SIFMA Research Quarterly - 4Q21 - US Fixed Income Markets - Outstanding - Fixed Income Outstanding 4Q21

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SIFMA Research Quarterly - 4Q21 - US Fixed Income Markets - Outstanding - Fixed Income Outstanding 4Q21
Executive Summary

         SIFMA Research Quarterly – 4Q21
         US Fixed Income Markets – Outstanding

         March 2022

        The SIFMA Research Quarterlies contain data and statistics on U.S. markets. The fixed income reports are
        split into two – (1) issuance and trading, (2) outstanding – given a delay in the reporting of outstanding data.
        The reports cover data on total U.S. fixed income markets, as captured in the SIFMA Research databases:
        U.S. Treasuries, mortgage-backed securities, corporate bonds, municipal securities, federal agency securities,
        asset-backed securities, money markets (outstanding only), repurchase agreements (outstanding only) and
        secured overnight financing rate.

        All reports, including the equity quarterly, and corresponding databases can be found at:
        www.sifma.org/research

US Fixed Income Markets - Outstanding                                                                                 Page | 1
Executive Summary

Contents
Executive Summary ................................................................................................................................................................................... 4
US Fixed Income Markets vs. Rest of World .............................................................................................................................................. 4
Quarterly Performance ............................................................................................................................................................................... 5
Chart Book: Total Fixed Income & Agency Securities ................................................................................................................................ 6
Total Fixed Income ..................................................................................................................................................................................... 6
Agency Securities ....................................................................................................................................................................................... 6
Chart Book: US Treasuries (UST) .............................................................................................................................................................. 7
Chart Book: Structured Products (MBS & ABS) ......................................................................................................................................... 8
Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) ........................................................................................................................................................... 8
Asset-Backed Securities (ABS) .................................................................................................................................................................. 8
Chart Book: Corporate Bonds (Corporates) ............................................................................................................................................... 9
Chart Book: Municipal Securities (Munis) ................................................................................................................................................. 10
Chart Book: Money Markets (MM)............................................................................................................................................................ 11
Chart Book: Repurchase Agreements (Repo) .......................................................................................................................................... 12
Chart Book: Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) ......................................................................................................................... 15
Appendix: Fixed Income Securities Definitions & Purpose ....................................................................................................................... 16
Appendix: Terms to Know ........................................................................................................................................................................ 18
Authors ..................................................................................................................................................................................................... 19

US Fixed Income Markets - Outstanding                                                                                                                                                             Page | 2
Executive Summary

    Associated Reports

    Please also see SIFMA Research Quarterly Report: US Cash Equities, ETFs, Multi-Listed Options and Capital Formation &
    SIFMA Research Quarterly Report: US Fixed Income Markets – Issuance and Trading, which can be found at:
    www.sifma.org/research

    SIFMA Insights Primers: The SIFMA Insights primer series is a reference tool that goes beyond a typical 101 series. By
    illustrating important technical and regulatory nuances, SIFMA Insights primers provide a fundamental understanding of the
    marketplace and set the scene to address complex issues arising in today’s markets. The SIFMA Insights market structure
    primer series includes: Global Capital Markets & Financial Institutions; Primary, Secondary & Post-Trade Markets; Electronic
    Trading; U.S. Fixed Income; SOFR, the Transition from LIBOR; U.S. Equity; U.S. Multi-Listed Options; U.S. ETFs; U.S. Capital
    Formation and Listings Exchanges; and Evolution of the Fintech Narrative. The primers and other Insights reports can be found
    at: www.sifma.org/primers

SIFMA is the leading trade association for broker-dealers, investment banks and asset managers operating in the U.S. and global capital markets. On
behalf of our industry’s one million employees, we advocate on legislation, regulation and business policy, affecting retail and institutional investors,
equity and fixed income markets and related products and services. We serve as an industry coordinating body to promote fair and orderly markets,
informed regulatory compliance, and efficient market operations and resiliency. We also provide a forum for industry policy and professional
development. SIFMA, with offices in New York and Washington, D.C., is the U.S. regional member of the Global Financial Markets Association (GFMA).
For more information, visit http://www.sifma.org.

This report is subject to the Terms of Use applicable to SIFMA’s website, available at http://www.sifma.org/legal. Copyright © 2022

US Fixed Income Markets - Outstanding                                                                                                          Page | 3
Executive Summary

Executive Summary

US Fixed Income Markets vs. Rest of World

The U.S. fixed income markets are the largest in the world, comprising 38.5% of the $125 trillion securities
outstanding across the globe, or $48 trillion (as of 3Q21). This is 1.9x the next largest market, the EU. U.S. market
share has averaged 38.3% over the last 10 years, troughing at 35.9% in 2011 and peaking at 40.4% in 2016.

