SKI PROPERTY REPORT 2018-19 - ASSESSING PROPERTY MARKET CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FRENCH AND SWISS ALPS - Knight Frank
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RESIDENTIAL RESEARCH SKI PROPERTY REPORT 2018-19 ASSESSING PROPERTY MARKET CONDITIONS ACROSS THE FRENCH AND SWISS ALPS SKI INDEX RESULTS 2018 INVESTMENT GUIDE TEN TRENDS TO WATCH
SKI PROPERTY REPORT 2018-19 RESIDENTIAL RESEARCH THE ALPS IN NUMBERS OVERVIEW 2018 SKI INDEX RESULTS Record snowfall and strong investment in infrastructure Now in its tenth year, our unique Ski Property Index tracks the annual change in the helped boost demand in the Alps in the last year but price of a four-bedroom chalet across 16 French and Swiss alpine ski resorts. property market regulations and the strong franc weakened activity in some Swiss resorts. The index declined by 0.5% in the year to boosted tourist numbers, buyer demand many looking instead for better value in June 2018, a more moderate decline than and hence chalet pricing. Austria or France. The strong Franc is not 77million Number of ski visits to the French and Our annual report provides a snapshot of the prime property market in the limits options for buyers but the ‘residence hoteliere’ is providing an alternative means the 1.8% fall witnessed in 2017. Thirteen of the 16 resorts recorded static or rising There has been a growing recognition of the relative value available in Villars. Home to only a factor in relation to the acquisition cost but also in terms of weaker long-term rental demand. Swiss Alps each year French and Swiss Alps, it assesses price for owners to acquire a property and rent it prices in annual terms. Three years ago, only five resorts registered price growth. three international schools, the resort also performance over the last year, explores out when not in use. For St Moritz (-11.1%), the robust Franc how the resorts compare in terms of their attracts a number of parent buyers seeking We revisit our Alpine map on pages 6 and Last year French resorts occupied the along with high pricing and a mismatch latest market indicators and examines a nearby base. Verbier’s ease of access, its 7 providing the latest facts and figures for top of our rankings, this year two Swiss between demand and supply have seen how the resorts are evolving. southern-orientation – making it one of the each resort and highlight which resorts resorts, Villars (6%) and Verbier (3.4%) have prices soften. There is pent up demand for Alps’ sunniest resorts – and its broad range Unlike the motivation behind a purchase rate best for key attributes, from snowfall summited. Both resorts have lagged behind smaller units but the current inventory is of leisure activities explain its high ranking. comprised of older, larger style chalets. within the mainstream housing market, to ski schools. On pages 8 and 9 we delve in recent years but a surge in investment, the purchase of a ski home is an into the ten trends set to influence the ski both in terms of ski lifts, luxury hotels, Elsewhere in Switzerland, the strength of Unlike the Swiss resorts, which occupy 1/3 aspirational or lifestyle purchase. property market over the next decade, beginner areas and non-ski activities have the Franc has deterred some buyers, with the two extremes of our rankings table, the from currency rates to climate change French narrative is one of moderation. None The results of our latest ski index (page 3) The French and Swiss Alps are home and new technology. of the eight French resorts tracked by the underline the extent to which economic FIGURE 2 to over a third of the world’s ski resorts index registered a decline in prime prices in sentiment, property regulations, wealth For those unfamiliar with buying or selling in The Knight Frank Ski Property Index, 2018 flows and infrastructure investment are the Alps, on page 10 we set out the key Annual % change to June 2018* the year to June 2018. combining to influence price performance. stages in the purchase process and offer Record snowfall boosted enquiries across some tips for those buyers and vendors the region during the 2017-18 ski season Overall, prices fell by 0.5%, a modest working to a specific timetable. Finally, on and for France, an improving economy, improvement on a fall of 1.8% in the page 11 we provide our outlook for the previous year, with the Swiss resorts of Alps, we explore why the current economic +6.0% strengthening consumer sentiment and VILLARS growing interest from northern Europeans, 8.23metres Villars and Verbier on top. Both resorts climate is prompting some buyers to look have invested heavily in new ski lifts, closely at their mortgage terms and we +3.4% in particular amongst Scandinavian and VERBIER Benelux buyers has lifted sales rates. hotels and sport centres and we are Verbier’s snowfall in 2017-18 season. increasingly seeing a direct correlation highlight where future demand is likely to +3.0% The highest of the 16 resorts tracked come from. VAL D’ISÈRE In 2018, Val d’Isère (3%) has overtaken between property price performance +2.3% Chamonix (2.3%) as the top-performing and the wider resort’s long-term FIGURE 1 CHAMONIX French resort. At 1,850m Val d’Isère is € investment strategy. Pile it high Total snowfall (cm) in Courchevel +2.2% +2.2% one of France’s highest resorts resulting in Enquiry numbers strengthened in the reliable snowfall, quality skiing and a longer COURCHEVEL COURCHEVEL 2017-18 season as snowfall reached 95 10 104 301 406 421 224 216 504 1550 1650 season. Val d’Isère generated more buyer record levels. Figure 1 shows total enquiries than any other resort last season snowfall for Courchevel during the +1.5% but supply remains constrained. 6% Prime price change in Villars. 2017-18 ski season, more than 5 metres fell between November and April, double +1.1% MEGÈVE COURCHEVEL 1850 Attracting a different demographic to Val d’Isère, Megève and Courchevel continue the amount recorded the previous year. to build on their brand as luxury resorts The highest of the 16 resorts tracked in year to June 2018 In France, rising consumer sentiment +0.9% with exemplary customer service and following Macron’s presidential victory in MÉRIBEL +0.6% GSTAAD amenities. Courchevel 1550 and 1650 2017 and improving economic indicators (2.2%) marginally outpaced 1850 (1.5%) fed through into buyer enquiries with Val d’Isère high in demand. