Spheria Emerging Companies Limited - ASX: SEC Full-year FY2021 Results & Portfolio Update

 
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Spheria Emerging Companies Limited - ASX: SEC Full-year FY2021 Results & Portfolio Update
Spheria Emerging Companies Limited
ASX: SEC

Full-year FY2021 Results & Portfolio Update
Spheria Emerging Companies Limited - ASX: SEC Full-year FY2021 Results & Portfolio Update
2

Agenda
1.   SEC Company update
2.   Portfolio update
3.   Questions
Spheria Emerging Companies Limited - ASX: SEC Full-year FY2021 Results & Portfolio Update
Full-year FY2021 Highlights
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                3

      Strong results with Company performance up 55.5%

               FY21 profit                                Company                                                                                                                           Yield (including
                                                                                                  Interim dividend                                       Yield
                                                        performance1                                                                                                                           franking)
                 $40.2m                                       +55.5%                                         5.0c                                        3.5%2                                       4.8%3

    • FY21 net profit after tax of $40.2m, a material turnaround from the net loss in FY20.
    • Company NTA performance of +55.5%
    • Final dividend of 5.0 cents per share (fully franked). Annual dividend yield equal to 3.5%2 (4.8%3 including franking).
    • FY21 annual dividend of 8.5 cents is an increase of 55% on the FY20 annual dividend of 5.5 cents, in recognition of the
      strong profit for the year.
    • New target dividend yield of 4% of NTA p.a. (5.4% including franking), paid quarterly, for FY22, beginning in the
      September 2021 quarter.
    • On-market share buy-back of $9.9m to date, ($3.1m during FY21), adding 2.8 cents of NTA per share.
1 Calculated as movement in Company’s pre-tax NTA, which includes tax on realised gains/losses and other earnings, but excludes any provision for tax on unrealised gains/losses, adjusted for dividends paid by the Company.
2 Annualised dividend yield when combined with FY21 interim dividend of 3.5 cents per share, calculated on share price as at 30 June 2021 of $2.40
3 Annualised dividend yield when combined with FY21 interim dividend of 3.5 cents per share, calculated on share price as at 30 June 2021 of $2.40 using 26% tax rate
Spheria Emerging Companies Limited - ASX: SEC Full-year FY2021 Results & Portfolio Update
4
      NTA breakdown for FY21
      30 June 2021 NTA 30% higher than IPO price of $2.00

                                                            + $0.935     - $0.010    - $0.007   - $0.060
                                     $2.80                                                                  + $0.010        $2.599

                                     $2.60

                                     $2.40

                                     $2.20

                                     $2.00      $1.731

                                     $1.80

                                     $1.60

                                     $1.40

                                     $1.20

                                     $1.00
                                             Pre-tax NTA   Portfolio Tax provided   Company     Dividends   Buy-back    Pre-tax NTA
                                             1 July 2020 performance    or paid     expenses       paid     accretion   30 Jun 2021

Source: Spheria Emerging Companies
5
                      Dividends
                      FY21 final dividend of 5c, up 100% on FY20

        • Final dividend of 5.0 c per share. Full year dividends of 8.5 c, a dividend yield equal of 3.5% (4.8% including franking).
        • Total dividends since IPO of 24.0 cents per share

                                                   Dividend History
                  6
                                                                                                                           FY21 Final Dividend
                  5
                                                                                                       Final                                5.0 cents
                                                                                                    dividend    Amount                      per share
                  4                                                                                   (100%
                        Maiden                    Final                                             franked)
Cents per share

                       dividend                dividend
                                                                                         Interim
                  3      (100%                   (100%                                                          Ex-dividend Date            7 Sept 2021
                                                                                        dividend
                       franked)                franked)      Interim
                                                                                          (100%
                                                            dividend
                                                                                Final   franked)
                  2                                           (100%
                                                                             dividend
                                     Interim                franked)
                                    dividend
                                                                               (100%                            Dividend Record Date        8 Sept 2021
                                                                             franked)
                  1                   (100%
                                    franked)

                  0                                                                                             Dividend Payment Date      22 Sept 2021
                       21-Sep-18   20-Mar-19   20-Sep-19   20-Mar-20     23-Sep-20      24-Mar-21   22-Sep-21
                                                     Dividend Payment Date

        Source: Spheria Emerging Companies
Dividends                                                                                                                                                                                                                             6

