of complex surgical interventions. providers Only some of the promises and potential that characterize 3D printing 10 ye a r s will be captured, due to the limited interest of the suppliers of technologies and materials to develop in a generalized way all the application opportunities deriving from the opening of the regulatory framework. Some patients will benefit significantly from 3D printing, depending on the niches in which it will become a standard. For these patients, the development of techniques based on the use of 3D could lead (depending on the attractiveness of the reference area) to different types of benefits and 5 ye a r s improve the outcome of the care received and the experience of using the Patients service, thanks to factors such as: the availability of tailor-made prostheses, the reduction of waiting lists in relation to even serious and chronic diseases (e.g. a dialysis patient waiting for transplantation), the possibility of obtaining services at a distance (e.g. of a custom prosthesis in rapid time by a remote scan) or - 10 ye a r s on the contrary - in hospital in real time. 5 ye a r s 3D technology will continue to be used for prototyping and fully exploited only in areas where it is economically convenient. The large pharmaceutical Life sciences and medical device companies will start for some products in their portfolio to companies convert production processes and marketing mix into welfare processes that involve the use of 3DP. New competitors, global and local, coming from non- conventional sectors could emerge in the market. 10 ye a r s 5 ye a r s In the definition of clinical studies, guidelines and protocols, the scientific societies and the research world will begin to consider the 3DP in a Scientific good number of studies of Health Technology Assessment (HTA), but they associations will not always have satisfactory outcomes. The scientific community will significantly push the adoption of these technologies within its protocols and recommendations only in some areas. 10 ye a r s 3D printing will be a more relevant item of expenditure for public aggregators. However, it will continue to be purchased by individual hospitals. Centralized tenders at regional and / or national level are not 5 ye a r s envisaged. At an embryonic level, some hospitals could start in-house printing Supply chain of medical devices and evaluate the possibility of rationalizing the supply chain 10 ye a r s in relation to some products, trying to limit the use of supplies in deposit account/evaluation which historically represent something critical within healthcare organizations. 24
The future of Health Care | Potential, impacts and models of 3D printing in the Health Care sector Figure 17 - The Technology Driven niche and the Advisory Board’s opinion - + Probability of occurrence Somewhat Stakeholder Impact Unlikely Very likely likely Healthcare Providers will have greater access to technology thanks to lower costs, but the use of implantable devices printed in 3D on patients will be limited to some types, excluding devices that require stringent regulation 5 ye a r s (e.g. prostheses, artificial organs printed with the bioprinting techniques). Healthcare Although there will be technological means for the creation of Printing providers Centers near the operating theaters, these will not be realized on a large 10 ye a r s scale due to the slow development of regulation in this area. 3D printing will become mainstream as a technique of education and preparation of complex surgical procedures. 3D printing will allow the production of customized prostheses on a large 5 ye a r s scale (both at high cost - implantable and at high volumes - treatments), but there will be limits to the diffusion of bioprinting. The use of 3D printing for the preparation of surgical procedures will benefit patients by improving Patients the outcome of numerous surgical procedures. The lower costs of the technology will allow the purchase of printers even to patients themselves, who will begin to produce, directly in-home, both health items that do not require stringent regulation (e.g. pills holders, first aid kit, etc.), and non-health 10 ye a r s objects in common use (e.g. household utensils, fashion accessories, etc.). The commercialization of many products will still be curbed (e.g. bioprinting) and will continue to use 3D technology for the purpose of prototyping the device, thus becoming a consolidated practice in the 5 ye a r s Life sciences production process; however, the main players on the market will not be companies encouraged to move towards mass production due to the lack of production 10 ye a r s standards. The new companies, on the other hand, will derive the flexibility from this technology that itself allows, and will make it their core business, thanks also to the lower costs related to the technology readiness. The Scientific Associations will make 3D printing central in numerous studies of Health Technology Assessment (HTA). The scientific community will try to give voice to the main stakeholders that gravitate around the 3D 5 ye a r s Scientific technology carrying out activities related to research and innovation, associations promoting training courses to develop and consolidate the skills necessary for the use of technology and inserting it into its own protocols and recommendations. 10 ye a r s 5 ye a r s Despite the best cost / benefit ratio for 3D printing and the availability of technological resources, the creation of regional print centers will not yet be fully feasible on a large scale for regulatory reasons. Individual hospitals Supply chain will continue privately to equip themselves with 3D printers for printing models that will be used for education and simulation or some implantable, but without resorting to the bioprinting technique. 10 ye a r s 25
