SOUTH AUSTRALIAN MOSQUITO INTELLIGENCE REPORT

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SOUTH AUSTRALIAN MOSQUITO INTELLIGENCE REPORT
                           No. 60
RELEASE DATE: 27th of November 2017                                                               page 1 of 5

MOSQUITO TRAPPING AND ABUNDACE SUMMARY:

•    River Murray (RM): Trapping for this season started on August 30th 2017 and includes the seven district
     councils of the Murray River. So far, four trips have been completed during this monitoring season and
     140 traps have been set. The next trip is set to commence on the 28th of November 2017. From his most
     recent trip, Stephen Fricker has commented that “Over the month of November mosquito populations
     remained low in the upper sections of the river and continued to decline in the lower river. This was
     particularly evident in the trap sites adjacent to the lower lakes such as locations within the Alexandrina
     and Coorong council. With summer approaching it is expected that populations of Aedes
     camptorhynchus will continue to decline although recent rain may result in a short halt in this decline
     particularly in the lower river. In the upper river mosquito populations may be affected by increased
     river flows due to environmental allocations. The rain experienced should not have a significant impact
     on mosquito populations, however follow up rains may be a cause of concern.”

•    Urban Wetlands : Trapping for this seasons Urban Wetland monitoring program has commenced on the
     23rd of October 2017. Again this season each trip a total of 37 traps are set across the twelve wetland
     sites. No positive larvae sites were detected on the second trap run for this season. All potential larvae
     sites are continuously monitored through out the season. The next monitoring trip is set to commence
     on the 4th of December. Aedes notoscriptus was the most dominant species caught across most of the
     wetland sites on the November trap run with a total of 17 adult females caught followed by Anopheles
     annulipes with a total of 16 adult females captured.
SOUTH AUSTRALIAN MOSQUITO INTELLIGENCE REPORT
                                                                  No. 60
                   RELEASE DATE: 27th of November 2017                                                                             page 2 of 5
                                        WEATHER FORECAST:
                                        Overall warmer than average minimum and maximum temperatures were reported for spring. Rainfall for
                                        spring 2017 was near average to below average across the state. In November 2017, the approximate
                                        mean river height at Morgan was 3.14m, an increase of 0.01m from last month. The weather forecast for
                                        the RM regions for December, January and February shows a prediction of average to slightly above
                                        average rainfall with a 45-55% chance of exceeding the median minimum rainfall in the respective
                                        regions. There is a 60-70% chance of exceeding the median maximum temperature and a 55-60% chance
                                        of exceeding the median minimum temperature for the RM regions (www.bom.gov.au).

                                                 Mosquito trap collection summary for November 2016 and November 2017

                                        1400

                                        1200
 Mean adult female abundance per trap

                                        1000

                                         800

                                         600

                                         400

                                         200

                                           0
                                                2016 2017    2016 2017    2016 2017     2016 2017    2016 2017    2016 2017    2016 2017
                                                Renmark-        Berri-       Loxton    Mid Murray      Murray    Alexandrina    Coorong
                                                 Paringa      Barmera                                  Bridge

Figure 1: Mean numbers of adult mosquito females per trap caught at seven different locations during November 2016 (blue) and
November 2017 (green). Note the mean numbers of adult mosquito females caught at most of the sites this season were very small
compared to last season.
SOUTH AUSTRALIAN MOSQUITO INTELLIGENCE REPORT
                                                          No. 60
              RELEASE DATE: 27th of November 2017                                                                            page 3 of 5

Mosquito trap collection summary for the twelve urban wetlands for the month of November 2017

                                   7
Mean adult female abundance/trap

                                   6

                                   5

                                   4

                                   3

                                   2

                                   1

                                   0

            Figure 2: Mean numbers of adult mosquito females per trap caught at the twelve wetland sites during November 2017. Note no female
            mosquitoes were caught at Oaklands Park ,Grange Golf Club, or the Warriparinga Wetland sites.
SOUTH AUSTRALIAN MOSQUITO INTELLIGENCE REPORT
                          No. 60

RELEASE DATE: 27th of November 2017                                                           page 4 of 5

ROSS RIVER VIRUS RISK FORECASTS FOR Dec 2017-Feb 2018 from RR Forecaster:

The next three months predicted to be ABOVE AVERAGE RISK period for Ross River virus activity for
the Lower river region:

     Upper RM risk for Dec-Feb: The predicted incidence rate for summer in the upper Valley in SA is 0
     per 100,000 population. The predicted number of notifications for the region for the next three
     months is 0, (95% confidence 0-7). This does not constitute above-average risk.

     Mid RM risk for Dec-Feb: The predicted incidence rate for summer in the middle Valley in SA is 0
     per 100,000 population. The predicted number of notifications for the region for the next three
     months is 0 , (95% confidence 0-54). This does not indicate above-average risk.

     Lower RM risk for Dec-Feb : The predicted incidence rate for summer in the lower Valley in SA is
     338 per 100,000 population. The predicted number of notifications for the region for the next
     three months is 20, (95% confidence 0-39). This does indicate above-average risk.
SOUTH AUSTRALIAN MOSQUITO INTELLIGENCE REPORT
                          No. 60

RELEASE DATE: 27th of November 2017                                                        page 5 of 5

  MOSQUITO VIRUS TESTING:
      14 FTA cards have been send off for screening by the ICPMR, Westmead Hospital in NSW
      on the 13th of November for the month of November 2017. Results of the October
      screening are still being awaited.

     Compiled by G Mincham and CR Williams from UniSA
     gina.mincham@unisa.edu.au , craig.williams@unisa.edu.au, 08 8302 1813, 08 8302 1906
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