Radiocarbon Measurement Network in Europe - DWD
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COSMO-GHG Simulations of 14C to Support the Design of a Radiocarbon Measurement Network in Europe Michael Jähn1,a and Dominik Brunner1 (1) Swiss Federal Laboratories for Materials Science and Technology (Empa), Dübendorf, Switzerland (a) Now at: ETH Zürich, Center for Climate Systems Modeling (C2SM), Switzerland ICCARUS 2021, Online Poster Presentation 10 March 2021 ICCARUS 2021, 10 March 2021 | michael.jaehn@env.ethz.ch
Radiocarbon (14C) in the Atmosphere Problem: CO2 signals from fossil fuel combustion are difficult to distinguish from biospheric CO2 signals Can additional tracers like 14CO2 and CO help discriminate between anthropogenic and biospheric CO2? How should a ground-based measurement network of these tracers be designed? Wang et al. (2016) ICCARUS 2021, 10 March 2021 | michael.jaehn@env.ethz.ch 2
COSMO-GHG Modeling Setup and Tracers COSMO-GPU with greenhouse gas (GHG) extension Origin Process Tracer Region Number names split of tracers European Domain, 5.5 km grid spacing Anthropogenic Fossil fuels CO2_FF Yes 6 Input data pre-processed on modeling domain (1 h CO_FF 6 Biofuels CO2_BF Yes 6 temporal resolution) C14_BF 6 Simulated trace compounds: CO2, 14CO2 and CO CO_BF 6 Nuclear power plants C14_NUC Yes 6 January and July 2015 simulated (hourly output data) Biosphere GPP/NPP CO2_GPP Yes 6 Tagged tracers by region, source and background tracers C14_NPP 6 C14_NPN 6 Respiration CO2_RA Yes 6 C14_HR 6 Ocean Sources CO2_O_P No 1 (positive flux: "_P") CO2_O_N 1 CO_O_P 1 Sinks CO_O_N 1 (negative flux: "_N") C14_O_P 1 C14_O_N 1 IC/BC Background concentration CO2_BG No 1 from outside of domain C14_BG 1 CO_BG 1 SUM 75 No C14_FF tracer is needed since δ14CO2 = -1000 ‰ for fossil fuel processes and [1] the corresponding CO2-tracers can be used for the computation during post-processing. ICCARUS 2021, 10 March 2021 | michael.jaehn@env.ethz.ch 3
Instantaneous Model Output of 14CO2 Tracers Background Anthropogenic Ocean + Biosphere ICCARUS 2021, 10 March 2021 | michael.jaehn@env.ethz.ch 4
Variations of Fossil Fuel CO2 and CO Near-surface standard deviation ratios Std-ratio CO2,fossil/14CO2,total for most terrestrial areas close to 100% in January 2015 Jan 2015 Distinctly lower values located near nuclear power plants More complex situation in July due to biospheric activity (above 90% in Central and eastern Europe, significantally less in other regions) Std-ratio CO,fossil/CO,total high Jul 2015 in densely populated and industrial areas Fossil fuel contribution to variations in CO much lower compared to 14CO2 ICCARUS 2021, 10 March 2021 | michael.jaehn@env.ethz.ch 5
Source Separation at Milan, Italy (Urban Station) Jul Jan 2015 2015 Emissions from fossil fuels dominate 14CO2 signal HR and biofuels add up to a non-negligible contribution to 14CO (even more pronounced for rural stations) CO2 also dominated by fossil fuels, but not as much as 2 14CO Biospheric signals in CO2 significantly larger than fossil fuel 2 Biofuels = important source of CO emissions CO = attractive fossil fuel tracer in summer if background concentration can be separated ICCARUS 2021, 10 March 2021 | michael.jaehn@env.ethz.ch 6
Recommendations for the Surface Network Fossil fuel signals much larger in winter compared to summer more prominent contribution in 14CO2, CO2 and CO variability Emission signal at certain station mostly dominated by the region it is located in Long-range transport from neighboring regions plays an inferior role Nuclear power plant emissions can have significant effect on radiocarbon measurements (only in close proximity and during periods when the plume reaches the station) Radiocarbon Extremely valuable tracer of fossil fuel CO2 emissions Winter: 90% - 100% 14CO2 variability by fossil fuel emissions Summer: 70% - 80% 14CO2 variability by fossil fuel emissions Carbon monoxide Particularly valuable tracer of fossil fuel emissions during summer (reduced use of biofuels) However not true during periods of biomass or agricultural waste burning Large-scale variations in background CO to be separated from smaller-scale variations in fossil fuel CO High-frequency tracer to apply a time interpolation between (weekly) 14C measurements ICCARUS 2021, 10 March 2021 | michael.jaehn@env.ethz.ch 7
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