Observing the distant solar system with Subaru and the New Horizons spacecraft - JJ Kavelaars - for the New Horizons science team
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Observing the distant solar system with Subaru and the New Horizons spacecraft JJ Kavelaars - for the New Horizons science team
THE KUIPER BELT AND PLANET FORMATION Constraints from orbits and surface properties NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA 2
Bannister et al. 2018 1142 TNO orbits from the CFHT surveys (CFEPS, HiLat, OSSOS) Orbital Distribution of the Kuiper belt NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA 3
Bannister et al. 2018 1142 TNO orbits from the CFHT surveys (CFEPS, HiLat, OSSOS) Orbital Distribution of the Kuiper belt NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA 4
TNOs orbits probe epoch of planet formation in the Outer Solar System Blue Binaries (Fraser et al., 2018) 5
Manset et al. 2019 Bimodality of the colour distribution exhibited by 229 KBOs in the Colours for OSSOS project.
No red TNOs in the high-inclination populations. Inclination is a strong signature of scattering. Appears that the red-objects come from a region of the solar system that did not experience strong dynamical stirring. See talk by Pike tomorrow Manset et al. 2019 Colour and Inclination are correlated among the TNOs
New Horizons Instruments LORRI: High-Resolution Panchromatic Imager: Geology, Navigation, Searches for Moons and Rings Ralph: Color Imager and Infrared Composition Mapper Alice: Ultraviolet Spectral Imager: Atmospheric Searches REX: Radio Science Experiment: Surface Temperature and Radar Reflectivity SWAP: Low-Energy Charged Particle Detector: Solar Wind Interaction PEPSSI: High-Energy Charged Particle Detector: Search for Emitted Ions SDC: Dust Impact Detector 10
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NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA 12
MOVING INTO THE KUIPER BELT Searching for a close encounter target NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA 13
The Kuiper belt in 1999 – planning an encounter NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA 14
2012 Search from Subaru NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA 15
2013 Search from Subaru NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA 16
2014 Search from Subaru NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA 17
About 130 m/sec available onboard for KBO targeting The closest KBO found from the ground would required 220 m/sec ΔV to reach Delta-V statistics suggest we are ~75% complete to R~25.6 Required ΔVs for discovered objects (blue histograms) Prediction from models and based on achieved depths (red curve). Might have got there by now if small-number statistics had been kinder… How Close were we in 2013? 18
Search with HST-ACS 160 orbits – 83 Fields – r < 27.5 NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA 19
CLOSE ENCOUNTER WITH ATTOKOTH First ever resolved imaging of a TNO NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA 20
Approach imaging NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA 21
22 n et al., 2019
23 IR spectrum of integrated spectrum of 2014 MU69 Ultim a December 31, 2018 Thul e
NEW HORIZONS A SPACE CRUISING OBSERVATORY TNOs found during the encounter target search NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA 24
Journey to the Solar System’s Frontier 25
New Horizons– a space cruising observatory NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA 26
From Lumme and Bowel (1981) Shadow hiding at low phase and surface roughness at moderate phase angles NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA 27
tant Kuiper Belt Objects (DKBO) Observ Hot Classical (516977) 2012 HZ84 0.9 AU 0.6 AU 0.5 AU a = 29° a = 47° a = 74° Anne Verbiscer Susan Benecchi, Example ofJ.Distant J. Kavelaars, TNOHarold Weaver, John discovered Spencer, Marc by Subaru ne Olkin, Joel Parker, Alan Stern, Leslie Young, Kelsi Singer, and the and observed by New Horizons Science Team at large phase cience Team NATIONAL Meeting RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA Orlando, Florida 30