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% in our annual price rankings due to their ANDERMATT CRANS COMBLOUX relative affordability. The lower resorts have MONTANA On pages 4 and 5 we set out how the key a greater dynamism with a number of public ski resorts are upgrading their offer and and private investment projects underway. investing in both ski and non-ski facilities -9.0% Registering 0.9% annual growth, Méribel 600km -10.7% and take a look at what owners need to DAVOS has largely peaked in terms of new-build know if they plan to buy, develop or rent KLOSTERS opportunities meaning buyers usually opt to Total piste length in The Three Valleys. in the Alps. The largest ski domain of the 16 -11.1% buy older stock and re-build. Méribel Village Planning rules in France, for example, ST MORITZ is increasingly under the spotlight as buyers 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 resorts tracked need careful monitoring and vary from seek new-build opportunities at €16,000 Source: 2018 International Report on Snow & resort to resort whilst in Switzerland, the Source: Knight Frank Research, UBS (Klosters, Davos, St Moritz) per sq m compared with €20,000 per sq m Source: OnTheSnow * Based on a 4-bedroom chalet in a prime central location, not of ‘super-prime’ specification. Mountain Tourism 20% cap on second homes (Lex Weber) Note: November to April Prices reflect an average for the resort, including both new and resale properties in central Méribel. 2 Please refer to the important notice at the end of this report 3
SKI PROPERTY REPORT 2018-19 RESIDENTIAL RESEARCH RAISING THEIR GAME INVESTMENT GUIDE FIGURE 4 What can I expect to rent my 4-bedroom chalet for in high season? € per week A reliable ski lift and a few snow cannons are no longer enough, ski resorts are It pays to do your research and make sure the numbers competing with each other to offer the best dual season experience. stack up if you plan to rent your ski home. €20,000 €17,300 €12,000 €12,000 €10,000 €9,000 €9,000 €7,000 €4,600 €4,600 €4,200 €3,000 €2,800 For several years, Knight Frank’s and the ability to access a larger ski potential rental income of a property over For most buyers, the purpose of a indication of potential rental competition) Ski Property Index has confirmed the domain can be the difference between the summer months. ski home it to enjoy holidays with vary significantly across the Alps and in link between a resort’s investment in 60% and 80% rental occupancy in the some cases are directly linked. Gstaad Buyers are paying close attention to family and friends, but increasingly its infrastructure (ski lifts, hotels, winter months. for example has only 3,700 second those ski resorts with a long-term plan most owners want to cover their costs spas, non-ski activities etc) and its Similarly, the provision of mountain and secure funding in place. Below we and maintenance by renting their homes and one of the highest rental property market’s performance. bike trails, leisure centres and zip wires highlight some of the future investment chalet or apartment. values during high season. Alongside, The speed and capacity of ski lifts can make a significant difference to the commitments on a resort-by-resort basis. we present the latest indicators to help COURCHEVEL 1850 COURCHEVEL 1650 COURCHEVEL 1550 CRANS MONTANA Rental values, occupancy rates and the prospective buyers gauge current rental VAL D'ISÈRE number of second homes per resort (an market conditions. ST GERVAIS COMBLOUX CHAMONIX MÉRIBEL VERBIER MEGÈVE VILLARS GSTAAD FIGURE 3 How the resorts measure up – future investment plans Source: Knight Frank Sales Network ¹ Based on a 4-bedroom chalet in a central location in high season. LEX WEBER AND THE RISE OF THE ‘RESIDENCE HOTELIERE’ Exchange rate as at 29 June 2018 France Chamonix Chamonix Courchevel Courchevel Méribel Méribel Megève Megève Val d’Isère Val d’Isère FIGURE 5 AAnew Les Les Veriaz Veriaz 950-bed 950-bed 4* 4* hotel Le Refuge Le Refuge de de Solaise, Solaise, the the The Lex Weber ruling, introduced in 2013, set a 20% cap on the number How many second homes are there per resort* newlift liftwill willreplace replacethe the La LaCroisette CroisetteDevelopment Developmentat at New New Roc Roc de de Tougne Tougne HOTEL HOTEL hotel HOTEL HOTEL highest hotel hotel in in France France Marmottons Marmottonsand andTabe Tabe 1850 1850will willimprove improveaccess access 6-seater 6-seater Chairlift Chairlift for for (€60m), (€60m), Comte Comte Capre Capre highest (2,551m) is is set set to to open open of second homes in each Swiss commune. Whether resident or non- chairlifts chairliftsatatGrand GrandMontets Montets for forskiers skiersand andpedestrians pedestrians 2018/2019 2018/2019 (takes (takes 33 mins) mins) 130-bed 5* hotel (€100m) 130-bed 5* hotel (€100m) (2,551m) and and Accor Accor 100-bed 100-bed hotel hotel in December in December 2018 2018 resident, no further second homes can be built once this threshold has 2,100 3,700 4,200 5,200 6,000 6,400 6,800 7,300 8,600 8,900 10,400 10,600 €27 €42 been reached. The premise behind the law was to prevent ‘cold beds’ – the AAnew newreplacement replacement €27million millionnew newLeLePraz Praz €42 million million invested invested in in New New gondolas gondolas and and €250 million million Le Le Coin Coin €250 10-seater 10-seatergondola gondola gondola gondolabase basestation station will will be be Courchevel Courchevel and and Meribel Meribel snow snow cannons cannons (€85m) (€85m) HOTEL HOTEL de Val de Val redevelopment redevelopment existence of empty second homes – and encourage ‘warm beds’ – by attracting atatFlegere completed completedDecember December 2019 2019 on grangettes gondola on grangettes gondola Flegere more tourism and therefore investment in the local economy via higher including 500 parking spaces including 500 parking spaces and and La La Croisette Croisette Development, Development, ahead ahead of 2023 occupancy levels. Le 2023 FIS FIS Alpine Alpine World Ski LeTour Tourlift liftstation station La Championships New congress New lift in the Solaise renovated LaTania Tania Moretta MorettaVillage Village Championships ski area (3,600 skiers renovatedby bywinter winter Development centre By creating hotel style residences, with services such as a concierge, buyers Development 2018/19 2018/19 per hour) are still able to purchase a holiday home provided they rent the property