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NOVATOR APC perfectly suited for off-road missiONs - Defense Express
№2-3 [april – september 2020]

                                                             ATTACK FROM THE SKY
                                                                  Fury & Thunder –
                                                                what new Ukrainian
                                                                UAVs are Capable of

                                 NOVATOR APC
 perfectly suited for off-road missions
RIFF – Compact-size                Barrier-S:        Pirat ATGM Attacks from the Top
Countermeasure against UAV         A comprehensive   Bilateral Polish-Ukrainian project
Threats                            upgrade to        has reached its final stage
                                   renowned ATGM
                                   vehicle
NOVATOR APC perfectly suited for off-road missiONs - Defense Express
NOVATOR APC perfectly suited for off-road missiONs - Defense Express
10 14
                  22                                                                                                          42

                                  36

      threats and challenges                                           anti-tank weapons                                                  Unmanned systems

10   GENUINE THREAT
     Ukrainian military presented OSCE its
     views regarding the current security
                                                          26          PIRAT ATGM Attacks
                                                                      from the top                                            42         "FURY" and "THUNDER" drones
                                                                                                                                         made in Ukraine
                                                                      Polish company conducted successful                                What new Ukrainian UAVs are capable of
     situation in and around Ukraine                                  testing of the ATGM system Pirat – a
                                                                      Ukrainian-Polish project

      stand-off                                                                                                                           Analysis

14   HYBRID WAR AT Sea:
     Ukrainian Experience                                             Business                                                46         Air Defenses vs. Unmanned
                                                                                                                                         Aerial Vehicles
     Opinion: Hybrid tactics must be identified
     and neutralized in advance in order to
     prevent negative effects from adversary
                                                          30         Trade firm Progress
                                                                     The oldest exporting company
                                                                     in Ukraine
                                                                                                                                         The lessons learnt from combat
                                                                                                                                         confrontations between high-tech
                                                                                                                                         armaments
     actions

      Defense-industrial                                              Firepower                                                            Communication
      transformation

20 LIVE IN A NEW WAY                                      34         SHTURM/STORM-SM
                                                                     Comprehensive upgrade to Soviet-
                                                                     developed ATGM vehicle
                                                                                                                               48         Harris
                                                                                                                                          USAI program and Ukrainian army:
     Ukraine’s Defense-Industrial Sector is                                                                                               Advanced Tactical communications
     facing Dramatic Reforms in how the                                                                                                   changes rules of the game on the front line
     Defense Industry is managed

                                                                      Armored combat vehicles
      Missile Technology
                                                          36 "We are currently more                                                        ANTI-DRONE WARFARE

22   NEPTUNE ASCM Project
     approaching its final lap
                                                             than just a manufacturer of
                                                             armored vehicles"           50 RIFF on guard against
                                                                                            drone threats
     DKKB Luch has completed trials of its                           Interview with Vladyslav Belbas,                                     Interproinvest offers a compact-size
     ASCM System Neptune                                             Ukrainian Armor LLC CEO                                              countermeasure against UAV attacks

                  Founder and Publisher – Defense Express Media & Consulting Company LCC
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                  Project Manager – EDUARD VELIKANOV, velikanov.e@gmail.com; Programs editor-in-chief - Oleg Katkov; Computer layout & design – NATALIA KOLESNIK;
                  Naval expert – VOLODYMYR ZABLOTSKY; Translator – JANNA DYOMINA.
                  Print run – 1000 copies; Price – negotiable.
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NOVATOR APC perfectly suited for off-road missiONs - Defense Express
Defense & Security NEWS   Ukrainian Defense Review/April-September 2020

                          Ukraine's Air Force to Undergo
                                                                                                                        ments replacing fighter, bomber and
                                                                                                                        spy airplanes currently in use.
                                                                                                                            During the third and final phase,

                          Drastic Modernization by 2035                                                                 the UAF’s fleet will be fully modern-
                                                                                                                        ized with new capabilities that will re-
                                                                                                                        place Soviet legacy fleets by 2035.
                                                                                                                            According to the concept, the UAF
                                                                                                                        will be recreated into a brand new,
                                                                                                                        modern air force branch; the command
                                                                                                                        and control, logistics and personnel
                                                                                                                        components should be prepared to act
                                                                                                                        effectively and efficiently in all opera-
                                                                                                                        tional scenarios of modern warfare.
                                                                                                                            The currently operational tacti-
                                                                                                                        cal aviation, consisting of fighter,
                                                                                                                        bomber, attack and reconnaissance
                                                                                                                        branches fielded with varied models
                                                                                                                        of MiG-29s, Su-27s, Su-24Ms, Su-25s,
                                                                                                                        and Su-24MRs, has to be renovated
                                                                                                                        and restructured to become a mul-
                             Ukraine’s Air Force (UAF) fleet will,           During the second phase (2025-30),         ti-role, mixed-capability force uni-
                          by 2035, be modernized with new air-            from 8 to 12 fighters will be acquired        formly equipped with 4++ generation
                          craft, in a three-phase program worth           each year so that to enable the UAF to        jets such as Swedish Saab JAS-39E/F
                          UAH 200 billion (USD 7.2 billion).              fully replace its aging fleet of MIG-29s      Gripen or F-16 Block 70/72 to reduce
                             Plans for modernization of the               and Su-27s by the end of the program.         inventory types and minimize logis-
                          country’s air force and air defense ca-            At least two tactical aviation bri-        tics footprint and cost.
                          pabilities are set out in the Air Force’s       gades will be fully re-equipped with              Overall, Ukraine needs to purchase
                          2035 concept.                                   new aircraft and full operational capa-       and accept for service between 72 and
                             As part of the initial, preparatory          bility will be achieved by 2030.              108 fighters deployed to at least 4 tac-
                          phase (2021-25) Ukraine will hold a                On a parallel track, UAF’s trans-          tical aviation brigades by 2035. The
                          tender and struck a contract in 2022            port fleet has to be fully replaced, too,     lesser overall number of fighters (as
                          to procure 6-12 new multirole fighters          starting in 2030, at a rate of 1-2 aircraft   compared to the present-time fleet)
                          to achieve initial capability in 2025           a year.                                       will be compensated by their moder-
                          so that the UAF could prepare infra-               The UAF also wants to deploy               nity and technological superiority
                          structure and train personnel.                  unmanned aviation brigades or regi-           over the Soviet legacy fleet.

                                 Ukraine Developing New UCAV to be known
                                               as Sokil-200
                                                                          automatic takeoff and landing, auton-         mor missiles capable of ranges up to
                                                                          omous preprogrammed inertial navi-            7.5 km. It will be equipped with the
                             Luch, a State-owned defense con-             gation flight and long-range live video       Ukrainian-designed optronic weapon
                          tractor, is working on development of a         streaming via an encrypted link", Mr          aiming pod OPSN-1 that can pick up
                          full-mission Unmanned Combat Aerial             Korostelev said.                              targets at ranges out to 14.5 km away.
                          Vehicle (UCAV) known tentatively as                 Sokil-200 UCAV will feature some             Regarding the engine for the new
                          Sokil-200 (Ukrainian for "Falcon").             of the technology solutions that DKKB         UCAV, Luch is hesitating choosing
                             With a wingspan of 14 meters and a           Luch has already tried out and imple-         between a turboprop and a piston en-
                          payload capacity of 200-250 kg, Sokil-200       mented in its Anti-Ship Cruise Missile        gine. Defense Express estimates that
                          will surpass its Turkish rival Bayraktar        (ASCM) system Neptune and similar             an Ivchenko-Progress turboprop or
                          by a margin of two meters and several           projects. Here we talk about the com-         a piston engine with specs similar to
                          times, respectively, whilst retaining the       mand and control station with associ-         the Austrian Rotax 914 are best suited
                          same air endurance of 24 hours.                 ated communication facilities as well         for this application. Here the talk is
                             This came from an interview given            as the inertial guidance system and           about Ivchenko-Progress AI-450 tur-
                          to Defense Express by Oleh Korostelev,          some other electronic systems fielded         boprop that delivers 450 horsepower
                          Chief of Design and CEO at DKKB Luch.           on the Neptune’s R-360 missile.               at a weight of 130 kg. Just for record,
                             "We are developing a full-mission                The new UCAV will carry Luch’s            Turkey had selected the AI-450 for its
                          UCAV equipped with capabilities for             Barrier-V precision-guided anti-ar-           Akinci UCAV.

