RETHINK - COVID-19: A BOON FOR THE DIGITAL ECONOMY? - ISB

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RETHINK - COVID-19: A BOON FOR THE DIGITAL ECONOMY? - ISB
Management

ReThink
December 2020 | Volume01 Issue01

                                        COVID-19: A Boon
                                        for the Digital
                                        Economy?
                           1 Management ReThink December 2020
RETHINK - COVID-19: A BOON FOR THE DIGITAL ECONOMY? - ISB
AMAN KUMAR,
                                                        Co-Founder, KalaGato -an
                                                        automated consumer and
                                                         market insights platform
                                                          focused on the internet

COVID-19: A Boon for the
Digital Economy?
COVID-19 gave a phenomenal fillip to our digital lives over
the last couple of months. According to an IAMAI-Nielsen
Report on Digital India, as of November 2019, the total number
of internet users in India stood at 504 million, out of which
433 million internet users were above the age of 12. Borne out
of necessity - it would not be an exaggeration to say that this
pandemic achieved a level of digital adoption in a matter of
months that would otherwise have taken a number of years.

T  he year 2020 will forever be characterised by COVID-19. Life as
   we knew it, came to a standstill ever since the first lockdown was
enforced on March 23 across the country. Confined to their homes,
those who could - took to the internet.

                   2 Management ReThink December 2020
RETHINK - COVID-19: A BOON FOR THE DIGITAL ECONOMY? - ISB
The Data Story

According to an IAMAI-Nielsen Report1 on Digital India, as of
November 2019, the total number of internet users in India stood at
504 million, out of which 433 million internet users were above the
age of 12.

The fillip to our digital lives has been phenomenal over the last couple
of months, courtesy COVID-19. It would not be incorrect to say that
this pandemic achieved digital growth and consumer adoption in a
few months that would otherwise have taken a number of years.

This can also be attributed to the fact that the fear of venturing out
and catching the virus still looms large in people’s minds. Subsequent
‘unlocks’ have made life slightly better, but in the absence of a vaccine,
people are still restricting themselves when it comes to moving freely
a la pre-pandemic. Although the latest visuals from New Delhi may
indicate otherwise.

    It may be too soon to call the present scenario a
    V-shaped economic recovery. While the data may
    indicate a return to pre-COVID levels, a significant
    portion of online shopping may be pent-up demand from
    previous quarters, so the next few quarters are critical.

Nielsen Digital in India 2019 Round 2 Report. IAMAI-Nielsen. Retrieved from
1

https://cms.iamai.in/Content/ResearchPapers/2286f4d7-424f-4bde-be88-6415fe5021d5.pdf

                            3 Management ReThink December 2020
age of 12.

         The fillip to our digital lives has been phenomenal over the last couple of months, courtesy COVID-19.
         It would not be incorrect to say that this pandemic achieved digital growth and consumer adoption in
         a few months that would otherwise have taken a number of years.

         This can also be attributed to the fact that the fear of venturing out and catching the virus still looms
         large in people's minds. Subsequent 'unlocks' have made life slightly better, but in the absence of a
                                                                                                                                                                                The Data Story
         vaccine, people are still restricting themselves when it comes to moving freely a la pre-pandemic.

         However, it may be too soon to call it a V-shaped economic recovery. While the data may indicate a
1. AN E-COM SLUMP AND RECOVERY?
         return to pre-COVID levels, a significant portion of online shopping may be pent-up demand from
         previous quarters, so the next few quarters are critical.

KalaGato,
       A wordan   automated
              of caution — these areconsumer         andIndiamarket
                                      online sales — and                   insights
                                                              is still not an out and outplatform,
                                                                                          e-commerce country.
       Even by the best estimates, only about 500 million people have internet access, leaving most of the
collected   and analysed consumer behaviour data from 5.5 million
       populace out of the digital economy.
smartphone users. The data collated revealed that the year began
       1. An E-comm Slump and Recovery?
on a happy note compared to 2019, but as soon as the lockdown was
       Kalagato, an automated audience profiling, segmentation and targeting platform, collected and
announced,     all e-metrics collapsed in terms of actual sales and usage.
       analysed consumer behaviour data from 5.5 million smartphone users. The data collated revealed
         that the year began on a happy note compared to 2019, but as soon as the lockdown was announced,
  Figure all
          1.1e-metrics collapsed in terms of actual sales and usage.

