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38 STRATEGY AND RESOURCE ALLOCATION Market Demand Strategy (MDS) Transnet remains committed to the MDS and its principle of meeting validated market demand through new capacity and infrastructure, with the Capital Investment Plan as a key enabler. The MDS, now in its sixth year, aligns with the Shareholder’s priorities in the annual Shareholder’s Compact. R21,4 billion investment in infrastructure
TRANSNET Integrated Report 2017 39 Figure 5 Market Demand Strategy Ethical leade rship e orc rkf e wo Re iv gu tat lat en or res yc ep nt So om dr me un pl an ge dg ia nc ll e d ana ov er e lm Regional na ita nc i sk cap integration ea a an nd ild e um Bu th H So risk ic s un fra Investment Optim d g me ise Transformation leveraged ines s portf d cap ov Bus uity asset olio an tal i era work tin con utili sat d s nce ct ion je ro d and l p e an t m dge Ca pa on ita u cit p nb i t Ca y ca lida c Cr y a ce pa te va o ea cit d d re tio ead nd n ty bili lle at n o of Cos sta io ce h t-e relia cture f Industrial al na Health and ex ci th ff em ty nd A n in t e nal capability safety stru a g bili and finan ma ec atio building en tiv Infra inte str ef ued Oper grated organisational struc und nance Contin A ing Provision of critic and pipelines infrastructure tions in rail, logistics lass p o r t M g a ge d on y World-c ilit l a t i on s na opera ports in ab Fi nci al susta Community DS al en d e r re Skills Co r O rg a n to development e s t e ho l d er s ll a s development bor ec St a t i ve p r i v a t e - s me t ur e e ho l eg ra t co isa t ic ou p a r tic i p a ti o n t o s up a d f r ale im s tak al k co rci i on a r o h if t -s c per to o m a l i n al s t a il mp M ti ti a t i ve e s ge ra s and com m ar v tive t L e l re ar ke en Ma ess ssu ru c es ven adi r rket x te s Cu segm ent co m p e ti t i nst ne st ed sa ea s e tis o m e r ss ti c In cr m es Environmental nd Co fac Ah ti o n volu cri al a Employment Integrated stewardship ig h in te r m od a l er n - p e i nn s y s te m Int of rfo ova r m ti o s me an n Sus tain a tc o ce ble Developmental Ou cu e l tu r B u si n e s s e n a b l e rs O r g a nis a t i on al ou tc o m es 3 Read more The Shareholder’s Compact Framework
40 STRATEGY AND RESOURCE ALLOCATION continued MDS evolution The principal objective of the MDS is to close 2017 the gap between the market demand for cargo Figure 6 Year 5 transport and handling services and the capacity realigning 2016 with market to satisfy this demand. 2015 Year 4 expanding 2014 Year 3 2013 planning Year 2 2012 adjusted Year 1 MDS completed crafted EBITDA R18,9 billion R21,0 billion R23,6 billion R25,6 billion R26,2 billion Capital investment budget R300,1 billion R307,5 billion R312,2 billion R336,6 billion R277,8 billion Transnet has shifted focus from expansionary to sustaining objectives. The investment in sustaining infrastructure (as a percentage of the portfolio) has increased from 40% in MDS Year 1 to 60% in MDS Year 5. Infrastructure sustaining investment (% of budget) 42,0% 38,7% 51,0% 56,7% 60,0% Infrastructure expansion investment (% of budget) 58,0% 61,3% 49,0% 43,3% 40,0% Actual capital investment per year (including intangibles) R27,6 billion R32,3 billion R34,1 billion R29,8 billion R21,4 billion Capitalised maintenance (infrastructure, locomotives and wagons) (% of actual capital investment per year)1 25% 25% 22% 21% 29% Progress on mega-projects Number of MDS wagons 2 007 3 281 2 700 2 100 100 Number of GFB locomotives (1064, 95 and 60) – 9 110 50 183 Number of coal line locomotives (100 and 110) 14 862 NMPP phase 13 68% 81% 82% 97% 96% Manganese phase 1 4 FEL 3 FEL 3 11% 13% 93% Manganese phase 2 5 FEL 3 FEL 3 PFMA approval FEL 4 9% Waterberg upgrade phase 1 FEL 2 FEL 3 FEL 3 Approval FEL 4 Expansion of Cape Town Container Terminal 98% 100%2 – – – Coal line to 81 mt PFMA approval 18% 32% 49% 86% Ngqura container development (TPT and TNPA) phase 2A 89% 100%2 – – – Reconstruction of the Sheet-pile Quay Wall in Maydon Wharf5 13% 14% 89% 58% 88% DCT Berth deepening FEL 1 FEL 2 FEL 3 PFMA approval FEL 4 Overvaal Tunnel doubling FEL 1 FEL 2 FEL 3 FEL 3 PFMA approval 1 opex is based on annual maintenance initiatives for locomotives, rail infrastructure and wagons C and is generally spent fully within a financial period. 2 Projects completed. National Eastern Cape Gauteng Western Cape 3 he project faced challenges due to procurement delays for critical equipment, which has impacted the T schedule. The project, however, is back on track and will be completed within the 2017 calendar year. KwaZulu-Natal Northern Cape Mpumalanga North West 4 Project expected to be completed in the 2017/18 period. Limpopo 5 his programme has been re-baselined and optimised, and is now based on a revised schedule and T cost estimate.
