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PATRICK SULLIVAN THE AGE OF (re)ALIGNMENT A PARLIAMENT STREET PAPER PUBLISHED BY PARLIAMENT STREET JUNE 2021 2
CONTENTS PAGE 4: FOREWORD PAGE 5: INTRODUCTION PAGE 8: CHAPTER ONE – BORIS VS. ALEXANDER PAGE 13: CHAPTER TWO – AMBLING INTO AUTHORITARIANISM PAGE 17: CHAPTER THREE – THE ONCE AND FUTURE PRESIDENT PAGE 20: CHAPTER FOUR – THE GREAT REBOOT PAGE 23: CHAPTER FIVE – HAVING A LAUGH PAGE 29: CHAPTER SIX – REVOLUTIONARY ROADS PAGE 38: CHAPTER SEVEN – THE NATURAL ORDER PAGE 44: CONCLUSION – NEW PROGRESSIVES 3
FOREWORD By the time this pandemic is “over” we will have all collectively had, hopefully no more than, a year and a half of our lives taken from us. Most people are going to come out of this crucible very different from who they were when this great tragedy we have been living through began. We will not know ‘til many years hence what lasting changes, societal and political, this deadly virus hath wrought. We do know that there will be many and that they will be very significant changes indeed. Whilst we have been living in the fog of the pandemic, we have taken to looking at our politics through the prism of a pre-pandemic world. When we are finally out of this crisis, after we have caught our breaths, we will have to start the painful process of surveying the wreckage caused by this virus and the measures we had to take to stop it spreading, in so far as we were able. Sometimes in life one does not feel the bruises of a battle until the fight is over. Then the body reminds one of their pain so that they take the time to heal. All of us are due time to heal when this current crisis is in the rear-view mirror. Unfortunately, there are those such as the Davos-based World Economic Forum, our present prime minister, Alexander “Boris” Johnson, and our future king, Prince Charles, who would have the nation on a perpetual state of high alert. They would have us believe that climate change represents a similar real and present danger to that posed by Covid-19 in mid-March 2020, when the initial nationwide lockdown began. That is utterly preposterous on its face and the public is not going to be having any of it. The climate change hysterics are almost certain to hurt their cause as the absurd mania they bring to the challenge will cause many of those not so heavily invested in that agenda to increasingly consider that agenda absurd. Climate change should be tackled but should not be done so on the backs of the hardest working Britons, or the hardest working people of any nation. The Prime Minister should not prioritise the COP26 summit in November ahead of working with the great British people on bringing Britain back, but he almost definitely will. He would be better advised to focus on the real and present social and economic problems post-pandemic Britain will inevitably be facing before rushing off like Don Quixote to tilt at windmills. To everything there is a season. The season ahead should be one of healing, and, if we can shut up the “cancel culture” mob for long enough, one of laughter and smiling too. I implore our political leaders to consider the spiritual wellbeing of the nation in the coming weeks and months. This verse from The Ballad of Andrew Barton could not more perfectly reflect the national mood as the end of crisis seems in sight: “I am sore wounded but not slain; I will lay me down and bleed awhile, And then rise up to fight again.” From the Desk of Patrick Sullivan London, 2nd June 2021 4
INTRODUCTION “The immortal gods are wont to allow those persons whom they wish to punish for their guilt sometimes a greater prosperity and longer impunity, in order that they may suffer the more severely from a reverse in circumstances.” - Gaius Julius Caesar, The Gallic Wars: Book One (58-49 B.C./C.E.) “The history of failure in war can almost be summed up in two words: 'Too late.' Too late in comprehending the deadly purpose of a potential enemy; too late in realizing the mortal danger; too late in preparedness; too late in uniting all possible forces for resistance, too late in standing with one's friends. Victory in war results from no mysterious alchemy or wizardry but depends entirely upon the concentration of superior force at the critical points of combat.” - General Douglas MacArthur, as quoted by James B. Reston in Prelude to Victory (1942) “The seeds of leaders’ success and downfalls are often the same and are sown very early on. Most vividly in the cases of Margaret Thatcher and Tony Blair, their dark fates were sealed as they rose to the top.” - Steve Richards, The Prime Ministers (2019) The past 15 months are almost certain to have been difficult for everybody reading this paper. The failure of this government to act swiftly at the onset of this crisis has had an undeniably negative impact on the lives of all Britons, including this author. The Conservative Party has traditionally won elections because it has been seen as the party of competent management. This reputation is now in great jeopardy. At time of writing, the Prime Minister is riding high and the government has been experiencing an upswing in the polls. This is likely to be due to the vaccinations going well and the end of the crisis being in sight. But opinion polls are only a snapshot of public opinion at one moment in time and as we have learnt over the course of this pandemic, things can change very rapidly indeed. Many of the Prime Minister defenders claim that any criticism of his initial response to the pandemic is unfair because it is being done with the benefit of hindsight. This author is no Captain 5
Hindsight. I tried futilely to inform the public of the potential scale of Covid threat in an article for The Commentator published on Saturday 29th February 2020 and a briefing paper for Parliament Street published on Monday 16th March 2020. Neither the article nor the paper had any significant impact on the course of events, but sadly they were all too prophetic about the calamity to come and the Prime Minister’s lack of suitability to manage the crisis. On 29th February 2020, I wrote in The Commentator: “It was also announced that Mr. Johnson would be chairing an emergency COBRA (Cabinet Office Briefing Room A) meeting on Monday. COBRA is an emergency council most often convened as part of the Civil Contingencies Committee. Those in attendance at a CORBA meeting depend on the nature of the emergency. Some have criticised the British Prime Minister for not acting with the appropriate urgency. It is a fair point that infectious diseases don’t take weekends off. If the coronavirus becomes unmanageable, Mr. Johnson’s lack of haste in convening the COBRA meeting is sure to be used against him. There are echoes here of Mr. Johnson’s response to the London riots in August 2011 when he initially refused to cut short his summer holiday in Canada to deal with the crisis in his city. The public outcry was so great that he did eventually relent and come home early. When back in London, he continued to show no sense of urgency and even turned up late to the emergency COBRA meetings convened to deal with the riots. It