Seniors Housing Annual Review 2021

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Seniors Housing

                  knightfrank.com/research
Annual Review
2021
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                                              S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1                                                                                     S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1

                                           FOREWORD                                                                                                       THE SURVEY IN NUMBERS

                                                                                                                                                            We have been fortunate enough to work with a number of leading operators in the
                                                                                                                                                         Housing with Care sector across both private and affordable markets. This analysis gives
                                                                                                                                                           us a unique and detailed insight into operations, performance and resident profile.

                                           TOM S CAIFE , HEAD OF SENIORS HOUSING

T     he wider backdrop to this
      year’s Seniors Housing Annual
                                                                                                             Accordingly, the government’s
                                                                                                           commitment to “Build Back Better”,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         PRIVATE HOUSING WITH CARE
Review has been a challenging one.
                                            We are seeing operators                                        simply has to factor in a need to deliver
Undoubtedly, the ongoing health crisis
                                                exploring what                                             age-appropriate housing to support our
has tested and will continue to test
                                             customers want with                                           aging population.
seniors housing investors, operators
                                              different financing                                            In this report we share the findings
and residents.
                                           options and tenures, with                                       of our third annual Seniors Housing

                                                                                                                                                       15,000
  As the world begins to open back
                                            an emphasis on choice                                          Operator Survey, our biggest yet,
up, it is encouraging to see just how
                                                and flexibility.                                           based on data shared with us by
resilient the sector has been.                                                                             leading operators.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     50%                                65          6,500
                                                                                                                                                       units analysed
  The data in this year’s Review                                                                             The results highlight the diverse
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     O F M AR K E T *                   S CH EMES    U N ITS
suggests that, while the pandemic had                                                                      sources of income – across different
an impact on the sector, recovery has      differences around design, tenants,                             departments and timescales – with

                                                                                                                                                       across 165
been swift.                                hospitality and services.                                       deferred management fees, rent,
  Indeed, it feels like the time has         Thanks to (advancements in) modern                            management and service charges,                                                                                         AFFORDABLE HOUS ING WITH CARE
come in 2021 for the UK seniors            medicine, many people in the UK are                             ground rents, care and wellness, and

                                                                                                                                                       Housing with
housing sector, with an alignment of       living longer, with the number of people                        food and beverage all contributing.
forces driving it forward – increasing     requiring higher levels of support in later                     Operating costs, meanwhile, are
investment into operational real estate,   life increasing. It is essential to focus                       dominated by staffing as operators,
expansion of rental, operators gaining
experience, marketing suites re-opening
after lockdowns, greater understanding
                                           on and understand the target customer
                                           and build stable operating businesses.
                                           We are seeing operators exploring what
                                                                                                           like in other sectors, are focusing on
                                                                                                           staff training and retention as a way of
                                                                                                           managing costs.
                                                                                                                                                       Care schemes
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      32%
of the proposition from investors          customers want with different financing                           In addition, we have analysed more
and residents alike and increased
government focus (and spending!) on
                                           options and tenures, with an emphasis on
                                           choice and flexibility.
                                                                                                           than 20,000 seniors housing unit sales
                                                                                                           across the private sector to give a view                                                                                  O F M AR K E T * *
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     100 8,500
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        S CH EMES    U N ITS
the social care agenda due, in part, to      The potential benefits of a larger                            on pricing and price changes over time.
the pandemic pushing it up the agenda.     seniors housing sector are substantial.                           As ever, we’d like to extend our thanks
  Investors are moving and diversifying    Increasing quality of life; addressing                          to those operators who contributed
across the residential investment          feelings of loneliness and isolation;                           to this report. It has never been more
                                                                                                                                                                              *Private Housing with Care operators who have delivered 3 or more schemes since 2000
space (PBSA, to PRS and into Seniors       reducing social care costs; as well as                          important to have access to high quality                          **Affordable Housing with Care operators who have delivered 3 or more schemes since 2000

Housing). Investors view seniors           freeing up family housing – all issues                          data to move the sector forward – the
housing as an extension of the             which have come into sharper focus                              willingness of many of you to contribute
residential investment market with         through the pandemic.                                           to our review is testament to this.
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                                                                        S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1                                                                                                               S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1

                                               MARKET UPDATE
                                                                                                                                                                                imbalance between supply and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2 | Annual delivery of seniors housing units in the UK
                                                                                                                                                                                demand as shown in Figure 3.
                                                                                                                                                                                  The benefits of a larger seniors                                     ■ Retirement Housing                                                     ■ Housing with Care
                                                                                                                                                                                housing sector to society are
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            18,000
                                                                                                                                                                                substantial. Yet, just 20% of local
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            16,000
                                                                                                                                                                                authorities in England have supportive
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            14,000
                                                                                                                                                                                planning policies or sites allocated to
                                                                                                                                                                                seniors housing.                                                                                            12,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   number of units
                                                                                                                                                                                  Progress is being made, albeit slowly.                                                                    10,000

                                                                                                                                                                                A number of recent planning refusals                                                                        8,000
                                                                                                                                                                                have been overturned at appeal based                                                                        6,000
                                                                                                                                                                                on a recognition of ‘need’. This gives
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            4,000

