SUMMER 2021 - IS THE INFLATION GENIE out of the bottle?
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
SUMMER 2021 IS THE INFLATION GENIE out of the bottle? Will better-than-expected growth spark runaway inflation in 2021? IMPROVING PROSPECTS for Japan Signs of life have emerged as Japan’s main stock market, the Nikkei, breached 30,000 for the first time in three decades TIME IN THE MARKET, not timing the market Staying the course when investing is a simple lesson to understand but, for many, the hardest to apply
LIONTRUST CONTENTS Is the inflation genie out 4–5 of the bottle? Views of the Liontrust 6–7 Multi-Asset team Improving prospects for Japan 8–9 Time in the market, 10–11 not timing the market Facts and figures 12–23 2
views Welcome to LIONTRUST views – Summer 2021 Welcome to the Summer edition of Liontrust Views. 4 Inflation matters to all of us. Most obviously, this is because it makes the prices we pay for goods and services more IS THE expensive. Unless our income rises at least in line with the rate INFLATION of inflation, we will become poorer in real terms. GENIE out Governments and central banks have historically tried to of the bottle? contain and then reduce inflationary pressures by raising interest rates. This makes debt more expensive and will impact the performance of stock market listed companies. Usually, growth stocks are most negatively affected as they are priced more on the value of future earnings and these are reduced by interest rates going up. Our article on pages 4 and 5 examines the prospects for higher inflation, how persistent might it be and how might 8 IMPROVING PROSPECTS governments and central banks react. The article also discusses why stock markets worry about inflation. for Japan Equally, deflation can be damaging for economic growth and stock market performance. One country that knows this better than most is Japan and has been shunned by many investors as a result. On pages 8 and 9, we analyse whether Japan could be one of the winners from the global economic recovery. We look back at the forces driving stock markets over the past quarter and provide our latest investment views on pages 6 to 7. TIME IN THE MARKET, 10 One theme we have seen develop is a greater number of sharp movements in stock markets, both up and down. These can be painful for investors if monitored on a daily basis. But our article not timing the market on pages 10 and 11 provides analysis on the benefits of remaining invested over the long term and navigating through any such volatility. We hope you find this issue of Liontrust Views insightful and interesting. 3
views Just as Brexit and trade wars dominated sentiment in 2018/19 and Covid took the reins last year, the macro story of 2021 so far, beyond vaccination efforts, has been whether better-than-expected growth as the world reopens might spark runaway inflation and how that could affect John Husselbee recovery from the pandemic. This has meant a growing focus on central banks, with their every word analysed for any signs of a shift in policy. Inflation in the US has already crept above 5% year on year while for the future, with Fed chair Jerome Powell saying the economy is in the UK, the level has exceeded the Bank of England’s 2% target not yet at the point where slowing asset purchases is appropriate. for the first time in almost two years. Despite this, the US Federal Reserve and other policymakers insist this spike will be temporary, It is increasingly clear policymakers are walking a tightrope, citing the effect of pent-up demand being released as economies working out the point at which inflation changes from a side reopen and the fact most of the price pressure is in fast-recovering effect of growth to a challenge to it. areas hit hardest by Covid, such as air travel. While the factors cited by central banks (liquidity, base effects While higher and more volatile prices in the long term is a concern, of higher energy prices and pent-up consumer demand) have the more immediate worry is what central banks, despite efforts to created the current spike in inflation, we do not see conditions calm markets, might be forced to do if inflation continues to move forming, for now, that pave the way towards persistent higher upwards. Interest rate rises, for example, have been the classic prices over the longer term. Wage inflation has traditionally been way of curbing inflation but most countries have been able to keep key to higher overall levels, but