REGENERATION PROGRAMME - ISLE OF WIGHT COUNCIL
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Contents 1 SCOPE ........................................................................................................................... 7 1.1 Document purpose ............................................................................................................. 7 1.2 Structure of the document .................................................................................................. 7 1.3 Scope .................................................................................................................................. 7 2 STRATEGIC CONTEXT .................................................................................................... 9 2.1 Isle of Wight today .............................................................................................................. 9 2.2 Global and UK trends affecting the Isle of Wight ............................................................... 10 2.3 Coastal town issues in the UK ........................................................................................... 11 2.4 UK policy affecting development finance .......................................................................... 12 2.4.1. Business rate retention .................................................................................................... 12 2.4.2. New Homes Bonus ........................................................................................................... 13 2.4.3 Devolution packages ......................................................................................................... 13 3 ISLAND AND COUNCIL CONTEXT: FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH ....................................14 3.1 The case for change: IoW Corporate Strategy and resources ............................................. 14 3.2 Economic Development .................................................................................................... 14 3.2.1 Economic performance ..................................................................................................... 14 3.2.2 Tourism, industry, construction and commercial investment market .............................. 15 3.2.3 Education, employment and skills ..................................................................................... 17 3.3 Transport and Infrastructure ............................................................................................. 18 3.3.1 Island connectivity ............................................................................................................. 18 3.3.2 The implications of growth on infrastructure ................................................................... 18 3.3.3 Issues and opportunities for improvement ....................................................................... 19 3.3.4 The Solent Strategic Transport Investment Plan ............................................................... 21 3.3.5 Infrastructure Transport Task Force .................................................................................. 22 3.3.5 Sustainable Transport Programme .................................................................................... 22 3.4 Housing............................................................................................................................. 23 3.4.1 Current housing market .................................................................................................... 23 3.4.2 Housing growth and demand ............................................................................................ 23 3.4.3 Housing delivery ................................................................................................................ 24 3.4.4 Specialist housing .............................................................................................................. 25 3.5 Land and assets ................................................................................................................. 26 3.4.1 Council owned land and assets ......................................................................................... 26 3.4.2 One Public Estate .............................................................................................................. 26 3.6 Financial strategy and funding sources .............................................................................. 27 3.6.1 Summary of financial pressures ........................................................................................ 27 3.6.2 Revised Medium Term Financial Strategy 2017/18 – 2020/2021 ..................................... 28 3.6.3 Access to central government funding .............................................................................. 29 1 C - 10
4 OPPORTUNITY AREAS ..................................................................................................30 4.1 Newport ........................................................................................................................... 30 4.1.1 Introduction to the Newport Opportunity Area ................................................................ 30 4.1.2 Opportunities and constraints........................................................................................... 30 4.1.3 Vision for the Newport area .............................................................................................. 32 4.1.4 Recommended regeneration strategy for Newport .......................................................... 32 4.1.5 Strategic development sites .............................................................................................. 33 4.2 Ryde ................................................................................................................................. 37 4.2.1 Introduction to the Ryde Opportunity Area ...................................................................... 37 4.2.2 Opportunities and constraints........................................................................................... 37 4.2.3 Vision for the Ryde area .................................................................................................... 39 4.2.4 Recommended regeneration strategy for Ryde ................................................................ 39 4.2.5 Strategic development sites .............................................................................................. 41 4.3 The Bay ............................................................................................................................. 44 4.3.1 Introduction to The Bay Opportunity Area........................................................................ 44 4.3.2 Opportunities and constraints........................................................................................... 45 4.3.3 Vision for The Bay area ...................................................................................................... 46 4.3.4 Recommended regeneration strategy for The Bay ........................................................... 46 4.3.5 Strategic development sites .............................................................................................. 