O19 - 28th April 2021 - Wilson James

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O19 - 28th April 2021 - Wilson James
o19

      28th April 2021
O19 - 28th April 2021 - Wilson James
HIGHLIGHTS
        Worldwide cases of COVID-19 are at 149,494,966 with deaths totalling 3,152,100 as of 28th April
         according to Worldometer. So far, 127,132,995 people have recovered from the virus.
        The UK economy is expecting to grow at its fastest rate since the Second World War. Accountancy firm
         EY has upgraded its growth forecast and expects GDP to grow by 6.8% in 2021, the groups previous
         forecast was 5%. Post lockdown spending and businesses better adapting to Covid-19 restrictions have
         prompted the change.
        Iran has sentenced British-Iranian dual national Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe to one year in jail and for the
         year after she will be unable to leave the country. Ms Zaghari-Ratcliffe received her sentenced for
         attending a demonstration outside the Iranian Embassy in 2009 and for conversing with BBC Persia.
         The British government have stated that they will do all they can to secure her release.
        The EU is suing vaccine manufacturer AstraZeneca over vaccine deliveries. AstraZeneca only delivered
         30 million of the doses to the EU in the first quarter of 2021, the firm had promised to deliver 180
         million doses. EU Commission Spokesman, Stefan De Keersmaecker said the bloc has started legal
         action against the company “on the basis of breaches of the advance purchase agreement.” The
         company has further stated that of the 180 million doses ordered for the second quarter of 2021, it
         will only be able to supply 70 million doses.
        Former Prime Minister David Cameron has come under further scrutiny over his role in the supply of
         Covid-19 testing kits to the United Kingdom Government. Mr Cameron introduced an old Etonian
         school friend, Hugh Warrander to Andrew Feldman who at the time was a senior advisor in the
         Department of Health. Mr Warrander was reportedly representing an Asian Covid-19 test kit
         manufacturer that wanted to make contact with senior government decision makers.
        EU president Ursula von der Leyen has said that the EU will welcome American holidaymakers this
         year. The EU and the USA are in advanced talks over mutually recognising vaccine passports.

  BREXIT
        Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon has admitted because of Brexit a hard border between England
         and Scotland would be required if Scotland ever gain independence. Under EU rules, should Scotland
         wish to become a member of the bloc the process would take 10 years. The SNP claims that Scotland
         left the EU against its will.
        Major French trade unions are threatening to block the port of Calais within two weeks if fishermen
         do not receive licenses from the United Kingdom to operate in British fishing waters. A blockade on
         the port of Calais would result in extensive disruption to UK exporters

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WORLD NEWS/RAS/28th April 2021
O19 - 28th April 2021 - Wilson James
COVID – 19

      TOTAL CONFIRMED CASES                       TOTAL DEATHS                   PATIENTS RECOVERED
             149,494,966                           3,152,100                         127,132,995

      28.04.2021 Worldometer

      COVID-19 – UK

         Seven–day rolling rate of new cases by                        Seven–day rolling rate of new cases by
        specimen date ending on 15th April 2021                       specimen date ending on 22nd April 2021

                                       Patients’ weekly admission data as
                                                 of 21/04/2021
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WORLD NEWS/RAS/28th April 2021
COVID-19 – UK

        The total confirmed UK COVID-19 cases as of 28th April is 4,409,631 with 127,451 deaths according to
         GOV.UK.

        As of 26th April, over 33,843,580 people have received their first dose of COVID-19 vaccination in the
         UK and 13,201,811 have received their second dose according to GOV.UK.

        Eight police officers were injured at an anti-lockdown protest on 24 April. Objects including bottles were
         thrown as the Metropolitan Police attempted to disperse crowds in Hyde Park at the end of the
         demonstration on Saturday evening. Five arrests were made for offences including assaults on police.
         10,000 people attended the March in London’s Hyde Park.

        91 year old Margret Keenan, the first person in the world to receive the vaccine, has urged people to
         “go and get it now” in response to being asked about her feelings on those hesitant to have the vaccine.
         Ms Keenan made history in December 2020 by receiving the vaccine; she has described receiving the
         vaccination as “the best thing I have ever done”.

        Driving tests have recommenced in England under Boris Johnson’s roadmap to coming out of lockdown.
         Most centres are booked up until August with a backlog of 420,000 tests. Drivers who fail their test may
         have to wait up to nine months before being able to retake it.

        Rapid Covid-19 testing kits will be available free in Scotland, even to those who do not have any
         symptoms. The Scottish Government have said that the scheme will assist in finding cases that would
         otherwise be undetected.

        Prime Minister Boris Johnson has stated that the UK will send 600 items of medical supplies, including
         ventilators to India. 495 oxygen concentrators, 120 non-invasive ventilators and 20 manual ventilators
         left the UK by air on 25 April and arrived in New Delhi on 27 April.

