Spring 2018 IESO Operations Outreach "Integration" - June 2018
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Agenda Time Agenda Item Responsible Party Expected Actions 8:45am Coffee 9:15am Opening/Welcome Remarks Dave Devereaux Information 9:20am Operations Update Pedro Rebellon Information and • Review of Winter Operations Discussion • Ice Storm Preparation • Summer Outlook 09:50am Break 10:00am Quarterly Outage Assessments Joseph Ricasio Information and Discussion 10:25am Market Update Jessica Tang Information and • Review of Price Spikes Discussion • 30 Minute Reserve for Flexibility 10:40am Break 10:55am New Technology Diljeet Singh Information and Discussion 11:10am Integrating New Facilities / Equipment Samuel Jager Information and Bryan Hartwell Discussion 11:40am Closing Remarks Dave Devereaux Information 2
Spring 2018 IESO Operations Outreach Operations Integration Update Pedro Rebellon Engineering Manager Operations Planning June 20, 2018
Presentation Outline • Winter 2017-2018 Review – Winter colder than usual, increased reliance on gas resources; • April 2018 Ice Storm Review – Forecast, anticipated impact, integration to secure power system – Preparations showed value – limited impact on load/generation • 2018 Summer Outlook – Reliability Outlook remains positive for Summer 2018 Positive outlook is the result of the consistent effort and contribution by all stakeholders – thank you! 4
Energy Adequacy Assessment Winter 2017-18 Source: 18-month Outlook, October 2017-March 2019 Winter 2017-18 forecast showed sufficient energy supply for the firm scenario Integration of gas units ensured availability and operability 6
Generator Output by Fuel – Monthly Report Source: IESO Web Site Public Reports Winter 2017-18 colder than usual; integration of higher demand and more reliance on gas-fired resources 7
Ice Effects on Power System Equipment • Ice build-up on insulators increases risk of outages due to flashover, exacerbated by high contamination levels; • Ice accumulation on overhead conductors may lead to catastrophic failure of poles, line towers and structures; • Possible consequences: – Pole damage, permanent faults; – Flashover/trip of multiple circuits, entire switchyards and stations; – Widespread load/generation loss Ice may impact multiple elements and facilities, well beyond power system design criteria 9
April 2018 Ice Storm Forecast and Outcome Weather Forecast Fri 13 - Mon 16 Weather summary for Ontario and the national capital April 2018: region issued by Environment Canada at 4:57 p.m. EDT Monday 16 April 2018: Strong winds, heavy rain, ice pellets, A major winter storm struck Southern Ontario over the up to 30 mm freezing rain; storm moving weekend seriously affecting travel and causing numerous from Southwest to Eastern Ontario; power outages due to falling trees and wires. Here is a summary of the weather that the storm has produced in some places. Total precipitation amounts are from early Saturday morning until 2 pm this afternoon. • Toronto: 18 hours of ice pellets, 6 hours of freezing rain, packed ice pellet depth 7 to 12 cm. Winds gusted as high as 96 km/h • Ottawa: 9 hours freezing rain Sunday and 6 hours freezing rain today; winds gusts of 60 to 70 km/h • Hamilton: 11 hours of ice pellets Saturday, 6 hours of ice pellets mixed with freezing rain Sunday, then 8 hours of freezing rain. Winds gusts to 87 km/h Sunday afternoon. Maximum packed ice pellet depth 15 cm. • London: 14 hours of freezing rain mixed with ice pellets; • Windsor: 6 hours of freezing rain 10
Integration to Secure Power System Storm Preparation Actions Stakeholders Cancelled outages planned for the weekend Generators, transmitters, loads Recalled ongoing outages of major transmission circuits Transmitters Committed additional generation resources and staffing Generators Confirmed gas supply availability, return units on outage Gas transmitters, generators Coordinated assistance with neighboring jurisdictions Reliability Coordinators Verified insulator contamination levels at various stations Transmitters Improved safe posture limits to preserve energy in Generators, transmitters Northeast and Northwest regions of Ontario Increased operability posture (FETT interface) Generators, transmitters Informed Crisis Management Support Team (CMST) CMST Storm preparations proved valuable, storm impact on load and generation was limited and contained 11