US Market Share

            Global FI Outstanding                                    US Share of Global FI Markets ($T)
                               HK                                                  World        US
      Australia EM    DM
                1.4% 1.1%     0.5%                140
        1.9%                          Singapore
                                                                                                                 123   125
 Canada                                 0.5%
  3.2%                                            120
                                                                                                           105
  UK                                                                                            98   100
 5.6%                                             100          87    87                    89
                                                        85                  85     86

                                   US              80
         Japan
         10.9%                    38.5%
                                                   60                                                                  48
                                                                                                                 46
                                                                                                37   39    41
                                                                     33     34     35      36
                                                   40   31     32
           China
           16.4%
                                                   20
                          EU
                         20.1%                      0
                                                        FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 3Q21

Source: Bank for International Settlements (3Q21, BIS data for all countries has a lag)
Note: Country classification based on World Bank list of economies

US Fixed Income Markets - Outstanding                                                                                                  Page | 4
Executive Summary

Quarterly Performance

In this report, we utilized SIFMA Research’s comprehensive fixed income and securitized products databases
(www.sifma.org/statistics) to recap statistics for total U.S. fixed income markets, U.S. Treasuries (UST), mortgage-
backed securities (MBS), corporate bonds (corporates), municipal securities (munis), federal agency securities
(agency), asset-backed securities (ABS), money markets (MM), repurchase agreements (repos) and the secured
overnight financing rate (SOFR).

Quarterly Highlights

 Outstanding ($B)              4Q21      3Q21     4Q20        Q/Q         Y/Y        FY21        FY20         Y/Y
 Total Market                 52,890    51,813   50,151       2.1%       5.5%       52,890      50,151       5.5%
 UST                          22,584    21,873   20,973       3.3%       7.7%       22,584      20,973       7.7%
 MBS                          12,202    11,905   11,214       2.5%       8.8%       12,202      11,214       8.8%
 Corporates                   10,022    10,002    9,772       0.2%       2.6%       10,022       9,772       2.6%
 Munis                         4,050     4,039    3,981       0.3%       1.7%       4,050        3,981       1.7%
 Agency                        1,433     1,447    1,689      -0.9%      -15.1%      1,433        1,689      -15.1%
 ABS                           1,585     1,476    1,535       7.4%       3.2%       1,585        1,535       3.2%
 MM                            1,014     1,071     987       -5.3%       2.8%       1,014         987        2.8%

US Fixed Income Markets - Outstanding                                                                         Page | 5
Chart Book: Total Fixed Income & Agency Securities

Chart Book: Total Fixed Income & Agency Securities

Total Fixed Income

•   Outstanding: 4Q21 $52.9T, +5.5% Y/Y, +2.1% Q/Q

               US FI Outstanding                                        US FI Outstanding ($T)
                        MM                               UST   MBS      Corporates      Munis     Agency    ABS     MM
       ABS      Agency 1.9%
                 2.7%                          60
       3.0%                                                                                                               52.9
                                                                                                            50.2
                                               50
                                                                                                44.1
              Munis                                                           42.3
                                                      39.1       40.4
              7.7%
                                               40
                                        UST
       Corporates                      42.7%
                                               30
         18.9%

                                               20

                                               10
                       MBS
                      23.1%                    0
                                                     FY16       FY17          FY18              FY19        FY20         FY21

Source: Refinitiv, Bloomberg, The Federal Reserve, US Agencies, US Treasury, SIFMA estimates

Agency Securities

•   Outstanding: 4Q21 $1.4T, -15.1% Y/Y, -0.9% Q/Q

          US Agency Outstanding                                    US Agency Outstanding ($T)
                                                       FHLB    FHLMC      Farm Credit      FNMA        Farmer Mac   TVA
           Farmer Mac         TVA              2.5
              1.6%            1.4%
                                                       2.0        1.9
                                               2.0                              1.8
                                                                                                 1.7         1.7
               FNMA
               14.1%                                                                                                      1.4
                                               1.5
                                     FHLB
       FHLMC                         45.5%
       12.7%                                   1.0

                                               0.5
                 Farm
                 Credit
                 24.6%
                                               0.0
                                                      FY16       FY17          FY18             FY19        FY20         FY21

Source: US Agencies, SIFMA estimates

US Fixed Income Markets - Outstanding                                                                                            Page | 6
Chart Book: US Treasuries (UST)

Chart Book: US Treasuries (UST)
•        Outstanding: 4Q21 $22.6T, +7.7% Y/Y, +3.3% Q/Q