                             4
NOVATOR APC perfectly suited for off-road missiONs - Defense Express
facebook.com: Ukrainian Defense Review

      Kyiv, Ankara Negotiating Localization of UCAV
             Bayraktar Production in Ukraine
   Ankara and Kyiv are negotiating         cussed by the two countries. Also          signed by the then President Petro
options for collaborative development      under negotiation is collaborative         Poroshenko during his Turkish visit
and production of the Turkish-de-          development of more capable sys-           in November 2018. This was followed
veloped Bayraktar drone system in          tems and even production of Bay-           by the $70 million contract struck in
Ukraine.                                   raktar drones in Ukraine, provided         January 2019 to purchase 6 Bayrak-
   This is according to a report by In-    there are appropriate conditions in        tar UCAV systems in a package with
terfax-Ukraine, citing the Ambassador      place. I think that defense industry       three Ground Control Stations. The
of Turkey to Ukraine Mr Yagmur Ah-         can become a new hallmark of the           drones arrived and were flight tested
met Guldere.                               Turkey-Ukraine cooperation, includ-        in the Ukrainian skies in March 2019.
   The two countries have conducted        ing this specific area," the Turkish       In the following months till May 2020,
several rounds of negotiations on var-     Ambassador said.                           the UAVs flew a series of operator
ied aspects of bilateral cooperation,         UDR note: Bayraktar drones are in       training missions.
from co-development of high-end            production at the Turkish company             In July 2020, the Turkish Anado-
unmanned aerial systems up to local        Baykar Makina. The Bayraktar fami-         lu Agency cited Ukraine’s Defense
production of Bayraktar UCAVs in           ly of UAVs includes Mini Bayraktar,        Minister, Andriy Taran as telling his
Ukraine, provided that appropriate         Bayraktar VTOL (vertical takeoff           Turkish counterpart Hulusi Akar
conditions are in place, Mr Ambassa-       and landing), and (the best selling        that Ukraine is looking to purchase
dor told Interfax-Ukraine.                 of them all) Bayraktar TB2. Ukraine        another shipment of UAV systems
   "We had discussions on various          purchased a shipment of Bayraktar          (presumably Bayraktar TB2) from
topics, and this issue was also dis-       TB2 drone systems under a contract         Turkey.

  Cameroon Air Force Buys                                                             vice was reported to have
                                                                                      purchased from Russia two
                                                                                      Mi-24s, overhauled and
Barrier-V ATGMs from Ukraine                                                          upgraded.
                                                                                          UDR note: The Photo-
    UkrSpecExport, an affiliate of the     KTK-1M training & status monitoring        prylad’s 524R is a missile
State-owned Ukroboronprom defense          equipment kit for integrated guided        fire-control kit that was de-
industries holding group, has shipped      missile systems.                           signed as part of upgrade
a batch of weaponry and equipment             Reports are that this purchased         packages for the helicopters
to the Cameroon Air Force, under a         equipment will be deployed on heli-        Mi-24, Mi-8 and Mi-2. The
$2.411 million contract awarded in De-     copter platforms, albeit without spec-     524R has day-and-night ca-
cember 2019.                               ifying the types or names of the plat-     pabilities for (1) battlefield
    This is according to statistics from   forms.                                     surveillance; (2) search,
52wmb.com, an export/import online            The Cameroon Air Force is current-      detection,     identification
platform.                                  ly fielding five Mi-8/17 multi-role hel-   and automatic tracking of
    The contract included two units of     icopters in several configurations, in     ground and aerial targets,
the 524-PE guided weapon system;           addition to two Mi-24V attack helicop-     moving or stationary, and
two units of the electronic warfare sys-   ters the service purchased in 2015 from    (3) guidance and control of
tem Quadros; 38 PK-2B "Barrier-V" an-      Slovakia and got them overhauled and       helicopter-launched, RK-
ti-tank guided missiles; one unit of the   upgraded by Poland. In 2016, the ser-      2V missiles.

                                                                                                                          5
NOVATOR APC perfectly suited for off-road missiONs - Defense Express
Defense & Security NEWS   Ukrainian Defense Review/April-September 2020

                                 Ukraine Developing a Drone-Delivered Bomb
                             SpetsOboronMash is developing                     The munition is being designed      tion of factors such as the altitude and
                          a lineup of dropped munitions op-               with a mass of 4.2 kg and a length of    speed of the drone platform; weather
                          timized to be fired from UCAV plat-             about 45 cm. It will carry a high ex-    conditions, etc. Algorithms for using
                          forms. One such, an unguided gravity            plosive anti-tank warhead of 80 mm in    the munition in specific mission sce-
                          bomb, has completed its prototyping             diameter which expands downward          narios will be set by a ballistic com-
                          phase and is now ready to enter initial         to 110 mm. The warhead can be fuzed      puter tailored for each specific drone
                          trials beginning soon.                          to detonate in air, on impact or upon    platform.
                                                                          penetration.                                While claiming that this com-
                                                                             Deployment scenarios for this mu-     pact-size gravity bomb is suitable to
                                                                          nition will depend on the combina-       be fired from both fix-wing and rota-
                                                                                                                   ry-wing aircraft, SpetsOboronMash
                                                                                                                   doesn’t disclose the company that has
                                                                                                                   provided its drone platform for this
                                                                                                                   project and acts as a major or potential
                                                                                                                   partner in developing air-deliverable
                                                                                                                   weapons for use from UAVs.
                                                                                                                      More details about the bomb’s
                                                                                                                   specs and capabilities will become
                                                                                                                   available upon completion of facto-
                                                                                                                   ry-level tests when it will be delivered
                                                                                                                   to field forces for user evaluation and
                                                                                                                   further maturing.

                           Sri Lanka Air Force to Get its
                                                                                                                   disassembly to testing – all by itself.
                                                                                                                   The Plant has copyright over MRO
                                                                                                                   manuals for the full range of aircraft
                           An-32B Airplanes Refurbished                                                            and their associated systems it repairs
                                                                                                                   and overhauls.
                                     in Ukraine                                                                       Plant 410 CA was, on July 15, 2020,
                                                                                                                   certified by a NATO country to do
                             Plant 410 Civil Aviation (CA) and               Plant 410 CA is a certified MRO       maintenance and overhaul of An-26
                          Antonov Company will collabora-                 provider for the airplanes Antonov       airplanes, auxiliary propulsion sys-
                          tively do full overall and lif e exten-         An-24, An-26, An-30, An-32 as well       tems RU19A-300 and airplane pro-
                          sion work on three An-32B airlifters            as D-36 1/1A/2A engines deployed on      pellers AV-72. Issued by the State
                          operational with the Air Force of Sri           Yak-42, An-72 and An-74 airplanes.       Department of Aviation at Hungary’s
                          Lanka, according to a press statement           The Company maintains self-suffi-        Ministry of Defense, the certificate is
                          released by Plant 410 CA.                       ciency doing all the operations – from   valid till June 11, 2025.
                             One An-32B airplane (serial num-
                          ber 3501, hull number SCM-860) and
                          one An-32B (3504/SCM-869) flew and
                          arrived in Ukraine on August 11, 2020.
                          Ukrinmash, the licensed arms dealer
                          who acts as the Contract compliance
                          supervisor, provided technical aid to
                          help prepare the airplanes for their
                          technical flights from Sri Lanka to
                          Ukraine.
                             UDR note: Overall, the Sri Lan-
                          ka Air Force is fielding nine An-32B
                          transports (five built in 1995 and four
                          in 1996). Some were purchased new-
                          ly built in Ukraine while others were
                          bought in the early 2000s after a peri-
                          od of lease use by Colombia.
                             Plant 410 CA will do the lion's
                          share of the work under this contract.

