Power of Poland - why now is the time to re-evaluate its trading potential - Dina Lašová (PXE), Head of Sales and Customer Relations | Katharina ...
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Power of Poland – why now is the time to re-evaluate its trading potential „ Dina Lašová (PXE), Head of Sales and Customer Relations | Katharina Niciejewska (EPEX SPOT), Expert Key Account Manager
Brief Look Back I. What made Poland unattractive for trading Island within the integrated EU market Low cross-border trading capacities were offered Significant share of state owned incumbents Regulatory interventions e.g. Obligation to sell 100% of production using the Polish exchange Poland became from natural exporter the most isolated and expansive market in Europe – Polish price pattern was historically very different from the rest of Europe Low International presence Attempts by the government to control the power production made most of the international utilities sell the assets and leave The majority of market players are Polish companies Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EEX AG, 2021
Brief Look Back II. What made Poland unattractive for trading Fossil fuels fired production Aging of conventional assets Problems with financing – banks pulling out of the fossil fuels related business Long-term trading and hedging very difficult Historically very untransparent coal market Almost impossible to get coal price for more than two years ahead The power prices, therefore, not available for CAL plus 2 Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EEX AG, 2021 3
Why Poland, Why Now I. unlocking the potential – why is Poland attractive now Market size Almost 150 TWh generation / over 160 TWh consumption - No. 3 / 4 in Europe The full market potential est. 200 TWh EPEX now in Poland – platform efficiency market is opening up to international traders again Offers spot index in EUR => equivalency to the market in terms of harmonized currency Upcoming market coupling Supports the EU market integration Eliminates the lack of cross – border capacities Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EEX AG, 2021 4
Power generation and consumption overview Source: Entsoe Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EEX AG, 2021 5
Why Poland, Why Now II. unlocking the potential – why is Poland attractive now Overall changes in the European market German nuclear and coal exit announced till end of 2022 => increase of the overall cross border trading across Europe, affecting Poland as a neighbouring country to Germany Transition from fossil fuels towards renewables Volatility and incomparable trading opportunities New volume coming from the PPA‘s hedges … yes it is already happening Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EEX AG, 2021 6
Deals on Polish Power market in 2021 Trade Dat Product Trade Lots (in Initial Margin (in Trade Volume (in Notional Value • 50 MW of long-term products e Price MW) EUR) MWh) were traded on Polish Power 03.02.2021 CAL 2022 58,50 € 5 200 166,00 € 43 800 2 562 300,00 € market in the beginning of 04.02.2021 CAL 2022 58,80 € 20 800 664,00 € 175 200 10 301 760,00 € 2021, with an initial margin 05.02.2021 CAL 2022 59,10 € 10 400 332,00 € 87 600 5 177 160,00 € requirement of 1 808 382 EUR 05.02.2021 CAL 2023 58,30 € 10 290 832,00 € 87 600 5 107 080,00 € • The Initial Margin 08.02.2021 CAL 2024 58,75 € 5 116 388,00 € 43 920 2 580 300,00 € percentage of the notional SUM 50 1 808 382,00 € 438 120 25 728 600,00 € value of the trades was 7% 2000000 200000 1800000 180000 Traded Volume [MWh] Open Interest [MWh] 1600000 160000 1400000 140000 1200000 120000 1000000 100000 800000 80000 600000 60000 400000 40000 200000 20000 0 0 2/1/2019 5/1/2019 8/1/2019 11/1/2019 2/1/2020 5/1/2020 8/1/2020 11/1/2020 2/1/2021 Open interest MWh Traded Volume MWh Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EEX AG, 2021 7
EEX Group Derivatives Offering for Polish Market Polish financial settled Futures with the following maturities: Financial Power EURO } Futures denominated Day Day Day Day 1 … … 31 Short Exchange Financial Wknd Wknd futures 1 2 coming Trading fulfillment soon Week Week Week Week Week & Trade & cleared 1 2 3 4 5 Registration by ECC Month Month Month Month Month Month Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Quarter QuarterQuarterQuarter Quarter Quarter Quarter 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Yes, we have a market maker - very warm welcome and thank you for Year Year Year Year Year Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 support, Sebastian! Product Code: FP{B,P}{M,Q,Y}, Trayport ID: 10012621 (base); 10012623 (peak) Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EEX AG, 2021 8
Location Spreads CSEE PXE Czech - PXE Polish DE Power - PXE Polish PXE Czech - PXE Slovak DE Power - PXE Czech PXE Slovak - PXE Polish DE Power - PXE Slovak PXE Slovak - PXE HU DE Power - PXE Hungarian DE Power - PXE Serbian PXE HU - PXE Romanian PXE HU - EEX Greek PXE HU - PXE Serbian EEX Italian - PXE HU PXE HU - PXE Slovenian EEX Italian – EEX Greek PXE HU - PXE Bulgarian EEX Italian – PXE Slovenian EEX Italian – PXE Serbian Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EEX AG, 2021
