South Africa: land of contradictions - Liberia: Boakai states his presidential case
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Liberia: Boakai states his presidential case News. Analysis. Comment September-October 2021 Vol.4 No.16 South Africa: land of contradictions African leadership: Zambia's devastating moments new dawn Eurozone 5 euros UK £3.00 North America $6.50 CFA Zone CFA2,600 Ethiopia R90 16 Ghana GHC12.00 Kenya KSh350 Rwanda RWF3,000 Sierra Leone LE20,000 South Africa R40.00 (inc. tax) Other Southern African Countries R35.10 (excl. tax) Tanzania TSh6,500 Uganda USh10,700 Zambia ZMK45
PUBLISHER’S NOTE ECOWAS credibility PUBLISHER’S NOTE is Publisher Jon Offei-Ansah on the line Africa bucks global Publisher Jon Offei-Ansah Editor A LITTLE over a 10 years ago, I wrote economic a commentarytrend on the coup d’etat in Niger saying why it was justified and Desmond Davies Editor Desmond Davies I why some coups could be described as good Contributing Editors n 2018, coups. six of the My argument 10premised was fastest-growing on a simple economies in the world were in or leaders, are elected by the people to serve Deputy Editor Stephen Williams democratic principle – that governments, Africa,Their the nation. according tenure to of the World office Bank, is at the people’s ‘pleasure’. In order words, they must Angela Cobbinah Prof. Toyin Falola with Ghana not tweak the lawleading the in of the land pack. orderWith to entrench themselves in power to the detriment Tikum Mbah Azonga GDP of thegrowth generalfor the continent projected to good. Contributing Editor accelerate to four per cent in 2019 and 4.1 Contributors When governments ignore the wishes of the people for whom they are elected to serve, per cent in 2020, Africa’s economic growth Stephen Williams and whose wishes they have to respect and abide by; when they choose to use their Justice Lee Adoboe story continues apace. Meanwhile, the World Bank’s 2019 Doing Business Index powers of incumbency to extend their stay in power, enriching themselves in the process, Director, Special Projects reveals that five of the 10 most-improved countries are in Africa, and one-third of Chief Chuks Iloegbunam then they become prime candidates for a coup, I said. all reforms recorded globally were in sub-Saharan Africa. Joseph Kayira Michael Orji My argument elicited a number of comments. One of them, from a good friend of mine, Zachary Ochieng What makes went thus: the where ‘I see story more impressive you appear and heartening to be coming is that from on this one.the Butgrowth if we pursue your –thesis projected to be broad-based – ismessage being achieved in a challenging global which Contributors Olu Ojewale to its logical conclusion, the poses a danger to African societies, environment, Oladipo Okubanjo are far greater bucking thed’etat than coups trend.are predisposed to engender.’ Justice Lee Adoboe Corinne Soar The In thecurrent Coverpolitical Story ofupheavals in West this edition, Dr.Africa – the Fofack, Hippolyte coups inChief Mali, Chad and, most Economist at the Chuks Iloegbunam Kennedy Olilo recently,Export-Import African in Guinea had some Bankthings in common:analyses (Afreximbank), incumbentsthetweaking constitutions to factors underpinning this Joseph Kayira prolong their stay performance. Twoinfactors, office, corruption and poor in my opinion, political stand out inand Dr.economic governance. Hippolyte’s analysis: Designer Zachary Ochieng trade between The August Africa 2020 coupand China in Mali wasand the intra-African preceded cross-border by protests since investment the previous and June, with infrastructure development. the protesters calling for the resignation of then president Ibrahim Boubacar Keïta. Olu Ojewale Simon Blemadzie The protesters Much has beenwere saiddispleased and writtenwith the government's about managementeconomic China’s ever-deepening of the ongoing foray into Oladipo Okubanjo Africa, especially by Western analysts and commentators who have beenand insurgency, alleged government corruption, the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic, a sounding Corinne Country Soar Representatives floundering alarm economy. bells about Eleven deathsofand re-colonisation 124 injuries Africa, were this time by reported duringBut the Chinese. theempirical protests. Alpha Condé, evidence paintsthea first president different to be peacefully and democratically elected to the office picture. Designer South Africa of President of Guinea, started governing the country in 2010 and was re-elected in 2015. Edward Walter Byerley Despite the decelerating global growthlimit, environment, trade between Africa and Gloria Ansah Top Dog Media, 5 Ascot Knights The country had a two-term presidential but the 2020 constitutional referendum China increased included by 14.5 a provision per cent extending in the first the length threeand of terms quarters allowedofCondé 2018,tosurpassing "reset" his term 47 Grand National Boulevard Royal Ascot, the growth limit ratetwo and seek of more worldterms. trade (11.6 per cent), reflecting the deepening economic Country Representatives Milnerton 7441, South Africa dependency between the two major trading partners. The move had been controversial and sparked massive protests before and after the South Tel: +27 Africa (0) 21 555 0096 Empirical referendum, evidence which wereshows that China’s brutally domestic repressed, causing investment has become more than thirty highly deaths between Edward Cell: +27 Walter Byerley (0) 81 331 4887 linked Octoberwith 2019economic and March expansion 2020. After in Africa. A one percentage the constitutional amendment point wasincrease approved, TopEmail: Dog Media, 5 Ascot Knights ed@topdog-media.net inCondé China’s wondomestic the 2020 investment growth is presidential election andassociated with thus a third termaninaverage of 0.6 office. This was again 47 Grand National Boulevard Royal Ascot, percentage followed bypoint increase protests againstinthe overall African president, withexports. And, opposition the expected candidates economic accusing Condé Ghana development and Protests trade impact of expanding Milnerton 7441, South Africa of ballot stuffing. continued throughoutChinese the year,investment on resource-rich and were harshly repressed by Nana Asiama Bekoe African security countries, especially forces, claiming oil-exporting at least countries, 12 civilian lives, is even including more important. two children in Conakry. Tel:Kingdom +27 (0)Concept 21 555Co.0096 France distanced itself from Condé following the 2020 election, leaving China, Egypt, The resilience of African economies can also be attributed to growing intra-African Tel: +233 243 393 94381 Cell: +27 (0) 331303 / +233 4887 967 470 Russia and Turkey foremost among the few powerful countries which continued to back Email: ed@topdog-media.net kingsconceptsltd@gmail.com cross-border investment and infrastructure development. A combination of the the president. This happened as fellow West African and Central African countries have two factors is accelerating the process of structural transformation in a continent experienced democratic backsliding: Chad went through its own military takeover in Ghana where industrial output and services account for a growing share of GDP. African Nigeria Bekoe Nana Asiama April 2021. corporations and industrialists which are expanding their industrial