47 5 SETTING UP THE REGENERATION PROGRAMME ..........................................................50 5.1 Intelligent client function .................................................................................................. 50 5.1.1 Partnership and stakeholder management ....................................................................... 51 5.1.2 Compelling vision and consensus ...................................................................................... 52 5.1.3 Guiding principles .............................................................................................................. 52 5.1.4 Creating value through design and product development................................................ 53 5.1.5 ‘Great Estates’ long-term approach to asset management .............................................. 53 5.1.6 Brand ................................................................................................................................. 54 5.1.7 Define the value each project will bring at an early stage ................................................ 54 5.2 Project controls (contract management, cost, time, risk) .................................................. 55 5.2.1 Evidence-based approach ................................................................................................. 55 5.2.2 Programme Management Office with a relentless focus on the progression of projects. 55 5.2.3 Developing Business Cases ................................................................................................ 56 6 REGENERATION PROGRAMME RESOURCE AND ACTION PLAN .....................................58 6.1 Next stage action plan ...................................................................................................... 58 6.1.1 Secure the mandate and evolve governance arrangements ............................................. 58 6.1.2 Set up the programme ...................................................................................................... 59 6.1.3 Initiate priority strategic projects ...................................................................................... 59 2 C - 11
Executive summary In August 2016 Isle of Wight Council (IWC), with support from the Local Government Association (LGA), commissioned Inner Circle Consulting (ICC) to help establish an ambitious Regeneration Programme for the Island, focusing on the three key opportunity areas of Newport, Ryde and The Bay. During an initial eight-week commission, ICC has: ● set up a Programme Management Office (PMO) with associated systems, documentation, templates, governance, a financial forecasting model and other infrastructure in anticipation of the recruitment of a Regeneration Director and team; ● conducted a data-dive exercise to understand the Island’s context, opportunities and constraints; ● reviewed and mapped approximately 25 potential regeneration sites in three opportunity areas; ● created a model to forecast the financial impact of development on these sites; ● evaluated the impact and deliverability of all sites, generating a shortlist of 11 priority projects (plus a number of potential enabling/linked projects) for inclusion in the first wave of the Regeneration Programme; ● established a likely funding / investment route for each project, including projects that can be submitted for LEP investment; ● undertaken a gap analysis for each priority project and the programme, including an analysis of the likely project delivery resource requirements; ● established an indicative costed schedule of activities to develop the priority projects to Outline Business Case and/or submission for LEP funding bids (where appropriate); and ● supported IWC and its partners with the submission of a One Public Estate expression of interest to central government. The data dive revealed that the Isle of Wight has unique characteristics and strengths. With the right strategy and resources, the Island’s outstanding natural environment, heritage assets and strong marine and materials engineering industry could all be leveraged to attract inward investment, increase value and generate growth. However, the data-dive exercise also revealed that the Island has a number of barriers to achieving growth. These are related in part to the ‘Island factors’ of separation from 3 C - 12
the mainland and high cost of delivering services, but also a sustained lack of investment in its tourist offer, issues with the transport infrastructure and reduced economic activity resulting from the ageing demographic and a working-age population reliant on low-skilled, seasonal employment. Also of concern from a commercial investor perspective is the political instability and recent planning refusals for major inward investment projects. The Isle of Wight must understand these barriers and put in place measures to address them in order to harness the unique opportunities to deliver transformative regeneration and realise the value and benefits that come with growth. The lack of market investment means that the Isle of Wight Council (IWC) must lead this regeneration activity with public and private sector stakeholders. In recent years the Council has focussed too much on its duty to reduce public spending. The Council now recognises that intelligent use of its land and assets offers an opportunity to drive growth to ensure the long-term sustainability of Council services and the economic prosperity of the Island. Eleven priority projects have been identified in the three opportunity areas, which focus on growth aligned to Council and community aspirations for the places and build on the opportunity areas’ existing identities and strengths. In Newport there should be a focus on growth of employment space for high-tech industry and housing growth linked to new employment, as well as enhancements to the harbour to link in with the established industrial uses. From Cowes to Newport, the Medina Valley should be seen as a prime location to set up advanced manufacturing or high-tech marine business and attract further inward investment. In Ryde and The Bay, the focus should be primarily on improving the tourist and leisure offer to enhance the experience for residents and visitors and diversify the nature of the visitor market. Encouraging a shift in the tourist offer towards higher- quality, ‘boutique’ accommodation and facilities will lead to longer-term value generation in these areas. In addition, the interchange and seafront facilities at Ryde must be transformed to create a fitting gateway to the Island. Better tourist experience should go hand in hand with a shift in the perception of those making fresh life choices as to what the Isle of Wight offers as a place to start a business or bring up a family. In order to kick start a successful regeneration programme for the Isle of Wight, the 11 priority projects identified during this scoping stage must be adequately resourced and managed effectively at both a project and programme level. It is important that the Council takes an evidence-based approach to the use of its remaining land and assets 4 C - 13
