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August 2019 AEROSPACE PARIS AIR SHOW NEWS BOEING T-X – BREAKING THE MOULD? AI AND LEGAL LIABILITY www.aerosociety.com SWOOPS TO August 2019 CONQUER Volume 46 Number 8 AIRBUS UK IMAGINES THE FUTURE OF AIRLINERS WITH ITS HYBRID BIRD OF PREY Royal Aeronautical Society
EXPERT FORUM MODERATOR: DR. RAFAEL RAMIREZ, DIRECTOR, OXFORD SCENARIOS PROGRAM On 14-15 November 2019, the world’s aviation industry leaders will gather at the London home of the Royal Aeronautical Society for a forum on the global megatrends and their importance to our industry. WHY SHOULD YOU ATTEND? The objective of the forum is to develop a plausible investigation of these potentially disruptive trends and to co-create a shared vision of the future. Senior Aviation Executives with a strategic perspective will want their voices to be heard in this important dialogue. 14 –15 NOVEMBER 2019 NO.4 HAMILTON PLACE, LONDON Registration Non-member £1450.00 + VAT RAeS Corporate Partner or Member £1200.00 + VAT www.aerosociety.com/megatrends Please contact conferences@aerosociety.com to register your interest to attend the forum
Volume 46 Number 8 Inspiration nation Plane speaking UK Govt Airbus August 2019 Airbus reveals the An interview with 14 revolutionary Bird of Prey hybrid-electric 36 the UK’s new Minister of Aviation. passenger aircraft Baroness Vere of concept designed in Norbiton. the UK. Contents Correspondence on all aerospace matters is welcome at: The Editor, AEROSPACE, No.4 Hamilton Place, London W1J 7BQ, UK publications@aerosociety.com Comment Regulars 4 Radome 12 Transmission The latest aviation and Your letters, emails, tweets aeronautical intelligence, and feedback. analysis and comment. The green challenge for aviation 10 Antenna 62 The Last Word Keith Hayward looks at the development of the Howard Wheeldon reviews The past half century or so has been a triumph for the democratisation of nations currently seeking to European guided weapon upgrade their air forces with sector. air travel – opening up foreign countries and experiences and stimulating the latest generation jets. trade and tourism. Yet, there is an underlying sense that, at least in the Western hemisphere, the tide may be beginning to turn against unrestricted growth in air travel – much of it connected to the growing sense of Features environmental crisis. But what might have been dismissed in previous decades as just ‘typical students’ or the ‘usual green protesters’ now seems to be gathering momentum in other parts of society. The ‘flight- 20 28 shaming’ eco-movement is spreading from Sweden’s middle classes to other countries – encouraging people to take other forms of transport or not travel at all. Another aspect, perhaps underappreciated, is that, while Boeing electric cars, e-bikes, recharging stations and zero-emission vehicles have proliferated in cities – aviation’s reliance on kerosene has become more Breaking the mould? Is Boeing’s new T-X military Paris electrifies and more visible. This is despite the fact that aviation has developed more A report on the sales trainer revolutionary or fuel-efficient and quieter aeroplanes which are a far cry from the polluting, evolutionary? announcements, aerospace noisy aircraft of 50 years ago. Indeed, aviation has been long aware of news, latest aircraft and new technology on display at the these challenges and is already signed up to tough sustainable aviation 2019 Paris Air Show. targets such as ACARE 2050. Yet there is a sense that this message is not getting through and that incremental improvements are too slow for today’s 24 environmentally conscious consumers. It is no longer business as usual. 40 Radical ideas, such as Airbus UK’s Bird of Prey (see p 14) – which could offer up to a staggering 50% cut in fuel burn – are thus likely to be the RAeS/NAL only way in which aviation can square passengers’ growing concern for the environment with guilt-free freedom to travel by air. Tim Robinson, Editor-in-Chief The birth of air travel When the first international It’s the Robot’s Fault! passenger flight took off from tim.robinson@aerosociety.com How the rise of artificial London to Paris August 1919, intelligence may affect there was still debate over liability and risk in the whether the future of flight lay NEWS IN BRIEF aerospace sector. with aircraft or airships. Editor-in-Chief Editorial Office Printed by Buxton Press Limited, Tim Robinson Royal Aeronautical Society Palace Road, Buxton, Derbyshire +44 (0)20 7670 4353 tim.robinson@aerosociety.com No.4 Hamilton Place London W1J 7BQ, UK +44 (0)20 7670 4300 SK17 6AE, UK Distributed by Royal Mail 45 Afterburner Deputy Editor 2019 AEROSPACE subscription publications@aerosociety.com Bill Read rates: Non-members, £170 46 Message from our President www.aerosociety.com +44 (0)20 7670 4351 Please send your order to: bill.read@aerosociety.com AEROSPACE is published by the Royal Wayne J Davis, RAeS, No.4 Hamilton 47 Message from our Chief Executive Aeronautical Society (RAeS). Production Manager Chief Executive Place, London W1J 7BQ, UK. 48 Book Reviews Wayne J Davis +44 (0)20 7670 4354 51 Library Additions Online +44 (0)20 7670 4354 Sir Brian Burridge CBE FRAeS aerosubs@aerosociety.com wayne.davis@aerosociety.com Advertising Any member not requiring a print +44 (0)20 7670 4346 52 Obituaries Publications Co-ordinator version of this magazine, please Chris Male partners@aerosociety.com contact: membership@aerosociety.com 54 H SA1011 project Additional features and content are +44 (0)20 7670 4352 Unless specifically attributed, no USA: Periodical postage paid at 55 Women and aviation available to view online on chris.male@aerosociety.com material in AEROSPACE shall be taken Champlain New York and additional in Pakistan www.aerosociety.com/aerospaceinsight to represent the opinion of the RAeS. offices. Publications Executive 56 Diary Including: Annabel Hallam Reproduction of material used in this Postmaster: Send address changes Walking on the Moon again, Getting the balance +44 (0)20 7670 4361 publication is not permitted without the to IMS of New York, PO Box 1518, 57 Sir Michael Marshall right, Shapeshifting supersonic airliner, Apollo 11 annabel.hallam@aerosociety.com written consent of the Editor-in-Chief. Champlain NY 12919-1518, USA. Lecture competition on the big screen, RAeS flies the flag for diversity, 58 Blue Streak and other In the July issue of AEROSPACE, Flight to Book Review Editor ISSN 2052-451X Brian Riddle launch vehicles aftermarket profits, Five blogs on brian.riddle@aerosociety.com 60 Elections news from the 2019 Paris Air Show. Front cover: Airbus’ Bird of Prey hybrid-electric airline concept. (Airbus) @aerosociety i Find us on LinkedIn f Find us on Facebook www.aerosociety.com AUGUST 2019 13
Radome INTELLIGENCE / ANALYSIS / COMMENT Safety fast As well as the F1-style carbon monocoque chassis to provide crash protection for the pilot, the Airspeeder Mk4 also features advanced safety features, including an augmented reality (AR) display for the pilot and LIDAR-based anti-collision sensors. Prop power The Airspeeder Mk4 is powered by eight 50Kw electric motors which drive eight 60in two- bladed propellers. Battery swaps The Airspeeder Mk4 features 500Kw swappable battery packs, which provide enough charge for 15mins of flying time. The creators envisage races of 30mins with a ‘pitstop’ to swap batteries. W 4 AEROSPACE / AUGUST 2019 August 2019 news pages.indd 2 06/08/2019 09:07