the forces of globalisation and rates low to aid recovery from the pandemic and for much of the technology have kept this down in recent years and we believe last decade. Until recently the perception was that rate rises were any meaningful pick-up is unlikely over the medium to long term. unlikely until 2024 at the earliest and anything before that, even if still well into the future, would have an impact on sentiment. The Liontrust Multi-Asset investment team added to our exposure to index-linked bonds last year, for which the income paid rises in line Another part of the picture is central banks’ asset purchasing, known with inflation. While not predicting persistently higher prices, we felt as quantitative easing (QE), where they support the economy by that, given the fact central banks are prepared to accept some inflation buying debt and flooding markets with liquidity. Stronger-than- as part of the recovery from Covid-19, higher index-linked exposure is expected growth in the US and the UK has increased concerns a sensible holding. We were also able to access it at more attractive about when this support may be withdrawn, or tapered, which levels than today, where elevated inflation is reflected in prices; as could also spook investors and cause stock markets to fall. ever, we want to prepare for eventualities rather than react to them. With the caveat that things are changing daily, what can we say We would also press the case for real assets, defined as tangible about the current state of play? At its June meeting, the US Federal assets such as buildings, toll roads, solar or wind farms or Reserve announced higher expectations for inflation for 2021 and commodities such as energy, livestock or grains, which derive two potential rate rises in 2023. Even with the raised forecast for value from their availability and usability by consumers and this year, however, the Fed sees inflation moving down to its 2% businesses. These have proved an effective hedge against rising goal over the long run and continues to claim it has the tools to stop prices over a market cycle, with much of the revenue generated things running too hot. For now, ending QE remains a discussion structured as long-term inflation-linked contracts. Why stock markets worry about high inflation • Higher inflation means rising input costs (the cost of creating government and corporate debt, which was a product or a service), which companies may not be able to increased to get through the pandemic. offset through passing on higher prices to customers. • Inflation can be particularly damaging for • Higher inflation could pressure the US Federal Reserve and growth stocks in sectors like technology other central banks to scale back loose monetary and fiscal as they rely more on the value of future policies sooner than expected, which have been a major earnings, which is reduced if interest rates contributor to ongoing all-time highs in stock markets. are raised to contain the rate of inflation. This would be more detrimental to markets such as • Higher inflation pushes bond yields up, which means higher the US, where technology has been key to borrowing costs. This is a clear issue given high levels of overall returns over recent years. 5
LIONTRUST OVERALL • We continue to be positive about markets overall due to especially in Asia, are falling behind in their vaccine rollouts. central bank support, vaccine distribution and pent-up The emergence of new virus mutations also remains a concern. corporate and consumer demand being released. • While central banks such as the US Federal Reserve have • But there are challenges to this view, from growth disappointments started to discuss reducing levels of support for the economy, to ongoing pandemic risks. While overall recovery continues, we see no serious prospect of this turning into reality in the the picture is becoming more nuanced as some countries, short to medium term. EQUITIES • This positive ‘risk on’ environment continues to favour equities. • Since the positive vaccine news emerged late last year, there has been a far broader rally in stock markets amid an • Stock market recoveries since the 2020 lows are largely ongoing global rebound, and this has seen more cyclical justified by government spending and corporate results. We and value companies catching up with the growth names that remain positive on valuations outside of US mega caps, dominated for most of 2020. favouring cheaper regions such as Europe, Japan, emerging markets and the UK. • Bond yields are also starting to rise after a long period of decline and the general perception is that this tends to • Our long-standing concerns about stretched valuations in the penalise growth stocks. US remain, especially at the more speculative technology end, but 2021 earnings have surprised positively and even • We are optimistic about smaller companies, with improving this market is starting to offer better value. economic activity thanks to the vaccine rollout providing ongoing impetus for these largely domestic-orientated names which tend to lead the way during periods of recovery. 6
