THE BUSINESS OF METRO MKE - DR. JOHN RAYMOND Medical College of Wisconsin

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THE BUSINESS OF METRO MKE - DR. JOHN RAYMOND Medical College of Wisconsin
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          DR. JOHN RAYMOND         DR. BENJAMIN WESTON                 DR. LAURA CASSIDY
    Medical College of Wisconsin   Medical College of Wisconsin   Medical College of Wisconsin

                         THE BUSINESS OF METRO MKE
Presented on 1/11/2022                        1
THE BUSINESS OF METRO MKE - DR. JOHN RAYMOND Medical College of Wisconsin
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Presented on 1/11/2022   2
THE BUSINESS OF METRO MKE - DR. JOHN RAYMOND Medical College of Wisconsin
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                                                     coronavirus-mmac.org/smart-restart/toolkit

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                                    Tim
                                    Sheehy
                                    President

                                    Metro Milwaukee Association of Commerce

          THE BUSINESS OF METRO MKE
Presented on 1/11/2022          3                                                     3
THE BUSINESS OF METRO MKE - DR. JOHN RAYMOND Medical College of Wisconsin
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Presented on 1/11/2022   4
THE BUSINESS OF METRO MKE - DR. JOHN RAYMOND Medical College of Wisconsin
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                             PRESENTED BY:
 MMAC
                             John R. Raymond Sr., MD
 COVID-19 Update             Laura Cassidy, MS, PhD
 01.11.2022
Presented on 1/11/2022   5   Ben
                               5 Weston, MD, MPH
THE BUSINESS OF METRO MKE - DR. JOHN RAYMOND Medical College of Wisconsin
COVID-19 UPDATE 01.11.2022
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PRESENTED BY:

                    John R. Raymond Sr., MD   Laura D. Cassidy, MS, PhD   Ben Weston, MD, MPH
                    President and CEO         Professor & Director        Associate Professor, Medical
                    Medical College of        Epidemiology                College of Wisconsin
                    Wisconsin                 Medical College of          Director of Medical Services,
                                              Wisconsin                   Milwaukee County Office of      Analytics by Ali Nemati
                                                                                                          MCW Institute for Health
         Presented on 1/11/2022                                  6        Emergency Management
                                                                                                          and Equity
THE BUSINESS OF METRO MKE - DR. JOHN RAYMOND Medical College of Wisconsin
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       COVID-19 CASES AND INDICATORS – 01.10.2022                                N M O R E AT
                                                                         Covid19.MCW.edu
                                                                        covid19.mcw.edu

                                   WISCONSIN                              1,219,470
        9,063                          27%                 1.45
                                                                         TOTAL CASES IN WI
                                                                            01.10.2022

        7-DAY AVERAGE               POSITIVITY BY TEST        R           191,059
    9,113 reported on 01.10.2022      WISCONSIN 7-DAY                     TOTAL CASES IN
                                                           WISCONSIN    MILWAUKEE COUNTY
      TRENDING UNFAVORABLY         AVERAGE TRENDING FLAT                    01.10.2022

                                   MILWAUKEE                                 7,989
        1,800                        36.2%                 1.1
                                                                       PREVIOUS HIGHEST 2020
                                                                       DAILY POSITIVE CASES IN
                                                                             WISCONSIN
                                                                              11.18.2020

       7-DAY AVERAGE                POSITIVITY BY TEST        R
    599 reported on 01.10.2022
                                      MILWAUKEE 7-DAY
                                   AVERAGE TRENDING FLAT   MILWAUKEE         1,649
     TRENDING UNFAVORABLY                                              PREVIOUS HIGHEST 2020
                                                                       DAILY POSITIVE CASES IN
                                                                             MILWAUKEE
     Presented on 1/11/2022                         7                         11.09.2020
THE BUSINESS OF METRO MKE - DR. JOHN RAYMOND Medical College of Wisconsin
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     COVID-19 DEATHS & HOSPITALIZATIONS – 01.10.2022                                      N M O R E AT
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                               WISCONSIN
                                                                                     11,475
          28                      2,259                            472            TOTAL WI COVID-19
                                                                                    DEATHS AS OF
                                                                                      01.10.2022
     7-DAY AVERAGE              HOSPITALIZATIONS                   ICU CENSUS
      DAILY DEATHS
    WISCONSIN TRENDING
                                    WISCONSIN
                              TRENDING UNFAVORABLY
                                                                WISCONSIN
                                                                TRENDING              2,277
                                                                                   PEAK WI COVID-19
           FLAT                                                UNFAVORABLY         HOSPITAL CENSUS
                                                                                      11.17.2020