Race days The Airspeeder Grand Prix, set to begin in 2020, will see five teams of ten pilots racing four metres above the ground at motorsport circuits and global landmarks. Airspeeder Mk4 specifications Pilot 1 Top speed 200km/h Weight 250kg Racing altitude 4m W GENERAL AVIATION Flying car air racing Launched at the UK's Goodwood Festival of Speed in July was Airspeeder − an aerial racing championship for piloted electric quadcopters, able to fly up to 200km/h and with a greater power to weight ratio than a F1 car or jet fighter. The new air sport for ‘flying car’ eVTOLs is the creation of Australian start-up Alauda Racing, which has already been testing an unpiloted three quarter scale version of the Airspeeder. The Airspeeder Mk4 (pictured above) is planned to fly in the Airspeeder Grand Prix series, set to begin in 2020. Flight testing of the Airspeeder piloted version is set to begin in Mojave later this year. @aerosociety i Find us on LinkedIn f Find us on Facebook www.aerosociety.com AUGUST 2019 5 August 2019 news pages.indd 3 06/08/2019 09:07
Radome GENERAL AVIATION AIR TRANSPORT Gulfstream G600 BA fined £183m in data breach receives certification On 28 June the US control sidesticks. The Federal Aviation Pratt & Whitney Canada Administration (FAA) PW800-powered aircraft awarded both type racked up some and production 3,200hr of Gu certificates to airborne flight lf s t r Gulfstream's testing and eam Airbus newest 100,000hr of product, the ground based British Airways has been hit with a record £183m fine after criminal hackers managed to G600 business simulation, breach its IT systems and steal 500,000 customers’ personal data that was revealed in jet. Launched in says Gulfstream. September 2018. The fine, imposed by the UK Information Commissioners Office (ICO), 2014, the 6,500nm First deliveries to is the largest to be handed out and the first to be publicly announced under new rules range G600 features the customers are expected following the introduction of GDPR. The fine, 1.5% of BA’s 2017 turnover, is still less touchscreen Symmetry to commence later this than the 4% maximum punishment that could be imposed. BA has 28 days to appeal the Flight Deck and active year. fine. DEFENCE AEROSPACE As AEROSPACE goes to press, Sweden and the UK have signed a memorandum of China to develop understanding to strengthen and deepen co-operation on future combat air systems. The ten year MoU will not see Saab, join the UK Team Tempest passenger SST industrial consortium at the moment but FCAS work will According to Chinese supersonic passenger continue in parallel. state media, the country is airliner’ was one of 20 key aiming to launch its own national technical goals indigenously developed revealed at the annual supersonic airliner in meeting of the China the 2035 timeframe. Association of Science The design of a ‘green and Technology. Chinese state media Sweden partners BAE Systems with UK on future combat air NEWS IN BRIEF The incident occurred on the aging CC-155 Buffalo range at Edwards Air Force Namibia, Malawi, Ethiopia, Boeing’s airliner deliveries 30 June when a body and CC-130Hs in the Base in California. Zanzibar, Tanzania and for the first six months of was found in a garden in RCAF SAR role, will be Uganda. this year 2019 fell by 37% Clapham. delivered later this year. A kit-build light aircraft from 378 in 1H 2018 to built by South African high NASA and the FAA 239 in 1H 2019. The main Airbus has flown the first Virgin Orbit has school students has flown have conducted a reason for the fall was a prototype of its modified successfully conducted 6,500nm from Cape Town, crashworthiness test reduction in 737 deliveries twin-engine C-295 tactical a drop test of a full-scale to Egypt. The Airplane involving dropping a which fell from 269 to 113. transport for the Royal model of its LauncherOne Company Sling 4 kitplane Fokker F28 regional jet Canadian Air Force’s Fixed small satellite launcher. was assembled in three from a gantry 150ft in A suspected stowaway Wing Search and Rescue The launcher, which was weeks by 20 students and the air. The aircraft, which was killed after falling (FWSAR) programme. filled with water and then flown in stages by six was acquired by NASA from the landing gear The first flight took place antifreeze instead of fuel, of the students who had from Canadian Regional well of a Kenya Airways’ on 4 July from Airbus’ was dropped from a pylon qualified as pilots under Airlines in 2000, was flight from Nairobi while Seville factory in Spain. on the wing of the ‘Cosmic the name of the U-Dream populated with 24 crash it was flying over London The first C-295 of 16 Girl’ modified Boeing 747 Global project. The journey dummies designed to towards Heathrow Airport. aircraft, which will replace on 10 July above a test to Egypt included stops in simulate a range of adults 6 AEROSPACE / AUGUST 2019 August 2019 news pages.indd 4 06/08/2019 09:07
Dragon SPACEFLIGHT DEFENCE Japanese probe lands First S400 SAMs on asteroid − again delivered to Turkey On 12 July, the first flown in to an airbase elements of a Russian- near Ankara, where the built long-range S400 e Ministry S400 missile system c en surface-to-air D ef will reportedly is h missile battery be deployed. Turk began arriving Meanwhile, in Turkey, in the US has defiance of US previously protests over the warned that taking JAXA NATO member and delivery of this SAM On 11 July the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) announced that its F-35 partner accquiring would be a ‘red line’ and unmanned spacecraft Hayabusa 2 has landed for a second time on the Ryugu asteroid this system from Moscow. would see Turkey removed 185million miles from Earth. The probe made a brief touchdown in February when it fired The first components were from the F-35 programme. a 5g ‘impactor’ pellet to stir up dust for collecting before returning to a holding position above the surface. The aim of the mission is to collect pristine materials from AEROSPACE beneath the surface of the asteroid which could provide US electric-aircraft startup, Zunum Aero has run out of funding and virtually ceased insights into what the solar system was like at its birth operations, according to news reports. The company was developing a nine-passenger 4.6bn years ago. Hayabusa 2 is due to return to Earth in hybrid-electric regional aircraft. Boeing's Horizon X venture capital arm, JetBlue and 2020. the State of Washington had all invested money into the programme. AIR TRANSPORT Singapore, Malaysia Airlines deepen ties Flag carriers Singapore partnership areas between Airlines and Malaysia Airlines the two airlines include have signed a memorandum cargo, maintenance and of understanding to extend their codesharing agreement expansion of code-sharing beyond Singapore- Zunum pulls plug Zunum Aero and co-operation. Potential strategic Malaysia and frequent flyer programme. on electric dreams and children. The test was narrowbodies at the Paris 22-satellite navigation killing all eight passengers Swiss-based aeropsace carried out at the Landing