REDUCING INCOME DISPARITIES AND POLARIZATION - The Canada We Want in 2020 Towards a strategic policy roadmap for the federal government - Maytree
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The Canada We Want in 2020 Towards a strategic policy roadmap for the federal government NOVEMBER 2011 REDUCING INCOME DISPARITIES AND POLARIZATION
The Canada We Want in 2020 Towards a strategic policy roadmap for the federal government REDUCING INCOME DISPARITIES AND POLARIZATION PREFACE AND INTRODUCTION 1 WHY CANADIANS SHOULD CARE ABOUT INCOME INEQUALITY 7 Mark Cameron INCOME REDISTRIBUTION IN CANADA 14 Andrew Sharpe INEQUALITY IS NOT INEVITABLE Sherri Torjman and Ken Battle ABOUT CANADA 2020 Canada 2020 is a non-partisan, progressive centre working to create an environment of social and economic prosperity for Canada and all Canadians. Join the conversation at www.canada2020.ca
PREFACE MAKING STRATEGIC CHOICES GOVERNING IS ABOUT making choices. challenges the country faces, and mobilizing Sometimes the choices governments make consensus for action. In other words, we are strategic, the product of hard thinking believe that the federal government can be a to address major hurdles which coalesce at force for significant and positive change. a particular point in time. It is our belief that This does not mean big government. It Canada is at such a point in time today and it means intelligent, innovative, analytical and is for this reason that we have produced this strategic government. It could conceivably collection of papers to kick-start a discussion result in smaller government, focused on a about the role of the federal government in few big and important areas of policy that Canada. really matter to the country’s future. A serious public policy strategy for the country means doing less of some things, FIVE CHALLENGES FOR 2020 while focusing decisively and aggressively Today, Canada faces challenges and oppor- on a few important things. This requires in- tunities that are quite unprecedented in depth analysis of the really big challenges and our recent history, although they may seem opportunities facing the country. It requires rather opaque to most Canadians. Our abil- governments to be straight with Canadians ity to overcome these challenges – and seize about the risks and rewards that lie ahead, so the opportunities – will determine the future that citizens will buy into a clear direction set trajectory of Canada’s economy and society by government. over the next generation. Our standard of The orientation of this volume – indeed living and quality of life could well hang in the basic orientation of Canada 2020: the balance. This is why we need federal Canada’s Progressive Centre – is that the leadership. federal government has a vitally important Canada 2020 contends that there are five role to play in developing and implement- fundamental, inter-related challenges con- ing strategic policies, focusing governments fronting the country which require strategic and other institutions in society on the big political leadership and policy action from the federal government.
1 Increasing innovation and productivity successive federal governments have Productivity growth and innovation are made incremental attempts to broaden the sine qua non for economic prosper- and deepen Canada’s trade, investment ity. Canada’s lack of productivity growth and economic relationships with Asian has been a worrying feature of the econ- economies. Despite such efforts, Canada omy for decades. Since 1984, relative is not really on the map in China and productivity in Canada’s business sector India today, in stark contrast to many of has fallen from more than 90% of the U.S. our major competitors. level to 76% in 2007. There are no signs It is time for the federal government of things improving: quite the opposite to take a much bolder, more creative in fact. and aggressive approach to help deep- Since the 1990s, the federal govern- en Canadian ties with Asia and enable ment has been taking steps to try to Canadian businesses to take advantage reverse this trend, primarily by investing of unprecedented market opportuni- in university-based research and devel- ties in the region. We must leverage our opment and by cutting personal income unique strengths and advantages and and corporate taxes, the standard policy become an indispensible part of the new remedies for dealing with flagging pro- Asian century. ductivity performance. Yet Canada’s pro- ductivity growth has actually become 3 Squaring the carbon circle Canada has worse over the past decade. among the highest per capita levels of It is therefore time for a much more greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the aggressive, focused and creative federal world (although our total contribution to policy response to Canada’s productivity global GHG emissions is low as a result of growth and innovation challenge. Without the relatively small size of the Canadian this, we risk falling further behind and los- economy). High Canadian emissions are ing the revenues that enable us to sustain due in part to our unique geography and our standard of living. harsh climate, but also to a weak culture of conservation and inadequate policy 2 Rising to meet the Asia challenge The and regulatory regimes. global centre of economic power is Modest measures to reduce emis- inexorably shifting from the West to the sions have been implemented over the East. This trend has been underway for past decade. But these initiatives have twenty years, but it is now reaching a cre- been neither significant nor strategic; as scendo, partly as a result of the fiscal and a result they have had little to no effect economic problems plaguing Europe on Canada’s overall GHG emissions. and the United States. There is no better Canada is also fast becoming one of evidence of this shift in economic and the world’s leading fossil fuel producers financial power than the recent efforts by and exporters. It has even been suggest- the European Union to persuade China ed that Canada is “an energy superpow- to help prop up the teetering European er”, or at least can realistically aspire financial system. to that goal. With that title are likely to Canada has been on a slow boat to come increased emissions, at least in the China – indeed to Asia, more generally – absence of meaningful measures to com- for many years, notwithstanding the fact bat these. that we have some significant advan- As a G8 country, an original signatory tages over other countries in this region to the Kyoto Protocol on climate change, of the world. Over the past fifteen years, and one of the world’s largest per capita