                             6
NOVATOR APC perfectly suited for off-road missiONs - Defense Express
NOVATOR APC perfectly suited for off-road missiONs - Defense Express
Defense & Security NEWS   Ukrainian Defense Review/April-September 2020

                              DKKB Luch to Unveil its
                                                                                                                         "Almost all of the key compo-
                                                                                                                      nents and subsystems will undergo
                                                                                                                      improvements and upgrades. Stug-
                           Stugna-P ATGM Upgrade in 2021                                                              na-P has a whole different look with
                                                                                                                      reduced size, improved ergonomy of
                                                                                                                      use, enhanced quality of images and
                                                                                                                      weapon guidance quality etc," he said.
                                                                                                                         UDR note: Stugna-P was officially
                                                                                                                      inducted into Ukrainian Army service
                                                                                                                      in 2011, but it was not until the out-
                                                                                                                      break of Russian military aggression
                                                                                                                      in Ukraine that the ATGM and its as-
                                                                                                                      sociated launchers and training facili-
                                                                                                                      ties began to be fielded to Ukrainian
                                                                                                                      forces in 2014.
                                                                                                                         The ATGM systems Stugna-P and
                                                                                                                      Korsar/Corsair were ceremonially
                                                                                                                      handed over to the Armed Forces in
                                                                                                                      August 2018.
                                                                                                                         The Armed Forces have over the
                                                                                                                      past few years received hundreds
                                                                                                                      of brand new Stugna-P and Korsar
                                                                                                                      ATGM launchers and thousands of
                                                                                                                      their associated missiles.
                                                                                                                         After having proved its effective-
                                                                                                                      ness in real-world combat engage-
                             DKKB Luch, a state-owned defense                "We will release Stugna very soon.       ments in Eastern Ukraine, the Ukrain-
                          contractor affiliated with the Ukrob-           I hope that a whole new configura-          ian ATGM system saw a substantial
                          oronprom defense industries group,              tion of the Stugna will be ready next       surge in demand on the international
                          intends to unveil an improved and               year," Oleh Korostelev, Chief of De-        market.
                          upgraded configuration of its Stugna            sign and CEO at DKKB Luch told                 Export-oriented version of the
                          anti-tank guided missile (ATGM) sys-            Defense Express in an exclusive in-         ATGM Stugna-P has been successfully
                          tem, named Stugna-P, in 2021.                   terview.                                    marketed across the globe.

                            Ukraine Looking to Develop, Bring into Production
                             an Upgrade to Renowned Passive SIGINT/COMINT
                                            System Kolchuga
                             R&D and Production Corporation               going to be a whole new system with
                          NVK Iskra is willing to develop and             a different look and a different equip-
                          bring into production a new pas-                ment layout. The Defense Ministry
                          sive COMING/SIGINT system that                  has already drafted an operational re-
                          will have higher capabilities than the          quirements document on the new sys-
                          world-renowned Kolchuga-M.                      tem. But, I think, this will change and
                             This came from an interview given            gradually become more realistic in the
                          to Defense Express by Iskra CEO, Yuri           course of research and development".
                          Pashchenko.                                        UDR note: Kolchuga-M, a passive
                             Asked about the probability that             electronic reconnaissance system, de-
                          Iskra would open a production line for          tects and tracks aerial threats by trian-
                          the Kolchuga-M as the Government                gulation and multilateration of their
                          envisioned, Mr Pashchenko said: "We             radio-frequency emissions, while
                          don’t believe it feasible or practicable        itself remaining "passive", i.e. imper-
                          to get engaged in production restart or         ceptible to other radars. Kolchuga-M
                          modernization of that system. Instead,          can scan an envelope of 600 km in
                          we suggest to develop and bring into            range, 150 km in width and 10 km in
                          production a new system that will re-           altitude, but its detection range may
                          tain the best features of the Kolchuga          be up to 800 km for very high altitude,
                          while adding some extra features. It is         very powerful emitters.

                             8
NOVATOR APC perfectly suited for off-road missiONs - Defense Express
facebook.com: Ukrainian Defense Review

 Ukrainian Company Developing
                                                                                       UDR note: Malyuk automatic ri-
                                                                                   fle, which is a bullpup conversion of
                                                                                   the Soviet Kalashnikov rifle, entered
 New 40-mm Grenade Launcher                                                        Ukrainian Army service in 2017, in a
                                                                                   version known in the domestic market
                                                                                   as "Special Automatic Rifle Vulcan".
                                                                                       The bullpup design has created an
                                                                                   overall more compact weapon main-
                                                                                   taining the advantages of a long barrel
                                                                                   such as accuracy while reducing the
                                                                                   overall size and weight.
                                                                                       The 5.45/7.62 Malyuk rifles have
                                                                                   been fielded to Ukraine’s defense and
                                                                                   public security forces, with thousands
                                                                                   of the rifles deployed so far (most of
                                                                                   them with Special Operations Forces),
                                                                                   according to InterProInvest.
   InterProInvest, a Private-Sector com-   gle-shot weapon is being developed          It should be added that, in a bull-
pany, is developing a new hand-held        for use by Ukraine’s Special Opera-     pup weapon, length adjustment of the
grenade launcher derived from the So-      tions Forces.                           butt-stock is the most difficult chal-
viet legacy 40-mm single-shot under-          Beyond that, there is another new    lenge to handle. As we can see from
barrel GP-25/Koster grenade launcher.      product the Company is working on.      the preceding comments, engineers at
   Pictures emerged on Facebook               Thus, videos emerged in the In-      InterProInvest are handling this chal-
showing the new grenade launcher           ternet showing InterpProInvest’s        lenge with great success, which will
being tested.                              automatic rifle Malyuk featuring an     help make the Ukrainian automatic ri-
   Underneath the pictures, cap-           adjustable length butt-stock among      fle more user convenient and appeal-
tions read that the compact-size, sin-     several other new features.             ing to the Soldier.

 Ukrainian Marines to Switch Over to L3Harris
          Radios Beginning Next Year
   Ukraine’s Naval Infantry will be          UDR note: Harris Falcone II HF        from the U.S. Foreign Military Fund-
fully re-equipped with L3Harris ra-           radios and higher-end Falcon III     ing (FMF) program budgets. The
dios as part of a major modernization          HF/VHF radios have been field-      Armed Forces have also fielded more
effort planned for 2021.                       ed for several years to Ukraine’s   capable, multi-band, multi-role ra-
   "For next year we plan a number             Armed Forces, National Guard        dio systems supporting virtually all
of major projects. One such is to ful-         and State Border Guard              bandwidths and frequencies, includ-
ly equip Naval Infantry brigades and            Service, this being ena-           ing satellite frequencies.
battalions with L3Harris Technologies           bled through funding                  As at early 2020, Ukraine had pro-
digital radios (e.g. with funding from                                             cured $230 million worth of commu-
international aid programs)", Maj Gen                                              nication equipment from L3Harris
Yevhen Stepanenko, Chief of Com-                                                   Technologies, with another procure-
munication and Cyber Security for                                                  ment worth $70 million planned for
Ukraine’s Armed Forces has said.                                                   this year.
   According to MG Stepanenko, the
MoD is seeking to strike an offset bar-
ter deal with L3Harris containing pro-
visions to promote efficient, broad-
er range use of the radios across the
Armed Forces user community.
   What is meant here is to set up an
authorized MRO service center for
Lr3Harris radios in Ukraine. In ad-
dition to providing MRO services,
the center will be focused to produce
manuals on "installation of Harris ra-
dios onto vehicular platforms of the
Armed forces", he said.

                                                                                                                       9
NOVATOR APC perfectly suited for off-road missiONs - Defense Express
Defense & Security NEWS   Ukrainian Defense Review/April-September 2020

                            ELBIT SYSTEMS WILL HELP UKRAINE TO UPGRADE
                                        MIG-29 FIGHTER JETS
                             The news agency Defense Express,             Ukrainian Air Force’s aging fleet of          The upgrade offered by Elbit for the
                          quoting Ukraine’s Ministry of De-               MiG-29 fighters.                          MiG-29 will provide the Soviet legacy
                          fense officials, reported that Israeli             The potential agreement will cover     jet with capabilities far exceeding those
                          defense electronics company Elbit               the MiG-29 aircraft avionics upgrade      of the Ukrainian MiG-29MU2 upgrade.
                          Systems can help the country to up-             program, advanced cockpit, radars,            Interestingly, the Ministry of De-
                          grade Ukrainian MiG-29 fighter jet              weapon delivery and navigation sys-       fense plans that Elbit Systems will
                          into a next-generation, powerful tacti-         tems.                                     take part in the modernization of 11
                          cal fighter aircraft.                                                                     MiG-29 fighters of the Ukrainian Air
                             Elbit has been currently negoti-                                                       Force. At the same time, according
                                   ating its possible participa-                                                    to preliminary estimates, the cost
                                       tion in modernization of                                                     of modernizing each aircraft will be
                                                                                                                    about $40 million.
                                                                                                                        Elbit Systems Ltd. is an interna-
                                                                                                                    tional high technology company
                                                                                                                    engaged in a wide range of defense,
                                                                                                                    homeland security and commercial
                                                                                                                    programs throughout the world. The
                                                                                                                    company’s portfolio already includes
                                                                                                                    projects to modernize F-5 and MiG-
                                                                                                                    29 fighters for a number of other
                                                                                                                    countries.