Air Show in June. positioning network which and eight crew. According group, which has the and Impact Research went out of service on 12 to reports, the twin-engine Swiss state as its only Facility at NASA’s Langley Embraer has secured July due to a technical aircraft reached a height shareholder, realigns itself Research Center in the first international problem relating to its of 200ft before veering to focus on aerostructures Hampton, Virginia. customer for its KC-390 ground infrastructure down into an empty hangar and space. tactical transport/tanker, in Italy. Galileo's critical and catching fire. The US Saudi low-cost carrier with Portugal having seach and rescue NTSB is now investigating China Southern Airlines flyadeal has cancelled signed up to for five services were unaffected the crash. has taken delivery of the Europe an order for up to 50 aircraft. First deliveries in the widespread outage, first of an order for 20 budget of Boeing’s 737MAX are set for 2023. which was down for six France's Dassault Aviation Airbus A350-900s. The Ryanai airliners. The airline will days. has acquired Switzerland’s aircraft will begin operating loss of now switch to Airbus As AEROSPACE goes RUAG business aviation on domestic routes from for 201 A320neos after its parent to press, engineers have A Beechcraft King Air 350 division. The divestiture of Guangzhou to Shanghai first qu March group Saudi Arabian now restored services crashed on take-off from its business aviation MRO and Beijing, followed by passen Airlines placed an order from the European Addison airport, north of operations in Geneva and flights to international 32.7m for up to 50 of the Airbus Galileo GNSS orbiting Dallas in Texas, on 30 June Lugano, comes as the destinations. for 201 rose 9 €1.53b @aerosociety i Find us on LinkedIn f Find us on Facebook www.aerosociety.com AUGUST 2019 7 Ryanai August 2019 news pages.indd 5 06/08/2019 09:07
AEROSPACE Radome AEROSPACE DEFENCE EASA publishes eVTOL RAF Poseidon makes first flight ‘flying car’ rules The European Aviation people-carrying VTOL with Safety Agency (EASA) nine or fewer passengers has published a final and a maximum certified Special Condition to take-off mass up to act as a framework for 3,175kg. manufacturers to develop EASA says that it is new hybrid and electrical ‘actively engaging with the vertical take-off and landing industry to develop the right (VTOL) aircraft. Opened technical requirements to for public consultation take benefit of the new Royal Air Force in October last year and technologies bringing safety published on 2 July, the and environmental benefits Special Condition applies to to the community’. GENERAL AVIATION On 12 July the first of eight Boeing P-8A Poseiden multi-mission maritime patrol aircaft, ZP801, named 'Pride Researchers at the Technical University of Munich, Germany, have sucessfuly demonstrated an of Moray' for the Royal Air Force, made its first flight optical-imagery-based system able to auto-land a twin-engine DA-42 with a safety pilot. The from Boeing Field in Seattle. The first aircraft is set to be formally handed over to the RAF in October, and arrive in system uses cameras (including one infra-red) and satellite positioning data, rather than ground- the UK at RAF Lossiemouth in 2020. based navigational aids to recognise a runway and perform an approach and landing. SPACEFLIGHT Arianespace Vega rocket lost on launch An Arianespace Vega the UAE FalconEye-1 launcher failed to reach spy satellite in what was Technical University of Munich orbit on 10 July after the described as a ‘major Vision-based second stage failed to ignite two minutes after lift-off anomaly’. The Vega rocket had previously flown 14 system lands DA-42 from Korou, French Guiana.. times successfully since autonomously The rocket crashed into the Atlantic Ocean carrying 2012. An investigation into the cause is now underway. NEWS IN BRIEF lifted off from Cape as well as other tweaks to launcher from Cape Saab Digital Air Traffic Canaveral on 2 July for a reduce the lst price below Bulgaria has approved Canaveral, Florida. Solutions has won an four-minute flight during $10m. the acquisition of eight The launch, the third order to install a digital which the abort system Lockheed Martin F-16V overall for Falcon tower at NATO Air Base was used to separate Safran is to open a new fighters. The $1.25bn deal Heavy, saw the rocket Geilenkirchen in Germany. the capsule from the carbon brake manufacturing includes six single-seat successfully put 24 The digital tower, which refurbished Peacekeeper factory in Lyon, France. To and two two-seat fighters, satellites into orbit – is due to be delivered in test booster and then to by operating by 2024, the together with training including payloads from 2020, will operate while separate the abort system factory will employ up to and support packages. the USAF, NASA and The the current control tower is from the capsule. 200 workers. The aircraft will replace Planetary Society. Two being refurbished. Russian-built MiG-29s, side boosters successfully Bombardier has unveiled Romanian carrier TAROM which date back to the landed back vertically at NASA has successfully a new more affordable is to lease nine new ATR 1980s and 1990s. Cape Canaveral, while completed a test flight of version of its Learjet 75 72-600 turboprops. The the central core booster the abort system for the − the Liberty. It features aircraft will be delivered On 25 June SpaceX narrowly missed landing Orion ascent capsule. The two fewer seats than the from October through to conducted the first night on SpaceX’s drone barge unmanned test booster normally eight-seat aircraft 2020. launch of its Falcon Heavy landing pad in the Atlantic. 8 AEROSPACE / AUGUST 2019 August 2019 news pages.indd 6 06/08/2019 09:07
OSPACE SPACEFLIGHT AIR TRANSPORT On 27 June, NASA announced that the next space mission in its New Frontiers Qantas to boost pilot exploration initiative will land a robotic quadcopter on Titan – Saturn’s largest moon. The Dragonfly mission, would see a flying lander equipped with rotors to fly short hops in training pipeline Titan’s dense nitrogen-based atmosphere. Launch is scheduled for Australian flag carrier September which will train 2026 with arrival at Titan in 2034. Qantas is to open a second up to 250 pilots a year. The pilot training academy airline notes that around in the coastal town of 790,000 more airline Mackay, Queensland. The pilots will be needed over airline already has one the next 20 years, with academy in Toowoomba, one-third of them being in which is set to open in Asia-Pacific. On 4 July, the Light Armed Helicopter, developed by Korean Aerospace Industries (KAI) made its first flight at the company facility in Sacheon, South Korea.The first flight saw the LAH, developed from the Airbus H155, get airborne for 20 minutes. South Korea is NASA to send rotorcraft to Titan expected to acquire over 200 LAHs. NASA AEROSPACE GENERAL AVIATION Boeing to donate $100m INFOGRAPHIC: One More Orbit to 737 MAX families circumnavigates globe to mark Apollo An ex-NASA astronaut and team of aviators has broken the 1977 record for Boeing has announced it is over multiple years, will see circumnavigating the globe via both north and south poles in a time of 46 to make a $100m charitable Boeing partner with local hours, 39 minutes and 38 seconds. The One More Orbit used a Qatar Airways' Gulfstream G650ER to set the record, starting and ending the challenge from the donation to the families of governments and NGOs to Kennedy Space Center in honour of Apollo 11. the 346 victims that died in provide living and education both Ethiopian Airlines and expenses for families Lion Air 737 MAX airliner affected by the tragedies, crashes. as well as fund community The donation, to be released projects. ON THE COO is to leave his job at the end of this year. MOVE Powerscourt's Ben The CE of Norwegian Air, Griffiths is to become Bjørn Kjos, has stepped the new Head of down after 17 years in Communications at charge at the airline. 