Seniors Housing Annual Review 2021
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Seniors Housing knightfrank.com/research Annual Review 2021
2 3 S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1 S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1 FOREWORD THE SURVEY IN NUMBERS We have been fortunate enough to work with a number of leading operators in the Housing with Care sector across both private and affordable markets. This analysis gives us a unique and detailed insight into operations, performance and resident profile. TOM S CAIFE , HEAD OF SENIORS HOUSING T he wider backdrop to this year’s Seniors Housing Annual Accordingly, the government’s commitment to “Build Back Better”, PRIVATE HOUSING WITH CARE Review has been a challenging one. We are seeing operators simply has to factor in a need to deliver Undoubtedly, the ongoing health crisis exploring what age-appropriate housing to support our has tested and will continue to test customers want with aging population. seniors housing investors, operators different financing In this report we share the findings and residents. options and tenures, with of our third annual Seniors Housing 15,000 As the world begins to open back an emphasis on choice Operator Survey, our biggest yet, up, it is encouraging to see just how and flexibility. based on data shared with us by resilient the sector has been. leading operators. 50% 65 6,500 units analysed The data in this year’s Review The results highlight the diverse O F M AR K E T * S CH EMES U N ITS suggests that, while the pandemic had sources of income – across different an impact on the sector, recovery has differences around design, tenants, departments and timescales – with across 165 been swift. hospitality and services. deferred management fees, rent, Indeed, it feels like the time has Thanks to (advancements in) modern management and service charges, AFFORDABLE HOUS ING WITH CARE come in 2021 for the UK seniors medicine, many people in the UK are ground rents, care and wellness, and Housing with housing sector, with an alignment of living longer, with the number of people food and beverage all contributing. forces driving it forward – increasing requiring higher levels of support in later Operating costs, meanwhile, are investment into operational real estate, life increasing. It is essential to focus dominated by staffing as operators, expansion of rental, operators gaining experience, marketing suites re-opening after lockdowns, greater understanding on and understand the target customer and build stable operating businesses. We are seeing operators exploring what like in other sectors, are focusing on staff training and retention as a way of managing costs. Care schemes 32% of the proposition from investors customers want with different financing In addition, we have analysed more and residents alike and increased government focus (and spending!) on options and tenures, with an emphasis on choice and flexibility. than 20,000 seniors housing unit sales across the private sector to give a view O F M AR K E T * * 100 8,500 S CH EMES U N ITS the social care agenda due, in part, to The potential benefits of a larger on pricing and price changes over time. the pandemic pushing it up the agenda. seniors housing sector are substantial. As ever, we’d like to extend our thanks Investors are moving and diversifying Increasing quality of life; addressing to those operators who contributed across the residential investment feelings of loneliness and isolation; to this report. It has never been more *Private Housing with Care operators who have delivered 3 or more schemes since 2000 space (PBSA, to PRS and into Seniors reducing social care costs; as well as important to have access to high quality **Affordable Housing with Care operators who have delivered 3 or more schemes since 2000 Housing). Investors view seniors freeing up family housing – all issues data to move the sector forward – the housing as an extension of the which have come into sharper focus willingness of many of you to contribute residential investment market with through the pandemic. to our review is testament to this.