TRANSNET Integrated Report 2017 41 Progress on the MDS Transnet invested R145 billion (excluding intangibles) in the past While still committed to a counter-cyclical investment strategy, our five years, and expects to invest a further R229,2 billion by 2024. implementation of the MDS in the current economic climate requires Current capacity remains ahead of demand across much of the more agility. Accordingly, we assess and rephase key programmes freight system. The MDS aims to grow rail volumes to 273 mtpa and projects in response to changes in global and domestic markets. by 2024. This increased capacity will be achieved through operational To accelerate growth, the Board of Directors of new revenue efficiencies, sustaining current infrastructure and rolling stock, streams, including appropriate acquisitions, and funding for the and by creating additional capacity for validated demand. Company’s geographical expansion into the rest of Africa. MDS strategic thrusts Transnet’s future success is underpinned by its culture and behaviours. We must hold a clear vision of a shared and prosperous future in which we pursue excellence in all we do, have an openness to learn and the discipline to deliver consistently high performance outcomes. Figure 7 Transnet has introduced four MDS strategic thrusts to drive an organisational culture that can thrive amid exponential change. Promote ethical leadership at all levels of the organisation. Continue to grow the modal shift from road to rail – increase weekly railed tempos. Develop and deploy innovative customer value propositions by harnessing the knowledge, experience and strengths across Fully implement Group-wide Capital Platinum Standard. Operating Divisions and functional departments. Optimise the capital portfolio and eliminate negative-return Meet efficiency-improvement targets through a high- projects. performance ethos, supported by the right skills at the right time. Identify cost-saving opportunities in procurement and eliminate unnecessary overhead and administrative expenditure. Provide reliable and predictable services and exceed customer expectations. Implement a capital and income statement planning system – ensure every Rand spent is justified and tied to growth. Build trust through an ethical and governance-led organisation. Maintain industry ‘legitimacy’ by practising care in the way Driven we impact the six capitals through all our activities. Efficient Agile Adaptable Admired Impeccable Innovative Motivated by excellence A Digital Inventive Customer-centric Advanced Single-minded United Embrace the benefits of technology to achieve Tolerant of others’ ideas interoperability, information transparency and integrated technical support systems. Understand our impact Implement real-time customer feedback systems, thereby enabling stakeholders to make informed assessments of Promote an ethical culture in all we do by recognising our performance. our connectivity to – and impacts on – each other and all our stakeholders. Introduce ‘click-of-a-button’ transparency on the state of Transnet’s capital portfolio. Engage the broader stakeholder base in proactive and responsive ways. Implement digital dashboards that show a ‘single version of the truth’ – focus problem-solving and decision-making Build enthusiasm and motivation by actively engaging accordingly to shift performance. people in the field. Create new mobile applications to display operational Know Transnet through its people – an ‘employer of activities and progress in real time. choice’ and a work environment in which to grow and prosper personally and professionally. Introduce appropriate ICT governance controls.
42 STRATEGY AND RESOURCE ALLOCATION continued Interconnected elements of the MDS The table below demonstrates the connectivity between our MDS strategic imperatives, commercial drivers and outcomes, and the value created for the economy through our Sustainable Developmental Outcomes (SDOs): MDS strategic imperatives MDS thrusts Financial sustainability Capacity creation and maintenance Agile Diversify revenue sources to reduce exposure to Promote efficiency through capital commodity demand and associated volatility. optimisation and a flexible project resourcing Manage liquidity and raise cost-effective funding. and delivery model. Pursue stringent cost management and optimisation Create critical logistics infrastructure and interventions – including re-shaping the core of capacity ahead of validated demand for cargo Transnet’s operations – in line with activity levels – transport and handling services. to improve productivity and efficiency; and Continuous enhancement of the project ultimately to enhance profitability. lifecycle programme methodology. Be resilient in the management of working capital. Generate a return on assets commensurate with the associated risk. Pursue private-sector partnerships. Implement ‘take-or-pay’ contracts and agreed escalation rates aligned with capital investment Deliver cost-effective solutions that are requirements. benchmarked to the market and quality Maintain key financial ratios. projects that deliver a return on investment Ensure the right size and agile capital portfolio while improving productivity and efficiency. to achieve strategic objectives, and to ensure Meet and exceed customer expectations by the Company is sufficiently agile to respond delivering projects within agreed commitments. to changing environmental factors. Create value for the customer through Commercial drivers specialised advisory services, and the Build a strong profile by networking with development and implementation of both Admired rating agencies, regulators, investors and other capital and non-capital solutions. key stakeholders. Develop highly competent finance personnel in addition to well-rounded business leaders. Drive digitalisation of the business through the Achieve project visibility for improved CIO Council in collaboration with various line decision-making through digital project functions, including New Business Development, portfolio dashboards based on key performance Digital with an emphasis on the commercialisation of indicators. digital products and the digitalisation of the Two sub-committees, namely the Digital Business organisation. Forum and the Cloud Governance Committee report to the CIO Council and ensure capacity and focus are created for digitalisation. Ensure key decision-makers and Operating Divisions Promote collaboration with stakeholders have the right levels of financial and operational and promote customer-centricity in delivery performance information for efficient decision- to co-create optimal solutions. making. United Commercial Continued financial stability and strength. Optimised capital portfolio and asset utilisation. outcomes Cost-effective funding. Creation of capacity ahead of validated demand. Collaborative private-sector participation. Provision of critical logistics infrastructure.
