RICARDO RANCH LANDS CALGARY, ALBERTA - Premier Residential Development Land Opportunity - JLL
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RICARDO RANCH LANDS - PREMIER RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT LAND OPPORTUNITY THE OPPORTUNITY Jones Lang LaSalle Real Estate Services, Inc. (“JLL”), through its Calgary office, is pleased to announce that it has listed for sale approximately 532 acres of premier residential development land, located in southeast Calgary (the “Property”). Located along the banks of the Bow River, the subject Property, as set forth in the Ricardo Ranch Area Structure Plan (the “ASP”), is to be developed into a future residential and commercial subdivision consistent in form and density with many of its currently built-out neighbours (e.g. Mahogany, Seton, Auburn Bay, and Copperfield). As Calgary’s dominant growth corridor, the southeast sector is largely built- out, with the remaining development capacity largely in the control of only a handful of developers. Adjacent to the Property are three of Calgary’s prominent Subject Property developers (Brookfield Residential, Genesis Development Corp. and Genstar For Sale Development Company) are planning for the next phases of development. If you wish to obtain more detailed Property information, please contact the Advisors. A JLL Box Account has been set up to provide additional property and Ricardo Ranch ASP planning details. PROPERTY SUMMARY LEGAL DESCRIPTION SITE AREA N.E1/4 SEC.10-22-29-4 1910908; 8; 1 1910908; 9; 1 1910908; 6; 1 75.07 Acres 1910908; 7; 1 19.94 Acres NE-10-22-29W4M 160.00 Acres 1910908; 6; 1 1910908; 7; 1 1910908; 8; 1 153.30 Acres 1910908; 9; 1 121.00 Acres Total: 532.31 Acres 2
RICARDO RANCH LANDS - PREMIER RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT LAND OPPORTUNITY INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS • The ASP is adopted by Bylaw and it secures the Property’s future as a typical residential neighbourhood development Ricardo Ranch represents a “best in class” opportunity for • Both developers to the west are planning to submit Land Use and Outline Plans in March of 2020; this should allow development by the spring 2021; new community development in Calgary. It also represents an • Given the Property’s adjacency to regional servicing infrastructure, development of the subject Property can commence in the timeline similar to the adjacent lands; opportunity to develop land with escarpment, mountain, and • The southeast sector is forecasted by The City of Calgary to secure 28% of residential demand (2018-2022); • With the majority of lands in the southeast already controlled by some of Calgary’s most prominent devel- river valley views, with access to parts of the Bow River Valley opers, there are almost no other options available to acquire land for large scale residential development; • The Property offers outstanding escarpment, mountain, and river valley views and direct access to what will not previously available for community use. be a continuation of the Bow River Regional Parks System; and • The land has been in continual agricultural use and there are no known environmental liabilities on the Property. LAND AREA LAND-USE TOPOGRAPHY COMMUNITY 532.31 Acres DESIGNATION Generally flat upland, with a prominent Ricardo Ranch S-FUD rolling esker and escarpement to the Bow River valley 4
RICARDO RANCH LANDS - PREMIER RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT LAND OPPORTUNITY South Health Campus Glenmore Reservoir 560 LOCATION HIGHLIGHTS Ricardo Ranch 30 mins to 40 mins to Calgary 2 Calgary, Alberta Downtown Calgary International Airport Stoney Trail SE Subject Property For Sale 10 mins to Future Green Line LRT Rapid transit access to Wide variety of retail Seton station at Seton Seton and Auburn Bay in close proximately SOUTH TRAIL CROSSING Ricardo Ranch ASP MCKENZIE TOWNE New Brighton MAHOGANY McKenzie Copperfield Towne SETON Mahogany Auburn 22X 201 Bay 178 Avenue SE Brookfield Residential YMCA at Seton 88 Street SE Seton South Health Campus Seton Library Brookfield Residential YMCA at Seton Soutzo Seton Library Seton Genstar Range West/ Irene Ghica Maurice Evans Development Soutzo Westcreek Deniau Paperny Developments Red Deer Lake Company Ma City Limits Danuta Evans ail cle Genstar Trafford/ Developments Brookfield Residential Range West/ Multiple Development Soutzo Westcreek Rose-Isabelle t Tr Properties Owners Company od Tarnowski rfoo Tra Soutzo Maurice Multiple Genesis Soutzo Soutzo Soutzo Paperny Owners Brookfield Development il Corp. Dee Residential SE Properties Soutzo Province of Alberta Genesis Development Subject Property Corp. City Limits For Sale 2A Ricardo Ranch ASP City Limits 2A