4 5 S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1 S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1 MARKET UPDATE imbalance between supply and 2 | Annual delivery of seniors housing units in the UK demand as shown in Figure 3. The benefits of a larger seniors ■ Retirement Housing ■ Housing with Care housing sector to society are 18,000 substantial. Yet, just 20% of local 16,000 authorities in England have supportive 14,000 planning policies or sites allocated to seniors housing. 12,000 number of units Progress is being made, albeit slowly. 10,000 A number of recent planning refusals 8,000 have been overturned at appeal based 6,000 on a recognition of ‘need’. This gives 4,000 I nstitutional investment continued to flow into the a wider pivot from investors away from traditional real estate assets. spend so far in 2021, rising to 56% over the last 12 months. We anticipate confidence in the appeals process for other applications and supports 2,000 0 UK seniors housing market in 2021, Residential operational real estate has international investment will continue the case for planning authorities to with more than £800 million spent been a key beneficiary of this shift, with to grow as the market matures into a consider robust needs assessments 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 in the first nine months of the year. investors recognising the resilience of liquid, mainstream asset class, in a going forward. Source: Knight Frank, EAC, planning portals This represented an increase of 73% ‘beds’ sectors in a time of exceptional similar manner to PRS and PBSA. There are currently 31,000 seniors on comparable 2020 levels. With a upheaval, as well as the potential for Naturally, as investment has risen, housing units in the pipeline. More significant pipeline of deals expected long-term secure income. Reflecting so too has delivery. While a significant than 90 seniors housing schemes have to complete before year-end, we this, residential assets accounted for number of the 749,000 existing gained planning approval already this 3 | Existing seniors housing units per 1,000 people aged 75+ expect annual investment volumes 17% of total UK CRE investment so far in specialist seniors housing units in the year, equating to 4,200 units. In order 150 will reach a record high for the second 2021, up from 12% five years ago and 5% UK are social housing for rent, future for the sector to reach its full potential, Existing units per 1,000 people aged 75+ successive year. a decade previously. development will be driven by the a uniform and supportive approach to Rising investment reflects the The upshot for the seniors housing private sector. planning at both a national and a local 140 ongoing strong demand from market has been a more diverse range of We expect the number of specialist level is required. investors to gain a foothold in a sector investors involved with the sector. seniors housing units in the UK will In this report we share the findings 130 which, at its core, is underpinned by Global capital is also taking note. grow by 9% over the next five years of our third Seniors Housing Operator solid long-term demographic change. Cross-border investment has accounted to just short of 820,000 units. There Survey, based on information shared 120 Volumes are also being supported by for almost a third of all senior housing is a substantial pipeline for private with us by leading operators. It has, Housing with Care schemes, offering arguably, never been more important increased levels of amenities, services to have high quality data to assist with 110 1 | Total investment into Seniors Housing – 2020-H1 2021 and tenures. investment decisions and move the 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Yet, even with this forecast sector forward. £1.85bn expansion, the rate of delivery will Source: Knight Frank, ONS, EAC still be dwarfed by the UK’s aging population, deepening the existing Total capital committed to Seniors Housing – 2021 (excluding already spent) TABLE 1 | UK Seniors Housing Development Forecasts 2021-2025 £1.85bn We expect the number committed of specialist seniors RE TIRE M E N T HOUSIN G HOUSIN G WITH CA RE TOTA L SENI ORS H OUSI NG MARKET housing units in the UK £1.35bn will grow by 9% over the 2021 668,306 80,696 749,002 £820m next five years to just 2025 (f) 700,956 118,146 819,102 short of 820,000 units. Forecast new units 32,650 37,450 70,100 Forecast growth (%) 5% 46% 9% 2020 2021 YTD* Source: Knight Frank, RCA *Total as of mid September 2021 Source: Knight Frank, EAC, planning portals
