On core skills for life and work in the 21st century - X Global framework Basic skills for green job
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X Global framework on core skills for life and work in the 21st century Social and emotional sk Basic skills ills job for green e and Cognitiv itive c og n meta skills Basic d igita skills l
Copyright © International Labour Organization 2021 First published 2021 Publications of the International Labour Office enjoy copyright under Protocol 2 of the Universal Copyright Convention. Nevertheless, short excerpts from them may be reproduced without authorization, on condition that the source is indicated. For rights of reproduction or translation, application should be made to ILO Publications (Rights and Licensing), International Labour Office, CH-1211 Geneva 22, Switzerland, or by email: rights@ilo.org. The International Labour Office welcomes such applications. Libraries, institutions and other users registered with a reproduction rights organization may make copies in accordance with the licences issued to them for this purpose. Visit www.ifrro.org to find the reproduction rights organization in your country. Global framework on core skills for life and work in the 21st century ISBN: 978-92-2-035041-6 (print) ISBN: 978-92-2-035042-3 (web) The designations employed in ILO publications, which are in conformity with United Nations practice and the presentation of material therein do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the International Labour Office concerning the legal status of any country, area or territory or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers. The responsibility for opinions expressed in signed articles, studies and other contributions rests solely with their authors and publication does not constitute an endorsement by the International Labour Office of the opinions expressed in them. Reference to names of firms and commercial products and processes does not imply their endorsement by the International Labour Office and any failure to mention a particular firm, commercial product or process is not a sign of disapproval. Information on ILO publications and digital products can be found at: www.ilo.org/publns. Printing in Switzerland REP Designed in Switzerland BIP
X Global Framework on core skills for life and work in the 21st century III X Foreword The ILO marked its Centenary in 2019 at a time of tranformative changes in the world of work, driven by technological innovations, demographic shifts, environmental and climate change, and globalization. These global drivers of transformative changes are having profound impacts, both on the nature and future of work and on the place and dignity of the people within it. Today’s skills will not match the jobs of tomorrow and newly acquired skills will quickly become obsolete. Many jobs will disappear and new jobs will be created as countries are transformed by these global drivers, generating countless opportunities. We are, however, also likely to enter a world of work where existing inequalities deepen and there is a lack of opportunities for people in vulnerable situations. Moreover, the COVID-19 pandemic crisis has accentuated pre-existing inequalities and created the biggest disruption to education and training systems in history. The spread of the pandemic has stretched social fabrics, further threatening public health, economic activity and the social system, as well as long-term livelihoods and decent work for all. Considering these profound transformations affecting the world of work, the ILO has been steering its efforts towards promoting the acquisition of skills, competencies and qualifications for all workers throughout their working lives as a joint responsibility of governments and social partners. This is in order to address existing and anticipated skills gaps, paying particular attention to ensuring that education and training systems are responsive to labour market needs and enhancing the capacity of workers to make the best use of the opportunities available for decent work. Core skills are critical for enabling workers to attain decent work and in improving living standards; yet, there is currently no framework that adequately addresses the impact of global drivers of transformative changes and the pandemic on core skills, nor one that considers core skills in relation to people of all ages. There is also a lack of coherence in the definition and categorization of core skills. The ILO has therefore developed its Core skills for life and work in the 21st Century, specifying a terminology, taxonomy and definitions for core skills. This Framework provides a shared vision of the ILO Centenary Declaration and its human-centred approach to shaping a secure future of work, with full, productive and freely chosen employment and decent work for all. To further develop this human- centred approach to the future of work, the Framework proposes a range of core skills to strengthen the capacities of all people to pursue lifelong learning and to address the needs of vulnerable groups, who would not otherwise be able to benefit from the opportunities offered by a changing world of work. This paper will be followed by a digital toolkit for core skills providing policy guidance to national governments and social partners for the integration of core skills in national education and training systems, qualifications and curricula. It would also provide tools for the development and assessment of core skills. Sangheon Lee Director, Employment Policy Department, ILO Srinivas Reddy Chief, Skills and Employability Branch, ILO
IV X Acknowledgements This publication is the product of a collective effort undertaken by an array of experts drawn from governments, employers’ and workers’ organizations, and the ILO, together with other development agencies and United Nations partners. The Framework for core skills proposed by this paper utilizes and builds upon globally recognized international frameworks for core skills together with several national frameworks for core skills, with consideration given to the diverse national contexts and arrangements found in both developing and developed economies. Ashwani Aggarwal led the development of the Framework, and also reviewed, revised, edited and finalized the Framework and this publication. Jongwoo Lim made a substantial contribution to the development of the Framework, which included the mapping of existing frameworks and reviewing and providing comments and feedback during drafting. Jayne Norman prepared an initial draft and gave informed suggestions on how to address reviewers’ comments. Paul Comyn and Pedro Moreno da Fonseca also made key contributions that included reviewing and providing feedback on various drafts of the Framework. Thanks are due to the participants of the online workshop for the ILO Global Framework on Core Skills held on 30 July 2020 to review the Framework. The participants were: ILO: Srinivas B. Reddy, Ashwani Aggarwal (workshop facilitator), Paul Comyn, Pedro Moreno da Fonseca, Jongwoo Lim and Rodrigo Filgueira (CINTERFOR). External institutions: Jayne Norman (ILO’s international consultant), Ronald Sultana (University of Malta), Sabeena Mathayas (National Skill Development Corporation, India), Mergim Jahiu (Swiss Federal Institute for Vocational Education and Training, Switzerland), Dimitrios Pikios (European Commission), Vladimir Kvetan (European Centre for the Development of Vocational Training), Hector Niehues-Jeuffroy and Philipp Phan Lassig (GIZ), Hiromichi Katayama and Hélène Guiol (UNESCO), Urmila Sarkar and Celine Lafoucriere (Generation Unlimited) and Bassem Nasir (UNICEF). Other experts who provided comments and reviewed the draft of the Framework are as follows: Rafael Peels and Claire La Hovary (ACTRAV), Samuel Asfaha (ACT/EMP), Olga Strietska-Ilina, Bolormaa Tumurchudur-Klok, Cornelius Gregg, Christine Hofmann and Cheryl Chan, Angelica Munoz Marmolejo (ILO Skills and Employability Branch), Stefano Merante (ITC Turin) and Hervé Huot-Marchand (UNESCO). The Framework would not have been possible without the strong support and guidance of Srinivas B. Reddy, Chief of the Skills and Employability Branch of the ILO.
