NO RECOVERY WITHOUT RESCUE - R342 BILLION UNUSED - Institute for Economic ...
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Only a third of South Africa’s rescue package has materialised. R342 BILLION UNUSED COVID-19 SCORECARD UPDATE – 11 FEBRUARY 2021 NO RECOVERY WITHOUT RESCUE The R500 billion COVID-19 rescue package announced by President Ramaphosa in April of 2020 held hope and promise for many. It came at the start of a period of serious economic devastation. Unfortunately, in addition to the shrinking size of the package, there has been a systematic failure to implement the rescue measures stipulated. Our estimates show that only about a third of the package has been utilised to date. This updated rescue package scorecard by the Institute for Economic Justice unpacks this slow progress, building on an earlier scorecard published in June 2020. Many of the promises within the rescue package were not kept and millions are suffering as a result. Unfortunately, a number of important relief measures have expired while South Africans struggled through the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic with less support. If the government does not urgently step up and provide the rescue and relief required by households, small businesses and other vulnerable groups, thereFOR INSTITUTE is ECONOMIC no chance JUSTICE of economic recovery. COVID-19: South Africa’s COVID-19 Rescue Package Scorecard Update – 11 February 2021 P R O T E C T R I G H T S . S E C U R E L I V E L I H O O D S . S U P P O R T B U S I N E S S E S . R E S C U E T H E E C O N O M Y. 1
SCORECARD SUMMARY Providing funds to pay wages While this is one area where money has been spent through C the Temporary Employee Relief Scheme (TERS), the difficulty of accessing this support, the mismanagement of funds by employers, and the halt of the support before the second wave will have negative consequences for jobs. Job creation and protection The Employment Stimulus design is commendable but the allocation of spending has been much lower than promised. Many more jobs are required in the short term, not the medium term. Reallocation D of money towards grants should not count towards job creation. Supporting households and communities The interventions made until October 2020 through social grants (and the Social Relief of Distress (SRD) grant until January) saved lives and reduced hunger, however they D should have been extended. The crisis is not over. Supporting businesses through tax deferments and loans There has been disastrous underspending in this area with only 12% of the loan guarantee spent. F Providing additional health and municipal funding There has been a lack of transparency on expenditure and significant gaps remain in access to sanitation and health support. F The R500 billion relief package has failed in important respects and should be re-launched with a clear plan on how the remaining funds will be spent, and where necessary, new measures introduced to fill the gaps. RELIEF AREAS PROMISED USED1 Social security R50 billion R43.6 billion A THIRD SPENT Job creation and protection R100 billion R12.6 billion ? Wage relief (TERS) R40 billion R55.6 billion Credit guarantee scheme R200 billion R18 billion Tax relief R70 billion R15.3 billion ? Municipalities R20 billion R0.2 billion ? ? Health R20 billion R12.5 billion R500 billion R158 billion 1. Data compiled from latest publicly available information as outlined in the below detailed table. ? INSTITUTE FOR ECONOMIC JUSTICE COVID-19: South Africa’s COVID-19 Rescue Package Scorecard Update – 11 February 2021 P R O T E C T R I G H T S . S E C U R E L I V E L I H O O D S . S U P P O R T B U S I N E S S E S . R E S C U E T H E E C O N O M Y. 2
WHAT WAS PROMISED AND WHERE DID IT WHAT IS COME FROM? CURRENT STATUS ASSESSMENT NEEDED? SOCIAL SECURITY R50 billion After public pressure, the The ending of the SRD is An extension and towards new and SRD grant was extended likely to cause increases in increase of the SRD existing grants (cut to 31 January 2021, and hunger. Research has found grant to at least the to R41 billion in has since ended. The other that the combination of food poverty line of the Supplementary grant increases ended on the TERS scheme and the R585 per person per Budget). Only R25 31 October 2020. SRD Grant contributed to month. billion from new In November 2020, 6.9 the decrease in levels of Unduly harsh and allocations. million beneficiaries hunger between May and narrow criteria for of the SRD grant were August of 2020. Researchers accessing the grant 1. Social Relief of estimated that ending the Distress (SRD) grant approved and paid. By end need to be reassessed. November a total of R13.5 SRD and Caregivers grant - R350 per month alone would plunge 5.8 Inclusion of caregivers (May - October billion rand had been spent for the SRD Grant on the grant million people into hunger. 2020). regardless of whether 2. Caregivers top-up As of October 2020, The end of the Caregivers they are receiving a grant - R300 in May there were more than top up grant has been child support grant on 2020, R500 per 7 million beneficiaries of particularly devastating behalf of their children. month thereafter the caregivers grant. to women who overwhelmingly provide Urgent progress (until October As of 30 September 2020, care to children in South towards 2020). 