Plymouth's Core Strategy Public Examination - 7K PCC Test 7k - Shopping - Plymouth City Council

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PCC Test 7k - Shopping

Plymouth’s Core Strategy Public Examination

Document Number:       PCC Test 7K Shopping

Title:                 Whether the retail strategy is
                           supported by appropriate
                           evidence
Examination Session:   7K

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PCC Test 7k - Shopping

PCC objective
1.   The Council’s approach to retailing in the city is to set out a proactive
     strategy for shopping, focused on directing new retail development such
     that it contributes to delivering the City Vision of improving retail facilities,
     and planning for future growth. This is based on a robust, up to date
     evidence base of assessments of retailing in the city and sub-region, and
     other wider sources of evidence. The task is to promote the vitality and
     viability of the city’s shopping hierarchy, address deficiencies, encourage
     a wide range of services which allow genuine choice, all in a good quality
     environment with a vibrant mix of activity, and which is accessible to all.
2.   The Council believes that it’s approach, and the evidence on which it is
     based is sound.

Context
3.   The Council has commissioned a series of specific shopping studies and
     other related studies as the evidence base for the Core Strategy and
     emerging AAPs. The latest shopping study was produced by Cushman &
     Wakefield and published in August 2006. The purpose of this latest study
     was to assess Plymouth’s retailing provision, identify need and provide
     advice on the likely requirement for additional retail facilities in the period
     up to 2021, and advise on some specific opportunities within the City. The
     study builds upon the Plymouth Local Shopping Needs Study of 2004 by
     CBRE, but replaces the previous shopping studies by CBRE from 2000
     and the update to that report in 2001.
4.   The methodology for the 2006 Shopping Study follows best practice
     advice in PPS6. The study was based on a new household shopper
     survey of 2000 respondents, and was based on the same overall study
     area as previous survey work to enable ready comparison of the two sets
     of results. However, some of the zones within the City boundary were
     redefined to better reflect likely catchments, and physical boundaries
     within the City. The results of the shopper survey were applied to bespoke
     population and expenditure data supplied by Experian, an industry
     recognized source. To further enhance the robustness of the study a draft
     version of the study was made available at stakeholder events. This
     enabled any concerns to be addressed, and increased the robustness of
     the final study.
5.   Other sources which have been used to develop the retail strategy include
     the following; PPS6: Planning for Town Centres, Plymouth Local
     Economic Strategy (2006) – EDAW, Employment Land Review (2006) –
     Baker Assoc, Plymouth, South West Devon & South East Cornwall
     Sustainable Growth Distribution Study (2005) – Baker Assoc, Plymouth

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      Sustainable Neighbourhoods Studies (2005/06)– LDA Design, and
      Community Planning Studies (2000)– PCC.
6.    The 2006 Shopping Study sets out the full planning policy context for
      retailing within the City in section 2 of the report.

Detailed comments
7.    We now address various objections and comments on the Core Strategy

Government Office for the South West
8.    Generally, it appears that GOSW is content that the strategy as a whole is
      sound. However, some specific matters have been raised, namely:
      • The proposed new district centre at Weston Mill: how does this relate
         to the decision of the Secretary of State in 2000 (the ‘Asda’ decision),
         and what analysis of need, the sequential approach and impact of the
         proposed allocation has been made?
      • What assessment of alternative sites has been made in respect of the
         proposed new district centre at Derriford? and
      • Is the policy approach towards out of centre retail facilities in the Marsh
         Mills area of the City appropriate ?
      We deal with each of these in turn below.

Weston Mill
9.    The proposed district centre allocation was considered in the 2006
      Shopping Study (see paragraphs 6.37-6.38, 9.19-9.33 and 10.7-10.9).
      GOSW have expressed concern that this appears similar to a project that
      was called-in and refused by the Secretary of State in 1999 (the decision
      was actually dated 9th February 2000). These concerns are unfounded,
      since the contemplated scheme is significantly different. Paragraph 9.32 of
      the 2006 Shopping Study explains why. Perhaps the most significant
      differences are the much more modest size of the store, that development
      of a centre as opposed to a stand-alone store is proposed, and that the
      existing district and local centres remain healthy with new investment
      coming forward.
10.   Matters of need, the sequential approach and impact were addressed in
      the shopping study.
11.   Paragraphs 6.37-6.38 document the quantitative need. However, to make
      this more explicit a set of numerical tables have been prepared (attached
      as appendix 1) indicating the likely trade draw pattern of a store of about
      2,000sq.m. net convenience sales area (the top end of the range
      recommended in the 2006 shopping study). These tables are cumulative,
      in that they have taken account of a similar numerical exercise at Derriford

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      i.e. they assume that new food stores are developed in both locations,
      with Derriford first (although the sequence could just as easily be
      reversed). It is anticipated that the majority of trade would be ‘claw-back’
      of trade from residents of zone 5, and which currently is spent in stores
      elsewhere. Predominantly, this would be trade leaking to Morrisons on
      Outlands Road, and Tesco at Transit Way. The assumed pattern is of
      course influenced by the likely role and function of a new store at Weston
      Mill i.e. one that is not currently present in the area, and would therefore
      compete with stores elsewhere.
12.   The need for additional convenience shopping floor space in this area of
      Plymouth was specifically accepted by the Secretary of State (see
      paragraph 12 of his appeal decision letter). If anything the need will have
      increased following the conversion of the Coop store at Transit Way to a
      Tesco. He did however go on to note that the preferred strategy at the
      time was not a single larger new store, but a range of smaller stores in or
      adjacent to existing centres. We note that such investment in the area is
      now coming forward. Lidl are developing a new store at Wolseley Road,
      and are pursuing another site on the Southern edge of St Budeaux centre
      (in addition to another site further to the South on Union Street), and Lidl
      have confirmed their commitment will not be affected by the Weston Mill
      Core Strategy proposal (see GVA Grimley September 2006 Retail and
      Land Use Assessment for the St Budeaux proposal, paragraph 4.3.8 third
      bullet point).
13.   Thus, in parallel with the approach commended by Cushman & Wakefield
      i.e. a new food store capable of clawing back expenditure leaking to larger
      stores beyond the area, investment previously contemplated at the Asda
      inquiry in 1999/2000 is also going ahead. We note from the Coop’s Public
      Examination statement (GL Hearn document CS0675A), statement
      paragraph 18, that the principle of a new food-store ‘clawing back’ trade
      flowing out of the area is accepted, subject to impact on their store in St
      Budeaux (see below). There is no reason, or evidence, to assume that
      further investment in smaller scale convenience retail facilities in the
      existing centres in the area will not come forward.
14.   Turning to the sequential approach, the 2006 Shopping Study confirms
      that there are no more appropriate sites within or adjacent to existing
      centres, in particular St Budeaux. This was the same outcome as the 2004
      CBRE analysis (see paragraphs 7.5-7.6 of their report), and more recently
      reconfirmed during the assessment of the development proposal by Lidl
      on the Southern edge of the centre. Indeed, assuming that there would be
      no significant adverse impact from a new district centre at Weston Mill, the
      proposed allocation will result in a wider geographical distribution of ‘main
      food’ convenience shopping facilities in this part of the City, a deficiency
      recognised in the ASDA decision.
15.   We also note that no alternative sites in sequentially preferable locations
      are promoted by objectors.

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16.   Turning to impact, the tables at appendix 1indicate that the main trade
      diversions would fall upon other similar stores elsewhere. There is the
      potential for a high numerical impact on the Morrisons store on Outlands
      Road, located broadly between the proposed new stores at Weston Mill
      and Derriford. However, the store currently trades very well, and we
      anticipate is able to withstand substantial impact. Other trade diversions
      are not anticipated to cause any concerns for other stores where these are
      located in centres. Just to note here, the GL Hearn comment at paragraph
      18 of their statement (CS0675A) that their store in St Budeaux was
      assessed as over-trading by Cushman & Wakefield is incorrect; see
      paragraph 9.24 of the 2006 Shopping Study where company average
      turnover is assumed.
17.   Therefore, in retail terms the proposed allocation of a new medium sized
      food store at Weston Mill of 1500-2000 sq. m. is justified.