to identify opportunities for further efficiencies (including through the colocation of services with other public sector organisations) or increased revenue. Any successful regeneration programme also needs a compelling vision and consistent leadership, with a determination and focus on delivering that vision through ongoing partnership working. The Council needs to be able to think entrepreneurially. The following recommendations are considered essential for the delivery of a successful Regeneration Programme for the Isle of Wight: 1. Develop a partnership approach to programme delivery and stakeholder management. 2. Continue to develop a vision and 20-year growth plan for the Isle of Wight in partnership with all stakeholders on the Island and in the wider Solent conurbation. 3. Develop a set of principles that all can sign up to which will govern the behaviour of all of those involved. 4. Adopt a ‘Great Estates’ approach to managing your real estate portfolio by retaining assets, strategically investing to create the most value and maximising your long-term return on investment. 5. Ensure each priority project has a clear value set that it is aiming to achieve from the outset, and that these values (or benefits) are making a measurable contribution to the Island Vision. 6. Commit to an evidence-based approach to decision-making and ensure sufficient resources are made available for data gathering and analysis. 7. Adopt a consistent method of project progression, change control and investment decision-making. 8. Establish a strong Programme Management Office with an appropriate blend of skills, experience and tenacity to design, develop and implement the regeneration projects. 9. Ensure all investment decisions are underpinned by a sound business case. Develop all business cases commensurate with the Treasury Five Cases model (Greenbook) taking them through an incremental process of development from Strategic Outline Case, Outline Business Case to Full Business Case. 5 C - 14
The immediate next steps identified in order to set up the programme are as follows: 1. Initiate projects by identifying project leads, establishing budgets, agreeing the scope, objectives and programme. Consider prioritising certain projects to meet LEP bidding deadlines. 2. Appoint an experienced programme manager to procure programme-level expertise, establish a programme delivery team (including internal IWC resources), together with all relevant processes. 3. Secure a clear mandate for the Regeneration Strategy and Programme from Members and establish suitable governance arrangements. This will include a Regeneration Programme Board, and delegated authority to the Leader and/or Lead Member for subsequent decisions relating to the programme, in order to ensure timely decision-making. By following the steps outlined above and throughout this report, we have estimated that the Regeneration Programme could deliver a total of 12,000 new jobs, 1,700 new homes and an increase in revenue income for Isle of Wight Council in the order of £15 million per annum over the period 2018–2027. 6 C - 15
1 SCOPE 1.1 Document purpose This document sets out ICC’s findings and recommendations for the Council following its initial eight-week commission from August to October 2016. This report will be used by IWC as a basis for progressing focussed regeneration activity prior to the appointment of a dedicated regeneration resource in early 2017 and possibly, beyond. 1.2 Structure of the document This document begins with the findings of ICC’s data-dive exercise: a summary of the Island’s unique context, opportunities and constraints. It goes on to provide details of the 11 strategic projects identified within the three opportunity areas of Newport, Ryde and The Bay, following evaluation of approximately 25 potential regeneration sites in those areas. The report concludes by recommending next steps for progressing each of these strategic sites over the next three to six months, as well as highlighting a number of cross-cutting projects and programme-level activity essential in driving forward a successful Regeneration Programme for the Island. 1.3 Scope ICC’s scope for this initial stage of the programme was to: ● Establish a Programme Management Office (PMO) to provide momentum, operational programme management, strategic leadership and robust administrative infrastructure across all regeneration activity. ● Identify strategic development projects within each opportunity area, particularly those that could be ‘bid-ready’ by March 2017 in order to secure funding from the Solent LEP and other government funding sources. ● Undertake a gap and capacity analysis to identify additional information and resources required to deliver growth from the prioritised strategic sites. ● Develop a work programme and costed resource plan for the next stages of the programme (to March 2017). Reviewing regeneration activity and potential development sites in areas beyond Newport, Ryde and The Bay were outside of the scope of this commission, as was the 7 C - 16
development of any detailed communications and stakeholder engagement strategy, which is currently being led by IWC. 8 C - 17
2 STRATEGIC CONTEXT 2.1 Isle of Wight today The Isle of Wight is located off the south coast of England and is the second most populous island with 139,400 inhabitants. It is considered part of the south coast conurbation including Portsmouth and Southampton, and as such forms part of the Solent Local Enterprise Partnership (LEP). The Island has over 70 miles of uninterrupted coastline and half of the Island is an area of outstanding natural beauty (AONB). The Island has a maritime and industrial tradition including boat building, sail making, the manufacture of flying boats, the world's first hovercraft, and the testing and development of Britain's space rockets. Separated by the Solent from the mainland, the public transport links to the mainland are to and from Southsea (Portsmouth) by hovercraft, and via five ferry shuttle services across the Solent from Southampton, Lymington and Portsmouth. Ryde, the island's largest town with a population of approximately 30,000, is in the northeast of the Island. It is a Victorian town with the oldest seaside pier in England. Newport, in the centre of the island, is the county town of the Isle of Wight and the Island's main shopping area. Located next to the River Medina, Newport Quay was a busy port until the mid-19th century. The Bay area includes Sandown and Shanklin; popular seaside resorts with high summer sunshine levels and sandy beaches. Cowes is located on the estuary of the River Medina. It is the home of the record- setting sailor Dame Ellen MacArthur. East Cowes is famous for Osborne House and as the home of Saunders-Roe; the historic aircraft, flying boat, rocket and hovercraft company. The company has left a legacy of innovation in the marine and aeronautical industries. The Isle of Wight needs growth and investment to address the long-term sustainability of public services and the future economic prosperity of the Island. Whilst the Island has long been one of the UK’s most popular holiday destinations, this comes with a series of issues including over-reliance on seasonal, low paid jobs and a brain-drain of young educated people. Due in part to its popularity as a retirement location, the 9 C - 18