6 7 S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1 S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1 RETIREMENT HOUSING HOUSING WITH CARE Mature schemes Newer schemes Mature schemes Newer schemes SECTOR PERFORMANCE In the next five years we expect to see a race to scale and £457,989 Housing with Care generally achieves higher sales values on £457,989 Yorkshire & The Humber £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 average compared to Retirement Housing, £457,989 7% | 4% £457,989 North East East 1% | 1% Midlands £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 6% | 9% £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 North West East of £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 6% | 8% England £457,989 13% | 14% West Midlands 12% | 11% Sales performance operator proposition, which includes the Strong house price growth over the last few While this is in line with average atabase sample: % of salesWales 4 | D examined by region, 2016-2020 As more schemes 2016 2017 3% | 0% 2018 2019 2020 2021 launch, weAverage are getting 5 years on-site services and support, as well as years relative to the wider property market house price growth for England over more clarity on how different parts of the access to the communal facilities, which has been one factor driving investment and that time, it should be noted that this is South West 19% | 17% sector perform, and what drives value can be quite extensive. sales within the seniors housing market. largely due to the exceptionally strong and out performance. Analysis of sales data for units which Our Seniors Housing Index shows that, performance of the residential property South East London The data shows two distinct groups; have sold over the last year shows that over the last five years, average prices in market over the last 12 months. 28% | 33% 5% | 4% RETIREMENT HOUSING HOUSING WITH CARE Retirement Housing and Housing with achieved prices have risen in 2021 Housing with Care schemes have risen by Retirement Housing Housing with Care Mature schemes Newer schemes Mature schemes Newer schemes Care. Retirement Housing is age- compared with 2020. more than 20%. Yorkshire & restricted housing designed with the The Humber M E T H O D O L O GY 7% | 4% downsizer in mind, with Housing with North East Our pricing analysis is based on a sample 1% | 1% East Midlands Care schemes providing larger amenities eniors Housing property prices vs. Residential 6 | S 6% | 9% of almost 500 schemes across the country Indexed 100 = 2006 £457,989 developed since 2000, split between and higher levels of services and care as £457,989 £457,989 East of Retirement Housing and Housing with Care. £457,989 North West an integral part of their proposition. £457,989 England £457,989 6% | 8% Retirement Housing Housing with Care UKHPI (England and Wales) £457,989 13% | 14% The schemes comprise more than 10,000 West individual units, which we tracked from The sales evidence confirms seniors Midlands 180 12% | 11% original sales through to today, including housing is capable of securing premiums £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 £457,989 re-sales. This provided us with data for Wales over local residential pricing. When 160 £457,989 £457,989 3% | 0% more than 20,000 seniors housing property £457,989 analysing the level of this premium, £457,989 £457,989 transactions since 2001. This analysis £457,989 South West 140 19% | 17% includes schemes from all major private careful thought is required, with a seniors housing operators, which, combined, number of considerations, such as micro 120 South East London have delivered almost 70% of private units in 28% | 33% 5% | 4% schemes of 20+ units. locations and specification potentially 100 2016 Source: Knight Retirement Housing Frank, Land Registry Housing with Care 2017 2018 2019 2020 having a2021 significant impact. The Housing Average 5 years with Care premium is supported by the 80 60 verage price paid per annum for seniors housing units in England 5 | A 40 Achieved price (£) 2020 2008 2006 2009 2007 2010 2018 2014 2016 2015 2019 2013 2012 2017 2011 RETIREMENT HOUSING HOUSING WITH CARE Mature schemes Newer schemes Mature schemes Newer schemes Source: Knight Frank, Land Registry £600,000 £500,000 £573,591 £541,952 7 | Price change 2016-2020 £523,217 £505,109 £499,073 Average price paid £485,081 £400,000 £462,792 M E T H O D O L O GY £366,425 £375,108 £300,000 £357,587 The house price index uses hedonic £359,374 £353,435 £343,848 £353,081 £338,723 £334,068 £333,482 £335,933 £342,787 £326,667 £327,594 £322,625 regression based on price and controlling £293,350 £291,510 £200,000 for characteristics such as region, property £252,966 £243,698 £238,907 type and size. The dataset has a bias due 22% 21% £221,076 to the nature of a sample, with this being £100,000 (4%) (4%) heavily weighted towards the South East HOUSING ENGLAND & and South West and to flats. We have £0 WITH CARE WALES HPI 3% allowed for this weighting within our (1%) calculations. 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Average 5 years RETIREMENT HOUSING Top percentage figure shows 5-year Source: Knight Frank, Land Registry growth Note: Mature schemes are those built before 2010. Newer schemes are those built since 2010. (Figures in brackets show CAGR (2016-2020) This represents sales during the 2016-2020 period only. During this period, the data for mature schemes will be resales, with newer stock achieving higher pricing on average.