                           United States Clears Sale of
                                                                                                                    for Ukraine using U.S. security assis-
                                                                                                                    tance funds. The remaining vessels will
                                                                                                                    be available for Ukraine to purchase us-

                            16 Mark VI Patrol Boats to                                                              ing its military budget".
                                                                                                                       UDR note: Plans to procure the U.S.
                                                                                                                    patrol boats Mark VI were first made
                                     Ukraine                                                                        public in late 2019 and confirmed by the
                                                                                                                    Ambassador of Ukraine to the United
                             These latest generation patrol boats         Mark VI patrol boats & related equip-     States, Volodymyr Yelchenko in May
                          will be procured for the Ukrainian              ment to Ukraine. This will help the       2020.
                          Navy under U.S. foreign military assis-         Ukrainian Navy meet current and fu-          In June, U.S. Defense Security Coop-
                          tance programs.                                 ture threats in the Black Sea & the Sea   eration Agency notified Congress of the
                             Ukraine’s Foreign Minister Dmytro            of Azov".                                 possible Foreign Military Sale of up to
                          Kuleba said in a tweet: "The United                According to the Foreign Minister,     16 Mark VI patrol boats and associated
                          States has approved the sale of up to 16        "Six boats are currently being prepared   equipment to Ukraine.

                            10
threats and challenges   Ukrainian Defense Review/April-September 2020

                         GENUINE THREAT
                         Russian Federation Building up Military Power in its
                          Occupied Crimea and on Ukraine’s Eastern Border

                         I
                            n early July 2020, an online meet-               We live in difficult times. The mod-    tion of the Vienna Document by all
                            ing of the OSCE Forum for Security           ern world has run into another period       participating Parties, but also updat-
                            Co-operation took place, at which the        of turbulence, which is characterized       ing the document to current realities
                            Ukrainian military presented its views       by the presence of both traditional and     to take into account emerging chal-
                            regarding the current security situa-        a number of emerging threats and chal-      lenges to the European security sys-
                         tion in and around Ukraine, more specif-        lenges. The international security crisis   tem.
                         ically in the context of Russia’s military      is assuming systemic proportions.              Being aware of the importance of
                         aggression. Here UDR introduces its                 In this context, it is indisputable     these processes Ukraine, being one of
                         readers to contents of the speech deliv-        that the armed conflict launched by         34 OSCE participating States, takes
                         ered at the gathering by Leonid Holopa-         the Russian Federation in the Donbas        the appropriate steps in this direction.
                         tiuk, Lieutenant General, Head of the           and Russia’s occupation of a part of        However, we face the reluctance of
                         Main Directorate of Military Cooperation        Ukraine’s territory has resulted in the     some of the participating States to sup-
                         and Verification of the Armed Forces of         significant deterioration of the securi-    port these changes. We also face block-
                         Ukraine.                                        ty situation in the OSCE area. Russia’s     ing, by the Russian Federation, of the
                                                                         armed aggression in Ukraine has, in                              modernization
                            Ladies and Gentlemen! In my                  essence, become an unprecedented                                    of the VD and
                         speech to the "Security Dialogues" of           challenge to current security in Eu-                                  CSBM ad-
                         the OSCE Forum for Security Co-oper-            rope and globally.                                                      aptation to
                         ation, I would like to take this oppor-             For the first time since the World                                  the current
                         tunity to inform you in detail about the        War II, an attempt has been made to                                      realities.
                         implementation of the Vienna Docu-              change the long-lasting world order
                         ment 2011 (VD-2011) by Ukraine and,             in Europe, including by the use of mil-
                         at the same time, to familiarize you            itary force.
                         with the situation where my country                 Especially pertinent among the
                         has found itself due to the occupa-             actions taken by the European Com-
                         tion of a part of its territory and ille-       munity to ensure stability and peace
                         gal annexation of the Autonomous                are those aimed at appropriately en-
                                            Republic of Crimea           forcing arms control regime and con-
                                             and Sevastopol by           fidence/security-building measures
                                              a foreign country,         (CSBM).
                                               as well as foreign            An important aspect in
                                               military    build-        this context is not just
                                                up in eastern            the conscientious and
                                                 Ukraine.                strict implementa-

                           12
facebook.com: Ukrainian Defense Review

   Moreover, the Russian Federation’s
                                                              Russian formations along the Ukraine’s borders
activities have already dealt a blow to                    2014                                                                 2020                                Москва
Ukraine’s territorial integrity and re-        Number of
                                                   ЛИТВА  armament and
                                                                                                             ХХ
                                                                                                                               ІІІ

sulted in the creation of the so called        military equipment:                                      144
                                                                                                                         59
"grey zones" in our territory. At the                                                                   Смоленськ                    Єльня
                                                                                                                                             Smolensk ОA

                                               rocket systems – 18                                                                            BTGs – 4
                                                                                                                                                                                                  РОСІЙСЬКА
same time, military build-up in close                                                                                                                                                              RUSSIAN
                                                                                                                                                     ІІ

                                               tanks             – up to 1100            REPUBLIC                                                                                                 ФЕДЕРАЦІЯ
                                                                                                                                                                                                 FEDERATION
proximity to our State border contin-          APCs/IFVs        – up to 2600            OF BELARUS                 ІІІ               ІІІ

ues to foster more destabilizing factors.                     БІЛОРУСЬ
                                               Artillery pieces – up to1170
                                                                                                                                                                            ХХХХ
                                               MLRS              – up to 400
                                                                                                   Клинці
                                                                                                             254          488
                                                                                                                                                                   ХХ

   Donetsk and Luhansk                         Strength of personnel:
                                                                                                                                                                           20
                                                                                                                                                                            Воронеж
                                                                                                                                                                                                        Orel-Voronezh OA

   Regions                                                                                                                                                    3                 ІІІ                       BTGs – 6
                                                                                                                                                                                            ІІ

                                               up to 87 thousands of personnel                                                                                     ІІІ

    As has been repeatedly noted, de-          (28 BTGs)
                                                                                                                                                             752
                                                                                                                                                                          237
                                                                                                                                                                            Солоті
                                                                                                 КИЇВ
ployment of the Russian-occupying                                                                                                                                        Валуйки                       ІІІ

force to temporarily occupied areas
                                                                                                                                                                                Богучар
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Х
                                                                                                                                                                                                 252
of Donetsk and Luhansk regions, con-                                                                                   УКРАЇНА
                                                                                                                       UKRAINE                                                   ХХХ                    Каменськ-
                                                                                                                                                                                                       Шахтинський
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    20
                                                                                                                                                                                                  ХХ
sisting of the 1st and the 2nd Army
                                                                                                                                                                                                                   ХХХХ
                                                                                                                                                                     ХХХ                                                         Волгоград
                                                                                                                                                                                2
Corps, has brought a lot of weapons

                                                                      МО
                                                                                                                                                                                        150                    8
                                                                                                                                                                    1

                                                                        ПМ ВА
and military equipment to the east of
                                                                                                                                                                                        п-н “Кадамовський”

                                                                        ЛД
                                                                                TF
                                                                                ОГРВ
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Новочеркаськ
                                                                                                                                                                            п-н “Кузминский”

                                                                          Р
                                                                           О
                                                                                                                                                                                      ІІІ                    ІІІ           ІІІ            ІІІ
our country. By the way, the strength
                                                                                     Тирасполь

                                                    РУМУНІЯ
                                                    RОMANIA
of these formations exceeds that of                                                                                            ХХХ
                                                                                                                                                Crimean OA                      103                68
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Don OA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     102            163