  Average    Monthly
     Figure 1.1             Spend
                – Average Monthly Spend Value
                                        Value (INR)(INR)     2019 vs.2020
                                                    2019 vs. 2020

                                           7,000
             Average Monthly Spend Value

                                           6,000
                                           5,000
                                           4,000
                                           3,000
                       (INR)

                                           2,000
                                           1,000
                                              -
                                                             January             February                  March                   April                 May                 June                     July
                                               2019            3,928                    3,967              4,586                  5,596                  5,141              4,034                 4,517
                                               2020            4,728                    3,194              2,602                  1,411                  5,004              6,084                 5,203

 Figure 1.2
 Tier-wise      Percentage
      Nielsen Digital
         1            in India 2019 Roundof  Internet
                                         2 Report.            Users
                                                   IAMAI-Nielsen. RetrievedShopping
                                                                           from     Online
         https://cms.iamai.in/Content/ResearchPapers/2286f4d7-424f-4bde-be88-6415fe5021d5.pdf

             16.00%
             14.00%
             12.00%
             10.00%
             8.00%
             6.00%
             4.00%
             2.00%
             0.00%
                                           Jan-19
                                                    Feb-19
                                                             Mar-19
                                                                      Apr-19
                                                                               May-19
                                                                                         Jun-19
                                                                                                  Jul-19
                                                                                                           Aug-19
                                                                                                                     Sep-19
                                                                                                                              Oct-19
                                                                                                                                       Nov-19
                                                                                                                                                Dec-19
                                                                                                                                                         Jan-20
                                                                                                                                                                  Feb-20
                                                                                                                                                                           Mar-20
                                                                                                                                                                                    Apr-20
                                                                                                                                                                                             May-20
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Jun-20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                Jul-20

                                                                                    Tier1                           Tier2                       Tier3 + Others

                                                                      4 Management ReThink December 2020
The Data Story

 Figure 1.3

 Change in Percentage of Internet Users Shopping Online

    YoY Change in % of Internet Users Shopping online
     Month               Tier 1             Tier 2         Tier 3 + Others
     Jan-20              2.25%              1.02%              0.65%
     Feb-20              -1.64%             -2.46%             -3.43%
     Mar-20              -4.25%             -5.19%             -6.75%
     Apr-20              -7.51%             -8.26%             -8.37%
     May-20              -6.14%             -6.05%             -6.61%
     Jun-20              -3.29%             -3.87%             -3.32%
      Jul-20             0.16%              -0.56%             0.10%

With lockdown in place, no deliveries other than essentials were being
made. That perhaps explains the crash which hit all e-commerce
players during the months of March-April. As Unlock 1.0 began, starting
May 17, the situation started to improve with authorities allowing
the sale of non-essential items in designated ‘Green Zones,’ and
thus, unleashed some pent-up demand as is seen in Figure 1.3 above.
With shopping arcades opening up in July end, the only option was
to shop online. It was literally the only market people had access to.

The data we collated brought out an interesting facet of the growing
online adoption. COVID-19 merely acted as a “stumbling block” as
the increase in e-commerce usage was already taking place. As the
infographic reflects that, while tier-one and tier-three cities have
recovered, tier-two cities are taking longer. Interestingly, a large part of

                     5 Management ReThink December 2020
The Data Story

digital consumption and growth comes from both tier-two and tier-
three cities in India.

However, it may be too soon to call it a V-shaped economic recovery.
While the data may indicate a return to pre-COVID levels, a significant
portion of online shopping is pent-up demand from previous quarters,
so the next few quarters are critical.

A word of caution — these are online sales — and India is still not
an out and out e-commerce country. Even by the best estimates, only
about 500 million people have internet access, leaving most of the
populace out of the digital economy.

                    6 Management ReThink December 2020
The Data Story

2. ONLINE FASHION NOT FASHIONABLE ANYMORE?
One of the most vibrant segments, online fashion, has been a booming
space. India’s youth is brimming with rising aspirations; it also
forms the largest chunk of its population. As per a report2 by RedSeer
Consulting, in 2019, while India’s fashion market was growing at
a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 11 percent, the online
fashion segment was growing faster at a CAGR of 32 percent.

The fashion ECommerce industry was looking at another bumper year
until the pandemic normalised ‘Work from Home’ (WFH) and blew
social engagements out of the water. Consequently, business suits,
trousers, crisp collared shirts were replaced by shorts, workout tights
and t-shirts. Afterall, who wears a tie for a Zoom meeting? Even festive
and   wedding
   Things      season
          seemed   to besales  wereoutmuted
                         well laid     for thegiven  a rather
                                                fashion        empty
                                                        industry       social
                                                                 until the pandemic normal
   from Home (WFH). Consequently, business suits, trousers, crisp collared shirts were
calendar.
     shorts, workout tights and t-shirts, or 'athleisure.' Afterall, who wears a tie for a Zoom m
    Figure 2.1

    Reach    byDaily
     Figure 2.1 AppReach
                     Install forInstall
                         by App  Fashion      E-Commerce
                                        for E-Commerce FashionSector
                                                               Sector

                              Daily Reach (by app install)
       25.000%
       20.000%
       15.000%
       10.000%
        5.000%
        0.000%
             1/6/2020 2/17/2020 3/30/2020 5/11/2020 6/22/2020 8/3/2020

                 Ajio         Club Factory           Myntra            SHEIN           Zara

2   Figure
 Online      2.2Market
        Fashion  Totalin Session     Time2019.
                          India. November  perRedSeer.
                                                day for    E-Commerce
                                                       Retrieved              Fashion Sector
                                                                 from https://redseer.com/newsletters/
online-fashion-market-in-india/