footprint across Nnenna Kingdom Ogbu Co. Concept The above Africa and events globallyraise arethe question leading theofdiversification the role of the from regional economicinto agriculture and higher political #4 Babatunde Oduse crescent grouping, value goodsECOWAS. in manufacturing and service sectors. These industrial champions Tel: +233 243 393 943 / +233 303 967 470 Isheri Olowora - Isheri Berger, Lagos are carrying After the Maliout transcontinental coup in 2020, ECOWAS operations, withtheinvestment suspended holdings country, imposed aroundand sanctions the kingsconceptsltd@gmail.com Tel: +234 803 670 4879 globe, with a strong set a roadmap for the presence in Europe return to civilian rule.and ThePacific ink on Asia, together was the agreement account barelyfor more dry than Nigeria getnnenna.ogbu@gmail.com when75theper cent ofremoved coupists their combined activities the civilian outsidethey prime minister Africa. had appointed. That was a Taiwo Adedoyin Aslap in the face of ECOWAS. survey of 30 leading emerging African corporations with global footprints and MV Noble, Press Kenya House, 3rd Floor It’s a similar combined situation revenue ofwith more Guinea. ECOWAS than $118 have billion demanded shows a six-month that they transition are active in in several Patrick MwangiIkeja, Lagos Guinea. In response, 27 Acme Road, Ogba, industries, includingcoup leader Mamady manufacturing Doumbouya (e.g., told the ECOWAS Dangote Industries), basic delegation materials,the Aquarius Media Ltd,806 PO Box will of the Guinean people telecommunications (e.g.,should Econet,be Safaricom), taken into account. finance (e.g., Ecobank) and oil Tel: +234 29110668-11000 7100 Nairobi, Kenya and gas. In addition ECOWAS’s credibilitytoinmitigating Guinea hasrisks beenhighly strainedcorrelated since 2018,with whenAfrican the bloceconomies, failed to taiadedoyin52@gmail.com Tel: 0720 391 546/0773 35 41 these condemnemerging Conde African global for running for acorporations are accelerating third term in office the diversification last year, despite a law declaring of Kenya Email: mwangi@aquariusmedia.co.ke sources of growth that presidents mustand stepreducing down after the exposure of countries to adverse commodity two. terms of trade. Naima Farah The bloc also failed to act when Ivorian President Alassane Ouattara went for a third Room©Africa 22, 2ndBriefing Ltd Wing Floor West term makes This in officeme contrary to the country’s very bullish constitutional provisions. about Africa! 2 Redruth Close, London Royal Square, Ngong Road, N22 8RN Nairobi Being more reactive than proactive, is the ECOWAS losing its credibility? United Kingdom Tel: +254 729 381 561 Tel: +44 (0) 208 888 6693 naimafarah_m@yahoo.com publisher@africabriefing.org Africa Briefing Ltd 2 Redruth Close, London N22 8RN United Kingdom
Contents Vol.4 No.16 September - October 2021 LEADER 6 Security in the Sahel in the wake of US withdrawal from Afghanistan 10 COMMENT 07 Governance goes from pillar to post COVER STORY 10 South Africa: a country of huge contradictions The recent pillaging and violence highlighted the desperation of the poor in a country with the world’s widest wealth gap. It is a situation where there are a number of dollar billionaires, but with more than half the population having more liabilities than assets. South African industrialist and philanthropist Ivor Ichikowitz gives an insight into these inconsistencies in an interview with Jon Offei-Ansah ANALYSIS 14 Devastating moments for African leadership With rampant cases of selfish and visionless leaders, governance in Africa has become a practice in 20 divisions, victimisation, alienation and marginalisation, 34 argues Toyin Falola 20 What is the current state of Nigeria? Questions have been asked recently about whether Nigeria is a failing state or is already a failed state. Toyin Falola argues that these posers could only be answered if the government first of all accepts these claims and then seeks to get the country out of the position it finds itself today BUSINESS & ECONOMY 34 A new dawn for Zambia Now that the elections have passed, people are focusing their sights on whether the brand-new government would walk the talk and fulfil the promises made during the campaign trail to deliver a united, prosperous and equitable REVIEW 40 Zambia and change the status quo which has been largely ‘Happiness was our vibe’ uninspiring, writes Nawa Mutumweno Angela Cobbinah talks to Teddy Osei, founder and leader of legendary ‘sunshine’ band Osibisa, which 38 How Africa needs to seize the day has just released a new studio album Covid-19 has hit Africa hard. The continent needs to cooperate and integrate in order to empower an African recovery, writes Theresa Henshaw
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LEADER Security in the Sahel in the wake of US withdrawal from Afghanistan T HE recent spectacular collapse Barre’s government in Somalia in 1991 Nigeria. It is now clear that the Northern of the US-backed government had already given free rein to Somalis politicians who were quick to re-introduce in Afghanistan, ushering in the with militant tendencies. Crisis Group a wider form of Sharia law in 1999 no Taliban to power after 20 years, came as notes that young people from East Africa longer seem to be on top of things, as is a shock to the world. African countries in travelled to Afghanistan in the 1980s to usually the case when the foot soldiers the troubled Sahel must now be worried join the anti-Soviet resistance. They then take charge. about the way things will play out in their returned to their home countries to create That’s the name of the game. You troubled region. their own militant cells. start off playing with one team, only for The last few years have seen Africa’s political leaders have been, in the players to change sides mid-game. an exponential growth of terrorist some ways, responsible for the growth of Everyone remembers that under Ronald organisations and activities in the Sahel, these militants. Take Nigeria, for example. Reagan, the US supported the Mujahideen pushing some countries almost to the When Olusegun Obasanjo became in Afghanistan against the Soviet Union. brink. The jihadists in this region are president of Nigeria in 1999, the Northern Then, one Osama bin Laden was a staunch clearly making headway, as well as in oligarchs who had been in charge at the US ally, who was to later turn against places such as Somalia. centre for so long retreated. America. Crucially, while the US was They saw Obasanjo, a Southern In Africa, the rise of armed resistance prosecuting its War on Terror, Al Qaida Christian, as a threat to the status quo – religious or otherwise – is really down and ISIS retreated from their original that had existed in the country. So, the to governance and socio-economic issues. spheres of operation to different African Northern Muslim states declared Islamic Jihadist groups in some parts of Africa ‘ countries. They have become one of the The last few years have seen most potent threats to peace and security in Africa. For the region, though, the precarious security situation in the Sahel exploded an exponential growth of after the fall of Colonel Muammar Gaddafi in 2011. The disastrous NATO-led terrorist organisations and ’ bombing, without any contingency plan to secure the immense stockpiles of weapons that were part of Gaddafi’s