76% of the R41 billion had Africa, and benefit less from implementation of the 3. All other grants - been spent. other relief measures such long overdue Universal increase of R250 as SRD and TERS. Basic Income Guarantee per month (May - (Grant) for those aged October 2020). 18 to 59 years. JOB CREATION AND PROTECTION R100 billion Ongoing; aims to be a Given the number of jobs The full R100 billion to job protection and 3-year programme. lost during 2020, and the must be allocated to creation schemes. Only R6.1 billion was role of unemployment in immediate emergency allocated from this in the poverty and hunger, it is relief spending and a 2020 MTBPS towards small unacceptable that so little plan on its use should and informal business of this relief package has be urgently tabled. support, and job creation been spent thus far. The full Public and protection. The Public Employment Employment Treasury claims the October Stimulus, part of this Stimulus should amounts of R12.6 billion and broader programme, is be implemented, R7 billion allocated to Public intended to provide 700 including the Employment Stimulus and 000 opportunities across 11 social employment extending the SRD grant, departments. programme and a respectively, come from As of January 2021, Youth Service. this fund. However, it is not a reported 433 167 The use of the R100 clear that this is the case opportunities have been billion must include and these funds may come created. new industrial policy from the reprioritisation of Thousands of teaching measures to assist existing expenditure. assistants in this programme in the targeting of were not paid in Kwa-Zulu labour intensive Natal. industries. INSTITUTE FOR ECONOMIC JUSTICE COVID-19: South Africa’s COVID-19 Rescue Package Scorecard Update – 11 February 2021 P R O T E C T R I G H T S . S E C U R E L I V E L I H O O D S . S U P P O R T B U S I N E S S E S . R E S C U E T H E E C O N O M Y. 3
WHAT WAS PROMISED AND WHERE DID IT WHAT IS COME FROM? CURRENT STATUS ASSESSMENT NEEDED? WAGE RELIEF (TERS) R40 billion The TERS scheme was The TERS system was in many cases difficult to access Extension of the TERS to pay wages and ended unilaterally (without scheme. employer and union for formal business. It was avoid job and income Improve consent) in October 2020. even more inaccessible losses, financed for informal workers and administration and from Unemployment TERS applications for the reduce delays. period up to October 2020 undocumented migrants, Insurance Fund those most vulnerable to closed on 31 December Increase the level of surpluses. job loss. The amount paid 2020. compensation. out, dictated according According to the Dept. of to a sliding scale, was Launch investigations Employment and Labour, untransparently applied and into reports of R55.6 billion was paid too low to compensate for corruption, and out by mid-December the full income lost. payback for those to 1.1 million applicants The end of this programme, short-changed. (employers). However, how shortly before the second many workers benefited is wave of COVID-19 hit South unclear. Africa, means that many of those who have permanently lost their jobs or have been temporarily unable to work due to Level 3, especially those in the hospitality industry, were left without support. Despite the amount of money paid out, and the reportedly high beneficiary figures, there have been numerous reports of employers not paying employees and high levels of corruption within the system. CREDIT GUARANTEE SCHEME R200 billion Remains in place. This scheme has largely failed. Businesses have Set up a business to provide loans to By 16 January 2021, only rescue fund to provide accessed less than 10% of the bailouts and grants, as business, substantially R18 billion in loans had available amount. loans are not always guaranteed by been given. Of the 48 366 government. Heavily indebted firms have appropriate. applications, only 27% been reluctant to accumulate were approved and paid Reduce eligibility more debt but early in the out. programme banks also used criteria to improve traditional credit-worthiness uptake. checks. These checks should Outreach strategy to not apply to applicants as promote access. a requirement for the loan is that the business should Rework the terms of be in financial distress. the scheme to remove While some changes to the restrictions on use of requirements were made proceeds and improve in July 2020, the scheme terms of repayment. remains inaccessible and the support it can be provide is Capitalise limited. development finance institutions to Administrative issues have also led to delays and made rapidly scale up their it very difficult for small financing. businesses to access these funds. INSTITUTE FOR ECONOMIC JUSTICE COVID-19: South Africa’s COVID-19 Rescue Package Scorecard Update – 11 February 2021 P R O T E C T R I G H T S . S E C U R E L I V E L I H O O D S . S U P P O R T B U S I N E S S E S . R E S C U E T H E E C O N O M Y. 4