                        Total Session Time (minutes per day)
                             7 Management ReThink December 2020
       16.00
20.000%
   20.000%
   15.000%
   15.000%
   10.000%
   10.000%
    5.000%
    5.000%
    0.000%                                                   The Data Story
         1/6/2020 2/17/2020 3/30/2020 5/11/2020 6/22/2020 8/3/2020
    0.000%
         1/6/2020 2/17/2020 3/30/2020 5/11/2020 6/22/2020 8/3/2020
            Ajio      Club Factory     Myntra       SHEIN      Zara
Figure 2.2    Ajio        Club Factory     Myntra        SHEIN        Zara

Total
 FigureSession    Time per
        2.2 Total Session Timeday
                               perfor
                                   day Fashion  E-Commerce
                                       for E-Commerce           Sector
                                                      Fashion Sector
 Figure 2.2 Total Session Time per day for E-Commerce Fashion Sector
                     Total Session Time (minutes per day)
   16.00             Total Session Time (minutes per day)
   16.00
   14.00
   14.00
   12.00
   12.00
   10.00
   10.00
    8.00
    8.00
    6.00
    6.00
    4.00
    4.00
    2.00
    0.00
    2.00
    0.001/6/2020     2/17/2020 3/30/2020 5/11/2020 6/22/2020     8/3/2020
       1/6/2020 2/17/2020 3/30/2020 5/11/2020 6/22/2020 8/3/2020
             Ajio     Club Factory    Myntra      SHEIN      Zara
              Ajio        Club Factory     Myntra        SHEIN        Zara

  Figure
Figure 2.32.3 Daily
                Active Users for E-Commerce Fashion Sector
Daily
 FigureActive
       2.3 DailyUsers   for Fashion
                Active Users          E-Commerce
                             for E-Commerce            Sector
                                            Fashion Sector
                   Daily Active Users (% of internet users)
   25.00%          Daily Active Users (% of internet users)
   25.00%
   20.00%
   20.00%
   15.00%
   15.00%
   10.00%
   10.00%
    5.00%
    5.00%
    0.00%
    0.00%1/6/2020 2/17/2020 3/30/2020 5/11/2020 6/22/2020 8/3/2020
           1/6/2020
               Ajio 2/17/2020   3/30/2020 5/11/2020
                         Club Factory      Myntra 6/22/2020
                                                      SHEIN 8/3/2020
                                                                 Zara
              Ajio        Club Factory     Myntra        SHEIN        Zara

                        8 Management ReThink December 2020
The Data Story

Consequently, online fashion           to resurrect
retailers who were doing well          themselves
in January and February saw            mainly due
demand dip in March and April.         to the Indian
The lockdown taught consumers          government’s
to live with less and reprioritise     ban on Chinese applications
spending. This, despite the fact       owing to the Indo-China
that many fashion retailers are        territorial dispute. The DAU of
allowing customers to shop             the two retailers fell from around
online, delivering products from       12-14% in early June to mere
the nearest store, some are even       single digits in less than a month
booking potential buyers in            following the announcement of
separate slots for store visits.       the ban on June 29.
The Figure 2.3 above shows that        With many online fashion retail-
going by the Daily Active Users        ers launching new collections
(DAU),    online    e-commerce         ahead of the upcoming festive
fashion platforms Ajio and             season and offering deep dis-
Myntra have recovered from             counts to clear aging inventories,
the slump in demand due to             the sector is pinning its hopes on
coronavirus and the subsequent         the festive spirit for a revival in
lockdown. However, Club Factory
                                       demand.
and SHEIN have not been able

                    9 Management ReThink December 2020
The Data Story

3. SELF-CARE IS SELF-LOVE
For many people, COVID-19 gave self-care a major push. In an earlier
‘normal’ - we spent countless hours shuttling between home and of-
fice, and self-care took a back seat. The lockdown has also given people
an opportunity to refocus on themselves and create a change in pace.
 Figure 3.1

 Reach by App Install for Health and Beauty Sector
         Figure 3.1 Reach by App Install for Health and Beauty Sector
                                     Reach
         Figure 3.1 Reach by App Install      (by app
                                         for Health andinstall)
                                                        Beauty Sector
          4.000%

          3.500%
                                              Reach (by app install)
          4.000%
          3.000%
          3.500%
          2.500%
          3.000%
          2.000%
          2.500%
          1.500%
          2.000%
          1.000%
          1.500%
          0.500%
          1.000%
          0.000%
          0.500%1/6/2020      2/17/2020          3/30/2020           5/11/2020      6/22/2020    8/3/2020

          0.000%                        HealthKart       Nykaa            Purplle     1MG
                1/6/2020      2/17/2020        3/30/2020             5/11/2020      6/22/2020    8/3/2020