                                 UST Outstanding                                                                                                                                           UST Outstanding ($T)
                                                                                                                                                                                   Bills     Notes        Bonds                 TIPS            FRN

                                               FRN                                                                      25                                                                                                                                                                22.6
                                               2.7%                                                                     23                                                                                                                                  21.0

                                     TIPS                                                                               20
                                                                Bills
                                     7.7%                                                                                                                                                                                       16.7
                                                               16.7%                                                    18                                                                        15.6
                                                                                                                                                     13.9                     14.5
                                                                                                                        15
                  Bonds
                  15.4%                                                                                                 13
                                                                                                                        10
                                                                                                                             8
                                                                                                                             5
                                                             Notes                                                           3
                                                             57.6%
                                                                                                                             0
                                                                                                                                                FY16                         FY17                 FY18                      FY19                         FY20                            FY21

                                                       UST Holders - Institutions                                                                                                                                                               UST Holders - Countries
40%                                                                                                                                                                                         40%                                                                                                                                                             36.6%

           30.3%
30%                                                                                                                                                                                         30%
                                  23.7%
                                                                                                                                                                                            20%      17.4%
20%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   14.3%
                                                  14.0%              13.5%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   8.6%
                                                                                                                                                                                            10%
10%                                                                                          6.7%                                                                                                                                                    4.5% 4.3% 3.8% 3.6% 3.5% 3.3% 3.3%
                                                                                                              5.6%
                                                                                                                                     3.0%
                                                                                                                                                             1.6%             1.4%           0%
    0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Belgium
                                                                                                                                                                                                         Japan

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Ireland

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Other
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Switzerland

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Cayman Is

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Brazil
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Taiwan
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        China

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       UK

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Luxembourg
                Foreign

                                                                                                                                                              Insurance

                                                                                                                                                                                   Other
                                                                                                                  S/L Govt

                                                                                                                                       Individuals
                                                                           Pensions

                                                                                               Banks
                                    Mon Auth

                                                       MFs

                                                         UST Interest Rates (%)                                                                                                                                                                  Federal Funds Rate (%)
                                                        Spread                           2-Year                          10-Year                                                                                                                 Target Range                                      Effective Rate
                                                                                      2.93
3.0                                                                                                                                                                                         3.0
                                     2.44                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2.40
2.5                                               2.24                                2.67                                                                                                  2.5
         1.92
2.0                                                                                                           1.79                                                                          2.0                                                                1.74
                   1.56                                                                                                                                            1.59        1.53
                                                                                                                             1.37
1.5                                                                                                    1.69                                                                                 1.5                                                                                                               1.23
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          1.15
         0.84                                     1.36
1.0                                                                                                                                                                                         1.0                             0.70
                                                                                                              1.08                      0.65
                                                                                                                                                                               0.53
                                                                                                                                                                                                  0.36       0.40
0.5                  0.73                                                                                                                                          0.17                     0.5
                                                                                                                                        0.14                                                                                                                                                                                   0.09             0.07          0.08
0.0                                                                                                                                                                                         0.0
         1Q16
                2Q16
                          3Q16
                                 4Q16
                                        1Q17
                                               2Q17
                                                      3Q17
                                                             4Q17
                                                                    1Q18
                                                                           2Q18
                                                                                      3Q18
                                                                                             1Q19
                                                                                                    2Q19
                                                                                                           3Q19
                                                                                                                  4Q19
                                                                                                                             1Q20
                                                                                                                                    2Q20
                                                                                                                                           3Q20
                                                                                                                                                      4Q20
                                                                                                                                                             1Q21
                                                                                                                                                                     2Q21
                                                                                                                                                                            3Q21
                                                                                                                                                                                   4Q21

                                                                                                                                                                                                  1Q16
                                                                                                                                                                                                         2Q16
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 3Q16
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4Q16
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                1Q17
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2Q17
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              3Q17
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     4Q17
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            1Q18
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2Q18
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            3Q18
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   1Q19
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            2Q19
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   3Q19
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          4Q19
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 1Q20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2Q20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               3Q20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      4Q20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             1Q21
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    2Q21
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           3Q21
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  4Q21

Sources: US Treasury, New York Federal Reserve, The Federal Reserve, SIFMA estimates

US Fixed Income Markets - Outstanding                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Page | 7
Chart Book: Structured Products (MBS & ABS)

Chart Book: Structured Products (MBS & ABS)

Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS)

