Responsible sourcing: Views from Mars and the chalk face. Mike Berners-Lee - BSI Shop

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Responsible sourcing: Views from Mars and the chalk face. Mike Berners-Lee - BSI Shop
Responsible sourcing:
Views from Mars and the chalk face.

               Mike Berners-Lee

                            An Associate Company of
                              Lancaster University
Responsible sourcing: Views from Mars and the chalk face. Mike Berners-Lee - BSI Shop
Very quick background
                                           Books

  A sustainability consultancy largely
    focussed largely on supply chains
BT, Booths, Taylor Wimpey, lots of SMEs
     in many industries, public sector,
   Lancaster University, Eden Project,
Science Museum, Guardian, community Research
                projects ...
Responsible sourcing: Views from Mars and the chalk face. Mike Berners-Lee - BSI Shop
Types of impact
Direct                     Indirect
Responsible sourcing: Views from Mars and the chalk face. Mike Berners-Lee - BSI Shop
If those products could talk ….
  We’ve      We want
              a long       We want
   got a
               lives         to be
  history
                            looked
                             after
We don’t
want to be     We want
                            We want
 buried         to be
                            an after
  alive       ‘net good’
                              life
Responsible sourcing: Views from Mars and the chalk face. Mike Berners-Lee - BSI Shop
Most supply chains
are complex and
opaque

Our understanding
can never be exact
but it can be ‘good
enough’
Responsible sourcing: Views from Mars and the chalk face. Mike Berners-Lee - BSI Shop
Bringing transparency to supply chains

                               Meat sales up
                               30% during the
                               horsemeat
                               scandal
Responsible sourcing: Views from Mars and the chalk face. Mike Berners-Lee - BSI Shop
UK government increasingly
understands embedded impacts
Responsible sourcing: Views from Mars and the chalk face. Mike Berners-Lee - BSI Shop
We need an up to date
understanding of what
‘responsible’ looks like
Responsible sourcing: Views from Mars and the chalk face. Mike Berners-Lee - BSI Shop
Responsible sourcing: Views from Mars and the chalk face. Mike Berners-Lee - BSI Shop
An Exponential curve
Carbon emissions since 1850
Carbon emissions since 1850
No encouraging signs from the last few
years
Efficiency is part of the growth
            dynamic
50% chance of
Responsibility
       entails
mapping the issues and
      priorities
We need a carbon instinct like we have
          a money instinct
Mapping the Greenhouse gas impacts
of supermarket products
•   The Mapa Mundi for Booths
                                                                                                       kgCO2e
                                                                                  0.000 0.500 1.000 1.500 2.000 2.500 3.000 3.500

•   Covers the whole range                                    (2) BEER AND CIDER

                                                                         Potatoes                                Source ingredients
                                                                        Tomatoes                                 to farm / factory
                                                                                                                 gate
•   Enables GHG emissions to be                                                                                  Food processing

    factored into marketing and sourcing                             Green salads
                                                                                                                 Total consumer
    decisions                                         Prepared Veg., fruit & salad
                                                                                                                 packaging footprint
                                                      Exotic veg and mushrooms
                                                                                                                 Transit packaging
                                                                   Apples & Pears

•   Full reports are                                                      Bananas                                Transport

    publically available.                                       Citrus and melons
                                                                                                                 Emissions to DC

                                           Exotic fruit and berries (including soft,…                            Transport
                                                                                                                 emissions from all
                                                                   (67) FLORISTRY                                DCs to Stores
•   Results and models are now used by            (84) CABINETS COOKED MEATS
                                                                                                                 Storage and
                                                                                                                 processing at DC
    universities and think tanks for                                Cabinets Milk
                                                                                                                 Overhead (exc.
    research.                                         Ready meals, pizza & pasta                                 refrigeration)

                                                                      Sandwiches                                 Refrigeration
                                                                       (52) BREAD
•   Affordable                                               (70) FROZEN FOODS
Typical UK Person: 15 tonnes per year
Hong Kong return: 4.6 tonnes
Low 3.4 tonnes   Average             High 13.4 tonnes
                 4.6 tonnes

     Economy                               First class
Drying your hands:    10g
 Low               Average
 0g                10 g            20g
                                   typical
                                   hand
Let them            Paper          drier
   drip            towels
Laptop:   400Kg embodied
Low                  Average           High
~100Kg               400 Kg            ~1 tonne

A simple                              2010 21.5
low cost                              inch iMac
 laptop
Laptop: ~50g / hour operational

12g                     63 Kg                   150g

 Energy                 Power hungry          Old desktop
efficient              iMac or similar
 laptop
Data Centres

  2010: 130 million
      tonnes CO2e

Prediction for 2020:
  250 – 340 million
        tonnes CO2e
Mapping supply
 chain impacts
Process Based Life Cycle Analysis
Percentage of emissions captured with cumulative tiers of the supply
                                       chain.
100.0%

 90.0%

 80.0%

 70.0%

 60.0%
                                                                         Agriculture
                                                                         Metal ores extraction

 50.0%                                                                   Plastic products
                                                                         Non-ferrous metals
                                                                         Motor vehicles
 40.0%
                                                                         Telecommunications

 30.0%

 20.0%

 10.0%

  0.0%
          Direct      Tier 1       Tier 2       Tier 3      Tier 4
PAS 2050 – Review of methods
“Experts highlighted particularly two weaknesses of PLCA: cost and labour
   intensity of carrying out a PLCA and the system boundary problem …
   “system cut-off” is unavoidable in PLCA …The cut-off criteria suggested by
   ISO can be misleading and do not provide a satisfactory basis for a
   transparent system boundary selection…. The (resulting) truncation error
   is potentially very large. …”

“…This is further aggravated when restrictions are imposed on the budget as
  typical in simplified PLCA approaches. Such simplified approaches usually
  fail to reliably reproduce results from detailed PLCA . However, only
  simplified PLCAs work under tight budget constraints required for the PAS
  to be applicable to organisations of all sizes. This seriously limits the
  usefulness of PLCA for the PAS development.”
Input Output Analysis
Looks at the whole economy divided into industry sectors.
Input Output Analysis
Demand for products stimulates output across the
economy….
Input Output Analysis
…. causing both direct and indirect emissions…
Input Output Analysis
…. the ripple effects are endless…
Input Output Analysis
…. the ripple effects are endless… but can be
modelled as a complete system…

  …without systematic underestimation
A hybrid methodology is usually the most
practical way to get a reasonable
understanding

                      +
Summary questions
• What does responsible look like in 2013?
• How can standards ensure the real priorities
  are addressed – within a finite resource?
• How can standards work for small players?
• How can supply chains become transparent
• How can standards be greenwash proof?
Thank you for listening
     Any questions?

         Mike Berners-Lee
       mike@sw-consulting.co.uk

                                  An Associate Company of
                                    Lancaster University
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