when LaLaFolie FolieDouce Doucetotoopen open 77 new Two new chairlifts and not in use. In most cases, the owner can use their ‘residence hoteliere’ up to a HOTEL HOTEL HOTEL HOTEL new hotels hotels recently recently New Black run and the ininDecember December2018 2018onon completed completed or or under under improving links Teleski des 3000 will maximum of six weeks per annum. This acquisition is considered a commercial former formerClub ClubMed Med construction construction between Rochebrune re-open in 2018/19 season Chamonix Chamonixsite site and Cote 2000 and not a residential purchase and as such does not fall under the residency DAVOS & KLOSTERS (due 2020/21) restrictions on either property size or rental duration. CRANS MONTANA The construction of Val €477 €477million million40-year 40-year 115 115 new new snow snow cannons cannons d’Isere’s first palace hotel – COURCHEVEL HOTEL VAL D'ISÈRE inin Courchevel Courchevel && La La ANDERMATT The Madamoiselle Val ST MORITZ CHAMONIX investment investmentplan plan Tania Tania valleys valleys MÉRIBEL VERBIER D'Isere, is due to open in MEGÈVE VILLARS GSTAAD December 2019 HOTEL HOTEL AmanleleMelezin Aman Melezinhotel hotelinin The Val d'Isère lift Courchevel1850 Courchevel 1850reopens reopens company pledge to December2018 December 2018 remove 100 lift pylons on WHY IT PAYS TO KNOW YOUR PLAN LOCAL Source: UBS, Swiss Federal Office for Spatial Development, INSEE their mountains by 2022 D’URBANISME (PLU) *Note: Some destinations consist of multiple municipalities A plan local d’urbanisme (PLU) is the French name for a local plan which sets out FIGURE 6 the planning zones for the area and the rules for new development. If you intend Switzerland What is the rental potential of my ski home? Crans Montana Crans Montana St Moritz St Moritz Verbier Villars Andermatt to build or extend your property in an area with a PLU you will need to submit an Occupancy in Occupancy in 100% high season* low season* application to the local town hall (’mairie’) for approval. Below we highlight some of Sixsenses Six sensesCrans Crans Privatebookings bookingsofofthe the HOTEL Four new 4 & 5-star Private HOTEL HOTEL the recent changes by resort: HOTEL HOTEL HOTEL Bruson regeneration Bruson regeneration Résidence Alpine Hedonia hotels, apartments & Montana47-room Montana 47-room Corvatschski Corvatsch skiarea area project (CHF300m) project (CHF300m) & shopping centre sports centre (CHF1,000m) hotel(2020) hotel (2020) permitteduntil permitted untilmidnight midnight 80% Chamonix Megève GrandHotel Grand HotelRodania Rodania NewGrace New GraceHotel Hotel Road Road access access HOTEL HOTEL HOTEL HOTEL New sport New sport centre centre • The construction of two or more • Pro-construction PLU plan now 40-room5-star 5-starhotel hotel openinginin2020 opening 2020 Parking (CHF40m) Parking (CHF40m) Schöllenen Schöllenen gorge gorge 40-room (CHF50m) (CHF50m) (CHF50m) (CHF105m) (2020) (2020) (CHF50m) (CHF105m) dwellings is restricted to a maximum in place – potential for 300 new 60% area of 300m² apartments in next two years Newcable New cablecars cars&& Ski and Ski and non-ski non-ski Retirement Retirement home home connectionofofski ski Curala ski Curala ski lift lift upgrade upgrade infrastructure and and post post office connection areas(CHF75m) (CHF75m) (CHF115m) (CHF115m) infrastructure (CHF30m) (CHF30m) (CHF14m) (CHF14m) office • Planning permission calculations are Val d’Isère 40% areas now based on the footprint of the • Initiative to regenerate tourist New building not the total floor area buildings as well as support and New Railway Railway station station –– CRANS MONTANA New apartment New apartment project project at Domaine Domaine du du Roc Roc Glacier Glacier Express Express hub 20% hub develop the hotels in the resort. COURCHEVEL at Courchevel ANDERMATT VAL D'ISÈRE (CHF20m) (CHF20m) ST MORITZ CHAMONIX (CHF20m) (CHF20m) MÉRIBEL VERBIER MEGÈVE VILLARS GSTAAD • Encourages housing stock renewal, Hotel du Hotel du Roc Roc 0% HOTEL HOTEL (renovation) (renovation) allowing more internal square metres (CHF15m) (CHF15m) than the previous PLU plan. Source: Knight Frank Research, Tourist Offices *High season = February half term / Low season = Last week of April Source: Knight Frank research, Zahlen und Fakten, Ferienregion Andermatt, UBS AG, LuzernerZeitung, Andermatt Swiss Alps AG For a detailed understanding of the Swiss rules on where non-residents can buy and the implications of the 20% second home cap at a local level please contact alex.kdeg@knightfrank.com or if you want more information on the PLU (local plans) in the French resorts please contact roddy.aris@knightfrank.com 4 5
SKI PROPERTY REPORT 2018-19 RESIDENTIAL RESEARCH Klosters ALPINE FACTFILE.... CHF 11,982 - 3 CHF59 1,190 Z 1 hr 47 305 CHF318 21 weeks Davos Buyers need to weigh up multiple factors when deciding where to purchase a ski home. Advanced skiers may prioritise altitude to CHF Z - 3 CHF48 1,550 1 hr 58 311 CHF311 22 weeks maximise snow reliability throughout the season, whilst families 12,052 with beginners may consider a dual season resort with a broader Andermatt range of facilities. Below we have presented the key facts and Z figures to help determine where bests suits your needs and CHF 19,000 CHF690 2 CHF45 1,445 1 hr 44 86 CHF273 24 weeks provided our own in-house awards for best in class. St Moritz Z CHF Best resort for…. 20,806 - 2 CHF70 1,770 2 hrs 45 350 CHF365 20 weeks Gstaad G CHF CHF 34,800 20,000 2 CHF58 1,050 2 hrs 3 220 CHF321 28 weeks Best summer season rental demand ZURICH Villars Chamonix & Verbier FRANCE CHF 13,085 CHF 5,200 2 CHF40 1,300 G 1 hr 24 125 CHF295 20 weeks Crans Montana Neuchâtel G Shortest drive from CHF CHF 2 CHF65 CHF332 23 weeks G 12,623 4,750 1,500 2 hrs 4 140 the airport Klosters Verbier The Four Valleys Combloux, Chamonix & Megève SWITZ ERLAND Davos CHF 22,365 CHF 3,860 1 CHF65 1,530 G 1 hr 51 412 CHF345 25 weeks Gstaad Andermatt St Moritz Chamonix Lake Geneva G Cheapest ski school Villars Crans €11,250 €4,575 1 €41 1,035 1 hr 8 593 €306* 20 weeks Montana Combloux & Megève Combloux Espace Evasion Sion G €8,500 €3,500 3 €33 850 1 hr 3 445 €186.5 18 weeks GENEVA Verbier Lugano Megève Espace Evasion Highest resort Chamonix Combloux G €13,650 €7,000 2 €34 €186.5 Val d’Isère & Courchevel 1850 LYON Megève 1,110 1 hr 8 445 18 weeks Méribel The Three Valleys Bourg-Saint- Maurice G CHAMBERY Méribel Village €15,750 €12,000 3 €43 1,450 1 hr 59 600 €275 21 weeks Access to largest Méribel Val D’Isère Espace Killy ski domain Courchevel 1550 Val d’Isère G Courchevel 1850 Courchevel Courchevel & Méribel 1650 €19,000 €12,000 2 €49 1,850 2 hrs 44 300 €294 23 weeks Courchevel 1550 The Three Valleys G Longest season €16,000 €9,000 3 €43 1,550 1 hr 58 600 €275 21 weeks length Courchevel 1650 The Three Valleys Key Gstaad & Verbier G G €16,000 €9,000 3 €39 1,650 2 hrs 2 600 €275 21 weeks Prime price for Rent for Summer season Cost of ski Resort Drive time Total Price of a Season Knight Frank 4-bedroom chalet 4-bedroom chalet rental ranking school per child height to nearest pistes weekly ski length** sales office Courchevel 1850 The Three Valleys (€/CHF per sq m) (€/CHF per week (1 = good, (group session, (m) major airport (km) pass* (weeks) and network in February) 5 = poor) morning only) (€/CHF) members (€ / CHF) G G = Geneva Airport Z = Zurich Airport €25,500 €20,000 4 €46 1,850 2 hrs 7 600 €275 21 weeks Source: Knight Frank Research, Ski Club of GB, OnTheSnow Note: Prices and rents are based on a 4-bedroom chalet in a central location within each resort. *The weekly ski pass is based on the price of the wider ski domain, in the case of Chamonix this is the Mont Blanc Unlimited pass providing access to Verbier, Courmayeur and Espace Evasion **Rounded to nearest full week. The Knight Frank network includes representative offices. Rental data for Klosters, Davos and St Moritz unavailable 6 7
SKI PROPERTY REPORT 2018-19 RESIDENTIAL RESEARCH TEN TRENDS SET TO INFLUENCE SKI MARKETS From climate change to Asian interest and from currency rates to the latest technology, we highlight the key trends it’s worth monitoring Climate change Tighter monetary conditions Despite record snowfall in the Not immediately, but over time the cost of finance 2017/18 season, temperatures in in the Eurozone is likely to rise. The European Central the Alps have risen by just under Bank announced its plans to halt its asset-buying programme 2°C over the past 120 years, (quantitative easing) in December 2018 and interest rate rises may almost twice as much as the start to shift upwards from the end of 2019 but they will remain low by global average. historic standards. Swiss interest rates look set to remain in negative territory for some time. Global warming is expected to bring about changes in rain and Buyers seeking a mortgage may find costs slightly higher over the next few years snowfall patterns, there is the and more may seek to lock themselves in to a longer fixed rate deal in the coming potential for heavier but less Property market regulations & Airbnb months to take advantage of the current low rates. Exchange rates frequent snowstorms. Not only is Policymakers are increasing keen to improve transparency in an effort technology in the form of snow We estimate 40% of ski home purchases in the to monitor/control who is buying what and where. Switzerland has seen guns and cannons helping, but the Dual season Alps involve a foreign stakeholder, be it a buyer or some of the most stringent rules imposed starting with Lex Koller in new machines are more energy vendor, meaning exchange rates have an important The days of buying a ski home for use exclusively in the winter 1983 (establishing areas where non-residents can not purchase) and efficient and specialist machines months are gone. The Alps have been able to capitalise on the bearing on the transaction. A €2m chalet would more recently with Lex Weber in 2013 (the 20% cap on second homes are now used to relocate snow today cost a British buyer £188,000 more than global push to improve health, fitness and make the most of the per commune). to the busiest pistes. It is likely, great outdoors. Summer tourist numbers now rival those in the it would have done a decade ago as a result of however, that we will see more the weaker pound. Whether planning your exit The French Alps faces fewer rules but even here, close attention is winter months with a broad range of activities on offer, including buyers target high altitude resorts mountain biking, hiking, paragliding, abseiling and glacier strategy or contemplating which price bracket to being paid to the scale and design of future development to ensure it is to maximise their season length target, it pays to monitor the exchange rate. sustainable and sensitive to the Alpine landscape. skiing. A prolific calendar of social, cultural and sporting events in coming years. throughout the year, from Polo Championships to Jazz and Food festivals, also boost tourist and rental numbers. Going big Ski resorts are joining forces to create vast domains in an effort to attract more skiers. Infrastructure investment Some ski domains are fully linked by lifts and telecabines, others have a shuttle bus Chinese Standing still is not an option for the Alpine resorts as they seek to attract which is included in the cost of the ski pass. interest a new generation of skiers, as we’ve France is home to more than half of the ten The 2017 China White Book estimates Family time highlighted elsewhere in the report. biggest ski areas in the world. At 600km, that of the country’s 1.2 million skiers Technology Villars has ploughed significant funds into the Three Valleys is the largest, stretching over half travel abroad to ski, Japan is Unlike beach holidays where teenagers often head off from Courchevel to Méribel across to Les reinventing its offer whether it is night high on their list. Cheaper travel and Advances in technology are reshaping the independently with friends, skiing in the Alps provides the Menuires and Val Thorens Expect to see skiing, the new swimming pool or new rising wealth is likely to mean more skiing landscape. From ergonomic boots and opportunity for a full day of shared pursuits and valuable more resorts link up. gondolas and a beginners’ area. Ahead of Chinese tourists and buyers in the parabolic, curved skis to adaptive skiing for family time when the family remains as one on the the FIS Alpine World Ski Championships Alps. The number of people in China disabled individuals, it is now easier for a larger slopes, sharing lunch and an evening meal. This USP This push to experience more in 2023 we expect Courchevel and with US$5 million is forecast to rise by demographic to take up the sport. Add to this for the Alps is likely to come into sharp focus in the and travel further has led to Méribel to be a key investment hub. 218,000 to 425,270 between 2017 and Apps capable of following one’s friends on the coming years. a new Swiss 'magic pass' which provides access to 30 2022 and analysts report that 2018 has mountain, measure your speed against other A number of the Swiss resorts host some of the world’s resorts and 1,000km of slopes seen nine new flight routes open up from skiers, as well as gadgets such as heated top private schools (Villars, Verbier, Crans Montana) and for around CHF500 per year. China to Europe, which translates into gloves, air-bag vests and camera drones to this attracts international buyers seeking a base when 6,000 more seats per week. track your route downhill, such advances may visiting their children. improve safety, comfort and personal bests. 8 9