formidable activities in the Sahel arsenal, opened the floodgates. Sharia law in their territories. While, have been able to provide some succour before 1999, Sharia law was limited to to their young recruits – better than they In the first place, as experts point civil matters, the new order incorporated could get from their governments. out, Libya’s weapons stockpiles were far civil and criminal matters. As a result, in Africa today there are beyond the country’s needs. Naturally, the weapons fell into the wrong hands. Today, In any such situation, there are those more Islamists groups than at the start of they are being illegally traded around the waiting in the wings to capitalise on the War on Terror. continent. the opportunity presented for enforcing This is where Africa’s political leaders As African diplomats trying to tackle strict Islamic law. Under the Nigerian will have to work hard. They need to put the spread of illicit weapons on the Constitution, Federal law supersedes state their houses in order so that young people, continent have pointed out, thousands of law including sharia. But there was no who have a long life ahead of them, do not Africans have been killed in the Sahel going back by the North. feel disillusioned enough for them to take and other trouble spots in Africa by these As fanatics tried to implement Sharia their chances with terrorist organisations terrorist groups using the diverted Libyan law a wave of inter-religious violence whose message is loud and clear: that weapons. exploded that claimed thousands of lives jihadism is the best way to change Security experts have noted that the and the destruction of properties. When illegitimate and corrupt local governance growth of Islamic terrorism in Africa is not the War on Terror began, it just fuelled systems and that these local wars were solely down to America’s War on Terror. the expansion of Islamist support that saw part of a larger, just cause, as Crisis Group The seeds of discontent had been sown many disaffected young people joining the argues. long before then and had germinated into ranks of Boko Haram, which was founded Thus, African governments have some terror atrocities such as the bombing of by Mohamed Yusuf in the Northern hard lessons to be learned from the War the US embassies in Nairobi and Dar es Nigerian town of Maiduguri. on Terror to make sure that the continent Salaam in 1998. Boko Haram has now become a thorn is not saddled with Islamist violence for The collapse of President Siad in the flesh of subsequent governments in another 20 years. AB 6 AFRICA BRIEFING SEPTEMBER - OCTOBER 2021
COMMENT Governance goes from pillar to post Desmond Davies A FTER six attempts at of hand when it comes to political To be honest, the matter of term the presidency, Zambian manipulation. limits is no longer important. These businessman Hakainde Conde himself is not a stranger to should be removed while the processes of Hichilema finally made it to the top office political chicanery. After contesting the governance and elections are strengthened in his country when he overwhelmingly 1998 presidential election against Lansana so that they become watertight. defeated the incumbent, President Edgar Conte – which he lost – he was arrested Then it will be the voters who will Lungu, in the election on August 12. and sentenced in a trial that many felt was ultimately have the final say on which Hichilema’s victory was quicky seized unfair. When he was released in 2001, he leader extends his or her stay in power. upon by African opposition politicians as visited me in my office in London while I And who are these voters? Africa’s a positive sign for their own leadership was editor of West Africa magazine. overwhelmingly young people. They ambitions. should no longer allow themselves to be Conde waxed lyrical about democracy But as they were celebrating, used as cannon fodder by politicians who, and the rule law not only in Guinea but the soldiers intervened in Guinea to once ensconced in power, fail to deliver also in Africa. In an interview with one oust President Alpha Conde who had for their young citizens. of my journalists, Conde said he was been elected to a controversial third It's a difficult ask, though, for young “fairly optimistic” about the progress of term just under a year ago. So, while Africans who suffer the most from democracy on the continent, adding that opposition politicians were cock-a-hoop unemployment and lack of opportunities much had changed. at Hichilema’s victory, the spectre of to make their live better. But they have “unconstitutional” change of government “Suppressing information is no longer to ensure that their future is secure still loomed large over the continent. possible because of the globalisation now by regularly holding their leaders of information. And almost 75 per cent accountable. If they do not deliver, they This issue is a moot one. The of Africans are under 30, many are should be kicked out of power through a Economic Community of West African unemployed and have no interest in system that is free and fair. States quickly suspended Guinea, which maintaining the status quo; they are a force was expected. But whether this would hold In Ghana, for instance, since the for change,” Conde said. is another issue. return to regularly held elections in 1992, How right he was. Since Conde the electorate has been in control. The The problem with the ECOWAS action gave that interview 20 years ago, young two main parties have been changed on a is that Conde himself had been accused of Africans have been gradually making regular basis – that is, after serving two manipulating his country’s Constitution their presence felt on the governance and terms. to go for a third term as president, which law and order fronts. In Nigeria, young he got in October last year. But there was John Mahama got a shock when he people forced the government to disband a no harsh action taken against Conde by lost the presidential election in Ghana in murderous police unit. ECOWAS, such as we are now witnessing 2016, even though he had just done one in regard to the military regime in In Zambia, it was the massive turnout full term, having become president on Conakry. of young voters who gave Hichilema the death of John Atta Mills in July 2012. Conde could argue that there was some victory. Young Zambians clearly see him He was entitled to another term, but for sort of legality to the constitutional change as a leader who could create the enabling Ghanaian voters his party, the National because it was approved in a referendum environment that would serve them in Democratic Congress, had already in March 2020, although there were good stead in the future. done two terms and they voted for the violent demonstrations after the result After all, young people are the future opposition New Patriotic Party. was announced. Some 30 protesters were of Africa but they seem to be being let This is how things should really work. killed. down regularly by leaders who seem Forget about term limits; strengthen the This is where one has an issue with to be clueless about what is needed to electoral process and ensure that it works. the debate on democracy and governance make their countries more welcoming for Then everything will be in the hands of the in Africa. African leaders have a way of their young citizens. They want to see voters who matter instead of allowing the doing things in a manner that borders leaders who are ready to rein in corruption continent’s political process to be going on illegitimacy but with some veneer of in government, make judicious pubic back and forth when it suits the whims of legality. They are masters of the sleight expenditure and be politically accountable. power-hungry politicians and soldiers. AB AFRICA BRIEFING SEPTEMBER - OCTOBER 2021 7