        People in Wales will be able to have a drink inside a pub or restaurant from 17 May. All tourist
         accommodation, indoor entertainment and attractions in Wales will reopen on the 17th in time for the
         spring bank holiday. Indoor children's activities and groups of up to 15 adults, such as gym classes will
         open two weeks earlier than planned on 3 May. First Minister Mark Drakeford described it as a "major
         reopening of Wales" and that the relaxation of a number of lockdown rules moving forward has happen
         because of falling Covid rates.

        More than one third of England’s NHS trusts have no longer have any patients in intensive care. As of
         the 20th April patients suffering from Covid-19 only occupied 6.6% of intensive care beds.

        Professor Sarah Walker who is one of the UK’s leading scientists studying the track of Covid-19 has said
         that thanks to the UK’s vaccine programme the country is no longer in a pandemic. Ms Walker has said
         that the country has moved into a new phase meaning the UK is now in an endemic.

        A new campaign launched earlier this month to encourage younger people to have their Covid-19
         vaccine when it is their turn. The Department of Health has released a collection of images documenting
         the NHS's largest-ever vaccination programme. More than half the entire UK population - 33.5 million
         people - have now received a first dose, while more than 12 million people have had two doses.

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WORLD NEWS/RAS/28th April 2021
COVID-19- OTHER COUNTRIES
    Canada
    Ontario Premier Doug Ford has faced criticism as the Canadian province tackles its third wave of COVID-19. Both
    Doug Ford and the Premier of Quebec have urged Prime Minister Trudeau to reduce international travel,
    particularly from hard hit countries such as India and Pakistan.

    Ecuador
    On 21st April, Ecuador introduced a night-time curfew, alongside other mobility restrictions, in an attempt to stop
    hospitals in the country from becoming overwhelmed after a spike in COVID-19 cases. As of 26th April, the Country
    had 373,362 confirmed cases and 18,177 deaths.

    Germany
    On 21st April, protesters attending an anti-lockdown demonstration in Berlin clashed with police. Demonstrators
    attended the rally to protest against new powers given to Angela Merkel by Parliament to fight the third wave of
    COVID-19 sweeping across the country. On 22nd April, Germany recorded 23,000 new cases in 24 hours.

    Iraq
    At least 82 people have died and over 100 injured in a Baghdad hospital after a fire broke out Saturday 24th April.
    The fire broke out in the Covid-19 intensive care unit of the Ibn al-Khatib Hospital, the source of the blaze is
    believed to have been an exploding oxygen cylinder.

    Israel
    In Israel, zero Covid-19 deaths were recorded for the first time in 10 months on 22nd April with 60% of the
    population fully vaccinated. Israel has relaxed COVID-19 restrictions allowing schools to reopen, masks are no
    longer required outdoors and fully vaccinated people can dine indoors and go to concerts.

    Japan
    The Japanese government are planning for a third state of emergency to help tackle COVID-19 infections in
    Tokyo, alongside three other prefectures. Japan has an approximate 9,800 deaths and 500,000 reported cases
    of the virus. Seiko Hashimoto president of the Tokyo 2020 organising committee has stated the cancellation
    of the Olympics is currently not an option.

    New Zealand
    More than 50,000 people have packed into the Eden Park stadium to attend a rock concert. The event took
    place on 25 April has been billed as the largest concert in the world since the pandemic took hold. No masks
    or social distancing restrictions were necessary at the event.

    Singapore
    Roughly, 1,200 migrant workers are now in quarantine in Singapore after multiple cases of COVID-19
    identified in dormitories housing the workers on 22nd April. One Bangladeshi worker contracted the virus
    despite receiving both doses of the COVID-19 vaccine.

    Slovakia
    From 26th April, Slovakia further eased their lockdown restrictions allowing for restaurant terraces and gyms
    to reopen. The move came after the country saw its 7-day average cases fall from 3,000 to 642 recently with
    hospital admissions also falling.

    Thailand
    Thailand’s Centre for COVID-19 Situation Awareness announced on Monday 26th April the extension –by a
    month- of the nationwide lockdown due to end on April 30th. There were 2,931 confirmed cases and 52 deaths
    on Monday.
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WORLD NEWS/RAS/28th April 2021
Useful Information Sources
                                UK wide – Public Health England
                                Scotland – Scottish Government
                                Northern Ireland – NISRA
                                COVID-19 deaths in England & Wales – ONS
                                COVID-19 Statistics – Worldometer – Johns Hopkins University

     WORLD NEWS
     Armenia
     On 24th April, President Biden recognised the 1915 massacre of Armenians by the Ottoman Empire as an act
     of genocide, in which an estimated 1.5 million Armenians were killed. Whilst heavily criticised by the Turkish
     government, America is home to a large Armenian diaspora who have celebrated the decision.

     Canada
     Canada’s Conservative Party leader, Erin O’Toole announced on Wednesday 21st April a new carbon-pricing
     plan to replace the federal carbon tax brought in by the previous liberal government in 2019. The consumer
     carbon price, predictions were as high as C$170 (US$130)/tonne under the liberal leadership however now
     have a reduced maximum of C$50 (US$40)/tonne.