carbon emitters, Canada has a moral Income polarization has not, up until responsibility to make progress on limit- now, been a big issue on the federal agen- ing GHG emissions (if for no other rea- da. Various reforms to federal income son than to set an example for the big security programs and the tax-transfer emitting countries). We are also at seri- system have been put in place over the ous risk of missing opportunities in the past twenty years, but these have not low-carbon economy of the future and been aimed at dealing with income polar- of becoming increasingly marginalized ization. It is time for the federal govern- economically if we fail to act. It is there- ment to analyze and consider the longer fore time for a serious, strategic effort, term effects of income polarization, and led by the federal government, to square to consider strategic policy reforms to Canada’s carbon circle and put in place head off a looming problem. policies that will significantly decrease our GHG emissions. 5 Securing our health system for the future Universal, high-quality healthcare has 4 Reducing income disparities and polar- been a defining feature of Canada and ization Income inequality has been a Canadian citizenship for 40 years. It is the creeping problem in Canada and other public service Canadians value most. Yet advanced economies for many years now. the general consensus among experts is The bottom two quintiles of the income that if we stick with the current funding/ scale have seen their market incomes administrative models and tax structure, decline, in real terms, since the early Medicare as we know it is not financially 1980s (though transfers have resulted sustainable. in some degree of after tax and transfer Healthcare costs have been rising sig- growth). At the same time, the top nificantly as a fraction of our national 1% of economic families have accu- income and as a share of government mulated an ever-increasing share of budgets (especially provincial budgets) Canada’s wealth. for a generation now. The basic causes Income inequality, a feature of all of healthcare inflation are well-known: market economies, is now giving way to expensive new technologies, procedures income polarization. While this phenom- and drugs that permit us to live longer, enon is still more acute in the US than in coupled with an aging society. Canada, some recent studies suggest the While healthcare delivery is a pro- gap between rich and poor – and between vincial responsibility, healthcare financ- the superrich and the middle class – is ing – paying for the system – has been now growing faster in Canada than in a dual responsibility, shared by fed- the US. eral and provincial governments, since Income polarization can have serious- the beginning of Medicare. In 2004, in ly perverse effects on the economy and on response to rising costs and pressures society. At an extreme, it can undermine on provincial treasuries, the federal gov- social cohesion, unravelling the fabric of a ernment announced a major increase in country. The Occupy Wall Street protests, federal fiscal transfers to the provinces and their analogue in other countries, for healthcare. With some $41 billion in including Canada, are one early sign of transfers for health over ten years, the the social discontent that can arise from 2004 Health Accord was billed “a fix for a income polarization and a growing per- generation”. Unfortunately, it has proven ception that the economy is not working to be little more than a stop-gap for a for most people. decade.
As we approach the end of the Health governments and politicians lack the ideas Accord in three years’ time, innovative, to address these issues. Perhaps it is because strategic policy approaches on health- of scepticism that the federal government care financing are urgently required. can really make a difference. Perhaps we We also need the federal government to have reached the limits of innovative public provide leadership on the organizational policy and governance. Or perhaps we are and accountability issues that underpin just avoiding the issues – in a collective state our health system in Canada. of denial – in the hopes that they will resolve themselves in an acceptable way through The scope of federal government activity incremental policy action. clearly extends well beyond these five issues. Whatever the cause, it is time for Canada But our belief is that informed, strategic to break out of this mindset. Many elements decision-making in these areas will go a long of Canadian society – the business com- way towards securing the Canada We Want in munity, NGOs, governments at all levels, 2020. educational institutions, and Canadian Our choice to address all the issues citizens generally – must work to address the together has two implications. First, we will, challenges. No single entity has the solution. as we move on, have an opportunity to exam- A collective effort is required. ine the links between areas (for example, the Our goal is to kick-start a strategic policy effect carbon policy will have on our trad- conversation throughout the country about ing relations or the links between income The Canada We Want in (or by) 2020. Such a inequality and productivity). Second, the conversation has not been evident to date in broad scope of issues will give us a chance to Parliament, in general elections, in political reflect more critically on the role of the state, party platforms, or in the media – indeed in and the effectiveness of policy in general in any of the places you would usually expect addressing the key issues of our time. to see it. The time for that conversation is now. Perhaps it will lead to a consensus KICK-STARTING THE CONVERSATION among political, business, academic and This volume contains 15 papers, three in other leaders in Canadian society that the each of the five areas identified above. We federal government needs to chart a strategic have brought together a group of authors, all direction for the country to secure Canada’s experts in their respective areas, and asked prosperity and the quality of life Canadians them to approach the issues from a strategic have come to expect. We present this volume policy standpoint. as a starting point. For this is what has been missing. The areas have all received attention in the past, but often not in a truly strategic way. Perhaps this lack of policy strategy and priority attention is due to the fact the tipping point has not yet been reached in any given area (although it is looming large in some, notably healthcare financing). Perhaps it is because
INTRODUCTION TO OUR PROJECT THIS VOLUME MARKS the culmination of In Phase 2 of the project we will stimulate Phase 1 of our project: The Canada We Want further conversations in each of our five in 2020. chosen areas. We will host a series of panel The overall aim of the project is to launch discussions and web-based exchanges that a debate about the role of the federal govern- draw on the papers in this volume. These ment in Canada. This publication is intended discussions will tease out areas of agreement to act as a focus for discussion and a core and disagreement and begin to focus on around which we can bring in ideas from implementation challenges. We expect to a wider range of people. It is, in this sense, conclude this phase by mid 2012. a starting point. Phase 3 will see us narrowing back down Canada 2020 has called on fifteen authors and reaching conclusions. Drawing on the to share their wide-ranging views in the materials from the previous phases, Canada five areas. Sometimes they agree on policy 2020 will produce a final, consolidated prescriptions, sometimes they disagree. But publication towards the end of 2012. This what all authors have in common is a belief document will summarize our conclusions in in the value of discussing the options and each of the five areas. It will take into account thinking strategically about the issues that recent changes and lay out proposed future Canada faces. strategies.