The future of Health Care | Potential, impacts and models of 3D printing in the Health Care sector Figure 18 - The Mainstream scenario and the Advisory Board’s opinion + + Probability of occurrence Somewhat Stakeholder Impact Unlikely Very likely likely Healthcare Providers will realize in-home and in short time surgical devices and, for this reason, they will have to acquire the necessary technology and skills. The advent of bioprinting will allow on patients the use of implantable 5 ye a r s Healthcare devices printed in 3D and will lead to advances in surgical techniques and providers the reduction of waiting lists (e.g. waiting lists for organ transplants). They will also benefit in terms of reduced costs for the purchase and / or logistics management of medical devices. 10 ye a r s The possibility of creating highly customized prostheses will allow shorter recovery times and better biocompatibility compared to prostheses made with traditional techniques. The perceived quality of health care received will 5 ye a r s increase, thanks, for example, to the reduction of waiting lists that will allow Patients the needs of the patients to be satisfied more quickly. 3D printing will also be 10 ye a r s accessible to the individual, thanks to its diffusion and the lower costs, which will be able to realize in-home some objects (e.g. pencil cases, first aid kits, etc.). The development of 3D printing will lead to more investments in the sector, and even the main market players will be encouraged to introduce this technique for large-scale production. New skills will be introduced in 5 ye a r s Life sciences companies. The presence of high performance printers from a technical companies point of view (speed and precision), will allow the consolidation of mass 10 ye a r s customization, the production of customizable objects in large volumes. There will be a reconfiguration of the relationship with the Regions and the health structures. Universities and Scientific Associations will be involved in redesigning university courses to develop technical skills in the 3D sector. The scientific 5 ye a r s Scientific associations will define new guidelines for the use of technology and will be associations 10 ye a r s promoters of training courses for health personnel to develop and consolidate the necessary skills to use this technology. 5 ye a r s Thanks to the benefits introduced by 3D printing and its diffusion, there will be a substantial change in procurement strategies and, therefore, in the structure of tender specifications, in a service and / or performance based Supply chain logic. The creation of public hubs for 3D printing at the regional level will be promoted. These hubs will modify the supply chain making 3D printed devices available in less time and with greater ease at the point of use. 10 ye a r s 26
Il futuro dell'Health Care | Potenzialità, impatti e modelli del 3D printing in ambito sanitario Conclusions 3D printing has been a reality in the health sector Although the awareness of the relevant 3D printing for many years, at worldwide level as well as in potential seems to be high, among the Advisory Italy. Until now, the regulatory framework and the Board members and the survey respondents, technological evolution have not allowed such a way the ability of defining adoption paths and models of production to be applied on a large scale. for these technologies reveals some points of uncertainty. Some examples: the ways of developing In fact, the applications of 3D printing are still the necessary competences for the use of 3D of interest to the media. They are newsworthy. printing inside the hospitals; the organizational This means that, for many years, this technology models enabling the creation of hubs at a supra- has been limited to a niche, which has involved a enterprise level; the size and type of investments; relatively small number of hospitals in a structural the ways of reconfiguring the relationships between manner and with a limited scope of applications. In health companies and suppliers, especially in the many cases, it remained in an experimental phase. medical device sector. During the last few years, we have witnessed In this regard, the evolution to mainstream 3D several changes. From a regulatory perspective, in printing is not just a matter of market regulation, the United States, the FDA has started focusing on which is in any case a prerequisite (as some 3D printing more and more. Speaking of available successful Italian cases demonstrate), but certainly technologies, printers and materials have greatly not a sufficient one. On the contrary, it implies evolved. the development of a shared and engaged call- In the coming years, this process dealing with the to-action among all the actors in the ecosystem regulation of 3D printing and the technological of our national health service, so as to define: evolution of printers and materials will continue and an agenda about the priorities to deal with; the intensify. evaluation models based on the HTA method for the At the European level, with regard to the applications of 3D printing that are able to support implementation path of the new Regulation for the investment programs and decisions; the medical devices, it is desirable to recover a vision and capabilities to be developed or acquired in order to a perspective on the 3D printing sector that have not use these new techniques with the corresponding been considered in the original legislative text. development paths; the organizational models and ways of reconfiguring the relationship between In fact, with regard to the different European health companies and traditional or emergent healthcare systems and, thus the Italian one, a great suppliers. deal of the 3D printing evolution and development depends on the regulatory context at the European Community level. In this respect, the potential envisioned by the different stakeholders for our national healthcare service would actually be considerable both in terms of impact on the patients as well as of process innovation and cost reduction. 27
The future of Health Care | Potential, impacts and models of 3D printing in the Health Care sector Bibliography 1. 3D printing spending is about $12 billion in 2018, 3DPrinting.com 2. ASTM International, Standard terminology for additive manufacturing technologies, designation F2792 − 12a, 2013, p. 2 3. The Major Milestones Of 3D printing In The Medical Industry, 3DPrintersBay.com 4. Marchesini Group Increases Focus on Industry 4.0 by Acquiring Vision System Company and Opening 3D printing Facility, 3DPrint.com 5. 3D Lifeprints Secures £500,000 Investment To Rapidly Expand, 3DLifePrints.com 6. Five Children Receive Ear Implants Made From Their Own Cells, Thanks to 3D Printed Molds and Scaffolds, 3DPrint.com 7. Chemical MP3 Player Can 3D Print Pharmaceuticals On-Demand from Digital Code, 3DPrint.com 8. Wrap, the 3D Printed Plaster that Halves Healing Times, ParmAteneo.it 9. T3Ddy Laboratory is born at the Meyer Pediatric Hospital, Meyer Pediatric Hospital Institutional Website 29
Authors Davide Lipodio LSHC Innovation Industry Representative dlipodio@deloitte.it Veronica Colombi Senior Consultant vcolombi@deloitte.it Giacomo D'Alessandro Analyst gidalessandro@deloitte.it Verdiana Carini Analyst vcarini@deloitte.it Contacts Valeria Brambilla LSHC Industry Leader vbrambilla@deloitte.it Guido Borsani PS Industry Leader guborsani@deloitte.it
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