8 9 S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1 S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1 RENTAL PERFORMANCE An increasing number of seniors BTR years, from more than 5,000 currently 8 | Average price paid by region for seniors housing units in England and Wales schemes have opened in last 12 months, to almost 13,000 by 2025. We project (2016-YTD 2021) in addition to an increased provision investment into rental will accelerate as PRIVATE of mixed tenure offerings (rental units investors from across residential bring HOUSING WITH alongside for-sale units in the same their learnings from PBSA and PRS. CARE RENTAL scheme) to meet tenant demand. We have As the number of seniors BTR schemes We have collected rental data for Retirement Housing collected rental data for a number of key grow, so too does the availability of a number of key private Housing Housing with Care private Housing with Care operators as data on aspects such as tenant profiles, with Care operators. This includes part of this year’s survey. In total, 67% of how tenants are funding their stay, rental units both in BTR schemes and pepper-popped within for- ENGLAND AVERAGE private Housing with Care schemes offer acceptable rental levels, design and sale schemes. £334,340 £460,648 private rental as a tenure option, either operator Opex. in standalone build to rent schemes, or The rental data confirms that £PSF pepper-popped within for-sale schemes. retirement units can support rents than £459 £502 Some 25% of total investment into the seniors housing market in the first are higher than local residential lettings, which is particularly notable for Housing 67% of private HwC schemes offer half of 2021 was specifically targeting with Care. The higher rent being private rental as tenure option rental product. supported by the operator proposition We forecast the number of private including on site services and care, as rental units to increase by 166% in next 5 well as access to the communal facilities. 2.5% NORTH WEST NORTH EAST £244,114 £342,617 £241,564 £296,275 £PSF £PSF Margin from quoting to £300-£350 £350-£400 £300-£350 £350-£400 verage monthly asking rent 9 | A achieved rent WEST MIDLANDS YORKSHIRE AND THE HUMBER £265,380 £PSF £445,300 £271,940 £PSF £364,223 RE TIRE M E N T HOUSIN G HOUSIN G WITH CA RE 0.1% bad debt reported by £350-£400 £400-£450 £350-£400 £350-£400 operators 1 BED 2 BED 1 BED 2 BED SOUTH WEST EAST MIDLANDS London £2,300+ £2,800+ £3,000+ £4,000+ £336,141 £406,031 £239,080 £345,983 North West £1,150-£1,300 £1,300-£1,600 £1,300-£1,500 £2,000-£2,200 verage achieved monthly rents 10 | A £PSF £PSF £400-£450 £450-£500 £350-£400 £350-£400 South East £1,600+ £2,300+ £2,700+ £3,200+ 1 bed 2 bed 5,000 South West £1,500-£1,700 £2,000-£2,300 £2,300-£2,500 £2,900-£3,100 SOUTH EAST EAST OF ENGLAND Average monthly rent £ £381,767 £488,921 £353,171 £373,248 4,000 West Midlands £1,400-£1,500 £1,800-£2,100 £1,600-£1,800 £2,200-£2,400 £PSF £PSF 3,000 £500-£550 £500-£550 £450-£500 £450-£500 Yorkshire and £1,450-£1,700 £1,700-£1,900 the Humber 2,000 East of England £1,850-£2,000 £2,600-£2,800 £2,500-£2,700 £3,300-£3,700 1,000 LONDON North East £900-£1,100 £1,250-£1,400 £495,883 £1,029,708 0 Mature schemes* New build schemes** Average £PSF East Midlands £1,500-£1,800 £1,900-£1,100 £2,000-£2,200 £2,500-£2,700 £650+ £750+ AVE RAGE Source: Knight Frank, Land Registry * Achieved £psf in London ranges from £600 to in excess of £1,500 psf. ASKI N G RE N T £1,900 £2,450 £2,500 £3,050 Knight Frank Operator Survey *Analysis includes schemes that are have been Source: Rightmove, operator websites operating for 3+ years (built before 2017). **Analysis includes schemes that have been built since 2017