THE CANADA WE WANT IN 2020 WHAT YOU CAN DO Our aim is to draw as many viewpoints as possible into this project. There are several ways you can get involved: // Attend our series of panel discussions in 2012 // Check our website: download documents, watch interviews and webcasts and make comments // Contact us directly to arrange joint presentations or discussions Details are on our project site at: www.canada2020.ca Diana Carney Project Coordinator diana@canada2020.ca
REDUCING INCOME DISPARITIES AND POLARIZATION POVERTY REMAINS A SIGNIFICANT and grow- ing on services such as health and education: ing problem in Canada. Income polarization Sharpe’s own research shows these to have is also increasing steadily, to a degree that an important equalizing effect. Yet he would could threaten social cohesion. Since tech- like to move beyond these. He believes that nological advances and globalization both the federal government should capitalize on tend to increase inequalities as returns to the current heightened public concern about unskilled labour decline, this is a problem inequality – as evidenced by global protests – that will not go away in the absence of signifi- and take this opportunity to enact bold new cant policy action. It is also a problem, as our measures in favour of the less well-off. contributors stress, that is shared with many This is a problem that other developed countries, though recent increases in income inequality in Canada are will not go away in the absence towards the high end of the spectrum. Of the papers in this section, only one – of significant policy action that by Andrew Sharpe – suggests a signifi- cant rethink of the income support system that has been in place, with little change, for more than 20 years. Sharpe argues that our All authors are at pains to stress the criti- system should be underpinned by an equal- cal role that government taxes and transfers ity of opportunity agenda, in which greater play in mitigating inequality. The remaining efforts are made to smooth out both financial two papers in this section argue that these and human capital starting points. At pres- measures are – or could be – effective on their ent, by contrast, we have a system that takes own. Thus, rather than moving beyond these, unequal starting points as a given, focussing either in terms of rationale or actual mea- instead on correcting the subsequent excess- sures, the federal government simply needs es of market allocations. to increase the magnitude of the transfers it A key change under such a system would makes and/or to extend the number of peo- be the imposition of an inheritance tax. This ple who are eligible. move would bring Canada in line with almost Sherri Torjman and Ken Battle are highly all other developed countries. Sharpe does concerned with the dynamics of poverty and not advocate abolishing the existing system inequality which, they assert, matters in its of taxes and transfers. These would remain a own right, over and above its relationship vital pillar, as would continued public spend- with poverty. Mark Cameron’s paper also
THE CANADA WE WANT IN 2020 Torjman and Battle’s preferred vehicle Inequality matters for increasing federal government support to low and low-middle income Canadians in its own right, over and above is the Canada Child Tax Benefit (CCTB). Not only is this already in place, but it is (almost) its relationship with poverty universal. They also discuss the Working Income Tax Benefit (WITB) and call for this to be extended further upwards (in income notes the importance that we, as humans, terms). Cameron, on the other hand, favours attribute to fairness. His paper makes the the WITB over the CCTB, though recognizes case that even those on the right of the politi- the value of both. He also highlights the value cal spectrum, who believe in smaller govern- of those institutions in our country that foster ment and less intervention, should be ready “civic equality” (for example, the health sys- to do more to counter inequality. This is part- tem and public schools) and cautions against ly because in societies that begin to unravel piecemeal privatization of these which could due to social tensions arising from inequal- dangerously undermine equality of access. ity, increased government engagement is In short, though their starting points are likely to be required. To head this off, and diverse, all the contributors call for the federal to cater to our sense of fairness, the federal government to take deliberate steps to coun- government should therefore pre-emptively ter soaring inequality and ensure that the increase its redistributive efforts. Canada we want in 2020 is the Canada that less advantaged groups might want too. All authors are at pains to stress the critical role that government taxes and transfers play in mitigating inequality
WHY CANADIANS SHOULD CARE ABOUT INCOME INEQUALITY MARK CAMERON Mark Cameron has over Income inequality in Canada has increased wealth and income at the top of the socio- 15 years’ experience working over the past two decades, although the economic ladder increases dramatically, as in government, consulting and extent and effects of this widening inequality long as those at the middle or lower rungs industry, with a focus on public have become most apparent in the past are benefiting at least to a modest extent? policy. He has worked for several several years. The 2008 financial crisis, and Is relative inequality of income a problem MPs and Ministers, and in the the recession which followed it, led to job if everybody’s lot is improving at least Privy Council Office. He has and asset losses, especially among those in somewhat? also worked as a consultant lower income groups. Many people became Yes, relative inequality does matter, for on environmental and energy rapidly and abruptly aware of the precari- several reasons. Extreme income inequality, policy. From 2006 – 2009 he ousness of their financial position. even where the least well off are still served as Director of Policy Today, it is not only traditional voices making economic gains, can undermine and Research and Senior Policy on the left that are expressing alarm about the sense of social cohesion necessary for Advisor to the Prime Minister widening inequality: centrist and conser- a democratic society. Human nature is of Canada. He later worked vative voices from business leaders to the acutely sensitive to relative fairness and for Ontario Power Generation Conference Board of Canada have also positional status. We know from experi- and recently joined Research joined the conversation. But with a majority ments in psychology and behavioural In Motion as Director, Global Conservative federal government that is economics, such as the Ultimatum Game Public Policy. Mark was educated pursuing an agenda of fiscal retrenchment, developed by Werner Güth and others, at McGill University and the is income inequality an issue that could or that most people will reject an apparently University of British Columbia. should be on the short- or medium-term “unfair” distribution of rewards, even if federal agenda? I would argue that it is. rejecting it will make them personally 1 Güth, W., Schmittberger, It is worth asking, at the outset, why worse off. 1 Similarly, surveys show that W. & Schwarze, R. (1982) governments should concern themselves most people would rather live in a society “An Experimental Analysis with inequality at all. Obviously, a primary where they make $100,000 while everybody of Ultimatum Bargaining”. objective for governments is securing eco- else makes $85,000 than one in which they Journal of Economic Behavior nomic growth and ensuring that the whole make $110,000 while everybody else makes and Organization 3 (4), of society benefits from such growth. $200,000, even when it is clearly explained 367–388. Theoretically, should it then matter if that they will have higher purchasing 1
