Rolls-Royce SMR Nuclear Academics Meeting 8th September 2021 - Nuclear Universities
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Rolls-Royce SMR Nuclear Academics Meeting 8th September 2021 Sophie Macfarlane-Smith – Head of Customer Business This information is provided by Rolls- Royce in good faith based upon the latest information available to it; no warranty or representation is given; no contractual or other binding commitment is implied Non-Confidential 1 © 2021 Rolls-Royce | Not Subject to Export Control
SMR Video https://vimeo.com/551457837/0735106fb6 Non-Confidential 2 © 2021 Rolls-Royce | Not Subject to Export Control
Tomorrow’s energy market will look fundamentally different as the world transitions to a low carbon environment Only 13% global energy is low carbon • The challenge is huge, covering transport and heat as well as grid electricity Gas Coal Oil • Decarbonisation obligations are having a material impact on energy policies 160 kTWh Biofuels & Waste Nuclear • There are a limited number of solutions to decarbonising many sectors. Most Hydro, geothermal, need more clean electricity etc • The demand for clean electricity is set to grow considerably in any scenario Transport 160 Electricity kTWh Heat/Industrial • Industrial companies are seeking to decarbonise production quickly and economically Non-Confidential • Our SMR provides a low cost, investible, and deliverable solution to 3 © 2021 Rolls-Royce | Not Subject to Export Control predictable clean electricity at a scale unmatched by other clean sources
Energy forecasts may vary but electricity growth is substantial in any future energy system scenario Consensus 1 outlook on final energy consumption (2000-2050F) Consensus 1 outlook on total electricity production (2000-2050F) 000’ TWh (equivalent) 000’ TWh (equivalent) 200 60 • Aggressive decarbonisation will require much more clean electricity for significant clean fuel (hydrogen, eFuel) generation and use most probably in off-grid scenarios 150 40 100 Steady transition scenarios (meeting current 20 obligations under Paris agreement) 50 Environmentally ambitious scenarios (exceeding current obligations) In environmentally ambitious scenarios, growth could be Base view even higher (up to 2.6x) 0 0 2000 10 20 30 40 50 2000 10 20 30 40 50 Source: LEK 4 Non-Confidential Note: © 2021 Rolls-Royce | Not Subject to Export Control 1. Consensus forecasters of energy and electricity growth include Bloomberg, BP, DNV-GL, EIA, Exxon Mobil, IEA and IRENA
Rolls-Royce SMR is a revolutionary nuclear product; factory fabricated, road transported and site assembled. The RR SMR approach is a holistic, integrated power station and not just a nuclear reactor design. Enhanced Gen III+ levels ~470 MWe output of safety and security 50 Hz design 1st unit on grid early 2030s Proven PWR Technology Capital cost under £1.8 Bn* & Standard Fuel Power station delivery as Adaptable, multi-use a turnkey project power & heat output 4 yr Construction LCOE £35-£50 per MWh* (Nth unit) Rolls Royce SMRs – Low cost, Deliverable, Investable Low Carbon Power 5 Non-Confidential © 2021 Rolls-Royce | Not Subject to Export Control
Rolls-Royce SMR plant: Key Features Reactor Systems • A robust and licensable design incorporating: o A 3-loop PWR o 3 reactor coolant pumps (one in each loop) o 3 vertical u-tube steam generators o Steam pressurised using a pressuriser • Nuclear fuel is industry standard 17x17 assembly UO2 enriched up to 4.95%, • Boron free design to enable a low environmental impact and eliminate handling hazards. Cooling Water Island Turbine Island o Indirect cooling system o Comprises a commercially utilises modular cooling available turbine and towers to remove heat from generator set the turbine island 6 Non-Confidential © 2021 Rolls-Royce | Not Subject to Export Control