10 11 S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1 S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1 SALES RATES AND MARKETING A number of operators have reported a significant uptick in new enquiries and reservations in recent months. A number of operators have reported a significant uptick in new enquiries and reservations in recent months. While OCCUPANCY RATES – PRIVATE HOUSING PRIVATE HOUSING WITH CARE – SALES AND MARKETING our analysis of quarterly sales data WITH CARE LEASEHOLD UNITS points to a 141% uptick in volumes in Q3 2021 compared with the second quarter. The pandemic has forced the reassessment of housing and care provision in later life and accelerated SALES AND MARKETING PROCESS SNAPSHOT the decision making process. With the further delivery of new institutional quality Housing with Care, there is an increased awareness of seniors housing 90% 81% and the benefits of its proposition. The Average occupancy Average occupancy – ability for seniors to visit the sales room – Mature schemes* all schemes** and show apartments once again, and for operators to engage face to face, has helped to increase sales activity. This momentum will continue, as there is 2.5 Average number of 15 Average number of 15 Average number of 76% % of schemes which a wider understanding of the product, on-site sales staff (FTE) months before PC that a months before PC that had a show apartment at PC** price list was released the sales office opened present before PC* and rental continues to expand. Housing with Care has stood up well Knight Frank Operator Survey to Covid-19 and the data indicates sales *Schemes built before 2018. ** All schemes within Operator Survey are already recovering from this period. Source: Knight Frank Operator Survey *Mature villages **PC - Practical Completion 11 | Downsizing Premium Average Seniors Housing unit price vs. average local residential house price** SALES RATES - NEW BUILD VILLAGES Average % of units exchanged off-plan* in schemes built since 2018 England average 80% Housing with care East Midlands 77% STOCK SALES RATE - % UNITS SOLD AFTER PC On average, 25% of units East of England 77% London 76% 85% were exchanged off-plan, North West 85% South East 78% with some developments 25% 44% 63% 78% South West 83% achieving 50% off-plan. 79% Wales 82% West Midlands 77% Yorkshire and The Humber 86% Retirement Housing PRE PC 6 MONTHS 12 MONTHS 18 MONTHS Knight Frank Operator Survey *Off-plan indicates exchanges which took place before practical completion. PC – practical completion Source: Knight Frank, Land Registry ** Local residential house price is the average price of a house owned by seniors within the postcode district of each Seniors Housing scheme. Note: These are averages based off proportion of units exchanged before PC and the rates do vary across schemes.
12 13 S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1 S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1 RESIDENTS AND OCCUPANCY AV E RAGE RE S I DE N T AGE DISTRIBUTION ( S CHEM E AVERAGE) AVERAG E RESID EN T AG E % O F R E S I D E N T S M OV E D W I T H I N 1 0 M I L E S D I STA N C E T RAV E L L E D TO P R I VAT E H O U S I N G W I T H CA RE S CHEM ES BY ENTRY AGE % of 75-79 % of 80-84 19% 45% 84 PR IVATE Hw C A FFORDA BLE Hw C Hw C AV E RAG E Under 65 0% 2% 1% YEARS P R I VAT E H w C 75 min | 92 max 85% 5 MILES 78 YEARS A F F O R DA BL E H wC 57 min | 86 max A FF ORDA BLE 36% 52% HwC 65-69 0% 2% 1% 80 YEARS H wC AV E R AG E 57 min | 92 max 10 MILES 70-74 0% 13% 8% 51% 86 YEARS 84 YEARS D I STA N C E T RAV E L L E D TO P R I VAT E H O U S I N G W I T H CA RE S CHEM ES % of residents PRIVATE HwC 80 YEARS 80 YEARS 77.5 YEARS S 43% 25% 74 YEARS 75-79 18% 45% 34% 63% Hw C AVE RAGE 10 MILES 5 MILES This analysis is based on average entry age by scheme and applied to average distance travelled PR I VAT E H O U SI NG W IT H CAR E AG ES BY T EN URE 80-84 50% 37% 42% % O F P R I VAT E H w C R E S I D E N T S W H O W E R E OW N E R O C CUP I ERS 97% AV E RAG E L E N GT H O F STAY (MAT U R E V I L L AG E S *) 85-89 1% 11% AV E RAG E E N T RY AG E 27% Private HwC average Private for-sale HwC Private rental HwC Affordable HwC HwC average Private HwC 90+ 5% 0% 2% Private HwC Affordable HwC % O F S CHE ME O C CU PIED BY C OUPL ES (HwC) % OF SCHEME OCCUPIED BY COUPLES – BY AVERAGE AGE P R IVAT E AF F OR DAB L E H wC HwC HwC AVE RAG E Under 65 65-69 18% 9% 18% 9% 7.2 5.1 % OF RESIDENTS WHO REQUIRED 70-74 3% 3% Y E A RS Y E A RS P E R S O NA L CA R E O N E N T RY 75-79 52% 14% 27% 80-84 41% 18% 31% 15% 16% 77% 53% 85-89 21% 21% 32% 45% 26% 90+ 9% 9% Private for-sale Private rental Affordable Average Grand Total 36% 15% 26% *Analysis includes villages that are have been operating for 3+ years P R I VAT E H w C A F F O R DA BL E H wC H w C AV ER AGE This analysis is based on average entry age by scheme and applied to average household composition