Changes in Gini coefficients from mid 1980s to mid-2000s 0.10 0.05 Australia Ireland France Turkey Greece Spain 0.00 New Zealand Finland Portugal United States Norway Germany Italy Sweden Canada Czech Republic Mexico OECD Hungary Japan Austria Belgium Netherlands Denmark Luxembourg United Kingdom - 0.05 - 0.10 SOURCE: OECD (2008) Growing Unequal?: Income Distribution and Poverty in OECD Countries. Figure 1 power, a larger house size, etc. in the second unity. It can delegitimize commerce and scenario, as compared to the first.2 business and invite destructive protectionism A society in which a small group is perceived and overregulation. Inequality, in short, is a con- to be benefiting unfairly, or where there are wide servative issue too.”3 gaps between social and economic classes, can So, if there are ample philosophical and lead to dissension, jealousy and anti-social practical grounds for both left and right to be behavior, even if the less well-off are still making concerned about income inequality, what do material gains. This, in turn, can lead to increas- we know about the state of income inequality es in crime, loss of participation in social and in Canada and its underlying causes? And what charitable organizations, and greater demands can we do to address this? 2 for government intervention to help deal with Choosing the right policy prescription Solnick, S. J. & Hemenway, these social tensions. Such a scenario should requires an accurate diagnosis, so it is important D. (1998) “Is More Always concern not only social democrats or liberals to understand what has caused increases to Better?: A Survey about who see equality as an important social goal inequality in Canada and elsewhere. Only then Positional Concerns”. in its own right, but also conservatives who are will we be able to identify measures that are like- Journal of Economic concerned about maintaining public support ly to be successful in addressing it. Behavior and Organization, for free markets and limited government. Inequality in market income has been grow- Vol. 37, 373-383. As conservative commentator David ing in almost all advanced economies for the 3 Frum has written, “Equality in itself past several decades as a consequence of eco- Frum, D. (2008) “The never can be or should be a conservative nomic globalization, technological change, Vanishing Republican goal. But inequality taken to extremes can reduced progressivity in taxation, and the shift Voter”. New York Times overwhelm conservative ideals of self- from an industrial to a service-based economy. Magazine, September 5, reliance, limited government and national Increased integration of the global economy 2008. 2 THE CANADA WE WANT IN 2020
Gini indexes using three measures of adjusted income 0.50 0.45 0.40 0.35 0.30 0.25 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 Market income Total income After-tax income SOURCE: Conference Board of Canada (2011) Canadian Income Equality. http://www.conferenceboard.ca/hcp/hot-topics/canInequality.aspx Figure 2 and rapid technological change have brought When looking at inequality data, it is import greater rewards for highly-skilled workers and to note that inequality can be measured both managers. Lower-skilled workers, by contrast, in terms of market incomes (before taxes have been forced to compete with workers and transfers) and disposable incomes (after in developing economies and have seen taxes and transfers). Focusing specifically on far smaller gains. While domestic policy can cer- Canada, we see from Figure 2 that inequalities tainly address tax and transfer issues which, in in market income grew rapidly in the 1990s, as turn, affect final income distribution, it is very did inequality in disposable incomes to a lesser difficult for any government to affect the broad- extent. Government policies have therefore er shifts in the global economy that affect mar- had some effect in dampening the increase in ket incomes. post-tax and transfer disposable incomes. Figure 1 shows changes in Gini coefficients However, Figure 3 shows that while (essentially the measure of what percentage of government policies became gradually more income redistribution would be necessary to redistributive from about 1980 through the eliminate all income inequality) in OECD coun- mid 1990s (so the difference between the Gini tries between the mid-1980s and mid-2000s. coefficient for market income distribution Income inequality has grown in the United and that for post tax and transfer income dis- States and Canada more quickly than the OECD tribution grew larger), during the late 1990s average, but most OECD countries have seen there was a considerable reduction in the level inequality increase. of redistribution. Taxes and transfers have 3
Difference between the Gini index using adjusted market income and adjusted after-tax income - 0.06 - 0.08 - 0.10 - 0.12 - 0.14 - 0.16 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 SOURCE: Conference Board of Canada (2011) Canadian Income Equality. Canadian Income Equality. http://www.conferenceboard.ca/hcp/hot-topics/canInequality.aspx Figure 3 reduced inequality, but the impact is now at least in the short term. But, as we have smaller. This is likely the result of the reduc- already seen, governments are in a position tion of federal transfer payments and the to address inequality in disposable income, subsequent reduction in provincial welfare especially through the tax and transfer programs (motivated by the desire for cost system. savings, but also a philosophical choice in The current government has, in fact, some provinces, as in the US, for welfare put in place modest measures that reduce reform). Redistribution through tax and transfers income inequality. Since 2006, the basic per- has leveled off since 2000 and both market sonal exemption has been increased, the income and disposable income inequality have Universal Child Care Benefit (UCCB) and remained relatively stable. Nonetheless, the Working Income Tax Benefit (WITB) have trend to greater inequality remains clear. been brought in, and the Goods and Services Tax (GST) was reduced – all measures that WITH THE SITUATION BECOMING WORSE, benefited low-income households (even if HOW SHOULD GOVERNMENTS RESPOND? many critics argued that the UCCB and GST The broad international trend to increased cut should have been designed more progres- inequality of market incomes in advanced sively). As a result of these measures, Statistics economies is likely beyond the capacity of Canada data shows that even while the market federal and provincial governments to address, income of households in the lowest income 4 THE CANADA WE WANT IN 2020