                                                                                                             ХХХХХ
some of European countries.                                                                                  ХХХХХ
                                                                                                                           22
                                                                                                                                                  BTGs – 6
                                                                                                                                           Сімферополь                                                   BTGs – 12
                                                                                                                                                                                                        ІІ

                                                                                                                  ЧФ
    About 650 Russian career service-                                             Чорне море
                                                                                                            BSF          SMD

men occupy command and staff posts,
requiring critical skills, in the 1st and
2nd ACs. In addition to this, Russia has       For your information: the 22nd Army Corps and the 810th detached Naval Infantry
deployed operational/combat support            Brigade comprise the core of the ground component, which is planned to be organized into
units as well as logistics units, military     a new combined arms army. Currently, 6 battalion tactical groups are ready for deployment.
advisers and instructors to temporari-         The air component has been reinforced by deployment to the peninsula of units of bomber,
ly occupied areas in Donetsk and Lu-           assault, fighter and army aviation. By the way, the aircraft Su-30SM, Su-30M2, Su-34 and
hansk Regions, bringing its military           helicopters Mi-28, Ka-52 that Russia has deployed to the peninsula are not found in the
presence up to 2,100 troops.                   country’s annual Military Information Exchanges.
    In order to sustain the operation of       Belbek and Hvardiyske airfields have been rebuilt to allow Russian long-range bombers
its 1st and 2nd ACs, the Russian Fed-          to be deployed to the peninsula, and Crimea’s infrastructure has been prepared for nu-
eration continues supplying ammu-              clear weapons deployment.
nition and POL (petroleum, oil and             The combat capabilities of the naval component have been increased by adding the latest
lubricants) from its territory.                warships and submarines armed with Kalibr cruise missiles (up to 70 surface ships/
                                               gunboats, 6 submarines with a combined salvo of 84 missiles).
   Crimeа
   Militarization of Crimeа                  force has been established in Crimea,                                             troops (forces) equipped with latest
remains another desta-                       comprised of ground, air and sea com-                                             weapons and military technologies.
bilizing factor. To-                         ponents with a combined strength of                                                  I would like to draw your attention
day, a powerful                              about 32,500 servicemen. Add to that,                                             to the fact that the Russian Federation
joint task                                   units of Russian Coast Defense Forces,                                            has over the past six years substantial-
                                             National Guard (up to two brigades)                                               ly increased the amount of weapons
                                             as well as the FSB Border Guard Ser-                                              and military equipment deployed in
                                             vice have been deployed.                                                          the Autonomous Republic of Crimea.
                                                This indicates an active increase in                                           By the way, we are still missing infor-
                                             strike power of the Russian Armed                                                 mation about the Su-30SM, Su-30M2,
                                             Forces units illegally deployed to                                                Su-34 combat aircraft as well as the
                                             the peninsula, achieved by means of                                               Mi-28 and Ka-52 helicopters that Rus-
                                             increasing the number of deployed                                                 sia has deployed to Crimea.                                                                →

  Leonid Holopatiuk,
  Lieutenant General, Armed Force of Ukraine: "The Russian Federation
  deployed 28 battalion tactical groups along Ukraine’s border"

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         13
Threats and Challenges   Ukrainian Defense Review/April-September 2020

                                                                                                                          Eastern border
                                                                                                                           The Russian Federation continues
                                                                                                                       its military build-up along Ukraine’s
                                                                                                                       border. In particular, new military
                                                                                                                       units have been set up and existing
                                                                                                                       military formations reorganized in
                                                                                                                       order to enhance their ability to fight.
                                                                                                                       Currently, 28 battalion tactical groups
                                                                                                                       are deployed along Ukraine’s border.
                                                                                                                           Today, work is being completed to
                                                                                                                       set up three new formations – two Ar-
                                                                                                                       mies and an Army Corps, which are
                                                                                                                       envisioned to reach full operational
                                                                                                                       capability in 2020-2021.
                                                                                                                           In Russia’s Western strategic area,
                                                                                                                       the 20th Combined Arms Army con-
                                                                                                                       sisting of the 3rd Motorized Division
                                                                                                                       and the 144th Motorized Division
                                                                                                                       has been organized to empower the
                                                                                                                       Ground Component.
                                                                                                                           The 448th Missile Brigade of the
                                                                                                                       20th Army has been equipped with
                                                                                                                       mobile short-range ballistic missile
                                                                                                                       systems "Iskander".
                           For your information: tactical elements of the 1st AC include:5 brigades (1st, 3rd, 5th         In the South-Western strategic
                           dmbde, 100th dmbde, dartbde); 3 detached regiments (11th dmreg, 9th dmreg, detached         area, the 8th Combined Arms Army
                           commandant reg.); 10 detached battalions (divisions).                                       consisting of the 150th Motorized Di-
                           Tactical elements of the 2nd AC include: 4 brigades (2, 4, 7 dmbde, dartbde); 2 regiments   vision, the 20th detached Motorized
                           (6 dmreg, detached commandant reg); 6 detached battalions (artillery battalions).           Rifle Brigade, and the 1st and 2nd ACs
                           The 1st and 2nd ACs have a combined strength of some 35,000 military personnel and          has been organized.
                           possess a complement of equipment that includes 481 battle tanks, 914 armored fighting          The "Iskander" missile brigades
                           vehicles, 720 artillery gun systems, and 202 MLRS deployed in the Donbas areas outside      will be established within the mili-
                           government control.                                                                         tary district and the Army. Overall,
                                                                                                                       the strength of Russia’s ground task
                            Guided by the provisions of the                restricted access to certain areas in       force deployed along Ukraine’s bor-
                         Global Exchange of Military Infor-                the Black and Azov Seas;                    der amounts to about 87,000 military
                         mation, specifically paragraph 4.4,             • restriction of freedom of navigation        personnel, up to 1,100 tanks; up to
                         which states that a State Party must              in the Sea of Azov in order to cause        2,600 armored fighting vehicles; up to
                         report up-to-date information on                  economic damage to our state;               1,100 artillery gun systems; up to 360
                         troops (forces) stationed in a foreign          • denying the passage of Ukrainian            MLRS, and 8 mobile short-range bal-
                         state, Ukraine insists that the Russian           Navy ships and boats through the            listic missile systems.
                         Federation has to report, within the              Kerch Strait.                                   The Air Component continues
                         Global Exchange of Military Informa-                                                          to be modernized with newly-built
                         tion, data on the number of troops and              Under the guise of fighting "terror-      and upgraded aircraft (Su-30SM,
                         weapons it had deployed to Ukraine.             ist" threats, Russia has been tightening      Su-35S, Su-34, Su-25SM3, MiG-31K
                            In addition to the situation in occu-        control over navigation in the Sea of         with hypersonic "Kinzhal" system as
                         pied Crimea, the tense security situa-          Azov and displayed its ability to place       well as helicopters of various modi-
                         tion in the Azov-Black Sea region also          our country under a blockade.                 fications). In total, about 330 combat
                         raises concerns.                                    In fact, the airspace and waters of       airplanes and 230 helicopters are
                            This region, given the geopolitical          the Sea of Azov have been patrolled           deployed at base airfields near the
                         and economic factors, is of particular          on a regular basis by maritime patrol         Ukrainian border.
                         interest to the Russian Federation. To          aircraft of the Black Sea Fleet. The              The formation of mobilization de-
                         achieve its own goals in the Azov-              practice of closing areas in the Sea of       ployment support centers continues,
                         Black Sea region, Moscow is imple-              Azov is being introduced, ostensi-            which can allow for the establishment
                         menting a strategy, the main elements           bly under the pretext of conducting           of up to 4 combined arms divisions
                         of which are:                                   combat training activities. Under the         (Boguchar,       Kamensk-Shakhtinsky,
                         • increasing the deployment of war-             "anti-terrorist" pretext, Ukrainian and       Novoozerne/temporary occupied ter-
                            ships and gunboats in the Black              foreign civilian vessels bound for/           ritory of AR Crimea).
                            and Azov Seas;                               from Ukrainian ports are detained                 Thus, as of today, in the vicinity of
                         • conducting "show of force" exer-              and searched by the FSB Coast De-             the Ukrainian border there have been
                            cises involving the imposition of            fense Forces.                                 set up three joint task forces capable

                           14
facebook.com: Ukrainian Defense Review

of carrying out surprise offensives in
Ukraine’s territory, pursuing limited
goals without declaring a state of mo-
bilization and with minimum prepa-
rations being made.