2Excel Aviation. Boeing 737 MAX NASA’s Director of programme chief Eric Human Spaceflight, Lindbald, is to retire. Bill Gerstenmaier, His place will be taken has been replaced by by Mark Jenks, Vice Ken Bowersox. Bill President of Boeing’s Hill, Deputy Associate New Mid-market Airplane Administrator for One More Orbit (NMA) programme. Exploration Systems Development, is also to Peter Bellew, Ryanair be replaced. @aerosociety i Find us on LinkedIn f Find us on Facebook www.aerosociety.com AUGUST 2019 9 August 2019 news pages.indd 7 06/08/2019 09:07
antenna: Global Outlook and Analysis with HOWARD WHEELDON Fighter replacement dogfights heat up W ith the UK planning to order The decision taken earlier this year by the Danish further F-35 Joint Strike Fighter Government to purchase 27 Lockheed Martin F-35A jets from Lockheed Martin over fighter jets for delivery between 2021 and 2026 to the next few years, Belgium replace an ageing fleet of Lockheed Martin F-16s. having decided to follow the UK, This followed an intense competition that saw both Netherlands and Italy in buying F-35s, the French Boeing’s F/A-18F Super Hornet and Eurofighter Air Force and Navy continuing to receive deliveries Typhoon lose out. of Rafale jets, Germany planning to replace its 90 Undoubtedly, the constant flow of verbal and Panavia Tornado jets with more Eurofighter Typhoons tweeted warnings from US President Donald Trump and Finland looking to replace its ageing fleet of has played a part in forcing European governments Boeing F/A-18s, Western governments can hardly be to rethink defence strategy. There are pros and cons accused of failing to modernise their fast jet fleets. in this and, while there is a general consensus and The UK and, separately, Germany, France and understanding that European NATO members must Spain have also realised the importance of investing pay more for the defence of Europe, it is important in sixth-generation jet fighter technology. To that to ensure that European defence is not allowed to end Germany, France and Spain signed a deal at become more fragmented. NATO must remain the the Paris Air Show that aims to jointly develop a overarching alliance for European defence, no matter sixth generation European fighter jet and air combat what. system known as the Future Air System (FCAS). Last summer, the UK formally launched Team A Swiss decision Tempest, a consortium that includes HM Government, the Royal Air Force Rapid Capability Office (RCO), Although not a member of NATO, Switzerland has, IT IS PLEASING BAE Systems, Rolls-Royce, Leonardo and MBDA, to just as it also does with the European Union, long TO SEE THAT develop a next generation manned/unmanned stealth collaborated with NATO strategy. Even so, while MORE WESTERN fighter jet. The UK is unlikely to do this alone and is the Swiss Government and Swiss Air Force rarely currently talking to a number of potential international produce headlines in relation to defence, the Swiss NATIONS, NOT partners, the first of which is quite likely to have been Government’s decision to call for bids for up to 40 JUST THOSE announced at the Royal International Air Tattoo held at new military jets in a programme – suggested to be IN NATO, ARE RAF Fairford in July. worth CHF 8bn – to replace a fleet of very elderly NOW ACTIVELY Northrop F-5 Tiger fighters and Boeing F/A-18s Future jet planning has aroused considerable interest among military jet PLANNING manufacturers. TO REPLACE While France, Germany and Spain and, separately, The result is an intense competition in which the AGEING FLEETS the UK, are busy sorting the requirements for future French fighter manufacturer, Dassault, is bidding the sixth generation fighter requirements, it is pleasing Rafale, Airbus the Eurofighter Typhoon, Boeing the OF MILITARY to see that more Western nations, not just those in F/A-18E Super Hornet and Lockheed Martin the JETS NATO, are now actively planning to replace ageing F-35A. The Swedish-based aircraft manufacturer, fleets of military jets. A resurgent Russia, combined Saab, had also entered the Swiss Government’s with concerns over China and an increased focus Air2030 fighter competition with its Gripen E fighter in Middle East instability, with eyes on Iran, may be but later withdrew. seen as a wake-up call to some, while warnings The assessment phase of the Swiss Government’s and increased pressure exerted on European NATO Air2030 programme is due to be completed by members by the US that Europe must take more the end of 2020. As has become customary in responsibility for its defence have combined to play a Switzerland with regards to large defence equipment part in forcing governments to increase spending on purchases, a referendum will be held to allow voters defence. to decide whether the country should acquire new While questions remain on whether countries such military jet. However, assuming the decision is positive, as the UK have sufficient available fast jet capacity, it is they will not be asked to decide on the aircraft type. particularly good to see NATO member countries such Finland is yet another hugely important non-NATO as Denmark, Finland and Canada launching major new country currently seeking to replace an ageing fleet fast jet equipment procurement programmes. of Boeing F/A-18C Hornets. To that end the Finnish 10 AEROSPACE / AUGUST 2019
US Gov/ Jovante Johnson Government has called for bids for up to 64 new Two US Air Force F-35A of the BAE-designed Canadian Surface Combatant multirole fighter jets in a procurement deal expected Lightning II fighter aircraft, ships for the Royal Canadian Navy, to enter the F-35 to be worth somewhere between $9bn and $12bn for assigned to the 421st into the combat jet competition. the eventual winner. Again, interest has been intense Fighter Squadron, Hill Air These specific changes announced will allow for Force Base, Utah, right, with no fewer than five competing jets. Lockheed a more flexible approach in determining the value fly in formation with two Martin has entered its F-35A, BAE Systems is bidding Finnish F/A-18 Hornets. of the benefits bidders are able to offer Canadian the Eurofighter Typhoon, Saab has entered the Gripen defence firms: they come after a series of discussions E, Boeing the Super Hornet and Dassault its Rafale. with the US Government and threats by the Pentagon to withdraw the jet from consideration. The Canadian restock Under the current terms, bidders were required to offer industrial benefits to Canada as part of