SKI PROPERTY REPORT 2018-19 RESIDENTIAL RESEARCH STAYING MARKET OUTLOOK BUYER TIMELINE VENDOR TIMELINE How to be in your new ski How to sell your ski home ON TRACK home for Christmas by the end of the season Home to the world’s oldest and most sport enthusiasts ahead of the Beijing will continue to want a rental return to OCTOBER/NOVEMBER MARCH aspirational ski resorts, the Alps continue Winter Olympics in 2022. cover ownership costs, maintenance Alongside, our experts OCTOBER/NOVEMBER MARCH to attract global interest. However, and family ski visits. More flights from DecideDecide on preferred resortsresorts on preferred and and Sale decision. Arrange Sale decision. professional Arrange professional But the Alpine ski market can’t be set out the timeline property searchsearch property criteria.criteria. Register Register photography to taketoadvantage photography of take advantage of based on the experience of our Alpine purely at the behest of Asian demand, more locations by low-cost carriers help with a with global agent agent a global that has a local that has a local snowysnowy conditions. Request conditions. marketmarket Request network, unlike mainstream markets maximise potential rental demand and to work to in order to presence and knowledge. presence and knowledge. ExploreExplore appraisal from reputable appraisal agent agent from reputable in some parts of the world, external particularly when outbound capital flows boost income but outgoings are also financefinance options. A mortgage options. offer inoffer in A mortgage achieve your goal. This principle needsneeds principle to be in toplace be in before place before APRILAPRIL factors such as the global financial are being curtailed in China. under scrutiny. exchange. Provide exchange. feedback Provide on feedback on crisis and geopolitical tensions have not is meant as a guide only initial property listings to agent. initial property listings to agent.Visit Visit had the same impact on sentiment and Switzerland’s safe haven credentials, its Data from Credit Suisse shows the with agent prior toprior with agent starttoofstart season of season strong economy, currency, privacy and extent to which mortgage rates have and we can assist at any beforebefore rentalsrentals easy access commence commence to enable to enable ReviewReview appraisal, and sales and mandate agree agree appraisal, sale price sale price (if applicable) sales mandate (if applicable) transaction volumes as they have had on security will continue to put it at the top dropped in France over the last five easy access time of the year. DECEMBER DECEMBER mainstream housing markets. of global HNWI’s preferred list of places years. Given finance costs are expected APRILAPRIL TO JUNE TO JUNE The rise in wealth globally, in places such to shelter from economic and political to increase in the coming years it is likely For many of our buyers it is the Undertake research Undertake if you plan research if youtoplan to SpeakSpeakto accountant to understand to accountant to understand as Latin America, Russia, the Middle turbulence but it comes at a cost. we will see more HNWIs take advantage first time they have bought abroad rent your rentski yourhome – occupancy ski home – occupancy tax liabilities. CollateCollate tax liabilities. all relevant all relevant East and Eastern Europe is expected of the current low European interest rate levels,levels, achievable rents, rents, achievable the resort’s the resort’s paperwork (permits, paperwork conformity, (permits, taxes, taxes, conformity, Since 2015 when the Swiss Franc was and for some they are working to future future investment plans etc investment plans etc title deeds, property title deeds, imagesimages property and and to offset some of the challenges posed environment and refinance. Debt can be unpegged from the Euro, the Franc has a specific date or event when they information for thefor information Diagnostic the Diagnostic by an ageing demographic of skiers in seen as an efficient way of diversifying a JANUARY JANUARY Performance Energétique Performance (D PE))(D PE)) Energétique drifted higher but for some it is a price want to be settled in their new Europe. However, all eyes are currently balance sheet. JULY JULY on Asian demand which has the capacity worth paying – whether as a long-term home. For others looking to sell, investment, to be near a child attending However, regardless of the potential FurtherFurther viewings/research viewings/research to radically reshape the global ski market many are keen to maximise rental (if needed) (if needed) school in Switzerland or as a means return, currency advantage or good Commence marketing Commence marketing in the coming years. income by completing the sale at of spreading risk by decreasing their finance options, ultimately the decision the end of the ski season. FEBRUARY/MARCH FEBRUARY/MARCH Asia’s strong rate of wealth creation and to acquire a ski home is an emotive SEPTEMBER exposure to solely Dollar or Euro- SEPTEMBER a growing appetite for travel amongst one, borne out of a desire to own an DecideDecide on preferred property, on preferred property, denominated assets. For a detailed breakdown of the take advice from agent and make its high net worth individuals, as well as asset that will provide valuable time with take advice from agent and make buying process as well as costs offer (with offermortgage offer inoffer (with mortgage placein place Schedule viewings Schedule viewings the increasing popularity of winter sports Although most ski purchasers will friends and relatives whilst undertaking