   Miscellaneous security
   aspects
    Over the past 6 years, we have
witnessed the Russian Armed Forces
increase the intensity and extent of
its operational and combat training,
which does not imply any additional
security guarantees to neighboring
states.
    Special attention should be devot-
ed to issues such as unforeseen mili-
tary activities involving snap (unan-
nounced) exercises and exercises held
at lower than threshold level.
    The possibility is not excluded
that, during these exercises, Russia
hides the actual number of personnel
and weapons involved, including the
number of airplane and helicopter             Conclusion notes                          bility, transparency and predictability
sorties and the use of so called "frag-        Firstly, I would like to assure you      in all participating States, and calls
mentation".                                that Ukraine is consistent in its policy     on all participating States to join this
    The non-transparent nature of un-      of strict compliance with its obliga-        process.
scheduled (snap) exercises increases       tions under international treaties and          Thirdly and finally, I would like
distrust and military-political tensions   agreements in the field of convention-       to draw your attention to the need
in the OSCE area of responsibility.        al arms control.                             for developing effective mechanisms
    Meanwhile Ukraine is forced to             Secondly, Ukraine will continue          of international supervision over
fight, repelling military aggression; it   its contribution to the process of the       military activities conducted by Rus-
strictly adheres to the requirements       VD-2011 modernization regarding              sian-occupying forces in temporarily
of international treaties and agree-       confidence- and security-building            occupied areas of eastern Ukraine
ments and fulfills all its international   measures and other tools for OSCE            and in the Autonomous Republic of
commitments while showing a high           influence for promoting military sta-        Crimea.
degree of openness and transparency.
Ukraine has currently been one of the
Member States that have been most                Major Weapon & Equipment Systems (MW&ES) deployed
active in implementing VD-2011. Out
of a total of 199 activities conducted             by the Russian Federation to Crimea, as reported by
by the participating States, Ukraine             the Annual Exchange of Military Information under the
has done 29 (or 15 percent) of all the                            Vienna Document 2011
activities conducted in the territory
of participating States, including 19         Major Weapon &
inspections and 10 evaluations, and           Equipment Systems                     01.01.2014       01.01.2020      Difference
hosted 18 activities (12 inspections
and 6 evaluations) in its own territory,      Battle tanks                              0                 31            +31
which is equal to almost 10 percent of        Armored combat vehicles                  117               305           +188
all the activities done.                      Armored combat vehicles look-alikes       53                62            +9
    Beyond that, in order to improve
                                              Artillery gun systems                     30               128            +98
regional confidence and security,
Ukraine has consistently abided by            Combat aircrafts                          22                85            +63
its obligations under bilateral agree-        Helicopters                               0                 34            +34
ments with neighboring countries
                                              Anti-tank guided missile launchers
(Hungary, Slovak Republic, Repub-
                                              permanently/ integrally mounted on        9                 39            +30
lics of Poland, Belarus and Roma-
                                              armored vehicles
nia), established under Chapter X
"Regional Measures" of the Vienna             TOTAL                                    231               684           +453
Document.

                                                                                                                                  15
stand-off   Ukrainian Defense Review/April-September 2020

            Hybrid War at Sea:
            Ukrainian Experience
            T
                        he Ukrainian Navy is an impor-              Between 1991 and 2014, the Russian         (while Russia itself systematical-
                        tant actor in conditions of the on-      Federation was taking the following hy-       ly failed to honor its obligations
                        going hybrid war at sea that Rus-        brid warfare actions in Ukraine’s Crimea      under a payment treaty regarding
                        sia is waging against Ukraine.           and other Black Sea littoral areas:           the basing of its Black Sea Fleet in
                        Over the years of confrontation,         • An expanded information cam-                Crimea).
            Ukrainian Navy sailors and commanders                   paign aimed to discredit Ukraine         • Continuous political pressure
            alike have learned and gained much expe-                in the eyes of leaders of European         brought to bear, especially on po-
            rience in how to counter hybrid adversary               countries, especially members of           litical/military policy and decision
            tactics and to use available resources and              EU and NATO; damage the credi-             makers in Ukraine.
            capabilities to best effect. But it’s crucial that      bility of the government of Ukraine;     • Russia’s neglect of international
            hybrid tactics be identified and neutralized            undermine the morale and psycho-           law, especially international mar-
            in advance in order to prevent negative ef-             logical fitness of the military, secu-     itime and humanitarian law, and
            fects from such adversary actions.                      rity, and law enforcement services         of Ukraine’s national legislation
                                                                    personnel.                                 at the time of basing of Russia’s
               Background for Russia’s                           • Continuous economic pressure and            Black Sea Fleet in Crimea (in par-
               hybrid warfare                                       manipulation against Ukraine, dat-         ticular, the illegitimate use of forc-
               Hybrid warfare at sea being waged                    ing back from the unfair partition         es, the so called "little green men",
            by Russia in Ukraine’s Crimea and                       of the Soviet Black Sea Fleet be-          who weren’t members of the BSF
            other Black Sea littoral areas began in                 tween Ukraine (18.3% ) and Russia          personnel and were illegally de-
            1991 and assumed its current charac-                    (81.7%), allegedly in partial com-         ployed with arms to the sovereign
            ter in 2014-2019, i.e. the years of Rus-                pensation for Ukraine’s debt for           territory of Ukraine); the block-
            sia’s military intervention in Ukraine.                 natural gas deliveries from Russia         ading of Ukrainian Navy deploy-

              16
facebook.com: Ukrainian Defense Review

  ment sites using BSF ships and
  mixed tactical groups.
• Russia’s failure to comply with
  diplomatic obligations under in-
  ternational law and bilateral agree-
  ments at the start of Russian mili-
  tary incursion in Ukraine and in
  follow on periods, in particular, as
  it regards responding to diplomatic
  notes from Ukraine, etc.

    Thus, Russia had created con-
ditions that made it impossible for
the Ukrainian side to adequately re-
spond to Russian threats and actions.
As a result, the Russian Federation
has been able to partially achieve its
strategic objectives - to destabilize
Ukraine and create conditions for
getting it back under Moscow’s po-
litical control. However, the goal of
full-scale destabilization hasn’t been
achieved other than in Crimea and in
some areas of Donetsk and Luhansk
provinces.

   Military phase of
   confrontation, 2014-2019
   From the onset of Russian mili-
tary incursion in Ukraine in February
2014, the Russian Federation has pro-
gressively expanded the hybrid influ-
ence it wielded on the security situa-
tion, especially in the Azov/Black Sea
region.
   In 2014, Russian forces, dressed in
unmarked uniforms and using means
of hybrid warfare, illegitimately oc-
cupied the Ukrainian peninsula of          Result of a Russian attack against a Ukrainian Navy vessel bound for the Strait of Kerch,
Crimea. While claiming "they were          November 2018
not there", they performed strikes
against government forces deployed
in Eastern Ukraine, and in particu-
lar they attacked and destroyed two
Ukrainian border guard boats, one in
August 2014 and another one in June
2015. In the time afterward, Russian
Navy ships and boats staged "shows
of force" maneuvers off Ukraine’s
coast near the city of Mariupol.
   At sea, the Adversary is currently
conducting hybrid warfare activities
that combine information attacks,
cyber attacks, and misinformation
of both Ukrainian and international
public with intimidating shows of
force, measures of economic pres-
sure, as well as actions aimed to
worsen social tensions in Ukraine
and to frustrate daily activities of the   A large cargo vessel anchored by Russia under the central arc of the Kerch Strait Bridge in order to
Ukrainian Navy.                            physically block access to the Strait, November 2018

                                                                                                                                         17
stand-off   Ukrainian Defense Review/April-September 2020

            Russia employs special hydroacoustic systems for subsurface monitoring in the Black Sea