Derriford
18.   GOSW have commented in similar terms to Weston Mill “there is little to
      go on” in respect of the proposed District Centre at Derriford, albeit it is
      “appreciated that this is part of an integrated vision for employment and
      housing as well”. On the contrary, there is significant evidence in support
      of a new District Centre (see paragraphs 9.34-9.42, 10.10-14 and 10.26-
      1029 of the 2006 Shopping Study).
19.   The Council has commissioned a further, more detailed report specifically
      on Derriford to inform the emerging AAP for Derriford. The Derriford study,
      also being prepared by Cushman & Wakefield, is not itself a part of the
      Core Strategy Evidence Base. However, due to the imminent completion
      of the final draft report, the Council believe the numerical assessment of
      quantitative need and impact will help demonstrate the capacity available
      for a District centre and potential range of retail that can be
      accommodated. The Council will be happy to share the findings of this
      report to attendees of the retail session 7K upon its completion.
19.   It is noted that the qualitative need for a district centre appears to be
      accepted by all parties (including GOSW). The Derriford study will seek to
      quantify the need (by virtue of over-trading) for convenience floor space in
      this part of the City. It will also set out a detailed analysis of alternative
      sites that have been considered.
20.   The quantitative assessment will also consider the potential convenience
      goods trade diversion pattern (impact) for the convenience goods element
      of a new food store.

Marsh Mills
21.   A positive approach for an out of centre retail location is not
      unprecedented. The matter is addressed in paragraphs 9.50-9.54 and
      10.30-10.32 of the 2006 Shopping Study. This is similar to the approach in

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      the adopted Croydon UDP to the out of centre retail facilities on Purley
      Way (see paragraph 12.29 of the 2006 adopted UDP), which are
      confirmed as “an accepted part of the Borough and the sub-region’s retail
      provision”. The proposed Core Strategy approach is a pragmatic
      approach, and whilst it will not in any way undermine the policy tests of
      PPS6 and the Core Strategy, it should enable wider benefits to be
      achieved when development is found to be acceptable in retail terms.

Wharfside Regeneration
22.   Wharfside Regeneration contend that there is a lack of consistency
      between Area Vision 9, Strategic Objective 7 and Policy CS07.
20.   As with all parts of the Core Strategy these are interlinked and should be
      read together. Strategic Objective 7 identifies Derriford as one of a
      number of proposed new centres. Strategic Objective 7 point 5 sets out
      that the proposal for a new centre is to “Remedy an identified gap in the
      spatial distribution of food shopping in the city.” This provides the same
      level of detail as the other proposed centres and further information is not
      necessary as part of a strategic objective. Area Vision 9 relates the
      Strategic objective to a local context, providing a general location which
      will be further amplified by the Area Action Plan. Any further detail would
      be overly repetitive rather than providing a strategic level of detail which is
      advised in PPS12. Policy CS07 sets out the identification of a new centre
      and the type of centre to be developed based on comprehensive evidence
      base. Together these parts of the plan provide the necessary guidance
      and level of detail and do not contradict each other.
21.   Wharfside Regeneration believe that Area Vision 9 which identifies the
      District Centre, centred on the west of the A386 is not based on robust or
      credible evidence and that a new study being undertaken on Derriford for
      the Preferred Options AAP which is not yet complete is needed to provide
      clarity as without this the Core Strategy is unsound.
22.   The need for a new district centre at Derriford is clearly supported by the
      Plymouth Shopping Study 2006 (see paragraphs 10.10-14 of the report).
      The evidence base therefore supports its inclusion as part of the vision for
      the Derriford area. The location of the new centre is only identified in
      board terms, and is not site specific. The illustrative Vision Diagram
      shows that the area of focus for a new centre for the north of Plymouth as
      spanning the A386. However, it is appropriate that the district centre is
      described as being “centred” on the western side because this is where
      there is significant potential for future growth having regard to the
      Council’s wider vision for the transformation of Derriford as set out in the
      Core Strategy. This vision has been the subject of considerable
      community consultation and the evolution of ongoing planning process.
      Additionally, the western side of the A386, with the proposal to create a
      new southern link route to the Whitleigh area, is best placed to serve the

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      large area of North-West Plymouth which currently has poor access to
      district shopping facilities.
23.   The Derriford shopping study report mentioned earlier has been
      commission by the Council to provide the more detailed evidence base
      necessary to inform the Derriford AAP. This report is in the final stages of
      drafting and will be available imminently. Although the Council does not
      believe that the release of this report is necessary in relation to the Core
      Strategy, it is happy to share its draft findings if it proves helpful to the
      Examination.
24.   Wharfside Regeneration contends that Llewellyn Davis’ study of the
      Derriford area identifies the site for new centre on the area of land to the
      east of the A386 known as the North-West Quadrant as does Core
      Strategy Preferred Options, and that there is no evidence to support the
      location set out in the Submitted Core Strategy.
25.   The Council agrees that the Llewelyn Davies study of 2005 identified this
      site. This study was useful in informing earlier considerations relating to
      the Derriford area. However, the scope of this early study was limited and
      did not consider land to the west of the A386. Further work by LDA
      Design on the Derriford Area Action Plan takes a more strategic view of
      the potential role of Derriford in the North of Plymouth. This work has
      been reflected in the Core Strategy and was specifically consulted upon in
      the Core Strategy Key Changes to the Preferred Options consultation in
      April 2006. As stated above, the Core Strategy rightly identifies a broad
      location for the proposed centre. The precise location will be brought
      forward in the AAP for the area, the alteration from historic evidence base
      through to Issues and Options, Preferred options and key changes show
      the iterative process in development through the plan making process. As
      such the identification of a broad location is sound
26.   Wharfside Regeneration contend that Policy CS07 identifies new district
      centre but does not quantify the scale of development. Such guidance is
      important in terms of function of centre as part of over all provision in
      Plymouth and would provide certainty to properly plan the future of the
      area.
27.   The Council does not dispute this matter but it is an issue for the Area
      Action Plan not the Core Strategy.

Mr Godfrey Ackers
28.   Maintaining City Centre in current location is contrary to RPG10 Policy E6
      and EP6 should be moved to the A38 area.
29.   This point is a misinterpretation of regional guidance in RPG10. Policy
      EC6 seeks to direct retail development into existing commercial centres of
      the PUA, not to the geographical centre of the PUA. It is completely

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      impracticable to suggest moving the City Centre retail core to another
      location in the City.

Dawnan Limited
30.   The Council has not specified the size of centre but the level proposed by
      Plymouth shopping study in the short term will not achieve aspirations for
      Derriford. These will not be achieved by a district centre focused on a
      food store and will only function as destination for main food shopping.
      Only delivering a small district centre early in the plan period would be a
      mistake.
31.   Dawnan Limited contend that the centre should be classified as a “town
      centre” rather than a “district centre”. This would support its aspiration to
      develop a comparison retail scheme that is of sub-regional significance.
32.   PPS6 makes it quite clear that any retail allocations of this function or
      scale as promoted by Dawnan Limited should be pursued in the first
      instance through the Regional Spatial Strategy (RSS), and not at the local
      level (PPS6, paragraph 2.14). However there is no provision for such a
      development in the draft RSS. To do so now would create a lack of
      conformity with the RSS and would make the Core Strategy unsound in
      relation to tests of soundness 3, 4c and 7.
33.   Even if it were appropriate to consider an allocation at the local level PPS6
      also makes it clear that it is incumbent upon Dawnan to present
      convincing evidence in relation to matters of need, the sequential
      approach and impact. They do not (see below).
34.   The Council believes that it is appropriate to provide guidance on the size
      of the centre in the Derriford AAP rather than the Core Strategy. The Core
      Strategy sets out the overall vision and strategy for the area, and it does
      this appropriately in Area Vision 9, Strategic Objective 7, and Policy CS07.
35.   The Council’s vision is to see a significant scale of development in the
      long term at the Derriford area, to assist in the delivery of the
      transformational change it aspires to. The Council accepts that retail
      development is an important component of successfully delivering this
      level of change in the long term. However, this cannot be at the expense
      of the City Centre’s retail function, which remains the priority location of
      new development. Significant levels of comparison retail floor space could
      only be appropriately delivered when the conditions are right. The
      evidence from the Plymouth 2006 Shopping Study is that they are not right
      at present. The Council will use the plan, monitor, manage approach set
      out in the Core Strategy (paragraph. 7.25, Strategic Objective 7, target 3 &
      7) to determine if and when they are.
36.   The retail element of the future development of Derriford is an integral part
      of the whole plan for the area. The Council aspires to the creation of a
      new heart for the North of Plymouth, not a new stand alone retail location.