TRANSNET Integrated Report 2017 43 MDS strategic imperatives Sustainable Developmental Operational excellence Market segment competitiveness Outcomes Build operational readiness and infrastructure Promote an integrated and aligned regional Employment reliability by ensuring right skills at the right infrastructure network that allows for Measurable direct, time, appropriate digital innovation and strong value chain optimisation at network and indirect and/or induced governance capability. industry levels. employment. Provide ‘Project Factory’ support for large and Identify and pursue new business opportunities Skills development complex programmes. in existing and new markets by developing innovative products and logistics solutions. Enhanced or improved Mitigation of programme and project risks human capabilities. through: Reduce the total cost of logistics as a percentage of transportable GDP. Productive capacity of • The Integrated Capital Projects/Programme people within and outside Assurance Framework (ICPAF); and Promote end-to-end logistics solutions the Company. by partnering with private-sector • Transnet’s Integrated Assurance Model. logistics providers. Industrial capability building Leverage the complementarity of our Operating Grow Transnet’s brand reputation and Industrial development Divisions by optimising what makes Transnet credentials in existing and new markets. for South Africa. unique and gives us our competitive advantage. Develop market/segment-specific brand Improved competitiveness. Consistently transport record tonnages by rail and positioning strategies. heavy haul operations to achieve global standards. Investment leveraged Develop capabilities for improved and integrated Private-sector investment Grow capability in container and manufacturing branding, marketing and sales capacity. in the country’s freight sector transport and develop Transnet academies Promote Transnet’s commercial contribution logistics system. for skills development to reinforce our status as to economic growth and job creation. a trusted, innovative SA brand and a top employer Become a sustainable contributor to domestic Regional integration in South Africa. and regional growth. Improved freight logistics Increase our levels of responsiveness to the connectivity needs of our current customers. on the continent. Transformation Align reporting systems, measurements and Develop digital solutions to improve the ease Employment equity within dashboards with business processes to provide of doing business with Transnet. the Company. integrated customer and operational perspectives. Implement systems to increase the visibility Black Economic Utilise advanced data analytics to create ‘one of customer engagements and the resolution Empowerment within version of the truth’ for performance. of customer issues. supplier entities. As a digital organisation, avail analytics to end- Information and data will become the users through multiple digital platforms to core building blocks required to become a Health and safety support agile decision-making. logistically enabled organisation. Improved physical and Implement best practice reference models for mental health and safety digitalisation to serve as common platforms of employees. for all Operating Divisions, thereby ensuring Improved physical and uniformity and standardisation across the mental health and safety organisation. of communities. Succeed together by living the Transnet culture, Unite the people of Transnet around the common Community development promoting shared practices and aligning purpose of serving our customers with pride. Measurably improved measures and scorecards to build common Streamlined and effective contract management economic, social, cultural standards to meet customer expectations. activities across the Company to promote and environmental well- compliance with legal and contractual terms. being of communities. Environmental stewardship World-class operations in rail, ports and pipelines. Market competitiveness. Enhanced capacity of the Infrastructure reliability. Customer satisfaction. natural environment to Capital projects on time and within budget. Integrated intermodal system. meet the resource needs of future generations. Business continuity. Increased volumes. Large-scale shift from road to rail.