population of the Island shows an ageing demographic profile with significant levels of chronic disease. This places additional demand and therefore costs on local public services. Whilst being an Island makes for a unique geography and beautiful environment, the cost of transport is higher than reaching other parts of the UK and therefore the Island is often overlooked when it comes to inward investment. The lack of inward investment means growth in the tax base and private wealth does not keep up with the cost of public service provision. However, there are many unique assets (many land assets are publically owned) and opportunities on the Isle of Wight, which if correctly leveraged, will help transform the economy of the Island and in doing so, transform the health and wellbeing of those living, working and visiting. IWC is fundamentally rethinking and reshaping the way it approaches public service provision and sustainable economic growth. Central to this is an acknowledgment that the Council must make better use of it assets: they can provide space to co-locate services for greater coordination; they can be modernised to ensure ease of customer access and quality of service provision. Surplus assets can be used to create commercial return either through sale or generation of revenue streams that can be reinvested in public services. 2.2 Global and UK trends affecting the Isle of Wight There are a number of global macro trends that will play a prominent role in shaping the future operating environment for businesses, governments, and citizens. Some of these that need to be considered when designing a regeneration programme for the Isle of Wight include the following: ● Geopolitical instability is increasing. Europe continues to grapple with internal political challenges, violent extremism, and the migrant crisis. ● Climate change means extreme weather events become more frequent, the economic costs of climate change continue to grow. ● Cities and city-regions will continue to act as centres of gravity for people and business clustering. ● The IT revolution continues. Emerging technologies will blur the line between real and virtual life and lead to growing personalisation of consumer goods and retail experiences. Big data, predictive analytics and machine learning will increase the level of personalisation in services. 10 C - 19
● The increasing technological sophistication and expanding presence of smart devices, unmanned systems, and robots will reshape cities, businesses and households. This includes the rise of Smart Cities aimed at generating efficiencies (such as transport mobility, waste management etc.), increasing digital connectivity and transparency. ● As consumers, we now have more choices than ever before. In a world of overwhelming possibilities, simplicity is making a comeback. However, consumer expectations remain high of any service; public or private. ● People will continue to take health care back into their own hands through greater knowledge and readily available applications. In the UK there are several trends that create opportunities and barriers to growth on the Isle of Wight, including: ● The UK choosing to leave Europe will result in economic instability and affect inward investment decisions, but it will create new opportunities in the global marketplace. ● Growing inequality of earnings is a social and political problem that needs to be addressed. ● The constraints in public spending enhance the need to achieve private sector growth across the country. It is the proceeds of growth – individual and national – that can increase our standard of living to the levels to which we aspire. These UK trends reinforce the need for transformational change in the way public authorities think about their role, the sustainability of their finances, how they use their assets and how they work collaboratively to harness the full power and resources for the benefit of their area. 2.3 Coastal town issues in the UK The Isle of Wight is not alone in the challenges it faces. The relatively recent coastal town commission and associated research has identified a number of key characteristics in coastal towns which are present in the Isle of Wight: ● By definition coastal towns are often not well connected in so far as they are the ‘end of the line’. However, connectivity is a vitally important ingredient in successful regeneration. ● Coastal towns often have a two-tier housing market (low value social rented homes and high value holiday homes). 11 C - 20
● Their economies are heavily reliant on tourism – but in the UK the market is largely limited to UK consumers and is seasonal. ● Often vulnerable adults with multiple public service needs i.e. elderly and disabled people are disproportionately represented. ● It is often hard to get things done because of a plethora of competing interest groups. Successful regeneration in coastal towns (and other towns) more often than not includes the following factors: ● The prospect of improved connectivity ● Inspiration from investments or small change projects ● A sense that things can be achieved among the local community and those looking to ‘invest’ ● Civic leadership ● A strong cultural offer 2.4 UK policy affecting development finance Over recent years the Government has put in place successive policies to reduce mainstream grant and link local government finance to the stimulation of local housing and economic growth. The Isle of Wight is already aware of the following policy incentives: 2.4.1. Business rate retention The proposals focus on devolving 100% of business rates retention to local councils by 2020. This is a move towards self-sufficiency and away from dependence on central government, accompanied by a shift towards greater local accountability over funding and the way devolved responsibilities are delivered. There will continue to be a level of redistribution between authorities similar to the current system of tariffs and top-ups, as well as protection to insulate authorities from shocks or significant reductions in their income. The outcomes of the Fair Funding Review will establish the funding baselines for the introduction of 100% business rates retention. Councils will also have new powers to shape the operation of the business rates in their area, with additional flexibilities around the operation of the multiplier. The new powers that central government is proposing are: ● the ability to reduce the business rates tax rate (the multiplier); and 12 C - 21