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      It will include employment, leisure and residential development. However,
      an initial District Centre scale development in retail terms will help
      rebalance the network of centres in Plymouth, addressing a spatial gap in
      provision identified in both the 2004 and 2006 studies, and providing the
      platform for the provision of non-retail services to the resident and working
      population.
37.   Point 5 of Strategic Objective 7, point 3 of area vision 9, the District centre
      allocation in CS07 and Paragraphs 5.91 7.15 and Derriford Vision
      Diagram and Strategic Diagram 5 are unsound in there present form.
38.   As with all parts of the Core Strategy these areas are interlinked and
      should be read together. They are not unsound. Further comment on this
      is put forward in response to Wharfside Regeneration.
39.   The 2006 Shopping Study accepts that comparison shopping at Derriford
      is accepted in principle and it has been demonstrated that:
40.   Point 1. There is sufficient expenditure to provide significant comparison
      retail in the early part of plan period. The shopping study underestimates
      capacity.
41.   When considering development of the scale suggested by Dawnan
      Limited, expenditure capacity is only one material consideration;
      quantitative capacity will count for nothing if investors, developers and
      retailers have no interest in developing or occupying any particular
      location. Some specific criticisms are levelled at the Cushman & Wakefield
      quantitative analysis. These are:
      • That a growth rate of 4.7% per annum rather than 4.3% per annum is
          appropriate: The Council is satisfied that 4.3% is robust. First, changes
          to retail trend growth rates have been driven upwards by high growth in
          recent years. In the longer term this could subside, and it is interesting
          to note that Experian’s competitor (MapInfo) prefer a lower equivalent
          rate of between 3.8% and 4.3% (Table 1, Information Brief 05/02).
          Second, no allowance has been made in the 2006 Shopping Study for
          an increase in special forms of trading especially the internet over the
          study / plan period, over and above 7%. Recent data suggest this is
          however likely to be the case and thus not increasing expenditure
          growth rates to 4.7% at least has some recognition of this;
      • An allowance for more than 10% of expenditure from beyond the study
          / catchment area is appropriate: The Council is satisfied that a figure of
          10% is appropriate. The outer study zones analysed by RPS (zones
          16, 20-22, 24 and 27) account for only 16.7% of the total study resident
          population in 2006 (90,346). Also, the % trade draw figures put forward
          by RPS at paragraph 11 of document CS0709B for clothing and
          footwear are, not surprisingly, the highest of all the goods categories
          and generally are much less (sub 10%) for other categories. Finally,
          the additional 5% for non Plymouth City Centre facilities claimed by

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          RPS merely tends to confirm they expect the Dawnan scheme to have
          a wide trade draw, of sub-regional significance;
      •   That sufficient account is not taken of tourist expenditure: The Council
          considers that the allowance in the shopping study is appropriate. At
          paragraph 2.14 of their statement RPS suggest that this expenditure
          should be dealt with separately to other expenditure from beyond the
          catchment. Given that by definition tourists will come from beyond the
          catchment these categories of expenditure are in fact one and the
          same thing, contrary to RPS’s assertion. Indeed, the 2006 Shopping
          Study confirms that of possible tourist expenditure in Plymouth, about
          90% is from day-trippers (paragraphs 6.57-6.59). Thus, to include this
          as a separate item to the assumed 10% would represent double-
          counting;
42.   A further point relates to the floor space figures highlighted in paragraph
      2.5 and elsewhere in the RPS statement (document CS0709B). The
      figures mentioned are of course those applicable to traditional out of
      centre ‘bulky goods’ developments, with their much lower trading
      densities. Given the nature of the occupiers anticipated by Dawnan Limit,
      much higher trading densities more consistent with the City Centre levels
      are appropriate. Therefore the relevant figures for 2011, 2016 and 2021
      are 22,631sq.m., 56,866sq.m. and 105,756sq.m. respectively.
43.   The figure for 2011 is relatively modest, and only equivalent to about two
      thirds of the Drake Circus scheme or one sixth of the City Centre
      comparison floor space. By 2016 the position improves to about 43% of
      the City Centre stock, and doubles again by 2021. But as is confirmed in
      the 2006 Shopping Study the latter is speculative at this stage, and should
      not form the basis of an early commitment to high levels of comparison
      floor space at Derriford at the risk of the City Centre.
44.   It is accepted that large scale retail development in a City Centre location
      has a long lead-in period. Given the very considerable challenges involved
      in bringing such projects to fruition, this is precisely why investor,
      developer and retailer interest must be carefully and consistently
      channelled towards the City Centre. Failure to do this will very quickly and
      surely deflect development pressure (such as there is) to ‘easier’ locations
      such as at Derriford. Cribbs Causeway is a classic example, and it is only
      ten years later that developer interest in the City Centre has recovered.
      Bristol is of course a much larger City than Plymouth.
45.   At 2016, a further retail development within Plymouth City Centre could
      quite easily require floor space in the order of 56,866sq.m. especially if
      such a scheme is required to support a new anchor tenant such as a
      department store. This emphasises the importance of restricting
      comparison floor space at Derriford to that which is complementary to a
      major food store, as set out in Policy CS07(1) of the Core Strategy.

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46.   Point 2. The health of City Centre is strong, healthy and vibrant in terms
      of PPS6.
47.   In section 3 and also appendix 3 of their statement (document CS0709B)
      RPS present and alternative summary health check of the City Centre.
      This is unreliable for the following reasons:
      • Plymouth City Centre’s retail floor space stock is not ‘modern’ save for
          Drake Circus. Much of the post-war development remains, and the
          units are seriously out-moded in the context of modern retailer
          requirements, especially in terms of unit depth, floor to ceiling heights,
          flexibility, and servicing. Whilst some improvements to the public realm
          have been made many of the buildings themselves look extremely tired
          and regenerative development is a necessity;
      • Retailer representation is concentrated towards the middle market
          sector, precisely the sector that Dawnan say they would target for their
          scheme. The City’s premier department stores (House of Fraser and
          Debenhams) are self evidently in compromised units, despite modest
          improvements. Any visit to recently developed stores by those
          operators will confirm this, for example Debenhams in the Bull Ring at
          Birmingham, or both operator’s stores at the Oracle (Reading);
      • Vacancy rates are comparatively low, but this does not confirm high
          demand. It is the case that demand is limited (see the 2006 Shopping
          Study for empirical evidence), but also that many of the existing units
          in the town centre are simply unsuitable for contemporary retailers,
          hence those that are suitable tend to let more quickly. It is interesting
          to note here that rental levels are lower in Plymouth than in other
          centres in the region reflective of the quality of units on offer, and that
          also some units in Drake Circus remain unoccupied;
      • Prime retail rental levels in Plymouth are lower than other competing
          centres, and lower than Exeter (we understand new prime floor space
          in Exeter is letting at £250/sq.ft.). Moreover, rents have increased little
          in the last decade unlike other centres. Contrary to RPS’s assertion,
          the 2006 Shopping Study does not say Drake Circus will “substantially
          increase prime rents” (see paragraph 5.24 of the study).;
      • The Council considers that any over-trading in Plymouth City Centre
          will now have been absorbed by the additional floor space in Drake
          Circus (see paragraph 6.67 of the shopping study and paragraph 7.10
          of the Core Strategy);
48.   Point 3. There are limited opportunities for major increase in City Centre.
49.   The 2006 Shopping Study undertook only a cursory analysis of
      development opportunities in the City Centre. Cushman & Wakefield have
      now been instructed by the City Centre Company to carry out a much
      more thorough analysis of future development opportunities, in line with
      the Mackay Vision, to help inform the preparation of the City Centre
      Preferred Options Area Action Plan. Whilst the outcome of the study

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      cannot be known at this stage, it would be surprising if development
      opportunities for significant regenerative development could not be
      identified. Indeed, in physical terms as confirmed above this is essential.
      What is certain is that any opportunities will not be easy to bring to fruition,
      and therefore it is essential that retail interest is directed towards the City
      Centre. There is clearly a need for coordination between the City Centre
      and Derriford AAPs, and the Council is now proposing to progress them
      side by side through the LDF process.
50.   Point 4. Type of comparison retail will not harm the City Centre and help
      claw back lost expenditure.
      The City Council has no control over the identity of specific occupiers that
      most units are let to. Any conditions to this effect would not be
      appropriate because of the proposed ‘centre’ status (and capable of being
      removed retrospectively by the developer), and in any event would be
      unworkable.