The heat and power from SMRs supports a range of industrial uses. Shared usage minimises the cost of plant ownership and maximises the economic efficiency of the low carbon energy. Desalination One Rolls-Royce SMR and Industry SAF associated plant can. . . . 100% production utilisation Power a million homes H2 H2 Produce 170 tonnes of H2 per day DAC H2 production (with heat) Rolls-Royce Produce 280 tonnes of net SMR zero synthetic fuel per day Heat or cool a city the size H2 of Sheffield (pop c580,000) H2 Grid electrical production and thermal (without heat) power Electrical Grid Grid power electrical thermal Thermal 7 Non-Confidential power power Power © 2021 Rolls-Royce | Not Subject to Export Control
Efficiency does not necessarily equate to economical value Innovations that focus on delivering ultimate market value are important Engineering efficiency is Central Fleet Operations Centre Digital Ecosystem the ratio between the energy needed to power a process vs the energy the process creates Objective: Reduce overall cost of ownership through: Economic efficiency is the • Total plant design integration / optimisation ratio between a company's • Maximise power output (for no further capital / ability to invest in and use op cost / risk) its assets vs the income • Maximising availability they generate • Maximising reliability • Reduce outage periods • Optimise predictive maintenance 8 Non-Confidential © 2021 Rolls-Royce | Not Subject to Export Control • Reduce inventory & optimise spares planning
The LCOE for SMRs is similar to renewable LCOEs and is significantly cheaper once storage costs for renewables are included European LCOE / Levelised Cost of Storage (“LCOS”), by technology European LCOE / LCOS, by technology for indicative assets1 for indicative assets1 commissioning in 2019 commissioning in 2040 GBP/MWh GBP/MWh 300 Intermittent source of electricity Intermittent source of electricity 250 200 200 Significant cost increase for Low renewable 150 150 constant, secure LCOE + cost of supply intermittency => 100 100 SMR SPV LCOE SMR SPV SMR SPV 50 50 35-50 35-50 0 0 Nuclear Coal Gas Solar PV Wind Wind Utility CCGT + Hinkley Nuclear Nuclear Coal Gas Solar PV Wind Wind Utility CCGT + Hinkley Nuclear CCGT onshore offshore scale CCS3 Point C4 SMR CCGT onshore offshore scale CCS3 Point C4 SMR stationary (NOAK) stationary (NOAK) batteries2 batteries Sources: IEA WEO 2020, BEIS Electricity Generation Cost Report 2020 Notes: CCGT = Combined Cycle Gas Turbine; CCS = Carbon Capture and Storage; USD = United States Dollar 1. Data from IEA WEO 2020, converted from USD to GBP (0.7) with +/-10% range applied SMR Range determined by financing mechanism 2. IEA Data – 2020 base year 3. Data from BEIS Electricity Generation Cost Report 2020 – Refers to 2025 LCOE as this is the first estimated deployment date of this technology 4. GBP92.5 CFD agreed price, scaled by CPI to 2019, as per CFD agreement 9 Non-Confidential © 2021 Rolls-Royce | Not Subject to Export Control
Lessons from Aerospace? There are many examples of high profile projects that have not delivered on expectations • Dassault Mercure – 12 units built • Flying range of aircraft insufficient to meet customer requirements • Tupolev TU-144 – 16 units built • Pushed technology boundaries, the aircraft was blighted by accidents leading to withdrawal from service • Concorde – 20 units built • Sales suffered from regulatory restrictions imposed and poor operational economics • Airbus A380 • Required expensive infrastructure changes at airports. Ultimately too large and economics poor
Questions Non-Confidential 11 © 2021 Rolls-Royce | Not Subject to Export Control
Rolls-Royce SMR September 2021 This information is provided by Rolls- Royce in good faith based upon the latest information available to it; no Sophie Macfarlane-Smith warranty or representation is given; no contractual or other binding Head of Customer Business commitment is implied Sophie.Macfarlane-Smith@rolls-royce.com M +44 (0)7976193127 Non-Confidential 12 © 2021 Rolls-Royce | Not Subject to Export Control
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