      New 4% dividend target, paid quarterly

• Higher dividend: New target dividend yield of 4% of NTA p.a. (5.4% including franking) puts SEC in top half of
  Australian Equity LIC income payers
• More regular dividend: Paid quarterly, for FY22, beginning in the September 2021 quarter
   Domestic Equity LIC/LIT Dividend Yield (Net and Gross)

       12%
                                                                                                                                                                   Final
                                                                                                                                                                dividend
       10%                                                                                                                                                        (100%                       New SEC target
                                                                                                                                                                franked)                      yield = 4% net
                                                                  Final
        8%                                                     dividend                                                                                                                       and 5.4% gross
                                                                 (100%                                                                     Interim
                                                               franked)                                                                   dividend
                                                                                                                                             Sector weighted average
        6%                                                                               Interim                                            (100%
                                                                                        dividend                                             gross dividend yield = 4.9%
                                                                                                                Final                     franked)
                                                                                          (100%
        4%                                                                              franked)             dividend
                                        Interim                                                                (100%
                                       dividend                                                              franked)
        2%                               (100%
                                       franked)
        0%
               WAM

                                                                                                     WMI

                                                                                                                                                                          DUI
                                                                                                                              CDM

                                                                                                                                                                                MIR
                                                                                  QVE

                                                                                                                                                                    AFI

                                                                                                                                                                                                  FSI

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                TEK
                     NCC
                           OPH
                                 WAX
                                       WAA

                                                                                         PIC

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      WAR
                                                                                                                                                        WHF

                                                                                                                                                                                      CIN
                                                                                               WLE

                                                                                                                                                                                            BKI

                                                                                                                                                                                                        SEC

                                                                                                                                                                                                                          AMH
                                                         NSC

                                                                                                                                                                                                                    MLT
                                                   WIC

                                                                                                                                            DJW

                                                                                                                                                              ARG
                                             ACQ

                                                                                                                 FGX
                                                                SNC
                                                                      CAM
                                                                            NAC

                                                                                                           TOP

                                                                                                                       PL8

                                                                                                                                    AUI

                                                                                                                                                  RYD

                                                                                                                                                                                                              OZG
                                                                                                     Gross Yield             Net Yield

Source: Spheria COMPANY
   SOURCE:      Emerging Companies, Company
                           DATA, IRESS,     Data,POTTER.
                                          BELL   IRESS, Bell BASED
                                                             Potter, Based on last 12
                                                                      ON LAST      12-month
                                                                                      MONTH dividends/distributions paid. As at 30 June
                                                                                               DIVIDENDS/DISTRIBUTIONS             PAID.2021.
                                                                                                                                          AS AT 30 JUNE 2021.
Performance History
                                                                                                                                                                                                        7

FY21 Company performance up 55.5%

SEC Company performance

Performance as at 31st July 2021
                                                                                                                               Since      Inception
Period                                                               6 month              1 year          3 year (pa)
                                                                                                                           Inception (pa)   Date
Company                                                                15.4%              54.3%               11.4%              11.2%         30/11/2017
S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries Accumulation Index                            11.8%              32.3%               9.2%               9.4%
Outperformance                                                         3.6%               22.0%               2.2%               1.8%

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Company’s performance is calculated as the Company’s investment portfolio performance after fees excluding tax on realised and unrealised gains/losses and other earnings, and after company expenses
Benchmark is the S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries Accumulation Index.
All p.a. returns are annualised
60.0%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                10.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        20.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        40.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             70.0%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                30.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   50.0%

                                                                                                                                                                     -40.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                       -20.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                -10.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                         0.0%

                                                                                                                                                                              -30.0%
                                                                                                                                                        29-Nov-17
                                                                                                                                                        29-Dec-17
                                                                                                                                                        29-Jan-18
                                                                                                                                                        28-Feb-18

Source: Spheria Asset Management
                                                                                                                                                        31-Mar-18
                                                                                                                                                        30-Apr-18
                                                                                                                                                        31-May-18
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Index
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Spheria

                                                                                                                                                        30-Jun-18
                                                                                                                                                         31-Jul-18
                                                                                                                                                        31-Aug-18
                                                                                                                                                        30-Sep-18
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Relative Performance

                                                                                                                                                         31-Oct-18
                                                                                                                                                        30-Nov-18
                                                                                                                                                        31-Dec-18
                                                                                                                                                         31-Jan-19
                                                                                                                                                        28-Feb-19
                                                                                                                                                        31-Mar-19
                                                                                                                                                        30-Apr-19
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         SEC Portfolio Performance

                                                                                                                                                        31-May-19
                                                                                                                                                        30-Jun-19
                                                                                                                                                         31-Jul-19
                                                                                                                                                        31-Aug-19
                                                                                                                                                        30-Sep-19
                                                                                                                                                         31-Oct-19
                                                                                                                                                        30-Nov-19
                                                                                                                                                        31-Dec-19
                                   * Net Portfolio performance = investment performance of mandate after investment management fees but before taxes.