Leonora Estates and Plymouth and SW Co-operative Society
51.   There should be no long term policy guarantee of comparison retail at
      Derriford, dangerous to refer to potential for Derriford to become Sub-
      regional centre in the future as Plymouth does not yet have population
      growth to sustain a second city centre. Should concentrate on
      strengthening city centre and direct development there.
52.   The Derriford area already performs a number of sub regional functions
      (see para. 5.86 and 5.87 of Core Strategy). However, the Core Strategy
      does not propose Derriford as a sub-regional shopping location. Rather, it
      advocates a district shopping centre as part of a wider centre of strategic
      employment and other uses (see 5.91 and Area Vision 9). The Shopping
      chapter goes on to say that ‘In particular Derriford will play a key role as a
      district centre serving the north of the city, with potential to grow as
      economic and population growth is achieved and the role of the City
      Centre as the primary shopping destination is secured.’ This potential
      future development is not quantified. However, the Core Strategy sets out
      potential for long term development over and beyond the plan period. The
      Core Strategy in line with PPS6 clearly sets out in Strategic Objective 7,
      Policy CS06 and CS07 the preservation and enhancement of the primary
      role of the City Centre. At no point in the Plan is a long term policy
      guarantee given for comparison retail at Derriford. Rather it is clear that
      significant development must satisfy the test of not undermining the sub-
      regional shopping role of the City Centre, either now, or until further retail
      development in or around the City Centre could be fundamentally
      discounted.

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Plymouth and SW Co-operative Society
53.   Point 1, Para 7.20 that allocations for food stores at Derriford, Devonport,
      Plymstock Quarry, and Weston Mill will be sufficient in the context of
      growth identified but there is not evidence for this and Strategic Objective
      7 target are to deliver these centres by 2016.
54.   Para 7.19 and 7.20 set out identified capacity based on a 2006 Shopping
      Study and that based on this capacity the proposed centre will meet the
      available capacity up to 2011. The Targets Section sets out a measurable
      target for the delivery of these facilities.
55.   Point 2. There is insufficient capacity for proposed food stores
56.   The GL Hearn statement on behalf of Coop (document CS0675A) makes
      a number of detailed points. We respond to the general thrust of these
      below.
57.   The Council is content that the household shopper survey under-pinning
      the analysis is sound. Cushman & Wakefield have specifically noted a
      limited number of instances in the 2006 Shopping Study where turnovers
      may have been under estimated by the survey, but in the context of the
      total number of stores, the turnover involved and the study as a whole
      these are relatively few. We note that other groups, such as Lidl, have
      confirmed the overall assessment is robust. Some manual adjustment of
      turnovers, particularly for smaller stores is not at all uncommon in studies
      of this type.
58.   It is quite appropriate for future floor space requirements to take into
      account existing over-trading within stores, in addition to expenditure
      growth (see paragraph 2.36 of PPS6). We note paragraph 9 of the GL
      Hearn statement, and their estimated turnover requirement of proposed
      allocations in the order of £66-84m. Table 6.1 and the executive summary
      of the 2006 Shopping Study confirm the over-trading in stores at present
      at about £76m. We note that none of these are Coop stores. This over-
      trading would then be added to expenditure growth of 17.22m at 2011
      Thus there is sufficient capacity for the proposed Core Strategy
      commitments.
59.   We have commented about possible impact of a new food store at Weston
      Mill above in response to the concerns raised by GOSW. The same
      comments apply to the concerns raised in the GL Hearn statement.
60.   Strategic Objective 7 (7) seek to strengthen District and Local Centres yet
      the Core Strategy proposes 4 food stores of which 3 are outside existing
      centres, yet there is no evidence to demonstrate this can be
      accommodated without having an adverse on District and Local Centres,
      particularly Weston Mill on St. Budeaux. There should be no adverse
      impact on existing centres. Assumptions in Para 7.33 are based on
      incorrect assumptions in evidence base and a store in Weston Mill will
      capture trade from St. Budeaux Co-op

                                 Page 13 of 14
PCC Test 7k - Shopping

61.   All new food stores proposed by the Council are not standalone stores but
      would form part of new district and local centres and are part of a strategy
      to create sustainable communities and meet local need in local areas.
      The new centres seek to meet current deficiencies in the spatial
      distribution of the network of retail centres in Plymouth. The Council will
      insist that any subsequent applications will need to be accompanied by full
      retail assessments at the time of submission, as a further safeguard and
      to assess any changes in circumstances.
62.   Point 3. Policy CS07 and supporting text should make clear new retail
      destination at Laira Bridge is not appropriate for high street comparison
      retail, only bulky goods retail.
63.   This level of detail is not required for a Core Strategy. The exact type and
      scale of retail is a matter for the Area Action Plan to provide. Any future
      development will also have to comply with Strategic Objective 7 and Policy
      CS08 which provide antiquate protection for the existing centres.

Conclusions
64.   The Core Strategy’s Strategic Objectives and Policies have been based
      on an established evidence base and evolved based on extensive public
      consultations through the plan making process. The representations
      received do not demonstrate that the plan is unsound. The approach
      taken by the Council is consistent with national and regional guidance.
      The level of detail is appropriate for a Core Strategy.
65.   Possible changes that amendments that could aid in improving the
      soundness of the plan.
      None

                                 Page 14 of 14
TABLE 1: QUANTITATIVE NEED / OVER-TRADING

                                                                                                                                           Catchment as a Net convenience     Company                                           Over-trading from
                                                                                                         Turnover from   Total turnover                                                        Company         Total over-
                                                            Trade-draw from zones (£)                                                     proportion of total sales area     benchmark                                         catchment (zones 3-
                                                                                                       the catchment (£)       (£)                                                           benchmark (£)     trading (£)
                                                                                                                                                 (%)           (sq.m.)        (£/sq.m.)                                             5 & 7) (£)

Centres & stores                                 Zone 3       Zone 4           Zone 5      Zone 7
Albert Road
Congreve Gardens
Cumberland Street
Dale Road
Efford
George Street
Ham Green
Henders Corner
Higher compton
Hyde Park
Keyham
Co-op, Plymouth, Fleet street                    711,983      142,945          1,908,451      0            2,763,379        4,358,748            63                      -           5,685
King Street
Marlbrough Street
Iceland, Devonport, Marlborough street               0        906,010             0           0             906,010         1,403,051            65                   931            4,900         4,561,900
Milehouse
North Prospect
Pennycomequick
Peverell Corner
Plymco, Peverell corner                              0           0                0           0                0               0                                      200            5,685         1,137,000
Peverell Park Road
Plymouth Road
Segrave Road
Londis, Plymouth, Segrave rd                         0           0                0           0                0             138,039             0                     75            2,000          150,000
Station Road
Stoke Village
Plymco, Stoke village                                0        239,925             0           0             239,925          239,925            100                   270            5,685         1,534,950
Union Steet
Aldi, Plymouth, Union street                    1,033,920     336,307          504,093     163,702         2,038,022        4,719,393            43                  1,035           4,477         4,633,695         85,698                 37,008
Victoria Road
Co-op, Plymouth, Victoria road                   101,517       46,564          504,093        0             652,174         1,911,395           34                      -            5,685
Londis, Plymouth, Victoria road                  101,517         0                0           0             101,517          101,517            100                    75            2,000          150,000
West Hoe Road
Wolsey Road
Plymco, Wolseley road                                0           0             2,011,299      0            2,011,299        2,011,299           100                  1,055           5,685         5,997,675

Sub-total                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   37,008