is an unforced error on Mr. Johnson’s part to wait to hold an emergency COBRA meeting. Britons want to see their Prime Minister on top of a crisis and quick on the ball responding to changing facts on the ground. A failure to manage a crisis can severely alter the trajectory of a Prime Minister’s political fortunes. John Major won a general election, against all odds, on 9th April 1992 but five months later on Wednesday 16th September, which became known as ‘Black Wednesday’, he provided indecisive and in over his head as his Government tried and failed to keep the pound sterling in the Exchange Rate Mechanism as the value of the pound was collapsing. From that moment onwards, he became a Prime Minister with a very visible sell-by date. His government continued until the last possible date for a new general election, 1st May 1997, which saw the Conservative Party lose 171 seats, to be left with a presence of only 165 seats. Mr. Johnson would be wise to remember that ‘arrogance breeds contempt’ and if he fails to meet the moment with his response to this virus, the political paradigm could once again shift with the election of a credible leader of the ppposition, who could portray himself as a ‘serious man, for serious times’ in contrast to an ‘out for lunch’ Prime Minister.” One reason for Mr. Johnson seemingly having gotten away with the sophistry that no one could've prepared for this pandemic better has been the abject failure of the Leader of the Opposition. At Prime Minister's Questions every week, Sir. Keir Starmer behaves like a prosecutor and not a Prime-Minister- in-waiting. With an out-to-lunch Boris Johnson, Starmer could have presented himself as a serious man for serious times. Instead, he has failed to treat the office of Leader of the Opposition with the seriousness it deserves. He has proved too keen to prosecute the case against Boris Johnson and not keen enough to show empathy for a nation in pain. As nature abhors a vacuum whilst not being the 6
leader of the Labour Party, Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham has emerged as the voice of Labour Britain. The issue facing Mayor Burnham is whether Labour Britain still believes it is Labour anymore. Brexit has been rightly receded from being the issue of greatest consequence to the public and the news media due to the pandemic. As we hopefully approach the final weeks of the pandemic, we must not forget that the issue of Brexit had the country deeply divided between Remainers and Brexiteers only 15 months ago. The behaviour of the European Union in relation to the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine appalled even the most strident Remainers and I believe extinguished any serious prospect of a campaign for Britain to rejoin the EU getting off the ground. Brexit is now settled but the cultural fault lines the 2016 referendum revealed will still be defining our national politics for years (potentially decades) to come. Sir. Keir’s failure to launch appears to have opened a window for the most unlikely of 90s revivals - a Tony Blair comeback - just switching the New Labour brand for a new New Progressives brand. . 7
CHAPTER ONE BORIS VS. ALEXANDER “If each, I told myself, could but be housed in separate identities, life would be relieved of all that was unbearable; the unjust de- livered from the aspirations might go his way, and remorse of his more upright twin; and the just could walk steadfastly and securely on his upward path, doing the good things in which he found his pleasure, and no longer exposed to dis- grace and penitence by the hands of this extraneous evil.” - Robert Louis Stevenson, The Strange Case of Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde (1886) “The Lion thought it might be as well to frighten the Wizard, so he gave a large, loud roar, which was so fierce and dreadful that Toto jumped away from him in alarm and tipped over the screen that stood in a corner. As it fell with a crash they looked that way, and the next moment all of them were filled with wonder. For they saw, standing in just the spot the screen had hidden, a little old man, with a bald head and a wrinkled face, who seemed to be as much surprised as they were. The Tin Woodman, raising his axe, rushed toward the little man and cried out, ‘Who are you?’ ‘I am Oz, the Great and Terrible,’ said the little man, in a trembling voice.” - L. Frank Baum, The Wonderful Wizard of Oz (1900) “You put on a bishop’s robe and miter, he pondered, and walk around in that, and people bow and genuflect and like that, and try to kiss your ring, if not your ass, and pretty soon you’re a bishop. So to speak. What is identity? he asked himself. Where does the act end? Nobody knows.” - Philip K. Dick, A Scanner Darkly (1977) Tony Benn used to say that politics should focus on policy not personalities. A very noble sentiment on an intellectual level but when dealing with the realities of British politics you have to take things as they are. Personality without policy is the politics of the snake oil salesman. Policy without personality is going to struggle to find an audience. On the stage of life, we all wear masks and are judged on how well we play our parts. Whilst acting out the roles to which we have been assigned our communal dialogue can often turn into Kabuki theatre. The participants behave as if they are unawares of certain facts, despite most being fully cognizant of 8
them. These certain self-evident truths are not acknowledged in our on-stage repartee because we fear that to do so would wreck the illusions that we are working fastidiously to maintain. “Boris” is the not the man who has the power of the British premiership in his hands. The man who does is Alexander Johnson. “Boris” is merely the persona Alexander inhabits in public life. 10 Downing Street often comes to reflect the personality of whomever is the Prime Minister. Under Theresa May, No.10 could be said to be structured but secretive. Alexander Johnson was a fantastic editor of The Spectator, but he did run something of a chaotic operation. From some of the headlines we have seen in recent weeks he has brought his own special brew of chaos to the office of Prime Minister. Alexander has been able to get away with this because the British public has a special tolerance for the eccentricities of “Boris” but what happens when the mask slips and “Boris’s” predominately conservative, populist base gets to see the “man behind the curtain”, the liberal, progressive Alexander Johnson. Unlike most politicians Alexander Johnson has a dual identity – to his friends and family he is known as Alexander but the public know his better by the mask, he wears which is “Boris”. Why this is not commented on more by the media is beyond me. No other political leader is afforded the right to have a dual identity – that is something straight out of a comic book. Who does Alexander Johnson think he is - the goddamn Batman?!? Alexander has worn more than one “Boris” mask over the course of his political career. The current “Boris” mask was forged by Alexander when he saw a means to achieving political power by fashioning a “Boris” that