Why Poland, Why Now and Why with EEX Group The Home of Power Trading Easy Access and Proven Track Record Standardization - Building markets - Common clearing house together worldwide - Cross-margining effects - Platform efficiency - Established processes - Local presence Trading Community Trust in our Product - Diversified member base - Utilities, hedge funds, - Open interest up to banks, trading companies 2025 - Financial futures - Credible price signal trading possible without market-entry barriers Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EEX AG, 2021 Graphics provided by Slidesgo and Freepik
Other Services available at EEX Group EEX Group DataSource EEX Transparency Platform – central Market data for Power, Natural Gas, Inside Information Platform Environmental Markets, Agricultural Markets, Since 1st January 2021, power and gas market Global Commodities participants must report their inside information via an EEX transparency data for Power, Natural IIP to achieve effective disclosure Gas, Environmental Markets, Renewables What can EEX Transparency Platform offer: Various connectivity alternatives available Effective and timely data publication on a providing real-time, delayed and end-of-day central IIP data Automatic data forwarding to ACER and Customized solutions on a white-labelled where additionally needed to NRAs and EEX website ENTSO-E Report efficiently and easily with the EEX Check it out on www.eex.com / Market Data / Inside Information Messenger (web-based) EEX Group DataSource or connect directly to our web service API For more information please contact support@eex-transparency.com Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EEX AG, 2021 11
Thank you very much for your attention. Dina Lašová, Head of Sales and Customer Relations, Power Exchange Central Europe, Prague lasova@pxe.cz
EPEX SPOT Power for Today. Power for Tomorrow. Join us in Poland April 2021 Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EPEX SPOT, 2021
Agenda 1. Introducing the Polish market and EPEX SPOT offer 2. Day-Ahead auction 3. Clearing & settlement services 4. Transparency & market data services 5. How to get started for trading in Poland – Sign up to trade – Try for free! Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EPEX SPOT, 2021
Introducing the Polish market and EPEX SPOT offer Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EPEX SPOT, 2021
Polish power market update 1. Fuel mix and pricing situation Power production mainly (>60%) based on hard coal and lignite, making Poland one of the most expensive markets in Europe. Incredible pace of PV development ca. 9% per month (more than double last few years). Annual energy consumption >150 TWh. 2. Current and future market setup Day-Ahead Polish market coupled in the SDAC via the Baltic cable – Multi-NEMO Arrangements went live in February 2021. EPEX SPOT bringing its pan-European membership to Poland – bringing increased diversity of interests to the market. The Interim ATC Market Coupling project is foreseen for June 2021 and will include the Poland-Germany and Polish Southern borders. This means that as of this market coupling go-live, Poland will be directly coupled with Germany/MRC and the 4MMC region into a single pan-European auction at 12:00 CET (4MMC auction is currently held at 11:00 CET). Read more here. CORE Flow-Based Market coupling go-live is expected in 2022; Intraday Polish market has been coupled in the SIDC since 2019. 3. Obligation to trade through an exchange Today, all large power producers (>50MW installed capacity, RES and CHPs exempted) must sell all its production through a power exchange. There are ongoing discussions regarding whether or not to abandon this obligation Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EPEX SPOT, 2021 16
Our one-stop-shop offering DAY-AHEAD INTRADAY FUTURES MARKET AUCTION CONTINUOUS AFTER-MARKET Years/Quarters/Months One day Until delivery After delivery before delivery before delivery HEDGE fluctuations Value PRODUCTION Value FLEXIBILITY Manage IMBALANCES CONSUMPTION Integrated & Secure Clearing Solution RICHEST REMIT TRANSPARENCY MARKET DATA OFFER REPORTING SERVICES (UMM,…) Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EPEX SPOT, 2021 17
EPEX SPOT market trends Proven technical 615 TWh performance Largest Intraday market in Europe with traded in 2020 on all spot markets adapted to new market behaviour 111 TWh DAILY AVERAGE NUMBER OF traded in 2020 SUBMITTED ORDERS (THOUSANDS) — — +4% Y2Y +21% Y2Y 300+ Trading Success of 15-min products — 26% of German intraday volumes traded on Members 15-min contracts in 2020 — 13 markets operated 26% Jan ’17 Nov ’20 Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EPEX SPOT, 2021 18
Continued growth on the Polish Day-Ahead market Day-Ahead MWh EPEX SPOT Traded Volume in Poland 227.4 GWh 8,000.00 traded in total since 7,000.00 go-live 6,000.00 5,000.00 4,000.00 3,000.00 2,000.00 EPEX SPOT went 1,000.00 live on 9 Feb 2021 in Poland 0.00 Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EPEX SPOT, 2021 19
Polish MRC Day-Ahead Innovating the Polish auction (at 12:00 CET) Intraday continuous Benefit from Single robust Day-Ahead — price is fully preserved Liquidity from day 1 fully secured with SIDC — Based on the Polish Multi-NEMO Arrangements, API access with best-in-class API solutions a single regional Day-Ahead price is secured amongst all NEMOs Most performant Intraday market Benefit from Advanced order types to support smart trading — — Liquidity from day 1 guaranteed API access with best-in-class API solutions • Immediate or cancel (IOC) • Fill or Kill (FOK) Unique products fitting the Polish energy mix • All or None (AON) Physical Fulfillment of EEX derivative contracts • Baskets and Baskets linked FOK • Iceberg orders (targeted in 2021) Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EPEX SPOT, 2021 20