OUTSIDE THE CATCHMENT
CITY CENTRE
Iceland, Plymouth                                412,306      289,743           601,868     327,403        1,631,320       3,817,716             43                    673           4,900         3,297,700        520,016                222,204
Kwik Save, Plymouth                                 0         193,362           303,470     313,897         810,729        1,910,964             42                  1,523           3,629         5,526,967
Marks & Spencer, Plymouth town centre           1,135,437     46,564            704,716    1,915,368       3,802,085       5,293,061             72                    650          10,767         6,998,550
Sainsburys, Plymouth, Armada Centre             5,410,880    1,105,592         7,268,746   3,975,957       17,761,174      30,682,967            58                  2,130           9,505        20,245,650     10,437,317              6,041,756
Tesco Metro, New george street                  1,344,709     908,976          5,750,718   2,406,473       10,410,876      23,087,641            45                    948          13,016        12,339,168     10,748,473              4,846,793
FREE-STANDING STORES
Morrisons, Plymouth, Outland road               1,762,607     958,794         11,815,729   9,855,339       24,392,469      35,755,250            68                  1,988           9,583        19,051,004     16,704,246             11,395,748
Morrisons, Tavistock, Plymouth road              208,590         0             504,093      313,897        1,026,580       26,737,829            4                       -           9,583
Sainsburys, Plymouth, Marsh Mills               3,122,620     239,925         5,350,148    7,749,256       16,461,950      53,582,657            31                  3,631           9,505        34,512,655     19,070,002              5,858,788
Tesco Express, Chaddlewood                          0            0                0            0               0            900,525              0                     300          13,016         3,904,800
Tesco Express, Eggbuckland road                     0            0             200,623      656,512         857,135        1,008,468             85                    948          13,016        12,339,168
Tesco, Roborough                                1,242,510        0             303,470      627,793        2,173,774       38,252,623            6                   2,486          13,016        32,357,776       5,894,847               334,985
Asda, Estover                                       0         193,362         2,628,386    2,214,053       5,035,801       30,367,577            17                  2,720          13,352        36,317,440
Morrisons, Plymstock                             418,580      239,925             0         163,702         822,207        29,220,705            3                   4,666           9,583        44,714,278
Co-op, Plymouth, The Broadway                    305,233         0             401,245         0            706,478        2,202,746             32                     58           5,685           329,730       1,873,016               600,725
STORES IN CENTRES
Iceland, Plympton, Ridgeway                         0            0                 0        313,897         313,897        1,607,683            20                     567           4,900         2,778,300
Iceland, Plymstock, Broadway                        0            0                 0           0               0            278,842              0                     232           4,900         1,136,800
Lidl, Honicknowle, Transit way                      0            0              504,093    1,258,856       1,762,949       3,426,113            51                   1,000           4,601         4,601,000
Lidl, Plymstock broadway                            0            0                 0           0               0           2,766,307             0                     517           4,601         2,378,717        387,590
Londis, Plymouth, St Georges Terrace                0            0              200,623        0            200,623         200,623             100                     75           2,000           150,400         50,223                 50,223
Plymco, Crownhill                                   0            0                 0           0               0            289,373              0                     584           5,685         3,320,040
Plymco, Ernesettle                                  0            0                 0           0               0            138,039              0                     177           5,685         1,006,245
Plymco, Plymstock broadway                          0            0              303,470        0            303,470         764,520             40                      58           5,685           329,730        434,790
Plymco, St Budeaux                                  0            0              401,245        0            401,245         401,245             100                    886           5,685         5,036,910
Plymco, Whitleigh green                             0            0                 0           0               0            367,417              0                     605           5,685         3,439,425
Somerfield, Mutley Plain                            0            0                 0        970,409         970,409        5,490,222            18                   1,013           6,146         6,225,898
Somerfield, Plymstock, Broadway                     0            0                 0        163,702         163,702        9,799,705             2                   1,135           6,146         6,975,710      2,823,995                 47,174
Somerfield, Southway                                0            0                 0           0               0           2,732,714             0                     442           6,146         2,716,532         16,182
Tesco, Honicknowle, Transit way                  208,590      529,070          9,799,357   3,319,445       13,856,462      43,835,255           32                   2,576          13,016        33,529,216     10,306,039              3,257,771
BEYOND THE STUDY AREA
Asda, Bodmin, Launceston rd                      520,097         0                 0           0            520,097        23,920,107            2                   1,447           13352        19,320,344       4,599,763
Asda, St Austell, Cromwell rd                       0            0              303,470     313,897         617,367        6,693,517             9                   2,408           13352        32,151,616                                    0
Asda, Taunton, Creechbarrow rd                   208,590         0                 0           0            208,590         999,657              21                                  13352                 0        999,657
Co-op, South Brent, Church street                   0            0                 0           0               0           1,748,276             0                     94             5685           534,390      1,213,886
Marks & Spencer, Torquay, The willows               0            0                 0           0               0             77,704              0                                   10767                 0         77,704
Morrisons, Liskeard, Horningtops                    0         96,382            504,093        0            600,475        30,722,622            2                   1,787            1787         3,193,369     27,529,253                538,060
Morrisons, Paignton, Totnes rd                      0            0                 0           0               0           1,098,284             0                                    1787                 0      1,098,284
Sainsburys, Exeter, Guildhall sc                    0            0              303,470        0            303,470        1,229,008             25                  1,012            9505         9,619,060
Sainsburys, Torquay, Nicholson road                 0            0                 0           0               0           1,625,655             0                   2,692            9505        25,587,460
Tesco Extra, Lee mill                            208,590      193,362          2,628,386   2,214,053       5,244,391       61,914,077            8                   2,804           13016        36,496,864     25,417,213              2,152,948
Tesco, Launceston, Tavistock rd                  208,590      142,945              0        477,598         829,134        45,609,731            2                     727           13016                 -              -                      -
Waitrose, Okehampton                             208,590         0              200,623        0            409,213        6,889,778             6                       -           11101                 -              -                      -
Waitrose, Saltash                                   0         193,362           303,470        0            496,832        17,029,652            3                       -           11101                 -              -                      -

Other                                           1,123,587    1,548,935         5,809,304   5,649,684       14,131,510      198,767,135

Sub-total                                                                                                                                                                                                                               35,347,175

Total                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   35,384,183

Notes
1. Base data sourced from C&W 2006 shopping study;
2. 2003 price base
3. Convenience goods expenditure only;
4. 'Under-trading' in existing stores ingored;
TABLE 2: QUANTITATIVE NEED / OVER-TRADING, AFTER OPENING OF NEW FOOD STORE AT DERRIFORD

                                                                                                                                                            Catchment as a Net convenience     Company                                             Over-trading from
                                                                                                                          Turnover from   Total turnover                                                        Company         Total over-
                                                                       Trade-draw from zones (£)                                                           proportion of total sales area     benchmark                                           catchment (zones 3-
                                                                                                                        the catchment (£)       (£)                                                           benchmark (£)     trading (£)
                                                                                                                                                                  (%)           (sq.m.)        (£/sq.m.)                                               5 & 7) (£)

Centres & stores                                    Zone 3                 Zone 4               Zone 5      Zone 7
Albert Road
Congreve Gardens
Cumberland Street
Dale Road
Efford
George Street
Ham Green
Henders Corner
Higher compton
Hyde Park
Keyham
Co-op, Plymouth, Fleet street                       711,983                142,945              1,908,451      0            2,763,379        4,358,748            63                    70            5,685          397,950        3,960,798               2,511,085
King Street
Marlbrough Street
Iceland, Devonport, Marlborough street                  0                  906,010                  0          0             906,010         1,403,051            65                   931            4,900         4,561,900
Milehouse
North Prospect
Pennycomequick
Peverell Corner
Plymco, Peverell corner                                 0                     0                     0          0                0               0                                      200            5,685         1,137,000
Peverell Park Road
Plymouth Road
Segrave Road
Londis, Plymouth, Segrave rd                            0                     0                     0          0                0             138,039             0                     75            2,000          150,000
Station Road
Stoke Village
Plymco, Stoke village                                   0                  239,925                  0          0             239,925          239,925            100                   270            5,685         1,534,950
Union Steet
Aldi, Plymouth, Union street                       1,033,920               336,307              504,093     163,702         2,038,022        4,719,393            43                  1,035           4,477         4,633,695         85,698                   37,008
Victoria Road
Co-op, Plymouth, Victoria road                      101,517                46,564               504,093        0             652,174         1,911,395           34                      -            5,685
Londis, Plymouth, Victoria road                     101,517                  0                     0           0             101,517          101,517            100                    75            2,000          150,000
West Hoe Road
Wolsey Road
Plymco, Wolseley road                                   0                     0                 2,011,299      0            2,011,299        2,011,299           100                  1,055           5,685         5,997,675