views BONDS • We remain broadly negative on bonds but always maintain • At present, given challenging conditions for bonds overall, we some exposure as zero weighting any asset class negates the favour higher-risk areas such as high yield and emerging market long-term benefits of diversification. debt, and recently increased exposure to index-linked bonds. • Bonds continue to meet four roles: providing some income, capital preservation, inflation protection and diversification from equities. CHANGES • As part of our latest target tactical allocation review, we • We remain cautious about the US but the stock market is pared back our exposure to Japanese equities slightly, moved offering better value after the recent cooling off. The key more positive on UK smaller companies and neutral on the question remains whether the US stock market is prone to US, and are slightly more constructive on UK gilts and global a deeper correction after the great acceleration of the last government bonds. year and we would suggest a shift towards ‘real world’ rather than virtual interaction will put further pressure on technology • Japan is still among our favoured cheaper equity markets and revenues and therefore potentially the tech mega caps. we feel the country is well positioned amid the ongoing global recovery. Our concern is about the country’s slow progress on • Finally, prospects have improved slightly for gilts and global Covid vaccinations, which could impact the domestic recovery. government bonds. While still towards the more negative end of our tactical asset allocation scale, this reflects yields moving • We are positive about UK small companies, with predictions upwards on the back of inflation concerns and looking slightly that the economy will grow at the fastest rate since the Second more attractive. World War over the rest of 2021. 7
Jap LIONTRUST I M P F R O P O R R V O I S N P G E C T S Japan has dropped off many investment radars over recent years, with detractors falling back on traditional concerns about poor corporate governance and deflation – when prices for goods and services fall – but there are indications this aversion is starting to turn. 8
pan. views Signs of life have emerged as Japan’s main stock market, the ‘Abenomics’ programme have been effective in pulling Japan Nikkei, breached 30,000 for the first time in three decades in out of its long slump, stretching back to the 1990s. In fact, the February, and the country was among the world’s most resilient situation had changed to such an extent that Bank of Japan (BoJ) economies in 2020. Japan is also in the spotlight as Tokyo hosts Governor Haruhiko Kuroda declared ‘victory’ in July 2019, the delayed 2020 Olympic Games despite slow progress on claiming that for the first time in 15 years the economy was no vaccinations and therefore no paying spectators. longer in deflation. Covid-19 has turned things on their head, however, and hit spending on services, which makes up around Japan has a large proportion of cyclical and value businesses a third of total consumption in Japan. While deflation is not and its broad exposure to industrials and exporters means expected to return, Kuroda has acknowledged the need for the country is well placed amid the current global economic vigilance on prices. rebound. Corporate debt is also low and companies, on the whole, are managed sensibly and conservatively. The long-term There are also growing fears that Japan’s progress could criticism has been that they are also run without much diversity, be derailed as the country tries to contain its latest wave of transparency or for the benefit of external shareholders. Coronavirus and speed up vaccinations. It is difficult to know what impact this might have but it seems sensible to suggest that A practice known as cross-shareholding has traditionally