a if needed) if needed) not be buying a ski home purely for and taxes read our buyer guides could bolster global demand. China shared pursuit. In the modern age, a ski Agree Agree price with pricevendor and instruct with vendor NotaryNotary and instruct for France and Switzerland, OCTOBER alone aims to have 300 million winter investment purposes, we expect most home can offer a rare escape. OCTOBER https://www.KnightFrank.com/ MARCH MARCH FIGURE 7 overseas-property Facilitate viewings Facilitate / viewings / If you Ifplan youtoplan renttothe property rent the property reviewreview offers offers The resorts compared – measuring prices, price growth and season length take marketing photosphotos take marketing while snow while snow is still on theon is still ground the ground NOVEMBER NOVEMBER €30,600 Switzerland Circle size = Prime Prices APRIL/MAY APRIL/MAY (€ per sq m) France €8,500 Facilitate viewings Facilitate / viewings / Exchange contracts Exchange (Compromis contracts (Compromis reviewreview offers offers de vente in France de vente / Promesse in France de de / Promesse NO VAT ON NEW-BUILD vente vente / Vente/ Vente à terme in Switzerland à terme in Switzerland STRONG PRICE GROWTH / Villars STRONG PRICE GROWTH / DECEMBER DECEMBER 6% SHORT SEASON LONG SEASON PROPERTIES JUNE/JULY JUNE/JULY Val d’Isère Facilitate viewings Facilitate / viewings / 4% Courchevel 1550 & 1650 In France, buyers can reclaim the VAT Complete sale (Signature Complete de Acte sale (Signature de Acte reviewreview offers offers Verbier (20%) on the price of some off-plan in France / Acte/de in France vente Acte in de vente in 2% Chamonix Switzerland). Commission builderbuilder Andermatt Gstaad properties by committing to renting out Switzerland). and schedule Commission potential and schedule worksworks potential (if (if JANUARY JANUARY Megève 2018 PRICE GROWTH their home for a period of 20 years. needed). Instruct lettingslettings agent agent if needed). Instruct if 0% you plan youtoplan renttothe property. rent the property. AcceptAccept offer, agree what iswhat is offer, agree 15 20 25 30 In order to qualify three of the Advertise the property Advertise for rentforand the property rent and included in sale,ininstruct included NotaryNotary sale, instruct Combloux Méribel following four services must be offered take bookings for winter take bookings season for winter season -2% Crans Montana by the property: JULY/AUGUST FEBRUARY FEBRUARY JULY/AUGUST -4% Courchevel 1850 • A guest reception, on site or nearby Exchange contracts Exchange (Compromis contracts (Compromis • Breakfast de vente in France de vente / Promesse in France de de / Promesse Undertake renovations Undertake (if needed) renovations (if needed) vente/vente/ Vente Vente à terme in Switzerland) à terme in Switzerland) -6% • Provision of fresh linen • Room cleaning at least three times APRILAPRIL -8% NOVEMBER/DECEMBER NOVEMBER/DECEMBER a week Davos These services can be contracted out Organise removals Organise removals -10% St Moritz RentalRental bookings commence bookings commence WEAK PRICE GROWTH / Klosters WEAK PRICE GROWTH / and it can equate to a relatively low SHORT SEASON LONG SEASON cost in return for a significant saving. -12% CHRISTMAS CHRISTMAS MAY MAY Clients should seek specialist advice from a qualified Complete sale (Signature Complete de de sale (Signature LENGTH OF SEASON (WEEKS) tax expert or property lawyer. Enjoy Enjoy an Alpine Christmas an Alpine Christmas Acte inActe France / Acte/de in France vente Acte de vente Source: Knight Frank Research, Ski Club of GB, UBS in Switzerland) in Switzerland) 10 11
KNIGHT FRANK INTELLIGENCE For the latest news, views and analysis on the world of prime property, visit KnightFrank.com/blog RESEARCH ENQUIRIES Liam Bailey Global Head of Research +44 20 7861 5133 liam.bailey@knightfrank.com Kate Everett-Allen International Residential Research +44 20 7167 2497 kate.everett-allen@knightfrank.com PRESS OFFICE Astrid Recaldin International PR Manager +44 20 7861 1182 astrid.recaldin@knightfrank.com Get in touch France Roddy Aris Knight Frank Research provides strategic If you’re thinking of buying in the French or +44 20 7861 1727 advice, consultancy services and Swiss Alps, or would just like some property roddy.aris@knightfrank.com forecasting to a wide range of clients advice, please do get in touch, we’d love to help. Laetitia Hodson worldwide including developers, investors, +44 207 861 1083 funding organisations, corporate institutions laetitia.hodson@knightfrank.com and the public sector. All our clients Knight Frank Finance recognise the need for expert independent Switzerland advice customised to their specific needs. Alex Ogario Alex Koch de Gooreynd +44 20 7268 2573 +44 20 7861 1109 alex.ogario@knightfrankfinance.com alex.kdeg@knightfrank.com Knight Frank can advise on all aspects of property ownership across Europe, from acquisition to ownership and disposal. Relevant contacts are listed above. Further details are available on our website at www.knightfrank.com/overseas-property. Important Notice RECENT MARKET-LEADING RESEARCH MARKETING © Knight Frank LLP 2018 – This report is published RESIDENTIAL RESEARCH FRANCE INSIGHT RESIDENTIAL RESEARCH ITALY INSIGHT RESIDENTIAL RESEARCH SWISS LAKES for general information only and not to be relied upon in 2018 2018 INSIGHT 2018 any way. Although high standards have been used in ALPINE the preparation of the information, analysis, views and AMY REDFERN, OF KNIGHT FRANK’S ITALIAN DESK, SHARES HER MARK HARVEY, HEAD OF KNIGHT FRANK’S EUROPEAN SALES, ALEX KOCH DE GOOREYND, HEAD OF KNIGHT FRANK’S SWITZERLAND INSIGHTS ON ITALY’S PRIME RESIDENTIAL MARKET. SHARES HIS INSIGHTS ON FRANCE’S PRIME RESIDENTIAL MARKET. DESK, SHARES HIS KNOWLEDGE AND INSIGHT ON THE SWISS LAKES’ PRIME RESIDENTIAL MARKET. VIEW HOW IS THE MARKET PERFORMING? WHERE ARE THE HOTSPOTS? projections presented in this report, no responsibility or HOW IS THE MARKET values – perhaps the key reason as to why The first quarter of 2018 has brought with it Italy’s cities are en vogue. Florence, Rome AMY REDFERN WHAT DO BUYERS WHO ARE WHAT TRENDS ARE YOU NOTICING real estate demand continues to grow in MARK HARVEY encouraging signs following a muted 2017. and Lucca currently account for around 40% Senior Negotiator, Italian desk CONSIDERING PURCHASING IN IN 2018? ALEX KOCH DE GOOREYND PERFORMING? these destinations (with enquiry numbers