● the ability for Combined Authority Mayors to levy a supplement on business rates to fund new infrastructure projects, provided they have the support of the business community through the Local Enterprise Partnership. This fiscal devolution will place greater responsibility on councils to generate their own revenue and provide communities with the financial independence, stability and incentives to push for local growth. 2.4.2. New Homes Bonus The Government’s proposed changes to the New Homes Bonus seek to better reflect authorities’ delivery of new housing and reduce the number of years in which current and future payments are made. The Government wishes to consider how the incentive element of the Bonus could also be tightened alongside possible changes to respond to the move towards full retention of business rates and the potential for further devolution of powers and responsibilities to local authorities. The changes include: ● withholding new Bonus allocations in areas where no Local Plan has been produced; ● reducing payments for homes built on appeal; and ● only making payments for delivery above a baseline representing deadweight. 2.4.3 Devolution packages The Cities and Local Government Devolution Act 2016 provides a framework through which combined authorities are able to negotiate devolution packages with central government. The Solent authorities of Isle of Wight Council, Portsmouth City Council and Southampton City Council, together with the Solent LEP are currently negotiating a deal with government to establish a Solent Mayoral Combined Authority. This deal would give the region £900 million over the next 30 years (including £30m per year in new funding) to improve infrastructure, transport and housing, and provide training and skills and support for business. The deal would also involve the devolution of significant decision-making powers from central government; bringing decision making and accountability closer to local people; enabling funds to be spent on tackling local problems; and taking advantage of local opportunities to improve economic growth. 13 C - 22
3 ISLAND AND COUNCIL CONTEXT: FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH 3.1 The case for change: IoW Corporate Strategy and resources Over many years, and at least from the date of its formation, IWC has been extremely effective at removing costs from the organisation to successfully meet its financial challenges. This has allowed the Council to set lawful and balanced budgets but has required significant reductions in services over time. These reductions have been achieved in the context of the ‘Island factors’, which add costs to the delivery of services on the Island arising from its segregation from the mainland. However, whereas cuts are finite, value creation is unlimited. The Council has arguably cut further and deeper than its comparators in almost every area of service. And by denying itself the capacity, skills and knowledge necessary to develop schemes and bids that could bring financial growth to the Island, the Council has been unable to tackle the other side of the funding equation: growth. We fully support IWC’s recognition that only through proactive and effective regeneration activity at scale can it attract inward investment and the development of new homes and businesses on the Island, thereby growing the council tax base to ensure long-term self-sufficiency. 3.2 Economic Development 3.2.1 Economic performance The economic indicators from 2015 which were analysed as part of the Economic Development Plan 2016/17–2018/19 show that the Island’s economy remains fragile, with a weaker economic performance in relation to the South East (SE) region and national averages in terms of: 14 C - 23
● employment rate; ● average wages; ● annual GVA growth; ● business birth rate; ● productivity; and ● people with higher level qualifications. The Isle of Wight economy is constrained by its island location and a lack of major infrastructure connecting it to the mainland. This leads to a high degree of self- containment in its job and labour market, which remains heavily reliant on tourism and creates a seasonal imbalance of employment and economic activity. Economic activity is also restricted by the Island’s ageing population and large numbers of retired people. However, the Isle of Wight has a number of distinct economic strengths, including a strong, modern manufacturing sector in comparison with the SE region, as a result of companies and local supply chains in marine industries, aerospace, and composite material production; plus a healthy level of self-employment and micro-businesses, many of which are attracted by the quality of place offered by the Island. These, allied to the visitor economy and tourist offer, provide the opportunity for growth. 3.2.2 Tourism, industry, construction and commercial investment market Tourism is one of the Island’s most important sectors, and growing the visitor economy has been identified as a corporate priority. However, there has been a structural shift in how people take their holidays over the last 30 years, which has resulted in a gradual decline in the total number of visitors and a change in the demographics of visitors, their length of stay and the time of year they visit. In addition, the average spend per visitor is low and there remains significant seasonal variation in the number of visitors. The Isle of Wight Destination Management Plan produced by Visit Isle of Wight in 2015 states how the visitor economy is to be developed, and includes four key objectives to: 1. increase the value of tourism, by increasing the numbers of visitors (particularly those staying overnight) and by increasing the spend per visitor. 2. encourage innovation and industry investments, through offering accommodation ‘products’ and services which reflect changing demands. This includes both attracting new providers and preparing existing businesses for change (which may be challenging for long-established businesses). 15 C - 24
3. develop a year-round tourist economy, which means providing a year-round offer with a wider demographic appeal than those who would traditionally visit in the summer / school holiday peak times. 4. sustain and enhance the Island’s landscape, through the protection and enhancement of its natural assets, plus ‘placemaking’ investment to improve the quality of place in towns and villages, the public realms and transport, movement and connectivity. Visit Isle of Wight has established a Business Improvement District (BID) funded by a levy and will agree a five-year plan for spending the levy in order to deliver this plan. In terms of industry, the Isle of Wight has a strong, modern manufacturing base with particular strengths in a number of sectors, including aerospace, renewable energy, composite materials, marine and defence electronics. The Island benefits from the presence of a number of companies of international recognition (e.g. BAE Systems, GKN Aerospace) which have strong local supply networks, made up mainly of SMEs. The Employment Land Study (2015) indicates that the market for employment space is relatively small, mainly caters for the local market and is largely self-contained to the Island. The main sources of demand are for industrial commercial property from advanced manufacturing (especially in Newport), plus more ‘local’ industries such as mechanics, storage and distribution. There is stronger demand for space with direct waterfront access (a typology of employment space not available in competing areas) and smaller, low cost office space. However, there has been a lack of speculative development of new employment space because rental values make development unviable. The exception to this is in Newport (where rents are higher) and elsewhere on the Island where there is a proactive public sector role to unlock or de-risk development. The office market is generally localised and small-scale. It is particularly focused on Newport and the needs of SMEs, with the majority of the demand coming from local firms wishing to expand. A high percentage of the stock is secondhand and poor quality. Like industrial space, new build development is unviable due to the rents that can be achieved. The Employment Land Study suggests that the forecast need for employment land can be met through the existing allocations in the Core Strategy but that there is a misalignment in locations, with an oversupply in Newport and undersupply in Ryde. 16 C - 25