Sub-total                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2,548,092

OUTSIDE THE CATCHMENT
CITY CENTRE
Iceland, Plymouth                                   412,306                289,743               601,868     327,403        1,631,320       3,817,716             43                    673           4,900         3,297,700        520,016                  222,204
Kwik Save, Plymouth                                    0                   193,362               303,470     313,897         810,729        1,910,964             42                  1,523           3,629         5,526,967
Marks & Spencer, Plymouth town centre              1,135,437               46,564                623,314    1,694,124       3,499,439       4,955,561             71                    650          10,767         6,998,550
Sainsburys, Plymouth, Armada Centre                5,410,880              1,105,592             6,927,330   3,789,204       17,233,005      30,007,967            57                  2,130           9,505        20,245,650      9,762,317                5,606,313
Tesco Metro, New george street                     1,344,709               908,976              5,361,592   2,243,638       9,858,915       22,412,641            44                    948          13,016        12,339,168     10,073,473                4,431,138
FREE-STANDING STORES
Morrisons, Plymouth, Outland road                  1,762,607               958,794              9,204,114   7,677,027       19,602,542      30,355,250            65                  1,988           9,583        19,051,004     11,304,246                7,299,955
Morrisons, Tavistock, Plymouth road                 208,590                   0                  504,093     313,897        1,026,580       26,737,829            4                       -           9,583
Sainsburys, Plymouth, Marsh Mills                  3,122,620               239,925              4,527,983   6,558,417       14,448,946      50,882,657            28                  3,631           9,505        34,512,655     16,370,002
Tesco Express, Chaddlewood                             0                      0                     0           0               0            900,525              0                     300          13,016         3,904,800
Tesco Express, Eggbuckland road                        0                      0                  200,623     656,512         857,135        1,008,468             85                    948          13,016        12,339,168
Tesco, Roborough                                   1,242,510                  0                  89,404      184,952        1,516,867       34,202,623            4                   2,486          13,016        32,357,776       1,844,847                  81,818
Asda, Estover                                          0                   193,362              1,649,576   1,388,698       3,231,636       26,992,577            12                  2,720          13,352        36,317,440
Morrisons, Plymstock                                418,580                239,925                  0        88,389          746,894        27,870,705            3                   4,666           9,583        44,714,278
Co-op, Plymouth, The Broadway                       305,233                   0                  401,245        0            706,478        2,202,746             32                     58           5,685           329,730       1,873,016                 600,725
STORES IN CENTRES
Iceland, Plympton, Ridgeway                            0                      0                     0        313,897         313,897        1,607,683            20                     567           4,900         2,778,300
Iceland, Plymstock, Broadway                           0                      0                     0           0               0            278,842              0                     232           4,900         1,136,800
Lidl, Honicknowle, Transit way                         0                      0                  504,093    1,258,856       1,762,949       3,426,113            51                   1,000           4,601         4,601,000
Lidl, Plymstock broadway                               0                      0                     0           0               0           2,766,307             0                     517           4,601         2,378,717        387,590
Londis, Plymouth, St Georges Terrace                   0                      0                  200,623        0            200,623         200,623             100                     75           2,000           150,400         50,223                   50,223
Plymco, Crownhill                                      0                      0                     0           0               0            289,373              0                     584           5,685         3,320,040
Plymco, Ernesettle                                     0                      0                     0           0               0            138,039              0                     177           5,685         1,006,245
Plymco, Plymstock broadway                             0                      0                  303,470        0            303,470         764,520             40                      58           5,685           329,730        434,790
Plymco, St Budeaux                                     0                      0                  401,245        0            401,245         401,245             100                    886           5,685         5,036,910
Plymco, Whitleigh green                                0                      0                     0           0               0            367,417              0                     605           5,685         3,439,425
Somerfield, Mutley Plain                               0                      0                     0        970,409         970,409        5,490,222            18                   1,013           6,146         6,225,898
Somerfield, Plymstock, Broadway                        0                      0                     0        163,702         163,702        9,799,705             2                   1,135           6,146         6,975,710       2,823,995                  47,174
Somerfield, Southway                                   0                      0                     0           0               0           2,597,714             0                     442           6,146         2,716,532
Tesco, Honicknowle, Transit way                     208,590                529,070              8,805,059   2,982,635       12,525,354      40,460,255           31                   2,576          13,016        33,529,216       6,931,039               2,145,654
BEYOND THE STUDY AREA
Asda, Bodmin, Launceston rd                         520,097                   0                     0           0            520,097        23,920,107            2                   1,447           13352        19,320,344       4,599,763
Asda, St Austell, Cromwell rd                          0                      0                  303,470     313,897         617,367        6,693,517             9                   2,408           13352        32,151,616                                      0
Asda, Taunton, Creechbarrow rd                      208,590                   0                     0           0            208,590         999,657              21                                  13352                 0        999,657
Co-op, South Brent, Church street                      0                      0                     0           0               0           1,748,276             0                     94             5685           534,390      1,213,886
Marks & Spencer, Torquay, The willows                  0                      0                     0           0               0             77,704              0                                   10767                 0         77,704
Morrisons, Liskeard, Horningtops                       0                   96,382                504,093        0            600,475        30,722,622            2                   1,787            1787         3,193,369     27,529,253                  538,060
Morrisons, Paignton, Totnes rd                         0                      0                     0           0               0           1,098,284             0                                    1787                 0      1,098,284
Sainsburys, Exeter, Guildhall sc                       0                      0                  303,470        0            303,470        1,229,008             25                  1,012            9505         9,619,060
Sainsburys, Torquay, Nicholson road                    0                      0                     0           0               0           1,625,655             0                   2,692            9505        25,587,460
Tesco Extra, Lee mill                               208,590                193,362              1,551,893   1,307,256       3,261,101       27,073,839            12                  2,804           13016        36,496,864
Tesco, Launceston, Tavistock rd                     208,590                142,945                  0        477,598         829,134        45,609,731            2                     727           13016                 -                 -
Waitrose, Okehampton                                208,590                   0                  200,623        0            409,213        6,889,778             6                       -           11101                 -                 -
Waitrose, Saltash                                      0                   193,362               303,470        0            496,832        17,029,652            3                       -           11101                 -                 -

Other                                              1,123,587              1,548,935             5,809,304   5,649,684

Sub-total                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  21,023,265

Total                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      23,571,357

Notes:
1. Table 1, but excluding trade diversion to new store at Derriford (see separate C&W assessment)
TABLE 3: PREDICTED TRADE-DRAW PATTERN OF NEW FOOD STORE (%)