I       nstitutional investment
        continued to flow into the
                                                                    a wider pivot from investors away from
                                                                    traditional real estate assets.
                                                                                                                                     spend so far in 2021, rising to 56%
                                                                                                                                     over the last 12 months. We anticipate
                                                                                                                                                                                confidence in the appeals process
                                                                                                                                                                                for other applications and supports
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            2,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            0
UK seniors housing market in 2021,                                     Residential operational real estate has                       international investment will continue     the case for planning authorities to
with more than £800 million spent                                   been a key beneficiary of this shift, with                       to grow as the market matures into a       consider robust needs assessments                                                                                         2016                2017           2018           2019            2020              2021           2022            2023              2024           2025

in the first nine months of the year.                               investors recognising the resilience of                          liquid, mainstream asset class, in a       going forward.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Source: Knight Frank, EAC, planning portals
This represented an increase of 73%                                 ‘beds’ sectors in a time of exceptional                          similar manner to PRS and PBSA.              There are currently 31,000 seniors
on comparable 2020 levels. With a                                   upheaval, as well as the potential for                             Naturally, as investment has risen,      housing units in the pipeline. More
significant pipeline of deals expected                              long-term secure income. Reflecting                              so too has delivery. While a significant   than 90 seniors housing schemes have
to complete before year-end, we                                     this, residential assets accounted for                           number of the 749,000 existing             gained planning approval already this                                  3 | Existing seniors housing units per 1,000 people aged 75+
expect annual investment volumes                                    17% of total UK CRE investment so far in                         specialist seniors housing units in the    year, equating to 4,200 units. In order
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            150
will reach a record high for the second                             2021, up from 12% five years ago and 5%                          UK are social housing for rent, future     for the sector to reach its full potential,

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Existing units per 1,000 people aged 75+
successive year.                                                    a decade previously.                                             development will be driven by the          a uniform and supportive approach to
    Rising investment reflects the                                     The upshot for the seniors housing                            private sector.                            planning at both a national and a local                                                                     140

ongoing strong demand from                                          market has been a more diverse range of                            We expect the number of specialist       level is required.
investors to gain a foothold in a sector                            investors involved with the sector.                              seniors housing units in the UK will         In this report we share the findings                                                                      130
which, at its core, is underpinned by                                  Global capital is also taking note.                           grow by 9% over the next five years        of our third Seniors Housing Operator
solid long-term demographic change.                                 Cross-border investment has accounted                            to just short of 820,000 units. There      Survey, based on information shared
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            120
Volumes are also being supported by                                 for almost a third of all senior housing                         is a substantial pipeline for private      with us by leading operators. It has,
                                                                                                                                     Housing with Care schemes, offering        arguably, never been more important
                                                                                                                                     increased levels of amenities, services    to have high quality data to assist with                                                                    110

     1 | Total investment into Seniors Housing – 2020-H1 2021                                                                        and tenures.                               investment decisions and move the

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2001

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2002

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2003

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2004

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2005

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2006

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2007

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2012

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2013

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2014

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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2016

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            2017

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2018

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2019

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2020

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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2022

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2023

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2024

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    2025
                                                                                                                                       Yet, even with this forecast             sector forward.

                                      £1.85bn
                                                                                                                                     expansion, the rate of delivery will                                                                        Source: Knight Frank, ONS, EAC

                                                                                                                                     still be dwarfed by the UK’s aging
                                                                                                                                     population, deepening the existing
                            Total capital committed to Seniors Housing – 2021
                                                   (excluding already spent)

                                                                                                                                                                                  TABLE 1 | UK Seniors Housing Development Forecasts 2021-2025

                                                                                     £1.85bn                                             We expect the number
                                                                                    committed                                             of specialist seniors
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                RE TIRE M E N T HOUSIN G                                                                      HOUSIN G WITH CA RE                                             TOTA L SENI ORS H OUSI NG MARKET
                                                                                                                                        housing units in the UK
                            £1.35bn                                                                                                     will grow by 9% over the                    2021                                               668,306                                                                                               80,696                                                                       749,002

                                                                                        £820m                                            next five years to just                    2025 (f)                                           700,956                                                                                               118,146                                                                      819,102
                                                                                                                                        short of 820,000 units.
                                                                                                                                                                                    Forecast new units                                  32,650                                                                                               37,450                                                                        70,100

                                                                                                                                                                                    Forecast growth (%)                                   5%                                                                                                  46%                                                                                9%
                              2020                                                        2021 YTD*

     Source: Knight Frank, RCA *Total as of mid September 2021                                                                                                                    Source: Knight Frank, EAC, planning portals
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                                                                                                                                                        S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1

      RETIREMENT HOUSING                                                                                                        HOUSING WITH CARE

                     Mature schemes                                   Newer schemes                                                   Mature schemes                                        Newer schemes

                                                   SECTOR PERFORMANCE                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               In the next five years we expect to see a race to scale and

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        £457,989
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Housing with Care generally achieves higher sales values on
                                                  £457,989
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Yorkshire &
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             The Humber

                                                                                                           £457,989

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             £457,989

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  £457,989
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           average compared to Retirement Housing,

                                                                                                                                                                    £457,989
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             7% | 4%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    £457,989
                                                                                                                 North East                                                                                                  East
                                                                                                                 1% | 1%                                                                                                     Midlands
                                                                                   £457,989