X Global Framework on core skills for life and work in the 21st century 1 X Contents Foreword.............................................................................................................................................. III Acknowledgements............................................................................................................................IV Table of contents...................................................................................................................................1 Abbreviations and acronyms..............................................................................................................2 1. Introduction and rationale.............................................................................................................4 1.1 Objective of this paper.....................................................................................................................6 1.2 Structure of the paper......................................................................................................................7 2. The impact of global drivers of transformative change on core skills..................................8 2.1 Technological innovation.................................................................................................................9 2.2 Globalization of production and trade.......................................................................................11 2.3 Transition to a sustainable environment...................................................................................12 2.4 Demographic change ....................................................................................................................12 Youth....................................................................................................................................................13 Ageing populations..........................................................................................................................14 Women ...............................................................................................................................................14 Labour migration .............................................................................................................................15 2.5 Impact of COVID-19 pandemic.....................................................................................................15 3. Characteristics and limitations of existing core skills frameworks.................................... 17 4. The ILO Core skills for life and work in the 21st Century....................................................... 25 4.1 Definition of Core skills for life and work in the 21st Century.............................................. 27 4.2 Framework categories of core skills ......................................................................................... 27 Social and emotional skills ............................................................................................................ 27 Cognitive and metacognitive skills............................................................................................... 28 Basic digital skills.............................................................................................................................. 28 Basic skills for green jobs............................................................................................................... 28 4.3 Types of core skills and definitions............................................................................................ 29 4.4 W ay forward and implementation of the ILO core skills framework................................ 33 5. Annex. Mapping of the selected international and national core skills frameworks..... 34 6. Bibliography.................................................................................................................................... 35
2 X Figures and tables Table 1. Estimated effects of technological advances on the future of work...........................10 Table 2. Estimated trajectories of demographic change in the future of work.......................12 Table 3. Summary of international core skills frameworks..........................................................19 Table 4. Summary of national core skills frameworks.................................................................. 23 Figure 1. ILO global framework for core skills................................................................................ 26
X Global Framework on core skills for life and work in the 21st century 3 X Abbreviations and acronyms ADB Asian Development Bank EU European Union ICT information and communication technology ILC International Labour Conference ILO International Labour Organization ITC International Trade Centre ITU International Telecommunication Union MSEM micro, small and medium-sized enterprises OECD Organisation for Economic and Co-operation and Development PIAAC Programme for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies SDG Sustainable Development Goal STEM Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics TVET Technical and Vocational Education and Training UNESCO United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization WEF World Economic Forum WTO World Trade Organization
4 1. Introduction and rationale The importance of generic and soft skills [core skills] … is not new. Their importance, however, has been re-highlighted in the context of a future of work that includes greater uncertainty in the job market and the prospect of multiple careers. X Skills and the Future of Work (ILO 2018a, p. 7) As the world of work undergoes an unprecedented transformation, countries are confronted with the challenge of an increasing mismatch between skills and jobs. The ILO Centenary Declaration for the Future of Work, 2019 (ILO 2019a) identifies a transformative change in the world of work driven by technological innovations, demographic shifts, environmental and climate change, and globalization. This, at a time of persistent inequalities, will have a profound impact on the nature and future of work, creating new jobs while rendering many existing jobs obsolete. Moreover, the COVID-19 pandemic has caused health, education, social and economic crises worldwide and heightened the challenges posed by these global drivers. Apart from changes to the technical skills required by the labour market, there is a growing recognition that core skills1 are a key catalyst for helping the workforce adapt to and thrive amid the uncertainty and disruption caused by megatrends and global crises like the pandemic. ILO Declarations, Conventions, Recommendations and other legal instruments emphasize the need for people to acquire skills in order to obtain full, productive employment and decent work, and also for their well-being, spiritual and personal development, and active citizenship (box 1). In addition, UNICEF’s Global Framework on Transferable Skills suggests that children and adolescents need skills, not only to succeed in school and at work, but also in life (UNICEF 2019). To meet these dual objectives relating to work and life, the development of core skills is essential. 1 There is no standard terminology for what is here referred to as core skills. Alternative terms include soft skills, life skills, transferable skills, employability skills, core competences, portable competences, and others.
