Spheria Emerging Companies Limited - ASX: SEC Full-year FY2021 Results & Portfolio Update
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Full-year FY2021 Highlights 3 Strong results with Company performance up 55.5% FY21 profit Company Yield (including Interim dividend Yield performance1 franking) $40.2m +55.5% 5.0c 3.5%2 4.8%3 • FY21 net profit after tax of $40.2m, a material turnaround from the net loss in FY20. • Company NTA performance of +55.5% • Final dividend of 5.0 cents per share (fully franked). Annual dividend yield equal to 3.5%2 (4.8%3 including franking). • FY21 annual dividend of 8.5 cents is an increase of 55% on the FY20 annual dividend of 5.5 cents, in recognition of the strong profit for the year. • New target dividend yield of 4% of NTA p.a. (5.4% including franking), paid quarterly, for FY22, beginning in the September 2021 quarter. • On-market share buy-back of $9.9m to date, ($3.1m during FY21), adding 2.8 cents of NTA per share. 1 Calculated as movement in Company’s pre-tax NTA, which includes tax on realised gains/losses and other earnings, but excludes any provision for tax on unrealised gains/losses, adjusted for dividends paid by the Company. 2 Annualised dividend yield when combined with FY21 interim dividend of 3.5 cents per share, calculated on share price as at 30 June 2021 of $2.40 3 Annualised dividend yield when combined with FY21 interim dividend of 3.5 cents per share, calculated on share price as at 30 June 2021 of $2.40 using 26% tax rate
4 NTA breakdown for FY21 30 June 2021 NTA 30% higher than IPO price of $2.00 + $0.935 - $0.010 - $0.007 - $0.060 $2.80 + $0.010 $2.599 $2.60 $2.40 $2.20 $2.00 $1.731 $1.80 $1.60 $1.40 $1.20 $1.00 Pre-tax NTA Portfolio Tax provided Company Dividends Buy-back Pre-tax NTA 1 July 2020 performance or paid expenses paid accretion 30 Jun 2021 Source: Spheria Emerging Companies
5 Dividends FY21 final dividend of 5c, up 100% on FY20 • Final dividend of 5.0 c per share. Full year dividends of 8.5 c, a dividend yield equal of 3.5% (4.8% including franking). • Total dividends since IPO of 24.0 cents per share Dividend History 6 FY21 Final Dividend 5 Final 5.0 cents dividend Amount per share 4 (100% Maiden Final franked) Cents per share dividend dividend Interim 3 (100% (100% Ex-dividend Date 7 Sept 2021 dividend franked) franked) Interim (100% dividend Final franked) 2 (100% dividend Interim franked) dividend (100% Dividend Record Date 8 Sept 2021 franked) 1 (100% franked) 0 Dividend Payment Date 22 Sept 2021 21-Sep-18 20-Mar-19 20-Sep-19 20-Mar-20 23-Sep-20 24-Mar-21 22-Sep-21 Dividend Payment Date Source: Spheria Emerging Companies
Dividends 6 New 4% dividend target, paid quarterly • Higher dividend: New target dividend yield of 4% of NTA p.a. (5.4% including franking) puts SEC in top half of Australian Equity LIC income payers • More regular dividend: Paid quarterly, for FY22, beginning in the September 2021 quarter Domestic Equity LIC/LIT Dividend Yield (Net and Gross) 12% Final dividend 10% (100% New SEC target franked) yield = 4% net Final 8% dividend and 5.4% gross (100% Interim franked) dividend Sector weighted average 6% Interim (100% dividend gross dividend yield = 4.9% Final franked) (100% 4% franked) dividend Interim (100% dividend franked) 2% (100% franked) 0% WAM WMI DUI CDM MIR QVE AFI FSI TEK NCC OPH WAX WAA PIC WAR WHF CIN WLE BKI SEC AMH NSC MLT WIC DJW ARG ACQ FGX SNC CAM NAC TOP PL8 AUI RYD OZG Gross Yield Net Yield Source: Spheria COMPANY SOURCE: Emerging Companies, Company DATA, IRESS, Data,POTTER. BELL IRESS, Bell BASED Potter, Based on last 12 ON LAST 12-month MONTH dividends/distributions paid. As at 30 June DIVIDENDS/DISTRIBUTIONS PAID.2021. AS AT 30 JUNE 2021.