•     Outstanding: 4Q21 $12.2T, +8.8% Y/Y, +2.5% Q/Q

               US MBS Outstanding                                   US MBS Outstanding ($T)
                                                          Agency MBS        Non-Agency          Agency CMO
                                            14
                                                                                                                      12.2
                       Agency               12                                                         11.2
                        CMO                                                              10.2
                                                                           9.7
                       11.4%                10    9.0         9.3
            Non-
           Agency
           12.4%                             8

                                             6

                                             4
                                Agency
                                 MBS         2
                                76.2%
                                             0
                                                  FY16        FY17        FY18          FY19          FY20            FY21

Asset-Backed Securities (ABS)

•     Outstanding: 4Q21 $1.6T, +3.2% Y/Y, +7.4% Q/Q

                US ABS Outstanding                                  US ABS Outstanding ($T)
                                                    CDO/CLO     Auto    Student Loans    CC      Equipment    Other
                                            1.8                            1.6           1.7                          1.6
                                                                                                       1.5
                                                              1.5
                                            1.5   1.4
                     Other
                     16.7%
     CC                                     1.3
    3.4%
Equip                                       1.0
ment
5.1%                              CDO/CLO
                                            0.8
                                   51.7%
           Student
            Loans                           0.5
            9.2%

                  Auto                      0.3
                 13.9%
                                            0.0
                                                  FY16        FY17        FY18          FY19          FY20            FY21

US Fixed Income Markets - Outstanding                                                                                        Page | 8
Chart Book: Corporate Bonds (Corporates)

Chart Book: Corporate Bonds (Corporates)
•       Outstanding: 4Q21 $10.0T, +2.6% Y/Y, +0.2% Q/Q

                     US Corporate Outstanding ($T)                                                                       US Corporate Bond Defaults

12                                                                        160
                                                                                                                                                                                                         146
                                                     9.8         10.0     140
10
                               8.6       8.9
                     8.4                                                  120
           8.0                                                                                105
    8
                                                                          100
                                                                                                                                                                                 78
    6                                                                         80
                                                                                                                          64
                                                                              60
    4                                                                                                                                                44
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     39
                                                                              40
    2
                                                                              20

    0                                                                         0
          FY16      FY17      FY18       FY19        FY20    FY21                            FY16                        FY17                    FY18                       FY19                        FY20                       FY21

          US Corporates Average Maturity at Issuance (# Years)                                  US Corporate Bond Index Yield to Maturity (%)
                                                                                                                                       Spread                       IG                  HY
18                                                                       10                                                                                                               9.3
                                                     17.6                      8.6
                                                                                                                                                            8.0
                               17.2                                      8
                                         17.1                                                6.6                                              6.7
                                                                                                                         6.0                                                        6.0
17                                                                                                                                                                                                    7.0
                                                                         6
          16.6                                                                                                                                                                                                             4.9              4.9
                                                                  16.3                                                                        4.1           4.3
                    16.3                                                                                                                                                                       3.7
                                                                         4 3.2                                           3.2
                                                                                             2.9                                                                                        2.9
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           2.4              2.4
16
                                                                         2
                                                                                                                                                                                                      2.3

                                                                         0
15
                                                                               1Q16
                                                                                      2Q16
                                                                                             3Q16
                                                                                                    4Q16
                                                                                                           1Q17
                                                                                                                  2Q17
                                                                                                                         3Q17
                                                                                                                                4Q17
                                                                                                                                       1Q18
                                                                                                                                              2Q18
                                                                                                                                                     3Q18
                                                                                                                                                            4Q18
                                                                                                                                                                   1Q19
                                                                                                                                                                          2Q19
                                                                                                                                                                                 3Q19
                                                                                                                                                                                        4Q19
                                                                                                                                                                                               1Q20
                                                                                                                                                                                                      2Q20
                                                                                                                                                                                                             3Q20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    4Q20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           1Q21
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2Q21
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3Q21
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                4Q21
          FY16      FY17      FY18       FY19        FY20        FY21

US Fixed Income Markets - Outstanding                                                                                                                                                                                        Page | 9
Chart Book: Municipal Securities (Munis)

Chart Book: Municipal Securities (Munis)
•      Outstanding: 4Q21 $4.0T, +1.7% Y/Y, +0.3% Q/Q

                    US Municipal Outstanding ($T)                                                                              US Municipal Holders
                                                                       50%
4.5                                                                                        41.7%
                     3.9                              4.0        4.0
          3.9                   3.9        3.9                         40%
4.0

3.5                                                                                                                       29.4%
                                                                       30%
3.0

2.5                                                                    20%
                                                                                                                                                           13.0%                          12.1%
2.0
                                                                       10%
1.5                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3.9%
1.0
                                                                        0%

                                                                                                                                                                                              Insurance

                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Other
                                                                                            Individuals