Across the pond and notwithstanding that a Federal the competition. That system, which would have election is due to take place sometime during later in disadvantaged the F-35, will now be amended, the year, meaning that most formal business of the sources say. However, those companies that do Canadian Parliament has already been completed, guarantee work for Canadian firms will receive more the Canadian Government has been pressing on with consideration under the new rules. its hugely important fast jet procurement competition US officials had warned that the agreement at the time of writing, hoping to have despatched Canada signed to be a partner nation in Lockheed the final bidding criteria and the formal requests for Martin’s development of the F-35 prohibits those proposal by late July to the various competing jet partner nations from imposing requirements for manufacturers, calling on them to submit bids for up industrial benefits in fighter jet competitions. “We to 88 new fighter jets. cannot participate in an offer of the F-35 weapon In what will no doubt be another politically system where requirements do not align with the charged competition between US and European F-35 Partnership,” US Navy Vice-Adm Mathias Winter military aircraft manufacturers, the procurement told Canadian officials in a letter sent in December. plan is based around replacement of ageing Boeing CF-18 Hornet jets by the mid 2020s. Canada was Luftwaffe requirements forced to acquire some F/A-18s from Australia to supplement the existing fleet of CF-18s. The The decision by Germany to knock the F-35 importance of acquiring new aircraft to replace these Joint Strike Fighter out of the Panavia Tornado was highlighted by a report recently issued by the replacement competition which has left an upgraded Canadian Auditor General, Michael Ferguson which version of the hugely successful Eurofighter Typhoon suggested that, without combat upgrades the CF-18 to compete against the Boeing F/A-18E/F Super fleet will be less effective against adversaries in Hornet, caused significant initial surprise. However, if domestic and international operations. The report Germany does decide to go for Eurofighter Typhoon, also highlighted the serious shortages of pilots, the question arises that the aircraft is not currently technicians and maintainers. certified to carry US-made nuclear bombs for the The Canadian Government has already been NATO nuclear mission. The most likely outcome forced to change the terms of what is expected to be is that Germany will probably acquire additional a competition worth in the region of $19bn to allow Eurofighter Typhoons and a fleet of Boeing F/A-18E Lockheed Martin, which was recently awarded build Super Hornets. @aerosociety i Find us on LinkedIn f Find us on Facebook www.aerosociety.com AUGUST 2019 11
Transmission LETTERS AND ONLINE i Helicopter conference 737 MAX MCAS software upgrades Philippe Mairet [On The news item in the June that it should be perfectly RAeS Onshore helicopter issue of AEROSPACE possible to establish a safety conference 3-4 refers to Boeing having correlation relating flow July] Interesting! completed work on development about the upgrading the software fuselage nose to aircraft f involved in the MCAS incidence. However, such system(1). Presumably, a correlation would need this refers to the to apply to the possible algorithm interpreting flow development at all HSA1011 aircraft incidence from relevant flight conditions, Geoffrey Wardle [On measurement of flow and this might be more shapeshifting supersonic development on one or tricky. Alternatively, airliner(3)] An interesting both sides of the fuselage upgrading the software article on the HSA1011. nose. The nose-down might simply involve Given all the issues of movement needed to correcting an error, or weight growth that dogged HSA1011(3) reduce the incidence the stalling incidence, to errors, in the program the Boeing 2707 due below the stalling angle allow the flow to stabilise algorithm or text, or largely to its variable Steve Howe It’s just a fly will, of course, generate and the aircraft incidence something else altogether. geometry configuration, it faster Trident! upwash about the nose. to be deduced. Having a I believe that it is would be interesting to see I understand that this is fair amount of experience incumbent upon Boeing where a VG HSA1011, taken into account by of interpreting aircraft flow to clarify what is meant by would have led. Also the Namviator Petty freezing the movement for development from CFD ‘upgrading the software’. extreme area rule fuselage Tjitemisa Concorde... this a certain amount of time predictions and wind- may well have presented is why the Concorde was at a few degrees below tunnel test data, I believe Allan Bocci aircraft evacuation issues. way too early... A tribute to Roger Béteille of Airbus It was quite a coincidence old terminal building at on the Concorde project Airbus that in the July 2019 Toulouse airport to keep from 1968 to 1972, it edition of AEROSPACE, them isolated from the was always obvious to which contained Howard main Airbus offices (or so me that Concorde would Wheeldon’s article on ‘New I was told). I produced the be a commercial failure. I Management for a new first marketing brochure for was one of a few at Filton age of Airbus’(2) there was the A320 and supported who agreed with Mary also the announcement early marketing missions Goldring of The Economist of the death of Roger to Australia, Japan and in 1968. It was reassuring Henri Béteille at 97 (an Scandinavia. The A320 that Aérospatiale had obituary of Béteille is was finally launched in come to the same on p52 fof this issue). 1984 and it is with my conclusion. We should Roger Béteille was one great satisfaction that the accept that Concorde of the founding fathers A320 family has sold well was a commercial failure of Airbus Industrie. I was over 14,000 aircraft. It is with totally unacceptable employed by Aérospatiale Roger Béteille, left, secured the first US sale of the Airbus one of the most successful noise and pollution and we in 1982/83 and worked A300 with Frank Borman of Eastern Airlines in 1977. commercial aircraft ever. should stop romanticising in Airbus Industrie’s It was also interesting to about it. Instead, we should Blagnac headquarters the presence of a giant sales in 1982 were more note that during an Airbus celebrate the contribution under Dennis Little, Head of the aviation industry. interested in promoting employee ‘family open day’ made by the Airbus of Sales Technology. I often passed him in the twin-aisle market in Blagnac in 1982, only founding fathers and the Dennis was a wonderful the corridors of Airbus rather than the single- Airbus A300 aircraft were fantastic success of the and inspirational leader headquarters and he was aisle concept. One of my on display. I noticed a real Airbus aircraft, especially and was very effective a quiet, polite but very tasks was to work with Concorde aircraft hidden the A320 family, and the in Airbus. On occasions, impressive gentleman who the 12 staff members of in the back of a hangar, huge commercial benefits Roger Béteille visited masterminded so much the single-aisle project not to be seen by the they have brought us. Dennis to discuss issues of the Airbus we know team under Derek Brown’s families. It was clear that and it was, for me a today. It was interesting to Directorship. The small the future was with Airbus. Adrian Sayce great privilege to be in note that many in Airbus team were housed in the Although I had worked FRAeS 12 AEROSPACE / AUGUST 2019