         96%                        92%                            266                  456
                                                                                 PEAK 2020 ICU CENSUS
                                                                                      11.16.2020
      ICU OCCUPANCY              % HOSPITAL BED           ICU CENSUS HERC-7
        TRENDING FLAT              OCCUPANCY             TRENDING UNFAVORABLY
                                   TRENDING FLAT                                        104
     24% of Wisconsin hospital beds are occupied by COVID-19 positive patients     PREVIOUS HIGHEST
                                                                                 DAILY COVID-19 DEATHS
      11.4% of hospitalized COVID-19 patients are on ventilators                       WISCONSIN
    Presented on 1/11/2022
                                                                                       11.23.2020
                                                        8
THE BUSINESS OF METRO MKE - DR. JOHN RAYMOND Medical College of Wisconsin
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 COVID-19 TRENDS IN WISCONSIN 01.10.2022            N M O R E AT
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                                            Screenshots
                                               from:
                                           dhs.wisconsin.gov/c
                                            ovid-19/data.htm

                                           Accessed on 01.10.2022

Presented on 1/11/2022   9
THE BUSINESS OF METRO MKE - DR. JOHN RAYMOND Medical College of Wisconsin
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     WISCONSIN COUNTIES’ COVID-19 DISEASE BURDENS                                               Covid19.MCW.edu
                                                                                               covid19.mcw.edu

11.12.2020 – 11.25.2020           03.03.2021 – 03.16.2021    06.23.2021 – 07.06.2021   12.22.2021 – 01.04.2022

                                                                                               Very High: 25 Counties
                                                                                                 Critically High: 47

                             WISCONSIN’S COVID-19 CASE BURDEN OVER 14 months

    Presented on 1/11/2022                                  10
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     NEW PERSPECTIVES WITH OMICRON VARIANT                                                     N M O R E AT
                                                                                       Covid19.MCW.edu
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•   We have less than two months of experience with Omicron variant.
                                                                                     Omicron causes fewer
•   Case counts are higher than ever due to massively increased                      hospitalizations per
    transmissibility of Omicron variant.                                             case of COVID-19 than
•   Case counts still matter, but only in the context of a broader set of metrics.   delta, but it is
                                                                                     explosively contagious.
•   Temporarily, we cannot use case counts to predict hospitalizations and           The massive number
    deaths from COVID-19. The usual relationship between cases and                   of new infections with
    hospitalizations and deaths has been decoupled by Omicron.                       omicron has filled our
                                                                                     hospitals and sidelined
•   Cases of Omicron are 1/3 to ½ as likely to result in hospitalization and         many frontline
    death as cases of delta COVID-19.                                                healthcare workers.
                                                                                     The next month is
•   A substantial percentage of hospitalized COVID-19 patients have “incidental      going to be
    infections”, distinguishing hospitalized “from” vs “with” COVID-19.              challenging.
•   Incidental does not mean insignificant or trivial…
•   Omicron complicates clinical care, exacerbates co-morbidities, and
    increases morbidity and mortality from non-COVID-19 diseases.
    Presented on 1/11/2022                        11
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     WHAT WE KNOW ABOUT O-VARIANT 01.10.2022                                                 N M O R E AT
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                                                                                   • First reported out of
•      Omicron (pronounced OH-muh-kraan, AH-muh-kraan, OH-mee-kraan or               South Africa around
       oh-MIKE-ron) is a new COVID-19 variant; also called B1.1.529.                 Thanksgiving 2021
•      It has about four dozen mutations, many of which make it more
                                                                                   • Highly contagious,
       transmissible, and change the proteins in the spike protein, raising          much more so than
       concerns about immune evasion.                                                delta
•      It has been detected in nearly every country and US state.
                                                                                   • Now the dominant
•      It has virtually extinguished transmission of the Delta variant in South      strain in South Africa,
       Africa, Europe and USA. .                                                     Europe and USA.
•      It is much more transmissible than the highly contagious Delta strain.
•      Previous infection with COVID-19 (β, α, or Δ strains), so-called “natural
       immunity”, and vaccines provide less protection against omicron
       infection.
•      Full vaccination status and boosters provide significant protection
       hospitalizations and deaths from Omicron.
    Presented on 1/11/2022                       12
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     WHAT IS DIFFERENT ABOUT OMICRON?                                                        N M O R E AT
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                                                                                   • First reported out of
•      The incubation or latency period from exposure to symptoms period             South Africa around
       of omicron us shorter than other strains… 2-3 days vs. 5-7 days.              Thanksgiving 2021
•      The doubling time in populations is astonishingly fast… 2-3 days.           • Believed to be highly
•      Symptoms seem to be milder… cough, stuffy or runny nose,                      contagious, much
       headache, fatigue, scratchy or sore throat.                                   more so than delta

•      Symptoms seem to resolve more quickly than previous strains,                • Concerns about
•      Vaccines, monoclonal antibodies, and previous infections with COVID-19        immune escape,
                                                                                     sensitivity of rapid
       give reduced protection from infection.                                       antigen tests, and
•      Previous infection with alpha, beta and delta strains provides little         effectiveness of
       protection from Omicron.                                                      monoclonal antibody
                                                                                     therapies
•      However, laboratory studies suggest that Omicron could provide
       substantial protection from previously circulating strains, although this
       observation needs to be confirmed in patients and populations.