Performance History 7 FY21 Company performance up 55.5% SEC Company performance Performance as at 31st July 2021 Since Inception Period 6 month 1 year 3 year (pa) Inception (pa) Date Company 15.4% 54.3% 11.4% 11.2% 30/11/2017 S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries Accumulation Index 11.8% 32.3% 9.2% 9.4% Outperformance 3.6% 22.0% 2.2% 1.8% Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Company’s performance is calculated as the Company’s investment portfolio performance after fees excluding tax on realised and unrealised gains/losses and other earnings, and after company expenses Benchmark is the S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries Accumulation Index. All p.a. returns are annualised
60.0% 10.0% 20.0% 40.0% 70.0% 30.0% 50.0% -40.0% -20.0% -10.0% 0.0% -30.0% 29-Nov-17 29-Dec-17 29-Jan-18 28-Feb-18 Source: Spheria Asset Management 31-Mar-18 30-Apr-18 31-May-18 Index Spheria 30-Jun-18 31-Jul-18 31-Aug-18 30-Sep-18 Relative Performance 31-Oct-18 30-Nov-18 31-Dec-18 31-Jan-19 28-Feb-19 31-Mar-19 30-Apr-19 SEC Portfolio Performance 31-May-19 30-Jun-19 31-Jul-19 31-Aug-19 30-Sep-19 31-Oct-19 30-Nov-19 31-Dec-19 * Net Portfolio performance = investment performance of mandate after investment management fees but before taxes. 31-Jan-20 29-Feb-20 31-Mar-20 30-Apr-20 31-May-20 30-Jun-20 31-Jul-20 SEC Portfolio - Net Performance* since Inception 31-Aug-20 30-Sep-20 31-Oct-20 30-Nov-20 31-Dec-20 31-Jan-21 28-Feb-21 31-Mar-21 30-Apr-21 31-May-21 30-Jun-21 31-Jul-21 31-Aug-21 8
9 SEC attribution over past 12m Spheria Emerging Companies - Attribution - 12 Month - June 2021 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 -1 -2 Source : Bloomberg Data as at June 30 2021
10 Performance by Market Cap Sector Micro vs Small vs Large Caps 210 190 170 +42% 150 130 110 90 70 Small Cap Micro Caps ASX 100 50 06/2019 08/2019 10/2019 12/2019 02/2020 04/2020 06/2020 08/2020 10/2020 12/2020 02/2021 04/2021 06/2021 • Microcaps and small caps have outperformed large caps since beginning of 2019 • Microcaps have outperformed small caps by 52% since March of last year • Feb 2021 represents greatest rolling 12m period of micros outperformance Chart Source: Bloomberg data. Micro/small/large accumulation indices. As at 31/07/2021
Bifurcation in the market creates opportunities No. of stocks with EV/ Sales > 10 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 07/2021 07/2020 07/2010 07/2012 07/2011 07/2013 07/2015 07/2017 07/2014 07/2018 07/2016 07/2019 07/2001 07/2006 07/1996 07/2000 07/2002 07/2007 07/2008 07/2009 07/1997 07/1998 07/1999 07/2003 07/2005 07/2004 • EV/Sales > 10 is expensive in historical context • The number of highly rated stocks has hugely expanded since Sept last year Chart Source: Bloomberg data, ASX stocks with market cap > $50m, < $3.0bn and EV/trailing sales multiple over 10x. As at 31/07/2021 11 11
12 Monadelphous (ASX:MND) Resources recovery not priced in. Cash Flow Conversion (EBITA) EBITA vs Share Price 250.0 120% 250 $30.00 97% 200.0 100% $25.00 200 80% $20.00 150.0 150 60% $15.00 100.0 100 40% $10.00 50.0 20% 50 $5.00 0.0 0% 0 $0.00 Jun-20 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-15 Jun-16 Jun-10 Jun-13 Jun-17 Jun-18 Jun-19 Jun-14 Jun-03 Jun-04 Jun-00 Jun-01 Jun-02 Jun-05 Jun-06 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Free Cash Flow before Tax and Interest EBITA Cash Conversion (Average) EBITA-NTM Price • MND has one of the best sector performance histories – executional excellence, good cash flow, conservative management. • Market concerned about next 12m margins – resource companies looking to re-invest with record commodity prices • Net cash balance sheet, trading on EV/EBIT of 8.8x Fy 22 • Revenue mix has shifted substantially over past 5 years to maintenance revenue, margins will recover with recovery of Eng Construction Source : Morningstar, IRESS, Spheria. 12