5 Box 1. Statements concerning core skills from ILO instruments According to the ILO Human Resources Development Recommendation, 2004 (No. 195), lifelong education and training contribute to personal development and facilitate active citizenship. It also states that lifelong education and training should at base comprise the mastery of basic knowledge, the mechanics of reading, writing and arithmetic, and the proper use of information and communication technologies (all examples of core skills). The Home Work Recommendation, 1996 (No. 184) recommends Member States provide training to improve homeworkers’ skills, including non-traditional skills, leadership and negotiating skills (all examples of core skills). The Special Youth Schemes Recommendation, 1970 (No. 136) considers that young persons need skills to enable them to adapt to the pace of a changing society and to take an active part in the development of their country. The Indigenous and Tribal Peoples Convention, 1989 (No. 169) states that “[t]he imparting of general knowledge and skills that will help children belonging to the peoples concerned to participate fully and on an equal footing in their own community and in the national community shall be an aim of education for these peoples” (article 29). The International Labour Conference’s Conclusions on Skills for Improved Productivity, Employment Growth and Development (ILO 2008) states that effective skills development requires a holistic approach is taken, which includes the development of core skills, namely, literacy, numeracy, communication, teamwork, problem-solving and learning capabilities. The development of core skills, an awareness of workers’ rights and an understanding of entrepreneurship are the building blocks for lifelong learning and the ability to adapt to change. The Resolution concerning human resources training and development states that “Individuals are most employable when they have broad-based education and training, basic and portable high-level skills, including teamwork, problem-solving, information and communications technology (ICT) and communication and language skills, learning to learn skills, and competencies to protect themselves and their colleagues against occupational hazards and diseases. This combination of skills enables them to adapt to changes in the world of work”.2 2 Para. 9 of the Resolution concerning human resources training and development, International Labour Conference, 88th Session, 2000.
6 X Global framework on core skills for the 21st century Today, employers are placing ever greater importance on recruiting employees with sound core skills. Moreover, the transition towards a sustainable and green economy, together with a growing digital economy, has diversified the skills demanded of individuals who seek to secure a job, remain in employment, progress in a career and transition through several different occupations. As already mentioned, there is a growing awareness that core skills, alongside technical skills and academic knowledge, are critical to success within changing working and societal environments (UNICEF 2019). The ILO, in 2013, published Enhancing Youth Employability: What? Why? And How? – Guide to Core Work Skills (Brewer 2013). Its grouping of 54 core skills into four domains requires revision in the context of the future of work and lifelong learning. The reasons for this are two-fold: 1. Its target group is youth only and it does not address the needs of other age groups, including existing workers or those disadvantaged in the labour market. 2. It does not include those core skills necessary to adapt to the aforementioned labour market transitions as a consequence of digitalization, the transition to a green economy and demographic changes. The frameworks designed by other organizations display similar limitations, by not adequately and comprehensively addressing the impact of such transformative characteristics on the world of work. Given the shortcomings of its existing framework, the ILO has re-affirmed its unwavering commitment to promoting the acquisition of core skills by launching its Core skills for life and work in the 21st Century. 1.1 Objective of this paper This paper presents a Core skills for life and work in the 21st Century that provides a terminology, taxonomy and definitions for core skills. This new, global framework aims to reflect the ongoing transformations and the opportunities emerging in the world of work. It also considers the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Seeking to further the development of the ILO’s human-centred approach to the future of work, this paper provides a reference for realizing the potential of all workers to enhance their capacity to make best use of the opportunities available for decent work. Underlying it is a specific focus on personal and professional development for all through lifelong learning opportunities. Core skills for life and work in the 21st Century contributes to the ILO’s mandate of promoting lifelong learning and decent work for all and aligns with SDGs (Sustainable Development Goals) 4 and 8; the ILO Centenary Declaration on the Future of Work, 2019; Human Resources Development Convention, 1975 (No. 142); and Human Resources Development Recommendation, 2004 (No. 195). This paper will be followed by a digital toolkit providing policy guidance to national governments and social partners on the integration of core skills into national education and training systems, qualifications and curricula. It will also provide tools for the development and assessment of core skills.
X 1. Introduction and rationale 7 1.2 Structure of the paper Now that we have introduced the Core skills for life and work in the 21st Century global framework, the next three sections of this paper are structured as follows: X Section 2 addresses specific global drivers of transformative change in the world of work: – Technological innovation – Globalization of production and trade – Transition to a sustainable environment – Demographic changes – Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. X S ection 3 considers the characteristics and limitations of existing international and national core skills frameworks and maps selected frameworks in order to identify commonly used core skills X Section 4 proposes a global framework for core skills. This incorporates; – Terminology and definitions – Core skills and their proposed grouping
8 X Global framework on core skills for the 21st century 2. The impact of global drivers of transformative change on core skills We call for a new approach that puts people and the work they do at the centre of economic and social policy and business practice: a human-centred approach for the future of work … First, it means investing in people’s capabilities, enabling them to acquire skills, reskill and upskill and supporting them through the various transitions they will face over their life course. X Work for a Brighter Future: Global Commission on the Future of Work (ILO 2019d) The ILO Centenary Declaration for the Future of Work (ILO 2019a) observes that transformative change in the world of work, driven by technological innovations, demographic shifts, environmental and climate change, and globalization, at a time of persistent inequalities, is having profound impacts on the nature and future of work, and on the place and dignity of the people within it (ILO 2019a). The ILO Global Commission on the Future of Work (ILO 2019d) describes how transformative changes are driving change in the composition of employment and the nature of the tasks and duties undertaken at work and hence the skills required – including core skills (figure 1). These drivers of change are challenging education and training systems to be responsive and flexible and develop new approaches to lifelong learning that supports workers in remaining employable in a fast-transforming world of work (ILO 2019d).