although intellectually a last-minute convert to the Brexit cause was able to bring with him all the passion of a convert. Fair enough, there would be no Brexit without “Boris”. But “Brexit Boris” was just a part Alexander played to gain his ultimate prize. Alexander is more likely to have felt a kinship with the liberal, progressive “Jolly Boris Johnson” who was Mayor of London. But he lost the support of liberal, progressives by backing Brexit. Dominic Cummings then masterminded a strategy where “Brexit Boris” won a Parliamentary majority of conservative, populist voters. Alexander never liked President Trump but he played the “Britain Trump Boris” role to win the Tory Party leadership. It was a lie. He betrayed Donald J. Trump at the first opportunity. Despite “Boris” acting as if he never knew the 45th President, Alexander cannot rewrite history. Most U.S. Democrats were introduced to our Prime Minister when he was playing the “Britain Trump Boris” role and are now understandably wary. Viewing Johnson with suspicion might be one of the few positions Biden and Trump actually share. Should a Trump restoration happen in 2024 and short-sighted Alexander still be Prime Minister, he should expect to reap just what he sowed. It is obvious that Alexander hasn’t read Donald J. Trump’s 1997 bestseller, The Art of the Comeback where the future president wrote: “As a result of these experiences, my thinking has changed. I’m sharper. I’m warier. I believe in an eye for an eye – like the Old Testament says. Some of the people who forgot to lift a finger when I needed 9
them, when I was down, they need my help now, and I’m screwing them against the wall. I’m doing a number . . . and I’m having so much fun. People say that’s not nice, but I really believe in getting even.” The last thing of note in British politics before the pandemic hit was Brexit. Therefore, during this fog of crisis it is that image of Boris that people have taken with them. When they see “Boris” starting to pursue liberal, progressive policies post-pandemic the “Red Wall” will soon tire of him. The Conservatives won the Hartlepool by-election a couple of weeks ago because Alexander has yet to be seen to make his COP26 pivot and the natural order of things vis-à-vis Britain’s political alignment is reasserting itself. On the same day, Labour’s Sadiq Khan won re-election in London with the support of many who had voted “Jolly Boris Johnson” to be mayor twice then we will be seeing the conservatives, populists in the Red Wall aligning with the Conservative Party and the liberal, progressives in metropolitan London aligning with Labour. The Hartlepool result further highlights that the continuing success of the Conservative Party in future electoral cycles is going to be reliant upon the conservative, populists in the middle of this country. Alexander Johnson has made a number of unforced errors of late that should have cost him the support of these voters. “Boris” has been given a “hall pass” because “Boris” delivered what his Brexiteer base voted him into office to do which was namely Brexit. His embrace of the most radical aspects of the Green agenda is going to substantively undo a lot of the good Johnson has done and also cause those Red Wall voters to revoke “Boris’s” “hall pass”. When they do, they will do remembering Alexander’s recent slights and be less forgiving in retrospect to Alexander than they were to “Boris” in the moment. I am increasingly confident that after freeing us from the shackles of the European Union he is now going to tie the country to all sorts of new international obligations in order to fight the “climate crisis”. In effect, he is about to revert to type. The fact that the government has prioritised the COP26 summit to be held in Glasgow this November above post-Covid recovery is indicative of this. The “Climate Crisis” is the greatest Trojan Horse for corporatism ever built. Climate Change is real but we should not buy into a series of solutions which make the world’s mega-billionaires even richer and give political authority to former leftists who painted their red flag green when the Berlin Wall fell. As a generalisation the majority of those who place climate change at the top of their list of political priorities are fantastically well-off liberal elites living in Britain’s metropolises. They quite frankly have the luxury to consider climate the most pressing issue of the day because as the prime 10
beneficiaries of the unchecked globalisation that has hollowed out many of this country’s once great towns and villages, they can afford to. Alexander should be working to make them great again instead of throwing greater burdens upon their backs. It is also fitting that the COP26 summit is being held in Scotland for Boris Johnson’s entire reasoning for not holding a second 21st century referendum on Scottish independence is that we should, as a United Kingdom, be focused on the post-Covid recovery. Alexander is going to greatly undermine that argument by having his government squander the summer focusing on COP 26 instead of the bread-and-butter issues which matter to most Brits. Given “Boris” is just a mask Alexander Johnson wears to differentiate between the man he is and the role that he plays, the maxim “Let Boris, Be Boris” would ring hollow. Instead, I recommend that Alexander Johnson remember this old adage that Ronald Reagan used to love, “You gotta dance with the one that brung ya.”. Throughout his career Alexander Johnson has offered “Boris” up to the electorate as something of a political Rorschach test in which different voters will interpret the same personality in entirely different ways. The image that voters in Hartlepool have of “Boris” is of the Prime Minister who delivered them the Brexit he promised. Ergo, the populist “Boris” Johnson hailed as “Britain Trump” by the former U.S. President won the Hartlepool by-election. The electorate of Hartlepool would be horrified if they were rewarded for voting for conservative, populist Boris by having to live under the government of liberal, progressive “Boris”. It is often in moments of great triumph that political leaders set upon the path of their eventual destruction. In November 1972, Richard M. Nixon was re-elected President of the United States with 520 Electoral College votes to rival George McGovern’s 17 Electoral College. In August 1974, Richard M. Nixon resigned the presidency and Gerald R. Ford was sworn in as the 38th President of the United States. In June 1987, the Conservatives won a landslide General Election victory under the leadership of Margaret Thatcher. In November 1990, Margaret Thatcher was forced to resign as Prime Minister. In May 2015, David Cameron became the first Conservative Party leader since John Major in 1992 to deliver his party an outright majority in the House of Commons. Just over a year later, in June 2016, David Cameron resigned as Prime Minister after the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union. If he embraces the politics and policies of the conservative, populist base then he could wind up spending a decade in Downing Street, making those flat refurbishment costs easier to swallow. If he pulls a bait and switch on the newly Tory “Red Wall” voter and starts pushing all sort of regressive 11
