Rocks - CHRONICLING - Scientists find fresh approaches to familiar data.

Page created by Maurice Bell
 
CONTINUE READING
Rocks - CHRONICLING - Scientists find fresh approaches to familiar data.
VOL. 104  |  NO. 3
   MARCH 2023

                                        Converging Science
                                      and Grand Challenges

                                   DART’s Smashing Success

                                           EEAGER Beavers

                             CHRONICLING
                               CLIMATE IN

                           Rings
                             and
                           Rocks
                     Scientists find fresh approaches
                                       to familiar data.
Rocks - CHRONICLING - Scientists find fresh approaches to familiar data.
Rocks - CHRONICLING - Scientists find fresh approaches to familiar data.
FROM THE EDITOR
                                                                                                                                         Editor in Chief
                                                                                                                               Caryl-Sue Micalizio, Eos_EIC@agu.org

New Discoveries in Old Records
                                                                                                                                                Editorial
                                                                                                                                 Managing Editor          Jennifer Schmidt
                                                                                                                           Senior Science Editor          Timothy Oleson

S
                                                                                                                                 Associate Editor         Jason P. Dinh
                                                                                                                         Senior Science Reporter          Kimberly M. S. Cartier
        cientists have long known that dendrochronology and                                                             News and Features Writer          Jenessa Duncombe
        geochemistry offer substantial clues about our planet’s
        past. In this month’s Eos, we take a look at how inno-                                                                          Production & Design
vative techniques and converging sciences are helping to yield                                                  Assistant Director, Operations            Faith A. Ishii
                                                                                                     Senior Production and Analytics Specialist           Anaise Aristide
new discoveries in old records.                                                                          Assistant Director, Design & Branding            Beth Bagley
   So what can those records tell us about our past, present,                                             Program Manager, Brand Production               Valerie Friedman
                                                                                                                      Senior Graphic Designer             J. Henry Pereira
and future climate? Here are some fascinating facts:
                                                                                                                 Multimedia Graphic Designer              Mary Heinrichs
   1. New York City has a forest of old-growth timbers in its
rafters, with some beams dating as far back as the early 1500s.                                                   Strategic Communications and Marketing
Timbers of trees felled from the Adirondacks to Alabama tell                                                                      Vice President          Joshua Weinberg
                                                                                                                                       Publisher          Heather Goss
a story of droughts and deluges that have “great potential to
                                                                                                     Assistant Director, Marketing & Advertising          Liz Zipse
support evidence-based decisionmaking in the city, in terms                                                          Senior Marketing Specialist          Camila Rico
of both cultural heritage and climate risk.” Jenessa Duncombe
explores the climate database hidden in the Big Apple’s attic in “Finding Climate History in                                                Advertising
the Rafters of New York City Buildings” on page 24.                                                      Display Advertising Steve West
                                                                                                     		                      steve@mediawestinc.com
   2. Following the Chicxulub impact event, nonavian dinosaurs faced a future that was               Recruitment Advertising recruitmentsales@wiley.com
either bad or worse: quick death in a fiery inferno or prolonged starvation in the ­decades-​­long
impact winter that followed. Turn to “A Post-Impact Deep Freeze for Dinosaurs” on page 30,                                             Science Advisers
                                                                                                                                         Geodesy          Surendra Adhikari
in which Aubrey Zerkle shares how she and her team examined sulfur isotopes from Chicxu-                                               Hydrology          José Luis Arumi
lub crater and identified long-term effects of “the single greatest unavoidable threat to life                                   Ocean Sciences           Clark Alexander
on Earth”—an asteroid impact.                                                                                                    Natural Hazards          Paula R. Buchanan
                                                                                                                                       GeoHealth          Helena Chapman
   3. Colombia’s known geological history is well preserved in half a dozen databases, but                   Atmospheric and Space Electricity            Kenneth L. Cummins
these resources are akin to boxes of unsorted puzzle pieces—each offering valuable, yet ulti-                                    Tectonophysics           Rebecca Dorsey
                                                                                                                                        Education         Kyle Fredrick
mately unassembled, fragments. In “A Puzzle Mat for Assembling Colombia’s Geologic His-
                                                                                                                          Diversity and Inclusion         Sapóoq’is Wíit’as Ciarra Greene
tory” (p. 36), Carolina Ortiz-Guerrero tells the tale of early-career researchers who compiled                    Space Physics and Aeronomy              Jingnan Guo
the new Colombian Geochronological Database to contextualize the data, make it accessible,                                             Hydrology          Caitlyn Hall
                                                                                                                            Science and Society           Sara Hughes
and identify missing pieces.                                                                                                  Planetary Sciences          James T. Keane
   All three exercises in reevaluating climate records are transdisciplinary by nature, involv-                                       Cryosphere          Michalea King
ing science and commerce, history and chemistry, data infrastructure and geology. They are                                            Seismology          Ved Lekic
                                                                                                                      Mineral and Rock Physics            Jie “Jackie” Li
exemplar projects in “Converging Toward Solutions to Grand Challenges,” a theme Ryan                                  Near-Surface Geophysics             Dan R. Glaser
McGranaghan, Adam Kellerman, and Mark Olson explore in their opinion (p. 20), which is               Volcanology, Geochemistry, and Petrology             Michelle Jean Muth
                                                                                                                          Atmospheric Sciences            Vaishali Naik
itself concerned with the future of the U.S. power grid system.
                                                                                                               Study of the Earth’s Deep Interior         Rita Parai
   As narrowly defined analyses of rings and rocks give way to more nuanced ebbs and flows                 Earth and Space Science Informatics            Sudhir Raj Shrestha
of contextual data, Eos is proud to share how the geosciences are primed to address quanda-                       Global Environmental Change             Yangyang Xu
                                                                                                              Geomagnetism, Paleomagnetism,
ries of the past and challenges of the future.                                                                            and Electromagnetism            Nick Swanson-Hysell
                                                                                                                          Nonlinear Geophysics            Daniele Telloni
                                                                                                      Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology               Kaustubh Thirumalai
                                                                                                         Earth and Planetary Surface Processes            Desiree Tullos
                                                                                                                                 Biogeosciences           Merritt Turetsky
                                                                                                                           History of Geophysics          Roger Turner
                                                                                                                  Global Environmental Change             Yangyang Xu
Caryl-Sue Micalizio, Editor in Chief

                                                                                                     ©2023. AGU. All Rights Reserved. Material in this issue may be photocopied by
                                                                                                     individual scientists for research or classroom use. Permission is also granted to use
                                                                                                     short quotes, figures, and tables for publication in scientific books and journals. For
                                                                                                     permission for any other uses, contact the AGU Publications Office.
                                                                                                     Eos: Science News by AGU (ISSN 0096-3941) is published monthly except December
                                                                                                     by the American Geophysical Union, 2000 Florida Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20009,
                                                                                                     USA. Periodical Class postage paid at Washington, D.C., and at additional mailing
                                                                                                     offices. POSTMASTER: Send address changes to Eos: Science News by AGU, Member
                                                                                                     Service Center, 2000 Florida Ave., NW, Washington, DC 20009, USA
                                                                                                     Member Service Center: 8:00 a.m.–6:00 p.m. Eastern time; Tel: +1-202-462-6900;
                                                                                                     Fax: +1-202-328-0566; Tel. orders in U.S.: 1-800-966-2481; service@agu.org.
                                                                                                     Submit your article proposal or suggest a news story to Eos at bit.ly/Eos-proposal.
                                                                                                     Views expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect official positions
                                                                                                     of AGU unless expressly stated.
                                                                                                     Randy Fiser, Executive Director/CEO