                                          HealthKart         Nykaa        Purplle    1MG
 Figure 3.2
         Figure 3.2 Daily Active Users for Health and Beauty Sector
 Daily Figure
       Active        UsersDaily
              3.2 Daily Active
                                 for
                                 Active
                               Users
                                         Health
                                         Users and
                                     for Health (% ofand    Beauty Sector
                                                      internet
                                                   Beauty Sectorusers)
          25.00%
                              Daily Active Users (% of internet users)
          25.00%
          20.00%

          20.00%
          15.00%

          15.00%
          10.00%

          10.00%
           5.00%

              5.00%
              0.00%
                   1/6/2020   2/17/2020          3/30/2020           5/11/2020      6/22/2020    8/3/2020

              0.00%                       HealthKart       Nykaa          Purplle     1MG
                   1/6/2020   2/17/2020          3/30/2020           5/11/2020      6/22/2020    8/3/2020

                                          HealthKart         Nykaa        Purplle    1MG

                              10 Management ReThink December 2020
The Data Story

 Figure 3.3

 Total Session Time for Health and Beauty Sector
         Figure 3.3 Total Session Time for Health and Beauty Sector
                             Total Session Time (minutes per day)
          14.00

          12.00

          10.00

              8.00

              6.00

              4.00

              2.00

              0.00
                 1/6/2020   2/17/2020      3/30/2020           5/11/2020       6/22/2020    8/3/2020

                                    HealthKart         Nykaa         Purplle      1MG

The beauty and health segment picked up post-
May after a slump in March-April. Fear and concern
drove people to invest in one’s health and order
products such as masks, sanitisers, disinfectants,
immunity booster packs to herbal concoctions far
more than ordering beauty products and cosmetics. Thus, the daily
active users of beauty retailers like Purplle and Nykaa saw a bigger
slump as compared to online pharmacies like 1MG and HealthKart.

It is surprising to see the recovery and growth in usage of platforms
like Purplle and Nykaa, which are primarily focused on the beauty
products category at a time when social and professional engagements
are at an all-time low.

                             11 Management ReThink December 2020
The Data Story

This space has seen considerable and steady growth over the last three
months. With the pandemic changing lifestyles and consumer focus
turning towards inner well-being, spending on preventive consumer
health care and do-it-yourself beauty products is likely to continue in
the future.

4. LOVE IN THE TIME OF CORONA
We live in the “Swipe Right” era when it comes to matchmaking or
finding love. Online platforms such as Tinder, Bumble, OkCupid and
    4. promise
Aisle   Love in the
                  totime
                     makeof Corona
                             finding companionship a bit easier.
    We are living in the "Swipe Right" era when it comes to matchmaking or finding a date. Online
    platforms such as Tinder, Bumble, OkCupid and Aisle promise to make finding companionship a bit
 Figure 4.1
    easier.
 Reach by App Install for Matchmaking-Dating Sector
   Figure 4.1 Daily Reach by App Install for Matchmaking-Dating Sector

                                Daily Reach (by app install)
     1.500%

     1.000%

     0.500%

     0.000%
          1/6/2020   2/17/2020      3/30/2020   5/11/2020    6/22/2020     8/3/2020

                        Aisle         Bumble       OkCupid        Tinder

   Figure 4.2 Daily Active Users for Matchmaking-Dating Sector

                     Daily Active Users (% of internet users)
     40.00%

     30.00%

     20.00%

     10.00%            12 Management ReThink December 2020

      0.00%
1.000%

      0.500%

      0.000%
           1/6/2020     2/17/2020    3/30/2020    5/11/2020            The8/3/2020
                                                                6/22/2020   Data Story
                           Aisle       Bumble         OkCupid         Tinder
 Figure 4.2

 Daily
  Figure Active     Users
         4.2 Daily Active Usersfor  Matchmaking-Dating
                                for Matchmaking-Dating Sector Sector
                        Daily Active Users (% of internet users)
      40.00%

      30.00%

      20.00%

      10.00%

       0.00%
           1/6/2020    2/17/2020    3/30/2020    5/11/2020      6/22/2020      8/3/2020

                           Aisle       Bumble        OkCupid         Tinder

   Figure
 Figure 4.34.3 Total Session Time per day for Matchmaking-Dating Sector
 Total Session Time per day for Matchmaking-Dating Sector
                          Total Session Time (minutes per day)
      14.00
      12.00
      10.00
       8.00
       6.00
       4.00
       2.00
       0.00
          1/6/2020    2/17/2020     3/30/2020    5/11/2020      6/22/2020      8/3/2020