                                                         Catchment zone
                                         3         4            5           7          Total
Centres & stores
Albert Road                                                                                     0.0
Congreve Gardens                                                                                0.0
Cumberland Street                                                                               0.0
Dale Road                                                                                       0.0
Efford                                                                                          0.0
George Street                                                                                   0.0
Ham Green                                                                                       0.0
Henders Corner                                                                                  0.0
Higher compton                                                                                  0.0
Hyde Park                                                                                       0.0
Keyham                                                                                          0.0
Co-op, Plymouth, Fleet street                                                                   0.0
King Street                                                                                     0.0
Marlbrough Street                                                                               0.0
Iceland, Devonport, Marlborough street                                                          0.0
Milehouse                                                                                       0.0
North Prospect                                                                                  0.0
Pennycomequick                                                                                  0.0
Peverell Corner                                                                                 0.0
Plymco, Peverell corner                                                                         0.0
Peverell Park Road                                                                              0.0
Plymouth Road                                                                                   0.0
Segrave Road                                                                                    0.0
Londis, Plymouth, Segrave rd                                                                    0.0
Station Road                                                                                    0.0
Stoke Village                                                                                   0.0
Plymco, Stoke village                                                                           0.0
Union Steet                                                                                     0.0
Aldi, Plymouth, Union street                                                                    0.0
Victoria Road                                                                                   0.0
Co-op, Plymouth, Victoria road                                                                  0.0
Londis, Plymouth, Victoria road                                                                 0.0
West Hoe Road                                                                                   0.0
Wolsey Road                                                                                     0.0
Plymco, Wolseley road                                                                           0.0
                                                                                                0.0
Sub-total                                                                                       0.0
                                                                                                0.0
OUTSIDE THE CATCHMENT                                                                           0.0
CITY CENTRE                                                                                     0.0
Iceland, Plymouth                                                                               0.0
Kwik Save, Plymouth                                                                             0.0
Marks & Spencer, Plymouth town centre                                                           0.0
Sainsburys, Plymouth, Armada Centre                                   5.0                       5.0
Tesco Metro, New george street                                                                  0.0
FREE-STANDING STORES                                                                            0.0
Morrisons, Plymouth, Outland road            5.0       2.5           37.5       15.0           60.0
Morrisons, Tavistock, Plymouth road                                                             0.0
Sainsburys, Plymouth, Marsh Mills                                     5.0                       5.0
Tesco Express, Chaddlewood                                                                      0.0
Tesco Express, Eggbuckland road                                                                 0.0
Tesco, Roborough                                                                                0.0
Asda, Estover                                                                                   0.0
Morrisons, Plymstock                                                                            0.0
Co-op, Plymouth, The Broadway                                                                   0.0
STORES IN CENTRES                                                                               0.0
Iceland, Plympton, Ridgeway                                                                     0.0
Iceland, Plymstock, Broadway                                                                    0.0
Lidl, Honicknowle, Transit way                                                                  0.0
Lidl, Plymstock broadway                                                                        0.0
Londis, Plymouth, St Georges Terrace                                                            0.0
Plymco, Crownhill                                                                               0.0
Plymco, Ernesettle                                                                              0.0
Plymco, Plymstock broadway                                                                      0.0
Plymco, St Budeaux                                                                              0.0
Plymco, Whitleigh green                                                                         0.0
Somerfield, Mutley Plain                                                                        0.0
Somerfield, Plymstock, Broadway                                                                 0.0
Somerfield, Southway                                                                            0.0
Tesco, Honicknowle, Transit way                                      17.5        5.0           22.5
BEYOND THE STUDY AREA                                                                           0.0
Asda, Bodmin, Launceston rd                                                                     0.0
Asda, St Austell, Cromwell rd                                                                   0.0
Asda, Taunton, Creechbarrow rd                                                                  0.0
Co-op, South Brent, Church street                                                               0.0
Marks & Spencer, Torquay, The willows                                                           0.0
Morrisons, Liskeard, Horningtops                                                                0.0
Morrisons, Paignton, Totnes rd                                                                  0.0
Sainsburys, Exeter, Guildhall sc                                                                0.0
Sainsburys, Torquay, Nicholson road                                                             0.0
Tesco Extra, Lee mill                                                 2.5                       2.5
Tesco, Launceston, Tavistock rd                                                                 0.0
Waitrose, Okehampton                                                                            0.0
Waitrose, Saltash                                                                               0.0
                                                                                                0.0
Other                                                                                           0.0
                                                                                                0.0
Sub-total                                                                                       0.0

TOTAL                                        5.0       2.5           67.5       20.0           95.0
TABLE 4: PREDICTED TRADE-DRAW PATTERN OF NEW FOOD STORE (£)

                                                                                           Catchment zone
                                                         3                      4                 5             7         Total
Centres & stores
Albert Road                                                   -                      -                  -           -            -
Congreve Gardens                                              -                      -                  -           -            -
Cumberland Street                                             -                      -                  -           -            -
Dale Road                                                     -                      -                  -           -            -
Efford                                                        -                      -                  -           -            -
George Street                                                 -                      -                  -           -            -
Ham Green                                                     -                      -                  -           -            -
Henders Corner                                                -                      -                  -           -            -
Higher compton                                                -                      -                  -           -            -
Hyde Park                                                     -                      -                  -           -            -
Keyham                                                        -                      -                  -           -            -
Co-op, Plymouth, Fleet street                                 -                      -                  -           -            -
King Street                                                   -                      -                  -           -            -
Marlbrough Street                                             -                      -                  -           -            -
Iceland, Devonport, Marlborough street                        -                      -                  -           -            -
Milehouse                                                     -                      -                  -           -            -
North Prospect                                                -                      -                  -           -            -
Pennycomequick                                                -                      -                  -           -            -
Peverell Corner                                               -                      -                  -           -            -
Plymco, Peverell corner                                       -                      -                  -           -            -
Peverell Park Road                                            -                      -                  -           -            -
Plymouth Road                                                 -                      -                  -           -            -
Segrave Road                                                  -                      -                  -           -            -
Londis, Plymouth, Segrave rd                                  -                      -                  -           -            -
Station Road                                                  -                      -                  -           -            -
Stoke Village                                                 -                      -                  -           -            -
Plymco, Stoke village                                         -                      -                  -           -            -
Union Steet                                                   -                      -                  -           -            -
Aldi, Plymouth, Union street                                  -                      -                  -           -            -
Victoria Road                                                 -                      -                  -           -            -
Co-op, Plymouth, Victoria road                                -                      -                  -           -            -
Londis, Plymouth, Victoria road                               -                      -                  -           -            -
West Hoe Road                                                 -                      -                  -           -            -
Wolsey Road                                                   -                      -                  -           -            -
Plymco, Wolseley road                                         -                      -                  -           -            -
                                                              -                      -                  -           -            -
Sub-total                                                     -                      -                  -           -            -
                                                              -                      -                  -           -            -
OUTSIDE THE CATCHMENT                                         -                      -                  -           -            -
CITY CENTRE                                                   -                      -                  -           -            -
Iceland, Plymouth                                             -                      -                  -           -            -
Kwik Save, Plymouth                                           -                      -                  -           -            -
Marks & Spencer, Plymouth town centre                         -                      -                  -           -            -
Sainsburys, Plymouth, Armada Centre                           -                      -            1,200,000         -      1,200,000
Tesco Metro, New george street                                -                      -                  -           -            -
FREE-STANDING STORES                                          -                      -                  -           -            -
Morrisons, Plymouth, Outland road                       1,200,000                600,000          9,000,000   3,600,000   14,400,000
Morrisons, Tavistock, Plymouth road                           -                      -                  -           -            -
Sainsburys, Plymouth, Marsh Mills                             -                      -            1,200,000         -      1,200,000
Tesco Express, Chaddlewood                                    -                      -                  -           -            -
Tesco Express, Eggbuckland road                               -                      -                  -           -            -
Tesco, Roborough                                              -                      -                  -           -            -
Asda, Estover                                                 -                      -                  -           -            -
Morrisons, Plymstock                                          -                      -                  -           -            -
Co-op, Plymouth, The Broadway                                 -                      -                  -           -            -
STORES IN CENTRES                                             -                      -                  -           -            -
Iceland, Plympton, Ridgeway                                   -                      -                  -           -            -
Iceland, Plymstock, Broadway                                  -                      -                  -           -            -
Lidl, Honicknowle, Transit way                                -                      -                  -           -            -
Lidl, Plymstock broadway                                      -                      -                  -           -            -
Londis, Plymouth, St Georges Terrace                          -                      -                  -           -            -
Plymco, Crownhill                                             -                      -                  -           -            -
Plymco, Ernesettle                                            -                      -                  -           -            -
Plymco, Plymstock broadway                                    -                      -                  -           -            -
Plymco, St Budeaux                                            -                      -                  -           -            -
Plymco, Whitleigh green                                       -                      -                  -           -            -
Somerfield, Mutley Plain                                      -                      -                  -           -            -
Somerfield, Plymstock, Broadway                               -                      -                  -           -            -
Somerfield, Southway                                          -                      -                  -           -            -
Tesco, Honicknowle, Transit way                               -                      -            4,200,000   1,200,000    5,400,000
BEYOND THE STUDY AREA                                         -                      -                  -           -            -
Asda, Bodmin, Launceston rd                                   -                      -                  -           -            -
Asda, St Austell, Cromwell rd                                 -                      -                  -           -            -
Asda, Taunton, Creechbarrow rd                                -                      -                  -           -            -
Co-op, South Brent, Church street                             -                      -                  -           -            -
Marks & Spencer, Torquay, The willows                         -                      -                  -           -            -
Morrisons, Liskeard, Horningtops                              -                      -                  -           -            -
Morrisons, Paignton, Totnes rd                                -                      -                  -           -            -
Sainsburys, Exeter, Guildhall sc                              -                      -                  -           -            -
Sainsburys, Torquay, Nicholson road                           -                      -                  -           -            -
Tesco Extra, Lee mill                                         -                      -              600,000         -        600,000
Tesco, Launceston, Tavistock rd                               -                      -                  -           -            -
Waitrose, Okehampton                                          -                      -                  -           -            -
Waitrose, Saltash                                             -                      -                  -           -            -
                                                              -                      -                  -           -            -
Other                                                         -                      -                  -           -            -
                                                              -                      -                  -           -            -
Sub-total                                                     -                      -                  -           -            -