Developing strategic sectors and clusters of marine, aerospace, defence, advanced manufacturing, engineering and low carbon businesses is vital to economic growth on the Isle of Wight. Growth also requires action to stimulate and nurture an entrepreneurial culture on the Island, with business support products for key strategic sectors. 3.2.3 Education, employment and skills The island has a significant skills deficit with a less qualified population in terms of higher-level qualifications when compared to the mainland. However, this gap is closing, with the proportion of the population achieving a Level 4 qualification each year increasing at a faster rate than the regional and national averages. Although GCSE attainment has increased over the last three years, the proportion of students achieving five GCSEs or above is lower than that of the SE region and the UK. Furthermore, fewer students go on to enter higher education when compared to those in the SE region or nationally. Enhancing skills levels and improving educational attainment is necessary to provide an appropriately skilled workforce to both attract higher-value inward investment and ensure existing businesses remain competitive. Many industries and occupations face the combined effects of higher skill needs and an ageing workforce. A key objective of relevant stakeholders is therefore to develop a workforce with the qualifications and skills which meet the demand from strategically important sectors, such as advanced manufacturing and engineering, marine industries and renewables. In addition, organisations such as the Isle of Wight Destination BID will be working with existing businesses in the visitor sector to develop appropriate skills for the development and growth of the visitor sector into new markets. An important part of the business support strategy is to establish stronger university links with the Island, including R&D facilities and possibly a higher education presence. The aim is to stimulate local businesses and help provide a higher-level skills base for potential incoming firms. The LEP is to work with nearby universities and research centres to create a world-class research facility that can enhance development and expertise in key sectors, such as renewable energies. A key project which demonstrates a number of these themes is the Isle of Wight College’s Centre for Excellence for Composites and Advanced Manufacturing, which is to be located on the Island Technology Park in East Cowes. This is being led by GKN Aerospace and is due for completion in 2017/18. 17 C - 26
3.3 Transport and Infrastructure 3.3.1 Island connectivity The Isle of Wight is connected to the Solent mainland by six passenger services and three ferry car services: from Lymington to Yarmouth (Wightlink); Southampton to East and West Cowes (Red Funnel, Red Jet); Portsmouth to Fishbourne (Wightlink) and Ryde (FastCat); and from Southsea to Ryde (Hovertravel). The Island has 489 miles of roadway and 520 miles of public rights of way, including an extensive network of byways, bridleways, footpaths and cycle tracks. The lighter traffic, quieter roads and slower speeds are one of the reasons the Isle of Wight has remained attractive to tourists from the busier mainland. Internal connections by public transport rely significantly on bus services. Southern Vectis have maintained a monopoly on bus transport on the Island, with the most regular services running between the larger towns such as Ryde and Cowes. There are three bus stations on the Island, located at Newport, Ryde and Yarmouth respectively and one Park and Ride site at Cowes. In the 1950s and 1960s the Island boasted a comprehensive railway network connecting Ryde, Newport, Cowes, Sandown and Ventnor. Today much of the old rail network has been converted to cycle ways, with the main remaining railway line – the Island Line – running from Ryde Pier Head to Shanklin. Services are provided by Island Line Trains, using former London Underground rolling stock. The Island also has a steam-operated heritage railway, the Isle of Wight Steam Railway, which used to be part of the former Ryde to Newport line. Today, the steam railway connects with the Island Line at Smallbrook Junction and runs up to Wootton. The Island also has two small airfields for general aviation: Isle of Wight Airport at Sandown and Bembridge Airport. These are busy with day-trippers in the summer. Flights going from the Island to London have also been trialled, however these proved unpopular and so were discontinued. 3.3.2 The implications of growth on infrastructure Based on an analysis of past and recent trends, there is an ongoing growth of population and increase in number of internal journeys in several districts within the Solent, including the Isle of Wight, which are expected to increasingly affect the 18 C - 27
economic performance of the transport network (source: Solent Strategic Transport Investment Plan, May 2016). Over the period 1981–2014 the Isle of Wight population has increased by 18%; an equivalent of 600 people per year (source: ONS, AECOM analysis). In 2011, 86% of people residing in one of the Solent’s twelve constituent districts also had their workplace in one of these districts, showing a high level of employment self- containment within the Solent area. Evidence from the 2001 and 2011 Census suggests that there are high levels of internal movement for work and other journey purposes, contributing to traffic issues on the local and strategic networks in most of the Solent’s districts, including the Isle of Wight. The Island’s vehicle traffic also emanates from the mainland, comprising mostly tourists and therefore peaks in the summer when the island’s population almost doubles. 3.3.3 Issues and opportunities for improvement Local traffic issues and support for active modes schemes form a key part of the local transport initiative for the Isle of Wight. There is a need for transport schemes that will unlock housing, economic growth and regeneration, modernise the current services and tackle the existing issues. The main transport issues and relevant schemes and opportunities are as follows: ● Connectivity between the Isle of Wight and the mainland relies significantly on ferry services. These services can be costly and there is space for improvement of the quality of travel experience they offer. The case for an Isle of Wight fixed link bridge or tunnel is weak due to the very high cost (unjustified on the basis of current and future activity and development prospects), alignment feasibility and environmental constraints, as well as resistance by both Island residents and tourists. A proposal in 2008 for a new tramway linking Ryde to Gosport, connecting with existing rail networks on both sides, was met with more support from Island residents. The plans would also include a new harbour at Ryde, with berthing facilities for more ferries and container ships. However, this proposal has not been taken forward. ● There is space for improvement of the cross-Solent connections through better interchanges. The Ryde Interchange from ferry to rail services is poor due to badly integrated ticketing services and outdated facilities. Pedestrian connectivity and wayfinding in Ryde are also poor, especially between the Interchange and the town centre, while Ryde’s bus station is inadequate due to lack of space for buses to circulate efficiently. A 2006 proposal to redesign the 19 C - 28