9 2.1 Technological innovation New technologies, such as automation, artificial intelligence, the Internet of Things, blockchain solutions and augmented and virtual reality, are making a significant impact on the world of work. This is leading to wide-ranging changes in jobs, tasks and skills required. In the main, automation and digitalization are superseding low-skilled, routine jobs and changing the duties and tasks of those working in industries where automation is high (ILO 2019d). The adoption of new technology will also create new job opportunities and potentially enhance productivity. However, the specific type of jobs created, and the benefits to society from the future of work, will depend to an important extent on the availability of the skills needed to meet upcoming demand. The Global Commission on the Future of Work cites studies indicating the likely impact of technological innovations on jobs and tasks (table 1).
10 X Global Framework on core skills for life and work in the 21st century X Table 1. Estimated effects of technological advances on the future of work X ASEAN-5: 56 per cent of jobs are at risk of automation over the next 20 years Chang et al. (2016) X 47 per cent of workers in the United States are at risk of having their jobs replaced by automation Frey and Osborne (2015) X An average 9 per cent of jobs in the OECD are at a high risk of automation. A substantial proportion of jobs (between 50 and 70 per cent) will not be substituted entirely, but a large proportion of tasks will be automated, transforming how those jobs are carried out OECD (2016) X Nearly 50 per cent of companies expect automation will lead to some reduction in their full-time workforce by 2022 WEF (2018) X Two-thirds of jobs in the developing world are susceptible to automation World Bank (2016) Source: ILO (2019d). In addition, the COVID-19 global pandemic has provided further impetus for organizations to move vigorously towards digitalization (including the use of distance work or “teleworking”), as part of an effort to build resilience and continue operations during periods of crisis. As a result of technological innovations, various studies have pointed to the increasing importance of both core skills and basic digital skills, such as digital literacy, the ability to access and use information and communication or office productivity software. New jobs are more likely to be concentrated in the non-routine and the cognitive and metacognitive categories, requiring higher-order cognitive and core skills which are less conducive to automation (Ra et al. 2019). Analysis by the Asian Development Bank shows that demand for jobs requiring non-routine cognitive tasks has grown faster than for routine and manual jobs (ADB 2018). It also finds trends in wages indicate that non-routine cognitive skills have an increased premium. Work that is difficult to automate will become more of a feature of human labour; for example, complex tasks relying on both high-level cognitive skills and core skills like creativity (ILO 2017a). These changes in the nature of work require continuous learning in support of an effective lifelong learning system, strengthening a person’s ability and willingness to first unlearn and then re-learn (Ra et al. 2019). Moreover, findings from UNICEF highlight the importance of core skills development in adapting to technological innovation through empowering individuals to become agile, adaptive learners and active citizens (UNICEF 2019). Seen in this way, core skills essential in adapting to technological innovation in the world of work would include: foundational skills covering numeracy and literacy, basic digital skills, communication, teamwork, problem-solving, decision-making, critical thinking, planning and organizing, negotiation and conflict resolution, empathy, leadership, learning to learn, creativity and innovative thinking, and adaptability (Chetty et al. 2018; ILO 2019d; MGI 2018).
X 2. The impact of global drivers of transformative change on core skills 11 2.2 Globalization of production and trade One of the strongest drivers behind economies’ trajectories is the globalization of production and trade, largely supported by an intensification in the flows of production factors (capital, labour), products (goods, services), and people and technology between national economies. Globalization has profoundly affected the organization of work, business strategy and occupational content, with a significant impact on core skills needs. Trade integration has increased over recent decades and this has led to the outsourcing of labour- intensive production by advanced economies. Low- and medium-skilled jobs have been relocated to low-wage economies. In a majority of G20 countries, job polarization has been amplified (through task relocation coupled with job substitution by technology), with the share of employment in high-skilled jobs increasing (and also in low-skilled occupations, to some extent), while that for medium-skilled jobs has decreased (ILO and OECD 2018). Globalized businesses are strongly affected by technological shifts, the political and regulatory climate, and by socio-economic conditions. Even when conditions are favourable, businesses rise and fall, and operations may move between locations, potentially leading to negative and geographically concentrated employment shocks, with low-skilled workers the group worst hit. The COVID-19 pandemic has accentuated the negative impact of the disruptions to supply chains and trade that began in 2019 (ITC 2020). World trade dropped in all four quarters of 2019, with a ripple effect starting in China in early 2020. In February 2020, Chinese exports fell by around 21 per cent on the previous year. The pandemic then began to hit exports from other countries. In March 2020, exports from European countries and the United States of America recorded an on year decrease of 8 per cent and 7 per cent, respectively. The United States, China and the European Union are all three major players in global supply chains, accounting for 60 per cent of global supply chain trade, as well as being the biggest exporters of goods worldwide. Lockdowns in these economies in response to the pandemic affect partner and third-country firms, as well as domestic business (ITC 2020). Core skills transferable between occupations and between sectors are critically important, if workers are to find new jobs and economies to recover through the development of new businesses in those regions most affected by employment shocks. Global surveys on employer skills needs conducted across both developed and developing economies regularly identify the need for stronger core skills in new entrants to the labour market, as well as in existing workers. The core skills needed in the context of the globalization of production and trade include: collaboration and teamwork; planning and organizing; numeracy and literacy; basic digital skills; adaptability; self-management; learning to learn; negotiation; conflict resolution; persuasiveness; customer service; strategic, creative, innovative and critical thinking; communication; problem-solving; and decision-making (ITC 2020; ILO and OECD 2018; WTO and ILO 2017b).