                                                                                                                     SCIENCE NEWS BY AGU // Eos.org                                1
Rocks - CHRONICLING - Scientists find fresh approaches to familiar data.
CONTENT

                                                                                                                    30

                                                        24                                                          36
Features

24 Finding Climate History                                          30 A Post-Impact Deep Freeze
   in the Rafters of New York                                          for Dinosaurs
   City Buildings                                                      By Aubrey Zerkle
        By Jenessa Duncombe                                            Animals acclimated to the warm Cretaceous weren’t so
                                                                       chill in Chicxulub’s frigid aftermath.
        New York City’s historic buildings are vaults of climate
        data. Some scientists are on a mission to keep those
        records out of the landfill.
                                                                    36 A Puzzle Mat for Assembling
                                                                       Colombia’s Geologic History
On the Cover                                                           By Carolina Ortiz-Guerrero
A 200-year-old oak tree was removed from a residential yard
                                                                       Early-career researchers compiled available data on
in De Pere, Wis., due to a split extending to the ground. Credit:
                                                                       Colombia’s geochronology into a single accessible
Steven W. Lepak
                                                                       source.

2   Eos // MARCH 2023
Rocks - CHRONICLING - Scientists find fresh approaches to familiar data.
CONTENT

                                                           6                                                                            19

                                                           8                                                                          43
Columns

From the Editor                                                              Opinion
  1 New Discoveries in Old Records                                               20 Converging Toward Solutions to Grand Challenges

News                                                                         Research Spotlight
  5 Arctic Sediments, a Peruvian Volcano, and a Russian                          41 Long-Lived Lakes Reveal a History of Water on Mars
    Famine                                                                       42 When the Aral Sea Dried Up, Central Asia Became
  6 NASA’s Double Asteroid Redirection Test Is a Smashing                           Dustier | If There Is Phosphine on Venus, There
    Success                                                                         Isn’t Much
  8 Glacial Ice Offers Polar Bears a Precarious Climate                          43 Mapping Street-Level Pollution Estimates to Reveal
    Refuge                                                                          Safer Routes
  9 Scientists EEAGER-ly Track Beavers Across the Western                        44 Fluid Dynamics of Tiny, Ancient Marine Animals |
    United States                                                                   Tracking Water in the Tongan Volcano’s Massive
  11 Drones Make Weather Prediction at the Poles Easier                             Eruption Plume
 12 New Crowdsourced Science Project Will Study Sprites
 13 Stories Scribed on Palm Leaves Help Scientists
    Understand Ancient Eruption
                                                                             Editors’ Highlights
 15 Were Impressionist Masters Painting a Polluted                               45 Long-Lasting Impacts of Nuclear War on the Ocean
    Reality?
 16 Ancient Nile Tributary May Have Aided Pyramid                            Positions Available
    Construction
                                                                                 46 Current job openings in the Earth and space sciences
 18 Geohazard Education Trainings Foster Resilience

                                                                             Postcards from the Field
    in Rural Alaska
 19 A Day in the Life Used to Be 17 Hours
                                                                                 48 Greetings from the White River!

  AmericanGeophysicalUnion   @AGU_Eos       company/american-geophysical-union       AGUvideos     americangeophysicalunion    americangeophysicalunion

                                                                                                                SCIENCE NEWS BY AGU // Eos.org       3
Rocks - CHRONICLING - Scientists find fresh approaches to familiar data.
Rocks - CHRONICLING - Scientists find fresh approaches to familiar data.
NEWS

Arctic Sediments, a Peruvian Volcano,
and a Russian Famine

O
          n 19 February 1600, the Huaynaputina
          volcano in southern Peru erupted, in
          the largest such event ever recorded
in South America. The eruption column was
32 kilometers tall, and an estimated 13 cubic
kilometers of magma were released.
    A multidisciplinary team recently pub-
lished a study in Quaternary Research (­bit​.­ly/​
­volcano​-­famine) supporting the idea that a
 year after the Huaynaputina eruption, its cli-
 mate effects led to global cooling and cata-
 strophic crop failures in northern Europe. In
 turn, these food shortages contributed to the
 Great Famine that killed a third of Russia’s
 population.

Sediment Cores from an Arctic
Archipelago
In 2015 and 2017, a group of students, doctoral
candidates, and professors from different
disciplines participated in an expedition to
Russia’s Novaya Zemlya archipelago, one of           In Peru, the eruption of the Huaynaputina volcano destroyed nearby agricultural terraces like this one. Credit:
the least explored regions in the Arctic and a       Jersy Mariño
location that can be accessed only by ship.
   The expedition collected sediment core
samples from seven fjords in the archipelago.
All researchers had access to a workstation            Within the cores, the team found a sharp                   into the atmosphere. These volcanic gases,
and laboratory on board the R/V Akademik             decrease in sedimentation rates, grain size,                 which damage foliage and discourage plant
Mstislav Keldysh, where the samples were cut         and biogenic remains of marine organisms                     growth, took as long as a year to reach north-
in half lengthwise. One half was saved for           starting in the 17th century. These results                  ern Europe.
scanning at an onshore laboratory, and the           suggest a sudden onset of colder weather.                       The “coolness of the [1601] summer was a
other half was analyzed on board the ship for                                                                     result of these volcanic aerosols high in the
factors such as grain size, mineralogy, chem-        Global Cooling in Historical Records                         stratosphere…and that led to extreme har-
istry, and biology, explained Valeriy Rusakov,       The team studied historical documents as                     vest loss,” said Huhtamaa. As an example of
lead author of the study and a geologist at the      well as scientific samples and found that                    that loss, she pointed to church records from
Vernadsky Institute of Geochemistry and              the “drastic decrease in sedimentation in the                the municipality of Pöytyä, Finland, which
Analytical Chemistry at the Russian Academy          fjords” of Novaya Zemlya coincided with                      document that of the 142.7 barrels of rye
of Sciences.                                         written records of both the 1600 Huayna­                     seeds sowed in 1601, only 1 barrel could be
                                                     putina eruption and extreme cold weather
                                                     around the world, from crop failures in north-
                                                     ern Europe to a ­2-week change in the blossom
                                                     time of peach trees in China.
                                                        This cooling “led to the Great Famine of
                                                     1601–1603, which led to the change of ruling
                                                     dynasties in Russia,” said Rusakov. (The
                                                     dynasty that emerged, the Romanov, led Rus-
                                                     sia until 1917.)
                                                        Heli Huhtamaa, an assistant professor at
                                                     the University of Bern in Switzerland, was
                                                     not involved with the new research but con-
                                                     cured with its general findings. According to
Researchers aboard R/V Akademik Mstislavt Keldysh    her, the Huaynaputina volcanic eruption is
made an expedition to the Russian archipelago of     considered to be the most likely culprit of the
Novaya Zemlya in 2017 to extract sediment cores      cold weather experienced in 1601 because the                 Scientists on the 2017 expedition study sediment
from fjords. Credit: Valeriy Rusakov                 eruption released large quantities of sulfur                 cores from Novaya Zemlya. Credit: Valeriy Rusakov

                                                                                                                             SCIENCE NEWS BY AGU // Eos.org            5
Rocks - CHRONICLING - Scientists find fresh approaches to familiar data.
NEWS

harvested. (A barrel is equivalent to about
146.5 liters.)
                                                  NASA’s Double Asteroid Redirection
   “Historical reconstructions of unrecog-
nized climatic processes can be extremely
                                                  Test Is a Smashing Success