Day-Ahead auction Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EPEX SPOT, 2021
Unique blocks to perfectly fit your energy mix Orders types — Linked blocks • Loop blocks to optimize your storage facilities • Curtailable blocks providing additional flexibility to thermal units • Linked blocks to sophisticate your optimization strategy • Large blocks to value large assets Curtailable blocks Coal Polish forecast share of energy Renewables & Waste sources Natural gas (2020) Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EPEX SPOT, 2021 22
How does EPEX SPOT’s Day-Ahead Auction offer compare against competitors’ A superior offer in terms of blocks volume EPEX SPOT Competition 800 MW 500 MW 300 MW None Volume of classic blocks Volume of big blocks Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EPEX SPOT, 2021 23
Clearing & Settlement Services Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EPEX SPOT, 2021
One clearing setup with ECC for all of your markets Safe & Cost Efficient Solutions — Strong protection against counterparty risks • Default-fund and five lines of defense • EMIR-certified clearing model — Fast and safe financial settlement • D+1 settlement cycle for both Day-Ahead and Intraday markets — Cross-margining savings • Cross-margining accross markets and products cleared by ECC (EEX commodities for Poland) Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EPEX SPOT, 2021 25
Transparency & Market Data services Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EPEX SPOT, 2021
Transparency services for fair and efficient markets Market Expert Surveillance to build trust & confidence — • Highest Market Surveillance standards • Millions of orders a day screened • Expertise on new algo trading practices • Trusted network of European authorities Market Data service increasing transparency & efficiency — • Complete range of market data available for free via the FTP server • Unique real-time data access service available • Certified REMIT reporting services Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EPEX SPOT, 2021 27
Website Polish market data is available via our website in different view formats: map, table, graph, with history of data available to EPEX members * Aggregated Curves are initially not displayed in order to ensure the anonymity of the trades; all NEMOs Aggregated Curves publication are being developed for 2021. Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EPEX SPOT, 2021 28
How to trade in Poland Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EPEX SPOT, 2021
HOW TO TRADE IN POLAND – Requirements I 1. TRANSMISSION AGREEMENT Default option: Sign the Contract on Provision of Electricity Transmission Services Documents in Polish: Wzory wniosków i umów with the Polish TSO, Polskie Sieci Elektroenergetyczne (PSE) Documents in English: Agreements and applications templates Alternative Option: Third-party balancing agreement usage 2. LOCAL TRADING LICENSE Register with the Polish government to obtain the local trading license if needed. Click here for more information 3. WIRE PROTOCOL FOR NOMINATIONS Option 1: Develop and install your own WIRE nomination system Click here for more information (in Polish) Option 2: Purchase an SaaS solution with an external service provider Contact: sales@epexspot.com Alternative Option: Together with the third-party balancing agreement usage nominations are done through the balancing agreement owner Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EPEX SPOT, 2021 30
HOW TO TRADE IN POLAND – Requirements II EPEX SPOT ADMISSION Contact us at sales@epexspot.com to find the membership type & setup that suits your needs Fill in the “Know your customer” questionnaire Submit admission documents to EPEX SPOT & ECC Pass the trader exam CLEARING Find a clearing bank Visit: ECC’s Website Any questions? Simply contact sales@epexspot.com and a key account manager will guide you through the process! If you are already an EPEX SPOT Member, simply send the relevant TAA & TP forms to EPEX & ECC – See our Polish Member Readiness Checklist Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EPEX SPOT, 2021 31
Sign up to trade in Poland – Try for FREE Take advantage of the Fee Holidays applied for 2021 Simply download our Poland Member Readiness Checklist If you are already trading power spot in Poland, you only need to fill in the EPEX TAA & ECC TP forms. You can sign the EPEX TAA form digitally via DocuSign using this link. NOW also, an exclusive trial offer of 3 months Auction market data via our SFTP server Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EPEX SPOT, 2021 32
Thank you for your attention! EPEX SPOT Paris EPEX SPOT Amsterdam 5 boulevard Montmartre Quarter Plaza 75002 Paris Transformatorweg 90 France 1014 AK Amsterdam Tel +33 1 73 03 96 00 The Netherlands sales@epexspot.com EPEX SPOT Berlin EPEX SPOT London Regus at The Chancellor Office 11 Westferry Circus Rahel-Hirsch-Straße 10 Canary Wharf 10557 Berlin London E14 4HE Germany United Kingdom EPEX SPOT Brussels EPEX SPOT Bern Treesquare, Square de Meeus 5-6 Marktgasse 20 1000 Bruxelles 3011 Bern Belgium Switzerland EPEX SPOT Wien Mayerhofgasse 1/19 1040 Wien Austria Building Markets Together 2021 | Confidential © EPEX SPOT, 2021 33
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