12 X Global Framework on core skills for life and work in the 21st century 2.3 Transition to a sustainable environment Climate change and the transition to a green economy is another driving force influencing the skills needs of the current and future workforce. It is estimated that the global transition to greener economies will create millions of jobs through the implementation of cleaner and more sustainable technologies. The Global Commission on the Future of Work estimates implementing the Paris Climate Agenda will create four times as many jobs globally as are lost, with around 6 million job losses being offset by job gains of 24 million (ILO 2019d). However, the effect on job reduction and productivity due to climate change and environmental degradation is profound, with the effects falling disproportionately on the most vulnerable (ILO 2019b). The green transition is not only creating new green occupations – for instance, careers in the capture and storage of energy and carbon emissions, energy auditors and energy engineers – but also affecting existing jobs, where reskilling or upskilling is needed. Governments and social partners should collaborate in anticipating skills needs and assist businesses in upgrading skills, including the portable skills of their current workforce (ILO 2015b). Core skills development will play a crucial role in industrial green restructuring, country-wide structural changes and the greening of existing jobs. Skills for a Greener Future: A Global View (ILO 2019b) identifies those core skills needed for a green economy. Its framework proposes an explicit “green” skill, namely, an environmental awareness and respect and a willingness to learn about sustainable development, which is the starting point for any global citizen wishing to facilitate a transition to a greener way of thinking, being and doing. Moreover, a transition to a sustainable environment will demand core skills, such as improving efficiency and preventing waste, adaptability, teamwork, communication, negotiation, ana- lytical and innovative thinking, basic digital skills, literacy, strategic thinking and leadership (ILO 2019b). 2.4 Demographic change3 Demographic shifts constitute a defining feature of the changing world of work. They are often complex, with considerable variations between regions and countries. The ILO Global Commission on the Future of Work report cites studies estimating the trajectories of demographic change in each region, particularly with regards to youth, women, older workers, migrants and people in a position of vulnerability (ILO 2019d). As illustrated in table 2, in some regions of the world, the aging of the population is a growing concern, whereas in others the concern is an increase in the numbers of new entrants into the labour market. X Table 2. Estimated trajectories of demographic change in the future of work X By 2050, the total dependency ratio (ratio of population aged 0–14 years and 65+ per 100 compared to the population aged 15–64 years) is projected to increase sharply in Europe (by 24.8 percentage points) and North America (by 14.4 percentage points) and moderately in Asia (by 8.5 percentage points), Oceania (by 6.8 percentage points) and Latin America and the Caribbean (by 7.6 percentage points). The total dependency ratio for Africa is projected to decrease by 18.7 percentage points and one-half of the region’s population will be young (0–24 years). All other regions will have an aged population. CUN DESA (2019) Source: ILO (2019d). 3 This analysis mainly draws upon ILO (2016b, 2018c).
X 2. The impact of global drivers of transformative change on core skills 13 The ILO Global Commission estimates that the world economy will need to create about 520 million new jobs between now and 2030 simply to keep pace with the projected increase in the size of the labour force. However, given that this estimate does not capture a potential growth in the participation of women and older workers in the labour force nor migration flows, the demand for new jobs is likely to be even higher. To fully utilize the potential of a growing labour force, core skills development is crucial to ensuring all workers, particularly youth, women, older workers, migrants and vulnerable groups, are able to continue to adapt and fill the new jobs created in the changing world of work. Youth In 2015, almost 43 per cent of the global youth labour force was either unemployed or living in poverty, despite being in a job. Certain regions and countries are charac- terized by a “youth bulge”, which may create challenges in ensuring young people’s access to quality education, training, employment and decent work. In particular, there has been an upsurge in the youth population of South Asia and Africa, where young people suffer long-term unemployment. The unemployment rate among youth in these regions is at a much higher level than that of the adult population. Since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, youth have been disproportionately affected by job losses and have undergone a reduction in working hours of 23 per cent, globally (ILO 2020b). The substantial and rapid increase in youth unemploy- ment seen since February 2020 has affected young women more than young men. One crucial response to tackling the worsening employment situation for youth is through improving the access to, and the quality of, education and training. Unfortunately, following the COVID-19 pandemic, opportunities for skills development have been curtailed by a suspension to the ordinary operations of education and training institutions. Even though many countries continue to provide education and training to youth by harnessing digital technology, not all learners can access online education and training due to factors such as financial constraints, connectivity issues and a lack of equipment, as well as the limitations of offering practical TVET training online. To overcome the youth unemployment crisis, accentuated by the spread of the pandemic, the progressive development of core skills in combination with technical skills is indispensable for young people confronted with ongoing transformations and uncertainties in the world of work.