44 STRATEGY AND RESOURCE ALLOCATION continued Provincial Government Plans & P onal & ICC Nati Dev ent lanning Framework (LTP elo pm rnm -term P F) ove Long en tal lG LT c str ia apa at inc MDS and Corporate cit ya eg rov Planning nd ie s& & P ide Str s us al -w ate ta en on et nd ina a sn sa ss Plans, Opera gic b ran ion ate Busine s’ Strategic P ting an targ ili bl s ti T ivi por n lans ty Divisio d f et em Na p g D or Re un , in en tin et C s str sour di te ng g t la ra n ion ate ce ra nn pe rans ivis Operational Plans gic pla in gD en nn g T ab in tio Re O tin andsour le g a ns n ra m n e sio Focus (What) ful ce a en p D ivi fil llo d m O g c ng tin re) a t Pu e nt t ra he rp nni W os ( io e ng e Pla us n Op 10 oc nni g cial 7t nin to Pla F o1 50 y ovin Plan 7t gic 30 y 0 ye Transnet planning ing ng o1 rate l & Pr ears Da onths erm nni ann e ars r m 0 ye hierarchy y, w ahea ars Tim Pla te St Long-t ss Pl Nationa eek, olling ars ro onal Plan esc Corpora Busine month ale Operati lling d , Strategic planning Transnet’s strategic planning occurs at various levels. While each level addresses capacity planning Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 differently, efforts are fundamentally aligned and geared towards the same objectives. The Company’s Long-term Planning Framework is a critical link between national and provincial Figure 8 masterplans and policy, and Transnet’s MDS. The frameworks informing Transnet’s strategic planning and goal-setting are outlined in Figure 8. At each level, the Company ensures appropriate resourcing that is both aligned with targets, and able to adapt to changing market conditions and other external impacts. The MDS medium-term planning horizon P.4 To meet long-term demand, Transnet must invest for long-term growth prospects, but be mindful of short- to medium-term volatility in the domestic and international markets. This approach is reflected in the reduction of the Capital Investment Plan from R277,8 billion to R229,2 billion over the next seven years, in response to the lower-than-planned freight demand. Seven-year targets for the MDS strategic imperatives are shown below: Regional integration (Africa revenue) R million R million 2 095,1 1 860,1 1 864,9 2 135,4 2 828,2 226,8 1 250,0 1 512,5 1 981,6 Nil 25,8 31,1 44,5 8,2 268,8 323,8 455,7 Nil 117,8 222,0 321,8 3 527,3 4 224,8 5 631,8 3 000 6 000 2 500 5 000 2 000 4 000 1 500 3 000 1 000 2 000 500 1 000 0 0 Freight Rail Engineering National Ports Port Terminals Pipelines Total Africa Authority revenue 102 Read more More information on Transnet’s short- to medium-term commercial outlook
17 500 20 000 15 16 16 17 1 2 1 5 5 1 1 2 7 1 2 30 000 15 000 17 500 25 000 12 500 15 000 TRANSNET 20 000Integrated Report 2017 45 10 000 12 500 15 000 7 500 10 000 7 500 10 000 5 000 2 500 5 000 5 000 0 2 500 0 Freight Rail Engineering National Ports Port 0 Terminals Pipelines Overall capital R million Authority investment Freight Rail Engineering National Ports Port Terminals Pipelin Authority Financial sustainability Capacity creation Financial sustainability R million R million R million % (Capital expenditure per Operating Division) 15 654 65 478 16 240 75 646 16 828 93 402 17 035135 288 945 27 557 860 32 180 720 52 399 1 065 72 549 25 104 21 772 1 208 27 264 1 582 45 279 2 765 3 189 5 921 15 431 44,4% and 2,9 times 45,0% and 2,7 times 45,2% and 2.9 times 37,8% and 4.0 times R million R million R million 65 478 75 646 93 402 135 288 27 557 32 180 52 399 72 549 25 104 21 772 27 264 45 279 2 765 150 000 60 000 20 000 R million R million 2 020 1 768 5 653 5 745 2 419 7 390 1 706 2 216 1 845 599 21 438 23 375 28 036 32 173 150 000 60 000 20 000 20 000 120 000 50 000 16 000 35 000 17 500 120 000 50 000 30 000 16 000 90 000 40 000 12 000 50 15 000 90 000 25 000 40 000 12 000 12 60500 000 30 000 8 000 40 20 000 10 000 60 000 30 000 8 000 30 000 20 000 4 000 15 00030 7 500 30 000 20 000 10 000 4 000 5 0000 0 0 0 2 500 Revenue EBTIDA Cash flow0from Net profit 5 000 0 Gearing and cash 0 operations after tax interest cover R million 0 Revenue EBTIDA 0 Cash flow from Net operations aft Freight Rail Engineering National Ports Port Terminals Pipelines Overall capital Authority investment Capacity creation Market Financial (Capital segment competitiveness sustainability expenditure per Operating Division) (Rail Addressable Market Share growth: RAMS % NTK) Market segment competitiveness R million R million R million R million R million% (Rail Addressable Market Share growth: RAMS % NTK) 478 646 402 30 288 557 32 180 399 549 25 104 21 772 264 279 2 765 189 5 921 23 15 431 44,4% and 2,9 times 45,0% and 2,7 times 45,2% and 2.9 times 37,8% and 4.0 times 654 240 828 035 945 860 720 065 2 020 1 768 5 653 5 745 208 582 2 419 7 390 30 1 706 2 216 845 599 21 438 23 375 28 036 32 173 % 1565 1675 1693 135 27 52 172 127 145 22,1 1 3 29,4 31 31 22,1 25 23 23 20 000 150 000 60 000 20 000 35 000 17 % 29,4 31 31 25 23 30 17 500 30 000 120 000 50 000 16 000 15 