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     £457,989
                                                                                                                                                          £457,989

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                £457,989

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           £457,989
                                       £457,989

                                                                                                                                                                                                                             6% | 9%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                £457,989
                                                                                                                                                                                                           £457,989

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      £457,989
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        £457,989
                                                                                                    £457,989

                                                                                                                                             £457,989

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       £457,989
                        £457,989

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        £457,989
                                                                                                                                   £457,989

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               £457,989
                                                                                                                    North West                                                                                               East of

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               £457,989
                                                                                                                                                                                                £457,989
          £457,989

                                                                                                                    6% | 8%                                                                                                  England
                                                                          £457,989

                                                                                                                                                                                                                             13% | 14%
                                                                                                                    West
                                                                                                                    Midlands
                                                                                                                    12% | 11%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Sales performance                                                                                                           operator proposition, which includes the                          Strong house price growth over the last few                                    While this is in line with average
      atabase sample: % of salesWales
 4 | D                            examined by region, 2016-2020                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  As more schemes
                                 2016                                                     2017                      3% | 0%                      2018                                                           2019                                                      2020                              2021 launch, weAverage
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            are getting
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   5 years                                                                                   on-site services and support, as well as                   years relative to the wider property market                                      house price growth for England over
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 more clarity on how different parts of the                                                                                  access to the communal facilities, which                   has been one factor driving investment and                                       that time, it should be noted that this is
                                                                                                                    South West
                                                                                                                    19% | 17%                                                                                                                                                                    sector perform, and what drives value                                                                                       can be quite extensive.                                    sales within the seniors housing market.                                         largely due to the exceptionally strong
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 and out performance.                                                                                                          Analysis of sales data for units which                          Our Seniors Housing Index shows that,                                     performance of the residential property
                                                                                                                                                                                South East                                  London                                                                      The data shows two distinct groups;                                                                                  have sold over the last year shows that                    over the last five years, average prices in                                      market over the last 12 months.
                                                                                                                                                                                28% | 33%                                   5% | 4%
      RETIREMENT HOUSING                                                                                                        HOUSING WITH CARE                                                                                                                                                Retirement Housing and Housing with                                                                                         achieved prices have risen in 2021                         Housing with Care schemes have risen by
                                                                                                                                       Retirement Housing      Housing with Care
                     Mature schemes                                   Newer schemes                                                   Mature schemes     Newer schemes                                                                                                                           Care. Retirement Housing is age-                                                                                            compared with 2020.                                        more than 20%.
                                                                                                Yorkshire &                                                                                                                                                                                      restricted housing designed with the
                                                                                                The Humber                                  M E T H O D O L O GY
                                                                                                7% | 4%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 downsizer in mind, with Housing with
North East                                                                                                                                  Our pricing analysis is based on a sample
1% | 1%
                                                                                                East
                                                                                                Midlands                                                                                                                                                                                         Care schemes providing larger amenities                                                                                              eniors Housing property prices vs. Residential
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 6 | S
                                                                                                6% | 9%
                                                                                                                                            of almost 500 schemes across the country                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Indexed 100 = 2006

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             £457,989
                                                                                                                                            developed since 2000, split between                                                                                                                  and higher levels of services and care as
                                                       £457,989

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      £457,989
                                                                                                East of                                     Retirement Housing and Housing with Care.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    £457,989
North West                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       an integral part of their proposition.
                                                                                                               £457,989

                                                                                                England
                                                                                                                                                                     £457,989

6% | 8%                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Retirement Housing            Housing with Care     UKHPI (England and Wales)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 £457,989

                                                                                                13% | 14%                                   The schemes comprise more than 10,000
West
                                                                                                                                            individual units, which we tracked from
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        The sales evidence confirms seniors
Midlands                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         180
12% | 11%                                                                                                                                   original sales through to today, including                                                                                                           housing is capable of securing premiums
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          £457,989
                                                                                                    £457,989

                                                                                                                                                         £457,989
                                            £457,989

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       £457,989
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  £457,989
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               £457,989

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   £457,989
                                                                                                                                                                                                      £457,989

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  £457,989

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          £457,989
                                                                                                                                             £457,989
                                                                                     £457,989

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        £457,989
                                £457,989

                                                                                                                                            re-sales. This provided us with data for
Wales                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            over local residential pricing. When                                                                                            160
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    £457,989
                                                                                                                                  £457,989

3% | 0%                                                                                                                                     more than 20,000 seniors housing property

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               £457,989
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 analysing the level of this premium,
                                                                                                                                                                                           £457,989
                     £457,989

                                                                                                                                            transactions since 2001. This analysis
                                                                          £457,989

South West                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       140
19% | 17%                                                                                                                                   includes schemes from all major private                                                                                                              careful thought is required, with a
                                                                                                                                            seniors housing operators, which, combined,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 number of considerations, such as micro                                                                                         120
                                                             South East                         London                                      have delivered almost 70% of private units in
                                                             28% | 33%                          5% | 4%                                     schemes of 20+ units.                                                                                                                                locations and specification potentially
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 100
            2016
Source: Knight
                            Retirement Housing
               Frank, Land Registry
                                                                                 Housing with Care
                                                                                          2017                                                   2018                                                      2019                                                   2020
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 having a2021
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          significant impact. The Housing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Average 5 years
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 with Care premium is supported by the                                                                                           80