RICARDO RANCH LANDS - PREMIER RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT LAND OPPORTUNITY LOCATION HIGHLIGHTS The Ricardo Ranch Lands are located within the Ricardo Ranch Area Structure Plan - which is part of the Southeast Planning Area Regional Policy Plan and is directly contiguous to approved Land Use and Outline Plans and development in Seton and Rangeview. Area Structure Plan Source: C2109 - Ricardo Ranch Business Case Report 6
RICARDO RANCH LANDS - PREMIER RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT LAND OPPORTUNITY TRANSIT NETWORK PLANNING OVERVIEW RICARDO RANCH AREA STRUCTURE PLAN (ASP) • This Area Structure Plan which was approved in 2019, is the statutory policy plan that sets out the form of develop- ment to occur on all lands within the planning area, including the subject Property • The ASP directs that the form of development anticipated for the subject property is a typical “neighborhood area” consisting primarily of a mix of single family and low density multi-family development Subject Property • The Property supports two Neighborhood Activity Centres which are to include a wide range of mixed use and com- For Sale mercial land uses. LAND USE CONCEPT Source: City of Calgary, Ricardo Ranch Area Structure Plan Subject Property For Sale COMMUNITY AND NEIGHBOURHOODS Subject Property For Sale Source: City of Calgary, Ricardo Ranch Area Structure Plan 10
RICARDO RANCH LANDS - PREMIER RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT LAND OPPORTUNITY OWNERSHIP PROFILE GROWTH MANAGEMENT OVERLAY • The land owners in the planning area have been approved to submit, and are submitting, a comprehen- sive business case for removal of the Growth Management Overlay 178 Avenue SE • The Property is currently in the holding district of S-FUD (Special Purpose – Future Urban District) • This will require a change in the future in order to accommodate the range of residential and commer- Range Road 290 cial uses contemplated within the ASP 120 Street SE 88 Street SE Soutzo Genstar Range West/ Evans Development Deniau Soutzo Paperny Westcreek Developments Company 15 14 13 18 City Limits Danuta Evans Genstar Trafford/ Developments Brookfield Residential Range West/ Multiple Development Soutzo Properties Westcreek Rose-Isabelle Owners Company Tarnowski 178 Avenue SE rail Subject Property ot T Soutzo Multiple Paperny For Sale Range Road 290 Genesis 12 Owners Soutzo Soutzo Soutzo Development rfo 88 Street SE Brookfield 7 Residential Corp. Dee Properties 10 11 Genesis Soutzo Province of Alberta Development Corp. Subject Property 80 Street SE For Sale Source: City of Calgary, Ricardo Ranch Area Structure Plan Ricardo Ranch ASP ADJACENT OUTLINE PLANS City Limits Township Road 220 View looking southwest over a portion of the lower Plan Area. il Tra Genesis Soutzo ot Land Use/ Soutzo Soutzo Soutzo 12 rfo Outline Plan Brookfield March, 2020 Dee Land Use/ Outline Plan 10 11 March, 2020 Soutzo Province of Alberta Subject Property City Limits For Sale 80 Street SE Ricardo Ranch ASP City Limits 12
RICARDO RANCH LANDS - PREMIER RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT LAND OPPORTUNITY SERVICING OVERVIEW Map 15: Southeast sector vacant residential land supply by servicing status as of October 2017 The infrastructure shown on this map illustrates the requirements to service the entire Area Structure Plan. t EAST • 11 km, water feedermain, funded and I R Legend GLENMORE TR SE W under construction O Sector Boundary B Serviced (all leading City infrastructure in place) SECTION 23 • Trenchless crossing of Deerfoot Trail RIVERBEND (Fire, Transportation, Water, Sanitary, Storm Sewer) Partially Serviced SOUTH FOOTHILLS • Phase 1 connects at Cranston AV and ends just past 72 ST (Future 52 ST) (some leading infrastructure in place, but not all five) Needs Fire Needs Transportation • Services for Rangeview and Ricardo 24 ST SE Needs Water Resources Ranch