                                                  R
important for understanding the role of the
nonhuman world in human affairs,” said                  ocks from space have walloped Earth           spacecraft they’d spent well over a decade
Andy Bruno, an environmental historian and              for eons, and it’s only a matter of time      designing, building, and testing.
professor at Northern Illinois University. But          until our planet lands yet again in              The launch went smoothly, and DART soon
he warned that we should be wary of “claims       the crosshairs of a very large asteroid. But        entered orbit around the Sun. For roughly
that reduce any complicated historical event      unlike other forms of life—here’s looking           10 months, the spacecraft largely tracked the
to a sole climate trigger.”                       at you, dinosaurs—humans have a fighting            orbit of Earth, essentially waiting to catch up
   The eruption of Huaynaputina and shifts in     chance of altering our cosmic destiny. At           to the D
                                                                                                             ­ idymos-​­Dimorphos asteroid system,
glacial dynamics in the Arctic played a role in   AGU’s Fall Meeting 2022, researchers pre-           which orbits the Sun between Earth and Mars.
the Great Famine in Russia, Bruno said, but       sented a slate of new results from NASA’s           “We stayed close to Earth the entire time and
were far from the only factors. The extended      Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) mis-        just caught up with the Didymos system at its
crop failures exacerbated an ongoing political    sion, the first demonstration of asteroid           closest approach to Earth,” said Elena Adams,
and social conflict known as the Time of Trou-    deflection.                                         DART mission systems engineer at the Johns
                                                                                                      Hopkins University Applied Physics Labora-
                                                  Peering at an Orbit                                 tory (APL) in Laurel, Md.
                                                  DART’s target, the D     ­ idymos-​­Dimorphos
                                                                                                      Approaching the Unknown
“Historical reconstructions                       asteroid system, was first discovered in the
                                                  ­mid-​­1990s. Astronomers back then spotted         It was only around July 2022 that DART’s
of unrecognized climatic                           only its larger member, Didymos, which is          onboard camera—the Didymos Reconnais-

processes can be                                   roughly 800 meters (half a mile) in dia­meter.
                                                   It wasn’t until 2003 that scientists realized
                                                                                                      sance and Asteroid Camera for Optical navi-
                                                                                                      gation (DRACO)—caught its first glimpse of
extremely important                                that a much smaller body, dubbed Dimor­            Didymos. But Dimorphos wouldn’t come into

for understanding the role
                                                   phos, was also present. Dimorphos is about         view until much, much later: Just 1 hour
                                                   one fifth the size of Didymos, and its orbit       before impact, at a distance of roughly 25,000
of the nonhuman world                              takes it in front of and behind Didymos as         kilometers, the tiny moonlet was still a mere
                                                   seen from Earth. That’s serendipitous,             2 pixels across in DRACO images.
in human affairs.”                                 because by monitoring how the brightness of           “We didn’t see Dimorphos until late in the
                                                   the D ­ idymos-​­Dimorphos asteroid system         game,” said Adams. To prepare for the uncer-
                                                   varies over time, scientists were able to          tainties of striking a body they knew virtu-
                                                   determine precisely how long it took Dimor-        ally nothing about, DART team members
bles, which lasted until the establishment of      phos to complete an orbit: 11 hours and            ran thousands of Monte Carlo simulations
the Romanov dynasty in 1613.                       55 minutes.                                        beforehand, in which they varied the moon-
   For Jersy Mariño, research that explores            “We needed to understand the D    ­ idymos-​   let’s size, shape, albedo, and a slew of other
the connection between the Huaynaputina            ­Dimorphos system before we changed it,”           parameters.
eruption and historical events around the           said Cristina Thomas, a planetary scientist at
world is essential for recognizing the “cul-        Northern Arizona University in Flagstaff, at
tural and geological value” of this volcano and     AGU’s Fall Meeting 2022.
the importance of studying it. Mariño is a
geologist from the Peruvian Geological, Min-
                                                       The primary goals of the DART mission
                                                    were simple, at least in concept: to hit Dimor-
                                                                                                      “We needed to understand
ing, and Metallurgical Institute who has con-       phos with the roughly ­570-​­kilogram (half-      the Didymos-Dimorphos
                                                                                                      system before we changed
ducted extensive research on the geological         ton) DART spacecraft to significantly alter the
history and risk posed by this and other vol-       orbital period of Dimorphos around Didymos,
canoes in southern Peru.                            to measure that change, and to characterize       it.”
   During a recent expedition to Huayna-            the physics of the impact. If successful, it
putina, Mariño and his team found evidence          would be the first demonstration of deflecting
of six towns and several terraces used for          an asteroid using so-called kinetic impactor
agriculture in the 17th century that were           technology. (In 2005, another NASA mission,
completely buried during the 1600 eruption.         Deep Impact, tested kinetic impactor tech-             The DART spacecraft successfully hit
(The volcano has not erupted since then.)           nology with a comet.)                             Dimorphos on 26 September 2022. The event
   The scientists recommended that the                 On 23 November 2021, a Falcon 9 rocket         was recorded by a cadre of Earth-based tele-
Peruvian government start archaeological            lifted off from California’s Vandenberg Space     scopes and also the Light Italian Cubesat
expeditions as soon as possible.                    Force Base. By then, the ­SpaceX-​­designed       for Imaging of Asteroids (­L ICIACube), a
                                                    rocket had notched more than 100 successful       ­b riefcase-​­sized spacecraft carrying two
                                                    launches, but for members of the DART mis-         ­cameras that launched with DART and was
By Santiago Flórez (@rflorezsantiago), Science      sion, the event was anything but ordinary:          released from the spacecraft 15 days prior to
Writer                                              Nestled within the rocket’s nose cone was the       impact.

6   Eos // MARCH 2023
Rocks - CHRONICLING - Scientists find fresh approaches to familiar data.
NEWS

This illustration of NASA’s Double Asteroid Redirection Test (DART) spacecraft (foreground) and the Italian Space Agency’s LICIACube depicts them just prior to impact at the
­Didymos-​­Dimorphos binary system on 26 September 2022. Credit: NASA/Johns Hopkins APL/Steve Gribben