been while the country is set to benefit from a global rebound, its own seen as the worst example of poor transparency, where Japanese domestic recovery could be impacted. companies invest in each other and protect underperforming management teams via a cushion of automatic shareholder With Japan’s stock market back at levels last seen in 1990 support. Critics suggest this has fostered complacency, low and long-term threats of deflation and cross-shareholdings returns and poor governance, but changes to the corporate moving towards the past tense, we continue to see reasons to code and new listing rules on the Tokyo Stock Exchange suggest be positive about a cheap stock market with a cyclical bias. As the practice could be edging closer to extinction. events in India have shown, however, no one can afford to be complacent and we are keen to see the vaccination programme To deal with the other ‘mired in deflation’ criticism, structural accelerate, especially with the eyes of the world on the country changes ushered in by former prime minister Shinzo Abe’s during the Olympic festivities. 9
views Most investors will have heard the phrase ‘time in the market, not timing the market’ over the years and logged it as another financial cliche. And yet this phrase embodies perhaps the most fundamental lesson of successful investing: patient accumulation of returns, year after year, delivers long-term results. Staying the course when investing is a simple lesson to understand Investing will always involve market dips and volatility from time but, for many, the hardest to apply when faced with the reality to time but history shows these events have little impact on long- of rising and falling markets. We saw an extreme example of term performance. volatility when the full ramifications of the pandemic became clear last year, with a huge dip in March/April followed by a Consider the following figures on the impact of reacting to short- swift recovery. Those who stayed invested quickly saw paper term noise: missing the best 50 days in markets over 11 years losses evaporate but many that panicked into selling will have from March 2009 to February 2020, just 1% of trading days, seen substantial damage to portfolios – potentially exacerbated would have reduced the return from £100,000 invested in an by not getting back into markets fast enough to capture the average Cautious Managed fund from just over £218,700 to rapid recovery. just under £130,000 – which equates to 75% lower returns. £100,000 invested in a Cautious Managed Portfolio in March 2009 £250,000 £218,766 £200,000 £185,368 £163,188 £149,169 £150,000 £138,779 £129,998 £100,000 £50,000 £0 Fully invested Missing 10 best days Missing 20 best days Missing 30 best days Missing 40 best days Missing 50 best days Source: Liontrust, Morningstar. Cautious Managed Portfolio represented by IA Mixed Investment 20-60% Shares sector average £ total returns from 8th March 2009 to 20th February 2020. One of our favourite pieces of data shows that over rolling Looking over history, there are lessons to take from recoveries, three-month periods in the last 25 years, the FTSE 100 has which also apply to 2020. Bear markets typically have been been down 30% of the time and up 70%; if you extend this relatively short compared with recoveries and have had a period to rolling 10-years, the ratio shifts to 98% positive modest impact on returns compared with the long-term power periods. Making decisions based on short-term data rarely of bull markets. According to figures from Capital Group, the produces good results. average bear market going back to 1950 has lasted 14 months with a return of around -30% while the average bull period has We believe in what we call noise-cancelling investment: staying lasted five times longer, with total returns of close to 280%. the course in a well-diversified portfolio and ignoring market fluctuations as far as possible. Where investors have been These stats clearly show the benefits of staying the course and unable to do this, however, it is typically better to be too early not being panicked into selling but are also a stark example into markets than too late, particularly when it comes to of why too early beats too late, especially when it comes to recoveries from bear markets. It is better to be market recoveries. sitting on a train for a few minutes before it departs than trying to chase it down as it pulls out of the station. 11
LIONTRUST 12