                           Aisle       Bumble         OkCupid        Tinder

    However,
However,    likelikemany
                     manyrelationships,
                            relationships, this segment
                                             this         has also
                                                    segment     hasseen
                                                                      alsosome volatility. These apps witnessed a
    decline in their reach by May-June after getting fairly decent "engagements" amongst users at the
seenstart
       some   volatility.
          of this            These
                   year. While       appsand
                                 Bumble     witnessed     a decline
                                              OkCupid crashed           in 50 percent, Aisle seemed to be the
                                                                    by almost
theirpreferred
       reach bychoice
                  May-June      after getting
                        as it remained         fairly
                                         close to      decent “engage-
                                                  its pre-COVID    levels of usage.
ment” amongst users at the start of this year. While Bumble
    5. For the Love of Food: From Dalgona Coffee to Handmade Pizzas
and OkCupid crashed by almost 50 percent, Aisle seemed
to beDuring
       the preferred
            lockdown,choice      as it remained
                         social media   influencersclose   to its
                                                      of every  ilkpre-COVID     levels ofChefs."
                                                                    turned into "Master    usage.With restaurants
    and hotels closed across the country, food delivery platforms struggled to serve users. From a heady
    start in January, this segment witnessed its lowest point in April. Naturally so, popular online food
    ordering apps such as Zomato, Swiggy and Dominos did not have "foodful" encounters with their
    users.                 13 Management ReThink December 2020
10.00
      8.00
      6.00
      4.00
      2.00                                                             The Data Story
      0.00
         1/6/2020     2/17/2020    3/30/2020      5/11/2020      6/22/2020    8/3/2020

5. FOR THE LOVEAisle
                 OF FOOD:
                      Bumble
                             FROM   DALGONA
                                OkCupid Tinder

   COFFEE TO HANDMADE PIZZAS
    However, like many relationships, this segment has also seen some volatility. These apps witnesse
During    lockdown,
    decline              social
             in their reach      media influencers
                             by May-June                  of every
                                          after getting fairly decentilk  turned intoamongst users at
                                                                      "engagements"
    start of
“Master      this year.
           Chefs.”      While
                     With      Bumble andand
                            restaurants    OkCupid   crashed
                                                hotels  closed by across
                                                                  almost 50 percent,
                                                                          the        Aisle seemed to be
                                                                              country,
    preferred choice as it remained close to its pre-COVID levels of usage.
food delivery platforms struggled to serve users. From a heady start
    5. For thethis
in January,       Lovesegment
                       of Food: From  Dalgonaits
                                 witnessed     Coffee  to Handmade
                                                  lowest    point inPizzas
                                                                       April. Popular
online   food ordering apps such as Zomato, Swiggy and Dominos were
    During lockdown, social media influencers of every ilk turned into "Master Chefs." With restaura
notand
     exactly
         hotelshaving    ‘foodful’
                 closed across     encounters
                               the country,       with users.
                                            food delivery platforms struggled to serve users. From a he
   start in January, this segment witnessed its lowest point in April. Naturally so, popular online fo
   ordering apps such as Zomato, Swiggy and Dominos did not have "foodful" encounters with th
   users.
 Figure 5.1

 Reach     by App Install for Food Sector
  Figure 5.1 Daily Reach by App Install for Food Sector

                            Daily Reach (by app install)
     30.000%
     25.000%
     20.000%
     15.000%
     10.000%
      5.000%
      0.000%
           1/6/2020    2/17/2020   3/30/2020    5/11/2020     6/22/2020   8/3/2020

                             Dominos           Swiggy         Zomato

    Figure 5.2 Daily Active Users for Food Sector

                         14 Management ReThink December 2020
The Data Story

Figure 5.2

Daily Active Users for Food Sector

                      Daily Active Users (% of internet users)
   12.00%
   10.00%
    8.00%
                      Daily Active Users (% of internet users)
    6.00%
   12.00%
    4.00%
   10.00%
    2.00%
    8.00%
    0.00%
    6.00%
        1/6/2020     2/17/2020      3/30/2020    5/11/2020    6/22/2020     8/3/2020
    4.00%
                                 Dominos        Swiggy       Zomato
    2.00%
    0.00%
 Figure 1/6/2020
        5.3 Total Session Time per
                    2/17/2020      day for Food
                                3/30/2020        Sector
                                             5/11/2020        6/22/2020     8/3/2020

Figure 5.3                       Dominos        Swiggy       Zomato
                        Total Session Time (minutes per day)
Total
  8.00
       Session Time per day for Food Sector
 Figure 5.3 Total Session Time per day for Food Sector
   6.00

   4.00                 Total Session Time (minutes per day)
   8.00
   2.00
   6.00
   0.00
   4.001/6/2020    2/17/2020      3/30/2020     5/11/2020    6/22/2020      8/3/2020