“green” measures onto them then he will find himself in such political bother that not even Houdini himself could escape. Alexander Johnson should be mindful so as not to misread the mandate from the electorate. They voted for “Boris”, his creation which has begun to have a life of its own, and not the man behind the curtain. A student of the Classics, Alexander would do well to remember that hubris invites nemesis and that he has yet to meet his. 12
CHAPTER TWO AMBLING INTO AUTHORITARIANISM “Plots, true or false, are necessary things, To raise up Common-wealths and ruin Kings. - John Dryden, Absalom and Achitophel: The First Part (1681) “Napoleon, in his early campaigns in Italy, soon freed himself from the control of the Directory in Paris. From the time he became First Consul to the end of his career, there could be no question of collision of opinion between ministers and generals; for the authority of both was concentrated in a single person. The same was true of Gustavus Adolphus and Frederick the Great. But when, as more often happens, the general in the field is subject to the orders of his Government at home the case is very different. Domestic politics, and the fluctuation of party fortunes at Westminster, were constantly hampering and embarrassing the greatest of English commanders, the Duke of Marlborough. The Tories were in favour of a merely defensive war in the Netherlands, and only assented in a half-hearted fashion to the thanks which were voted in the House of Commons to the victor of Blenheim.” - H. H. Asquith, Memories and Reflections Vol. 2 (1928) “He could have been a great dictator, Given half a chance But they treated him like a traitor So he went to live in France Baronet Oswald Ernald Mosley” - Peter Brewis, Not the Nine O’Clock News (1980) On Wednesday, Dominic Cummings said that our political party system has was not fit for purpose because at the last general election the best our two major political parties could offer the electorate was a choice between Jeremy Corbyn and Boris Johnson. I concur and suspect much of the country does too. This does not mean I am simpatico with all of Mr Cummings’ opinions. Mr Cummings chose his words poorly in claiming we needed something akin to a dictator to deal with the coronavirus crisis (You’d have had a kind of dictator in charge of this). Mr Cummings is quite right in pointing out that we needed better lines of accountability and responsibility. I wrote as much at 13
the time. In both in my Commentator article of February 29th 2020 and my Parliament Street paper of 16th March 2020 I called for the appointment of a coronavirus tsar to manage the crisis. Although tsar is a derivative of Caesar who was a dictator, that term does not carry the same emotional charge. Mr Cummings was not for one moment saying Britain needed a dictator in the twentieth century sense of the word. He was speaking of a dictator in the classical sense. Mr Cummings spoke about a dictator to deal with the coronavirus, not to run the county’s affairs ad infinitum. In the Roman Republic dictators were given autocratic powers to deal with particular crises and would then hand that power back. The most famous example of this was Lucius Quintus Cinninnatus who was made dictator twice and on both relinquished power after the crisis was over and returned to his farm. It was the example of Cinninnatus that George Washington followed when he decided not to stand for a third Presidential term even though he could have been president-for-life if he so wished. Most people, however, when they hear anyone speak about dictators think fascism. This means it is not a word that should be used in a positive sense should one not wish to be misconstrued. Whilst Mr Cummings may not be in favour of actual dictatorship, an increasing number of people are becoming that way inclined. We run a real risk as a nation of falling into some authoritarian form of government if do not fix our broken political system. At present unaccountable party bosses decided who can and who can’t stand for either major political party. Save for leadership elections, the membership of the parties are expected to toe the line and are given no meaningful power. The Conservative Party, of which I am more personally familiar than the Labour Party, was far more open and democratic in the late 19th century than it is today. Declining membership in political parties has worked to the benefit of those already in various positions within the parties. Smaller internal electorates assist existing cliques in maintaining control, as it proves easier to pack a room and stich things up if the membership is small and preferably the majority made up of personal friends or political allies. This starts to become numerically impossible when organisations become mass membership such as was the case when, for example, the Conservative Women’s Organisation used to be so big that it held its annual conference in the Royal Albert Hall. The Royal Albert Hall used to be used for all kinds of political functions. In 1934, Oswald Mosley held a meeting of the British Union of Fascists there and almost packed the venue. Some will think that it is a melodramatic notion that Britain could take an authoritarian turn. Their logic will be that it can’t happen here. I would remind those people that at the turn of the 20th century popular opinion in England was that the world was so interconnected through trade that the country would never be in a war with a major power again. Only 14 years later, the First World War began. We can take nothing for granted. We were fortunate not to fall under fascist influence, like much of mainland Europe in the 1930s. However, it is not difficult to conjure up a counterfactual where Oswald Mosley becomes Prime Minister. Mosley, who served, at different times, on both the Conservative and Labour benches in the House of Commons was once considered a rising star by both 14