14 X Global Framework on core skills for life and work in the 21st century Ageing populations Instead of a youth bulge faced by many developing countries, many developed countries are confronted by the challenges of having an ageing workforce. After a baby boom in the 1970s, the demographic trend in advanced economies has generally followed an ageing trajectory. The proportion of the world’s population over 65 is projected to increase from 8 per cent today to nearly 14 per cent by 2040. While there is no easy solution to the challenges of an ageing workforce, it is important to harness the strengths of older workers. Research on older workers shows them to commonly have better core skills acquired through past experience, for instance, greater emotional stability, better communication skills and reasoning abilities, a greater depth and breadth of wisdom, and a higher level of overall agreeableness (SHRM 2014). With the COVID-19 pandemic threatening the safety and lives of older workers, their reskilling and upskilling will be essential, if they are adapt to changing skills needs and achieve a better work–life balance. Women Between 1995 and 2015, the labour force participation rate for women decreased from 52.4 to 49.6 per cent, with a higher risk for women of being unemployed compared to men. This is especially the case for women in North Africa and the Arab States. Although rates of educational attainment and gender parity are increasing globally, women still face particular barriers in accessing decent employment and are more likely to be: X In informal employment or unpaid family work; X Tied to household, community and care responsibilities, which can restrict access to education and training, or participation in the labour force; X Subject to occupational segregation and confined to low-skilled occupations with lower pay. Pre-existing inequalities for women in the labour market have been amplified by the COVID-19 pandemic. Women are over-represented in the service sectors, as well as in care and domestic work, which are among the sectors hit hardest by the pandemic. Globally, almost one-half of all women workers are at high risk of losing their job. This is especially the case in North America and Europe, where more women than men are employed in at-risk sectors. The development of core and technical skills has been identified necessary for the upskilling of women workers by ILO and other international development agencies.
X 2. The impact of global drivers of transformative change on core skills 15 Labour migration The final dimension of demographic change discussed in this paper is the growth of labour migration. Between 2000 and 2017, labour migration increased in 172 countries worldwide, reaching 258 million, up from 173 million (an increase of almost 50%) (ILO 2018c). Migration can be a vehicle for responding in a timely and effective way to labour supply and demand. To reap the benefits of migration, however, receiving countries need to promote the inclusion of migrants through access to labour markets and decent work. For example, migrant workers may have the technical skills for a job, but for many employers in Canada they often lack equally valued core skills, such as communication, problem-solving and teamwork, required to excel at work.4 A study by the International Organization for Migration in Bangladesh recommends financial literacy skills for migrants.5 The provision of equal opportunities for core skills development, alongside technical skills, can reduce the vulnerability of migrant workers. The acquisition of core skills can strengthen their retention and facilitate upskilling among migrants, refugees and internally displaced persons, thereby reducing the risk of unemployment. Thus seen, demographic changes would urge a broad range of core skills, including: self-reflection; learning to learn; emotional stability; leadership; negotiation and conflict resolution; achievement motivation; foundational skills (numeracy and literacy); basic digital skills; basic skills for green jobs; teamwork; communication; career management skills (goal-setting, self-management, job search, planning and organizing), and strategic, analytical, creative and innovative thinking (ILO 2016b, 2018c). 2.5 Impact of COVID-19 pandemic In parallel with the transformative changes in the world of work discussed, the COVID-19 pandemic has significantly disrupted work and life. In particular, work organization and working modalities have had to adapt rapidly in response. Due to workplace closures, many workers have been required to work from home. This seismic shift underscores the importance of certain core skills crucial to working efficiently using digital technology and handling stress during the pandemic, namely, communication, collaboration, achievement motivation, basic digital skills and self-management. While the pandemic crisis has impacted labour markets worldwide, its impact has been greatest on workers at micro, small and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) and in the informal economy (ITC 2020). As economies rebound, creating jobs in MSMEs will become key to the recovery (ITC 2020). The core skills of employers and employees within surviving MSMEs will be more important than ever in enabling the creation and implementation of the new business models needed to survive and seize opportunities presented by the crisis, so that the future can be one that “emphasizes resilience to change and unexpected shocks, embraces the possibilities offered by digitalization, prioritizes inclusiveness and leads to sustainable growth” (ITC 2020). 4 Enhancing Immigrants’ Essential ‘Soft’ Skills: A Win–Win Solution. 5 IOM. Lack of Skills and Low Levels of Financial Literacy Make Migrant Communities Vulnerable. Press release, 15 June 2020.