quintile dropped between 2005 and 2009, brought in the Universal Child Care Benefit, post tax and transfer disposable income for analogous to the old Family Allowance, and this group grew, and their relative share of restored a per child tax deduction. Some social disposable income remained constant. policy critics have argued that these measures, The government should be encouraged which are not targeted to lower income house- to continue in the directions it has set for holds, are regressive. However, restoring some itself, remaining cognizant of the impact of form of universal recognition of the social value of child-raising was an important – and politically The government should popular – objective of the current government which it will be loath to give up. But having continue to enhance the Working restored a degree of universality to the child benefit system, the government should ensure Income Tax Benefit that future increases are targeted more towards lower- and middle-income households through the Canada Child Tax Benefit (CCTB) tax and transfer changes on lower income and National Child Benefit Supplement. groups. In particular, the government should While enhancing existing programs such as continue to enhance the WITB. WITB and the CCTB are admittedly incremental The WITB, which was implement- measures that will only have a modest impact ed in 2007 and expanded in 2009, is one on income inequality, I believe this course of of the most important poverty reduction action makes the most sense at the present measures taken in recent years. It supple- time. As the government seeks to eliminate ments the incomes of low earners and helps the large fiscal deficit run up in response to remove disincentives to seeking paid work the recent recession – and with the recovery instead of remaining on social assistance still slow and uncertain – it is unlikely that any programs. As initially designed, however, WITB government would want to increase taxes was brought in at such a low level that it excluded dramatically in order to fund greater benefit many of the working poor. Enhancements increases. Instead, governments are more likely brought in in Budget 2009 will ensure that to be persuaded to build on programs they it will at least benefit anybody working have already initiated or enhanced, such as the full-time at minimum wage. Over time, the WITB and the CCTB. federal government should continue to extend Changes to taxes and benefits alone will not be able to turn around a 30-year international Governments should trend towards income inequality in advanced economies – although they can perhaps seek to enhance civic equality arrest the increase in inequality in disposable incomes. But governments should also keep in by emphasizing common mind other means of ensuring social cohesion by ensuring that people are treated as equals institutions and feel respected as equals, even if significant income disparities exist. As the American writer Mickey Kaus has argued, as economic dispari- WITB further up the income ladder, and prov- ties become harder to overcome with conven- inces should integrate their income support tional policy measures, governments should programs with Ottawa to increase its impact. move from policies that simply try to achieve The government should also continue to more equal distribution of income towards enhance child benefits. The current government policies that seek to enhance civic equality by 5
emphasizing common institutions where citi- represents an important component of social zens meet as equals, regardless of income.4 equality. Just as extreme income equality can In Canada, we are fortunate to have many undermine social cohesion, measures aimed at of these public institutions – such as public improving civic engagement can help citizens schools and a universal health care system. to interact as equals in key areas of public life While many have proposed reforms to health- and social services. care and education to reduce costs or improve As the economy recovers, the government efficiency, policy makers should keep in mind should pursue a mix of strategies. It should that these are institutions that help preserve increase benefits directed to the working poor social cohesion and social equality, and market- and low income families, significant enough oriented reforms to education and healthcare to ensure that the lowest income quintile should be structured in ways that do not allow continues to increase its level of disposable the better-off simply to buy superior services income in both absolute and relative terms, or exempt themselves from these important while also undertaking measures to enhance social institutions. civic equality by protecting important public Governments can also pursue other means institutions and enhancing a common sense of of promoting social cohesion and civic engage- citizenship. Through these measures Canada ment, whether through voluntary or military can ensure that the broader global trends service, or greater knowledge of and pride driving income inequalities do not under- in Canadian history and culture. The current mine Canada’s social compact and the sense of government has taken some steps in these civic equality that a free and democratic areas. It should also keep in mind that pro- society requires. moting the common values of citizenship 4 Kaus, M. (1992) The End of Equality. New York: Basic Books. 6 THE CANADA WE WANT IN 2020
INCOME REDISTRIBUTION IN CANADA ANDREW SHARPE Andrew Sharpe is Most developed countries have experienced This has hugely boosted the income of the Executive Director of the increased market income inequalities in top 1%, the income group that has been Ottawa-based Centre for the recent decades. A large number of factors driving, almost single-handedly, the recent Study of Living Standards, have been identified as contributing to this rise in inequality. Overly generous com- a non-profit research development. The decline in unionization pensation practices in the financial sector organization he founded in has meant that fewer workers enjoy the ben- have also contributed to the large increases 1995. Prior to this he was efits of collective bargaining, an equalizing in the incomes of top earners. Head of Research at the force in income distribution. Governments At a household level, increased assor- Canadian Labour Market and in many instances have failed to raise mini- tative mating, defined as the tendency for Productivity Centre and Chief, mum wages in line with overall wage gains, persons with similar education and qualifi- Business Sector Analysis, at disadvantaging the worst paid workers. cations to marry one another (a male doc- the Department of Finance. He Deregulation has often hurt certain groups tor who in the past married a nurse now is also founder and Editor of of workers such as truck drivers and air flight marries another doctor), has led to the rise the International Productivity attendants, as has privatization of public ser- in the number of high income two-earner Monitor and Executive vices. households. Director of the International At the same time, skill-biased techno- Association for Research logical change, related to the information THE IMPACT OF INCOME TRANSFERS AND in Income and Wealth. technology revolution, has reduced the TAXES ON INEQUALITY IN CANADA He received a PhD in overall demand for the services of the poor- The distribution of income in this country economics from McGill ly educated, and globalization has meant is greatly affected by government policy. University in 1982. that employers can now outsource produc- Statistics Canada produces estimates of tion to low-cost countries. This decreases income distribution based on three differ- the bargaining power of workers and so ent measures: (i) market income, defined as reduces their incomes further. earnings plus net investment income and At the other end of the spectrum, faulty private retirement income; (ii) total income, corporate governance oversight procedures which includes transfer payments; and (iii) have resulted in a massive rise in CEO com- after-tax income (which includes all taxes pensation relative to the average worker. and transfers). It is the after-tax distribution 7