parties. If he had not stormed out of the Labour Party in a huff in 1930 there is a reasonable chance that he would have eventually become its leader. When Mosley set up the New Party in 1931, there were politicians on both sides of aisle who contemplated joining him. In his 1975 book, The Past Masters, former Conservative Party Prime Minister Harold MacMillan wrote: “Since I personally agreed with almost everything in the ‘Mosley Memorandum’ I naturally got in touch with him, although not now in Parliament. I had only a slight acquaintance with him, although his wife was an old friend of my wife and her family. I had then many conversations with him and was struck by his acute intelligence and energy. Indeed, I might have been tempted to join his New Party if I could have seen any practical hopes of its success. When I thought it over, I realised that traditional political parties are too strongly entrenched to be easily overthrown. It is better for a young man to work within them. The increasing disillusionment with the Labour Government would have given Mosley immense strength inside his own party had he remained.” Thankfully, Mosley’s ego got the better of him and he self-destructed. MacMillan certainly thought that Mosley could have climbed to the top of the greasy pole if he had not been so vain. As he wrote in The Past Masters: “Mosley’s story is really a sad one, something of a tragedy. Great talents and great strength of character were thrown away in vain. Had he waited, he might have been supreme. He struck too soon, and fell for ever. In politics, as in many other things, the essence of the game is ‘timing.’” That Macmillan should have been so sympathetic to Mosley is unsurprising. Both had strong authoritarian streaks in them. One of Macmillan’s ministers, J. Enoch Powell, said of Cabinet meetings that “it’s like having a debate with Henry VIII – I was conscious that he had the axe down by his chair.” Britain does not need a Henry VIII or a dictator. Britain does need leaders who are decisive and who can make fully informed decisions. In short, we need better politicians. Mr Cummings was rightly critical of the choice put to the great British electorate in his testimony to the joint inquiry to the Health and Social Affairs Care Committee and the Science and Technology Committee in the House of Commons on Wednesday. Unfortunately, he was too forgiving of the government scientists who offered bad advice at the outset of the pandemic. Additionally, Mr Cummings seems to think that our leaders should be brainboxes. If we were to assess leaders on academic intelligence alone then Herbert Hoover would be regarded as the greatest American president and Harry Truman as one of its worst. No one individual can be a specialist in every field. What is needed in a leader is an ability to source out the best advice from a cross section of opinion and make a determination from that regarding the best course of action. Boris Johnson is unfit to be Prime Minister 15
because he lacks intellectual curiosity. They also have to have a certain swagger. The problem Mr Cummings had was that he was too in awe of the big brains he now found himself surrounded with to deliver the sort of push back he seemingly gave everyone else throughout his career. SAGE was too hesitant to act at the beginning of the pandemic when we had a window to strangle the virus in this country to death when it was in its infancy and before it spread too widely such as we couldn’t get our collective hands around it. I realise this a terribly unpleasant metaphor but nothing about the past 15 months has been terribly pleasant, although there has been a lot that has been terrible. That there was no plan as of what to do is in this incredible situation was also unsurprising but the first lockdown should not have been delayed until they came up with a plan. Every second the government was planning the virus was spreading. This also meant that the inevitable lockdown was also going have to last even longer. The government should have locked down the moment they knew it was inevitable and then worked out what to do. Dynamic leadership, not dithering, was what was needed. It was unsurprising that the Prime Minister thought the virus had all but gone away by the midsummer. If he had been intellectually curious, he would have read up on the last worldwide pandemic, the Spanish Flu of 1918, and learnt that that virus seemed to be going away in the summer months, only to come back with a vengeance in the autumn and winter months of that year. This was when the majority of deaths were. If the Prime Minister had been worthy of the office he holds, then he would not have squandered the summer months and he would instead have delivered on the world- beating track and trace system he promised the public. If he had done so we would have been able to have been able to rapidly respond to any new outbreak and had targeted micro-lockdowns as opposed to cancelling Christmas. Furthermore, having not taken the virus seriously enough at the outset, SAGE has now overcorrected and now is too hesitant to allow people their lives back. Overcorrecting is a natural human instinct and any leader worth their salt would know this and factor it into their decision making. 16
CHAPTER THREE THE ONCE AND FUTURE PRESIDENT “Yet some men say in many parts of England that King Arthur is not dead, but had by the will of our Lord Jesu into another place; and men say that he shall come again, and he shall win the holy cross. I will not say it shall be so, but rather I will say: here in this world he changed his life. But many men say that there is written upon his tomb this verse: Hic jacet Arthurus, Rex quondam, Rexque futurus.” - Sir Thomas Malory, Le Morte d’Arthur (1485) “Though Merlin sware that I should come again To rule once more; but, let what will be, be” - Alfred, Lord Tennyson, Idylls of the King (1859) “I learned a lot about myself during these hard times; I learned about handling pressure. I was able to home in, buckle down, get back to the basics, and make things work. I worked much harder. I focused, and got myself out of a box. Don’t get me wrong – there were moments of doubt, but I never thought in negative terms. I believe in positive thought and positive thinking. I learned a lot about loyalty – who was and who wasn’t. There were people that I would have guaranteed would have stuck by me who didn’t, and, on the other hand people who I had made who when it came time to help me, didn’t lift a finger.” - Donald J. Trump, The Art of the Comeback (1997) In 1997, Donald J. Trump published his third book, The Art of The Comeback. Now, in 2021, President Trump is making plans for the greatest comeback in political history, as he seeks to join fellow New Yorker Grover Cleveland in the ranks of those holding the presidency of the United States for two non- consecutive terms. Prior to the pandemic it appeared that President Trump was bound to win a landslide re-election in November 2020 on the back of a booming economy. The pandemic changed everything. Joe Biden’s American Grandpa offered the electorate the empathy they were yearning for. President Trump could not provide this whilst at the same time as presenting the most positive face possible given the circumstances, so as to reassure the markets and to ensure that further uncertainty didn’t cause a financial collapse in the midst of a global pandemic. 17