16 X Global Framework on core skills for life and work in the 21st century A 2020 global survey of business leaders on reskilling and skills gaps conducted by McKinsey in the wake of the pandemic has led to a recommendation that the workforce is upskilled with four kinds of skills: digital, higher cognitive, social and emotional skills, as well as adaptability and resilience. Workers who have core skills, such as communication, planning and organization, decision-making, problem-solving and conflict resolution, among others, have been highly sought after when redeploying workers during the height of the pandemic (CIPD 2020). For example, under a COVID-19 Transitional Skills Programme in the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, a short training programme has facilitated a shift of 11,000 workers from the hospitality and tourism sectors to the over-stretched care sector, as those workers already possessed highly sought after comparable core skills (People 1st International 2020). Some examples of the core skills required to minimize the impact of the current and post-pandemic crisis would be basic digital skills, critical thinking, self-awareness, self-management, problem-solving, advanced interpersonal skills (negotiation, conflict resolution and persuasion), adaptability, emotional stability, empathy, creativity and innovative thinking, planning and organizing, occupational safety and health, and learning to learn (MGI 2020). At a time of transformative change in the world of work, the ILO Centenary Declaration for the Future of Work, 2019, emphasizes the need to “act with urgency to seize the opportunities and address the challenges to shape a fair, inclusive and secure future of work with full, productive and freely chosen employment and decent work for all” (ILO 2019a). It asks the ILO to direct its efforts towards: Promoting the acquisition of skills, competencies and qualifications for all workers throughout their working lives as a joint responsibility of governments and social partners in order to: address existing and anticipated skills gaps; pay particular attention to ensuring that education and training systems are responsive to labour market needs, taking into account the evolution of work; and enhance workers’ capacity to make use of the opportunities available for decent work. X ILO 2019a
17 3. Characteristics and limitations of existing core skills frameworks Transferable skills [core skills] should be … understood within the life-long learning cycle as a dynamic, progressive, and cumulative process from early childhood through adolescence to adulthood. X Global Framework on Transferable Skills (UNICEF 2019) This section maps some of the key international and national core skills frameworks against the core skills identified in Section 2 as needed by the future workforce in order to be better prepared to cope with changes brought about by the global drivers in the world of work. It also analyses how these frameworks define and categorize core skills. As discussed in Section 2, megatrends and crises like the COVID-19 pandemic make it imperative that all individuals – regardless of age, gender or socio-economic strata – to be given the opportunity to acquire and upgrade core skills for their career development and to lead a fulfilling life. Responding to this demand, various international agencies and national authorities have developed frameworks of core skills. Listed below are the twelve core skills frameworks at international level and the six at the national level considered for mapping.6 6 The mapping analysis draws mainly upon ILO (2020c).
18 X Global Framework on core skills for life and work in the 21st century International frameworks X Portability of Skills (ILO 2007); X Enhancing Youth Employability: What? Why? and How? – Guide to Core Work Skills (Brewer 2013 for ILO); X Women and the Future of Soft Skills Training (ILO 2017b); X Skills for a Greener Future: A Global View – Based on 32 Country Studies (ILO 2019b); X Key Competences for Lifelong Learning: European Reference Framework (EU 2007); X Transferable Skills in Technical and Vocational Education and Training (TVET): Policy Implications (UNESCO 2014); X New Vision for Education: Unlocking the Potential of Technology (WEF 2015); X Developing Social-Emotional Skills for the Labor Market: The PRACTICE Model (Guerra et al. 2014 for World Bank); X Reimagining Life Skills and Citizenship Education in the Middle East and North Africa: A Four- Dimensional and Systems Approach to 21st Century Skills (UNICEF 2017); X The Definition and Selection of Key Competencies (OECD 1999); X Skill Shift Automation and the Future of the Workforce (MGI 2018); X The Assessment and Teaching of 21st Century Skills (ATCS) (University of Melbourne, Cisco, Intel and Microsoft 2009). National frameworks7 X Australia X Chile X India X Jamaica X Philippines X United States Tables 3 and 4 provide a summary of the terminology, rationale, definition and the main categories of core skills used in, respectively, international and national level frameworks. In Section 4, results derived from the mapping of these selected frameworks are used to inform the development of the ILO Global Framework on Core skills for life and work in the 21st Century. Section 5, annexe, maps these selected frameworks in order to identity those core skills used most frequently at both the international and national levels. 7 The six national frameworks selected represent both developed and developing economies.