A Serendipitous Boost                                       million kilograms (1,100 U.S. tons) of material             when it comes to binary asteroids, but it’s
Researchers had calculated that the impact,                 were blasted off the asteroid by the impact.                never been confirmed. Thomas, leader of the
which occurred roughly head-on, would                       That’s enough debris to fill several rail cars,             DART Observations Working Group, pre-
shorten Dimorphos’s orbital period by just                  said Andy Rivkin, DART investigation team                   sented new results on the subject at the press
under 10 minutes. That was assuming the                     lead at APL, at a press conference at the Fall              conference at the Fall Meeting. She shared
simplest scenario, in which no ejecta is pro-               Meeting (bit​.ly/​AGU22​-DART).                             ­near-​­infrared spectra of the binary asteroid
duced, said Andy Cheng, DART investigation                                                                               system that astronomers had collected both
team lead at APL, at a press conference.                    Follow the Debris                                            before and after impact using a NASA tele-
    “The amount of momentum that you put                    Of particular interest, the ejecta shed by                   scope in Hawaii.
in the target is exactly equal to the momen-                Dimorphos has remained in distinctly more                       Observations obtained prior to impact
tum that the spacecraft came in with.” But                  plumelike configurations than the debris                     (when the overwhelming majority of the sun-
if ejecta flies off the asteroid after impact,              shed by comet 9P/Tempel 1 when NASA’s                        light reflected off the asteroid system came
physics dictates that the asteroid can get an               Deep Impact spacecraft intentionally crashed                 from Didymos) and after impact (when the
extra boost, said Cheng. “You end up with a                 into it in 2005. “The Dimorphos ejecta has a                 debris shed by Dimorphos was responsible for
bigger deflection.”                                         lot of morphological features,” said Jian-                   more than two thirds of the reflected light)
    That’s good news when it comes to pushing               Yang Li, a planetary scientist at the Planetary              revealed very similar spectra, with character-
a potentially harmful space rock out of the                 Science Institute in Fairfax County, Virginia,               istic dips at wavelengths of 1 and 2 microme-
way, said Cheng. “If you’re trying to save the              and a member of the DART team, at the Fall                   ters in both cases. That’s strong evidence that
Earth, that makes a big difference.”                        Meeting.                                                     the two asteroids have similar compositions,
    And ejecta there was, in spades—on the                     The reason is probably the different com-                 said Thomas.
basis of detailed ­follow-​­up observations of the          positions and surface features of the two bod-                  Scientists aren’t yet finished with Didymos
­Didymos-​­Dimorphos system, scientists dis-                ies, he said. Tempel 1 is rich in volatiles and              and Dimorphos: In 2024, researchers involved
 covered that Dimorphos is now traveling                    fine-grained dust; Dimorphos’s surface, on                   in the European Space Agency’s Hera mission
 around Didymos once every 11 hours and                     the other hand, is littered with boulders. Sci-              plan to launch a spacecraft to the system to
 22 minutes. That’s a full 33 minutes shorter               entists plan to continue to monitor Dimor-                   further characterize the asteroids—including
 than its original orbital period, a finding that           phos’s debris plume through at least this                    accurately measuring the mass of Dimor-
 implies that a substantial amount of ejecta                month.                                                       phos—and to study the crater created by the
 was produced. Imagery from ground- and                        The DART mission also has enabled scien-                  DART impact.
 space-based telescopes has borne that out: A               tists to investigate a fundamental question
 plume of debris tens of thousands of kilome-               about the ­Didymos-Dimorphos asteroid sys-
 ters long currently stretches out from Dimor-              tem: Do the two asteroids have the same                      By Katherine Kornei (@KatherineKornei),
 phos. Researchers estimated that at least a                composition? It’s a common assumption                       ­Science Writer

                                                                                                                                   SCIENCE NEWS BY AGU // Eos.org           7
Rocks - CHRONICLING - Scientists find fresh approaches to familiar data.
NEWS

Glacial Ice Offers Polar Bears a Precarious Climate Refuge

D
             iscovered in the fjords of southeastern   sheep,” said Laidre. The scientists had to                   every year. That’s one reason Laidre was so
             Greenland, the world’s most gene­         carry noisemakers, flares, and rifles to protect             surprised to find a substantial population of
             tically isolated polar bear subpopu­      themselves from the polar bears they were                    bears in southeastern Greenland at all: The
lation has an unusual relationship to ice.             there to study.                                              ­sub-​­Arctic region has more than 250 days
Whereas most polar bears rely on sea ice, the             Striking out by helicopter, Laidre and her                 without sea ice every year.
bears recently found prowling Greenland’s              colleagues scouted the fjords to find and
southernmost tip also hunt on glacial                  “capture” bears using sedative darts so they
mélange—the jumble of floating ice that                could safely land and approach the animals

                                                                                                                    “These bears are kind
spills into fjords when glaciers come apart            to collect health data. They’d also fit adult
against the sea.                                       females with tracking collars. When capture
    These unusual fjord dwellers might offer a         wouldn’t be safe for the researchers or for the              of homebodies.”
glimpse of their species’ future in the melt-          bears, the team used biopsy darts to collect
ing Arctic, researchers said. Ice is already as        small tissue samples for genetic analysis
short-lived in the fjords as it is expected to be      instead.
in the High Arctic by the end of the century.             In addition to the fieldwork, the team used
And as sea ice grows ever scarcer, polar bears         satellite imagery to track the ice conditions in                The southeastern Greenland bears survive
will be driven farther back into a shrinking           the bears’ habitats. But because fjords are so               by hunting from the glacial mélange, which
handful of climate change refugia, such as             narrow and small, the normal automated                       flows into the fjords year-round. The strategy
fjords.                                                tools used to track Arctic sea ice just wouldn’t             gives the bears plenty of food to eat but also
    A multiyear effort to study the bears and          work, Laidre said. The team’s ice scientists                 seems to restrict their movements.
their environment was described in Science             had to analyze daily satellite images of the                    “These bears are kind of homebodies,” said
(­bit​.­ly/​­fjord​-­polar​-­bears) and presented at   fjords by hand.                                              Laidre. “[They] would stay in one or two fjords
AGU’s Fall Meeting 2022 (­bit​.­ly/​­AGU22​-­polar​                                                                 for 3–5 years. They’d move, on average, 10 or
-­bears).                                              Isolated Homebodies                                          15 square kilometers. Bears in other parts of
                                                       Polar bears need sea ice to hunt but can                     the Arctic will move 1,000 kilometers…[these
Unexpected Discovery                                   endure between 100 and 180 ice-free days                     bears] really are just stuck in little pockets.”
The research team wasn’t expecting to find a
new subpopulation of polar bears hunting on
fjord ice, said ecologist Kristin Laidre of the
University of Washington. The team’s project
started in 2011 as a multiyear effort to survey
the broader eastern Greenland population,
which hadn’t been studied closely in more
than a decade.
    Southeastern Greenland “definitely wasn’t
thought to be a place that would support a
population of polar bears,” said Laidre. “But
we took one or two trips down there and it
kind of struck me. Coming into the fjords, we
were seeing a high density of bears, and I
didn’t really expect that.”
    The region is incredibly remote, and doing
fieldwork there was a yearslong logistical
challenge, Laidre recalled. Helicopter fuel
and supplies were cached years in advance,
and the researchers had to get creative with
campsites if they wanted to avoid a daily
­4-hour commute to the fjords.
    “We lived in abandoned mining camps.
 We lived in abandoned weather stations. We
 slept in a sheep farm with a couple hundred

          u Read the latest news
                  at Eos.org
                                                       Southeastern Greenland’s polar bears use glacial ice to hunt. Credit: Kristin Laidre

8   Eos // MARCH 2023
NEWS

   This, as well as their habitat’s remote loca-
tion, might explain the bears’ incredible iso-
                                                   Scientists EEAGER-ly Track Beavers
lation—the southeastern Greenland bears are
the most genetically isolated polar bears in
                                                   Across the Western United States
the Arctic, said Laidre.
   Although other polar bear populations are
genetically isolated, have small ranges, or
hunt from glacial mélange, the southeast-
ern Greenland bears are unique in having all
three of these characteristics, said University
of Alberta ecologist Andrew Derocher, who
was not involved in the study.