Donald J. Trump also wanted to make Americans smile in what was a dark and difficult time for everyone and that meant presenting a sunny demeanor even when he literally had the weight of the world on his shoulders. I for one was immensely grateful that President Trump, who throughout his career has often played along with jokes at his own expense, made the comments which were interpreted as him asking whether there would be a way to inject something with the properties of bleach into the body to clean out the virus. Trump says the comments were delivered in jest and looking at the results they were extraordinary. By putting himself out there as the butt of the bleach joke, Donald Trump managed to break the tension caused by the pandemic and bring joy to so many people who had been having trouble finding reasons to smile. This was that rare moment in history where most of the world was engaged in a collective chuckle crossing language and cultural barriers. Laughter it is said is the best medicine and with little regard to the personal and political cost, President Trump administered the treatment. It would have been difficult to provide both optimism and empathy in the moment. Trump provided the optimism to get through the worst of the crisis and Biden was elected to give the American people the collective hug they needed after the worst was over. With Trump out-of-office some might forget how he got there in the first place. In 2016 voters in Britain and America had had enough. The 21st century had begun - 9/11, the War on Terror, the war in Iraq, the Great Recession, austerity, the Syrian refuge crisis and the rise of ISIS - it had been non-stop since September 2001. Every time you turned on the news it was depressing. Then you had Trump who suddenly did what the War on Terror could not - deprived the terrorists of their most effective tool - the oxygen of publicity. Trump destroyed ISIS by depriving them of airtime - that was not his strategy but Trump provided a spectacle that drove cable news ratings higher than that of “terror porn” of the preceding decade and a half. When America voted for Trump, they voted to change the channel from what had preceded it and who offered better television than Donald J. Trump. Donald J. Trump may not be a trained psychologist but he understands his audience. Unfortunately, the media did not give him the credit he deserved for keeping America calm during the crisis. They roundly criticised his long press conferences after the medical experts had said their part and imparted the information they needed to impart. Receiving this information although important caused heightened agitation and anxiety amongst the audience. President Trump instinctively knew that the audience, for the good of their mental health, needed to decompress after assimilating the necessary information. Using the power of the bully pulpit he split the White House coronavirus briefings into two. The first part of the briefing would be focused on imparting information where the American people would learn what they needed to, even though the receipt of this information caused agitation and anxiety within them. The second part of the briefing forced the American people to decompress by watching an episode of Celebrity President after the briefing part of the briefing. This meant that by the end of the White House briefing the American people had all the information they needed but their 18
anxiety and agitation had in large measure dissipated, meaning they were not taking their frustrations out on themselves or their loved ones after the briefing. Having a pit stop between presidencies might behoove Donald J. Trump well. By most accounts he is looking rested and recharged having enjoyed the bright Florida Sun for the last four months. President Biden is going to have a tough time of it, as the post-Covid world looks increasingly perilous. This means that it is likely he will be running for re-election with the political headwinds against him, just as they were for him this year. This will be especially true if the economy goes south. These problems, which in fairness, for the most part, are not of Biden’s own making, would have been Trump’s problems had he been the one sworn in on 20th January. President Trump would have received the blame for all of it. It is much harder for his opponents to blame him when it is their man sitting behind the Resolute Desk. As Donald J. Trump is the overwhelming prohibitive favourite for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination, he would be well advised to do sit back and watch events unfold, whilst allowing the public a hiatus from The Trump Show. As anyone involved in the production of television would tell you, you don’t want to overexploit a popular programme. For the past five years, cable news in the United States has been Trump 24/7. In Britain, before the pandemic, when the headlines weren’t about Brexit, they were about Trump. On occasion you had perfect media synergy between the two biggest stories of the day and the headlines were not about Brexit or Trump but Brexit and Trump! The Trump Show, even his fiercest critics would admit, has been a ratings bonanza. Just as The Apprentice had hiatuses between seasons, so too must the electorate have a hiatus from President Trump if he is to mount a successful comeback in politics. 19
CHAPTER FOUR THE GREAT REBOOT “So, in the end, above ground you must have the Haves, pursuing pleasure and comfort and beauty, and below ground the Have-nots, the Workers getting continually adapted to the conditions of their labour. Once they were there, they would no doubt have to pay rent, and not a little of it, for the ventilation of their caverns; and if they refused, they would starve or be suffocated for arrears. Such of them as were so constituted as to be miserable and rebellious would die; and, in the end, the balance being permanent, the survivors would become as well adapted to the conditions of underground life, and as happy in their way, as the Upper-world people were to theirs.” - H. G. Wells, The Time Machine (1895) “We no longer live in a world of nations and ideologies, Mr. Beale. The world is a college of corporations, inexorably determined by the immutable bylaws of business. The world is a business, Mr. Beale. It has been since man crawled out of the slime. And our children will live, Mr. Beale, to see that perfect world in which there's no war or famine, oppression or brutality -- one vast and ecumenical holding company, for whom all men will work to serve a common profit, in which all men will hold a share of stock, all necessities provided, all anxieties tranquilized, all boredom amused.” - Arthur Jensen (as played by Ned Beatty), Network (1976) “Elites are no longer the ones we count upon to tell us right from wrong, or to apply their skills of expertise to move society forward. Instead, they are viewed increasingly as spinmeisters, telling tales that fit their narrowly defined worldviews. They have become even more distant from the broader population simply by rejecting what happened across two continents and reading books like Hillbilly Elegy, treating the other half as though they are zoo specimens. The implications of this disconnect remain profound, with no solution in sight.” - Mark Penn, Microtrends Squared (2018) When it comes to this pandemic, we are stuck between two narratives: one is that of the grand conspiracy and the other is that “there is nothing to see here”. As it is, both narratives are false. This pandemic was not caused by the global elite or lizard people. There is a possibility that it might have been the result of research gone wrong, but if so, that would have been through gross 20