X 3. Characteristics and limitations of existing core skills frameworks 19 X Table 3. Summary of international core skills frameworks Framework Terminology Rationale and definition Main categories name of core skills of core skills Developing Non- Rationale:(a) • Problem-solving Social-Emotional cognitive to identify the effects of non-cognitive skills – which • Resilience Skills for the skills (soft historically have been neglected – compared to Labor Market: skills/socio- cognitive skills on schooling, employment, work ex- • Achievement The PRACTICE emotional perience and choice of occupation. motivation Model skills) • Control (Guerra et al. Definition 2014 for World the “patterns of thought, feelings and behaviours” • Teamwork Bank) of individuals which are socially determined and can be developed throughout a lifetime to produce • Initiative values. Non-cognitive skills are personality traits • Confidence weakly correlated with measures of intelligence or test scores. Broadly, these skills encompass those • Ethics traits not directly represented by cognitive skills or by formal conceptual understanding, but instead by socio-emotional or behavioural characteristics that are not fixed traits of the personality, and that are linked to the educational process, either by being nurtured during the school years or by contributing to the development of cognitive skills in those years (or both). Enhancing Youth Core work Rationale • Learning to learn Employability: skills/core to secure a first job, as well as navigate through the • Communication What? Why? and skills for labour market, especially for young women and How? – Guide to employability men. • Teamwork Core Work Skills • Problem-solving (Brewer 2013 for Definition ILO) the ability to learn and adapt; read, write and compute competently; listen and communicate effectively; think creatively; solve problems independently; manage oneself at work; interact with co-workers; work in teams or groups; handle basic technology; lead effectively, as well as follow supervision. Key Key compe- Rationale • Communication in the Competences tencies to adapt flexibly to a rapidly changing and highly mother tongue for Lifelong interconnected globalized world. • Communication in a Learning: Definition foreign language European Reference a combination of knowledge, skills and attitudes • Mathematical Framework appropriate to context. These key competencies competence (EU 2007) are the ones needed by all individuals for personal fulfilment and development, active citizenship, social • Basic competences inclusion and employment. in science and technology • Digital competence • Learning to learn • Social and civic competences • Sense of initiative and entrepreneurship • Cultural awareness and expression
20 X Global Framework on core skills for life and work in the 21st century Framework Terminology Rationale and definition Main categories name of core skills of core skills New Vision 21st century Rationale • Foundational literacies for Education: skills to thrive in a rapidly evolving and technology- • Competencies Unlocking the mediated world, students must be adept at Potential of such skills as critical thinking, problem-solving, • Character qualities Technology persistence, collaboration and curiosity. (WEF 2015) Definition foundational skills, such as literacy and numeracy, in addition to competencies, such as collaboration, creativity and problem-solving, and character qualities, such as persistence, curiosity and initiative. Portability of Core skills Rationale • Social Skills to assist the economic and social development of • Communication (ILO 2007) Member States in the context of rapid changes in technologies, global markets and work organization, • Cognitive/problem- as well as high levels of youth unemployment and solving rising regional and international migration. • Learning Definition • Personal behavioural/ a set of non-vocational skills. These skills are ethical relevant across occupations and professions, as well as across low- and high-level jobs, and are therefore highly portable. Reimagining Life skills Rationale • Learning Life Skills and • to engage children, youth and all learners in the • Employability Citizenship learning process and enable them to personalize Education in the knowledge and apply it to their lives. • Personal Middle East and empowerment North Africa: • to target citizens in the Middle East and North Africa where unprecedented challenges – in terms • Active citizenship A Four- Dimensional of learning, employment and social cohesion – have and Systems not been resolved due to political instability and Approach to 21st conflict. Century Skills Definition (UNICEF 2017) the softer forms of technical vocational abilities related to daily life and civic engagement. They refer to the cognitive, individual and social domains, especially with regards to personal development, social cohesion and sustainable development. Skill Shift: Workforce Rationale • Physical and manual Automation and skills to adapt to the changing nature of work brought skills the Future of the about by automation and artificial intelligence (AI). • Basic cognitive skills Workforce (MGI 2018) Definition • Higher cognitive skills a combination of intrinsic abilities (e.g. gross motor skills and strength, creativity and empathy) and • Social and emotional specific learned skills, such as those relating to skills advanced IT and programming, advanced data • Technological skills analysis, and technology design. Skills for a Core/soft Rationale • Core skills required Greener Future: skills to support a green transition to a low-carbon across the labour force A Global View economy and the adaptation of poorer populations • Core skills required by – Based on 32 to climate-driven migration. the medium- to high- country studies Definition skilled population (ILO 2019b) Non-vocational, non-technical skills or competencies needed to perform at work and in society.
X 3. Characteristics and limitations of existing core skills frameworks 21 Framework Terminology Rationale and definition Main categories name of core skills of core skills The Assessment 21st-century Rationale • Ways of thinking and Teaching skills to adapt and innovate in response to new demands (creativity and of 21st Century and the changing circumstances being brought innovation, problem- Skills (ATCS) about by the shift to advanced knowledge solving, learning to (University of economies and globalization. learn) Melbourne, Definition • Ways of working Cisco, Intel and high-priority skills everyone needs to possess, if (communication, Microsoft 2009) they are to be productive and creative workers and collaboration) citizens of the 21st century. • Tools for working (information literacy, ICT literacy) • Living in the world (local and global citizenship, life and career, personal and social responsibility) The Definition Key compe- Rationale • Using tools and Selection tencies • to provide a sound conceptual framework to inform interactively of Key the identification of key skills and strengthen • Interact in Competencies international surveys (i.e. PISA (b)) measuring the heterogeneous groups (OECD 1999) level of skills of young people and adults (i.e. PIAAC). • Act autonomously • to improve the assessment of how well young people and adults are prepared for life’s challenges, as well as lifelong learning. Definition the ability to meet complex demands by drawing on and mobilizing psychological resources (including skills and attitudes) in a particular context. Transferable Transferable Rationale • Critical and innovative Skills in Technical skills because of demographic, economic, technological thinking and Vocational and environmental changes, countries must address • Interpersonal skills Education emerging skills needs, taking into account their and Training respective economic strength and potential. • Intrapersonal skills (TVET): Policy • Global citizenship Implications Definition (UNESCO 2014) a number of important competencies (skills) that can • Media and information be learnt and are required by everyone, if they are to literacy successfully adapt to changes and lead meaningful and productive lives.
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