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 60

      verage price paid per annum for seniors housing units in England
 5 | A
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 40
                      Achieved price (£)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    2020
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2008
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2006

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2007

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2018
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2014

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2016
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2015

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          2019
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2013
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    2012

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    2017
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2011
      RETIREMENT HOUSING                                                                                                        HOUSING WITH CARE

                     Mature schemes                                   Newer schemes                                                   Mature schemes                                        Newer schemes

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Source: Knight Frank, Land Registry
                      £600,000

                      £500,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             £573,591
                                                                                         £541,952

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    7 | Price change 2016-2020
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            £523,217

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                £505,109
                                                                                                                                          £499,073
Average price paid

                                                                                                                                                                                           £485,081

                      £400,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              £462,792

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             M E T H O D O L O GY
                                                                                                                               £366,425

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 £375,108

                      £300,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     £357,587

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             The house price index uses hedonic
                                                                                                                                                                                £359,374
                                                                              £353,435

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      £343,848

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  £353,081
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   £338,723
                                                                                                                                                                   £334,068

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      £333,482
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      £335,933

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     £342,787
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          £326,667
                                                                                                                    £327,594
                                                                   £322,625

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             regression based on price and controlling
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           £293,350
                                                                                                                                                        £291,510

                      £200,000                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               for characteristics such as region, property
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              £252,966
                                                                                                                                                                                                           £243,698
                                                        £238,907

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             type and size. The dataset has a bias due
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            22%                                        21%
                                                                                                         £221,076

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             to the nature of a sample, with this being
                      £100,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 (4%)                                   (4%)                                                                 heavily weighted towards the South East
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          HOUSING                                   ENGLAND &                                                                and South West and to flats. We have
                      £0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  WITH CARE                                 WALES HPI                                         3%                     allowed for this weighting within our
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      (1%)                   calculations.
                                                                      2016                                             2017                                           2018                                               2019                                             2020                                          2021                                  Average 5 years                                                                                                                                                                  RETIREMENT
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                HOUSING                      Top percentage figure shows 5-year
 Source: Knight Frank, Land Registry                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         growth
 Note: Mature schemes are those built before 2010. Newer schemes are those built since 2010.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             (Figures in brackets show CAGR (2016-2020)
 This represents sales during the 2016-2020 period only. During this period, the data for mature schemes will be resales, with newer stock achieving higher pricing on average.
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                                                 S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1                                                                                                            S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1

                                                                                                                                                                              RENTAL PERFORMANCE

                                                                                                                                                         An increasing number of seniors BTR                       years, from more than 5,000 currently
8 | Average price paid by region for seniors housing units in England and Wales                                                                        schemes have opened in last 12 months,                      to almost 13,000 by 2025. We project
(2016-YTD 2021)
                                                                                                                                                       in addition to an increased provision                       investment into rental will accelerate as                                                   PRIVATE
                                                                                                                                                       of mixed tenure offerings (rental units                     investors from across residential bring                                                   HOUSING WITH
                                                                                                                                                       alongside for-sale units in the same                        their learnings from PBSA and PRS.                                                        CARE RENTAL
                                                                                                                                                       scheme) to meet tenant demand. We have                          As the number of seniors BTR schemes
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             We have collected rental data for
                                                                                                                   Retirement Housing                  collected rental data for a number of key                   grow, so too does the availability of                                                      a number of key private Housing
                                                                                                                   Housing with Care                   private Housing with Care operators as                      data on aspects such as tenant profiles,                                                  with Care operators. This includes
                                                                                                                                                       part of this year’s survey. In total, 67% of                how tenants are funding their stay,                                                       rental units both in BTR schemes
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               and pepper-popped within for-
                                                                                                                ENGLAND AVERAGE                        private Housing with Care schemes offer                     acceptable rental levels, design and                                                                sale schemes.
                                                                                                              £334,340 £460,648                        private rental as a tenure option, either                   operator Opex.
                                                                                                                                                       in standalone build to rent schemes, or                         The rental data confirms that
                                                                                                                       £PSF
                                                                                                                                                       pepper-popped within for-sale schemes.                      retirement units can support rents than
                                                                                                                   £459     £502
                                                                                                                                                         Some 25% of total investment into
                                                                                                                                                       the seniors housing market in the first
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   are higher than local residential lettings,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   which is particularly notable for Housing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          67%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             of private HwC schemes offer
                                                                                                                                                       half of 2021 was specifically targeting                     with Care. The higher rent being
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             private rental as tenure option
                                                                                                                                                       rental product.                                             supported by the operator proposition
                                                                                                                                                         We forecast the number of private                         including on site services and care, as
                                                                                                                                                       rental units to increase by 166% in next 5                  well as access to the communal facilities.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2.5%
NORTH WEST                                                                                                                  NORTH EAST
£244,114           £342,617                                                                                                 £241,564      £296,275
£PSF                                                                                                                        £PSF                                                                                                                                                                                 Margin from quoting to
£300-£350         £350-£400                                                                                                 £300-£350 £350-£400
                                                                                                                                                                verage monthly asking rent
                                                                                                                                                           9 | A
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     achieved rent