               In order to ensure continued influ-               After having allowed two Ukrain-         attack from Russian combat chop-
            ence over Ukraine, Russia makes an                ian military vessels to pass through        pers. (6) FSB Special Forces soldiers
            extensive use of a "hybrid warfare"               the Kerch Strait and into the Sea of        assaulted and seized the Ukrainian
            technique aimed to disrupt Ukraine’s              Azov in September 2018, the Adver-          vessels, which were then towed to the
            economic activity at sea while simul-             sary yet again showed off its "strate-      Kerch harbor.
            taneously boosting own presence in                gy of limited actions" on November             In 2019, the Adversary expanded
            the Sea of Azov:                                  25, when it attacked and seized three       its hybrid warfare operations in the
            • in May 2018, Russia completed the               Ukrainian Navy vessels, including           Black Sea. Particularly in August, Rus-
               construction of the Kerch (more                two latest gunboats and a tugboat           sia closed for shipping over 25 percent
               commonly known as Crimean)                     with crews.                                 of the Black Sea’s area, thus severely
               Bridge, whose fairway arch is too                 This operation saw the following         disrupting international navigation
               low for big, Panamax-class bulkers;            developments: (1) A Russian border          and frustrating the Ukrainian Navy’s
            • indiscriminate stoppages and tem-               guard ship intentionally stroke and         daily operational activities.
               porary detentions of merchant                  rammed into the Ukrainian tugboat              In general terms, a review of recent
               ships heading to the Azov Sea                  several times in an attempt to block its    developments in the Black Sea and the
               ports, resulting in a 20-30% re-               course toward the Strait. The tug sus-      Sea of Azov allow the following con-
               duction in freight turnover at the             tained numerous damages to its hull         clusions to be reached:
               Ukrainian ports of Mariupol and                as a result of the ram attacks. (2) The     • the Russian Federation is expand-
               Berdyansk;                                     Russians then anchored a large cargo           ing the use of hybrid warfare
            • in 2018, the Adversary country                  vessel under the Kerch Strait Bridge           means and techniques in order to
               completed formation of an inter-               to physically block access to the strait.      wield pressure over Ukraine mil-
               agency task force "to protect the              (3) The Ukrainian Navy vessels lose            itarily, in particular by making a
               Kerch (Crimean) Bridge and seize               communication with their headquar-             hybrid use of newly deployed force
               control of the traffic in the Sea              ters as a result of Russian electronic         groupings;
               of Azov and through the Kerch                  warfare attacks. (4) One of the gun-        • when conducting hybrid warfare,
               Strait";                                       boats, the Berdyansk, sustained a              the Adversary employs interagen-
            • the Russian task force in the Sea of            damage to its pilothouse when it               cy task forces formed specifically
               Azov was, in 2018, reinforced to               had taken fire from a Russian vessel           for that purpose;
               include artillery boats transferred            while outside of the 12 nautical mile       • by waging hybrid warfare at sea
               from the Caspian Fleet.                        limit area. (5) The vessels came under         the Adversely is seeking to dis-

              18
facebook.com: Ukrainian Defense Review

   rupt normal economic activity in
   Ukraine and to cause a frustration
   of international sea shipping in
   Ukraine’s area of responsibility,
   and hence to achieve a worsening
   of social and economic tensions in
   littoral provinces and in Ukraine
   overall and to undermine the in-
   ternational reputation of Ukraine
   insofar as it relates to its ability to
   secure compliance with interna-
   tional maritime law.

   What to expect from Russia
   in the future?
   At present, the situation in the
temporarily occupied Autonomous
Republic of Crimea, the city of Sev-
astopol, Ukraine’s territorial waters
around Crimea and exclusive (mari-
time) economic zone in the Black Sea,
the Sea of Azov, as well as the Strait       An FSB patrol boat performing course blocking maneuvers against a Ukrainian Navy vessel
of Kerch involves Russia’s continued
action as part of its "strategy of lim-      partnerships, and bolstering NATO’s                   its military intervention in Ukraine.
ited actions", based on coordinated          defense capabilities in the region.                   This intervention will be in the form
interagency collaboration. Russia,              Expert reviews suggest that the                    of hybrid warfare influence in order
as before, will maintain permanent           Russian Federation is beefing up the                  to undermine Ukraine's ability to
military and naval presence in are-          capabilities of its newly organized in-               secure and defend itself, to bring
as adjoining Ukraine, including the          teragency/joint task forces deployed                  Ukraine back under Russia’s polit-
territorial waters of Ukraine, and           in Crimea and the Black/Azov Seas,                    ical control, and to prevent its Eu-
will maintain control of maritime            by fielding the forces with the latest                ro-Atlantic integration.
economic facilities it has seized from       military weapons and equipment sys-
Ukraine.                                     tems tested in real-world combat de-                                       Stepan Yakymiak,
   Moreover, in the Black and Azov           ployments in Syria.                                                            1st Rank Captain,
Seas, the Russian Federation will con-          Thus, expert reviews of the sit-                                     PhD in Defense Studies,
tinue a restrictive posture to frustrate     uation in the region suggest that,                                          Assistant Professor,
the daily operations of the Ukrainian        in the short to medium term, the                                   Head of the Naval Chair at the
Navy, disrupt normal international           Russian Federation will continue                          National Defense University of Ukraine
traffic in the Ukrainian waters; attain
a reduction in the level of interna-
tional shipping and in freight turno-
ver at Ukrainian seaports, and hence
to achieve a worsening of social and
economic tensions in littoral prov-
inces and in Ukraine overall. An im-
portant factor will be Russia's effort
to foster a negative attitude toward
Ukraine among the international
public, foreign country leaders and
large international businesses, by
portraying it as "being unable to en-
sure the safety of international ship-
ping in its waters".
   It is clear that Russia will seek to
militarize Crimea further and to ob-
struct the armed forces and other
institutions of Black Sea members
of NATO from activities for ensur-
ing and enhancing international se-
curity, supporting the objectives of         A Black Sea Fleet vessel guarding the security of an offshore drilling rig that Russia illegally seized
NATO-Ukraine and NATO-Georgia                from Ukraine during its Crimea annexation campaign

                                                                                                                                               19
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electronic technologies since 1989. Experience professionals, creative success and talent have
allowed to win a leading position in Ukraine in the design, creation and delivery of a wide range
of sophisticated electronic and other equipment for military and special purpose.

                                                     MUZZLE VELOCITY
                                                     RADAR SYSTEM
                                                     Muzzle velocity radar system is designed to
                                                     measure the initial speed of any caliber shell.
                                                     The device can be placed in two ways, both on
                                                     a tripod and on self-propelled guns or tanks. It
                                                     can be integrated into artillery firing systems.

                                                     frequency band............Ka-Band
                                                     transmitted power........≤ 50 mW
ANTI-UAV GUN                                         velocity range..............10 - 2000 m/s
                                                     measurement error.......≤ 0,1%
Radio-electronic gun is designed mainly for          shell caliber.................from 4,5mm
counteraction against commercially available         power source...............12V
UAVs which may be used to perform acts of
sabotage or terrorist attacks, or simply to          overall dimensions........250х170х130 mm
intrude into a private life. As well, this equip-    weight.........................up to 10 kg
ment may be used for protecting air fields,
stadiums and places of mass events for
ensuring their security against drones activi-
ties. The employment of the gun is based on
radio jamming of UAV’s navigation channels
(GPS and GLONASS). The effective range of
the signal generated by the gun’s antenna is
up to 5 km. Additionally, the whole field of
interferences to UAV’s navigation channels
up to 2 km in radius may be setup due to
application of omnidirectional antennas of
the system. The low weight of the system
enables using it in the portable version or
transporting it on an ATV, in a vehicle or any
other mobile carrier.
RADAR «MALACHITE»
Digital, Interference-proof radar reconnaissance
aircraft and surface targets provides detection,
identification of the origin and transmission of
radar data to consumers automatically.

Targets’ detection range: 400 km.