Symptom of Climate Change
The discovery of this unique bear population
shows that glaciers that flow into the sea offer
polar bears a refuge from melting sea ice. But
although it might be tempting to see the
southeastern Greenland bears as a new hope
for their species in our warming world, it’s
not that simple.
   Lifestyles such as those of the Greenland
bears are “a symptom of climate change,”
said Derocher. “In a warming Arctic, this is a
scenario that we’re going to see played out in     A cascade of beaver ponds on South Fork Middle Crow Creek in the Happy Jack Recreation Area in Wyoming
many, many different places where…groups           cuts through a landscape of evergreens and other trees. Credit: Emily Fairfax
of bears become more isolated.”
   ­Sea-​­terminating glaciers such as those in

                                                   B
southeastern Greenland aren’t common in
most of the Arctic, which includes northern                eavers are among the world’s most              entists identify the ­landscape-​­scale features
                                                           effective engineers. Members of this           created by beaver families.
                                                           keystone species build dams and canals            Through a combination of fieldwork and
                                                   and, in so doing, create entire, multilayered          remote sensing, Fairfax tracks where beavers
                                                   wetland ecosystems. Beginning in the 1600s,            reside across the western United States. To
“Polar bears are still at risk                     however, the fur trade decimated North Amer-           make the process more efficient, she’s work-
from climate change.”                              ican beaver populations.                               ing with Google Earth Engine to develop the
                                                      The species began rebounding in the early           Earth Engine Automated Geospatial Element
                                                   20th century but sometimes came into conflict          Recognition model—aptly called ­EEAGER—
                                                   with the landscape, as by the 1940s and 1950s,         which uses machine learning to rapidly iden-
                                                   people were aggressively modifying streams             tify beaver dams in satellite and aerial imag-
Canada and Russia, where most polar bears          to maximize agricultural yield. Returning to           ery.
live. And ice conditions in the Arctic can be      their former haunts meant persecution as
erratic, said Derocher, adding that one or two     beavers flooded crops and felled orchards,
unusually warm winters could “blink out” a         explained Alexa Whipple, program director for
small, isolated population such as the one in      the Methow Beaver Project (part of the non-
the study.                                         profit Methow Salmon Recovery Foundation).             We often want beavers
   So rather than being a saving grace for the        Now, humans are starting to recognize that          to move back in to
bears’ species, said Laidre, southeastern          beavers, though still considered pests by
Greenland’s fjords are better understood as a      some, benefit landscapes in myriad ways. For           landscapes to do the
glimpse of the future—and a potential oppor-       instance, beaver activity can reduce erosion,          engineering for us.
tunity for scientists to better understand the     create habitat for other species, and maintain
specific challenges climate change will bring.     wetlands.
   “Polar bears are still at risk from climate        In fact, we often want beavers to move back
change,” she said. “This small group of bears      in to landscapes to do the engineering for us,
is going to teach us a lot about the future of     said Emily Fairfax, an assistant professor at            In work presented at AGU’s Fall Meeting
the species, but [the way they live] is not        California State University Channel Islands.           2022, Fairfax found that E­ EAGER decreased
going to save polar bears.”                        “But how are we going to know if they are              the time needed to map beaver dams by about
                                                   doing that,” she asked, “if we don’t even              80% (bit​.ly/​AGU22​-EEAGER). By rapidly find-
                                                   know where they are?” The answer lies in               ing beaver ponds and comparing their chang-
By Elise Cutts (@elisecutts), Science Writer       remote sensing imagery, which can help sci-            ing distribution over time, scientists like

                                                                                                                    SCIENCE NEWS BY AGU // Eos.org          9
NEWS

Fairfax can track beaver populations to quan-              activity. With Google Earth Engine, the data         resulted in ­fire-​­resistant habitats. “In these
tify the effects of their environmental engi-              querying and processing happen in the cloud,         beaver complexes, everything stays wet,”
neering.                                                   Fairfax explained, so she doesn’t need to add        said Fairfax, which means that fires cannot
                                                           more hard drives to her already impressive           easily burn these ponds.
Dams Versus Cul-de-Sacs                                    stash.                                                  “I’ve gone to [wildfire] sites where I fully
The amount of existing and incoming imag-                     Fairfax noted that the model wouldn’t work        expected the beavers to be dead,” she recalled,
ery isn’t an impediment for sky-based bea-                 as well as it does without extensive field map-      but “the evening rolls around and the beavers
ver surveillance. Beaver dams remain in place              ping of beaver dams (and not beaver dams),           come swimming out.”
for 5–7 years on average, said Fairfax; very               which involves wading through muck and                  Channel modifications, such as straight-
high resolution data that are publicly avail-              dense vegetation. But although ­pond-​­specific      ening bends to transport logs and barges,
able come out at least every couple of years               beaver studies are important, looking at how         result in water being whisked rapidly down-
and sometimes more often when fires and                    beavers affect entire watersheds can now be          stream, said Chris Jordan, a research fisheries
droughts strike (which is becoming more                    efficiently accomplished in ­beaver-​­based          biologist with NOAA’s National Marine Fish-
common). ­Lower-​­resolution data sets can                 research.                                            eries Service who was not involved with the
provide helpful imagery about once per week,                  For regions still needing ground truthing,        study. Beavers’ networks of dams, canals, and
filling in any gaps.                                       drones now expedite this process. However,           felled trees do the opposite, slowing water
    However, tracing beaver dams in such                   because Fairfax’s research has been focused          down, which—like magic, except that it’s
imagery is incredibly ­time-​­consuming, often             on the western United States, ­EEAGER may            physics—restores river systems, he said.
taking weeks to months. With large quanti-                 be biased. “We actually don’t know how                  Given time and opportunity, beavers will
ties of imagery, which Fairfax noted is a                  good it would do in places like Canada or Min­       engineer an entire valley floor, which could
pleasant problem to have, the process can                  nesota,” she said, “because it hasn’t been           be more than a kilometer wide, said Fairfax.
become a nightmarish sea of external hard                  trained there.”                                      That seemingly magical engineering lets
drives holding terabytes of data.                                                                               water seep into the soil, allowing streams to
    Fairfax and her colleagues at Google who               Slowing Down Water, Speeding Up                      reconnect to their floodplains. Simple or
specialize in neural networks, machine learn-              Recovery                                             degraded ecosystems can transform into riv-
ing, and artificial intelligence trained the               After the results from E ­ EAGER go through          erscapes with healthy food chains.
­EEAGER model with 8,000 of Fairfax’s man-                 quality control, calculations can address               For example, because endangered salmon
 ually identified beaver dams and another                  whatever the science question at hand may            and similar fish species are born and die in
 5,000 from other coauthors. Because the                   be. For instance, in research currently under        freshwater, they depend on healthy river
 model was convinced that cul-de-sacs were                 review, Fairfax looked at whether beaver             conditions to complete their life cycle, Jordan
 also beaver dams, they had to train the model             dams became fire refuges during three Rocky          said. Growing more fish requires ants, earth-
 on “not dams” as well.                                    Mountain megafires in 2020. In some water-           worms, and other ­floodplain-​­dwelling inver-
    EEAGER can now sort through massive                    sheds, beavers had dammed every single               tebrates to become fish fodder. But for that
 amounts of satellite and aerial imagery and               stream from start to end, she said. These sin-       part of the food chain to exist, landscapes
 identify pixels that contain evidence of beaver           uous stretches of hydrologic connectivity            around rivers need to be wet at least some of
                                                                                                                the time. Beavers create the necessary wet-
                                                                                                                land environments that then become biodi-
                                                                                                                versity hot spots.

                                                                                                                “In these beaver
                                                                                                                complexes, everything
                                                                                                                stays wet.”

                                                                                                                   Acquiring regular snapshots of beaver
                                                                                                                ponds from space, combined with algorithms
                                                                                                                doing the tedious work of examining millions
                                                                                                                of kilometers of streams, means new ways to
                                                                                                                quantify the impact beavers are having on the
                                                                                                                landscape, Jordan said.