views Facts & Figures QUARTERLY DATA European (but not Emerging market Asian (but not Emerging market US stocks UK stocks UK) stocks stocks Japanese) stocks bonds 8.41% 8.29% 5.60% 4.99% 4.66% 3.80% S&P 500 FTSE All World FTSE All-Share Index MSCI Emerging MSCI Pacific JP Morgan Global Composite Index Developed Europe Market Index excluding Japan Emerging Market excluding UK Index Index Bond Index US corporate Global high yield UK corporate European Global Japanese stocks bonds bonds bonds corporate bonds government bonds -1.10% TOPIX Index 3.42% 2.43% 1.74% 1.07% 0.91% Bloomberg Barclays ICE Bank of Bloomberg Barclays Bloomberg Barclays FTSE G7 Index US Corporate America ML Global Sterling Aggregate European Corporate Bond Index High Yield Bond Bond Index Bond Index Index To highlight the unpredictability of markets, the table below details This table demonstrates how volatile markets can be, and shows the performance of global equity and fixed income indices over the benefits of diversifying your investment, or in other words, not the past five years (in sterling terms). putting all your eggs in one basket. 1 Jul 2020 to 1 Jul 2019 to 1 Jul 2018 to 1 Jul 2017 to 1 Jul 2016 to Index percentage growth (%) 30 Jun 2021 30 Jun 2020 30 Jun 2019 30 Jun 2018 30 Jun 2017 US stocks 25.93 10.73 14.54 12.53 21.33 European (but not UK) stocks 22.99 0.70 8.00 2.92 28.95 UK stocks 21.45 -12.99 0.57 9.02 18.12 Japanese stocks 8.40 3.37 -4.43 7.17 21.58 Asian (but not Japanese) stocks 20.14 -10.02 12.23 7.06 23.07 Emerging market stocks 26.43 -0.14 5.40 6.84 27.79 Global government bonds -10.66 8.60 9.53 -0.06 -2.29 Global high yield bonds 3.39 2.40 11.54 0.45 15.68 US corporate bonds -7.60 12.79 14.85 -2.43 5.26 European corporate bonds -2.15 1.16 6.01 1.85 6.98 Emerging market bonds -4.46 4.57 15.48 -4.02 8.60 UK corporate bonds -4.24 10.17 5.43 1.61 0.75 Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Rebased in sterling where appropriate, i.e. all index returns are recalculated based on exchange rates to give returns for a sterling investor. Source: Morningstar Direct, 7 July 2021. 13
LIONTRUST Active fund range THE LIONTRUST MULTI-ASSET INVESTMENT TEAM John James Paul Kim Mayank Jen Causton Shayan Husselbee Klempster Markanday Ratnasingam PORTFOLIO CHANGES BOUGHT SOLD • n/a • Real Estate Credit Investments • JPMorgan Sterling Liquidity Fund 14
views CUMULATIVE RETURN 3 MONTHS 1 YEAR 3 YEARS 5 YEARS Fund and share class 31 Mar 21 to 30 Jun 20 to 30 Jun 18 to 30 Jun 16 to Total returns for the periods shown (%) 30 Jun 21 30 Jun 21 30 Jun 21 30 Jun 21 Liontrust MA Active Reserve S Acc 2.77 0.68 7.69 12.89 Liontrust MA Active Moderate Income S Acc 3.43 6.40 14.59 25.95 Liontrust MA Active Intermediate Income S Acc 4.52 13.86 20.93 40.45 Liontrust MA Active Progressive S Acc 5.33 18.87 23.23 55.14 Liontrust MA Active Growth S Acc 5.80 24.75 27.12 69.42 Liontrust MA Active Dynamic S Acc 6.13 26.46 32.64 74.74 DISCRETE YEARLY PERFORMANCE Fund and share class 30 Jun 20 to 30 Jun 19 to 30 Jun 18 to 30 Jun 17 to 30 Jun 16 to Total returns for the periods shown (%) 30 Jun 21 30 Jun 20 30 Jun 19 30 Jun 18 30 Jun 17 Liontrust MA Active Reserve S Acc 0.68 3.82 3.02 -0.58 5.45 Liontrust MA Active Moderate Income S Acc 6.40 3.90 3.66 -0.14 10.07 Liontrust MA Active Intermediate Income S Acc 13.86 2.01 4.11 1.83 14.06 Liontrust MA Active Progressive S Acc 18.87 0.07 3.60 5.87 18.92 Liontrust MA Active Growth S Acc 24.75 -1.40 3.34 7.39 24.10 Liontrust MA Active Dynamic S Acc 26.46 1.49 3.35 4.84 25.66 Source: Financial Express, as at 30 June 2021. Total return figures are calculated on a single pricing basis. Performance figures are shown in sterling unless otherwise specified. The fund performance figures are net of all fees. ASSET ALLOCATION FUND SELECTION WHAT WORKED? WHAT DIDN’T? WHAT WORKED? WHAT DIDN’T? • UK Property • Government bonds • Tritax Big Box • iShares MSCI UK • High Yield • BlackRock European Small Cap • Europe ex-UK equities Dynamic • BlackRock Asia • LF Lindsell Train UK Equity Special Situations • US equities • AB American Growth Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Do remember that the value of an investment and the income generated from them can fall as well as rise and is not guaranteed, therefore, you may not get back the amount originally invested and potentially risk total loss of capital. Please refer to page 24 for more information on the Key Risks. 15