000 30 25 25 000 12 90500 000 40 000 25 12 000 50 20 20 000 10 000 60 000 30 000 20 8 000 15 00040 15 7 500 15 10 000 5 000 30 000 20 000 4 000 30 10 2 500 5 000 10 50 0 0 0 0 0 Revenue EBTIDA Cash flow5from Net profit Gearing and cash 0 Freight Rail Engineering National Ports operations Port Terminals Pipelines after tax Overall capital interest cover General Freight Intermodal Authority investment 0 General Freight Intermodal Financial sustainability Operational excellence Market R Railsegment million Freight volumes competitiveness R million Operational excellence R million % 65 478 75 646 93 402 135 288 27 557 32 180 52 399 72 549 25 104 21 772 27 264 45 279 2 765 3 189 5 921 15 431 and 2,9 times and 2,7 times and 2.9 times 37,8% and 4.0 times (Rail Addressable Market Share growth: RAMS % NTK) Freight Rail volumes 150 000 mt 60 000 20 000 29,473,8 3176,0 3176,0 3076,0 22,157,2 2560,0 2360,0 2360,0 219,1 234,0 246,1 273,0 % mt 73,8 76,0 76,0 76,0 57,2 60,0 60,0 60,0 219,1 234,0 246,1 273,0 120 300 000 50 000 16 000 44,4% 45,0% 45,2% 30 300 250 90 000 40 000 12 000 50 25 250 200 60 000 30 000 8 000 40 20 200 150 30 000 20 000 150 4 000 30 15 100 100 0 100 0 0 50 Revenue EBTIDA Cash flow from Net profit Gearing and cash 5 50 operations after tax interest cover 0 0 Export coal Export iron ore Total Freight Rail 0 volumes General Freight Intermodal Export coal Export iron ore Total Freight Rail volumes Market segment competitiveness Operational (Rail Addressableexcellence Market Share growth: RAMS % NTK) Freight Rail volumes 2017 2018 2020 2024 % 29,4 76,031 76,031 76,030 22,1 60,025 60,023 60,023 mt 73,8 57,2 219,1 234,0 246,1 273,0 30 300 Performance The year Short-term Medium-term highlights ahead planning planning 25 250 20 200 15 150 10 100 5 50
46 STRATEGY AND RESOURCE ALLOCATION continued Transnet long-term planning principles United Nations Sustainable Development Goals Provide capacity marginally ahead of demand to enable and 1 8 9 11 12 promote economic growth in South Africa and in the region Figure 9 Adopt sustainability principles as part of development plans, including improved energy efficiency and reducing 2 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 carbon emissions Integrate rail, port and pipeline planning within Transnet 3 9 11 12 Pursue alignment with national road and electricity 4 7 8 9 11 12 13 supply planning Assume that operational efficiency is optimised first, then 5 8 9 12 consider infrastructure-based capacity solutions Target rail suitable freight to shift from road to rail 6 8 9 11 12 13 Benchmark internationally on world-class handling services, 7 9 11 12 new technologies and best practices. Plan to improve South Africa’s global competitiveness by 8 8 9 11 12 reducing the total cost of freight transport and logistics. Identify opportunities in Africa and leverage the economies 9 8 9 11 12 of scale in global trade Provide responsive infrastructure that meets South Africa’s 1 5 6 7 8 9 economic needs in line with the New Growth Path and the 10 10 11 12 13 14 15 National Development Plan Transnet’s long-term strategic perspective Two baseline fundamentals are apparent: P.4 The world stands on the brink of a technological revolution that • The customer is at the centre of all that is conceived, designed will fundamentally alter the way we live, work and relate to one and executed, and informs all efforts, powered by both new and another. The digital 4th Industrial Revolution will see a fusion of current technologies; and technologies poised to disrupt almost all industries and transform • Technology is a key enabler to realise short-, medium- and production, management and governance systems. Transportation long-term objectives. and communication costs will likely drop, and logistics and global supply chains will become more effective, with the cost of trade As the custodian of competitiveness of the country’s transport diminishing at a rapid rate, all of which will drive new markets and logistics industry, Transnet will look at replicating and and economic growth. The 4th Industrial Revolution promises a possibly leading disruptive industrial innovations by consuming systemic transformation that impacts civil society, governance new technologies such as AI, 3D printing, Internet of Things (IoT) structures and human identity in addition to having solely and robotics, which exponentially increase the pace of change. economic and manufacturing ramifications. Transnet’s Digital Transformation strategy is focused on innovation that supports investments in technology, business Maximising the penetration of Transnet’s current market with processes and business model review to create value for existing products is a key focus of the MDS. Equally important will customers, employees and the Shareholder. be the diversification of business with new services and markets. Digitalisation is an opportunity to accelerate diversification and to realise new business models for Transnet.