COMMENT Democracy rocks in Buhari’s Nigeria Chuks Iloegbunam T HE two dates: July 5, 1984 Mossad agent led the kidnap team that he had checked in a day earlier, one of the and June 27, 2021! What do included a Nigerian intelligence officer, businesses that made him wing his way they have in common, in so Major Mohammed Yusufu, and two other from Europe to the East African country far as Nigeria is concerned? Only an Israelis, Felix Abitbol and Dr. Lev-Arie nicely tied up. How wrong he was. He extraordinarily gifted genius would be Shapiro, who was to inject Dikko with an ended up repatriated to Nigeria, from in a position to readily hazard a rationale anaesthetic. Crated, Dikko was driven to where he had escaped a few years earlier, answer to this poser. To save readers from Stansted airport, 40 miles (64km) north one step ahead of cadres minded to do him needless mind racking over dates separated of London where a Nigerian Airways in. by a chasm of 37 years, the answer is here Boeing 707 aircraft was on the tarmac with ‘ provided: Muhammadu Buhari! How is Nigeria has not this so? Please read on. On the last day of 1983, the democratically elected government of President Shehu Shagari was toppled by selected factors in the hierarchy of the said a word on the Nigerian Army which set up a regime that drove into exile and jail houses scores circumstances of Kanu’s return to Nigeria ’ of politicians they had quite thoroughly discredited. One of those that luckily escaped the dismal prospect of a dreary stretch behind bars was Alhaji Umaru His Special Counsel, Mr. Aloy Dikko, the influential Transport Minister engines revving. Two crates waiting to be Ejimakor, told the BBC Igbo Service in Shagari’s government, who relocated loaded into the aircraft lay on the tarmac. what happened. He said that Kanu was to London for what he thought would be But the elaborate plan was aborted by Mr. abducted on June 19, 2021 in Nairobi, a peaceful, even if lonely, sojourn outside Charles David Morrow, an eagle-eyed held incommunicado for eight days during the shores of his fatherland. He was rudely customs officer, who contacted higher which he was chained to the bare floor disappointed. authorities. The crates labelled diplomatc by Kenyan security operatives who then “On a summer's day, (July 5, 1984), baggage were prised open. Airport officials bundled him on a plane and flown to Mr Dikko walked out of his front door in found an unconscious Dikko and Dr. Abuja. an upmarket neighbourhood of Bayswater Shapiro in one of the crates. The second crate had in it the other two Israelis – “The people that abducted him said in London. Within seconds he had been that they were told by their sponsors that grabbed by two men and bundled into the Barak and Abitbol. The incident, an international scandal, caused a diplomatic Kanu was a Nigerian terrorist linked to the back of a transit van,” reported a BBC Islamic terrorists in Kenya, presumably Witness programme. Said Mr. Dikko row between Britain and Nigeria. Al-Shabab. to the BBC a year after the nightmarish During June 2021, something experience: "I remember the very violent somewhat similar to the Dikko Affair “But after several days when they way in which I was grabbed and hurled happened in Africa. On June 19, Mazi discovered his true identity, they tended to into a van, with a huge fellow sitting on Nnamdi Kanu, the leader of the separatist treat him less badly. Despite that, they told my head – and the way in which they group known as the Indigenous People Of him they felt committed to hand him over immediately put on me handcuffs and Biafra (IPOB) and a remorseless nemesis to those that hired them. chains on my legs.” The plan was to of the controllers of the levers of political “Kanu was, in point of fact, tortured kidnap Mr. Dikko, drug him, stick him into power in Nigeria thought that a quiet, and subjected to untold cruel and inhuman a specially made crate and put him on a anonymous drive to the Jomo Kenyatta treatment in Kenya. He said his abductors plane back to Nigeria – alive. International Airport will, after a couple disclosed to him that they abducted him at Alexander Barak, said to be an ex- of hours, terminate inside the hotel where the behest of the Nigerian government. He 8 AFRICA BRIEFING SEPTEMBER - OCTOBER 2021
COMMENT was blindfolded and driven to the tarmac But there is a third country in this cities agitating for Yoruba independence. very close to the plane without passing triangular charade – the United Kingdom Abuja did not find his effrontery funny. through the airport immigration. The of Great Britain and Northern Ireland – the On July 1, 2021, A joint security team plane departed Nairobi at about 12 pm and bastion of protocol and constitutionalism. led by the DSS stormed Igboho’s Soka, arrived Abuja in the evening.” Prime Minister Boris Johnson is yet to Ibadan residence in the dead of the night. In both London of 1984 and Nairobi say a word on the absurd affair involving By the time they left, the place stood of this year, Muhammadu Buhari looms Kanu, a holder of the British passport. Nor ransacked, two of Igboho’s supporters lay large as the political leader of Nigeria, has the Foreign Office. Would all of Britain dead while 13 others were seized and taken first as military Head of State, and then as have remained tight-lipped had Kanu, away. A DSS spokesman told the Nigerian elected President. The Dikko Affair ended instead of being born an Igbo from an area press that Igboho’s aides subjected the in dismal failure for the perpetrators. As of Nigeria formally known as Biafra was a joint security team to heavy gunfire as is common knowledge, failure invariably blue-eyed son of pure white parents from they approached. A “gun duel” naturally comes at a rather high cost. The three Birmingham or Bristol or Cambridge or ensued during which two of Igboho’s Israelis involved in Dikko’s kidnap and a Cardiff or Derby or Dover. Two weeks men were shot dead. Igboho escaped. The Nigerian were in February 1985 convicted after Kanu returned to detention in Abuja, DSS claimed it searched the premises and by the Old Bailey Central Criminal Court Johnson met with Buhari and Kenyatta recovered seven AK47 assault rifles, three for kidnapping and drugging Dikko and in London, the communiqué issued at the pump action guns, thousands of rounds sentenced to jail terms ranging from 10 to end of their meeting being, in so far as the of ammunition and charms and amulets! 