LIONTRUST Blended fund range THE LIONTRUST MULTI-ASSET INVESTMENT TEAM John James Paul Kim Mayank Jen Causton Shayan Husselbee Klempster Markanday Ratnasingam PORTFOLIO CHANGES BOUGHT SOLD • n/a • Real Estate Credit Investments 16
views CUMULATIVE RETURN 3 MONTHS 1 YEAR 3 YEARS 5 YEARS Fund and share class 31 Mar 21 to 30 Jun 20 to 30 Jun 18 to 30 Jun 16 to Total returns for the periods shown (%) 30 Jun 21 30 Jun 21 30 Jun 21 30 Jun 21 Liontrust MA Blended Reserve S Acc 3.18 4.48 10.68 23.49 Liontrust MA Blended Moderate S Acc 3.92 8.87 15.00 33.64 Liontrust MA Blended Intermediate S Acc 4.25 13.32 17.76 41.62 Liontrust MA Blended Progressive S Acc 4.75 17.47 19.83 51.95 Liontrust MA Blended Growth S Acc 5.28 23.43 25.01 62.87 DISCRETE YEARLY PERFORMANCE Fund and share class 30 Jun 20 to 30 Jun 19 to 30 Jun 18 to 30 Jun 17 to 30 Jun 16 to Total returns for the periods shown (%) 30 Jun 21 30 Jun 20 30 Jun 19 30 Jun 18 30 Jun 17 Liontrust MA Blended Reserve S Acc 4.48 2.76 3.09 2.77 8.57 Liontrust MA Blended Moderate S Acc 8.87 1.88 3.68 3.17 12.64 Liontrust MA Blended Intermediate S Acc 13.32 0.21 3.70 4.56 15.02 Liontrust MA Blended Progressive S Acc 17.47 -1.47 3.52 6.26 19.33 Liontrust MA Blended Growth S Acc 23.43 -2.47 3.84 6.76 22.04 Source: Financial Express, as at 30 June 2021. Total return figures are calculated on a single pricing basis. Performance figures are shown in sterling unless otherwise specified. The fund performance figures are net of all fees. ASSET ALLOCATION FUND SELECTION WHAT WORKED? WHAT DIDN’T? WHAT WORKED? WHAT DIDN’T? • UK Property • Global Government • JO Hambro UK Equity • n/a • UK equities bonds Income • US equities • AB American Growth • LF Majedie UK Equity • Ossiam Shiller Barclays Cape US Value Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Do remember that the value of an investment and the income generated from them can fall as well as rise and is not guaranteed, therefore, you may not get back the amount originally invested and potentially risk total loss of capital. Please refer to page 24 for more information on the Key Risks. 17
LIONTRUST Passive fund range THE LIONTRUST MULTI-ASSET INVESTMENT TEAM John James Paul Kim Mayank Jen Causton Shayan Husselbee Klempster Markanday Ratnasingam PORTFOLIO CHANGES BOUGHT SOLD • BlackRock Corporate Bond • n/a • Vanguard UK Investment Grade Bond • Vanguard Pacific Ex-Japan • Vanguard Emerging Markets 18
views CUMULATIVE RETURN 3 MONTHS 1 YEAR 3 YEARS 5 YEARS Fund and share class 31 Mar 21 to 30 Jun 20 to 30 Jun 18 to 30 Jun 16 to Total returns for the periods shown (%) 30 Jun 21 30 Jun 21 30 Jun 21 30 Jun 21 Liontrust MA Passive Reserve S Acc 2.96 4.09 15.55 30.38 Liontrust MA Passive Moderate S Acc 3.31 7.15 17.04 36.53 Liontrust MA Passive Intermediate S Acc 3.68 10.84 18.91 44.34 Liontrust MA Passive Progressive S Acc 4.27 15.21 21.22 54.85 Liontrust MA Passive Growth S Acc 5.07 20.96 25.62 67.77 Liontrust MA Passive Dynamic S Acc 5.85 23.70 31.22 74.92 DISCRETE YEARLY PERFORMANCE Fund and share class 30 Jun 20 to 30 Jun 19 to 30 Jun 18 to 30 Jun 17 to 30 Jun 16 to Total returns for the periods shown (%) 30 Jun 21 30 Jun 20 30 Jun 19 30 Jun 18 30 Jun 17 Liontrust MA Passive Reserve S Acc 4.09 5.51 5.22 4.15 8.34 Liontrust MA Passive Moderate S Acc 7.15 3.43 5.61 4.53 11.60 Liontrust MA Passive Intermediate S Acc 10.84 1.98 5.20 5.95 14.56 Liontrust MA Passive Progressive S Acc 15.21 -0.25 5.48 7.75 18.55 Liontrust MA Passive Growth S Acc 20.96 -2.11 6.09 8.64 22.95 Liontrust MA Passive Dynamic S Acc 23.70 -0.44 6.55 7.54 23.95 Source: Financial Express, as at 30 June 2021. Total return figures are calculated on a single pricing basis. Performance figures are shown in sterling unless otherwise specified. The fund performance figures are net of all fees. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Do remember that the value of an investment and the income generated from them can fall as well as rise and is not guaranteed, therefore, you may not get back the amount originally invested and potentially risk total loss of capital. Please refer to page 24 for more information on the Key Risks. 19
LIONTRUST Income generating fund range THE LIONTRUST MULTI-ASSET INVESTMENT TEAM John James Paul Kim Mayank Jen Causton Shayan Husselbee Klempster Markanday Ratnasingam PORTFOLIO CHANGES BOUGHT SOLD • n/a • Real Estate Credit Investments • JPMorgan Sterling Liquidity Fund 20