Verbiscer et al, 2019 All phase coefficients (slopes) 2012 HZ84 shallow phase slope between 2011 HK103 shallow phase slope NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA 31
Verbiscer et al, 2019 All phase coefficients (slopes) 2011 HJ103 shallow phase slope. between 2011 JY31 steeper phase slope NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA 32
HC Verbiscer et al, 2019 Phase variation at low phase angle – small sample with variation NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA 33
NEW HORIZONS OPPORTUNITY FOR PARTNERSHIP Continuing into the future. NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA 34
All systems functional: Power from RTG good. NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA 35
23 October 2019 All Systems Nominal – Green is Go! Legend Modes and States POWER Checked Out OK COMMAND & DATA HANDLING 3A-E Not Checked Out SRU Power 3A-N Capacitor Bank Checked Out With Issue Shunt Regulator INTEGRATED ELECTRONICS MODULE #1 Switching Checkout Not Planned RTG Commands 3A-T AS-EA (33mF) DC/DC Converter, IEM Digital DC/DC Converter, Uplink/Downlink Majority AS-N Control & TLM Drivers Voter (15) AS-T (3) C&DH (PCI Backplane) AS-SA Uplink Rx CCD External PS-N C&DH Processor G&C Processor PROPULSION 1PPS Shunts Downlink Tx PS-T REX, Reg. Range Cross Instrument Internal PS-H Interface Fill/Vent Strap #1 Shunts Obs. Power Bus (30V +/- 1V) SSR GHe Mil Std 1553 Bus TLM N2H4 RF COMMUNICATIONS Diplexer Switch Pressure P Fill/Drain PDU Network Transducer Filter HGA 1PPS BPA BPA LNA I2C Cross RS-422 RS-422 Cat. Bed Temp Orifice RS-422 RS-422 RS-422 Strap #2 Command Sensors CMD/TLM LVDS LVDS LVDS Current Limit Auxiliary Decoder Still EPC Switching (8 Slices) On All LVS 1553 P Power working INSTRUMENTS REAs USO TWTA RIO Latch MGA PEPSSI RALPH (7) LORRI ALICE SWAP T SDC Valves Hybrid TWTA A1 B1 USO Auxiliary RIO EPC Aft A2 B2 PDB (7) Interfaces LGA A3 B3 (2) GUIDANCE & CONTROL 1PPS BPA BPA Fwd I2C Cross LNA Thruster Valve Drive, Cat. Bed Heaters 0.8 N ACS Strap #1 LGA Fine Sun Thrusters Star Sensors Tracker REX, Reg. Range C1 D1 C&DH Processor G&C Processor C2 D2 Instrument Star Downlink Tx Interface CCD Uplink Rx C3 D3 Sun Pulse Tracker SSR Sensors STRUCTURE IMU 1PPS HARNESS Component Cross Power Strap #2 4.4 N V FLIGHT SOFTWARE Thrusters THERMAL IMU C&DH (PCI Backplane) C&DH 4.2 CONTROL Power C4 D4 F1 F2 DC/DC Converter, IEM Digital DC/DC Converter, Uplink/Downlink G&C 4.1 Switching Internal Boot 3.8 Commands Heaters INTEGRATED ELECTRONICS MODULE #2 Autonomy 16 All System Go National Research Council of Canada 36
Sufficient resources for another flyby, if a target is identified. Propellant & Thruster Cycle Margin Propellant Margin 9/30/2019 Thruster Cycles Margin 9/30/2019 Propellant Thruster Cycles (kg) End of KEM Thruster Cycle Limit = (Qual Limit on Usable propellant loaded at launch (Note 1) 75.59 D1/D3 + Qual Limit on B1/B3) 818,000 Thruster cycles used as of 9/30/2019 = (Max of Propellant used as of 9/30/2019 62.79 D1/D3+B1/B3 and 2*An/Cn) (Note 2) 617,276 Usable propellant remaining as of 9/30/2019 = (75.59- Thruster cycles remaining as of 9/30/2019 = 62.79) ± 0.8 kg (Notes 1,2) 12.80 (818000-617276) 200,724 Thruster cycles budgeted for use after 9/30/2019 Propellant budgeted for use after 9/30/2019 (Note 3) 1.50 (Note 3) 30,473 Predicted usable propellant remaining at end of KEM = Predicted usable thruster cycles at end of KEM = (12.80-1.5) ± 0.8 kg 11.30 (200724-30473) 170,251 Margin = (12.80-1.5)/12.80 88% Margin = (200724-30473)/200724 85% (1) Includes the additional 700 g due to new expulsion efficiency estimate approved by A. Stern on 4/25/2019 (2) From Weekly Status Report dated 10/1/2019 (3) From MOL v55.2 and planned Mission Operations 23 October 2019 New Horizons Science Team Meeting 37
Proposed 2012 Search Area using HSC NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA 38
Subaru and New Horizons – probing the TNOs NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA 39
2021 search using Subaru - HSC NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL CANADA 40
THANK YOU JJ Kavelaars • New Horizons Co-Investigator • JJ.Kavelaars@nrc-cnrc.gc.ca
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