Beaver dams create a wet refuge from wildfires. Little Last Chance Creek in California burned during the 2021   By Alka Tripathy-Lang (@DrAlkaTrip), Science
Beckwourth Complex Fire. This photo was taken 1 year later. Credit: Emily Fairfax                               Writer

10   Eos // MARCH 2023
NEWS

Drones Make Weather Prediction at the Poles Easier

I
   n February 2022, a drone flew off the deck                                                               anemometer measurements and calculate
   of the Japanese vessel Soya and over the                                                                 the wind speed in the surrounding environ-
   ­ice-​­covered Sea of Okhotsk in the north-                                                              ment.
western Pacific Ocean. The only difference                                                                     Once the calibrations on the drone were
between this uncrewed aerial vehicle (UAV)                                                                  accurate, the researchers headed to the Sea of
and one you could buy at any electronics store                                                              Okhotsk, collecting 18 wind speed measure-
was an extra sensor that researchers had                                                                    ments over water. By comparing the drone
added to measure wind speed.                                                                                data with the wind sensors on the ship, they
    The flight was a test to see whether collect-                                                           determined that the drone was able to make
ing wind speed measurements in remote                                                                       accurate measurements of wind speed in the
regions could be made more accessible and                                                                   field.
less expensive. The researchers recently pub-           Adding an inexpensive, lightweight sensor to a
lished their findings in Drones (­bit​.­ly/​­weather​   commercial drone allowed researchers to accu-       Finding What Flies
-­drones).                                              rately measure wind speeds in the Arctic. Credit:   Antonio Segalés Espinosa, a researcher at the
                                                        Jim Makos, CC ­BY-ND 2.0 (­bit​.­ly/​­ccbynd2-0)    Cooperative Institute for Severe and ­High-​
                                                                                                            ­Impact Weather Research and Operations at
                                                                                                             the University of Oklahoma who designs

Drones are “reusable,                                      Drones have many advantages, said Brian
                                                                                                             ­w eather-​­measuring drones but wasn’t
                                                                                                              involved in the current work, said that in his
they’re cheap, they’re                                  Greene, a postdoctoral fellow at the Univer-          research he’s avoided using thermal ane-

portable…they’re able
                                                        sity of Oklahoma who has used drones in the           mometers because they are a bulky add-
                                                        Arctic but wasn’t involved in the new study.          on. “Adding more extensions to the drone
to reach areas of the                                   “They’re reusable, they’re cheap, they’re             doesn’t really help to get the drone within the
                                                        portable,” he said, and “they’re able to reach        performance we want for severe weather,” he
atmosphere that we don’t                                areas of the atmosphere that we don’t typi-           said. Inoue agreed, noting that a limitation of
typically have access to.”                              cally have access to with our normal, everyday        their design is that they’re confined to flying
                                                        sampling techniques.”                                 the drone in clear weather.

                                                        A Cost-Effective Option
                                                        Scientists have used custom, ­purpose-​­built
   “Although meteorological UAVs can [per-              drones to make observations of weather and
form] wind profiling, they are usually expen-           sea ice levels at the poles before, but these       Including a thermal
sive to buy or operate by a third party,” wrote         units are not commercially available. In the
                                                                                                            anemometer on a
Jun Inoue, a researcher at the National Insti-          new study, the researchers used the common
tute of Polar Research in Japan and lead author         DJI Mavic 2 drone and attached a thermal            commercially available
of the study, in an email from a research ves-
sel in Antarctica. Lightweight and inexpensive
                                                        anemometer, which measures changes in
                                                        temperature due to airflow and translates
                                                                                                            drone has benefits.
anemometers—devices that measure wind                   them to wind speed. Although scientists typ-
speed and direction—attached to a smaller               ically use a different sensor for this purpose—
UAV can make the same measurements, he                  an ultrasonic anemometer—the thermal
wrote. Inoue and his colleagues are designing           variety is lighter and less expensive.                 Including a thermal anemometer on a
a unit that fits the bill.                                 The researchers wanted to collect wind           commercially available drone has benefits.
                                                        speed data while the drone was ascending            The design could be a way for people who
Where Drones and Meteorology Meet                       and descending; stopping for each measure-          don’t have the time and money to build their
Wind speed measurements throughout the                  ment is a drain on battery life. However, the       own specialized drone to collect data, Greene
lowest layer of the atmosphere, called the              movement of both the drone and its propel-          said.
boundary layer, help to inform weather pre-             lers would create extra airflow over the sen-          Inoue said he aims to improve the deliv-
dictions and climate models. But weather                sor. For the wind speed measurements to be          ery of data from the drone to researchers.
­stations are difficult and costly to maintain          accurate, the researchers had to compensate         “We will use this system over the Southern
 in many places around the world, particularly          for this disturbance. In a laboratory, they         Ocean and Antarctica to study the atmo-
 at the poles. “­Cost-​­effective, frequent data        visualized airflow over the drone with smoke        spheric boundary layer structure,” he wrote.
 acquisition at many stations is the chal-              and lasers. Using videos that looked as if they     “The next step is near-­real-​­time data trans-
 lenge,” Inoue wrote. Weather stations are              could have been taken at a dance club, the          fer for numerical weather predictions.”
 also limited to collecting data at a single loca-      researchers were able to track smoke particles
 tion. To overcome these issues, scientists             and translate that information into a velocity
 have turned to drones to get weather data in           of airflow over the drone. They could then use      By Andrew Chapman (@andrew7chapman),
 ­hard-​­to-​­reach locations.                          these measurements to correct the thermal           Science Writer

                                                                                                                     SCIENCE NEWS BY AGU // Eos.org       11
NEWS

New Crowdsourced Science Project Will Study Sprites

S
        prites, elves, trolls, and pixies.              “Their photos are fantastic,” said Kosar,                  Aside from collecting and collating images,
           No, we’re not talking about fairy-        but “other than a few researchers, the science             a key aim of the Spritacular project is to sup-
        tale creatures. These curiously named        community is largely unaware of their efforts              port new observers with workshops and edu-
phenomena are all types of transient lumi-           and observations.”                                         cational resources. In addition, Kosar is look-
nous events (TLEs)—bursts of red and blue               Kosar, who was previously involved in an                ing to explore the role of atmospheric gravity
light that occur high above thunderclouds and        ­aurora-​­spotting crowdsourced science proj-              waves in sprite formation. Amateur scientists
last for as little as a fraction of a second.         ect, saw an opportunity to create a commu-                frequently capture sprites and gravity waves
   Eyewitness reports of strange flashes              nity in which weather photographers and                   concurrently, but more observations are
above thunderstorms were reported for more            scientists could collaborate. The data and                needed to support the idea that these ripples
than a century before scientists accidentally         images collected by Spritacular will be used              in the atmosphere may help seed sprite for-
caught one on film during a test for a rocket         by scientists for new and ongoing research                mation.
mission in 1989. Since then, scientific cam-          into TLEs.
paigns have captured stills and high-speed
recordings of sprites and other TLEs around          Knowing Where to Look
the world.
   Scientists have many unanswered ques-
                                                     Kosar recently had her first ­sprite-​­chasing
                                                     experience with weather photographer Paul
                                                                                                                “More eyes on the skies
tions about the phenomena, said Burcu Kosar,         Smith in Oklahoma. “We were out night                      will give us unbiased
a space physicist at NASA’s Goddard Space
Flight Center. Kosar is leading Spritacular, a
                                                     after night scouring the skies,” she said.
                                                        The biggest challenge of sprite chasing is
                                                                                                                coverage across the
community effort to build the first global           being in the right place at the right time, said           globe.”
database of sprites and other TLEs for scien-        Smith, who has been photographing the
tific study.                                         phenomenon for 6 years. Not every storm is
   “We need more observations to under-              going to make a sprite: “It takes experience
stand various aspects of sprites and other           in reading how storms evolve and the types
transient luminous events,” said Kosar. “We          of lightning responsible.”                                 Working Together
may even find new types.”                               “You don’t need specialized equipment to                “More eyes on the skies will give us unbiased
                                                     capture a sprite, though,” said Smith, just a              coverage across the globe,” said Caitano da
Spectacular Sprites                                  standard digital ­single-​­lens reflex camera              Silva, an assistant professor of physics at the
Characteristic examples of sprites include           and some practice.                                         New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technol-
carrots, which look like bunches pulled right
out of the garden, and jellyfish with dangling
tendrils.