14 years. Barak got 14 years. Shapiro and Extraordinary Rendition was concerned, a Igboho was next heard of in neighbouring Abitbol each got 10 years. Major Yusufu silence of deafening proportions. Benin Republic where he was arrested as got 12 years. While political prevarications play he attempted to board a flight for Germany. In Kanu’s case, only one benefit has, out, one thing is sure about Nnamdi Kanu. He has German residency permit. Officials so far, accrued to ordinary Nigerians. It Of the numerous thoughts that must be in Benin did not consider Igboho’s is something tied to language. Nigerians fleeting through his restless mind, one Extraordinary Rendition to Nigeria an have since learnt from Kanu’s lawyers must stand out for its uniqueness. That option. They paid scant attention to Abuja that the abduction, torture, and forcible is whether or not Sunday Adeyemo aka pressures for the fugitive to be turned over. repatriation of Kanu to Nigeria amounted Sunday Igboho would, sooner or later, Instead the matter ended in a Cotonou to Extraordinary Rendition. It is legalese. become his co-tenant at the detention court where Igboho is fighting against It is high-sounding. But people have got facilities of the Department of State extradition. the hang of it. Services (DSS) in Abuja. Like Kanu, whose eternal mission is the restoration It is obvious that anyone or body A question now arises. Since propagating self-determination in today’s Extraordinary Rendition is a crime against of the defunct Biafran Republic, Igboho recently had the temerity to agitate for Nigeria has pitted themselves against the international law, who gets punished for Buhari government. In some quarters, its perpetration against Nnamdi Kanu, a his Yoruba ethnic group’s independence from Nigeria, something anathema to this is puzzling because of positions British citizen, and a Nigerian, apparently taken by President Buhari at international conducting lawful business in an African Buhari’s ears. Unlike Kanu, who has been a constant in the Nigerian psyche forums. In 2015, Buhari urged the United country? Nigeria has not said a word Nations to grant the State of Palestine on the circumstances of Kanu’s return for nearly a decade, Igboho was to most people outside Yoruba land an unknown self-determination and recognise it as a to Nigeria. It has returned Kanu to the sovereign nation. This was during the Federal High Court in Abuja, for the quantity a spare six months ago. But he got roused into activism because of the United Nations Summit on Sustainable continuation of a trial truncated when Development Knowledge Platform held he jumped bail and fled the country in peculiar rocking of Nigerian democracy under Buhari. from 25 to 27 September 2015, in New 2017. How does one talk of sanctions York. when the prime suspect has neither been When herdsmen of Buhari’s ethnic formally charged nor entered a plea? The Fulani nationality killed Dr. Aborede in Recently, President Buhari said on other corporate entity involved is another Ibarapa in January 2021, Igboho gave the network service of the Nigerian country – Kenya. If the country’s leader, them an ultimatum to leave the place, Television Authority (NTA) that the President Uhuru Kenyatta, has heard of and enforced it! That was audacity at ethnic Rohingya in Myanmar should be Kanu’s extraordinary rendition inside its most prominent display. The Fulani protected and granted self-determination the country he is president of, he has herdsmen are all over the place, burning, by the United Nations. He appealed to not as much as favoured the story with looting, raping and killing people in the global organisation to impose one a single word. Ashen-faced, his High their traditional homes without a word of its principles which protects ethnic Commissioner in Abuja called a hurried of condemnation from the Federal minorities fighting for self-determination press conference, denying that Kenya was Government and without any of them ever and facing brutality and murder in the host in any way involved in Kanu’s plight. He being arrested, let alone prosecuted. Thus, country. Both Nnamdi Kanu and Sunday has since slammed shut his lips when it Igboho, for achieving the unimaginable Adeyemo Igboho have ben shouting from became proven beyond any iota of doubt became an instant Yoruba hero. He called the rooftops that their people are facing that Kenyan authorities had handed Kanu demonstrations and drew tumultuous brutality and murder at the hands of Buhari over to their Nigerian counterparts. crowds across many Yoruba towns and and his brand of democracy. AB AFRICA BRIEFING SEPTEMBER - OCTOBER 2021 9
COVER STORY South Africa: a country of huge contradictions The recent pillaging and violence highlighted the desperation of the poor in a country with the world’s widest wealth gap. It is a situation where there are a number of dollar billionaires, but with more than half the population having more liabilities than assets. South African industrialist and philanthropist Ivor Ichikowitz gives an insight into these inconsistencies in an interview with Jon Offei-Ansah B USINESS owners are counting without trial was complete nonsense – it corruption during Zuma’s tenure was more the cost after mass looting was an absolute lie.’ than $30bn. and damage to property in Zuma was in office from 2009 to 2018, In February this year, Zuma refused some of the worst violence seen in South a time marked by corruption and cronyism to appear before the Zondo Commission Africa since apartheid in the 1990s. More at the highest levels of government. Zuma set up to investigate corruption during his than 350 people were killed. Some shot, was forced to resign in 2018 because of time in office, even though he testified some trampled in stampedes. Across two all the allegations against him. He has before. In June the Constitutional Court provinces – KwaZulu Natal and Gauteng – been fighting those allegations ever since, sentenced Zuma to 15 months in prison for people burned down factories, the transport and denies he did anything wrong. But contempt of court. He was given a deadline and supply system was paralysed. Small President Ramaphosa says the cost of to turn himself in and at the last minute, he businesses were destroyed. President Cyril Ramaphosa sent in soldiers, saying the violence was planned. So, what triggered the violence free-for- all? Where does former president Jacob Zuma fit in? And what does this mean for South Africa? In a frank interview with Africa Briefing, South African industrialist and philanthropist Ivor Ichikowitz gave his take on the situation and his hopes for the country’s future. In Ichikowitz’s view, elements within and outside the ruling African National Congress (ANC) are engaged in a political battle to make a point. ‘They had threatened insurrection and they had carefully orchestrated a planned process of igniting the flames that they thought would lead to an insurrection,’ he said. ‘Now it actually failed spectacularly because what happened was that in KwaZulu Natal, which is Zuma’s ground, they were successful, sparking what became criminally motivated riots and looting and they dissipated a lie and the lie was that Zuma had been jailed without trial – that was a complete lie, Zuma brought his incarceration upon himself. You could question whether it was to test his populist support or was to give the finger to the South African system, but it was an absolute act of defiance which brought about his incarceration and that the whole concept of the fact that it was arrest Ichikowitz: I’m extremely hopeful and extremely positive 10 AFRICA BRIEFING SEPTEMBER - OCTOBER 2021