Pre-Concorde supersonic swing-wing design(3) @MichaelJPryce Mike Stanberry Designed by Jim Floyd, who also designed the Avro Arrow and led the Hawker Siddeley team on the M2.0 SST competition, realised through that work that the boom would be a show stopper. So this… Sweden and Tempest @chodpollard [On The 1961 HSA1011 model photoshopped against a sky background. @Trokii_UAV Shades of Sweden joining UK Team Backfire/Blinder in that... Tempest project] Huge @PaulMarks12 @PaoloNurra One looks @BurkhardDomke Was wouldn’t mind it taking me boost, no? Fascinating. It has like a Valkyrie that configuration really on holiday! something of an evolved about noise or about area VC10 about it. ruling and low(er) drag? @maou42 We could do @graysonottaway I’d @AusRailHistory Looks worse when it comes to suggest HS at the time like the perpetually ill-fated partners. The Gripen is @tropicostation That is were more than capable of @AvHistorian Shades of ‘Fireflash’ from the original a very decent airplane. just lovely. Concorde meets doing it too! the Carreidas 160? Thunderbirds series. Model of cheap and fast Hawker Hunter. maintenance/modularity and sensibly priced. Moon landing films Quad racing RAeS Pride flag @PhSw2016 Sweden @LettersfromTim [On @jonowstrower [On could contribute at Armstrong and Apollo 11 Airspeeder piloted least Saab’s software film reviews(4)] Exactly the quadcopter racing] Humans architecture which makes right guy to take that first might be the only species those quicker-than- step. Ad Astra Neil that dreams up more and competitors updates more fun ways to limit their possible. life expectancy. Launch your own Saturn V rocket @daveoflynn Bill Booth (a @Flyingarchivist That’s seminal figure in the history @wraillantclark [On @PrideInAviation You one short flight for an app of sport parachuting) refers RAeS Flies the flag would be most welcome at but the stairs to the top to it as risk homeostasis – for diversity blog(5)] @PrideInAviation event floor are exhausting... as you make an endeavour Great to see so many @city_airport on 18th safer, humans deliberately inclusive tweets August – World Helicopter add more risk. coming from the British Day @steerwithmyrear I’ve #aviation community just downloaded that and today! #PRIDEinSTEM it is wonderful! Blowing so Airbus 50 years book #PrideInLondon @Joshlesh This means many minds at RIAT HQ. the world. Well done and @JetCityStar [On Airbus pulling 50th anniversary thank you book] Lawyers firmly in @HurleyRob YES!! You @JohnChinner It’s did it! Great work control of both Airbus and gonna need more than a @JeffinerB !!! @AeroSoph Fame at Boeing. Sad times. roll program to get out of last! there. Love it. 1. AEROSPACE, June 2019, p 6, Boeing completes 737 MAX software update @RichardGearing As an 2. AEROSPACE, July 2019, p 10, Antenna 3. https://www.aerosociety.com/news/shapeshifting-supersonic-airliner/ @AeroSociety Trustee, I’m The lobby of No.4 4. https://www.aerosociety.com/news/apollo-50th-on-the-big-screen/ glad there was no damage Hamilton Place as seen 5. https://www.aerosociety.com/news/raes-flies-the-flag-for-diversity-in-aerospace-and-aviation/ to the building Look out through a Smithsonian @SpaceCornwall – you might have a competitor as a UK launch site! app showing a virtual reality launch of an Apollo 11 Saturn V rocket. Online Additional features and content are available to view online at http://media.aerosociety.com/aerospace-insight @aerosociety i linkedin.com/raes Find us on LinkedIn f facebook.com/raes Find us on Facebook. www.aerosociety.com www.aerosociety.com AUGUST 2019 13
AEROSPACE High value design Inspiration nation UK experts imagine the future of passenger flight – a hybrid, bio-inspired green airliner for sustainable aviation that could cut fuel burn by up to 50%. TIM ROBINSON reports on the Airbus ‘Bird of Prey’. A irbus has revealed a visionary concept engineering with creativity to define a product. from its engineers in Filton for a Explains Martin Aston, Senior Manager, Airbus and ultramodern, green airliner of the future project lead for Bird of Prey: “It’s that combination of – one possible outcome of where imagination, innovation and awareness of science, today’s advanced technology may take then converting that into a viable product.” us when designers’ imaginations are truly unleashed. Thought up by Airbus engineers at the UK’s Filton The Bird of Prey is a 80-seater, 1,500km range site who were given a brief to imagine the future of hybrid-electric regional airliner that incorporates the flight without any limits, the Bird of Prey was brought latest thinking in aerodynamics and flight control, to life by a British superyacht and industrial designer – structures and distributed propulsion to create the Rob McPherson of BezierLab. McPherson remarked: greenest ever future airliner. Using technology now “When I was approached to see if I’d be interested in under development, the Bird of Prey could provide creating a vision for a future airliner I jumped at the a 30-50% reduction in fuel burn compared to chance,” adding: “The brief was to create a concept equivalent aircraft today – a major leap in efficiency. which would be technically possible if we pushed Says Jeremy Greaves FRAeS, Vice President, ourselves to the limits but futuristic enough to inspire. UK Corporate Affairs and Strategy, Airbus: “This is It was delightful to be encouraged to think freely and a visioneering project where we asked our talented could only be done with such a visionary client!” flight physicists to imagine what the future could look The company stresses that the Bird of Prey should like.” The Bird of Prey then, is an example of critical not be seen as a firm Airbus programme, “or even as High Value Design (HVD) that combines preliminary having an entry-into-service date assigned to it.” Says 14 AEROSPACE / AUGUST 2019