                                                                                                                                                             Banks
                                                                                                                               MFs
0.5

0.0
         FY16       FY17       FY18       FY19       FY20       FY21

          US Municipal Average Maturity at Issuance (# Years)                                   US Municipal Bond Index Yield to Maturity (%)
                                                                       4.0
18.5
                               18.1       18.1                                                                                                      3.5
                                                                       3.5                         3.4
18.0                                                            17.8

                    17.5                                                     3.1
                                                     17.4                                                                                                                                     3.0
17.5
                                                                       3.0
                                                                                                                        3.1

17.0                                                                                2.8                                                                                                2.9
          16.8
                                                                       2.5                                                                                                                                                                  2.3
16.5                                                                                                                                                                                                                2.4

                                                                       2.0
16.0
                                                                             1Q16
                                                                                    2Q16
                                                                                           3Q16
                                                                                                   4Q16
                                                                                                          1Q17
                                                                                                                 2Q17
                                                                                                                        3Q17
                                                                                                                               4Q17
                                                                                                                                      1Q18
                                                                                                                                             2Q18
                                                                                                                                                    3Q18
                                                                                                                                                           4Q18
                                                                                                                                                                  1Q19
                                                                                                                                                                         2Q19
                                                                                                                                                                                3Q19
                                                                                                                                                                                       4Q19
                                                                                                                                                                                              1Q20
                                                                                                                                                                                                      2Q20
                                                                                                                                                                                                             3Q20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    4Q20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           1Q21
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2Q21
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3Q21
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                4Q21
          FY16      FY17       FY18       FY19       FY20       FY21

Source: Refinitiv, Bloomberg, The Federal Reserve, SIFMA estimates

US Fixed Income Markets - Outstanding                                                                                                                                                                                        Page | 10
Chart Book: Money Markets (MM)

Chart Book: Money Markets (MM)
•   Outstanding: 4Q21 $1.0T, +2.8% Y/Y, -5.3% Q/Q

            US CP Outstanding                               US Commercial Paper Outstanding ($T)
                                                              Non-Financial    Financial    ABCP   Other
                    Other                      1.2
                    0.0%                                                                   1.05              1.01
                                                                0.97          1.00                   0.99
                                               1.0   0.88
                              Non-
                            Financial
          ABCP                                 0.8
                             18.9%
          27.7%
                                               0.6

                                               0.4

                        Financial              0.2
                         53.3%
                                               0.0
                                                     FY16      FY17           FY18         FY19     FY20    FY21

Source: The Federal Reserve, SIFMA estimates

US Fixed Income Markets - Outstanding                                                                                         Page | 11
Chart Book: Repurchase Agreements (Repo)

Chart Book: Repurchase Agreements (Repo)
•     Outstanding: Primary Dealer, 4Q21 $4.5T, -2.0% Y/Y, +7.6% Q/Q; FY21 $4.3B, -5.5% Y/Y
•     ADV: GCF, 4Q21 $58.7B, -41.2% Y/Y, -22.0% Q/Q; FY21 $78.5B, -27.6% Y/Y

Primary Dealer Repo

         Primary Dealer - Avg Daily Out                     Primary Dealer - Avg Daily Outstanding ($T)
                                                                            Repo       Reverse Repo
                                             5                                                        4.6
                                                                                              4.5
                                                                                                              4.3
                                                    4.0           4.0           3.9
                                             4

                                             3
         Reverse Repo
            42.9%
                                             2
                                     Repo
                                     57.1%
                                             1

                                             0
                                                    FY16          FY17          FY18          FY19    FY20    FY21

                 Collateral - Repo                    Collateral - Reverse Repo
                   Agency
                                                               Agency    ABS
           Equities 0.8% ABS     Other                          0.3%     0.3%         Other
                          0.4%   1.3%              Corporate
             3.9%                                                                     0.8%
    Corporate                                        0.9%
      3.0%
                                                               TIPS
 TIPS                                                          9.6%
 7.3%
                                                      MBS
                                                      9.5%
          MBS
         15.6%

                                  UST
                                 67.7%                                       UST
                                                                            78.7%

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, SIFMA estimates

US Fixed Income Markets - Outstanding                                                                                          Page | 12
Chart Book: Repurchase Agreements (Repo)

             Avg Daily Out - Repo                           Average Daily Outstanding - Repo ($T)
                                                                       Overnight   Term
                                             3.0
                                                                                     2.6       2.6
                                                                                                        2.5
                                             2.5                2.2
                                                      2.2                 2.2
        Term
        29.3%
                                             2.0