incompetence rather than malice. This pandemic certainly has done nothing for China’s reputation in the world. It is likely that we were always due a crisis such as the one we are in because history does follow patterns. We have been told repeatedly, over the last few months, that a pandemic such as the one we are facing now occurs every hundred years or so, the last being the Spanish Flu of 1918. Therefore, if one was studying historical trends, one would have been able to predict something like the coronavirus was going to emerge. George W Bush when president of the United States certainly did and after reading The Great Influenza by John Barry on the 1918 pandemic set up procedures within the federal government to deal with such a crisis. One did not have to create the virus in order to know that something like it was coming. One just had to be astute of history. Winston Churchill once said that “the further back you can see in history, the further forward you can see”. Ergo, the best way to super forecast is to pick up a history book. Conspiracy theorists have pointed to the Johns Hopkins Centre for Health and Security in partnership with the World Economic Forum and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation who hosted a pandemic exercise in October 2019 called event 201 in New York City. This was essentially a war game something the British government probably should have done more of. It does not mean that Bill Gates or the WEF caused this pandemic. It does mean they were prepared for it and as such, prepared to roll out their agenda for a “great reset”. The problem with this is two-fold. The first is that the main economic beneficiaries of this pandemic have been big-tech billionaires, including Jeff Bezos, Michael Bloomberg and Bill Gates. We saw with the Democratic Party presidential debates just prior to this pandemic that Michael Bloomberg was the only one really taking it seriously and that Bloomberg, because he was so fabulously wealthy, was completely unsuited to the cut and thrust nature of the political arena where people such as Elizabeth Warren were not going to be deferential to him just because of his wealth and would perfectly, happily attack Bloomberg’s character. Mayor Bloomberg was like a deer in headlights. He also showed that while he knows his stuff about business and public health, his political knowledge was poor for a major candidate of the presidency. The former New York City mayor floated the idea of announcing a running mate prior to receiving the nomination, believing “nobody had done it in history”. NBC News reporter, Hallie Jackson, mentioned that Ted Cruz had announced that if he were to receive his party’s nomination, he would pick former Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina as his running mate. Not only this, but in 1976, Ronald Reagan, then running against President Gerald Ford for the Republican nomination, announced that if he were to receive his party’s nomination, he would select the liberal senator Richard Schweiker of Pennsylvania as his running mate. 21
The Davos set exist in a world where everybody tells them they’re great. That is not the world of politics. In politics, for even the most popular leaders, as a general rule, they will have less than 50% of their country behind them. In this country, most MPs do not receive 50% plus of the votes in their constituencies, meaning that the majority of their constituents voted against them. Whilst in politics, there are people who are sycophants, there are enough people throwing verbal grenades that the successful politician will always have an eye on how things appear. Big tech billionaires who have been seen to profit as a result of this pandemic then preaching to the rest of the world how it should be is already getting the backs up of those blue-collar workers and small business owners who have borne the economic brunt of the lockdowns that have been pushed by the corporate media. Furthermore, it has not escaped most people’s notice that those billionaires pushing the green agenda also seek to profit from those very policies. So even if their science is completely right, because they will profit, some people will just assume “well, they would say that wouldn’t they: they’re going to make money from it”. The truth is that there is climate change, but there are likely to be alternative ways of addressing the problem without completely upending society. A certain amount of humility from the self-proclaimed global thought leaders would go a long way. Rather than suggest they take a leaf out of Donald Trump’s book which they will dismiss out of hand, I would suggest that they look to the example of Hillary Clinton when she first ran for senator of New York and engaged in a “big conversation” with the voters of her adopted state. The Davos set’s “great reset” which is currently getting a lot of play in certain parts of the media seems to have already arrived at its conclusions. It might not be a conspiracy. Indeed, it is likely not, but they do seem to be going out of their way to make it look like one. Equally, they talk about it being a discussion, but not a conversation and in doing so are ensuring that they will get minimal political support from the electorates of the world because people do like being consulted and dislike being preached to. 22
CHAPTER FIVE HAVING A LAUGH “And lost be the day to us in which a measure hath not been danced. And false be every truth which hath not had laughter along with it!” - Friedrich Nietzsche, Thus Spake Zarathustra (1883) “Enjoy yourself, it's later than you think Enjoy yourself, while you're still in the pink The years go by, as quickly as a wink Enjoy yourself, enjoy yourself, it's later than you think.” - Carl Sigman & Herb Magidson, Enjoy Yourself (It’s Later Than You Think), (1949) “A remarkable young artist named Garry Trudeau creates a comic strip ‘Doonesbury’. This happens to be my children’s favourite strip, and when they introduced it to me, I saw why. I imagine young Mr Trudeau must have been a bit shocked when I, a monster in the ‘Watergate Alumni Club’, which was featured in his strip, sent word to him that I liked two of his strips about me which were hardly flattering. I said that I hoped he would give me the originals to frame. Trudeau said he didn’t usually do this, but in my case he would make an exception — and they’re framed on the wall of my den today” - . H. R. Haldeman, The Ends of Power (1978) By embracing so-called “cancel culture”, liberals are losing one of the strongest weapons in their arsenal – comedy. Comedy has often provided a medium through which society could engage in otherwise uncomfortable conversations about sensitive topics. Comedy serves a purpose in pointing out the absurdities amid the gravity of our existence and what could be more absurd than racism. The supposedly “offensive content” in the Fawlty Towers episode The Germans was not racist because it was lampooning racism. In Weimar Germany, the opposition that most infuriated Nazi Party leader Adolf Hitler came not from opposition politicians but from the Cabaret. In the late 1960s, Norman Lear was in Los Angeles reading a copy of TV Guide when he came a description of British TV show called Till Death Us Do Part. Lear was immediately taken with the concept of the show – a bigoted father-in-law constantly arguing with his live-in liberal son-in-law. It reminded him of the rows he had with his reactionary father as a boy and suddenly Lear was brimming 23