Ratio of top to bottom quintile income in Canada, adjusted for family size Market income Total income After-tax income 1981 9.70 5.66 4.78 1989 10.26 5.60 4.57 2000 13.13 6.95 5.69 2009 14.28 7.06 5.64 Point change 1981–1989 0.6 -0.1 -0.2 1989–2000 2.9 1.3 1.1 1981–2000 4.6 1.4 0.9 1981–2009 1.1 0.1 0.0 Total Growth % 1981–2009 47.2 24.7 18.1 SOURCE: Statistics Canada (2011) Income in Canada 2009. Figure 1 that is the most relevant from the perspective the highest quintile (2.9%). The final, after-tax of private consumption, as it reflects the ratio between the top and bottom quintiles 1 inequality in access to marketed output. It was lower still at 5.64 to 1 or 40% of the A quintile is a portion of does not, however, reflect access to public market income ratio. Figure 2 shows the a frequency distribution services. Once this is factored in, we see a absolute figures for the various measures containing one-fifth of slightly different picture, as I explain below. of income for the year 2009. the total sample. The top In 2009, the ratio of the market income To track broad trends in income inequality, quintile represents the of the top quintile to the bottom quintile the Gini coefficient is a well-accepted indica- average adjusted income was 14.28 to 1.1 For every dollar of market tor. It reflects the dispersion of the income of the 20% of all economic income earned by a person in the bottom distribution, and its value ranges from zero families who recorded the quintile, a person in the top quintile to one. While a value of zero would indicate highest income; the bottom received $14.28 (Figure 1). Income trans- that income is equally divided among quintile is the same for those fers greatly boosted the total income of Canadians, a value of one would mean that with the lowest income. The those in the bottom quintile and reduced a single household receives all the income quintile distribution takes the top/bottom income ratio by one half in the economy. Therefore, when income into account only economic to 7.06 to 1. This is the result of the high inequality increases, the Gini coefficient goes families (not unattached government transfer rate for the lowest up and vice versa. individuals) and is adjusted quintile (amounting to 52.0% of adjusted The Gini coefficient tells the same story for changes in family size total income of this quintile) compared to about the impact of transfers and taxes over time. 8 THE CANADA WE WANT IN 2020
Adjusted income by quintile for economic families, 2009 $120,000 105,900 $100,000 102,800 $80,000 82,900 $60,000 57,600 52,800 48,800 $40,000 41,600 36,800 15,000 35,800 14,700 28,400 26,500 7,200 $20,000 20,900 0 Bottom quintile Second quintile Third quintile Fourth quintile Top quintile Market income Total income After-tax income SOURCE: Statistics Canada (2011) Income in Canada 2009. Figure 2 on income inequality. In 2009, the Gini quintiles grew by around 18%, the income coefficient for market income was 0.515. of the middle quintiles grew by around 25%, When income transfers were included, it but the incomes of the top quintile grew dropped by 16.5% (0.085 points) to 0.430. by close to 40%. With taxes factored in, it was an additional Figure 1 shows the extent to which taxes 0.036 points lower at 0.394, a further 7.0% and transfers have reduced market income decline. Income inequality as expressed inequality over the period 1981 to 2009. by the after-tax Gini coefficient was thus In 1981 the low to high quintile ratio of roughly three quarters (76.5%) of the level income after taxes and transfers was 4.78, of inequality for market income. or about half what it would have been for market income (9.7). By 2009 these figures HOW HAVE REDISTRIBUTIVE had switched to 5.64 (after taxes and trans- MEASURES CHANGED OVER TIME? fers) and 14.28 (market). In simple terms, Between 1981 and 2009 inequality in Canada then, after-tax income inequality rose by grew, according to both measures (top to 18.1% over this period while market income bottom quintile ratio and the Gini coefficient). inequality rose by 47.2%. Redistribution Figure 3 shows that the real market incomes measures had more of an effect on the lowest of the bottom two quintiles actually fell over quintile in 2009 than they did in 1981. But this period, while that of the top quintile rose such measures were not strong enough by 43.2%. When taxes and transfers are taken fully to offset the sharp increase in market into account the incomes of both the bottom inequality that took place over this period. 9
Percentage change in income for economic families 1981 – 2009 50 % 43.9 43.2 40 % 38.9 30 % 25.4 23.9 23.1 20 % 19.5 19.2 17.8 17.6 15.4 12.3 10 % 11.5 -2.7 -3.2 0% -10 % Bottom quintile Second quintile Third quintile Fourth quintile Top quintile Market income Total income After-tax income SOURCE: Statistics Canada (2011) Income in Canada 2009. Figure 3 Gini coefficients for the time tell a similar to 9.9% between 1982 and 2007. This means tale. Canada was a more unequal society in that 1% of Canadian households command 2 terms of income distribution in 2009 than nearly 10% of our total income, a trend Heisz (2007) reached a it was in 1981, but it would have been far towards income polarization that is at once similar conclusion for the more unequal without the greater redistrib- alarming and very public. Such accu- 1981 – 2004 period. While utive role of the state.2 Nonetheless, there mulation at the top has almost certainly governments are now doing was still a significant increase in after-tax contributed to the perception that overall more on the redistributive income inequality in this country over the inequality has risen more than is in fact front relative to 1981 – as period: government could have done, and the case. This is something that needs gauged by their impact on could be doing, more to offset rising mar- to be accorded special attention in the after-tax income relative to ket inequalities. development of future federal government market income – an OECD As noted, the top 1% of earners have redistributive policies. study found that the extent accumulated massive sums in recent years. of this redistribution effort The market income share of the top 1% A BROADER APPROACH has diminished since 1994 of super-rich households increased 5.9 TO REDISTRIBUTION (OECD, 2008). This decline percentage points from 7.7% in 1982 to Discussions of redistribution are generally has been largely driven 13.8% in 2007, accounting for the entire framed in terms of government taxes and by the declining role of increased income share for the top quintile transfer payments and the effect of these on transfers such as welfare as a whole.3 The after-tax income share of various income groups. But the issues are payments and employment the top 1% increased 3.4 points from 6.5% much broader. The discussion can be extended insurance. 10 THE CANADA WE WANT IN 2020