TRANSNET Integrated Report 2017 47 Transnet 4.0 – ‘Transnet of tomorrow’ Management has adopted the Transnet 4.0 vision for accelerating growth in the context of the 4th Industrial Revolution. The aim is to deliver on MDS outcomes, while fundamentally reinventing the existing business model to acclimatise to the challenges and opportunities of this emerging paradigm. Transnet 4.0 has three main growth areas: Accelerate efforts to extend the Company’s footprint in the fast-growing 1 Geographic expansion regions of Africa, Middle East and South Asia. Transform from being a business primarily focused on transport and 2 Product and service innovation cargo handling towards becoming a fully integrated logistics service provider, offering end-to-end solutions to key partners. Establish an advanced manufacturing capability in rail, ports and transport Expanding the scope of Transnet’s 3 manufacturing business as an original equipment manufacturer (OEM) for Africa through the provision of customer-focused asset lifecycle solutions. Transnet International Holdings focus areas Rail The sector’s primary aim is to grow cross-border volumes and enable regional integration, focusing on the: • Maputo Corridor (South Africa, Swaziland, Mozambique); • East/West Corridor (South Africa, Namibia, Botswana, Lesotho); and • North/South Corridor (South Africa, Zimbabwe, Zambia, Democratic Republic of Congo, Tanzania). It is anticipated that rail operators will execute a unified railway system per corridor, as if no boundaries exist between countries involved. The increase in cross-border volumes is the largest revenue driver of the Transnet International Strategy. Engineering As economic growth in Africa unfolds, the need for a road-to-rail modal shift intransportation becomes more urgent, and the demand for rolling stock and associated maintenance will increase. Engineering already operates in this space and is well positioned to meet increased demand. Capacity of its extensive manufacturing facilities is easily increased by initiating additional shifts. The development of the TransAfrica Locomotive is expected to satisfy a market need at a competitive price. Ports The basis of Transnet’s geographic expansion for the ports sector lies in port concessions, which remain lucrative in the region. The low incidence of distressed or cancelled contracts demonstrates that this route has achieved the desired outcome. Excluding South Africa, approximately 69% of all containers are shipped through terminals operated by the private sector. While port concession opportunities are limited, Transnet is well positioned to compete in this arena. Pipelines The discovery of new oil and gas reserves in Africa has resulted in a significant demand for new infrastructure capacity and new-build project opportunities. Oil and gas commodity prices remain low and, in some instances, below project hurdle rates, placing a damper on new-build plans. Numerous new-build opportunities are likely to reach final investment decision in 2018, and will be issued to the private sector on concession. This signals a strong political desire to drive oil revenues and provide frontier economies an opportunity to enter the global oil and gas sector. Transnet is well placed to participate in such concessions.
48 STRATEGY AND RESOURCE ALLOCATION continued Digitally enabled growth 1 Geographic expansion The above three converging growth areas will be underpinned by the optimal use of technology to drive service proficiency and reliability. Transnet 4.0 requires that we become a multi-faceted As custodian of the South African ports, rail network and pipeline and service-oriented manufacture-driven, digital organisation. infrastructure, enhanced connectivity of the regional freight system The rapid incorporation of leading technologies into new and is a priority, and is embedded in the Statement of Strategic Intent existing products and processes will be a key characteristic as and the Shareholder’s Compact. Transnet International Holdings (TIH) Transnet moves forward. will co-ordinate all activities beyond the borders of South Africa. TIH was approved by the Transnet Board of Directors, DPE and the Minister of Finance. It is envisaged that TIH will be operational Resourcing for the long term: during the financial year. Transnet of tomorrow The current linear model of growth, founded on resource consumption and pollutant emissions, is unsustainable. 2 Product and service innovation Transitioning towards a more circular economy will require fundamental changes to Transnet’s business model. Disruptive Key initiatives to support Transnet’s focus on product and service innovation is already reshaping our existing business model innovation include: and how we prepare for the ‘Transnet of tomorrow’. • Introducing portfolio management to develop solutions from ideation to concept launch; The United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) commissioned an analysis of the options for a green economy • Supporting the growth of the natural gas sector in South Africa transition for selected key economic sectors in South Africa, at by developing and implementing a business case for Transnet’s the request of the South African Department of Environmental role as a national LNG and gas infrastructure developer and Affairs . The findings reflect that longer-term sustainable growth 1 operator; is related to the management of natural resources. Increasing the • Encouraging PSPs through a combination of efforts such as efficiency of use and curbing waste of such resources would separating the terminal and rail haulage business; creating reduce the decline – and support the growth – of some capitals. digital track-and-trace; and sharing asset utilisation with the private sector; Transnet has developed the Sustainability Risks and Opportunities • Intensifying Transnet’s footprint regionally and globally with Assessment (Transnet SROA©)2 methodology to: competitive supply chains on corridors; • Identify risks and trends that have a likelihood of occurring over • Creating and enhancing logistics ecosystems to accelerate Transnet’s long-term planning period (30 years), that would have economic growth through our property portfolio; a high impact on Transnet’s ability to deliver on its