Interchange facilities and surrounding esplanade area, was not taken forward. Better integration of modes between ferries and other public transport offers potential to have an impact on the economy, as well as to support the increased use of public transport. ● There is a general increase of localised congestion and barriers to movement on the Island. There is significant traffic congestion in and around Newport, especially at peak times. Newport Highway Improvements are needed by 2020 to accommodate predicted growth and unlock new development at Coppins Bridge gyratory, St Mary’s roundabout, Medina Way and Hunnyhill / Hunnycross & Riverway junction. Due to forecast increased journey times, the floating bridge in East Cowes is also scheduled to be replaced. As per the recent Solent Strategic Transport Investment Plan (May 2016), there is an opportunity to develop priority measures and sections of busway which would offer ‘Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) Lite’ links between Ryde, Newport and Cowes, as part of an integrated transit network via ferry connections to the rest of the Solent area and beyond. Studies and delivery plans for infrastructure improvements in Newport, as well as potential improvements in Ryde and The Bay, have recently been commissioned by the Council. The Council is aiming for this work to be used as the basis for an Infrastructure Delivery Plan to be developed by late 2017. ● There is need for capital investment in the 1960s Island Line train, electricity supply, pier and track. The line provides important services for passengers, but currently runs at a financial loss and requires significant investment for upgrades to maintain the integrity of the infrastructure and rolling stock. The operational future of the Island Line rail service is also uncertain. The Island Line forms part of the South Western Franchise, but operates under a separate lease agreement with Network Rail. Responsibility for infrastructure maintenance and renewals is shared between the operator and Network Rail under this lease, which is due to expire in 2019. In approaching the re-letting of the South Western franchise, a key objective is to secure an appropriate, financially sustainable long term future for the Island Line. ● Internal public transport connections rely significantly on bus services, with larger towns such as Newport using buses as the only means of public transport to connect with the rest of the Island. The Southern Vectis monopoly and the fact that they are not subsidised make buses a costly way to travel. Alternative, cheaper and more flexible transport modes, that exploit the Island’s electricity surplus and manufacturing industry, such as electric bikes and hire 20 C - 29
cars, might contribute to a greater variety of options for residents and visitors, enhance the quality of travel and generate economic profits. Case Studies: An electric car sharing scheme was launched in February 2016 and aims to put nearly 3,000 electric cars on the streets of London by 2019. The Bluecity service will emulate the ‘Boris Bike’ system. Source: www.ft.com (link) Toyota is planning to implement an electric mini-car sharing system in different cities around the world, and has been testing the system in Grenoble since October 2014, The system is expected to expand to other cities and regions from 2016. Source image: ecomento.com (link) Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) has proven to be an affordable, sustainable, and highly effective solution. A wide range of electric and hybrid BRT systems can be found in the market. Images: Birmingham is looking at Barcelona to implement a similar BRT system. Source: birminghampost.co.uk 3.3.4 The Solent Strategic Transport Investment Plan In 2014, as part of the process to agree the Solent ’s Local Growth Deal with central government, the Solent Local Enterprise Partnership (LEP) produced a Strategic Economic Plan (SEP) to outline a transformative vision for the future growth of the local economy. Central to this vision is the need for a modern and resilient transport network that can enable the region to fulfil its economic potential by providing the conditions that enable businesses and people to thrive and productivity to increase. Therefore, the LEP has worked in partnership with AECOM to produce a Strategic Transport Investment Plan (May 2016) for the next 25 years. The key recommendation of the Investment Plan is for the Solent to focus on the development of an integrated and expanded public transport network - Solent Transit 21 C - 30
– covering new and existing bus, rapid bus, ferries, park and ride and rail/light rail modes across the increasingly integrated area. This will allow improved connectivity and accessibility across the Solent, link communities and opportunities and support sustainable economic growth. The component parts would complement existing or modified strategic rail services and passenger ferries to and from the Isle of Wight, including a potential extended rapid bus on the Island, with integration and interchange as a key objective. 3.3.5 Infrastructure Transport Task Force The Infrastructure Transport Task Force is a transport working group that comprises senior representatives from the Department for Transport, Isle of Wight Council, Solent LEP, Isle of Wight Chamber of Commerce and Tourism and from various business stakeholders. The Task Force’s main role is to assist the Council in preparing an integrated Island- wide Transport Infrastructure and Services Development Plan, in accordance with the Strategic Transport Investment Plan and aligned with the Island’s vision and objectives: delivering a multi modal transport system for the Isle of Wight that is safe, secure, accessible and affordable; and which promotes economic development and underpins the social, and environmental wellbeing of the Island community. The Transport Infrastructure Plan is currently being tendered for infrastructure delivery projects, to bid for Growth Fund Phase 3. 3.3.5 Sustainable Transport Programme The Isle of Wight Council is one of only 18 local authorities to secure three consecutive rounds of DfT sustainable transport funding since 2012, and (at the time of drafting) is currently awaiting the outcome of its bid to the next round of DfT funding – the Access Fund – which, if successful, will secure £1.35m revenue funding for the next three financial years. Thus far the programme has generated a range of successful sustainable transport capital projects from Car Clubs to ‘smart’ cycle routes. 22 C - 31