“It’s an electrical zoo
up there.”

   Sprites are generally hidden from view,
occurring at an altitude of roughly 80 kilo­
meters. “Electrical activity affects the atmo-
sphere above [a storm], creating various opti-
cal phenomena—it’s an electrical zoo up
there,” said Kosar, who introduced Spritacu-
lar at AGU’s Fall Meeting 2022 (­bit​.­ly/​­AGU22​
-­Spritacular).
   Whereas scientific efforts to document
sprites have declined recently, Kosar said,
amateur sky watchers known as “sprite chas-
 ers” have been sharing photos of them online
 for years. The largest group of sprite chasers,
the International Observers of ­U pper-​
­Atmospheric Electric Phenomena, started in          Large thunderstorms are capable of producing lightning and other kinds of electrical phenomena called transient
 2013 and now has more than 7,000 members.           luminous events (TLEs). The most common TLEs include red sprites, blue jets, and elves. Credit: NOAA

12   Eos // MARCH 2023
NEWS

                                                        Stories Scribed on Palm Leaves Help
                                                        Scientists Understand Ancient Eruption

                                                        F
                                                              ire rained from the sky. Avalanches                   During the past 10,000 years, large eruptions
                                                              coursed down a collapsing mountain.                   have punctuated Rinjani’s history, with the
                                                              An island kingdom perished. These                     1257 event ranking among the most explosive
                                                        apocalyptic scenes describe the 1257 eruption               in recent times, said Vidal, who has worked
                                                        of Samalas—the most explosive volcano                       on Samalas but was not involved in this study.
                                                        you’ve never heard of—if historic records
                                                        from the Indonesian island of Lombok are
                                                        true.
                                                           In a new study, ­Panthéon-​­Sorbonne Uni-
                                                        versity doctoral student and geomorpholo-                   Like avalanches, these
                                                        gist Mukhamad Malawani and his colleagues                   flows “destroy[ed]
                                                        used locally preserved historic records called
                                                        babad to reconstruct what Lombok may have                   everything in their way.”
                                                        been like before, during, and after the Sama­
                                                        las eruption (­bit​ .­ly/​­palm​ -­leaf​ -­eruption).
                                                        Investigating the changes wrought by this
                                                        catastrophe may help scientists understand                       After the eruption, the island morphed
                                                        ancient evacuation processes, posteruption                  from a lush paradise into a dry, ­ash-​­covered
                                                        recovery, and societal resilience.                          landscape, according to study coauthor
                                                                                                                    Franck Lavigne, a geographer at ­Panthéon-​
                                                        Paradise Lost                                               ­Sorbonne University who has worked on the
                                                        Lombok is nestled between the islands of Bali                Samalas eruption for the past decade.
                                                        to the west and Sumbawa to the east. These                       Prior studies of the meters- to ­tens-​­of-​
                                                        islands form part of the v    ­ olcano-​­studded             ­meters-​­thick deposits expelled from the vol-
A red jellyfish sprite was captured by veteran sprite   Indonesian arc, largely the product of sub-                   cano helped scientists such as Vidal recon-
chaser Paul Smith over Oklahoma in June 2022.           duction as the Australian tectonic plate’s                    struct the eruption itself. Ash, pumice, and
Credit: Paul Smith/@paulmsmithphotography               northwestern oceanic edge dives below the                     gas rose into the atmosphere as the eruption
                                                        Sunda plate. The Rinjani volcanic complex,                    began. The cloud spread horizontally, raining
                                                        crowned by a l­ ake-​­filled caldera left by the              ash and pumice onto, and even beyond, the
                                                        Samalas eruption, reigns over Lombok’s                        island. Once the gas sustaining the plume was
ogy who is not involved in the Spritacular              landscape, according to Céline Vidal, a volca-                exhausted, the towering column collapsed,
project. “Working together significantly                nologist at the University of Cambridge.                      forming clouds of hot gas, ash, and other
increases our chances of new discoveries.”
   Da Silva also hopes the new project will
lead to better classification of sprites and
other TLEs. Classification so far has drawn on
data collected by a small number of research
groups.
   For amateur scientists like Smith, Spritac-
ular is a “fantastic opportunity to join forces
with scientists—if we can analyze each of our
shots, just imagine what we might find out.”
   For Kosar, the project isn’t just about fur-
thering science. “The study of TLEs, in a way,
started with citizen scientists, and we want to
work with them,” she said, adding that there
are many ways for people to get involved
beyond making observations. “It’s about cre-
ating a community. You don’t have to be an
observer—you’re welcome on board even if
you just want to learn more.”

By Erin Martin-Jones (@Erin_M_J), Science               The palm leaf pages of Babad Lombok, written in Old Javanese, may provide clues about a ­little-​­known 1257 vol-
Writer                                                  canic eruption in what is now Indonesia. Credit: Franck Lavigne