                                                                                                                                                        31-Jan-20
                                                                                                                                                        29-Feb-20
                                                                                                                                                        31-Mar-20
                                                                                                                                                        30-Apr-20
                                                                                                                                                        31-May-20
                                                                                                                                                        30-Jun-20
                                                                                                                                                         31-Jul-20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      SEC Portfolio - Net Performance* since Inception

                                                                                                                                                        31-Aug-20
                                                                                                                                                        30-Sep-20
                                                                                                                                                        31-Oct-20
                                                                                                                                                        30-Nov-20
                                                                                                                                                        31-Dec-20
                                                                                                                                                         31-Jan-21
                                                                                                                                                        28-Feb-21
                                                                                                                                                        31-Mar-21
                                                                                                                                                        30-Apr-21
                                                                                                                                                        31-May-21
                                                                                                                                                        30-Jun-21
                                                                                                                                                         31-Jul-21
                                                                                                                                                        31-Aug-21
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     8
9

     SEC attribution over past 12m

                                             Spheria Emerging Companies - Attribution - 12 Month - June 2021
                             6

                             5

                             4

                             3

                             2

                             1

                             0

                            -1

                            -2

Source : Bloomberg Data as at June 30 2021
10

     Performance by Market Cap Sector

                                                                                   Micro vs Small vs Large Caps
                   210

                   190

                   170
                                                                                                                                                 +42%
                   150

                   130

                   110

                    90

                    70
                                       Small Cap                    Micro Caps             ASX 100
                    50
                    06/2019      08/2019      10/2019      12/2019      02/2020 04/2020 06/2020 08/2020 10/2020   12/2020   02/2021 04/2021   06/2021

                           • Microcaps and small caps have outperformed large caps since beginning of 2019

                           • Microcaps have outperformed small caps by 52% since March of last year

                           • Feb 2021 represents greatest rolling 12m period of micros outperformance
Chart Source: Bloomberg data. Micro/small/large accumulation indices. As at 31/07/2021
Bifurcation in the market creates opportunities

                                                                                                                    No. of stocks with EV/ Sales > 10
                              300

                              250

                              200

                              150

                              100

                               50

                                0

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              07/2021
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    07/2020
                                                                                                                                                                                07/2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                    07/2012
                                                                                                                                                                                          07/2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                              07/2013

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  07/2015

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      07/2017
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        07/2014

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                07/2018
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            07/2016

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          07/2019
                                                                                      07/2001

                                                                                                                                        07/2006
                                    07/1996

                                                                            07/2000

                                                                                                07/2002

                                                                                                                                                  07/2007

                                                                                                                                                            07/2008

                                                                                                                                                                      07/2009
                                              07/1997

                                                        07/1998

                                                                  07/1999

                                                                                                          07/2003

                                                                                                                              07/2005
                                                                                                                    07/2004

                                       •      EV/Sales > 10 is expensive in historical context

                                       •      The number of highly rated stocks has hugely expanded since Sept last year

Chart Source: Bloomberg data, ASX stocks with market cap > $50m, < $3.0bn and EV/trailing sales multiple over 10x. As at 31/07/2021

                      11 11
12
  Monadelphous (ASX:MND)
  Resources recovery not priced in.

                                    Cash Flow Conversion (EBITA)                                                EBITA vs Share Price
               250.0                                                                   120% 250                                                            $30.00
                                                                                 97%
               200.0                                                                   100%                                                                $25.00
                                                                                              200
                                                                                       80%                                                                 $20.00
                150.0                                                                         150
                                                                                       60%                                                                 $15.00
               100.0                                                                          100
                                                                                       40%                                                                 $10.00
                 50.0                                                                  20%     50                                                          $5.00
                  0.0                                                                  0%      0                                                           $0.00

                                                                                                    Jun-20
                                                                                                     Jun-11
                                                                                                     Jun-12

                                                                                                     Jun-15
                                                                                                    Jun-16
                                                                                                    Jun-10