    Presented on 1/11/2022                       13
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 MCW EXPERTS IN COVID-19                                                           N M O R E AT
                                                                           Covid19.MCW.edu
                                                                          covid19.mcw.edu

                         Ben Weston, MD, MPH
                         Associate Professor, Medical College of
                         Wisconsin
                         Director of Medical Services, Milwaukee County
                         Office of Emergency Management

                         • 2021 Healthcare Champion, Milwaukee
                           Business Journal

Presented on 1/11/2022            14
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 MILWAUKEE COUNTY COVID-19 UPDATE                            N M O R E AT
                                                     Covid19.MCW.edu
                                                    covid19.mcw.edu

                    Cases        Hospitalizations

                   % Pos

                                         Deaths

                    Tests

Presented on 1/11/2022      15
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     MILWAUKEE COUNTY’S PANDEMIC RESPONSE                    N M O R E AT
                                                     Covid19.MCW.edu
                                                    covid19.mcw.edu

•      UEOC (Unified Emergency Operations Center)
•      Cross Sector Coordination
•      14 Health Departments
•      EMS and Health System Engagement
•      Alternate Care Facility
•      Testing and Vaccination Access
•      Messaging

•      Data-Informed
•      Transparent
•      Equity-Focused

    Presented on 1/11/2022                  16
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 UNIQUE PERSPECTIVES                    N M O R E AT
                                Covid19.MCW.edu
                               covid19.mcw.edu

                              • MC Chief Health
                                Policy Advisor

                              • UEOC Medical
                                Director

                              • MC EMS Medical
                                Director

                              • Emergency
                                Department Physician

                              • Academic Physician

Presented on 1/11/2022   17
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 MCW EXPERTS IN COVID-19                                                      N M O R E AT
                                                                      Covid19.MCW.edu
                                                                     covid19.mcw.edu

                         Laura D. Cassidy, MS, PhD
                         Professor & Director Epidemiology
                         Medical College of Wisconsin

                         • 2021 Recipient of Distinguished Service
                           to Public Heath Award, Wisconsin Public
                           Health Association
                         • 2021 Recipient of Dynamic Leadership
                           Award, Marcus Performing Arts Center

Presented on 1/11/2022             18
Workplace Safety Principles
 A framework to design and implement workplace safety principles for all businesses

   Prepare and Protect                                             Prepare and Protect
      WORKFORCE                                                       CUSTOMERS
     Protective Practices                                             Risk Awareness
     Screening                                                        Education
     Rapid Response to Cases                                          Communication
     Work from Home Options                                           Vaccinations
     Risk Mitigation                                 Social           Masks
     Cultural Practices                            Distancing
     Education                                    and Hygiene
     Communication                                 Practices
   Vaccinations                                                   Prepare and Protect
                                                                        FACILITY
   Masks                                           FACILITY           Disinfecting Practices
                                                                       Environmental Controls
                                                                       Workspace Design
                                                                       Workflow Design
                                                                       Controlled Access
                                                                       Provide Masks
Sources: Medical College of Wisconsin, CDC, WHO, OSHA
Learn more:
     covid19.mcw.e
     du

20
CONSULTATIONS AND CONSIDERATIONS FOR A VARIETY OF                                  Learn
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     BUSINESSES
Weekly meetings with MMAC, Health Department and business leaders in addition to
consultations with individual businesses
      • Restaurants
      • Performing Arts
      • Visual Arts
Webinars and consultations
      • School Boards
      • Early Childhood Care
      • Manufacturing
      • International Corporations
      • National Bar Exam
      • Wisconsin Medical Society
      • Wisconsin Association of Independent Colleges and Universities (WAICU)
Risk and Benefit: Always considering the balance between operating safely and staying
in business
   Presented on 1/11/2022                            21
DATA   SOURCES
     SOURCES
  DATA                                                                                                        Learn
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                                                                                                                       N M O R E AT
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WE USE MULTIPLE EXTERNAL DATA SOURCES FOR THESE PRESENTATIONS
  • Wisconsin Hospital Association: wha.org/COVID-19Update
  • Wisconsin Department of Health Services: https://www.dhs.wisconsin.gov/covid-19/index.htm
  • Milwaukee County: https://county.milwaukee.gov/EN/COVID-19
  • https://covidtracking.com/
  • New York Times: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html
  •   and https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/science/coronavirus-vaccine-tracker.html
  • Wisconsin Electronic Disease Surveillance System (secure access required)
  • Milwaukee County Unified Emergency Operations Center (secure access required)
  • Centers for Disease Control and Prevention: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/community/health-equity/race-ethnicity.html
  • Worldometers: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
  • Johns Hopkins: https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/vaccines
  • Kaiser Family Foundation Vaccine Monitor Dashboard https://www.kff.org/coronavirus-covid-19/dashboard/kff-covid-19-vaccine-
  monitor-dashboard/

MEDICAL COLLEGE OF WISCONSIN ANALYTICS
  • Institute for Health and Equity
  • Division of Epidemiology
  • Epidemiology Data Resource Center and Geographic Information System
      Presented on 1/11/2022                                    22
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