   2.00                          Dominos        Swiggy       Zomato

   0.00
 In a 1/6/2020
       cruel and capital    hungry3/30/2020
                    2/17/2020       world – some    of these food
                                                 5/11/2020          delivery platforms
                                                               6/22/2020      8/3/2020 came up with grocery
 delivery options to retainDominos users by introducing
                                                Swiggy
                                                            the   Zomato Market and the 'Swiggy Store.'
                                                              Zomato
 Simultaneously, several big-ticket FMCG companies, including ITC, Vishal Retail, etc. partnered with
 the food delivery platforms to ensure the delivery of groceries, packaged food items and cooking
 ingredients
 In a cruel andto the  last hungry
                   capital  household  in the
                                    world     lane. of these food delivery platforms came up with grocery
                                           – some
 delivery options to retain users by introducing the Zomato Market and the 'Swiggy Store.'
 It was only May onwards
 Simultaneously,              that food FMCG
                     several big-ticket  aggregators  were back
                                                companies,        in business.
                                                             including          EvenRetail,
                                                                        ITC, Vishal  then hotel  and restaurant
                                                                                            etc. partnered with
 businesses   were grappling
 the food delivery     platformswith
                                  to aensure
                                       gamuttheof problems   such
                                                   delivery of     as staff packaged
                                                                groceries,  shortages food
                                                                                      (workers   moved
                                                                                             items      back to
                                                                                                   and cooking
 villages),
 ingredientsfractured   supply
               to the last     chains, in
                            household  and  a lack
                                          the lane.of consumer confidence.

 To  meet
 It was  onlythese
               May challenges,
                    onwards thatfood
                                  foodaggregators
                                        aggregatorshave
                                                      werehad
                                                           backtoinreimagine   operations
                                                                    business. Even         making
                                                                                     then hotel and safety  and
                                                                                                     restaurant
 hygiene   coupled   with
 businesses were grappling contact-less delivery
                               with a gamut
                          15 Management          a  permanent
                                              of problems
                                          ReThink           such
                                                     December
                                                                offering.
                                                              2020
                                                                            Dine-in restaurants  are  displaying
                                                                  as staff shortages (workers moved back to
 agility in transitioning
 villages),               to delivery
            fractured supply  chains, and
                                      and online  food
                                           a lack of    deliveryconfidence.
                                                     consumer    platforms. The sector's recovery trends are
 strong and likely to bounce back to the pre-pandemic levels in the coming months.
The Data Story

In a cruel and capital hungry          platforms to ensure the delivery
world – some of these food             of groceries, packaged food items
delivery platforms came up             and cooking ingredients to the
with grocery delivery options to       last household.
retain users by introducing the
                                       It was only May onwards that
‘Zomato Market’ and the ‘Swiggy
                                       food aggregators got back in
Store.’ Simultaneously, several
                                       business. Even then hotel and
big-ticket FMCG companies,
                                       restaurant businesses were grap-
including ITC, Vishal Retail, etc.
                                       pling with a gamut of problems
partnered with the food delivery
                                       such as staff shortages (workers
                                       moved back to villages), frac-
                                       tured supply chains, and a lack of
                                       consumer confidence.

                                       To meet these challenges, food
                                       aggregators and restaurant own-
                                       ers have had to reimagine opera-
                                       tions making safety and hygiene
                                       coupled with contact-less deliv-
                                       ery a permanent offering. Dine-
                                       in restaurants are displaying
                                       agility in transitioning to deliv-
                                       ery. The sector’s recovery trends
                                       are strong and likely to bounce
                                       back to the pre-pandemic levels
                                       in the coming months.

                    16 Management ReThink December 2020
The Data Story

6. KEEP CALM AND NETFLIX ON:
The lockdown brought cities to a grinding halt. Stuck at home,
streaming services like Netflix and Amazon Prime – providers of ‘Over
the Top (OTT)’ content thrived. It was one of the few segments that
saw a major upswing in subscribers during the peak pandemic period.
 Figure 6.1

 Reach by App Install for Video-OTT Sector
                              Daily Reach (by app install)
       60.000%                 Daily Reach (by app install)
       50.000%
       60.000%
       40.000%
       50.000%
       30.000%
       40.000%
       20.000%
       30.000%
       10.000%
       20.000%
        0.000%
       10.000%
             1/6/2020 2/17/2020 3/30/2020 5/11/2020 6/22/2020            8/3/2020
        0.000%
              1/6/2020
                  Amazon 2/17/2020
                         Prime Video 3/30/2020   5/11/2020 MX6/22/2020
                                            HotStar           Player     8/3/2020
                                                                           Netflix

                  Amazon Prime Video        HotStar        MX Player        Netflix
 FigureFigure
         6.2 6.2 Daily Active Users for Video-OTT Sector

 Daily Active
    Figure 6.2 DailyUsers    forforVideo-OTT
                     Active Users                  Sector
                                    Video-OTT Sector
                       Daily Active Users (% of internet users)
       50.00%           Daily Active Users (% of internet users)
       50.00%
       40.00%

       40.00%
       30.00%

       30.00%
       20.00%

       20.00%
       10.00%

        10.00%
         0.00%
             1/6/2020   2/17/2020 3/30/2020 5/11/2020 6/22/2020          8/3/2020
         0.00%
              1/6/2020
                   Amazon2/17/2020
                          Prime Video 3/30/2020  5/11/2020 MX6/22/2020
                                             HotStar           Player    8/3/2020
                                                                           Netflix