Greaves: “It may not be real in current Airbus strategy Biomimicry as design inspiration or financial planning but it provides a headmark for future inspirations.” “The birds fly a lot better than we do,” observes Leslie As well as Airbus, the initiative (which includes a Howard as legendary Spitfire designer Reginald J large 2.5m wingspan static model unveiled at RIAT) Mitchell in the film ‘First of the Few’, “See how they is supported by the UK’s Air League, Aerospace wheel and bank and glide. Perfect. And all in one: Technology Institute, IET, Whitehall’s ‘Britain is Great’ wings, body, tail. All in one. And when we try, we build campaign and the Royal Aeronautical Society. This something all stuck together with strings and struts model will make for an impressive talking point and and wires. But, you wait. Someday, I’m going to build centrepiece at future aviation events and functions. A a plane that will move just like a bird.” That aircraft, ‘Phase 2’ of the initiative, says Airbus, could see this of course, was the iconic Spitfire, a paradox in being non-flying model transformed into a flying prototype perhaps one of the world’s most beautiful aircraft but as an exciting student design project for control built with a deadly purpose. systems. ‘Strings and struts and wires’ may have been Says Aston on the model and Bird of Prey replaced today by ‘nacelles, engine pylons and concept: “What we want to do is get people to look fuselage belly fairings’, but, some 83 years after the at that and say, ‘right, how would I design that’? What Spitfire’s first flight, modern design tools, advanced technologies would I put on there? How would I make materials, 3D printing, brought together with ‘high it work? How would I make it? How would I maintain it, value design’ (HVD) may allow tomorrow’s aircraft how would I make sure that it’s reliable?” engineers to pursue Mitchell’s vision of a perfectly The aviation industry has set itself tough targets streamlined ‘bird-like’ aircraft to its ultimate form for a to reduce its environmental impact – such as the EU’s more peaceful role, the Bird of Prey. Flightpath 2050 – which calls for a reduction in CO2 Says industrial designer McPherson: “During by 75%, NOx by 95% and noise by 65% by 2050. the initial meeting at Airbus I was briefed on the Above: Airbus’ incredible Concepts such as Bird of Prey will help turn these technology that was currently being developed and Bird of Prey concept airliner on which The Royal aspirations into reality by showing what might be one aspect was biomimicry. The talk was about making Aeronautical Society is possible and inspiring a new generation of aerospace wings more flexible/adaptive like a bird’s wing. Wing proud to be a partner. professionals to dream big. tip ‘feathers’ were discussed which led me to create a @aerosociety i Find us on LinkedIn f Find us on Facebook www.aerosociety.com AUGUST 2019 15
AEROSPACE High value design couple of concept sketches of a more natural looking may be ‘spray painted’ on using today’s automated wing. I wanted something that would look powerful systems. and purposeful, so decided to look at birds of prey for inspiration.” Moveable wingtips This is no mere aesthetics but would result in improved aerodynamics by taking cues from nature. Perhaps one of the most radical aspects of the Bird An albatross, with wing aspect ratio of 18:1 compared of Prey is in its individual wingtip ‘feathers’ – which to around 9.5 on an A320 is able to travel 1,000s of combine the drag-reduction function of traditional kilometres by barely using any energy. Blending the winglets, seen on many aircraft today, with the control wing and fuselage in an arch, mirrors how a bird’s and stability function of a bird’s feathers, replacing body blends into its wings and provides for maximum traditional ailerons and flaps. Only recently an idea aerodynamic efficiency. Instead of hinged ailerons like this might have seemed like science fiction. or flaps, the Bird of Prey would use highly-efficient However, advances in active and passive ‘morphing’ wing-tip feathers to ‘morph’ and control its flightpath, using shape-memory materials has now brought this as well as shaping the wing for various phases of advanced control system technology, a call-back to flight. Control using these active wingtip devices and the Wright brothers ‘wing-warping’, closer to practical distributed propulsion applications. would also allow the As well as NASA in the US, the UK is making tail empennage strides in this field. Earlier this year Airbus revealed that to be it had flown AlbatrossOne – a sub-scale demonstrator reduced in developed by its British size and Filton engineers which weight featured a movable hinged wingtip. The ‘semi-aeroelastic hinge’ on the AlbatrossOne allows the wingtips to freely flap – cutting down on turbulence and gusts, while and radically reimagined into a bird’s tail feathers to provide precision control. No vertical tail, as in the B-2 stealth bomber and various also reducing overall weight. Airbus Filton engineer UAVs, would allow for reduced drag and increased Tom Watson explains: “The Airbus demonstrator is the aerodynamic efficiency. first aircraft to trial in-flight, freely-flapping wing-tips As Mitchell’s Spitfire demonstrates, taking ideas to relieve the effects of wind gusts and turbulence”, from nature is nothing new for aerospace, but todays adding: “We drew inspiration from nature – the scientists are constantly discovering new applications albatross marine bird locks its wings at the shoulder for of biomimicry. Sharks and whales, for example, have long-distance soaring but unlocks them when wind- rough skin that paradoxically reduces drag in the gusts occur or manoeuvring is required.” water. That adaptation has been investigated by Airbus “The AlbatrossOne model will explore the benefits in a series of operational trials using test patches of unlockable, freely-flapping wing-tips – accounting of ‘riblets’ applied to aircraft surfaces. A further for up to a third of the length of the wing – to react All images used by kind permission from Airbus unless stated. development is that these rough drag-reducing skins autonomously during inflight turbulence and lessen 16 AEROSPACE / AUGUST 2019
the load on the wing at its base, so reducing the need Lower fuel burn would also translate into lower for heavily reinforced wing boxes.” operating costs, lower ticket prices for passengers and Combining these wingtip functions of gust thus potentially open up wider networks of regional response, drag and load reductions, with roll control airports for point-to-point travel. functions, as well as locking for long-range cruise, thus As well as its incredible fuel efficiency, the Bird brings an aeroplane close to the ultra-aerodynamic of Prey would also be a greener neighbour, as its efficiency of birds that are able to constantly reshape short-take-off capability would also allow it to climb their wings for different phases of flight. Bird of Prey out steeper, thus reducing the noise footprint on could be thought of as the ultimate extrapolation of the ground. With distributed power, the propellers, AlbatrossOne. too, could potentially act as yaw controllers, allowing smoother and more stable landings in crosswinds. Hybrid-electric power Indeed, with distributed hybrid-electric propulsion there may even be ways to ‘tune’ the propellers as The Bird of Prey would use a next-generation hybrid a form of ‘active noise control’ to redirect or reduce electric propulsion system for eco-efficient power, noise downwards to the ground. Germany’s DLR driving four A400M-style scimitar-shaped propellers. lab is already investigating this concept for a small The benefits of hybrid-electric propulsion is that regional airliner with distributed propulsion. An ultra- kerosene-powered engines (whether turbofans or quiet regional airliner would open up the possibility of turboprops) can be resized and optimised for the 24hour operations or increased frequencies at a far cruise phase of flight, rather than take-off and climb wider number of airports. where electric power is added to boost performance. Finally, a distributed hybrid-electric propulsion Fuel savings could thus be as much as 30% compared system would also provide additional levels of system to today’s designs – a massive jump compared to the redundancy and safety. A (highly unlikely) propeller average 1% that engine manufacturers can squeeze failure on one, two or even three propulsors could just The 2.5m wingspan Bird out of turbofan architectures each year. see the system reroute power to the other remaining of Prey model is set to Airbus is already leading the charge towards propellers. Four-engined aircraft (like the B-17) have provide an inspirational hybrid-electric propulsion with its E-Fan X landed before on single engines but a distributed talking point. A flying sub- demonstrator which it is set to fly in 2021 with propulsion system able to reconfigure and reroute scale demonstrator may partner Rolls-Royce. That ‘X-Plane’ which will fly with power dynamically as needed would provide far higher follow. the world’s largest (2Mw) airborne turbogenerator margins of safety. as a demonstrator for this large and powerful hybrid- electric system. 