views CUMULATIVE RETURN 3 MONTHS 1 YEAR 3 YEARS 5 YEARS Fund and share class 31 Mar 21 to 30 Jun 20 to 30 Jun 18 to 30 Jun 16 to Total returns for the periods shown (%) 30 Jun 21 30 Jun 21 30 Jun 21 30 Jun 21 Liontrust MA Active Reserve S Inc 2.76 0.73 7.65 12.92 Liontrust MA Active Moderate Income S Inc 3.43 6.40 14.59 25.95 Liontrust MA Active Intermediate Income S Inc 4.52 13.91 20.92 40.54 Liontrust MA Diversified Global Income S Inc 3.47 14.59 11.31 22.11 IA Mixed Investment 20-60% Shares (benchmark) 3.61 12.74 15.28 32.09 Liontrust MA Monthly High Income S Inc 2.17 7.91 7.63 18.80 IA Mixed Investment 0-35% Shares (benchmark) 2.51 6.86 11.68 21.66 DISCRETE YEARLY PERFORMANCE Fund and share class 30 Jun 20 to 30 Jun 19 to 30 Jun 18 to 30 Jun 17 to 30 Jun 16 to Total returns for the periods shown (%) 30 Jun 21 30 Jun 20 30 Jun 19 30 Jun 18 30 Jun 17 Liontrust MA Active Reserve S Inc 0.73 3.75 3.00 -0.58 5.51 Liontrust MA Active Moderate Income S Inc 6.40 3.90 3.66 -0.14 10.07 Liontrust MA Active Intermediate Income S Inc 13.91 1.97 4.11 1.76 14.21 Liontrust MA Diversified Global Income S Inc 14.59 -6.07 3.41 -1.15 10.98 IA Mixed Investment 20-60% Shares (benchmark) 12.74 -0.63 2.89 2.44 11.86 Liontrust MA Monthly High Income S Inc 7.91 -3.11 2.93 0.07 10.30 IA Mixed Investment 0-35% Shares (benchmark) 6.86 1.27 3.20 1.34 7.50 Source: Financial Express, as at 30 June 2021. Total return figures are calculated on a single pricing basis. Performance figures are shown in sterling unless otherwise specified. The fund performance figures are net of all fees. IA Mixed Investment 20-60% Shares is the comparator benchmark for the Liontrust MA Diversified Global Income Fund. IA Mixed Investment 0-35% Shares is the comparator benchmark for the Liontrust MA Monthly High Income Fund. ASSET ALLOCATION FUND SELECTION WHAT WORKED? WHAT DIDN’T? WHAT WORKED? WHAT DIDN’T? • UK property • Alternatives • Primary Health Properties • International Public • Convertibles • Tritax Big Box Partnerships • Europe ex-UK equities • BlackRock European • Artemis Income • US equities Dynamic • AB American Growth Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Do remember that the value of an investment and the income generated from them can fall as well as rise and is not guaranteed, therefore, you may not get back the amount originally invested and potentially risk total loss of capital. Please refer to page 24 for more information on the Key Risks. 21
LIONTRUST Specialist fund range THE LIONTRUST MULTI-ASSET INVESTMENT TEAM John James Paul Kim Mayank Jen Causton Shayan Husselbee Klempster Markanday Ratnasingam PORTFOLIO CHANGES BOUGHT SOLD • n/a • Real Estate Credit Investments • JPMorgan Global Core Real Assets • BMO Commercial Property Trust 22
views CUMULATIVE RETURN 3 MONTHS 1 YEAR 3 YEARS 5 YEARS Fund and share class 31 Mar 21 to 30 Jun 20 to 30 Jun 18 to 30 Jun 16 to Total returns for the periods shown (%) 30 Jun 21 30 Jun 21 30 Jun 21 30 Jun 21 Liontrust MA Diversified Real Assets A Acc 4.55 8.05 10.45 17.50 Liontrust MA UK Equity S Acc 5.86 21.86 9.69 43.33 IA UK All Companies (benchmark) 5.62 27.66 11.10 48.48 Liontrust MA Strategic Bond S Acc 2.16 4.57 5.83 14.99 IA £ Strategic Bond (benchmark) 1.82 6.13 16.02 24.36 DISCRETE YEARLY PERFORMANCE Fund and share class 30 Jun 20 to 30 Jun 19 to 30 Jun 18 to 30 Jun 17 to 30 Jun 16 to Total returns for the periods shown (%) 30 Jun 21 30 Jun 20 30 Jun 19 30 Jun 18 30 Jun 17 Liontrust MA Diversified Real Assets A Acc 8.05 -1.57 3.85 -0.34 6.74 Liontrust MA UK Equity S Acc 21.86 -11.15 1.31 6.94 22.19 IA UK All Companies (benchmark) 27.66 -11.03 -2.19 9.07 22.53 Liontrust MA Strategic Bond S Acc 4.57 -2.48 3.77 0.52 8.10 IA £ Strategic Bond (benchmark) 6.13 3.79 5.33 0.33 6.85 Source: Financial Express, as at 30 June 2021. Total return figures are calculated on a single pricing basis. Performance figures are shown in sterling unless otherwise specified. The fund performance figures are net of all fees. IA UK All Companies is the comparator benchmark for the Liontrust MA UK Equity Fund. IA £ Strategic Bond is the comparator benchmark for the Liontrust MA Strategic Bond Fund. ASSET ALLOCATION FUND SELECTION WHAT WORKED? WHAT DIDN’T? WHAT WORKED? WHAT DIDN’T? • Social Infrastructure • Renewable Infrastructure • BMO Commercial • John Laing • Commodities Property Trust Environmental Assets • Speciality Real Estate • LF Lindsell Train UK Equity Investment Trusts • LF Majedie UK Equity • Global Corporate Bonds • Robeco Global Credits Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Do remember that the value of an investment and the income generated from them can fall as well as rise and is not guaranteed, therefore, you may not get back the amount originally invested and potentially risk total loss of capital. Please refer to page 24 for more information on the Key Risks. 23