mandate; and • Establishing Transnet as Africa’s own rail, ports and • Identify and recommend opportunities to enhance value transport OEM; and creation over the long term. • Driving property/spatial development and innovation. • Pursuing digital solutions and other exponential growth Analysis of Transnet’s long-term sustainability risks and trends opportunities in the context of the 4th Industrial Revolution. identified six key emerging risk areas, with their parallel emerging opportunities, namely: • Circular Economy3 • Disruptive Technology4 Expanding the scope of Transnet’s 3 manufacturing business • Energy • Water • Biodiversity We intend to expand the scope of our manufacturing capabilities • Social Inequality as well as seek new markets for existing products. Engineering will soon launch a shunting locomotive targeted at the African market 77 Read more and, additionally, develop a mainline locomotive. The Operating More information on emerging risks and trends. Division has also expanded into the ports sector, focusing on the maintenance and enhancement of cargo-handling equipment. 1 UNEP: South African Green Economy Modelling Report, 2013. 2 The SROA process was driven by a 27-participant team from multiple disciplines, of which 17 were Transnet employees. The SROA team performed a scenario analysis on the six risk areas to determine how each risk may evolve over the next 30 years. A valuable outcome of the process was a set of recommendations for diversifying revenue streams, harnessing co-benefit opportunities and reducing operating costs based on re-imagining the ‘Transnet of tomorrow’ from a sustainability perspective. An alternative to a traditional linear economy (make, use, dispose) in which we keep resources in use for as long as possible, extract the maximum value from 3 them while in use, then recover and regenerate products and materials at the end of each service life. 4 Technological innovations that create new market and value networks and eventually disrupt an existing market and value network.
TRANSNET Integrated Report 2017 49
The conceptual roadmap of the ‘Transnet of tomorrow’. Rail infrastructure 30-year rail Resourcing fundamentals infrastructure Our vision for improved rail services includes investment: Align infrastructure with freight type. new elements of service reliability, while rolling stock models will be upgraded and refined to provide a better representation R167 billion Improve operational characteristics. Ensure network connectivity. of journey times, dwell times and turnaround 30-year rolling stock Standardise infrastructure. times. Corridor services will offer infrastructure end-to-end solutions, thus aligning mainline Align with Prasa/non-Transnet operator investment: upgrades with train-handling requirements requirements. at the endpoints. R283 billion Match capacity to demand. Develop regional integration. Port infrastructure 30-year port Resourcing fundamentals infrastructure Improve infrastructural and We envisage new port sites along South investment: operational efficiency. Africa’s coast, with sustainable approaches for future port development. Ports will R226 billion Maximise port zone functions. harness the value of leading-edge emerging Develop back-of-port logistics areas to digital technologies. Durban’s container increase port capacity. capacity planning will be revised and a more comprehensive suite of import options will Integrate and align port and rail capacity planning. be devised for natural gas through the port Maintain flexibility to respond to changing system. This landscape will also consider the technological and economic conditions. potential port and pipeline infrastructure required to import and distribute gas in Respond to environmental opportunities South Africa, including Floating Storage and and constraints. Regasification Units (FSRUs) power barges Develop regional integration. and land-based power generation. Port system-wide capital investment. Align with planning initiatives of key stakeholders. Pipeline and Gas 30-year pipeline and Resourcing fundamentals gas infrastructure Align with the planning initiatives of local, infrastructure investment: provincial and national Government, and other Transnet will identify new pipeline, terminal and storage investment opportunities in R38 billion key stakeholders. Maintain flexibility to respond to changing South Africa. We envisage much improved technological and economic conditions. planning across the liquid fuel system as a result of better engagement with key Respond to environmental opportunities and stakeholders such as Government, oil constraints in a sustainable manner. majors and historically disadvantaged Follow a common user principle in developing South Africans. Sustainable infrastructure an integrated liquid fuels supply system. will consider rehabilitation, reuse and optimisation of existing infrastructure. Provide a logical range of facilities to meet Transnet will enjoy successful partnerships local as well as hinterland demand. with other gas roleplayers. Transnet Integrate and align pipeline with port and oil Infrastructure Planning will also be terminal capacity planning. upgraded to meet the fast-evolving gas energy landscape, with due consideration Maintain the flexibility to respond to changing for the drivers of natural gas use and other technological and economic conditions. Government initiatives. Meet the market demand and provide equitable access and capacity for all parties that want to participate in the oil and gas business sector. Facilitate the DoE’s security of supply objectives Africa expansion to comply with the Petroleum Pipeline Act and the Gas Act. Transnet envisages multiple rail, port and pipeline projects on the continent, facilitated through Transnet International Improve infrastructural and operational Holdings. Specific strategies are developed around areas of efficiencies and reduce transport and interest. The regional freight system benefits from deeper logistics costs. integration and enhanced connectivity. Transnet continues to participate in the New Partnership for Africa’s Development (Nepad) Business Foundation, Southern African Railways Association, Port Management Association of Eastern and Southern Africa and other regional forums.