3.4 Housing 3.4.1 Current housing market As of 2011 it is estimated that there are 61,111 households living on the Isle of Wight, of which an estimated 11% are living within the affordable sector and 89% in the market sector. When comparing entry-level house prices to local incomes, housing affordability is better on the Isle of Wight than many parts of the SE region. However, there is evidence that younger households working locally have found it difficult to get on the housing ladder; during the decade 2001–2011 the number of households living in private rented accommodation increased by around 63%. There is also understood to be wide variation in house prices between sub-market areas on the Island, for example between affluent rural areas such as Bembridge and Seaview, and less affluent urban areas such as Newport and Ryde. The Council’s policy position is that it expects new housing developments (of 15+ units in Key Regeneration Areas and 10+ elsewhere) to provide 35% of the development as on-site affordable housing. Financial contributions towards affordable housing are sought from smaller developments, with an overall target tenure mix of 70% affordable/social rented and 30% intermediate within affordable housing developments. 3.4.2 Housing growth and demand It is important to understand that housing markets are influenced by macroeconomic factors, as well as the housing market conditions at a regional and local level. However, demographic changes are expected to be a key long-term driver of change on the Isle of Wight, particularly in light of the changing age structure of the Island’s population. With population growth there is expected to be a significant ageing of the population; particularly the population aged 85+, which is projected to increase by 139% during the period 2011–2036. These demographic changes will result in not only household growth but also a change in household types, with virtually all (95%) of the growth being accounted for by one person households. The Council’s most recent Strategic Housing Market Assessment (SHMA) was completed in August 2014 and confirmed that affordable housing represents 58% of the overall housing requirement from 2011–2036. Projections suggest that during this period, around 76% of the affordable housing requirement will be for homes with one 23 C - 32
or two-bedrooms and 24% for larger homes with three or more bedrooms. However, as a result of the local authority’s statutory duties towards homeless families with children, a weighting towards affordable housing with two or more bedrooms was applied in the SHMA. In terms of market housing, the SHMA predicted relatively stronger demand for larger family homes over the short-term and a continuing market for family homes over the 25-year projection period. Existing stock is expected to make a significant contribution to meeting this demand as older households downsize and release larger family homes back onto the market. The SHMA also identified a number of housing challenges for the Isle of Wight, namely: ● Balancing the fact that 58% of the overall housing requirement are households who require some form of affordable housing, when the Council is only planning for 35%. ● Household projections show that the Island is expected to see a substantial increase in the older population with the total number of people aged 55 and over expected to increase by 40% from 2011–2036. In particular, a large rise is projected in the number of people with dementia (123% increase) along with an 88% increase in the number of people with mobility problems. ● Analysis of younger person households shows a high reliance on rented housing. Younger age cohorts may therefore be forced into private rented (including shared) housing as the only means of meeting their housing needs, aside from residing with parents. 3.4.3 Housing delivery The Council does not own its own housing stock therefore the affordable housing is owned and managed by the main housing associations operating on the Island: Southern Housing Group, Spectrum and Vectis. The private residential developer market on the Island is limited, with Barratt Homes being the only major housebuilder currently developing market housing at scale. However, recent Barratts developments have been sensitive to market conditions and arguably do not offer the design quality expected by the Council. The 2014 SHMA identified a need to deliver 589 additional homes per annum to 2036 in order to meet objectively-assessed needs. This includes a net requirement for 304 affordable homes per year over the plan period to enable households in need of affordable housing to access an affordable home. To date delivery has fallen slightly 24 C - 33
behind this target, although there is capacity to develop more homes on the Island, predominantly in the Medina Valley and Ryde. The market for self and custom-build housing on the Island could be developed to appeal to young families seeking more innovative solutions to owning their own home, particularly those attracted by the quality of place and new employment opportunities on the island. Overall, the development of different market housing typologies should be linked to the Island’s economic development plan and appeal to those skilled young people who are likely to be attracted to live and work on the Island as a result of a focus on the primary sectors, particularly high-tech industry. 3.4.4 Specialist housing Due to the high proportion of older people on the island and the ageing demographic profile, together with the known oversupply of residential care homes and undersupply of extra care housing, there is a pressing need for the Council to consider how it can facilitate the delivery of specialist housing for older people. Doing so will help reduce revenue costs for social services while also releasing under-occupied family homes in the affordable and market sectors. This is a huge opportunity for the Council and could lead to double bottom line improvements: income and revenue savings. An extra care housing strategy is currently in development by IWC and targeted for approval during December 2016. Given that in 2001 approximately 80% of older people on the Island were living in a home they owned, this strategy must consider how the Council can facilitate the development of extra care housing for private sale/rent and shared ownership, in addition to social rented provision. It should also explore opportunities for further integration of health and social care services through the provision of collocated extra care and step-down/rehabilitation facilities, in order to improve hospital discharge rates and prevent re-admissions to higher forms of care. Although the initial focus of the extra care strategy will be on older people, the specialist housing needs of adults with learning disabilities should also be considered using a similar strategic market-shaping approach, together with direct delivery where necessary. 25 C - 34
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