Impact of April 2018 Ontario Ice Storm More than twenty 115 & 230 kV circuit trips, mostly caused by high winds and galloping conductors earlier in the storm; several structures damaged; After the ice storm was over, heavy rain caused a roof leak at a major transformer station, leading to more trips of transmission circuits; Near 400 MW total cumulative load loss Significant impact on wind turbines due to blade icing, causing unplanned power derates and shutdowns Ice accumulation on towers and conductors less than forecasted; some evidence ice buildup varied depending on elevation 12
Summer 2018 Outlook 13
Summer 2018 Weather Forecast Summer weather forecast: above normal Severe weather forecast: hotter and drier than usual in some regions 14
Reserve Above Requirements Source: IESO 18-month Outlook Jul 2018 – Dec 2019 Reserve Above Requirement = Available Resources – (Demand + Required Reserve) 10,000 Reserve Above Requirement [MW] 8,000 Firm Scenario Normal Weather 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Firm Scenario -2,000 Extreme Weather -4,000 01 Jul 2018 16 Sep 2018 02 Dec 2018 17 Feb 2019 05 May 2019 21 Jul 2019 06 Oct 2019 22 Dec 2019 Week Ending Reserves are at or above requirement for Summer 2018 15
Forecast peak demand Summer 2018 Source: IESO 18-month Outlook Jul 2018 – Dec 2019 Season Normal Weather Peak (MW) Extreme Weather Peak (MW) Summer 2018 22,076 24,535 Winter 2018-19 21,328 22,235 Summer 2019 22,016 24,460 Year Normal Weather Energy (TWh) % Growth in Energy 2015 136.2 -1.9% 2016 136.2 0.0% 2017 132.3 -2.8% 2018 (Forecast) 133.7 1.0% 2019 (Forecast) 134.0 0.3% Summer Peak 2018 Winter Peak 2019 Summer Peak 2019 Notes Description Firm Planned Firm Planned Firm Planned Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario Scenario 1 Installed Resources (MW) 37,044 37,060 36,922 37,998 36,866 38,396 2 Total Reductions in Resources (MW) 12,122 12,127 10,449 10,461 10,254 10,722 3 Demand Measures (MW) 630 630 793 793 533 533 4 Firm Imports (+) / Exports (-) (MW) -102 -102 -500 -500 0 0 5 Available Resources (MW) 25,451 25,462 26,766 27,830 27,144 28,207 Sufficient resources for the firm scenario peak demand, with no anticipated reliance on support from external jurisdictions 16
Energy Adequacy Assessment Summer 2018 Source: IESO 18-month Outlook Jul 2018 – Dec 2019 Sufficient energy supply for the firm scenario, with no anticipated reliance on support from external jurisdictions 17
Reliability Outlook remains positive for Summer 2018 Sufficient capacity and energy supply, with no anticipated reliance on support from external jurisdictions Reserves are at or above requirement for Summer 2018 Natural gas storage levels expected to be adequate; gas-fired generating units demonstrated unit readiness; gas-electric coordination meeting held in May 2018 If extreme weather conditions occur, the IESO may reject some generator maintenance outages to ensure that Ontario demand is met during the summer peak Positive outlook is the result of the consistent effort and contribution by all stakeholders – thank you! 18
Thank You! 19
Spring 2018 IESO Operations Outreach The Growing Significance of an earlier Operating Plan Joseph Ricasio Senior Power System Specialist, Operations Planning June 20, 2018
Reliable operations of the Ontario grid benefits from a good operating plan. Together, we have, and will continue to strive for a good operating plan. 21
Agenda 1. What is a good operating plan? 2. Why an earlier operating plan? 3. How we establish an early operating plan? 4. Example of how we benefitted 22
What is a reliable Operating Plan? Adequacy: The ability of the power system to provide sufficient capacity and energy to meet demand, and have sufficient transmission to deliver supply to connected loads. Security: The ability of the power system to withstand reasonably foreseeable contingencies, and not result in instability, uncontrolled separation, or cascading outages. 23
Why Operating Plan is more significant now? Ontario system is aging and changing • Significant upgrades to Transmission Stations • Nuclear refurbishment & retirements • Changing supply mix Demands an earlier Operating Plan • Market participants (MPs) benefits from earlier certainty • Outage assessments will require longer lead time due to complexity of unique or unfamiliar scenarios • Earlier outage facilitation will help reduce and simplify out-of-scope scenarios 24