                                                   RADAR «BISKVIT - KB»
                                                   Developed jointly with JRC «POLITECHNO-
                                                   LOGY», «Biskvit-KB» is meant for radar
                                                   reconnaissance of positions of mortars,
                                                   multiple-launch rocket systems, high-caliber
                                                   weaponry and automatized transmission of
                                                   radar data via communication channels to
                                                   perspective automated systems. The radar is
                                                   performed on the base of digital active
                                                   antenna array and can be installed on
                                                   vehicles or trailer.
                                                   frequency band..........L-Band
                                                   detection range..........up to 20 km
COMPLEX «POLONEZ»                                  azimuth range............360°
                                                   elevation range..........ap to 40°
Anti-UAV defence mobile complex.
Detection and identification of moving aerial      weight.......................80 kg
objects and UAVs, radio spectrum monitor-
ing, identification of UAV’s frequency band
and control commands structure, archiving
data base, automatic transmission of radar
data to Control Center, firing complexes,
combat modules, spot and barrier jamming of
control commands and telemetry, jamming of
GPS\GLONASS navigation receivers of UAV.
Complex «Polonez» includes: reconnaissance
complex «Jab» and jammer complex
«Anklav» combined by common algorithm of
tasks handling with the help of specially
developed software protocols.

                        Ukraine, 03022, Kyiv M. Maksimovicha str., 2
         tel. +38 (044) 257 99 27 | office@usptech.kiev.ua | www.ust.com.ua
Defense-industrial transformation   Ukrainian Defense Review/April-September 2020

                                             Live in a New Way
                                    Ukraine’s Defense-Industrial Sector is Facing Dramatic
                                    Reforms in how the Defense Industry is Managed and
                                      how Arms Production is Structured and Organized

                                    S
                                              ummer 2020 saw a start to             tation of national defense-industrial      percent of the Company’s output. Re-
                                              dramatic transformations facing       policy priorities.                         garding the SSAU, the situation is no
                                              Ukraine's national defense-              But the fact is that there is much      better with only seven of 21 companies
                                              industrial sector. In the country,    to manage in the defense-industri-         being alive and working. In the Private
                                              there has been established a          al realm. The State-owned defense          Sector the situation is reversed, with
                                    Ministry for Strategic Industries and a         industries group Ukroboronprom             production booming, albeit this hap-
                                    long overdue legislation on public defense      alone has under its administration         pening without due attention or sup-
                                    procurement has been passed. The newly          137 companies (including 21 located        port from the Government.
                                    hatched minister has announced radical          in Russia-occupied areas in eastern           Thus, with the purpose in mind
                                    changes planned for the national defense        Ukraine) and the State Space Agency        to change this sad situation, the Na-
                                    industry within a few years to come. But        of Ukraine (SSAU) has managing au-         tional Security and Defense Council
                                    only time will tell how profound, fast and      thority over 21 companies. There are       (NSDC) decided at its session held
                                    successful the changes will be.                 several more companies administered        in June 2020 to set up a Government
                                                                                    by other Government agencies, in-          authority to address defense-industri-
                                       Matters relating to the defense-in-          cluding the ministries for internal af-    al policy issues. One month later, the
                                    dustrial sector and Government De-              fairs and for education and science. In    Ministry for Strategic Industries was
                                    fense Procurement Contract (GDPC)               Ukraine, more than a half (or over two     established pursuant to a Government
                                    had, until now, been the responsi-              hundred) military production compa-        Decree, with Deputy Prime Minister
                                    bility of a small department at the             nies are in the Private Sector.            Oleh Urusky placed in charge of the
                                    Ministry for Economic Development,                 That being said, however, the sit-      new ministry on July 16.
                                    Commerce and Agriculture, headed                uation in Ukraine's defense industry,         Established as a successor to the
                                    by a deputy Minister. But in a country          especially its public segment, has been    Department of Defense Industry at
                                    where there are as many as 16 defense           changing for the worse, this despite the   the Ministry of Economy, the new
                                    and security customers, the head of a           fact that the GDPC has been increasing     ministry is to integrate within itself
                                    small department is very limited in             year by year. Ukroboronprom’s figures      SC Ukroboronprom, SSAU, State Re-
                                    his ability to exert influence on how           suggest that only 27 out of 116 compa-     search Institute of Informatization
                                    things are run and done, and espe-              nies currently under its management        and Economy Modeling, as well as
                                    cially so when it comes to implemen-            are actually operating producing 90        State-owned Pavlohrad Chemical

                                      22
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Plant, a manufacturer of rocket fuel.
    A new configuration for the coun-
try’s defense industrial sector was out-
lined in detail by Oleh Urusky, in a
speech to August 12 round table confer-
ence hosted by Ukrinform news agency.
    Thus, according to Mr Urusky,
there will be established two state-
owned holding groups to bring to-           founding charters.                            fosters transparent and competitive
gether companies that are currently             It is also on plan to encourage the       market for defense-related products,
administratively subordinated to the        Government to establish an Export             works and services, and allows domes-
Ukroboronprom and SSAU, respec-             Credit Agency to provide trade fi-            tic customers to source products direct-
tively. Before this happens, there will     nancing to domestic arms manufac-             ly from import markets.
be identified companies across indus-       turing companies for their export                 In addition, the legislation intro-
tries to lead industry clusters in their    market activities. It is assumed that         duces a three-year cycle in planning
respective areas of expertise. This will    this will facilitate the export market        for arms procurement programs and
be followed by company corporiza-           for Ukraine’s arms manufacturers and          provides for Government support
tion process, with the Government in-       allied industries.                            measures for the domestic defense in-
itially holding 100 percent ownership           Another area of reform is the cre-        dustries, both public and private.
of the companies.                           ation of a defense technology agency              The law allows international de-
    In the future, Ukroboronprom will       akin to the U.S. DARPA. This new              fense technology suppliers to be invit-
be re-organized into a state-owned          Research & Development entity could           ed to bid for contracts, provided that
holding company with whole differ-          be created centered around organi-            there is a higher priority given to (1)
ent functions and responsibilities. The     zations such as the Central Scientific        bidders who offer products localized
company will be renamed, tentatively        Research Institute of Weaponry and            for production in Ukraine’s customs
"Ukrainian Defense Systems". The new        Equipment Systems, the National               territory and to (2) bidders with more
holding will manage equities in its con-    Academy of Sciences’ Division of Ap-          favorable bids in terms of MRO ser-
stituent companies. There is talk about     plied Sciences and the State Research         vicing of the equipment supplied.
five to eight business associations –       Institute of Informatization and Econ-            So, we can see from the preced-
holding companies to be set up based        omy Modeling. This would be helpful           ing comments that Ukraine’s defense
on specific areas of industrial expertise   to formulate a new vision of future           industry is on the verge of major re-
and competencies: precision-guided          development priorities for Ukraine's          forms that the newly founded Min-
weapons, radar systems, shipbuilding,       defense industry.                             istry for Strategic Industries expects
specialty chemicals, ammunition, and            Beyond that, incentives to facilitate     will be brought to fruition within a
armored combat vehicles.                    defense industry growth and devel-            few years’ timeframe. That being said,
    In addition to Ukrainian Defense        opment are contained in the recently          there is an ambition that the reforms
Systems, there will be established a        adopted legislation on "Public Defense        be carried out quickly enough so that
holding group that will bring togeth-       Procurement" that President Volody-           to yield their expected results before
er SSAU-run companies and public            myr Zelensky enacted on August 12.            the next presidential election. But this
businesses engaged in the aircraft          The legislation includes measures that        will depend on a fusion of multiple
building industry. This second group,       are long overdue. Thus, it introduces         factors, the most important being the
to be known as Ukrainian Aerospace                          the term "life cycle" for     concerted effort by the legislative and
Systems, will be comprised of two                            use in the context of        executive branches and SDCU; timely
holding-type entities, one of them                           weaponry and military        adoption of requisite regulatory legal
Antonov Company and the other the                             equipment       systems,    acts, such as a law on corporatization
holdings group "Space Rocket Center                           and makes provisions        in the defense industry; and the need
Pivdenny".                                                     that new defense and       for company managers and executives
    Ukrainian Defense Systems and                              military technologies      to be really willing and interested in
Ukrainian Aerospace Systems will be                             be officially tested      innovations, game-changing practic-
both placed under the administration                            and qualified by the      es, and learning how to compromise
of the Ministry for Strategic Indus-                             same      procedures     with each other.
tries, excepting licensed arms dealers                           as used by NATO
who will be removed from                                          nations. On top of
under the admin-                                                  that, the legislation
istration of SC
Ukrobonroprom
and will oper-
ate within the
functions      and
purposes defined
in their respec-                  tive

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