up Head of European Sales Super-prime sales (€10m+) have increased of our enquiries. +44 20 7861 1057 Head of the Switzerland Desk +44 20 7861 5034 significantly and this is expected to filter down amy.redfern@knightfrank.com SWITZERLAND NEED TO KNOW? Residents that work in Geneva are showing +44 20 7861 1109 Over the last 24 months we have seen 100% compared to 2016). Tuscany, the embodiment of Italian charm, mark.harvey@knightfrank.com to lower price bands in the coming year. a greater willingness to commute to the city alex.kdeg@knightfrank.com a remarkable reversal in France’s prime There are two distinct markets in Switzerland, remains high on many wish lists, along with residential markets stemming largely from a those where non-residents can buy (largely from areas in the Canton of Vaud such as La WHAT TYPE OF PROPERTY IS IN In Italy, homeowners have displayed a the Northern Lakes. liability whatsoever can be accepted by Knight Frank LLP strong Paris market (where prices increased confined to ski resorts as well as the immediate Côte and even from Lausanne where property GREATEST DEMAND? reluctance to acknowledge the reality of by some 12% in 2017). Against a positive Waterfront homes (Portofino and Costa prices and municipal taxes are lower. The Swiss softening prices over the last decade, which has areas surrounding Montreux, Lugano, economic and political backdrop, France is The popularity of different kinds of property “FRANCE AND ITS RICH boosted stock levels and drawn out the market’s Smeralda in Sardinia) saw an uptick in Interlaken and Lucerne - see figure 2) and Riviera (stretching from Montreux to Vevey) “RESIDENTS THAT WORK IN now experiencing a buoyant and incredibly depends a great deal on location. In Paris, demand in 2017, with the super-prime boasts excellent schools and views across Lake GENEVA ARE SHOWING A exciting residential market rebound. “L’effet traditional properties with grand proportions CULTURAL TAPESTRY recovery. Despite this, Knight Frank’s Italian Prime Residential Index confirms that the rate of market notably active. those where non-residents cannot buy, which includes the cities of Geneva and Zurich. This Geneva, and sits within a 75-minute train ride of GREATER WILLINGNESS TO Macron”, as witnessed since the summer of and period features are most in demand, REMAINS AN ATTRACTIVE luxury price declines is now bottoming out with clear distinction, established by a law known as the city itself. COMMUTE TO THE CITY FROM WHAT TYPE OF PROPERTY IS IN last year, has caused a ripple of optimism while the preference in the south of France AND COMPELLING Liguria, Chianti and Milan registering positive Lex Koller, results in two very distinct property Switzerland’s super prime market has become AREAS IN THE CANTON OF for any loss or damage resultant from any use of, reliance from Paris to the internationally sought is typically for a local architectural vernacular price growth in 2017. GREATEST DEMAND? polarised. From CHF20m to CHF40m vendors after regions including the Côte d’Azur, with a more contemporary interior twist. INVESTMENT AND Our enquiry numbers for Italian homes, up 133% The type of property is dependent on the city markets operating along very different lines. face strong competition making pricing and a VAUD SUCH AS LA CÔTE Provence, the Alps and South West France, Budgets vary accordingly, albeit the majority LIFESTYLE CHOICE.” in 2017 year-on-year, suggests any uncertainty or region. In Italy’s cities, international buyers Where non-residents can purchase a home, property’s condition critical. At the ultra-prime AND EVEN LAUSANNE.” all of which have witnessed a strong of our buyers look between €2 and €5 they can only buy a single property where the level (above CHF40m), demand remains stable, on the political or economic stage – the general are seeking two or three-bedroom apartments turnaround in sentiment, buyer interest million and seek elegant, turnkey ready official living space does not exceed 200 with those properties offered in an immaculate election, banking crisis and Brexit negotiations – in central locations but critically these must be and transactional activity. accommodation with manageable gardens square metres. However, buyers still need to condition generating the strongest interest. have not influenced buyers’ decision-making. finished to a very high specification, in a prime on or reference to the contents of this document. As a and ideally a breath-taking view. location and a ‘hassle-free’ purchase requiring FIGURE 1 be aware of the Lex Weber law which places a Although the Swiss Franc dipped against key The only notable impact has been at the very FIGURE 1 WHO’S BUYING IN FRANCE? In contrast, in the Alps demand is frequently no additional work. TYPICAL PRIME RESIDENTIAL PRICES 20% cap on second homes in key communes. currencies in the last year it remains strong by SWITZERLAND’S DEMOGRAPHIC top end of the market where wealthy buyers, € per sq m, Q1 2018 historic standards. While this can influence buyer International buyers continue to be the focused on new-build properties, with off-plan although still active, have reduced their budgets In Venice and the Northern Lakes, those In contrast, Swiss residents face less PROFILE sentiment in all Swiss markets, buyers in the lakes driving force of prime residential sales. The developments representing 80% of the Alpine FIGURE 1 to mitigate risk and currency exposure. buyers with deep enough pockets want restrictions on where or what they can 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 tend to focus more on the long-term gain and lull following the EU referendum proved only homes sold across our network last year. PARIS RECORDS STRONGEST PRICE direct canal or lake frontage to maximise purchase, although non-European passport lifestyle benefits. Here, a property boasts year- Non-residents momentary; with the British demographic their investment, both from a lifestyle and The advantages of buying off-plan in France GROWTH IN 2017… WHO’S BUYING IN ITALY? Costa Smeralda holders are restricted to one primary residence. round appeal, offering summer by the lake once again accounting for up to one in four are multiple and might include staggered Prime residential prices, annual % change, 2017 rental perspective. general report, this material does not necessarily represent The lifestyle on offer in Italy remains the primary Rome whilst some of the top Alpine resorts sit within prime residential purchases. The remaining 75% of buyers typically stem from northern payments, the most advanced construction motivation for most international buyers. A Finally, in rural parts, a stone-built farmhouse HOW DO RESIDENT AND NON- an hour’s drive. 