COVER STORY ‘I think that there are many examples like that, that indicate that this was more based on tactics that were used against the apartheid government than they were tactics that were copied from the United States. Sure, there are parallels between what happened in the US seven months ago and what happened in South Africa and I think that the parallels come out in the fact that there were people in America that turned around and said “not in my name, we’re not going to allow this to happen, and that happened in South Africa” – and that civil society and elements that were not even part of civil society, just people out of everyday life, just turned and said “no way, we’re not getting involved in Zuma’s term was marked by corruption and cronyism at the highest levels this, we’re not going to join this looting and rioting, we’re not going to allow this showed up at a police station. than the poorest 32 million, and only one to be an insurrection, we’re going to do While all that was going on, hundreds in five 18-to-24-year-olds are in work. everything we can to stop, even if the of Zuma supporters, some carrying ‘It’s also been very negative in that it police and army can’t and that’s a huge weapons, rallied in KwaZulu Natal, his has exposed the soft underbelly of South thing.”’ home province. South Africa is dealing Africa’s true issues and that is that we’ve According to Ichikowitz, one of the with a lot of problems: the legacy of got to deal with this massive poverty and fundamental structural problems in South apartheid, huge economic inequality, massive inequality between the haves Africa is the lack of a well-trained, efficient crushing unemployment and the most and the have nots - that is today South police force and a well-trained, efficient recorded cases of unemployment in Africa. Africa’s biggest risk, its biggest challenge. military. But none of that, except for the pandemic, I think that what started as a Zuma issue ‘Part of that, by the way, is because is new. So why did things kick off back in very quickly turned into an issue around there’s been a lot of pressure on South early July? desperate poor people,’ Ichikowitz said. Africa by the West, by the rating agencies, ‘What the people around Zuma did, is He disagreed with some comparisons by international institutions – to not that they used this as a mechanism to light with the January 6 insurrection in the invest in institutions of security – and a flame, to ignite a spark which they hoped United States, saying that most of the that’s a catastrophe. If you’re going to would then catch on to a national flame. instigators of the lootings and violence in have a democracy, you’re going to have It caught on in KwaZulu Natal because South Africa were former combatants from to have strong institutions to protect that they planned it in KwaZulu Natal and the armed wing of the ANC who were democracy. If nothing else has come out there is evidence that a lot of the riots were schooled in sparking insurrection under the of this, the wake-up call to South Africa, is actually initiated by this organised action apartheid system. to say sort out your police force, sort out around Zuma. And what happened? Very ‘I think these people used tactics that your defence force to give them the ability similar to what happened in the United were used during the apartheid days. I to deal with these kinds of criminal actions, States, was that criminal elements and the think they manipulated the masses by because if you don’t do that, you’re not desperate poor then just jumped on the spreading false information. I think they going to be able to defend what everyone band wagon,’ he explained. used a lot of strategies around that they else is fighting for from a democratic and used in the apartheid days – and I’ll give economic perspective,’ he said. ‘Was this in support of Zuma? I really you a personal example. There was an Ichikowitz believes that the looting and don’t think so and there seems to be very orchestrated, well-co-ordinated, planned violence of July have swung public opinion limited evidence that it any case that the attack on ATMs in shopping centres. in President Ramaphosa’s favour. population by and large rose up in support Those ATMs were not attacked by the ‘I think this was a real test of public of Zuma and I think that that has been very masses. The masses stole food, they stole opinion that happened to have come out in positive because it emboldened President clothing, they stole underwear, they stole favour of Ramaphosa and his faction and I Ramaphosa.’ basics. But there was a group of people, think you’re right, you can’t avoid splitting The looting and violence highlighted or organised criminals who went around the ANC today - into the element of good the desperation of the country’s poor big shopping centres and used the chaos which is represented by Ramaphosa and and the world’s widest wealth gap. as cover to professionally extract cash the element of bad which appears to be South Africa boasts a number of dollar from ATMs,’ he said. He explained that the represented by Zuma. We mustn’t fool billionaires, yet more than half the objective behind that was to then use the ourselves, these are not new factions, population have more liabilities than cash to pay off more criminals to create there have been factions in the ANC since assets, according to the World Inequality more chaos. And that was a strategy that Mandela’s day. There have been people in Lab. was applied in the apartheid days, going the ANC who believe that they have a right The richest 3,500 citizens own more back to the 70s and 80s. to right the wrongs of the past through AFRICA BRIEFING SEPTEMBER - OCTOBER 2021 11
COVER STORY looting and pillaging. Then there’s always ‘If that campaign was used in the not cool that lives were lost, as much as been a faction in the ANC who are driven UK, was used in the USA, people would it’s not cool that the police force couldn’t by ideology, who are driven by the interests have seen if for what it was. The problem do their job and that intelligence services of the people and who believe that the way in South Africa is you were talking to failed, what is cool is that South Africa is to right the wrongs of the past is through a fundamentally uninformed illiterate intact, we have a very, very credible and hard work and honest contribution to the population at that time and they took this strong President in place (albeit some of development of society,’ he said. promise literally and 27 years on there are the people around him are not yet) and we According to him, it is not just about still people sitting on the floor of mud huts have a foundation now to rebuild. I use the two individuals who represent two different waiting for government to give them a analogy of a bush fire – in African culture, house, still waiting for government to give in nature in Africa, the whole concept of sides of the ANC, but South African society them a job,’ he added. sometimes having to destroy before you can at large and the ANC. ‘One of the big ‘In South Africa everybody has looked rebuild is a constantly reoccurring theme myths about South Africa is that we’re a to government with completely unrealistic and if you’re a conservationist, as I am, you democracy. It’s a huge myth, everyone expectations. I think the other positive that are constantly watching how the African talks about South Africa’s democratic has come out of this rioting was that people bush has to go through catastrophes before experiment, we talk about the most liberal in South Africa got a serious wake up call. it rejuvenates and I think to a large extent constitution in the world and we talk They quickly came to the realisation that that’s what’s going on in South Africa right about the fact that this is a great example government can only do so much and that now and we need to embrace it.’ of democracy at work – but it’s not a democracy – the ANC has ruled absolutely average citizens had to do the rest. That’s Last month’s riots and looting spree, for the last 27 years and it has not been the long answer, but the truth is that this in which more than 350 people died, completely successful because of these constant factional fights, or this constant moral dilemma that exists inside the heart of the party.’ He believes that the events of July have forced this factionalism completely into the open and put it to a test by the public. ‘What could have happened here and what the Zuma supporters were hoping would happen is that this rioting and looting would spread throughout the country in all 11 provinces, that the country would become ungovernable and I would not be surprised if the ultimate plan was some form of a coup inside the ANC. I have no evidence of this but knowing the ANC, knowing some of the individuals, knowing the way they think, I would be pretty sure The element of good in SA politics is represented by Ramaphosa that was the plan, the masterplan.’ today remains one of South Africa’s biggest highlighted the desperation of the country’s Ichikowitz agrees that the ANC has challenges - the fact that the rank-and-file poor and the world’s widest wealth gap. failed to manage the high expectations population has unrealistic expectations South Africa boasts a number of dollar of economic upliftment among the Black of government and even somebody like billionaires, yet more than half the population with the advent of majority rule President Ramaphosa – who has his heart population have more liabilities than assets, in 1994, blaming the party for creating in the right place, who understands what according to the World Inequality Lab. those expectations in the first place. needs to be done, who I don’t believe has ‘These expectations were created by the The richest 3,500 citizens own more a corrupt bone in his body, can’t fix this ANC itself. The ANC came up with a than the poorest 32 million, and only one in on his own. And he can’t fix it in a 5-year campaign [in 1994] that said, “elect us into five 18-to-24-year-olds are in work. presidential term. You can’t take 60 years government and we will ensure jobs, we The government has twice had to of apartheid and fix the results, fix the will ensure housing and we will ensure implement a blanket pay out of about consequences in 20 years or 25 years of your prosperity” – that was the campaign. $24 a month to the needy on a temporary democracy.’ I might have got the words slightly wrong basis, first during the initial stages of the but the principle was that if ANC came into But Ichikowitz is bullish about South Africa’s future. ‘I’m extremely hopeful coronavirus pandemic and now in the power all of the wrongs of the past would and extremely positive. This thing could aftermath of the riots. Yet to meet South be corrected and the ANC would take have gone very wrong and it didn’t. And Africa’s own definition of what makes responsibility for ensuring that everybody as much as it’s not cool that $3 billion someone poor requires a stipend of almost in South Africa would become prosperous,’ of damage was done, and as much as it’s four times that amount. AB he said. 12 AFRICA BRIEFING SEPTEMBER - OCTOBER 2021
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ANALYSIS Devastating moments for African leadership With rampant cases of selfish and visionless leaders, governance in Africa has become a practice in divisions, victimisation, alienation and marginalisation, argues Toyin Falola M OST of post-independence fortunes at the turn of the millennium Africa had been dominated gradually take a downward turn. by an unsuccessful Continuing on an economically fragile struggle to achieve the modest goals of and politically precarious state, it was only political stability, economic prosperity a matter of time before all the negative and development laid out in the liberation actions and failures of government tipped manifestos of nationalist leaders and the balance over towards anarchy. This was revised by subsequent governments. brought on by a convergence of certain But the new millennium brought certain factors, some of which were foreseeable developments that gave hope to spectators and others that can be summed up as and stakeholders alike that the continent coincidences or acts of providence. was approaching a new dawn. In the foreseeable future, there is These developments were evident in the issue of endemic poverty, a growing the appreciation of the per capita figures of population of young, unemployed, certain African economies, an increasing dissatisfied and restive people, and that transition from despotic to democratic of limited government, slowly leading to governments and in the successful failing states. resolution of some of Africa’s protracted Though there were some warning conflicts. This, though, did not mean the Africa: different shades of leaders indications of an impending crisis, such disappearance of underlying factors like as the growing exodus of young Africans poverty, ethnic divisions, climate change through the Sahara and across the to attain its development potential, but and bad governance. Mediterranean to Europe, as well as other the said resources have turned around to It was taken as an indication that Africa become a curse on the African people, also minor cases of xenophobic expressions, had turned a corner in its development attracting the worst kind of characters to particularly in South Africa, things started journey, with better prospects for the its shores. to come to a head in Africa, perceptibly future. Hence, for a period, especially from 2009. And for deducible reasons, With the rampant cases of selfish countries both in and bordering the with the economic revolutions inspired and visionless leadership, governance Sahelian regions were worst hit by the by the proliferation of communications in Africa has become a practice in crisis. technology on the continent, this vision of divisions, victimisation, alienation a transformed Africa seemed even more Stretching from the Red Sea in the and marginalisation. To perpetuate viable. East to the Atlantic coast in the West, themselves in office, power-mongering Unfortunately for Africa, the question and kleptomaniacal African leaders have the Sahelian region, which comprises of good governance has persistently organised and supervised reigns of terror, parts of Eritrea, Sudan, Mali, Burkina remained an albatross to political and heavily suppressing dissents and ruling as Faso, Senegal, Chad, Niger and Nigeria, economic advancement and growth kings at the expense of mobilising social is known to contain some of the world’s sustainability on the continent. For a region energies towards combating the ever- poorest countries, according to the UN endowed with enough human and material present threats of poverty and conflict. Development Index. Niger is at the bottom resources to emerge as one of, if not the These have been further worsened by position, with