The Transnet Electrons Data Molecules 2046 LTPF period Declining Renewable Artificial growth in Risk energy smart grid intelligence petroleum demand mitigation Electric vehicle Augmented Water The following list (EV) recharge reality pipelines represents trends and infrastructure events that require continuous assessment Integrated Desalination and have the potential into satellite facilities to pose risks and/or opportunities: 2024 MDS period ‘Uberisation’ of mobility Concentrated Drone Catalyse systems solar power (CSP) surveillance biofuels industry Structural changes in Energy system Broadband Gas commodity demand transformation bunkering Autonomous road freight systems Microwave transmitters Rapidly advancing Social activism: #mustfall Coastal wind environmental campaigns energy supports regime ‘Green Port’ Customer- Automation impacts centric platform on job opportunities Gas pipelines Scale up Rapidly advancing rooftop solar PV Blockchain environmental regime application LNG import Changing demand terminals for petroleum Internet of Things Energy system transformation New competencies 2017 Financial year Pilot rooftop Social activism Petroleum required to navigate solar PV ‘must fall’ campaigns pipelines 4th Industrial Revolution Fibre optic backbone Digital-led innovation Electrons Data Molecules Diversification of Diversification of revenue Diversification of revenue streams revenue streams by streams by leveraging digital by leveraging core competence in leveraging property innovation: infrastructure to: portfolio for: Extension of fibre backbone Tolling model for LNG infrastructure Rooftop solar PV to value-added service such as Identify revenue-generating potential broadband, cellular and WiFi Wind energy across the biofuel value chain opportunities Concentrated solar power Rent port space for desalination facilities Digital service offerings (or diversify into this market) Electric vehicle recharge Customer loyalty programmes centres Secure partnership to supply renewable (e.g. Discovery drive loyalty energy to desalination facilities Co-benefit programme) opportunities: Rent access to water pipelines within Co-benefit opportunities: corridors Support road-to-rail Provision of digital access to initiatives through Co-benefit opportunities: communities in proximity to collaboration with car Integrate biodiversity ecosystem services Transnet network manufacturers through into biofuels industry provision of EV centres Reduce operating cost by: Position SA ports as leading gas bunkering Advanced manufacturing Removing intermediary costs on the continent of upstream energy through digital replacement infrastructure Build competency in desalination and sell Preventing theft through on into other markets Reduce operating drone surveillance cost by: Reduce operating cost by: Minimising time wastage via Pursuing renewable real-time augmented reality Lowering exposure to oil price volatility energy cost at price parity through biofuel switching Increasing efficiency via with grid electricity Lowering carbon tax exposure through automation and autonomous Minimising energy cost processes biofuels volatility Securing water supply via access to desalinated water for usage in operations
of tomorrow Freight Manufacturing Service Declining Industrial Meteorological 2046 LTPF period commodity scale 3D big data demand printing analytics Road-to-rail Waste stream Waste trading modal shift optimisation digital platform well advanced and upcycling Autonomous Automisation 2024 MDS period Drone pilot road freight impacts job training system opportunities Drone New Upstream freight system competencies energy infrastructure ‘Uberisation’ of Biodiversity mobility system ecosystem services Advanced manufacturing Road-to-rail modal shift Advisory Drone services Conversion to manufacturing 25k Kv AC traction Tourism strategy marketing Distributed 2017 Financial year Wayside energy power technology storage system adopted for most corridors to provide the most optimal Locomotive operating model manufacturing Road railer freight Freight Manufacturing Service Diversification of Diversification of revenue Diversification of revenue revenue streams by streams by leveraging core streams by leveraging core leveraging property competence in manufacturing to: competence and strategic assets: portfolio for: WESS can be sold into the SADC South African tourism industry has Distributed power and Africa market growth potential technology for most Participate in upstream emerging Advisory services can be targeted corridors renewable energy market in South to public sector areas where Dual voltage Africa and Africa capabilities are lacking locomotive fleet Establish and dominate local drone Biodiversity revenue-generating Road-to-rail freight market and scale up to reach opportunities are emerging, African markets especially where there is a linkage Drone freight system into the food value chains Leverage existing decentralised Co-benefit property portfolio to launch an The waste trading digital platform opportunities: agnostic EV recharge may have significant growth Freight node infrastructure opportunity as well as scalability of optimisation the platform solution into other Co-benefit opportunities: geographical markets Improved energy Skills and competencies in the generation and energy manufacturing space and The meteorological big data distribution (low move downstream to maintenance analytics capability will provide carbon) information relevant to multiple Opportunity to establish a industries. (e.g. insurance industry) Reduced cost of business around the training of moving things drone pilots Reduce operating cost by: Reducing operating Utilising ecological infrastructure Reduce operating cost by: cost by: instead of civil infrastructure Optimising waste management wherever viable Creating economies initiatives of scale by optimising Optimising waste management flow densities over Lowering energy cost through initiatives long distances waste-to-energy conversion
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