13 Company Positions Spheria Emerging Companies as at 31st July 2021 Company Name % Portfolio Adbri Limited 4.8 Fletcher Building 4.5 Healius 4.0 City Chic Collective 3.6 Seven West Media Ltd 3.5 Flight Centre Travel 3.4 IRESS Limited 3.4 Monadelphous Group 3.4 Blackmores Limited 3.4 Breville Group Ltd 3.3 Top 10 37.3 Source: IRESS
14 Outlook • FY 2021 was a year of recovery driven by abundant liquidity and cheap valuations • Capital markets likely to remain buoyant (M&A cycle, IPO market) • Potential for sustained inflation to lift 10-year bond rates – would favour valuation centric investors • Bi-furcation in market valuations continues to offer opportunities • Despite the market’s strong recovery, we see good investing opportunities for SEC Ltd
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16 Disclaimer Spheria Emerging Companies Limited ACN 621 402 588 (SEC) Spheria Asset Management Pty Ltd (ABN 42 611 081 326, Corporate Authorised Representative No. 1240979) (‘Spheria’) is the investment manager of Spheria Emerging Companies Limited ABN 84 621 402 588 (‘SEC or the ‘Company’). This communication is not, and does not constitute, an offer to sell or the solicitation, invitation or recommendation to purchase any securities and neither this communication nor anything contained in it forms the basis of any contract or commitment. Any offer or sale of securities are made pursuant to definitive documentation, which describes the terms of the offer (‘Offer Document’) available at www.spheria.com.au. Prospective investors should consider the Offer Document in deciding whether to acquire securities under the offer. Spheria Emerging Companies Limited (ACN 621 402 588) is the issuer of the shares under the Offer Document. Prospective investors who want to acquire under the offer will need to complete an application form that is in or accompanies the Offer Document. The Offer Document is an important document that should be read in its entirety before deciding whether to participate in the offer. Prospective investors should rely only on information in the Offer Document and any supplementary or replacement document. Prospective investors should contact their professional advisers with any queries after reading the Offer Document. While SEC and Spheria believe the information contained in this communication is based on reliable information, no warranty is given as to its accuracy and persons relying on this information do so at their own risk. Subject to any liability which cannot be excluded under the relevant laws, Spheria and SEC disclaim all liability to any person relying on the information contained in this communication in respect of any loss or damage (including consequential loss or damage), however caused, which may be suffered or arise directly or indirectly in respect of such information. Any opinions and forecasts reflect the judgment and assumptions of Spheria and its representatives on the basis of information at the date of publication and may later change without notice. Disclosure contained in this communication is for general information only and was prepared for multiple distribution. The information is not intended as a securities recommendation or statement of opinion intended to influence a person or persons in making a decision in relation to investment. The information in this communication has been prepared without taking account of any person’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Persons considering action on the basis of information in this communication are to contact their financial adviser for individual advice in the light of their particular circumstances. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Unless otherwise specified, all amounts are in Australian Dollars (AUD). Unauthorised use, copying, distribution, replication, posting, transmitting, publication, display, or reproduction in whole or in part of the information contained in this communication is prohibited without obtaining prior written permission from SEC and Spheria.
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