to include government spending on public top four income quintiles, and was much goods, such as education and health, and weaker in the bottom quintile, largely due how this is distributed between groups. It to differential rates of enrollment in post- can also take in other breakdowns of the secondary education. population such as by age group, educational This broader approach to redistribution attainment level, and region. highlights the important redistributive role played by government spending on goods Erosion of public and services such as health and education. Public services are therefore an essential services will tend to element of the redistributive effort of gov- ernment. Erosion of public services will thus increase inequality tend to increase inequality, something that is not often at the forefront of discussion when cuts are proposed. The Centre for the Study of Living Another interesting fact that comes Standards (CSLS) has recently released a to light when taking a broader view of report that provides such a broader analysis of distribution issues is that the largest the net redistributive effects of government redistribution in Canada, in terms of net taxation and total spending.4 It found that government expenditure, actually takes in 2005, the latest year for which data are place across generations, not income available, net government expenditures groups. In 2005, households headed by in Canada were $2,557 (2000 US dollars) a person 65 or over received, on aver- per household, consisting of $11,653 in age, net government spending of $24,091, government transfers i.e. income support compared to $-2,452 for households with a programs, $9,306 in public consumption (e.g. head aged below 65. This situation reflects education, health), and -$18,401 in taxes. A the Old Age Security and Guaranteed household in the bottom income quintile Income Supplement payments made to received $4,245 in net government expendi- seniors, the higher healthcare expenditures ture, in the second lowest quintile $6,065, in for this group, and the lower taxes paid, the middle quintile $7,588, in fourth quintile reflecting lower income. $4,707, and in the top quintile -$9,821. This generational redistribution is a 3 Veall, M. (2010) “Top It is notable that it is the middle quintile, normal part of the implicit contract Income Shares in Canada: not the bottom quintile, that benefits the between the state and the population, Updates and Extension”. most from net government spending and whereby persons pay taxes during their Working Paper Department that it is the top quintile that benefits the working lives and then receive significant of Economics, McMaster least (largely because of the higher taxes income support and health benefits during University. paid by households in this quintile). the latter part of their lives. However, this (http://worthwhile.typepad. Different types of government expenditure aspect of overall redistribution can easily com/veall.pdf) programs have different redistributive be forgotten. There is a tendency for people impacts. For example, absolute spending on to believe that most of the contributions 4 Sharpe, A., Murray, A., healthcare was found to be similar across they are paying to redistributive efforts Evans, B. & Hazell, E. (2011) income groups, implying an equalizing favour the poorest income groups, when “The Levy Institute Measure effect on the overall income distribution, in fact they mostly favour the old (there is of Economic Well-being: given that this spending represents a much of course some overlap between these Estimates for Canada, 2000 greater share of the broadly-defined income two groups). and 2005”. CSLS Research of the poor than of the rich. In contrast, Report 2011-09. education spending was concentrated in the 11
POLICY RESPONSES // Intergenerational inequality Fundamental changes have occurred in Unlike most other developed coun- the Canadian labour market, and in society tries, including the United States, in general, in recent decades due to global- Canada does not have an inheritance ization and technological change. During tax in place. The introduction of such this time, redistribution policies have played a tax could contribute significantly to a key role in reducing income inequality in greater equality of opportunity in this Canada. However, the tax/transfer system country and should have a moderating should do still more to ensure that the after-tax effect on market income inequalities distribution of income in this country down the line. Critical implementation remains within a socially acceptable range. issues include the income threshold The system must evolve to keep up with at which the tax kicks in (people with the changing economic environment. In a relatively modest estates should not recent paper Robin Boadway from Queen’s be affected) and how to minimize tax University has cogently argued that the avoidance possibilities for the rich. redistributive role of the tax/transfer system in Canada is inadequate and needs rethink- // Post-secondary education ing.5 He points out that the rate structure of There are a number of market fail- the tax system as a whole has considerably ures associated with post-secondary flattened, especially at the provincial level, education. Education is a particularly and that transfers to the least advantaged, risky form of investment: low income such as those on welfare, have worsened individuals are subject to liquidity significantly over the last 30 years. In his view, constraints because of the difficulty of an equitable tax transfer system should borrowing against future human capi- redistribute so as to compensate for the (dis) tal, and persons from disadvantaged advantages with which people are endowed backgrounds are poorly prepared to suc- “through the luck of birth” (page 176). ceed. Government policies are needed Boadway argues for an equality of to address these market failures. This opportunity agenda. This would be a sig- would, in turn, help reduce inequality as nificant modification of the system that we more people from lower quintiles would currently have in place, which is largely be able to access the type of educa- focused on outcomes and smoothing tion that enables them to move up the the excesses of market allocations, with income ladder. Potential policies in relatively little regard for starting points. this areas include greater sheltering of Boadway focuses particularly on inter- investment in human capital through generational inequality and access to post- the tax system (for example, a wider secondary education. range of deductions for expenditures linked to education), a fully-funded 5 income-contingent student loan system, Boadway, R. (2011) and more grants to students from low “Rethinking Tax-Transfer income families. Policy for 21st Century Canada” in Gorbet, F. & Sharpe, A. (eds.) New Directions for Intelligent Government in Canada: Papers in Honour of Ian Stewart. Ottawa: CSLS. 12 THE CANADA WE WANT IN 2020