developments CITY LIMITS (water, sanitary or storm) Unserviced (no leading infrastructure in place) SHEPARD INDUSTRIAL BARLOW T R SE • Future Phase 2: ties to Phase 1 end Subject To ASP Approval (Will Include Residential And CP RA ILW and connects to existing stub NE of Non Residential Uses) Future Water Feedermain AY ! Mahogany Future Storm Trunk DEER FO OT 114 AV SE • Services for WestCreek and Section D SE Future Sanitary Trunk TR SE EAST SHEPARD INDUSTRIAL 23 Developments ! Future Sanitary Lift Station DOUGLASDALE/ # Future Pressure Reduction GLENStation 52 ST SE " Future Reservoir B 68 ST SE STONEY TR SE O LANDFILL SOUTH SHEPARD ASP W ! Future Pump Station R I VE R SITE Future Skeletal Road Future Arterial Street Future Flyover " E ³ 13 0 AV SE L! Future Partial Interchange BO L! • 3.1 km, storm trunk, funded and W ¬ Future Full Interchange BO TT " E Emergency Response Station under construction O NEW M BRIGHTON TR Transportation Utility Corridor • Outfall to Bow River, trenchless SE SOUTH installation at escarpment F MCKENZIE MCKENZIE IS TOWNE LAKE COPPERFIELD • Services central and east side of H 52 C Rangeview and Rivardo Ranch R ST S E E K Communities E ORN E TR S E • Storm trunk to convey “clean” OF L UIS M AR Q stormwater • Alighments on future 52 ST and AUBURN BAY future 212 AV ARQUIS OF LORNE TR SE MAHOGANY CITY LIMITS BO W N BV SE STORMWATER MANAGEMENT RIV O SET ER RANGEVIEW CRANSTON ASP REMAINDER " E L! SETON T TR S E " E FO O ¬ ¬ 212 AV SE ER DE MA CL Pine Creek EO Wastewater IT S L IM D Treatment TY TR Plant I C SE W RIVER Subject Property BO CITY LIMITS For Sale Source: City of Calgary, Suburban Residential Growth 2019-2023 Source: City of Calgary, Ricardo Ranch Area Structure Plan Sector data findings and forecasts | Part 3 3-33 14
This compares to the previous five year, RICARDO RANCH whereLANDS - PREMIERsector the Southeast RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT LAND OPPORTUNITY attracted: MARKET 33% DEMAND SUPPLY MARKET DEMAND SUPPLY 32% of the total suburban of the suburban Total population Figure 9: Total Population 31% for Calgary (2008-2022) For Calgary (2008-2022) The Calgary Economic population growth, Region is estimated total units. to grow by an of multi-residential units. NEW SUBURBAN AREAS GROWTH FORECASTS 2019-2023 average of 18,740 people per year. This represents an average for 34,606 people. 1,350,000 annual growth rate of 1.2 per cent per year to 2022. 33% 1,322,800 of single/semi 1,300,000units. POPULATION 1,250,000 1,246,337 Forecast Population 1,200,000 The CER held a population of 1,563,000 in 2017 and is projected Actual 1,150,000 to increase by 93,700 people to 1,656,70011,146 units Calgary’s by 2022. 5,915 units 5,231 units population forecast for 2022 is 1,322,800 accounting for 80 per 1,100,000 cent of the region’s population, adding 76,700 people. 1,050,000 1,000,000 SOUTHEAST SECTOR Southeast SUMMARY: sector 2018-2022 forecasts: 2018-2022 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 Year Current estimates Current estimates are that,are overthat, theover nextthe fivenext five years theyears sec- Source: City of Calgary: Civic Census, Planning & Development, Calgary & Region Economic Outlook 2017-2026 Source: City of Calgary: Civic Census, Planning & Development, tor will attract: new suburban areas will attract: Calgary & Region Economic Outlook 2017-2022 27% 28% 28% of the total suburban of the total new of all the new population growth, housing units. multi-residential units for 18,479 people. 28% of new single/semi units 6,910 units 4,710 units 2,200 units Source: City of Calgary, Suburban Residential Growth 2019-2023 16
RICARDO RANCH LANDS - PREMIER RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT LAND OPPORTUNITY MARKET DEMAND SUPPLY FORECAST ESTIMATE TOTAL UNITS 2018-2022, CITY andOF newCALGARY suburban AND areas NEW SUBURBAN AREA Forecast estimate of totalunits 2018-2022, City of Calgary The Southeast sector has historically been the Year 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2018-2022 Yearly Average City-Wide Forecast (Total Units) (see Table 9) 4,400 4,100 5,900 8,000 9,600 32,000 6,400 fastest growing sector in the entire city with 32% Total Units - Forecast Estimates for Growth into New Suburban Communities Average Historical Average Forecast Share of the market