                                             1.5

                                             1.0
                              Overnight
                               70.7%         0.5

                                             0.0
                                                     FY16      FY17      FY18       FY19      FY20      FY21

       Avg Daily Out - Reverse Repo                     Average Daily Outstanding - Reverse Repo ($T)
                                                                       Overnight   Term
                                             2.5

                                                                                     2.0       1.9
                                             2.0      1.8                                               1.8
                                                                1.8
                                                                          1.7

     Term                                    1.5
     47.2%

                                Overnight    1.0
                                 52.8%

                                             0.5

                                             0.0
                                                     FY16      FY17      FY18       FY19      FY20      FY21

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, SIFMA estimates

US Fixed Income Markets - Outstanding                                                                               Page | 13
Chart Book: Repurchase Agreements (Repo)

GCF Repo

            GCF Repo Total Par Amount                                    GCF Repo Total Par Amount ($T)
                                                                                       UST    MBS    Agency
                                                   50       46.1
                                                   45
                                                   40
                                                                                         33.3            34.1
        MBS                                        35                    30.8
       36.3%
                                                   30                                                                27.2

                                                   25
                                                                                                                                    19.6
                                                   20

                                     UST           15
                                    63.7%          10
                                                    5
                                                    0
                                                           FY16          FY17            FY18            FY19        FY20           FY21

            GCF Repo Avg Par Amount                                      GCF Repo Avg Par Amount ($B)
                                                                                       UST    MBS    Agency
                                                   200      187
                                                   180
                                                   160
                                                                                         134             136
        MBS                                        140                    123
       36.3%
                                                   120                                                               108

                                                   100
                                                                                                                                     78
                                                    80

                                     UST            60
                                    63.7%           40
                                                    20
                                                     0
                                                            FY16         FY17            FY18            FY19        FY20           FY21

            Tri-Party Repo by Collateral                           Tri-Party Repo Cash Investor Median Margin
                Non-Agency    Agency                             ABS (Non-IG)                                          8.0%
                ABS & MBS    Securities
  Corporates                               Other   CMO Private Label (Non-IG)                                          8.0%
                   1.6%        0.8%
    3.4%                                   0.9%           Corporates (Non-IG)                                          8.0%
 Equities                                                              Equities                                        8.0%
  5.2%                                                       Municipality Debt                                     7.0%
                                                                      ABS (IG)                                 6.0%
                                                       CMO Private Label (IG)                              5.0%
            Agency                                            Corporates (IG)                              5.0%
            MBS &                                               Money Market                               5.0%
            CMOs
                                                       International Securities                            5.0%
            18.0%
                                                                Agency CMOs                      3.0%
                                                   Agency Debentures & Strips                2.0%
                                 UST                              Agency MBS                 2.0%
                                70.1%                          UST excl Strips               2.0%
                                                                   UST Strips                2.0%
                                                                                  0%     2%         4%          6%   8%       10%     12%

Source: The Federal Reserve Bank of New York, The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation, SIFMA estimates

US Fixed Income Markets - Outstanding                                                                                                       Page | 14
Chart Book: Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR)

Chart Book: Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR)
•        SOFR Rate (90 day rolling average): As of 12/31/21 = 4.91 bps
•        Fed Volumes: As of 12/31/21 = $923B
•        Market Volumes: As of 10/31/21 = futures $11T, aggregate notional outstanding $155.2T

                                                                    Historical SOFR Volumes & 90-Day Rolling Average Rate
1,400                                                                                                    Volume ($B)                        Rate (bps, RHS)                                                                                         300

1,200                                                                                                                       245
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    250

1,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    200
                                                                                                                                                          174
    800
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    150
    600                                                     107
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    100
    400
                        42
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    50
    200
                                                                                                                                                                                7.41           8.47        4.17 1.58 5.00 4.91
         0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          0
                             3/30/17

                                       6/30/17

                                                  9/30/17

                                                                         3/31/18

                                                                                     6/30/18

                                                                                               9/30/18

                                                                                                                       3/31/19

                                                                                                                                  6/30/19

                                                                                                                                            9/30/19

                                                                                                                                                                 3/31/20

                                                                                                                                                                           6/30/20

                                                                                                                                                                                     9/30/20

                                                                                                                                                                                                           3/31/21

                                                                                                                                                                                                                     6/30/21

                                                                                                                                                                                                                               9/30/21
             12/30/16

                                                             12/31/17

                                                                                                          12/31/18

                                                                                                                                                      12/31/19

                                                                                                                                                                                                12/31/20

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         12/31/21
                                                               SOFR Linked Product Growth Since May 2018 Inception ($T)