3D printing and geodesics Moving to a hybrid-electric propulsion system also allows aircraft designers to decouple the ‘propulsor’ Another advance that could be used on the Bird of (fan, ducted fan or propeller) from the ‘engine’ Prey is 3D printing and advanced composites to create (turbogenerator or battery), opening up radical an ultra-lightweight, almost ‘bird-like’ skeleton and new configurations in distributed propulsion structure in place of traditional fuselage frames, or that optimise aerodynamics, increase wing spars and structures. Parts made by additive layer redundancy and boost fuel manufacturing (ALM) or 3D printing have the potential Hybrid-electric propulsion technology is being efficiency. “We are at the to be up to 55% lighter than traditional parts. Already investigated with Airbus/ dawn of a new age in small 3D printed parts are appearing on aircraft such Rolls-Royce E-Fan X aviation,” says Rolls-Royce’s as the Airbus A350 – and these will continue to demonstrator, set to fly in Chief Technology Officer, expand in numbers and applications. 2021. Paul Stein. While long-haul, twin aisle aircraft will still need to rely on kerosene-powered aircraft, Airbus’ Chief Technology Officer, Grazia Vittadini, notes that the benefits of hybrid-electric power are such that: “It is definitely one of the configurations we are exploring injecting into our core products” when Airbus finally comes to design a replacement for its short-haul A320neo family. Distributed propulsion Distributed propulsion, too, may have other benefits. Much like an A400M or C-130J can perform short landings and take-offs using its propellers, so too could a propeller-driven hybrid airliner. This would enable it to operate into smaller airports and airfields. @aerosociety i Find us on LinkedIn f Find us on Facebook.com www.aerosociety.com AUGUST 2019 17
AEROSPACE High Value Design Even more excitingly, as well as using 3D printing aerospace, rather than sub-system design or ‘build to to replace existing parts on conventional configuration print manufacture’ where work can be easily shifted aircraft, ALM can free designers from thinking about around the world to cheaper workers. AlbatrossOne traditional shapes for structures, ushering in a new era Airbus’ Aston explains: “In 1998 the Ford Motor – a sub-scale of organic-looking aircraft. Airbus has already hinted at Company produced a study. What they found is that future possibilities with its 2050 concept airliner which 70% of a product’s complete life cycle costs are demonstrator features a geodetic-style fuselage structure. locked in at the preliminary or HVD phase. Which developed by Interestingly, the Bird of Prey’s geodesic (or means that, if you control that part of the process, you Airbus’ British geodetic) structure harks back to another famous are very, very influential. If we don’t do that, all we do Filton engineers aircraft built at Airbus UK’s Broughton site in the is become a build-to-print nation, take other people’s 1940s – the Vickers Wellington bomber. Geodetic designs and make them. Whereas, if we control the featuring technology, developed by Barnes Wallis, produced a product definition, we control what comes next.” advanced passive light but immensely strong and durable structure able However, that position (and the UK’s part in it) is movable wingtips. to take large amounts of punishment and damage, yet not guaranteed. Leaving the politics of Brexit aside, still remain airworthy. it is clear that the UK has been ‘living on past glories’ Twenty-first century 3D printing and computer where key decisions and research made years ago design make it feasible that this lattice-work style have allowed Britain to retain its crown as the designer structure could return in a more elegant form, and manufacturer of Airbus wings. The incremental combining beautiful organic shapes with extreme improvements to airliners such as the A320neo and strength. A330neo have resulted in conservative safe design choices, rather than radical configurations. Even the The need for HVD A350 XWB, while sporting elegant winglets, conforms to the ‘dominant configuration’ of tube, wings and To help develop an aircraft like the Bird of Prey, the UK engines set in the 1950s by the Boeing 707. Says needs to refresh and reinvigorate its shrinking HVD Aston: “We’ve taken the Wright brothers, aeroplane pool of talent. It is estimated, for example, that between and got it about as far as it’s going to get for now. It 1990 and 2015, UK HVD capabilities declined by now needs the next generation to come along and do around 30%. This is a relatively recent development. something really clever.” For the UK, its HVD contribution to Airbus has centred Today though, there are new challenges. The around wings, engines (via Rolls-Royce) and landing retirement of skilled and experienced aerospace gears. Research, begun decades ago with wind tunnels engineers and intense competition from new sectors and design tools which has allowed Airbus to soar to a such as IT or web start-ups, have stoked fears of a position where it commands a duopoly with Boeing. future skills gap for aerospace engineers. There is also HVD − or the ability to apply advanced competition from new entrants, such as China, which engineering from concept to market, is the ‘noble work’ is innovating at an incredible pace. China, although its that truly creates long-term value, growth and jobs in new C919 airliner looks highly conventional, is already looking to a future replacement with a potential V-tailed airliner model. It has to be remembered that it was COMAC Airbus’ willingness to take risks with a widebody twinjet, composites, a two-person flightdeck and FBW that allowed it to leap-frog over US competitors and see off both Lockheed and McDonnell Douglas as commercial rivals. Stagnating is a sure-fire way to decline. Says Aston of the UK’s position: “We’re on the edge. I think Far left: HVD never stands at the moment there is still real excellence in UK still. China’s COMAC, engineering, certainly in aerospace. But, unless we for example, is studying a actually invest in that capability and actually put it ahead V-tailed design airliner to of the global competition, we risk going into decline.” follow the C919. 18 AEROSPACE / AUGUST 2019
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