     China
     China has unveiled new advanced radars that could detect aircraft flying in stealth mode along with drones
     and cruise missiles. One device that has been unveiled is the country’s first portable radar.

     France
     A female police officer died after a stab wound to the neck received outside a police station in the South
     West of Paris. Anti-terror prosecutors have taken over the inquiry, due to the event classed as a possible
     terrorist attack. The knifeman, who reportedly came to France from Tunisia several years ago, was shot dead
     by police.

     Indonesia
     53 Indonesian Navy sailors have perished after their submarine sank 60 miles north of Bali. A scan of the
     ocean detected the submarine 850m below the surface, well beyond the vessels limits, which are built to
     withstand depths of up to 500m.

     Libya
     More than 120 asylum seekers are lost at sea because of their rubber boat capsizing in a storm off the coast
     of Libya while they were attempting to reach Europe, charities and the UN migration agency say. Waves in
     the area were reaching heights of over 6 meters. Vessels in the area went to help but found no sign of
     survivors.

     Russia
     Alexei Navalny has said he is ending his hunger strike after receiving medical attention and being told by his
     doctors that continuing it would be life threatening. The Russian opposition leader who is in prison said he
     would continue to demand a visit from his doctor to address a loss of sensation in his limbs.

     Syria
     On 24 April firefighters had to extinguish a blaze on an oil tanker anchored of the coast of the Baniyas
     refinery. Syrian authorities believe the cause was a drone strike that came from the direction of Lebanese
     waters. Syrian authorities have been rationing fuel supplies under UN sanctions.
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WORLD NEWS/RAS/28th April 2021
Ukraine
     Russian Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu has ordered a number of military units in the area back to their bases
     after weeks of tension on the border with Ukraine. Over 100,000 soldiers reportedly gathered at the border
     between the two countries.

     United States
     Ghislaine Maxwell makes first US court appearance in New York. Ms Maxwell has appeared in court on new
     charges of sex trafficking. The two new charges relate to allegations that Maxwell recruited a 14-year-old girl
     to provide Epstein with sexualised massages between 2001 and 2004

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WORLD NEWS/RAS/28th April 2021
INSIGHTS
   Our Risk Advisory Service regularly publish articles and advisories covering a myriad of subjects. These
   publications can be found within the Risk Advisory Services section on the Wilson James website.

                                  MI6 monitoring of large polluting countries

   A recent interview on Times Radio with the new MI6/SIS (Secret Intelligence Service) boss, Richard Moore,
   revealed MI6 had started to spy on large polluting countries to monitor their carbon emissions. Moore
   described this shift in policy as the “foremost international foreign policy item for this country and for the
   planet,”1. Social media users referred to it as ‘Green Spying’.

   Almost 200 countries and rising signed up to the Paris Climate Agreement in 2015, a plan to tackle climate
   change on a global level. The aim is to collectively reduce greenhouse gas emissions and limit the rise in global
   temperatures. It also expects wealthier countries to assist those struggling to meet their commitments due to
   economic and logistical disadvantages. The agreement sets out mandatory measures to ensure compliance
   and transparency “requiring reporting on greenhouse gas inventories and projections that are subject to a
   technical expert review and a multilateral examination”.2.

   The Paris Agreement Implementation and Compliance Committee (PAICC) now exists to assist member
   countries and help them meet their targets. As non-punitive and non-adversarial, the PAICC “builds trust. This
   trust ensures that each Party honours its commitments to fight climate change in accordance with the Paris
   Agreement. And this, in turn, helps boost the climate ambition of Parties which is what we need in 2020 and
   well into the future” said Ms. Patricia Espinosa, Executive Secretary of UN Climate Change. 3.

   Moore’s admission to already spying on large industrialised countries supports the Paris Agreement’s ethos of
   trust and commitment but affirms, "Climate change - where you need everyone to come on board and to play
   fair, then occasionally just check to make sure they are." 1. Moore considers MI6’s role pivotal in this respect
   stating, “Our job is to shine a light in places where people might not want it shone. And so clearly we are going
   to support what is the foremost international foreign policy agenda item for this country and for the planet,
   which is around the climate emergency, and of course we have a role in that space.” 4.

   US President Joe Biden hosted a virtual summit this week to encourage more action with many of the big
   polluters attending and making promises to reduce emissions by at least 50% by 2030 or to be Net Zero by
   2050. China has already hit back at accusations it is not fulfilling its goals; the Chinese Foreign Ministry stated
   China’s effectiveness at tackling climate change was “obvious to all”5.

   Moore’s approach to monitoring and holding countries to account will likely be highly influential in assisting
   with the Paris Agreement objective of ‘an international treaty for the termination of fossil fuel production’. 6.

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WORLD NEWS/RAS/28th April 2021
(NRDC, 2015)

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WORLD NEWS/RAS/28th April 2021
COVID19@wilsonjames.co.uk / riskadvisory@wilsonjames.co.uk

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