WEST MIDLANDS                                                                                                               YORKSHIRE AND THE HUMBER
£265,380
£PSF
                    £445,300                                                                                                £271,940
                                                                                                                            £PSF
                                                                                                                                          £364,223
                                                                                                                                                                                            RE TIRE M E N T HOUSIN G                   HOUSIN G WITH CA RE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         0.1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  bad debt reported by
£350-£400         £400-£450                                                                                                 £350-£400 £350-£400
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       operators
                                                                                                                                                                                             1 BED            2 BED                  1 BED                      2 BED

SOUTH WEST                                                                                                                  EAST MIDLANDS                  London                          £2,300+          £2,800+                £3,000+                    £4,000+

£336,141           £406,031                                                                                                 £239,080 £345,983
                                                                                                                                                           North West                   £1,150-£1,300     £1,300-£1,600        £1,300-£1,500             £2,000-£2,200
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          verage achieved monthly rents
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    10 | A
£PSF                                                                                                                        £PSF
£400-£450 £450-£500                                                                                                         £350-£400 £350-£400
                                                                                                                                                           South East                      £1,600+          £2,300+                £2,700+                    £3,200+                                  1 bed           2 bed

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             5,000
                                                                                                                                                           South West                   £1,500-£1,700    £2,000-£2,300         £2,300-£2,500              £2,900-£3,100
SOUTH EAST                                                                                                                  EAST OF ENGLAND

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Average monthly rent £
£381,767           £488,921                                                                                                 £353,171     £373,248                                                                                                                                                            4,000
                                                                                                                                                           West Midlands               £1,400-£1,500      £1,800-£2,100        £1,600-£1,800              £2,200-£2,400
£PSF                                                                                                                        £PSF                                                                                                                                                                             3,000
£500-£550         £500-£550                                                                                                 £450-£500   £450-£500          Yorkshire and
                                                                                                                                                                                        £1,450-£1,700     £1,700-£1,900
                                                                                                                                                           the Humber
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2,000

                                                                                                                                                           East of England             £1,850-£2,000     £2,600-£2,800         £2,500-£2,700              £3,300-£3,700
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             1,000
                                                                                                                            LONDON
                                                                                                                                                           North East                   £900-£1,100       £1,250-£1,400
                                                                                                                            £495,883      £1,029,708                                                                                                                                                             0

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Mature
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          schemes*

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        New build
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       schemes**

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Average
                                                                                                                            £PSF                           East Midlands               £1,500-£1,800      £1,900-£1,100        £2,000-£2,200              £2,500-£2,700
                                                                                                                            £650+ £750+

                                                                                                                                                           AVE RAGE
                                                            Source: Knight Frank, Land Registry
                                          * Achieved £psf in London ranges from £600 to in excess of £1,500 psf.
                                                                                                                                                           ASKI N G RE N T                £1,900           £2,450                 £2,500                     £3,050                                                  Knight Frank Operator Survey
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   *Analysis includes schemes that are have been
                                                                                                                                                           Source: Rightmove, operator websites                                                                                                 operating for 3+ years (built before 2017). **Analysis
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 includes schemes that have been built since 2017
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                                                                            S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1                                                                                                                S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1

                                          SALES RATES AND
                                             MARKETING                                                                                                                                                          A number of operators have reported a significant uptick in
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    new enquiries and reservations in recent months.

A number of operators have reported a
significant uptick in new enquiries and
reservations in recent months. While                                           OCCUPANCY RATES – PRIVATE HOUSING
                                                                                                                                                                                              PRIVATE HOUSING WITH CARE – SALES AND MARKETING
our analysis of quarterly sales data                                               WITH CARE LEASEHOLD UNITS
points to a 141% uptick in volumes in Q3
2021 compared with the second quarter.
  The pandemic has forced the
reassessment of housing and care
provision in later life and accelerated                                                                                                                                                                                    SALES AND MARKETING PROCESS SNAPSHOT
the decision making process. With the
further delivery of new institutional
quality Housing with Care, there is an
increased awareness of seniors housing
                                                                                                        90%                                                     81%
and the benefits of its proposition. The                                                        Average occupancy                                      Average occupancy –
ability for seniors to visit the sales room                                                     – Mature schemes*                                         all schemes**
and show apartments once again, and
for operators to engage face to face, has
helped to increase sales activity. This
momentum will continue, as there is
                                                                                                                                                                                                    2.5
                                                                                                                                                                                                 Average number of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   15
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Average number of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      15
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Average number of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             76%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           % of schemes which
a wider understanding of the product,                                                                                                                                                          on-site sales staff (FTE)                months before PC that a                             months before PC that                         had a show apartment
                                                                                                                                                                                                        at PC**                          price list was released                           the sales office opened                         present before PC*
and rental continues to expand.
  Housing with Care has stood up well                                                                                           Knight Frank Operator Survey
to Covid-19 and the data indicates sales                                                                    *Schemes built before 2018. ** All schemes within Operator Survey

are already recovering from this period.                                                                                                                                                                                               Source: Knight Frank Operator Survey *Mature villages **PC - Practical Completion

   11 | Downsizing Premium
   Average Seniors Housing unit price vs. average local residential house price**
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    SALES RATES - NEW BUILD VILLAGES
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Average % of units exchanged off-plan* in schemes built since 2018
     England average                                                                                                             80%                                     Housing with care