WHAT WAS PROMISED AND WHERE DID IT WHAT IS COME FROM? CURRENT STATUS ASSESSMENT NEEDED? TAX RELIEF R70 billion All tax relief measures have There is little reporting Extend tax relief in tax deferments, now come to an end. and data on the efficacy measures for small including: There is limited data about and uptake of these businesses and uptake. In April and May, programmes. However it employees. These 1. Four-month would be appear that most businesses are trying 16 000 firms used the PAYE holiday from skills businesses, particularly to re-open and cash deferral option, with the development levy SMMEs, have not made use flow remains a serious total relief estimated at contributions; of the programmes. constraint. R750 million. 2. Fast tracking VAT refunds; The skills development levy In some cases, conditions, Make certain forms of 3. Three-month delay holiday of four months such as not having any tax relief automatic for for filing and the from May 2020 cost about debt, would exclude many small businesses. first payment of R6 billion. of the most vulnerable Develop tax relief carbon tax; Only 434 small, medium small businesses. For the measures for 4. Increase of PAYE and micro-enterprise programmes that required households. deferral to 35%; (SMME) vendors made use an application, it is likely that businesses with in- Additional tax revenue 5.Expansion of the of filing VAT returns on house finance teams were must be raised employment tax a more frequent basis to able to benefit, while through increasing incentive; and access VAT refunds sooner. smaller businesses would be taxes on the wealthy 6. Deferrals in the Deferrals in the payment left behind. and high-income payment of excise of excise duty on alcoholic earners. duties on alcohol beverages and tobacco and tobacco products and the fuel levy products and the amounted to R7.5 billion fuel levy by July 2020. The total cost to the R1 billion was also paid fiscus is estimated at out for relief on a “case- R26 billion. by-case” basis for 167 applications. MUNICIPALITIES R20 billion Remains in place. As of 30 There is a lack of The rapid scaling up of to support September 2020, only 1% transparency around emergency measures municipalities in of this money had been municipal funding so it to provide water and providing proper spent. is unclear whether these sanitation. water and sanitation, funds have in fact been A system of sanitary public allocated to municipalities transparency for how transport, food and whether and how money has been spent provision, and municipalities have spent and will be spent in accommodation for them. future. the homeless. Lack of sanitation A model instituted Financed from a R11 and water provision whereby poorer billion increase in remain endemic to poor municipalities receive local government communities, particularly in necessary funding. funding, and a R9 rural areas. billion reprioritisation of existing municipal budget expenditure. INSTITUTE FOR ECONOMIC JUSTICE COVID-19: South Africa’s COVID-19 Rescue Package Scorecard Update – 11 February 2021 P R O T E C T R I G H T S . S E C U R E L I V E L I H O O D S . S U P P O R T B U S I N E S S E S . R E S C U E T H E E C O N O M Y. 5
WHAT WAS PROMISED AND WHERE DID IT WHAT IS COME FROM? CURRENT STATUS ASSESSMENT NEEDED? HEALTH R20 billion Remains in place. As of 30 Ongoing COVID-19 health Adequately funding (revised to R21.5 September 2020, 58% of spending will be required the vaccination billion in the the R21.5 billion had been throughout 2021/22, programme is Supplementary spent. including between peaks. essential and the Budget). The net However, a recent report National Treasury has not costing plan must increase to the health suggests that a significant made public plans for urgently be made budget was R2.9 proportion of this was lost funding of the vaccine available publicly. billion. in corruption associated programme. Estimates of Further transparency with the procurement the cost range between is required for the of PPE, as well as other R12 billion and R20 billion, vaccine programme medical services and which is a small amount, processes and logistics. products. given the anticipated Continued lobbying benefits of the vaccines. for a waiver of Treasury’s reported Intellectual Property reluctance to fund this rights on COVID-19 programme is therefore vaccines and odd. medication. Increased investment in local medical manufacturing capacity. Continued testing and quarantining capacity. Filling of vacant posts and increasing hiring to cover sick and overworked healthcare workers. Improvement of health care facilities. The government’s rescue package has failed South African citizens. Urgent action is required to support incomes, give relief to destitute households, advance access to healthcare and sanitation, rescue businesses and prevent further economic and social collapse. INSTITUTE FOR ECONOMIC JUSTICE COVID-19: South Africa’s COVID-19 Rescue Package Scorecard Update – 11 February 2021 P R O T E C T R I G H T S . S E C U R E L I V E L I H O O D S . S U P P O R T B U S I N E S S E S . R E S C U E T H E E C O N O M Y. 6
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