55,022 techniques and materials, a 10-year Portofino with a few hectares, an attractive pool and Europe (Benelux, Switzerland, Scandinavia) guarantee, and a possible VAT rebate of up second home located within a short flight of their RESIDENT BUYERS DIFFER IN along with French domestic buyers who primary residence, which offers strong rental rural views of vineyards and olive groves Forte dei Marmi THE SWISS LAKES? WHAT IS YOUR OUTLOOK FOR Foreign-born to 20% for those open to a rental solution. appeals to family buyers seeking the full account for around one in five of our prime prospects and the promise of a good climate, Milan THE MARKET? residents culture, and landscape acts as a strong pull. Tuscan experience. Resident buyers tend to have larger budgets; buyers. Buyers from the Middle East, the US The market slowed post 2016 when the OECD’s and even Asia are also displaying a greater WHAT’S YOUR OUTLOOK Venice they will be in possession of their residency 2,063,428 the view of Knight Frank LLP in relation to particular Northern Europeans are active, particularly those convention on Swiss banking secrecy was first appetite for French real estate. FOR 2018? from within the Eurozone who have been able WHAT’S YOUR OUTLOOK FOR 2018? permit, be aware of the different cantonal mooted, but in 2017 we saw renewed interest as Lake Como tax rules and usually have a clearly-defined The confidence that was cultivated in the to take advantage of moderating prices without Opportunities abound. Buyers are arguably education, lifestyle and personal security moved to search area. Interest in recent months is WHERE ARE THE HOTSPOTS? market during 2016 continues to gain being penalised by any currency shift. facing the best quality stock for some Florence strongest within the CHF2m and CHF8m the fore as key motivations amongst buyers. momentum and as France celebrates a years and where prices have plateaued France is fortunate to have many hotspots The love affair with all things Italian continues for Argentario price bracket. Previously, the upper end of Lugano and Montreux, as well as other areas that record 2017 when over one million properties we expect the market to gain traction as – from beautiful cities and charming hilltop many Americans. In the three months to March the price bracket would have extended to offer lakeside views and dual season appeal, will inventories diminish. Western Liguria villages, to glamorous beaches and award- changed hands, we expect transaction 2018, online property viewings by prospective increasingly come under the spotlight. Although Population CHF10m but this has reduced slightly, partly properties or projects. Reproduction of this report in whole winning ski resorts. Our carefully considered volumes to rise further. Against a backdrop buyers in the US accounted for 11% of all Currency matters. Where UK vendors are Chianti the properties currently on offer are of good quality because of the more stringent assessment of associate network of offices across France, of historically low interest rates, rising house searches on Knight Frank’s website. looking to return home we are seeing a greater Vald'Orcia and lump sum taxation, which came into force on in these areas, there is limited volume, which is 8,482,200 price inflation, growing economic and political flexibility on price as the recent strengthening putting pressure on prices. St Remy de Provence 5.0% covering Paris, the Côte d’Azur, Saint Tropez, southern Tuscany Of note is the uptick in interest from Australia 1 January 2016. Courchevel 1850 0.4% the Luberon and Alpilles, Gers, Espace Killy, stability, France looks to attract global wealth of the pound provides them with some room and New Zealand. Many applicants are semi- Lucca and Pisa The Swiss Franc remains a go-to safe haven that will allow its real estate markets to thrive for manoeuvre. KnightFrank.com EXCEPTIONAL PROPERTIES IN FRANCE AND SWITZERLAND St Tropez -5.0% Les 3 Vallées, Megève and Chamonix, are The budgets of non-resident buyers are Val d’Isere 3.0% Chamonix 4.5% Megeve -0.5% retired couples with children working in Europe currency and despite its strength a number of Evian -10.0% Cannes 2.7% Meribel 1.6% Paris 12.0% the local experts in these very hotspots. The through 2018 and beyond. Indeed, as global Maremma significantly lower at around CHF1m to seeking a long-term summer base to use for Ease of access. Northern Italy is appealing buyers cite a desire to hold an asset in a non-US international appeal of these destinations uncertainty prevails, France and its rich or in part is not allowed without prior written approval of family get-togethers. City apartments in Florence to buyers keen to explore Switzerland and Umbria CHF4m. Most make their first acquisition at dollar and non-Euro denomination as a key knightfrank.com THE GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE ON PRIME PROPERTY AND INVESTMENT ensures a constant flow of eager tourists cultural tapestry remains an attractive and and Rome are popular; particularly those easy to France, either for ski breaks, outdoor pursuits this price but then increase their investment motivation behind their purchase. I don’t see this Source: Swiss Federal Statistics Office, State Secretariat for Migration. which helps to underpin the underlying market compelling investment and lifestyle choice. Source: Knight Frank Research maintain as well as lock up and leave. or for cultural reasons. Source: Knight Frank Research having familiarised themselves with an area. changing any time soon. As at 31 March 2018 Wealth Report France Insight 2018 Italy Insight 2018 Swiss Lakes Insight Alpine View 2018 Knight Frank LLP to the form and content within which it Update Sept 2018 2018 appears. Knight Frank LLP is a limited liability partnership registered in England with registered number OC305934. Our registered office is 55 Baker Street, London, W1U 8AN, Knight Frank Research Reports are available at KnightFrank.com/Research where you may look at a list of members’ names.
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