     East Midlands                                                                                                           77%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              STOCK SALES RATE - % UNITS SOLD AFTER PC

                                                                                                                                                                                             On average, 25% of units
     East of England                                                                                                        77%

     London                                                                                                                76%
                                                                                                                                                                                85%          were exchanged off-plan,
     North West                                                                                                                           85%

     South East                                                                                                                78%
                                                                                                                                                                                             with some developments                                            25%                              44%                        63%                       78%
     South West                                                                                                                          83%                                                 achieving 50% off-plan.
                                                                                                                                                                                79%
     Wales                                                                                                                           82%

     West Midlands                                                                                                          77%

     Yorkshire and The Humber                                                                                                              86%                          Retirement Housing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  PRE PC                          6 MONTHS                   12 MONTHS               18 MONTHS

                                                                                                                                                                                                               Knight Frank Operator Survey *Off-plan indicates exchanges which took place before practical completion. PC – practical completion
    Source: Knight Frank, Land Registry ** Local residential house price is the average price of a house owned by seniors within the postcode district of each Seniors Housing scheme.                                  Note: These are averages based off proportion of units exchanged before PC and the rates do vary across schemes.
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                                                          S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1

      RESIDENTS AND OCCUPANCY
AV E RAGE RE S I DE N T AGE DISTRIBUTION ( S CHEM E AVERAGE)                                                                     AVERAG E RESID EN T AG E
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     % O F R E S I D E N T S M OV E D W I T H I N 1 0 M I L E S                        D I STA N C E T RAV E L L E D TO P R I VAT E H O U S I N G W I T H CA RE S CHEM ES BY ENTRY AGE

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            % of 75-79               % of 80-84

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  19% 45%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    84
                   PR IVATE Hw C         A FFORDA BLE Hw C             Hw C AV E RAG E

Under 65                0%                      2%                              1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    YEARS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              P R I VAT E H w C
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              75 min | 92 max
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            85%                                                                                                                                5 MILES
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     78
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    YEARS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              A F F O R DA BL E
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              H wC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              57 min | 86 max
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         A FF ORDA BLE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  36% 52%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              HwC

65-69                   0%                      2%                              1%                                                                                                                                                                  80
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    YEARS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              H wC AV E R AG E
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              57 min | 92 max

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         10 MILES
70-74                   0%
                                                13%
                                                                                8%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             51%

                                                                                                                                                                                                       86 YEARS

                                                                                                                                                                                                                             84 YEARS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       D I STA N C E T RAV E L L E D TO P R I VAT E H O U S I N G W I T H CA RE S CHEM ES % of residents
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         PRIVATE HwC

                                                                                                                                                                               80 YEARS

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  80 YEARS

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      77.5 YEARS S
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  43%                                                  25%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    74 YEARS
75-79
                        18%                     45%                           34%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            63%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Hw C AVE RAGE                                                    10 MILES                                              5 MILES

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          This analysis is based on average entry age by scheme and applied to average distance travelled
                                                                                                                       PR I VAT E H O U SI NG W IT H CAR E AG ES BY T EN URE

80-84
                       50%                      37%                           42%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     % O F P R I VAT E H w C R E S I D E N T S W H O W E R E OW N E R O C CUP I ERS

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       97%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     AV E RAG E L E N GT H O F STAY (MAT U R E V I L L AG E S *)

85-89                                            1%                             11%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      AV E RAG E E N T RY AG E

                       27%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Private HwC average
                                                                                                                                                                                Private for-sale HwC

                                                                                                                                                                                                        Private rental HwC

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Affordable HwC

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       HwC average
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Private HwC

90+                     5%                      0%                              2%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Private HwC

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Affordable HwC
% O F S CHE ME O C CU PIED BY C OUPL ES (HwC)                                                                          % OF SCHEME OCCUPIED BY COUPLES – BY AVERAGE AGE

                                                                                                                                                                                                                    P R IVAT E                       AF F OR DAB L E                                             H wC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       HwC                                HwC                                                  AVE RAG E

                                                                                                                           Under 65

                                                                                                                           65-69
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           18%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 9%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      18%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      9%               7.2                                             5.1                                 % OF RESIDENTS WHO REQUIRED

                                                                                                                           70-74                                                                                                                                                 3%                                   3%                Y E A RS                                        Y E A RS                           P E R S O NA L CA R E O N E N T RY

                                                                                                                           75-79                                                                                             52%                                           14%                                        27%

                                                                                                                           80-84                                                                                             41%                                           18%                                        31%
                                                             15%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              16%                   77%                                                                      53%
                                                                                                                           85-89                                                                                             21%                                                                                      21%
   32%                   45%                                                                 26%                           90+                                                                                               9%                                                                                       9%

Private for-sale        Private rental                      Affordable                         Average                     Grand Total                                                                                       36%                                           15%                                        26%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      *Analysis includes villages that are have been operating for 3+ years                 P R I VAT E H w C                         A F F O R DA BL E H wC                         H w C AV ER AGE
                                                This analysis is based on average entry age by scheme and applied to average household composition
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                                                                S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1                                                                                                                                                            S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1