A reasonable degree of equality is widely expanded and the contribution that the rich regarded as a key societal goal. Given make to achieving greater equality of out- the inherent tendencies of the market to comes should be increased. Public services generate inequality, it is important that that benefit all citizens, such as public transit, government intervene through redistribu- should be further developed. Measures that tive policies to offset market forces and promote equality of opportunity, such as ensure that income inequalities remain inheritance taxes and better access to post- within socially acceptable limits. These secondary education for the poor, should policies take three forms. First, tax/transfer also be implemented. policies drive a wedge between market and The Occupy Wall Street movement post-tax income shares. Second, government has focused the attention of the world on spending on public goods and public growing inequality. Many political leaders, services such as education and health is including the Governor of the Bank of profoundly equalizing (something that Canada and the Minister of Finance, have needs to be clearly recognized as we plan for expressed sympathy with the issues identi- the future of such services). Third, equality fied by this movement. This situation provides of opportunity can temper the growth of an historic opportunity for Canadians market inequalities in the first place. to rethink our approach to addressing The way forward for Canada to become inequality. A national debate on how gov- a more equal society must include all three ernments in Canada can most effectively policy approaches. Programs that are effective redistribute income to prevent growing in assisting disadvantaged groups should be inequalities is urgently needed. REFERENCES Heisz, A. (2007) “Income Inequality and Redistribution in Canada: 1976 to 2004”. Statistics Canada Analytical Studies Research Paper 298. OECD (2008) Growing Unequal: Income Distribution and Poverty in OECD Countries. Paris: OECD. Sharpe, A. & Ross, C. (2011) “The Living Standards Domain of the Canadian Index of Well-being: An Update”. CSLS Research Report 2011-15. 13
INEQUALITY IS NOT INEVITABLE SHERRI TORJMAN AND KEN BATTLE Here’s the bottom line: the kids and paying the rent, in the trenchant Sherri Torjman is Vice- // Poverty and inequality matter. words of Mel Hurtig.2 President of the Caledon // Governments play a vital role At last count, in 2009, close to 3.2 million – Institute of Social Policy. She in tackling poverty and inequality. one in 10 Canadians – lived on a low income. has written in the areas of // The federal government holds the key This national average masks the fact that welfare reform, customized levers, which are already in place. certain groups (including aboriginal people, training, disability income and recent immigrants and persons with dis- supports, the social dimension POVERTY MATTERS abilities) face an even greater risk of poverty. of sustainable development Canada has established a reputation Not surprisingly, the poverty rate rises and and community-based poverty throughout the world as a peace-loving and falls with the economic tides, as illustrated reduction. In 2006 she authored stable nation. Inside our borders, an equally by Figure 1, which shows the close corre- the book Shared Space: The bright image emerges. A recent survey by spondence between the low income and Communities Agenda. She has the Centre for the Study of Living Standards unemployment rates. advised the government on (CSLS) found that most Canadians consider The undulating ups and downs of the tax measures for people with themselves happy – or very happy – with poverty waves are enough to make you sick; at disabilities as well as on childcare their lot in life.1 On July 1 this year, Maclean’s least that is the conclusion of a burgeoning and disabilities more generally. released an article on why it is a great time to body of international evidence. Of all the In 2010 Sherri was a recipient be living in Canada. hazards of life below the poverty line, none of the Top 25 Canadians Award Unfortunately, all this sunshine fails to so dramatically separates low-income from the Canadian Association cast light on a serious problem lurking just Canadians from the rest of society as the of Retired Persons. below the sparkling surface. health gap. People living on low incomes Far too many Canadians do not count have a shorter average lifespan and run a 1 themselves among the happy campers. These greater risk of illness and disability than CSLS (2011) “Happiness are the families that live in poverty. These are those with more money. as a Goal for Public Policy: the households that spend higher than aver- The struggle to live on an inadequate Ready for Primetime?” age proportions of their income on food, income increases the scope, frequency and CSLS Research Note 2011-1. clothing and shelter. Every day is a struggle severity of stress for families, thereby raising (http://www.csls.ca/notes/ just to get by. They choose between feeding parents’ and children’s susceptibility to a Note2011-1.pdf) 14 THE CANADA WE WANT IN 2020
Low income rate and unemployment rate, 1976 – 2009 16 % 14 % 12 % 10 % 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 SOURCE: Statistics Canada Low income rate Unemployment rate Ken Battle is President of the Figure 1 Caledon Institute of Social Policy. wide range of physical, psychological and study in Britain put its price tag at an annual Before founding Caledon in 1992, social problems. The relationship between £25 billion or 2% of GDP. Here at home, he was Director of the National income level and all these types of risk is federal and provincial governments across Council of Welfare, a citizens’ typically strong and inverse. Canada lose between $8.6 billion and advisory body to the Minister The effects of poverty are felt very early in $13 billion in income tax revenue to poverty of National Health and Welfare. life. The odds of never seeing a first birthday every year.3 Ken was educated at Queen’s are worse for low-income babies in general University and the University and aboriginal infants in particular. Low INEQUALITY IS DIFFERENT of Oxford, and has taught at birth weight is an important predictive indi- FROM POVERTY: IT MATTERS TOO both Queen’s and Carleton. He cator of troubled childhood development Poverty is not, however, the only concern. It has advised the federal govern- and poor adult health. is closely linked to – but remains separate and ment on key issues of social But poor means more than just poor distinct from – the related problem of inequality: policy. Ken was awarded the health. Poverty is a serious and stubborn the gap in the average incomes of rich and Order of Canada in 2000 and the problem, imposing heavy social, economic poor households. Over the past quarter- Saskatchewan Distinguished and personal costs that affect all Canadians. century, earnings of the wealthy in Canada Service Award in 2004. Low incomes lead to lost opportunities for grew by 16% while those of the poor actually individuals, the economy and society. The dropped by 21%. The only positive note in this 2 Hurtig, M. (2000) Pay the Rent persistence of low incomes means that story is that inequality would be much worse or Feed the Kids? Toronto: governments are called on for higher social in the absence of government measures in the McClelland & Stewart. spending while the tax revenue that is needed form of redistributive social programs, and to fund the very programs that are aimed progressive taxes and benefits. 3 All these studies are cited at preventing and reducing low income The numbers tell a powerful story. An in Ontario Association of is foregone. exhaustive body of evidence from around Food Banks (2008) The Cost A US report estimated that child poverty the world shows the wide-ranging negative of Poverty: An Analysis of the in that country costs $500 billion a year – or impact of extreme inequality. Economic Cost of Poverty in 4% of GDP – in increased crime, reduced Research on health inequalities and the Ontario (see pages 7 and 17). productivity and poor health. A similar social determinants of health has found that 15
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