                  Amazon Prime Video        HotStar        MX Player        Netflix
      Figure 6.3 Total Session Time per day for Video-OTT Sector
      Figure 6.3 Total Session Time per day for Video-OTT Sector
                        Total Session Time (minutes per day)
       100.00             17 Management
                         Total           ReThink
                               Session Time      December
                                             (minutes per2020
                                                          day)
        100.00
         80.00
50.00%

        40.00%

        30.00%

        20.00%

        10.00%
                                                                            The Data Story
         0.00%
             1/6/2020   2/17/2020      3/30/2020   5/11/2020    6/22/2020    8/3/2020

 Figure 6.3       Amazon Prime Video          HotStar          MX Player       Netflix

 Total Session Time per day for Video-OTT Sector
       Figure 6.3 Total Session Time per day for Video-OTT Sector

                        Total Session Time (minutes per day)
        100.00

         80.00

         60.00

         40.00

         20.00

          0.00
             1/6/2020   2/17/2020   3/30/2020      5/11/2020    6/22/2020    8/3/2020

                  Amazon Prime Video          HotStar          MX Player       Netflix

     OTT platforms have been keeping us hooked with tailor-made content for every age group. Per our
     data, an average Netflix user spent about 48-79 minutes a day (peaking at 80 minutes a day) while a
     Hotstar Premium
OTT platforms    haveconsumer     spent about
                       been keeping           38 minutes,
                                          us hooked   withandtailor-made
                                                              the lesser popular platform MXPlayer also
                                                                             content
     had an average user spending about 47 minutes watching its content.
for every age group. Per our data, an average Netflix user spent as
much as an hour a day (peaking at 80 minutes) while a Hotstar
user spent about 38 minutes and the upstart platform MXPlayer
(owned by Times Internet) also saw an average user spending about 47
minutes watching its content.

However, as cities unlocked, the comforts of
working from home gradually receded. The
authorities allowed workspaces to open with a
skeletal staff and return to some normalcy. This
has had a direct impact on the total amount of
time spent on OTT platforms.

                         18 Management ReThink December 2020
The Data Story

7. ‘ZOOM-ING’ INTO HOUSE PARTY:
      However, as cities unlocked, the comforts of working from home gradually receded. The authorities
      allowed workspaces to open with a skeletal staff and return to some normalcy. This has had a direct
If COVID-19
      impact
                forced
             on as
                thecities
                            us to practice
                     totalunlocked,
                           amount ofthe
                                     time
                                                 social
                                          spent on
                                                           distancing, video calling
      However,                          comforts of OTT platforms.
                                                    working  from home gradually receded. The authorities
platforms  such    as   Zoom,    Microsoft     Teams,     Houseparty,     et al. brought
      allowed workspaces to open with a skeletal staff and return to some normalcy.  This has had a direct
      7.  Zooming  into  House  Party:
      impact on the total amount of time spent on OTT platforms.
us closer. Till very recently, the popularity of online meetings was still
nascent
      If in India.
      7.COVID-19
          Zooming   However,
                 forced
                  into            WFH
                        us to practice
                       House  Party:       quickly
                                       socially        changed
                                                distancing,         old platforms
                                                            video calling habits. such as Zoom, Microsoft
       Teams, Houseparty, et al. brought us closer. Till very recently, the popularity of online meetings was
 Figurestill
       If7.1 nascent forced
          COVID-19   in India.usHowever,  WFH
                                 to practice     quickly
                                             socially    changed video
                                                      distancing, old habits.
                                                                        calling platforms such as Zoom, Microsoft
       Teams, Houseparty, et al. brought us closer. Till very recently, the popularity of online meetings was
 Reach Figure by
               7.1App
                   Daily
       still nascent       Install
                         Reach
                     in India.   by Appfor
                                However,  WFHVideo-Calling
                                         Install for Video-Calling
                                                 quickly           Sector
                                                         changed old     Sector
                                                                      habits.

        Figure 7.1 Daily Reach byDaily Reachfor(by
                                 App Install       app install)Sector
                                                 Video-Calling
         25.000%
                                  Daily Reach (by app install)
         20.000%
         25.000%
         15.000%
         20.000%
         10.000%
         15.000%
          5.000%
         10.000%
          0.000%
          5.000%1/6/2020   2/17/2020   3/30/2020    5/11/2020      6/22/2020      8/3/2020

          0.000%           Hangouts       House Party        Skype         Zoom
               1/6/2020    2/17/2020   3/30/2020    5/11/2020    6/22/2020    8/3/2020

                           Hangouts       House Party       Skype              Zoom
       Figure 7.2 Daily Active Users for Video-Calling Sector
 Figure 7.2