14 15 S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1 S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1 OPERATIONS 14 | Average % of total costs by source Private Housing with Care Schemes, including staffing costs Estate Management & Maintenance Care & Wellness Food & Beverage Estate Agency Other Seniors housing is operational real estate with experienced 2% Costs 3% teams managing a range of income streams across both DMF, 7% 8% Costs in Housing with Care schemes rental and mixed tenure platforms 64% vary and are influenced by amenities, 19% 15% service and care levels, location and scale. Staffing is by far the largest SCHEMES WITH SCHEMES WITH THIRD PARTY OPERATOR CARE DELIVERED CARE outlay for operators, though costs 48% associated with care and wellness are 8% also significant, especially for schemes 28% with operator-delivered care. Estate management and maintenance costs are also notable. Source: Knight Frank Operator Survey The data provided in the Income and In line with last year, service or newer built schemes, so this metric will Costs section refers to private Housing management charges account for 60% vary substantially. with Care schemes included with the of the total, on average, though such The remaining 20% made up from food Knight Frank Operator Survey. This charges can vary significantly at each and beverage (F&B) facilities – including Staffing there are more staff per unit in schemes data is for the 2020/21 financial period. scheme depending on the level of restaurants and cafes – care and wellness, with operator delivered care. As a proportion of income, staff costs amenity and service offered. ground rents and estate agency. Within private schemes, the majority Income represent 35% of revenue across the Deferred Management Fees Compared to last year’s survey, income of staff are employed in areas such Staff costs represent Income from Housing with Care schemes surveyed, rising to 48% in schemes (DMF) makes up the second largest from ground rents makes up a smaller as F&B, estate management and 35% of revenue across schemes comes from a diverse number with care provided by the operator. income stream with an average of 21% proportion of the total, reflecting the fact maintenance. Conversely, in affordable schemes surveyed of sources, and income streams There is approximately one full-time of total gross revenue. Note that this that most operators have, or are in the schemes, the focus for staffing is within vary across different operators, staff member to every five units within a analysis combines both mature and process of, phasing them out. care and wellness. propositions and age of schemes. private Housing with Care scheme, though 13 | Average % of total gross income by source TE Staffing (# units per 15 | F 16 | FTE Staffing Distribution (%) Private Housing with Care Schemes, excluding rental income 1 FTE, staff costs as % of % of FTE Staff by Area, private and affordable Housing with Care schemes revenue) Private Schemes Service/ Management Charge Ground Rent DMF Care and wellness F&B Estate Agency Other Private Affordable Staff Costs as % of Revenue # Units per 1 FTE 100% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.7% 5.8% 6.1% 60% 7.0 22% 90% Estate Management 3.5% 6.4 & Maintenance 44% 12.8% 50% 6.0 80% 21.8% 5.1 48% 5.0 15% 70% 40% Care & Wellness 19.5% 2.1% 51% 60% 4.0 1.5% 30% 35% 3.7 50% 3.0 39% 29% Food & Beverage 20% 3% 40% 2.0 30% 65.2% 59.0% 10% 1.0 10% Estate Agency 20% 0% 0.0 All Schemes Schemes with 3rd Party Care Provided by Operator Schemes with Care 10% 14% Other 0% 2% SCHEMES WITH THIRD PARTY CARE SCHEMES WITH OPERATOR DELIVERED CARE 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Source: Knight Frank Operator Survey Source: Knight Frank Operator Survey Source: Knight Frank Operator Survey Note: Estate Agency costs not provided for Affordable Housing with Care schemes.