Agenda 1. What is a good operating plan? 2. Why an earlier operating plan? 3. How we establish an early operating plan? 4. Example of how we benefitted 25
Outage Management System Redesign (OMSR) Considerations • More uncertainty the further out an assessment is conducted. • More time spent on assessment if assumptions change. Therefore, assessment is ideally not as comprehensive. • Quarterly advanced approval is meant for outage plans that ensure a high certainty of a reliable Operating Plan (i.e. pre-studied scenarios). 26
Adequacy: Normal to Extreme Weather Criteria Reserve Above Requirement (RAR) = Available Resources - (Demand + Required Reserve) 10,000 8,000 Firm Scenario Normal Weather Firm Scenario 6,000 Extreme Weather RAR [MW] 4,000 2,000 0 -2,000 -4,000 01 Jul 2018 16 Sep 2018 02 Dec 2018 17 Feb 2019 05 May 2019 21 Jul 2019 06 Oct 2019 22 Dec 2019 Week Ending Considerations • Extreme criteria will impact generator (and possibly transmission) requests in the Summer. • 2000MW for Extreme imports is assumed if this is achievable. 27
Security: Outage Conflict Checker (i.e. Matrix) Rule Name Element List Threshold Reason Circuit A West Region Circuit B 1 Thermals Circuit C Considerations • If outage plan is within Outage Matrix, high certainty that outage plan is approved. • Exceptions for outage combinations that are unavoidable (e.g. clearance). • Dynamic outage guide – relax the rule if too restrictive, and add a rule if found to be a reliability concern. 28
Agenda 1. What is a good operating plan? 2. Why an earlier operating plan? 3. How we establish an early operating plan? 4. Example of how we benefitted 29
Background of Operating Plan Example Flow East Toward Toronto (FETT): Consists of 4 500kV circuits and 6 230kV circuits Outage request: Multiple non-recallable generation outage East of FETT Study findings: Insufficient generation to address re-prep limit and reserve requirements 30
Lessons Learned from Operating Plan Example Adequacy: Imports assumption could be impacted (Michigan & New York bottled) Security: FETT transmission vs East of FETT generation Need to adapt and prepare to new future (i.e. reoccurring scenario) 31
Benefits of looking ahead More time spent on complex outage combination, and resulted in a good operating plan Outage plans salvaged (e.g. reschedule and re-scoping) instead of rejection Additional improvements will be applied prior to next set of outage plans 32
Continue to improve the Operating Plan Resource & Study & MP Long Transmission Matrix Term Planning Updates Coordination Coordination 33
Summary 1. What is a good operating plan? Acceptable adequacy, security, and operability. 2. Why an earlier operating plan? System is aging, and many complex non-recallable long-term critical outages underway. 3. How we establish an early operating plan? Added up to 7 months of early assessment, greater co- ordination, & outage conflict checker. 4. Example of how we benefitted. More time spent on assessment and co-ordination resulted in: – Earlier certainty, and salvaging of outages. – A good integrated operating plan. 34
Questions? 35
Market Update Jessica Tang Operational Assessments, IESO
RESERVE FOR FLEXIBILITY 37 37
Some Factors Affecting Need for Flexibility VG may be Potential for providing requiring more VG Forecast flexibility flexibility Committed Potential for resources may be requiring more providing flexibility flexibility Demand Forecast 38
Enabling System Flexibility • The proposed solution was to increase the 30-minute OR requirement to indicate the need for flexibility to the market. • The solution leverages off existing market processes, and may meet the need for flexibility by scheduling or committing additional resources as required. 39
Enabling System Flexibility • The process to increase the 30-minute OR requirement for flexibility was implemented on May 23rd, 2018. • An Advisory Notice is issued when the 30-minute OR requirement is increased for flexibility, and the increase is also reflected through the Total Operating Reserve Requirement amount in the Adequacy Report. 40
New Technology Integration Diljeet Singh Market & Technology Integration, IESO
Agenda • IESO Operations Update - MTI • Energy Storage – Background • Energy Storage – Operational Challenges • Grid-LDC Interoperability Standing Committee Update 42