share. Sector Share 2018-2022 5 year 3 year 2 year % Units % Units % Units % Units % Units % Units Hectares Acres NORTH 28% 26% 25% 28% 1,030 26% 900 26% 1,290 24% 1,440 24% 1,630 25% 6,290 278 687 NORTHEAST 21% 26% 30% 22% 830 23% 780 23% 1,140 23% 1,380 24% 1,590 23% 5,720 226 558 EAST 0% 0% 0% 0% 0 0% 10 0% 20 1% 60 1% 80 1% 170 9 22 SOUTHEAST 32% 26% 27% 28% 1,030 28% 970 29% 1,434 28% 1,660 27% 1,810 28% 6,904 300 741 SOUTH 15% 19% 14% 18% 670 18% 610 18% 870 19% 1,110 19% 1,260 18% 4,520 189 467 WEST 4% 4% 4% 4% 140 5% 190 4% 200 4% 240 5% 370 5% 1,140 80 198 NORTHWEST 0% 0% 0% 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0 0 TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 3,700 100% 3,460 100% 4,954 100% 5,890 100% 6,740 100% 24,744 1,082 2,673 Average number of total units and land needs to new suburban communities each year = 4,949 216 535 SHARE of city total units 60% 58% 57% 84% 84% 84% 74% 70% 77% of city wide total units NORTH Half of Calgary 48% 52% 55% 50% 1,860 49% 1,690 49% 2,450 49% 2,880 49% 3,300 49% 12,180 513 1,267 SOUTH Half of Calgary 52% 48% 45% 50% 1,840 51% 1,770 51% 2,504 51% 3,010 51% 3,440 51% 12,564 569 1,406 North Half of Calgary = North, Northeast, East, Northwest Sectors South Half of Calgary = Southeast, South and West Sectors Total units and land areas is based on a variety of developer anticipated units and/or densities from actual approved planned land supply using Tentative Plan and Outline Plan build out capacities and estimates of housing capacities from community plans or area structure plans. These capacities are from actual build out of these areas for each sector and reflect the five year 2017-2021 blue growth bands in the SRG report Map 5. The last five year average of total units going into the new suburbs has ranged between 54 and 67 per cent. Forecast over the next five year period uses 68 per cent with consideration of historical trends and expected projections. Note: the totals and shares shown are not intended to be targets for the City of Calgary. They represent likely growth given existing assumptions and conditions. Numbers may not add up due to rounding. Source: City of Calgary: Planning & Development, Calgary & Region Economic Outlook 2017-2026 18
OFFERING PROCESS The Property is being marketed for sale without a list price by way of a conventional marketing process with offers being considered as received. However, following the initiation of the marketing program the Advisor may set a Bid Date. Contact the Advisor for pricing guidance and details pertaining to a potential Bid Date. ALL INQUIRIES REGARDING THE PROPERTY SHOULD BE DIRECTED TO: JLL CAPITAL MARKETS KEN WESTHAVER RYAN MURPHY jll.ca I 403 456 2233 JLL Capital Markets, Calgary JLL Capital Markets, Calgary Bankers Hall East Senior Vice President Senior Sales Associate Suite 3900, 855 – 2nd Street SW (403) 456-2209 (403) 456-5582 Calgary, AB T2P 4J8 Ken.Westhaver@am.jll.com RyanJ.Murphy@am.jll.com DISCLAIMER © 2020 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. Information set out herein (the “Information”) has not been verified by Jones Lang LaSalle Real Estate Services, Inc., Brokerage and any and all of its real estate agents/staff, and to all other divisions of the company (collectively “JLL”). JLL does not represent, warrant or guarantee the accuracy, correctness and complete ness of the Information. Given the limitations of the investigations, inquiries and verification that JLL have undertaken, the reliability of this Information must be treated with a suitable degree of caution and neither JLL or any of their affiliates accept any liability or responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein and no reliance should be placed on the information contained in this document. JLL does not accept or assume any responsibility or liability, direct or consequential, for the Information or the recipient’s reliance upon the Information. The recipient of the Information should take such steps as the recipient may deem necessary to verify the Information prior to placing any reliance upon the Information. The Information may change and any property described in the Information may be withdrawn from the market at any time without notice or obligation to the recipient from JLL.
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