 DailyFigure
         Active
             7.2 DailyUsers
                        Daily
                      Active   forforVideo-Calling
                               Active
                             Users    Users (% of internet
                                      Video-Calling         Sector
                                                    Sector users)
         45.00%
         40.00%            Daily Active Users (% of internet users)
         35.00%
         45.00%
         30.00%
         40.00%
         25.00%
         35.00%
         20.00%
         30.00%
         15.00%
         25.00%
         10.00%
         20.00%
          5.00%
         15.00%
          0.00%
         10.00%
              1/6/2020     2/17/2020   3/30/2020    5/11/2020      6/22/2020      8/3/2020
          5.00%
          0.00%            Hangouts        House Party        Skype        Zoom
              1/6/2020     2/17/2020   3/30/2020    5/11/2020    6/22/2020    8/3/2020

                           Hangouts        House Party          Skype          Zoom
        Figure 7.3 Total Session Time per day for Video-Calling Sector

        Figure 7.3 Total Session Time per day for Video-Calling Sector

                           19 Management ReThink December 2020
The Data Story

    Figure 7.3

    Total Session Time per day for Video-Calling Sector

                           Total Session Time (minutes per day)
        60.00

        50.00

        40.00

        30.00

        20.00

        10.00

         0.00
            1/6/2020   2/17/2020     3/30/2020    5/11/2020      6/22/2020      8/3/2020

                         Hangouts         House Party         Skype          Zoom

   Globally, video conferencing software saw a massive surge in new downloads. As per a report by
   Research and Markets on the videoconferencing industry3, video conferencing apps saw a record of
Globally,
   62 million video
              downloadsconferencing
                        globally in March. ning of the
software saw a massive surge in                   year, but the
    HouseParty witnessed a significant 3growth spurt in the beginning of the year, but the euphoria
newdeclined
      downloads.       As per a report
             as its Daily Active Usage has fallen euphoria
                                                    from a peakde-
                                                                of 38.5% at the end of March 2020 to just
by Research and Markets on the
    under 3%  as of mid-August   2020. Similarly, clined as its Hangouts (probably due to its bundling
                                                  Skype and Google
    with Gmail) also went down in terms of reach over the past few months.
videoconferencing industry, vid-                  Daily Active
eo conferencing apps saw a re-
    The lockdown's    beneficiary seems  to  be Zoom,
                                                  Usage which is now the preferred choice for most office
                                                          has fallen from a peak of
    meetings and even social events - including both weddings and funerals. Sample this - the total time
cordspent
       of on
           62Zoom
                million      downloads
                     exponentially grew from 2138.5%     atinthe
                                                   minutes        endtoofabout
                                                              January       March      2020 in July. Zoom's
                                                                                 46 minutes
globally
    almostin March.
           around   2.2X growth in session time since the beginning of this year is indicative of its adoption.
                                                  to just under three percent as
  As the economy has opened up, we have seen some decline in Zoom's usage. But even as we return
House  Party
  to offices – I witnessed
                 think we mighta find that manyof
                                  signif-         mid-August
                                                meetings          2020.
                                                         which were       Similarly,
                                                                    previously done in person are now
  conducted online.
icant growth spurt in the begin-                    Skype and Google Hangouts
      Unintended Consequences

      An accidental by-product of the lockdown is that digital adoption has increased multi-fold in India.
3
 VideoWhile  the rideCOVID-19.
       Conferencing:  ahead may    not be
                               Research andsmooth
                                            Markets. – the seeds
                                                     Retrieved fromsown   today will reap an exponential harvest for
                                                                    https://www.researchandmarkets.
      consumer internet companies in the years to come. People were forced to learn new ways of
com/issues/video-conferencing-demand-rises?utm_source=dynamic&utm_medium=BW&utm_code=lx-
      conducting businesses, procuring essentials, and finding entertainment. In the coming few years, we
dphx&utm_campaign=1387029+-+COVID-19+Outbreak%3a+Video+Conferencing+Demand+Rises+-
due+to+Social-Distancing&utm_exec=joca220bwd
      will witness the effects of this exponentially larger digital user base across every sector.

                            20 Management ReThink December 2020
The Data Story

(probably due to its bundling with Gmail) also went down in terms of
reach over the past few months.

The beneficiary of the lockdown has been Zoom, which is now the
preferred choice for most office meetings and even social events - in-
cluding both weddings and funerals. Sample this - the total time
spent on Zoom exponentially grew from 21 minutes in January
to about 46 minutes in July. Zoom’s almost around 2.2X growth in
session time since the beginning of this year is indicative of its adop-
tion. As the economy has opened up, we have seen some decline in
Zoom’s usage. But even as we return to offices – I think we might find
that many meetings which were previously done in person will now
be conducted online.

  UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES
  An accidental by-product of the lockdown is that digital
  adoption has increased multi-fold in India. While the ride ahead
  may not be smooth – the seeds sown today will reap an exponential
  harvest for consumer internet companies in the years to come.
  People were forced to learn new ways of conducting businesses,
  procuring essentials, and finding entertainment. In the coming
  few years, we should witness the effects of this exponentially
  larger digital user base across every sector.

                    21 Management ReThink December 2020
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