IMPORTANT information Key risks Past performance is not a guide to future objectively so may be incorrectly priced, and may performance. Do remember that the value of an at times be harder to sell. This could lead to investment and the income generated from them reduced liquidity in the Fund. Some also invest in can fall as well as rise and is not guaranteed, non-mainstream (alternative) assets indirectly therefore, you may not get back the amount through other collective investment schemes. originally invested and potentially risk total During periods of stressed market conditions non- loss of capital. mainstream (alternative) assets may be difficult to sell at a fair price, which may cause prices to Some of the Funds managed by the Multi-Asset fluctuate more sharply. Team have exposure to foreign currencies and may be subject to fluctuations in value due to The Funds’ investments are subject to normal movements in exchange rates. The majority of the fluctuations and other risks inherent when investing in Funds invest in Fixed Income securities indirectly securities. The issue of units/shares in Liontrust Funds through other collective investment schemes. The may be subject to an initial charge, which will have value of fixed income securities will fall if the issuer an impact on the realisable value of the investment, is unable to repay its debt or has its credit rating particularly in the short term. Investments should reduced. Generally, the higher the perceived always be considered as long term. There is no credit risk of the issuer, the higher the rate of certainty the investment objectives of the Fund will interest. Bond markets may be subject to reduced actually be achieved and no warranty or liquidity. Some Funds may have exposure to representation is given to this effect. The Funds property via collective investment schemes. therefore should be considered as a medium to long- Property funds may be more difficult to value term investment. Disclaimer This document is issued by Liontrust Fund Partners sources (which may have been used) which have LLP (2 Savoy Court, London WC2R 0EZ), not been verified. authorised and regulated in the UK by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN 518165) to All the information provided should be treated as undertake regulated investment business. confidential, information may constitute material non- public information, the disclosure of which may be It should not be construed as advice for investment prohibited by law, and the legal responsibility for its in any product or security mentioned, an offer to use is borne solely by the recipient. If this document buy or sell investments mentioned, or a solicitation has been produced for a professional audience it to purchase securities in any company or should not be distributed to, or relied upon by, retail investment product. Examples of funds are investors. It should not be copied, faxed, reproduced, provided for general information only to divulged or distributed, in whole or in part, without demonstrate our investment philosophy. the express written consent of Liontrust. All use of company logos, images or trademarks Always research your own investments and (if you are for reference purposes only. are not a professional or a financial adviser) please consult suitability with a regulated financial The document contains information and analysis adviser before investing. Any decision to invest that is believed to be accurate at the time of should be always based on the final Prospectus publication, but is subject to change without notice. and Key Investor Information Documents (KIIDs). Whilst care has been taken in compiling the content These documents contain important information of this document, no representation or warranty, which should be read before investing in any fund express or implied, is made by Liontrust as to its and they can be obtained, free of charge, from accuracy or completeness, including for external www.liontrust.co.uk or direct from Liontrust. All our documents are printed on recycled paper or paper from a sustainable source in accordance with either the FSC, PEFC or EU Ecolabel criteria to help keep our environmental impact to a minimum. 2021.07
You can also read