Market & Technology Integration (MTI) • Need for a dedicated unit within Operations to facilitate transition of projects/products/services from innovation to operational stage • MTI – a new team created within Operations to champion the following: – Assess and anticipate potential impacts of changing power system markets and technology on Operations – Enable seamless integration of these changes into IESO administered markets (IAM) and system operations (via tools, processes, & staff training) – Leverage opportunities from and manage risks of these changes to ensure efficient execution of IAM and effective system operations 43
IESO’s Energy Storage Portfolio (110.5 MW capacity procured as of April 2018) 44
Energy Storage Procurement & Timeline 2012 2014 2015 2017 Alternative Technologies for Grid Energy Storage Procurement - Phase II Regulation (6 MW) (16 MW) • Evaluate alternative technologies • Investigate storage for responding to for regulation service market signals • Different technologies selected for technology diversity Grid Energy Storage Procurement - Phase I (33 MW) • Investigate storage for regulation, and Regulation RFP (55 MW) reactive support and voltage control • Two new storage facilities selected (RSVC) through competitive RFP • Projects across different zones to • Complement existing 100 MW evaluate their effectiveness at alleviating regulation service local constraints or restrictions 45
NORTHEAST ESSA OTTAWA BRUCE EAST TORONTO SOUTHWEST NIAGARA WEST 46
Energy Storage - Operational Challenge What the IESO system Reality… model “sees”… G Generator Load A SINGLE storage facility that TWO separate facilities with no can withdraw, store and inject storage capacity and no discernable energy relationship with each other 47
Energy Storage - Operational Challenge What the IESO system The result… model “sees”… • Risk of conflicting dispatch between the two facility components modeled • Dispatch Scheduling and Optimization (DSO) model has no awareness of storage capacity or ability to optimize it G Generator Load TWO separate facilities with no storage capacity and no discernable relationship with each other 48
Grid-LDC Interoperability Standing Committee Update Objective: • Establish a partnership to discuss issues & opportunities for a more coordinated operation of Ontario’s electricity system; • Identify how existing capabilities can be enhanced to increase the efficiency & reliability of Ontario’s electricity system, and • Increase awareness of upcoming changes at both the grid & distribution levels to understand the impact on system operations and develop new capabilities to manage them. 49
Grid-LDC Interoperability Standing Committee Update DER Survey: Gain better understanding of DER penetration levels, technical limitations and communication (visibility & control) – Survey revised based on LDC feedback and re-issued – High response rate received from participating LDCs LDC Data Sharing Pilot: Improve operational visibility and forecast accuracy through greater visibility of DERs – First Pilot: Receive aggregated embedded generation telemetry from 2 LDC’s – Started adding aggregated telemetry for DERs < 5 MW by station for Alectra and Enwin Standing Committee Agenda for 2018: – Develop an Operational Risk Assessment with LDCs, identifying and prioritizing risks, creating need for new operational capabilities 50
Summary • MTI is a necessity within Operations given the evolving market & system conditions • Storage portfolio is growing and coming online • Grid-LDC Interoperability Standing Committee is moving well 51
Questions
The Connection Assessment Process Samuel Jager, Connection Assessments, IESO June 2018
Introducing Connection Assessments • New facilities or modifications of existing facilities connecting to the IESO-controlled grid change the operating characteristics of the system (locally and/or globally). • The Connection Assessment and Approval (CAA) process ensures these changes don’t have an adverse effect on the reliability of the IESO-controlled grid (Section 6 of Chapter 4 of the Market Rules). • The CAA process is implemented via System Impact Assessments (SIAs) and the Expedited System Impact Assessments (ESIAs) (Market Manual 2.10). 54
The Connection Assessments Process • Applicants must seek out the Connection Assessments process prior to connecting. • Occurs ahead of registering equipment in the Operations Integration process 55