with ideas. By September 1968, he had secured the rights to make an American version of the show. The American version would end up being called All In The Family. The Alf Garnett father-in-law character was reborn as Queens’ taxi driver Archie Bunker. The politics of the protagonists of the respective programs not only ran parallel; so did the politics of the actors who played them. Both Warren Mitchell, who played Alf Garnett and Carroll O’Connor, who played Archie Bunker were the polar opposites of the people they played on TV. Not that you would know when watching their performances, as both were distinguished thespians who had leant their trade on the theatre boardwalks. Mitchell, who played a right-wing, West Ham United supporting, anti-Semite on television, was in his own life a socialist, Tottenham Hotspur fan of Russian-Jewish descent. Carroll O’Connor played Archie Bunker, who thought that “we could use a man like Herbert Hoover again”, but in his own life he was a Ted Kennedy liberal, who attacked President Jimmy Carter for being Hoover. In the late 1980s and 1990s, in a dramatic departure from playing Archie Bunker, Carroll O’Connor was executive producer and lead actor in the TV police drama, In the Heat of the Night. In the Heat of the Night would be honoured at the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People (NAACP) Image Awards for its addressing of racial issues. O’Connor was a passionate advocate of racial justice. So that audiences did not take away the wrong messages from All In The Family, he recorded an anti-bigotry Public Service Announcement (PSA) for the Anti-Defamation League of B’nai B’rith. O’Connor speaking direct to camera told the television audience: “Listen friends, it is one thing to play a bigot on TV and it’s quite another thing to be a bigot in real life. You know there are still people around who are willing to hurt people by judging them primarily on their race or their religious beliefs. Now bigotry has not helped Archie Bunker’s life. You know that. It has spoiled it, in many ways, small and large.” In an obituary of O’Connor in 2001, the South Florida Sun Sentinel proclaimed: “Carroll O'Connor played the most important character in the history of television, and it's a sign of his artistry that Archie Bunker could appall, captivate and amuse America.” 24
It went on: “Bigoted and lovable, funny and scary, Archie moved television into a new era and pushed Americans to think about racism, the Vietnam War, drug use, anti-Semitism, homosexuality and other issues that tame series refused to touch. Archie, under the inspired guidance of producer Norman Lear, rewrote the rules in television. With Archie, the medium grew up. He paved the way for more-complex and flawed characters, such as Frank Furillo, Andy Sipowicz and Tony Soprano.” The obituary closed: “O’Connor said last year that he hoped to play Archie once more. ‘His outlook on life was very, very foolish,’ he said. ‘A racist outlook is a very foolish thing.’ And thanks to O’Connor, America got the message. Rarely has television done such a service.” This closing captures perfectly why it is vital that comedy be used to address racism even when that includes having characters use racist and offensive language. Many jokes are funny because of the grain of truth contained within them. In his 2014 memoir, Even This I Get To Experience, Norman Lear, now in his nighties reflected on why Carroll O’Conner’s likable face was pivotal to his being cast as Archie Bunker: “It was very important to me that Archie have a likable face, because the point of the character was to show that if bigotry and intolerance didn’t exist in the hearts and minds of the good people, the average people, it would not be the endemic problem it is in our society. As the ‘laziest, dumbest white kid’ my father ever met, I rarely saw a bigot I didn’t have some reason to like. They were all relatives and friends.” The left today by seeking to dehumanize those that disagree with them actually force those people to double down because, why not, if you are damned in their eyes already. Lear used the character of Archie Bunker to start conversations. The modern left seems afraid of conversation and that is likely because they do not have the confidence in their ideas that they maintain they have. 25
Archie Bunker would have a pop-culture scion in the animated form of Eric Cartman on South Park. In a 2008 interview, South Park co-creator, Trey Parker told America’s National Public Radio (NPR): “’I'd say within the first season, we kind of realized Cartman's like a little Archie Bunker,’ Parker said in an interview at South Park Studios in Los Angeles. ‘And we were big fans of All in the Family, and we were going back and seeing some of those reruns, and we kind of realized what we had there. ‘And especially because he was 8 years old, he was kind of free to say whatever he wanted. He could dress up like Hitler, and he could do this because he's 8. And he doesn't really know what he's doing; he doesn't care. He's just a product of his environment.’” This serves to illustrate how once they release a creation out in the world, the creative loses their absolute control over their creation, as it develops a life of its own. When Johnny Speight first imaged Alf Garnett, in 1965, he would have never thought that Garnett would have a creative grandson-of- sorts, in Eric Cartman, still making a mockery of racist attitudes in 2020. Norman Lear found himself on Richard Nixon’s enemies list so enraged was the 37th President at how Lear’s comedy was undermining his administration in the popular culture. In many ways Lear through his writing and O’Connor through his acting proved far better advocates for liberal points-of-view to Richard Nixon’s voters than the elected Democratic politicians of the time. Making Archie Bunker an essentially good, but misguided, person ensured that Lear did not alienate those in the audience who held views similar to those held by his late father. By keeping them engaged he was able to use All In The Family as a means of conversing with them. Through comedy he sought to introduce the audience to ways of looking at political or social problems that they might not have done previously. All In The Family put everything on the table and there was not an issue the show would shy away from and the same was true of its spin-offs The Jeffersons and Maude. Maude, played by Bea Arthur, was an unapologetic liberal feminist and was introduced in the second season of All In The Family as the cousin of Archie’s wife, Edith. The All In The Family episode Cousin Maude’s Visit was an adaption of the Till Death Us Do Part episode Aunt Maud, tailored to the American audience. Whereas Aunt Maud would only appear on the one episode of Till Death Us Do Part, cousin Maude would get her own spin-off after her second appearance of All In The Family. 26
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