                                                OPERATIONS

                                                                                                                                                                                        14 | Average % of total costs by source
                                                                                                                                                                                        Private Housing with Care Schemes, including staffing costs

                                                                                                                                                                                             Estate Management & Maintenance                                        Care & Wellness      Food & Beverage               Estate Agency          Other

                                   Seniors housing is operational real estate with experienced                                                                                                                                2%                                                                                                                          Costs
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            3%
                                  teams managing a range of income streams across both DMF,                                                                                                                          7%                                                                           8%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Costs in Housing with Care schemes
                                              rental and mixed tenure platforms                                                                                                                                                                           64%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          vary and are influenced by amenities,
                                                                                                                                                                                              19%                                                                                     15%                                                                 service and care levels, location and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          scale. Staffing is by far the largest
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     SCHEMES WITH                                                                     SCHEMES WITH
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      THIRD PARTY                                                                       OPERATOR
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         CARE                                                                        DELIVERED CARE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          outlay for operators, though costs
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      48%                 associated with care and wellness are
                                                                                                                                                                                              8%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          also significant, especially for schemes

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             28%                                                          with operator-delivered care.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Estate management and
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          maintenance costs are also notable.

                                                                                                                                                                                        Source: Knight Frank Operator Survey
The data provided in the Income and                             In line with last year, service or                                   newer built schemes, so this metric will
Costs section refers to private Housing                   management charges account for 60%                                         vary substantially.
with Care schemes included with the                       of the total, on average, though such                                          The remaining 20% made up from food
Knight Frank Operator Survey. This                        charges can vary significantly at each                                     and beverage (F&B) facilities – including      Staffing                                                                                     there are more staff per unit in schemes
data is for the 2020/21 financial period.                 scheme depending on the level of                                           restaurants and cafes – care and wellness,                                                                                                  with operator delivered care.
                                                                                                                                                                                    As a proportion of income, staff costs
                                                          amenity and service offered.                                               ground rents and estate agency.                                                                                                                  Within private schemes, the majority
Income                                                                                                                                                                              represent 35% of revenue across the
                                                                Deferred Management Fees                                                 Compared to last year’s survey, income                                                                                                  of staff are employed in areas such                                           Staff costs represent
Income from Housing with Care                                                                                                                                                       schemes surveyed, rising to 48% in schemes
                                                          (DMF) makes up the second largest                                          from ground rents makes up a smaller                                                                                                        as F&B, estate management and                                                35% of revenue across
schemes comes from a diverse number                                                                                                                                                 with care provided by the operator.
                                                          income stream with an average of 21%                                       proportion of the total, reflecting the fact                                                                                                maintenance. Conversely, in affordable                                         schemes surveyed
of sources, and income streams                                                                                                                                                        There is approximately one full-time
                                                          of total gross revenue. Note that this                                     that most operators have, or are in the                                                                                                     schemes, the focus for staffing is within
vary across different operators,                                                                                                                                                    staff member to every five units within a
                                                          analysis combines both mature and                                          process of, phasing them out.                                                                                                               care and wellness.
propositions and age of schemes.                                                                                                                                                    private Housing with Care scheme, though

   13 | Average % of total gross income by source                                                                                                                                             TE Staffing (# units per
                                                                                                                                                                                        15 | F                                                                                         16 | FTE Staffing Distribution (%)
   Private Housing with Care Schemes, excluding rental income                                                                                                                                1 FTE, staff costs as % of                                                                % of FTE Staff by Area, private and affordable Housing with Care schemes
                                                                                                                                                                                             revenue) Private Schemes
      Service/ Management Charge          Ground Rent      DMF             Care and wellness               F&B           Estate Agency      Other                                                                                                                                                                      Private       Affordable
                                                                                                                                                                                          Staff Costs as % of Revenue
                                                                                                                                                                                          # Units per 1 FTE
   100%                                         0.4%                 0.8%                                                            0.5%           0.7%
                                                5.8%                                                                                 6.1%                                               60%                                                                   7.0                                                                                  22%
   90%                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Estate Management
                                                3.5%                                                                                                                                                                               6.4                                                      & Maintenance                                                                 44%
                                                                                                                                    12.8%                                               50%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              6.0
   80%
                                               21.8%                                                                                                                                                           5.1                          48%               5.0                                                                    15%
   70%                                                                                                                                                                                  40%                                                                                                 Care & Wellness
                                                                                                                                    19.5%
                                                2.1%                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            51%
   60%                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        4.0
                                                                                                                                     1.5%                                               30%         35%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              3.7
   50%                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3.0                                                                                                 39%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        29%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Food & Beverage
                                                                                                                                                                                        20%                                                                                                                              3%
   40%                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2.0

   30%                                         65.2%                                                                                59.0%                                               10%                                                                   1.0                                                           10%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Estate Agency
   20%
                                                                                                                                                                                        0%                                                                    0.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                 All Schemes

                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Schemes with
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      3rd Party Care

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Provided by
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Operator Schemes
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  with Care
   10%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  14%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Other
   0%                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2%

                                  SCHEMES WITH THIRD PARTY CARE                                         SCHEMES WITH OPERATOR DELIVERED CARE                                                                                                                                                                      0%              10%               20%     30%           40%      50%        60%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Source: Knight Frank Operator Survey
   Source: Knight Frank Operator Survey                                                                                                                                                 Source: Knight Frank Operator Survey                                                           Note: Estate Agency costs not provided for Affordable Housing with Care schemes.
16                                                                                                                                                                               17