    13                                                                   Futures Volume                              Swaps NO                    Cash NO             170   Agg NO (RHS)
                                                                                                                                                               155.2
    12                                                                                                                                                               160
                                                                                                                                                           144.1
                                                                                                                                                         136.5       150
    11                                                                                                                                               130.3           140
    10                                                                                                                                             124.3
                                                                                                                                                                     130
    9                                                                                                                                        110.7                   120
                                                                                                                                        96.8                         110
    8
                                                                                                                                   90.5                              100
    7                                                                                                                           79.3                                 90
    6                                                                                                                      69.9                                      80
                                                                                                                      61.5                                           70
    5                                                                                                            53.9
                                                                                                            49.1                                                     60
    4                                                                                                  38.6                                                          50
    3                                                                                             32.2                                                               40
                                                                                             24.1
                                                                                                                                                                     30
    2                                                                                   16.1
                                                                        7.5        11.2                                                                              20
    1 0.1                0.4           0.9       2.1        4.1
                                                                                                                                                                     10
    0                                                                                                                                                                0
         Jun-18
          Jul-18

         Jan-19

         Jun-19
          Jul-19

         Jan-20

         Jun-20
          Jul-20

         Jan-21

         Jun-21
          Jul-21
         Feb-19
         Mar-19

         Feb-20
         Mar-20

         Feb-21
         Mar-21
         Aug-18
         Sep-18

         Nov-18
         Dec-18

         Aug-19
         Sep-19

         Nov-19
         Dec-19

         Aug-20
         Sep-20

         Nov-20
         Dec-20

         Aug-21
         Sep-21
         May-18

         Oct-18

         Apr-19
         May-19

         Oct-19

         Apr-20
         May-20

         Oct-20

         Apr-21
         May-21

         Oct-21

Source: The Alternative Reference Rates Committee, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, SIFMA estimates

US Fixed Income Markets - Outstanding                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Page | 15
Appendix: Fixed Income Securities Definitions & Purpose

Appendix: Fixed Income Securities Definitions & Purpose
In general, fixed income securities are borrowed capital for the issuer to fund government operations, public
projects, or corporate investments, thereby fueling economic growth. The diversity of fixed income products both
increases the amount of funds available to borrow and spreads credit risk across multiple market participants.

    •    U.S. Treasury Securities (UST) – UST are debt obligations of the federal government used to fund its
         operations. Since UST are backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government, these securities are
         considered by market participants as the benchmark credit. The U.S. government has a AAA rating,
         meaning it has essentially no credit risk and can easily meet its financial obligations on time and in full. In
         light of this, UST show a diversity of holders, in both institutional type and foreign holders.

    •    Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) – Since mortgages (a debt instrument collateralized by a specified
         real estate property) are less liquid than other investment vehicles, they can be securitized into MBS,
         whether in pass-throughs or collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs).

    •    Corporate Bonds (Corporates) – Corporates are debt securities issued by public and private corporations.
         They are issued to raise money to fund investments or expansion plans. Corporates are considered riskier
         than UST, and receive ratings by credit ratings agencies to determine creditworthiness, i.e. probability of
         repayment of debt in a timely manner.

    •    Municipal Bonds (Munis) – Munis are debt securities issued by state/local governments or government
         agencies and public entities (utilities, school districts) to fund public projects, predominantly infrastructure
         related. Efficient muni markets enable states and municipalities to borrow at low rates and finance capital
         expenditures over a longer time period.

    •    Federal Agency Securities (Agency) – Agency securities are issued by quasi-governmental agencies
         (federal government, government sponsored enterprises) to fund operations. Unlike UST or munis, these
         securities are not always fully guaranteed by the U.S. or a municipal government. As such, they can hold
         credit and default risk.

    •    Asset-Backed Securities (ABS) – ABS are financial securities collateralized by a pool of typically illiquid
         assets such as auto loans, student loans, credit cards, etc. Pooling these assets creates a more liquid
         investment vehicle, with a valuation based on the cash flows of the underlying and the structure of the
         transaction.

    •    Money Markets (MM) – MMs involve highly liquid, short maturity (typically overnight to less than one year)
         financial instruments (certificates of deposit/CDs, bankers’ acceptances, commercial paper/CP, etc.), used
         by investors to borrow and lend in the short term. Transactions in the money markets are wholesale, taking
         place only between institutional investors (no individual investors) and for large denominations.