TOTAL                                                   1,200,000                600,000         16,200,000   4,800,000   22,800,000
Notes
1. Assumes a store of 2,000sq.m. (net convenience) trading at £12,000 = total turnover of (£):                             24,000,000
2. Assumes some trade will be diverted from Tesco at Transit Way from residents of zone 6, South of A38;
3. Ignor's trade likely to be derived from beyond the catchment and also expenditure growth;
TABLE 5: IMPACT (£ and %)

                                                          Trade diversion                                                                                            Comparison
                                         Convenience                                             Residual     Trade diversion    Cumulative       Residual turnover
                                                           (£) to Westom    Impact (%)                                                                              with benchmark
                                         turnover (£)                                          turnover (£)   (£) to Derriford   impact (%)              (£)
                                                                 Mill                                                                                                     (%)

Stores / Centres
Albert Road                                           0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
Congreve Gardens                                      0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
Cumberland Street                                     0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
Dale Road                                             0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
Efford                                                0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
George Street                                         0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
Ham Green                                             0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
Henders Corner                                        0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
Higher compton                                        0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
Hyde Park                                             0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
Keyham                                                0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
Co-op, Plymouth, Fleet street                 4,358,748                 0                  -      4,358,748               -                   -          4,358,748               -
King Street                                           0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
Marlbrough Street                                     0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
Iceland, Devonport, Marlborough street        1,403,051                 0                  -      1,403,051               -                   -          1,403,051               -
Milehouse                                             0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
North Prospect                                        0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
Pennycomequick                                        0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
Peverell Corner                                       0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
Plymco, Peverell corner                               0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
Peverell Park Road                                    0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
Plymouth Road                                         0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
Segrave Road                                          0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
Londis, Plymouth, Segrave rd                    138,039                 0                  -        138,039               -                   -            138,039              92
Station Road                                          0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
Stoke Village                                         0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
Plymco, Stoke village                           239,925                 0                  -        239,925               -                   -            239,925               -
Union Steet                                           0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
Aldi, Plymouth, Union street                  4,719,393                 0                  -      4,719,393               -                   -          4,719,393             102
Victoria Road                                         0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
Co-op, Plymouth, Victoria road                1,911,395                 0                  -      1,911,395               -                   -          1,911,395               -
Londis, Plymouth, Victoria road                 101,517                 0                  -        101,517               -                   -            101,517               -
West Hoe Road                                         0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
Wolsey Road                                           0                 0                  -            -                 -                   -                -                 -
Plymco, Wolseley road                         2,011,299                 0                  -      2,011,299               -                   -          2,011,299               -

Sub-total

OUTSIDE THE CATCHMENT
CITY CENTRE
Iceland, Plymouth                             3,817,716                 0                  -     3,817,716                -                 -            3,817,716             116
Kwik Save, Plymouth                           1,910,964                 0                  -     1,910,964                -                 -            1,910,964              35
Marks & Spencer, Plymouth town centre         5,293,061                 0                  -     5,293,061            337,500             6.4            4,955,561              71
Sainsburys, Plymouth, Armada Centre          30,682,967         1,200,000                3.9    29,482,967            675,000             6.1           28,807,967             142
Tesco Metro, New george street               23,087,641                 0                  -    23,087,641            675,000             2.9           22,412,641             182
FREE-STANDING STORES
Morrisons, Plymouth, Outland road            35,755,250        14,400,000           40.3        21,355,250          5,400,000            55.4           15,955,250              84
Morrisons, Tavistock, Plymouth road          26,737,829                 0              -        26,737,829                -                 -           26,737,829               -
Sainsburys, Plymouth, Marsh Mills            53,582,657         1,200,000            2.2        52,382,657          2,700,000             7.3           49,682,657             144
Tesco Express, Chaddlewood                      900,525                 0              -           900,525                -                 -              900,525               -
Tesco Express, Eggbuckland road               1,008,468                 0              -         1,008,468                -                 -            1,008,468               -
Tesco, Roborough                             38,252,623                 0              -        38,252,623          4,050,000            10.6           34,202,623             106
Asda, Estover                                30,367,577                 0              -        30,367,577          3,375,000            11.1           26,992,577              74
Morrisons, Plymstock                         29,220,705                 0              -        29,220,705          1,350,000             4.6           27,870,705              62
Co-op, Plymouth, The Broadway                 2,202,746                 0              -         2,202,746                -                 -            2,202,746               -
STORES IN CENTRES
Iceland, Plympton, Ridgeway                   1,607,683                 0              -         1,607,683                -                 -            1,607,683              58
Iceland, Plymstock, Broadway                    278,842                 0              -           278,842                -                 -              278,842              25
Lidl, Honicknowle, Transit way                3,426,113                 0              -         3,426,113                -                 -            3,426,113              74
Lidl, Plymstock broadway                      2,766,307                 0              -         2,766,307                -                 -            2,766,307             116
Londis, Plymouth, St Georges Terrace            200,623                 0              -           200,623                -                 -              200,623             133
Plymco, Crownhill                               289,373                 0              -           289,373                -                 -              289,373               9
Plymco, Ernesettle                              138,039                 0              -           138,039                -                 -              138,039              14
Plymco, Plymstock broadway                      764,520                 0              -           764,520                -                 -              764,520             232
Plymco, St Budeaux                              401,245                 0              -           401,245                -                 -              401,245               8
Plymco, Whitleigh green                         367,417                 0              -           367,417                -                 -              367,417              11
Somerfield, Mutley Plain                      5,490,222                 0              -         5,490,222                -                 -            5,490,222              88
Somerfield, Plymstock, Broadway               9,799,705                 0              -         9,799,705                -                 -            9,799,705             140
Somerfield, Southway                          2,732,714                 0              -         2,732,714            135,000               -            2,597,714              96
Tesco, Honicknowle, Transit way              43,835,255         5,400,000           12.3        38,435,255          3,375,000            20.0           35,060,255             105
BEYOND THE STUDY AREA
Asda, Bodmin, Launceston rd                  23,920,107                 0                0.0    23,920,107                -                 -           23,920,107             124
Asda, St Austell, Cromwell rd                 6,693,517                 0                0.0     6,693,517                -                 -            6,693,517               -
Asda, Taunton, Creechbarrow rd                  999,657                 0                0.0       999,657                -                 -              999,657               -
Co-op, South Brent, Church street             1,748,276                 0                0.0     1,748,276                -                 -            1,748,276               -
Marks & Spencer, Torquay, The willows            77,704                 0                0.0        77,704                -                 -               77,704               -
Morrisons, Liskeard, Horningtops             30,722,622                 0                0.0    30,722,622                -                 -           30,722,622               -
Morrisons, Paignton, Totnes rd                1,098,284                 0                0.0     1,098,284                -                 -            1,098,284               -
Sainsburys, Exeter, Guildhall sc              1,229,008                 0                0.0     1,229,008                -                 -            1,229,008               -
Sainsburys, Torquay, Nicholson road           1,625,655                 0                0.0     1,625,655                -                 -            1,625,655               -
Tesco Extra, Lee mill                        61,914,077           600,000                1.0    61,314,077         34,840,238            57.2           26,473,839              73
Tesco, Launceston, Tavistock rd              45,609,731                 0                0.0    45,609,731                -                 -           45,609,731               -
Waitrose, Okehampton                          6,889,778                 0                0.0     6,889,778                -                 -            6,889,778               -
Waitrose, Saltash                            17,029,652                 0                0.0    17,029,652                -                 -           17,029,652               -

Other                                       198,767,135                 0                0.0   198,767,135       198,767,135            100.0                  -                 -

Sub-total

TOTAL                                                          22,800,000                                         255,679,874
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