                                                                     S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1                                                                                                                       S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1

                                                                                                                                                                                     CARE AND WELLNESS IN HOUSING WITH CARE SCHEMES
 17 | Average % of staffing costs by source
 Private and Affordable Housing with Care Schemes

                                                                    Private HwC                                                            Affordable HwC

                             Schemes with third party care                             Schemes with care provided by operator       Affordable Housing with Care Schemes

                                                                                                                                                                                                             21%                                                          8%                                              90%
Estate Management
     & Maintenance                                                  55%                                            38%                                      45%

                                                                                                                                                                                               of residents in private schemes                               of private schemes offer                              of private schemes and 99% of
    Care & Wellness             16%                                                                                 39%                                           53%                              and 50% of residents in                                    nursing care within the                               affordable schemes surveyed
                                                                                                                                                                                                 affordable schemes require                                           scheme                                         provide emergency support
                                                                                                                                                                                                       domiciliary care                                                                                                   within the scheme
   Food & Beverage                18%                                                       14%                                     2%

      Estate Agency        8%                                                             4%                                       n/a

                                                                                                                                                                                                             22%                                                       39%                                               70%
                Other         2%                                                            5%                                     n/a

Source: Knight Frank Operator Survey                                                                                                                                                              of private schemes provide                                  of private schemes                                    of private schemes have
                                                                                                                                                                                                  care in the local community,                            surveyed give public access                                at least 1 FTE wellness
                                                                                                                                                                                                increasing to 54% for schemes                              to gym/wellness facilities                                     staff member
                                                                                                                                                                                                  with operator delivered care

                                                                                                                                         28%
                        DEFERRED MANAGEMENT FEES
                                 In private housing with care schemes

93% of the schemes from the operators surveyed collect a DMF/event fee. Of those                                                  of schemes surveyed had a
operators which do collect DMF/event fee, more than two thirds (69%) offer just one                                               maximum DMF cap of 20%+
                   option, while the remaining third (31%) offer two options.

             18 | Maximum DMF fees at schemes Year on year comparison                                                             D M F/E V E N T F E E S                              11                                      14,800                                                    31,000                                                15
                    DMF Ranges: % shown on chart are the proportion of schemes with each DMF range
                                                                                                                                  Deferred Management Fees (DMF),           average of 11 different                          hours of domiciliary care                                hours of domiciliary care                       hours of domiciliary care
                                       0-5%        5-10%         10-15%         15%+
                                                                                                                                  or event fees, are typically paid        activities offered within                           provided on average                                      provided on average                           provided on average per
                                                                                                                                  when the long leasehold is re-sold       private schemes, with 12                           annually within private                                 annually within affordable                         week per resident
                                                                                                                                  and are used to help offset upfront       classes run per week                                schemes sampled                                          schemes sampled
                              7%                                                                  4%
                                                                                                                                  costs and align the interests of the
                                                                                                              11%
                                                                                                                                  operator and the resident.
     33%
                                            21%                          35%                                                      DMF structures vary between
                                                                                                                                  operators, but our survey suggests
                                                                                                                                  that maximum caps are getting

                                                                                                                                                                                        450,000
                                                                                                                                  larger. Some 51% of operators who
                                                                                                                                  responded to our survey had a
                                                                                                                                  maximum DMF fee of between 10%                                                                                                                                           Total hours of domiciliary care provided to
                                                                                                                51%               and 15%, up from 38% last year.                                                                                                                                          residents across private Housing with Care
                              38%                                                                                                 28% of schemes surveyed had a                                                                                                                                            schemes sampled by Knight Frank over the last
                                                                                                                                  maximum cap of 20%+.                                                                                                                                                     12 months*.
                     2 0 1 9 / 20                                                            2 02 0/2 1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                         HOURS
Source: Knight Frank Operator Survey

                                                                                                                                                                           Source: Knight Frank Operator Survey, UKHCA   *In the 31 schemes which provided at least one hour of care over the 12 month period
Knight Frank Senior Housing                     Senior Housing                                              Lauren Harwood
                                                                                                            Associate – Seniors Housing
The Knight Frank Senior Housing Team            Tom Scaife
                                                                                                            +44 20 7268 2599
provides a full range of services to the        Head of Senior Housing
                                                                                                            lauren.harwood@knightfrank.com
sector from research and consultancy,           +44 20 7861 5429
valuations and capital markets aimed            tom.scaife@knightfrank.com                                  Research
at senior living developers, funders and
                                                Peter Youngs                                                Oliver Knight
operators and specialising in senior housing,
                                                Partner – Seniors Housing                                   Head of Res Dev Research
housing with care, retirement living, and
                                                +44 20 7861 1656                                            +44 20 7861 5134
assisted living schemes.
                                                peter.youngs@knightfrank.com                                oliver.knight@knightfrank.com

Special thanks to the operators who                                                                         Cormac Henehan
contributed to this report.                                                                                 Senior Analyst
                                                                                                            +44 20 3967 7140
                                                                                                            cormac.henehan@knightfrank.com

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