US Fixed Income Markets - Outstanding                                                                               Page | 16
Appendix: Fixed Income Securities Definitions & Purpose

    •    Repurchase Agreements (Repos) – Repos are financial transactions in which one party sells an asset to
         another party with a promise to repurchase the asset at a pre-specified later date (a reverse repo is the
         same transaction seen from the perspective of the security buyer). Repos can be overnight (duration one
         day) or term (duration up to one year, albeit some are up to two years and the majority are three months or
         less). The repo market enables market participants to provide collateralized loans to one another, and
         financial institutions predominantly use repos to manage short-term fluctuations in cash holdings, rather than
         general balance sheet funding. Repos aid secondary market liquidity for the cash markets (ex: UST),
         allowing dealers to act as market makers in a very efficient manner.

    •    Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) – In the U.S., the transition away from London Interbank
         Offered Rate (LIBOR) to its chosen alternative reference rate, SOFR, is underway. While LIBOR is not fully
         transaction based, SOFR is based on the overnight repo markets with ~ $1 trillion of transactions per day.
         Publication of the SOFR rate began in April 2018. Trading and clearing of SOFR based swaps and futures
         began in May 2018.

US Fixed Income Markets - Outstanding                                                                          Page | 17
Appendix: Terms to Know

Appendix: Terms to Know

Y/Y       Year-over-Year                                              UST          U.S. Treasury Securities
Q/Q       Quarter-over-Quarter                                        MBS          Mortgage-Backed Security
YTD       Year-to-Date                                                Corporates   Corporate Bonds
BPS       Basis Points                                                Munis        Municipal Securities
PPS       Percentage Points                                           Agency       Federal Agency Securities
CAGR      Compound Annual Growth Rate                                 ABS          Asset-Backed Securities
CUSIP     Committee on Uniform Securities Identification Procedures   MM           Money Markets

CFTC      Commodity Futures Trading Commission                        FRN          Floating Rate Note
SEC       Securities and Exchange Commission                          FRA          Forward Rate Agreement
Fed       Federal Reserve System                                      T-Bill       U.S. Treasury Bill
FRB       Federal Reserve Bank                                        T-Note       U.S. Treasury Note
NY Fed    Federal Reserve Bank of New York                            T-Bond       U.S. Treasury Bond
ARRC      Alternative Reference Rates Committee                       TIPS         Treasury Inflation Protected Securities

ADV       Average Daily Trading Volume                                ABS          Asset-Backed Security
Algo      Algorithm (algorithmic trading)                             CMO          Collateralized Mortgage Obligation
AT        Automated Trading                                           MBS          Mortgage-Backed Security
ATS       Alternative Trading System                                  CMBS         Commercial MBS
AUM       Assets Under Management                                     RMBS         Residential MBS
Best Ex   Best Execution
CLOB      Central Limit Order Book                                    HY           High Yield Bond
D2C       Dealer-to-Client                                            IG           Investment Grade Bond
D2D       Dealer-to-Dealer
ECN       Electronic Communications Network                           GO           General Obligation Bond
ETP       Electronic Trading Platforms                                Revenue      Revenue Bond
ETD       Exchange Traded Derivative
FI        Fixed Income                                                CD           Certificate of Deposit
FICC      Fixed Income, Currencies and Commodities                    CDO          Collateralized Debt Obligation
GCF       General Collateral Financing                                CLO          Collateralized Loan Obligation
IDB       Inter-Dealer Broker                                         CP           Commercial Paper
IIV       Intraday Indicative Value                                   ABCP         Asset-Backed Commercial Paper
IOI       Indication of Interest                                      MMF          Money Market Mutual Funds
MM        Market Maker
OI        Open Interest                                               FAMC         Farmer Mac/Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation
OTC       Over-the-Counter                                            FCS          Farm Credit System
VWAP      Volume Weighted Average Price                               FHLB         Federal Home Loan Banks
                                                                      FHLMC        Freddie Mac/Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation
IBOR      Interbank Offered Rate                                      FNMA         Fannie Mae/Federal National Mortgage Association
LIBOR     London Inter-bank Offered Rate                              GNMA         Ginnie Mae/Government National Mortgage Association
RFR       Risk Free Rate                                              TVA          Tennessee Valley Authority
SOFR      Secured Overnight Financing Rate
DV01      Dollar Value of Basis Point                                 IR           Interest Rate
DVP       Delivery-versus-Payment                                     IRS          Interest Rate Swap
EFFR      Effective Fed Funds Rate                                    OIS          Overnight Index Swap
PAI       Price Alignment Interest                                    TRS          Total Return Swap
Repo      Repurchase Agreement                                        STIR         Short-Term Interest Rate

US Fixed Income Markets - Outstanding                                                                                           Page | 18
Authors

Authors
SIFMA Research
Katie Kolchin, CFA, Director of Research
Justyna Podziemska
research@sifma.org

US Fixed Income Markets - Outstanding      Page | 19
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