Chad, Burkina Faso and most, prosperous region of the world, population explosion and climatic changes. Mali ranking directly above it. Africa has not been so lucky with the crop Starved of critical investments by Outside of the endemic poverty, lack of leaders who have managed its affairs. these larcenous tendencies, the strategic of education, employment opportunities The continent has witnessed a institutions of already fragile, colonially and state presence, which made it easy for combination of authoritarian dispensations inherited African states have begun to armed groups to recruit and thrive in these with their characteristic despotic, sit-tight collapse, resulting in limited government areas, the ill-fated NATO-backed regime leaders, and other democratic kleptocracies coverage and failing states. Thus, Africans, change in Libya, and the attendant uprising manned by “fantastically corrupt” and the rest of the world, have had to in Northern Mali in 2012, worsened the presidents. As a result, not only has the watch as what seemed to be a revolution security situation in most of the region. continent been unable to use its resources in Africa’s social, economic and political In Mali, the armed groups that emerged 14 AFRICA BRIEFING SEPTEMBER - OCTOBER 2021
ANALYSIS in areas neglected by the state for decades humanitarian groups to generate the funds and a prominent practice in Northern took advantage of available recruits and to mitigate its impacts. In the meantime, Nigeria, it is considered within African today have increased their ranks, spreading tens of thousands of refugees across the “democratic” circles as a necessary conflict and violence to the central region continue to live in displacement, political arsenal for any candidate hoping regions of the country and spilling over to unable to return home due to the persistent to run on the platform of any major neighbouring Burkina Faso and the Niger situation of insecurity. political party. Republic. Also, the impact of climate The more recent conflicts in Ethiopia Africa in 2021 is a cause for worry change on the region and livelihoods of between state security forces and the for everyone interested in the peace about 50 million livestock herders, which “rebel” Tigrayan region, as well as the and prosperity of the continent. Almost has instigated increased farmer-herder rioting in South Africa over the arrest everywhere one turns, a conflict is clashes, has resulted in scores of people of former President Jacob Zuma, cannot happening or waiting to unfold. Daily being killed and millions displaced. be separated from the aforementioned reports of deaths and numerous forms of In Nigeria in 2002, what began as underlying factors: poor governance human suffering steadily plague the senses a clampdown by government security practices, high youth unemployment rates, of all who call it home. agencies on a “radicalising” Islamic sect climatic changes and debilitating poverty. led by an obscure Islamic cleric named Indeed, these have become a In Ethiopia, the Tigrayan People’s Mohammed Yusuf, and comprised mainly Liberation Front (TPLF), the front-line devastating period for everyone, especially of “poor Muslim families from across unit defending the interests of Tigrayans after emerging out of the scourge of a Nigeria and neighbouring countries,” (the third largest ethnic group in Ethiopia, global pandemic that is yet threatening to grew into a full-fledged insurgency by constituting 67 per cent of the population), make a comeback. In today’s Africa, the 2009. This rebel group, which came to be was formed in the mid-1970s in reaction streets are no longer safe; children live in known as Boko Haram, gained notoriety to allegations of marginalisation. fear and danger of a bleak future; people’s for its disavowal of the canons of Western Additionally, the ongoing war between the identities are redefined as they flee from civilisation. TPLF and the central government of Prime war, roaming the world as unwanted and This was backed up with a repudiation Minister Abiy Ahmed is an outcome of the unwelcomed aliens. of the Nigerian state, the sacking of latter’s ambition to suppress the former To reflect on how far we have come its North-Eastern towns, and the mass by diminishing its power and political and how much efforts have been invested slaughter of its inhabitants. Since 2009, influence. As it stands, the conflict has to see Africa rise and remain standing, Boko Haram has claimed responsibility for not only claimed the lives of thousands of only to watch it all fall apart again before the deaths of tens of thousands of Nigerian civilians, while displacing over a million, our very eyes, is heart-wrenching – a thing citizens and the displacement of millions. but is also riddled with allegations of that would break lesser men and women. sexual violence and other atrocities. By 2014, the armed conflict in North- However, are we lesser men? This is one East Nigeria between security forces and Another evidence of the tragedy of question that providence seems to want non-state armed groups, with ties to ISIL governance in Africa is the pro-Zuma us to answer again, after many occasions. and factions like IS West African Province rioting in South Africa. This is a classic We have come to a point where we must ‘ (ISWAP), had spread to neighbouring countries, drawing Cameroon, Niger and Chad into the conflict. The devastating The ill-fated NATO-backed regime impact of this conflict on the region is perhaps best captured in Cameroon, where change in Libya, and the attendant the schism in areas bordering Nigeria and Cameroon, coupled with pre-existing uprising in Northern Mali in 2012, unrests between the French-speaking north-western regions and the English- worsened the security situation in ’ Speaking south-west, has resulted in massive destabilisation in the country. By the Sahel 2018, the violence in Cameroon had led to African scenario where the leader of the displacement of an estimated 437,000 a multi-national state takes advantage acknowledge that much more is required, Cameroonians, with about 30,000 refugees of the teeming number of unemployed notwithstanding the numerous sacrifices crossing over into Nigeria. youths amongst his sub-national group we have made. With the fragments of our This interconnected conflict between broken hearts in our hands, we are obliged and develops a cult-like following. He the countries of the Sahel belt has to rebuild, and we must rebuild because allows this group the best benefits of continuously expanded in scale and scope now is the time to build and not to tear of devastation over the years, especially his administration, and in return he gets down. between 2018 and the present. It has also unquestioned allegiance, even against the general interest of the federation. The alternative is to sit and watch our risen to the status of “one of the world’s beloved and beautiful Africa die – from worst humanitarian crises,” especially Unfortunately, this is not peculiar to numerous blows dealt by division, owing to the growing difficulty for South Africa alone. Spread around Africa hatred, poverty, war and hunger. AB Toyin Falola is University Distinguished Teaching Professor and Humanities Chair at The University of Texas at Austin in the US AFRICA BRIEFING SEPTEMBER - OCTOBER 2021 15
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