SIA Process Overview Through the following steps, the SIA process identifies solutions to maintain the reliability of the IESO-controlled grid: • Connection applicants submit an SIA application • The IESO enters an SIA agreement with the connection applicant and performs the necessary studies. • The IESO issues a draft SIA report to the connection applicant and transmitter for review and comments. • Once agreement is achieved on the report the IESO issues a final SIA report and a NoCA or NoDR to the connection applicant. 56
Clarifications and Opportunities • We want to hear from you! Please contact the connection assessments (CA) group anytime there’s a question or concern. • The CA group routinely looks to improve delivery of services while maintaining system reliability. • The CA group targets to follow up on any inquiry as soon as possible - typically within 2 business days. • All communication during the SIA process is confidential. Only the final SIA/ESIA report is published by the IESO • We encourage kick-off meetings (face-to-face, if preferred) and regular meetings on project status to ensure all parties are well informed. 57
Clarifications and Opportunities (contd.) • Spare equipment used for regular maintenance or repairs that involve replacement of primary equipment can be pre-assessed • Though the SIA/ESIA is intended to assess the final stage of the project, providing information on critical intermediate stages within the SIA/ESIA raises awareness amongst all involved parties • The current application forms contain sufficient provisions for submitting both temporary and spare equipment information to the IESO for connection assessments. • Our team is currently working with regulating bodies and industry to improve the effectiveness of integrating of non-traditional generation including DER technologies into our processes 58
Connection Assessments Information • Market Manual 2.10: Connection Assessment and Approval Procedure http://www.ieso.ca/en/sector-participants/market- operations/-/media/2b4b86bbada344a9a36beeab0e722fbe.ashx • Webpage: http://www.ieso.ca/en/sector-participants/connection- assessments/obtaining-a-connection-assessment • Contact: connection.assessments@ieso.ca 59
Operations Integration Bryan Hartwell, Operations Integration, IESO June 2018
Introducing Operations Integration • New facilities or modifications of existing facilities need to integrated into tools and business processes for reliable real-time operation of the IESO controlled grid and IESO administrative markets. • The IESO uses the facility registration process to assess whether market participant’s facilities or boundary entities meet all minimum requirements defined by the market rules. • The IESO has established procedures, via Market Manual 1.1 and 1.2, for the implementation of the Operations Integration process. 61
Operations Integration • The following main processes are part of Operations Integration: 1. Participant Authorization 2. Facility Registration 3. Commissioning facility (test, re-test, test again) 4. Manage the current information (updates) 5. Performance Validation 62
Facility Registration Lifecycle 63
Registration Approval Notification - RAN • RANs are issued for different reasons, such as: – New equipment – Updated/Modified equipment – New organization/participation types – De-registrations and withdrawals – Various stages of a facility lifecycle (e.g.: on-potential, on-load, commissioning, injection, or dispatchable, etc.) – Register for Demand Response • Purpose: – Inform Control Room of changes to ICG and IAM that affect operation of such. – A checklist to ensure IESO activities to support change are completed; such as: modelling, metering, commissioning, etc. 64
Registration Approval Notification Year # of RANs issued 2005 96 2014 363 2015 424 2016 362 2017 448 65
Performance Validation • Not strictly a part of the registration process itself, • Registered data is verified through study and field testing, • Verify facilities have met requirements stipulated in SIA, • Verify facilities comply with regulatory standards. 66
Upcoming Additions to Online IESO • User changes to Market Meter Participant role • User changes to Owner/Operator role • User initiation of facility/org name change, or withdrawal from market 67
Questions?
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