                                                                                                     Jun-13

                                                                                                     Jun-17
                                                                                                    Jun-18
                                                                                                    Jun-19
                                                                                                     Jun-14
                                                                                                    Jun-03
                                                                                                    Jun-04
                                                                                                    Jun-00
                                                                                                    Jun-01
                                                                                                    Jun-02

                                                                                                    Jun-05
                                                                                                    Jun-06
                                                                                                    Jun-07
                                                                                                    Jun-08
                                                                                                    Jun-09
                                        Free Cash Flow before Tax and Interest
                                        EBITA
                                        Cash Conversion (Average)                                                    EBITA-NTM        Price

                        •    MND has one of the best sector performance histories – executional excellence, good cash flow, conservative management.

                        •    Market concerned about next 12m margins – resource companies looking to re-invest with record commodity prices

                        •    Net cash balance sheet, trading on EV/EBIT of 8.8x Fy 22

                        •    Revenue mix has shifted substantially over past 5 years to maintenance revenue, margins will recover with recovery of Eng Construction
Source : Morningstar, IRESS, Spheria.

                        12
13

     Company Positions

                   Spheria Emerging Companies as at 31st July 2021
                     Company Name              % Portfolio
                     Adbri Limited                 4.8
                     Fletcher Building             4.5
                     Healius                       4.0
                     City Chic Collective          3.6
                     Seven West Media Ltd          3.5
                     Flight Centre Travel          3.4
                     IRESS Limited                 3.4
                     Monadelphous Group            3.4
                     Blackmores Limited            3.4
                     Breville Group Ltd            3.3
                     Top 10                       37.3

Source: IRESS
14

 Outlook

• FY 2021 was a year of recovery driven by abundant liquidity and cheap valuations

• Capital markets likely to remain buoyant (M&A cycle, IPO market)

• Potential for sustained inflation to lift 10-year bond rates – would favour valuation centric investors

• Bi-furcation in market valuations continues to offer opportunities

• Despite the market’s strong recovery, we see good investing opportunities for SEC Ltd
15

Questions
16
Disclaimer

         Spheria Emerging Companies Limited ACN 621 402 588 (SEC)

         Spheria Asset Management Pty Ltd (ABN 42 611 081 326, Corporate Authorised Representative No. 1240979) (‘Spheria’) is the investment manager of Spheria Emerging
         Companies Limited ABN 84 621 402 588 (‘SEC or the ‘Company’). This communication is not, and does not constitute, an offer to sell or the solicitation, invitation or
         recommendation to purchase any securities and neither this communication nor anything contained in it forms the basis of any contract or commitment. Any offer or sale of
         securities are made pursuant to definitive documentation, which describes the terms of the offer (‘Offer Document’) available at www.spheria.com.au. Prospective investors
         should consider the Offer Document in deciding whether to acquire securities under the offer. Spheria Emerging Companies Limited (ACN 621 402 588) is the issuer of the
         shares under the Offer Document. Prospective investors who want to acquire under the offer will need to complete an application form that is in or accompanies the Offer
         Document. The Offer Document is an important document that should be read in its entirety before deciding whether to participate in the offer. Prospective investors should
         rely only on information in the Offer Document and any supplementary or replacement document. Prospective investors should contact their professional advisers with any
         queries after reading the Offer Document.

         While SEC and Spheria believe the information contained in this communication is based on reliable information, no warranty is given as to its accuracy and persons relying on
         this information do so at their own risk. Subject to any liability which cannot be excluded under the relevant laws, Spheria and SEC disclaim all liability to any person relying on
         the information contained in this communication in respect of any loss or damage (including consequential loss or damage), however caused, which may be suffered or arise
         directly or indirectly in respect of such information. Any opinions and forecasts reflect the judgment and assumptions of Spheria and its representatives on the basis of
         information at the date of publication and may later change without notice. Disclosure contained in this communication is for general information only and was prepared for
         multiple distribution. The information is not intended as a securities recommendation or statement of opinion intended to influence a person or persons in making a decision in
         relation to investment. The information in this communication has been prepared without taking account of any person’s objectives, financial situation or needs. Persons
         considering action on the basis of information in this communication are to contact their financial adviser for individual advice in the light of their particular circumstances. Past
         performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Unless otherwise specified, all amounts are in Australian Dollars (AUD). Unauthorised use, copying, distribution,
         replication, posting, transmitting, publication, display, or reproduction in whole or in part of the information contained in this communication is prohibited without obtaining
         prior written permission from SEC and Spheria.
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