                                                                                                                              SCIENCE NEWS BY AGU // Eos.org          13
NEWS

                                                                                                                 found, Lavigne said he hopes that houses or
                                                                                                                 temples might be unearthed in the future.
                                                                                                                    To extract what happened to the island’s
                                                                                                                 inhabitants after the eruption, Malawani,
                                                                                                                 Lavigne, and colleagues traced the paths of
                                                                                                                 refugees by matching place-names listed in
                                                                                                                 the babad with modern geography, as well as
                                                                                                                 with names taken from c    ­ olonial-​­era maps.
                                                                                                                 However, these paths could be describing
                                                                                                                 either immediate evacuation or later migra-
                                                                                                                 tion, said Lavigne. “It’s not always clear.”
                                                                                                                    Babad Lombok also records which leaders
                                                                                                                 built new settlements. For example, import-
                                                                                                                 ant people of Pamatan, such as the governor,
A cliff of pumice about 35 meters high, left from the 1257 volcanic eruption, looms above a local beach on the   harbormaster, headman, and royal family,
island of Lombok. Credit: Franck Lavigne                                                                         each oversaw construction of a new village.
                                                                                                                 On Lombok, resilience meant resettlement
                                                                                                                 away from the ­pumice-​­coated plains, said
                                                                                                                 Lavigne.
debris produced by the eruption that flowed                 Javanese word for pumice, which helped to
along the ground, rapidly traversing the land-              confirm the link between the babads’ descrip-        Timelines
scape.                                                      tions and the Samalas eruption. “We know             For the past few decades, knowledge of vol-
   Like avalanches, these flows “destroy[ed]                that it’s this eruption because it’s the only        canic eruptions in general has come from
everything in their way,” Vidal said. Soon                  [recent] eruption that produced pumice,”             detailed studies of volcanic deposits and
after, mudflows called lahars, caused when                  said Lavigne. “What we see in the field cor-         monitoring of those sites, said Agung Hari-
rain follows such an eruption, capped the vol-              responds to the descriptions in the babad.”          joko, a volcanologist at Gadjah Mada Univer-
canic deposits, she said.                                      In that context, Babad Lombok and Babad           sity in Yogyakarta, Indonesia, who was not
                                                            Sembalun describe the collapse of Mount Rin-         involved with this study. Historical records,
Babad                                                       jani, along with debris flows and avalanches.        such as those described in the new study, may
Babad are written collections of oral traditions            Babad Suwung, which includes the story of a          provide additional information about past
often transcribed in an Old Javanese script                 group that journeyed to the nearby island of         eruptions and mitigation efforts that’s oth-
that few people can read. The sacred texts                  Sumbawa just before the eruption, describes          erwise hard to find.
contain a mixture of legend and fact, said                  “fire-rain” and burning winds—likely a surge            In particular, said Vidal, ­little-​­studied oral
Lavigne. This is partly because oral traditions             of hot gas and ash—that seared the village           histories, common in Indigenous cultures,
change as cultures do.                                      across the strait.                                   contain invaluable information. “This study
   The researchers focused on three babad                                                                        was remarkable,” she said, because it uses
likely compiled in the 18th or 19th century—                                                                     local records, initially transmitted orally,
several centuries after the Samalas eruption.                                                                    after much of Lombok was destroyed.
Babad Lombok had already been translated                                                                            However, because the babad do not include
into modern Javanese and Indonesian and                     Resilience meant                                     dates, reconstructing timelines is tricky.
resides at the Museum of Nusa Tenggara
Barat. Babad Suwung, also property of the
                                                            resettlement away from                               “Impacts immediately after an event are dif-
                                                                                                                 ferent from the long-term impacts, and peo-
museum, had yet to be translated from Old                   the pumice-coated plains.                            ple’s understanding of that impact changes
Javanese, so Lavigne and colleagues arranged                                                                     with time,” said volcanologist Amanda Clarke,
for a translation to occur in a village where the                                                                a professor at Arizona State University who
person reading the babad sang from the palm                                                                      was not involved with the study.
leaves in a ceremony attended by all the resi-                                                                      For instance, how long the recovery took
dents. The third, Babad Sembalun, is familiar               Before and After                                     is not mentioned in any documents from
only to people who live in the Sembalun Valley              Babad Lombok mentions Pama­t an, a lost              Lombok, said Malawani, who is also a lec-
on the northeastern flank of Samalas, where                 kingdom in a lowland, coastal area, said             turer at Gadjah Mada University. Fortunately,
the original palm leaves remain.                            ­L avigne. With a bustling population of             another document from Java, the Desavar-     ´
   With the translations, Malawani, Lav­igne,                10,000, the fabled city boasted infrastructure,     nana,
                                                                                                                  .      helped  the  researchers      bracket   the
and their colleagues examined the three                      agriculture, fishing, and commerce but was          recovery efforts to about a century.
babad for any information pertaining to an                   wiped out by an eruption, according to the             Many babad still need to be translated and
eruption. Because the babad provide no abso-                 text. If Pama­tan exists below Samalas’s vol-       studied, said Lavigne. “Some of them still
lute time constraints for the Samalas erup-                  canic deposits, nobody knows where it lies,         may have some interesting information.”
tion, the researchers had to verify that these               he said, though they have some educated
records truly describe the event. To do so,                  guesses. Pumice quarries dot the island,
they relied on comparisons. For instance,                    trenched in deposits that can be as thick as        By Alka Tripathy-Lang (@DrAlkaTrip), Science
Babad Lombok specifically mentions the Old                   50 meters. Though no settlement has been            Writer

14   Eos // MARCH 2023
NEWS

Were Impressionist Masters Painting a Polluted Reality?

I
    mpressionist painters of the 19th century
    were famous for capturing the vitality of a
    scene and the fleeting nature of light,
 rather than meticulously reproducing every
 detail in a composition. But a new study pre-
 sented at AGU’s Fall Meeting 2022 suggested
 that trends toward hazier contours and whiter
 palettes found in works by J. M. W. Turner and
 Claude Monet may, in fact, be accurate rep-
 resentations of optical effects associated with
 air pollution.
    The Impressionists (influenced by Turner
 and exemplified by Monet) were interested in
 contemporary scientific advances, and they
 often painted outdoors to capture the world
 in its true light. But their color palettes and
 painting techniques—visible brushstrokes
 with minimal representations of form—have
 been attributed largely to stylistic choice. The
 new research, led by Anna Lea Albright at
 the Laboratory of Dynamic Meteorology at
 Sorbonne University and École normale
 supérieure, suggested that Impressionists
 may have been more faithful to meteorolog-
 ical reality than previously assumed.
    The study focused on Turner and Monet,
 iconic artists who frequently painted serialized
 cityscapes in London and Paris, urban areas
 that experienced increasing air pollution
during the Industrial Revolution (­b it​. ly/​      Claude Monet was fascinated by the smog of ­turn-​­of-​­the-​­century London, an atmosphere reflected in his 1904
­Impressionism​-p  ­ ollution). “We don’t want to   painting of the Houses of Parliament. Credit: Musée d’Orsay
 say these artists were just instruments pas-
 sively recording their environment—that
 would diminish their obvious creative genius.
 The key idea is that change to the environment      analysis to assess the clarity and color pal-               same model found similar trends in paint-
 provided new creative impulses, new ways of         ettes in Turner’s and Monet’s paintings. The                ings of London and Paris by other artists,
 seeing,” said Albright, who did the research        researchers’ technique began by taking a                    including Camille Pissarro, James McNeill
 with Peter Huybers, a professor of Earth and       ­high-​­resolution photo of a painting and con-              Whistler, and Gustave Caillebotte.
 planetary sciences at Harvard University.           verting it into a matrix—essentially a set of                  “Turner was born in the Age of Sail, and he
                                                     numbers corresponding to different colors.                  died in the age of coal and steam,” said
London Becomes “the Big Smoke”                       They then used mathematical wavelet anal-                   Albright, who believes that industrialization
Albright and Huybers first estimated air pol-        ysis to determine how sharp the edges are                   influenced not only what Turner painted but
lution levels during the periods when Turner         between colors at different scales. Color                   also how he painted it. She said this influ-
and Monet were most active. Given that rou-          models helped determine the images’ “haz-                   ence is perhaps best illustrated in Rain,
tine air quality monitoring began only in the        iness.”                                                     Steam, and Speed (1844), a frenetic scene fea-
mid-20th century, the researchers used fuel             The researchers assessed 60 oil paintings                turing a train crossing a bridge in a golden
inventories as a proxy.                              by Turner spanning the years 1796–1850 and                  landscape, with a hare darting along the
   In Britain, the Industrial Revolution was         38 paintings by Monet dating from 1864 to                   track.
gathering steam by the 1830s. Sulfur dioxide         1901, after first calibrating the technique
(SO2 ) produced by burning coal was polluting        using photos of ­present-​­day cities in both               Monet, the Smog Seeker
the air, particularly in London, where concen-       clear and polluted conditions.                              Monet’s early paintings were traditionally
trations increased throughout the 19th cen-             As pollution levels rose, the styles of both             figurative. His style became increasingly
tury. In Paris, SO2 levels climbed only in the       artists evolved from more clearly demar-                    Impressionistic as the locations in which he
latter half of the 19th century, and peak levels     cated shapes toward blurrier edges and                      was painting became increasingly polluted.
were never as bad as those in London.                whiter color palettes. The trend was consis-                   Albright said Monet’s work, completed
   Pollution is known to affect visibility at        tent even after the researchers accounted for               generations after Turner, may actually rep-
street level, so Albright’s group used image         factors such as subject and time of day. The                resent an amplified version of real pollution

                                                                                                                            SCIENCE NEWS BY AGU // Eos.org              15
You can also read