16 17 S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1 S E N I O R S H O U S I N G A N N UA L R E V I E W 2 0 2 1 CARE AND WELLNESS IN HOUSING WITH CARE SCHEMES 17 | Average % of staffing costs by source Private and Affordable Housing with Care Schemes Private HwC Affordable HwC Schemes with third party care Schemes with care provided by operator Affordable Housing with Care Schemes 21% 8% 90% Estate Management & Maintenance 55% 38% 45% of residents in private schemes of private schemes offer of private schemes and 99% of Care & Wellness 16% 39% 53% and 50% of residents in nursing care within the affordable schemes surveyed affordable schemes require scheme provide emergency support domiciliary care within the scheme Food & Beverage 18% 14% 2% Estate Agency 8% 4% n/a 22% 39% 70% Other 2% 5% n/a Source: Knight Frank Operator Survey of private schemes provide of private schemes of private schemes have care in the local community, surveyed give public access at least 1 FTE wellness increasing to 54% for schemes to gym/wellness facilities staff member with operator delivered care 28% DEFERRED MANAGEMENT FEES In private housing with care schemes 93% of the schemes from the operators surveyed collect a DMF/event fee. Of those of schemes surveyed had a operators which do collect DMF/event fee, more than two thirds (69%) offer just one maximum DMF cap of 20%+ option, while the remaining third (31%) offer two options. 18 | Maximum DMF fees at schemes Year on year comparison D M F/E V E N T F E E S 11 14,800 31,000 15 DMF Ranges: % shown on chart are the proportion of schemes with each DMF range Deferred Management Fees (DMF), average of 11 different hours of domiciliary care hours of domiciliary care hours of domiciliary care 0-5% 5-10% 10-15% 15%+ or event fees, are typically paid activities offered within provided on average provided on average provided on average per when the long leasehold is re-sold private schemes, with 12 annually within private annually within affordable week per resident and are used to help offset upfront classes run per week schemes sampled schemes sampled 7% 4% costs and align the interests of the 11% operator and the resident. 33% 21% 35% DMF structures vary between operators, but our survey suggests that maximum caps are getting 450,000 larger. Some 51% of operators who responded to our survey had a maximum DMF fee of between 10% Total hours of domiciliary care provided to 51% and 15%, up from 38% last year. residents across private Housing with Care 38% 28% of schemes surveyed had a schemes sampled by Knight Frank over the last maximum cap of 20%+. 12 months*. 2 0 1 9 / 20 2 02 0/2 1 HOURS Source: Knight Frank Operator Survey Source: Knight Frank Operator Survey, UKHCA *In the 31 schemes which provided at least one hour of care over the 12 month period
Knight Frank Senior Housing Senior Housing Lauren Harwood Associate – Seniors Housing The Knight Frank Senior Housing Team Tom Scaife +44 20 7268 2599 provides a full range of services to the Head of Senior Housing lauren.harwood@knightfrank.com sector from research and consultancy, +44 20 7861 5429 valuations and capital markets aimed tom.scaife@knightfrank.com Research at senior living developers, funders and Peter Youngs Oliver Knight operators and specialising in senior housing, Partner – Seniors Housing Head of Res Dev Research housing with care, retirement living, and +44 20 7861 1656 +44 20 7861 5134 assisted living schemes. peter.youngs@knightfrank.com oliver.knight@knightfrank.com Special thanks to the operators who Cormac Henehan contributed to this report. Senior Analyst +44 20 3967 7140 cormac.henehan@knightfrank.com Proud supporters of Knight Frank Research provides strategic advice, consultancy services and forecasting to a wide range Knight Frank Research of clients worldwide including developers, investors, funding organisations, corporate institutions and Reports are available at the public sector. All our clients recognise the need for expert independent advice customised to their specific needs. Important Notice: © Knight Frank LLP 2021 This report is published for general information knightfrank.com/research only and not to be relied upon in any way. Although high standards have been used in the preparation of the information, analysis, views and projections presented in this report, no responsibility or liability whatsoever can be accepted by Knight Frank LLP for any loss or damage resultant from any use of, reliance on or reference to the contents of this document. As a general report, this material does not necessarily represent the view of Knight Frank LLP in relation to particular properties or projects. Reproduction of this report in whole or in part is not allowed without prior written approval of Knight Frank LLP to the form and content within which it appears. Knight Frank LLP is a limited liability partnership registered in England with registered number OC305934. Our registered office is 55 Baker Street, London, W1U 8AN, where you may look at a list of members’ names.
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